XAU/USD 29 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As expected, price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 3,886.456.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Xauusdsetup
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Bullish Head & Shoulder [10.29.2025]Hi traders, Anfibo's back!
XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
OANDA:XAUUSD recently reached a new ATH near $4,400/oz, before undergoing a healthy correction back to the $3,890 support level following an exceptionally strong rally fueled by geopolitical tensions. After this retracement, gold is now consolidating around the $4,000 zone, showing signs of breaking above the descending trendline on the H1 timeframe — a signal that short-term bullish momentum may be reemerging.
From a structural standpoint, this pullback appears to be part of a technical correction within an ongoing uptrend, not a trend reversal. Currently, the market is stabilizing and setting up for a potential new wave upward. I’m personally watching for a Head & Shoulders (H&S) formation to develop — this could offer optimal Buy and Sell opportunities depending on which neckline breaks first.
I still believe gold is likely to revisit the $4,200 area soon , as long as the $3,890 support holds firm and global risk sentiment continues to favor safe-haven assets.
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
ENTRY: 4135 - 4150
SL: 4165
TP: 4045 - 4010 - 4000
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 4000 - 4010
SL: 3990
TP: 4135 - 4150 - 4200
Risk Management:
- Prioritize Buy setups following the higher-timeframe trend; Sell only for intraday scalps.
- Maintain a minimum Risk:Reward ratio of 1:2.
- Avoid entries during major geopolitical or economic announcements.
- Monitor the Head & Shoulders pattern closely — confirmation will guide the next major move.
Conclusion:
Gold has completed a healthy correction after its parabolic surge to $4,400, and the market is now regrouping around the $4,000 zone, with early signs of renewed bullish momentum. As long as $3,890 remains intact, the broader trend remains bullish, and I expect a potential rebound toward $4,200 in the near term.
Patience and precision are key here — waiting for the Head & Shoulders formation to confirm will provide the best entry signals for both sides of the market. Until then, the bias remains bullish with a short-term recovery underway.
GOODLUCK, LOVE U GUYS!
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (29/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)1. Market Overview
Gold recovered strongly from 3,918 lows, printing a clean bullish reversal overnight during Asia, now trading near 3,990–3,998.
The market structure has shifted short-term bullish after a clear CHoCH and BOS, but price is testing heavy resistance at the psychological 4,000 level and the H1 supply zone (3,995–4,013).
London session opens at a decisive point — momentum favors buyers, but a rejection at 4,000–4,013 could trigger a short-term pullback before continuation.
⸻
2. Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1):
• Price bounced from 3,918 forming a bullish rejection candle.
• RSI turning upward near 50, showing recovery strength.
• Long-term uptrend intact above the 100 EMA (3,842) but short-term correction not complete.
✅ Bias: Neutral to bullish while above 3,918.
🔹 H1:
• Market showing a confirmed CHoCH above 3,965 with bullish momentum candles.
• Currently retesting the descending trendline and 200 EMA (4,000–4,013) zone.
• RSI near 58, MACD histogram positive but slowing — possible short-term exhaustion.
⚠️ Bias: Bullish but watch for rejection at 4,000–4,013.
🔹 15M–5M:
• Clear bullish wave with strong EMA alignment (8 > 20 > 50).
• Structure forming higher highs and higher lows.
• Minor divergence appearing near 3,998, indicating potential retracement to 3,965–3,955.
🎯 View: Buy pullbacks into key retracement zones.
⸻
3. Fibonacci Analysis (Swing 3,918 → 3,998)
• 38.2% = 3,972.6
• 50.0% = 3,958.6
• 61.8% = 3,945.0
🟩 Fibonacci Golden Zone: 3,958 – 3,945
Confluence: prior H1 resistance turned support + trendline retest zone.
⸻
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias)
• Buy Zone: 3,972 → 3,958 (Golden Zone)
• Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or CHoCH on 5M
• Targets: 3,991 → 4,004 → 4,013 → 4,030
• Stop Loss: Below 3,945
• Notes: Structure remains bullish as long as 3,945 holds.
