Double Top Confirmed! Is Gold About to Fall Deeper?As expected from my previous idea , Gold touched its target of $4,183 ( the double top pattern’s target(Small) ). Before reaching that target, it had some ups and downs over the past few days, mainly due to the ongoing US-China tensions .
Gold is trading near a Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) .
From a classical technical analysis perspective, it’s forming a clear double top pattern on the 1-hour timeframe . There’s also a regular bearish divergence (RD-) visible between the two peaks of the double top.
From an Elliott Wave theory standpoint, it looks like Gold has started its corrective wave. If the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) and the double top pattern’s neckline break , we can expect further downside .
I expect that after breaking the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) and the neckline , Gold could drop at least to around $4,083(First Target) .
Second Target: $4,057
Stop Loss(SL): $4,385(Worst)
Note: Keep in mind that given the ongoing US-China tensions, any news could invalidate this analysis. So it’s more important than ever to manage your risk carefully these days.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Xauusdsignal
XAUUSD: 800 Pips Secured, but Is the Correction Really Over?Yesterday, after revisiting the 4,000 support zone as expected and explained in my previous analysis, Gold bounced strongly and tested the area above 4,100.
That rally delivered around 800 pips profit on my long trade, and now the market is showing a mild pullback, consolidating around 4,085.
The key question now:
👉 Is the overall correction over, or is there still more to unfold?
From a technical perspective, as long as 4,000 remains intact, Gold retains its bullish potential toward the 4,200 resistance zone.
However, I prefer to stay patient at the moment — being flat at the time of writing — and will wait for a potential dip toward 4,050 or slightly below.
If the price shows a positive reaction in that area, I’ll consider re-entering long positions.
🎯 Upside targets:
• First: 4,150
• Second: 4,200
Keeping a positive risk-reward balance remains the main priority.
🚀 Let’s see if the market confirms the plan.
Gold – 24 Hours of Chaos: From 4400 to 4000The last 24 hours in Gold trading were absolutely insane. After retesting the 4400 zone all-time high last night, XAUUSD literally collapsed, dropping straight to the 4000 zone in just one day — a 10% move that’s unheard of for gold (at least I haven't seen).
1️⃣ Technical Picture
Once the price broke back below 4200, it confirmed a double top formation, and the selloff accelerated dramatically toward its measured target around 4000 — a level also supported by the ascending trendline that started in late August.
2️⃣ Current Context
At the time of writing, gold already rebounded nearly 1300 pips from the low, which means there’s no attractive level to enter long right now, even though the recovery might continue in the short term.
3️⃣ Key Levels to Watch
• Resistance: 4200 zone – now turned into a major resistance. If the price revisits this level, I’ll be looking for short setups, ideally on intraday spikes.
• Support: 4000 zone – if the price dips again before testing resistance, it could offer long opportunities from this confluence area.
4️⃣ Trading Plan
In short, we’re in a wide range between 4000 and 4200, both levels offering potential trades but in opposite directions. For now, I’ll stay patient and wait for price to get closer to one of these extremes before taking action.
⚠️ Final Note
Volatility is off the charts, so if you decide to trade XAUUSD these days, adjust your stop losses and targets accordingly. This is not the time for tight stops, is time for patience, and flexibility. 🚀
Is the XAU/USD Breakout the Next Major Trade Opportunity?💰 GOLD vs USD — “Thief Trader’s Golden Breakout Playbook” ⚡️
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar)
Market: Metals
Type: Day Trade Setup
Bias: 🟢 Bullish plan – pending order after breakout
🧭 TRADE BLUEPRINT
Entry Zone:
Wait for a clean breakout above 4160.00 before entering.
(Breakout confirmation > impulsive candle > retest optional)
Stop Loss:
“Thief SL” parked at 4040.00 — move only after breakout validation.
💡 SL isn’t mandatory — your money, your call!
Target:
Ride the move up to 4380.00, where strong resistance meets overbought traps.
🧨 Escape with profits before the crowd gets greedy!
💬 NOTE TO ALL “THIEF OG’s”
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen,
I’m not asking you to use only my SL or TP — they’re examples.
You’re the master of your risk. Make money. Take money. Stay legendary. 💸
🧩 CORRELATION CHECKLIST
Keep your eyes on these key pairs to confirm gold’s direction:
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): If the dollar drops, gold usually pops.
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Often follows gold’s mood — good double-check.
FX:USDJPY & OANDA:USDCHF : Safe-haven cousins. If they fall, gold shines brighter.
OANDA:XAUJPY : A stealth correlation — helps catch sentiment early.
🧠 Gold doesn’t move alone — it dances to USD rhythm and global risk tone.
