Xauusdsignal
Rebound or Trap? Why I’m Selling RalliesYesterday’s Move
After printing a fresh ATH, profit-taking started late in the New York session. This was followed by stronger selling pressure during the Asian hours, which dragged the price overnight down to 3510. Currently, we see a rebound, with price trading around 3530.
Key Question
Is this rebound the start of a recovery—or just a pause before another leg down?
Why I Expect the Correction to Continue
- The market sold off 650 pips from the new ATH, confirming a local top.
- Momentum becomes fragile after 2k pips rise in just 10 days
- Selling pressure could easily return, especially if buyers struggle to hold above 3550.
Trading Plan
I’ll be looking to sell rallies against the recent top, targeting first the 3500 psychological level, and then the 3470 technical confluence support.
curve reversal structure 15M time frame dear traders
as key points you see the half of reversal curve structure that going to completing .
as mentioned structure rules you can drive on SL point as entry with risk of minimum lots or take an action with entry point as picture : 3530.503 $
SL : 3541.977
sell TP point for full target is : 3499.364
XAUUSD – Technical Outlook after ADP NONFARMGold (XAUUSD) attempted to recover but failed to break through the 3559 – 3561 (OBS Sell Zone – CP Down Zone). The sharp rejection from this resistance confirms that sellers remain in short-term control.
At present, price is retracing towards the 3528 – 3515 support zone – a key level to watch:
If buyers defend 3515, we could see a rebound back toward the 3550 – 3559 resistance zone.
A clear break below 3515 would signal stronger bearish pressure, opening the path toward 3486 – 3477 (Liquidity & OBS Buy Zone) where large orders are likely waiting.
Additionally, the 3537 – 3540 VPOC/Sideway Range remains a critical balance area where short-term market direction could be decided.
📌 Key Technical Levels
Major Resistance: 3550 – 3559
Near-term Support: 3528 – 3515
Liquidity & BUY Zone: 3486 – 3477
📊 MMFLOW Trading View:
Short-term momentum currently favours a corrective move lower after the rejection at 3559 – 3561. The reaction at 3515 will be crucial:
Holding above → potential rebound to retest 3550 – 3559
Breaking lower → extended downside towards 3486 – 3477 liquidity zone
XAUUSD SELL NOW 3537🟠 XAUUSD – Bearish Setup at 3537 Short Opportunity
Gold has reached a key resistance zone around 3537, aligning with prior supply and overbought conditions on intraday indicators. Price action shows signs of exhaustion after a strong bullish leg, with divergence on RSI and volume tapering off.
🔻 Trade Idea: SELL XAUUSD @ 3537
- Entry: 3537
- Stop Loss: 3548 (above recent swing high)
- Take Profit: 3505 / 3480
- Risk/Reward: ~2:1
📉 Technical Confluence:
- Rejection from upper Bollinger Band
- Bearish engulfing candle on 1H
- MACD crossover signaling downside momentum
- Fib 61.8% retracement zone from last swing
💡 Narrative:
With rising Treasury yields and hawkish Fed tone weighing on gold, this setup favors a short-term correction. A break below 3525 could accelerate downside toward 3480 support.
XAUUSD: Overbought, will bears take over?Gold (XAUUSD) on the 4H chart is showing strength after a strong rally, but the signs of exhaustion are starting to creep in. The VWAP Dashboard shows price trading well above VWAP at 3,523 vs. 3,492, a classic overextension that often leads to pullbacks. The RSI sits at 76.9, deep in overbought territory, hinting that bulls may soon run out of steam.
The price action has just tapped into a key resistance zone near 3,538, aligning with a Fibonacci confluence. This level previously acted as resistance, and now it creates a high-probability rejection area. Meanwhile, the volatility bands wrapping around price show expansion, a sign of stretched momentum and potential mean reversion.
The Fibonacci retracement levels lay out clear downside targets:
3,508 (38.2%) 🎯 – first potential support where minor buyers may step in.
3,490 (61.8%) 🟡 – the golden pocket retracement, often a strong reaction zone.
3,459 (100%) 🔻 – deeper correction aligning with trendline support.
Unless bulls can break and hold above 3,538, the chart suggests that sellers may take control in the short term, pushing gold down into these Fibonacci zones.
XAUUSD – 1H | OB / FVG Roadmap Price currently: 3539.7
🔴 1H Supply (Sell Zone): 3565 – 3575
🟩 1H OB #1: 3488 – 3470
🟩 1H OB #2: 3455 – 3440
🟦 1H FVG: 3405 – 3390
🟩 Deep 1H OB: 3382 – 3372
Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation:
If price holds above 3488–3470 OB, I’ll look for buys targeting 3565–3575 supply zone.
Acceptance above 3575 could open doors to continuation higher (new highs).
Invalidation: clean 1H close below 3470.
Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback:
If price fails to hold 3488–3470, next area for potential long setups is 3455–3440 OB, and then the unmitigated 3405–3390 FVG.
I will look for bullish CHoCH/BOS on 3–5m TF before entering.
Targets for rebound are 3530 (mid-range) and 3565–3575 (supply zone).
Execution: No blind orders – confirmation required on LTF.
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
Gold Smashes Records: Trade the Fed Drama & Rate Cut Hype!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Breaking Records! 🌟
New Peaks: Spot gold hit a record $3,527.5/oz on September 2, with analysts predicting a climb to $3,600-$3,900 this year, potentially surpassing $4,000 by 2026 if economic and geopolitical uncertainty persists. Reuters polls show 2025 average price forecasts rising from $2,756/oz (January) to $3,220/oz (July). 📈
Fed Rate Cut Buzz: Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged rising job market risks, boosting bets for a September rate cut. “A weakening USD, fueled by rate cut expectations, investor aversion to US assets, and tariff-related economic uncertainty, supports gold,” says Ricardo Evangelista from ActivTrades. Gold thrives in low-rate environments! 🏦
USD Weakness: The USD has lost nearly 11% since Trump’s return to the White House in January 2025, making gold more attractive to foreign currency holders. 📉
Fed Drama: Trump’s criticism of Powell and attempts to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook have raised fears about Fed independence, driving safe-haven gold demand. “Speculative bullishness stems from potential Fed interference and concerns over the USD’s safe status,” notes Carsten Menke from Julius Baer. ⚖️🇺🇸
Other Drivers: Middle East tensions, Russia-Ukraine conflict, and central bank buying (e.g., China’s PBOC added gold for the 9th consecutive month in July 2025). The World Gold Council (WGC) reports central banks plan to increase gold reserves while reducing USD holdings. “Rising gold prices and central bank accumulation are boosting gold’s share in reserves,” says Michael Hsueh from Deutsche Bank. Gold ETFs like SPDR Gold Trust saw holdings rise 12% YTD to 977.68 tons, the highest since August 2022.
Technical Analysis: Bullish Surge Continues, Prioritize BUY but Watch for Pullbacks! 📉
Gold keeps setting new highs, breaking through the round 3,500 level, dipping briefly to 3,469, then surging to 3,54x—near the Fibonacci extension 0.618. No clear reversal signals yet, so prioritize BUY if gold retraces to 3,52x or 3,51x. Bulls remain in control!
Key Resistance: 3,554 - 3,564 - 3,574
Key Support: 3,521 - 3,508 - 3,450 - 3,475
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp : 3,543 - 3,545
SL: 3,549
TP: 3,540 - 3,535 - 3,530
Sell Zone : 3,571 - 3,573
SL: 3,581
TP: 3,563 - 3,553 - 3,543 - 3,523
Buy Scalp: 3,510 - 3,508
SL: 3,504
TP: 3,513 - 3,518 - 3,528
Buy Zone: 3,475 - 3,473
SL: 3,465
TP: 3,483 - 3,493 - 3,503 - 3,513 - Open
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #Trump #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
Gold Price Analysis September 4✨ Gold analysis today ✨
In the Asian session, gold prices recorded a correction after a series of strong increases for many consecutive days. The market is moving towards important support zones, this will be a notable point to find trading opportunities.
🔹 Main trend: prioritize monitoring BUY orders at support, because the bullish force is still dominant.
🔹 With SELL orders, it is necessary to observe real-time price reactions to take advantage of short-term declines if any.
News calendar: today there is an ADP report - this could be a factor that triggers fluctuations, creating a correction for gold.
📌 Reference strategy:
BUY around the 3495 - 3458 area when there is a clear price rejection signal.
9/4: Short Squeeze Nearing End, Watch Key Support at 3500Good morning everyone!
🔹 Key Support Levels
30M Chart: 3547 / 3532–3528
1H Chart: 3521 / 3516–3509
2H Chart: 3541 / 3523–3480
1D Chart: 3514 / 3450
🔹 Key Resistance Levels
3563–3568 / 3578–3588
🔹 Intraday Trading Strategy
Focus on selling at higher levels; avoid chasing the rally.
Watch 3516–3509 / around 3500 as the main support zone. A short-term buy may be considered if tested, but positions should be taken with caution and closed quickly.
Yesterday, gold’s rally exceeded expectations. Although it encountered resistance near 3562 and briefly pulled back, the bulls managed to push prices further, reaching around 3578. This marks the late stage of the short squeeze, and a counterattack from the bears is almost inevitable. Meanwhile, external buying interest will likely turn more cautious at these elevated levels.
That said, the 3500 psychological level remains a critical battleground. Bulls are unlikely to give it up easily, and a rebound is very possible if prices revisit this area. However, bears will also defend aggressively, leading to a tug-of-war in the sessions ahead.
Therefore, it is crucial not to chase the rally. Secure profits in time — better to miss an opportunity than to hold onto losing positions. After a rally of over $200, the market needs to consolidate, even if a fake downside move occurs. Based on this outlook, today’s core strategy remains: sell on rallies.
Positive factors for gold and silver as safe-haven assetsUS economic data released on Wednesday showed a weaker JOLTS report on job vacancies. The report (June data) showed that US job vacancies fell to 7.437 million, down slightly from the previous month and the lowest level since April.
The report also showed that the labour market is slowing, with fewer people being hired. This is good for the doves in US monetary policy and also supports gold and silver bulls.
Global bond yields are rising (prices are falling), mainly due to concerns about inflation, government debt sales and fiscal discipline. This is also a positive factor for gold and silver as safe-haven assets, although capital gains are not a positive factor in themselves.
U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the 30-year bond now approaching 5%, while yields in the U.K., Australia and Japan also rose.
The sell-off reflected traders’ concerns about large government spending and the risk of inflation, with Bloomberg’s gauge of global bond yields down 0.4% on Tuesday.
GOLD breaks above $3500 – New ATH every day! What’s next?Gold (XAUUSD) is entering its hottest phase, moving 50–60 points per day with explosive volatility. Price is now reacting at a key FIBO extension resistance, where SELL pressure has appeared but still lacks strong confirmation on higher timeframes (H1–H2).
📊 MMFLOW VIEW
Sideway → Breakout → Consecutive All-Time Highs (ATH).
FVG zones & Key Liquidity levels are still supporting the BUY side.
SELL setups remain secondary and only valid with clear volume confirmation.
Main scenario: Wait for liquidity retest → Focus on BUY setups.
🔑 KEY LEVELS
Resistance: 3440–3446 (ATH) | 3564 | 3576 | 3586 | 3595
Support: 3528 | 3508 | 3494 | 3480 | 3468
🎯 MMFLOW PLAN
✅ BUY ZONE: 3481 – 3479
SL: 3474
TP: 3486 – 3490 – 3495 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – ???
✅ BUY SCALP: 3496 – 3494
SL: 3490
TP: 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ???
❌ SELL ZONE: 3576 – 3578
SL: 3584
TP: 3570 – 3565 – 3560 – 3555 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500
⚠️ Warning: GOLD is in a high-volatility phase – wrong entries can get wiped out instantly.
👉 Be patient, wait for Key Levels, and stick to proper RISK MANAGEMENT above all.
🔥 This is the MMFLOW TRADING PLAN – follow us to stay updated and catch the next big moves in GOLD!
Where can you buy gold?Hello friends
After the good growth we had, you can see that the price has formed a three drive pattern and this could indicate a price correction to the specified support areas.
Otherwise, if the price breaks the resistance level, we can buy with confirmation in the pullback, of course with capital and risk management.
*Trade safely with us*
PLAN XAUUSD SEP 03, 2025 Related Information:!!!
According to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, traders are pricing in over a 90% probability that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut borrowing costs by 25 basis points at the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting on September 17. Furthermore, market participants expect the central bank to implement at least two rate cuts by the end of this year, which continues to support non-yielding Gold prices.
Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump has pressured Fed Chair Jerome Powell to lower interest rates. In addition, Trump’s move to dismiss Fed Governor Lisa Cook amid allegations of mortgage fraud has raised concerns about the central bank’s ability to operate without political interference. This, combined with ongoing trade uncertainties, has propelled the XAU/USD pair to fresh record highs.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price breaks above the 3,550 resistance, then continues its uptrend.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Resistance zone point: 3550 zone
Gold Hits New ATH – Is a Bearish Crab Reversal Next?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise today after the release of the
ISM Manufacturing PMI index formed a new All-Time High(ATH) .
The question is what price range could the new ATH price range for gold be in?
Gold is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($3,557-$3,531) .
From a pattern analysis perspective , it looks like Gold is completing a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern . In fact, if we find a trigger at point D of the Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern , we can confirm this pattern.
From an Elliott wave theory perspective , it looks like Gold is completing wave 5 . This wave 5 could act as the end of the main wave 3 .
I expect Gold to drop to at least $3,501 in the coming hours .
Second Target: $3,481
Third Target: Support zone($3,474-$3,466)
Stop Loss (SL) = $3,559(Worst)
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Gold (XAUUSD) Bulls Aiming for 3582! | Key Levels to Watch
Hello Traders! 👋
Gold has broken above strong resistance and is now trading around 3538. Price action suggests a possible pullback into the 3491 zone before continuation higher. If bulls defend this demand area, the next target is the 3582 zone, which aligns with the next major resistance.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Support 1: 3437 – Strong previous resistance turned support
Support 2: 3491 – Short-term demand zone
Target: 3582 – Next bullish objective
📈 Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above 3437.
💡 Watch for a healthy retest before continuation. Confirmation from bullish candlestick patterns will add confluence for long entries.
⚠️ Note: Always manage your risk. Markets can reverse quickly!
What’s your view on Gold? Will bulls push toward 3582, or will sellers defend the highs? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥
Hashtags:
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #Forex #PriceAction #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
Waiting for Gold PullbackWe’re waiting for gold to retest the broken level, giving us a buying opportunity.
The $3500 and $3475 levels look like solid spots for long entries 📈.
As always, we don’t dictate where the market should go—we just follow it:
If the levels break to the downside, we’ll simply wait for a pullback to short 📉.
One of the keys to success is moving with the market, not stubbornly relying on a few lines drawn on the chart.
✅ If the market wants to go up—great, we’re with it.
✅ If it wants to drop—that’s fine too, we’re still with it.
Levels are just tools to help us align with the market—not holy lines that must work.
Everything in trading is probabilities 🎯, and our levels work about 85% of the time.
Gold Analysis – ATH Again, But Correction Ahead?1. Yesterday’s Move
Yesterday, after a small intraday correction to the 3470 zone, Gold quickly reversed and pushed higher, printing a new all-time high near 3550. The bullish trend remains intact, but the latest surge looks overextended.
2. Key Question
Has Gold finished its run for now, or will we see another immediate push higher without a deeper correction?
3. Why a Correction is Probable
• The recent move is stretched, with limited room for risk-reward on the long side at these highs.
• 3470 stands out as a confluence support, and markets often retest such levels before continuation.
• Chasing longs at ATHs leaves traders vulnerable to sharp pullbacks.
4. Trading Plan
The best setup is to wait for price to retrace into 3470 and look for buying opportunities in that zone, aiming to rejoin the broader uptrend.
Selling here is very risky – high probability of upside spikes could easily hit stop losses before any meaningful retracement.






