🟥 Bearish Rejection (Countertrend)
• Sell Zone: 4,004 – 4,013 (H1 Supply + EMA Confluence)
• Confirmation: Rejection candle / Bearish divergence
• Targets: 3,974 → 3,959 → 3,945
• Stop Loss: Above 4,020
⚡ Breakout Setup
• Buy Breakout: Above 4,013 (retest holds) → Target 4,030 → 4,070
• Sell Breakout: Below 3,945 → Target 3,918 → 3,904
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• No major UK data early; focus remains on USD Index (DXY 106.2).
• US 10-year yields stabilizing; if yields drop, gold could push above 4,000.
• Market sentiment cautiously bullish ahead of mid-week U.S. news.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Type Levels (USD)
Resistance 3,998 / 4,004 / 4,013 / 4,030 / 4,074
Support 3,972 / 3,958 / 3,945 / 3,918
Golden Zone 3,958 – 3,945
Break Buy Trigger > 4,013
Break Sell Trigger < 3,945
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
Gold shows strong intraday bullish momentum but faces resistance at 4,000–4,013.
If London retraces to 3,972–3,958, this area becomes the Golden Opportunity Zone for continuation buys.
A breakout above 4,013 confirms trend reversal to 4,030–4,074.
Failure to hold 3,945 will re-expose 3,918 lows.
⸻
8. Final Bias Summary
Main Bias: Bullish
Secondary Bias: Short-term sell at 4,013 only if strong rejection
Golden Zone (Buy): 3,958 – 3,945
Breaking Price: Above 4,013 for buys / Below 3,945 for sells
London Outlook: Expect minor dip, then bullish continuation if support holds.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 29.10.25It looks like you’ve uploaded a trading chart with marked levels and annotations. Here’s a quick breakdown of what’s visible:
Structure: The price had been in a downtrend, then broke the descending trendline, indicating a potential change of character.
Monthly Low Retested: The blue box labeled “MONTHLY LOW RETESTED” shows the area where price retested a previous low and found support.
Bullish Engulf Confirmed: Suggests a bullish reversal candlestick pattern forming near support.
Parallel Uptrend Channel: The two upward-sloping blue lines outline a new ascending channel, implying a short-term bullish bias.
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Around 3,950–3,960
Stop Loss: Below ~3,935
Take Profit / Resistance R1: Around 4,000–4,020
Bias: The chart suggests a long (buy) setup, expecting a move upward toward resistance within the parallel channel.
Would you like me to help you analyze the risk/reward ratio or validate the technical setup (e.g., confluence with higher timeframe structure or indicators)?
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
Gold price (XAU/USD) is trading near $3,965, with the upside capped at the $3,981–$3,990 resistance zone. The chart shows a recent rejection at resistance and sellers stepping in. Unless bulls break above $3,990, the bias remains bearish with a retest of $3,923–$3,915 support zone likely.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,81–$3,989 (near resistance)
Stop Loss: $3,993
Take Profit: $3,930 / $3,915
Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.53
🌐 Macro Background
Gold is under renewed pressure as US–China trade optimism undermines safe-haven demand. U.S. President Trump said a trade deal with China could be finalized this week, which boosted market sentiment. As Kitco’s senior analyst Jim Wyckoff noted: “The U.S.-China trade tensions have really diminished, with a possible trade deal later this week after a summit meeting between Presidents Xi and Trump. That’s bearish for safe-haven metals.” 【FXStreet】
On the monetary policy side, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 bps, lowering the Fed Funds Rate to 3.75%–4.00%. CME’s FedWatch tool shows markets have priced in nearly a 100% probability of this move, with further easing expected in December. While this provides some support to gold, trade optimism currently outweighs Fed dovishness.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,981 – $3,990
Support: $3,923 – $3,915
Psychological Level: $4,000
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains capped below $3,990 and is at risk of further declines toward $3,930–$3,915. Short positions near resistance are favoured, unless Fed surprises with a deeper cut or US–China trade talks collapse, which could flip sentiment.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (29/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) closed the US session near 3,950 after rejecting from the descending trendline and the intraday 200EMA cap around 3,960–3,970.
The current structure shows a corrective rebound inside a broader bearish leg, with D1 still pointing down but short-term exhaustion visible around 3,885–3,900.
Asia opens with minor consolidation below resistance, setting the stage for either a continuation breakdown or a temporary pullback to 3,970–3,990 before sellers re-enter.
⸻
2. Technical Breakdown
Daily (D1)
• Still in a clear corrective phase after failing to hold 4,100–4,140 resistance.
