Gold rebounded, but its future trend is still full of variables.Spot gold (XAU/USD) saw a second consecutive day of buying on Wednesday (August 13), attempting to build on its previous day's rebound from around $3,331. The latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July was largely in line with expectations, reinforcing market expectations of a September interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This data kept the US dollar at a more than two-week low and further supported gold, a non-yielding asset.
However, gold's intraday gains appeared to lack sufficient momentum, particularly as the US-Russia summit, potentially contributing to an end to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, has somewhat suppressed its safe-haven properties. This shift in market sentiment suggests that holding long gold positions remains prudent without strong follow-on buying.
US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July showed that the CPI remained unchanged at 2.7% year-on-year, but the core CPI (excluding food and energy prices) rose to 3.1%, exceeding expectations of 2.9%. While this data failed to stoke market concerns about inflation, signs of labor market weakness still support expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates twice before the end of the year.
CME Group's FedWatch tool also indicates that the market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates, which may put pressure on the US dollar in the coming days, further benefiting gold.
Technical Analysis
From the chart, gold's current price trend shows some signs of recovery. After falling to the $3,331 area, the price found support and rebounded on August 13, breaking through the previous day's high. This suggests that bullish momentum has strengthened in the short term and may continue to push gold prices to test higher resistance levels.
The Bollinger Bands indicate that the price is currently near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the bands are showing a certain expansion pattern, indicating increased market volatility. If the price maintains this level, it may open up further room for growth, further testing the resistance level of $3,400.
The MACD indicator shows that the current MACD lines have begun to converge, and the green histogram is shortening, indicating a rebound in bullish market momentum. However, attention remains to be paid to whether the MACD will form another death cross, leading to a price pullback.
Market Sentiment Observation:
Current market sentiment is mixed. Gold's rebound is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut and easing global trade and geopolitical risks. Nevertheless, strong stock market performance may weaken gold's safe-haven demand, especially amid growing optimism about the global economy.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit record highs, while Japan's Nikkei 225 index broke through 43,000 points. These positive stock market performances may weaken demand for gold, especially as market sentiment favors a risk-on outlook.
Market Outlook:
Bullish Outlook:
Gold is likely to continue to be supported in the short term by a weak dollar and expectations of rate cuts, with prices expected to test the previous high near $3,409. If gold breaks through and stabilizes above this level, further upside potential is likely, potentially targeting the $3,450 area.
In the long term, if global economic uncertainty persists and the Federal Reserve maintains its pace of rate cuts, gold is likely to remain relatively strong.
Bearish Outlook:
However, if the stock market continues to strengthen and the global economy recovers further, gold's safe-haven demand may gradually decline. In this case, gold's upward momentum may weaken, and prices may retreat to support levels around $3,329 or even lower.
Overall, in the current market environment, gold's short-term trend still needs to closely monitor changes in the stock market, the US dollar, and the global geopolitical situation, and traders should adjust their positions flexibly based on these factors. PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Xauusdsignal
Gold Correction Ending — Time for the Next Rally?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is currently moving near the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) and the Monthly Pivot Point .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold is completing a corrective wave, and we should wait for the next impulse wave .
I expect Gold to start rising from the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) and rise to at least $3,393 .
Second Target: $3,407
Third Target: $3,427
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,317
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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8/12: Key Support at 3343–3337, Resistance at 3366–3372Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, the market saw a one-sided drop, with selling pressure on the 4H chart largely released. However, the daily bullish structure has been damaged. Given the size of yesterday’s decline, there’s a decent chance of an intraday rebound today.
Key support levels to watch are 3343–3337 and 3328–3323, while resistance sits at 3352–3358 and 3366–3372–3378. Trading should focus on these zones.
With today’s news-driven volatility likely to exceed yesterday’s, if the downtrend continues, I see 3312–3298 as an attractive buying opportunity. My overall bias for the day remains buying on dips, with potential short opportunities near resistance.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from late July to mid-September 2025. The current price is $3,335.985, reflecting a decrease of $6.670 (-0.20%). Key levels include a sell price of $3,335.720 and a buy price of $3,336.270. The chart highlights recent price fluctuations, with a notable drop and a shaded support/resistance zone between approximately $3,340.000 and $3,360.000
GOLD DUMPS $50 – LIQUIDITY ZONE AHEAD | CPI IN FOCUS! GOLD DUMPS $50 – LIQUIDITY ZONE AHEAD | CPI IN FOCUS!
📌 MARKET RECAP
Gold kicked off the week with a sharp $50 drop, breaking multiple key trendlines and nearby support levels in quick succession.
Main drivers behind the move:
Profit-taking after the recent strong rally.
Stronger USD expectations ahead of CPI data (forecast +0.1% vs previous).
Geopolitical factors – Ukraine–Russia ceasefire talks approaching their conclusion, adding to risk-off sentiment.
🧐 WHAT’S NEXT?
If CPI comes in strong → USD strengthens → Gold could slide further into the 333x – 330x liquidity zone.
If CPI disappoints → USD weakens → Gold may quickly bounce back toward the 337x key level (previous breakdown area) for a retest before deciding direction.
🎯 MMFLOW GAME PLAN
1️⃣ BUY SCALP
📌 Entry: 3331 – 3329
📌 SL: 3325
📌 TP: 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
2️⃣ BUY ZONE
📌 Entry: 3310 – 3308
📌 SL: 3304
📌 TP: 3314 – 3318 – 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 – ???
3️⃣ SELL SCALP
📌 Entry: 3363 – 3365
📌 SL: 3370
📌 TP: 3360 – 3356 – 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340
4️⃣ SELL ZONE
📌 Entry: 3376 – 3378
📌 SL: 3382
📌 TP: 3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340
⚠️ RISK NOTE
CPI is a potential game-changer – even a small deviation from forecasts can trigger a massive one-way move.
Always keep an eye on AD-marked Key Levels on the chart before pulling the trigger.
XAU/USD Bullish Bounce from Demand Zone !Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4H chart is showing a potential bullish reversal setup. Price has pulled back into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and high supply/demand zone near 3,329–3,315, aligning with the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement.
Key Points:
Support Zone: 3,329–3,315 (demand + FVG).
Bullish Rejection Expected: Price may bounce from this zone, targeting upper resistance levels.
Upside Targets:
TP1: 3,356
TP2: 3,375
TP3: 3,440–3,459 (major resistance)
Invalidation: A daily close below 3,315 could open room for deeper downside toward 3,278–3,245.
Indicators: EMA(9) and Ichimoku showing potential for trend resumption if price closes above 3,362.
Overall, the chart suggests a buy setup on bullish confirmation, aiming for the 3,375–3,459 zone.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – 2H Price Action & SMC Outlook# 🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – 2H Price Action & SMC Outlook
**Date:** 2025/08/12
**Timeframe:** 2H (Heikin Ashi)
**Style:** Smart Money Concept (SMC) + Fair Value Gap (FVG)
---
## 📊 Market Context
Gold is currently testing the **FVG support area** around **3,349 – 3,350**, with a visible **CHOCH** structure forming on the chart. The reaction from this level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
---
## 📈 Bullish Scenario (Primary)
1. **Condition:**
- Price respects the FVG zone (**3,349.9**)
- CHOCH breaks to the upside
- Clean break and close above **3,401.2**
2. **Expected Move:**
- Retest of the breakout zone for liquidity grab
- Extension towards **3,440** as the main target
3. **Targets:**
- 🎯 TP1: **3,401.2** (break confirmation)
- 🎯 TP2: **3,440** (major resistance & supply)
4. **Invalidation:**
- A close below **3,345** would weaken the bullish case and expose lower demand.
---
## 📉 Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
1. **Condition:**
- Price fails to break **3,401.2**
- Strong rejection from the descending trendline
2. **Expected Move:**
- Return to the FVG zone at **3,349.9**
- If broken, possible continuation towards **3,320 – 3,325**
---
## ⚠️ Analysis Validity
This analysis remains valid while **FVG support holds** and a **bullish CHOCH breakout** occurs.
Failure to hold the FVG could trigger deeper retracements.
---
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SMC #FVG #CHOCH #TradingView
Grasp the key opportunities in gold tradingBefore and after the European session, gold fell back and adjusted again; in the U.S. session, it stabilized and rebounded above 3340 as expected, and continuous low-long layouts achieved steady profits. From the hourly chart structure, the gold trend was highly consistent with the prediction, which not only continued the downward adjustment rhythm, but also released the profit space of rebound long orders, showing the fierce game between the long and short forces in the market.
The 1-hour moving average has begun to turn downward, significantly strengthening bearish momentum. During the US trading session, gold failed to break through the key resistance zone of 3365-3380. This area remains a key defense for bears in the short term.As long as gold fails to effectively break through and hold 3380, the bearish trend will continue to dominate the market, and rebounds will provide favorable opportunities for short positions. The continuous breaking of new lows indicates that bears have a stronger advantage, and bulls are unlikely to achieve a sustained reversal. During trading, it is recommended to strictly implement risk management, reasonably control positions, and position accordingly, seizing every rebound short opportunity. Subsequently, monitor the performance of the key support level of 3340-3330. If this support level fails, bearish momentum will further intensify. Otherwise, there will be limited room for short-term adjustments. Overall, gold is still in a bear-led, volatile downward phase. The main strategy is to short on rebounds, supplemented by buying on pullbacks, and respond flexibly to market changes.
Gold operation suggestion: short gold when it rebounds around 3365-3380, target 3350-3340. If gold falls back to 3340-3330 and stabilizes, consider going long with the target at 3355-3360.
Gold long and short two-way layout ideasI write every article hoping to connect with those I'm connected with. I hope to help investors in need. Regardless of initial impressions, I should give them a chance to understand me. I believe that the fact you've read all this is fate, and investing is largely about fate. If you believe in fate and believe I can do something for you, you might want to talk to me.
Gold has been falling steadily today. Technically, the hourly moving average is turning upwards from its highs. This suggests a potential short-term rebound for gold bulls, and they may need significant news to stimulate their decline. Otherwise, they may struggle to achieve significant gains in the short term. With this hourly decline, there's little chance of a major rebound. The key level for gold remains around 3365-3380. After all, previous support levels have become resistance levels. If your current trading isn't ideal, I hope I can help you avoid investment setbacks. Feel free to discuss your options.
From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle structure, the lower support is focused on the 3340-3330 area, which is an effective support zone that has been verified many times; the upper resistance is focused on the 3365-3380 area, which may form a key suppression level in the short term. In terms of operation ideas, we should maintain a two-way strategy of shorting on rebounds and going long on pullbacks. According to the changes in the shape and momentum of prices touching key positions, we should flexibly adjust the entry direction, specific execution points and risk control plans. I will remind you as soon as the market touches key areas, so please pay attention in time.
Gold Trading Strategy:
1. Short gold in batches when it rebounds around 3365-3380, targeting 3350-3340.
2. Go long on gold when it falls back to around 3340-3330, with the target at 3355-3360.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar, sourced from OANDA. The current price is $3,349.050, reflecting a decrease of $48.715 (-1.43%) as of 01:11:40. Key levels include a sell price of $3,348.830 and a buy price of $3,349.380, with a highlighted support zone around $3,348.849 and a resistance zone near $3,370.815. The chart covers the period from early August to mid-September 2025.
Bearish trend dominates, gold awaits direction decisionGold's 1-hour moving average has begun to turn around from a high point. For gold bulls, this may mean that if they want to reverse their decline in the short term, they may need major news to stimulate the market. Otherwise, in the short term, gold bulls may find it difficult to make any significant progress. Gold's 1-hour moving average has fallen at this rate, and there has been basically no major rebound. This rebound also provides a second opportunity for shorting. The key level of gold is still in the 3365-3380 area. If the US market is under pressure at the 3365-3380 area, then gold will continue to be shorted on highs. The market is changing rapidly. We never become rigid longs or shorts. Trading is about following the wind. We go where the wind blows, otherwise we will eventually fail against the wind. Gold bears are now clearly becoming stronger, so we should continue to ride on the tailwind of the gold bears.
Will We See a Break Down or a Sharp Rebound to Key Resistance?XAUUSD – Will We See a Break Down or a Sharp Rebound to Key Resistance? | MMFlow Trading 🔥
Market Overview
Gold dropped sharply at the start of the week as profit-taking hit the market and late-week FOMO buyers from last week were stopped out.
Buy-side momentum has clearly slowed, and sellers are waiting for a confirmed breakdown from the rising channel to target lower liquidity zones around 335x and 333x.
At present, price is reacting around the 336x – 337x key support with an H1 long-wick candle showing buying pressure.
Trading Outlook
We need a clear breakdown confirmation (candle close with volume) before executing a short entry.
If price holds and fails to break, we could see a rebound back towards major resistance zones 339x – 340x – 342x.
This week is loaded with high-impact USD data – CPI & PPI – both strong inflation indicators that could put short-term pressure on gold if data comes out USD-positive.
📌 Trading Plan
BUY SCALP
Entry: 3353 – 3351
Stop Loss: 3345
Targets: 3358 → 3362 → 3366 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380
BUY ZONE
Entry: 3332 – 3330
Stop Loss: 3325
Targets: 3336 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → 3380
SELL SCALP
Entry: 3394 – 3396
Stop Loss: 3400
Targets: 3390 → 3385 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360
SELL ZONE
Entry: 3425 – 3427
Stop Loss: 3430
Targets: 3420 → 3415 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3390 → 3380
⚠ Risk Management Notes
This is a high-impact news week – expect false breakouts before and after CPI/PPI releases.
Avoid oversized positions into news; keep risk tight.
If price breaks above 3430 with strong volume, the current sell setup is invalid → wait for a new market structure before re-entering.
GOLD Touches the Order blocks and does a little retracement.Gold is stuck in some range bond and is still not able to break 3500. Watch the DXY and be very careful when it breaks the supports or resistances. Can be fake-outs. Check your support and resistances and open positions accordingly. Wait for Price Again and strong solid breakouts to enter the market.
Disclaimer:
The content presented in this IMAGE is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
Trading foreign exchange (Forex) on margin involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The use of leverage can work both for and against you. Before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance.
There is a possibility that you may incur a loss of some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be fully aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from a licensed and independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always trade responsibly.
XAUUSD - Trading scenariosTechnical market condition
The price holds above $3,370, demonstrating sustainable bullish potential. Tariff tensions and inflation data expectations are keeping interest in gold as a safe haven asset.
However, gold is trying to break through the barrier at $3,400 again: until the breakout is confirmed, quotes will remain under pressure.
Counteraction to the decline: data on the reduction of geopolitical risks (for example, in Ukraine) and the strengthening of the dollar are exerting pressure - a possible decline to the support level of $3,314-$3,342.
Support and resistance levels
Key resistance levels:
~$3,400 - a psychological barrier, repeatedly confirmed by sales.
With a confident breakout, an attack on $3,435 is possible and then - to $3,500-$3,600, as Citi analysts predict against the backdrop of a weak US macroeconomy.
Main support levels:
~$3,370 — current support.
If broken — potential for a drop to $3,314–$3,342
Gold's decline does not mean a bearish trendGold opened high and closed low today, gradually declining from 3405 and then widening its losses, hitting a low of 3354 in the European session. The intraday short-term trend was clearly weak, with the price still unable to break through 3400 and stabilize. In last week's analysis, I emphasized that if this uptrend fails to stabilize above 3400, a downward turn is possible at any time.
However, in the medium and long term, the bullish outlook remains unchanged. Although 3400 hasn't been broken, after a deep correction, it will likely break again; it's just a matter of time.
It also requires the right opportunity, namely, news stimulus to drive the market. Focus on CPI data. Don't turn bearish based on today's decline; it could potentially rebound tomorrow. Therefore, we recommend avoiding short positions. Even if you do go short, wait for a rebound and use a stop-loss to maintain risk management.
Gold is currently trading sideways around 3360. If it rebounds before the US market opens and reaches the 3378-3380 level, short it with a stop-loss at 3390, targeting 3360-3350.
If there's no rebound before the US market opens and the decline continues, then consider a bullish trend around 3345. This was last week's starting point and coincides with the 50% retracement support level. A rebound could be expected if it reaches the watershed level of 3334, with a target around 3380. OANDA:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
Gold weakness confirmed, short selling may accelerateAfter short-term sideways consolidation, gold continued its downward trend in the European session. It is expected to break the previous wide sweeping pattern today. In the 4H cycle, the price effectively fell below the middle Bollinger band under the pressure of continuous negative lines, showing the momentum of continued decline; after the short-term support of 3360 was lost, the lower Bollinger band space was further opened, and the weak pattern was confirmed. Strategically, the European and American sessions were adjusted to maintain a downward trend. The upper pressure focused on the 3365-3380 area. The operation was mainly rebound shorting. If 3350 was further broken below, the target could be extended to the 3340-3330 area.
Gold operation suggestion: short gold when it rebounds around 3365-3380, target 3350-3340-3330.
Financial markets are set to receive a slew of important newDomestic gold prices fell due to the impact of world gold prices. In the international market, after closing the week at a high level, today's gold price suddenly reversed and plummeted when opening the new trading week.
Gold prices fell contrary to the forecast of analysts and investors when they expected the precious metal to continue to increase this week.
This week, the market is waiting for a lot of economic information such as the meeting to announce Australia's interest rate decision; the US consumer price index (CPI) report for July; the US producer price index... The data of this information is expected to affect the gold price.
This morning, the USD index (DXY) in the international market recovered to 98.1 points, also creating pressure to reduce gold prices.
