Analysis and trading position for gold
Hello traders
The structure of the one-hour time frame is bearish for now
The algorithm for one-hour sellers has also been activated, but it has not yet pulled back to its equilibrium. In one hour, there are two pullback ranges, 4207 and 4232, which you can look for a trigger sell (this range has high validity until the defined TP is touched. If it gives the target first, this range will be merely a reaction). From these areas and TP, the one-hour sellers of this algorithm are defined at 4040, which is one with a daily support, the one-hour seller is liquidating here, which is also the daily support, so we can expect a good move from this support.
Xauusdsignal
Gold Forms Double Top — Bears May Target 4150Gold ultimately formed a double top, and the decline followed a similar pattern to last Friday. Similarly, it failed to hold above 4352 amidst volatility, falling to around 4317 before rebounding. However, the rebound also failed to effectively convert resistance near 41 into support, leading to a rapid decline! The price has once again returned to support near the MA30 on the 4H chart.
A rapid decline is often accompanied by a rebound, but if the rebound fails to break through resistance, it can only serve as a buffer during the downtrend. If the pattern arrangement and indicators also favor a bearish trend, the subsequent decline is likely to be even more drastic (absent breaking news).
Now the price has rebounded to the resistance zone, and the strong resistance is still around 4300. If the rebound cannot gradually recover, then we must pay attention to the trend support. If it falls below, a similar trend as marked in the figure is likely to appear, and the short position may point to around 4150 or even lower.
Gold: Resistance at 4380 is significant📈Today, during the Asian session, the Gold continued its bullish trend, with the price once surging to 4375, but failed to hold steady afterward and pulled back.
📝From a technical perspective, the overall upward structure of London Gold on the daily chart remains intact, and the short-term technical pattern still shows a relatively strong momentum. However, there is certain resistance around the 4380 level, as the price failed to break through it in the previous two attempts,If the resistance at 4380 is broken, it will open the channel for further upward movement, we will focus on the resistance zone around 4400–4440; if this support 4280 fails to hold, gold prices may fall further to 4150 or even lower.
📝Looking at the 4-hour chart, the immediate focus above is on the short-term resistance zone of 4380-4383, while the support zone below is 4280-4290. If the bulls fail to achieve a sustained breakthrough, the market is likely to enter a consolidation phase later. In terms of operation, it is advisable to trade within this range. Refrain from excessive actions or chasing trades at mid-range levels; instead, wait patiently for key levels to enter positions.
💎Trading Strategy:
Buy 4290 - 4300
TP 4320 - 4330 - 4340
SL 4280
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Gold Double Top Forming – Correction Ahead?When an asset hits an All-Time High(ATH) , technical analysis can get a bit tricky because there’s no historical resistance above and the usual technical rules might have less impact. However, right now it seems like some technical principles are still visible on gold’s chart, at least on the 1-hour timeframe , and I’d like to share that with you.
At the moment, Gold has broken below the lower line of its ascending channel, the Support zone($4,320 – $4,279) , and the neckline of a Double Top Pattern . This could indicate the start of a short-term correction. Given how strong gold’s momentum has been in recent weeks, this correction might not last too long since gold remains very attractive globally.
From an Elliott Wave perspective , the formation of a double top pattern might signal the end of an impulsive wave and the beginning of a corrective phase .
I expect that in the next few hours, Gold could at least drop to the Double Top Pattern’s target around $4,183 . If Gold breaks the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) , we could see a deeper correction .
Second target:$4,143
Stop Loss(SL): $4,385(Worst)
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Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup): Entry (Buy Zone): 4,180 – 4,2Technical Overview:
Gold is currently in a retracement phase, testing a strong BUY ZONE between 4,180 – 4,200.
This zone has previously acted as a major support area, where buyers stepped in.
The chart shows a possible bullish reversal pattern forming near this zone, suggesting a potential rebound.
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup):
Entry (Buy Zone): 4,180 – 4,200
Target: 4,384
Stop-Loss: Below 4,160
Rationale:
The buy zone aligns with previous price reactions, confirming strong demand.
Wick rejections around 4,190 indicate buyer interest.
Price action suggests a possible V-shaped recovery or higher-low formation before continuation upward.
🟥 Bearish Scenario (Alternative):
If price closes below 4,160, the support zone will be invalidated.
In that case, exp TFEX:KKP1! TFEX:DELTA1! TFEX:JPY1! TFEX:EURUSD1! TFEX:GD1! TFEX:GF1! TFEX:USDJPY1! TFEX:GF101! TFEX:SVF1! TFEX:GO1! ect further downside toward 4,120 – 4,100.
⚙️ Summary Table:
Parameter Value
Trend Bias (Short-Term) Neutral to Bullish
Key Support (Buy Zone) 4,180 – 4,200
Target 4,384
Stop-Loss Below 4,160
Risk–Reward Ratio ≈ 1:3
📊 Conclusion:
Gold (XAU/USD) is approaching a critical support zone. As long as the price holds above 4,160, a bullish rebound toward 4,384 remains likely. However, a confirmed break below this level could trigger a deeper correction. TFEX:KEX1! TFEX:ICT1!
Gold Trade Set Up Oct 21 2025Gold failed to create ATH last night during Asia session and dumped hard shifting to a bearish structure during London session. So now i will mostly be looking for sells. If we get a 15m close under most recent swing low 4214 i will want to see 5m BSl swept at at 4233 before looking for sells but if price closes above 4214 and makes HL on the 15m i will look for short term buys into 5m supply and BSL at 4260 before looking for sells again
Gold is trending, focusing on the 4300-4320 range.On Tuesday, the early Asian session began to confirm resistance at 4375-4372, before rebounding and finding resistance at 4355. From here, a sweeping decline began, with the final acceleration occurring at 4344. We had already entered a short position in the 4340-4337 area. The price then experienced a $100 decline, accelerating to the 4244 area.
The price fell from 4375 to 4244, marking another significant decline, and the European session saw a sharp drop of nearly $100.
Watch the following trends in the short term:
The dual-line channel corresponds to 4260, then 4295-44300, and finally 4302. The price broke below the upper limit of the 1-hour chart at 4268. After confirming support at 4220 in the European session on Monday, the price began to rise. However, it has currently broken down. If the US market continues to experience resistance, there is room for further decline in the short term.
The first resistance area is 4280-4285, and the second resistance area is around 4300-4320. If the price breaks above 4325, pause shorting and wait for resistance to enter.
The price just rebounded to around 4278, but is now under pressure below 4280 and continuing to decline. In the short term, monitor the rebound's strength and wait for the next resistance level before considering shorting.
The support level is around 4245, followed by 4225.
I will post more real-time strategies in the channel, so stay tuned.
GOLD: BUY $4235, TARGET $4450! (FED RATE CUT PLAY)📰 MACRO & NEWS: Low-Interest Rate Tailwinds
Gold prices are strongly supported by fundamental factors:
Fed Rate Cuts: The market is pricing in a 99% probability of a Fed rate cut next week. Low rates = An ideal environment for Gold.
Safe-Haven Demand: Political uncertainty (extended US Government shutdown) and lingering trade tensions boost safe-haven appeal.
Key Data: Delayed CPI data, expected on October 24th, will serve as a major market catalyst.
Summary: The fundamental momentum for an upside move is dominant and ready for a breakout.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: The Perfect LONG Setup!
The chart shows Gold is correcting towards a powerful Demand Zone, where the Uptrend Line converges with a critical structural low.
🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy
We are looking to initiate a buy position as the price hits this demand zone:
Position: LONG (BUY) - Following the primary bullish trend
BUY ZONE (Entry):
$4,237
$4,235 (Key Demand Zone)
SL (Stop Loss):
$4,227 (Protecting the bullish structure's low)
TP (Take Profit Targets):
TP1: $4,245
TP2: $4,255
TP3: $4,265
TP4: $4,275
Final TP: Open (Expecting a New ATH around $4,450+)
REMINDER: This buy opportunity in the demand zone is strongly backed by macro factors (Fed & Instability). Always manage your risk!
#GOLD #XAUUSD #Fed #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeSetup
Correct projection for GoldAfter breaking through 4280, gold has continued to rise and shows no signs of peaking so far. This fully aligns with our prediction that a breakthrough above 4280 would form bottom support and further test 4362. If it breaks through the previous high of 4379, it will open the channel for further upward movement.
Gold ready for retest ath 4380Gold (XAU/USD) showing bullish reaction from the support trendline. The circled candle indicates buyer strength, suggesting a possible recovery toward 4279–4380 resistance levels.
Support Trend Line:
Shows long-term bullish structure — price respecting the ascending trendline.
Support Zone (4181 – 4253):
Key demand area where buyers are stepping in to defend the trend.
4279 Level:
Immediate resistance; a breakout above could confirm short-term bullish momentum.
4313 Level:
Next resistance target after 4279; possible area for partial profit-taking.
4380 Level (ATH Retest):
Major resistance zone — potential final target if bullish move continues.
Indicates buyer reaction at the trendline, signaling possible reversal toward 4279.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (21/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)📊 1. Market Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently correcting after a strong bullish daily run, forming a rejection from the Weak High around 4,381. Momentum has slowed, and the London session opens with price trading below intraday moving averages on lower timeframes, indicating short-term bearish pressure. However, the higher timeframe trend (Daily) remains bullish unless a deeper retracement occurs.
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🕰️ 2. Technical Breakdown
📅 Daily (D1)
✅ Strong bullish trend still intact.
❌ However, current candle shows rejection near the Weak High 4,381.
📍 RSI overbought (78+), signaling possible correction risk.
📉 Probability: Short-term correction inside bullish macro trend.
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⏰ H1
📍 Price failed to hold above 4,350 and formed a lower high after sweeping liquidity.
📉 Currently testing 50 EMA → temporary bearish control.
🟦 Discount zone below 4,330 is being tested.
📍 If 4,317 (Weak Low) breaks, deeper sell phase confirmed.
🟢 If reclaimed above 4,350–4,362, bullish continuation resumes.
✅ Fibonacci (H1 latest swing):
From recent swing low (approx. 4,292) to swing high (approx. 4,375):
📌 Golden Zone (61.8–50%): 4,318–4,336 → currently in play.
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📉 15M–5M (Entry Timeframes)
🔻 Structure shows lower highs forming after a liquidity grab.
📉 MACD momentum fading after small bullish correction.
📍 Price is hovering around 200 EMA area → Decision point.
🔍 Needs break/retest confirmation to define direction.
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📐 3. Fibonacci Analysis (H1 Swing)
Level Price Approx
38.2% 4,341
50% 4,336 ✅
61.8% 4,318 ✅
78.6% 4,304
📍Currently reacting inside 50–61.8 zone → potential bounce or continuation down.
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📍 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📉 SELL Scenario (Higher Probability if bearish confirmation)
🔻 Ideal Sell Zone: 4,341–4,350 (15M LH + EMA rejection + RSI midline failure)
🔻 Sell Confirmation Trigger: Break & retest below 4,330
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: 4,318 (Golden Zone bottom)
• TP2: 4,305 (78.6% level)
• TP3: 4,292 (swing low)
🛑 Invalidation: Clean H1 candle close above 4,362.
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📈 BUY Scenario (Only if bullish confirmation)
🟢 Buy Zone: 4,318–4,330 (Golden Zone + trendline confluence)
✅ Trigger: Bullish engulfing or CHoCH on 5M–15M
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: 4,341 (38.2 retracement)
• TP2: 4,350 (intraday LH)
• TP3: 4,362 (EMA reclaim / structure flip)
🛑 Invalidation: Break below 4,304 (78.6% level).
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📛 Breakout Play (If volatility spikes)
📍 Bullish breakout → Buy above 4,362 with retest → Target 4,381/4,400
📍 Bearish breakdown → Sell below 4,304 → Target 4,292 → 4,270
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📆 5. Fundamental Watch (London Drivers)
🕘 No major UK releases early session.
🕛 Watch for USD sentiment ahead of NY session.
⚠️ Any Fed-related speech could trigger breakout from Golden Zone.
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📍 6. Key Technical Levels
Type Price
Strong High 4,381
LH Resistance 4,350–4,362
Golden Zone 4,318–4,336
Weak Low 4,317
Breakdown Key 4,304
Swing Low 4,292
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🧠 7. Analyst Summary
London opens with price inside the H1 Fibonacci retracement zone. Short-term bearish structure persists unless 4,350–4,362 is reclaimed. Momentum indicators show fading buying pressure, making a bearish retest from premium zones more likely before any bullish continuation.
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🎯 8. Final Bias Summary
Scenario Probability Bias Action
Sell from LH (4,341–4,350) ✅ High Bearish Preferred
Buy from 4,318–4,330 Golden Zone Medium Bullish Only if strong CHoCH
Breakout above 4,362 Medium Bullish Trend continuation
Breakdown below 4,304 ✅ High Bearish Deep correction
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XAU/USD – Bullish Reversal Setup from Buy Zone within DescendingLME:CA1! LME:NI1! LME:MC1! LME:SN1! LME:LH1! LME:SC1! LME:CO1! LME:ZS1! LME:HC1! LME:MA1! LME:MZ1! LME:EA1! Market Structure Overview
The price is currently moving inside a descending channel (marked as TRADE LINE).
A Buy Zone is identified between $4,315 – $4,325, which acts as a strong support area.
Price has touched the lower channel line and rebounded upward, indicating buyer interest around that zone.
📉 Short-Term Trend
The short-term trend is bearish due to lower highs and lower lows inside the channel.
However, momentum shows weakening selling pressure near the buy zone.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the Buy Zone and forms bullish candles, expect a potential reversal toward the upper channel line.
A breakout above the upper channel would signal a trend shift, targeting:
Target: $4,381 – $4,385 (as marked on your chart).
🔴 Bearish Scenario
If price breaks below $4,315, it would invalidate the buy zone setup.
Next potential support could be around $4,300 or lower.
📊 Trade Plan Example
Entry: Near $4,320 – $4,325 (Buy Zone)
Stop-Loss: Below $4,310
Take-Profit: $4,380 – $4,385
Risk-to-Reward: Approximately 1:4
⚙️ Summary
Gold is currently consolidating within a descending channel.
A bullish breakout from this structure could open the path toward the $4,381 target zone, confirming short-term bullish reversal momentum.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youGold resumed its upward momentum on Monday, primarily driven by multiple positive factors. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to maintain a wait-and-see stance ahead of its monetary policy meeting, with the upcoming inflation data set to serve as a key guide. Meanwhile, the U.S. government’s fiscal deadlock has introduced uncertainty, providing additional safe-haven premium for gold. The persistence of heightened tensions in the Middle East has further highlighted gold’s hedging function.
In the long run, the steady gold purchase demand from global central banks and ETF holdings have formed solid support for gold prices, effectively offsetting short-term volatility. Additionally, the performance of traditional safe-haven currencies such as the Swiss franc and Japanese yen, together with the U.S. dollar, has jointly influenced gold’s appeal.
From the 4-hour chart analysis, gold oscillated below the critical level of 4,380. However, driven by safe-haven buying in the evening, it broke through this resistance level strongly, indicating that bulls have regained dominance. This breakthrough confirms the short-term strong pattern, and the key focus for the intraday downside is the 4,300 level, which has now transformed into a new support zone.
In terms of operation, the strategy should shift to following the trend and going long, prioritizing opportunities to enter positions on pullbacks to lower levels. This rapid rally and recovery of lost ground have once again verified the strength of the current bullish momentum. Given the high market volatility, it is advisable to remain patient, wait for price corrections to enter long positions, and set stop-losses properly.
Today's Gold Trading Strategy
xauusd@buy:4310-4320
pt:4340-4350
sl:4295
Gold Analysis – Volatility Rules the GameYesterday marked another strong bullish session for Gold, as the price completely erased Friday’s losses, confirming that buyers are far from done. Regardless of how high the market has already climbed, momentum remains firmly on the bullish side.
Technically, Gold managed to reclaim and break above the 4285–4300 resistance zone, which triggered a sharp acceleration toward the recent all-time high around 4380.
At the time of writing, the market is undergoing a normal retracement, which is a healthy technical reaction after such an aggressive move. The 4300 area has now turned into key short-term support, and as long as bulls defend this level, the probability of a new ATH remains high.
From a trading perspective, however, volatility has reached extreme levels. This type of price action often favors large players with fundamental reasons rather than discretionary traders. For that reason, I prefer to stay on the sidelines today, waiting for volatility to stabilize before engaging again.
4365 Achieved Excellent profits Booked [1350 PIPS Gained]Thanks to traders who followed and stay Active with me on bullish rally
As highlighted in yesterday’s session update:
My Position:
The ongoing bull rally has played out perfectly, with both of my targets achieved ahead of schedule. I identified strong support around $4,220 & 4190 along condition H4 Candle for bullish rally. Iinitiated aggressive swing buys from that zone. When $4,190 was retested, I held off for a healthy pullback before re-entering.
At $4205& $4,225, I scaled in aggressively (four entries) aiming for $4,345, which was reached — locking in solid overnight gains.
I’m pleased with the overall performance during this multi-month bullish phase and plan to keep accumulating on dips until the $4,490 level is reached from my main re-entry zones.
Additional Tip:
Once again, I caution traders — avoid counter-trend selling.
Many get trapped trying to short Gold in a strong uptrend. Stay aligned with the trend — it’s still firmly bullish.🚀
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
Gold has once again tested the $4,380 resistance zone, where repeated rejections highlight a strong supply barrier. Price is now consolidating toward the $4,293–$4,301 support zone, which coincides with a rising trendline. If buyers defend this level, the bullish structure remains valid with potential to revisit $4,377–$4,384. A deeper pullback below $4,285 would weaken the bullish outlook and expose $4,260–$4,270.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: 4,293–4,301 (support retest)
Stop Loss: 4,288
Take Profit: 4,377 / 4,384
R:R: ≈ 1 : 6.18
🌍 Macro Background
Gold’s rally has stalled near $4,380 as markets shift focus to US-China trade talks. While safe-haven demand remains strong, optimism around potential negotiations has allowed the US Dollar to recover modestly. Meanwhile, the prolonged US government shutdown and Trump’s threat of a 155% tariff on China from November 1 add fresh uncertainty, supporting the case for safe-haven flows. Additionally, markets are pricing in two more Fed rate cuts this year, keeping gold well-bid on dips. Investors will closely monitor US CPI data on Friday and earnings from major US companies for directional cues.
🗝️ Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,377 / 4,384 / 4,390
Support: 4,301 / 4,293 / 4,260
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains in a buy-on-dips mode as long as $4,301 support holds. Short-term pullbacks offer potential entry opportunities toward $4,380 resistance, but repeated rejections at this zone highlight the importance of risk management.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAU/USD | The Art of Trendline Liquidity & OB ReactionGold continues to respect the structural rhythm of Smart Money flow. Price recently formed Equal Highs (EQH) before a potential retracement into OB + FVG confluence zone, where liquidity beneath trendline support remains untapped.
The idea anticipates a sweep of short-term liquidity before a possible bullish continuation — aligning with the current market structure shift.
⚙️ Concepts used: OB | FVG | EQH/EQL | Trendline Liquidity | Market Structure
🧠 This idea is shared purely for educational and analytical purposes — not a signal.
🔁 Feel free to share your perspective in the comments — every chart tells a story!
Gold has resumed its upward trend. Choosing the right entry poinGold prices rebounded over 2% on Monday, recouping Friday's losses, driven by market speculation that the Federal Reserve will continue its easing cycle next week. A weaker dollar and falling Treasury yields led to a sharp rebound in gold after hitting a daily low of $4,219/oz.
Gold hit a new high of 4,381.4 in US trading on Monday, forming a short-term double top with last week's high of 4,380.
Gold prices are currently stabilizing at the 5-day moving average. The current trend suggests a bullish outlook. A certain degree of price pullback during the uptrend offsets the earlier bullish trend, solidifying the upward trend. The current trend is a pullback in the Asian session followed by a second rise in the European and American markets. We must adapt to this trend and choose the right entry points amidst market fluctuations.
From the 1-hour chart, in the short term, pay attention to the high pressure of 4380-4385, and pay attention to the first support level of 4320 below. This position is the middle track of the Bollinger band and also overlaps with the MA20 moving average. Secondly, pay attention to the MA30 moving average near 3295. Short-term Trading Strategy:
Buy stocks in batches when the price retreats to around 4315-4320, with a stop-loss of $10. Profit range: 4360-4380.
If the upward trend fails to break through resistance for a long time, try shorting with a small position at the high point, with a profit of 20-30 pips.
I will post more real-time trading strategies in the channel, welcome to communicate.






