• Price now hovering above the 100-day EMA at 3,842, which acts as medium-term support.
• RSI at 47 – neutral but with downside pressure.
Bias: Bearish while below 3,996; looking for retracement sell setups.
⸻
1H Chart (H1)
• Price rejected from descending trendline near 3,970–3,980.
• Currently consolidating near 3,950, with structure forming a wedge under the 50EMA and 200EMA.
• MACD histogram turning flat, RSI recovering from 27 → 45 range.
Bias: Neutral-to-bearish; a rebound toward 3,970 may offer short opportunities.
⸻
15M Chart (M15)
• Micro bullish correction from 3,886 → 3,960, now forming lower highs.
• Momentum fading near 200EMA (3,955–3,960).
• RSI oscillating around 50; MACD decreasing – indicating loss of short-term momentum.
View: Expect a liquidity sweep into 3,970–3,985, then potential sell reaction.
⸻
5M Chart (M5)
• Tight consolidation between 3,948–3,960; lower timeframe CHoCH visible.
• EMA stack is compressing, hinting at volatility buildup.
• A clean break below 3,945 could trigger a new push to 3,920/3,900.
Short-Term View: Scalpers may watch for fake-out above 3,960 or breakout below 3,945.
⸻
3. Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing: 4,019 → 3,886)
• 38.2% = 3,936
• 50% = 3,952
• 61.8% = 3,967
✅ Golden Zone = 3,952 – 3,967 → current price zone (high confluence).
⸻
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
🟥 Bearish Continuation (Primary Bias)
• Sell Zone: 3,952 – 3,970 (Fibonacci + 15M EMA confluence)
• Trigger: Bearish engulfing or 5M structure break below 3,945
• 🎯 Targets: 3,925 → 3,905 → 3,886 → 3,860
• 🛑 SL: Above 3,975–3,980
⸻
🟩 Bullish Reversal (Countertrend)
• Buy Zone: 3,910 – 3,920 (intraday demand)
• Trigger: Clear 5M CHoCH + bullish engulfing
• 🎯 Targets: 3,940 → 3,955 → 3,970
• 🛑 SL: Below 3,900
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• Asia session quiet — focus remains on USD and US yields after yesterday’s strong data.
• DXY remains elevated near 106.20 → limits upside on gold.
• Traders should anticipate low volatility early, followed by possible retracement during London buildup.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Type Levels (USD)
Resistance 3,952 / 3,970 / 3,985 / 3,996
Support 3,930 / 3,910 / 3,886 / 3,860
Golden Zone 3,952 – 3,967
Break Sell Trigger <3,945
Reversal Trigger >3,970
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
Gold remains trapped below major EMA resistance and inside a corrective wedge.
The Golden Zone (3,952–3,967) aligns perfectly for fresh sell entries if momentum confirms.
Unless bulls reclaim 3,980+, the probability favors continuation toward 3,910 → 3,886.
Preferred Strategy:
Sell retracement from 3,952–3,970 (with confirmation).
If price breaks 3,945 → sell continuation.
Avoid buys unless 3,970 breaks and holds.
⸻
8. Final Bias Summary
Primary Bias: Bearish
Secondary Bias: Countertrend buy only from 3,910 support
High-Probability Zone: 3,952 – 3,967
Breakout Confirmation: Sell below 3,945
Invalidation: Above 3,980
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 28/10/2025 💸
📊 Precision entries. Consistent gains.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🟢 BUY LIMIT +45 PIPS
🟢 BUY +80 PIPS
🟢 BUY +30 PIPS
🟢 BUY +90 PIPS
🟢 BUY +110 PIPS
🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
🟢 BUY +110 PIPS
📱 BTC BUY +600 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🏆 GOLD TOTAL: +525 PIPS
🪙 BTCUSD BONUS: +600 PIPS
💰 TOTAL DAILY PROFIT: +1,125 PIPS
📊 8 Signals → 8 Wins | 0 SL
🎯 Accuracy: 100% ✅
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 Flawless day! Every setup hit target with precision — GOLD and BTC both in perfect sync.
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) - Bearish Reversal and Potential ContinuationPrior Uptrend: The chart clearly illustrates a strong, sustained uptrend from late September to mid-October, where the price rose consistently, making higher highs and higher lows.
Market Structure Shift (MSS): Around October 21-23, the price broke decisively below a significant previous low (the swing low marked by the MSS line, near $4,040). This event signals a likely change in market character or a Market Structure Shift, suggesting the uptrend is over and a downtrend has begun.
Impulsive Down move: Following the MSS, the price fell sharply.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): The chart highlights a Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is an area of price inefficiency created during the sharp move down. This gap acts as a potential magnet or resistance zone. The price is currently near the bottom of this FVG area (around $3,930 - $3,960).
Current Price Action and Bias: The overall sentiment is bearish following the MSS. The analysis suggests the price may retrace higher into the FVG (the dashed arrow indicates a possible move into the FVG) before continuing its move lower.
Target: The TARGET is marked by a dashed horizontal line around $3,870 - $3,880. This suggests a specific price level the analyst expects the price to reach if the bearish continuation plays out.
Interpretation
This chart suggests a bearish trading opportunity based on the recent change in trend. The immediate plan seems to be to watch for a reaction within the FVG for a potential entry to short Gold, aiming for the $3,870-$3,880 target.
Why am I bearish when the market is bullish?#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
We have reminded everyone today that you can short gold in batches at key points, and now all short positions have been exited. When entering the market, it depends on the technology; when leaving the market, it depends on the mentality. Don’t be dominated by fear and greed. Profits belong to you only when you really get them in your hands. Otherwise, everything is just empty talk.
Short-term bears should not continue to participate blindly. By observing the hourly line trend, we can find that this is a typical upward trend. Therefore, bulls may still have a certain rebound momentum in the short term. But it should also be noted that there is pressure from the golden section point of 38.2%, or 3975, and it is also close to the downward trend line. Therefore, for evening trading, I think we can continue to be patient and wait, observe the performance of 3975-3990, and then consider appropriately participating in shorting gold after there is obvious pressure but it is not broken.
#XAUUSD: Massive Drop Is In Making! Bears In ControlDear all,
We are seeing significantly increased bearish volume since yesterday now we think price is likely to remain bearish for couple of days or week so price could make major correction. Please wait for price to settle down.
Good Luck
Team Setupsfx_
#XAUUSD: +6000 Pips Swing Move In Making, Patience Pays!
Gold prices have fallen sharply as the DXY has regained strength. Following the recent significant sell-off, we can anticipate the potential direction of the price. Three key targets can be considered if the price moves in our favour. The first is a nearby target at $4000 which would represent a gain of 1100 pips. Subsequent targets should be determined according to your trading plan.
There are two potential entry points; if the first is invalidated the second should be considered.
We wish you the best of luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx 🚀❤️
Is This the Start of Gold’s Next Major Upswing?🦸♂️ Title: XAU/USD Heist: The Golden Pullback Play (Swing/Day Trade) 💰
📈 Executive Brief (The "Why")
The shiny rock is pulling back to a key support zone! We're looking for a potential bullish continuation swing. The plan is to catch the dip as it retests a dynamic support level, aiming for a ride back up to a major resistance area. This is a classic "buy the dip" setup in a structurally strong asset.
🎯 The Trade Plan (The "How")
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold)
Bias: Bullish
Strategy: Pending Order on a Pullback
📍 Entry Zone:
YOU CAN ENTER THE MARKET AT ANY PRICE LEVEL AFTER THE WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE PULLBACK @ ~3860.00
(Look for a bullish rejection candle or momentum shift confirming the bounce)
🚨 Stop Loss (The "Escape Route"):
This is thief SL @ ~3760.00
Place your SL after the breakout I mentioned price level. This level is below the recent swing low, invalidating the bullish structure if breached.
🎯 Take Profit (The "Cash Out"):
OUR target @ ~4150.00
This aligns with a strong resistance + overbought + trap is there so kindly escape with profits. We're taking profits before price potentially reverses.
⚖️ Risk & Reward Management (The Fine Print)
Note to the Thief OGs: Dear Ladies & Gentleman, I am not recommending to set only my SL & TP. It's your own choice. You can make money, then take money at your own risk. Manage your position size accordingly! The provided levels are a framework, not a financial command.
🌍 Related Pairs to Watch (The Intel)
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Gold's arch-nemesis! 👊 A weaker DXY often means a stronger Gold price. Watch this for correlation cues.
$EUR/USD: The biggest component of the DXY. A strong Euro often pressures the Dollar, which can boost Gold.
$XAG/USD (Silver): Gold's volatile cousin. Often moves in the same direction but with more amplitude.
AMEX:GLD / AMEX:IAU : Gold ETF proxies; they track the physical metal's price.
Key Correlation Point: Gold is typically inversely correlated with the U.S. Dollar. Keep one eye on the Dollar Index for confirmation of your Gold trade's direction.
✨ Community Boost
“If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#Gold #XAUUSD #Trading #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Finance #Pullback #WMA #DXY #Forex
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (28/10/2025, LONDON SESSIONGold extended its bearish continuation during Asia, breaking below 3,940, confirming dominance of sellers. London opens with price sitting near 3,935–3,940, still within the bearish structure that began at 4,106.
Momentum is strongly negative, with EMAs (50/100/200) aligned downward and RSI below 40 across all intraday frames. The market remains inside a descending channel — each recovery is being sold aggressively.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• Fourth consecutive bearish candle confirms strong downside momentum.
• RSI (46) still neutral but leaning bearish; MACD histogram fully red.
• Price approaching potential higher-timeframe support near 3,900–3,880.
Bias: Bearish correction still in play until 3,880 or D1 reversal candle appears.
🔸 H1
• Structure: clean lower highs (4,106 → 4,048 → 3,997) and lower lows (3,971 → 3,935).
• RSI (27) deeply oversold, signaling possible micro bounce but no reversal yet.
• 100/200 EMA above at 3,990–4,040 acting as strong resistance.
Bias: Bearish below 4,000, corrective pullback likely capped at 3,995–4,010.
🔹 M15
• Extended downtrend channel remains active.
• Every minor pullback rejected under 3,950–3,960.
• MACD shows no bullish divergence yet; sellers still in control.
Bias: Sell pullbacks near resistance levels.
🔹 M5
• Micro CHoCH confirmed lower highs.
• RSI near 30 with weak attempt to rebound.
• Short-term liquidity zone forming 3,930–3,940, potential area for retest before continuation.
Bias: Bearish to neutral; short rallies only if confirmed rejection on M5–M15.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis (Golden Zone)
Last H1 swing: High 4,106 → Low 3,935
• 🔸 38.2% → 3,990
• 🔸 50% → 4,009
• 🔸 61.8% → 4,028
✅ Golden Zone = 3,990 – 4,028
This zone aligns with the H1 supply area and EMA confluence, making it the optimal retracement level to rejoin the bearish trend.
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📉 SELL SCENARIO (High Probability)
• Entry: 3,990 – 4,028 (Golden Zone)
• Stop-Loss: 4,035 – 4,045
• Targets: 3,955 → 3,935 → 3,910 → 3,885
• Confluence: EMA cluster, Fib 61.8%, trendline resistance
• Bias: Strong short continuation if rejection occurs inside Golden Zone
⸻
⚡ BREAKDOWN SELL
• Trigger: Clean H1 candle close below 3,930
• Entry: 3,928 – 3,935 on retest
• Stop-Loss: Above 3,945
• Targets: 3,912 → 3,900 → 3,885
• Bias: Follows continuation of bearish momentum below weak low.
⸻
🟢 COUNTERTREND BUY (Low Probability)
• Trigger: Bullish BOS + strong engulfing candle above 3,960
• Entry: 3,960 – 3,965
• Stop-Loss: 3,940
• Targets: 3,985 → 3,995 → 4,009
• Bias: Only if London forms a liquidity sweep under 3,930 with strong reclaim.
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• No major Asia data; London expected to move with USD Index (DXY) flows.
• DXY above 106 favors continued gold weakness.
• Traders monitoring US GDP & PCE later this week, meaning liquidity could tighten today.
• Expect volatility spikes near London–NY overlap as large players position early.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Type Price Levels
Resistance 3,960 / 3,975 / 3,990 / 4,009 / 4,028
Support 3,935 / 3,924 / 3,910 / 3,885 / 3,872
Golden Zone 3,990 – 4,028
Breakdown Trigger < 3,930
Bullish Reclaim Trigger > 3,965
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
The bearish structure remains dominant across all timeframes. Momentum favors continuation toward 3,910–3,885, with the best entry region at 3,990–4,028 Golden Zone.
If London opens with liquidity sweeps below 3,930, wait for a quick retracement to sell at premium pricing.
Only strong reclaim above 3,965 could trigger a short-term intraday recovery to 3,990–4,009 before sellers step in again.
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📉 Primary Bias: Bearish – Sell rallies into 3,990–4,028
📈 Secondary Bias: Bullish only above 3,965 (confirmed reclaim)
🎯 Targets: 3,955 → 3,935 → 3,910 → 3,885
✨ Golden Zone: 3,990 – 4,028
🛑 Invalidation: H1 close above 4,045
⸻
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team 🚀
⸻
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues to trade under bearish pressure, dropping to the $3,980–3,940 range, marking its lowest in three weeks. The chart highlights:
Resistance Zone: $3,975 – $3,981 (aligns with a descending trendline).
Support Zone: $3,936 – $3,943, with $3,930 as key downside level.
Price action shows lower highs, suggesting sustained bearish momentum. A corrective bounce into the resistance zone could be met with fresh selling interest.
📌 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,975 – $3,981 (near resistance & trendline)
Stop Loss: $3,986
Take Profit 1: $3,945
Take Profit 2: $3,936
Risk/Reward: ≈ 1 : 3.72
🌍 Macro Background
Gold’s decline is largely driven by renewed US–China trade optimism, which has reduced safe-haven demand. As reported, officials from both sides agreed on a trade deal framework ahead of Trump–Xi talks this week, pressuring gold prices despite weaker USD and dovish Fed expectations. Meanwhile, traders remain cautious ahead of the FOMC meeting (Oct 28–29), where markets have priced in a 96% chance of a 25 bps Fed rate cut.
Adding to the downside pressure, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) paused gold purchases, while China’s imports fell 17.6% in September, further reducing demand support. However, US Treasury yields remain soft, and JPMorgan projects long-term bullish momentum for gold, forecasting an average $5,055/oz in Q4 2026.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,975 / $3,981
Support: $3,943 / $3,936
Breakdown Target: $3,900
📋 Trade Summary
Gold remains under pressure, trading below $4,000 with bearish momentum intact. Short-term rallies toward resistance offer opportunities to sell, targeting the $3,930–3,940 support zone. Market focus shifts to the FOMC decision and US–China talks, which could define gold’s next breakout direction.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Gold Bullish Reversal Expected from D-FVG ZoneKey Observations and SMC Components:
D-FVG (Daily Fair Value Gap):
The most important element is the large shaded gray box at the bottom, labeled D-FVG. This indicates an Inefficiency or Fair Value Gap identified on the Daily timeframe, making it a powerful area of demand where institutional buying pressure is expected.
CRT-L and CRT-H:
CRT-L (Current Range Low/Bottom) is placed near the bottom of the D-FVG zone, marking a key support level.
CRT-H (Current Range Top/High) marks the high of the recent drop.
Current Price Action:
The price is currently at $3,974.61 and has been trending down. It is approaching the key support/demand zone (D-FVG).
Projected Move:
The curved line and green arrow indicate the anticipated price action: a continuation of the drop into the D-FVG zone, followed by a strong rejection and a reversal upwards (a rally).
The rally's TARGET is marked by a dotted line, sitting below the CRT-H level (around $4,020 - $4,030).
Trading Bias and Expectation
The overall bias is short-term bullish following the retracement. The analyst expects price to:
Retrace/Consolidate: Drop into the high-probability D-FVG demand zone (around $3,920 to $3,940).
Reverse and Rally: Find strong support in this zone, then reverse and move upwards to hit the intermediate TARGET.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (28/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold closed the US session around 3,982 after extending its sell-off from 4,048, confirming strong bearish continuation from the 4,38x top. The current structure remains heavy, with the H1 100/200 EMA acting as dynamic resistance and repeated rejections near 3,997–4,002.
Momentum indicators across intraday timeframes still favor sellers, but Asia may open with a brief corrective retracement before the next bearish leg toward 3,958–3,945 liquidity zones.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• Third consecutive bearish daily candle confirming continuation of the mid-term correction.
• Price now trades around 3,982, testing the mid-range zone between 3,880–4,020.
• RSI slipping near 50, signaling room for more downside before oversold conditions.
• MACD histogram remains negative but moderating — corrective phase within broader uptrend.
🧭 Bias: Bearish continuation inside medium-term correction; key support 3,880.
⸻
🔸 1H Chart (H1)
• Structure: Clear lower highs from 4,12x → 4,072 → 4,048 → 3,997.
• Strong break of structure below 3,985 → 3,971 confirms downtrend intact.
• Price remains below all EMAs and the descending trendline.
• RSI ~37 (slightly oversold); MACD momentum still negative.
📉 Intraday Bias: Bearish below 4,021; corrective only if price reclaims that level.
⸻
🔹 15M Chart (M15)
• Descending channel clearly defined; price rejected twice near 3,997–4,002.
• Pullbacks shallow, suggesting weak buyer interest.
• MACD histogram fading after short correction — selling pressure resuming.
⚠️ Short-term Bias: Sell rallies until clean BOS above 4,021.
⸻
🔹 5M Chart (M5)
• Micro downtrend confirmed with CHoCH back to the downside at 3,996.
• Price consolidating near 3,982, forming minor liquidity base pre-Asia open.
• RSI ~36; momentum weak but potential short-term rebound toward 4,000 before next drop.
🔎 Micro Bias: Intraday pullback expected; structure favors new lower high formation near 4,009–4,021.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis – Golden Zone
Last H1 swing: High 4,048 → Low 3,971
• 38.2% → 3,998
• 50% → 4,009
• 61.8% → 4,021 ✅
✨ Golden Zone = 4,009 – 4,021
This zone aligns with the descending trendline, the H1 EMA cluster, and prior supply rejection — making it the highest-probability short area for continuation.
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
🟢 Bearish Continuation Setup (Preferred Scenario)
✅ Sell Zone: 4,009 – 4,021 (Golden Zone)
🎯 Targets: 3,985 → 3,971 → 3,958 → 3,945
🛑 Stop-Loss: Above 4,028–4,032
📈 Reasoning: Structural alignment with EMAs, Fib confluence, and trendline resistance.
⸻
⚡ Momentum Breakdown Setup (Continuation Trade)
✅ Sell Trigger: Break & retest below 3,971
🎯 Targets: 3,958 → 3,945 → 3,930 → 3,920
🛑 Stop-Loss: Back above 3,985
📈 Reasoning: Structural breakdown confirmation and liquidity grab continuation.
⸻
⚪ Countertrend Buy Setup (Low Probability)
✅ Buy Trigger: Clean 15M BOS + retest above 4,021
🎯 Targets: 4,034 → 4,048 → 4,072
🛑 Stop-Loss: Below 4,009
📈 Reasoning: Short-term recovery if DXY weakens or liquidity imbalance above 4,02x forms.
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Asia session quiet: no tier-1 data expected.
• Focus remains on USD index drift and post-US yield sentiment.
• If DXY holds firm above 106, gold downside pressure persists.
• Watch early Shanghai open flows — potential liquidity sweep near 3,971 before NY continuation.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Type Levels
Resistance 3,997 / 4,009 / 4,021 / 4,034 / 4,048
Support 3,985 / 3,971 / 3,958 / 3,945 / 3,930
Golden Zone 4,009 – 4,021
Break Sell Trigger < 3,971
Break Buy Trigger > 4,021
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
The market remains structurally bearish across all intraday frames, with strong EMA alignment and trendline rejection confirming continuation bias. Asia session likely sees a corrective bounce into the 4,009–4,021 Golden Zone, where the best-quality short setups align.
Only if buyers reclaim and hold above 4,021 will momentum shift for a potential relief rally toward 4,048/4,072. Otherwise, expect renewed pressure targeting 3,971 → 3,958 → 3,945.
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📉 Primary Bias: Bearish → Sell rallies into 4,009–4,021
📈 Secondary Bias: Bullish only above 4,021 (retested hold)
🎯 Targets: 3,985 → 3,971 → 3,958
✨ Golden Zone: 4,009 – 4,021
🛑 Invalidation: H1 close above 4,032
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 27/10/2025 🥇
📅 Smart setups. Steady profits.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔻 SELL +220 PIPS
🟢 BUY +145 PIPS
❌ BUY -60 PIPS (SL)
🔻 SELL +210 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 GOLD TOTAL PIPS WON: +515 PIPS
📊 4 Trades → 3 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 Accuracy: 75%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 Solid and precise session — trend moves respected technical zones perfectly.
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
XAUUSD/GOLD SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 27.10.25Pattern Context
There’s a descending triangle or M-pattern that has been broken to the downside.
Labels such as “BREAKED M PATTERN NECKLINE HERE” and “BREAKED TRIANGLE PATTERN” indicate bearish structure.
Trade Setup
The chart projects a sell limit order in the region around 4,062–4,083 (highlighted red zone).
Stop loss is above the recent high — around 4,083.185.
Entry appears to be at the retest zone near 4,062.189 (“BREAKER ZONE RETEST & SELL”).
The target (take-profit area) points toward temporary support at approximately 4,031.150, suggesting a bearish continuation.
Trend Lines
A broken uptrend line and triangle breakout support the short bias.
The blue uptrend line and black triangle structure confirm the confluence zone where the retest and rejection may occur.
Summary of Bias
Direction: Bearish (Sell setup).
Confirmation: Triangle & M-pattern breakdown, retest expected.
Risk Management: Stop above 4,083; target near 4,031 (risk-reward ratio ≈ 1:2 depending on entry).
GOLD Finally Bearish , Short Setup Valid To Get 300 Pips !Here is My 30 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally Below 4050.00 With 4H Candle And this never happened for a long time ! and we have a 4H Candle closure below it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can sell after the price go back to retest the broken area 4050.00 , and give us a good wicks as previous wicks ! and we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure above this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bearish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bearish P.A .
4- Over Bought .
5- Perfect 30 Mins Closure .
Today's gold trading strategyThe contradiction between supply and demand has set the price floor.
The gold market is currently facing a dual situation of "tight supply and strong demand". On the supply side, the global underground reserves of gold are only 20%, and the output of mined gold in 2025 can only maintain a slow growth of 3,000 tons. Moreover, new mines need 5-7 years to come into production, and there is simply no possibility of a significant increase in supply in the short term. The marginal production cost has risen to $1,500 per ounce, providing a strong support for the gold price. On the demand side, not only are global central banks buying gold in a frenzy, but the gold purchase volume is expected to exceed 10,000 tons in 2025. The private investment demand in Asian markets such as China and India is also surging. In 2024, the consumption of gold bars and coins in China increased by 46.02%. This supply-demand gap is difficult to fill in the short term and will inevitably push the gold price to rise.
Today's gold trading strategy
xauusd @ buy4050-4060
TP:4080-4100-4150
SL:4030
Gold Bearish Rejection from Supply Zone (OB + FVG Confluence)Key Observations and SMC Components:
Market Structure Shift (MSS): The label "MSS" suggests that the previous bullish market structure has been broken to the downside, indicating a potential shift to a bearish trend.
Order Block (OB): A bearish Order Block is identified (labeled "OB"), which is typically the last up-close candle before the strong move down. This zone is a high-probability area where institutional selling pressure is expected to resume.
H1 FVG (Hourly Fair Value Gap): Within the Order Block, an H1 FVG (or Inefficiency) is identified. This is an area where price moved strongly without overlapping all three candles, leaving a gap. Fair Value Gaps are often used as targets for price to retrace and "fill" before continuing the dominant move.
CRT-L and CRT-H:
CRT-L (Current Range Top/High) marks the top of the range before the sharp drop.
CRT-H (Current Range Low/Bottom) marks the low point of the current swing leg.
Projected Move: The large green arrow and the curved line indicate the anticipated price action: a retracement (pullback) upwards into the H1 FVG and the OB zone, followed by a rejection and a continuation of the downward move towards and potentially below the CRT-H low.
Current Price Action: The price is currently at the very bottom of the sharp drop, hovering around $4,041.48. The dotted line and arrow show the expectation of a rally into the shaded resistance zone.
Trading Bias and Expectation
The overall bias is bearish. The analyst expects price to:
Rally (short-term bullish retracement): Move up to the area between approximately $4,065 and $4,080 (the OB and H1 FVG zone).
Reject and Trend (long-term bearish continuation): Find strong resistance in the OB/FVG zone, and then reverse to continue the downtrend, aiming to break the CRT-H low.






















