Reverse Head & Shoulders on XAUUSD (CFD)🟢 Reverse Head & Shoulders on XAUUSD (CFD)
On the 1H chart, the market has recently completed a five-leg structure, which visually aligns with a reverse head & shoulders pattern:
① Left Shoulder: Formed around 3338 with a local support bounce.
② Minor High: First rejection confirming neckline area.
③ Head: The lowest point near 3320, creating a liquidity sweep below previous lows.
④ Right Shoulder: Retesting neckline after liquidity grab.
⑤ Confirmation: Price rejecting higher lows, aligning with bullish order flow.
Key Technical Insights:
Neckline Break: A clean break above the descending neckline (around 3348–3350) could validate the pattern.
Targets:
First target around 3350–3360 (short-term liquidity pool).
Extended target near 3410 if bullish momentum continues.
Invalidation: A drop back below 3320 would invalidate the structure and open the door for deeper bearish continuation.
SMC Context:
The head represents a sweep of liquidity beneath prior lows.
The right shoulder forms with mitigation and BOS signs, suggesting a possible shift in market structure.
If BOS confirms above the neckline, price is likely to fill imbalance zones toward higher liquidity areas.
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📌 This setup highlights both a classical pattern (reverse H&S) and smart money concepts, merging retail and institutional perspectives for a stronger confirmation bias.
Xauusdsignal
XAUUSD:On August 19thOn August 19th, the news was light. The focus was on the meeting between the US and Russia and the phone call between Ukraine and the US president. The specifics of the discussion are unknown, but it seems to have led to some large orders as a safeguard for Ukraine in the future.
Market-wise, gold prices remained in a narrow range, seemingly awaiting the interest rate decision. Since the Asian session, gold prices have been hovering between 3330 and 3340, with no significant gains or losses. Trading opportunities are slim.
It seems that whether or not this interest rate cut will have a significant impact.
Trading-wise, market sentiment is crucial. Selling high is reasonable, at least between today and tomorrow's data update. Also, when trading, it's important to monitor whether the US dollar index continues its downward trend. If so, gold prices could rebound slightly above 3,350 in the short term. If the US dollar index stops falling, the probability of profiting from shorting increases by approximately 30%.
The trading strategy at the Swing Trading Center primarily focuses on selling high. Remember to manage risk during trading. Set stop-loss and take-profit targets to prevent sudden, one-sided declines or surges that could wipe out your account.
False Breaks, Fading Bounces – What’s Next for Gold?1. Introduction – what happened yesterday
Yesterday Gold made a false break below 3330 support, only to reverse sharply back to 3360 resistance before dropping again. After that move, the market slipped into an irregular range with no real direction.
During the night session, another dip under 3330 was rejected, but this time 3340 capped the upside.
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2. The key question
Has the correction ended, or is Gold preparing for a continuation to the downside?
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3. Why Gold looks vulnerable
• 3330 is under constant pressure, and rejection bounces are getting weaker.
• Bulls need a break and stabilization above 3345 to regain control.
• A clean break under 3330 would likely trigger a continuation towards 3280.
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4. Trading plan
I’m currently holding a long trade, slightly in the red. My approach:
• Bullish case: Break and hold above 3345 → upside open towards 3380.
• Bearish case: Break below 3330 → downside continuation to 3280, which also means stop loss for me.
For those not in the market, the best choice is to wait for clarification before entering.
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5. Closing note
Gold is at a decision point. Very soon, the market will confirm the next direction. Until then → patience and discipline are the best strategy. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold in Tight Range | Waiting for the Big BreakOut After FOMC!Gold is currently consolidating within a narrow range, building momentum for a potential major BreakOut.
After Monday’s liquidity sweep, price has been moving strongly between 332x – 335x, but on the H1 timeframe it still remains locked in a descending channel.
Last week’s CPI & PPI data failed to set a clear direction, which is why this week’s focus will shift to the FOMC meeting. This is expected to deliver the decisive signal for gold’s next big move.
⏳ Early–Mid Week: With fewer major events, gold is likely to continue sideways within the narrow range or remain under mild selling pressure until the FOMC release.
🔑 Key Market Levels
Resistance: 3357 – 3369 – 3383 – 3398
Support: 3335 – 3317 – 3309
📌 Trading Setup
✅ BUY Zone: 3334 – 3332
SL: 3328
TP: 3338 – 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
👉 A breakout above 336x could trigger a strong rally towards 3383 – 3398.
✅ SELL Zone: 3383 – 3385
SL: 3390
TP: 3378 – 3374 – 3370 – 3360 – 3350
👉 If gold fails at high resistance and reverses, it could sweep liquidity back to 333x – 331x, and potentially deeper towards 329x.
⚠️ Summary
Gold is at a critical decision point: BreakOut or BreakDown.
Before FOMC: expect sideways / mild downside inside H1 channel.
After FOMC: anticipate a strong Pump or Dump that will set the next trend.
🔥 Watch key levels 333x – 336x – 338x closely for market reactions and adjust strategy accordingly.
XAUUSD Rejection Signals Potential DownsideOANDA:XAUUSD is showing rejection from a clear resistance zone within the upper range of its volatility bands, with price action hinting at a potential move lower. This short setup is supported by visible bearish confluences.
✅ Bearish Confluences:
Fibonacci Resistance: Price turned lower after testing the 38.2% retracement level near $3,372.
Lower High Formation: Recent swing high is below the previous peak, maintaining a short-term bearish structure.
Volatility Band Rejection: Strong rejection from the mid-to-upper band area, signaling weakening bullish momentum.
🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets:
TP1 – $3,332 (38.2%): First reaction area and initial support.
TP2 – $3,274 (61.8%): Key downside target within the retracement zone.
TP3 – $3,214 (100%): Full measured move to the lower band.
SL: Placed just above $3,390 to protect against a break of the bearish setup.
XAUUSD – Bulls Fighting BackAs expected and explained in Friday’s analysis, Gold dipped under 3335, and during today's Asian session, opened with a slide to 3323.
However, shortly after, bulls stepped in, and in the following 5 hours the price climbed strongly, reaching the important resistance at 3360, before entering a normal correction.
At this moment, the correction from 3410 could be complete, and a confirmed break above 3360 would bring the first confirmation for a new bullish leg.
Another factor supporting this view is that the resistance of the falling wedge has already been broken to the upside – a constructive technical signal.
📌 Trading Plan:
I will look to buy dips, anticipating a break above 3360, with targets toward the 3400 handle.
⚠️ A new local low would temporarily pause this bullish scenario.🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
8/18: Gold May Fall Below 3300 This WeekGood evening, everyone!
After testing the 3332–3323 key zone today, gold saw its first bullish rebound, pushing price back to the 3352–3358 resistance area. While bulls claimed a small victory here, the broader trend still favors the bears. For a genuine trend reversal, price must hold above 3350 and break through the major daily resistance at 3363. Otherwise, bulls remain under pressure, and as resistance gradually shifts lower over time, a lack of confidence could give bears the chance to drive price below 3300.
In this setup, the 3323–3332 support zone is critical for bulls. Holding it keeps the door open for further upside; losing it would turn 3332-3337( 3343–3348 )into a strong resistance area during rebounds.
Based on this outlook, the short-term strategy leans bearish. If price drops to 3310–3298 tomorrow, it could be a good opportunity to consider long positions. On rebounds, watch resistance at 3323–3328, with 3316–3321 acting as an additional barrier if bulls remain weak.
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart Update For 18 AUG 2025Good Morning Traders
as you can see that GOLD successfully break 3350 Psychological for Shorter term scenario
All eyes on 3330 level breakout for the day if market breaks 3330 level then it will move towards 3310 level otherwise market will move towards 3380 level soon
Disclaimer: Forex is RISKY
Buy strategy still works until 3345 is broken✏️Gold price has confirmed the break of Fibonacci 0.618 and is continuing the uptrend. However, surprisingly, the Asian trading session attracted some selling pressure, pushing gold to around the 3355 break zone. When confirming the break of 3358, 3345 became the most important zone of the uptrend and this is also a trendline zone in the H4 time frame. The BUY gold strategy is still the main one until 3345 is broken.
📉 Key Levels
Support 3360-3345-3313-3285
Resistance; 3381-3404-3430
BUY now 3360 Break out and Retest Support zone (Fibonacci 0.618)
BUY Trigger 3345 Rejection of the support zone with buying pressure candle
SELL Trigger Break and trading Bellow support 3343
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
technical analysis of the XAUUSDPrice: Around $3,345 currently.
Chart Indicators
Zig Zag (5, 10): Helps highlight major swing highs and lows.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): 14-period with levels at 70 (overbought) and 30 (oversold).
Recent Low: Around $3,247 (late July).
Lower highs and lower lows indicate short-term bearish trend.
Price broke below a minor swing support around $3,380 and is now testing $3,345.
Zig Zag Pattern: Suggests corrective moves but overall downward bias after recent top at 3,438.
RSI Analysis
Recently peaked near 70 (overbought zone) during mid-August high.
Currently near 50 (neutral), showing consolidation after a sell-off.
Signal: No clear divergence, but bearish momentum eased after recent drop.
Key Support & Resistance
Support Levels:
$3,320–3,330: Near-term support zone.
$3,247: Major previous swing low (strong support).
Resistance Levels:
$3,380–3,400: Immediate resistance (recent broken support).
$3,438: Last swing high (strong resistance).
Volume Analysis
Downward move from $3,438 to $3,345 happened with moderate volume, suggesting steady selling pressure but not a panic drop.
Possible Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (Reversal or Pullback)
Price needs to hold above $3,330 and break $3,380 to target $3,420–3,438.
RSI moving above 60 would strengthen bullish momentum.
Bearish Scenario (Continuation)
If price breaks below $3,330, next target is $3,300, then $3,247.
RSI dropping toward 30 would confirm strong bearish momentum.
Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice)
For Bulls: Wait for a break & close above $3,380 for a potential long entry.
For Bears: Watch for a break below $3,330 for a potential short toward $3,247.
Stop-loss: Use nearby swing highs/lows for risk management.
Overall Sentiment:
Currently neutral to slightly bearish, as price is below key resistance and forming lower highs.
GOLD NEXT WEEK IDEA Hello Its ZGM
Next Week Gold Setups Looking 👀
Gold Takes Sell Side Liquidity
Now We Are Expecting Gold Next Move Will Be Bullish Then We Are Going To Sell At Order Block Price : 3368/3375 Selling Area
Next Zone For Sell At FVG Price : 3383/3390
Low Risk Sell Zone BSL Area Price : 3404/3412
Manage Your Trade Properly And Follow Us For More Trades
XAU/USD (Gold CFD) – Weekly Opening Outlook | SMC Perspective# 🟡 XAU/USD (Gold CFD) – Weekly Opening Outlook | SMC Perspective
**Date:** 2025/08/17
**Timeframe:** 45M (Heikin Ashi)
**Methodology:** Smart Money Concept (SMC)
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## 📊 Market Context
Gold closed the previous week under heavy liquidity grabs after multiple **CHOCH** and **BOS** structures. The current market is positioned around **3,335**, balancing between two potential phases:
1. **Phase 1 (Bullish Recovery)**
2. **Phase 2 (Bearish Continuation)**
Both phases are mapped on the chart with clear structural references.
---
## 🔵 Forecast Phase 1 – Bullish Scenario
1. **Key Levels:**
- **Immediate Demand Zone:** 3,330 – 3,335
- **Equilibrium Reaction Zone:** 3,350 – 3,360
- **Liquidity Pool:** 3,380 – 3,390
2. **Conditions for Validation:**
- Price must hold the **discount demand zone** (PDI).
- A strong **CHOCH → BOS** sequence from current level.
- Break and close above **3,350 equilibrium**.
3. **Expected Move:**
- Push towards **previous PDH** and sweep above **3,370 – 3,380**.
- Potential continuation into **EQH (3,390 – 3,400)** liquidity zone.
4. **Targets:**
- 🎯 TP1: **3,350** (equilibrium retest)
- 🎯 TP2: **3,370 – 3,380**
- 🎯 TP3: **3,390 – 3,400** (EQH / liquidity sweep)
5. **Invalidation:**
- Closing candles below **3,330 demand zone** will weaken bullish outlook.
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## 🔴 Forecast Phase 2 – Bearish Scenario
1. **Key Levels:**
- **Discount Zone:** 3,320 – 3,325
- **Major Demand Zone:** 3,300 – 3,280
- **Extended Liquidity Pool:** 3,260 – 3,250
2. **Conditions for Validation:**
- Failure to hold above **3,335 – 3,330**.
- Clear rejection at equilibrium levels (**3,350 – 3,360**).
- A new **BOS** towards the downside.
3. **Expected Move:**
- Market could unfold in 5-leg structure (as shown on chart: ① → ⑤).
- First rejection around **3,335 – 3,340**, followed by extension towards **3,310 – 3,280**.
- Final liquidity sweep possible into **3,260 – 3,250 zone**.
4. **Targets:**
- 🎯 TP1: **3,320 – 3,325**
- 🎯 TP2: **3,300 – 3,280**
- 🎯 TP3: **3,260 – 3,250**
5. **Invalidation:**
- A confirmed **bullish CHOCH** above **3,350 equilibrium** invalidates the bearish scenario.
---
## ⚖️ Summary
- **Phase 1 (Bullish):** Possible rebound from current demand towards **3,390 – 3,400** liquidity.
- **Phase 2 (Bearish):** Failure at equilibrium may trigger deeper continuation into **3,280 – 3,250 demand**.
Traders should monitor **CHOCH / BOS confirmations** closely before positioning.
---
#XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #CHOCH #BOS #Liquidity #FVG #TradingView
Gold balances on a fine line: growth or correction?Following the release of soft US inflation data, gold is consolidating in the $3,250–$3,450 range, holding above key support. A weak dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut are supporting bulls, but locally the price has hit a resistance zone.
Bullish:
Fixing above $3450 → target $3500, then $3550–$3600.
Breakthrough of $3500 will increase momentum to $3650+.
Bearish:
Breakthrough below $3250 → decline to $3200, with increasing pressure — to $3100.
📊 Indicators (D1)
RSI (14): ~43 — neutral, not overbought
MACD: in the negative zone — signal of a possible correction
SMA50/100/200: price slightly below average, indicating a pause in growth
GOLD RAID ON – Bullish Limit Orders Are LIVE! XAU/USD💰GOLD HEIST IN PROGRESS! XAU/USD BULLISH RAID BEGINS! 🏴☠️📈
Asset: XAU/USD – Gold vs U.S Dollar
📊 Plan: BULLISH ROBBERY
🎯 Target: 3460.00
🛑 Stop Loss: 3330.00
📥 Entry: ANY level – vault is wide open!
👑 THIEF MODE ACTIVATED – Time to raid GOLD like a pro. We’re stacking multiple limit orders (layering entries) just like setting traps for those greedy bears 🐻💥
🚪💼 Entry strategy:
“The vault is unlocked – grab your bag and go!”
Place buy limits at recent swing lows (15m/30m) or jump in live with your bullish crew. Use alerts to catch price at key pullback zones.
🛑 SL placed at: 3330 – Just below thief territory. Adjust based on your lot size + number of entries 🔐
🎯 Target: 3460 – Hit and run, or trail that SL and let the gold rain! ☔💸
🧠 Thief Tactics for GOLD:
Only trade Long-side – scalpers, swing traders, all aboard 🚂
Use trailing SL to protect your loot
Avoid trading during high-impact news (CPI, NFP, Fed, etc) ⚠️
Stay alert for manipulations + fake-outs at key levels – it's a trap game out here 🎭
📰 Before the Heist:
🧾 Read Fundamentals • COT Report • Sentiment • Macro Outlook
📌 Always stay updated, news can flip the market faster than a backstab 🗡️
🗣️ Boost this idea if you’re robbing with us!
💥 Smash that LIKE if you believe in the heist
🚨 Follow for more high-voltage thief trades
💎 Daily playbooks. Clean getaways. All signals, no noise.
Join the crew. Trade like a THIEF. Get rich or get smarter.
🕵️♂️💰🚀🔥🐱👤📈
Latest price increase and decrease forecastFrom a technical perspective, Thursday's daily chart showed a sharp decline, engulfing Tuesday's. Wednesday's consecutive rises marked the closing price near the middle Bollinger band. There's no definitive direction for now, and both ups and downs are possible. Therefore, the daily chart's performance is not important, but the H4 chart shows significant momentum. Currently, 3330 is a double bottom, with the closing price just above the lower Bollinger band. If a rebound occurs here, especially with strength in the afternoon, the Bollinger band will tighten and the moving averages will converge, confirming a volatile market today. If the market stabilizes above the middle Bollinger band at 3350, it can be confirmed that today is a rebound. The US market could also reach a high of 3365. Therefore, the rebound strength can be observed around the 3330 support level during the Asian and European sessions. If it breaks through 3330, gold could continue its decline to the 3310-3300 range.
Trading suggestions: If the market rebounds first, short near 3346, with a stop-loss above 3352. If the market weakens, short near 3341, with a stop-loss above 3347. If the market declines first, short below 3300, or go long near 3320, with a stop-loss below 3315. If you currently have short positions at low levels and long positions at high levels and are unsure how to proceed, please leave a message for Charlie. FX:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD
The impact of the meeting on gold prices.Trump: Speaks with Lukashenko. We discussed prisoner releases and a meeting with Putin. The meeting details are as follows:
Trump: "Had a great meeting with Belarusian President Lukashenko. The purpose of the call was to thank him for releasing 16 prisoners. We are also discussing the release of an additional 1,300 prisoners. We had a very pleasant conversation. We discussed many topics, including President Putin's visit to Alaska. I look forward to meeting with President Lukashenko in the future."
The meeting did not clearly indicate any positive or negative impact on the market. However, Jess believes that gold prices will continue to fall in the short term, so it is advisable to sell gold at a high level to profit.
Gold fluctuates, waiting for an effective breakthroughThe MACD is below the zero axis and has already diverged from the bottom, indicating it's poised for a short-term rebound. Each short-term rebound followed a similar pattern to the current MACD. It simply diverges once, twice, or even three times before a sudden surge. Therefore, as long as the price falls below 3330 and then declines again, it's a good opportunity to ambush and buy from a low position. This could also be the next short-term low. Over the past four months of consolidation, the lows have clearly been gradually moving higher, and the end of the converging triangle has been gradually narrowing. One day, a major unilateral breakout will occur. Patiently wait for a return to the bullish trend.
Pay attention to the channel trend resistance line 3358-60. This position is actually the oscillation center axis point of 3330-3380. If the rebound is under pressure here, you can buy on highs and then fall back; once the hourly line closes positive and effectively stands on this position, give up the bearish view; and the low bullish position focuses on the 618 division, the previous top and bottom conversion, the lower track of the channel, etc.; as long as you dare to pull it down, you must dare to be bullish when a stabilizing K appears. The lower the effect, the better, because the lower it is, the more aggravated the divergence effect. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD
Gold Under Attack! Thief Trader’s Layered Sell Plan in Action!💣 XAU/USD GOLD HEIST: Police Waiting at 3270 – Escape Before They Catch Us! 🔐💰
🕵️♂️ Hello Thief OG’s, Money Grabbers & Market Shadows!
Today’s mission is Gold (XAU/USD) – not to wear, but to steal! 💸✨
🎯 MISSION BRIEF
We’re going BEARISH on Gold. No single-shot nonsense – we’re using layered SELL LIMIT traps to grab the loot piece by piece.
💼 Entry Layers:
3340.00
3350.00
3360.00
(💡 Add more layers if you want to go full gang mode.)
🛑 Stop Loss – The Alarm Trigger
SL @ 3380.00 🚨
But hey… Thief OG’s adjust it to your own strategy & risk. Don’t get caught with your mask off. 😎
💰 Target – The Escape Plan
Main Target: 3270.00 (Police barricade 🚔)
Quick Exit: 3280.00 (Escape van is ready 🚐)
📊 Why This Is the Perfect Hit
Price dancing near resistance – the “vault door” is open.
Weak bullish attempts = fake gold rush trap.
Trend sniffers pointing down on higher timeframes.
Market makers guarding at 3380 = the alarm system.
📜 Thief Trader Rules for This Mission
Avoid entering during major economic news bombs 💣.
Trail your SL once price moves in your favor – thieves who overstay get caught.
Always rob smart – we’re professionals, not gamblers.
💥 Support the Robberhood Crew!
Boost this idea if you want more Thief Trader missions.
Every boost = more ammo for the next market robbery.
Remember: No chase, no case. 🕶️💼💣
#XAUUSD #GoldTrade #BearishPlan #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader #RobTheMarket #BoostForMore
A Bearish Idea on Gold, Are you Bullish yet?Hello Fellow traders,
Today, we are looking at gold and I am expecting a bearish momentum. The daily FVG was succesfully traded to facing a good rjection. Now we keep our eyes on 4H FVG thats residing just below. We willsee how the 50% of that FVG is crossed whether with a displacement which I wuld love to see, like market breaks below the 50% of FVG with a strong momentum, then we expect the price to take the lows around 3250 becuae thats where Equal highs are and price is highly likely to attract towards it just like a magnet.
However, thus far price action has been bearish, as we price got rejected in that 1H FVG as highlighted and price made two highs one top of other making a turtle soup and then broke below the recent low with a displacement and thats where Breaker Block takes birth and also an FVG. Pice then goes back to fill the FVG and trade to the new born beaker and then the low is taken but wait "Relative EQL Lows".
Anyways, the market now seems to return back to the lows and we can expect the market to now displace through these lows wth a strong momentum. If that happens, it's all gonna be easy to trade to lower liquidity "might be a sudden attack, who knows!"
Thats it for today fellows, kee grinding, keep working.
RESPECT THE RISK!
3330 Under Pressure – New York Could Decide the MoveYesterday’s Move
Yesterday, after the initial rejection from the 3370 resistance zone, Gold broke below the 3350 confluence support and tumbled toward the 3330 key support. Since then, the price has been consolidating, with low volatility — largely due to the European bank holiday.
Key Question
Has the market gathered enough energy for another leg down, or will buyers manage to defend 3330?
Why a Bearish Continuation Is Possible
- The 3330 zone is now being tested repeatedly, showing weakening buying interest
- A confirmed break under 3330 would open the way toward the 3280 support zone.
Trading Plan
I will watch for a clear break under 3330 during the New York session, aiming for a move toward 3280. Any long position becomes interesting only if we get a daily close above 3360.
Final Note
The market still needs to confirm — patience is key.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
8/15: Watch Resistance at 3348–3358, Support at 3328–3323Good afternoon, everyone!
Yesterday, gold’s rebound was capped at 3352–3358, failing to turn resistance into support. As anticipated, price then moved into the 3332–3323 battleground.
On the 2H chart, bulls still hold a slight edge, with signs of a potential double bottom. However, if price continues to face resistance at 3348–3352 without breaking out, or loses the key 3328 support on a pullback, bullish momentum will weaken, and a bearish setup may re-emerge, increasing the likelihood of a retest near 3300.
With important US session data ahead, my strategy today differs from yesterday — focusing on buying dips as the main approach, with shorting near highs as a secondary option. Manage risk carefully and feel free to reach out if you need assistance.