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Xauusdsignal

Gold Buy Long PostionA Gold (XAU/USD) Buy Long Position involves purchasing the XAU/USD pair with the expectation that the price of Gold (XAU) will rise relative to the US Dollar (USD) over time.1 This is a common strategy for position traders and swing traders.Gold Buy Long Position (XAU/USD) Short NoteCurrent XAU/USD Price ContextApproximate XAU/USD Price: The Gold price is highly dynamic, but recent market data shows it trading around the $4,150 - $4,250 per ounce range (as of the recent search results from October 2025). This price point is near historical highs, indicating a strong long-term bullish trend that is currently undergoing some short-term correction/consolidation.Strategy Summary for Long EntryFundamental Driver (Why Buy): Gold is typically bought as a safe-haven asset during times of economic or geopolitical uncertainty (e.g., wars, high inflation, recession fears).2 A sustained weakening of the US Dollar (USD) or a dovish outlook from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) (e.g., expected interest rate cuts) is also a strong bullish signal for XAU/USD.Technical Trigger (When to Buy):Support/Retracement: Look for the price to pull back to a key historical Support level or a major Fibonacci Retracement level (like 3$50\%$ or 4$61.8\%$) within an existing uptrend.5Confirmation: Enter the trade when a strong bullish candle (e.g., a Pin Bar or Bullish Engulfing) forms at that key support level, confirming buyer defense.Trend Following: Wait for a breakout above a recent minor resistance level (or consolidation range) to confirm the continuation of the main uptrend.6Risk Management:Stop-Loss (SL): Place the Stop-Loss below the confirmation support level or the most recent swing low to protect against an invalidation of the bullish structure.7Take-Profit (TP): Target the most recent swing high or use Fibonacci Extension levels to project higher targets.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Verifiedtrader07
Gold – 24 Hours of Chaos: From 4400 to 4000The last 24 hours in Gold trading were absolutely insane. After retesting the 4400 zone all-time high last night, XAUUSD literally collapsed, dropping straight to the 4000 zone in just one day — a 10% move that’s unheard of for gold (at least I haven't seen). 1️⃣ Technical Picture Once the price broke back below 4200, it confirmed a double top formation, and the selloff accelerated dramatically toward its measured target around 4000 — a level also supported by the ascending trendline that started in late August. 2️⃣ Current Context At the time of writing, gold already rebounded nearly 1300 pips from the low, which means there’s no attractive level to enter long right now, even though the recovery might continue in the short term. 3️⃣ Key Levels to Watch • Resistance: 4200 zone – now turned into a major resistance. If the price revisits this level, I’ll be looking for short setups, ideally on intraday spikes. • Support: 4000 zone – if the price dips again before testing resistance, it could offer long opportunities from this confluence area. 4️⃣ Trading Plan In short, we’re in a wide range between 4000 and 4200, both levels offering potential trades but in opposite directions. For now, I’ll stay patient and wait for price to get closer to one of these extremes before taking action. ⚠️ Final Note Volatility is off the charts, so if you decide to trade XAUUSD these days, adjust your stop losses and targets accordingly. This is not the time for tight stops, is time for patience, and flexibility. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
16
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure Gold tumbled below $4,100, finding temporary support around $4,085–$4,093. The chart shows a descending trendline, keeping short-term momentum bearish. Immediate resistance lies at $4,142–$4,151, while the support zone is at $4,085–$4,093. A break above the trendline could trigger a rebound toward resistance, but failure may open the door to deeper losses. 📌 Trade Setup Entry: $4,093 Stop Loss: $4,080 (below support zone) Take Profit: $4,150 (resistance retest) Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ≈ 1 : 4.45 🌍 Macro Background Gold is pressured by easing US-China trade tensions as both sides prepare for potential tariff negotiations ahead of November 1. This weakens safe-haven flows. At the same time, the steep profit-taking after a nine-week rally adds to selling pressure. However, risks from the prolonged US government shutdown, concerns over global debt sustainability, and expectations of further Fed rate cuts (October and December) continue to support the medium-term bullish case for gold. Markets now await US CPI data on Friday (YoY expected at 3.1%), which will be a crucial trigger for USD and gold direction. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,142 / $4,151 Support: $4,093 / $4,085 Upside Target (breakout): $4,150–$4,160 Downside Target (failure): $4,070 / $4,050 📋 Trade Summary Gold faces strong downside momentum but holds above the $4,085 support zone. Short-term strategy favours a rebound trade on a breakout above the descending trendline, targeting $4,150. However, if support fails, the decline could accelerate toward $4,070–$4,050. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
A game for the brave. Please participate.Amidst the surging tides of the trend, every ship appears adept. But the true test isn't speed, but staying at sea. Survival is more important than success. Respect the market. Quaid hopes everyone can maintain a steady pace amidst volatility and reap their own wave of wealth. Gold prices retreated after reaching a high of 4381 on Monday. Early analysis indicated a potential "double top" pattern. Based on the previous daily fluctuations of around $100, initial expectations suggested a range-bound market fluctuation of 4381-4270. However, the actual trend far exceeded expectations. Prices plummeted from the 4381 high, triggering a sell-off, with the largest single-day drop reaching $300. This market action further demonstrates market uncertainty. Quaid advises everyone to maintain a cautious approach and strictly set stop-loss orders, whether long or short. A sharp decline is always preceded by a rebound. Prices declined in early Asian trading, not incrementally. Irrational declines will eventually reverse. Don't be intimidated by the market at this time. Don't trade with a normal mindset. Position management is paramount. A 10-point stop-loss is completely unbearable right now, so reduce your position size to about one-third of your normal size. When the market plummets or soars, you can open positions in batches to keep the total transaction loss within the controllable range of the account. For short-term trading, you can enter short positions around 4130. I'll update specific trading strategies on the channel, so stay tuned.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Market_Trader1
Gold Market Nearing a Bottom — Trade with CautionAfter yesterday’s sharp decline, the market is likely entering a gradual bottoming phase. As I mentioned on Saturday, there are still unfilled gaps at 4019–4024 and 3887–3898. If the bears remain dominant, the 4019 gap could be filled, though a move toward 3887 seems less likely unless major negative news triggers it. During any rebound, pay close attention to the 4200–4250 resistance area. If prices fail to stabilize there, the weekly chart pattern will weaken, increasing the risk of a drop toward the 3887 gap. Overall, trade with caution in the near term — the market is being influenced by multiple factors, leading to heightened volatility and risk. Being cautious never hurts. While making profits is important, protecting your account comes first — otherwise, gains mean little. If you prefer fewer, safer trades, focus on the key price zones mentioned above and observe the market more than you act. For those continuing with short-term or scalping strategies, be sure to control your target prices strictly, especially now as the broader trend direction is still being established. Of course, everyone has his or her own trading methods and theories. I will not comment too much here, but just share my own views. If you think it is useful, use it. If it is not useful, just watch the fun.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
1
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (22/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 4,125, attempting a minor recovery after a strong bearish breakdown during the US session. Price found near-term liquidity around 4,106–4,100, where a short-term bounce is unfolding. Despite this pullback attempt, the overall structure remains bearish unless key resistance levels are reclaimed. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook Daily Chart (D1) • Strong bearish candle formed after rejection from 4,381. • Price still above 20EMA and well above 50EMA, confirming a corrective move within a broader bullish trend. • RSI cooling from overbought; now around mid-level, room for either further correction or bounce. • MACD still positive but histogram weakening, suggesting potential retracement or pause. Bias: Corrective bearish inside macro bullish trend. ⸻ 1H Chart (H1) • Clear bearish shift with BOS confirmed below 4,254 and 4,229. • Rejection from 20EMA and 50EMA above (4,170–4,249) confirms intraday bearish bias. • RSI recovering from oversold (26→38) indicating a potential pullback leg. • If gold climbs into 4,160–4,198 zone and rejects, bearish continuation likely. Intraday Bias: Bearish until H1 closes above 4,200–4,210. ⸻ 15M Chart (M15) • Minor CHoCH formed after bounce at 4,106, with price entering a corrective channel. • RSI around 55 → short-term recovery phase. • MACD histogram green but still shallow → possible retracement only. • Price approaching first resistance around 4,140–4,150. Short-term View: Pullback phase inside bearish structure. ⸻ 5M Chart (M5) • Series of higher lows forming → bullish momentum attempt. • MACD positive with expanding green bars. • RSI above 55 suggests buyers in short control, but nearing resistance. ⸻ ✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone Recent impulse: High 4,254 → Low 4,106 🔹 38.2% Fib = 4,160 🔹 50% Fib = 4,180 🔹 61.8% Fib = 4,198 ✅ Golden Zone: 4,160 – 4,198 This zone aligns with intraday EMA resistance and H1 supply, making it a key sell area if rejection occurs. ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Scenarios ✅ Bearish Continuation Setup (Preferred) ⚠️ Sell in the 4,160–4,198 Golden Zone upon bearish rejection. 🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,120 → 4,106 → 4,080 🛑 SL above 4,210 ✅ Breakout Sell (Momentum Play) ⚠️ Sell below 4,106 (Break & Retest) 🎯 Targets → 4,080 → 4,060 → 4,040 🛑 SL above 4,120 ⸻ 🟢 Bullish Countertrend Setup (Lower Probability) ✅ Buy from 4,106–4,100 only if strong bullish engulfing + MACD flip appear. 🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,160 → 4,180 🛑 SL below 4,090 🟢 Bullish Breakout Setup (Structure Shift Only) ✅ Buy above 4,200 (Break & Retest) 🎯 Targets → 4,229 → 4,254 🛑 SL below 4,180 ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Outlook – Asia Session • No major Asian economic catalysts early session → market may retrace or range. • Traders likely positioning for NY session after heavy US selling. • USD Index holding firm; any DXY weakness could extend pullback. • Focus shifts to US jobless data and Fed sentiment later today. ⸻ ⚠ Key Levels to Watch Type Level Description Resistance 4,140 / 4,160 First intraday rejection zones Resistance 4,180 / 4,198 Fibonacci Golden Zone Support 4,120 Minor intraday support Support 4,106–4,100 Liquidity shelf Support 4,080 Deep corrective target ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold is undergoing a corrective bounce within a bearish intraday trend. The Golden Zone (4,160–4,198) is the critical area for potential continuation sells if rejection is confirmed. A failure to clear 4,200 keeps sellers in control. Buyers only gain momentum above 4,200, or at deep retests near 4,106 with bullish confirmation. 🟢 Reversal Buy only if 4,106 holds with strength. 🔻 Main Scenario: Sell rallies from 4,160–4,198 zone. 📉 Break Confirmation: Sell below 4,106. ✨ Golden Zone: 4,160 – 4,198. ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 21/10/2025 🥇 📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS: 🔻 SELL +210 pips 🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 pips ❌ BUY –40 pips (SL) 🟢 BUY +70 pips 🟢 BUY +100 pips 🔻 SELL +210 pips 🟢 BUY +270 pips --- 💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +840 pips 📈 RESULT: 7 Signals → 6 Wins | 1 SL 🎯 ACCURACY: 86% --- 🔥 Solid upward momentum and precision in reversals — swing continuation played out beautifully 📈💎 👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
Gold Plunges — Buying Opportunity EmergesThe strength of the bears eventually caused the price to fall below 4100. After touching 4080, the volatility decreased. I believe that at this point, everyone should know how to trade next. That's right, it is to go long, but pay attention to position control to avoid directly overweighting. It is safer to buy in batches, because the bottom cannot be formed all at once. The probability of this is relatively small. During the rebound, pay attention to the resistance in the area around 4180-4200/4250. If there is a strong and rapid rebound, the price will most likely have some retracement. Therefore, if you are doing short-term trading, you should pay attention to controlling the target. Mid-line trading may also be a roller coaster, but the overall direction should be correct. However, you should also pay attention to the risks. That's all for today.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Correct projection for GoldThe core conclusions of today's analysis on gold have all been verified by market trends, which can be summarized in three aspects: trend prediction, key level control, and trend logic: 1-Trend prediction verification: It was clearly stated this morning that "if it breaks below the key support level of 4280, it will enter a consolidation phase and may further drop to 4150". The current gold price is completely in line with this downward range, and the prediction is highly consistent with the actual trend. 