Gold - Just buy the all time high!🔱Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) will rally even higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
Gold remains totally bullish. And after the recent all time high breakout rally of about +15%, traders are willing to accept much higher prices. Following the significant long term rising channel formation, Gold will rally another +25% before we will see a retracement.
📝Levels to watch:
$4.000, $4.500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Xauusdsignal
Gold is unpredictable. Stay vigilant.Gold plummeted over $100 on Thursday, its largest single-day drop since May 12th of this year. This, in itself, will have a certain dampening effect on gold bulls. The decline is a technical correction. However, caution is advised: since gold has experienced a sharp drop, its short-term strength will not be as strong as at the beginning of the week. Therefore, there are two possible scenarios for gold's trend: a high-level oscillation within the bullish trend, or a volatile pullback before a rebound. For short-term trading, it is best to go long on dips and be bullish.
From a technical perspective, although the price has experienced multiple pullbacks, it is still trading above 3900. A trend change is possible only if it falls below 3900. The short-term Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour level are closing, and it may fluctuate at a high level for a while.
The current trend is consistent with my earlier prediction: a rebound followed a pullback to 3970. The price also briefly broke through 4020 before a brief pullback. If this rebound breaks through $4000 and remains above 4010, upward pressure will likely focus on around 4030.
Trading Strategy:
Buy in batches between 3960-3970, with a stop-loss at 3050. Profit range: 4010-4020.
Short around 4015, with a stop-loss at 4025. Profit range: 4000-3980-3970.
Gold Returns to 4000 — Watch the Next Key Level HereAfter yesterday’s pullback, part of the selling pressure accumulated during the recent rally has been released, allowing gold to regain stability above the 4000 level.
On the 2H chart, the immediate resistance lies around 4012. Although the price has temporarily broken through this level, it’s crucial to observe whether it can hold above 4012 after the pullback. If not, focus on the 4000–3990 support zone below.
Technically, the overall trend remains bullish, with resistance levels at 4024–4028/33, followed by the 4050 area.
For trading strategy, short-term traders can operate within the 3990–4028 range, buying near support and selling near resistance.
If the price climbs above 4040, look for short-selling opportunities. During pullbacks, monitor 4028-24/22 as key support levels for potential long entries.
Gold rebounded. Has it reached its peak?Gold has finally experienced its first pullback, falling from a high of 4058 to a low of around 3944, a drop of over 100 points. This marks the first significant pullback since the recent surge in gold prices. The main reason for the sharp pullback in gold prices is the strong dollar rally following the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas, which allowed investors to take profits. Gold prices continued to fall from their highs, ultimately breaking below the 4000 mark, forming a short-term double top.
Affected by the sharp drop, the price of gold has effectively fallen below the 5-day moving average support, and the short-term moving average support function has become ineffective. After Friday's opening, gold prices traded between the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, entering a transitional consolidation range within the short-term moving average. The 5-day moving average has now turned upward, and the 10-day moving average has crossed the 20-day moving average, indicating a flat trend.
The price has currently rebounded near the lower Bollinger Band, and will remain within the upper middle band in the short term.
Short-term support levels: 3970, 3950.
Short-term resistance levels: 4000, 4015, 4030.
Trading strategy:
Short around 4005, stop loss at 4015, profit range 3960-3940.
Long around 3940, stop loss at 3930, profit range 4000-4010.
Gold (XAU/USD) Resistance Rejection and Bearish Correction SetupChart Overview
Pair: Gold vs. USD (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1H
Current Price: ≈ $4,036.59
Trend: Uptrend channel, but approaching a key resistance zone
🔍 Key Levels
Resistance Zone: $4,066 – $4,123
Price has entered this zone, indicating potential bull exhaustion.
Support / Target Level: $3,833
Marked as the target point, aligning with previous structure support and 5.48% correction potential.
📈 Technical Structure
The price has been respecting an ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows.
Currently, the price is testing the upper boundary of this channel and resistance zone simultaneously.
The chart indicates a potential reversal (shown by the gray arrow) — a bearish correction after testing resistance.
🧭 Projection
Scenario 1 (Bearish Rejection):
If the price fails to break above $4,123, expect a retracement toward $3,833.
This aligns with a 5.48% pullback from the resistance area.
Scenario 2 (Bullish Breakout):
If price closes above $4,125 with strong momentum, next resistance could be near $4,200–$4,250.
⚙️ Conclusion
Primary Bias: Bearish correction from resistance
Short-term Strategy: Look for short setups near $4,070–$4,120 with targets around $3,830
Invalidation Level: Sustained close above $4,130 (channel breakout confirmation)
Prices fluctuated wildly. Downward pressure persists.On Thursday, the market experienced significant price fluctuations, correcting around 4041.5 before rapidly rising, reaching a high of 4058.2. However, the market reversed during the US trading session. Influenced by news of a ceasefire in the Middle East, prices plummeted below the 4000 mark, reaching a low of 3943.3 before consolidating and closing at 3976.9.
This converging pattern indicates that short-term downward pressure persists.
Short-term Trading Focus:
1. Focus on the 4000 mark. If the price rebounds near this level, consider shorting.
2. After breaking through 4000, consider a final short position at 4020.
Profit targets are 3980-3960. Further declines could target 3945-3920.
A long strategy can start with a small long position around 3945, with a profit range of 3980-4000.
Gold: high throw and bargain huntingGold showed a trend of "opening higher, moving lower, and then staging a weak rebound" on the day. It touched an intraday high of 3,994.22 per ounce and a low of 3,946.59 per ounce. After the opening, the gold price kept declining, and although it rebounded with support at the low level, it had not yet recovered the opening price. Currently, trading volume data indicates moderate market activity without obvious volume expansion signals, suggesting that the current oscillating trend may continue.
It is expected that the gold price will oscillate within the range of 3,940-4,000. If the US Dollar Index continues to surge and break through the resistance level of 99.5, the gold price may test the support at 3,940 again; if the US Dollar pulls back, the gold price is expected to surge above 3,995.
It is advisable to adopt a "high throw and bargain hunting" strategy within the range of 3,940-4,000, and strictly set stop-loss and take-profit levels with a suggested take-profit range of 8-12 and a stop-loss range controlled within 5-8, while avoiding blind chasing of rallies or selling on declines.
Buy 3950 - 3960
TP 3970 - 3980 - 3990
SL 3945 - 3942
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
XAUUSD – Breakdown After Ceasefire & Fed Comments📉 Market Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) dropped over 2%, sliding from $4,012/oz to $3,945/oz, marking a sharp $67 decline overnight.
The selloff came as two key catalysts hit the market:
🕊 Israel–Hamas ceasefire agreement cooled down geopolitical tensions.
💬 Fed’s Barr pushed back against October rate cuts, sending USD higher and pressuring gold.
Despite the drop, price action suggests a temporary corrective phase, with gold now stabilising near a short-term support zone.
📊 Technical Structure (MMFLOW View)
Gold has confirmed a Head & Shoulders (H&S) breakdown pattern, with a neckline retest around $4,014 – $4,033 acting as resistance.
After the breakdown, price rebounded slightly but continues to trade below the structure, showing that bears remain in control short-term.
The short-term support zone sits around $3,945, and if broken, could accelerate the decline towards $3,912 – $3,885, aligning with deeper liquidity areas.
🔑 Key Zones to Watch
Resistance (Breakdown Zone): 4,014 – 4,033
Support (Short-term): 3,945 – 3,912
Liquidity/Buy Zone: 3,885 – 3,878
💡 MMFLOW Trading Scenarios
🔵 BUY SCALP Zone: 3,912 – 3,910
🔴 Stop Loss: 3,905
✅ Take Profit: 3,916 – 3,920 – 3,925 – 3,930 – 3,940 – 3,950 – ???
Trading View:
The market is still digesting recent fundamentals; volatility remains high.
A short-term rebound from 3,910 is possible as liquidity builds up near this demand zone.
However, unless price reclaims 4,014, any bounce may only be corrective before further downside continuation.
🧭 MMFLOW Insight
Even though gold faces bearish momentum, macro risks still support a long-term bullish narrative:
U.S. government shutdown risks remain unresolved.
Fed may turn dovish later in Q4 if labour data weakens.
Liquidity gaps below $3,900 could attract smart money accumulation zones.
⚠️ Trading Notes
✅ Always set Stop Loss – NFP-style volatility can occur post-Fed comments.
✅ Avoid chasing after breakdown candles. Wait for pullback entries at key levels.
✅ Be patient — the best setups form when liquidity is fully absorbed.
📍 Summary
Gold continues to trade under pressure after geopolitical easing and hawkish Fed tones.
Watch for price action around $3,910 – $3,945; this range will likely define the next major impulse.
Stay alert — once liquidity clears, MMFlow will be watching for smart-money reentry signals from key OB/CP zones.
Rebound or Breakdown? Gold Faces the 4K DilemmaYesterday:
After a new test of the 4060 ATH zone, Gold dropped exactly as expected — and as I warned in my recent posts, the move was sharp and decisive, leaving no second chance for traders to reassess.
This leg down measured roughly 1200 pips, finding support around the 3940 zone.
The Key Question: Was That It?
In my opinion — no.
I believe we’re likely to see a second wave of selling soon.
What We See Now
Currently, Gold has formed a double bottom around the 3940 support
Given the still-present bullish sentiment, a short-term rebound toward the 4,000+ area is possible.
Trading Plan
If such a rebound occurs, I see it as an opportunity to sell at better prices, targeting the 3900 zone.
However, I’ll be closely watching the 3940 support, which has held twice already. This could also provide a soft 500+ pips target if I manage to sell above 4k.
P.S.:
There’s also the possibility that Gold fails to rise above 4,000.
In that case, I’ll simply sell from lower levels, following price action confirmation.
Gold fell sharply. Will there be a strong rebound?Affected by the situation in the Middle East, the market has experienced a deep price correction. This correction is primarily due to news headlines; coupled with gold's recent upward trajectory, reaching new highs, most traders are taking profits.
After hitting a low near 3945, the price has experienced a slight rebound.
The 1-hour chart shows that the MA5 and 10 moving averages show signs of crossing upward, while the MA20 and 30 moving averages turn downward, but the trend is relatively smooth; after the price pulls back and touches the lower track of the Bollinger band, although it rebounds slightly, it is still trading in the middle and lower tracks.
In the short term, pay attention to the 3990 resistance level. After breaking through, the price may rebound sharply and reach above the 4000 mark. Quaid recommends a light long position between 3940 and 3950, with a profit range of 3980 to 4000.
If the upward resistance level cannot be broken for a long time, the price will likely correct again, accumulating momentum and waiting for new catalysts to guide the market's new trend.
GOLD PRICE ANALYSIS – SUPPORT RETEST BEFORE NEXT BULLISH MOVEChart Overview
Current Price: $3,973
Support Zone: $3,882 – $3,942
Target Level: $4,189
Channel Type: Ascending channel pattern (bullish structure)
📊 Technical Insights
Trend Structure
Gold is trading within a rising parallel channel, showing higher highs and higher lows.
The current pullback is approaching the lower boundary of the channel, a potential buy zone.
Support Area
The marked support zone ($3,882 – $3,942) aligns with both:
Channel support trendline
Previous structure lows (confluence support)
This makes it a strong potential reversal zone.
Possible Scenarios
Scenario A (Bullish Continuation)
Price bounces from the support zone and resumes upward momentum toward the target level at $4,189, representing a +6.23% move.
Scenario B (Deeper Correction)
Price briefly dips below the lower boundary before reclaiming it — forming a false breakout and then rallying higher.
Momentum Context
Short-term retracement is normal within an uptrend.
If candles show rejection wicks or bullish engulfing patterns around $3,900–$3,940,** it could confirm bullish continuation.
⚙️ Trading Plan Idea (Educational)
Buy Zone: $3,885 – $3,940
Target: $4,180 – $4,190
Stop-Loss (suggested): Below $3,870 (to protect against breakdown)
Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:3
📈 Summary
Gold remains bullish within its rising channel.
A short-term dip toward the support zone could offer a strong buy opportunity before the next push toward the $4,189 target.
GOLD Epic Bearish Breakout!HI,Traders !
#GOLD made an epic
Bearish breakout of a very
Strong key horizontal level
Of 4003.24 which is now a
Resistance and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
XAUUSD MARKET DOWNTREND REACTIONMarket Overview:
Current Price: $4,045.23
Trend: Uptrend showing potential exhaustion at the upper resistance channel.
Chart Pattern: Possible double-top or round-top reversal forming after a strong bullish rally.
🧠 Bearish Scenario Analysis:
Gold has reached a key resistance zone around $4,045 – $4,060, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Momentum appears overextended, and a minor correction or pullback is likely.
📉 Bearish Expectations:
Immediate Resistance: $4,045 – $4,060 (upper channel resistance)
Neckline / Breakdown Level: $4,020
Once price breaks below $4,020, bearish pressure could intensify.
🎯 Downside Targets:
1. 1st Target (Minor Correction): $3,998
– Previous structure and mid-channel support
2. Final Target: $3,965 – $3,960
– Lower channel boundary and previous consolidation area.
Gold Daily Bullish FVG Reaction with Upside Targetsa bullish setup on Gold (XAU/USD) in the daily timeframe. After a sharp decline, price has entered a highlighted “Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG)” zone, suggesting a potential area of demand or price imbalance. From this zone, a possible bullish reaction is indicated with an upward arrow, projecting a retracement toward three target levels: Target 1 at 3,970, Target 2 at 3,980, and Target 3 at 3,990. The chart implies that if the price maintains support within the FVG area, a move toward these targets could follow, signaling a short-term bullish correction in the broader market structure.
Gold Roadmap After Breaking $4,000 – What’s Next?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) continued its bullish momentum at the start of the week and even seems to have broken through the key psychological resistance at $4,000 .
Let me first point out that when an asset reaches a new All-Time High (ATH) , Technical analysis tends to become less reliable since there’s no historical price data above that level. However, we still do our best to analyze the market using the available tools .
Currently, Gold is moving near the upper lines of ascending channels and within the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From an Elliott Wave Theory perspective , it appears that gold is completing Wave 3 , given the strong momentum it has shown.
That said, Gold likely needs a correction before continuing its uptrend. This pullback could first test the Support lines(First Target) , and in the next stage, possibly reach around $3,963(Second Target) .
Stop Loss(SL): $4,109
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Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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Gold: Stretched, Channel Broken, First Real Pullback Next?1️⃣ Overview
Yesterday, Gold reached a new all-time high at 4061, marking the 8th consecutive ATH in 8 days. If we also consider that the yellow metal has been rising for 8 consecutive weeks, the bullish momentum is undeniable.
However, no market can rise indefinitely without pauses. Regardless of how strong the uptrend is, corrections are necessary, and I believe we are very close to one — if not already in it.
________________________________________
2️⃣ Technical Context
After Friday’s low at 3820, Gold traded within an ascending channel, climbing around 2500 pips from bottom to top. This represents roughly a 6% increase, which is quite significant — especially coming after about a 15% rise in the previous 7 weeks.
Now, the channel has been broken, and Gold has entered a small correction toward the 4000 zone. At the time of writing, the market is rebounding, suggesting that bulls have not yet given up.
Still, this rebound looks more like the first sign of exhaustion than renewed strength. Even if bulls manage to push for another all-time high, the market structure is weakening.
________________________________________
3️⃣ Key Zones to Watch
The 4000 level is now the main psychological area and the line in the sand, followed by the 3990 zone, which acts as technical support.
A sustained break below these areas could open the way for a sharper correction toward the 3900 region, which would still only scratch the surface of the broader rally.
________________________________________
4️⃣ Market View
Of course, the bullish trend will remain intact on the medium term, but momentum is stretched, and a cooling phase looks increasingly likely.
I’m currently watching for potential selling points around yesterday’s highs, as the market starts to show its first signs of fatigue after an exceptional run.
After the Double Top — What’s Next for Gold Trading?Hello everyone!
Gold has now formed a clear double-top pattern, and the current price zone is crucial — it will determine whether the market continues its downward move or starts building a potential double-bottom formation.
The key levels to watch are: resistance at 4036 and support between 4011–4000.
Before a decisive breakout occurs, traders can focus on range trading between 4005–4025.
If the price breaks below support, the next downside targets are 3992, followed by 3986–3972/64.
Conversely, if gold breaks above 4036 and stabilizes above it, the price could extend upward toward 4046–4058.
From a technical standpoint, the current structure remains bearish-biased, so long positions should be approached with caution. A quick in-and-out trading style is recommended for safety.
For those who prefer a more conservative approach, it’s better to wait for a clearer breakout signal before entering the market.
Gold (XAU/USD) Rebound Setup – Support Holding StrongAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of bullish strength after testing the $4,000–$3,970 support zone, where buyers are stepping back in. The recent consolidation above support suggests a potential reversal and continuation of the uptrend.
The setup highlights:
Support Zone: Around $3,970 – $4,000, acting as a key accumulation area.
Bullish Trigger: A breakout above minor resistance could drive momentum higher.
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $4,101
🎯 Target 2: $4,150
🎯 Target 3: $4,200
Stop Loss: Below $3,970 to protect against a downside breakout.
📈 Outlook: As long as price sustains above support, Gold remains bullish, aiming for a breakout towards $4,150 and $4,200 levels.
Gold is experiencing a pullback. Trend Analysis.Spot gold fluctuated and weakened in early Asian trading on Thursday, falling nearly 1% to near the $4,000 mark, hitting a low of $4,001.33. However, it quickly rebounded above $4,020, buoyed by buying. On Wednesday, gold prices not only broke through $4,000 for the first time, but also hit a new all-time high of $4,059.07, driving silver prices to a record closing high.
However, just as the rally was in full swing, a sudden turn in the Middle East geopolitical situation—a ceasefire agreement between Hamas and Israel—quickly cooled market risk aversion, leading to a pullback in gold prices on Thursday. This warrants investor caution. Investors should monitor further news on the Middle East situation and shifts in risk aversion, wary of the possibility that this factor could prompt more long-term profit-taking, triggering a deeper correction in gold prices. They should also be mindful of any dip-buying support.
After Wednesday's rally, gold reached a high near 4059. It reached a high during the consecutive Asian and European sessions, then retreated slightly in the US session, reaching a low near 4000, consistent with the previously analyzed strategy of buying on dips to key levels.
In the short term, maintain a bullish long position, with 4000 as a defensive level. Focus on the previous high of 4060. If it doesn't break, take short-term profits. If it does, the market could potentially head towards 4100 or even higher.
In addition, keep an eye on Thursday, which could be a turning point this week, potentially leading to a sweeping decline.
Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on the 4050-4060 resistance, and the short-term support below is 4000-3990.
Strategy:
Go long near 4010, with a stop-loss at 4000. Profit range: 4650-4060.






















