Gold is under pressure. Will the trend change?Information summary:
The easing of tensions in the Middle East is the main reason for the suppression of gold. Risk aversion has weakened, and the market has entered a risk-taking mode. Gold prices are well supported near $3,300.
Powell released an important signal: The market expected Powell to strongly refute the possibility of a rate cut, but he remained on the sidelines. The market still generally believes that the July 29-30 meeting is unlikely to initiate a rate cut, and the first rate cut is expected to be in September.
Market analysis:
Gold has fallen for seven consecutive weeks, which has changed the current bull structure in stages, so there is no doubt that gold is expected to fall back as a whole. The early decline was near 3355, which is the current long-short watershed of gold. As long as the adjustment does not break through the 3355 position, the overall short-term adjustment pattern of gold will not change.
The early Asian market did not continue to retreat, but the short-term rebound had a long buying force accumulation, but as long as it did not break through 3355, the market trend was still weak, and it was adjusted by low-level shock correction. Today, there is a high probability of movement around the falling range. The short-term support below is around 3290. If this position is lost, it may touch the turning point around 3275.
Operation strategy:
Go long when the price falls back to around 3315, stop loss at 3305, and profit range 3345-3350.
Xauusdsignal
The rebound is an opportunity to short goldAfter the ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel and Powell's hawkish remarks that strongly refuted the possibility of a rate cut, gold fell sharply and hit a low near 3295. Although gold has rebounded, it is particularly difficult during the rebound process, which shows that the bulls are not willing to attack, and the rebound is only a technical repair of the decline.
Since gold fell below 3300 yesterday, the current bull structure has been changed in stages and the confidence of the bulls has been greatly weakened. As gold falls, it will be under pressure in the 3345-3355 area in the short term. Before gold breaks through this area, any rebound may give us an opportunity to short gold; in addition, after gold falls below 3300 once, in order to move downward and test support, gold has the need to retreat again.
So in the next short-term trading, we can try to use the 3345-3355 area as resistance, short gold appropriately, and look to the 3315-3305 area.
Geopolitical Spike Fades Fast – Gold Eyes 3300As highlighted in Friday’s analysis, the daily and short-term charts remain messy, but the weekly chart is leaning clearly bearish – with a potential Dark Cloud Cover candlestick formation now confirmed.
🌍 Geopolitical Gap Up... and Quick Rejection
Monday’s Asian open brought a gap up, triggered by renewed tensions in the Middle East. But price failed to break above 3400 and quickly reversed – a textbook sign of weakness, not strength.
🧭 Technical View:
- The weekly candle closed as a Dark Cloud Cover, a strong bearish reversal signal
- The lack of follow-through after the gap up further confirms sellers are still in control
- Price remains below the key 3400 level, showing no bullish momentum behind recent spikes
📌 Trading Plan:
I continue to sell rallies, with an initial target near 3300. If bearish momentum builds, lower levels are in play.
Let the chart lead – don’t get distracted by the noise.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAU/USD – 5-Minute Scalping Outlook🟢 XAU/USD – 5-Minute Scalping Outlook
🕐 Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar – Heikin Ashi
The market structure on the 5-minute chart confirms a bullish bias, supported by multiple structural shifts and a recent Break of Structure (BOS) following a valid trading range.
🔍 Key Highlights:
After a clear BOS and bullish consolidation, price tapped into the TLQ (True Liquidity Zone) and reacted strongly from the Extreme Zone just above $3,316.
The EPA (Entry Point Area) held effectively as a short-term support, fueling a sharp breakout move.
The current price has surged past $3,322, pushing into an area of minor resistance near $3,332 – $3,336.
The recent price action shows the market is inefficient, which often leads to rebalancing — watch for a potential retrace toward EPA or TLQ before continuation.
📈 Scalping Strategy Note:
Traders could look for short-term retracement entries between $3,318 – $3,320, targeting the upper resistance zone while managing risk below $3,316.