⚙️ THIEF INSIGHT:
Gold’s sitting near a major pivot resistance (4160) — a breakout signals momentum ignition.
Risk/Reward is balanced: 4040 SL vs 4380 TP (~1:1.8).
Institutional footprints suggest buy interest post-breakout zone.
Stay sharp — watch volume spikes & candle closes above breakout line.
🏁 FINAL WORDS
Trading isn’t robbery — it’s legalized patience.
The real theft is done with discipline, not greed.
Grab your profits like a pro, not a desperado. 🕶️💼
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy — just for fun & education.
Not financial advice. Always DYOR & trade responsibly. 🧠💰
#XAUUSD #Gold #DayTrading #Breakout #ThiefTrader #Forex #MetalsMarket #GoldAnalysis #USD #DXY #TradingView #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #FunTrading #MarketPlaybook
Bullish Gold XAUUSD Setup: Breakout, Retest & Trade OpportunityGold is currently bullish and beginning to break market structure 📈. Price is moving toward previous highs, which may act as resistance. Ideally, I’m watching for price to push through these highs, then retest the level for a potential long opportunity ✅.
In the video, I break everything down clearly — including:
📊 Trend direction
🏛 Market structure
💹 Price action
📉 Volume profile analysis
🎯 How to plan the trade step-by-step
⚠️ This is not financial advice — educational purposes only.
Is the correction over? Bearish resistance levels are expected.Gold's decline intensified during Wednesday's US trading session, partly due to silver's earlier break below $50, which dampened overall sentiment for precious metals. Overall, this decline was primarily driven by profit-taking and a technical correction.
Gold has been fluctuating above the 4,000 mark for the past two days. After these two days of volatile decline, the 4,000 level is crucial for mid-term strategies.
Thursday's Asian session saw slight fluctuations. If the European session sees a rebound, prices could rise again to test 4,130, followed by yesterday's high of 4,161. Therefore, continued strength in the European session is a prerequisite for the US market. Focus on resistance at 4,130 during the Asian session, and watch for resistance at 4,160 after a breakout.
Trading strategy:
Short around 4130, stop loss at 4140, profit range 4060-4050.
If it breaks through, watch for resistance at 4160 and try to trade again.
Gold: Maintain Bullish Strategy, Target 4180–4220 ZoneYesterday, the market overall remained in a bottom-building phase. There were several intraday rebounds, but each time the price eventually returned near the lows. Compared to recent sessions, the volatility wasn’t extreme, though still relatively large when measured against previous market conditions.
At the moment, the price is approaching the MA20 resistance on the 2-hour chart, with both the structure and indicators leaning bullish. On the 30-minute chart, minor support lies near 4070, with secondary support around 4043, while strong resistance remains in the 4180–4200 and 4250 zones.
The trading strategy remains unchanged — continue to buy in batches near the lows and stay patient while waiting for the price to recover.
When Everyone Was Hyped, We Warned We called the bearish turn on gold right on time:
After we posted the analysis, gold printed one of its sharpest daily drops in years—momentum the market hadn’t seen in a long time. The core view stands: after brief, counter-trend bounces, the primary path remains down. Revisit the previous analysis; the expectation is continued downside after in-trend corrections.
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🚀 Who am I?
I'm Mahdi, a prop firm trader with 7+ years of experience in technical analysis, mainly focusing on Smart Money Concepts and Elliott Wave theory.
I specialize in delivering high-quality trading signals, market insights, and educational content tailored for serious traders and investors.
📊 My Tools: SMC, Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, Liquidity Grabs, Order Blocks
💼 Prop Challenge Passed: Yes | Funded Account: In Progress
🔗 Follow for consistent updates and trading insights.
GOLD ; How far down?Hello friends
Well, after the good rise we had, the price needed a correction, which happened with a double top pattern.
Now the main question is, how far will the fall go?
Well, in the short term, the price can fall to the specified limits, and if the support areas are broken, the fall will continue, and on the other hand, an important resistance has been created, which the price needs to break for the new ATH.
With this decline, it is unlikely that the price will suffer for a while and correct because it has grown a lot and everything will end one day...
Support levels can be good points for buying, of course with capital and risk management.
*Trade safely with us*
GOLD PLAN TODAY | BEARISH TREND AROUND 4093| XAUUSD OCT 23.2025 ☄️ Gold Market Outlook 10/ 23 (Based on SMC) ☄️
📊 Market Context
🔤Gold is currently trading around 4093, showing a temporary recovery after a deep selloff from the 4360–4370 region.
🔤The market structure clearly displays a dominant bearish order flow, with consistent Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside and multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVG) left unfilled above current price.
🔤While short-term retracements are possible, overall price remains within a premium zone for selling.
💡Trading plan
🔽Scenario 1: Continuation SELL from 4160–4180
🔤Reason: Retest of bearish FVG + previous BOS zone.
🔤Entry Condition: Price retraces into FVG and forms bearish CHoCH on M15–M30.
🔤Bias: Aligns with overall bearish order flow.
🔼Scenario 2: Short-term BUY from 4000–4020
🔤Reason: Price has swept liquidity below prior lows and created a bullish CHoCH near the discount zone.
🔤Entry Condition: Look for bullish BOS after CHoCH + small FVG confirmation.
🔤Bias: Counter-trend, best suited for intraday recovery plays.
🔽Scenario 3: Rejection SELL from 4200–4220
🔤Reason: Strong premium zone aligning with multiple FVGs and liquidity pools.
🔤Entry Condition: Sweep of previous highs (above 4180) followed by bearish CHoCH.
🔤Bias: Ideal swing setup if retracement extends deeper.
Gold: Focus on the 4000 markAfter gold prices recorded a sharp decline on Tuesday, they continued their correction on Wednesday. However, the downward momentum weakened significantly when approaching the 4,000 mark, with no effective break below this level.
The price tested this mark multiple times during the day but stabilized and rebounded each time, indicating that the 4,000 mark has initially formed short-term support. Based on this, today’s focus should be on whether the 4,000 mark can hold: if it remains intact, short-term price action is expected to be a wide-ranging oscillation at higher levels for a correction; if broken, it may open up further downside space.
On Wednesday, gold prices repeatedly tested the 4,010-4,000 range, and candlesticks with long lower wicks were formed each time. This candlestick pattern directly confirms the strong support nature of this range. Today trading should take this range as the core reference: on the premise that the 4,000 mark is not broken and the 4,010-4,000 support range remains intact, it is not advisable to blindly chase short positions at low levels, and short-term rebound risks should be guarded against.
💎Trading Strategy:
@Buy 4010 - 4015
SL 4000
TP 4030 - 4020 - 4070
@Sell 4120 - 4125
SL 4130
TP 4100 - 4080 - 4060
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (23/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) closed NY around 4,098–4,102 after a constructive rebound from the 4,004–4,024 liquidity shelf. Into Asia, price is coiling just under 4,110–4,113 (intraday high / weak high on 5–15M) with rising short-term MAs beneath (4,083–4,085 cluster), while higher-timeframe EMAs remain overhead on H1/H4. Expect Asia to decide between a continuation leg toward 4,140/4,148 or a controlled pullback into the intraday fib zones before any further move.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1)
• Strong two-day correction off 4,38x followed by attempt to print a rejection tail from 4,00x; macro uptrend still intact above 20/50-DMA.
• RSI cooled to the mid-50s; room either side.
• MACD histogram shrinking but still above baseline → corrective, not trend break.
Bias: Corrective rebound inside a broader bullish trend.
⸻
1H Chart (H1)
• Clear rebound structure: swing L 4,004 → H ~4,113 then consolidation.
• Price is testing a descending trendline and sits below H1 100/200 EMA band ~4,147–4,16x (yellow/white on your chart) → overhead supply remains.
• RSI ~50 with positive slope; MACD turning up from deep negative, confirming recovery but not yet a trend flip.
Intraday Bias: Mildly bullish while 4,083–4,085 holds; watch rejections near 4,113/4,140/4,148.
⸻
15M Chart (M15)
• BOS to the upside from the 4,024–4,030 base; pullbacks bought at 4,096–4,100.
• Current range: 4,096–4,113 with overhead liquidity beacons 4,130 → 4,140.
• MACD green, RSI ~60 → momentum positive but slowing under trendline.
Short-term View: Bullish bias to resistance; pullback likely if 4,113 fails.
⸻
5M Chart (M5)
• Micro down-sloping resistance from the 4,110 peak; price holding above MA cluster 4,083–4,085 and the 5M mid-band ~4,098.
• MACD recently crossed down on 5M (loss of pace), but not yet a structural break.
• A clean 5M close >4,112 typically runs stops to 4,130+.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
Last confirmed H1 impulse: Low 4,004 → High 4,113
• 38.2% = 4,071
• 50% = 4,058
• 61.8% = 4,046
✅ Golden Zone = 4,058 – 4,046 (prime buy zone)
Confluence: prior NY mid-range, lower channel support, and below the 5M/15M MA cluster (first catch at 4,083–4,071, core at 4,058–4,046).
⸻
🎯 High Probability Scenarios
Bullish Continuation Setup (Preferred if pullback forms)
✅ Buy 4,071–4,058 (scale to 4,046 if swept) on bullish rejection/engulfing.
🎯 Targets → 4,098 (fill) → 4,113 (weak high) → 4,130 → 4,140/4,148
🛑 SL: below 4,040–4,045 (outside 61.8%/structure)
Bullish Breakout Setup (Momentum)
✅ Buy on break & 5–15M retest above 4,113.
🎯 Targets → 4,130 → 4,140 → 4,148 (H1 supply/EMA band)
🛑 SL: back inside 4,103–4,105
⸻
Bearish Correction Setup (Fade resistance)
⚠️ Sell 4,140–4,148 if clear rejection (upper channel / H1 EMA band).
🎯 Targets → 4,113 → 4,098 → 4,083 → 4,071
🛑 SL: above 4,152/4,156
Bearish Breakdown (Continuation lower)
⚠️ Sell below 4,046 (clean break of 61.8% + retest).
🎯 Targets → 4,030 → 4,024 → 4,011 → 4,004
🛑 SL: back above 4,058
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – Asia Session
• No major Asia data on deck; flow-driven session likely.
• Watch DXY drift after NY close; soft DXY favors the pullback-then-buy path.
• Headline risk (Fed speakers later) could cap rallies near 4,14x–4,15x ahead of EU/US hours.
⸻
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 4,113 (breakout line) / 4,130 / 4,140–4,148 (H1 EMA/supply)
Support: 4,098–4,096 (intraday) / 4,085–4,083 (MA cluster) / 4,071 / 4,058–4,046 (Fib Golden Zone) / 4,024–4,011 / 4,004
⸻
✅ Summary
Asia opens with constructive bullish structure on the intraday, but capped by the H1 EMA/supply overhead. Best-quality long is buying the pullback into 4,071 → 4,058 (core 4,058–4,046 Golden Zone) with confirmation, aiming for 4,113 → 4,130 → 4,140/4,148. If price breaks and holds above 4,113, momentum longs are valid. A hard rejection at 4,140–4,148 or a break below 4,046 shifts bias to corrective sells back into 4,030 → 4,011/4,004.
Break Confirmation:
• Buy above 4,113 (retest)
• Sell below 4,046 (retest)
Golden Zone: 4,058 – 4,046 (with first support catch 4,071)
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 22/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS:
⚖️ BUY – BE
🟢 BUY +130 pips
🟢 BUY +70 pips
🔻 SELL +220 pips
🔻 SELL +40 pips
🟢 BUY LIMIT +60 pips
⚪️ SELL LIMIT – Deleted (No Entry)
❌ SELL LIMIT –60 pips (SL)
🔻 SELL +40 pips
---
💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +500 pips
📈 RESULT (Executed trades):
8 Active Trades → 6 Wins | 1 SL | 1 BE
🎯 WIN RATE (on active trades): 75%
---
🔥 Consistent upside momentum caught — clean intraday reversals & disciplined exits kept us in control 💎
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
The market is bearish, but I am firmly bullish.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
From the perspective of the 4H cycle, the gold price is still above the rising trend line, and we remain bullish on intraday trading. As time goes by, the lower defense gradually moves up to around 4030. Holding this position, the trend remains bullish. The current gold rebound is slightly weak, and there may be another decline in the short term. Continue to pay attention to the support of 4100-4090 below. If it falls back to the support again and is not broken, we can consider going long on gold with a light position. The first target is 4130-4140, with a stop loss. If the short-term support is lost, look for opportunities below again.
XAU/USD – Gold Completes Liquidity Sweep Phase🔍 Market Context
After a prolonged decline from the ATH GOLD 4,381 USD peak, gold has formed a Liquidity Sweep around the 4,010 USD area, where selling pressure was fully absorbed by strong buying forces from the demand zone below.
The price structure shows signs of a Change of Character (ChoCH) for the first time since the peak, along with the emergence of an Order Block (OB) 4,081 USD – the starting point for a new upward momentum.
This indicates a high probability that the market is entering a technical retracement phase , aiming to retest the upper FVG resistance zone, or even extend back to the ATH area if buying pressure continues.
💎 Key Technical Structure
Liquidity Sweep: 4,010 – 4,020 USD → liquidity sweep bottom area, increased volume, confirming sell order absorption.
Order Block (OB): 4,081 – 4,090 USD → recovery initiation zone; if price retests this area and holds firm → confirmation signal for the upward phase.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
• FVG1: 4,196 – 4,210 USD → first target for the recovery wave.
• FVG2: 4,234 – 4,250 USD → next target, confluence with medium-term resistance.
OB | ATH GOLD: 4,370 – 4,380 USD → major resistance zone, previous peak; if price breaks through → confirms a new upward trend.
Current market structure:
→ Short-term: bullish recovery (recovering from the bottom zone).
→ Medium-term: waiting for a break of 4,234 to shift to a complete bullish structure.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest Order Block 4,081 USD
Entry: 4,081 – 4,085
SL: 4,060
TP1: 4,196
TP2: 4,234
TP3: 4,370
✅ Condition:
Wait for the price to retest the OB 4,081 area, showing a confirmation signal for an increase (rejection / engulfing bullish) or a small BoS on M15.
➡️ This is a classic buy-the-dip setup after a Liquidity Sweep – high probability due to OB + ChoCH confluence + strong demand zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest FVG 4,196 USD
Entry: 4,196 – 4,200
SL: 4,180
TP: 4,234 → 4,370
✅ Condition:
Price breaks up the first FVG with good volume, then lightly retests without closing below 4,180.
➡️ Trend-following setup, riding the flow as price confirms a break of short-term resistance.
📉 Alternate Scenario – SELL Reaction at 4,234 USD (Short-term Scalp)
Entry: 4,234 – 4,240
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,196 → 4,100
✅ Condition:
If price reacts strongly and fails at the second FVG without follow-up volume increase → a short adjustment may occur.
➡️ Short-term sell, only execute if no continuation confirmation at FVG2.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritize BUY following the main recovery trend, only SELL with clear reaction.
Avoid FOMO buying in the middle range (4,130–4,180).
If price closes H1 below 4,060 → invalidates recovery trend, pause all buy orders.
💬 Conclusion
Gold has completed the Liquidity Sweep phase and is signaling a sustainable technical reversal .
Two key areas to watch:
4,081 USD (OB Zone): first bounce support area.
4,234 USD (FVG Zone): area confirming new upward structure.
If price holds OB and breaks through FVG, high chance gold will resume upward momentum towards the 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) area.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy 4,081 USD → TP 4,234 / 4,370 USD.
Sell reaction 4,234 USD only with clear reversal signal.
🔥 “Liquidity has been swept — now it’s time to ride the recovery wave.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 23/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (23/10/2025, US SESSION)Gold is consolidating near 4,110–4,115 after attempting a bullish recovery from yesterday’s dip. Current PA is compressing within a minor intraday wedge under key dynamic resistance (H1 200EMA). The US session is likely to determine whether gold continues its bullish correction toward 4,150–4,162 or loses momentum and re-tests liquidity zones below 4,098–4,083.
⸻
📈 Market Overview
• Recent bullish recovery but still trading below major H1 protections.
• Buyers attempting to hold above 4,110, forming higher lows since early London.
• Sellers are defending resistance around 4,126–4,132, aligned with descending structure.
• Momentum mildly bullish but weakening — breakout decision likely in US volatility.
⸻
🧠 Technical Breakdown
📅 Daily (D1)
• Still in macro bullish uptrend, recent rejection candle confirmed lower wick buying.
• Current candle showing attempt to recover after heavy retracement.
• RSI holding around 59 — neutral but leaning recovery.
• Failure to climb above 4,150 today risks another bearish D1 candle.
⏳ 1H (H1)
• CHoCH confirmed from previous bearish swing, but price is still under key EMAs.
• Trading just below H1 200EMA (approx. 4,150–4,153) — a critical supply zone.
• Multiple rejections around 4,125–4,132, signaling short-term resistance.
• RSI ~53, balanced but slightly bullish.
• MACD histogram showing steady green momentum but starting to flatten.
📍Conclusion: US session needs a breakout above 4,132 or a strong retest to confirm direction.
🕒 30M
• Price consolidating in a tightening wedge.
• 200EMA overhead at 4,150 acting as session ceiling.
• MACD still green but declining — buyers losing steam.
• A break below wedge support (~4,104–4,106) may trigger corrective wave.
📉 15M–5M
• M15: Sideways structure; BOS previously bullish but now stalling.
• M5: Shows liquidity sweeps & quick rejections near 4,126 zone.
• Buyers holding structure above 4,110, but momentum slowing.
📍Scalp buyers may wait for retracement or bullish engulfing confirmation.
⸻
📐 Fibonacci Golden Zone (Last Impulse: 4,088 → 4,137)
🔸 38.2% → 4,119
🔸 50% → 4,113
🔸 61.8% → 4,106
✅ Golden Buy Zone: 4,119–4,106
⚠ If 4,106 breaks decisively, deeper pullback to 4,098–4,083 liquidity pocket is likely.
⸻
🎯 High-Probability Trade Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation (Preferred if zone holds)
📍Buy Zone: 4,119–4,106 (Fib confluence + bullish PA confirmation)
🎯 TP1 4,126 | TP2 4,132 (local high) | TP3 4,148 | TP4 4,159 (H1 200EMA)
🛑 SL below 4,102
⚡ Aggressive Breakout Buy
📍Trigger: Break & close M15 above 4,132
🎯 TP1 4,148 | TP2 4,153 | TP3 4,162 | TP4 4,168
🛑 SL below 4,125
🔻 Bearish Reversal from Supply (Only if clear rejection at 4,132–4,148)
📍Entry: Bearish engulfing/confirmation at 4,132–4,148
🎯 TP1 4,119 | TP2 4,113 | TP3 4,106 | TP4 4,098–4,083
🛑 SL above 4,153
📉 Breakdown Sell (Stronger correction case)
📍Trigger: Clean break below 4,106
🎯 TP1 4,098 | TP2 4,087 | TP3 4,071–4,058
🛑 SL above 4,113
⸻
📅 Fundamental Watch – US Session
• US jobless claims & mid-tier USD data may fuel volatility.
• DXY strength could cap gold upside near 4,148.
• If US yields fall, gold may break 4,132 strongly.
⸻
📍 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,126–4,132 / 4,148–4,153 / 4,162
Support: 4,119 / 4,113 / 4,106 / 4,098 / 4,083
Trendlines:
🔻 Descending resistance capping at 4,132
🔺 Ascending intraday support at 4,110
⸻
🧾 Analyst Summary
Gold is coiling for a directional move during US session. Buyers still maintain short-term structure as long as price holds above 4,106–4,110. A bullish breakout above 4,132 may fuel an impulsive move into H1 supply at 4,148–4,159. However, repeated rejections could cause a deeper correction to 4,098–4,083 before any further bullish attempt.
⸻
📌 Final Bias Summary
✅ Bias: Mildly bullish above 4,106
⚠️ Rejection at 4,132 = short-term sell wave
📍 Buy dips > 4,106 | Strong buy only above 4,132
📍 Sell only on confirmed rejection or breakdown below 4,106
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team 🚀
⸻
Your Gold is about to melt !Hey Traders!
Gold is showing similar pattern to its last bull market which lasted 10 years and followed by a bear market which lasted 3 years, well guess what ! We've just finished the 10 years for the current bull market and I think its the time to roach out xD
It might pump a little more but its definitely going down soon, after all any bull market doesn't last forever and 10 years is a lot of full market especially when we see a similar pattern in the chart History.
Stay safe and let me know what do you guys think about this ?
Gold May Form a Bull Trap Before Another DropUnder the current strong bearish sentiment, gold has filled the gap around 4019 and touched the MA20 support on the 1D chart, followed by a strong rebound of over $150. After reaching the MA10 near 4160, the price pulled back again and is now trading below 4100.
On the 4H chart, the downtrend remains intact, with psychological support around the MA30 (near 3910). If bearish momentum continues during the U.S. session, a move toward this support level cannot be ruled out.
Personally, I expect gold to first test resistance around 4180–4200 or even 4250, forming a potential bull trap before another leg down. However, if supported by positive news and strong volume, the market could reverse and push prices back above 4300.
Moreover, if the price truly dips into the 3950–3910 range, I see it as a great opportunity for long positions — one I definitely won’t miss!
Of course, this is just my personal view. Ultimately, we should always follow the actual price action and trade cautiously, managing risk wisely.
Focus on the key support points of 4000 and 3950 to see rebound#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Wash the market back and forth during the day, do not blindly chase the rise and sell the fall, wait for key opportunities to enter the market. If gold continues to fall in the U.S. market, pay attention to the rise and fall of the key support level of 4000. If this position is held, gold will rebound and fluctuate. If the 4000 integer mark is lost, we will pay attention to the important support of 3950. If the decline is really too strong and gold falls here, I will definitely consider trying to go long on gold.
XAU/USD – Gold Tests Final Structure Before Deciding New Wave“If the 3,950 USD zone is breached, the long-term uptrend may end.”
🔍 Market Context
After reaching the historical peak ATH GOLD 4,391 USD , gold has sharply corrected and formed a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 frame.
Currently, the price is technically recovering to the Resistance – FVG – Fibonacci 4,216 USD zone, which was previously a distribution peak.
The sellers are regaining short-term advantage, while the Order Block zone (3,953–3,960 USD) — the starting point of the strongest growth on H4/Daily — is becoming the most critical defense line of the uptrend.
If this zone is decisively broken, the medium-term uptrend structure is likely to break and trigger a bearish expansion towards deeper liquidity zones like 3,689 USD.
💎 Technical Analysis
Resistance – FVG – Fib Zone: 4,216 – 4,228 → confluence resistance zone FVG + Fibo 0.618, suitable for sell reaction.
Liquidity Sweep Zone: 4,043 – 4,006 → intermediate liquidity sweep zone, temporary pause may occur.
Order Block | Structural Base: 3,953 – 3,960 → H4 momentum zone → ATH; if breached, long-term uptrend structure invalidated.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 3,689 – 3,685 → deep liquidity zone, potential target if OB is broken.
Overall Structure:
→ Short-term: bearish corrective phase.
→ Medium-term: bullish remains if 3,950 is not breached.
📉 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Reaction at 4,216 – 4,228 USD zone
Entry: 4,216 – 4,228
SL: 4,240
TP1: 4,043
TP2: 3,956
TP3: 3,689
✅ Condition:
Wait for clear reversal signal (strong rejection or bearish engulfing) on H1/M15 at FVG resistance zone.
➡️ Classic “Sell the Rally” setup – follow the flow after ChoCH, target key OB zone 3,953 USD.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reaction at Order Block 3,953 – 3,960 USD
Entry: 3,956 – 3,953
SL: 3,940
TP: 4,043 → 4,216
✅ Condition:
Price holds OB and strong reversal signal appears (bullish engulfing / increased volume / small BoS structure turns bullish again).
➡️ This is the decision zone for medium-term trend: if it bounces strongly, buyers will regain control; if breached, gold enters a new deep decline cycle.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritize SELL when price retraces to 4,216 – 4,228 zone with reversal signal.
BUY at 3,953 only with clear reaction; if broken, stop all buy orders.
When price closes H4 candle below 3,950 → confirm bearish break, extend target to 3,689 USD.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is testing the Order Block foundation of the long-term uptrend (3,953–3,960 USD) .
If this zone holds, the market may rebound to 4,216 – 4,280;
but if breached, gold is likely to open a deep decline phase to 3,689 USD – where a massive amount of liquidity is concentrated at the bottom.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Sell 4,216 – 4,228 USD if there is a clear reversal signal.
Buy 3,953 – 3,960 USD if there is a strong reaction;
If 3,950 is breached → confirm extended downtrend, prioritize SELL continuation.
🔥 “This Order Block built the last gold rally — if it breaks, the next leg down will be brutal.”
⏰ Time Frame: 1H – reference H4/Daily
📅 Update: 22/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
XAUUSD – Sharp 5% Drop as Traders Take Profit Ahead of US CPIMarket Context:
Gold (XAU/USD) slumped over 5.5% on Tuesday, marking its largest daily decline in months as traders took profits ahead of the upcoming US CPI data (October 24).
The US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounded 0.36% to 98.94, making gold more expensive for foreign buyers.
This correction also coincides with renewed optimism over potential easing of US–China trade tensions, after President Trump confirmed plans to meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping next week.
While this sharp move caught many traders off guard, it appears to be a healthy correction within a broader bullish structure, as investors remain cautious before major data and the upcoming Fed policy meeting next week.
Technical Outlook (M30):
After the heavy selloff from the 4,375 high, gold found near-term support around 4,003 – 4,010, forming a potential accumulation base.
The pair now trades near 4,150, showing early signs of recovery toward key confluence zones.
Key Technical Levels:
OBS Sell Zone: 4,338 – 4,340
CP Zone Down / OBS Sell Zone: 4,259 – 4,260
CP Zone Up / OBS Buy Zone: 4,092 – 4,094
Deep Buy Zone: 4,003 – 4,008
The current structure outlines a 5-wave projection, where price may complete Wave II near 4,092, then advance toward Wave III at 4,259, followed by a correction (Wave IV) and another push toward Wave V near 4,338.
Trading Plan:
🔹 BUY ZONE#1 (Short-Term Recovery)
Entry: 4,092 – 4,094
Stop Loss: 4,080
Take Profit: 4,145 → 4,259 → 4,338
🔹 BUY ZONE #2 (Liquidity Sweep Scenario)
Entry: 4,003 – 4,008
Stop Loss: 3,990
Take Profit: 4,090 → 4,259
🔹 SELL ZONE (Countertrend Reaction)
Entry: 4,259 – 4,260
Stop Loss: 4,272
Take Profit: 4,145 → 4,092
Summary:
The recent 5% correction is viewed as a profit-taking phase ahead of CPI data, not a structural breakdown.
Gold is expected to stabilise above 4,092, with buyers likely stepping in near the OBS Buy Zone.
Focus remains on 4,259 for a short-term reaction and 4,338 as the next potential liquidity target if momentum continues.
📊 What’s your view — is this just a healthy retracement before CPI, or the start of a deeper shift?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily institutional-grade setups and smart money structure updates.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (22/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 4,157, rebounding aggressively from the previous sell-off low near 4,004. Buyers have stepped in with conviction, reclaiming short-term structure and driving price back above key intraday levels. London opens with bullish momentum in play, but price is now approaching early resistance zones, where the next directional decision is likely to form.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1)
• Previous daily candle shows a strong lower wick recovery after heavy bearish liquidation.
• Price remains above both 20EMA and 50EMA, suggesting the broader bullish structure is still intact.
• RSI has cooled from overbought but now points upward, indicating renewed bullish pressure.
• MACD remains in positive territory, confirming long-term buyers are still active.
Bias: Bullish corrective rebound, awaiting confirmation for continuation.
⸻
1H Chart (H1)
• Clean bullish CHoCH formed after rejection from 4,004.
• Price is approaching dynamic resistance from 200 EMA (around 4,170).
• RSI at ~46–50, suggesting room for continuation before overbought conditions.
• If price breaks and holds above 4,170, next bullish leg may target 4,200–4,225 liquidity.
Intraday Bias: Bullish toward premium zones unless rejected at 4,170.
⸻
15M Chart (M15)
• Multiple higher lows after bounce confirm controlled bullish momentum.
• RSI around 60, reflecting moderate bullish strength.
• MACD expanding upward → intraday momentum supports continuation into resistance.
• Key minor resistance near 4,160–4,170 may trigger a pullback or consolidation.
Short-term View: In bullish leg, approaching decision zone.
⸻
5M Chart (M5)
• Structure is trending upward, with each dip being bought.
• MACD strongly bullish; histogram rising.
• Any pullback into 4,140–4,135 area may provide minor intraday buy reaction before a deeper decision.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
Recent impulse leg: Low 4,004 → High 4,160 (current swing)
🔹 38.2% Fib = 4,115
🔹 50% Fib = 4,082
🔹 61.8% Fib = 4,050
✅ Golden Zone = 4,115–4,050, aligning with previous breakout structure and short-term EMA confluence.
➡ If price retraces to this zone and holds, bullish continuation setups may activate.
⸻
🎯 High Probability Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation Setup (Preferred if pullback holds)
📍 Buy Zone: 4,115–4,082 (Golden Zone reaction)
✅ Trigger: Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick
🎯 Targets → 4,150 → 4,170 → 4,200 → 4,225
🛑 SL below 4,050
✅ Break & Retest Buy Setup (Aggressive Momentum Entry)
📍 Buy above 4,170 (Break of EMA confluence)
🎯 Targets → 4,200 → 4,225 → 4,254
🛑 SL below 4,150
⚠️ Bearish Correction Setup (If rejection occurs at premium zone)
📍 Sell if strong rejection at 4,170–4,200
🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,115 → 4,082
🛑 SL above 4,209
🔻 Sell Breakout (If bearish momentum resumes)
📍 Sell below 4,050 (Break & Retest)
🎯 Targets → 4,030 → 4,004 → 3,980
🛑 SL above 4,082
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – London Session
• No major European data early session; price action driven by technical flows.
• Focus remains on US data later (unemployment, Fed sentiment).
• DXY cooling slightly after yesterday’s strength, offering support to gold pullback recovery.
• US yields remain elevated — could cap upside unless risk-off intensifies.
⸻
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch
Type Level Description
Resistance 4,170 H1 200 EMA / decision point
Resistance 4,200–4,225 Liquidity target zone
Resistance 4,254 Previous key supply
Support 4,140 Minor intraday support
Support 4,115–4,082 Fibonacci Golden Zone
Support 4,050 Final retracement line
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold is staging a strong recovery rally and remains bullish in early London momentum. A controlled retracement into the Golden Zone (4,115–4,082) would provide an ideal continuation buy opportunity toward 4,170–4,200–4,225. A confirmed break above 4,170 validates continued upside. A strong rejection at 4,170–4,200 may trigger a corrective dip back into the Fib zone.
Session Bias: Bullish, with continuation favored on dips.
Break Confirmation:
• ✅ Buy above 4,170
• ⚠️ Sell below 4,050
Golden Zone: 4,115 – 4,082 – 4,050
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 21/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS:
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 pips
❌ BUY –40 pips (SL)
🟢 BUY +70 pips
🟢 BUY +100 pips
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY +270 pips
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💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +840 pips
📈 RESULT: 7 Signals → 6 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 ACCURACY: 86%
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🔥 Solid upward momentum and precision in reversals — swing continuation played out beautifully 📈💎
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