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Xauusdsetup

XAU/USD Analysis — Awaiting Breakout Confirmation for Bull Entry🏆 XAU/USD GOLD vs U.S. DOLLAR 🏆 📊 Swing/Day Trade Opportunity Guide 🎯 THE THIEF STRATEGY SETUP Market: Precious Metals | Pair: XAU/USD (Spot Gold) Timeframe: Multi-Timeframe Confirmation Strategy Type: Breakout + Dynamic Support/Resistance 💡 BULLISH CASE CONFIRMED ✅ The bulls are on patrol! 🚨 Multiple confluences suggest an upside move: ✨ LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) acting as dynamic support with multiple touch confirmations — classic reversal signal for swing traders. The metal is respecting this lower boundary like a fortress wall. ⚠️ Breakout Confirmation Required: Watch for a decisive close above 4,060.00 — this level marks a critical moving average resistance zone. Once breached, this becomes our green light for layered entries. 💰 ENTRY STRATEGY: "THE LAYERING THIEF METHOD" 💎 Instead of FOMO-ing into one position, we deploy the layered entry approach — multiple limit orders like a professional accumulator: 📍 Buy Limit Layers (After Breakout Confirmation): Layer 1️⃣: 3,920.00 ← Initial dip catch Layer 2️⃣: 3,960.00 ← Continuation entry Layer 3️⃣: 4,000.00 ← Mid-zone accumulation Layer 4️⃣: 4,040.00 ← Final confirmation level ⚡ Pro Tip: Scale these layers based on your account size and risk tolerance. You can add more layers every $20-$40 intervals. 🔔 CRITICAL: ✋ Wait for breakout confirmation above 4,060.00 before placing any buy orders. Premature entries = Stolen profits going nowhere! ❌ 🛑 STOP LOSS (Risk Management) Thief SL Level: 3,880.00 🎯 This is where the heist ends if the plan fails. Close below this support = Exit the building! 🚪 ⚠️ Disclaimer Note: This stop loss is suggested as a reference point. Your SL placement depends on your risk appetite, account size, and trading personality. We're not financial advisors — only fellow traders sharing our playbook! Trade at your own risk. 💪 🎪 PROFIT TARGET: "THE POLICE BARRICADE" 🚔 Target Zone: 4,360.00 🏁 Why this level? Multiple reasons converge here: 📈 Strong historical resistance acting as a "police barricade" 🔴 Overbought conditions signal potential pullback territory ⚠️ Trap zone detected — this is where smart money takes profits! Strategy: Scale out your positions as price approaches this zone. Don't get greedy and lose the win! ⚠️ Disclaimer Note: This profit target is OUR suggested zone, but YOU decide when to take profits. The choice is yours — stack those wins or hold for more. No financial advice here, just trading wisdom shared among Thief OG's! 🎩 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR 📡 Watch these related instruments for confluence signals: 💵 USD Index ( TVC:DXY ) — Inverse relationship with gold. If DXY weakens → XAU/USD strengthens. Monitor for divergence opportunities. 🏦 SPX500 ( CAPITALCOM:US500 ) — Risk sentiment indicator. Rising stocks = potential gold weakness. Use as confirmation filter. FX:EURUSD — EUR strength = potential gold support. Cross-market divergences often precede major moves. FX:GBPUSD — Pound weakness often correlates with gold rallies. Track for multi-timeframe alignment. TVC:US10Y (10-Year Treasury Yield) — Inverse correlation. Rising yields = headwind for gold. Monitor daily for macro context. 📋 QUICK CHECKLIST ✅ Confirm LSMA support holds Wait for 4,060.00 breakout confirmation Place layered buy limits at 3,920/3,960/4,000/4,040 Set stop loss at 3,880.00 Scale profits into 4,360.00 resistance zone Monitor correlated pairs for confluence Respect risk management — never exceed 2% per trade 🎬 THE BOTTOM LINE 🎬 Gold is setting up for a potential swing trade move. The LSMA support is holding, and a breakout above 4,060.00 could trigger a run toward 4,360.00. Use the layering strategy to build positions methodically, protect capital with your chosen stop loss, and exit into resistance zones. This is a confluence-based breakout play — not a guarantee, just probability on our side. 🎲 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #XAU/USD #GoldTrading #TradingStrategy #SwingTrade #DayTrading #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy #LSMA #BreakoutTrading #RiskManagement #TradingCommunity #MarketAnalysis #Commodities #MetalsMarket
SAXO:XAUUSD
by The-Thief
ElDoradoFx – GOLD SESSIONS ANALYSIS (03/11/2025, LONDON)1️⃣ Market Overview Gold continues its bullish momentum from the 3,962 weekly low, now trading around 4,018–4,020, with clear signs of accumulation above the 200 EMA. The market remains in an upward correction phase, with intraday structure showing strong recovery and possible breakout above key resistance. London session focus: whether gold can sustain above 4,023 to confirm a continuation toward 4,036–4,046. ⸻ 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown 🟢 Daily (D1) • The daily candle remains bullish, holding above the 10EMA (≈4,010) and approaching resistance near 4,036. • RSI at 61, signaling sustained recovery momentum. • MACD histogram decreasing red volume, hinting at reversal continuation potential. 🟡 H1 (Hourly) • Price structure: higher lows from 3,962 → 3,985 → 4,000, forming a bullish channel. • Break of structure at 4,015 with RSI 56+, confirming bullish control. • Price testing the descending trendline and 200EMA (4,022–4,026 zone). • MACD momentum positive, suggesting strength for a potential London breakout. 