Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near $3,693, bouncing from the support zone at $3,688–$3,685. The chart highlights a bullish continuation setup, with price action aiming towards the resistance zone $3,703–$3,707. The strong rebound from support underlines sustained buyer interest, while momentum remains positive above $3,685.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,688 – $3,685 (near support rebound)
Stop Loss: $3,684 (below support)
Take Profit: $3,703 / $3,707 (resistance zone)
Risk/Reward: ~1 : 4.98
🗝️ Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,703 – $3,707
Support Zone: $3,688 – $3,685
Major Resistance Above: $3,716 all-time high
Key Support Below: $3,672
🌐 Macro Background
Gold remains supported after the Fed’s recent 25 bps rate cut, its first of 2025, which reflects rising concerns about labour market softness. While Fed Chair Powell stressed a cautious “meeting-by-meeting” approach to further easing, markets still expect additional cuts this year, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions—ranging from Russia’s intensified military actions in Ukraine to persistent conflicts in the Middle East—continue to bolster gold’s safe-haven appeal. However, traders remain attentive to upcoming Fedspeak for fresh signals on policy direction, which could add volatility.
📌 Trade Summary
The technical setup favours a long entry around $3,685–$3,688, targeting the $3,703–$3,707 resistance area. The bias stays bullish above $3,685, but a break below could signal a deeper retracement towards $3,672.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Xauusdsignals
Gold Lures Bulls In — But Correction LoomsAfter the start of the Asian session, gold continued its upward momentum to around 3692. However, it is obvious that after touching this horizontal area, the upward momentum of gold has converged, and there are obvious signs of stagflation. Moreover, judging from the trading volume, the current trading volume is not enough to support the continued rise of gold. So I think gold may usher in a good wave of pullback at any time after the rise.
From a technical perspective, gold has formed a "double-needle bottoming" structure in combination with the areas near 3628 and 3632. However, since the correction near 3707, gold has shown a clear downward trend. Therefore, according to time and space, under normal circumstances, gold is still in an oscillating structure and may find it difficult to break through the resistance of the 3675-3680 area in a short period of time. But the fact is that on Friday, stimulated by the news, gold not only broke the volatile pattern that should have appeared, but also broke through the resistance of 3675-3680 in one fell swoop; when the time and space are not yet in place, the intention of gold's sharp rise may be to eliminate the short chips that have been recently arranged before gold really starts to pull back, and there is also suspicion of luring the bulls who follow the trend.
Based on space calculations, it is expected that the maximum rise in gold this time will not exceed the 3710-3715 area, and it may even start to pull back again before reaching this area. Therefore, we should not be excessively bullish on gold at this point. On the contrary, we can still short gold in batches above 3680, and the retracement target will first target the 3665-3655-3645 area.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Rise to All-Time High Confirmed
There is a high chance that Gold will continue rising next week,
following a completion of a correctional movement on a 4H time frame
with a confirmed bullish Change of Character CHoCH.
Odds are high, that the price will rise to 3707 level,
with a highly probable update of ATH.
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Below 3670, shorting gold is still the main theme!After touching 3661, gold has repeatedly tested downwards today. However, this testing period repeatedly found support in the 3645-3640 area, failing to break further below. Judging from the current gold structure, gold as a whole shows a volatile and bearish trend. Although gold closed with long lower shadow candlesticks near 3627 and 3632 respectively, showing signs of bottoming out in the short term, it only exacerbated short-term volatility. Due to the obvious selling pressure from above, I expect that the rebound space for gold in the short term will be relatively limited.
According to the current gold structure, gold will face resistance in the 3665-3675 area in the short term. According to the current market performance, it may be difficult to break through this horizontal area easily in the short term. After all, there is considerable selling pressure from above. So for short-term trading, as long as gold remains below 3670, we can boldly short gold! However, because today is Friday and gold has failed to fall below the 3645-3640 area many times, it is best not to have too high expectations for the retracement space. Perhaps the 3655-3650 area will be a reasonable retracement target in the short term.
XAU/USD: Dip-Buyers Step In, Targeting a Fresh Push Higher📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,652 after slipping below the $3,660 handle. The chart shows that price is holding near the support zone at $3,640–$3,635, while sellers capped upside momentum at the resistance zone $3,678–$3,684. Current structure suggests range-bound consolidation, with potential for a bullish rebound if buyers defend the support area.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,635 – $3,640 (near support)
Stop Loss: $3,631 (below support zone)
Take Profit: $3,678 / $3,684 (resistance zone)
Risk/Reward: ~1 : 4.87
🗝️ Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,678 – $3,684
Support Zone: $3,635 – $3,640
Major Resistance Above: $3,700 round figure
🌐 Macro Background
Gold remains pressured after the Fed’s 25 bps rate cut, which was less dovish than markets hoped. Powell’s cautious rhetoric supported a USD rebound, weighing on bullion. Still, the Fed’s projection of two more cuts in 2025 underpins medium-term bullish momentum for gold as real yields could decline further. At the same time, geopolitical risks in the Middle East provide safe-haven support, limiting deeper downside.
📌 Trade Summary
The bias favours a long entry near $3,640, aiming for the $3,678–$3,684 resistance zone. Price action remains constructive as long as $3,635 support holds. A decisive break below could open downside risks toward $3,620.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
9/18: Trade Within 3674–3638 Range, Watch Resistance Near 3670Good morning, everyone!
Those who followed yesterday’s strategy should have made good profits—congratulations!
Currently, the price is hovering near the 3658 support. For today, the main resistance is around 3670–3680. If this level is broken and held, there’s potential to retest the 3700 area. If not, the bullish momentum may weaken.
On the 1H chart, if the next move forms a strong bullish candle (medium/large green candle) to break through, the probability of further upside will increase, giving bulls more opportunities. However, if the price continues to face heavy resistance without breaking, watch out for bears who may launch an attack. Key supports to watch are 3647 and 3636–3632. If these levels break, the 1D trend will show a reversal, with a drop below 3600 very likely, and deeper corrections possibly extending to the 3560 area.
Intraday strategy:
Trade within the 3674–3638 range.
If the 3680 resistance is broken strongly, look for buying opportunities on a pullback or consider selling near 3688 or higher.
If 3650 breaks, look to sell on rebounds near resistance, or consider buying opportunities below 3630.
Adjust trades flexibly according to market changes.
Rate Decision Looms: Short Sellers Poised to StrikeGold continued to decline and is currently supported around 3660 and showing signs of rebound. I don’t hold any orders at the moment because I am currently preparing for the Federal Reserve interest rate decision news market! In fact, I have made part of the plan yesterday and today. Until now, I still tend to believe that the gold market will rise and then fall, but we must grasp the trading rhythm and entry price in the transaction.
In fact, before the Fed's interest rate announcement, gold retreated to around 3660. After this significant retreat, we can lower our expectations for a gold rally on news. Based on the current structure, the upper limit for gold bulls lies in the 3710-3720 area, and it's possible that the 3703 area has become the current high.
As gold retreats to around 3660, bullish momentum has weakened, and short-term resistance has shifted to the 3680-3690 area. Therefore, I might consider initiating a short position in gold in this area. If gold falls below the 3660-3650 range due to market news, it could continue its decline to the 3635-3625 range.
Since we currently hold no positions, we have the initiative in trading. As long as we allocate lots appropriately and strictly control risk, it's difficult not to make a profit! So, let's wish you good luck!
Gold at the Fed’s Crossroads: Bearish Windfall of 500–1000 PipsToday, we accurately grasped the rhythm of gold's fluctuations. In the previous trading idea, we clearly pointed out that gold is likely to reach the 3700-3710 area, and the latest trading plan is to continue shorting gold near this area, with the expected primary retracement target at 3680-3670. Obviously, even in the market's clamor for a rise, we are sticking to our trading logic, accurately grasping the volatility high near 3703 to short gold, and directly hitting TP: 3680. A very good short-term short trade!
For the gold market, the next highlight will of course be the Federal Reserve’s announcement of its interest rate decision.Market expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve are rising, and there are also bets that there will be three rate cuts this year, with the first starting this week. Gold certainly lived up to expectations and, fueled by market expectations of a rate cut, soared all the way to over 3,700. So, what are my thoughts on the gold market regarding the upcoming Fed interest rate decision?
In fact, judging from the current U.S. economic and inflation data, as well as current market expectations, there are only two possibilities for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision: a 25 basis point cut or a 50 basis point cut.
If the Fed cuts rates by 25 basis points, falling short of market expectations, the gold market could experience a surge followed by a decline, with the inflection point likely located between 3705 and 3715.
If the Fed cuts rates by 50 basis points, in line with market expectations, bullish sentiment will intensify, with buying funds continuing to push gold higher, potentially reaching around 3730-3735, where a turning point could occur.
However, considering that gold prices already surged ahead of the Fed's rate announcement, this move is likely intended to create room for further declines. Furthermore, given the "buy expectations, sell the facts" phenomenon, gold is likely to experience a surge followed by a decline. Furthermore, I believe the Fed is likely to adopt a gradual approach to rate cuts, so I believe the most likely rate cut will be 25 basis points, with the inflection point likely located between 3705 and 3715.
Therefore, we can focus on the opportunity to short gold in the 3705-3715 area. Even if gold continues to rise, we can pay attention to the short trading opportunities near the extreme area of 3730-3735. Once gold experiences a sharp pullback, it may trigger large funds to take profits and panic selling, and gold may continue to fall to around 3650 or even around 3630.
Fed Cuts Could Ignite a Breakout Above $3,700?📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near $3,682 after bouncing from the support zone at $3,678 – $3,679. The chart highlights a bullish setup, with potential continuation towards the resistance zone $3,691 – $3,695. The short-term trendline break also supports renewed upside momentum, while buyers remain in control above the support base.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,678 – $3,679 (near support zone)
Stop Loss: $3,677 (below support)
Take Profit: $3,691 / $3,695 (resistance zone)
Risk/Reward: ~1 : 7.17
🗝️ Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,691 – $3,695
Support Zone: $3,678 – $3,679
Major Resistance Above: $3,700 psychological barrier
Key Support Below: $3,674
🌐 Macro Background
Gold is firming up as markets await the FOMC decision, with traders widely expecting a 25 bps Fed rate cut—the first in 2025. The prospect of further cuts later this year supports gold as a non-yielding asset. However, easing US-China trade tensions and improved risk sentiment could limit haven flows in the short run.
📌 Trade Summary
The technical setup favours a long entry near $3,679, targeting the $3,691–$3,695 resistance area. The bias remains bullish while gold holds above $3,678 support. Watch for volatility around the Fed decision later today.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
GOLD New High Record Break Gold New High on the Way! 🔥
Current Price: 3635
📈 Buy Entry Active — Target 3690
✨ Gold is in full bullish control.
✨ Buyers pushing strongly toward new record highs.
✨ Market confidence remains unshaken.
✨ Every dip is being bought instantly.
✨ Strong fundamentals + technicals support upside.
✨ Next resistance is ready to be tested soon.
✨ A breakout above 3690 can open doors for even higher levels.
✨ This could be the start of another major rally.
⚡ Don’t wait — secure your position now before the breakout run begins!
XAUUSD Could top in September but long term looks bright.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up for the past 2 years and right now it is unfolding its latest Bullish Leg. That started after the previous pull-back/ consolidation phase (May - July) hit and found Support on the 1D MA100 (red trend-line).
This trend-line has been Gold's major Support and buy entry since mid-October 2023. Every pull-back on/ near it, kick-started a Bullish Leg, the weakest of which has been +16.59% and the strongest +23.75%.
Since April 15 2024, the 1D RSI Resistance has been a great indication of when to sell (equally for buying the Support), so even though we expect the current Bullish Leg to complete a +22.06% rise at least, we will be looking at the RSI Resistance more closely to time the sell.
The subsequent pull-back should bounce on the dashed pivot trend-line and naturally again on the 1D MA100, which will be a buy opportunity towards the ultimate long-term Target of 4300 (+22.00% again).
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Rally Before the Fed: A Trap or Treasure for Bears?Gold hit a new high again, and the current highest has reached around 3685. After gold consolidated at a high level for several trading days, the bulls launched a strong attack again, and it seems that there are signs of trying to hit 3700. However, the current gold market is at a critical node and cycle, so I do not advocate continuing to chase gold; on the contrary, I will choose to short gold at every high as the gold price rises!
Gold rose sharply as the Federal Reserve was about to announce its interest rate decision, and hit a new high again! Against the backdrop of interest rate cut expectations, it is easy to push market sentiment to a climax! When the market is caught in a long-term frenzy, it may also be an opportunity for large funds to quietly exit the market. Therefore, I think the purpose of gold's sharp rise before the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision is very clear. The first is to reserve room for decline for the news market in advance, and the second is to attract most retail investors in the market to take over. So I think the turning point of gold is coming soon!
So for short traders, I think this rise is not a risk, but an opportunity! Gold may collapse based on the phenomenon of "buying expectations and selling facts", so I think we need to short gold at its rallies before the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision. However, I would like to point out that when shorting gold in batches, we must control the number of lots traded to reduce trading risk!
For short-term trading, I believe we can short gold in batches above 3680, with a short-term retracement target of 3660-3650. If gold falls below this area, it may even continue to retrace to the current rising point of 3635-3625.
Bearish Pressure Mounts: Will 3600 Hold or Collapse?In the short term, gold has not been able to stand above 3655 during multiple rebounds, and even closed below 3650 at the close of last Friday. Although it is far from the level of collapse, there are obvious signs of profit-taking in some chips. As the center of gravity of gold slowly shifts, the short-term resistance area will gradually move down to the 3635-3645 area. If gold cannot break through this area during repeated fluctuations, the market's downward momentum will be further strengthened!
It should be noted that although the center of gravity of gold is gradually shifting downward, the overall bullish structure is still maintained; and against the backdrop of interest rate cut expectations, gold's retracement space should be limited before the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision. The first thing we need to pay attention to is the support of the recent low point of 3615-3605. Gold is likely to rebound again after testing the support of this area, and take this opportunity to try to intensify short-term volatility! However, once gold falls below the support of this area, it may continue to the 3590-3580 area.
Therefore, for short-term trading, since gold is still fluctuating in the support and resistance areas, it can be treated as regional fluctuations for the time being; but as the center of gravity of gold gradually moves downward and 3675 is expected to become a temporary high point, we can maintain the strategy of shorting at high levels as the main strategy, supplemented by the idea of going long at low levels.
1. Consider shorting gold against the resistance zone of 3635-3645, with the primary retracement target at 3620-3610.
2. If gold fails to break below the 3615-3605 area during a pullback, we could consider going long on gold, with the primary rebound target at 3630-3640.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Resistance 1: 3641 - 3674 area
Resistance 2: 3696 - 3704 area
Support 1: 3612 - 3626 area
Support 2: 3559 - 3580 area
Support 3: 3510 - 3521 area
Support 4: 3489 - 3500 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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XAUUSD/GOLD Daily Sell Projection (13.09.25)📌 Chart Overview
Pair: XAUUSD / Gold Spot vs USD
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Projection: Sell Setup
🔹 Key Technical Zones
Major Resistance Zone
Around 3,696 – 3,680 level.
Confluence with trendline resistance.
Resistance Levels
R1: Near 3,650.
R2: Near 3,696.
Major Support Levels
S1: ~3,600.
S2: ~3,579 – 3,580.
🔹 Bearish Signals
Price has touched major resistance & trendline (marked “OBEY”).
Increase in seller dominance (demonetization of buyers visible).
Shooting Star candle pattern at resistance → indicates possible reversal.
🔹 Trade Idea
Entry: Near resistance rejection (3,680–3,696 zone).
Target: Towards 3,600 – 3,579 supports.
Stop Loss: Above major resistance / 3,696 zone.
Bias: Short-term sell projection while price respects resistance.
🔹 Special Note
Marked OBEY FVG zone (Fair Value Gap) → indicates that price is likely to fall into that area but won’t break below 3,579 support strongly unless fundamentals shift.
Overall bias: Sell from resistance, book profits at support
3600 Support Holds Firm;Gold Oscillates, Awaiting CPI for BuyingAfter gold broke through 3670, a sharp correction occurred. Currently, the support at 3600 still holds, and gold is oscillating in the range of 3620-3640. The release of today's U.S. CPI data may increase the market's bets on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. However, before the Federal Reserve releases its news, the overall market will still continue to move upward, and pullbacks present better buying opportunities
Buy 3600 - 3620
TP 3640 - 3650 - 3660
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
9/11: Double Top Pattern, Bearish OutlookGood afternoon, everyone!
Yesterday, the market showed limited volatility, with prices capped around 3343–3358, failing to break through, which delayed the expected downward cycle.
Today, the trend looks clearer:
A double-top pattern has formed;
Price tested the 23 support for the first time and rebounded slightly;
Key resistance levels are 32–37, followed by 41;
If the rebound fails to break resistance, the 23 support is very likely to be broken;
Main supports to watch are 3610 (2H chart) and 3578–3550 (4H chart).
🔹 Trading Strategy
Focus on short positions;
Try quick long trades near support, but avoid being greedy;
If rebounds fail at resistance, shorts may accelerate, so risk is relatively high.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Eyes $3,650 Ahead of CPI 📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) may rebound from the support zone $3,627–3,630, and buyers are gradually regaining control. Price action now challenges the resistance zone $3,642–3,647, with a breakout paving the way toward $3,650+.
🎯 Trade Setup (15M Chart)
Entry (Long): $3,630–$3,627
Stop Loss: $3,625
Take Profit: $3,642 / $3,645
🌐 Macro Background
Gold stays supported by Fed rate cut bets, a weaker USD, and geopolitical tensions. US August PPI came in softer, reinforcing rate cut expectations ahead of Thursday’s CPI release (forecast 2.9% headline / 3.1% core). Meanwhile, safe-haven demand is lifted by Poland shooting down Russian drones and Israel’s Doha strikes. While event risk remains, the broader backdrop continues to favour gold upside momentum.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,642 / $3,645 / $3,650
Support: $3,630 / $3,627
📌 Trade Summary
Gold maintains bullish traction above $3,630, with scope for a move toward $3,642–$3,645, though traders should stay cautious ahead of US CPI.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Bulls vs Bears: Race to 3700 or 3600 ?!Currently, gold is fluctuating above the 3640 line. We can clearly see that gold has not effectively fallen below 3640 during multiple pullbacks in the short term. This proves that during the pullback period of gold, a lot of funds have entered the market, thereby pushing the gold price to fluctuate upward. However, during the upward fluctuation, gold encountered resistance and fell back in the 3655-3660 area many times, exacerbating the short-term volatility trend!
But we need to note that gold has rebounded since 3620 and formed a band-like low point structure; and it has tested 3640 many times and has not fallen below it, showing signs of forming a band-like secondary low point structure. Judging from the characteristics of the low point gradually rising, the current bullish force has a slight advantage, so short-term trading is still dominated by going long on gold.
Judging from the current structure, the short-term support area below is located in the 3635-3625 area, followed by the 3615-3605 area; and the short-term resistance is located near 3660. If gold breaks through the area near 3660 during the volatile upward process, gold may test the high point area near 3675. Once the high point near 3675 is refreshed again, it is expected to directly touch around 3700.
Therefore, it is not completely certain that gold has peaked at present, and we should not blindly chase short gold in trading; on the contrary, when gold retreats to the support area of 3635-3625, we can try to go long on gold, first aiming at the target area: 3660-3670, and once it breaks through this area, the target area will be postponed to the 3690-3700 area.






















