Gold remains volatile. Choose an entry point.Gold experienced a dip on Wednesday, falling to 4004 before rebounding. It tested resistance near 4162 before falling again during the European trading session. It retreated twice to around 4010 during the US trading session before recovering above 4100 at the end of the day.
Judging from the gold market's rhythm on Wednesday, despite some twists and turns, the main structure remained within the moving average range. The 10-day moving average provided strong support, while the 20-day moving average, at 4020 and 4000, formed a support band that effectively provided a short-term bottom.
If gold continues to fluctuate and consolidate in the last two trading days of this week but does not fall below 4000, it could indicate a continued upward trend. If supported by positive fundamental news, gold could experience another short-term uptrend.
If 4000 points falls, panic selling by bulls could intensify, potentially leading to further declines in gold prices in the short term. This could also create the risk of a stampede caused by a sell-off by bulls.
Currently, the weekly MA5 remains near 4000, but the 20-day moving average has risen to 4035. In the short term, focus on the area around 4035, with the 4000 mark remaining the key level. On the upside, focus on the current intersection of the 5- and 10-day moving averages, around 4170-4180.
From the 1-hour chart, there will also be some short-term resistance above 4145, so the approximate short-term range is expected to be between 4000 and 4180. A smaller range of 4035-4145 is also expected.
In addition, the US September CPI inflation data, due to be released this Friday, is attracting much attention. If the report shows higher-than-expected inflation, it could boost the US dollar in the short term and put pressure on dollar-denominated gold prices.
In the short term, we recommend going long around 4110, with a stop-loss at 4100 and a profit range of 4140-4160.
Short-term resistance at 4160 has been persistent, so consider a short position with a profit of 30-40 pips.
Xauusdsignal
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (24/10/2025, ASIA)Gold (XAUUSD) closed NY around 4,120–4,126 after rebounding from the 4,070–4,090 intraday liquidity shelf, showing a clear recovery structure from the prior US session dip. Into Asia, price is now trading near 4,123–4,126, just under the descending H1 resistance / MA confluence. Momentum has turned positive intraday, but price remains in a potential lower high region unless bulls can reclaim 4,143–4,154. Asia will determine whether this is a corrective pullback inside a broader down-leg or the start of a higher-low recovery leg.
⸻
🔍 1. Market Overview
• Price rebounded strongly during late US, suggesting buyers defended sub-4,090 levels.
• Current positioning is mid-structure, below major H1/H4 EMAs, suggesting recovery but not confirmed bullish reversal.
• Asia likely to range or extend recovery toward key resistance zones before directional decision into London.
⸻
🧭 2. Technical Breakdown
📅 Daily Chart (D1)
• Strong bearish correction from 4,38x, followed by stabilization above 4,100.
• Price currently rejecting lower and forming potential daily wick.
• RSI ~59, showing room higher if momentum sustains.
• MACD still above zero but tightening → awaiting confirmation candle.
✅ Bias: Neutral-to-mild recovery within macro bullish context.
⸻
⏳ 1H Chart (H1)
• Price rebounded from strong demand at ~4,070, set higher low, rallied toward 4,126 (current) but still below 4,150+ EMA confluence (yellow/white bands).
• Descending resistance line still active.
• RSI ~52, turning up.
• MACD turning positive but recovery unconfirmed until above 4,143+.
✅ Bias: Recovery phase but facing resistance – bulls need break above 4,143–4,154 to confirm higher low structure.
⸻
📉 30M Chart (M30)
• Clear BOS to upside after breakout from consolidation.
• Mid-term EMA support now rising from ~4,107–4,110.
• However, recent rejection candle printed near resistance area.
✅ Bias: Pullback possible unless 4,110 holds.
⸻
⏱️ 15M Chart (M15)
• Price has tapped resistance zone ~4,126–4,130 multiple times.
• Micro structure remains bullish from 4,070, but consolidation forming.
• MACD shows deceleration; RSI flattening near 60.
✅ Bias: Short-term accumulation/consolidation, waiting for breakout or rejection.
⸻
📍 5M Chart (M5)
• Micro rejection from white MA cluster around 4,126.
• Short-term support near 4,114–4,110.
• If 4,110 fails, fast liquidity drop to 4,098–4,090 likely.
✅ Bias: Micro bullish but losing momentum at resistance.
⸻
✨ 3. Fibonacci Golden Zone (H1 Impulse)
Last confirmed impulse: Low 4,070 → High 4,126
• 38.2% = 4,105
• 50% = 4,098
• 61.8% = 4,091
✅ Golden Zone = 4,105 – 4,091 (Ideal long area if pullback occurs and bullish confirmation appears).
⸻
🎯 4. High-Probability Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation Setup (Preferred if pullback occurs)
🔹 Buy Zone: 4,105–4,098 (core entry) or deeper 4,091
🎯 Targets: 4,126 → 4,143 → 4,154 → 4,168
🛑 SL: Below 4,083 or safer below 4,070.
✅ Bullish Breakout Setup (Momentum)
🔹 Buy on breakout + retest above: 4,126–4,130
🎯 Targets: 4,143 → 4,154 → 4,168
🛑 SL: Back inside 4,115.
⸻
⚠️ Bearish Reaction Setup (Sell at resistance)
🔹 Sell Zone: 4,143–4,154 (EMA confluence + descending trendline)
🎯 Targets: 4,126 → 4,110 → 4,098 → 4,091
🛑 SL: Above 4,160–4,165.
⛔ Bearish Breakdown Setup (Trend continuation lower)
🔹 Sell below retest of: 4,091
🎯 Targets: 4,070 → 4,058 → 4,046 → 4,024
🛑 SL: Above 4,105.
⸻
📅 5. Fundamental Watch – Asia Session
• No high-impact Asian data – flow & positioning-driven.
• DXY mildly neutral – may allow gold extension.
• Markets may stay cautious ahead of London session and FOMC sentiment later.
• A quiet Asia session often respects fib zones & micro structure.
⸻
📍 6. Key Technical Levels
Type Levels
🔼 Resistance 4,126 / 4,130 / 4,143 / 4,154–4,168
🔽 Support 4,114–4,110 / 4,105 / 4,098 / 4,091 (Golden Zone)
⚠ Reversal Zone 4,143–4,154
📉 Breakdown Level 4,091
🎯 Golden Zone 4,105 – 4,091
⸻
📌 7. Analyst Summary
Gold is currently in an intraday recovery phase, but still trading below significant H1 resistance & EMAs. The structure favors bullish continuation only if pullbacks into 4,105–4,098 hold or if price breaks and sustains above 4,130–4,143. A failure to break resistance and a drop below 4,091 would expose deeper retracement into 4,070 / 4,058.
⸻
✅ 8. Final Bias Summary
Condition Strategy
✅ Above 4,130 (confirmed) Bullish → aim for 4,143 / 4,154
✅ Bounce from 4,105–4,098 Buy pullback → target 4,126+
⚠ Rejection 4,143–4,154 Sell reaction → target 4,110 / 4,098
⛔ Below 4,091 (retest) Bearish → target 4,070 / 4,058
📍Golden Zone (Buy Opportunity): 4,105 – 4,091
📍Breakout Confirmation: Above 4,130
📍Breakdown Confirmation: Below 4,091
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 23/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS:
❌ BUY –40 pips (SL)
🔻 SELL +210 pips
⚖️ BUY LIMIT – BE
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY +210 pips
❌ BUY –60 pips (SL)
🟢 BUY +30 pips
🟢 BUY +100 pips
🟢 BUY +520 pips
🟢 BUY +210 pips
---
💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +1,390 pips
📈 RESULT: 10 Signals → 7 Wins | 2 SL | 1 BE
🎯 WIN RATE (on executed trades): 78%
---
🔥 Strong momentum continuation with powerful upside breakouts delivering big gains 📈💎
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
Weekly Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold vs. Dollar)Weekly Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold vs. Dollar)
Weekly Scenarios
Bullish scenario: Gold holds the ~$4,000 zone and breaks through ~$4,200 → next target in the range of ~$4,500–4,700.
Consolidation: Price moves between ~$4,000 and ~$4,200, forming a base for the next impulse.
Bearish scenario: Break below ~$4,000 with volume and a change in structure → possible decline to ~$3,900 or lower.
✅ Conclusion
For the coming week, the technical picture for XAU/USD remains moderately bullish, but with a high degree of risk:
Holding support at ~$4,000 and breaking resistance at ~$4,200 could trigger a significant rally.
A break below ~$4,000 is a signal for caution and a potential correction. It's important for traders to react to volumes, breakout confirmations, and price behavior at designated levels.
Gold:Perfectly confirms the prediction🎉Today's gold trend is in perfect alignment with the key levels we preset, and the upper resistance range has exerted a significant suppressing effect.
✔We clearly indicated in the morning that "attention should be paid to the upper resistance around 4,135–4,150". In the actual market movement, spot London gold hit a daily high of 4,154.52, which just tested the upper edge of this resistance range before fluctuating under pressure. It finally traded around 4,130 and never broke through the 4,150 resistance ceiling throughout the day.
