Gold hourly outlookHello, good day,
1H timeframe and personal outlook along with invalidation levels:
The structure is still bullish; we are at the liquidity high, and the 1H buyers’ TP has not yet been touched. (As long as the 1H candle does not close and confirm below 3548, the defined TP for 1H buyers will remain 3606).
Therefore, it can be assumed that from the marked breaker block zone, or with a slight hunt around the 3553 area, a buy trigger could appear for a liquidity grab at the high.
For the invalidation condition: if the 1H candle comes from any of these three support zones toward the high, it should not close above 3600–3606. If it only hunts liquidity, then we can consider the continuation of the move down to the internal liquidity hunt (internal choch). From there, one could again look for a buy trigger, with the 3503 level under the internal choch acting as support.
Personally, I’m watching the breaker block, 3553, and 3543 for buys at the beginning of next week to see how the market reacts to the high
Xauusdsignal
Gold Targets $3,600 After Strong BreakoutAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) continues its bullish rally after breaking above the buy zone near $3,440 and holding strong momentum. The market has recently made higher highs, with price consolidating slightly below the resistance zone.
Currently, gold is trading at $3,548, with the short-term target identified at $3,600. The chart suggests potential consolidation in the highlighted area before another upward push. The SMA (9) at $3,552 is acting as dynamic support, keeping the bullish bias intact.
If buyers maintain control, a clear breakout above $3,552 – $3,560 could confirm a move toward $3,600 – $3,604. However, if momentum weakens, support lies at $3,511 and $3,499, with a deeper pullback possible toward the $3,440 buy zone.
Overall, the sentiment remains bullish, and gold looks positioned to test the $3,600 psychological resistance in the near term.
XAUUSD Forming Ascending TriangleXAUUSD has successfully broken above the strong consolidation zone around 3440–3480, confirming a bullish breakout from the ascending triangle structure. This breakout signals strong momentum, as price has been building higher lows for months and finally cleared resistance with aggressive buying. The current level around 3596 shows bullish continuation with buyers in control.
From a fundamental perspective, gold is gaining support as US dollar strength eases and investors anticipate potential rate cuts from the Federal Reserve later this year. Increasing geopolitical tensions and rising demand for safe-haven assets are also fueling bullish sentiment. Market expectations of lower yields continue to drive capital flows into precious metals, reinforcing this breakout setup.
The technical structure highlights that as long as price sustains above the broken resistance zone, we can expect momentum to push toward 3700–3800 levels in the coming weeks. The bullish candle structure and clean breakout signal confirm strong institutional buying. Traders should monitor pullbacks to support zones as potential re-entry opportunities.
Overall, gold remains one of the most attractive assets in current market conditions. With both technical and fundamental factors aligned, this breakout on the 12H chart offers a high-probability continuation setup. Maintaining proper risk management remains essential as volatility could increase around economic releases.
XAUUSD – Gold Trading Plan Before NFP | MMFLOW TRADINGGold (XAUUSD) has been consolidating in a sideway range (355x–354x) after several days of sharp gains. Yesterday, price reacted strongly at the 357x liquidity zone, triggering a short-term correction before stabilising back into balance.
Now, the market is narrowing its range while waiting for the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) release later today — the key driver that will likely set the next directional move.
📊 Macro Context
If NFP comes in better than expected, Gold could extend its correction lower, filling liquidity gaps towards 352x – 350x before offering fresh long opportunities.
If NFP data disappoints, Gold may break ATH (357x) and push higher toward the next liquidity & FIBO extension levels near 3594+.
🔑 Key Resistance Levels
3560 – 3576 - 3594
🔑 Key Support Levels
3540 - 3528 – 3514 - 3502 – 3488 – 3478
📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading Plan)
🔵 BUY Zone: 3488 – 3486
🔴 SL: 3480
✔️ TP: 3492 – 3496 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ????
🔵 BUY Scalp: 3528 – 3526
🔴 SL: 3520
✔️ TP: 3532 – 3536 – 3540 – 3550 – 3560 – ????
🔴 SELL Scalp: 3574 – 3576
🔴 SL: 3580
✔️ TP: 3570 – 3565 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ????
🔴 SELL Zone: 3593 – 3595
🔴 SL: 3600
✔️ TP: 3588 – 3584 – 3580 – 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – ????
📊 MMFLOW Trading View:
Gold is sideway ahead of NFP, and today’s breakout from the 3540–3565 range will decide the next major move. Liquidity remains key — watch how price reacts at 3515–3528 on the downside or 3576–3595 on the upside.
Gold Price Analysis (XAUUSD 4H): Bulls Eye $3,600 but ResistanceGold has continued its impressive rally, pushing higher on the 4-hour timeframe and reaching the $3,587 zone. With momentum on the bulls’ side, the big question remains: Can XAUUSD break above the $3,600 resistance, or is a pullback on the horizon?
The 4-hour chart shows a clear uptrend, with price action forming higher highs and higher lows. The recent surge took gold from the $3,250 level all the way to nearly $3,600, a gain of more than $300 within weeks.
This bullish momentum is supported by strong buying volume, indicating that traders continue to see gold as a safe-haven asset in the current global environment.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,600 – $3,620
Support Zone: $3,500 – $3,520
Next Upside Target: $3,700 and $3,750 if resistance breaks
Potential Downside Target: $3,520 if price fails to sustain above $3,550
RSI Indicator
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trading near the 70 level, signaling that gold is approaching the overbought territory. While this confirms strong bullish momentum, it also raises the likelihood of a short-term correction or consolidation before the next big move.
Market Sentiment
Currently, gold is at a critical juncture. Buyers are attempting to break the $3,600 barrier, but selling pressure has been visible with upper candle wicks forming near this level.
A decisive breakout above $3,600 could open the path toward $3,700+.
A rejection from resistance may trigger a pullback toward $3,520–$3,500 support.
Trading Outlook
For swing traders, the strategy remains straightforward:
Bullish Bias: Stay long as long as price holds above $3,500. Watch for confirmation above $3,600 to target $3,700 – $3,750.
Bearish Bias: Short-term traders may look for pullback opportunities if price fails to hold above $3,550, aiming for $3,520 support.
Conclusion
Gold (XAUUSD) remains firmly in a bullish trend, but immediate resistance near $3,600 could determine the next move. Traders should closely monitor price action around this key level—either a breakout to new highs or a pullback to reset momentum.
✨ Gold’s next move could set the tone for September trading. Stay alert and manage risk carefully.
DeGRAM | GOLD is correcting📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD failed to sustain above 3,558 after a brief breakout, with rejection confirming resistance and signaling renewed bearish pressure.
● The ascending wedge structure broke to the downside, and a retest of 3,550 could lead to a drop toward supports at 3,540 and 3,527.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Renewed strength in the US dollar, supported by firm Treasury yields and cautious Fed rhetoric, is weighing on gold, limiting upside momentum.
✨ Summary
Bearish below 3,558; targets 3,540 → 3,527. Invalidation on a close above 3,560.
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Gold Dips Post-Record: Trade Fed Drama & US Jobs Data!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) pulled back on Thursday (04/09/2025) as investors took profits after its record-breaking rally, with focus now shifting to the upcoming US jobs report for fresh signals on the Fed’s policy path. Spot gold closed down 0.3% at $3,547.68/oz—is this a buying dip or a reversal? Let’s dive in and uncover trading setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: What’s Behind Gold’s Dip & Potential Rebound? 🌟
Profit-Taking Post-Record: Gold eased after hitting an all-time high of $3,578.50/oz on 03/09, driven by weak job openings data that bolstered rate cut bets and ongoing uncertainty fueling safe-haven demand. 📉
US Jobs Report Looms: Set for release tomorrow (05/09), this key report follows early-session data showing US jobless claims rising more than expected last week, signaling a softening labor market.
Fed Signals & Rate Cut Buzz: Several Fed officials on 03/09 highlighted labor market concerns, reinforcing confidence in rate cuts. Markets now see a 98% chance of a 0.25% rate cut this month, per CME FedWatch. As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-rate and uncertain environments! 🏦
Fed Drama Heats Up: Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook has sparked a serious legal challenge, raising fresh concerns about Fed independence. Coupled with tariff tensions (Trump’s appealing to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses), this is eroding USD asset confidence and boosting gold demand.
Bullish Outlook: Standard Chartered predicts further gains, citing persistent tariff uncertainty and Fed independence fears as key safe-haven drivers.
Technical Analysis: Consolidation Before Big Data—Buy Dips or Wait? 📉
Gold has been trading in an uptrend channel, with early-session accumulation. After a strong Asian session push, it hit the 356x OB zone and dropped quickly. The European session may see sideways action, awaiting tonight’s critical data. If gold holds the channel, bulls could take charge—watch for breakouts!
Key Resistance: 3560 - 3576 - 3586
Key Support: 3540 - 3526 - 3500 - 3490 - 3476
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3558 - 3560
SL: 3564
TP: 3555 - 3545 - 3535
Sell Zone: 3576 - 3578
SL: 3587
TP: 3568 - 3558 - 3548 - 3538
Buy Scalp: 3526 - 3524
SL: 3520
TP: 3529 - 3539 - 3549
Buy Zone: 3500 - 3498
SL: 3490
TP: 3508 - 3518 - 3518 - 3538
Gold’s in consolidation mode, but the jobs report could trigger a breakout—manage risk tightly! If it holds above supports, bulls may push for new highs post-data. 📊💡
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
Gold Hits Record Highs: Trade Fed Drama & Jobs Data!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Rising? 🌟
New Record Highs: Gold hit an all-time high before US jobs data revealed a sharper-than-expected drop in July 2025 job openings and moderate hiring, signaling a loosening labor market. This weakness boosted gold, with the next target at $3,600/oz. 📈
Fed Rate Cut Odds Soar: Post-data, the market raised the probability of a 0.25% rate cut at the Sept 16-17 meeting from 92% to 98%, per CME FedWatch. Fed Governor Christopher Waller emphasized the need for a cut this month, with the pace depending on economic developments. 🏦
Upcoming Data in Focus: Investors are eyeing ADP employment and unemployment claims today (04/09), plus the official payrolls report on 05/09—these could shape Fed actions and gold’s trajectory.
Fed Drama Intensifies: On Sept 3, Governor Lisa Cook detailed her opposition to Trump’s attempt to fire her, while Trump has repeatedly criticized Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates this year. Concerns over Fed independence are eroding confidence in USD assets, driving investors to gold. Trump is set to appeal tariffs to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses. ⚖️🇺🇸
Gold’s Ideal Environment: As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in uncertainty and low-rate settings—perfect for the current landscape!
Technical Analysis: Strong Uptrend, Prioritize BUY but Watch for Pullbacks! 📉
After the Asian open, gold dipped sharply to the 351x zone before rebounding quickly above 352x. This may reflect institutions dumping to capture retail liquidity—a common move during continuous ATHs that leave large FVGs. Prioritize BUY if gold holds above 352x, but if it fails to break 365x today, consider a SELL reversal, especially with ADP Nonfarm data looming. Stay cautious for volatility!
Key Resistance: 3545 - 3561 - 3578 - 3586 - 3596
Key Support: 3521 - 3508 - 3493 - 3475
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3560-3562
SL: 3566
TP: 3557 - 3552 - 3547
Sell Zone: 3594 - 3596
SL: 3604
TP: 3586 - 3576 - 3566 - 3566 - 3546
Buy Scalp: 3508 - 3506
SL: 3502
TP: 3511 - 3516 - 3521
Buy Zone: 3493 - 3491
SL: 3483
TP: 3501 - 3511 - 3521 - 3531 - Open
Gold is red-hot, but today’s data could spark volatility—manage risk tightly! If it holds above 352x, bulls could push to new highs. 📊💡
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #Trump #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
XAUUSD Analysis – Buyers Keep Stepping InIn yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that Gold looked overstretched, with high chances of a continuation of the correction after the recent 3579 ATH.
During the day, price rejected my selling zone twice, and once more overnight. However, buyers kept stepping in, forming higher lows and pushing price back toward the 3560 resistance zone. This behavior signals upward pressure.
If this resistance finally breaks, the probability of seeing yet another ATH towards 3600 increases significantly.
For now, I’m out of the market, with but looking to buy if buying pressure persists
Rebound or Trap? Why I’m Selling RalliesYesterday’s Move
After printing a fresh ATH, profit-taking started late in the New York session. This was followed by stronger selling pressure during the Asian hours, which dragged the price overnight down to 3510. Currently, we see a rebound, with price trading around 3530.
Key Question
Is this rebound the start of a recovery—or just a pause before another leg down?
Why I Expect the Correction to Continue
- The market sold off 650 pips from the new ATH, confirming a local top.
- Momentum becomes fragile after 2k pips rise in just 10 days
- Selling pressure could easily return, especially if buyers struggle to hold above 3550.
Trading Plan
I’ll be looking to sell rallies against the recent top, targeting first the 3500 psychological level, and then the 3470 technical confluence support.
curve reversal structure 15M time frame dear traders
as key points you see the half of reversal curve structure that going to completing .
as mentioned structure rules you can drive on SL point as entry with risk of minimum lots or take an action with entry point as picture : 3530.503 $
SL : 3541.977
sell TP point for full target is : 3499.364
XAUUSD – Technical Outlook after ADP NONFARMGold (XAUUSD) attempted to recover but failed to break through the 3559 – 3561 (OBS Sell Zone – CP Down Zone). The sharp rejection from this resistance confirms that sellers remain in short-term control.
At present, price is retracing towards the 3528 – 3515 support zone – a key level to watch:
If buyers defend 3515, we could see a rebound back toward the 3550 – 3559 resistance zone.
A clear break below 3515 would signal stronger bearish pressure, opening the path toward 3486 – 3477 (Liquidity & OBS Buy Zone) where large orders are likely waiting.
Additionally, the 3537 – 3540 VPOC/Sideway Range remains a critical balance area where short-term market direction could be decided.
📌 Key Technical Levels
Major Resistance: 3550 – 3559
Near-term Support: 3528 – 3515
Liquidity & BUY Zone: 3486 – 3477
📊 MMFLOW Trading View:
Short-term momentum currently favours a corrective move lower after the rejection at 3559 – 3561. The reaction at 3515 will be crucial:
Holding above → potential rebound to retest 3550 – 3559
Breaking lower → extended downside towards 3486 – 3477 liquidity zone
XAUUSD SELL NOW 3537🟠 XAUUSD – Bearish Setup at 3537 Short Opportunity
Gold has reached a key resistance zone around 3537, aligning with prior supply and overbought conditions on intraday indicators. Price action shows signs of exhaustion after a strong bullish leg, with divergence on RSI and volume tapering off.
🔻 Trade Idea: SELL XAUUSD @ 3537
- Entry: 3537
- Stop Loss: 3548 (above recent swing high)
- Take Profit: 3505 / 3480
- Risk/Reward: ~2:1
📉 Technical Confluence:
- Rejection from upper Bollinger Band
- Bearish engulfing candle on 1H
- MACD crossover signaling downside momentum
- Fib 61.8% retracement zone from last swing
💡 Narrative:
With rising Treasury yields and hawkish Fed tone weighing on gold, this setup favors a short-term correction. A break below 3525 could accelerate downside toward 3480 support.
XAUUSD: Overbought, will bears take over?Gold (XAUUSD) on the 4H chart is showing strength after a strong rally, but the signs of exhaustion are starting to creep in. The VWAP Dashboard shows price trading well above VWAP at 3,523 vs. 3,492, a classic overextension that often leads to pullbacks. The RSI sits at 76.9, deep in overbought territory, hinting that bulls may soon run out of steam.
The price action has just tapped into a key resistance zone near 3,538, aligning with a Fibonacci confluence. This level previously acted as resistance, and now it creates a high-probability rejection area. Meanwhile, the volatility bands wrapping around price show expansion, a sign of stretched momentum and potential mean reversion.
The Fibonacci retracement levels lay out clear downside targets:
3,508 (38.2%) 🎯 – first potential support where minor buyers may step in.
3,490 (61.8%) 🟡 – the golden pocket retracement, often a strong reaction zone.
3,459 (100%) 🔻 – deeper correction aligning with trendline support.
Unless bulls can break and hold above 3,538, the chart suggests that sellers may take control in the short term, pushing gold down into these Fibonacci zones.
XAUUSD – 1H | OB / FVG Roadmap Price currently: 3539.7
🔴 1H Supply (Sell Zone): 3565 – 3575
🟩 1H OB #1: 3488 – 3470
🟩 1H OB #2: 3455 – 3440
🟦 1H FVG: 3405 – 3390
🟩 Deep 1H OB: 3382 – 3372
Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation:
If price holds above 3488–3470 OB, I’ll look for buys targeting 3565–3575 supply zone.
Acceptance above 3575 could open doors to continuation higher (new highs).
Invalidation: clean 1H close below 3470.
Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback:
If price fails to hold 3488–3470, next area for potential long setups is 3455–3440 OB, and then the unmitigated 3405–3390 FVG.
I will look for bullish CHoCH/BOS on 3–5m TF before entering.
Targets for rebound are 3530 (mid-range) and 3565–3575 (supply zone).
Execution: No blind orders – confirmation required on LTF.
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
Gold Smashes Records: Trade the Fed Drama & Rate Cut Hype!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Breaking Records! 🌟
New Peaks: Spot gold hit a record $3,527.5/oz on September 2, with analysts predicting a climb to $3,600-$3,900 this year, potentially surpassing $4,000 by 2026 if economic and geopolitical uncertainty persists. Reuters polls show 2025 average price forecasts rising from $2,756/oz (January) to $3,220/oz (July). 📈
Fed Rate Cut Buzz: Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged rising job market risks, boosting bets for a September rate cut. “A weakening USD, fueled by rate cut expectations, investor aversion to US assets, and tariff-related economic uncertainty, supports gold,” says Ricardo Evangelista from ActivTrades. Gold thrives in low-rate environments! 🏦
USD Weakness: The USD has lost nearly 11% since Trump’s return to the White House in January 2025, making gold more attractive to foreign currency holders. 📉
Fed Drama: Trump’s criticism of Powell and attempts to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook have raised fears about Fed independence, driving safe-haven gold demand. “Speculative bullishness stems from potential Fed interference and concerns over the USD’s safe status,” notes Carsten Menke from Julius Baer. ⚖️🇺🇸
Other Drivers: Middle East tensions, Russia-Ukraine conflict, and central bank buying (e.g., China’s PBOC added gold for the 9th consecutive month in July 2025). The World Gold Council (WGC) reports central banks plan to increase gold reserves while reducing USD holdings. “Rising gold prices and central bank accumulation are boosting gold’s share in reserves,” says Michael Hsueh from Deutsche Bank. Gold ETFs like SPDR Gold Trust saw holdings rise 12% YTD to 977.68 tons, the highest since August 2022.
Technical Analysis: Bullish Surge Continues, Prioritize BUY but Watch for Pullbacks! 📉
Gold keeps setting new highs, breaking through the round 3,500 level, dipping briefly to 3,469, then surging to 3,54x—near the Fibonacci extension 0.618. No clear reversal signals yet, so prioritize BUY if gold retraces to 3,52x or 3,51x. Bulls remain in control!
Key Resistance: 3,554 - 3,564 - 3,574
Key Support: 3,521 - 3,508 - 3,450 - 3,475
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp : 3,543 - 3,545
SL: 3,549
TP: 3,540 - 3,535 - 3,530
Sell Zone : 3,571 - 3,573
SL: 3,581
TP: 3,563 - 3,553 - 3,543 - 3,523
Buy Scalp: 3,510 - 3,508
SL: 3,504
TP: 3,513 - 3,518 - 3,528
Buy Zone: 3,475 - 3,473
SL: 3,465
TP: 3,483 - 3,493 - 3,503 - 3,513 - Open
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #Trump #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
Gold Price Analysis September 4✨ Gold analysis today ✨
In the Asian session, gold prices recorded a correction after a series of strong increases for many consecutive days. The market is moving towards important support zones, this will be a notable point to find trading opportunities.
🔹 Main trend: prioritize monitoring BUY orders at support, because the bullish force is still dominant.
🔹 With SELL orders, it is necessary to observe real-time price reactions to take advantage of short-term declines if any.
News calendar: today there is an ADP report - this could be a factor that triggers fluctuations, creating a correction for gold.
📌 Reference strategy:
BUY around the 3495 - 3458 area when there is a clear price rejection signal.