Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle formation. The resistance zone lies between $4,104 – $4,113, while the support zone is marked at $4,050 – $4,055. The price has repeatedly tested both zones, suggesting market indecision. A breakout from this tightening structure could dictate the next directional move.
📌 Trade Setup
Entry: $4,061 (near trendline support)
Stop Loss: $4,050 (below support zone)
Take Profit: $4,113 (resistance)
Risk–Reward (R:R): ≈ 1 : 4.36
🌍 Macro Background
Renewed optimism surrounding US-China trade talks has reduced safe-haven demand, leading to gold’s decline near $4,065 earlier today. US Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed that both sides reached a framework for discussion, with China expected to delay its rare earth policy by one year. At the same time, markets are nearly certain the Federal Reserve will deliver a 25 bps rate cut at the October FOMC meeting, with another cut possible in December. While trade optimism weighs on gold, rate-cut expectations continue to provide a safety net for the metal.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,104 / $4,113
Support: $4,055 / $4,061
Upside Target (if breakout): $4,130 – $4,150
📋 Trade Summary
Gold is trapped in a tightening triangle between $4,055 and $4,113. Traders may look for long entries on dips near $4,061 with targets at $4,113, aligning with Fed rate-cut expectations. However, renewed US-China optimism caps the upside. A decisive break below $4,050 would invalidate the bullish outlook and open the door toward $4,020.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Xauusdsignal
Gold is weak. Short-term short selling is recommended.Spot gold rebounded on Friday, paring intraday losses after weaker-than-expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, closing above 4,100. However, it remained in a negative trend for the week, ending the previous nine-week winning streak. The weak inflation data reinforced market expectations of a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at its October 29-30 monetary policy meeting. Market sentiment improved on hopes of a easing of the Sino-US trade standoff. The White House confirmed on Thursday that US President Trump will meet with the President of Korea on the sidelines of the APEC summit in South Korea on October 30, a development that could help ease recent trade tensions.
Technically, gold is showing initial signs of consolidation after a strong rebound. The short-term outlook has turned bearish, as gold prices are currently trading below the 21-, 50-, and 100-period simple moving averages (SMAs) on the 4-hour chart, suggesting fading bullish momentum. From a wave perspective, the 4-hour chart shows an ABC corrective wave pattern, with 4380 as the starting point for wave A. Currently, gold is in the stage of confirming the high point of a wave B rebound, with a high probability of a subsequent wave C decline.
On the 1-hour chart, after forming a double top at 4380 this week and then retreating, the overall market is currently in a consolidation phase with a more bearish outlook. Resistance lies above 4160-4185, while support lies below 4004. Range-bound trading is expected next Monday. If there is risk-averse news over the weekend or if 4160 is broken directly, the weak trend can be reversed.
XAU/USD: Wave 5 is already starting or the bulls' last hope?XAU/USD: Wave 5 is already starting or the bulls' last hope?
📈 Weekly Scenarios
Bullish scenario: Price holds above ~$4,056-4,000, breaks through ~$4,267 → start of waves (5) up → target ~$4,380-4,455+.
Consolidation: Price moves between ~$4,000 and ~$4,267, forming a base before the next major move.
Bearish scenario: Break of support at ~$4,000 with volume confirmation → start of correction → target ~$3,820-3,943.
✅ Conclusion
On the weekly timeframe, gold is at a key milestone: either a strong profitable rally (wave 5) begins, or a correction reverses.
Main signals: holding above ~$4,000 and breaking through ~$4,267 is the way to the upside; a break below ~$4,000 is a signal for caution.
XAU/USD | Day Trade Bullish Map – Can Gold Reach 3800 This Week?🏆 XAU/USD | Metal Market Wealth Strategy Map (Day Trade) 🥇
🎯 Plan: Bullish Wealth Heist
The thief’s map is drawn — and today, the gold vault is our target.
🔑 Strategy Style (Thief Layering Method):
Instead of a single-entry, this plan uses layered limit orders (multiple entry levels). Think of it as planting “buy traps” across the chart to secure the best loot.
📥 Entry Layers (Buy Limits):
3660 💰
3670 💰
3680 💰
3690 💰
3700 💰
(⚡ Add more layers if your style allows — the thief never comes with just one key!)
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Door):
SL @ 3630 (⚠️ Reminder: This is MY thief escape hatch. You’re free to place your own exit plan depending on risk appetite.)
🎯 Target (Loot Point):
TP @ 3800 (near strong resistance, overbought zone & police patrol 🚨)
— Remember: take profits where you feel safe. The thief escapes when the bag is full!
📊 Thief’s Key Notes
This is a layering strategy, designed for dynamic entries & better position cost-averaging.
XAU/USD often reacts strongly around resistance bands — watch for liquidity hunts before the move.
Don’t marry the trade — grab profit, exit quick, and live to raid another day.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Check)
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Moves in sync with Gold, but can be more volatile.
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation — if USD weakens, gold often rallies.
FX:EURUSD : Another inverse play against USD, gold strength may reflect here.
SP:SPX / PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 : Risk sentiment cousins — equity weakness often boosts gold.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Strategy, shared for educational & fun purposes only. Not financial advice — trade at your own risk.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #DayTrading #TradingStrategy #ThiefTrader #FXCorrelation #Metals #Scalping #TradingView
XAU/USD Technical Setup ‖ Bullish Momentum or Smart Trap?🏆 XAU/USD: The Golden Heist Blueprint | Swing & Scalp Strategy 💰
📊 Market Overview
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar)
Market: Precious Metals
Strategy Type: Dual Setup - Swing Trading (Bullish) & Day Trading/Scalping (Bearish)
Risk Level: High Volatility Zone ⚠️
🎯 The Master Plan
🚀 Bullish Scenario: "To The Moon" Setup
Breakout Level: $4,400.00
Action: Direct long entry on confirmed breakout above resistance
Logic: Clean break = institutional momentum shift
🔻 Bearish Scenario: Scalping/Day Trade Setup
Breakdown Level: $4,050.00
Action: Short positions on confirmed break below support
⚠️ Trap Alert: Any pullback above $4,050.00 post-breakdown = potential smart money trap. Watch for false breakouts!
🛡️ Risk Management Zone
Stop Loss (Pullback Buy Plan): $3,950.00
⚠️ Disclaimer: This SL is based on my analysis for the bullish pullback scenario. You're the captain of your own ship! Adjust stops according to your risk tolerance, account size, and trading style. Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
🎖️ Profit Targets
Buy Side Target: $4,600.00
Exit Strategy Notes:
Strong resistance confluence at this level
Overbought conditions likely
Potential trap zone for late entries
Recommendation: Scale out profits gradually rather than waiting for the full target
Sell Side Target: $4,050.00
Exit Strategy Notes:
Major support level - expect bounces
High probability of liquidity grab at this zone
Consider partial profit taking before reaching full target
Recommendation: Trail stops as price moves in your favor
⚠️ Disclaimer: These targets are MY analysis, not financial advice. Take profits when YOUR strategy signals, not mine. Trail stops, scale out, or exit based on YOUR plan. Your money, your rules! 💪
🔗 Related Markets to Watch
Correlated Assets:
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - Dollar strength = Gold weakness
GC (Gold Futures): Direct correlation - Institutional positioning indicator
XAUEUR (Gold vs Euro): Alternative safe-haven flow gauge
US10Y (10-Year Treasury Yield): Inverse correlation - Rising yields pressure Gold
BTCUSD (Bitcoin): Risk-on/risk-off sentiment indicator
Key Fundamental Drivers:
Fed monetary policy & interest rate decisions
Inflation data (CPI/PCE reports)
Geopolitical tensions (safe-haven demand)
Real yields & opportunity cost
🔑 Key Technical Points
✅ Breakout Confirmation: Wait for candle close above/below key levels
✅ Volume Analysis: High volume breakouts = higher probability
✅ Smart Money Traps: Watch for failed breakouts and liquidity grabs
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Calculate before entry - minimum 1:2 recommended
✅ Market Structure: Respect higher timeframe trends
🎭 Trading Psychology Reminder
This strategy has a playful "heist" theme for entertainment, but make no mistake — treat your capital with serious respect. The market doesn't care about our plans. Adapt, manage risk, and preserve capital above all else.
Remember:
No setup is guaranteed
Always use stop losses
Never risk your rent money
Emotions are the enemy
The market pays patient traders
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#XAUUSD #Gold #GoldTrading #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Scalping #TechnicalAnalysis #PreciousMetals #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #Forex #GoldAnalysis #TradingIdeas #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #Breakout #SupportAndResistance #TradingView #ForexSignals
Happy trading, and may the pips be ever in your favor! 🎯💎
Gold: Building a bottom, but caution remainsWeekend Greetings!
Over the past week, gold has been consolidating within the 4160–4000 range. Technically, this range suggests a short-term bottoming phase. However, given that prices recently reached new highs and have since formed a double-top pattern, it’s still too early to confirm a bottom. In the upcoming sessions, traders should remain cautious, avoid chasing highs, and be alert for potential bull traps or a fifth-wave decline, as mentioned last week.
On the 4H chart, higher lows are being established, and Friday’s close was above both the MA5 and MA20, with the MACD maintaining a bullish configuration. The MA60 and MA30 are currently positioned around 4180 and 4163, respectively, serving as key resistance zones. If gold can hold above these levels, there’s a good chance it will approach or even reclaim the 4300 level.
On the daily chart, gold remains supported by the MA20, with long lower wicks indicating active bullish participation, which favors further upside. However, the MA5 and MA10, located around 4154 and 4188, still act as short-term resistance. For a stronger bullish confirmation, the price needs to stabilize above 4160, ideally holding firm above 4180.
On the 30M/1H charts, moving averages are closely aligned, showing short-term consolidation. Notably, the last three candles on the 30M chart form a Morning Star pattern, a typical bullish signal. If this formation remains intact after the market opens, prices are likely to move higher.
From a fundamental perspective, no bearish news emerged over the weekend. Unless unexpected developments occur before the market opens, the technical outlook favors an upward move during Monday’s session.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD: Structure Broken! Can the Fed Rate Cut Save Gold?Gold has just completed its first losing week in 10, after a historic rally. Following the record peak of $4,381.21, Gold experienced a sharp correction driven by profit-taking and easing US-China trade tensions. However, weaker-than-expected US CPI data has strongly reinforced expectations for an upcoming Fed rate cut, creating a significant market conflict.
I. MARKET CONTEXT ANALYSIS (H4)
Structure: The prior bullish structure has been broken, shifting the bias to bearish in the short term.
Liquidity: Market forces are now targeting key stop-loss zones to collect liquidity before the next major move.
Strategy: We look to Sell when price pulls back to the Supply Zone (Premium) and Buy when price sweeps liquidity into the strong Demand Zone.
II. DETAILED TRADING PLAN
1. SELL Scenario 📉 (At Supply Zones)
Trade 1:
Entry: $4,202 - $4,204
SL: $4,212
TP: $4,194 / $4,184 / $4,174 / $4,164
Trade 2:
Entry: $4,252 - $4,256
SL: $4,272
TP: $4,236 / $4,216 / $4,196 / $4,176
2. BUY Scenario 📈 (At Demand Zones)
Trade 1:
Entry: $4,158 - $4,161
SL: $4,151
TP: $4,168 / $4,178 / $4,188 / $4,198
Trade 2 (Critical):
Entry: $3,966 - $3,969 (Strong Demand Zone, post-liquidity sweep)
SL: $3,949
TP: $3,989 / $4,009 / $4,029 / $4,049
III. RISK MANAGEMENT NOTE
Capital: Always limit risk to ≤ 1% of capital per trade.
Confirmation: Prioritize waiting for reversal confirmation on lower timeframes (M15/M5) to optimize Risk/Reward ratio.
This is the decisive moment! Trade safe and good luck!
#XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #Forex #Trading #Fed #Inflation
Trading strategy for gold next weekThe callback is in place and the rebound pattern has been established.
The key support has precisely stabilized: Over the past two trading days, the gold price dropped to a minimum of $4085 before quickly rebounding. This position precisely coincides with the 0.618 retracement point of the previous upward trend. The technical support is quite strong. From the time chart, there have been multiple "bottoming and rebounding" trends in the $4085 - $4100 range, indicating that the buying pressure at the lower levels is strong and the short-term selling pressure has been largely released.
The rebound trend has initially formed: Currently, the gold price has closed higher for two consecutive trading days and has broken through the short-term resistance level of $4100, forming a "two consecutive up days" trend. During the rebound process, the trading volume gradually increased, especially when breaking through $4100, the trading volume was 30% higher than that of the same period the previous day, indicating that the long-term funds have actively entered the market, and the short-term rebound trend has been initially established.
Trading strategy for gold next week
xauusd @ buy4060-4080
TP:4110-4130-4200
Review of Gold's Performance This Week📝This week, the gold market experienced severe volatility, showing an overall trend of a sharp decline followed by a volatile rebound. The details are as follows:
📈Price Movement:
On Monday, gold prices fluctuated between 4,218.32 and 4,354.88.
On Tuesday, gold plummeted by 6.3% at one point, marking the largest single-day drop since April 2013.
On Wednesday, it continued to fall, hitting a low of 4,003.43.
On Thursday, gold fluctuated within the range of 4,065.47 to 4,154.52.
On Friday, gold prices fell again, dropping below 4,060 at one stage with an intraday decline of over 1%, and finally closed at 4,110.55.
💡Influencing Factors:
✔The main reasons for the sharp volatility in gold prices this week include the following:
After a rapid rise in early stages, gold was in an overbought state, creating technical correction pressure. Meanwhile, investors had a strong sentiment to take profits, leading to a large number of sell-offs.
✔In addition, the cooling of risk aversion, the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, and the fact that Federal Reserve officials entered a blackout period ahead of the interest rate decision that are resulting in a lack of remarks supporting interest rate cuts in the market also reduced the appeal of gold.
✔However, factors such as the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, geopolitical tensions, and market expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve provided certain support for gold prices.
💎Outlook for the Future:
From a technical perspective:
If gold breaks through 4,161, it may pave the way for a test of 4,200. If it continues to rise, traders may push gold prices above 4,250, or even target 4,300 and higher record highs.
But if gold falls below 4,040, the next target will be the October 22 low of 4,004.
technical analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) based on your provided chaPrice: Around $4,112.53
Timeframe: 30-minute
Trend Structure: Gold is trading within a rising channel, suggesting short-term bullish momentum after rebounding from a support level.
🧭 Key Technical Zones
Support Level: $4,060 – $4,080
→ This zone has held price multiple times and aligns with the channel’s lower boundary.
Immediate Resistance: $4,125
→ Minor horizontal resistance, currently being retested.
Mid-term Resistance: $4,175 – $4,200
→ The upper boundary of the short-term consolidation range.
Main Target Zone: $4,381
→ Marked as the projected bullish target; aligns with the top of the ascending channel.
📊 Pattern & Projections
The chart shows a bullish continuation setup (possibly a flag or channel breakout in progress).
Price recently bounced from support and is respecting the ascending trendline, hinting at a possible push toward higher resistance levels.
A break above $4,125 could trigger momentum toward $4,175, then $4,225, and finally the target at $4,381.
⚠️ Risk Management
Invalidation: A close below $4,075 (support zone) would invalidate the bullish scenario and could push price back toward $4,025 – $4,000.
Stop-Loss (for buyers): Below $4,070.
Take-Profit Levels:
1️⃣ $4,175
2️⃣ $4,225
3️⃣ $4,381
🟢 Summary Signal
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Around $4,100 – $4,115 (after confirmation of support hold)
Target: $4,381
Stop-Loss: $4,070 NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:AAPL CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! COMEX:GC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! NYMEX:CL1! COMEX:SI1! CME_MINI:RTY1! CBOT_MINI:MYM1!
Trading strategy for gold next weekThe low-level support has been verified through practical operations, and the rebound momentum is beginning to show.
Strong support is clearly effective: In the past three trading days, the spot price of gold in London dropped to the lowest level of 4044.07 US dollars and then rebounded rapidly. This position has formed a short-term "iron bottom". Although the current price has experienced a correction, it has always remained above the 4100 US dollar threshold, and the trading volume during the correction process did not significantly increase, indicating that the short selling pressure is limited and the buying pressure at the lower level is strong.
The rebound signal is beginning to emerge: After the release of the September CPI data, the gold price briefly rose by 30 US dollars. Although it subsequently fell back, it has broken the previous continuous decline trend. From the time chart, the 4100-4110 US dollar range has repeatedly shown a "bottoming out and rebounding" trend, with obvious short-term stabilization characteristics, and the rebound momentum is accumulating.
Trading strategy for gold next week
xauusd @ buy4060-4080
TP:4110-4130-4200
Last trading day. Watch for resistance levels.After the CPI data was released as expected, while the results appear bullish for gold, the market reaction was muted, and the price rebound was relatively weak. This is likely because the current gains may have already overdrawn all positive expectations, and the market needs a period of cooling off.
On the 4-hour chart, gold prices rose on the data, returning to a range of fluctuations. The moving averages are showing a relatively flat trend. The 5-, 10-, and 20-minute moving averages intersect with the middle Bollinger Band in the 4100-4110 range, which also represents a significant short-term support level. The 30-minute moving average is nearing its intersection with the upper Bollinger Band in the 4170-4180 range.
Based on technical indicators, watch for resistance at 4160 in the short term, with a breakout at 4180. Focus on support at 4100-4110 below.
Quaid believes that as the last trading day of the week, the price may also fluctuate slightly around 4130. But if it suddenly starts to break upward, then we need to pay attention to the suppression situation above. When the price first hits around 4160 and fails to break upward effectively, short sell with a light position at this position and make a profit of 30-40 points.
A happy weekend is coming, Quaid hopes everyone reaches their profit targets this week.
Gold: Double Bottom or Five-Wave Decline?After rising to the MA60 area on the 4-hour chart, gold faced significant selling pressure, and the price has now pulled back to around 4050, which lies near the short-term support zone. Over time, the MA20 support on the daily chart has moved up to around 4055, while the MA30 currently sits near 3942.
On the 1-hour chart, the downtrend appears not yet complete, so pay attention to the next two closing candles. For now, key support levels to watch are 4014–4000, followed by 3978–3937.
If the price stabilizes around 4000, a double-bottom pattern could potentially form. However, if it falls further toward the MA30, a head-and-shoulders pattern may come into play. In case the rebound fails to break above resistance, be cautious of a five-wave decline, as that could trigger another sharp correction, with a high likelihood of filling the gap near 3887.
In terms of trading strategy, the focus should still be on finding buying opportunities.
For medium-term setups, you can hold positions patiently; for short-term intraday trades, pay close attention to the key supports mentioned above, and use the MA20/60 on the 30-minute chart as reference points for resistance.
Time for GOLD To DROP! (XAUUSD is heading to the downside!)For many weeks gold (XAUUSD) has been sky rocketing to the upside, however there have been many new signals indicating that it could be a bearish move to the downside. Nothing keeps going up forever! Gold has broken major support levels including the trendline that has been holding it up for weeks. It has also been struggling to break above the fibonacci level of 0.50! Time to sell!
Gold is in a volatile market. Awaiting data releases.In the current market, the critical dividing line of $4,180 is not only a technical resistance level, but also a tipping point for the reshaping of market logic. The surge and pullback have become a shift in market momentum, fueled by an irrational exuberance fueled by bullish sentiment. The surge in gold prices over the past three months is essentially the product of a triple force: policy expectations, geopolitical risks, and central bank gold purchases.
During this process, market sentiment shifted from cautious testing to frenzied pursuit of gains. The RSI indicator briefly crossed the overbought threshold of 80, suggesting that gold prices had broken free from fundamental support. This correction is also inevitable due to a technical correction. When gold prices reached the all-time high of $4,400, market structure shifted subtly: quantitative trading systems triggered stop-loss orders, institutional investors began taking profits, and retail investors' enthusiasm for the rally reached its peak. This pullback is not a trend reversal, but rather a temporary release of upward momentum. Like a spring that rebounds after being compressed to its limit, the market needs to oscillate through fluctuations to clear floating chips and accumulate energy for subsequent breakthroughs.
The market is currently in a fundamentals "information black hole." The US government shutdown has delayed the release of key data such as the non-farm payroll report and CPI, creating a "policy expectations vacuum." In the absence of economic data guidance, investors are increasingly divided over the pace of the Fed's rate cuts. However, central bank gold purchases and geopolitical risks have limited downside potential, creating a volatile market with a "bottom and a ceiling."
In the short term, gold will maintain a volatile pattern centered around $4,180. Quaid recommends buying low and selling high within the $4,180-$4,000 range, monitoring Fed policy signals and geopolitical developments. We should also be wary of data shocks after the US government shutdown ends and the risk of a sudden easing of geopolitical conflicts. A break below $4,000 could trigger a technical sell-off.
Thus, short-term traders seek certainty amidst volatility. The current volatility in the gold market is essentially a technical correction within the bull market, not the end of the trend. The $4,180 level marks both a battleground for bulls and bears and a starting point for reconstructing market logic.
For investors, remaining patient amid volatility and seeking certainty amid disagreements may be the best strategy to deal with the current market.
The last trading day of the week, coupled with the release of CPI data, marks the first major data release since the US government shutdown, potentially triggering significant market volatility.
Strategy implementation will remain in place until the CPI data is released. I will update the strategy in the channel after the data is released.
Today's trading strategy for gold is hoped to be helpful to you.Long-term and Medium-term Bullish Factors Continue to Gather Momentum
The core drivers supporting gold price growth remain intact. The Federal Reserve has launched an interest rate cut cycle, and the market widely expects another rate cut at the end of October, with room for further monetary easing ahead. This continues to lower the cost of holding gold, steadily boosting its appeal. Uncertainties in global geopolitics persist, as potential risks in regions like the Middle East and Eastern Europe have not been eliminated. Coupled with weak performance in U.S. economic data, market demand for safe-haven assets remains robust. More importantly, the global central bank gold-buying spree shows no signs of stopping—central banks of China, India, and many other countries continue to increase their gold reserves, providing solid long-term support for gold prices and making a sharp decline highly unlikely.
Short-term Correction Completed, Rebound Signals Emerge
Previously, gold prices pulled back from highs to around $4,080, which has released the profit-taking pressure accumulated from the earlier rally and constitutes a healthy correction. Currently, prices have rebounded to $4,092, indicating strong buying support at lower levels and a pickup in bullish sentiment. On one hand, the negative news from earlier has been gradually digested. On the other hand, investors are starting to gradually enter the market and build positions in advance to capitalize on expectations of the Federal Reserve's rate cut, driving gold prices to edge higher and accumulating momentum for a short-term rebound.
Today's Gold Trading Strategy
xauusd @ buy4070-4080
TP:4110-4130
sl:4050
Gold:The main strategy is to go shortToday the gold rebounded to a high of around 4144.5 before coming under pressure and declining. It then fluctuated after touching a low of around 4070.
Regarding the current market trend, it is recommended to mainly trade based on technical trends: look for opportunities to go short when rebounds are under pressure. After all, the recent pullback and adjustment of the bullish trend have not yet come to a complete end.
As the U.S. government shutdown continues, some important economic data has entered a vacuum period, leading to widespread market speculation. Currently, a series of major news events—including China-U.S. trade relations, geopolitics, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts—are all affecting market sentiment. After gold plummeted sharply at the start of the week and held the 4000 level, the bulls launched repeated counterattacks.
However, the sustainability of this bullish momentum appears weak for now: gold surged to around 4144 in the morning session but came under pressure again, and has now broken below the 4100 level, turning weak in the short term with further downside potential.
For resistance levels, pay attention to the short-term pressure around 4145-4150; for support levels, keep an eye on the short-term support around 4065-4070,At the same time, we must also be wary of Black Friday. If the support level is broken, gold is likely to continue falling to around 4000.
Since gold is under pressure and struggling to break through, the main trading strategy should be to go short when rebounds encounter pressure. Avoid trading in the middle range adopt a "wait and see" approach and refrain from chasing trades impulsively. Instead, wait patiently for key levels to enter positions.
💎Trading Strategy:
Buy 4060 - 4070
SL 4050
TP 4080 - 4100 - 4120
Sell 4100 - 4110
SL 4120
TP 4080 - 4070 - 4060
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Bullish Gold XAUUSD Setup: Breakout, Retest & Trade OpportunityGold is currently bullish and beginning to break market structure 📈. Price is moving toward previous highs, which may act as resistance. Ideally, I’m watching for price to push through these highs, then retest the level for a potential long opportunity ✅.
In the video, I break everything down clearly — including:
📊 Trend direction
🏛 Market structure
💹 Price action
📉 Volume profile analysis
🎯 How to plan the trade step-by-step
⚠️ This is not financial advice — educational purposes only.
Gold Maintains Re-Accumulation Above OB, Wave Rebound Target🔍 Market Context
After a sharp decline from the ATH GOLD 4,371 USD peak, gold has completed a liquidity sweep around the 4,010 USD bottom and established a stable accumulation zone above the Order Block 4,080 USD .
Buyers are gradually regaining control as the price holds firm at the OB and signs of short-term supply absorption emerge.
The Resistance 4,149 USD zone is currently a temporary barrier; if successfully breached – gold may trigger a rebound wave towards Fair Value Gap (FVG) zones at 4,197 and 4,235 USD.
The current price structure leans towards a bullish retracement structure – prioritizing buy orders when the price reacts from the active demand zone.
💎 Key Technical Structure
Order Block (OB): 4,080 – 4,085 USD → a critical support zone, confluence with Fibo 0.786, serving as an accumulation base.
Resistance (Breakout Level): 4,149 USD → confirmation zone for upward direction, requiring a decisive breakout.
FVG1: 4,197 – 4,210 USD → initial target, short-term supply test zone.
FVG2: 4,225 – 4,235 USD → confluence resistance zone, potential profit-taking on the rebound wave.
ATH GOLD: 4,371 USD → long-term resistance, extended target if the market maintains strong buying momentum.
Overall Structure:
→ Short-term: bullish recovery.
→ Medium-term: re-accumulation after a deep correction phase.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest Order Block 4,080 USD
Entry: 4,080 – 4,085
SL: 4,060
TP1: 4,149
TP2: 4,197
TP3: 4,235
✅ Conditions:
Wait for the price to retrace to the OB zone and show clear bullish reversal signals (rejection or bullish engulfing).
➡️ This is a classic “Buy the Dip” setup – aligning with the recovery structure, with high probability due to OB + Fibonacci strong support confluence.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest zone 4,149 USD
Entry: 4,149 – 4,155
SL: 4,130
TP1: 4,197
TP2: 4,235
✅ Conditions:
Price breaks through the 4,149 resistance zone with good volume and lightly retests, not closing candles below 4,130.
➡️ Trend-following setup, riding the momentum when the market confirms a short-term resistance structure breakout.
3️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at FVG 4,235 USD (short-term)
Entry: 4,230 – 4,235
SL: 4,245
TP: 4,197 → 4,150
✅ Conditions:
If gold shows weak reaction and lacks follow-up buying at FVG2 zone → consider a short-term technical sell on the pullback.
➡️ Short-term sell – only execute if there is no confirmation of continued upward movement.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritize BUY according to the main structure (retracement bullish).
Avoid FOMO buying in the zone (4,110 – 4,130).
If H1 closes candles below 4,060 → invalidates the bullish scenario, wait for structure re-establishment.
Maintain moderate order size when trading around FVG zones to avoid noise.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is in the process of re-accumulation and preparing for a technical rebound phase.
As long as the price holds the Order Block 4,080 USD zone, the recovery structure remains valid and the feasible target is 4,197 → 4,235 USD .
If it breaks through 4,235 USD, the market may extend the rally towards the 4,300 – 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) zone.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy 4,080 → TP 4,197 / 4,235.
Buy more when breaking 4,149 confirms upward direction.
Sell short reaction at 4,235 if no break continuation signal.
🔥 “Patience at the base — profits come to those who wait for the OB reaction.”
⏰ Time Frame: 1H
📅 Update: 24/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent






















