GOLD ; How far down?Hello friends
Well, after the good rise we had, the price needed a correction, which happened with a double top pattern.
Now the main question is, how far will the fall go?
Well, in the short term, the price can fall to the specified limits, and if the support areas are broken, the fall will continue, and on the other hand, an important resistance has been created, which the price needs to break for the new ATH.
With this decline, it is unlikely that the price will suffer for a while and correct because it has grown a lot and everything will end one day...
Support levels can be good points for buying, of course with capital and risk management.
*Trade safely with us*
Xauusdsignal
Gold Trade Set Up Oct 30 2025Price pushed up after failing to break and close below 4h swing lows and is making 1h and 15m HH/HL so internally i am bullish. If price can break and close above 15m LH and sweep 5m SSL i will look for buys to London highs and PDH but if price fails to close above 15m highs and closes below 15m and 1h swing low i will wait for a BSL sweep on the 5m to target PDL
XAUUSD - Bears are taking over Gold remains under bearish pressure as it trades below key moving averages and fails to reclaim the 61.8% retracement zone. A confirmed 4H close below $3,920 would strengthen the case for a continuation toward the Fibonacci extension targets listed below.
🎯 Fibonacci Extension Targets (Bearish)
Using the latest swing high to swing low:
Target 1 (38.2%) → $3,832
Target 2 (61.8%) → $3,808
Target 3 (100%) → $3,776
Bias: Bearish continuation
Confluences:
Trend Structure: Price is forming lower highs and lower lows after rejecting from the previous swing high, confirming a bearish market structure.
EMA Ribbon / Dynamic Resistance: The price is trading below the EMA ribbon, which is now acting as a strong dynamic resistance zone.
Fibonacci Retracement: Price rejected from the 61.8% retracement level of the previous downswing — a key bearish retracement zone.
Momentum Indicators: Bearish momentum increasing as candles close below the midline of the ribbon with low buying pressure.
Volume/Confirmation: Decreasing bullish volume on retracement, followed by renewed selling pressure.
XAUUSD (GOLD) – ASIA SESSION ANALYSIS RESULTS4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📉 SELL Setup (Main Bias)
• Entry Zone: 3,955 – 3,964 (Golden Zone)
• Confirmation: 5M/15M bearish engulfing or CHoCH after liquidity sweep.
• TPs: 3,940 → 3,930 → 3,916 → 3,898 → 3,886
• SL: Above 3,976
💡 Rationale: Rejection from fib zone aligns with H1 structure continuation; best risk-reward short setup.
XAU/USD (Gold) - Mildly bullish to neutralBias: Mildly bullish to neutral. gold is holding above US$4,000 when priced in USD, but remains vulnerable to downside if key support breaks.
Key Levels:
Support approx $3,846.50 ‑ $3,771.46 value zone.
Resistance near ~$4,041 (20‑SMA) and ~$4,111 (100‑SMA).
Trade Plan:
Entry (Bounce long): Consider buying on a clean bullish rejection near ~$3,850‑3,780 (if reached). SL (stop‑loss) ~ $3,730. TP1 ~ $4,040; TP2 ~ $4,110.
Entry (Breakout long): If gold convincingly breaks above ~$4,040 with good volume, consider entry ~4,050. SL ~ $3,900. TP1 ~$4,200; TP2 ~$4,300+.
Caution / alternative short): If price breaks below support Zone $3,770 → could target $3,650 area.
Risk Management:
Risk size ~1‑2% of the account per trade.
After TP1 is hit, move the stop to breakeven or just below the entry to protect the profit.
Watch USD strength/weakness (as gold broadly trades inversely to USD). If the dollar strengthens sharply, the bias may shift.
XAU/USD – Gold in Equilibrium Zone: Sell Opportunities Around...🔍 Market Context
Gold is currently consolidating within a triangle structure , showing short-term accumulation before a potential breakout.
Buyers are trying to maintain a minor bullish structure, but the series of lower highs indicates that sellers still hold the upper hand.
At the moment, price is reacting within the FVG 3,942–3,979 USD area, staying below the descending trendline.
If this zone fails to break, selling pressure may return.
💎 Key Technical Levels
• Bearish Order Block: 4,022 USD → main supply zone, aligning with the descending trendline.
• FVG Zone 1: 3,979 USD → short-term liquidity test area.
• FVG Zone 2: 3,942 USD → potential retracement zone before further downside.
• Bullish Order Block: 3,882 USD → key support aligning with long-term bullish trendline.
• Liquidity Zone: 3,789 USD → extended target if main support breaks.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Sell Setup – Reaction from Resistance Zone
• Entry: 4,012 – 4,022 USD
• Stop Loss: 4,035 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,979
– TP2: 3,942
– TP3: 3,900
– TP4: 3,882
– TP5: 3,789
✳️ “Sell the premium” – utilise supply and FVG reactions following Smart Money flow.
2️⃣ Buy Setup – Reaction from Demand Zone
• Entry: 3,882 USD
• Stop Loss: 3,865 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,910
– TP2: 3,942
– TP3: 3,979
– TP4: 4,012
– TP5: 4,022
✳️ “Buy the discount” – valid when strong absorption or reversal signal forms near the lower OB.
💬 Summary
Current structure remains short-term bearish , yet the market is balanced.
The most efficient approach is to sell near premium zones (4,022) and buy back near discount (3,882) .
Expected range in the next 24–48 hours: 3,880–4,020 USD .
💡 Tagline:
“Trade where institutions act — not where retail reacts.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 30/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
TVC:GOLD Gold rebounded from the $3,931–3,937 support zone, regaining traction above $3,950. The chart shows potential upside toward the $3,981–3,988 resistance zone, though price is still within a short-term range. If buyers maintain momentum, a break above $3,988 could open the way to $4,000. Conversely, failure to hold above $3,931 may trigger renewed downside pressure.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,937 – $3,931 (support retest)
Stop Loss: $3,929
Take Profit: $3,981 – $3,987
Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 5.67
🌐 Macro Background
Gold attracted safe-haven bids after snapping a four-day losing streak. As FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani notes: “The US Dollar drifts lower amid shutdown concerns, lending some support to Gold.” 【FXStreet】
The USD weakened despite the Fed’s hawkish stance, pressured by economic uncertainty from the prolonged U.S. government shutdown.
The Trump–Xi meeting offered a softer equity market tone, reflecting lingering geopolitical caution.
The Fed cut rates by 25 bps as expected, but Chair Powell rejected expectations of another December cut, limiting Gold’s upside.
Traders now await FOMC member speeches for clues on the future rate-cut path.
This combination leaves Gold supported by safe-haven demand but capped by Fed’s hawkish tilt.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,981 – $3,988
Support: $3,931 – $3,937
Psychological Level: $4,000
📌 Trade Summary
Gold holds firm above $3,950 with renewed safe-haven flows, but faces resistance near $3,985. A bullish setup favours buying dips into support ($3,931–3,937) with targets at $3,987. Caution is warranted as Fed commentary could inject volatility.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Gold 1H - Intraday Trading Plan
📅 Date: October 29, 2025 | Session Update: 13:00 VN Time
📈 Market Context
Gold remains under pressure after yesterday’s failed recovery above the $4,030 mark.
Stronger U.S. economic data and firm Treasury yields continue to weigh on the metal, while investors await upcoming inflation expectations data for further direction.
Despite short-term bearish sentiment, the $3,975 – $4,000 region continues to act as a key liquidity and accumulation zone, where large orders from institutional players may still be positioned.
For today’s session, expect choppy movement within $3,970 – $4,040, with possible liquidity sweeps around both ends before the next impulsive leg forms.
🔎 Technical Outlook (1H / Smart Money Concept)
Overall market structure: Corrective, following a failure to hold above $4,050 in the previous session.
Liquidity grab: Below $3,980 and above $4,030 has created short-term imbalance zones.
Discount demand zone: $3,975 – $3,985
Premium supply zone: $4,035 – $4,050
A confirmed BOS (Break of Structure) above $4,015 on the 15M timeframe would signal a potential bullish intraday reversal.
🟢 Buy Setup (Reversal / Accumulation Bias)
Entry Zone: 3,975 – 3,985
Stop-Loss: 3,968
Take-Profit Targets:
→ TP1: 4,015
→ TP2: 4,035
→ TP3: 4,060
Rationale:
Price continues to respect the psychological level at $4,000, suggesting possible accumulation.
Wait for BOS or ChoCH confirmation on M15 before executing buy positions.
A push above $4,015 could signal the start of a reaccumulation phase toward the premium zone.
🔴 Sell Setup (Continuation Scenario)
Entry Zone: 4,035 – 4,050
Stop-Loss: 4,062
Take-Profit Targets:
→ TP1: 4,010
→ TP2: 3,980
→ TP3: 3,950
Rationale:
The $4,035 – $4,050 area aligns with a premium pricing zone, where short-term sellers may defend liquidity.
Look for bearish ChoCH confirmation on the lower timeframe to confirm rejection.
This setup favors continuation trades in case gold fails to reclaim the intraday structure.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
Avoid entries during major U.S. data releases — high volatility can trigger fakeouts and wide spreads.
Always wait for clear market structure confirmation before execution.
Take partial profits at near-term liquidity pools and trail stop-loss as the trade progresses.
Keep your risk per position below 1% — volatility remains elevated within this tight range.
✅ Summary
Gold is consolidating near the $4,000 key support zone, showing early signs of reaccumulation but still lacking confirmation.
A break and hold above $4,015 could ignite a short-term bullish move toward $4,050 – $4,060.
Conversely, a clean break below $3,970 would likely expose $3,950 and extend the bearish correction.
Patience and structure confirmation remain the key — liquidity traps are likely before any clear directional move.
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XAU/USD: Intraday Retracement into FVG Followed by Bearish ?Recent Trend: The overall trend in the past few days has been strongly bearish (downward), as evidenced by the price action from October 22nd to the 29th. The current candles show a slight upward bounce (retracement).
Fair Value Gap (FVG): A grey shaded area, the FVG, is clearly marked as an area of resistance and price inefficiency, located between approximately $3,960 and $3,980. This FVG was created during the most recent sharp move down.
Consequent Retracement Levels (CRT):
CRT-L (around $4,005) is the higher boundary of the recent downward structure.
CRT-H (around $3,915) marks a key low level, representing the anticipated target for the current move.
Proposed Price Action:
The price is currently showing resistance at the lower boundary of the FVG (around $3,949.99).
The primary arrow indicates the expected move: the price is anticipated to reject the FVG/current resistance zone, turn bearish, and continue its decline towards the CRT-H level at approximately $3,915.
Gold Rebounds to Order Block — Downside Risk Remains🔍 Market Context
After forming a Change of Character (ChoCH) and a clear Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside, gold dropped sharply from 4,080–4,100 USD, confirming a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
Price is now making a technical rebound, forming Lower Highs toward the Order Block 4,012 USD — aligning with a small Fair Value Gap (FVG) , suggesting new selling pressure may emerge.
This rebound is seen as a “pullback retest supply” within a completed bearish setup.
If the 4,012 USD supply zone reacts strongly, price may extend its drop toward lower liquidity pools.
💎 Key Technical Structure
BoS (bearish): confirms a break below prior bullish structure.
Order Block (OB): 4,010–4,020 USD → main supply area confluencing with FVG.
FVG zone: 3,985–4,010 USD → technical retracement zone.
Supply Zone: 3,891–3,895 USD → temporary support, may be swept.
Liquidity Zone: 3,850–3,860 USD → key liquidity target.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Retest OB 4,010–4,020 USD
Entry: 4,010 – 4,020
SL: 4,035
Take Profit: 3,985 - 3,965 - 3,945 - 3,915 - 3,890/Open
✅ Condition:
Wait for price to retest FVG–OB with clear bearish confirmation (strong rejection, bearish engulfing, or minor ChoCH on M15).
➡️ Trend-follow setup – sell after price retests supply zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Liquidity Zone 3,850 USD
Entry: 3,850 – 3,860
SL: 3,830
TP1: 3,870 - 3,885 - 3,900 - 3,920 - 3,940/Open
✅ Condition:
Wait for strong absorption or bullish reversal signal (long-tail rejection or bullish ChoCH on M15–H1).
➡️ Counter-trend scalp setup for reversal traders.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise SELLs below 4,035 USD.
BUYs only valid with confirmation at Liquidity Zone.
Avoid mid-range trading (3,920–3,970) to reduce noise.
💬 Conclusion
Gold remains in a bearish trend after breaking prior bullish structure.
As long as price stays below 4,035 USD , downside momentum prevails.
Next major target: 3,891 – 3,851 USD .
👉 Strategic Plan:
Sell 4,010–4,020 | SL 4,035 | TP 3,985 → 3,890 🎯
Buy 3,850–3,860 | SL 3,830 | TP 3,870 → 3,940 🎯
💎 Price never lies — liquidity always reveals the truth.
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 29/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold Has Entered the Fifth Wave — A Drop Below 3800 Is PossibleGold continued its Wave-4 rebound today, but following a news catalyst, Wave-5 downward momentum began, and the market structure has become clearer. In such conditions, what traders need most is patience.
From the daily chart perspective, there still appears to be room for further downside. Based on my expectation, this decline may break below 3800. Of course, the market is always changing, and our outlook is based on probabilities — no one can guarantee the market will move exactly as expected. However, recent price action has been largely in line with our forecast, and I believe many of you have already secured profits from this move — that’s what matters.
Additionally, I will be traveling tomorrow and won’t be able to monitor the market in real time. So during your trades, please stay alert and prioritize risk control. Protect your capital first — profits will come naturally afterward. The market never lacks opportunities, so don’t sacrifice long-term stability for short-term gains.
Stay calm, stay disciplined, and trade safely!
Watch for support at 3990-3980 to consider going long on gold.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold prices have repeatedly tested the 4030 level without a successful breakout. Gold has now begun to decline, with short-term bears gradually releasing their momentum. Further downside is expected, with support expected in the 3990-3980 range. If gold prices can pull back to this range in the short term, we can consider going long on gold in anticipation of a rebound. Target range: 4030-4050
echnical analysis for your XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) chart:XAU/USD (Gold) 15-Min Chart Analysis – 29 Oct 2025
Market Structure
The previous descending channel has been broken to the upside, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
Price retraced back to a support level zone (≈ $3,920 – $3,940), where buyers are likely to defend.
Key Levels
Support Zone: 3,920 – 3,940
→ Price already tested this area with strong rejection wicks, showing buyer interest.
Resistance Zone: 3,980 – 4,020
→ Short-term resistance; a breakout above 4,020 confirms bullish momentum.
Target Level: 4,142
→ As marked on your chart, this is the projected bullish target after confirmation of upward continuation.
Price Action
After a downward correction, gold found support and formed a double-bottom-type pattern near the 3,940 level.
Price is currently consolidating above support, signaling potential accumulation before an upward push.
Momentum Outlook
If price holds above 3,940, expect a move towards 4,000 → 4,020, followed by a breakout to 4,142 (target).
However, if 3,920 support breaks, the price may retest 3,880–3,860, resuming short-term bearish momentum.
📈 Trading Bias
Bullish bias above 3,940 (target 4,142).
Bearish only below 3,920 (target 3,860). EURONEXT:FTI1! EURONEXT:VM81! EURONEXT:PH6X2025 EURONEXT:PH8Z2025 EURONEXT:ZT8F2026 EURONEXT:ER8Z2025 EURONEXT:UY8F2026 EURONEXT:VC8F2026 EURONEXT:ZF8F2026 EURONEXT:ZU8F2026 EURONEXT:VJ8F2026 EURONEXT:AH7X2025
XAUUSD Ideathis pair has formed a valid ascending channel and a valid ascending trendline
in my opinion this would be the move of the gold
but first gold need to break the red trendline with a candle that close under the touch of the trendline
dont forget today there is very affective news about the interest rate
so be careful with your risk management
Follow for more ideas
Gold Bullish Butterfly Forming – Reversal Ahead?As I expected in the previous idea , Gold started declining from the Resistance zone($4,192 – $4,137) and has now reached the Support zone($4,004 – $3,895) — full target achieved .
At the moment, Gold is moving within that Support zone($4,004 – $3,895) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Looking at the 1-hour time frame , we can spot a Bullish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern forming, which is likely to complete right in that PRZ .
I expect that in the coming hours, once Gold enters the PRZ , it could rise at least up to around $4,057(First Target) .
Second Target: $4,132
Stop Loss(SL): $3,889(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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#XAUUSD: Two Entries, Three Targets, Swing Sell! Gold dropped to 3883 region, the lowest point in the last two months. Since then, it has started rebounding. Currently, the price is approaching a very important key level, which could lead to a smooth reversal. However, market conditions will be extremely volatile, making it difficult to predict any move. This is because we have the NFP coming up. Due to this volatility, both of these entry points are equally possible.
Once either entry is confirmed, you should place a target based on your risk management and trade planning. Remember, this is not a confirmation, and the price could go in the opposite direction. Please do your own analysis before making any financial decisions.
We are here to help. If you have any questions related to this analysis or any trading matter, please drop a comment. We will do our best to help you out. If you want to support us, please like and comment on the idea.
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XAU USD Last bullish leg ?Price has broken short-term bearish structure and moved above the moving-average channel with strong momentum, indicating a shift toward bullish control. The rising trendline is holding as support, confirming structural reversal.
Fibonacci levels provide clear upside targets, with 38.2% at 4040–4050 as the first objective, followed by a constrained upper target near 4070, just below the 61.8% retracement and prior supply zone.
As long as price holds above the breakout zone and trendline, continuation toward 4040–4070 remains the most probable outcome.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Chart Analysis – Short-Term Reversal from ?Technical Overview:
Gold has recently rebounded from a High Demand Zone around the $3,900–$3,910 region, showing clear signs of buyer re-entry after a prolonged bearish correction. The candle structure suggests strong bullish intent, with higher lows forming and a potential continuation toward the next liquidity area.
Key Observations:
🔹 High Demand Zone: Price reacted strongly here, indicating institutional buying pressure.
🔹 High Prop POI (Point of Interest): Served as a key accumulation level before the breakout.
🔹 SMC Trap: Indicates a prior liquidity grab, trapping late sellers before the move up.
🔹 Bullish Momentum Building: Consecutive bullish candles after rejection from the demand zone strengthen the reversal bias.
Target Projection:
🎯 Immediate Target: $4,080 – $4,100 (aligned with local resistance and liquidity grab zone).
🛑 Support: $3,905 (must hold to maintain bullish structure).
💎 Extended Target (if momentum continues): $4,160 – $4,180 (previous major swing high zone).
Summary:
Gold is showing a short-term recovery phase within a broader bullish structure. A confirmed 4H close above $4,030 would likely propel price toward the $4,100 region, while a drop below $3,900 would invalidate the bullish setup.
📊 Suggested Title:
"Gold Rebounds from Key Demand Zone, Eyes $4,100 Resistance 🔥"
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Bullish Head & Shoulder [10.29.2025]Hi traders, Anfibo's back!
XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
OANDA:XAUUSD recently reached a new ATH near $4,400/oz, before undergoing a healthy correction back to the $3,890 support level following an exceptionally strong rally fueled by geopolitical tensions. After this retracement, gold is now consolidating around the $4,000 zone, showing signs of breaking above the descending trendline on the H1 timeframe — a signal that short-term bullish momentum may be reemerging.
From a structural standpoint, this pullback appears to be part of a technical correction within an ongoing uptrend, not a trend reversal. Currently, the market is stabilizing and setting up for a potential new wave upward. I’m personally watching for a Head & Shoulders (H&S) formation to develop — this could offer optimal Buy and Sell opportunities depending on which neckline breaks first.
I still believe gold is likely to revisit the $4,200 area soon , as long as the $3,890 support holds firm and global risk sentiment continues to favor safe-haven assets.
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
ENTRY: 4135 - 4150
SL: 4165
TP: 4045 - 4010 - 4000
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 4000 - 4010
SL: 3990
TP: 4135 - 4150 - 4200
Risk Management:
- Prioritize Buy setups following the higher-timeframe trend; Sell only for intraday scalps.
- Maintain a minimum Risk:Reward ratio of 1:2.
- Avoid entries during major geopolitical or economic announcements.
- Monitor the Head & Shoulders pattern closely — confirmation will guide the next major move.
Conclusion:
Gold has completed a healthy correction after its parabolic surge to $4,400, and the market is now regrouping around the $4,000 zone, with early signs of renewed bullish momentum. As long as $3,890 remains intact, the broader trend remains bullish, and I expect a potential rebound toward $4,200 in the near term.
Patience and precision are key here — waiting for the Head & Shoulders formation to confirm will provide the best entry signals for both sides of the market. Until then, the bias remains bullish with a short-term recovery underway.
GOODLUCK, LOVE U GUYS!






