How to correctly grasp the gold trading opportunities?At present, the suppression of 3410 is still quite strong. After testing the resistance, a short-term long-short reversal was formed, and it retreated and broke the 3380 low support. It is expected to test the 3360 and 3345 moving average supports below today. After falling below the 3380 bullish starting point, the short-term trend will temporarily be mainly downward. Only when it is close to the low support can a new layout be made. Therefore, wait patiently for the low point to be retreated and stabilized before considering going long on gold.
8/11: Sell High and Buy Low in the 3416–3372 RangeGood morning, everyone!
This week’s major data releases and news events are concentrated between Tuesday and Friday. Monday is relatively calm, so today’s strategy will mainly rely on technical analysis.
Technically, after a pullback to the MA20, last week’s weekly candle closed as a small bullish candle, and price has re-entered the strong resistance zone at 3400–3450. On the daily chart, bullish momentum hasn’t been fully released yet, but the 4H chart is showing early signs of bearish pressure. For today, keep an eye on the 3400–3420 resistance area, with primary support at 3386–3378 and secondary support at 3372–3366. Unless the bulls completely give up, a break below secondary support seems unlikely.
The main trading range for today is 3372–3416. If the market turns into a one-way move, consider a “contrarian” approach — just avoid buying high and selling low. If you find yourself in a trapped position, don’t panic. As long as risks are controlled, you can use scale-in entries or hedging to recover. If your trade rhythm is off, even holding onto positions (“sitting it out”) can reduce losses or turn a profit. Of course, if risk gets out of control, cut losses decisively — better to retreat than to blow up the account.
Account safety always comes first. Keep your capital intact, and you’ll find plenty of profitable opportunities this week — so many, you might start wondering if someone added extra days to the calendar.
If you need assistance, feel free to leave me a message.
GOLD (XAU/USD) Weekly Open Analysis – H2 Structure# 🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) Weekly Open Analysis – H2 Structure
**Date:** 2025/08/11
**Timeframe:** 2H (Heikin Ashi)
**Style:** Smart Money Concept (SMC) + Supply/Demand + Price Action
---
## 📊 Market Context
At the weekly open, gold price has started trading above the **upper parallel channel** where last week's close was printed. This level acts as a short-term **bullish bias zone**.
Simultaneously, the **Dollar Index (DXY)** opened at lower levels, showing signs of weakness. Historically, a falling DXY often supports upward movement in gold, and we may see a reaction as mapped in the chart.
---
## 🔍 Key Technical Levels
- **Upper CHOCH Breakout Zone:** ~**3,399 – 3,400**
- **Major Supply Zone:** ~**3,440 – 3,445**
- **Demand Zone #1:** **3,345 – 3,350** (POI)
- **Demand Zone #2:** **3,320 – 3,330** (FVG completion)
- **Final Demand Floor:** **3,260 – 3,265**
---
## 📈 Bullish Scenario (Primary)
1. **Condition:** CHOCH breakout above **3,400** with a bullish BOS confirmation.
2. **Entry Zone:** Retest near **3,399 – 3,402** after breakout.
3. **Targets:**
- 🎯 TP1: **3,420**
- 🎯 TP2: **3,432**
- 🎯 TP3: **3,445** (Major Supply)
4. **Invalidation:** Close back below **3,395** after breakout attempt.
---
## 📉 Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
1. **Condition:** Price fails to break the upper CHOCH and rejects from **3,399 – 3,400**.
2. **Expected Move:** Drop towards **Demand Zone #1** (**3,345 – 3,350**).
3. **If Demand #1 Fails:** Continuation towards **Demand Zone #2** (**3,320 – 3,330**).
4. **Final Target in Deep Drop:** **3,260 – 3,265** (lowest demand line in chart).
---
## ⚠️ Analysis Validity
> This analysis remains valid **as long as the upper CHOCH is not broken to the upside**.
> If the CHOCH breaks and a bullish BOS forms, the bearish path will be invalidated, shifting the focus to the upside targets.
---
📌 **Note:** Always combine with DXY monitoring – a significant DXY rally could limit gold’s bullish potential.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SMC #SupplyDemand #CHOCH #BOS #TradingView
Shorting at highs is steadier to avoid risksAlthough gold kept breaking through its daily highs last week, rising all the way to around 3410 before starting to pull back, and the daily lows were also gradually climbing – making it easy to profit whether going long or short – I still recommend prioritizing shorting at high levels. This way, we can avoid losses if gold drops sharply. 📉
Go short at highs during the Asian session 📉
Go long at lows during the European session 📈
Go short at highs again during the U.S. session 📉
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 3410 - 3400
🚀 TP 3390 - 3380 - 3370
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