#XAUUSD: +6000 Pips Swing Move In Making, Patience Pays!
Gold prices have fallen sharply as the DXY has regained strength. Following the recent significant sell-off, we can anticipate the potential direction of the price. Three key targets can be considered if the price moves in our favour. The first is a nearby target at $4000 which would represent a gain of 1100 pips. Subsequent targets should be determined according to your trading plan.
There are two potential entry points; if the first is invalidated the second should be considered.
We wish you the best of luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx 🚀❤️
Xauusdsignals
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating between $4,132 resistance and $4,091 support. Price rejected from the resistance zone and is currently sliding lower. The structure shows a potential bearish continuation if sellers defend $4,128–$4,132, with downside pressure targeting the $4,091–$4,088 zone.
📌 Trade Setup
Entry: $4,128–$4,135 (near resistance rejection)
Stop Loss: $4,135
Take Profit: $4,091 → $4,088
Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 5.26
🌍 Macro Background
Gold remains under pressure as traders focus on U.S. CPI data (Sep) due later today, expected at 3.1% YoY. Renewed USD demand and seasonal demand slowdown after India’s Diwali festival are capping upside momentum. However, safe-haven flows could reemerge amid the prolonged U.S. government shutdown and US-China trade talks set during the APEC summit. The Fed is still expected to cut rates by 25bps in November and December, which provides medium-term support.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $4,128 – $4,132
Support Zone: $4,091 – $4,088
Breakout Levels: Above $4,140 = bullish invalidation, Below $4,085 = continuation lower
📋 Trade Summary
The bias remains bearish intraday below $4,132 resistance. CPI data and trade headlines may cause volatility spikes. Short positions near resistance offer better R:R as long as $4,135 is not breached.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAU/USD 10-23-25After the recent runup with gold it has pulled back to the 23.6 fib level on the daily timeframe and actually pushed below showing strong support in the 3975 - 4040 daily zone.
I would like to think that price will run right back up to retest the recent ATH of about 4382Gbut if I know gold in all her trickiness she will coast along at this 23.6 level then perhaps dip to the 38.2 or even the 50 then get a strong push back up to retest the high and from there probably come back down or push thru depending on macro economic and political events at that time.
Going back a few months to May of this year you can kind of see how price experienced similar behavior when it was breaking thru the 3430 - 3505 daily zone which obviously is that real push thru the previous psychological ATH level of 3500. Now history is repeating itself as we push to stay above the recent psychological ATH of 4000 towards 4500.
We shall see...
The Bears Are Warming Up!Gold Faces Renewed Downside Pressure!Gold maintained its rebound momentum during the day, and currently has rebounded to around 4155. However, we can clearly see from the rebound process that the rebound of gold is relatively lacking in strength, and in the local structure, the decline of gold is more eye-catching!
Judging from the current structure, gold is currently in a falling wedge structure, and even if it continues to rebound during the day, it still remains below the first rebound high of 4161, and even failed to break through 4155 during the rebound. This is enough to prove that the current bullish force is still insufficient. Overall, gold is under pressure from the double top structure and the double neckline around 4185. Until gold reclaims 4185, it will remain weak overall.
Primary support lies below the lower edge of the falling wedge pattern, around 4128. However, this area is relatively weak and could be broken at any time. Short-term support lies below, in the 4120-4110 area, followed by 4080-4070. If gold continues to maintain its downward pressure from the falling wedge pattern, it is likely to test these two support areas.
So in the short term, we can appropriately consider starting to short gold in the 4160-4170 area. First, aim for the retracement target area of 4130-4120.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (24/10/2025, ASIA)Gold (XAUUSD) closed NY around 4,120–4,126 after rebounding from the 4,070–4,090 intraday liquidity shelf, showing a clear recovery structure from the prior US session dip. Into Asia, price is now trading near 4,123–4,126, just under the descending H1 resistance / MA confluence. Momentum has turned positive intraday, but price remains in a potential lower high region unless bulls can reclaim 4,143–4,154. Asia will determine whether this is a corrective pullback inside a broader down-leg or the start of a higher-low recovery leg.
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🔍 1. Market Overview
• Price rebounded strongly during late US, suggesting buyers defended sub-4,090 levels.
• Current positioning is mid-structure, below major H1/H4 EMAs, suggesting recovery but not confirmed bullish reversal.
• Asia likely to range or extend recovery toward key resistance zones before directional decision into London.
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🧭 2. Technical Breakdown
📅 Daily Chart (D1)
• Strong bearish correction from 4,38x, followed by stabilization above 4,100.
• Price currently rejecting lower and forming potential daily wick.
• RSI ~59, showing room higher if momentum sustains.
• MACD still above zero but tightening → awaiting confirmation candle.
✅ Bias: Neutral-to-mild recovery within macro bullish context.
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⏳ 1H Chart (H1)
• Price rebounded from strong demand at ~4,070, set higher low, rallied toward 4,126 (current) but still below 4,150+ EMA confluence (yellow/white bands).
• Descending resistance line still active.
• RSI ~52, turning up.
• MACD turning positive but recovery unconfirmed until above 4,143+.
✅ Bias: Recovery phase but facing resistance – bulls need break above 4,143–4,154 to confirm higher low structure.
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📉 30M Chart (M30)
• Clear BOS to upside after breakout from consolidation.
• Mid-term EMA support now rising from ~4,107–4,110.
• However, recent rejection candle printed near resistance area.
✅ Bias: Pullback possible unless 4,110 holds.
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⏱️ 15M Chart (M15)
• Price has tapped resistance zone ~4,126–4,130 multiple times.
• Micro structure remains bullish from 4,070, but consolidation forming.
• MACD shows deceleration; RSI flattening near 60.
✅ Bias: Short-term accumulation/consolidation, waiting for breakout or rejection.
⸻
📍 5M Chart (M5)
• Micro rejection from white MA cluster around 4,126.
• Short-term support near 4,114–4,110.
• If 4,110 fails, fast liquidity drop to 4,098–4,090 likely.
✅ Bias: Micro bullish but losing momentum at resistance.
⸻
✨ 3. Fibonacci Golden Zone (H1 Impulse)
Last confirmed impulse: Low 4,070 → High 4,126
• 38.2% = 4,105
• 50% = 4,098
• 61.8% = 4,091
✅ Golden Zone = 4,105 – 4,091 (Ideal long area if pullback occurs and bullish confirmation appears).
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🎯 4. High-Probability Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation Setup (Preferred if pullback occurs)
🔹 Buy Zone: 4,105–4,098 (core entry) or deeper 4,091
🎯 Targets: 4,126 → 4,143 → 4,154 → 4,168
🛑 SL: Below 4,083 or safer below 4,070.
✅ Bullish Breakout Setup (Momentum)
🔹 Buy on breakout + retest above: 4,126–4,130
🎯 Targets: 4,143 → 4,154 → 4,168
🛑 SL: Back inside 4,115.
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⚠️ Bearish Reaction Setup (Sell at resistance)
🔹 Sell Zone: 4,143–4,154 (EMA confluence + descending trendline)
🎯 Targets: 4,126 → 4,110 → 4,098 → 4,091
🛑 SL: Above 4,160–4,165.
⛔ Bearish Breakdown Setup (Trend continuation lower)
🔹 Sell below retest of: 4,091
🎯 Targets: 4,070 → 4,058 → 4,046 → 4,024
🛑 SL: Above 4,105.
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📅 5. Fundamental Watch – Asia Session
• No high-impact Asian data – flow & positioning-driven.
• DXY mildly neutral – may allow gold extension.
• Markets may stay cautious ahead of London session and FOMC sentiment later.
• A quiet Asia session often respects fib zones & micro structure.
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📍 6. Key Technical Levels
Type Levels
🔼 Resistance 4,126 / 4,130 / 4,143 / 4,154–4,168
🔽 Support 4,114–4,110 / 4,105 / 4,098 / 4,091 (Golden Zone)
⚠ Reversal Zone 4,143–4,154
📉 Breakdown Level 4,091
🎯 Golden Zone 4,105 – 4,091
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📌 7. Analyst Summary
Gold is currently in an intraday recovery phase, but still trading below significant H1 resistance & EMAs. The structure favors bullish continuation only if pullbacks into 4,105–4,098 hold or if price breaks and sustains above 4,130–4,143. A failure to break resistance and a drop below 4,091 would expose deeper retracement into 4,070 / 4,058.
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✅ 8. Final Bias Summary
Condition Strategy
✅ Above 4,130 (confirmed) Bullish → aim for 4,143 / 4,154
✅ Bounce from 4,105–4,098 Buy pullback → target 4,126+
⚠ Rejection 4,143–4,154 Sell reaction → target 4,110 / 4,098
⛔ Below 4,091 (retest) Bearish → target 4,070 / 4,058
📍Golden Zone (Buy Opportunity): 4,105 – 4,091
📍Breakout Confirmation: Above 4,130
📍Breakdown Confirmation: Below 4,091
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🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 23/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS:
❌ BUY –40 pips (SL)
🔻 SELL +210 pips
⚖️ BUY LIMIT – BE
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY +210 pips
❌ BUY –60 pips (SL)
🟢 BUY +30 pips
🟢 BUY +100 pips
🟢 BUY +520 pips
🟢 BUY +210 pips
---
💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +1,390 pips
📈 RESULT: 10 Signals → 7 Wins | 2 SL | 1 BE
🎯 WIN RATE (on executed trades): 78%
---
🔥 Strong momentum continuation with powerful upside breakouts delivering big gains 📈💎
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
Weak Bulls, Strong Bears! The Perfect Moment to Short Gold!Let me start with the conclusion. I've been shorting gold in the 4145-4155 range according to the trading plan in the previous article. Why do I insist on shorting gold, and what are my reasons for insisting on shorting gold?
1. After a sharp decline in gold prices, market bullish sentiment has yet to fully recover. Lack of bullish confidence has led to insufficient liquidity, potentially making it difficult to sustain a sustained gold rebound.
2. After gold fell from around 4381 to 4004, its first rebound high was near 4161. However, even during its ongoing rebound, gold has not been able to reach the 4160 area, and has not yet broken through the 4155 area. The rebound momentum is relatively weak.
3. In the short term, gold has successfully formed a falling wedge pattern within its technical structure, and has repeatedly encountered resistance and retreated at the upper edge of the pattern. The effective suppression of the falling wedge structure suggests that gold still has considerable room for a short-term pullback.
4. Even amidst recent geopolitical tensions, supported by a certain degree of risk aversion, gold's rebound momentum remains weak, and the market is in a strong bearish mood.
5. Support below has yet to be verified, and its effectiveness needs to be tested and validated. A short-term retest of support is necessary.
These are the five reasons why I'm sticking with my short position on gold! Now all we have to do is patiently wait for profits to expand and pocket the gains!
Weekly Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold vs. Dollar)Weekly Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold vs. Dollar)
Weekly Scenarios
Bullish scenario: Gold holds the ~$4,000 zone and breaks through ~$4,200 → next target in the range of ~$4,500–4,700.
Consolidation: Price moves between ~$4,000 and ~$4,200, forming a base for the next impulse.
Bearish scenario: Break below ~$4,000 with volume and a change in structure → possible decline to ~$3,900 or lower.
✅ Conclusion
For the coming week, the technical picture for XAU/USD remains moderately bullish, but with a high degree of risk:
Holding support at ~$4,000 and breaking resistance at ~$4,200 could trigger a significant rally.
A break below ~$4,000 is a signal for caution and a potential correction. It's important for traders to react to volumes, breakout confirmations, and price behavior at designated levels.
Gold’s Rally May Be a Setup! Smart Money Is Selling the Highs!At present, the short-term direction of gold is not obvious. Although it is moving upward, the rebound is not very strong. So far, it has not broken through the first high point area of 4161 built by the rebound after the decline, so the overall performance is still weak. Under the current market conditions, even if gold rises due to the self-rescue behavior of some bulls, the upward space is expected to be limited. It is expected to maintain a wide range of fluctuations in the 4080-4160 area to repair market sentiment.
During the repair process, I suggest that it is best not to blindly chase the rise in gold just because of the rise in gold. After all, it is necessary to prevent some bulls from spontaneously self-rescue and then push up shipments. Therefore, the resistance area that must be paid attention to first is the 4145-4155 area, followed by the 4175-4185 area. It is estimated that according to the current market conditions, gold may find it difficult to reach the resistance of the 4175-4185 area; and the support area below is the 4090-4080 area after gold rebounds. The second thing we need to pay attention to is the 4040-4030 area.
Therefore, for short-term trading, we can start shorting gold after the rebound of gold by relying on the resistance of the 4145-4155 area, first aiming at the short-term retracement target of the 4100-4090 area.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (23/10/2025, US SESSION)Gold is consolidating near 4,110–4,115 after attempting a bullish recovery from yesterday’s dip. Current PA is compressing within a minor intraday wedge under key dynamic resistance (H1 200EMA). The US session is likely to determine whether gold continues its bullish correction toward 4,150–4,162 or loses momentum and re-tests liquidity zones below 4,098–4,083.
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📈 Market Overview
• Recent bullish recovery but still trading below major H1 protections.
• Buyers attempting to hold above 4,110, forming higher lows since early London.
• Sellers are defending resistance around 4,126–4,132, aligned with descending structure.
• Momentum mildly bullish but weakening — breakout decision likely in US volatility.
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🧠 Technical Breakdown
📅 Daily (D1)
• Still in macro bullish uptrend, recent rejection candle confirmed lower wick buying.
• Current candle showing attempt to recover after heavy retracement.
• RSI holding around 59 — neutral but leaning recovery.
• Failure to climb above 4,150 today risks another bearish D1 candle.
⏳ 1H (H1)
• CHoCH confirmed from previous bearish swing, but price is still under key EMAs.
• Trading just below H1 200EMA (approx. 4,150–4,153) — a critical supply zone.
• Multiple rejections around 4,125–4,132, signaling short-term resistance.
• RSI ~53, balanced but slightly bullish.
• MACD histogram showing steady green momentum but starting to flatten.
📍Conclusion: US session needs a breakout above 4,132 or a strong retest to confirm direction.
🕒 30M
• Price consolidating in a tightening wedge.
• 200EMA overhead at 4,150 acting as session ceiling.
• MACD still green but declining — buyers losing steam.
• A break below wedge support (~4,104–4,106) may trigger corrective wave.
📉 15M–5M
• M15: Sideways structure; BOS previously bullish but now stalling.
• M5: Shows liquidity sweeps & quick rejections near 4,126 zone.
• Buyers holding structure above 4,110, but momentum slowing.
📍Scalp buyers may wait for retracement or bullish engulfing confirmation.
⸻
📐 Fibonacci Golden Zone (Last Impulse: 4,088 → 4,137)
🔸 38.2% → 4,119
🔸 50% → 4,113
🔸 61.8% → 4,106
✅ Golden Buy Zone: 4,119–4,106
⚠ If 4,106 breaks decisively, deeper pullback to 4,098–4,083 liquidity pocket is likely.
⸻
🎯 High-Probability Trade Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation (Preferred if zone holds)
📍Buy Zone: 4,119–4,106 (Fib confluence + bullish PA confirmation)
🎯 TP1 4,126 | TP2 4,132 (local high) | TP3 4,148 | TP4 4,159 (H1 200EMA)
🛑 SL below 4,102
⚡ Aggressive Breakout Buy
📍Trigger: Break & close M15 above 4,132
🎯 TP1 4,148 | TP2 4,153 | TP3 4,162 | TP4 4,168
🛑 SL below 4,125
🔻 Bearish Reversal from Supply (Only if clear rejection at 4,132–4,148)
📍Entry: Bearish engulfing/confirmation at 4,132–4,148
🎯 TP1 4,119 | TP2 4,113 | TP3 4,106 | TP4 4,098–4,083
🛑 SL above 4,153
📉 Breakdown Sell (Stronger correction case)
📍Trigger: Clean break below 4,106
🎯 TP1 4,098 | TP2 4,087 | TP3 4,071–4,058
🛑 SL above 4,113
⸻
📅 Fundamental Watch – US Session
• US jobless claims & mid-tier USD data may fuel volatility.
• DXY strength could cap gold upside near 4,148.
• If US yields fall, gold may break 4,132 strongly.
⸻
📍 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,126–4,132 / 4,148–4,153 / 4,162
Support: 4,119 / 4,113 / 4,106 / 4,098 / 4,083
Trendlines:
🔻 Descending resistance capping at 4,132
🔺 Ascending intraday support at 4,110
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🧾 Analyst Summary
Gold is coiling for a directional move during US session. Buyers still maintain short-term structure as long as price holds above 4,106–4,110. A bullish breakout above 4,132 may fuel an impulsive move into H1 supply at 4,148–4,159. However, repeated rejections could cause a deeper correction to 4,098–4,083 before any further bullish attempt.
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📌 Final Bias Summary
✅ Bias: Mildly bullish above 4,106
⚠️ Rejection at 4,132 = short-term sell wave
📍 Buy dips > 4,106 | Strong buy only above 4,132
📍 Sell only on confirmed rejection or breakdown below 4,106
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team 🚀
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ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (23/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 4,125–4,132 after a sharp pre-London rally that broke the M30 descending trendline and printed a BOS on M15. Price tapped the M15 200-EMA / yellow band and the local swing high (4,132–4,138), then paused with RSI(15m) ≈ 70 → early overextension. H1 shows a constructive recovery, but the H1 200-EMA cluster sits higher at ~4,153–4,159, marking today’s first major supply.
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🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1)
• Bullish response candle after the two-day liquidation; price defended the 4,00x shelf.
• Price remains above 20/50-DMA → macro uptrend intact, in corrective rebound.
• RSI ~59, turning up; MACD easing higher (momentum rebuilding).
Bias: Bullish rebound within broader uptrend.
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1H Chart (H1)
• Clear intraday base at 4,004–4,024; successive higher lows into London.
• CHoCH printed; price now pressing the H1 50/100-EMA band and eyeing H1 200-EMA ~4,153–4,159.
• MACD rising from deep negative; RSI mid-50s → room higher before overbought.
Intraday Bias: Bullish while above 4,110–4,114; watch reaction at 4,148–4,159.
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15M Chart (M15)
• Clean BOS through intra-range highs; impulsive leg 4,088.9 → 4,137.7 hit the M15 200-EMA and paused.
• RSI peaked ~70 (overbought); MACD strong but flattening → likely shallow pullback before next attempt.
Short-term View: Buy dips toward 4,119–4,106, or buy a clean breakout >4,138.
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5M Chart (M5)
• Micro descending cap from the spike high; structure still higher-lows above 4,120–4,122.
• MACD easing; first support at the 5M MA stack 4,118–4,121, deeper pivot 4,112–4,114.
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✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
A) Intraday (M15 leg 4,088.9 → 4,137.7)
• 38.2% = 4,119
• 50.0% = 4,113
• 61.8% = 4,106
✅ Golden Zone (M15) = 4,119–4,106 → prime London dip-buy area.
B) H1 swing (4,004 → 4,137.7)
• 38.2% = 4,086–4,087
• 50.0% = 4,071
• 61.8% = 4,058
✅ Golden Zone (H1) = 4,071–4,058 (deeper discount if London retraces hard).
⸻
🎯 High Probability Scenarios
Bullish Continuation Setup (Preferred)
✅ Buy 1: 4,119–4,113–4,106 (M15 Golden Zone) on bullish rejection/engulfing.
🎯 TPs: 4,126 (fill) → 4,132–4,138 (weak high) → 4,148–4,153 (first supply) → 4,159
🛑 SL: below 4,102 (or structural low of entry leg)
✅ Buy 2 – Break & Retest: Above 4,138/4,140 (clean 5–15M close & retest).
🎯 TPs: 4,148–4,153 → 4,159 → stretch 4,168
🛑 SL: back inside 4,132
⸻
Bearish Correction / Fade Setup
⚠️ Sell 1 (Rejection): 4,148–4,159 (H1 200-EMA cluster / supply) with clear rejection wick or bearish engulfing.
🎯 TPs: 4,132 → 4,119 → 4,113/4,106
🛑 SL: above 4,162–4,166
📉 Sell 2 – Breakdown: Below 4,106 (loss of 61.8% of M15 leg) or aggressive below 4,096 (EMA stack).
🎯 TPs: 4,087 → 4,071–4,058 (H1 Golden Zone) → 4,046
🛑 SL: back above 4,113
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – London Session
• Calendar light in EU morning; technicals lead.
• Watch DXY drift—soft dollar supports continuation higher; spike in DXY caps rallies near 4,148–4,159.
• US headlines later can inject volatility—don’t overstay at supply.
⸻
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 4,132–4,138 (weak high) / 4,148–4,153–4,159 (H1 200-EMA supply) / 4,168
Support: 4,126/4,122 (intra) / 4,119–4,113–4,106 (M15 Fib zone) / 4,096 / 4,087 / 4,071–4,058 (H1 Fib zone)
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✅ Summary
London opens with bullish momentum after a confirmed M15/M30 breakout. The highest-quality long is a dip buy into 4,119–4,106 (M15 Golden Zone) with confirmation, targeting a sweep of 4,132–4,138 and a test of the H1 200-EMA supply 4,148–4,159.
If price reclaims 4,138–4,140, momentum continuation is favored.
Failure at 4,148–4,159 or a break below 4,106 shifts bias to a corrective leg into 4,087 → 4,071–4,058.
Break Confirmation:
• Buy above 4,138–4,140 (retest)
• Sell below 4,106 (retest)
Golden Zones: 4,119–4,106 (M15) and 4,071–4,058 (H1).
Don’t Be Fooled by the Bounce! It’s Just Fuel for the Bears!After two significant rebounds near 4004 and 4010, gold's decline has slowed. Predictably, after a short-term drop of as much as $478, the market has seen significant divergence.
Maybe in the eyes of some people, gold has formed an obvious double bottom structure with the low point constructed near 4004 and the secondary low point constructed near 4010. With this technical pattern as the bottoming support, many funds are eager to try and have entered the gold market one after another, providing a good opportunity for gold to rebound!
In my opinion, given the current market conditions, bulls haven't yet formed a strong force to support a sustained gold rebound. Therefore, the short-term rebound high hasn't effectively broken through the 4110-4115 area, and the overall trend remains in a new downtrend. Therefore, even with a certain degree of rebound, it hasn't escaped the current market weakness, and bears remain dominant in the short term.
Secondly, the current bull-bear dividing line for gold is around 4150. As long as gold remains below 4150, any rebounds in the gold market can only be viewed as technical corrections, and all rebounds will only bring new short-selling opportunities.
Third, when gold rebounded at 4010, the lower candlesticks were too full to form a lower shadow, indicating that bullish momentum is weak in the short term. Therefore, gold may continue to decline in the short term, at least with the need to retest the 4030-4020 area.
Therefore, I believe that under the current market conditions, there is limited room for gold to continue to rebound, and it may even stop rebounding at any time. Shorting gold is still the current first choice, and the short-term rebound provides us with a good opportunity to enter the market and short sell! Currently, it is possible to consider shorting gold in the 4095-4105 area; first aim for the retracement target area of 4030-4020.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold extended losses, trading near $4,060–$4,070 after its biggest one-day drop in five years.
Immediate support zone is around $4,060–$4,070, while the resistance zone lies at $4,132–$4,141.
The current chart suggests a potential rebound scenario from support, with upside capped at resistance.
Failure to hold $4,060 could expose the next leg lower toward $4,020–$4,000.
📌 Trade Setup
Entry (Long): $4,070 (near support zone)
Stop Loss: $4,053 (below support)
Take Profit: $4,132 (resistance zone retest)
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ≈ 1 : 4.26
🌍 Macro Background
Gold remains under heavy pressure after two days of sharp selloff, even as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened slightly near 98.80. The move reflects profit-taking following gold’s record rally, while traders are cautious ahead of Friday’s US CPI data (Core CPI expected at 3.1% YoY).
At the same time, Reuters reported that the White House is weighing new export curbs on China’s tech sector, intensifying trade uncertainty. Despite near-term weakness, gold is still up 54% YTD, supported by market bets that the Fed will cut rates by 50 bps at its final two policy meetings this year, with additional easing priced in for 2026.
Thus, while short-term volatility may persist, macro drivers still favor dip-buying strategies.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,132 / $4,141
Support: $4,060 / $4,070
Upside Target: $4,132
Downside Risk: $4,020 / $4,000
📋 Trade Summary
Gold is consolidating near $4,060–$4,070 support, with technicals hinting at a short-term rebound opportunity toward $4,132 resistance. However, the broader tone remains cautious ahead of the US CPI release and potential new US-China tech trade restrictions.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (23/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) closed NY around 4,098–4,102 after a constructive rebound from the 4,004–4,024 liquidity shelf. Into Asia, price is coiling just under 4,110–4,113 (intraday high / weak high on 5–15M) with rising short-term MAs beneath (4,083–4,085 cluster), while higher-timeframe EMAs remain overhead on H1/H4. Expect Asia to decide between a continuation leg toward 4,140/4,148 or a controlled pullback into the intraday fib zones before any further move.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1)
• Strong two-day correction off 4,38x followed by attempt to print a rejection tail from 4,00x; macro uptrend still intact above 20/50-DMA.
• RSI cooled to the mid-50s; room either side.
• MACD histogram shrinking but still above baseline → corrective, not trend break.
Bias: Corrective rebound inside a broader bullish trend.
⸻
1H Chart (H1)
• Clear rebound structure: swing L 4,004 → H ~4,113 then consolidation.
• Price is testing a descending trendline and sits below H1 100/200 EMA band ~4,147–4,16x (yellow/white on your chart) → overhead supply remains.
• RSI ~50 with positive slope; MACD turning up from deep negative, confirming recovery but not yet a trend flip.
Intraday Bias: Mildly bullish while 4,083–4,085 holds; watch rejections near 4,113/4,140/4,148.
⸻
15M Chart (M15)
• BOS to the upside from the 4,024–4,030 base; pullbacks bought at 4,096–4,100.
• Current range: 4,096–4,113 with overhead liquidity beacons 4,130 → 4,140.
• MACD green, RSI ~60 → momentum positive but slowing under trendline.
Short-term View: Bullish bias to resistance; pullback likely if 4,113 fails.
⸻
5M Chart (M5)
• Micro down-sloping resistance from the 4,110 peak; price holding above MA cluster 4,083–4,085 and the 5M mid-band ~4,098.
• MACD recently crossed down on 5M (loss of pace), but not yet a structural break.
• A clean 5M close >4,112 typically runs stops to 4,130+.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
Last confirmed H1 impulse: Low 4,004 → High 4,113
• 38.2% = 4,071
• 50% = 4,058
• 61.8% = 4,046
✅ Golden Zone = 4,058 – 4,046 (prime buy zone)
Confluence: prior NY mid-range, lower channel support, and below the 5M/15M MA cluster (first catch at 4,083–4,071, core at 4,058–4,046).
⸻
🎯 High Probability Scenarios
Bullish Continuation Setup (Preferred if pullback forms)
✅ Buy 4,071–4,058 (scale to 4,046 if swept) on bullish rejection/engulfing.
🎯 Targets → 4,098 (fill) → 4,113 (weak high) → 4,130 → 4,140/4,148
🛑 SL: below 4,040–4,045 (outside 61.8%/structure)
Bullish Breakout Setup (Momentum)
✅ Buy on break & 5–15M retest above 4,113.
🎯 Targets → 4,130 → 4,140 → 4,148 (H1 supply/EMA band)
🛑 SL: back inside 4,103–4,105
⸻
Bearish Correction Setup (Fade resistance)
⚠️ Sell 4,140–4,148 if clear rejection (upper channel / H1 EMA band).
🎯 Targets → 4,113 → 4,098 → 4,083 → 4,071
🛑 SL: above 4,152/4,156
Bearish Breakdown (Continuation lower)
⚠️ Sell below 4,046 (clean break of 61.8% + retest).
🎯 Targets → 4,030 → 4,024 → 4,011 → 4,004
🛑 SL: back above 4,058
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – Asia Session
• No major Asia data on deck; flow-driven session likely.
• Watch DXY drift after NY close; soft DXY favors the pullback-then-buy path.
• Headline risk (Fed speakers later) could cap rallies near 4,14x–4,15x ahead of EU/US hours.
⸻
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 4,113 (breakout line) / 4,130 / 4,140–4,148 (H1 EMA/supply)
Support: 4,098–4,096 (intraday) / 4,085–4,083 (MA cluster) / 4,071 / 4,058–4,046 (Fib Golden Zone) / 4,024–4,011 / 4,004
⸻
✅ Summary
Asia opens with constructive bullish structure on the intraday, but capped by the H1 EMA/supply overhead. Best-quality long is buying the pullback into 4,071 → 4,058 (core 4,058–4,046 Golden Zone) with confirmation, aiming for 4,113 → 4,130 → 4,140/4,148. If price breaks and holds above 4,113, momentum longs are valid. A hard rejection at 4,140–4,148 or a break below 4,046 shifts bias to corrective sells back into 4,030 → 4,011/4,004.
Break Confirmation:
• Buy above 4,113 (retest)
• Sell below 4,046 (retest)
Golden Zone: 4,058 – 4,046 (with first support catch 4,071)
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 22/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS:
⚖️ BUY – BE
🟢 BUY +130 pips
🟢 BUY +70 pips
🔻 SELL +220 pips
🔻 SELL +40 pips
🟢 BUY LIMIT +60 pips
⚪️ SELL LIMIT – Deleted (No Entry)
❌ SELL LIMIT –60 pips (SL)
🔻 SELL +40 pips
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💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +500 pips
📈 RESULT (Executed trades):
8 Active Trades → 6 Wins | 1 SL | 1 BE
🎯 WIN RATE (on active trades): 75%
---
🔥 Consistent upside momentum caught — clean intraday reversals & disciplined exits kept us in control 💎
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
This Is the Best Short Setup You’ll See! Don’t Miss Out!Gold began to rebound after touching the area near 4015 during the retracement, and has now rebounded to around 4080. From the current perspective, gold still has room for rebound, but it is expected that the rebound space will not be too large. After all, after the gold market experienced a sharp drop, the bulls have not yet recovered and the market sentiment is in a strong bearish atmosphere.
What everyone is most concerned about at the moment should be where gold can rebound to, or where is the relatively suitable short entry area? Adjusting the candle chart period to 30 minutes, we can clearly see that gold began to fall from the intraday high of around 4161, and then continued to fall with a high of 4090. Therefore, we can start shorting gold with the continued decline point area as the resistance area; secondly, the short-term resistance is around 4105. The short-term support below is in the 4015-4005 area. Once gold falls below this area during the retracement, it may continue to fall to the 3990-3980 area.
Therefore, for short-term trading, we can patiently wait for gold to rebound to the 4090-4105 area before trying to short gold again.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (22/10/2025, US SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 4,025, showing bearish continuation after failing to hold earlier London recovery attempts. Price was rejected strongly near the 4,114–4,125 supply zone, leading to a fresh break lower. The pair is now sitting above the 4,004–4,011 liquidity zone, which is a critical decision area for US volume—either to fuel another push lower or trigger a corrective bounce before continuation.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1)
• Gold continues its bearish corrective phase after multiple failed attempts to reclaim 4,381.
• Today’s candle is currently bearish, pressing toward yesterday’s lower wick region around 4,004.
• RSI has shifted downward from prior strength, signaling momentum loss from buyers.
• MACD histogram fading, indicating continued corrective pressure within macro uptrend.
Bias: Bearish corrective continuation unless 4,125 is reclaimed.
⸻
1H Chart (H1)
• Structure is clearly bearish with repeated lower highs from 4,254 → 4,170 → 4,125.
• Current price consolidating near lower support, testing the 4,004–4,011 reaction zone.
• RSI around 35 → bearish with potential for short-term relief bounce.
• EMA stack remains bearish, with 20 EMA and 50 EMA acting as resistance zones near 4,060.
Intraday Bias: Bearish; expecting either rejection on pullback or continuation through 4,004.
⸻
15M Chart (M15)
• Minor bounce attempts observed at 4,011, but structure remains lower high/lower low.
• MACD flattening, indicating possible pullback into premium areas for better sell entries.
• Price currently trapped between intraday minor support (4,011) and resistance (4,037–4,051).
Short-term View: Bearish with potential for short retracement toward resistance before next move.
⸻
5M Chart (M5)
• A small CHoCH occurred after liquidity tap at 4,011, but not enough to shift higher timeframe bias.
• RSI and MACD turning mildly bullish —early recovery anticipation, but only corrective unless key levels flip.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
Recent impulse leg: High 4,125 → Low 4,011
🔹 38.2% Fib = 4,037
🔹 50% Fib = 4,048
🔹 61.8% Fib = 4,060
✅ Golden Zone = 4,037–4,060, aligning with EMA resistance and prior sell rejection zone.
➡ This is the preferred sell zone if price retraces during the US session.
⸻
🎯 High Probability Scenarios
✅ Bearish Continuation Setup (Preferred)
📍 Sell Zone: 4,037–4,060 (Golden Zone / EMA rejection)
✅ Trigger: Bearish engulfing / rejection wick from zone
🎯 Targets → 4,020 → 4,011 → 4,004 → 3,980
🛑 SL above 4,070
📉 Breakout Sell (Momentum play)
📍 Sell below 4,004 (Break & Retest)
🎯 Targets → 3,980 → 3,960 → 3,940
🛑 SL above 4,020
🟢 Bullish Countertrend Setup (Low probability unless reversal pattern appears)
📍 Buy at 4,004–4,011 (only with strong bullish engulfing + MACD shift)
🎯 Targets → 4,037 → 4,060
🛑 SL below 3,995
⚠ Bullish Breakout Buy (Only if structure flips)
📍 Buy above 4,070 (Break & Retest + H1 structure shift)
🎯 Targets → 4,095 → 4,114
🛑 SL below 4,060
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – US Session
• US session may bring increased volatility, especially around labor market sentiment or Fed expectations.
• DXY remains firm, maintaining pressure on gold.
• If yields climb further, downside continuation is favored.
• If DXY retraces, a relief bounce into Golden Zone may occur before next sell wave.
⸻
⚠ Key Levels to Watch
Type Level Description
Resistance 4,037 / 4,048 Fib 38.2%–50%
Resistance 4,060 Fib 61.8% / EMA confluence
Resistance 4,070 / 4,114 Full structure invalidation
Support 4,011 Minor liquidity bounce
Support 4,004 Key psychological support
Support 3,980 Breakdown target
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold is in a bearish continuation phase, with price consolidating near support before the next move. The Golden Zone at 4,037–4,060 is crucial — rejection here favors selling back into lows. A clean break below 4,004 triggers further downside. Only a strong reclaim above 4,070 would shift sentiment toward bullish recovery.
Session Bias: Bearish – favor selling rallies.
Break Confirmation:
• ✅ Sell below 4,004
• ⚠ Buy only above 4,070
Golden Zone: 4,037 – 4,060
Double Top Confirmed! Is Gold About to Fall Deeper?As expected from my previous idea , Gold touched its target of $4,183 ( the double top pattern’s target(Small) ). Before reaching that target, it had some ups and downs over the past few days, mainly due to the ongoing US-China tensions .
Gold is trading near a Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) .
From a classical technical analysis perspective, it’s forming a clear double top pattern on the 1-hour timeframe . There’s also a regular bearish divergence (RD-) visible between the two peaks of the double top.
From an Elliott Wave theory standpoint, it looks like Gold has started its corrective wave. If the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) and the double top pattern’s neckline break , we can expect further downside .
I expect that after breaking the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) and the neckline , Gold could drop at least to around $4,083(First Target) .
Second Target: $4,057
Stop Loss(SL): $4,385(Worst)
Note: Keep in mind that given the ongoing US-China tensions, any news could invalidate this analysis. So it’s more important than ever to manage your risk carefully these days.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (22/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 4,157, rebounding aggressively from the previous sell-off low near 4,004. Buyers have stepped in with conviction, reclaiming short-term structure and driving price back above key intraday levels. London opens with bullish momentum in play, but price is now approaching early resistance zones, where the next directional decision is likely to form.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1)
• Previous daily candle shows a strong lower wick recovery after heavy bearish liquidation.
• Price remains above both 20EMA and 50EMA, suggesting the broader bullish structure is still intact.
• RSI has cooled from overbought but now points upward, indicating renewed bullish pressure.
• MACD remains in positive territory, confirming long-term buyers are still active.
Bias: Bullish corrective rebound, awaiting confirmation for continuation.
⸻
1H Chart (H1)
• Clean bullish CHoCH formed after rejection from 4,004.
• Price is approaching dynamic resistance from 200 EMA (around 4,170).
• RSI at ~46–50, suggesting room for continuation before overbought conditions.
• If price breaks and holds above 4,170, next bullish leg may target 4,200–4,225 liquidity.
Intraday Bias: Bullish toward premium zones unless rejected at 4,170.
⸻
15M Chart (M15)
• Multiple higher lows after bounce confirm controlled bullish momentum.
• RSI around 60, reflecting moderate bullish strength.
• MACD expanding upward → intraday momentum supports continuation into resistance.
• Key minor resistance near 4,160–4,170 may trigger a pullback or consolidation.
Short-term View: In bullish leg, approaching decision zone.
⸻
5M Chart (M5)
• Structure is trending upward, with each dip being bought.
• MACD strongly bullish; histogram rising.
• Any pullback into 4,140–4,135 area may provide minor intraday buy reaction before a deeper decision.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
Recent impulse leg: Low 4,004 → High 4,160 (current swing)
🔹 38.2% Fib = 4,115
🔹 50% Fib = 4,082
🔹 61.8% Fib = 4,050
✅ Golden Zone = 4,115–4,050, aligning with previous breakout structure and short-term EMA confluence.
➡ If price retraces to this zone and holds, bullish continuation setups may activate.
⸻
🎯 High Probability Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation Setup (Preferred if pullback holds)
📍 Buy Zone: 4,115–4,082 (Golden Zone reaction)
✅ Trigger: Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick
🎯 Targets → 4,150 → 4,170 → 4,200 → 4,225
🛑 SL below 4,050
✅ Break & Retest Buy Setup (Aggressive Momentum Entry)
📍 Buy above 4,170 (Break of EMA confluence)
🎯 Targets → 4,200 → 4,225 → 4,254
🛑 SL below 4,150
⚠️ Bearish Correction Setup (If rejection occurs at premium zone)
📍 Sell if strong rejection at 4,170–4,200
🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,115 → 4,082
🛑 SL above 4,209
🔻 Sell Breakout (If bearish momentum resumes)
📍 Sell below 4,050 (Break & Retest)
🎯 Targets → 4,030 → 4,004 → 3,980
🛑 SL above 4,082
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – London Session
• No major European data early session; price action driven by technical flows.
• Focus remains on US data later (unemployment, Fed sentiment).
• DXY cooling slightly after yesterday’s strength, offering support to gold pullback recovery.
• US yields remain elevated — could cap upside unless risk-off intensifies.
⸻
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch
Type Level Description
Resistance 4,170 H1 200 EMA / decision point
Resistance 4,200–4,225 Liquidity target zone
Resistance 4,254 Previous key supply
Support 4,140 Minor intraday support
Support 4,115–4,082 Fibonacci Golden Zone
Support 4,050 Final retracement line
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold is staging a strong recovery rally and remains bullish in early London momentum. A controlled retracement into the Golden Zone (4,115–4,082) would provide an ideal continuation buy opportunity toward 4,170–4,200–4,225. A confirmed break above 4,170 validates continued upside. A strong rejection at 4,170–4,200 may trigger a corrective dip back into the Fib zone.
Session Bias: Bullish, with continuation favored on dips.
Break Confirmation:
• ✅ Buy above 4,170
• ⚠️ Sell below 4,050
Golden Zone: 4,115 – 4,082 – 4,050
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 21/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS:
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 pips
❌ BUY –40 pips (SL)
🟢 BUY +70 pips
🟢 BUY +100 pips
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY +270 pips
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💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +840 pips
📈 RESULT: 7 Signals → 6 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 ACCURACY: 86%
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🔥 Solid upward momentum and precision in reversals — swing continuation played out beautifully 📈💎
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
Gold Touches 4000!!!Bears, It’s Time to Reload!Gold fell again around 2 a.m., hitting a low of around 4004. It took only one day for gold to fall by nearly $400. The bears currently have an absolute advantage, and market sentiment has become tense and fragile. As long as there is any sign of trouble, gold may be sold in large quantities again!
Currently, gold has rebounded after touching around 4004 and is currently trading in the 4130-4140 area. As for whether the bulls will recover and take back control again, I think it will be difficult in the short term. Although gold has recovered more than $100 of decline, the market is bearish and the gold rebound may not be sustainable. This wave of rebound rhythm is more like a self-rescue behavior of some bulls, forcing the gold price to rise is conducive to the safe exit of some trapped funds! Therefore, given current market conditions, I am not optimistic about the sustainability of this rebound.
From the perspective of morphological structure, the gold daily candlestick chart constructs a large black candlestick to form an engulfing pattern at a high level, and according to the symmetrical structure of the candlestick chart and the suppression effect of the neckline, the current effective resistance area is located in the 4160-4185 area. If gold touches this resistance area for the first time during the rebound, we can still try to short gold, first aiming at the short-term target area of 4110-4100 area.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
Gold tumbled below $4,100, finding temporary support around $4,085–$4,093.
The chart shows a descending trendline, keeping short-term momentum bearish.
Immediate resistance lies at $4,142–$4,151, while the support zone is at $4,085–$4,093.
A break above the trendline could trigger a rebound toward resistance, but failure may open the door to deeper losses.
📌 Trade Setup
Entry: $4,093
Stop Loss: $4,080 (below support zone)
Take Profit: $4,150 (resistance retest)
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ≈ 1 : 4.45
🌍 Macro Background
Gold is pressured by easing US-China trade tensions as both sides prepare for potential tariff negotiations ahead of November 1. This weakens safe-haven flows. At the same time, the steep profit-taking after a nine-week rally adds to selling pressure.
However, risks from the prolonged US government shutdown, concerns over global debt sustainability, and expectations of further Fed rate cuts (October and December) continue to support the medium-term bullish case for gold.
Markets now await US CPI data on Friday (YoY expected at 3.1%), which will be a crucial trigger for USD and gold direction.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,142 / $4,151
Support: $4,093 / $4,085
Upside Target (breakout): $4,150–$4,160
Downside Target (failure): $4,070 / $4,050
📋 Trade Summary
Gold faces strong downside momentum but holds above the $4,085 support zone. Short-term strategy favours a rebound trade on a breakout above the descending trendline, targeting $4,150. However, if support fails, the decline could accelerate toward $4,070–$4,050.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Gold’s drop isn’t over yet,4000 could be the next stop!Gold began its decline near 4375, gradually breaking through the 4300, 4200, and 4100 levels, reaching a low near 4080, a near-$300 intraday drop and its largest intraday drop in recent memory.
From a market perspective, the decline in gold prices has shown obvious characteristics of speed, urgency and fierceness. There have been a large number of signs of profit-taking and panic selling, which have led to a brutal decline within the day and severely hit the confidence of market bulls. On the contrary, the bearish atmosphere is quite strong. The change in market sentiment may stimulate gold to increase its retracement.
From a technical perspective, gold continued to fall below multiple key support levels, confirming the effectiveness of the M-shaped double top structure. Under the pressure of the technical structure, the bears gradually gained the upper hand in the battle with the bulls and successfully seized the initiative. The current lowest point has reached 4080, but 4080 may not be the lowest point at this stage, which means that gold still has room to fall. According to the current downward momentum, we will not blindly guess the bottom for the time being. Once gold falls below the area near 4080, gold may continue to fall to the area near 4050, and may even reach the area near 4000; and as gold falls, the current short-term resistance is first in the 4155-4165 area, followed by the area near 4180-4190.
Therefore, for short-term trading, we should be more cautious and focus on shorting on rallies. If gold rebounds to the 4155-4165 area first, we can consider shorting gold in appropriate batches.






















