XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Setting Up Wave (5) ExtensionHey Traders,
Gold on the M30 chart is still holding a bullish structure, but the recent push into the upper channel line shows early signs of exhaustion. Here’s my full breakdown and trading plan:
🔍 Technical Overview
Price just completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural profit-taking zone.
The 3666–3670 range has been a key pivot/support zone multiple times; I expect a pullback into this area for Wave (4) before another rally.
3657 marks deeper support and the invalidation point for the bullish setup.
If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) targets 3720–3725.
📈 Key Levels
Type Price Level Notes
Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch rejection
Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4)
Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation
Wave (5) TP 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target
⚙️ Trading Plan
✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation)
Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a brief sweep to ~3657).
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on M30.
Targets:
TP1: 3695–3700 (prior highs)
TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection)
Stop Loss: Below ~3652.
Risk/Reward: ~1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry.
⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short
Scenario: Strong rejection again at 3695–3700.
Targets: 3670 → 3657.
Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707.
Note: This is countertrend and higher risk – take quick profits, small position sizing.
🛡 Risk & Invalidation
A close below 3656 with a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario.
Always risk ≤1–1.5% per trade, wait for confirmation, and don’t chase if price runs without you.
🧭 Final Thoughts
Gold remains in a bullish short-term channel. A healthy pullback into 3666–3670 could provide the perfect entry for the next Wave (5) leg up. Be patient for price action confirmation.
Countertrend shorts are possible on a sharp rejection at 3695–3700, but the main play is buying the dip.
Stay disciplined, trade the levels, and let the market come to you.
Xauusdsignal
Intraday short position is dominant, beware of big drop#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
As I analyzed with you over the weekend, although gold prices largely fluctuated at high levels last week, the overall structure remained within an upward trend. Yesterday's daily line closed with a big positive line, breaking the box-shaped oscillation in one fell swoop. This morning, gold continued its bullish trend, reaching a high of around 3689. Judging from the market trends, the overall short-term bullish trend remains unchanged, but this does not mean the end of the short position.
First, the risk of chasing high prices is far greater than shorting, and the technical analysis suggests a potential correction.
As the price of gold rises, the previous resistance gradually turns into short-term support. If gold wants to continue to rise, it must at least fall back to 3665-3655.
Secondly, regarding the news, first, although the fourth China-US talks have not yet released any signals about tariffs, the news released by China is conducive to positive developments. Second, the court dismissed Trump's charges against Cook. Although the White House has stated that it will continue to do so, this move has effectively reduced market concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve. From the news perspective, it is conducive to the decline of gold.
Therefore, I remain optimistic about a short-term pullback in gold prices. Those without existing orders can consider continuing to short gold in batches above 3680, with a short-term target of 3665-3655. It can not only effectively raise the average price, but also occupy an advantageous position when gold experiences a sharp correction. However, it should be noted that in short trading, the number of trading lots must be strictly controlled to reduce trading risks and not let the account collapse on the eve of profit.
GOLD New High Record Break Gold New High on the Way! 🔥
Current Price: 3635
📈 Buy Entry Active — Target 3690
✨ Gold is in full bullish control.
✨ Buyers pushing strongly toward new record highs.
✨ Market confidence remains unshaken.
✨ Every dip is being bought instantly.
✨ Strong fundamentals + technicals support upside.
✨ Next resistance is ready to be tested soon.
✨ A breakout above 3690 can open doors for even higher levels.
✨ This could be the start of another major rally.
⚡ Don’t wait — secure your position now before the breakout run begins!
Gold Breaks Records: Is This the Start of a New Super Cycle?Hi traders! Gold (XAU/USD) broke out strong, gaining 1.1% on September 15, 2025, to close at $3,680.80/oz after hitting a historic peak of $3,685.39/oz. Last week, gold climbed 1.6%, supported by a weaker USD (down 0.3% to a one-week low) and falling US government bond yields. The market is almost certain the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25% on September 17, with some even anticipating a larger 0.5% move (according to the CME FedWatch Tool). Global tensions and potential gold import liberalization in China continue to fuel the rally. Let's analyze and find some trading setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Gold Shines in Uncertainty 🌟
Fed Rate Cuts: US economic data from last week showed the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose at its fastest pace in seven months, but recent jobs data pointed to a weakening labor market. This supports the Fed’s move towards a rate cut, a first since December 2024. A lower interest rate environment weakens the US Dollar and makes non-yielding assets like gold more attractive.
Geopolitical Tensions: The upcoming Fed meeting is under unusual political pressure, with leadership disputes and President Donald Trump pushing for greater influence. The US Senate is also considering allowing his economic advisor, Stephen Miran, to join the rate-setting committee to vote on September 17. Gold typically acts as a safe haven during such instability.
China's Demand: Reports from last weekend suggest China may ease gold import/export rules and boost its purchasing activity. Strong official and private demand from a major consumer like China is a key driver for gold's upward momentum.
Technical Analysis: Breaking Records & Finding Opportunities 📉
Gold has decisively broken above the Fibo 2.618 level and established a new all-time high (ATH). Pullbacks have been shallow, typically moving only about $10 before the rally continues. This indicates strong buying pressure, making it difficult for sellers to gain ground. We should look to buy on dips and consider selling only at key resistance levels.
Resistance: $3704, $3714, $3724
Support: $3694, $3686, $3674, $3666
Trading Setups (Use Strict Risk Management):
Buy Scalp:
Zone: $3688 - $3686
SL: $3682
TP: $3691 - $3696 - $3701 - $3706
Buy Zone:
Zone: $3667 - $3665
SL: $3657
TP: $3675 - $3685 - $3695 - $3705 - $3715
Sell Scalp:
Zone: $3704 - $3706
SL: $3710
TP: $3701 - $3696 - $3691 - $3686
Sell Zone:
Zone: $3724 - $3726
SL: $3734
TP: $3716 - $3706 - $3696 - $3686 - $3676
Gold is at an all-time high—be cautious of liquidity traps around the upcoming Fed news! Above $3694, the next target is a new high; below, we could test $3666. Manage your risk tightly ahead of the September 17 volatility! Will you buy the dip or sell the top? Share your strategy below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Geopolitics #CentralBank
Gold Facing Strong Resistance – Bearish Move Towards Support ?Analysis:
Resistance Zone: Price is struggling to break above the $3,645–$3,650 area, which has acted as a strong resistance multiple times.
Support Levels: Immediate support lies around $3,620 and $3,614, with the major support zone at $3,580.
Price Action: Repeated rejections from resistance indicate weakening bullish momentum. Sellers are gaining control near the resistance zone.
Bearish Outlook: A potential downward move is projected, with price likely to test $3,580 support if resistance continues to hold.
Risk Management: A break and close above $3,650 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger a bullish continuation.
✅ Bias: Bearish below $3,650
🎯 Targets: $3,620 → $3,614 → $3,580
🛑 Invalidation: Above $3,650
Gold Ready for the Next RallyOver the past few sessions, I’ve observed gold consolidating within a Symmetrical Triangle after a strong bullish move. From my experience, this pattern often represents a “pause for breath” before the market resumes its primary trend.
What caught my attention most is that price has just broken above the upper boundary of the triangle, signaling a clear breakout. That said, I won’t be rushing into a trade. I always prioritize safety, so I’ll wait for price to retest the breakout zone. If the former resistance holds as new support and shows strong rejection, that will be my ideal entry point.
Based on my projection, the upside target for this setup is around 3,720 USD. For risk management, I would place the stoploss either below the lower boundary of the triangle or just under the breakout zone, depending on risk appetite.
On the H2 timeframe, this Symmetrical Triangle setup looks highly reliable since it aligns with the broader bullish trend. If the breakout holds, I believe gold still has plenty of room to climb higher.
Gold XAUUSD: Anticipating a Retracement for Continuation Long📊 Currently watching Gold (XAUUSD), price has been pushing aggressively higher in a strong bullish trend. However, the market is now reaching into areas of thin liquidity, appearing somewhat overextended.
🔎 I’m anticipating a potential retracement toward the 50% equilibrium level of the previous price swing. Within an ongoing uptrend, the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement often acts as a prime entry zone 🏹 for continuation trades.
⚖️ If price pulls back and establishes support, followed by a bullish break of market structure, that would provide a high-probability opportunity. If the setup fails to materialize, then there’s simply no trade — patience is key.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is educational analysis only and not financial advice. Always manage risk appropriately.
Complacency Before the Fall? Bulls in Control, But For How Long?Yesterday, I was debating whether last week’s consolidation was a rectangle (suggesting continuation) or, in fact, a triple top (hinting at correction). I began the session with a slightly bearish bias, but the reversal from support and the subsequent breakout above the consolidation’s resistance forced me to reevaluate. The breakout was clean, momentum followed, and the market even printed a new ATH at 3689.
Unfortunately, my pending buy order wasn’t filled, so I remain flat for now—an important reminder that in trading, sometimes discipline keeps you safe, even if you miss an opportunity.
Technical outlook:
• Price broke above resistance, confirming bullish control.
• The 3660 zone now acts as key support—any dips into that area can be treated as potential buying opportunities.
• The measured target for this breakout points toward 3710, which could represent the next objective for the bulls.
But here’s the psychological twist:
The market feels euphoric and complacent at this moment. Historically, reversals from this type of mindset tend to be brutal. Traders get comfortable, start believing in endless uptrends, and that’s exactly when the trapdoor opens.
Medium-term, I still anticipate a significant correction. Timing it is always the hardest part, but acknowledging the risk helps keep emotions under control. For now, bulls clearly hold the wheel—but they may not realize they’re driving toward a cliff.
🚀 Stay sharp, trade the trend, but don’t forget that markets punish overconfidence.
9/16: Watch Support at 3668–3652, Resistance at 3700✍️Good morning, everyone!
Key Support: 3668–3656
Key Resistance: 3700
Yesterday, gold repeatedly tested the 3643–3648 resistance area. During the pullback, the trend support held, and after consolidating, the price broke through resistance strongly. The overall move was in line with expectations (if it can stay above 3643–3658, it may test around 3668 with a chance of setting new highs).
After yesterday’s breakout, the price is now consolidating at high levels. Whether the bullish trend can be maintained depends mainly on support in the 3668–3656 (3648–3643) area. As long as this support holds, bulls may remain in control until tomorrow’s interest rate decision, with the possibility of testing the psychological level of 3700.
During the consolidation, trading can be focused around the 3682–3662 area.
If the price breaks out, selling opportunities may appear near 3692–3702, while buying opportunities can be considered around 3648–3636.
GOLD: No Bears In SightGold is still bullish. If price pulls back, the 3660–3665 zone is my POI. If momentum keeps driving and we get a breakout above 3690, my target will be 3725. Gold has pushed well beyond the 3660 liquidity pool, confirming buyers strength.
(H1)
Impulsive leg from 3642-3677 left behind some imbalances below:
3660–3665 FVG (fresh demand).
3635–3642 (deeper support if volatility spikes).
As long as gold holds above 3660, buyers remain in control.
(M15)
Price is consolidating just under 3680, showing short-term exhaustion after the run.
Liquidity rests above 3685–3690, which could be swept next.
We also have equal lows at 3665 which may get tested if a pullback occurs.
Pullback Buy (High-Probability)
Entry Zone 3660–3665
SL 3650
TP1 3685
TP2 3700
TP3 3725
Breakout Buy (If No Pullback)
Entry Break above + Retest 3690
Stop Loss 3680
TP1 3705
TP2 3725
Invalidation: H4 close below 3650, which would open retrace toward 3635.
XAU/USD on Fire — Next Stop $3,750?Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1H chart is currently maintaining a bullish structure, with price trading around $3,644 after bouncing from the $3,610 support zone. This area has repeatedly acted as a demand level, confirming that buyers are defending dips. The market has been forming higher lows and higher highs, which reinforces the bullish bias.
On the upside, the price faces resistance around $3,674–$3,700, which aligns with the marked take-profit zone. If bulls manage to push above $3,700 with momentum, the next extension target could be near $3,750, a psychological level and a historically reactive price point. On the downside, $3,610 remains a key invalidation level; a break below could shift momentum back toward sellers.
From a momentum perspective, recent buying signals around the lower zones confirm continued interest from institutional buyers. The recent cluster of selling signals near $3,670 reflects short-term supply pressure, but price behavior shows that demand is gradually absorbing that.
________________________________________
✅ Trade Setup (Bullish)
• Entry: $3,645 – $3,650
• Stop Loss: Below $3,610
• Take Profit 1: $3,674
• Take Profit 2: $3,700
• Extended Target: $3,750
________________________________________
Risk handling is critical here. The setup offers a 1:1.5 to 1:2 risk/reward, depending on entry execution. A smart approach would be to book partial profits at $3,674, then trail the stop-loss to breakeven. If price breaks above $3,674 convincingly, use a trailing stop strategy under each new higher low on the 1H chart. This allows traders to lock in gains while still staying exposed to the larger bullish move.
In short, Gold remains poised for a bullish breakout, with strong upside potential if resistance levels are cleared. Careful trade management with partial exits and trailing stops will ensure traders maximize profit while limiting risk.
________________________________________
XAU/USD Stalls Slightly above 3650 – Bulls Losing Steam?Gold printed fresh all-time highs at 3674 last week, only to reverse sharply and settle into a sideways structure between 3620–3655.
The current debate: is this simply a consolidation box that will fuel another breakout, or is the market quietly building a distribution top that could resemble a triple top pattern (if we ignore the spike to ATH)?
Technically, the momentum has clearly cooled. The 3355–3360 area continues to cap the upside, turning into a stubborn barrier that bulls haven’t been able to overcome.
From a fundamental angle, the Fed’s rate cut is already baked into the price. The focus is now on Powell’s guidance. With inflation pushing higher, a cautious and balanced tone is more likely than a dovish surprise.
Cross-checking with other pairs, XAU/EUR and XAU/GBP are already pressing their support levels. That relative weakness suggests the gold complex as a whole may be closer to a downside break than to a new leg up.
For now, I’m flat. But unless bulls regain control quickly, I’ll be watching for failed rallies after London open as potential short setups.
Gold Correction After ATH – Bearish Waves Ahead?Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has been in a correction mode for the past four days after creating a new All-Time High (ATH) . The question is whether the correction will continue or not.
Over the past 4 days, US indices were released, but Gold was not greatly affected by these indices, although the manner in which the US indices were announced was in favor of Gold ( Maybe gold is saturated with buying. ).
Gold is currently trading in the Support zone($3,644-$3,636) and near the Support line.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed the Double Three Correction structure(WXY), and we can expect bearish waves .
I expect Gold to break the Support zone($3,644-$3,636) AFTER breaking the Support line and fall to at least $3,624(First Target) .
Second Target: Support lines
Stop Loss (SL) = $3,662
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Gold (XAUUSD) 6H – Bullish Order Flow With Key Liquidity TargetsOn the 6H timeframe, Gold shows a clear bullish order flow. Price recently tapped into the daily bullish FVG and reacted strongly to the upside, which supports my bullish bias.
From here, I expect the first target to be the buy-side liquidity around 3657. If momentum continues, the next objective could be a revisit to the all-time high.
⚠️ However, if price closes below 3612, this would shift the bias short-term bearish, with potential downside toward 3592.
Overall, I remain bullish for now, as long as price respects the key support levels.
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
🔎 DYOR
💡Wait for the update!
Daily Market Analysis of XAUUSDCurrently, XAUUSD is oscillating within the range of 3626 to 3646. Volatility is expected to remain limited until the Fed makes a decision on interest rate cuts. It is advisable to conduct relatively small-scale transactions where possible to avoid losses stemming from other unofficial news related to the policy.
Buy 3625 - 3635
TP 3645 - 3655 - 3675
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Gold Rally Exhaustion? Bearish Confluence Builds at the TopGold has rallied strongly into the $3,660s but is now pressing against the upper boundary of a rising wedge formation. Momentum is slowing as price consolidates near recent highs, with risk of a short-term correction building.
Bearish Confluences:
Rising wedge structure, often a bearish continuation/reversal signal.
Multiple rejection candles forming near wedge resistance.
Overextension above moving averages, leaving room for mean reversion.
Fibonacci Retracement Targets (from latest swing):
Bearish Confluences:
⚠️ Rising wedge structure → often a bearish signal.
🚫 Rejection candles stacking near resistance.
📏 Overextended above moving averages = room for pullback.
Fibonacci Retracement Targets 🎯
🔹 38.2% → $3,700.79
🔹 61.8% → $3,662.47
🔹 100% → $3,600.46
A break below wedge support could drag price into these levels, with $3,600 as the big magnet 🧲
⚠️ Invalidation: A decisive breakout above $3,762 would negate the bearish scenario and reopen upside continuation.
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cuts & Geopolitics Spark Trades!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) reversed an early Asian session dip from $3,626-$3,627 on Monday (15/09/2025), holding strong near record highs as markets price in a 100% chance of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17/09, with two more expected in October and December (CME FedWatch). Geopolitical tensions, from Ukraine’s strikes on Russian energy to Iran’s call for Qatar to counter Israel, boost gold’s safe-haven appeal. With major central bank events looming, let’s analyze the market and find trade setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Gold Shines Amid Uncertainty 🌟
Rate Cut Expectations: Weak US labor data (surging jobless claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) keeps USD near its 24/07 low and Treasury yields soft, driving gold’s 39% YTD rally. The Fed is set to cut rates three times in 2025, starting 17/09.
Geopolitical Support: Ukraine’s attacks on Russian energy, US pressure on NATO for tougher Russia sanctions, and Iran’s missile proposal in Qatar ahead of the Arab-Islamic summit fuel gold’s safe-haven status.
Key Events: Watch Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments (17/09), decisions from Bank of Canada, Bank of England (18/09), and Bank of Japan (19/09). Weak CPI and labor data suggest shallow dips—prime for buying!
Technical Analysis: Broad Sideways Consolidation – Buy Dips 📉
Gold is consolidating in a wide sideways range on M30, H1, and H2 timeframes around 3650. If rate cut news triggers a sharp drop, FVG zones (3608-3598) offer buying opportunities. Monitor volume to confirm entries and avoid liquidity traps near round levels.
Resistance: 3646 - 3655 - 3666
Support: 3623 - 3615 - 3608 - 3598
Trade Setups (Tight RR):
Buy Scalp:
Range: 3623 - 3621
SL: 3617
TP: 3626 - 3631 - 3636 - 3641
Buy Zone:
Range: 3608 - 3606
SL: 3598
TP: 3616 - 3626 - 3636 - 3646
Sell Scalp:
Range: 3654 - 3656
SL: 3660
TP: 3651 - 3646 - 3641 - 3636
Sell Zone:
Range: 3665 - 3667
SL: 3675
TP: 3657 - 3647 - 3637 - 3627
Gold holds near highs—watch for liquidity traps around Fed news! Above 3623, bulls target new highs; below, test 3608/3598. Manage risk tightly with central bank volatility ahead! Will you buy dips or sell highs? Share your strategies below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Geopolitics #CentralBanks






















