Elite | XAUUSD 30M — Liquidity Compression → Trend Support Hold OANDA:XAUUSD
Primary Bias — Bullish Continuation Setup (if Confirmed)
A break + hold above 4210-4220 breaker zone would trigger premium delivery toward the buy-side pool.
🎯 Target 1: 4238
🎯 Target 2: 4250-4255 liquidity
🎯 Extended: 4268 aggressive flush zone
Bearish Breakdown Case (No romanticizing)
Close below 4175 = structure collapses.
No retest nonsense — the bid evaporates.
📉 Target 1: 4148
📉 Final Flush: 4118 institutional rebid demand
No middle-ground. Price either holds demand or bleeds.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational analysis only — not financial advice.
Xauusdsignals
Selena | XAUUSD 30M – Demand Reaction Setup | Sweep → Retest PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
Price has returned into a previous demand zone where market absorbed sell-side liquidity. As long as price holds above the invalidation line, gold has strong probability to push back upward toward premium pricing. Break below demand → structure flips bearish & deeper discount test opens.
Key Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Case – Reversal From Demand 🚀
Hold above 4165–4180 zone →
🎯 Target 1: 4212
🎯 Target 2: 4246
🎯 Target 3: 4270–4285 liquidity fill
❌ Bearish Invalidator
Clean break + candle close below 4165 →
🎯 Downside sweep into 4146 → 4110–4120 (major support)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4246 / 4270–4285
Support 🟢: 4165–4180 demand block
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
GOLD (XAUUSD): High Chance for a Pullback
Gold may go up after a test of a key intraday/daily support
and a little trap below that.
Expect a rise at least to 4216
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XAUUSD Intraday Plan | Gold Holds Range Ahead of FOMCGold remains range-bound between 4219 and 4185, showing no clear commitment from buyers or sellers. A decisive breakout on either side will be needed to define the next intraday direction.
A break above 4219 would open the path toward 4251, and with strong momentum, potentially 4285.
However, if 4185 fails, price may drift back into the Support Zone. Should selling pressure increase, the HTF Support Zone may come into play as the next major area for buyers to respond.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4219
4251
4285
Support:
4185
4144
4102
4049
4014
🔎Fundamental focus:
All eyes are on today’s FOMC decision — the key catalyst markets have been waiting for. Expect heightened volatility as traders react to the rate statement, projections, and Powell’s remarks.
Elite | XAU/USD – Institutional Buy Zone Retest + Liquidity Run OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold continues to respect the rising trend support, generating repeated support bounces along the diagonal structure. Price recently swept sell-side liquidity inside the institutional buy zone (4182–4196) and reacted bullishly, showing willingness to target upside imbalance.
Bullish Scenario – Preferred Outlook
If price holds above the entry zone at 4208–4215:
🎯 Target 1 → 4244 – 4248
🎯 Target 2 → 4256 – 4260 liquidity zone
A break above Buy-Side Liquidity opens the way for continuation into the imbalance above.
Bearish Invalidations
Break below 4182 removes bullish strength and may shift price back toward discounted levels.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
Gold: A Correctional Pause Before a New RiseGold continues to trade within an upward trend, which remains valid even amid short-term corrections. After reaching local highs, the market shifted into a pullback phase, yet key support levels are holding, confirming the strength of buyers.
The current dynamics suggest that the asset is building a base for a new impulse. Corrective moves remain limited, while interest in gold persists due to expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve policy and increased demand for safe-haven assets. This strengthens the likelihood that, once consolidation ends, gold will resume its upward movement.
It is important to note that short-term fluctuations do not alter the broader picture: higher-degree waves continue to set the bullish direction. Thus, XAUUSD is in an energy accumulation phase, where the market’s next steps will determine the scale of future movement.
XAUUSD Intraday Plan | Rejection at 4219 Shifts Momentum LowerYesterday’s analysis is playing out — after failing to break the 4219 resistance, gold reversed and tested the lower boundary of the Reaction Zone.
Price is currently trading below the Reaction Zone and also below both the MA50 and MA200, signaling potential downside continuation toward the Support Area if selling pressure persists.
For any meaningful upside, buyers must first reclaim 4185 (previous support now turned resistance).
A break and hold above 4185 would open the door for another test of 4219.
A clean break above 4219 would shift short-term momentum and open the path toward 4251.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4185
4219
4251
Support:
4144
4102
4049
4014
🔎Fundamental focus:
With the FOMC decision approaching tomorrow, markets tend to behave erratically: quick wicks, fake outs, fast reversals and increased volatility are typical. This is not the time to over-leverage — protect your capital and expect sudden moves in both directions.
XAU/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD XAU/USD continues to fluctuate around the $4,190–$4,200 zone, holding above the key $4,147–$4,165 support area while repeatedly failing to break above the $4,250–$4,268 resistance zone. Recent price action shows a broad consolidation structure, with the metal rejecting the highs but finding persistent buying interest near support.
The overall structure still leans toward an upward bias inside a wider range. As long as Gold holds above $4,147, the downside remains limited and the market may attempt another move toward the upper boundary. A deeper pullback toward the support zone could offer fresh long opportunities before any retest of the resistance band. A confirmed 1H/4H close below $4,147 would invalidate this bullish scenario and indicate a potential shift in momentum.
🎯 Trade Setup
Bias: Buy on dips near the support zone.
Entry: $4,163 – $4,147
Stop Loss: $4,140
Take Profit 1: $4,250
Take Profit 2: $4,268
R:R Ratio: ~1 : 3.62
As long as price stays above the $4,163–$4,147 area, the bullish dip-buy setup remains valid. A clean 1H/4H close below $4,140 invalidates the idea and suggests reassessment.
🌐 Macro Background (Simplified)
Markets widely expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 bps this Wednesday, with FedWatch probability near 90%. This normally supports Gold because lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset.
However, traders are increasingly worried about a “hawkish cut” — the Fed cuts once, but signals fewer or slower cuts ahead through its dot-plot and Powell’s press conference. If this happens, the USD could firm up, limiting upside for Gold in the short term.
Before the Fed meeting, the market will watch the ADP four-week average and the JOLTS Job Openings data. Weak numbers would reinforce the case for continued easing and help Gold stabilise; stronger data may briefly pressure Gold lower. Meanwhile, rising geopolitical tension — especially renewed friction between the US and Ukraine — keeps a layer of safe-haven demand in place, helping to cushion Gold on dips.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $4,250 – $4,268
Support Zone: $4,163 – $4,147
Invalidation Level: $4,140 (1H/4H close below)
📌 Trade Summary
XAU/USD remains range-bound ahead of the Fed meeting, holding above key support and below major resistance. The structure favours buying dips near support for a potential move toward $4,250–$4,268. A confirmed break below $4,140 invalidates the bullish outlook and calls for reassessment.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Gold HTF–LTF Liquidity Flow BreakdownPrice delivered exactly as anticipated.
We had a clear sweep of the upper liquidity (SSS), followed by a clean mitigation inside the Order Block (OB) and our defined Entry Zone.
The reaction from that premium zone confirmed the bearish intent, and price began its displacement toward internal liquidity.
Targets were marked based on:
Liquidity resting below internal structure
Previous swing lows
HTF inefficiencies waiting to be filled
Continuous lower-timeframe orderflow confirming bearish continuation
Price has already tapped into Target 1 and is pushing deeper toward Target 2 with strong bearish momentum. If structure continues to break cleanly, the Final Target remains highly probable.
This breakdown shows how identifying liquidity, understanding premium/discount pricing, and aligning OB mitigation can give extremely high-accuracy setups.
Remember:
This isn’t just analysis — this is disciplined practice, precision, and consistency.
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Gold 4200 Range: Key Levels & Trade PlanGold traded in a narrow range around the key 4,200 mark throughout the day, with fierce tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Market attention remained highly focused on the outcome of the Federal Reserve’s December FOMC meeting.
Resistance Levels
Primary Resistance Zone: 4,220 – 4,225. Constrained by the pressure of the 5-day moving average, price rebounds to this zone are prone to selling pressure.
Strong Resistance Zone: 4,240 – 4,245
This is a level where multiple upward attempts were rejected in previous sessions, with heavy selling interest making a short-term breakout extremely challenging.
Support Levels
Intraday Critical Support: 4,200, As a key psychological round-number level, it acts as the primary intraday support.
Additional Strong Support Zones: 4,170 and the 4,155–4,160 range
The latter represents a confluence support area of the daily pivot midline and the 30-day moving average, which is expected to serve as a crucial floor in the event of a pullback.
Trading Strategy:
Buy 4200 - 4205
SL 4185
TP 4220 - 4225 - 4230
Sell 4220 - 4225
SL 4235
TP 4200 - 4195 - 4190
XAU/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure
TVC:GOLD Gold continues to drift lower toward $4,200, with price currently trading just beneath short-term structure resistance at $4,213–$4,217. The descending trendline from the previous swing high continues to cap upward momentum, reinforcing the bearish bias.
A clear supply zone has formed between $4,213–$4,217, where repeated rejections indicate strong seller presence. Meanwhile, the $4,194–$4,197 support zone remains the key downside area to watch. If price retests the resistance zone and fails, the structure favours another leg lower toward the support zone.
Only a clean break above $4,217 would invalidate the bearish setup and shift the momentum back to the upside.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Sell from resistance, aligning with trendline rejection and bearish momentum.
Entry: $4,213 – $4,217
Stop Loss: $4,220
Take Profit 1: $4,197
Take Profit 2: $4,194
Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1 : 2.44
Bearish bias remains valid as long as price holds below the trendline and $4,217.
A 30M/1H close above $4,217 invalidates the short setup.
🌐 Macro Background (Simplified)
Markets widely expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 bps today — its third consecutive cut this year. However, traders are preparing for a “hawkish cut,” meaning the Fed reduces rates but signals a slower pace of easing going forward.
This combination usually strengthens the USD, placing downward pressure on gold in the short term.
At the same time, central bank demand remains strong, helping cushion the downside. The People’s Bank of China continued buying gold for the 13th straight month, increasing its reserves again in November. Persistent official-sector demand limits how far gold can fall even when the USD strengthens.
Overall, gold sits between pressure from a potentially hawkish Fed message and support from ongoing central-bank accumulation.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $4,213 – $4,217
Support Zone: $4,194 – $4,197
Invalidation Level: $4,217 (30M close above)
📌 Trade Summary
XAU/USD remains heavy below the descending trendline, with sellers defending the $4,213–$4,217 zone. The setup favours selling into resistance, targeting a move back toward $4,197–$4,194.
As long as the price stays below $4,217, downside momentum remains the preferred direction; a breakout above invalidates the bearish plan.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Gold Weak Trend: Key Entry LevelsGold is exhibiting a weakly oscillating trend today. After fluctuating around the key $4,200 mark, prices have trended lower in a sustained pullback. Subject to the tug of multiple fundamental factors and bearish technical signals, the market is clearly in a corrective phase, with a high probability of remaining range-bound in the short term.
Focus should be centered on the $4,170–$4,200 key range, which encompasses the body and lows of gold prices over the past several trading days.
Resistance Levels $4,220, the high from the previous trading day, acts as the immediate critical resistance. Only a decisive break above this level can alleviate the current weak bias.
Support Levels: The focus is on $4,175, a confluence support zone formed by yesterday’s low and last Thursday’s low. A breakdown below this level could trigger a further decline toward the $4,164–$4,150 range.
Intraday Primary Resistance: $4,190–$4,200. A breakout is relatively accessible, but a sustainable hold will require strong buying volume.
Key Resistance: $4,210–$4,219. A convincing, volume-backed break and close above this range could reverse the short-term downtrend, opening a path toward $4,230.
Intraday Critical Support: $4,170–$4,175. Short-term traders may consider light long positions if this range holds with clear reversal signals.
Strong Support: $4,160–$4,165. This range serves as the critical defense line for the short-term trend. A confirmed breach here will likely send prices further down to around $4,150.
Trading Strategy:
Buy 4170 - 4175
TP 4210 - 4220 - 4230
Sell 4200 - 4190
TP 4175 - 4165 - 4155
XAUUSD 4H MA50 break signals lower prices.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up in the past 1.5 month. Within this pattern, every time the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) broke downwards, the price tested the Higher Lows trend-line.
As a result, we expect Gold to reach 4115 next, which will be an interesting cluster as marginally below will be the Support Zone o the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and more importantly the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). That will most likely decide the long-term trend.
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XAUUSD Intraday Plan – Recovery Attempt or More Downside?Gold is attempting to recover after Friday’s drop, currently trading around 4213. Price is being supported by the MA200, while the MA50 is flattening, signaling reduced momentum for now.
The immediate resistance sits at 4219 — a confirmed break and hold above this level would open the path toward 4251.
If price fails to clear the 4219 resistance, a full retest of the First Reaction Zone becomes likely. If that zone fails to hold, we could see price slide deeper toward the Support Zone, where buyers may attempt to step back in.
📌Key levels watch:
Resistance:
4219
4251
4285
Support:
4185
4144
4102
🔎Fundamental focus:
This week the spotlight is firmly on the FOMC meeting, projections, and Powell’s statement. Until the FOMC is out, markets may remain choppy and directional follow-through could be limited. Manage risk carefully — spreads and volatility tend to expand significantly around these releases.
Elite | XAUUSD (30m) – Liquidity Play Within Trend StructureOANDA:XAUUSD
Price continues to respect bullish structure while ranging between sell-side liquidity below and buy-side liquidity above. Currently trading near trend support, approaching an institutional buy zone (4,170-4,182) where strong displacement has reacted previously.
If price sweeps sell-side liquidity and holds above 4,191, bias remains bullish into upper inefficiency.
Scenarios
🔵 Bullish Continuation
If price trades into 4,170-4,182 support and confirms structure alignment:
🎯 Target 1 → 4,227
🎯 Target 2 → 4,250
🎯 Target 3 → 4,262-4,267 liquidity fill zone
🔴 Bearish Invalidity
Trend weakens only if price closes below 4,160, breaking institutional demand.
Key Zones to Watch
Support: 4,170-4,182 (Institutional Buy Zone)
Resistance: 4,250-4,265 (Buy-Side Liquidity)
⚠️ Chart analysis only — not financial advice. Conduct your own risk management.
GOLD Best Buy and Sell area
( OANDA:XAUUSD ) At the beginning *Inverse Head & Shoulders* pattern, alongside an **ABC corrective wave** upwards, with clear Fibonacci retracements and volume profile zones.
Let’s break down the analysis into six key points:
---
# ✅ **1) Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern**
* We have a clear **Left Shoulder**, **Head**, and **Right Shoulder** formation.
* The **neckline has been broken**, signalling a strong bullish reversal.
* Typically, the target is measured from the head to the neckline, which aligns roughly with **Target 1 at 4217** on the chart.
---
# ✅ **2) Elliott Wave Analysis**
The chart outlines an **A → B → C upward corrective wave**:
### Wave A
An initial impulsive move upward, indicating a trend change.
### Wave B
A retracement to the 0.618 – 0.705 Fibonacci levels, which is very typical for gold.
### Wave C
Expected to reach the labelled targets:
* **C ≈ A** at about 4217
* **1.272 – 1.618 of A** around 4236 to 4248
This alignment supports the target levels shown.
---
# ✅ **3) SMC Zones (Smart Money Concepts) **
We can see three key elements:
### **🔵 Demand Zone**
Around **4202 – 4195**
The price has bounced strongly from this area, indicating:
* Liquidity absorption
* Entry of large buyers
* This zone acts as a strong **order block (OB)**
### **🔴 Liquidity Pools Above**
At the target levels (4217, 4236, 4248), we see likely stop hunts. The price tends to gravitate there to trigger stops and fill orders.
---
# ✅ **4) Volume Profile (VPVR) Analysis**
The chart shows:
### ✔ Point of Control (POC) around:
**4208 – 4210**
Currently, the price is trading above the POC, suggesting that:
🔹 Buyers are in control
🔹 Any dips to this zone are likely just retests rather than trend reversals
---
# ✅ **5) Expected Scenario**
## 🔵 Main Scenario (Bullish)
As long as the price stays above **4202 – 4208**, gold is expected to target:
### 🎯 **TARGET 1 → 4217**
(The first liquidity level)
### 🎯 **TARGET 2 → 4236**
(Approx. 100% extension of wave C)
### 🎯 **TARGET 3 → 4248**
(The final target of the C wave)
---
# ✅ **6) Alternative Scenario (Bearish Failure) **
Only if the price breaks:
❌ **Below 4195**
❌ And closes below it on the 15-minute chart
In that case, we might see a decline towards:
**4164 – 4151** (the 1.618 and 2.00 Fibonacci extensions downward)
---
# 📌 **Conclusion**
Overall, the analysis suggests:
### ✔ Short-term trend: **Bullish**
### ✔ Buy zone: **4195 – 4205**
### ✔ Stop loss: **Below 4192**
### ✔ Targets: 4217, 4236, 4248
The price action, wave structure, and volume profile all support this bullish scenario.
FX:XAUUSD
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Gold Under Pressure, Watch the 4207 LevelIn recent days, gold has continued to fluctuate within the 4250–4160 range. Lifted briefly by the positive ADP report yesterday, the price broke above the 4228 resistance and spiked to 4240, only to retreat shortly after. During the subsequent swings, the 4216–4228 zone once again acted as a firm resistance, and as of today, the price has still failed to break above it.
On one hand, U.S. Treasury selling has pushed yields higher, Liquidity in the gold market has decreased. On the other hand, easing tensions between Russia and Ukraine have reduced safe-haven demand. The combination of these factors has kept the bullish momentum suppressed. Meanwhile, the stability of downside support comes from rising expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. These conflicting forces have led to the current range-bound price action.
From a technical perspective, the key level to watch remains the 4230 resistance. Should the price continue to face pressure here—without support from upcoming news or data—it may pull back to test the 4152–4133 zone. Trend support on the daily chart has now risen to around 4096.
For short-term trading, keep an eye on the 4203–4207 resistance area, which serves as the immediate barrier before another attempt toward 4216–4228. As long as the price can hold above 4206, upward pressure is likely to ease, opening the door for a move toward 4250–4270.
Strategically, the focus remains on buying dips, especially if the price pulls back below 4160, which offers a relatively favorable entry within a ranging market. If the price fails to break above 4216, short-term selling opportunities may appear, but traders should manage timing and risk carefully.
WILL GOLD STILL GO SIDEWAYS TODAY? WHAT DO YOU THINK?1. Overview
Yesterday's candle formed a Doji → the market is hesitant, not showing a clear main trend.
Today, if the candle closes below the support zone → prioritize SELL,
If the candle closes above the resistance zone → prioritize BUY.
2. Expected Trend
The market is likely to move sideways within the range:
4170 ⇄ 4220
Strategy: Trade according to the zone – follow the breakout of any boundary.
3. BUY ZONES
4180-4175
4155-4160
🔸 SL: 100 pips
🔸 TP: 100 pips
4. SELL ZONES
4217-4220
4230 -4234
4240-4244
4260-4265
🔸 Wait for a clear price reaction in the zone before entering a trade.
5. Important Notes
Plan applies before the 22:00 news.
Break any zone, then follow that zone. Do not try to catch tops and bottoms.
Gold’s Oscillatory SeesawGold is in a consolidative oscillation following a high-level pullback. Short-term volatility remains limited amid profit-taking activities and anticipation of upcoming economic data, while the medium-to-long-term trend is still underpinned by multiple core factors. Today, the price has fluctuated around the critical $4,200 level in a seesaw pattern, displaying distinct characteristics of a high-level oscillation with "limited downside and moderate upside momentum," as long-short divergence remains pronounced.
On the downside: The immediate short-term support remains in the $4,170 – $4,175 range, with key focus on the $4,153 – $4,155 zone. A break below this interval could trigger further downside movement, making it a crucial defensive level for medium-term bulls.
On the upside: The near-term resistance is at $4,220. A successful breakout and hold above this level may pave the way for a rally toward the $4,250 – $4,265 range.
Overall, today’s consolidative pullback in gold represents a short-term correction rather than a trend reversal. Operationally, traders can adopt a range-trading strategy of "buying low and selling high" for the time being, with key attention on the breakout of the $4,200 level. Meanwhile, remain vigilant of the guiding role of subsequent ISM Services PMI and PCE data on the market.
Trading Strategy:
Buy 4175 - 4185
SL 4170
TP 4220 - 4230 - 4240
Sell 4220 - 4230
SL 4240
TP 4190 - 4180 - 4170






