📊
Structure: Bullish ✅
Efficiency: Inefficient ❌ (expect potential re-tests)
Momentum: Accelerating
Trend Bias: Intraday Bullish
---
💬 Scalpers should remain cautious around high volatility zones and news-driven sessions.
This chart reflects an excellent model for liquidity-based entries in a trending environment.
📌 Analysis by: Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
Dark moment for prices. Will it fall even lower?Information summary:
Due to the ceasefire in the 12-day war between Iran and Israel, market risk appetite has rebounded, demand for safe-haven assets has declined, and gold prices have plummeted. As an interest-free asset, gold prices are under pressure against the backdrop of declining risk aversion, but there is still buying support at low levels.
Investors are currently focusing on the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at a hearing of the House Financial Services Committee. Powell has been cautious about whether to cut interest rates in the near future.
Market analysis:
The current market selling sentiment has increased significantly, and for gold, falling has become the only path. It seems that the market has lost hope in gold, and the current gold price has fallen to around 3295, then rebounded slightly, and is currently fluctuating around 3313. The break of 3300 declares that gold still has further room to fall, and from the trend point of view, it is likely to continue to fall.
The current trend shows that the important support is around 3285. It is possible that it will fall directly to the current position. The Fed is still speaking, and it is unpredictable whether it will cause drastic fluctuations in gold in the future. However, from today's trend, shorting is the best solution at present, and the upper resistance position is in the range of 3315-3325.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3320, stop loss 3330, profit range 3290-3285.
XAUUSD – Selling Pressure Intensifies, the 3,300 USD 1. Overall Technical Context
The XAUUSD daily chart shows that gold is under bearish pressure after failing to break the key confluence resistance at 3,385–3,399 USD, which includes:
- Fibonacci retracement levels 0.5 – 0.618
- A strong supply zone that has been repeatedly rejected
- A minor swing high formed near 3,451 USD
2. Recent Price Behavior
Price has broken below the short-term support at 3,331 USD and is now retesting the Key Lever zone around 3,300 USD, which is a confluence of:
- Previous June swing low
- Fibonacci 0.618 retracement of the latest upward move from 3,221 to 3,451
- A key previous support zone, potentially forming the right shoulder of a head and shoulders structure
If this zone breaks decisively, XAUUSD may continue falling toward the 3,270 – 3,250 USD area, where strong liquidity was previously found.
Key Technical Zones
Resistance:
3,385 – 3,399: Fibo 0.5–0.618 zone and recent swing high
3,435 – 3,451: Major swing high and starting point of the latest correction
Support:
3,300 – 3,320 (Key Lever): Major support currently being tested
3,271 – 3,250: Next support if the current zone fails
Suggested Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy on Confirmation at Key Lever
Entry: 3,300 – 3,297 (Key Lever zone)
Stop-loss: Below 3,292
Take-profit: 3,310 – 3,315 – 3,320
Condition: Wait for a clear reversal candlestick pattern or signs of selling absorption on H4/H1
Scenario 2 – Sell if Price Breaks Below Key Lever
Entry: Below 3,290 (after clear break of Key Lever)
Stop-loss: Above 3,298
Take-profit: 3,280 – 3,270
P.S. XAUUSD is currently sitting at a decisive support area around 3,300 USD. The medium-term trend will depend on whether this zone holds. Traders are advised to closely watch price action on the H1–H4 timeframes before executing entries.
Follow for more daily trading strategies and don’t forget to save this analysis if you find it helpful for your trading plan.
Analyst: @Henrybillion
Analysis and layout of the latest gold trend in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. The ceasefire agreement reached earlier did not take effect, and Trump believed that both sides violated the agreement
2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech 3 hours later
📈 Market analysis:
After falling below the 3300 mark, gold hit the 3295 line and then rebounded. However, there are too many long orders at the current high level of gold, and the market will not rise easily. The current international situation is so tense, and gold is still slowly declining. It is difficult to rebound sharply in this situation. In the short term, focus on 3290-3280 below. If effective support is obtained, you can go long and look towards 3300-3310. If it falls below the support line of 3290-3280, the downward channel of gold will be opened and it is expected to reach 3265. At the same time, pay attention to the 3328-3338 resistance range on the upside. If the first rebound in the evening encounters pressure and resistance here, you may consider shorting.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3328-3338-3400
TP 3310-3300-3295
BUY 3290-3280
TP 3300-3310
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold’s Geopolitical Launchpad: Eyes on $3,500+🟡 GOLD - Macro Fuel Meets Technical Momentum Trade Levels Inside
Gold continues to flex its haven status as geopolitical tensions flare once again—this time triggered by reports of a U.S. airstrike on Iranian nuclear facilities. That headline risk has lit the fuse under precious metals, and the reaction in futures markets has been swift.
Friday’s intraday washout—largely driven by hopes that President Trump would opt for diplomacy—was short-lived. The strong recovery into New York close left a long lower shadow, signaling buyers are already pricing in weekend escalation risk.
💡 Macro View:
- Analysts project a move toward $3,500–$3,700, driven by a twin-engine of geopolitical instability and sticky inflation.
- Central banks are staying long; ETF inflows are ticking up—this isn’t just speculative hype.
- Goldman’s base case: $3,700 EOY, $4,000 by mid-2026. Recession/volatility scenarios stretch targets up to $4,500.
🔧 Technical Setup:
- Bias across all time frames remains bullish. Open float pressure is stacking with long-side conviction.
- Key long trigger zone sits between $3,369–$3,375—I’m watching for confirmation here.
- Profit targets:
- First resistance: $3,440.48
- Second target: $3,500 zone
- Stretch: $3,520+ if volatility expands
Will the 3300 support hold today?Due to the sudden ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel today, the gold market quickly flipped from bullish to bearish — when gold tested the 3300 support level just now, it rebounded near 3315 📈.
It may challenge the 3290-3300 support range again later: if it effectively breaks below, the next target is the strong support at 3265, and it may eventually dip to 3200 before starting a rebound 🔄.
If the breakout fails, it may consolidate near 3330, waiting for further market guidance 📊
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3330 - 3320
🚀 TP 3310 - 3305
Gold Spot Price Analysis (4-Hour Chart4-hour candlestick chart for the Gold Spot price in U.S. Dollars (XAU/USD) from June 22 to July 9. The chart shows a downward trend with recent prices around $3,299.48, representing a 2.07% decrease. Technical indicators and annotations suggest potential support and resistance levels, with a highlighted area indicating a possible trading range. The data is sourced from OANDA.
XAUUSD Beginning of a Trend Reversal? Bearish Move IncomingGold is showing signs of potential downside pressure on the 4-hour chart. After a rejection from the upper volatility band and a failure to sustain bullish momentum above the dynamic EMA cloud, price has rolled over and is now trading below the midline support area.
🔻 Bearish Structure Developing:
Price rejected strongly from the upper gray zone (Resistance band).
A new lower high has formed, aligning with bearish market structure.
Candles are trading under the red-to-blue transition EMA ribbon, indicating increasing bearish sentiment.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: Near 3,365
SL: Above the recent high near 3,406
TP: Targeting the lower band support around 3,300 – 3,323
Buy gold first, and short on gold after filling the gapGold is currently continuing to retreat, and the lowest has reached around 3333. Gold is quite weak, and the bears have completely taken the upper hand. The overall center of gravity of gold is shifting downward, and the short-term support below is 3330-3325. Once gold falls below this support area, gold may continue to fall to 3300, or even 3280; since gold has fallen to the 3340-3330 area, we cannot rush to short gold in the operation, because there is a technical gap above that needs to be filled, so gold still has a rebound to 3360-3370 in the short term.
Therefore, before gold falls below the short-term support of 3300-3325, we can appropriately consider going long on gold; after gold rebounds technically and fills the gap above, we can consider continuing to try to short gold in the 3360-3370 area.
Gold is about to break through 3400! On June 21, 2025 local time, U.S. President Trump announced that the U.S. had launched strikes against three Iranian nuclear facilities—Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan—using six B-2 stealth bombers 😲. This move marked the formal intervention of the U.S. in the Middle East conflict, prompting the UN Security Council to convene an emergency meeting immediately. This underlies the core logic of our sustained "long gold" strategy last week: the geopolitical situation in the Middle East harbors the risk of escalating at any moment 🤯. If the Security Council fails to roll out direct solutions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, may continue its upward trajectory driven by market panic 📈.
The UN Security Council meeting on June 23, 2025 failed to break the deadlock, and the Middle East situation remains highly fluid. Given that the U.S. is highly unlikely to implement any solutions proposed by the Security Council, the regional crisis may deteriorate further 🚨
Gold is about to break through 3,400! 🌟
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
War breaks out again? The latest analysis and layout of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. The ceasefire agreement reached earlier did not take effect, and Trump believed that both sides violated the agreement
2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech 3 hours later
📈 Market analysis:
At the 4H level: the Bollinger Band opening is enlarged, the MACD indicator double-line death cross is downward, the short-selling force is strengthened, but the RSI indicator rebounds after being oversold. Overall, there are obvious signs of a rebound in gold prices. At the hourly level: the gold price is in a downward channel, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, the MACD indicator is dead cross and the red bars are converging, and the short momentum has weakened. The RSI indicator rebounds from oversold, and the demand for spot gold rebounds is obvious. Therefore, we still hold long orders near 3320 in the short term. Short-term operation suggestion: go long when it stabilizes at 3325-3315, pay attention to the resistance range of 3370-3380 on the upside, and consider shorting when encountering resistance and pressure.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3325-3315
TP 3335-3345-3365
SELL 3370-3380
TP 3340-3330
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold continues to decline, can it still change the trend?Information summary:
Will the Fed cut interest rates in July? The latest statements of Fed officials have released a heavy signal. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said that as long as inflationary pressures remain moderate, she will support a rate cut at the next policy meeting in July. At the same time, Trump has continued to put pressure on the Fed.
Next, investors need to pay attention to the testimony of Fed Chairman Powell on the semi-annual monetary policy report to the House Financial Services Committee today.
Market analysis:
Gold fell sharply today, directly breaking the key support level of 3350. From a 4-hour perspective, the MA moving average shows a short trend arrangement, and the MA5\10 moving average crosses the MA20/30 long-term moving average downward, which indicates that the short force is dominant. In addition, the RSI indicator also fell rapidly and entered the oversold area, but this may also suggest that prices have a rebound trend in the short term.
I think the current market price decline trend is more obvious, unless there is significant positive data, the gold price may continue to decline.
6/24 Gold Analysis and Trading OutlookGood morning, everyone!
Gold closed yesterday with a T-shaped candlestick. Although there was an intraday recovery after briefly breaching the MA20, the closing price remained below the MA5, indicating continued pressure on the upside.
Today’s opening saw a direct drop in price, suggesting a potential break below key support. Two important levels to monitor today:
Whether the closing price stays above 3355
Whether the intraday support at 3328 holds
If 3328 breaks down, the 3300 level may become the next major battleground between bulls and bears.
Driven by geopolitical news, gold has shown sharp volatility over the past two days. While this increases trading risk, it also presents more opportunities. From a technical perspective, today’s strategy should prioritize selling on rebounds, with buying at lower levels as a secondary approach. As always, stay disciplined and manage risk effectively.
Gold updateAfter the previous level was broken and structure shifted, we’re now entering a new phase of analysis.
In this fresh setup, we’re looking for buy opportunities — but not blindly!
As always, waiting for a clean pullback to the new zone and a solid entry signal.
Experience teaches us: real profits come from patience and planning.
Here’s my new gold analysis — high probability, low risk.
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
ForexCSP
XAUUSD Hello traders. Today's second and also final trade opportunity comes from the XAUUSD pair. I consider this setup to be somewhat risky, so I recommend keeping your risk exposure at a minimum.
Earlier today, I shared a trade on GBPJPY, which has since experienced a strong upward move. As a result, I’ve updated the TP level for that trade. You can find the updated information noted under that specific post.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 30-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3323.09
✔️ Take Profit: 3340.22
✔️ Stop Loss: 3314.50
🕒 If momentum fades or the price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll close it manually—whether in profit or loss—depending on how price action evolves.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
XAUUSD:Go long
The uncertainties in multiple dimensions such as geopolitics, US monetary policy and tariffs have significantly increased, which will bring more volatility to the gold price.
Today's market trend is still mainly volatile. During the Asian session, there has been a deep pullback. 3316 is the short-term support. It is expected that there will be a rebound in the future.
Trading strategy:
BUY@3325-30
TP:3345-50
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
XAUUSD Technical Analysis – June 24, 2025On June 24, 2025, XAUUSD (spot gold) continues to face significant bearish pressure after failing to hold above the key resistance zone around 3,383 – 3,400 USD/oz. This area marks a confluence of the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels and a high-volume distribution zone, signaling strong supply dominance in the short term.
Technical Structure and Fibonacci Analysis
- The recent swing high was established at 3,451 USD, completing a bullish wave from the low of 3,223 USD.
- Price was unable to break through the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at 3,399 USD, leading to a sharp pullback.
- The current structure suggests the formation of a potential head and shoulders pattern, which would confirm if the market breaks below the 3,300 USD support zone.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
- Major resistance: 3,383 – 3,400 USD (Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 zone, high-volume area)
- Immediate support: 3,300 – 3,310 USD (historical reaction zone and 0.618 retracement of the recent bullish leg)
- Deeper support: 3,223 USD – previous swing low and a key target if the bearish trend confirms
Potential Scenarios
- Bearish scenario: If the price sustains below 3,350 USD and decisively breaks 3,300 USD, it may signal the start of a medium-term downtrend, with targets near 3,200 USD or even lower.
- Bullish scenario: A bounce from the 3,300 USD support could trigger a short-term recovery, but traders should closely watch the reaction near the 3,383 – 3,400 USD resistance zone to assess supply pressure.
RSI and Momentum Indicators
- The 14-period RSI is trading below the 50 level and pointing downward, indicating that bearish momentum remains dominant.
- The RSI has also crossed below its moving average, reinforcing the negative outlook.
Ps: XAUUSD is currently in a critical phase as it tests the 3,300 USD support level. A break below this level could confirm further downside and strengthen the bearish trend. Traders are advised to remain cautious, wait for clear price action confirmation, and apply strict risk management as volatility increases.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (1h Chart) - OANDA1-hour chart from OANDA shows the price movement of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD). The current price is $3,323.720, reflecting a decrease of $45.480 (-1.35%) over the last hour. The chart includes a candlestick representation with a notable downward trend, a support level around $3,324.455, and a resistance zone between $3,352.955 and $3,360.000. The time frame displayed ranges from 12:00 to 3:00, with the data updated as of 12:52 PM PKT on June 24, 2025.
GOLD Intraday Chart Update For 24 June 2025Hello Traders, As you can see that GOLD fell sharply this morning due to Israel- Iran Cease fire scenario
Further more FED Chair POWELL Testifies Starts from Today and end on Tomorrow make sure to manage you trading accordingly
Right now GOLD is in Strong Bearish Trend only clear Breakout of 3368 level for the day below this market remains Bearish
All eyes on 3300 Psychological Digit for now if market breaks 3300 Successfully then it will move towards 3250 soon
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky