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Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold extended losses, trading near $4,060–$4,070 after its biggest one-day drop in five years. Immediate support zone is around $4,060–$4,070, while the resistance zone lies at $4,132–$4,141. The current chart suggests a potential rebound scenario from support, with upside capped at resistance. Failure to hold $4,060 could expose the next leg lower toward $4,020–$4,000. 📌 Trade Setup Entry (Long): $4,070 (near support zone) Stop Loss: $4,053 (below support) Take Profit: $4,132 (resistance zone retest) Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ≈ 1 : 4.26 🌍 Macro Background Gold remains under heavy pressure after two days of sharp selloff, even as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened slightly near 98.80. The move reflects profit-taking following gold’s record rally, while traders are cautious ahead of Friday’s US CPI data (Core CPI expected at 3.1% YoY). At the same time, Reuters reported that the White House is weighing new export curbs on China’s tech sector, intensifying trade uncertainty. Despite near-term weakness, gold is still up 54% YTD, supported by market bets that the Fed will cut rates by 50 bps at its final two policy meetings this year, with additional easing priced in for 2026. Thus, while short-term volatility may persist, macro drivers still favor dip-buying strategies. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,132 / $4,141 Support: $4,060 / $4,070 Upside Target: $4,132 Downside Risk: $4,020 / $4,000 📋 Trade Summary Gold is consolidating near $4,060–$4,070 support, with technicals hinting at a short-term rebound opportunity toward $4,132 resistance. However, the broader tone remains cautious ahead of the US CPI release and potential new US-China tech trade restrictions. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
Your Gold is about to melt !Hey Traders! Gold is showing similar pattern to its last bull market which lasted 10 years and followed by a bear market which lasted 3 years, well guess what ! We've just finished the 10 years for the current bull market and I think its the time to roach out xD It might pump a little more but its definitely going down soon, after all any bull market doesn't last forever and 10 years is a lot of full market especially when we see a similar pattern in the chart History. Stay safe and let me know what do you guys think about this ?
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Crypto-Shrimp
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (23/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) closed NY around 4,098–4,102 after a constructive rebound from the 4,004–4,024 liquidity shelf. Into Asia, price is coiling just under 4,110–4,113 (intraday high / weak high on 5–15M) with rising short-term MAs beneath (4,083–4,085 cluster), while higher-timeframe EMAs remain overhead on H1/H4. Expect Asia to decide between a continuation leg toward 4,140/4,148 or a controlled pullback into the intraday fib zones before any further move. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook Daily Chart (D1) • Strong two-day correction off 4,38x followed by attempt to print a rejection tail from 4,00x; macro uptrend still intact above 20/50-DMA. • RSI cooled to the mid-50s; room either side. • MACD histogram shrinking but still above baseline → corrective, not trend break. Bias: Corrective rebound inside a broader bullish trend. ⸻ 1H Chart (H1) • Clear rebound structure: swing L 4,004 → H ~4,113 then consolidation. • Price is testing a descending trendline and sits below H1 100/200 EMA band ~4,147–4,16x (yellow/white on your chart) → overhead supply remains. • RSI ~50 with positive slope; MACD turning up from deep negative, confirming recovery but not yet a trend flip. Intraday Bias: Mildly bullish while 4,083–4,085 holds; watch rejections near 4,113/4,140/4,148. ⸻ 15M Chart (M15) • BOS to the upside from the 4,024–4,030 base; pullbacks bought at 4,096–4,100. • Current range: 4,096–4,113 with overhead liquidity beacons 4,130 → 4,140. • MACD green, RSI ~60 → momentum positive but slowing under trendline. Short-term View: Bullish bias to resistance; pullback likely if 4,113 fails. ⸻ 5M Chart (M5) • Micro down-sloping resistance from the 4,110 peak; price holding above MA cluster 4,083–4,085 and the 5M mid-band ~4,098. • MACD recently crossed down on 5M (loss of pace), but not yet a structural break. • A clean 5M close >4,112 typically runs stops to 4,130+. ⸻ ✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone Last confirmed H1 impulse: Low 4,004 → High 4,113 • 38.2% = 4,071 • 50% = 4,058 • 61.8% = 4,046 ✅ Golden Zone = 4,058 – 4,046 (prime buy zone) Confluence: prior NY mid-range, lower channel support, and below the 5M/15M MA cluster (first catch at 4,083–4,071, core at 4,058–4,046). ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Scenarios Bullish Continuation Setup (Preferred if pullback forms) ✅ Buy 4,071–4,058 (scale to 4,046 if swept) on bullish rejection/engulfing. 🎯 Targets → 4,098 (fill) → 4,113 (weak high) → 4,130 → 4,140/4,148 🛑 SL: below 4,040–4,045 (outside 61.8%/structure) Bullish Breakout Setup (Momentum) ✅ Buy on break & 5–15M retest above 4,113. 🎯 Targets → 4,130 → 4,140 → 4,148 (H1 supply/EMA band) 🛑 SL: back inside 4,103–4,105 ⸻ Bearish Correction Setup (Fade resistance) ⚠️ Sell 4,140–4,148 if clear rejection (upper channel / H1 EMA band). 🎯 Targets → 4,113 → 4,098 → 4,083 → 4,071 🛑 SL: above 4,152/4,156 Bearish Breakdown (Continuation lower) ⚠️ Sell below 4,046 (clean break of 61.8% + retest). 🎯 Targets → 4,030 → 4,024 → 4,011 → 4,004 🛑 SL: back above 4,058 ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Outlook – Asia Session • No major Asia data on deck; flow-driven session likely. • Watch DXY drift after NY close; soft DXY favors the pullback-then-buy path. • Headline risk (Fed speakers later) could cap rallies near 4,14x–4,15x ahead of EU/US hours. ⸻ ⚠️ Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 4,113 (breakout line) / 4,130 / 4,140–4,148 (H1 EMA/supply) Support: 4,098–4,096 (intraday) / 4,085–4,083 (MA cluster) / 4,071 / 4,058–4,046 (Fib Golden Zone) / 4,024–4,011 / 4,004 ⸻ ✅ Summary Asia opens with constructive bullish structure on the intraday, but capped by the H1 EMA/supply overhead. Best-quality long is buying the pullback into 4,071 → 4,058 (core 4,058–4,046 Golden Zone) with confirmation, aiming for 4,113 → 4,130 → 4,140/4,148. If price breaks and holds above 4,113, momentum longs are valid. A hard rejection at 4,140–4,148 or a break below 4,046 shifts bias to corrective sells back into 4,030 → 4,011/4,004. Break Confirmation: • Buy above 4,113 (retest) • Sell below 4,046 (retest) Golden Zone: 4,058 – 4,046 (with first support catch 4,071) ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 22/10/2025 🥇 📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS: ⚖️ BUY – BE 🟢 BUY +130 pips 🟢 BUY +70 pips 🔻 SELL +220 pips 🔻 SELL +40 pips 🟢 BUY LIMIT +60 pips ⚪️ SELL LIMIT – Deleted (No Entry) ❌ SELL LIMIT –60 pips (SL) 🔻 SELL +40 pips --- 💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +500 pips 📈 RESULT (Executed trades): 8 Active Trades → 6 Wins | 1 SL | 1 BE 🎯 WIN RATE (on active trades): 75% --- 🔥 Consistent upside momentum caught — clean intraday reversals & disciplined exits kept us in control 💎 👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
1
When Everyone Was Hyped, We Warned We called the bearish turn on gold right on time: After we posted the analysis, gold printed one of its sharpest daily drops in years—momentum the market hadn’t seen in a long time. The core view stands: after brief, counter-trend bounces, the primary path remains down. Revisit the previous analysis; the expectation is continued downside after in-trend corrections. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🚀 Who am I? I'm Mahdi, a prop firm trader with 7+ years of experience in technical analysis, mainly focusing on Smart Money Concepts and Elliott Wave theory. I specialize in delivering high-quality trading signals, market insights, and educational content tailored for serious traders and investors. 📊 My Tools: SMC, Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, Liquidity Grabs, Order Blocks 💼 Prop Challenge Passed: Yes | Funded Account: In Progress 🔗 Follow for consistent updates and trading insights.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by mahdiomidi
2
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (22/10/2025, US SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 4,025, showing bearish continuation after failing to hold earlier London recovery attempts. Price was rejected strongly near the 4,114–4,125 supply zone, leading to a fresh break lower. The pair is now sitting above the 4,004–4,011 liquidity zone, which is a critical decision area for US volume—either to fuel another push lower or trigger a corrective bounce before continuation. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook Daily Chart (D1) • Gold continues its bearish corrective phase after multiple failed attempts to reclaim 4,381. • Today’s candle is currently bearish, pressing toward yesterday’s lower wick region around 4,004. • RSI has shifted downward from prior strength, signaling momentum loss from buyers. • MACD histogram fading, indicating continued corrective pressure within macro uptrend. Bias: Bearish corrective continuation unless 4,125 is reclaimed. ⸻ 1H Chart (H1) • Structure is clearly bearish with repeated lower highs from 4,254 → 4,170 → 4,125. • Current price consolidating near lower support, testing the 4,004–4,011 reaction zone. • RSI around 35 → bearish with potential for short-term relief bounce. • EMA stack remains bearish, with 20 EMA and 50 EMA acting as resistance zones near 4,060. Intraday Bias: Bearish; expecting either rejection on pullback or continuation through 4,004. ⸻ 15M Chart (M15) • Minor bounce attempts observed at 4,011, but structure remains lower high/lower low. • MACD flattening, indicating possible pullback into premium areas for better sell entries. • Price currently trapped between intraday minor support (4,011) and resistance (4,037–4,051). Short-term View: Bearish with potential for short retracement toward resistance before next move. ⸻ 5M Chart (M5) • A small CHoCH occurred after liquidity tap at 4,011, but not enough to shift higher timeframe bias. • RSI and MACD turning mildly bullish —early recovery anticipation, but only corrective unless key levels flip. ⸻ ✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone Recent impulse leg: High 4,125 → Low 4,011 🔹 38.2% Fib = 4,037 🔹 50% Fib = 4,048 🔹 61.8% Fib = 4,060 ✅ Golden Zone = 4,037–4,060, aligning with EMA resistance and prior sell rejection zone. ➡ This is the preferred sell zone if price retraces during the US session. ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Scenarios ✅ Bearish Continuation Setup (Preferred) 📍 Sell Zone: 4,037–4,060 (Golden Zone / EMA rejection) ✅ Trigger: Bearish engulfing / rejection wick from zone 🎯 Targets → 4,020 → 4,011 → 4,004 → 3,980 🛑 SL above 4,070 📉 Breakout Sell (Momentum play) 📍 Sell below 4,004 (Break & Retest) 🎯 Targets → 3,980 → 3,960 → 3,940 🛑 SL above 4,020 🟢 Bullish Countertrend Setup (Low probability unless reversal pattern appears) 📍 Buy at 4,004–4,011 (only with strong bullish engulfing + MACD shift) 🎯 Targets → 4,037 → 4,060 🛑 SL below 3,995 ⚠ Bullish Breakout Buy (Only if structure flips) 📍 Buy above 4,070 (Break & Retest + H1 structure shift) 🎯 Targets → 4,095 → 4,114 🛑 SL below 4,060 ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Outlook – US Session • US session may bring increased volatility, especially around labor market sentiment or Fed expectations. • DXY remains firm, maintaining pressure on gold. • If yields climb further, downside continuation is favored. • If DXY retraces, a relief bounce into Golden Zone may occur before next sell wave. ⸻ ⚠ Key Levels to Watch Type Level Description Resistance 4,037 / 4,048 Fib 38.2%–50% Resistance 4,060 Fib 61.8% / EMA confluence Resistance 4,070 / 4,114 Full structure invalidation Support 4,011 Minor liquidity bounce Support 4,004 Key psychological support Support 3,980 Breakdown target ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold is in a bearish continuation phase, with price consolidating near support before the next move. The Golden Zone at 4,037–4,060 is crucial — rejection here favors selling back into lows. A clean break below 4,004 triggers further downside. Only a strong reclaim above 4,070 would shift sentiment toward bullish recovery. Session Bias: Bearish – favor selling rallies. Break Confirmation: • ✅ Sell below 4,004 • ⚠ Buy only above 4,070 Golden Zone: 4,037 – 4,060
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
Look for a volatile upward correction of 4200-4220Good morning, bros. Although the market did not provide us with suitable trading opportunities last night, this did not prevent the market from confirming Allen's advanced trading vision. Even if the long orders at 4060-4050 were stopped out, the gold price still fell back to around 4000 as expected. Continuing to go long can not only turn losses into profits in one fell swoop, but also ensure substantial profits. how is it? Although we were unable to participate in this transaction, the final trend and results always prove the high accuracy of Allen's advanced trading vision and strategic analysis. As the candle chart closed with a long lower shadow that was nearly twice the length of the body, the short-term bottom was found near 4000. Therefore, I believe that gold may be in a state of volatile upward repair today. After a rapid decline and rebound this morning, the current price is once again around 4120-4130. Judging from the hourly chart, there is a rudimentary form of a head and shoulders bottom pattern in the short term. If the gold price retreats again, thus prompting the formation of a head and shoulders bottom pattern, then when the gold price falls back to around 4105-4095, we can also try to go long on gold with a light position. If gold continues to rise, we will pay attention to the performance of 4160-4170 above, which is both a short-term resistance and the daily MA10 moving average. If the bulls want to return to the market, they must first stand firm on the MA10 moving average to have greater hope. Therefore, this resistance range is also the focus of our short-term attention. Once it stabilizes above the MA10 moving average, gold will be expected to rebound to 4200-4220. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Perfect_Allen
Double Top Confirmed! Is Gold About to Fall Deeper?As expected from my previous idea , Gold touched its target of $4,183 ( the double top pattern’s target(Small) ). Before reaching that target, it had some ups and downs over the past few days, mainly due to the ongoing US-China tensions . Gold is trading near a Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) . From a classical technical analysis perspective, it’s forming a clear double top pattern on the 1-hour timeframe . There’s also a regular bearish divergence (RD-) visible between the two peaks of the double top. From an Elliott Wave theory standpoint, it looks like Gold has started its corrective wave. If the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) and the double top pattern’s neckline break , we can expect further downside . I expect that after breaking the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) and the neckline , Gold could drop at least to around $4,083(First Target) . Second Target: $4,057 Stop Loss(SL): $4,385(Worst) Note: Keep in mind that given the ongoing US-China tensions, any news could invalidate this analysis. So it’s more important than ever to manage your risk carefully these days. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
18
Gold: The M-top pattern indicates a downward risk📈Gold’s situation today is quite complex, marked by sharp volatility. Looking at the price trend, after a rare steep drop the previous night, the Gold continued to slide following today’s opening, touching a low of 4004.5. It then staged a short-term rebound of over $100, fluctuating around 4100 and peaking at 4161.It then continued to decline. 📝In terms of influencing factors: The cooling of safe-haven sentiment is one of the key reasons for Gold’s decline. Europe’s support for Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations, the expected resolution of the U.S. government shutdown crisis, and the easing of Sino-U.S. trade tensions have all led to a significant drop in market demand for safe-haven assets. 📈Gold had risen too sharply in the earlier stage, fueling strong sentiment among investors to take profits at high levels. A large number of sell orders pushed its price down sharply. Additionally, the strengthening of the U.S. dollar during the day has also exerted certain pressure on gold prices. 📝From a technical perspective: The Gold closed with a long bearish candlestick on the daily chart, accompanied by a simple M-top formation. This indicates the risk of the market continuing to move downward. The upper resistance zone is between 4150 and 4180, the key lower support level is at the 4000 integer mark, and further downside support lies between 3900 and 3904. 💎Trading Strategy: Buy 4075 - 4085 SL 4060 TP 4115 - 4125 - 4135 Sell 4150 - 4160 SL 4175 TP 4085 - 4100 - 4115 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Clarke_analysis
$4,381 WAS THE FAKE TOP? Gold -5.5%: MSS Confirms SELL!XAU/USD In-Depth Analysis: Historic Shock and Structure-Based Selling Opportunity! 1. Fundamental Shock Analysis Gold's massive 5.5% plunge from its record high of $4,381 was a large-scale profit-taking action following a blistering 60% year-to-date rally. This move was fueled by: USD Strength: The strengthening US Dollar reduced Gold's appeal. Market Sentiment: A shift into Risk-On mode, diminishing safe-haven demand. The Essence: This was a huge Liquidity Sweep, designed to wash out weaker hands before Gold decides its next major trend. 2. Technical Analysis (MSS & Execution) The price structure has delivered a decisive message: The trend has changed! MSS Confirmed (Market Structure Shift): The break of the bullish structure occurred at $4,254.549. This level is now a highly critical Supply Zone, acting as the "boundary" for the bears. Demand Reaction: Gold is currently attempting to hold the Order Block (OB) at $4,077. Preferred Strategy: SELL based on the confirmed MSS. Optimal SELL Zone: Wait for a retracement back to the Supply Zone $4,254.549 (Ideal limit entry). Target (TP): Successive targets are $4,008 (The psychological $4k mark) and the strong support area at $3,944 - $3,904. Stop Loss (SL): Place above the high at $4,260 (Protecting the MSS point). Conclusion: Don't be fooled by the bounce. $4,254.549 is the golden entry point for a short trade following the new market structure. #GOLD #XAUUSD #MSS #Liquidity #SELLSignal #SmartMoneyConcept
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (22/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 4,157, rebounding aggressively from the previous sell-off low near 4,004. Buyers have stepped in with conviction, reclaiming short-term structure and driving price back above key intraday levels. London opens with bullish momentum in play, but price is now approaching early resistance zones, where the next directional decision is likely to form. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook Daily Chart (D1) • Previous daily candle shows a strong lower wick recovery after heavy bearish liquidation. • Price remains above both 20EMA and 50EMA, suggesting the broader bullish structure is still intact. • RSI has cooled from overbought but now points upward, indicating renewed bullish pressure. • MACD remains in positive territory, confirming long-term buyers are still active. Bias: Bullish corrective rebound, awaiting confirmation for continuation. ⸻ 1H Chart (H1) • Clean bullish CHoCH formed after rejection from 4,004. • Price is approaching dynamic resistance from 200 EMA (around 4,170). • RSI at ~46–50, suggesting room for continuation before overbought conditions. • If price breaks and holds above 4,170, next bullish leg may target 4,200–4,225 liquidity. Intraday Bias: Bullish toward premium zones unless rejected at 4,170. ⸻ 15M Chart (M15) • Multiple higher lows after bounce confirm controlled bullish momentum. • RSI around 60, reflecting moderate bullish strength. • MACD expanding upward → intraday momentum supports continuation into resistance. • Key minor resistance near 4,160–4,170 may trigger a pullback or consolidation. Short-term View: In bullish leg, approaching decision zone. ⸻ 5M Chart (M5) • Structure is trending upward, with each dip being bought. • MACD strongly bullish; histogram rising. • Any pullback into 4,140–4,135 area may provide minor intraday buy reaction before a deeper decision. ⸻ ✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone Recent impulse leg: Low 4,004 → High 4,160 (current swing) 🔹 38.2% Fib = 4,115 🔹 50% Fib = 4,082 🔹 61.8% Fib = 4,050 ✅ Golden Zone = 4,115–4,050, aligning with previous breakout structure and short-term EMA confluence. ➡ If price retraces to this zone and holds, bullish continuation setups may activate. ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Scenarios ✅ Bullish Continuation Setup (Preferred if pullback holds) 📍 Buy Zone: 4,115–4,082 (Golden Zone reaction) ✅ Trigger: Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick 🎯 Targets → 4,150 → 4,170 → 4,200 → 4,225 🛑 SL below 4,050 ✅ Break & Retest Buy Setup (Aggressive Momentum Entry) 📍 Buy above 4,170 (Break of EMA confluence) 🎯 Targets → 4,200 → 4,225 → 4,254 🛑 SL below 4,150 ⚠️ Bearish Correction Setup (If rejection occurs at premium zone) 📍 Sell if strong rejection at 4,170–4,200 🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,115 → 4,082 🛑 SL above 4,209 🔻 Sell Breakout (If bearish momentum resumes) 📍 Sell below 4,050 (Break & Retest) 🎯 Targets → 4,030 → 4,004 → 3,980 🛑 SL above 4,082 ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Outlook – London Session • No major European data early session; price action driven by technical flows. • Focus remains on US data later (unemployment, Fed sentiment). • DXY cooling slightly after yesterday’s strength, offering support to gold pullback recovery. • US yields remain elevated — could cap upside unless risk-off intensifies. ⸻ ⚠️ Key Levels to Watch Type Level Description Resistance 4,170 H1 200 EMA / decision point Resistance 4,200–4,225 Liquidity target zone Resistance 4,254 Previous key supply Support 4,140 Minor intraday support Support 4,115–4,082 Fibonacci Golden Zone Support 4,050 Final retracement line ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold is staging a strong recovery rally and remains bullish in early London momentum. A controlled retracement into the Golden Zone (4,115–4,082) would provide an ideal continuation buy opportunity toward 4,170–4,200–4,225. A confirmed break above 4,170 validates continued upside. A strong rejection at 4,170–4,200 may trigger a corrective dip back into the Fib zone. Session Bias: Bullish, with continuation favored on dips. Break Confirmation: • ✅ Buy above 4,170 • ⚠️ Sell below 4,050 Golden Zone: 4,115 – 4,082 – 4,050 ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 21/10/2025 🥇 📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS: 🔻 SELL +210 pips 🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 pips ❌ BUY –40 pips (SL) 🟢 BUY +70 pips 🟢 BUY +100 pips 🔻 SELL +210 pips 🟢 BUY +270 pips --- 💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +840 pips 📈 RESULT: 7 Signals → 6 Wins | 1 SL 🎯 ACCURACY: 86% --- 🔥 Solid upward momentum and precision in reversals — swing continuation played out beautifully 📈💎 👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
XAUUSD – Sharp 5% Drop as Traders Take Profit Ahead of US CPIMarket Context: Gold (XAU/USD) slumped over 5.5% on Tuesday, marking its largest daily decline in months as traders took profits ahead of the upcoming US CPI data (October 24). The US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounded 0.36% to 98.94, making gold more expensive for foreign buyers. This correction also coincides with renewed optimism over potential easing of US–China trade tensions, after President Trump confirmed plans to meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping next week. While this sharp move caught many traders off guard, it appears to be a healthy correction within a broader bullish structure, as investors remain cautious before major data and the upcoming Fed policy meeting next week. Technical Outlook (M30): After the heavy selloff from the 4,375 high, gold found near-term support around 4,003 – 4,010, forming a potential accumulation base. The pair now trades near 4,150, showing early signs of recovery toward key confluence zones. Key Technical Levels: OBS Sell Zone: 4,338 – 4,340 CP Zone Down / OBS Sell Zone: 4,259 – 4,260 CP Zone Up / OBS Buy Zone: 4,092 – 4,094 Deep Buy Zone: 4,003 – 4,008 The current structure outlines a 5-wave projection, where price may complete Wave II near 4,092, then advance toward Wave III at 4,259, followed by a correction (Wave IV) and another push toward Wave V near 4,338. Trading Plan: 🔹 BUY ZONE#1 (Short-Term Recovery) Entry: 4,092 – 4,094 Stop Loss: 4,080 Take Profit: 4,145 → 4,259 → 4,338 🔹 BUY ZONE #2 (Liquidity Sweep Scenario) Entry: 4,003 – 4,008 Stop Loss: 3,990 Take Profit: 4,090 → 4,259 🔹 SELL ZONE (Countertrend Reaction) Entry: 4,259 – 4,260 Stop Loss: 4,272 Take Profit: 4,145 → 4,092 Summary: The recent 5% correction is viewed as a profit-taking phase ahead of CPI data, not a structural breakdown. Gold is expected to stabilise above 4,092, with buyers likely stepping in near the OBS Buy Zone. Focus remains on 4,259 for a short-term reaction and 4,338 as the next potential liquidity target if momentum continues. 📊 What’s your view — is this just a healthy retracement before CPI, or the start of a deeper shift? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily institutional-grade setups and smart money structure updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD Retracement bullish moveAfter a strong bearish impulse, XAUUSD found support around the lower boundary of the green Fibonacci-based volatility band (approx. $4,093–$4,100). Price shows a potential reversal candle forming just below the midline of the band, suggesting buying pressure. 🎯 Fibonacci Bullish Targets Target 1 (0.382 Fib) → $4,158 – $4,160 First reaction zone, where price may test the underside of the blue band. Target 2 (0.618 Fib) → $4,202 – $4,210 Key resistance area and equilibrium zone of the previous structure. Target 3 (1.000 Fib / Full retracement) → $4,245 – $4,255 Strong supply zone near the upper red band; ideal swing target if momentum continues.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VisionaryInsights
technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold) based on your chart:Pair: Gold (XAU/USD) Chart Summary Current Price: Around $4,140 Trend Lines: A descending trade line shows the overall short-term bearish trend. Support Zone: Clearly marked between $4,080 – $4,120 (“SUPPORT BUY ZONE”). Target: The upside target is labeled near $4,383. Technical Outlook 🔹 Support Zone Reaction Price recently dipped into the support buy zone, forming a potential bullish reversal wick. This area is acting as a strong demand zone, attracting buyers around $4,100. 🔹 Downtrend Channel The pair remains under a downward-sloping trade line, suggesting the short-term market bias is still bearish. However, a breakout above this trendline could trigger bullish continuation toward the $4,383 target. 🔹 Short-Term Scenario Bullish Case (Primary Plan): If gold holds above the support zone ($4,080–$4,120) and breaks the trendline resistance (~$4,200), → next target area: $4,300–$4,383. Confirmation comes with a clear candle close above $4,200. Bearish Case (Alternative Plan): If price fails to break the descending trade line and drops below $4,080, → possible continuation toward $4,040 – $4,000. Key Levels Type Level (USD) Description 🎯 Target 4,383 Major resistance / profit zone ⚔️ Resistance 4,200 Descending trendline zone 🛒 Support Zone 4,080–4,120 Demand / Buy zone ❌ Invalid Below 4,080 Break below = bearish continuation Summary 📈 Gold (XAU/USD) is currently retesting its support zone, showing early signs of a bullish rebound. A confirmed breakout above the trendline could lead to a rally toward $4,380. However, losing support below $4,080 would invalidate the bullish setup and reintroduce downside risk. EURONEXT:IE6X2025 EURONEXT:BE8Z2025 EURONEXT:BXF1! EURONEXT:CU6X2025 EURONEXT:KB6X2025 EURONEXT:PJ6X2025 EURONEXT:PJ8Z2025 EURONEXT:UM6X2025 EURONEXT:UM8Z2025 EURONEXT:AB6X2025 EURONEXT:AB7X2025
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Gold Buy Long PostionA Gold (XAU/USD) Buy Long Position involves purchasing the XAU/USD pair with the expectation that the price of Gold (XAU) will rise relative to the US Dollar (USD) over time.1 This is a common strategy for position traders and swing traders.Gold Buy Long Position (XAU/USD) Short NoteCurrent XAU/USD Price ContextApproximate XAU/USD Price: The Gold price is highly dynamic, but recent market data shows it trading around the $4,150 - $4,250 per ounce range (as of the recent search results from October 2025). This price point is near historical highs, indicating a strong long-term bullish trend that is currently undergoing some short-term correction/consolidation.Strategy Summary for Long EntryFundamental Driver (Why Buy): Gold is typically bought as a safe-haven asset during times of economic or geopolitical uncertainty (e.g., wars, high inflation, recession fears).2 A sustained weakening of the US Dollar (USD) or a dovish outlook from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) (e.g., expected interest rate cuts) is also a strong bullish signal for XAU/USD.Technical Trigger (When to Buy):Support/Retracement: Look for the price to pull back to a key historical Support level or a major Fibonacci Retracement level (like 3$50\%$ or 4$61.8\%$) within an existing uptrend.5Confirmation: Enter the trade when a strong bullish candle (e.g., a Pin Bar or Bullish Engulfing) forms at that key support level, confirming buyer defense.Trend Following: Wait for a breakout above a recent minor resistance level (or consolidation range) to confirm the continuation of the main uptrend.6Risk Management:Stop-Loss (SL): Place the Stop-Loss below the confirmation support level or the most recent swing low to protect against an invalidation of the bullish structure.7Take-Profit (TP): Target the most recent swing high or use Fibonacci Extension levels to project higher targets.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Verifiedtrader07
Gold – 24 Hours of Chaos: From 4400 to 4000The last 24 hours in Gold trading were absolutely insane. After retesting the 4400 zone all-time high last night, XAUUSD literally collapsed, dropping straight to the 4000 zone in just one day — a 10% move that’s unheard of for gold (at least I haven't seen). 1️⃣ Technical Picture Once the price broke back below 4200, it confirmed a double top formation, and the selloff accelerated dramatically toward its measured target around 4000 — a level also supported by the ascending trendline that started in late August. 2️⃣ Current Context At the time of writing, gold already rebounded nearly 1300 pips from the low, which means there’s no attractive level to enter long right now, even though the recovery might continue in the short term. 3️⃣ Key Levels to Watch • Resistance: 4200 zone – now turned into a major resistance. If the price revisits this level, I’ll be looking for short setups, ideally on intraday spikes. • Support: 4000 zone – if the price dips again before testing resistance, it could offer long opportunities from this confluence area. 4️⃣ Trading Plan In short, we’re in a wide range between 4000 and 4200, both levels offering potential trades but in opposite directions. For now, I’ll stay patient and wait for price to get closer to one of these extremes before taking action. ⚠️ Final Note Volatility is off the charts, so if you decide to trade XAUUSD these days, adjust your stop losses and targets accordingly. This is not the time for tight stops, is time for patience, and flexibility. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
16
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure Gold tumbled below $4,100, finding temporary support around $4,085–$4,093. The chart shows a descending trendline, keeping short-term momentum bearish. Immediate resistance lies at $4,142–$4,151, while the support zone is at $4,085–$4,093. A break above the trendline could trigger a rebound toward resistance, but failure may open the door to deeper losses. 📌 Trade Setup Entry: $4,093 Stop Loss: $4,080 (below support zone) Take Profit: $4,150 (resistance retest) Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ≈ 1 : 4.45 🌍 Macro Background Gold is pressured by easing US-China trade tensions as both sides prepare for potential tariff negotiations ahead of November 1. This weakens safe-haven flows. At the same time, the steep profit-taking after a nine-week rally adds to selling pressure. However, risks from the prolonged US government shutdown, concerns over global debt sustainability, and expectations of further Fed rate cuts (October and December) continue to support the medium-term bullish case for gold. Markets now await US CPI data on Friday (YoY expected at 3.1%), which will be a crucial trigger for USD and gold direction. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,142 / $4,151 Support: $4,093 / $4,085 Upside Target (breakout): $4,150–$4,160 Downside Target (failure): $4,070 / $4,050 📋 Trade Summary Gold faces strong downside momentum but holds above the $4,085 support zone. Short-term strategy favours a rebound trade on a breakout above the descending trendline, targeting $4,150. However, if support fails, the decline could accelerate toward $4,070–$4,050. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
A game for the brave. Please participate.Amidst the surging tides of the trend, every ship appears adept. But the true test isn't speed, but staying at sea. Survival is more important than success. Respect the market. Quaid hopes everyone can maintain a steady pace amidst volatility and reap their own wave of wealth. Gold prices retreated after reaching a high of 4381 on Monday. Early analysis indicated a potential "double top" pattern. Based on the previous daily fluctuations of around $100, initial expectations suggested a range-bound market fluctuation of 4381-4270. However, the actual trend far exceeded expectations. Prices plummeted from the 4381 high, triggering a sell-off, with the largest single-day drop reaching $300. This market action further demonstrates market uncertainty. Quaid advises everyone to maintain a cautious approach and strictly set stop-loss orders, whether long or short. A sharp decline is always preceded by a rebound. Prices declined in early Asian trading, not incrementally. Irrational declines will eventually reverse. Don't be intimidated by the market at this time. Don't trade with a normal mindset. Position management is paramount. A 10-point stop-loss is completely unbearable right now, so reduce your position size to about one-third of your normal size. When the market plummets or soars, you can open positions in batches to keep the total transaction loss within the controllable range of the account. For short-term trading, you can enter short positions around 4130. I'll update specific trading strategies on the channel, so stay tuned.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Market_Trader1
Gold Market Nearing a Bottom — Trade with CautionAfter yesterday’s sharp decline, the market is likely entering a gradual bottoming phase. As I mentioned on Saturday, there are still unfilled gaps at 4019–4024 and 3887–3898. If the bears remain dominant, the 4019 gap could be filled, though a move toward 3887 seems less likely unless major negative news triggers it. During any rebound, pay close attention to the 4200–4250 resistance area. If prices fail to stabilize there, the weekly chart pattern will weaken, increasing the risk of a drop toward the 3887 gap. Overall, trade with caution in the near term — the market is being influenced by multiple factors, leading to heightened volatility and risk. Being cautious never hurts. While making profits is important, protecting your account comes first — otherwise, gains mean little. If you prefer fewer, safer trades, focus on the key price zones mentioned above and observe the market more than you act. For those continuing with short-term or scalping strategies, be sure to control your target prices strictly, especially now as the broader trend direction is still being established. Of course, everyone has his or her own trading methods and theories. I will not comment too much here, but just share my own views. If you think it is useful, use it. If it is not useful, just watch the fun.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
1
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (22/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 4,125, attempting a minor recovery after a strong bearish breakdown during the US session. Price found near-term liquidity around 4,106–4,100, where a short-term bounce is unfolding. Despite this pullback attempt, the overall structure remains bearish unless key resistance levels are reclaimed. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook Daily Chart (D1) • Strong bearish candle formed after rejection from 4,381. • Price still above 20EMA and well above 50EMA, confirming a corrective move within a broader bullish trend. • RSI cooling from overbought; now around mid-level, room for either further correction or bounce. • MACD still positive but histogram weakening, suggesting potential retracement or pause. Bias: Corrective bearish inside macro bullish trend. ⸻ 1H Chart (H1) • Clear bearish shift with BOS confirmed below 4,254 and 4,229. • Rejection from 20EMA and 50EMA above (4,170–4,249) confirms intraday bearish bias. • RSI recovering from oversold (26→38) indicating a potential pullback leg. • If gold climbs into 4,160–4,198 zone and rejects, bearish continuation likely. Intraday Bias: Bearish until H1 closes above 4,200–4,210. ⸻ 15M Chart (M15) • Minor CHoCH formed after bounce at 4,106, with price entering a corrective channel. • RSI around 55 → short-term recovery phase. • MACD histogram green but still shallow → possible retracement only. • Price approaching first resistance around 4,140–4,150. Short-term View: Pullback phase inside bearish structure. ⸻ 5M Chart (M5) • Series of higher lows forming → bullish momentum attempt. • MACD positive with expanding green bars. • RSI above 55 suggests buyers in short control, but nearing resistance. ⸻ ✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone Recent impulse: High 4,254 → Low 4,106 🔹 38.2% Fib = 4,160 🔹 50% Fib = 4,180 🔹 61.8% Fib = 4,198 ✅ Golden Zone: 4,160 – 4,198 This zone aligns with intraday EMA resistance and H1 supply, making it a key sell area if rejection occurs. ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Scenarios ✅ Bearish Continuation Setup (Preferred) ⚠️ Sell in the 4,160–4,198 Golden Zone upon bearish rejection. 🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,120 → 4,106 → 4,080 🛑 SL above 4,210 ✅ Breakout Sell (Momentum Play) ⚠️ Sell below 4,106 (Break & Retest) 🎯 Targets → 4,080 → 4,060 → 4,040 🛑 SL above 4,120 ⸻ 🟢 Bullish Countertrend Setup (Lower Probability) ✅ Buy from 4,106–4,100 only if strong bullish engulfing + MACD flip appear. 🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,160 → 4,180 🛑 SL below 4,090 🟢 Bullish Breakout Setup (Structure Shift Only) ✅ Buy above 4,200 (Break & Retest) 🎯 Targets → 4,229 → 4,254 🛑 SL below 4,180 ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Outlook – Asia Session • No major Asian economic catalysts early session → market may retrace or range. • Traders likely positioning for NY session after heavy US selling. • USD Index holding firm; any DXY weakness could extend pullback. • Focus shifts to US jobless data and Fed sentiment later today. ⸻ ⚠ Key Levels to Watch Type Level Description Resistance 4,140 / 4,160 First intraday rejection zones Resistance 4,180 / 4,198 Fibonacci Golden Zone Support 4,120 Minor intraday support Support 4,106–4,100 Liquidity shelf Support 4,080 Deep corrective target ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold is undergoing a corrective bounce within a bearish intraday trend. The Golden Zone (4,160–4,198) is the critical area for potential continuation sells if rejection is confirmed. A failure to clear 4,200 keeps sellers in control. Buyers only gain momentum above 4,200, or at deep retests near 4,106 with bullish confirmation. 🟢 Reversal Buy only if 4,106 holds with strength. 🔻 Main Scenario: Sell rallies from 4,160–4,198 zone. 📉 Break Confirmation: Sell below 4,106. ✨ Golden Zone: 4,160 – 4,198. ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 21/10/2025 🥇 📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS: 🔻 SELL +210 pips 🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 pips ❌ BUY –40 pips (SL) 🟢 BUY +70 pips 🟢 BUY +100 pips 🔻 SELL +210 pips 🟢 BUY +270 pips --- 💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +840 pips 📈 RESULT: 7 Signals → 6 Wins | 1 SL 🎯 ACCURACY: 86% --- 🔥 Solid upward momentum and precision in reversals — swing continuation played out beautifully 📈💎 👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
Gold Plunges — Buying Opportunity EmergesThe strength of the bears eventually caused the price to fall below 4100. After touching 4080, the volatility decreased. I believe that at this point, everyone should know how to trade next. That's right, it is to go long, but pay attention to position control to avoid directly overweighting. It is safer to buy in batches, because the bottom cannot be formed all at once. The probability of this is relatively small. During the rebound, pay attention to the resistance in the area around 4180-4200/4250. If there is a strong and rapid rebound, the price will most likely have some retracement. Therefore, if you are doing short-term trading, you should pay attention to controlling the target. Mid-line trading may also be a roller coaster, but the overall direction should be correct. However, you should also pay attention to the risks. That's all for today.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang