XAU/USD 4H Chart – Bullish Pullback Setup to Key Support ZoneAnalysis Overview:
📈 Trend:
The price is currently moving in an ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend.
Price has recently touched or slightly exceeded the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting a potential pullback.
🟦 Support Zone (Buy Zone):
Marked in blue, between 3,764.828 (Trade Entry) and 3,718.674 (Stop Loss).
This zone aligns with a previous consolidation area, which now acts as a strong support.
✅ Entry Plan:
Wait for price to retrace into the blue support zone.
Ideal entry around 3,764.828, possibly after a bullish signal (e.g., pin bar, bullish engulfing).
❌ Stop Loss:
Placed just below the support zone at 3,718.674, protecting the trade in case the structure fails.
🎯 Target (TP):
3,975.534 — This is labeled as the LABA TARGET POINT, near the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Risk-reward ratio appears favorable, roughly 4:1 if using the full range between entry and stop loss.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary:
Setup Type: Pullback to Support in Bullish Channel
Bias: Long/Bullish
Entry Zone: 3,764.828 (support)
Stop Loss: 3,718.674 (below structure)
Target: 3,975.534 (channel top)
Conditions to Watch:
Confirm reversal within the buy zone before entering.
Monitor for bearish breakdown if price closes below stop loss zone.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips:
Use proper position sizing based on your account size and stop loss.
Do not enter early; wait for confirmation (e.g., bullish candle pattern) in the support zone.
Keep an eye on macroeconomic news (e.g., NFP, interest rate updates) as gold is very sensitive to these events
Xauusdsetup
XAU/USD Intraday Consolidation and Bullish Breakout Setup ?Key Observations:
Current Price: $3,886.485
Recent Trend: Strong bullish momentum leading into a consolidation zone.
Consolidation Range:
Support Zone: Around $3,883.056–$3,882.998
Resistance Zone: Around $3,893.792–$3,898.092
Trade Setup:
The green box indicates a potential accumulation/consolidation phase after the bullish move.
The black zig-zag line suggests a range-bound movement within the consolidation box.
An upward arrow indicates a bullish breakout is anticipated from this range.
Stop-loss is placed just below $3,883 (around $3,877.383).
Target zones are near recent highs ($3,893.792 and $3,898.092).
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bullish continuation pattern following the consolidation.
If price respects the current support zone and breaks out above resistance, the bullish target is around $3,898+.
A break below the support and stop-loss zone may invalidate the bullish setup.
Gold Going Up Hard , Can We Get 250 Pips From This Wave ?Here is My 15 Min Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price going up very hard without any correction so we should move with it and we have a 4H Candle closure above our Res 3872.00 And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 3872.00 , and we can be targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 4H Closure .
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - DON'T SELL IT TODAY AT ANY COST [01.10.2025]Hello, Anfibo's here!
OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
OANDA:XAUUSD continues its impressive rally, printing new ATHs one after another. The buy zone recommendation around 3785 – 3795 from yesterday has already delivered nearly 🎯 1000 PIPS 🎯 in profit – an outstanding result that once again showcases the strength of this trend. Truly, the profits from gold are extraordinary – enough for me to say: “I can take my family on another vacation thanks to OANDA:XAUUSD !”
Looking ahead, unless there are major unexpected shifts in fundamentals, gold is poised to keep conquering new highs. With global geopolitical tensions still simmering, safe-haven demand remains robust, and this continues to fuel the bullish momentum. At this stage, we prioritize the buy side over sell side, until gold decisively breaks its trend structure.
Technical Outlook
Short-term trend: Strong bullish continuation on both H4 and Daily timeframes.
Momentum: Healthy and sustainable, with steady higher highs and higher lows.
SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES: 3870 - 3834 - 3816 - 3800
RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES: 3904 - 3918 - 4000
Trading Plan Today
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 3860 - 3871
SL: 3750
TP: 3915 - ATH
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 3815 - 3820
SL: 3710
TP: 3870 - 3915 - ATH
Risk Management
- Favor long trades in line with the prevailing trend; sell setups only for intraday scalps at key resistances.
- Keep a Risk:Reward ratio ≥ 1:2.
- Control position sizing and avoid overtrading during consolidation phases.
- Stay alert to global news headlines, as unexpected geopolitical updates may trigger high volatility.
Conclusion
Gold remains in a strong bullish cycle, consistently breaking into new ATH territory. Our plan continues to focus on buying dips and breakouts, riding the prevailing uptrend.
Key strategy: Buy dips around 3800 - 3816 – 3870 .
Near-term targets: 3900 – 3920 – 3950, while higher levels remain possible if momentum persists.
Gold is rewarding those who stay aligned with the trend – and for now, the bulls are still firmly in control.
HAVE A NICE DAY FRIENDS!!!
XAU/USD Trade Setup – Bullish Continuation in Play?Gold (XAU/USD) has recently shown a strong bullish recovery after a sharp drop from the $3,870 area. The price is currently consolidating near the $3,843 zone, forming a potential bullish continuation pattern.
We’ve now seen:
A V-shaped reversal off the $3,805 support zone
Strong bullish candles breaking short-term resistance
A potential higher low formation, signaling buying interest
🧠 Trade Idea:
🟢 Long Position Setup
Entry: Around $3,840.80
Stop Loss: $3,830.48 (below the recent low)
Targets:
🎯 TP1: $3,854.94
🎯 TP2: $3,861.25
🎯 TP3: $3,871.18 (extended)
This gives a solid risk-to-reward ratio of ~2:1 or better, depending on your target level.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
Key resistance levels: $3,855, $3,861, $3,871
Key support level: $3,830
Candlesticks show strong bullish momentum with little selling pressure during pullbacks.
Price is trading above the breakout zone, indicating buyers are in control.
⚠️ Risk Management:
As always, wait for confirmation near the entry zone. Be cautious of false breakouts, especially around the $3,840–$3,845 region. Stick to your stop loss and take profit levels.
Is This the Start of Gold’s Next Major Upside Trend?✨ GOLD vs USD Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing Trade) ✨
🟡 Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar)
📈 Plan: Bullish Outlook
The Thief Strategy 🥷 is in action — using a layering style of limit orders (multiple staged entries). Instead of a single "all-in" shot, we scale in like a smart thief sneaking layer by layer.
🔑 Entry (Layered Style):
Possible levels: 3720 / 3730 / 3740 / 3750 (you can increase layers depending on your own plan).
The idea: Build positions gradually instead of chasing the candle.
🔒 Stop-Loss Zone (Protect Capital):
3680 (nicknamed the “Thief SL” 🚨).
⚠️ Note: This is just my reference level. Please adjust to your own risk style — don’t just follow blindly.
🎯 Target (Profit-Taking Zone):
3860 (Trend Flip Alert ⚡ – High Voltage Zone).
Why? This area aligns with resistance + potential overbought conditions + trap vibes. That’s where I expect smart thieves to escape with their bags 💼.
💡 Reminder for the Thief OGs: I’m not recommending you copy my SL/TP blindly. The market is your playground — grab your profits your way, manage your risk your way.
🔎 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Radar)
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) → Strong inverse correlation with Gold. If DXY weakens, XAU/USD often rallies.
TVC:SILVER (XAG/USD) → Precious metals move in packs. Silver strength can be a leading indicator for Gold.
BLACKBULL:WTI (USOIL/USD) → Energy inflation links can push Gold higher as a safe haven.
SP:SPX (S&P 500 Index) → Risk-on/off sentiment. Equity weakness often boosts safe-haven demand for Gold.
📌 Key Takeaways:
Thief Strategy = Layered limit order entries (smart scaling).
🚨 Protect your capital with personalized SL — don’t just copy mine.
⚡ Watch for resistance traps near 3860.
📊 Always monitor correlated assets like DXY, Silver, Oil, S&P 500.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Strategy shared just for fun & educational vibes. Not financial advice. Trade responsibly and manage your own risk.
#XAUUSD #GOLD #SwingTrading #TradingStrategy #LayeringStrategy #ThiefStyle #Forex #Commodities #TradingView
10/1: 3900 in Sight, Watch Support at 3826–3814Today marks the 76th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China. The whole nation is celebrating. In previous years, a military parade would be held on this day, but this year it was brought forward to September 3rd.
Back to the market—yesterday, gold surged to 3870 before pulling back to around 3790, and today it has once again returned to 3870, reaching a new high. From a technical perspective, a nearly $100 rally suggests that some correction is due. Current support is mainly at the 3848–3842 zone, with stronger support at 3826–3814.
On the daily chart, this round of the rally is likely approaching its end today. However, the overall structure remains healthy, meaning a pullback followed by another leg up is quite possible. On the weekly timeframe, the bullish trend is not yet finished, so gold still has room to make new highs in the medium term.
Now that the price has risen near 3875, testing 3900 is within reach. That level will likely act as a new psychological barrier, so a pullback from there would be normal and could present trading opportunities.
📌 Trading plan for today:
If gold rises to the 3900 area → consider short positions.
If it pulls back to the 3840 area → look for long opportunities.
Focus on 3870 and 3825 to determine the short-term direction#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The market experienced another rollercoaster ride this evening, with significant price swings that trapped both buyers and sellers, leading to losses for many. The current market is fluctuating at a high level and it is not a good time to enter the market. It is a relatively wise choice to wait and see for the time being. If gold continues to rise around 3870 in the US market and can form an M-top trend in the short term, then I will consider participating in shorting gold moderately. If gold first retreats to around 3825, the intraday starting point, we can still consider continuing to go long on gold. The US government shutdown problem has not been completely resolved, and risk aversion still lingers in the market. Short-term trading is still mainly long, supplemented by short.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD this week. I'm still bullish up to $3880/ozHi guys, Anfibo's here!
OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis – Start of the Week
Overall Picture:
As I predicted earlier, gold has skyrocketed past the $3,800/oz mark, delivering more than 700 pips of profit from the strategy I previously outlined . This is clear evidence of the strength of the prevailing bullish trend, as safe-haven flows continue to pour into gold amid ongoing global economic uncertainties.
Looking ahead to this week, the outlook remains in favor of the bulls. If no adverse news emerges, I believe gold is highly likely to continue its breakout and challenge the $3,880/oz level – the next key resistance zone.
Technical Outlook:
Short-term trend: Strong increase, momentum remains stable on H4 and Daily frames.
> SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES : 3800- 3787 - 3750 - 3723 - 3713 - 3703
> RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES : 3825 - 3835 - 3865 - 3880
Here's my Trading Plan today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
ENTRY: 3834 - 3836
SL: 3840
TP: 3800 - 3790
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 3790 - 3800
SL: 3780
TP: 3825 - 3835 - 3865
Risk Management:
- Prioritize buy trades in line with the dominant trend, limit countertrend shorts.
- Maintain a R:R ratio of at least 1:2 on all setups.
- Manage capital strictly, avoid overtrading during sideways phases before breakout.
HAVE A GREAT WEEK, GUYS!!!
ANFIBO | XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan (09.30.2025)Hello traders, Anfibo's here!
OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
As anticipated, OANDA:XAUUSD has surged strongly above the $3,865/oz resistance level, delivering more than 600 PIPS of profit from the previously executed trading plan. This once again confirms the strength of the dominant bullish trend and the market’s confidence in gold as a safe-haven asset.
Heading into this week, I remain bullish, with gold likely to test the $3,880/oz level and potentially push further toward $4,000/oz, provided no negative news emerges. The $4,000 mark is not only a key psychological round number resistance but also aligns with the projected target of wave 5 in Elliott Wave structure on the Monthly timeframe – an area where strong profit-taking pressure often occurs. Traders should pay close attention to this zone.
Technical Outlook:
Short-term trend: Strong increase, momentum remains stable on H4 and Daily frames.
> SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES : 3790 - 3770 - 3750 - 3723 - 3713
> RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES : 3825 - 3845 - 3860 - 3870 - 3882
Here's my Trading Plan today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
ENTRY: 3860 - 3870
SL: 3873
TP: 3835 - 3800
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 3785 - 3795
SL: 3780
TP: 3835 - 3860 - 3870 - 3880
Risk Management:
- Prioritize buy trades in line with the dominant trend, limit countertrend shorts.
- Maintain a R:R ratio of at least 1:2 on all setups.
- Manage capital strictly, avoid overtrading during sideways phases before breakout.
GOODLUCK GUYS!!!
The bullish trend remains unchanged, buy on pullback#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Although gold has fallen sharply by nearly $70, the short-term bullish trend has not changed. The risk-averse panic caused by the United States and the Trump administration is still there. After digesting the short-term selling pressure, the market will return to the bullish trend. 3795-3785 below is the second highest point last week. If the US market retreats here, we can consider going long on gold.
Gold – Straight Up, Straight Question1. Yesterday’s Move Recap
Like everyone else these days, I’m trying to make some sense of Gold’s move. Let’s be honest: even if you were extremely bullish, you wouldn’t have expected this kind of vertical line in the past 6 weeks or so.
The market is clearly overextended, and while momentum is impressive, technical traders know what usually follows such parabolic moves.
2. Key Question
Is Gold about to enter a much-needed correction, or can this euphoric rally defy gravity for longer?
3. Technical Observations
• Since the 2700 ATH zone in September, Gold has been carving out a repeating rhythm:
o Monday: explosive new ATH push
o Tuesday: spikes and volatility
o End of the week: corrective drop
• The last strong move (Friday the 19th → Wednesday the 23rd) measured around 1600 pips.
• If we project a similar extension from last Friday’s start, the measured move points toward 3885–3890 — right at the top of the newly formed channel.
This zone is not a certainty but an interesting confluence of measured move symmetry and technical channel resistance.
4. Why I Expect a Correction
• Gold has recently shown a tendency to correct after Wednesday.
• We are already in stretched territory with limited room for new buyers at these levels.
• Corrections are not only natural but necessary for healthy continuation.
5. Trading Plan
For me, the only trade that makes sense here is shorting spikes into resistance — anticipating a strong correction. I’m currently flat, but if we see exhaustion signs near 3885–3890, I’ll consider positioning short. The same strategy worked well last time,so...
6. Closing Thought
Patterns don’t always repeat perfectly, but they rhyme. If Gold follows its recent script, a midweek top followed by correction wouldn’t surprise me at all. 🚀
Gold Trade Set Up Sep 30 2025Price made ATH once again but pushed down 700 pips in London session making a LL and creating a big 4h FVG so i will either want to see price trade into the 4h FVG or Fib levels, make a LH before trading lower or wait for a BOS on the 5m of the most recent low followed by a test of 5m Supply to trade lower to PDL
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – GOLD FORECAST (30/09/2025)
📊 XAUUSD Deep Analysis (30/09/2025 – London Session)
Daily (D1):
• Gold rejected the 3,871 high, forming a strong bearish rejection candle.
• Structure remains bullish above 3,769–3,770, but today’s move shows correction pressure.
• Trend is intact while above the 10EMA (~3,769), with next support at 3,733–3,740.
1H Chart:
• Clear breakdown from 3,863–3,871 resistance.
• Price is now sitting around 3,802, testing 200 EMA + Fib retracement zone.
• Momentum indicators (MACD & histogram) show increasing bearish pressure, RSI cooling off from overbought.
15M & 5M Charts:
• Strong bearish momentum with BOS (break of structure) confirmed.
• 15M shows a descending channel, short-term support at 3,797–3,800.
• 5M chart oversold but still pressing lower, confirming short bias unless a sharp reversal forms.
⸻
🟡 Fibonacci Golden Zone
Using swing low 3,769 → swing high 3,871:
• 38.2% = 3,833
• 50% = 3,820
• 61.8% = 3,807
➡️ This zone (3,833–3,807) is now active support — price is inside it. If it fails, deeper retracement toward 3,782–3,769 is likely.
⸻
⚡ Scalping Opportunities (5M & 15M, 60 pip SL max)
🔹 Sell Scalps (preferred while below 3,833–3,840):
• Entry: 3,832–3,838 rejection
• TP: 3,820 → 3,812
• SL: ~3,844 (60 pips)
🔹 Buy Scalps (counter-trend, only if Fib support holds):
• Entry: 3,804–3,801 zone
• TP: 3,820 → 3,828
• SL: ~3,795 (55–60 pips)
⸻
📌 Breakout Levels to Continue Trend
• Bullish: Break & hold above 3,842 → recovery toward 3,858–3,871.
• Bearish: Break below 3,797 → opens 3,782–3,769.
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold is correcting inside the Fib golden zone (3,833–3,807). Short-term momentum favors sells on bounces, but buyers may defend 3,807–3,797. Scalpers can sell rejections under 3,833 or look for countertrend bounces from 3,807–3,810 with tight SLs.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) has extended its rally to a new all-time high above $3,870, but short-term charts show slight profit-taking pressure. Price action is consolidating within a narrow range between Support Zone $3,842–$3,846 and Resistance Zone $3,869–$3,873. As long as the support holds, the bias remains bullish with potential continuation towards higher resistance levels.
The ascending trendline is intact, suggesting the trend remains strongly upward. A decisive close above $3,873 could open the door to $3,900–$3,910 levels in the near term.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,846–$3,842 (Support Zone retest)
Stop Loss: $3,840
Take Profit 1: $3,873
Take Profit 2: $3,900
R:R Ratio: ~1 : 4.04
🌍 Macro Background
Gold’s rally is supported by geopolitical tensions, US government shutdown risks, and dovish Fed expectations. The USD remains under pressure as markets price in a 90% probability of a Fed rate cut in October and a 70% chance of another cut in December (CME FedWatch). Additionally, escalating geopolitical risks—Russia’s warning over US missile supplies to Ukraine and heightened Middle East tensions—are fuelling safe-haven flows into gold.
Meanwhile, US political uncertainty continues as President Trump’s last-minute negotiations with Congress failed to yield a budget agreement, keeping the government shutdown threat alive. This adds another layer of support for gold’s safe-haven demand.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,869 / $3,873 / $3,900
Support: $3,846 / $3,842
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains in a bullish structure, with strong fundamental backing from Fed rate cut bets and geopolitical risks. Dips into the support zone near $3,846–$3,842 are likely to attract buyers, targeting $3,873 and potentially $3,900+. Only a break below $3,840 would weaken the bullish bias.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.