2-Key level control: The previously emphasized resistance level at 4380 and support level at 4280 have both become the core boundaries of intraday price fluctuations. 3-We accurately captured "the restrictive effect of support and resistance levels on prices", and there were no deviations in the judgments on "short-term fluctuation rhythm and long-term trend direction", effectively providing clear range and direction references for trading operations.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
Analysis and trading position for gold Hello traders The structure of the one-hour time frame is bearish for now The algorithm for one-hour sellers has also been activated, but it has not yet pulled back to its equilibrium. In one hour, there are two pullback ranges, 4207 and 4232, which you can look for a trigger sell (this range has high validity until the defined TP is touched. If it gives the target first, this range will be merely a reaction). From these areas and TP, the one-hour sellers of this algorithm are defined at 4040, which is one with a daily support, the one-hour seller is liquidating here, which is also the daily support, so we can expect a good move from this support.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by kinshinreza
Gold Forms Double Top — Bears May Target 4150Gold ultimately formed a double top, and the decline followed a similar pattern to last Friday. Similarly, it failed to hold above 4352 amidst volatility, falling to around 4317 before rebounding. However, the rebound also failed to effectively convert resistance near 41 into support, leading to a rapid decline! The price has once again returned to support near the MA30 on the 4H chart. A rapid decline is often accompanied by a rebound, but if the rebound fails to break through resistance, it can only serve as a buffer during the downtrend. If the pattern arrangement and indicators also favor a bearish trend, the subsequent decline is likely to be even more drastic (absent breaking news). Now the price has rebounded to the resistance zone, and the strong resistance is still around 4300. If the rebound cannot gradually recover, then we must pay attention to the trend support. If it falls below, a similar trend as marked in the figure is likely to appear, and the short position may point to around 4150 or even lower.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Gold: Resistance at 4380 is significant📈Today, during the Asian session, the Gold continued its bullish trend, with the price once surging to 4375, but failed to hold steady afterward and pulled back. 📝From a technical perspective, the overall upward structure of London Gold on the daily chart remains intact, and the short-term technical pattern still shows a relatively strong momentum. However, there is certain resistance around the 4380 level, as the price failed to break through it in the previous two attempts,If the resistance at 4380 is broken, it will open the channel for further upward movement, we will focus on the resistance zone around 4400–4440; if this support 4280 fails to hold, gold prices may fall further to 4150 or even lower. 📝Looking at the 4-hour chart, the immediate focus above is on the short-term resistance zone of 4380-4383, while the support zone below is 4280-4290. If the bulls fail to achieve a sustained breakthrough, the market is likely to enter a consolidation phase later. In terms of operation, it is advisable to trade within this range. Refrain from excessive actions or chasing trades at mid-range levels; instead, wait patiently for key levels to enter positions. 💎Trading Strategy: Buy 4290 - 4300 TP 4320 - 4330 - 4340 SL 4280 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
Gold Double Top Forming – Correction Ahead?When an asset hits an All-Time High(ATH) , technical analysis can get a bit tricky because there’s no historical resistance above and the usual technical rules might have less impact. However, right now it seems like some technical principles are still visible on gold’s chart, at least on the 1-hour timeframe , and I’d like to share that with you. At the moment, Gold has broken below the lower line of its ascending channel, the Support zone($4,320 – $4,279) , and the neckline of a Double Top Pattern . This could indicate the start of a short-term correction. Given how strong gold’s momentum has been in recent weeks, this correction might not last too long since gold remains very attractive globally. From an Elliott Wave perspective , the formation of a double top pattern might signal the end of an impulsive wave and the beginning of a corrective phase . I expect that in the next few hours, Gold could at least drop to the Double Top Pattern’s target around $4,183 . If Gold breaks the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) , we could see a deeper correction . Second target:$4,143 Stop Loss(SL): $4,385(Worst) Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
16
Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup): Entry (Buy Zone): 4,180 – 4,2Technical Overview: Gold is currently in a retracement phase, testing a strong BUY ZONE between 4,180 – 4,200. This zone has previously acted as a major support area, where buyers stepped in. The chart shows a possible bullish reversal pattern forming near this zone, suggesting a potential rebound. 🟩 Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup): Entry (Buy Zone): 4,180 – 4,200 Target: 4,384 Stop-Loss: Below 4,160 Rationale: The buy zone aligns with previous price reactions, confirming strong demand. Wick rejections around 4,190 indicate buyer interest. Price action suggests a possible V-shaped recovery or higher-low formation before continuation upward. 🟥 Bearish Scenario (Alternative): If price closes below 4,160, the support zone will be invalidated. In that case, exp TFEX:KKP1! TFEX:DELTA1! TFEX:JPY1! TFEX:EURUSD1! TFEX:GD1! TFEX:GF1! TFEX:USDJPY1! TFEX:GF101! TFEX:SVF1! TFEX:GO1! ect further downside toward 4,120 – 4,100. ⚙️ Summary Table: Parameter Value Trend Bias (Short-Term) Neutral to Bullish Key Support (Buy Zone) 4,180 – 4,200 Target 4,384 Stop-Loss Below 4,160 Risk–Reward Ratio ≈ 1:3 📊 Conclusion: Gold (XAU/USD) is approaching a critical support zone. As long as the price holds above 4,160, a bullish rebound toward 4,384 remains likely. However, a confirmed break below this level could trigger a deeper correction. TFEX:KEX1! TFEX:ICT1!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Gold is trending, focusing on the 4300-4320 range.On Tuesday, the early Asian session began to confirm resistance at 4375-4372, before rebounding and finding resistance at 4355. From here, a sweeping decline began, with the final acceleration occurring at 4344. We had already entered a short position in the 4340-4337 area. The price then experienced a $100 decline, accelerating to the 4244 area. The price fell from 4375 to 4244, marking another significant decline, and the European session saw a sharp drop of nearly $100. Watch the following trends in the short term: The dual-line channel corresponds to 4260, then 4295-44300, and finally 4302. The price broke below the upper limit of the 1-hour chart at 4268. After confirming support at 4220 in the European session on Monday, the price began to rise. However, it has currently broken down. If the US market continues to experience resistance, there is room for further decline in the short term. The first resistance area is 4280-4285, and the second resistance area is around 4300-4320. If the price breaks above 4325, pause shorting and wait for resistance to enter. The price just rebounded to around 4278, but is now under pressure below 4280 and continuing to decline. In the short term, monitor the rebound's strength and wait for the next resistance level before considering shorting. The support level is around 4245, followed by 4225. I will post more real-time strategies in the channel, so stay tuned.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
1
GOLD: BUY $4235, TARGET $4450! (FED RATE CUT PLAY)📰 MACRO & NEWS: Low-Interest Rate Tailwinds Gold prices are strongly supported by fundamental factors: Fed Rate Cuts: The market is pricing in a 99% probability of a Fed rate cut next week. Low rates = An ideal environment for Gold. Safe-Haven Demand: Political uncertainty (extended US Government shutdown) and lingering trade tensions boost safe-haven appeal. Key Data: Delayed CPI data, expected on October 24th, will serve as a major market catalyst. Summary: The fundamental momentum for an upside move is dominant and ready for a breakout. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: The Perfect LONG Setup! The chart shows Gold is correcting towards a powerful Demand Zone, where the Uptrend Line converges with a critical structural low. 🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy We are looking to initiate a buy position as the price hits this demand zone: Position: LONG (BUY) - Following the primary bullish trend BUY ZONE (Entry): $4,237 $4,235 (Key Demand Zone) SL (Stop Loss): $4,227 (Protecting the bullish structure's low) TP (Take Profit Targets): TP1: $4,245 TP2: $4,255 TP3: $4,265 TP4: $4,275 Final TP: Open (Expecting a New ATH around $4,450+) REMINDER: This buy opportunity in the demand zone is strongly backed by macro factors (Fed & Instability). Always manage your risk! #GOLD #XAUUSD #Fed #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeSetup
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold ready for retest ath 4380Gold (XAU/USD) showing bullish reaction from the support trendline. The circled candle indicates buyer strength, suggesting a possible recovery toward 4279–4380 resistance levels. Support Trend Line: Shows long-term bullish structure — price respecting the ascending trendline. Support Zone (4181 – 4253): Key demand area where buyers are stepping in to defend the trend. 4279 Level: Immediate resistance; a breakout above could confirm short-term bullish momentum. 4313 Level: Next resistance target after 4279; possible area for partial profit-taking. 4380 Level (ATH Retest): Major resistance zone — potential final target if bullish move continues. Indicates buyer reaction at the trendline, signaling possible reversal toward 4279.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
21
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (21/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)📊 1. Market Overview Gold (XAUUSD) is currently correcting after a strong bullish daily run, forming a rejection from the Weak High around 4,381. Momentum has slowed, and the London session opens with price trading below intraday moving averages on lower timeframes, indicating short-term bearish pressure. However, the higher timeframe trend (Daily) remains bullish unless a deeper retracement occurs. ⸻ 🕰️ 2. Technical Breakdown 📅 Daily (D1) ✅ Strong bullish trend still intact. ❌ However, current candle shows rejection near the Weak High 4,381. 📍 RSI overbought (78+), signaling possible correction risk. 📉 Probability: Short-term correction inside bullish macro trend. ⸻ ⏰ H1 📍 Price failed to hold above 4,350 and formed a lower high after sweeping liquidity. 📉 Currently testing 50 EMA → temporary bearish control. 🟦 Discount zone below 4,330 is being tested. 📍 If 4,317 (Weak Low) breaks, deeper sell phase confirmed. 🟢 If reclaimed above 4,350–4,362, bullish continuation resumes. ✅ Fibonacci (H1 latest swing): From recent swing low (approx. 4,292) to swing high (approx. 4,375): 📌 Golden Zone (61.8–50%): 4,318–4,336 → currently in play. ⸻ 📉 15M–5M (Entry Timeframes) 🔻 Structure shows lower highs forming after a liquidity grab. 📉 MACD momentum fading after small bullish correction. 📍 Price is hovering around 200 EMA area → Decision point. 🔍 Needs break/retest confirmation to define direction. ⸻ 📐 3. Fibonacci Analysis (H1 Swing) Level Price Approx 38.2% 4,341 50% 4,336 ✅ 61.8% 4,318 ✅ 78.6% 4,304 📍Currently reacting inside 50–61.8 zone → potential bounce or continuation down. ⸻ 📍 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📉 SELL Scenario (Higher Probability if bearish confirmation) 🔻 Ideal Sell Zone: 4,341–4,350 (15M LH + EMA rejection + RSI midline failure) 🔻 Sell Confirmation Trigger: Break & retest below 4,330 🎯 Targets: • TP1: 4,318 (Golden Zone bottom) • TP2: 4,305 (78.6% level) • TP3: 4,292 (swing low) 🛑 Invalidation: Clean H1 candle close above 4,362. ⸻ 📈 BUY Scenario (Only if bullish confirmation) 🟢 Buy Zone: 4,318–4,330 (Golden Zone + trendline confluence) ✅ Trigger: Bullish engulfing or CHoCH on 5M–15M 🎯 Targets: • TP1: 4,341 (38.2 retracement) • TP2: 4,350 (intraday LH) • TP3: 4,362 (EMA reclaim / structure flip) 🛑 Invalidation: Break below 4,304 (78.6% level). ⸻ 📛 Breakout Play (If volatility spikes) 📍 Bullish breakout → Buy above 4,362 with retest → Target 4,381/4,400 📍 Bearish breakdown → Sell below 4,304 → Target 4,292 → 4,270 ⸻ 📆 5. Fundamental Watch (London Drivers) 🕘 No major UK releases early session. 🕛 Watch for USD sentiment ahead of NY session. ⚠️ Any Fed-related speech could trigger breakout from Golden Zone. ⸻ 📍 6. Key Technical Levels Type Price Strong High 4,381 LH Resistance 4,350–4,362 Golden Zone 4,318–4,336 Weak Low 4,317 Breakdown Key 4,304 Swing Low 4,292 ⸻ 🧠 7. Analyst Summary London opens with price inside the H1 Fibonacci retracement zone. Short-term bearish structure persists unless 4,350–4,362 is reclaimed. Momentum indicators show fading buying pressure, making a bearish retest from premium zones more likely before any bullish continuation. ⸻ 🎯 8. Final Bias Summary Scenario Probability Bias Action Sell from LH (4,341–4,350) ✅ High Bearish Preferred Buy from 4,318–4,330 Golden Zone Medium Bullish Only if strong CHoCH Breakout above 4,362 Medium Bullish Trend continuation Breakdown below 4,304 ✅ High Bearish Deep correction ⸻
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX