Get started

Xauusdsignal

Elite | XAUUSD (30m) – Liquidity Play Within Trend StructureOANDA:XAUUSD Price continues to respect bullish structure while ranging between sell-side liquidity below and buy-side liquidity above. Currently trading near trend support, approaching an institutional buy zone (4,170-4,182) where strong displacement has reacted previously. If price sweeps sell-side liquidity and holds above 4,191, bias remains bullish into upper inefficiency. Scenarios 🔵 Bullish Continuation If price trades into 4,170-4,182 support and confirms structure alignment: 🎯 Target 1 → 4,227 🎯 Target 2 → 4,250 🎯 Target 3 → 4,262-4,267 liquidity fill zone 🔴 Bearish Invalidity Trend weakens only if price closes below 4,160, breaking institutional demand. Key Zones to Watch Support: 4,170-4,182 (Institutional Buy Zone) Resistance: 4,250-4,265 (Buy-Side Liquidity) ⚠️ Chart analysis only — not financial advice. Conduct your own risk management.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Elite-Forex-Trades
14
Selena | XAU/USD – Bullish Structure With Fresh Demand SupportPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD Price continues to hold within a rising channel, respecting previous demand points. Current market sits near 4,207–4,200 fresh demand, which previously produced aggressive upside. If price retests demand and holds, bullish continuation remains the dominant scenario. 🔹 Bullish Scenario – Primary Setup • Price pulls back into 4,207–4,200 demand zone • Confirms support → higher-low formation • Break of 4,235–4,240 opens clean upside channel 🎯 Upside Target 1 → 4,264–4,265 (liquidity grab point) 🎯 Upside Target 2 → 4,285–4,300 (full continuation objective) 🔸 Bearish Invalidation • Breakdown & close below 4,200 demand = sentiment weakens • Next support sits lower inside channel ⚠️ This chart is a technical outlook only – not financial advice.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
21
Selena | XAUUSD 30m –Fresh Demand Inside Channel Monday OutlookPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD The left-hand range zone provided accumulation before price broke out and built this bullish structure. Each major dip into the rising trendline has produced strong upside continuations. The latest move created a new swing high and then a controlled, corrective decline inside a descending channel. That correction is now testing the fresh demand area, suggesting a potential reaction higher while the broader channel structure remains intact. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 Bulls defend the 4188–4198 demand zone and hold above 4175. Price reclaims short-term structure and pushes back towards: 🎯 Target 1: 4237–4240 (previous high / mid-range resistance) 🎯 Target 2: 4264–4265 (recent spike high / buy-side liquidity) 🎯 Target 3: 4285–4295 (channel high and final target zone) ❌ Bearish Case 📉 A clean 30m close below 4175 would show demand failing. In that case, downside continuation could open the way towards: 🎯 Downside Target 1: 4145–4155 🎯 Downside Target 2: 4105–4110 (deeper liquidity and major support zone) Current Levels to Watch Fresh Demand / Support: 4188–4198 Intermediate Resistance: 4237–4240 Invalidation for bullish idea: sustained break and hold below 4175 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk before trading.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
18
XAU/USD: Hold Gold, Await Big Waves from PCE!Gold is moving sideways within a narrow range, supported by a weak USD and expectations of a dovish Fed. All attention is focused on the upcoming PCE Index – the data will determine the long-term momentum of XAU/USD! 📰 Fundamentals: Awaiting Major Signals Gold's Advantage: USD weakens due to predictions of early Fed rate cuts + Safe haven demand. Key Point: PCE data will be the "push" confirming the Fed's path. 📊 4H Technical: Trend-Following Buy Strategy Market structure remains BULLISH. We await a correction to enter at optimal price levels: Ideal BUY Zone (OTE/Support): Price: $4,133 - $4,161 Action: Wait for reversal signals here to BUY (Long). Upside Target: $4,334 up to $4,382 (Previous high). Safe Stop Loss: Below $4,046 (Below OB), a break here will invalidate the bullish structure. 🎯 In Summary: BE PATIENT! Look to BUY in the $4,133 - $4,161 zone after PCE release to optimize R:R. #XAUUSD #GOLD #Gold #PCE #FED #TradingView #MarketStructure #OTE #Forex
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Elite | XAU/USD – 30m | Bullish Compression Targetting ATH 4300$OANDA:XAUUSD Price continues to defend major support (4,150–4,175) with repeated upside structure shifts (BOS). Descending trendlines are compressing price, signaling breakout readiness. As long as price remains above the demand zone, bullish continuation remains favored. If price re-tests demand & holds → breakout scenario becomes high probability. A confirmed break above 4,228 unlocks liquidity toward 4,256 and the extended upper target. Key Scenarios 🔼 Bullish Breakout Plan Hold above 4,194 support → bullish bias active Break & retest 4,228 = entry trigger 🎯 Targets → 4,256 → 4,265+ 🔽 Failure Case Bearish only if price closes below 4,150 zone Below this → structure collapses + deeper correction likely ⚠ Disclaimer: Market analysis only — not financial advice.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Elite-Forex-Trades
4
XAU/USD Bullish Structure Activated – Premium Swing Setup Ahead🏆 XAU/USD GOLD BREAKOUT BLUEPRINT 📈 Swing Trade | Bullish Momentum Confirmed ═══════════════════════════════════════ 📊 TRADE SETUP AT A GLANCE 🟢 Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar) 📍 Strategy: Swing Trade | Moving Average Breakout ⚡ Bias: BULLISH | Momentum Confirmed 📊 Timeframe: ⏰ Setup Type: Technical Breakout + Price Action 🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY ✅ Entry Zone: Flexible Entry Levels Market Order or Limit Orders acceptable Align with current support/resistance structure Confirm breakout candle closure above moving averages 💡 Confirmation Signals: Price breakout above key moving average (MA) Volume confirmation Support hold above 🛑 RISK MANAGEMENT Stop Loss Level: 4,050.00 ⛔ Strategic placement below swing low Protects against false breakout IMPORTANT: Adjust SL based on YOUR personal risk tolerance & strategy Risk/Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2 recommended ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is MY suggested level only. You have complete discretion to set your own stop loss based on your trading plan, account size, and risk management rules. 🎖️ PROFIT TARGETS Primary Target: 4,260.00 🚀 Strong resistance zone identified Overbought levels approaching Key technical barrier zone 📌 Target Rationale: Resistance confluence Previous rejection zone Risk:Reward alignment ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is MY suggested target only. You retain full control over your take-profit levels. Exit at YOUR predetermined levels based on your strategy, profit goals, and market conditions. 💼 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (CORRELATION ANALYSIS) 📍 USD INDEX (DXY) - Strong Inverse Correlation ⬇️ Why Watch: Gold is priced in USD. Weaker dollar = Stronger gold ↓ DXY pressure supports XAU/USD upside ↑ DXY strength threatens gold rally Key Level: Watch 104.50 - 105.00 zone 📍 EURUSD - Inverse Dollar Relationship ⬆️ Why Watch: Euro strength indicates dollar weakness, bullish for gold ↑ EURUSD strength = Tailwind for XAU/USD ↓ EURUSD weakness = Headwind for gold Key Level: Watch 1.1000 - 1.1100 support Correlation: 0.75+ inverse (very strong) 📍 GBPUSD - Inverse Dollar Relationship ⬆️ Why Watch: Similar to EUR; British Pound weakness/strength affects gold demand ↑ GBPUSD strength = Supportive for XAU/USD Key Level: Watch 1.2700 - 1.2800 zone Correlation: 0.70+ inverse relationship 📍 US 10Y YIELD (TNX) - Inverse Relationship ⬇️ Why Watch: Rising yields = Stronger dollar + Higher opportunity cost for holding non-yielding gold ↑ TNX pressure = Headwind for gold ↓ TNX decline = Tailwind for gold Key Level: Watch 4.20% - 4.50% threshold Impact: Direct fundamental driver 📍 S&P 500 (SPX) - Risk Sentiment Correlation ⬇️ Why Watch: Risk-off = Flight to safety (gold rallies); Risk-on = Equities rally (gold declines) ⬆️ SPX weakness = Typically bullish for gold (safe-haven demand) Key Level: Watch 6,800 - 6,850 support zone Correlation: -0.30 to -0.50 (inverse; moderate) 📍 OIL (WTI/BRENT) - Inflation Proxy ⬆️ Why Watch: Oil/inflation expectations influence real rates and gold demand ↑ Oil strength = Inflation concerns = Bullish for gold Key Level: Watch $75 - $80 zone Correlation: 0.40+ positive 🔑 KEY CORRELATION POINTS DXY (Dollar Index) moves in the OPPOSITE direction to gold with a -0.85 correlation (very strong inverse). This is the primary driver—when the dollar weakens, gold strengthens, and vice versa. EURUSD & GBPUSD both show strong inverse correlations at -0.75 and -0.70 respectively. Euro and Pound strength indicate dollar weakness, which supports gold upside as secondary support signals. TNX (10-Year Yield) maintains a -0.80 inverse correlation. Rising yields strengthen the dollar and increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, while declining yields support gold appreciation. This is a fundamental driver of gold price action. SPX (S&P 500) has a moderate -0.40 inverse correlation reflecting risk sentiment. When equities decline (risk-off), investors flee to safe-haven assets like gold. When stocks rally (risk-on), gold typically retreats as capital rotates to higher-yielding assets. Oil (WTI/Brent) shows a +0.40 positive correlation. Rising oil prices often signal inflation concerns, which supports gold demand as an inflation hedge and real asset store of value. 📋 PRE-TRADE CHECKLIST ✅ Moving average breakout confirmed? ✅ Volume supporting the move? ✅ DXY weakness OR USD decline confirmed? ✅ 10Y Yield below 4.50% zone? ✅ Risk/Reward ratio minimum 1:2? ✅ Your personal SL/TP levels SET? ✅ Position size calculated per YOUR risk? ✅ Economic calendar clear for next 24hrs? Happy Trading! 🚀📈 Risk What You Can Afford to Lose | Trade Smart | Manage Risk
FX:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
2
GOLD H1 (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis1️⃣ Market Structure gold chart shows a Symmetrical Triangle, which usually means price is preparing for a strong breakout. Since the previous move was bullish, the triangle is likely a bullish continuation pattern. 2️⃣ Important Levels (From Your Chart) Support Zone 4188 4186 4163 4162 (Major support) This is the base of the triangle and a strong demand zone. Resistance Zone 4237 4256 4257 If price breaks 4237, bullish breakout is confirmed. 3️⃣ Expected Move (High Probability Scenario) ✔ Bullish Scenario (Most Likely) If the price: Falls slightly to the lower triangle line Makes a fake breakout (small dip) Then moves back inside the triangle Breaks 4237 resistance ➡️ Price can rally toward: 4256 → 4280 → 4400 gold chart’s projection is correct — a strong upside move is possible. 4️⃣ Bearish Invalid Level If price closes below 4162 on H1, then bullish setup becomes invalid. Downside targets in that case: 4137 4100 5️⃣ Best Trading Plan ✅ BUY (Safe Entry) Entry: Above 4237 breakout SL: 4210 TP1: 4256 TP2: 4280 TP3: 4400 🔥 BUY (Aggressive Entry) Entry: Near 4162–4185 support zone SL: 4145 TP: 4237 → 4256 → 4280 6️⃣ Summary Triangle shows strong breakout potential. Bias is bullish as long as 4162 holds. Break of 4237 = confirmation for upward rally. Your projected arrows in the chart are accurate and logical.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by wiqi4u
Will gold stay sideways before the rate announcement?WILL GOLD CONTINUE TO SIDEWAY BEFORE INTEREST RATE ANNOUNCEMENT? WHAT DO YOU THINK 2 projected scenarios THIS WEEK. Scenario 1 – Gold moves sideways below 4,200 until close to FOMC If the price stubbornly stays below 4,200, unable to break through → when FOMC erupts, there's a high chance gold will break through 4,200. Target falls to: 4,000 – 4,050 → this is the beautiful zone to Buy swing The nearest zone 409x might have a reaction, pay attention (this zone is for today before fedfundrate) Scenario 2 – Early week gold strengthens back to 4,200 If early in the week gold recovers well, touching 4,200 → FOMC at this time will become a push to propel gold back up. Near target: 4,360, returning to test the previous peak. THE MOST IMPORTANT FACTOR: FED'S TONE. A 0.25% reduction is almost certain. But the story lies in what Powell will say. If Powell is HAWKISH like: “Only reducing this time, economy is strong, not considering QE yet…” → This is strong bad news for gold and the entire asset market. Gold drops, coins drop, stocks drop... If the FED softens a bit: Just a little dovish → gold will bounce extremely fast, no time to react. In summary for this week Gold is compressing very strongly around 4,200 FOMC will decide the direction Major volatility will definitely appear Just wait for the price to react before taking action — follow the strategy, follow the discipline. Trade well, everyone.
TVC:GOLD
by Chum_trades
Gold: Watch 4216 Resistance and 4180 SupportLast Friday, gold briefly surged to around 4260 following the data release, but soon encountered heavy selling pressure and pulled back toward the 4200 area. During the rebound, the price failed to hold above 4216, a key level that has repeatedly shifted between support and resistance, and it has now once again become a major resistance zone. On the 4H chart, short-term support lies near 4180. If interpreted as a potential double-top formation, the main support levels to watch are 4156 / 4138 / 4123 / 4110. If gold continues to be suppressed below 4216 today and breaks 4170, tomorrow may offer a low-level rebound opportunity. If the price rises back above 4216, attention should shift to whether 4228 and 4240–4245 can be reclaimed. Short-term trading can temporarily focus on the 4170–4216 range, while closely monitoring any breakout of key support or resistance zones. This Wednesday’s FOMC rate decision is the most important event of the week. If gold remains in a choppy pattern beforehand, the announcement is likely to trigger a strong directional move with significant volatility. If a one-sided rally occurs before the release—especially with supportive headlines—be cautious of potential profit-taking pressure once the “good news” is priced in. Overall, both opportunities and risks coexist this week. Manage your positions wisely and trade according to your risk tolerance.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Prices have plummeted. Waiting to short sell.After Friday's market reversal, next week appears to be a crucial period that will determine the direction of gold prices. Including the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia, the Bank of Canada, and the Swiss National Bank will also announce their interest rate decisions next week. The market widely expects all three central banks to maintain their current interest rates. Among them, the Federal Reserve will undoubtedly be the biggest variable guiding the direction of the gold market. After the price crash, gold is still expected to trade in a range. Currently, this price movement appears to be a consolidation phase following the end of an upward trend. While a trending market is unlikely, the price movements have still been quite significant. In the short term, attention should be paid to the formation of market structure. With the new downward channel emerging, gold is highly likely to confirm a temporary peak, and a significant pullback is expected in conjunction with weekly divergence. If the market opens higher at the beginning of next week, then we need to pay attention to the high point of 4220. This position is likely to play a pivotal role in the short term. While the daily chart is currently trading above the moving average system, with the shift in time and price levels, it may form some resistance next week. The key support level remains around the previous pullback low of 4160. A break below this level would open up further downside potential. However, from an overall trend perspective, the bears do not have a complete advantage, as the upward channel has not been completely broken. Quaid suggests selectively shorting at the beginning of the week and waiting. Trading Strategy: Short around 4215-4220, stop loss at 4230, profit target 4180-4160. I will adjust the strategy flexibly according to market fluctuations and update it in the channel.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_3
1205 XAUUSD 4-Hour Chart Trading Plan for EU/US SessionsHello traders, 1. Harmonic Pattern Identification (Left 4-hour Chart) This is a bullish Butterfly Pattern, confirmed by the following key ratios: - AB leg: Retraced ~0.78 of the XA leg (aligns with the typical 0.786 retracement for Butterfly patterns). - BC leg: Retraced ~0.845 of the AB leg (close to the standard 0.886 retracement for this pattern). - CD leg: Extended ~1.333 of the BC leg (falls within the 1.27–1.618 extension range required for a valid Butterfly setup). 2. Trading Plan (US/EU Session, Dec 5) Primary (Bullish) Strategy - Entry: Buy in the 4,200–4,210 zone (near EMA support/short-term consolidation). - Stop Loss: Below 4,180 (breaks recent rebound low + daily Doji support). - Targets: 1. First: 4,245 (daily resistance ). 2. Second: 4,265 (4-hour chart’s marked Butterfly TP2 resistance). 3. Risk Note Today is Friday + pre-Fed meeting (Dec 9–10) → volatility may rise. Use strict stop-losses (15–20 pips) and avoid over-leveraging. GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FUNTRADER-Vera
Gold - The bullrun top happens now!✂️Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is heading for a major reversal: 🔎Analysis summary: After the all time high breakout back in 2024, Gold has been rallying about +115% until today. During this entire move, Gold did not create any real correction. Considering that Gold is currently retesting a major resistance trendline, the bullrun top happens now. 📝Levels to watch: $4,000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
20
Gold Under Pressure, Watch the 4207 LevelIn recent days, gold has continued to fluctuate within the 4250–4160 range. Lifted briefly by the positive ADP report yesterday, the price broke above the 4228 resistance and spiked to 4240, only to retreat shortly after. During the subsequent swings, the 4216–4228 zone once again acted as a firm resistance, and as of today, the price has still failed to break above it. On one hand, U.S. Treasury selling has pushed yields higher, Liquidity in the gold market has decreased. On the other hand, easing tensions between Russia and Ukraine have reduced safe-haven demand. The combination of these factors has kept the bullish momentum suppressed. Meanwhile, the stability of downside support comes from rising expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. These conflicting forces have led to the current range-bound price action. From a technical perspective, the key level to watch remains the 4230 resistance. Should the price continue to face pressure here—without support from upcoming news or data—it may pull back to test the 4152–4133 zone. Trend support on the daily chart has now risen to around 4096. For short-term trading, keep an eye on the 4203–4207 resistance area, which serves as the immediate barrier before another attempt toward 4216–4228. As long as the price can hold above 4206, upward pressure is likely to ease, opening the door for a move toward 4250–4270. Strategically, the focus remains on buying dips, especially if the price pulls back below 4160, which offers a relatively favorable entry within a ranging market. If the price fails to break above 4216, short-term selling opportunities may appear, but traders should manage timing and risk carefully.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Elite | XAUUSD 15m – Bullish Continuation SetupOANDA:XAUUSD After sweeping liquidity beneath major support, the market broke downward structure and initiated a bullish correction phase. The breakout above internal range highs and the descending trendline confirms a bullish shift, supported by strong demand rejections. Price is now trading above reclaimed structure and targeting the upper liquidity zone toward $4,256 – $4,260. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 Hold above the re-test demand zone: 🎯 Target 1: $4,230 🎯 Target 2: $4,256 – $4,260 (final liquidity objective) ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Only active if price breaks and closes below $4,210 🎯 Downside Target: $4,170 (previous accumulation level) Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: $4,230 / $4,260 Support 🟢: $4,218 / $4,170 / $4,150 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Elite-Forex-Trades
10
Selena | XAUUSD 30M – Trend Support + Liquidity Hunt ScenarioFOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD 4H candle chart thought Structure remains bullish as long as the trendline + holding zones hold. Smart-money liquidity sits above previous highs — a break may initiate continuation to extended targets. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias) If price holds above 4,200 and reclaims the entry block: 🎯 TP1 – 4,240–4,245 🎯 TP2 – 4,258–4,260 (Buy-Side Liquidity) 🎯 Final Target – 4,270+ 📉 Bearish Invalidations Break & close below: 4,176 Stronger confirmed reversal below: 4,125 Current Levels To Watch Resistance 🔴: 4,245 / 4,260 / 4,275 Support 🟢: 4,200 / 4,176 / 4,120 ⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only — not financial advice.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
9
Selena | XAUUSD 2H — Bullish Continuation SetupFOREXCOM:XAUUSD Market Overview Price has built liquidity through multiple sweeps and consolidations, suggesting a possible continuation phase. If price retests the demand zone and holds, buyers may step in to push toward upper structure resistance levels. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 If price holds above 4,157 zone → 🎯 Target 1: 4,300 → 🎯 Target 2: 4,375–4,400 (major resistance / channel top) ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Break and close below 4,052 invalidation zone → 🎯 Downside Target: 4,000–3,950 support range Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 4,300 | 4,375–4,400 Support 🟢: 4,157 | 4,122 (demand zone) Invalidation ⚠️: 4,052 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
4
XAUUSD: Inverse H&S Points Toward 4270 TargetHi! Gold has formed a clear Inverse Head & Shoulders structure, signaling a potential bullish reversal. The support zone around the head held strongly, forming the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder in sequence. Price has now broken above the neckline, confirming the pattern and showing renewed bullish momentum. If price retests the neckline successfully, it can provide a higher-probability long entry. A sustained hold above this level keeps the bullish structure intact, with the measured target projected near 4265–4270 USD. However, if price dips deeper, the right scenario remains a potential bullish retest, as long as the structure stays above the neckline zone. Only a drop back below the head invalidates the pattern. Overall, as long as buyers defend the neckline, the market maintains a bullish outlook toward the target zone. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
13
Market volatility has intensified. Short first, then go long.Gold prices fluctuated slightly, hitting a low of around 4175 before rebounding to a high of around 4230, forming a bottoming-out and recovery pattern. However, the key levels above and below have not been broken, which may be the short-term stage where the bulls and bears continue to accumulate strength to decide on a breakout. The daily chart indicates a stalemate between bulls and bears, and external factors may be needed to guide the market in the short term. Therefore, the US PCE data may make the expectation of a Fed rate cut a focus of market attention again, and the gold market may experience sharp fluctuations as a result. From a trading perspective, the consolidation pattern on the daily chart for gold has become increasingly apparent. The $4,190-$4,200 area has formed a recent area of intense trading and a short-term dividing line between bullish and bearish sentiment. Resistance is seen in the $4240-$4260 area; a decisive break above this level would signal the start of a new upward trend. Before the data release, pay close attention to the $4230-$4235 resistance level and the $4175-$4180 support level in the short term. You could try shorting around 4230, with a stop-loss above 4245. If the price retraces first, you could consider a long position in the 4190-4200 range. If the price strongly breaks through 4240 before the PCE data release, abandon the short position immediately; the price may accelerate towards 4260-4270. I will adjust my strategy flexibly based on market fluctuations and update the channel accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid_3
Gold Uptrend: Retest 4,211 to Surge to 4,236 → 4,254After the Asian session, gold continues to maintain a short-term upward structure as prices consistently create higher lows (HL) and remain trading above the rising trendline. The weakening USD due to expectations of a dovish Fed is also supporting the flow of funds back into precious metals. Currently, the market is entering a "compression" zone below resistance, signaling signs of accumulation before a new expansion phase. 📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Flow (H1) 1️⃣ Key Supports 4,211 – 4,212 → important retest zone + trendline confluence + previous HL low. 4,187 – 4,188 → deeper support, strong previous buying zone. When prices hold above 4,211 → short-term trend remains bullish. 2️⃣ Key Resistances / Liquidity Zones 4,236 → nearby supply zone, liquidity cluster. 4,254 – 4,255 → expansion target, large liquidity zone above. Prices are reacting at the descending trendline, but the upward momentum remains in control. 🧭 Trading Scenario according to MMF ▶️ Main Scenario – BUY with the trend Wait for price retest: 🔹 BUY zone: 4,211 – 4,213 🔹 SL: below 4,206 🔹 TP1: 4,236 🔹 TP2: 4,254 Logic: Price breaks the intraday down structure, creates higher HL, and is gradually approaching the descending trendline → high breakout potential. ▶️ Alternative Scenario – Deeper BUY If the market "flushes" to take liquidity: 🔹 BUY at 4,187 – 4,189 TP similar to the main scenario. 🎯 Daily Bias Summary Bias: Bullish when prices hold above 4,211. Priority: BUY at retest → SELL only for short-term scalping. Target: 4,236 → 4,254 is a liquidity zone that the market can easily be pulled up to sweep.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Is Gold Setting Up a Swing Rally?XAU/USD Accumulation Highlights🏆 XAU/USD "GOLD VS U.S DOLLAR" - Metals Market Opportunity Blueprint 📊 Swing Trade | Bullish Wyckoff Accumulation 💎 📍 MARKET SETUP Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar) Timeframe: Swing Trade (4H-Daily) Pattern: Bullish Wyckoff Accumulation Phase ✅ Market Structure: Accumulation Zone Identified 🎯 🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY - LAYERING METHOD ("THIEF STRATEGY") Multiple Limit Order Entry Points: Using the Layering Strategy - Scale in with multiple limit orders at different levels for optimal position management. Layer 1 Entry: $3,960 (33% Position Size) - First Entry Point 🔵 Layer 2 Entry: $4,000 (33% Position Size) - Second Entry Point 🟢 Layer 3 Entry: $4,040 (34% Position Size) - Third Entry Point 🟡 📌 NOTE: You can increase/adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and capital allocation. Flexibility is key to the Thief Strategy. ⛔ STOP LOSS Recommended SL Level: $3,880 (Below Accumulation Base) Risk Per Trade: Adjust based on your personal risk management strategy ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is NOT a recommendation. Adjust your stop loss according to YOUR OWN STRATEGY and RISK TOLERANCE. Your capital, your rules. 🛡️ 🚀 PROFIT TARGET Primary Target: $4,360 (Strong Resistance + Overbought Zone) Key Resistance Levels: ⚡ Strong resistance confluence zone Overbought signal indicates profit-taking zone Be cautious of potential reversal traps near target 💰 DISCLAIMER: This is NOT a recommendation for exit points. Secure profits based on YOUR OWN RISK MANAGEMENT. Take gains when you're comfortable. 📈 📊 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (CORRELATION ANALYSIS) 🔴 INVERSE CORRELATION (Move Opposite to Gold) TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) 📉 When DXY strengthens → XAU/USD weakens When DXY weakens → XAU/USD strengthens KEY POINT: Monitor DXY weakness as bullish trigger for gold rally FX:EURUSD 💶 Strong negative correlation with gold Euro weakness = Gold strength (Flight to Safety) Watch for Euro breakdown below key support levels 🟡 POSITIVE CORRELATION (Move Together) OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver vs USD) 🔗 Typically moves 70-80% correlated with gold KEY POINT: Confirms broader precious metals strength If XAGUSD breaks resistance, XAU/USD usually follows FX:GBPUSD (British Pound vs USD) 🏴 Weak positive correlation with gold Weak GBP = Risk-off sentiment = Gold demand rises Watch for GBP weakness as confluence signal 🔵 MACRO DRIVERS TO WATCH US Treasury Yields (10Y, 2Y) 📊 Higher yields = Lower gold attractiveness Lower yields = Higher gold demand CRITICAL: Monitor Fed announcements & rate expectations SP:SPX (S&P 500) 📈 Risk-on sentiment weakens gold demand Risk-off sentiment strengthens gold Market crashes = Gold surges (Safe Haven) ⚡ CONFLUENCE SIGNALS FOR THIS SETUP ✅ Bullish Confluence When: DXY shows weakness/breakdown XAGUSD confirms precious metals strength Moving Averages align bullishly Wyckoff accumulation phase completing ⚠️ Invalidation Signals: Break below $3,880 SL (Accumulation base failure) Strong DXY rally Risk-on market rally (Equities surge) 💡 TRADER'S NOTES 🎯 Best Timing: Scale entries during DXY weakness or Fed pivot signals 📍 Sweet Spot: Layer entries $3,960-$4,040 range for optimal averaging 🛑 Risk Control: Never risk more than 2-3% per trade 💰 Profit Taking: Consider partial profits at each moving average resistance ⚖️ FULL DISCLAIMER 🔹 This analysis is for educational purposes only 🔹 Always conduct your own research & due diligence 🔹 Past performance ≠ Future results 🔹 Manage your risk responsibly 🔹 Your capital, your responsibility, your choice 🛡️ 📌#XAU/USD #Gold #Swing Trade #Wyckoff #TechnicalAnalysis #FX #Metals #Trading #DayTrader #Accumulation #LayeringStrategy
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
6