9/18: Trade Within 3674–3638 Range, Watch Resistance Near 3670Good morning, everyone!
Those who followed yesterday’s strategy should have made good profits—congratulations!
Currently, the price is hovering near the 3658 support. For today, the main resistance is around 3670–3680. If this level is broken and held, there’s potential to retest the 3700 area. If not, the bullish momentum may weaken.
On the 1H chart, if the next move forms a strong bullish candle (medium/large green candle) to break through, the probability of further upside will increase, giving bulls more opportunities. However, if the price continues to face heavy resistance without breaking, watch out for bears who may launch an attack. Key supports to watch are 3647 and 3636–3632. If these levels break, the 1D trend will show a reversal, with a drop below 3600 very likely, and deeper corrections possibly extending to the 3560 area.
Intraday strategy:
Trade within the 3674–3638 range.
If the 3680 resistance is broken strongly, look for buying opportunities on a pullback or consider selling near 3688 or higher.
If 3650 breaks, look to sell on rebounds near resistance, or consider buying opportunities below 3630.
Adjust trades flexibly according to market changes.
Xauusdsignal
Bullish Breakout Trade Setup on XAU/USD – Targeting 3,707 After Chart Components and Analysis
1. Descending Channel
The price was previously moving within a clearly defined downtrend channel (marked in red with blue borders).
The lower and upper bounds are acting as dynamic support and resistance levels.
2. Breakout Zone
The price appears to have broken out of the descending channel to the upside, or is attempting to break out.
The breakout suggests a potential reversal or bullish momentum.
📈 Trade Setup Details
Element Level Description
Entry Point 3,654.27 Suggested level to enter a long position
Stop Loss 3,643.58 Risk management level below recent support
Target Point 3,707.38 Take profit target at the next resistance zone
Current Price 3,662.37 Price at the time of chart capture
📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
Entry: 3,654.27
Stop Loss: 3,643.58 → ~10.69 points risk
Target: 3,707.38 → ~53.11 points reward
➡️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio ≈ 1:5, which is excellent. It suggests a well-planned trade with high reward potential relative to the risk.
📉 Price Action Forecast
The black zigzag line suggests expected short-term price retracement before moving up.
This could be a bullish flag pattern or a retest of the breakout zone before continuation upward.
✅ Bullish Indicators
Channel breakout.
High RRR.
Structured trade setup with clearly defined stop loss and target.
⚠️ Risks & Considerations
False breakout: Wait for confirmation (candle close outside the channel).
Market volatility: Economic news could affect Gold prices.
Retest failure: If price fails to hold above entry zone, trade invalidates.
🧠 Conclusion
This is a bullish breakout trade with a strong risk-to-reward profile. The trade logic hinges on the assumption that Gold has ended its correction (downtrend channel) and is now beginning a new upward leg. If the price successfully holds above the breakout level and continues upward, the target around 3,707 is realistic.
Bull Fever Cools:The Market Still Owes Us a WaterfallAs I expected, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and Powell did not show a clear dovish tone in his speech. Gold fell from 3707 to around 3646, with a drop of $610. Our short positions at 3685 and 3700 that we had ambushed overnight won as expected, and we successfully locked in a profit of 750 pips in the news market.
Although the Federal Reserve is inclined to take a hawkish approach to rate cuts, gold has rebounded from around 3646. Although it has performed relatively weakly, the downward momentum has slowed down and a unilateral downward trend has not formed. Overall, it is still in the high-level fluctuation range. So we can't rush to short gold at the moment. Because gold still has the possibility of rebounding back to the 3675-3685 area, and may even be expected to rebound back to the 3690-3700 area. After all, gold did not effectively fall below 3650 during the decline.
Although the decline in gold prices did not change the overall structure, it weakened the market's enthusiastic bullish sentiment in the short term, and the technical resistance also moved down to the 3675-3685 area, followed by the 3695-3705 resistance area. If gold rebounds to the resistance area, we can try to short gold, and the short-term retracement target is set in the 3655-3645 area. Once gold falls below this area, it is expected to continue the downward trend to the 3635-3625 area. Of course, it is not ruled out that gold will fluctuate widely in the 3690-3650 area.
Therefore, we can still make very good profits from the perspective of profit margin by shorting gold at the resistance areas of 3675-3685 .
With the meeting coming, will gold prices soar or plummet?Technical analysis of gold: Judging from the current trend, gold is approaching the 3700 mark. Bulls are surrounding it but not attacking, waiting for guidance from the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Overall, gold has risen by nearly $400 since it rose from 3311. For now, it is still in a bullish trend. Don't easily say it has reached the top before the trend reverses. From a technical point of view, the intraday support point is reflected in the daily cycle. On the unilateral moving average of the H4 cycle, the lower support is in the 3660-3650 area. You can just focus on these two points and go long. In principle, we don’t guess the top of the upper space, but the visible target is expected to be around 3710-3720. If it continues to rise, it may even reach 3730. After a phased rise during the U.S. trading session, we will see whether we can keep long positions and wait for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision based on actual conditions. The Federal Reserve will definitely cut interest rates this time, but the first rate cut will not be a large-scale release of money. It is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. The market performance is to sell expectations and buy facts. The current rise in gold from the end of August to September has achieved expectations. Therefore, after the actual confirmation of the rate cut, the market is expected to move in the opposite direction because the expectations have been fulfilled, and the historical performance is the same. To sum up the above: for the lower support, first pay attention to the area around 3660, and continue to look up to the 3680-3690 area. If the support is broken strongly, you can participate in long positions in the 3630-3620 area. At present, pay attention to the area around 3685-3695 in the short term and try to short. On the whole, the short-term strategy for gold today is still to arrange long positions on dips, supplemented by light positions in short positions when it rebounds to key resistance levels. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3700-3720 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3660-3650 line of support.
Don’t blindly shortFrom the 4-hour chart analysis, the support level remains solid. Today if prices pull back, stick to this level for bullish trades.
As we mentioned earlier, it is advisable not to blindly follow short positions; wait for the Fed to confirm the interest rate cut.
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
ANFIBO | XAUUSD on 09.17.2025 and is this a major breakthrough?Here's Anfibo. With my yesterday's plan, our sell OANDA:XAUUSD order reached more than 200 pips, the buy order was 30 pips short of matching the entry and missed 150 pips short. But that's okay, I have a new plan today for everyone to follow:
💚 SUPPORT ZONES: 3676 - 3660
❤️ RESISTANCE ZONES: 3694 - 3700 - 3705 - 3719 - 3745
✅ BUY SCALP: 3675 - 3677, SL 3674, TP 3694 - 3700 - 3719
❌ SELL SCALP: 3719 - 3721, SL 3723, TP 3700 - 3675 - 3660
- - - - - - - - - - - - -
✅ SWING BUY: 3550 - 3560, SL 3540, TP 3625 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
❌ SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Hope is right lol! xoxo
9/17: Ahead of Rate Decision, Trade Within 3668–3706 RangeGood morning, everyone!
Yesterday, after breaking above 3682, the price reached the 3692–3702 area before pulling back. Those of you who carefully followed the strategy should have caught this move.
At the moment, the price is near support. Ahead of the interest rate decision, the main support lies around 3670–3658, while resistance is in the 3700–3706/3712 area. Trading can be focused within the 3706–3668 range.
The key today is the interest rate decision. If the price falls before the news, then buying opportunities may arise during the announcement. If the price rises beforehand, look for selling opportunities after the news.
I’ve marked today’s intraday trading range on the chart for reference. You can plan trades based on the price area. If anything is unclear, feel free to leave me a message.
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Setting Up Wave (5) ExtensionHey Traders,
Gold on the M30 chart is still holding a bullish structure, but the recent push into the upper channel line shows early signs of exhaustion. Here’s my full breakdown and trading plan:
🔍 Technical Overview
Price just completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural profit-taking zone.
The 3666–3670 range has been a key pivot/support zone multiple times; I expect a pullback into this area for Wave (4) before another rally.
3657 marks deeper support and the invalidation point for the bullish setup.
If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) targets 3720–3725.
📈 Key Levels
Type Price Level Notes
Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch rejection
Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4)
Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation
Wave (5) TP 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target
⚙️ Trading Plan
✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation)
Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a brief sweep to ~3657).
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on M30.
Targets:
TP1: 3695–3700 (prior highs)
TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection)
Stop Loss: Below ~3652.
Risk/Reward: ~1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry.
⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short
Scenario: Strong rejection again at 3695–3700.
Targets: 3670 → 3657.
Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707.
Note: This is countertrend and higher risk – take quick profits, small position sizing.
🛡 Risk & Invalidation
A close below 3656 with a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario.
Always risk ≤1–1.5% per trade, wait for confirmation, and don’t chase if price runs without you.
🧭 Final Thoughts
Gold remains in a bullish short-term channel. A healthy pullback into 3666–3670 could provide the perfect entry for the next Wave (5) leg up. Be patient for price action confirmation.
Countertrend shorts are possible on a sharp rejection at 3695–3700, but the main play is buying the dip.
Stay disciplined, trade the levels, and let the market come to you.
9/16: Watch Support at 3668–3652, Resistance at 3700✍️Good morning, everyone!
Key Support: 3668–3656
Key Resistance: 3700
Yesterday, gold repeatedly tested the 3643–3648 resistance area. During the pullback, the trend support held, and after consolidating, the price broke through resistance strongly. The overall move was in line with expectations (if it can stay above 3643–3658, it may test around 3668 with a chance of setting new highs).
After yesterday’s breakout, the price is now consolidating at high levels. Whether the bullish trend can be maintained depends mainly on support in the 3668–3656 (3648–3643) area. As long as this support holds, bulls may remain in control until tomorrow’s interest rate decision, with the possibility of testing the psychological level of 3700.
During the consolidation, trading can be focused around the 3682–3662 area.
If the price breaks out, selling opportunities may appear near 3692–3702, while buying opportunities can be considered around 3648–3636.
GOLD: No Bears In SightGold is still bullish. If price pulls back, the 3660–3665 zone is my POI. If momentum keeps driving and we get a breakout above 3690, my target will be 3725. Gold has pushed well beyond the 3660 liquidity pool, confirming buyers strength.
(H1)
Impulsive leg from 3642-3677 left behind some imbalances below:
3660–3665 FVG (fresh demand).
3635–3642 (deeper support if volatility spikes).
As long as gold holds above 3660, buyers remain in control.
(M15)
Price is consolidating just under 3680, showing short-term exhaustion after the run.
Liquidity rests above 3685–3690, which could be swept next.
We also have equal lows at 3665 which may get tested if a pullback occurs.
Pullback Buy (High-Probability)
Entry Zone 3660–3665
SL 3650
TP1 3685
TP2 3700
TP3 3725
Breakout Buy (If No Pullback)
Entry Break above + Retest 3690
Stop Loss 3680
TP1 3705
TP2 3725
Invalidation: H4 close below 3650, which would open retrace toward 3635.
Gold vs Dollar – Bullish Confirmation & Risk Management PlanXAU/USD "The Gold vs US Dollar" - Metal Market Cash Flow Management Strategy ⚡ (Swing/Day Trade)
📊 Trading Plan:
✅ Bias : Bullish confirmation spotted as Hull Moving Average shows an upside pullback trend.
✅ Entry Idea : Flexible entry with layering strategy (scaling in with multiple limit orders) :
$3650
$3660
$3670
$3680
( You can add more layers depending on your risk and strategy preference. )
🛡️ Risk Management:
Suggested Protective Stop Loss : around $3630 (after breakout levels).
⚠️ Note : Please adjust SL based on your personal strategy and risk tolerance — this is not a fixed recommendation.
🎯 Target Outlook:
Short-term resistance expected near $3740 (where moving averages converge + overbought conditions may trigger profit-taking traps).
Idea: secure profits before market reversals.
⚠️ Note : Target levels are flexible. You can adjust according to your own plan and market conditions.
🔑 Key Points:
Hull MA Pullback → signals bullish continuation.
Layered Entry → improves average price & manages volatility.
Exit Discipline → respect your risk plan, don't rely solely on posted SL/TP.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation & Flow):
🟢 OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver/USD) → Often moves in tandem with gold, can confirm metal market strength.
🟢 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) → Inverse correlation with gold; weak USD = stronger gold.
🟢 FX:EURUSD → Euro strength usually aligns with gold bullish momentum.
🟢 FX:USDJPY → Safe-haven flows: when JPY strengthens, gold tends to follow.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated - it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #DayTrading #SwingTrading #HullMA #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #Metals #FXAnalysis #DXY #TechnicalAnalysis
XAU/USD on Fire — Next Stop $3,750?Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1H chart is currently maintaining a bullish structure, with price trading around $3,644 after bouncing from the $3,610 support zone. This area has repeatedly acted as a demand level, confirming that buyers are defending dips. The market has been forming higher lows and higher highs, which reinforces the bullish bias.
On the upside, the price faces resistance around $3,674–$3,700, which aligns with the marked take-profit zone. If bulls manage to push above $3,700 with momentum, the next extension target could be near $3,750, a psychological level and a historically reactive price point. On the downside, $3,610 remains a key invalidation level; a break below could shift momentum back toward sellers.
From a momentum perspective, recent buying signals around the lower zones confirm continued interest from institutional buyers. The recent cluster of selling signals near $3,670 reflects short-term supply pressure, but price behavior shows that demand is gradually absorbing that.
________________________________________
✅ Trade Setup (Bullish)
• Entry: $3,645 – $3,650
• Stop Loss: Below $3,610
• Take Profit 1: $3,674
• Take Profit 2: $3,700
• Extended Target: $3,750
________________________________________
Risk handling is critical here. The setup offers a 1:1.5 to 1:2 risk/reward, depending on entry execution. A smart approach would be to book partial profits at $3,674, then trail the stop-loss to breakeven. If price breaks above $3,674 convincingly, use a trailing stop strategy under each new higher low on the 1H chart. This allows traders to lock in gains while still staying exposed to the larger bullish move.
In short, Gold remains poised for a bullish breakout, with strong upside potential if resistance levels are cleared. Careful trade management with partial exits and trailing stops will ensure traders maximize profit while limiting risk.
________________________________________
XAU/USD Stalls Slightly above 3650 – Bulls Losing Steam?Gold printed fresh all-time highs at 3674 last week, only to reverse sharply and settle into a sideways structure between 3620–3655.
The current debate: is this simply a consolidation box that will fuel another breakout, or is the market quietly building a distribution top that could resemble a triple top pattern (if we ignore the spike to ATH)?
Technically, the momentum has clearly cooled. The 3355–3360 area continues to cap the upside, turning into a stubborn barrier that bulls haven’t been able to overcome.
From a fundamental angle, the Fed’s rate cut is already baked into the price. The focus is now on Powell’s guidance. With inflation pushing higher, a cautious and balanced tone is more likely than a dovish surprise.
Cross-checking with other pairs, XAU/EUR and XAU/GBP are already pressing their support levels. That relative weakness suggests the gold complex as a whole may be closer to a downside break than to a new leg up.
For now, I’m flat. But unless bulls regain control quickly, I’ll be watching for failed rallies after London open as potential short setups.
Gold Correction After ATH – Bearish Waves Ahead?Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has been in a correction mode for the past four days after creating a new All-Time High (ATH) . The question is whether the correction will continue or not.
Over the past 4 days, US indices were released, but Gold was not greatly affected by these indices, although the manner in which the US indices were announced was in favor of Gold ( Maybe gold is saturated with buying. ).
Gold is currently trading in the Support zone($3,644-$3,636) and near the Support line.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed the Double Three Correction structure(WXY), and we can expect bearish waves .
I expect Gold to break the Support zone($3,644-$3,636) AFTER breaking the Support line and fall to at least $3,624(First Target) .
Second Target: Support lines
Stop Loss (SL) = $3,662
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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