9/3: Chasing Highs Risks Traps, Selling Is SaferGood morning, everyone!
🔹 Key Support Levels:
30M chart: 3510 / 3498
1H chart: 3507 / 3480
1D chart: 3458
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
3540–3550 / 3558–3562
🔹 Trading Outlook:
Focus primarily on short positions; avoid chasing the rally.
Light long entries may be considered near support, but profits should be taken quickly.
Yesterday, gold tested the 3500 level for the second time. After a brief pullback, bulls regained strength, pushing prices up to around 3540. Over the past week, gold has surged by nearly $200, with only minor retracements and no meaningful corrections.
At current levels, there are essentially no trapped long positions. Instead, the market is dominated by shorts under pressure and profit-taking from longs.
While prices might extend further toward 3550, I personally will not engage in such high-risk long trades. My overall strategy remains decisively bearish, with downside targets at 3460–3430.
Xauusdsignal
GOLD: Where Will The Bulls Take Us Next?Why we should buy...
(H4)
Market structure is still bullish. Last strong BOS was through 3425, which confirms continuation.
Demand Zone to watch:3428–3435
In case we get a deeper pullback, another zone to keep an eye on is 3405–3415.
(H1)
Gold closed the week strong, creating a clean FVG at 3430–3438 which aligns with H4 demand.
As long as price holds above 3428, bulls remain in control.
(M15)
Intraday structure is bullish. Price is still creating higher highs and higher lows.
Liquidity is sitting just above 3455–3460 which you could use for your first target.
There is some internal liquidity also built up below 3435. This could be a perfect sweep area for a retest entry.
Invalidation: A clean H4 close below 3420 would invalidate my bias and open further decline back into 3405–3415 area.
GOLD Breakout Alert | Is $3,500 Next for XAUUSD?old has officially broken out of a key consolidation zone around 3375 – 3400, retesting the structure with strength. The bullish channel remains intact, showing higher highs and higher lows since the start of the year.
📈 Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: 3375 – 3400 (former resistance, now support)
Upside Potential: 3500+ if momentum continues
Invalidation: A daily close back below 3375
💡 Trading Idea:
As long as price holds above the red demand zone, bulls are in control. A healthy retest could set the stage for the next impulsive rally toward the channel top.
⚠️ Risk Note: Always manage risk carefully — markets can shift quickly.
👉 What’s your outlook on GOLD? Do you see this breakout running toward 3500+, or will bears drag it back inside the range? Share your thoughts below!
❤️ Don’t forget to like this post and drop your analysis in the comments — let’s learn together!
Gold Analysis – Fibonacci & Supply/Demand Zones🟡 Gold Analysis – Fibonacci & Supply/Demand Zones
On the 45m timeframe, Gold has entered a Supply zone after the recent rally, showing signs of weakening bullish momentum.
🔎 Possible Scenario:
Formation of a corrective structure around 3,482 – 3,508
Retracement levels to watch:
0.382 → 3,434
0.5 → 3,411
If broken, extension toward 0.618 → 3,388 is possible.
📉 The corrective move could extend to around -2.35% (≈ 82$).
📌 Key Demand zones remain critical for potential bullish reactions.
⚠️ Invalidated if Gold closes and holds above 3,508.
---
✍️ Personal analysis – for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
9/2: Selling Pressure at 3500, Stay ShortGood evening, everyone!
Yesterday, gold pulled back during the session but held above the 3368–3363 support zone. Today, the price tested the 3500 resistance level, triggering selling pressure and falling from around 3510 to 3470. For now, the 3468–3463 support zone remains intact. However, if prices revisit the 3500 level, another round of selling pressure is highly likely. Therefore, the preferred strategy remains to sell into strength at higher levels.
Key Technical Levels:
30M chart: Resistance at 3492, with additional pressure above 3500; support at 3480.
1H chart: Key support around 3460.
2H chart: Major support near 3428.
Trading Strategy:
Prioritize short positions near or above 3500.
Consider light long entries near support, with 1H/2H chart support zones as primary references.
This analysis reflects my personal view and is for reference only. If you need more precise trading signals, feel free to reach out.
Gold: False Breakout at 3500 – 3400 or 3600 Next?Gold Outlook: Historical Highs Above $3500 – Consolidation or Deeper Correction Ahead?
Gold has once again updated its all-time highs above the $3500 mark, confirming the strong bullish trend that has been dominating the market in recent months. However, immediately after this breakout attempt, we saw a corrective pullback triggered by a short-term strengthening of the U.S. dollar. This raises a key question for traders and investors: is this just a temporary pause before new highs, or the beginning of a deeper correction phase?
Macro & Fundamental Drivers
U.S. Dollar & Fed Expectations:
The probability of a September rate cut is now estimated at 90%, which remains one of the strongest supportive factors for gold. Nevertheless, temporary USD strength is weighing on the metal in the short term. Importantly, markets are increasingly focused on concerns regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve, with political pressure (particularly from Trump) casting uncertainty over the Fed’s policy path.
Geopolitical Risks:
Escalating geopolitical tensions are also adding fuel to safe-haven demand. Recent reports highlight intensified strikes by the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Russian territory, raising fears of further escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. This factor continues to support defensive assets like gold, even in the face of short-term dollar strength.
Upcoming U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI:
Today’s key macro event is the release of the ISM Manufacturing PMI. Consensus expects a modest rise to 49, which would still leave the index in the contraction zone.
If the data meets or exceeds expectations, the USD could receive temporary support, keeping gold under pressure.
If the data misses expectations and shows further weakness, it could accelerate dollar selling and act as a catalyst for gold to retest or break above historical highs.
Technical Picture
Gold’s sharp rejection above $3500 suggests that the market is not yet ready for a sustainable breakout. At the same time, the long-term bullish structure remains intact. The key levels to watch in the short term are:
Resistance: $3485, $3500, $3505
Support: $3467.6, $3441, $3423
A sustained move below $3490–3485 may open the way for a deeper correction into the 3440–3420 support zone. On the other hand, a successful defense of these levels could lead to another retest of $3500–3505, though at this stage the market does not yet show strong momentum for an immediate continuation higher.
Trading Scenarios
Bearish Case (short-term): Failure to hold above $3485 may trigger selling pressure toward 3467–3440, and possibly even 3423 in the near term.
Bullish Case (medium-term): Any dip toward the support zone could attract buyers, especially if fundamentals (weak ISM PMI / dovish Fed expectations / geopolitical tensions) align. A confirmed breakout above $3505 would signal continuation toward new record highs.
🔑 Bottom Line: Gold remains in a bullish long-term uptrend but faces short-term correction risks. Today’s ISM Manufacturing PMI release could be the decisive factor for immediate direction. Watch closely whether bulls can defend the 3485–3490 zone or whether bears push the price lower toward support levels before the next leg higher.
Gold Bulls or Bears — Who Wins the Next Move on XAU/USD?🏴☠️ XAU/USD “Gold Heist Layer Plan” 💰🔑 (Day/Scalping Trade)
Dear Money Bandits & Thief OG’s, 🎭💎
The vault is open, and today’s Gold vs U.S Dollar (XAU/USD) robbery plan is set!
🎯 Thief Plan: Bullish
We rob the market with layered entries — not one bullet, but multiple shots at the vault.
👉 Thief Strategy = Layering 🎯 (multiple buy/sell limits stacked like laser traps).
Entry (Layered Loot):
💰 3370.0
💰 3360.0
💰 3350.0
(Add more layers based on your pocket size — the deeper you stack, the fatter the loot)
Stop Loss (Thief Exit Door):
🛑 @3320.0 (Adjust your SL with your own thief instincts & bankroll).
Target (Escape Point 🚓):
Police barricade spotted at 3440.0 🛑🚨
Our team escapes before that with bags full at 3430.0 🎒💸
🔐 Thief Notes:
This isn’t one single smash & grab. We layer the vault with limit orders — building positions slowly, stealing piece by piece.
Day traders & scalpers: only ride with the bullish getaway car 🚗💨.
Manage your loot with trailing SL — don’t let the cops take it back.
📢 Stay sharp, thieves:
Markets change fast. Keep eyes on fundamentals, news traps & sentiment shifts 📰⚡.
💎 If you vibe with this Thief Robbery Plan, smash that ❤️ & 🚀 Boost button — join the Thief Gang and let’s steal profits together, one layer at a time. 🏆💸
Gold (XAU/USD) – 2 Sept 2025With spot gold anchored at $3493, today’s price action is unfolding within a well-defined technical framework. Institutional flows continue to dominate, and liquidity engineering in recent sessions has created precise execution zones. Below is the validated map of opportunity for the day, built upon a multi-timeframe confluence model.
🔹 Primary Buy Zone – $3472 to $3480
The most compelling area of interest sits between $3472 and $3480, an untouched 4H demand zone that aligns seamlessly with the Fibonacci golden pocket retracement of the prior bullish impulse. Liquidity was engineered below New York session lows, and this pocket now rests just above anchored VWAP support.
Stop Loss: $3466 (beneath order block invalidation)
Take Profits: 3493 / 3503 / 3513 / 3523 / Open trail
Zone Strength: 9/10 – Institutional Grade (Golden Zone)
This area represents today’s highest-probability setup. Should price hold above $3472, we anticipate continuation into $3520+ with strong order flow participation.
🔹 Secondary Buy Zone – $3450 to $3456
A deeper liquidity pocket exists around $3450–$3456, where Asia accumulation lows and equal-lows liquidity converge. This zone coincides with a 4H bullish order block and weekly anchored VWAP.
SL: $3442
TPs: same as above
Strength: 7/10 – Executable
This is a backup zone, valid only if the market aggressively hunts liquidity below the Golden Zone before resuming higher.
🔹 Primary Sell Zone – $3510 to $3518
On the upside, supply remains stacked at $3510–$3518, an unmitigated 4H supply block sitting above last week’s NY high. The zone also aligns with a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and an ATR exhaustion band.
SL: $3525
TPs: 3500 / 3490 / 3480 / 3470 / Open
Strength: 8/10 – Strong Zone
If bulls overextend, this pocket offers a high-probability short back into mid-range liquidity.
🔹 Secondary Sell Zone – $3530 to $3538
A broader liquidity cluster rests higher at $3530–$3538, defined by a daily supply zone, weekly VAH/POC, and liquidity pools above equal highs at $3535. With speculative positioning heavily net-long in COT data, this area may serve as a distribution zone.
SL: $3544
TPs: same as Primary Sell Zone
Strength: 7/10 – Executable
⚜️ Executive Summary
Today’s Golden Zone is the Primary Buy Zone ($3472–$3480). With multi-timeframe demand, engineered liquidity sweeps, VWAP confluence, and Fibonacci overlap, this zone stands out as an institutional-grade opportunity (9/10).
Execution should remain patient and disciplined: wait for price to tap the Golden Zone, confirm via BOS/CHoCH on lower timeframes, and then scale profits progressively at each 100-pip interval.
In short: $3472–$3480 defines today’s battleground. If defended, bulls control toward $3520+. If breached, deeper liquidity hunts await at $3450 and $3530.
Gold Reaches 3500: Buying Dips Remains the Best Strategy
Last week I mentioned that if Gold broke above 3380, the 3400 level would not be an obstacle and we could see acceleration towards 3450 and even 3500.
✅ On Friday, Gold reached my target at 3450.
✅ Last night, the market printed a new ATH above 3500.
________________________________________
Key Question:
After 6 straight days of almost vertical rise, is a correction finally coming?
________________________________________
Why a Correction Is Likely:
• Gold has risen more than 1,000 pips in just few days.
• Every intraday dip has been bought aggressively – a sign of exhaustion risk.
• Technically, support zones are now visible at 3470 and 3450.
________________________________________
Trading Plan:
Selling here is very risky against such a strong trend. Instead, the strategy is simple:
👉 Wait for the correction.
👉 Look to buy dips.
________________________________________
Conclusion:
My preferred approach remains buying dips, as the uptrend is still powerful. Gold could easily continue its rise above 3500 in the next few days. 🚀
XAU/USD Bullish Setup – Buy from POI Zone Towards 3545 TargetXAU/USD (15M Chart) Analysis
Trend Analysis:
Price is in a clear uptrend, supported by higher highs and higher lows above the EMA 70 & EMA 200. Both EMAs are pointing upward, confirming bullish momentum.
POI & FVG Zone:
A POI/FVG buying zone (highlighted in pink) is marked between 3481 – 3491, acting as a strong demand area for re-entry if price retraces.
Chart Pattern:
Price has broken out of a rising wedge formation and is retesting the breakout zone, showing potential continuation to the upside.
Support & Resistance:
Support: 3481 – 3491 zone (FVG & EMA confluence).
Resistance/Target: 3545.608 (major target point).
Entry & Risk Management:
Entry: Buy near 3491 or 3481 (within POI/FVG zone).
Stop Loss: Below 3480 (to protect against false break).
Target: 3545 (approx. +55 points).
Strategy Confirmation:
Trend-following: Bullish continuation above EMAs.
FVG/POI: Perfect re-entry buying zone.
Breakout strategy: Price broke wedge → retest → continuation expected.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Around 1:4, favorable trade setup.
✅ Summary:
XAU/USD remains bullish above EMAs. Ideal trade is to buy the dip at 3481–3491 zone with a target at 3545 and stop loss below 3480. Multiple strategies align for upside continuation.
9/1: Be Cautious Chasing Highs, Focus on SellingGood evening, everyone!
Driven by rate-cut expectations and geopolitical tensions, gold opened today with a slight pullback but held above key support, then rallied strongly to around 3490. If the 3368–3363 support remains intact during the U.S. session, a test of the 3500 level cannot be ruled out.
However, given the sharp rally and entry into historical highs, chasing the upside is not recommended. My trading bias continues to favor selling into strength.
During a correction, the 3452–3447 support zone will be crucial; holding above it keeps the bullish trend intact.
If broken, focus shifts to the 3437–3423 support area.
At the 3500 mark, strong resistance is highly likely. A pullback from this level is almost certain — the only uncertainty lies in the extent of the retracement. This presents a relatively high-probability shorting opportunity.
Trading Strategy:
Conservative traders → Focus on short positions at higher levels.
Aggressive traders → May attempt tactical longs, but above 3488, selling remains the preferred approach.
Given the heightened volatility, risk management is critical. If you need more specific guidance, feel free to leave me a message.
Gold Jumps 1%: Trade the Fed Drama & Rate Cut Buzz!Fundamental Analysis: What’s Driving Gold’s Rally? 🌟
Gold’s Big Win: Spot gold jumped 0.9% to $3,447.09/oz on August 29, with a stellar 4.8% gain for the month. Gold futures also rose 1.2% to $3,515.70/oz, signaling strong bullish momentum. 📈
USD Stays Steady but Weakens: The USD held stable but lost 2.2% in August, making gold more affordable for foreign buyers and boosting its appeal. 📉
PCE Data Supports Rate Cuts: US PCE inflation rose 0.2% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year in July 2025, aligning with forecasts. Strong consumer spending and tariff-driven price hikes signal persistent inflation, but analysts expect the Fed to cut rates—potentially twice this year—lifting commodities like gold. The market now sees an 89% chance of a 0.25% rate cut in September 2025, up from 85%, per CME FedWatch. 🏦
Fed Drama Intensifies: A federal judge is reviewing whether to block President Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook, who’s suing to protect her position, arguing Trump lacks valid grounds. This uncertainty around the Fed’s independence is a major tailwind for gold’s safe-haven status. 🇺🇸⚖️
Why Gold Shines: As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-interest-rate environments and during economic uncertainty—perfect conditions for its current rally!
Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Continues, But Watch Key Levels! 📉
Gold kicked off the Asian session with a bang, breaking through the 3353 resistance and creating a significant FVG (Fair Value Gap) due to its strong upward push. As long as gold stays above the 343x zone, the bulls remain in control. However, with prices nearing multi-month highs, a pullback could be looming. Here’s the game plan:
Key Resistance: 3500 - 3510 - 3520
Key Support: 3472 - 3453 - 3437 - 3423 - 3404
Scalping Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3499 - 3501
SL: 3504
TP: 3496 - 3491 - 3486
Buy Scalp: 3453 - 3451
SL: 3448
TP: 3456 - 3461 - 3466
Swing Trading Opportunities:
Sell Zone: 3510 - 3512
SL: 3516
TP: 3506 - 3500 - 3490 - 3480
Buy Zone: 3436 - 3434
SL: 3430
TP: 3440 - 3450 - 3460
XAUUSD Rejection Signals Potential Pullback Toward Key SupportsGold (XAUUSD) is facing rejection around the upper boundary of its volatility bands near $3,445, signaling potential exhaustion after the recent rally. Sellers are stepping in at key resistance levels, aligning with bearish confluences that support a pullback scenario.
✅ Bearish Confluences:
Fibonacci Resistance: Price stalled around the 38.2% retracement at $3,453, unable to extend higher.
Volatility Band Pressure: Strong rejection from the upper band highlights weakening momentum and overbought conditions.
Lower Timeframe Structure: Short-term resistance formed near $3,441, reinforcing supply pressure.
🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets:
TP1 – $3,421 (61.8%): Initial support test and first bearish target.
TP2 – $3,409 (100%): Full retracement aligning with key liquidity zone.
TP3 – $3,386: Deeper downside extension into lower volatility support.
SL: Above $3,446 to invalidate the bearish thesis in case of breakout continuation.
Gold (XAU/USD) 1st September 2025🔎 Market Context
Gold continues to trade within a high-liquidity environment, driven by ongoing flows between equity risk sentiment, real yields, and dollar positioning. With the $3500 psychological level acting as a liquidity magnet above, and demand clusters building in the $3440 region, today’s structure offers both sides of opportunity.
Our institutional framework layers multiple confluences across Daily → 4H → 1H, blending Smart Money Concepts (SMC), ICT, supply/demand, VWAP, and Fibonacci arrays. This ensures only the highest-probability zones are highlighted for execution.
🟢 Buy-Side Liquidity Zones
Primary Buy Zone – $3438 to $3446 (Golden Zone)
Why This Matters:
Daily demand + fresh 4H Order Block.
NY session low sweep + Asia accumulation base.
Fibonacci 61.8% retracement cluster.
Hidden RSI bullish divergence + anchored VWAP support.
Execution Plan:
Entry: $3440 – $3444
SL: $3432
TP1: $3476
TP2: $3490
Strength Score: 9/10 (A+ Institutional)
Secondary Buy Zone – $3410 to $3418
Why This Matters:
Deep daily demand retest.
Weekly VWAP lower band + 78.6% retracement.
Sweep of last week’s low + $3415 round magnet.
Execution Plan:
Entry: $3412 – $3416
SL: $3402
TP1: $3442
TP2: $3470
Strength Score: 6/10 (Medium Zone)
🔴 Sell-Side Liquidity Zones
Primary Sell Zone – $3488 to $3496
Why This Matters:
4H supply aligned with 1H bearish OB.
Daily swing high liquidity resting at $3492.
Volume Profile POC + $3490 magnet.
Overbought RSI with bearish divergence on 1H.
Execution Plan:
Entry: $3490 – $3494
SL: $3504
TP1: $3460
TP2: $3446
Strength Score: 8/10 (Strong Zone)
Secondary Sell Zone – $3518 to $3526
Why This Matters:
Higher-timeframe supply continuation.
Liquidity sweep of quarterly highs near $3520.
Options expiry gamma cluster in $3520s.
Execution Plan:
Entry: $3520 – $3524
SL: $3532
TP1: $3490
TP2: $3465
Strength Score: 5/10 (Medium Zone)
🏆 Golden Zone of the Day
👉 Primary Buy Zone ($3438 – $3446)
Best alignment across institutional confluences.
High conviction zone with clear liquidity sweep and macro alignment.
Execution favors long positioning with SL $3432 | TP1 $3476 | TP2 $3490.
📌 Final Bias
Longs favored on dips into $3440 Golden Zone.
Sells only valid if liquidity sweeps extend into $3490/$3520 zones.
Maintain disciplined risk with tight stops below liquidity pockets.
Gold Surges $70+ – Extreme Volatility, Traders Stay Sharp!Market Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) has just witnessed a shocking $70+ rally, sparking intense volatility across global markets.
Rising geopolitical tensions are driving safe-haven demand to the extreme, making gold the centre of attention worldwide.
In this highly tense and unpredictable environment, every entry decision could be a make-or-break moment for traders.
🔎 Macro Outlook
🌍 Geopolitical risks → Money continues to flow into gold as a safe haven.
💵 USD & bond yields are not strong enough to halt the momentum.
📊 Upcoming PCE data & Fed policy decisions could inject even more volatility.
📊 Technical Outlook (H4)
After the explosive rally, gold consolidated within CP Zone H4 before breaking out higher.
Key Support Zones
3,462 – 3,443 → Critical levels to sustain the bullish structure.
Key Resistance Zones
3,487 – 3,518 → Possible reaction area before correction.
A breakout could open the path to 3,536 and beyond.
📌 Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1 (Preferred)
✅ Price holds above 3,462 → Tests 3,511 – 3,518 and potentially breaks towards 3,536.
Scenario 2 (Deeper Pullback)
⚠️ If 3,462 fails → Price may retest 3,443 before regaining upward momentum.
🎯 Trading Plan (Reference Only)
✅ BUY ZONE 1
Entry: 3453 – 3451
SL: 3446
TP: 3460 – 3465 – 3470 – 3475 – 3480 – ???
✅ BUY ZONE 2
Entry: 3444 – 3442
SL: 3438
TP: 3450 – 3460 – 3470 – 3480 – ???
❌ SELL ZONE
Entry: 3512 – 3514
SL: 3518
TP: 3505 – 3500 – 3495 – 3490 – 3480 – 3470
💡 Final Thoughts
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, fuelled by geopolitical risk and macro flows.
Yet after such an aggressive move, a technical correction is highly likely.
Traders should carefully monitor price action around support/resistance zones for optimal entries.
❗ Most importantly: stick to risk management & Stop Loss discipline – in markets like this, survival comes before profit.