Xauusdsignal
XAUUSD - 4 hour AnalysisOANDA:XAUUSD has recently shown strong bullish momentum, breaking above short-term structure and printing a CHOCH (Change of Character), suggesting a potential shift toward bullish continuation. However, the impulsive move has left behind an imbalance (large wick + body) that often attracts price back for rebalancing before continuation.
📊 Trade Plan (2-Step Strategy)
Step 1 – Retracement Setup
Expect price to retrace toward 50% of the large bullish wick (around 3,350–3,345).
This aligns with classic ICT rebalancing logic, where large imbalance candles often retrace halfway before continuing.
Potential buy entry can be placed in this zone, with stop loss just below the wick low (~3,323).
Step 2 – Upside Continuation
After the retracement, price is expected to continue upward to retest the CHOCH zone (~3,404–3,408).
This level represents unmitigated supply and a natural liquidity target for institutions.
🎯 Targets
First Target (Retrace Fill): 50% of the wick (~3,345).
Final Target (CHOCH Retest): 3,404 – 3,408 zone.
Gold swept liquidity to the downside, printed a strong bullish candle, and confirmed a CHOCH. The most probable scenario is a short-term retracement to fill 50% of the imbalance before resuming upward to retest the CHOCH supply zone.
XAUUSD Forming Raising TriangleOn the daily chart, gold is consolidating within a rising triangle formation, supported by a trendline that has been respected multiple times since April. This structure demonstrates sustained demand and accumulation. The price action is now inching closer to the upper boundary around the $3,430–$3,450 region. If gold breaks and holds above this critical resistance, the path toward the $3,700–$4,000 zone opens, particularly if positive momentum returns.
Fundamentally, the setup is strongly bullish. The Federal Reserve is increasingly expected to begin cutting rates in September, which would reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold—only 13% chance of a cut has now flipped to an 87% probability. Gold demand remains structurally robust: central banks are aggressively accumulating reserves—1,000+ tonnes are forecasted for 2025, marking the fourth consecutive year of record purchases. Meanwhile, institutional players like Goldman Sachs and UBS are projecting gold to reach \$3,700 by year-end and potentially $4,000 by mid-2026.
Despite short-term price pullbacks due to dollar strength, gold's long-term narrative remains intact. Recent inflows into gold ETFs and recovery from trendline support positions gold well for the next leg higher.
8/25: Watch Support at 3358–3352, Resistance at 3386–3391Good morning, everyone!
Gold surged strongly last Friday on news headlines. But as I mentioned earlier, such sharp rallies are usually followed by pullbacks. While further upside is possible, without fresh catalysts, the higher it climbs, the greater the risk and scope of a correction. Thus, my bias remains bearish for now.
📌 Support: Watch 3358–3352 first, then 3343–3337. A direct drop to the secondary support is less likely, so if the first support holds, small long attempts may be considered.
📌 Resistance: Initial resistance at 3378–3386, with stronger barriers at 3391–3400. Near 3400, the probability of profitable short trades increases significantly.
Remember: consistent profits don’t come from a single lucky trade but from managing trade frequency, avoiding a gambler’s mindset, and adjusting both strategy and mindset when mistakes occur. Master these, and long-term steady gains become achievable. Stay focused, and learn to truly be in control of your trading.
Powell's Speech Sparks Turmoil: Gold likely to pull back MondayPowell's speech triggered a sharp rise in both BTC and gold 🚀. Amid such huge volatility, many traders are likely to have their accounts wiped out 💥. It may pull back to around 3350 on Monday ↘️, then oscillate in the 3330-3350 range 🔄.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 3380 - 3370
🚀 TP 3360 - 3350 - 3340
Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇
XAUUSD Long OpportunityXAUUSD is currently on a Bullish move after a massive push to the upside during the NY session on Friday. Price is trading above the 21,50 and 200 SMA and in the bullish region of the RSI.
Expecting further bullish movement as price broke above the $3351 pivot level and looking for price to run all the way to the resistance zone at $3400.
Price is currently on an impulse move thus will be awaiting a retracement down to $3351, seeing price reacts to the level and per market directionality, looking for a long position from $3351 to $3400.
Gold Shines Bright - Strong Buy Zone XAUUSD Buy Setup – Gold is maintaining strong bullish momentum after holding the 3375 support level. Market sentiment remains positive, with buyers stepping in and pushing price higher. As long as price sustains above 3375, the path of least resistance remains to the upside.
The next bullish targets are set at 3425 and 3450, where we expect potential profit-taking. A break and close above 3425 could accelerate momentum toward 3450. Traders should monitor intraday pullbacks for fresh buying opportunities, keeping stop-losses below the support zone to protect capital.
Gold is trading above its key SMA/EMA (20-200)Technical portrait today
General signal: opinions on the XAU/USD instrument are moderately bullish. On Investing.com — Strong Buy on most timeframes. According to medium-term and long-term moving averages: 11 “Buy” signals and only one “Sell”, also a significant advantage in the indicators in favor of “Strong Buy”.
Trend: gold is trading above its key SMA/EMA (20–200), which supports the bullish structure. RSI is in the ~70 area, MACD — Buy, ADX — Buy, which confirms the strength of the bullish momentum.
Support and resistance levels
Price boundaries for today:
Support: $3,310–3,270 — a critical zone; a breakout here may initiate a correction.
Resistance: $3,360–3,410 — a zone where a local pause or rebound is possible.
Stock Forecast
Today's forecast is a slight increase to ≈ $3,375, with further potential to $3,412 by the end of the week. Bullish sentiment remains.
Macro and analytics from banks
RBC Capital Markets remain optimistic: they believe that gold can reach $3,722 by Q4 2025 and $3,813 by the end of 2026 in the base case, remaining above $3,100-3,500.
Goldman Sachs also forecasts growth: to $3,700 by the end of 2025, and $4,000 by mid-2026, especially under the drive of ETF investments and central bank demand.
At the same time, HSBC warns of weakening momentum: a pullback is possible, especially if physical demand decreases and the positive sentiment regarding the Fed slows
GOLD - Long📊 XAUUSD – 4H Setup
Gold finally broke out of the descending trendline 📈 after days of bearish movement.
Price tapped into the 3325 demand zone and pushed higher, showing fresh bullish intent.
Right now a clean retest of support could open the door for continuation into key resistance.
📍 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3350 demand retest level
First target: 3400 short-term resistance
Extended target: 3439 supply zone
Invalidation: Close below 3310 ⚠️
💡 Risks
False breakout above trendline trapping longs
Weak follow-through volume could send price back into the range
Macro pressure from USD strength keeping gold capped under 3380
✨ Big Picture
Gold has been coiling for weeks. If buyers defend 3325, we could see this breakout develop into a bigger bullish leg 🚀
👇 What’s your take traders? Breakout or fakeout?
🟢 Education only 🟢
❤️ Like + Follow for consistent swing ideas.
Gold and Bitcoin Technical Analysis: Navigating Key Support ?The Gold chart shows a 30-minute timeframe analysis, highlighting recent price consolidation and potential future trends. The analysis suggests a potential V-shape recovery for gold.
Key Levels: The price is currently at a critical juncture, having tested a support zone around 3,326 - 3,333 USD. This zone has proven to be a strong base. Above it, a significant resistance zone is identified between 3,349 - 3,353 USD. Further up, another major resistance is at approximately 3,389 USD.
Price Action: The price has recently experienced a sharp decline and is now in a consolidation phase. The chart projects a potential bounce from the current levels, indicated by the black curved arrow, with the target being the upper resistance zone around 3,389 USD. The green shaded box illustrates the potential upward movement from the current position.
Conclusion: Gold appears to be at a key support level and could be poised for a rally if it successfully breaks above the immediate resistance zone.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4-Hour Chart Analysis
The Bitcoin chart shows a 4-hour timeframe analysis, focusing on a short-term uptrend channel.
Key Levels: The price is trading within an ascending channel. A significant support zone is identified between 112,000 - 114,000 USDT. A "weak supply zone" is marked around 118,000 USDT, which is currently acting as support. A major resistance is at approximately 124,564 USDT.
Price Action: After a strong push towards the channel's upper boundary, the price has pulled back and is now retesting the "weak supply zone." The blue and red arrows project two possible scenarios: a bounce back up towards the channel's high, or a deeper retracement towards the channel's lower trendline. The price movement appears to be following the blue projected path.
Indicators: The Ichimoku cloud and RSI strategy are used to confirm the trend and identify entry/exit points. The price is above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish trend.
Conclusion: Bitcoin is at a pivotal point within its uptrend channel. Its ability to hold the 118,000 USDT level will be crucial for a potential re-test of the 124,564 USDT resistance.
XAUUSD – The Calm Before the Storm (D1 Weekly Plan)🔥 Market Pulse
Last week closed with a powerful bullish D1 candle, fueled by FED’s policy hints & Trump’s latest remarks.
This wasn’t just news-driven – it was a liquidity shift, a signal that the next big directional play is loading.
⚔️ Key Battle Zones (MMFLOW View)
End Game Demand Zone (3273) → The last stronghold for buyers.
Power Reaction Zone (3316 – 3340) → First defense line where bulls are likely to step in hard.
Key Mid Zone (3357 – 3372) → The “gateway” level that decides if momentum will sustain.
Power Reaction Zone (3399) → Bears will strike back here.
End Game Supply Zone (3435) → The final battlefield – where the big game ends.
📈 Scenarios for the Week Ahead
Primary Plan (Bullish bias):
Gold may dip into 3316 – 3340 before resuming its upward leg.
Holding this zone opens the path to 3399 → 3435.
Alternative Plan (Risk case):
A break below 3316 could drag price back to 3273 before any bigger move.
🎯 Trading Approach
Buy on dips inside reaction zones.
Targets: 3399 – 3435.
Protective stop: Below 3273.
🚨 Final Takeaway:
Gold is entering a critical phase – this isn’t just another bounce, it could be the start of a medium-term breakout cycle.
Bulls have the upper hand, but both sides are preparing for the showdown. Stay ready for a volatility spike.
XAUUSD – US Session Weekly Close Update - FED NEWS📰 Macro Outlook
The Federal Reserve remains firm on its 2% inflation target while keeping unemployment low.
The US labor market is showing signs of weakness: job supply stagnates, demand falls → higher unemployment risk.
New tariffs could push inflation higher while also slowing down economic growth.
Fed gradually moves away from FAIT, focusing back on a strict 2% inflation goal.
Powell didn’t promise rate cuts, but hinted at possible policy easing in September if economic conditions align.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Buy Retest Zone: 3343 – 3345
Mid-term Resistance: 3377 – 3380
Target Buy Zone: 3396 – 3400
✅ Primary Scenario (Bullish Bias)
After a strong breakout from the downtrend, price is likely to retest 3343 – 3345 to build momentum.
Holding above this zone opens the path to 3377 and potentially 3396 – 3400.
🔻 Alternative Scenario
A clean break below 3340 with an H1 close could push price lower toward 3325 – 3320 before a possible recovery.
🎯 Trading Plan for the US Session
BUY on retest 3343 – 3345
SL: below 3338
TP: 3377 → 3396 → 3400
Short-term SELL only if strong rejection appears around 3396 – 3400.
⚡ As liquidity thins out toward the weekend, it’s safer to follow the bullish momentum, scale positions wisely, and avoid chasing price near key resistances.
Rate Cut Expectations Boost Gold — Caution on HighsFed Chair Powell noted that shifting economic risks strengthen the case for rate cuts, signaling potential support for a 25bp cut at the September meeting. In response, gold bulls surged, breaking through the 3358–3366 resistance and reaching around 3378.
⚠️ Caution: After sharp rallies, pullbacks are common. Avoid blind chasing — if you do, keep positions light and be ready to close quickly.
📌 My outlook: I’ve started entering sell positions, with key supports to watch at 3366–3358–3352 during pullbacks.
Importantly, this rally has shifted the 1D structure; holding above 3350 could open the door for a bullish move toward the 3400 level.
Gold Analysis – Slight Bearish Bias After Failing at 3350Yesterday I wrote that after the false break and the bullish daily engulfing, Gold could reverse to the upside and the correction that started from the 3400 zone might have been finished.
With this idea in mind, I went long, and the entry turned out to be a real sniper one as Gold started to rise strongly exactly after my entry, reaching once more the 3350 zone.
Here, however, price action turned “boiling” and, in the end, bulls couldn’t push through decisively.
After another attempt to conquer 3350 at the beginning of the Asian session, Gold failed again. During the night (my night), I decided to close my trade with +120 pips profit. It was not the outcome I expected, but still a positive one.
Looking back, this decision seems correct so far since price is now back around my entry level from yesterday.
________________________________________
Where Do We Go From Here?
So far, the week has no resolution. Neither bulls nor bears are in full control.
However, after the repeated failure to break 3350, my outlook leans slightly bearish at this moment.
• Plan: I will look to sell rallies during the day if I can find a good risk:reward setup.
• Target: 3280 is the bearish objective.
• Invalidation: If bulls finally manage to resolve the 3350 level, this outlook is negated.
________________________________________
Final Note:
Gold has become very unpredictable these days. What is true at the time of posting could change quickly during the session. That’s why I update my analyses during the day.
👉 If you want to be notified of these updates, don’t forget to like this idea.
💬 And if you have questions, feel free to use the comment section — I will try to respond to all.
🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Trade Set Up Aug 22 2025www.tradingview.com
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Trade Set Up: Price has created LH and is now testing recent HL and PDL , when we get a close under, i will be looking for sells to the next zone and swing low. But if price fails to close below HL at 9 i will wait for internal liquidity to be taken on the 15m-5m before looking for sells
XAU/USD Price Action Zones & Trade Setup (Aug 20, 2025)Analysis:
The market recently made a CHoCH (Change of Character), signaling a possible bearish structure.
First Selling Zone (3340 – 3350): Strong resistance area where sellers may push price down.
Second Selling Zone (3350 – 3360): A deeper liquidity grab area for confirmation shorts.
First Buying Area (3308 – 3320): Demand zone where buyers might step in for a short-term bounce.
Second Buying Area (3270 – 3280): Stronger demand, ideal for swing buy opportunities if price dips further.
Price is currently around 3323, hovering near equilibrium, likely to retest selling zones before dropping to buying areas.
📈 Trade Plan:
Sell Entries
🔹 First Short: Around 3340 – 3350 (First Selling Zone).
🔹 Second Short (confirmation): Around 3350 – 3360 (Second Selling Zone).
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 3320 (First Buying Area)
TP2: 3280 (Second Buying Area)
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 3365
Buy Entries
🔹 First Buy: Around 3310 – 3320 (First Buying Area) for a small bounce.
🔹 Second Buy (stronger): Around 3270 – 3280 (Second Buying Area).
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 3340 (back to resistance)
TP2: 3355 (liquidity above first selling zone)
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3260
XAUUSD Trade Idea 2025/08/20Gold has been ranging between 3287-3393 for a long time.
Price recently has shown a reaction at Fib 0.618 and creating a new HH, now it's time wait for a new HL to confirm a market structure shift in lower tf. There will be a potential Long setup if it retest the recent support area around 3330, and targeting the range high.