✔Meanwhile, although it dipped to an intraday low of 4,065.47, this level fell entirely within our preset support range of 4,060–4,070. The price then rebounded quickly, which confirms the supporting effect around this zone. The overall trading rhythm is completely consistent with the core logic of our prediction.
GOLD BREAK AND RETEST RECOVERY TOWARDS $4270 Overall Structure
The chart shows a rising channel pattern (ascending parallel channel) that gold had been trading within for several days.
Recently, price broke below the channel, found support, and is now retracing upward toward potential resistance levels.
🧭 Key Observations
1. Trend Context
Previous trend: Bullish, as seen from the steady higher highs and higher lows inside the yellow channel.
Recent move: Sharp bearish breakout below the channel, followed by a strong recovery bounce.
Current structure: Gold is attempting to retest the lower boundary of the broken channel — a common “break and retest” setup.
2. Support Zone
The green arrow marks the support zone around $4,018–$4,040, where the last drop reversed sharply.
This area held as strong de…
📊 Trading Outlook
Bias: Short-term bullish recovery within a medium-term corrective structure.
Buy zone: Above $4,140–$4,150 with confirmation candle.
Targets: $4,206 / $4,253 / $4,271.
Stop-loss: Below $4,100 (for short-term trades).
XAU/USD – Gold Tests Final Structure Before Deciding New Wave“If the 3,950 USD zone is breached, the long-term uptrend may end.”
🔍 Market Context
After reaching the historical peak ATH GOLD 4,391 USD , gold has sharply corrected and formed a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 frame.
Currently, the price is technically recovering to the Resistance – FVG – Fibonacci 4,216 USD zone, which was previously a distribution peak.
The sellers are regaining short-term advantage, while the Order Block zone (3,953–3,960 USD) — the starting point of the strongest growth on H4/Daily — is becoming the most critical defense line of the uptrend.
If this zone is decisively broken, the medium-term uptrend structure is likely to break and trigger a bearish expansion towards deeper liquidity zones like 3,689 USD.
💎 Technical Analysis
Resistance – FVG – Fib Zone: 4,216 – 4,228 → confluence resistance zone FVG + Fibo 0.618, suitable for sell reaction.
Liquidity Sweep Zone: 4,043 – 4,006 → intermediate liquidity sweep zone, temporary pause may occur.
Order Block | Structural Base: 3,953 – 3,960 → H4 momentum zone → ATH; if breached, long-term uptrend structure invalidated.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 3,689 – 3,685 → deep liquidity zone, potential target if OB is broken.
Overall Structure:
→ Short-term: bearish corrective phase.
→ Medium-term: bullish remains if 3,950 is not breached.
📉 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Reaction at 4,216 – 4,228 USD zone
Entry: 4,216 – 4,228
SL: 4,240
TP1: 4,043
TP2: 3,956
TP3: 3,689
✅ Condition:
Wait for clear reversal signal (strong rejection or bearish engulfing) on H1/M15 at FVG resistance zone.
➡️ Classic “Sell the Rally” setup – follow the flow after ChoCH, target key OB zone 3,953 USD.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reaction at Order Block 3,953 – 3,960 USD
Entry: 3,956 – 3,953
SL: 3,940
TP: 4,043 → 4,216
✅ Condition:
Price holds OB and strong reversal signal appears (bullish engulfing / increased volume / small BoS structure turns bullish again).
➡️ This is the decision zone for medium-term trend: if it bounces strongly, buyers will regain control; if breached, gold enters a new deep decline cycle.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritize SELL when price retraces to 4,216 – 4,228 zone with reversal signal.
BUY at 3,953 only with clear reaction; if broken, stop all buy orders.
When price closes H4 candle below 3,950 → confirm bearish break, extend target to 3,689 USD.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is testing the Order Block foundation of the long-term uptrend (3,953–3,960 USD) .
If this zone holds, the market may rebound to 4,216 – 4,280;
but if breached, gold is likely to open a deep decline phase to 3,689 USD – where a massive amount of liquidity is concentrated at the bottom.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Sell 4,216 – 4,228 USD if there is a clear reversal signal.
Buy 3,953 – 3,960 USD if there is a strong reaction;
If 3,950 is breached → confirm extended downtrend, prioritize SELL continuation.
🔥 “This Order Block built the last gold rally — if it breaks, the next leg down will be brutal.”
⏰ Time Frame: 1H – reference H4/Daily
📅 Update: 22/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
XAUUSD:Keep an eye on the 4,000 support mark📈The current price of London gold is 4,116.87 per ounce, up 28.36 from the previous trading day, with a percentage increase of 0.64%. So far today, the highest price has reached 4,137.35 per ounce, and the lowest is 4,065.47 per ounce. Currently, the price is in a state of fluctuating increase.
📝Market sentiment and fund flow:
Judging from the recent market performance, the price of London gold has fluctuated violently. On October 21st, the price of London gold once dropped by more than 6%, and the decline continued on the 22nd, with the lowest reaching 4,002.89 per ounce during the Asian session.
The significant decline in these two days was mainly due to the weakening of risk - off sentiment. The joint statement by the relevant parties in the Russia - Ukraine conflict in support of a cease - fire and the easing signals in Sino - US relations have weakened the safe - haven demand for gold.
At the same time, the previous large increase in the price of gold had accumulated a large number of profit - taking positions, and the pressure on investors to take profits was relatively high. However, the price rebounded on the 23rd, indicating that market sentiment has recovered to some extent, but overall it is still relatively cautious.
📝Technical analysis:
From the perspective of the 4 - hour cycle trend, the gold shows a trend of shifting from a bullish to a bearish rhythm in the short and medium term, forming a typical M - top pattern, which indicates that there may still be room for the price of gold to decline in the near future. However, the large - integer - level support of 4,000 per ounce is currently relatively clear, and in the short term, it may fluctuate within the range of 4,000 - 4,150. In terms of operation, it is mainly advisable to go short on rallies. The upper resistance level is in the range of 4,135 - 4,150, and the short-term support around the 4,065-4,070 range,then the key support level is in the range of 4,010 - 4,000.
💡In conclusion, the price has rebounded today, but due to the impact of the previous significant decline, it may fluctuate within the range of 4,000 - 4,150 per ounce in the short term, and the trend is uncertain. Investors need to closely pay attention to the changes in factors such as the geopolitical situation, Sino - US relations, and the Federal Reserve's policy.
💎Trading Strategy:
BUY 4010 - 4015
SL 4000
TP 4030 - 4020 - 4070
Sell 4120 - 4125
SL 4130
TP 4100 - 4080 - 4060
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Gold May Form a Bull Trap Before Another DropUnder the current strong bearish sentiment, gold has filled the gap around 4019 and touched the MA20 support on the 1D chart, followed by a strong rebound of over $150. After reaching the MA10 near 4160, the price pulled back again and is now trading below 4100.
On the 4H chart, the downtrend remains intact, with psychological support around the MA30 (near 3910). If bearish momentum continues during the U.S. session, a move toward this support level cannot be ruled out.
Personally, I expect gold to first test resistance around 4180–4200 or even 4250, forming a potential bull trap before another leg down. However, if supported by positive news and strong volume, the market could reverse and push prices back above 4300.
Moreover, if the price truly dips into the 3950–3910 range, I see it as a great opportunity for long positions — one I definitely won’t miss!
Of course, this is just my personal view. Ultimately, we should always follow the actual price action and trade cautiously, managing risk wisely.
Analysis of Short-Term Gold Trading StrategyBased on the current market conditions, the price of gold has shown a certain degree of rebound, but it has not yet escaped the adjustment trend after the previous significant increase. At the price of $4110, the short-term upward momentum is insufficient, but the possibility of a decline still exists. Traders can seize the opportunity to carry out short selling operations in the short term, while strictly controlling risks. The specific strategy is as follows:
The rebound cannot reverse the adjustment trend.
Gold previously soared from a lower level to a record high of over $4,300. The rapid upward trend led to an "overbought" market, similar to the state where a fully drawn bow needs to be loosened. Although it rebounded slightly from around $4,065 to $4,110 over the past two days, this was more like a temporary "breather" during the decline rather than a reversal of the trend. The accumulated selling pressure has not been fully released yet.
Positive factors weaken, downward pressure emerges. The geopolitical tensions that had driven up the gold price have shown signs of easing. Many European countries support ceasefire and peace negotiations, which has led to a decrease in the demand for safe-haven assets. At the same time, many investors and institutions that had profited from the previous rally are now taking advantage of this rebound to sell and lock in profits, further exerting downward pressure on the gold price.
Obvious resistance signs for a rebound can be observed from the recent price trend. Gold has stalled when it reached approximately $4137, forming a clear "top" pattern. Currently, $4110 remains within this resistance range. As long as it fails to break above the key price level of $4150 or above, it is likely to continue to decline in the future.
Today's Gold Trading Strategy
xauusd @ sell:4120-4130
tp:4100-4090
sl:4150
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (23/10/2025, US SESSION)Gold is consolidating near 4,110–4,115 after attempting a bullish recovery from yesterday’s dip. Current PA is compressing within a minor intraday wedge under key dynamic resistance (H1 200EMA). The US session is likely to determine whether gold continues its bullish correction toward 4,150–4,162 or loses momentum and re-tests liquidity zones below 4,098–4,083.
⸻
📈 Market Overview
• Recent bullish recovery but still trading below major H1 protections.
• Buyers attempting to hold above 4,110, forming higher lows since early London.
• Sellers are defending resistance around 4,126–4,132, aligned with descending structure.
• Momentum mildly bullish but weakening — breakout decision likely in US volatility.
⸻
🧠 Technical Breakdown
📅 Daily (D1)
• Still in macro bullish uptrend, recent rejection candle confirmed lower wick buying.
• Current candle showing attempt to recover after heavy retracement.
• RSI holding around 59 — neutral but leaning recovery.
• Failure to climb above 4,150 today risks another bearish D1 candle.
⏳ 1H (H1)
• CHoCH confirmed from previous bearish swing, but price is still under key EMAs.
• Trading just below H1 200EMA (approx. 4,150–4,153) — a critical supply zone.
• Multiple rejections around 4,125–4,132, signaling short-term resistance.
• RSI ~53, balanced but slightly bullish.
• MACD histogram showing steady green momentum but starting to flatten.
📍Conclusion: US session needs a breakout above 4,132 or a strong retest to confirm direction.
🕒 30M
• Price consolidating in a tightening wedge.
• 200EMA overhead at 4,150 acting as session ceiling.
• MACD still green but declining — buyers losing steam.
• A break below wedge support (~4,104–4,106) may trigger corrective wave.
📉 15M–5M
• M15: Sideways structure; BOS previously bullish but now stalling.
• M5: Shows liquidity sweeps & quick rejections near 4,126 zone.
• Buyers holding structure above 4,110, but momentum slowing.
📍Scalp buyers may wait for retracement or bullish engulfing confirmation.
⸻
📐 Fibonacci Golden Zone (Last Impulse: 4,088 → 4,137)
🔸 38.2% → 4,119
🔸 50% → 4,113
🔸 61.8% → 4,106
✅ Golden Buy Zone: 4,119–4,106
⚠ If 4,106 breaks decisively, deeper pullback to 4,098–4,083 liquidity pocket is likely.
⸻
🎯 High-Probability Trade Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation (Preferred if zone holds)
📍Buy Zone: 4,119–4,106 (Fib confluence + bullish PA confirmation)
🎯 TP1 4,126 | TP2 4,132 (local high) | TP3 4,148 | TP4 4,159 (H1 200EMA)
🛑 SL below 4,102
⚡ Aggressive Breakout Buy
📍Trigger: Break & close M15 above 4,132
🎯 TP1 4,148 | TP2 4,153 | TP3 4,162 | TP4 4,168
🛑 SL below 4,125
🔻 Bearish Reversal from Supply (Only if clear rejection at 4,132–4,148)
📍Entry: Bearish engulfing/confirmation at 4,132–4,148
🎯 TP1 4,119 | TP2 4,113 | TP3 4,106 | TP4 4,098–4,083
🛑 SL above 4,153
📉 Breakdown Sell (Stronger correction case)
📍Trigger: Clean break below 4,106
🎯 TP1 4,098 | TP2 4,087 | TP3 4,071–4,058
🛑 SL above 4,113
⸻
📅 Fundamental Watch – US Session
• US jobless claims & mid-tier USD data may fuel volatility.
• DXY strength could cap gold upside near 4,148.
• If US yields fall, gold may break 4,132 strongly.
⸻
📍 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,126–4,132 / 4,148–4,153 / 4,162
Support: 4,119 / 4,113 / 4,106 / 4,098 / 4,083
Trendlines:
🔻 Descending resistance capping at 4,132
🔺 Ascending intraday support at 4,110
⸻
🧾 Analyst Summary
Gold is coiling for a directional move during US session. Buyers still maintain short-term structure as long as price holds above 4,106–4,110. A bullish breakout above 4,132 may fuel an impulsive move into H1 supply at 4,148–4,159. However, repeated rejections could cause a deeper correction to 4,098–4,083 before any further bullish attempt.
⸻
📌 Final Bias Summary
✅ Bias: Mildly bullish above 4,106
⚠️ Rejection at 4,132 = short-term sell wave
📍 Buy dips > 4,106 | Strong buy only above 4,132
📍 Sell only on confirmed rejection or breakdown below 4,106
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team 🚀
⸻
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisAnalysis:
Gold is currently trading around 4,120, showing a minor bullish correction within a descending channel. The price has bounced from the support buy zone (4,040–4,060), indicating buyer activity at this level. However, the structure remains bearish in the short term as long as the price stays below the descending trade line.
A possible scenario is a short-term pullback toward the upper trade line before another retest of the support zone. If the support holds again, a bullish reversal could target the 4,383 level, aligning with the upper boundary of the previous high.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060
Resistance (Trade Line): 4,180 – 4,200
Target (Bullish): 4,383
Outlook:
Neutral-to-bullish in the medium term if the support zone remains intact. A break below 4,040 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside continuation. QSE:MRDS QSE:NLCS QSE:ERES QSE:QNBK QSE:FALH QSE:BLDN QSE:DUBK QSE:IGRD QSE:QIBK QSE:IQCD QSE:MEZA QSE:AKHI QSE:WDAM
Is the correction over? Bearish resistance levels are expected.Gold's decline intensified during Wednesday's US trading session, partly due to silver's earlier break below $50, which dampened overall sentiment for precious metals. Overall, this decline was primarily driven by profit-taking and a technical correction.
Gold has been fluctuating above the 4,000 mark for the past two days. After these two days of volatile decline, the 4,000 level is crucial for mid-term strategies.
Thursday's Asian session saw slight fluctuations. If the European session sees a rebound, prices could rise again to test 4,130, followed by yesterday's high of 4,161. Therefore, continued strength in the European session is a prerequisite for the US market. Focus on resistance at 4,130 during the Asian session, and watch for resistance at 4,160 after a breakout.
Trading strategy:
Short around 4130, stop loss at 4140, profit range 4060-4050.
If it breaks through, watch for resistance at 4160 and try to trade again.
GOLD PLAN TODAY | BEARISH TREND AROUND 4093| XAUUSD OCT 23.2025 ☄️ Gold Market Outlook 10/ 23 (Based on SMC) ☄️
📊 Market Context
🔤Gold is currently trading around 4093, showing a temporary recovery after a deep selloff from the 4360–4370 region.
🔤The market structure clearly displays a dominant bearish order flow, with consistent Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside and multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVG) left unfilled above current price.
🔤While short-term retracements are possible, overall price remains within a premium zone for selling.
💡Trading plan
🔽Scenario 1: Continuation SELL from 4160–4180
🔤Reason: Retest of bearish FVG + previous BOS zone.
🔤Entry Condition: Price retraces into FVG and forms bearish CHoCH on M15–M30.
🔤Bias: Aligns with overall bearish order flow.
🔼Scenario 2: Short-term BUY from 4000–4020
🔤Reason: Price has swept liquidity below prior lows and created a bullish CHoCH near the discount zone.
🔤Entry Condition: Look for bullish BOS after CHoCH + small FVG confirmation.
🔤Bias: Counter-trend, best suited for intraday recovery plays.
🔽Scenario 3: Rejection SELL from 4200–4220
🔤Reason: Strong premium zone aligning with multiple FVGs and liquidity pools.
🔤Entry Condition: Sweep of previous highs (above 4180) followed by bearish CHoCH.
🔤Bias: Ideal swing setup if retracement extends deeper.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (23/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 4,125–4,132 after a sharp pre-London rally that broke the M30 descending trendline and printed a BOS on M15. Price tapped the M15 200-EMA / yellow band and the local swing high (4,132–4,138), then paused with RSI(15m) ≈ 70 → early overextension. H1 shows a constructive recovery, but the H1 200-EMA cluster sits higher at ~4,153–4,159, marking today’s first major supply.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1)
• Bullish response candle after the two-day liquidation; price defended the 4,00x shelf.
• Price remains above 20/50-DMA → macro uptrend intact, in corrective rebound.
• RSI ~59, turning up; MACD easing higher (momentum rebuilding).
Bias: Bullish rebound within broader uptrend.
⸻
1H Chart (H1)
• Clear intraday base at 4,004–4,024; successive higher lows into London.
• CHoCH printed; price now pressing the H1 50/100-EMA band and eyeing H1 200-EMA ~4,153–4,159.
• MACD rising from deep negative; RSI mid-50s → room higher before overbought.
Intraday Bias: Bullish while above 4,110–4,114; watch reaction at 4,148–4,159.
⸻
15M Chart (M15)
• Clean BOS through intra-range highs; impulsive leg 4,088.9 → 4,137.7 hit the M15 200-EMA and paused.
• RSI peaked ~70 (overbought); MACD strong but flattening → likely shallow pullback before next attempt.
Short-term View: Buy dips toward 4,119–4,106, or buy a clean breakout >4,138.
⸻
5M Chart (M5)
• Micro descending cap from the spike high; structure still higher-lows above 4,120–4,122.
• MACD easing; first support at the 5M MA stack 4,118–4,121, deeper pivot 4,112–4,114.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
A) Intraday (M15 leg 4,088.9 → 4,137.7)
• 38.2% = 4,119
• 50.0% = 4,113
• 61.8% = 4,106
✅ Golden Zone (M15) = 4,119–4,106 → prime London dip-buy area.
B) H1 swing (4,004 → 4,137.7)
• 38.2% = 4,086–4,087
• 50.0% = 4,071
• 61.8% = 4,058
✅ Golden Zone (H1) = 4,071–4,058 (deeper discount if London retraces hard).
⸻
🎯 High Probability Scenarios
Bullish Continuation Setup (Preferred)
✅ Buy 1: 4,119–4,113–4,106 (M15 Golden Zone) on bullish rejection/engulfing.
🎯 TPs: 4,126 (fill) → 4,132–4,138 (weak high) → 4,148–4,153 (first supply) → 4,159
🛑 SL: below 4,102 (or structural low of entry leg)
✅ Buy 2 – Break & Retest: Above 4,138/4,140 (clean 5–15M close & retest).
🎯 TPs: 4,148–4,153 → 4,159 → stretch 4,168
🛑 SL: back inside 4,132
⸻
Bearish Correction / Fade Setup
⚠️ Sell 1 (Rejection): 4,148–4,159 (H1 200-EMA cluster / supply) with clear rejection wick or bearish engulfing.
🎯 TPs: 4,132 → 4,119 → 4,113/4,106
🛑 SL: above 4,162–4,166
📉 Sell 2 – Breakdown: Below 4,106 (loss of 61.8% of M15 leg) or aggressive below 4,096 (EMA stack).
🎯 TPs: 4,087 → 4,071–4,058 (H1 Golden Zone) → 4,046
🛑 SL: back above 4,113
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – London Session
• Calendar light in EU morning; technicals lead.
• Watch DXY drift—soft dollar supports continuation higher; spike in DXY caps rallies near 4,148–4,159.
• US headlines later can inject volatility—don’t overstay at supply.
⸻
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 4,132–4,138 (weak high) / 4,148–4,153–4,159 (H1 200-EMA supply) / 4,168
Support: 4,126/4,122 (intra) / 4,119–4,113–4,106 (M15 Fib zone) / 4,096 / 4,087 / 4,071–4,058 (H1 Fib zone)
⸻
✅ Summary
London opens with bullish momentum after a confirmed M15/M30 breakout. The highest-quality long is a dip buy into 4,119–4,106 (M15 Golden Zone) with confirmation, targeting a sweep of 4,132–4,138 and a test of the H1 200-EMA supply 4,148–4,159.
If price reclaims 4,138–4,140, momentum continuation is favored.
Failure at 4,148–4,159 or a break below 4,106 shifts bias to a corrective leg into 4,087 → 4,071–4,058.
Break Confirmation:
• Buy above 4,138–4,140 (retest)
• Sell below 4,106 (retest)
Golden Zones: 4,119–4,106 (M15) and 4,071–4,058 (H1).
Gold's Historic Crash! MSS $4195: Waiting for SELL at $4185📰 CONTEXT (FUNDAMENTAL)
Gold suffered its sharpest drop since 2013 after hitting a record $4,398. The decline was mainly due to technical profit-taking, not major macroeconomic events. Long-term fundamental factors (inflation, uncertainty) still support Gold, but a short-term correction is necessary.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (1H Chart)
MSS Confirmed: Price made a strong break (Breakout) of the crucial support at $4,195 - $4,200. This zone has now flipped to become New Resistance (The ideal SELL zone).
The market is currently in a Technical Pullback phase.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN
The preference is to SELL at the Resistance re-test zone, aligned with the new market structure.
1. SELL Strategy (Pro-structure Trade)
SELL ZONE: $4183 - 4185
SL (Stop Loss): $4193
TP (Take Profit): $4175 - 4165 - 4155 - 4145
2. BUY Strategy (Counter-trend Scalp)
BUY ZONE: $4060 - 4055
SL (Stop Loss): $4030
TP (Take Profit): $4091 - 4114 - 4185
🔥 Expert Action: Wait for the price to pull back to the $4183 - 4185 zone to look for a SELL (Short) setup with a favorable R:R ratio.
Always remember to manage risk (SL 1-2% of capital).
Are you going to BUY or SELL? Leave your thoughts and Follow for the latest updates!
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XAUUSD: 800 Pips Secured, but Is the Correction Really Over?Yesterday, after revisiting the 4,000 support zone as expected and explained in my previous analysis, Gold bounced strongly and tested the area above 4,100.
That rally delivered around 800 pips profit on my long trade, and now the market is showing a mild pullback, consolidating around 4,085.
The key question now:
👉 Is the overall correction over, or is there still more to unfold?
From a technical perspective, as long as 4,000 remains intact, Gold retains its bullish potential toward the 4,200 resistance zone.
However, I prefer to stay patient at the moment — being flat at the time of writing — and will wait for a potential dip toward 4,050 or slightly below.
If the price shows a positive reaction in that area, I’ll consider re-entering long positions.
🎯 Upside targets:
• First: 4,150
• Second: 4,200
Keeping a positive risk-reward balance remains the main priority.
🚀 Let’s see if the market confirms the plan.
Gold: Maintain Bullish Strategy, Target 4180–4220 ZoneYesterday, the market overall remained in a bottom-building phase. There were several intraday rebounds, but each time the price eventually returned near the lows. Compared to recent sessions, the volatility wasn’t extreme, though still relatively large when measured against previous market conditions.
At the moment, the price is approaching the MA20 resistance on the 2-hour chart, with both the structure and indicators leaning bullish. On the 30-minute chart, minor support lies near 4070, with secondary support around 4043, while strong resistance remains in the 4180–4200 and 4250 zones.
The trading strategy remains unchanged — continue to buy in batches near the lows and stay patient while waiting for the price to recover.
Gold: Focus on the 4000 markAfter gold prices recorded a sharp decline on Tuesday, they continued their correction on Wednesday. However, the downward momentum weakened significantly when approaching the 4,000 mark, with no effective break below this level.
The price tested this mark multiple times during the day but stabilized and rebounded each time, indicating that the 4,000 mark has initially formed short-term support. Based on this, today’s focus should be on whether the 4,000 mark can hold: if it remains intact, short-term price action is expected to be a wide-ranging oscillation at higher levels for a correction; if broken, it may open up further downside space.
On Wednesday, gold prices repeatedly tested the 4,010-4,000 range, and candlesticks with long lower wicks were formed each time. This candlestick pattern directly confirms the strong support nature of this range. Today trading should take this range as the core reference: on the premise that the 4,000 mark is not broken and the 4,010-4,000 support range remains intact, it is not advisable to blindly chase short positions at low levels, and short-term rebound risks should be guarded against.
💎Trading Strategy:
@Buy 4010 - 4015
SL 4000
TP 4030 - 4020 - 4070
@Sell 4120 - 4125
SL 4130
TP 4100 - 4080 - 4060
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold extended losses, trading near $4,060–$4,070 after its biggest one-day drop in five years.
Immediate support zone is around $4,060–$4,070, while the resistance zone lies at $4,132–$4,141.
The current chart suggests a potential rebound scenario from support, with upside capped at resistance.
Failure to hold $4,060 could expose the next leg lower toward $4,020–$4,000.
📌 Trade Setup
Entry (Long): $4,070 (near support zone)
Stop Loss: $4,053 (below support)
Take Profit: $4,132 (resistance zone retest)
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ≈ 1 : 4.26
🌍 Macro Background
Gold remains under heavy pressure after two days of sharp selloff, even as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened slightly near 98.80. The move reflects profit-taking following gold’s record rally, while traders are cautious ahead of Friday’s US CPI data (Core CPI expected at 3.1% YoY).
At the same time, Reuters reported that the White House is weighing new export curbs on China’s tech sector, intensifying trade uncertainty. Despite near-term weakness, gold is still up 54% YTD, supported by market bets that the Fed will cut rates by 50 bps at its final two policy meetings this year, with additional easing priced in for 2026.
Thus, while short-term volatility may persist, macro drivers still favor dip-buying strategies.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,132 / $4,141
Support: $4,060 / $4,070
Upside Target: $4,132
Downside Risk: $4,020 / $4,000
📋 Trade Summary
Gold is consolidating near $4,060–$4,070 support, with technicals hinting at a short-term rebound opportunity toward $4,132 resistance. However, the broader tone remains cautious ahead of the US CPI release and potential new US-China tech trade restrictions.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.






