🔵 15M–5M (Intraday) • Bullish BOS (Break of Structure) confirmed at 4,010; price consolidating below 4,023 liquidity zone. • RSI 65 → near breakout threshold. • EMAs aligned bullishly (50EMA > 100EMA > 200EMA). • MACD showing continued bullish histogram expansion. ⸻ 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis Last swing: 3,962 → 4,036 Level Price 38.2% 4,017 50.0% 3,999 61.8% 3,982 🎯 Golden Zone: 3,999 – 3,982 → Ideal retracement zone for continuation buys if price corrects. ⸻ 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios ✅ BUY SCENARIO (Main Bias) Buy Zone: 3,999 – 3,982 (Golden Zone) Confirmation: 5M–15M bullish CHoCH + RSI >55 🎯 Targets: • TP1 → 4,023 • TP2 → 4,036 • TP3 → 4,046 • TP4 → 4,060 🛑 SL: Below 3,975 Breakout Buy: Trigger: Break & retest above 4,023 🎯 Targets: 4,036 → 4,046 → 4,060 🛑 SL: Below 4,010 ⸻ ⚠️ SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend) Sell Zone: 4,023 – 4,036 (Liquidity trap + 200EMA rejection) Confirmation: RSI divergence + rejection candle on 15M 🎯 Targets: • TP1 → 4,008 • TP2 → 3,995 • TP3 → 3,982 🛑 SL: Above 4,046 Breakout Sell: Trigger: Break below 3,975 🎯 Targets: 3,962 → 3,945 🛑 SL: Above 3,990 ⸻ 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch • UK Manufacturing PMI early volatility may drive session movement. • US ISM Manufacturing PMI and Fed Williams speech later today could bring sharp USD reactions. • DXY hovering near 106.10, slightly weakening — bullish bias for gold if this continues. ⸻ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels Type Levels Resistance 4,023 / 4,036 / 4,046 / 4,060 Support 4,008 / 3,995 / 3,982 / 3,962 Golden Zone 3,999 – 3,982 Break Buy Trigger > 4,023 Break Sell Trigger < 3,975 ⸻ 7️⃣ Analyst Summary Gold continues its bullish recovery from the 3,960 zone and is currently testing structural resistance at 4,023. A confirmed breakout and retest above 4,023 would open the path to 4,036–4,046, while a failure at this level could lead to short-term retracement toward 3,995–3,982 (Golden Zone) before continuation. ⸻ 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary • Primary Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 4,008 → Target 4,036–4,046 • Secondary Bias: 🔴 Bearish below 3,975 → Target 3,962–3,945 • Volatility: Moderate → may increase around PMI data. ⸻ — ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure Gold extends its decline toward $3,965, remaining under pressure below the $4,008–4,012 resistance zone. The $3,958–3,963 support area now acts as the next line of defence, with price hovering just above this key level. A rejection from resistance could trigger a continuation lower toward $3,945, while a sustained break above $4,012 would invalidate the bearish bias and shift focus toward $4,030. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $4,008 – $4,012 (resistance retest) Stop Loss: $4,017 Take Profit: $3,963 / $3,958 Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 5.33 🌐 Macro Background Gold prices fell to around $3,965 in early Asian trading as U.S.–China trade optimism and hawkish Fed remarks weighed on safe-haven demand. According to FXStreet’s Lallalit Srijandorn, “A constructive U.S.–China outcome reinforces risk appetite, pressuring Gold prices lower.” 【FXStreet】 Trade Relief: U.S. President Donald Trump reduced tariffs on China to 47% (from 57%) after an agreement with Chinese President Xi Jinping to suspend rare earth export controls and boost American soybean purchases. Fed Stance: Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that further rate cuts are “not a foregone conclusion”, signalling a cautious stance. Markets still price in a 63% chance of a December rate cut. Next Data: Traders now eye the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI for October, which could affect short-term USD direction and provide cues for XAU/USD’s next move. Overall, a combination of risk-on sentiment and Fed’s hawkish tone continues to limit gold’s upside momentum. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,008 – $4,012 Support: $3,958 – $3,963 Psychological Level: $3,950 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains below the key $4,008–4,012 resistance, maintaining a bearish short-term bias. The strategy favours selling near resistance for potential downside toward $3,950, while a close above $4,012 would neutralize the setup. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
XAU/USD 1H – Bearish Liquidity Sweep Toward BPR Zonepotential shift from a bullish (upward) to a bearish (downward) trend, outlining a clear trade entry area and target: Prior Trend: The price action leading up to the structural change shows an upward move, indicative of a bullish phase. Bearish CHOCH (Change of Character): This is the critical signal of a potential trend reversal. The price has broken below a previous significant Higher Low (HL), which signifies that the bulls are losing control and the market's 'character' is changing to bearish. BOS (Break of Structure): In this bearish context, a Break of Structure would confirm the continuation of the new bearish trend by breaking a new Lower Low (not explicitly marked after the CHOCH but implied as the next step in a downtrend). BPR (Balanced Price Range): This shaded zone marks a specific area where the price is expected to retrace to before falling further. A BPR is an area of overlapping Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and acts as a high-probability supply/resistance zone where institutional sell orders are likely to be activated. EQH (Equal Highs) / BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity): The line marked "EQH" (Equal Highs) is a liquidity target that was swept, suggesting the market cleared out buy stop-loss orders before initiating the main move down (liquidity hunt). Target - SSS (Sell-Side Stop-loss Sweep / Sell-Side Liquidity): The final horizontal line marked "SSS" is the ultimate profit target. This area represents a pool of liquidity (stop-loss orders placed by traders who were short or who bought at that level) that the market is expected to hunt or "sweep" to fill large institutional sell orders. In summary, the trade plan suggests: Entry: A short (sell) trade within the BPR zone after the bearish CHOCH is confirmed. Target: The lower SSS level.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
3
XAUUSD Acceptance Rule at 4 000 - Map for 3-7 Nov 2025Context, in plain language Gold finished Friday near 3 998.4 on my feed and sits right on the round 4 000 pivot. October was a runaway month with fresh records. In the final week of this rally phase the market will test whether price can live above four thousand or if it needs another breath. The plan below keeps things simple. I work from one decision line, a short event ladder, and a fixed risk template. Education only. Why four thousand matters Round numbers concentrate liquidity. They create noise on the first touch then clarity on the second. At four thousand you will see stop runs in both directions and you will see fast fades. The edge comes from trading acceptance rather than touch. Acceptance for me means two closes on the execution timeframe above or below the line. I use four hour for structure and fifteen minute for triggers. If you prefer one hour or five minute, keep the logic exactly the same and do not chase the first spike. What can move price this week It is a data led week. Monday brings ISM Manufacturing. Tuesday brings JOLTS. Wednesday brings ADP in the early morning and ISM Services late morning. Friday is the Employment Situation. The Federal Reserve cut the policy rate last week and said future steps depend on incoming data, so these releases are live for gold. I treat Monday as tone setting, Wednesday as positioning, and Friday as the weekly verdict. Times are Eastern. If you trade from Europe, align your session planning the night before. Levels to work with if Friday’s close is your anchor Immediate map • 4 000 is the decision line. • 4 050 to 4 060 is the first upside gate from the early October stall area. • 4 100 opens if services data or jobs come in soft and real yields ease. • 3 950 to 3 920 is first support on pullbacks where late sellers often get trapped. • 3 880 to 3 800 is the larger retest zone from the September breakout. I draw one bold line at 4 000. I shade two narrow boxes at 4 050 to 4 060 and 3 950 to 3 920. I leave the wider retest box lighter at 3 880 to 3 800. No extra overlays. No spaghetti. The clarity helps when the tape speeds up. How I will trade it Before New York I check two things. The dollar index trend. The ten year real yield tone. If both rise together I will be patient with longs and I will only buy strength that proves acceptance over four thousand with time. If both slip together I will allow a second test long that holds above four thousand and I will target the first gate at 4 050 to 4 060. If the event hits and the first move rips through four thousand I do nothing. I wait for the pause. The second test is the trade. Triggers Long idea • Event passes and the second test holds above 4 000 with two closes on fifteen minute. • Dollar fails to make a higher high on the hour. • Target 4 050 to 4 060 first, then trail toward 4 100 only if the day opens up. • Invalidation below 3 980 on a five minute close or a clear failure back inside the pre release range. Short idea • Clean rejection of 4 000 after the event. • Dollar and real yields bid together. • Target 3 950 to 3 920 first. Leave room for 3 880 only if the day does not bounce. • Invalidation above 4 020 on a five minute close. Risk template I size so that a normal day’s pullback does not force me out. A simple rule is to keep per trade risk inside one third of the five day ATR. I place stops beyond the opposite edge of the zone I am trading. I never move a stop closer because the candle looks scary. I take partials into the first gate only when the day’s range is already near the expected move for that session. If spreads widen during the release I stand aside for five minutes. This alone will save you from many avoidable losses. Common traps to avoid Do not trade the first touch at four thousand. The tape loves to run stops there. Do not fade a break that holds for thirty minutes above the decision line. The whole edge is acceptance. Do not add size in front of Friday’s Employment Situation. This report resets everything. Finally do not forget that gold can gap through levels on macro surprises. The way to survive that is small size, predefined exits, and a plan to do nothing if liquidity is thin. Event ladder for the week Monday. ISM Manufacturing sets the opening tone. Tuesday. JOLTS shapes labor cooling views. Wednesday. ADP and ISM Services drive pre positioning into Friday. Friday. Employment Situation at the open. I go reactive only after the first five minutes settle. How to set up your chart Timeframe four hour for structure. Timeframe fifteen minute for triggers. Draw a single line at 4 000. Shade the two narrow zones at 4 050 to 4 060 and 3 950 to 3 920. Add a lighter box at 3 880 to 3 800. Nothing else. If you must watch the dollar, keep it on a separate chart. The goal is to make the decision obvious when the release hits. Three rule bullets that define the model • Trade acceptance, not touch, at 4 000. Wait for two closes to confirm. • Use the event ladder to scale risk. Light early. Normal only after the day’s release. • Place invalidation beyond the opposite band of the zone you are trading. Education and analytics only. No investment advice.
FX:XAUUSD
by exlux
XAU/USD Market Structure Reveals Potential Upside Move!🥇 XAU/USD: "Gold Heist Wealth Map" - Swing/Day Trade Blueprint 🚨 🎉 Ladies & Gentlemen, Thief OGs! Welcome to the Gold Heist Wealth Map for XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) — a cheeky, calculated swing/day trade plan to snatch profits from the metals market! 😎 This setup is designed with a thief-style layered entry strategy, bullish vibes, and a pro-level escape plan to dodge the "police barricades" (resistance zones). Let’s dive into this shiny opportunity with a fun yet professional edge! 💰 📈 Trade Setup: The Gold Heist Plan Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) Outlook: Bullish 📈 Strategy: Thief-Style Layered Limit Orders — multiple buy limit entries to maximize your loot! 🕵️‍♂️ Entry Levels: 🔔 Buy Limit @ 3850 🔔 Buy Limit @ 3880 🔔 Buy Limit @ 3900 🔔 Buy Limit @ 3930 Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Stack those entries like a master thief. 😜 Stop Loss (SL): Set at 3800 (the "Thief’s Exit Door"). 🚪 Note: This SL is my suggestion, but you’re the boss of your heist! Adjust based on your risk tolerance. 💸 Take Profit (TP): Aim for 4100 — a juicy target where a police barricade (strong resistance + overbought zone) might set a trap. Escape with profits before the market cuffs you! 👮‍♂️ Note: TP is my call, but take your loot when you feel the heat! Your trade, your rules. 😎 🛠️ Strategy Breakdown: Why This Setup? Thief-Style Layering: Using multiple buy limit orders spreads your entry risk across price levels, letting you sneak into the market like a pro. 🕵️‍♀️ Bullish Momentum: Gold’s been shining bright with macroeconomic tailwinds (USD weakness, inflation hedges). 📡 Resistance Watch: The 4100 zone is a psychological and technical barricade. Overbought signals + potential traps mean it’s time to cash out smartly. 🏦 Risk Management: The 3800 SL keeps your downside locked, but always tailor it to your account size and risk profile. ⚖️ 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD) Keep an eye on these correlated assets to boost your market awareness: OANDA:XAUUSD (Silver vs. U.S. Dollar): Silver often moves in tandem with gold. Watch for similar bullish setups or divergences. USD Index ( TVC:DXY ): A weaker USD typically fuels gold rallies. Monitor DXY for inverse correlation signals. 📉 OANDA:AUDUSD : Gold prices often align with the Aussie dollar due to Australia’s gold exports. A rising AUD/USD could support our bullish XAU/USD bias. 🇦🇺 Key Correlation Insight: Gold thrives in low-rate environments or when USD weakens. Check economic calendars for Fed rate decisions or inflation data (CPI, PPI) to time your entries. 📅 ⚠️ Disclaimer This Thief-Style Trading Strategy is for fun and educational purposes only! Trading involves risks, and you’re responsible for your own decisions. Always do your own research (DYOR) and manage risk wisely. No financial advice here — just a playful map to navigate the markets! 😄 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #XAUUSD #Gold #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #Forex #MetalsMarket
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
Is the XAU/USD Breakout the Next Major Trade Opportunity?💰 GOLD vs USD — “Thief Trader’s Golden Breakout Playbook” ⚡️ Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar) Market: Metals Type: Day Trade Setup Bias: 🟢 Bullish plan – pending order after breakout 🧭 TRADE BLUEPRINT Entry Zone: Wait for a clean breakout above 4160.00 before entering. (Breakout confirmation > impulsive candle > retest optional) Stop Loss: “Thief SL” parked at 4040.00 — move only after breakout validation. 💡 SL isn’t mandatory — your money, your call! Target: Ride the move up to 4380.00, where strong resistance meets overbought traps. 🧨 Escape with profits before the crowd gets greedy! 💬 NOTE TO ALL “THIEF OG’s” Dear Ladies & Gentlemen, I’m not asking you to use only my SL or TP — they’re examples. You’re the master of your risk. Make money. Take money. Stay legendary. 💸 🧩 CORRELATION CHECKLIST Keep your eyes on these key pairs to confirm gold’s direction: TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): If the dollar drops, gold usually pops. OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Often follows gold’s mood — good double-check. FX:USDJPY & OANDA:USDCHF : Safe-haven cousins. If they fall, gold shines brighter. OANDA:XAUJPY : A stealth correlation — helps catch sentiment early. 🧠 Gold doesn’t move alone — it dances to USD rhythm and global risk tone. ⚙️ THIEF INSIGHT: Gold’s sitting near a major pivot resistance (4160) — a breakout signals momentum ignition. Risk/Reward is balanced: 4040 SL vs 4380 TP (~1:1.8). Institutional footprints suggest buy interest post-breakout zone. Stay sharp — watch volume spikes & candle closes above breakout line. 🏁 FINAL WORDS Trading isn’t robbery — it’s legalized patience. The real theft is done with discipline, not greed. Grab your profits like a pro, not a desperado. 🕶️💼 ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy — just for fun & education. Not financial advice. Always DYOR & trade responsibly. 🧠💰 #XAUUSD #Gold #DayTrading #Breakout #ThiefTrader #Forex #MetalsMarket #GoldAnalysis #USD #DXY #TradingView #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #FunTrading #MarketPlaybook
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
3
XAU/USD Bullish Outlook - Strategic Entry & Exit Plan🟡💰 XAU/USD — “Gold Rush or Police Trap?” ⚡ Thief Strategy Playbook 🎯 Asset: XAU/USD “Gold vs U.S. Dollar” Market Type: Crypto / Metals Cross (Swing / Day Trade) Bias: Bullish 🟢 🔓 Thief’s Entry Game Plan (Layer Method) This isn’t your typical sniper-entry… this is the Thief Strategy™ — a layering style method using multiple limit orders for flexible accumulation. 💎 Layer Entries: 4000.00 ✅ 4025.00 ✅ 4050.00 ✅ (You can increase or adjust the layers based on your risk appetite & setup.) 🛡️ Stop Loss (Thief’s SL): @3950.00 “Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — I’m not recommending my SL; it’s just my escape route. Trade smart, take your profits, and move at your own risk.” 🎯 Target Zone — “Police Barricade Ahead 🚨” The 4200.00 zone acts as a strong resistance + potential trap area — heavy liquidity and overbought conditions live there. Be wise, secure the bag 💼, and slip out before the market cops show up. 📊 Key Technical Notes Momentum shows gold buyers reclaiming upper zones after liquidity grabs. Higher-timeframe structure: Still bullish unless 3950.00 breaks cleanly. RSI divergence & volume spike hint at layered re-accumulation potential. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch & Correlations 💵 TVC:DXY — Inverse correlation; stronger dollar → gold pullback risk. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD — Occasionally follows gold sentiment under risk-off conditions. 💹 TVC:SILVER (XAGUSD) — Often moves in tandem; can confirm metal-sector strength. 💱 FX:USDJPY — Watch for safe-haven flows; yen strength = gold demand uptick. ⚙️ Market Sentiment (London Session Focus) 📈 Bullish tone continuing through European hours. 🔍 Institutions layering bids near 4000–4050 liquidity pocket. ⏱ Short-term pullbacks expected before breakout continuation. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” 📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy — just for fun & educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade responsibly — steal profits, not peace. 🕶️ #XAUUSD #Gold #ThiefTrader #SwingTrade #LayerEntry #Forex #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStrategy #GoldTrading #XAU #PriceAction #SmartMoney #LondonSession #TradingViewIdeas
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
XAU/USD Short to Longs idea Yes — I still believe Gold remains bullish overall. The recent downside movement looks like a healthy correction before price continues its rally upward. I’m noticing price building liquidity, so I’ll wait for a breakout and a clean tap into one of my key POIs. Currently, price is sitting in a 30min demand zone near a 2hr supply, where I expect a possible short-term reaction. After that, I’ll be waiting for the next solid buying opportunity — ideally from the 3hr demand around 3,860, or from a new demand that may form closer to current price this week. Confluences for Buys: - Price broke major structure to the upside and is now retracing - Liquidity above (trendline + Asia highs) waiting to be taken - 3hr demand around 3,860 could fuel the next rally - Bullish candlestick momentum remains strong - Higher time frames still show clear bullish structure P.S.If price breaks below 3,850 with clear bearish structure, I’ll consider a short-term bearish phase. Until then, I’ll stay focused on long opportunities in line with the dominant trend. Have a great trading week!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
1
GOLG BULLISH BREAKOUT SETUP TARGETING 4030 AFTER STRUCTURAL SHIFEntry Point: Around 3,994 – 4,000 USD — where price retested the demand zone after BOS. Stop Loss: Below 3,978 USD, just under the last higher low to protect from fakeouts. Target Zone 1: Around 4,011 USD — short-term resistance and first liquidity area. Target Zone 2: Around 4,034 USD — strong supply zone and next liquidity pool (EQH zone). Smart Money Concept (SMC) Insights: Liquidity Sweep: The chart shows that equal lows (EQL) were swept before bullish structure formed — a common SMC pattern indicating accumulation. Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price may fill a small imbalance before continuing higher. Strong High Zone: Around 4,034, which could act as the final liquidity target before a potential pullback. Trade Idea: Setup: Bullish continuation after market structure shift. Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:3 R/R ratio. Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above 3,978 – 3,980 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Zickey_11
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (31/10/2025, US SESSION) 1️⃣ Market Overview Gold is consolidating near $4,009 ahead of the US Core PCE release — a key inflation figure likely to inject high volatility. After testing the Golden Zone (4,023–4,008) multiple times, bulls remain in control above 3,995, but momentum has slowed. Overall structure shows accumulation within a rising channel — suggesting a potential bullish continuation if price breaks above 4,026. ⸻ 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown 🟢 D1: Gold remains above the 100 EMA (3,860), showing long-term strength. Short-term retracement from 4,046 with RSI ~51 = neutral pressure. 🟡 H1: Consolidation range 3,995–4,026 forming; 50EMA at 4,008 acting as dynamic support. Price is compressing between EMAs and trendlines. 🔵 15M–5M: RSI climbing from 40→55; MACD showing early bullish histogram; price coiling under 4,014 — ready for expansion. ⸻ 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis Last swing: 3,985 → 4,046 • 38.2% ➤ 4,023 • 50.0% ➤ 4,016 • 61.8% ➤ 4,008 🎯 Golden Zone: 4,023 – 4,008 (currently active) ⸻ 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📈 BUY SCENARIO (Main Bias) ✅ Entry Zone: 4,023 – 4,008 (Golden Zone Re-entry) 🎯 Targets: 4,026 → 4,046 → 4,060 → 4,082 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3,995 ⚡ Confirmation: Bullish CHoCH or engulfing on 5M/15M timeframe. 💥 BREAKOUT BUY Trigger: Break & close above 4,026 Retest: 4,022–4,024 🎯 Targets: 4,046 → 4,060 → 4,082 → 4,100 🛑 SL: Below 4,010 ⸻ 📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend) ⚠️ Sell Zone: 4,026 – 4,046 (Strong liquidity / supply area) 🎯 Targets: 4,016 → 4,008 → 3,985 → 3,965 🛑 SL: Above 4,050 ⚡ Confirmation: RSI divergence or bearish engulfing on rejection. 🚨 BREAKOUT SELL Trigger: Clean break below 3,985 Retest: 3,995–3,990 🎯 Targets: 3,965 → 3,945 → 3,920 🛑 SL: Above 4,005 ⸻ 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch 📊 Key Event: US Core PCE (High Impact) • If inflation prints higher → USD strengthens → possible gold pullback. • If weaker → USD drops → gold rallies above 4,046. 💵 DXY near 106.20, limiting upside pressure for now. ⚠️ Month-end flows may cause whipsaws and liquidity grabs before direction confirms. ⸻ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels Resistance: 4,026 / 4,034 / 4,046 / 4,060 Support: 4,016 / 4,008 / 3,995 / 3,985 Golden Zone: 4,023 – 4,008 Break Buy Trigger: > 4,026 Break Sell Trigger: < 3,985 ⸻ 7️⃣ Analyst Summary Gold continues to respect the Golden Zone (4,023–4,008) while coiling within a narrowing range. If buyers defend 4,008–3,995, we can expect continuation toward 4,046–4,060. Only a confirmed break below 3,985 will flip the bias bearish. ⸻ 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary Primary Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 4,008 → Target 4,046–4,060 Secondary Bias: 🔴 Bearish below 3,985 → Target 3,965–3,945 Volatility: ⚡ High (due to US PCE + month-end rebalancing) ⸻ — ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀 ⸻
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
GOLD Very Near Perfect Place For See , 500 Pips Waiting !Here is My 30 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we again Below 4050.00 With 4H Candle and the price come back to retest it ! and we have a 4H Candle closure below it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can sell after the price go back to retest the broken area between 4050.00 : 4055.00 , and give us a good wicks as previous wicks ! and we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure above this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore . Reasons To Enter : 1- Perfect Touch For The Area . 2- Clear Bearish Price Action . 3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bearish P.A . 4- Over Bought . 5- Perfect 30 Mins Closure .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FX_Elite_Club
6
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchYesterday’s analysis is playing out as expected — after breaking above the 3987 resistance, gold tested the 4042 level, but failed to sustain momentum and pulled back for a retest of 3987, now acting as short-term support. We need to see a clear break of either level to confirm direction, otherwise price may continue to range within this zone before the next move. A break above 4,042 could open the way for a push toward 4095 and 4137, while a break below 3987 would likely trigger a move back toward the Deeper Support Zone (3,944–3,884). 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4042 4095 4137 4178 Support: 3987 3944 3884 3820
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD Intraday Plan|Fed Cut Fails to Lift GoldGold broke above the 3987 resistance yesterday but failed to reach the 4042 resistance level, reversing sharply after the FOMC announcement and dropping back below 3944. The move reflected post-event volatility as markets reacted to the Fed’s cautious tone. Price is currently trading around 3964, trending just above the MA50 but still below the MA200, suggesting early signs of stabilization while the broader short-term outlook remains uncertain. A confirmed break above 3987 could open the way toward 4042 and 4095, while failure to stay above 3944 may lead to another drop toward 3884–3820, where dip-buyers may look to step in. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 3987 4042 4095 4137 Support: 3944 3884 3820 3781 🔎 Fundamental Focus: The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25bps, bringing the Federal Funds Rate to 4.00%, but Chair Powell’s cautious tone during the press conference dampened market optimism. Markets reacted with volatility as traders weighed the potential for further easing later this year. Meanwhile, the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and lingering U.S.–China trade tensions continue to cloud sentiment, keeping gold supported on dips as uncertainty remains elevated.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating near $4,000, following a rebound from the $3,948–3,957 support zone. The price faces strong resistance between $4,008–4,016, where there is a possibility to retrace back to the trendline. A rejection from this zone could confirm a short-term pullback toward support, while a decisive breakout above $4,023 may open the door to $4,050 and beyond. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $4,008 – $4,016 (resistance retest) Stop Loss: $4,023 Take Profit: $3,957 / $3,948 Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 3.8 🌐 Macro Background Gold extended its recovery for the second consecutive day amid renewed safe-haven demand, but the upside remains capped by the Fed’s hawkish stance. As FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani noted: “Gold trades with a positive bias for the second straight day, though remains capped below $4,050 amid mixed fundamental cues.” 【FXStreet】 The U.S. government shutdown concerns continue to weigh on sentiment, softening the Dollar slightly and supporting gold’s defensive bid. However, Fed Chair Powell’s hawkish tone—stating that another December rate cut “is not a foregone conclusion”—keeps the USD underpinned and limits further gold gains. In addition, the de-escalation in U.S.–China trade tensions has improved risk appetite, reducing safe-haven flows. This mixed backdrop leaves gold oscillating within a tight range ahead of key FOMC member speeches and month-end flows. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,008 – $4,016 Support: $3,948 – $3,957 Psychological Level: $4,000 📌 Trade Summary Gold trades near $4,000, balancing safe-haven support and Fed-driven headwinds. The short-term bias favours selling near resistance ($4,008–4,016) targeting the $3,957 zone, with stops above $4,023. A sustained close above $4,023 would invalidate this bearish bias. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Soboring today [10.30.2025]Hi traders, I'm here, Anfibo. XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Trading Plan for Today: >>> SELL ZONE: ENTRY: 4135 - 4150 SL: 4165 TP: 4045 - 4010 - 4000 >>> BUY ZONE: ENTRY: around 3935 SL: 3915 TP: 4020 - 4080 - 4135 - ... Risk Management: - Prioritize Buy setups following the higher-timeframe trend; Sell only for intraday scalps. - Maintain a minimum Risk:Reward ratio of 1:2. - Avoid entries during major geopolitical or economic announcements. - Monitor the Head & Shoulders pattern closely — confirmation will guide the next major move. Conclusion: Gold has completed a healthy correction after its parabolic surge to $4,400, and the market is now regrouping around the $4,000 zone, with early signs of renewed bullish momentum. As long as $3,890 remains intact, the broader trend remains bullish, and I expect a potential rebound toward $4,200 in the near term. GOODLUCK, LOVE U GUYS!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
Gold: Trending downwards, 3980 is key.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD In the short term, gold is still digesting the hawkish impact of Powell's speech, and selling pressure remains heavy. From a technical perspective, yesterday's daily candlestick closed with a long upper shadow. The 4030 level has proven to be a strong resistance level for gold prices, while the daily MA5 moving average has continued to cross below the MA10 moving average, making 3980-3990 a key short-term resistance level. Only by breaking through this key resistance range can gold prices potentially test higher levels further. Otherwise, the market will remain in a weak and volatile state in the short term. On the support side, pay close attention to the double bottom support level formed on the hourly chart at 3920-3915. If this range is breached, gold prices may experience an accelerated decline, further testing 3880 or even 3850. Therefore, in the short term, European trading can try to short gold with a small position when the price rebounds to 3980-3990. The first target can be 3960-3950, and if the price falls sharply, the next target is 3920-3915.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Miracle-Walker_GC
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure TVC:GOLD Gold rebounded from the $3,931–3,937 support zone, regaining traction above $3,950. The chart shows potential upside toward the $3,981–3,988 resistance zone, though price is still within a short-term range. If buyers maintain momentum, a break above $3,988 could open the way to $4,000. Conversely, failure to hold above $3,931 may trigger renewed downside pressure. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $3,937 – $3,931 (support retest) Stop Loss: $3,929 Take Profit: $3,981 – $3,987 Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 5.67 🌐 Macro Background Gold attracted safe-haven bids after snapping a four-day losing streak. As FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani notes: “The US Dollar drifts lower amid shutdown concerns, lending some support to Gold.” 【FXStreet】 The USD weakened despite the Fed’s hawkish stance, pressured by economic uncertainty from the prolonged U.S. government shutdown. The Trump–Xi meeting offered a softer equity market tone, reflecting lingering geopolitical caution. The Fed cut rates by 25 bps as expected, but Chair Powell rejected expectations of another December cut, limiting Gold’s upside. Traders now await FOMC member speeches for clues on the future rate-cut path. This combination leaves Gold supported by safe-haven demand but capped by Fed’s hawkish tilt. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,981 – $3,988 Support: $3,931 – $3,937 Psychological Level: $4,000 📌 Trade Summary Gold holds firm above $3,950 with renewed safe-haven flows, but faces resistance near $3,985. A bullish setup favours buying dips into support ($3,931–3,937) with targets at $3,987. Caution is warranted as Fed commentary could inject volatility. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
1
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (30/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)🧠 XAUUSD (GOLD) – ASIA SESSION ANALYSIS (30/10/2025) Professional Institutional Breakdown ⸻ 1️⃣ Market Overview Gold ended the NY session bearish after failing to sustain above 4,010, closing near 3,944. The market remains technically weak after a corrective bounce from 3,916, showing exhaustion under key EMAs. The current Asian range sits between 3,916 – 3,955, and the bias leans bearish unless price reclaims 3,985. The broader daily structure continues its retracement phase after the parabolic September–October rally. ⸻ 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1) • Structure: Down correction within larger bullish channel. • Candle: Small-bodied candle forming near the 20EMA, signaling indecision before potential continuation lower. • Indicators: RSI at 47, below midline → bearish momentum intact. MACD histogram still negative. • Key Levels: Support 3,850–3,820 | Resistance 4,005–4,040 📉 Outlook: Daily sentiment remains corrective-bearish. Price needs daily close above 4,005 to shift back bullish. ⸻ 🔹 H1 • Structure: Lower highs and lower lows persist. • EMAs: 20/50/200 aligned bearishly; price capped under the 200EMA (~3,978). • RSI: 39 → mild recovery but still below 50 threshold. • MACD: Bearish histogram fading; potential short-term relief rally before another drop. • Zones: Overhead supply 3,955–3,965 + confluence with fib 61.8%. 📉 Outlook: Expect retracement into resistance followed by potential continuation lower. ⸻ 🔹 15M–5M • Minor bullish correction toward 3,950, but structure shows bearish compression. • Liquidity resting above 3,955, likely to be swept before new leg down. • MACD flattening; RSI approaching overbought (>60). 📊 Outlook: Watch for CHoCH or bearish engulfing in 3,955–3,965 zone to confirm re-entry short. ⸻ 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis Swing Reference: 3,993 → 3,916 • 38.2% = 3,946 • 50.0% = 3,955 • 61.8% = 3,964 🎯 Golden Sell Zone: 3,955 – 3,964 Confluence: H1 supply + descending EMA cluster. ⸻ 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📉 SELL Setup (Main Bias) • Entry Zone: 3,955 – 3,964 (Golden Zone) • Confirmation: 5M/15M bearish engulfing or CHoCH after liquidity sweep. • TPs: 3,940 → 3,930 → 3,916 → 3,898 → 3,886 • SL: Above 3,976 💡 Rationale: Rejection from fib zone aligns with H1 structure continuation; best risk-reward short setup. ⸻ 📉 SELL Continuation (Break & Retest) • Trigger: < 3,930 confirmed break & retest • Targets: 3,916 → 3,898 → 3,886 • SL: > 3,940 💡 Rationale: Trend continuation setup below local structure, confirming dominance of sellers. ⸻ 📈 Countertrend BUY (Scalp) • Zone: 3,916 – 3,924 (Asia demand) • Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or double-bottom on 5M. • Targets: 3,940 → 3,955 → 3,964 • SL: < 3,908 ⚠️ Rationale: Pure liquidity scalp against trend; quick exits recommended. ⸻ 💥 Breakout Opportunities • Buy Breakout: > 3,985 → Targets: 4,013 / 4,030 • Sell Breakout: < 3,916 → Targets: 3,898 / 3,886 / 3,860 ⸻ 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch • Asia session: Low-volume environment; volatility likely after Tokyo open. • DXY stable around 106.00 → maintains downside pressure on gold. • US GDP and unemployment claims upcoming — could impact NY sentiment. ⸻ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels Type Levels Resistance 3,955 / 3,964 / 3,985 / 4,013 Support 3,930 / 3,916 / 3,898 / 3,886 Golden Zone 3,955 – 3,964 Break Buy Trigger > 3,985 Break Sell Trigger < 3,916 ⸻ 7️⃣ Analyst Summary Gold remains bearish in structure while inside a short-term corrective bounce. The 3,955–3,964 zone offers the highest probability for re-entry shorts with confirmation. Below 3,930, sellers take control again targeting 3,898–3,886. Only above 3,985 would sentiment shift bullish toward 4,013–4,030. 📈 Institutional Bias: SELL rallies toward 3,955–3,964 📉 Invalidation: Sustained hourly close > 3,985 ⸻ 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary 📉 Overall Bias: Bearish 🎯 Primary Setup: Sell retracement 3,955–3,964 → Targets 3,916 / 3,886 ⚠️ Alternate Setup: Buy scalp 3,916–3,924 (low probability) 🕐 Session Focus: Asia retracement sell or breakout below 3,916 ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 29/10/2025 🥇 📊 High volatility, clean recoveries, and strong finishes. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ❌ SELL -40 PIPS 🔻 SELL +40 PIPS ⚪️ BUY LIMIT – Deleted 🔻 SELL LIMIT +40 PIPS ⚪️ BUY LIMIT – Deleted 🟢 BUY +40 PIPS 🔻 SELL +60 PIPS ❌ BUY -50 PIPS 🟢 BUY LIMIT +80 PIPS 🔻 SELL +210 PIPS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💰 GOLD TOTAL PIPS WON: +380 PIPS 📊 10 Signals → 6 Wins | 2 SL | 2 Deleted 🎯 Accuracy: 75% ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 Choppy day, but the team still closed strong — key levels respected with solid recoveries. 👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX