XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold dropped like a rock yesterday, extending its sharp sell-off into the early Asian session, where price briefly touched 4,004 before bouncing back. The move marked one of the steepest single-day declines in weeks, slicing straight through multiple support zones before finding some footing just above 4075(deeper support zone).
Price is now hovering around 4,141, showing early signs of stabilization after yesterday’s flush-out. While the broader uptrend remains intact, short-term momentum has clearly shifted bearish, with the MA50 now acting as dynamic resistance. If buyers can reclaim 4,192 and the MA200, a corrective bounce toward 4,227 and 4,279 could follow.
However, failure to hold above 4,117 would likely trigger another leg lower toward the Deeper Support Zone (4,075–4,044), where stronger buying interest are expected.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4151
4192
4227
4279
4321
Support:
4117
4075
4044
4004
3984
🔎 Fundamental focus:
While short-term sentiment has flipped cautious, the broader macro backdrop remains gold-supportive — ongoing political risk and weak global growth continue to attract dip buyers on major corrections.
Xauusdsetup
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (22/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 4,157, rebounding aggressively from the previous sell-off low near 4,004. Buyers have stepped in with conviction, reclaiming short-term structure and driving price back above key intraday levels. London opens with bullish momentum in play, but price is now approaching early resistance zones, where the next directional decision is likely to form.
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🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1)
• Previous daily candle shows a strong lower wick recovery after heavy bearish liquidation.
• Price remains above both 20EMA and 50EMA, suggesting the broader bullish structure is still intact.
• RSI has cooled from overbought but now points upward, indicating renewed bullish pressure.
• MACD remains in positive territory, confirming long-term buyers are still active.
Bias: Bullish corrective rebound, awaiting confirmation for continuation.
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1H Chart (H1)
• Clean bullish CHoCH formed after rejection from 4,004.
• Price is approaching dynamic resistance from 200 EMA (around 4,170).
• RSI at ~46–50, suggesting room for continuation before overbought conditions.
• If price breaks and holds above 4,170, next bullish leg may target 4,200–4,225 liquidity.
Intraday Bias: Bullish toward premium zones unless rejected at 4,170.
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15M Chart (M15)
• Multiple higher lows after bounce confirm controlled bullish momentum.
• RSI around 60, reflecting moderate bullish strength.
• MACD expanding upward → intraday momentum supports continuation into resistance.
• Key minor resistance near 4,160–4,170 may trigger a pullback or consolidation.
Short-term View: In bullish leg, approaching decision zone.
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5M Chart (M5)
• Structure is trending upward, with each dip being bought.
• MACD strongly bullish; histogram rising.
• Any pullback into 4,140–4,135 area may provide minor intraday buy reaction before a deeper decision.
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✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
Recent impulse leg: Low 4,004 → High 4,160 (current swing)
🔹 38.2% Fib = 4,115
🔹 50% Fib = 4,082
🔹 61.8% Fib = 4,050
✅ Golden Zone = 4,115–4,050, aligning with previous breakout structure and short-term EMA confluence.
➡ If price retraces to this zone and holds, bullish continuation setups may activate.
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🎯 High Probability Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation Setup (Preferred if pullback holds)
📍 Buy Zone: 4,115–4,082 (Golden Zone reaction)
✅ Trigger: Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick
🎯 Targets → 4,150 → 4,170 → 4,200 → 4,225
🛑 SL below 4,050
✅ Break & Retest Buy Setup (Aggressive Momentum Entry)
📍 Buy above 4,170 (Break of EMA confluence)
🎯 Targets → 4,200 → 4,225 → 4,254
🛑 SL below 4,150
⚠️ Bearish Correction Setup (If rejection occurs at premium zone)
📍 Sell if strong rejection at 4,170–4,200
🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,115 → 4,082
🛑 SL above 4,209
🔻 Sell Breakout (If bearish momentum resumes)
📍 Sell below 4,050 (Break & Retest)
🎯 Targets → 4,030 → 4,004 → 3,980
🛑 SL above 4,082
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📅 Fundamental Outlook – London Session
• No major European data early session; price action driven by technical flows.
• Focus remains on US data later (unemployment, Fed sentiment).
• DXY cooling slightly after yesterday’s strength, offering support to gold pullback recovery.
• US yields remain elevated — could cap upside unless risk-off intensifies.
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⚠️ Key Levels to Watch
Type Level Description
Resistance 4,170 H1 200 EMA / decision point
Resistance 4,200–4,225 Liquidity target zone
Resistance 4,254 Previous key supply
Support 4,140 Minor intraday support
Support 4,115–4,082 Fibonacci Golden Zone
Support 4,050 Final retracement line
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✅ Summary
Gold is staging a strong recovery rally and remains bullish in early London momentum. A controlled retracement into the Golden Zone (4,115–4,082) would provide an ideal continuation buy opportunity toward 4,170–4,200–4,225. A confirmed break above 4,170 validates continued upside. A strong rejection at 4,170–4,200 may trigger a corrective dip back into the Fib zone.
Session Bias: Bullish, with continuation favored on dips.
Break Confirmation:
• ✅ Buy above 4,170
• ⚠️ Sell below 4,050
Golden Zone: 4,115 – 4,082 – 4,050
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🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 21/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS:
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 pips
❌ BUY –40 pips (SL)
🟢 BUY +70 pips
🟢 BUY +100 pips
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY +270 pips
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💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +840 pips
📈 RESULT: 7 Signals → 6 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 ACCURACY: 86%
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🔥 Solid upward momentum and precision in reversals — swing continuation played out beautifully 📈💎
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold) based on your chart:Pair: Gold (XAU/USD)
Chart Summary
Current Price: Around $4,140
Trend Lines: A descending trade line shows the overall short-term bearish trend.
Support Zone: Clearly marked between $4,080 – $4,120 (“SUPPORT BUY ZONE”).
Target: The upside target is labeled near $4,383.
Technical Outlook
🔹 Support Zone Reaction
Price recently dipped into the support buy zone, forming a potential bullish reversal wick.
This area is acting as a strong demand zone, attracting buyers around $4,100.
🔹 Downtrend Channel
The pair remains under a downward-sloping trade line, suggesting the short-term market bias is still bearish.
However, a breakout above this trendline could trigger bullish continuation toward the $4,383 target.
🔹 Short-Term Scenario
Bullish Case (Primary Plan):
If gold holds above the support zone ($4,080–$4,120) and breaks the trendline resistance (~$4,200),
→ next target area: $4,300–$4,383.
Confirmation comes with a clear candle close above $4,200.
Bearish Case (Alternative Plan):
If price fails to break the descending trade line and drops below $4,080,
→ possible continuation toward $4,040 – $4,000.
Key Levels
Type Level (USD) Description
🎯 Target 4,383 Major resistance / profit zone
⚔️ Resistance 4,200 Descending trendline zone
🛒 Support Zone 4,080–4,120 Demand / Buy zone
❌ Invalid Below 4,080 Break below = bearish continuation
Summary
📈 Gold (XAU/USD) is currently retesting its support zone, showing early signs of a bullish rebound.
A confirmed breakout above the trendline could lead to a rally toward $4,380.
However, losing support below $4,080 would invalidate the bullish setup and reintroduce downside risk. EURONEXT:IE6X2025 EURONEXT:BE8Z2025 EURONEXT:BXF1! EURONEXT:CU6X2025 EURONEXT:KB6X2025 EURONEXT:PJ6X2025 EURONEXT:PJ8Z2025 EURONEXT:UM6X2025 EURONEXT:UM8Z2025 EURONEXT:AB6X2025 EURONEXT:AB7X2025
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
Gold tumbled below $4,100, finding temporary support around $4,085–$4,093.
The chart shows a descending trendline, keeping short-term momentum bearish.
Immediate resistance lies at $4,142–$4,151, while the support zone is at $4,085–$4,093.
A break above the trendline could trigger a rebound toward resistance, but failure may open the door to deeper losses.
📌 Trade Setup
Entry: $4,093
Stop Loss: $4,080 (below support zone)
Take Profit: $4,150 (resistance retest)
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ≈ 1 : 4.45
🌍 Macro Background
Gold is pressured by easing US-China trade tensions as both sides prepare for potential tariff negotiations ahead of November 1. This weakens safe-haven flows. At the same time, the steep profit-taking after a nine-week rally adds to selling pressure.
However, risks from the prolonged US government shutdown, concerns over global debt sustainability, and expectations of further Fed rate cuts (October and December) continue to support the medium-term bullish case for gold.
Markets now await US CPI data on Friday (YoY expected at 3.1%), which will be a crucial trigger for USD and gold direction.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,142 / $4,151
Support: $4,093 / $4,085
Upside Target (breakout): $4,150–$4,160
Downside Target (failure): $4,070 / $4,050
📋 Trade Summary
Gold faces strong downside momentum but holds above the $4,085 support zone. Short-term strategy favours a rebound trade on a breakout above the descending trendline, targeting $4,150. However, if support fails, the decline could accelerate toward $4,070–$4,050.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (22/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 4,125, attempting a minor recovery after a strong bearish breakdown during the US session. Price found near-term liquidity around 4,106–4,100, where a short-term bounce is unfolding. Despite this pullback attempt, the overall structure remains bearish unless key resistance levels are reclaimed.
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🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1)
• Strong bearish candle formed after rejection from 4,381.
• Price still above 20EMA and well above 50EMA, confirming a corrective move within a broader bullish trend.
• RSI cooling from overbought; now around mid-level, room for either further correction or bounce.
• MACD still positive but histogram weakening, suggesting potential retracement or pause.
Bias: Corrective bearish inside macro bullish trend.
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1H Chart (H1)
• Clear bearish shift with BOS confirmed below 4,254 and 4,229.
• Rejection from 20EMA and 50EMA above (4,170–4,249) confirms intraday bearish bias.
• RSI recovering from oversold (26→38) indicating a potential pullback leg.
• If gold climbs into 4,160–4,198 zone and rejects, bearish continuation likely.
Intraday Bias: Bearish until H1 closes above 4,200–4,210.
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15M Chart (M15)
• Minor CHoCH formed after bounce at 4,106, with price entering a corrective channel.
• RSI around 55 → short-term recovery phase.
• MACD histogram green but still shallow → possible retracement only.
• Price approaching first resistance around 4,140–4,150.
Short-term View: Pullback phase inside bearish structure.
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5M Chart (M5)
• Series of higher lows forming → bullish momentum attempt.
• MACD positive with expanding green bars.
• RSI above 55 suggests buyers in short control, but nearing resistance.
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✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
Recent impulse: High 4,254 → Low 4,106
🔹 38.2% Fib = 4,160
🔹 50% Fib = 4,180
🔹 61.8% Fib = 4,198
✅ Golden Zone: 4,160 – 4,198
This zone aligns with intraday EMA resistance and H1 supply, making it a key sell area if rejection occurs.
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🎯 High Probability Scenarios
✅ Bearish Continuation Setup (Preferred)
⚠️ Sell in the 4,160–4,198 Golden Zone upon bearish rejection.
🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,120 → 4,106 → 4,080
🛑 SL above 4,210
✅ Breakout Sell (Momentum Play)
⚠️ Sell below 4,106 (Break & Retest)
🎯 Targets → 4,080 → 4,060 → 4,040
🛑 SL above 4,120
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🟢 Bullish Countertrend Setup (Lower Probability)
✅ Buy from 4,106–4,100 only if strong bullish engulfing + MACD flip appear.
🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,160 → 4,180
🛑 SL below 4,090
🟢 Bullish Breakout Setup (Structure Shift Only)
✅ Buy above 4,200 (Break & Retest)
🎯 Targets → 4,229 → 4,254
🛑 SL below 4,180
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📅 Fundamental Outlook – Asia Session
• No major Asian economic catalysts early session → market may retrace or range.
• Traders likely positioning for NY session after heavy US selling.
• USD Index holding firm; any DXY weakness could extend pullback.
• Focus shifts to US jobless data and Fed sentiment later today.
⸻
⚠ Key Levels to Watch
Type Level Description
Resistance 4,140 / 4,160 First intraday rejection zones
Resistance 4,180 / 4,198 Fibonacci Golden Zone
Support 4,120 Minor intraday support
Support 4,106–4,100 Liquidity shelf
Support 4,080 Deep corrective target
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✅ Summary
Gold is undergoing a corrective bounce within a bearish intraday trend. The Golden Zone (4,160–4,198) is the critical area for potential continuation sells if rejection is confirmed. A failure to clear 4,200 keeps sellers in control. Buyers only gain momentum above 4,200, or at deep retests near 4,106 with bullish confirmation.
🟢 Reversal Buy only if 4,106 holds with strength.
🔻 Main Scenario: Sell rallies from 4,160–4,198 zone.
📉 Break Confirmation: Sell below 4,106.
✨ Golden Zone: 4,160 – 4,198.
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🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 21/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS:
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 pips
❌ BUY –40 pips (SL)
🟢 BUY +70 pips
🟢 BUY +100 pips
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY +270 pips
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💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +840 pips
📈 RESULT: 7 Signals → 6 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 ACCURACY: 86%
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🔥 Solid upward momentum and precision in reversals — swing continuation played out beautifully 📈💎
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
Accurately grasp every trading opportunity,do you dare to followGold prices fell sharply in the evening due to the news, with a daily drop of nearly $300. Judging from the daily chart, the large real negative line almost swallowed up all the gains last week, and the bears have absolute control over the market.
Since this morning, Allen has been reminding everyone to pay attention to the M-shaped double-top structure and be alert to the possible sharp market correction. Even if you fail to keep up with our trading rhythm, as long as you refer to my ideas and read them carefully, you can at least effectively avoid being washed out by the market.
As gold continues to fall, various voices have appeared in the market. Bros must keep their eyes open when referring to them. After all, not everyone is as brave as Allen in facing mistakes and losses.
As I said, the bears are currently dominating the market. Although the decline has stagnated slightly in the short term, the downward trend has not completely stopped. It will be difficult for the bulls to recover all their lost ground tonight. The current gold price is hovering around 4110. If it continues to fall, you can pay attention to the short-term support of 4060-4050 below. Try to go long with a light position, set a stop loss, and look for support at the 4000 integer mark if it breaks.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Correct projection for GoldThe core conclusions of today's analysis on gold have all been verified by market trends, which can be summarized in three aspects: trend prediction, key level control, and trend logic:
1-Trend prediction verification: It was clearly stated this morning that "if it breaks below the key support level of 4280, it will enter a consolidation phase and may further drop to 4150". The current gold price is completely in line with this downward range, and the prediction is highly consistent with the actual trend.
2-Key level control: The previously emphasized resistance level at 4380 and support level at 4280 have both become the core boundaries of intraday price fluctuations.
3-We accurately captured "the restrictive effect of support and resistance levels on prices", and there were no deviations in the judgments on "short-term fluctuation rhythm and long-term trend direction", effectively providing clear range and direction references for trading operations.
GOLD Finally Made Reversal Pattern , Short Setup To Get 400 PipsHere is my 4H Chart On GOLD , And finally the chart made a reversal pattern The price creating a very clear reversal pattern ( double top) and the price made a very good bearish price action now from good res area so we can enter a sell trade after the price back to retest the neckline to can use a small stop loss and targeting 200 to 400 pips , this is a good bearish movement after this massive movement to upside without any correction , so we will sell this pair for the next weeks .
Gold: Resistance at 4380 is significant📈Today, during the Asian session, the Gold continued its bullish trend, with the price once surging to 4375, but failed to hold steady afterward and pulled back.
📝From a technical perspective, the overall upward structure of London Gold on the daily chart remains intact, and the short-term technical pattern still shows a relatively strong momentum. However, there is certain resistance around the 4380 level, as the price failed to break through it in the previous two attempts,If the resistance at 4380 is broken, it will open the channel for further upward movement, we will focus on the resistance zone around 4400–4440; if this support 4280 fails to hold, gold prices may fall further to 4150 or even lower.
📝Looking at the 4-hour chart, the immediate focus above is on the short-term resistance zone of 4380-4383, while the support zone below is 4280-4290. If the bulls fail to achieve a sustained breakthrough, the market is likely to enter a consolidation phase later. In terms of operation, it is advisable to trade within this range. Refrain from excessive actions or chasing trades at mid-range levels; instead, wait patiently for key levels to enter positions.
💎Trading Strategy:
Buy 4290 - 4300
TP 4320 - 4330 - 4340
SL 4280
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Gold Trade Set Up Oct 21 2025Gold failed to create ATH last night during Asia session and dumped hard shifting to a bearish structure during London session. So now i will mostly be looking for sells. If we get a 15m close under most recent swing low 4214 i will want to see 5m BSl swept at at 4233 before looking for sells but if price closes above 4214 and makes HL on the 15m i will look for short term buys into 5m supply and BSL at 4260 before looking for sells again
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold attempted another run-up yesterday but failed to sustain momentum, leading to a renewed pullback this session. Price is currently trading around 4259, slipping below the MA50 as short-term momentum softens after repeated rejections from the 4362 resistance zone.
Despite the rejection the broader trend remains bullish above the MA200, though short-term momentum has clearly weakened. If buyers manage to reclaim 4321, gold could reattempt the upside toward 4362 and 4406.
However, a break below 4,279 would expose the First Reaction Zone (4,227–4,192), where buyers will likely defend to maintain trend structure. A deeper breakdown beneath this area could open the way toward 4,151–4,117 near the MA200.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4321
4362
4406
Support:
4279
4227
4192
4151
4117
🔎 Fundamental focus:
The U.S. government shutdown continues to pressure risk sentiment, with political negotiations showing little progress. Several key data releases this week, including PMI and durable goods orders, remain uncertain due to the data blackout, adding to market caution.
GOLD: BUY $4235, TARGET $4450! (FED RATE CUT PLAY)📰 MACRO & NEWS: Low-Interest Rate Tailwinds
Gold prices are strongly supported by fundamental factors:
Fed Rate Cuts: The market is pricing in a 99% probability of a Fed rate cut next week. Low rates = An ideal environment for Gold.
Safe-Haven Demand: Political uncertainty (extended US Government shutdown) and lingering trade tensions boost safe-haven appeal.
Key Data: Delayed CPI data, expected on October 24th, will serve as a major market catalyst.
Summary: The fundamental momentum for an upside move is dominant and ready for a breakout.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: The Perfect LONG Setup!
The chart shows Gold is correcting towards a powerful Demand Zone, where the Uptrend Line converges with a critical structural low.
🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy
We are looking to initiate a buy position as the price hits this demand zone:
Position: LONG (BUY) - Following the primary bullish trend
BUY ZONE (Entry):
$4,237
$4,235 (Key Demand Zone)
SL (Stop Loss):
$4,227 (Protecting the bullish structure's low)
TP (Take Profit Targets):
TP1: $4,245
TP2: $4,255
TP3: $4,265
TP4: $4,275
Final TP: Open (Expecting a New ATH around $4,450+)
REMINDER: This buy opportunity in the demand zone is strongly backed by macro factors (Fed & Instability). Always manage your risk!
#GOLD #XAUUSD #Fed #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeSetup
Correct projection for GoldAfter breaking through 4280, gold has continued to rise and shows no signs of peaking so far. This fully aligns with our prediction that a breakthrough above 4280 would form bottom support and further test 4362. If it breaks through the previous high of 4379, it will open the channel for further upward movement.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (21/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)📊 1. Market Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently correcting after a strong bullish daily run, forming a rejection from the Weak High around 4,381. Momentum has slowed, and the London session opens with price trading below intraday moving averages on lower timeframes, indicating short-term bearish pressure. However, the higher timeframe trend (Daily) remains bullish unless a deeper retracement occurs.
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🕰️ 2. Technical Breakdown
📅 Daily (D1)
✅ Strong bullish trend still intact.
❌ However, current candle shows rejection near the Weak High 4,381.
📍 RSI overbought (78+), signaling possible correction risk.
📉 Probability: Short-term correction inside bullish macro trend.
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⏰ H1
📍 Price failed to hold above 4,350 and formed a lower high after sweeping liquidity.
📉 Currently testing 50 EMA → temporary bearish control.
🟦 Discount zone below 4,330 is being tested.
📍 If 4,317 (Weak Low) breaks, deeper sell phase confirmed.
🟢 If reclaimed above 4,350–4,362, bullish continuation resumes.
✅ Fibonacci (H1 latest swing):
From recent swing low (approx. 4,292) to swing high (approx. 4,375):
📌 Golden Zone (61.8–50%): 4,318–4,336 → currently in play.
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📉 15M–5M (Entry Timeframes)
🔻 Structure shows lower highs forming after a liquidity grab.
📉 MACD momentum fading after small bullish correction.
📍 Price is hovering around 200 EMA area → Decision point.
🔍 Needs break/retest confirmation to define direction.
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📐 3. Fibonacci Analysis (H1 Swing)
Level Price Approx
38.2% 4,341
50% 4,336 ✅
61.8% 4,318 ✅
78.6% 4,304
📍Currently reacting inside 50–61.8 zone → potential bounce or continuation down.
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📍 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📉 SELL Scenario (Higher Probability if bearish confirmation)
🔻 Ideal Sell Zone: 4,341–4,350 (15M LH + EMA rejection + RSI midline failure)
🔻 Sell Confirmation Trigger: Break & retest below 4,330
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: 4,318 (Golden Zone bottom)
• TP2: 4,305 (78.6% level)
• TP3: 4,292 (swing low)
🛑 Invalidation: Clean H1 candle close above 4,362.
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📈 BUY Scenario (Only if bullish confirmation)
🟢 Buy Zone: 4,318–4,330 (Golden Zone + trendline confluence)
✅ Trigger: Bullish engulfing or CHoCH on 5M–15M
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: 4,341 (38.2 retracement)
• TP2: 4,350 (intraday LH)
• TP3: 4,362 (EMA reclaim / structure flip)
🛑 Invalidation: Break below 4,304 (78.6% level).
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📛 Breakout Play (If volatility spikes)
📍 Bullish breakout → Buy above 4,362 with retest → Target 4,381/4,400
📍 Bearish breakdown → Sell below 4,304 → Target 4,292 → 4,270
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📆 5. Fundamental Watch (London Drivers)
🕘 No major UK releases early session.
🕛 Watch for USD sentiment ahead of NY session.
⚠️ Any Fed-related speech could trigger breakout from Golden Zone.
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📍 6. Key Technical Levels
Type Price
Strong High 4,381
LH Resistance 4,350–4,362
Golden Zone 4,318–4,336
Weak Low 4,317
Breakdown Key 4,304
Swing Low 4,292
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🧠 7. Analyst Summary
London opens with price inside the H1 Fibonacci retracement zone. Short-term bearish structure persists unless 4,350–4,362 is reclaimed. Momentum indicators show fading buying pressure, making a bearish retest from premium zones more likely before any bullish continuation.
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🎯 8. Final Bias Summary
Scenario Probability Bias Action
Sell from LH (4,341–4,350) ✅ High Bearish Preferred
Buy from 4,318–4,330 Golden Zone Medium Bullish Only if strong CHoCH
Breakout above 4,362 Medium Bullish Trend continuation
Breakdown below 4,304 ✅ High Bearish Deep correction
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Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youGold resumed its upward momentum on Monday, primarily driven by multiple positive factors. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to maintain a wait-and-see stance ahead of its monetary policy meeting, with the upcoming inflation data set to serve as a key guide. Meanwhile, the U.S. government’s fiscal deadlock has introduced uncertainty, providing additional safe-haven premium for gold. The persistence of heightened tensions in the Middle East has further highlighted gold’s hedging function.
In the long run, the steady gold purchase demand from global central banks and ETF holdings have formed solid support for gold prices, effectively offsetting short-term volatility. Additionally, the performance of traditional safe-haven currencies such as the Swiss franc and Japanese yen, together with the U.S. dollar, has jointly influenced gold’s appeal.
From the 4-hour chart analysis, gold oscillated below the critical level of 4,380. However, driven by safe-haven buying in the evening, it broke through this resistance level strongly, indicating that bulls have regained dominance. This breakthrough confirms the short-term strong pattern, and the key focus for the intraday downside is the 4,300 level, which has now transformed into a new support zone.
In terms of operation, the strategy should shift to following the trend and going long, prioritizing opportunities to enter positions on pullbacks to lower levels. This rapid rally and recovery of lost ground have once again verified the strength of the current bullish momentum. Given the high market volatility, it is advisable to remain patient, wait for price corrections to enter long positions, and set stop-losses properly.
Today's Gold Trading Strategy
xauusd@buy:4310-4320
pt:4340-4350
sl:4295
Big cycle M double top, beware of big pullbackGood morning, bros. Last night we proposed a strategy of short selling in batches if gold rises first and touches the upper pressure level of 4365-4380, and achieved good profits. After today's opening, gold rebounded to this range several times, and it can be said that it has basically recovered the losses since last Friday. However, the intraday rebounds have failed to effectively break through this resistance range. If the bulls want to fully counterattack and move towards the 4400 mark, they need to break through the upper resistance. Judging from the long-term trend, the market has a tendency to form an M-shaped double top, so be cautious in chasing the rise in intraday trading and beware of possible large market corrections.
Judging from the short-term trend, the resistance near 4350 is still obvious. If the European session rebounds to this level again without breaking through, the bull market will be difficult to sustain in the short term. We can consider trying a light short position once, but be sure to set a stop loss. At the same time, if the short-term support of 4330-4320 below cannot be held, gold will fall further to test yesterday's rebound low of 4305-4295. Once 4305-4295 is breached, it may trigger a technical sell-off, pushing the gold price to accelerate its correction to 4240 or even the 4220 neckline.
Trade intraday at key levels, but be wary of market whipsaws.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youMonetary Policy Easing Expectations: From "Probabilistic Consensus" to "Imminent Implementation"
The strongest driver for going long on gold currently lies in the high certainty of a policy shift by the Federal Reserve. According to the latest CME FedWatch data, the probability of a 25-basis-point interest rate cut in October has reached 99.4%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged stands at a mere 0.6%. Furthermore, the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point cut by December has soared to 98.6%.
This expectation is not a result of excessive market optimism but is backed by solid data: the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index has continued to decline, providing the "inflation under control" premise for monetary policy easing. Meanwhile, the slowing growth of the U.S. labor market and the weakening manufacturing PMI have reinforced the necessity of "preventive rate cuts."
Monetary policy easing directly acts on the core of gold pricing—real interest rates. The real yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries has stabilized in a low range below 1.8%. Historical data shows that when real interest rates enter a downward trajectory, gold typically follows a pattern of "rising by 15%-20% for every 0.5 percentage point decline in real interest rates." The clarity of the current interest rate path provides the most crucial macroeconomic safety cushion for the long-gold strategy.
Today's Gold Trading Strategy
xauusd@buy4350~4355
pt:4375~4380
sl:4330
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
Gold has once again tested the $4,380 resistance zone, where repeated rejections highlight a strong supply barrier. Price is now consolidating toward the $4,293–$4,301 support zone, which coincides with a rising trendline. If buyers defend this level, the bullish structure remains valid with potential to revisit $4,377–$4,384. A deeper pullback below $4,285 would weaken the bullish outlook and expose $4,260–$4,270.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: 4,293–4,301 (support retest)
Stop Loss: 4,288
Take Profit: 4,377 / 4,384
R:R: ≈ 1 : 6.18
🌍 Macro Background
Gold’s rally has stalled near $4,380 as markets shift focus to US-China trade talks. While safe-haven demand remains strong, optimism around potential negotiations has allowed the US Dollar to recover modestly. Meanwhile, the prolonged US government shutdown and Trump’s threat of a 155% tariff on China from November 1 add fresh uncertainty, supporting the case for safe-haven flows. Additionally, markets are pricing in two more Fed rate cuts this year, keeping gold well-bid on dips. Investors will closely monitor US CPI data on Friday and earnings from major US companies for directional cues.
🗝️ Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,377 / 4,384 / 4,390
Support: 4,301 / 4,293 / 4,260
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains in a buy-on-dips mode as long as $4,301 support holds. Short-term pullbacks offer potential entry opportunities toward $4,380 resistance, but repeated rejections at this zone highlight the importance of risk management.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAU/USD | The Art of Trendline Liquidity & OB ReactionGold continues to respect the structural rhythm of Smart Money flow. Price recently formed Equal Highs (EQH) before a potential retracement into OB + FVG confluence zone, where liquidity beneath trendline support remains untapped.
The idea anticipates a sweep of short-term liquidity before a possible bullish continuation — aligning with the current market structure shift.
⚙️ Concepts used: OB | FVG | EQH/EQL | Trendline Liquidity | Market Structure
🧠 This idea is shared purely for educational and analytical purposes — not a signal.
🔁 Feel free to share your perspective in the comments — every chart tells a story!






















