XAUUSD 30m Idea - ShortAs per my analysis, we can see that sellers has gain momentum after a long pressure on the up side. However, I am seeing a high probability short area at 3640.
Today play is,
Selling between 3635 to 3640 and market has great downside momentum towards 3620 and next stop is 3580.
Disclaimer:
This is my trade idea for today or intraday. this shared information is for education purpose only. Before entering this trade please do your research as well. Moreover, you are invited to evaluated my findings and correct me if I am wrong. coz I believe in continuous learning.
Xauusdsignal
9/11: Double Top Pattern, Bearish OutlookGood afternoon, everyone!
Yesterday, the market showed limited volatility, with prices capped around 3343–3358, failing to break through, which delayed the expected downward cycle.
Today, the trend looks clearer:
A double-top pattern has formed;
Price tested the 23 support for the first time and rebounded slightly;
Key resistance levels are 32–37, followed by 41;
If the rebound fails to break resistance, the 23 support is very likely to be broken;
Main supports to watch are 3610 (2H chart) and 3578–3550 (4H chart).
🔹 Trading Strategy
Focus on short positions;
Try quick long trades near support, but avoid being greedy;
If rebounds fail at resistance, shorts may accelerate, so risk is relatively high.
Gold Bulls vs Bears! Who Will Win the $XAUUSD Battle?🏆 "The Golden Layer Cake Strategy" - XAU/USD Bullish Swing Plan 🎯
✨ Calling all savvy traders! ✨
Ready to layer into a potential Gold breakout? This systematic approach is designed to capitalize on bullish momentum while managing risk through strategic entry layers.
Here’s the detailed blueprint: 📜
🔑 Key Details:
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold)
Bias: Bullish
Style: Swing Trading / Position Building
Strategy: Multi-Layer Limit Order Entry
⚡ Entry Strategy (The Layering Method):
To optimize your average entry price, consider using multiple BUY LIMIT orders at key support levels:
Layer 1: 3420.00
Layer 2: 3440.00
Layer 3: 3460.00
Layer 4: 3480.00
You can adjust the number of layers and prices based on your personal risk management and market conditions.
🛑 Stop Loss:
A conservative stop loss can be placed below a significant support zone at 3370.00.
Disclaimer: Always adjust your stop loss based on your individual risk tolerance, account size, and trading strategy.
🎯 Take Profit:
We are targeting a strong resistance zone around 3600.00. A more ambitious target sits at 3650.00 for those who wish to trail their stops. Secure profits on the way up!
📊 Market Context & Rationale:
This plan is based on identifying potential value areas on the pullback for a continued bullish move. The layered entry allows us to build a position gracefully without chasing the market.
📊 XAU/USD Real-Time Data Report
🤝 Retail & Institutional Sentiment
Retail Traders
Long (Bullish): 28% 😊
Short (Bearish): 72% 😟
Institutional Traders
Bullish positions increasing, showing confidence in gold as a safe-haven asset. 🏦
😨💸 Fear & Greed Index
Mood: Neutral → leaning Greedy
Markets expect Fed rate cuts, boosting gold demand.
🌍 Fundamental Score
Rating: 7/10 (Positive)
Key Drivers:
Weakening US Dollar from expected Fed cuts 📉
Geopolitical tensions supporting safe-haven demand ⚠️
Ongoing central bank gold buying 🏦
📈 Macro Score
Rating: 6.5/10 (Moderately Bullish)
Factors:
High probability of US rate cut in September (~85%) 📅
Rising bond yields may cap gains 📈
Global economic uncertainty 🌎
🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook
Bias: Bullish (Long) 🚀
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, supported by fundamentals, macro drivers, and institutional flows.
✨ Summary
Gold is bullish 📈 with strong support from fundamentals and macro conditions. Retail traders lean bearish 😟, but institutions and sentiment favor upward momentum. Any dips are seen as buying opportunities 🤑
⚠️ Risk Warning & Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR).
High-impact news events can cause increased volatility—manage your risk accordingly.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Only risk capital you are willing to lose.
Gold Bullish Momentum: Layering Longs For Maximum Gain!🏆 XAU/USD | The Gold Robbery Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)
🎯 Plan Setup (Bullish)
Entry (Layering Style):
Using the Thief Layer Strategy 🕵️♂️ → Multiple Buy Limit layers
$3625
$3630
$3635
$3640
(Add more layers based on your own strategy & risk appetite)
Stop Loss (Thief SL):
@3610 (Adjust based on your own strategy & risk ⚠️)
Take Profit (Escape Point):
Target resistance zone @3690 🚪💰
⚡ Note: This is a flexible thief-style plan — adjust SL/TP levels as per your personal money management and execution style.
📊 Why This Plan? (Thief’s Market Analysis)
🔎 Real-Time Market Data (10 Sept 2025)
Price: $3,643.71
24h Change: +0.48%
Range: $3,620.90 – $3,644.56
🧠 Retail Sentiment (Contrarian Signal)
Long: 37%
Short: 63%
➡️ Retail crowd is heavily short → Contrarian bullish setup.
🏦 Institutional Sentiment (Commitment of Traders)
Net Long: +249,530 contracts
Long: 315,796
Short: 66,266
➡️ Institutions are firmly positioned long ✅
🌡️ Fear & Greed + Volatility
Neutral (shifting from Greed)
VIX <14 (52-week low) → Calm market backdrop
📉 Macro & Fundamentals
US jobs data: Weak (22K vs. 75K expected)
Fed rate cut probability: 99.4% (September meeting)
Central bank gold demand + geopolitical tensions supportive
Upcoming CPI/PPI = key catalyst
📐 Technical View
Price holding above $3,625 support
Ascending channel continuation
Overbought zone = caution for short pullbacks
🗝️ Key Takeaways (Thief OG Notes)
USD weakness + Fed dovish tilt = Gold tailwind
Retail shorts = bullish contrarian setup
Institutions backing the move higher
Short-term overbought → manage exits smartly
🔥 Related Markets to Watch
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver)
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
SP:SPX (S&P 500)
TVC:US10Y (US 10Y Treasury Yield)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD (Bitcoin correlation check)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #ThiefStrategy #TradingPlan #GoldBulls #MacroAnalysis #MarketSentiment
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Eyes $3,650 Ahead of CPI 📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) may rebound from the support zone $3,627–3,630, and buyers are gradually regaining control. Price action now challenges the resistance zone $3,642–3,647, with a breakout paving the way toward $3,650+.
🎯 Trade Setup (15M Chart)
Entry (Long): $3,630–$3,627
Stop Loss: $3,625
Take Profit: $3,642 / $3,645
🌐 Macro Background
Gold stays supported by Fed rate cut bets, a weaker USD, and geopolitical tensions. US August PPI came in softer, reinforcing rate cut expectations ahead of Thursday’s CPI release (forecast 2.9% headline / 3.1% core). Meanwhile, safe-haven demand is lifted by Poland shooting down Russian drones and Israel’s Doha strikes. While event risk remains, the broader backdrop continues to favour gold upside momentum.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,642 / $3,645 / $3,650
Support: $3,630 / $3,627
📌 Trade Summary
Gold maintains bullish traction above $3,630, with scope for a move toward $3,642–$3,645, though traders should stay cautious ahead of US CPI.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Pay attention to the low-buying opportunities above 3630.Gold ultimately broke through the trendline, breaking out of its current high near 3657. During the European trading session, it fluctuated upward between 3648 and 3640. Therefore, if the price doesn't retreat below 3630 before the European session, the probability of an upward breakout will increase in this volatile upward trend. Therefore, the European session's lowest retracement near 3640 is a key bullish target for a second leg higher.
Gold operation suggestion: go long around 3640-3630, target at 3660-3675.
A Healthy Market Breathes. Gold Hasn’t Exhaled Yet.I remain bullish on Gold overall — that’s not in question.
On 24 August, I even shared a complete cross-market outlook arguing that acceleration to the upside could be the next big move. And indeed, we got it.
But here’s the paradox of markets: sometimes, the stronger the rally, the more fragile it becomes.
________________________________________
Why I Warned About a Steep Correction
• Yesterday, I flagged the risk of a sharp pullback. My stop loss was triggered, yes, but my conviction hasn’t changed. If anything, the higher Gold pushes, the more probable and violent the correction could be.
• The daily chart says it all: since the local bottom around 3300, Gold has moved almost vertically higher.
• From 26 August onward, with the sole exception of the 4 September red candle, every single day closed green — and not just small gains, but +1% or more.
This type of move is powerful, but also unsustainable.
________________________________________
Market Psychology at Work
Markets move in cycles of fear and greed, tension and release. A one-sided move — especially a vertical one — compresses tension like a coiled spring. Traders get trapped:
• Late buyers rush in from FOMO, convinced “it will never stop going up.”
• Sellers get squeezed, forced to cover, adding fuel to the fire.
• But eventually, when there’s no one left to buy at higher prices, even a small wave of selling can cascade into a steep correction.
This is why not even Bitcoin, in its glory days, could sustain vertical rises for long. The pattern was always the same: euphoric rise → brutal drop . Gold is no different.
________________________________________
Where We Stand Now
• At the time of writing, Gold trades at 3647, after touching 3660 and marking a new ATH.
• Is this the local top? Hard to say with certainty. But in my book, until we see a strong correction, there is no valid buy trade here.
________________________________________
My Trading Plan
Today, I will look to sell again. Not because I doubt the long-term bullish trend, but because the short-term imbalance is glaring.
A healthy market breathes, and Gold hasn’t exhaled yet.
🚀 Long term: bullish.
⚠️ Short term: vulnerable.
🎯 Until a correction resets the board, my play is on the short side.
Battle Lines Drawn — Which Comes First, 3700 or 3600?Gold started to fall from around 3675, but failed to effectively fall below 3620 many times during the retracement, so the current retracement cannot be regarded as a market reversal. If the gold market has really peaked, I think the minimum requirement is to effectively fall below 3620, but it is obvious that this condition has not been met yet. Under the current conditions, it can only be regarded as a pullback correction. So at this stage of trading, we cannot be overly bearish on gold.
Currently, gold bulls and bears are competing with each other for control, and the price will remain in a wide range of fluctuations in the short term. However, since gold rebounded from 3620, the bullish structure has not been destroyed. The short-term support below is in the 3635-3625 area, and further strong support is in the 3615-3605 area. If gold fails to break below the 3635-3625 area, it will favor bulls and could serve as a springboard for further gains. Once gold continues its upward trend and breaks through the 3665 area, it could potentially reach the 3680-3690 area.
Therefore, in short-term trading, since gold remains bullish, we can continue to buy gold within the 3635-3625 support area, with the primary target being the 3660-3670 area.
Gold Price Analysis (XAU/USD): Key Levels and Market OutlookThe price of Gold (XAU/USD) has shown strong upward momentum in recent sessions, crossing above the $3,600 mark and briefly touching the $3,674 level, which represents a strong bullish push supported by significant trading volume (over 581K at that peak).
Current Market Overview
Current Price: $3,646.74 (as of the latest 4H candle)
Resistance Level: $3,674 (recent swing high)
Support Level: $3,640 (recent pullback low)
RSI Indicator: Around mid-range (60), showing neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
The Zig Zag indicator highlights the recent correction after reaching $3,674, where the price retraced slightly to $3,640 before consolidating. The market now trades sideways between these two levels, indicating a short-term indecision.
1. Resistance Zone:
Gold needs to break and sustain above $3,674 to confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. If this happens, the next target could be around $3,700 – $3,750.
2. Support Zone:
On the downside, if the price fails to hold the $3,640 level, a deeper correction towards $3,600 – $3,550 cannot be ruled out.
3. Momentum Indicators:
The RSI is currently neutral, suggesting room for both upside and downside moves. Traders should watch for RSI crossing above 70 (bullish continuation) or dropping below 50 (bearish pressure).
Trading Strategy
Bullish Bias: If Gold holds above $3,640 and breaks $3,674, traders may look for long positions targeting $3,700 and above.
Bearish Bias: A break below $3,640 could trigger short positions, with downside targets near $3,600 and $3,550.
Conclusion
Gold remains in a bullish structure but faces short-term resistance at $3,674. Traders should watch closely for a breakout or breakdown from this consolidation range to determine the next major move.
Gold Trade Set Up Sep 10 2025OANDA:XAUUSD
www.tradingview.com
Price is currently making LH/LL on the 1h so id want to see how price reacts at the current key level. If it hold and can make internal structure on the 5m i will look for buys back to PDH but if price closes under the key level on the 15m and retest it i will look for sells towards 4h FVG
Gold Analysis – Correction Not Yet Over (IMO)Yesterday, after printing a new ATH at 3674, Gold sold off aggressively and overnight reached a low of 3620.
Now the key question: Is Gold done correcting?
👉 My answer: Not yet.
Here’s why:
1. The 550 pip drop from the top is barely scratching the surface compared to the 3500 pip rally in the last two weeks.
2. Yesterday’s daily candle is a bearish pin bar. While this pattern is weaker in strong uptrends, it can still trigger continuation.
3. Structurally, the market looks like it’s forming an ABC correction. The current rebound may be wave B, with wave C expected to target the 3570 zone.
4. Confluence supports act like magnets once corrections begin. The zone I’m watching aligns with the 23% Fibonacci retracement, which fits perfectly with the correction scenario.
📌 Trading Plan:
As long as 3675 holds, I remain bearish in the short term. The best strategy is to sell rallies against the ATH, targeting deeper retracement levels.
DeGRAM | GOLD rebounded from the support area📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD staged a bullish takeover at 3,636 support, reclaiming the mid-range and establishing a higher low.
● Price is now pressing 3,650, with projections showing a push toward 3,654 before testing the 3,668–3,672 resistance area.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold demand is underpinned by cautious sentiment ahead of US CPI, while weaker dollar flows and ongoing geopolitical tensions enhance safe-haven appeal.
✨ Summary
Bullish above 3,646; targets 3,654 → 3,668. Invalidation on a close below 3,636.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Pay attention to 3655,there will be callback if it doesn't break#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold tested the support level of 3630-3620 and stabilized before rebounding again, which is consistent with my previous judgment that gold must experience a correction if it wants to rise again.📉
In the short term, the market focus is still on the basis points of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut to be announced next week. 💻Therefore, before clear data is released, the market is unlikely to experience significant fluctuations.📊
Although gold is currently fluctuating sideways around 3645,⚖️ in the short term, we should pay attention to the hourly moving average, which tends to stick together and move upward. 🌈Therefore, if gold falls back again in the short term to test the support level of 3630-3620 below, we can still consider going long. 🚀
On the upside, the first thing to watch is whether gold can effectively break through 3655. If it can effectively break through, it is expected to continue to test the short-term resistance range of 3665-3680. 📈Conversely, a failure to break above 3655 could lead to consolidation within a range.🐻
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 09.10.2025 ???Trend is friend. Gold price today is still holding on the uptrend line and has not broken out yet. Today we only need to pay attention to the following important resistance and support zones:
>> SELL SCALP: 3700 - 3710, SL 3720, TP 3600 - 3570
>> BUY SCALP: 3620 - 3625, SL 3615, TP 3645 - 3700
>>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3620 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
>>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Good luck guys!!!
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 09.09.2025 ???Currently, gold is moving within a clearly defined upward trend channel. Our strategy for today should focus on monitoring key resistance and support zones in order to identify potential entry points for both scalp trades and swing trades. The levels I consider noteworthy are as follows:
>> SELL SCALP: 3650 - 3660, SL 3670, TP 3600
>> BUY SCALP: 3598 - 3603, SL 3595, TP 3680 - 3690
>>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3680 - 3690 - OPEN
>>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3680 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Have fun!!!
Gold - Buy or Sell this week??? (08-12/09)With the sustained accumulation over the past five months, gold has experienced a strong breakout from the $3,300 sideways range and reached a new all-time high around $3,600. The upward trend is clearly established. Therefore, we can consider buying and selling at the following price levels:
>>> SELL ZONE: 3684 - 3679
SL: 3689
TP: 3618 - 3596 - 3578 - 3565 - 3515
>>> BUY ZONE: 3560 - 3570
SL: 3550
TP: 3618 - 3678
Have a good day. Good luck buddies! :)
Gold Breaks $3,600/oz: Fed Rate Cut Hype & Trading Setups!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) soared past $3,600/oz for the first time on Monday (08/09/2025), hitting a new all-time high as weak US jobs data cemented expectations for a Fed rate cut next week. With a 38% YTD surge following a 27% rally in 2024, gold’s unstoppable—driven by a weak USD, central bank buying, easing policies, and global uncertainty. Let’s break down today’s (09/09/2025) market and uncover trading setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold’s Rally Keeps Charging? 🌟
Historic Surge: Weak US jobs data (August growth slowed, unemployment at 4.3%) has markets pricing in an 88% chance of a 0.25% rate cut and 12% for 0.5% in September, per CME FedWatch. Low rates make non-yielding gold shine! 📈
Expert Insight: Peter Grant from Zaner Metals predicts gold could hit $3,700–$3,730/oz short-term, with short pullbacks as buying opportunities. Ongoing labor market weakness and Fed easing into 2026 provide solid support.
Global Drivers: China’s central bank extended its gold-buying streak to 10 months in August. A falling USD and 10-year Treasury yields near a 5-month low boost gold’s allure.
Key Data Ahead: Watch US PPI (10/09) and CPI (11/09) for more Fed policy clues. Geopolitical and tariff tensions further fuel gold’s safe-haven appeal.
Gold’s red-hot—can it conquer new highs?
Technical Analysis: Breakout Mode with Traps—Prioritize BUY! 📉
Gold’s relentless rally smashed through 3600, showing no signs of slowing. Keep an eye on the Fibo 2.618 level at 3685 as a potential pause point. Strong bullish momentum favors BUY setups, but beware of FVG traps from rapid surges. Focus on 3641: a break below could trigger a pullback to 3600, while holding above keeps bulls in charge, targeting 3685.
Key Resistance: 3663 - 3673 - 3685 - 3690
Key Support: 3641 - 3629 - 3596 - 3581
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3673 - 3675
SL: 3679
TP: 3670 - 3665 - 3660 - 3655
Sell Zone: 3684 - 3686
SL: 3694
TP: 3676 - 3666 - 3656 - 3646 - Open
Buy Scalp: 3641 - 3639
SL: 3635
TP: 3644 - 3649 - 3654 - 3659
Buy Zone: 3605 - 3603
SL: 3595
TP: 3613 - 3623 - 3633 - 3643 - Open
Gold’s in breakout territory, but traps are lurking—wait for confirmations at key levels! If supports hold, bulls could charge to 3685. 📊💡
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto #CentralBanks
9/10: Watch Support Around 3600Good morning everyone!
🔹 Key Support Levels
30M Chart: 3628 / 3614–3600
1H Chart: 3623 / 3608–3598
2H Chart: 3623 / 3589
4H Chart: 3606
1D Chart: 3598
🔹 Key Resistance Levels
3643 / 3668–3678
🔹 Intraday Strategy
Sell on rallies, buy on pullbacks at support
Yesterday, bullish data drove gold up to around 3673 before retreating. Technically, the market is now heavily overbought, but strong fundamentals keep fueling bullish sentiment. While chasing profits, don’t overlook the risks!
Today, focus on 3643–3658 resistance. If price fails to hold above, a pullback is likely. Key supports are at 3600, then 3589–3574 / 3558.