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Xauusdsignals

Bulls on Fire! The 4000 Challenge BeginsWhen summarizing the trading on Sunday, it was clearly pointed out that gold would inevitably hit 3900 or even 3930 this week. However, it was unexpected that gold had reached 3920 so early. Although it retreated slightly after reaching around 3920, according to the current structure and trend, the bull trend has not ended yet and there is still room for growth. Since gold has once again broken through the recent high of 3895, the double top structure constructed in this horizontal area has become invalid and temporarily has no resistance effect. In fact, after the top and bottom conversion, this position area may play a supporting role to a certain extent in the future. As gold breaks through 3900, market bullish confidence may expand unprecedentedly, and the enthusiasm for buying will be pushed to another level. As the center of gravity of gold moves up, the current technical structural support has moved up to 3880-3870; and the strong support is located in the 3850-3840 area. If gold cannot effectively fall below these two key support areas during the retracement. Gold will continue to maintain its bullish trend and continue its strong upward trend. It is even expected to continue to set new highs and reach around 3930 or even 3950. Once gold rises and breaks through 3950, the 4000 mark will follow! So in terms of short-term trading, we can first try to start buying gold in small batches in the area around 3880-3870. After all, the entry price is relatively high, so we must control the lot of transactions and set up protection. If you want to continue to follow and pay attention to my trading strategies and signals, be sure to follow me!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WaveRider_Steffen
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) surged toward $3,924 before encountering resistance near the $3,950 zone, which aligns with an extended overbought condition on the short-term charts. Price remains supported by the ascending trendline from September lows, with immediate demand located around $3,878–$3,887. If bulls defend this support zone, a fresh rebound toward $3,942 → $3,950 resistance is likely. A rejection from the resistance zone could trigger consolidation or a pullback back toward the $3,878 support. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: Buy near $3,878–$3,887 (support zone retest) Stop Loss: $3,875 Take Profit 1: $3,942 Take Profit 2: $3,950 Risk/Reward: ~1 : 5.16 🌍 Macro Background Gold remains underpinned by Fed rate cut expectations, with markets pricing a 99% chance of a 25bps cut at the October meeting. The ongoing US government shutdown has delayed key macro data, intensifying safe-haven demand. Hawkish remarks from Dallas Fed’s Logan briefly supported the US Dollar, but the market consensus points toward further easing. Political uncertainty in Washington, combined with fragile labour market signals (ADP showing -32k jobs, ISM Services PMI down to 50), continues to support the bullish bias for gold. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,942 / $3,950 Support: $3,878 / $3,887 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains technically bullish above $3,878 support, with near-term upside toward $3,950 as long as Fed rate cut expectations dominate sentiment. Any decisive break below $3,875 would neutralize the bullish bias and open a correction toward $3,820. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 - ASIA FORECAST - 06/10/2025Gold is trading around 3,886, holding just under the recent swing high (3,896–3,894) after a bullish continuation. The market is consolidating in a tight range while buyers defend support and await new catalysts. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook Daily Chart (D1): • Strong bullish structure intact, with price above the 20 EMA (3,846) and 50 EMA (3,791). • RSI (78) → near overbought, suggesting limited upside unless momentum strengthens. • Daily candle shows slowing momentum; still bullish but vulnerable to retracement if 3,862 fails. 1H Chart (H1): • Price consolidating between 3,880–3,896 resistance and 3,862 support. • MACD is positive but flattening, showing buyers losing short-term strength. • Market structure: higher highs remain intact; 3,862 is the intraday key breakout/rejection zone. 15M Chart (M15): • Price rejected 3,889–3,896 zone twice, creating short-term equal highs. • A base is forming around 3,883–3,880. If broken, correction may extend toward 3,870. • RSI ~55 → neutral, but momentum fading on lower TFs. 5M Chart (M5): • Buyers defending 3,883, forming higher lows. • Resistance remains at 3,889–3,896. • Short-term indicators show mixed signals: MACD flattening, RSI ~58, suggesting potential breakout but risk of rejection if liquidity isn’t strong. ⸻ ✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone From 3,843 low → 3,896 high, the golden retracement sits at 3,870–3,862. • If Asia session pulls back into this zone and holds, high probability for bullish continuation. • A clean break below 3,862 = shift in structure toward deeper retracement (3,843 → 3,820). ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Entries (Not Scalping – Asia Focus) Bullish Setup: • Buy if price retests and holds 3,870–3,862 golden zone, target 3,889 → 3,896 → 3,910. • SL below 3,855 (50–55 pips). Bearish Setup: • Sell only if price rejects 3,889–3,896 zone again with bearish confirmation. • Target 3,870 → 3,862. • SL above 3,902 (60 pips). ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Outlook – Asia Session • No major Asian data expected today. • Market will position for US ISM PMI & Fed speakers later → possible volatility in NY. • DXY remains firm near recent highs; if USD strengthens further, gold may face rejection under 3,896. ⸻ ⚠ Key Levels to Watch • Resistance: 3,889 – 3,896 / 3,910 • Support: 3,880 / 3,870 – 3,862 / 3,843 ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold remains bullish overall, consolidating below 3,896 resistance. The golden zone 3,870–3,862 is the key for continuation; if it holds, expect buyers to push back toward 3,896 → 3,910. However, repeated rejection under 3,896 could trigger a correction into 3,870 → 3,862.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
GOLD (XAUUSD): Get Ready For Breakout Gold closed, approaching a strong horizontal resistance based on a current All-Time High. Following a bullish accumulation, there is a high chance that the underlined structure will be broken, and the price will go higher. Wait for a 4H candle close above 3897 as a confirmation, expect a bullish continuation to 3920 then. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
5
Gold XAUUSD: Double Top, Volume Profile, and VWAP Trade Plan📊 Gold (XAUUSD) has been trending higher overall, but recently formed a double top followed by a significant retracement ⚡. Despite that, price action is now beginning to show signs of a shift in structure back to the upside 📈. 🔎 In the video, we review both the VWAP and the anchored volume profile as part of the trade plan. For a potential long setup, I’ll be watching for price to break above the volume profile’s Point of Control (POC) 🎯. ❌ However, if price were to break below VWAP, that would invalidate the idea and I’d step aside until the next opportunity arises. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk appropriately.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
2
Safe-Haven Demand Keeps Gold on Fire🔶 Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD) 📊 Technical Structure Gold retreated after touching fresh highs, now consolidating between $3,844–$3,860. The chart shows repeated bounces from the ascending trendline support, suggesting buyers remain active. Key resistance stands at $3,881–$3,886, and a breakout above could open the way to $3,900 psychological level. The short-term bias remains bullish as long as support holds. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $3,837–$3,843 (long) Stop Loss: Below $3,833 Take Profit: TP1: $3,881 TP2: $3,886 TP3: $3,900 Risk/Reward: 1 : 4.21 🌍 Macro Background Gold remains supported by macro factors: Fed Policy: Despite hawkish remarks from Dallas Fed President Logan warning about persistent inflation, markets are still pricing in a 99% chance of a 25bps rate cut in October. The USD has rebounded slightly, but overall sentiment remains bearish for the dollar. Government Shutdown: The ongoing US government shutdown suspends official BLS data releases. However, September’s NFP figures are expected to be published, keeping labour market focus alive. Labour Market: ADP report showed a surprise drop of -32K private payrolls, adding pressure on the Fed to cut rates. Safe-Haven Demand: Rising geopolitical tensions and fiscal uncertainty continue to fuel safe-haven inflows into gold. Despite intraday pullbacks, fundamentals remain gold-supportive. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,881 / $3,886 / $3,900 Support: $3,843 / $3,837 📝 Trade Summary Gold is consolidating but holding critical support. As long as price sustains above $3,837, bulls retain control. The suggested long entry near $3,843 targets the $3,881–$3,886 area. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – US FORECAST (02/10/2025)🔎 XAUUSD Deep Technical & Fundamental Analysis – 02/10/2025 (US Session) 📊 Daily Chart (D1) • Gold rejected 3,896–3,900 key resistance with a large upper wick, confirming strong supply. • Current candle turning bearish, now pressing into 3,830 zone. • Price remains above the 21 EMA and daily parabolic SAR, so medium-term trend still bullish but a retracement toward 3,820–3,800 support is underway. • A daily close under 3,820 could shift momentum bearish into October. ⸻ ⏰ 1H Chart • Strong rejection after a liquidity sweep at 3,896. • Break of structure (BOS) confirmed at 3,862 → sellers in control. • Price testing 3,832 intraday support (last H1 low). • MACD histogram deepening red, moving averages crossed bearish, RSI trending down. • Unless bulls reclaim 3,860–3,862, intraday bias remains bearish. ⸻ ⏱ 15M Chart • Multiple CHoCH (change of character) moves after the sweep at 3,896. • Strong momentum candles driving down into 3,832–3,827 liquidity pool. • If broken, next downside targets = 3,820 and 3,805. • Countertrend bounce possible only if 3,832 holds with divergence. ⸻ ⏱ 5M Chart (Scalping Entries) • Clear bearish momentum: continuous BOS with lower highs/lows. • MACD & histogram deep in red, confirming strong sellers. • Scalping levels: • Sell continuation: Break & retest below 3,832 → TP 3,827 – 3,820. SL above 3,838 (~60 pips). • Buy scalp (risky countertrend): If 3,832–3,827 demand holds with bullish candle pattern → TP 3,840–3,850. SL under 3,826 (~60 pips). ⸻ 📌 Fibonacci Golden Zone • From the last swing low → high, the golden retracement sits 3,820–3,832. • This is where price is consolidating now. • Break below 3,820 confirms bearish continuation. • Hold above 3,832 could allow a bounce toward 3,850–3,860. ⸻ 🌍 Fundamental Watch • US ISM Manufacturing PMI (today) → already pressured gold after USD strength. • Fed speakers later could increase volatility. Hawkish = bearish gold, dovish = bullish bounce. • Dollar Index (DXY) firming, yields ticking higher → adds bearish bias to gold. ⸻ ✅ High-Probability Trade Plans 🔻 SELL Setup (higher probability intraday) • Entry: Break & retest 3,832. • SL: 3,838 (≈ 60 pips). • TP1: 3,827 / TP2: 3,820 / TP3: 3,805. 🔼 BUY Setup (countertrend scalp, lower probability) • Entry: Bounce from 3,832–3,827 golden zone with bullish confirmation. • SL: 3,826 (≈ 60 pips). • TP1: 3,840 / TP2: 3,850 / TP3: 3,860. ⸻ 📌 Summary: Gold is under strong selling pressure after rejecting 3,896–3,900. The 3,832–3,820 golden zone is the key pivot. • Break below 3,820 = bearish continuation to 3,805. • Hold above 3,832 = possible bounce toward 3,850–3,860. ⚠️ Volatility will remain high with USD data & Fed comments today.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
GOLD (XAUUSD): Next Goal - 3900 Gold looks bullish again today, following a completion of a correctional movement after an update of the ATH yesterday. The market was accumulating for some time within a horizontal range on an hourly time frame. A confirmed bullish CHoCH indicates its highly probable completion. The price will most likely continue rising now. Goal - 3900 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
5
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – GOLD FORECAST (02/10/2025) 🔎 Deep Technical Analysis (XAUUSD – 02/10/2025, London Session) Current Price: 3,867 ⸻ 📈 Daily Chart • The bullish trend remains intact with higher highs and higher lows. • Price has tested 3,895–3,900 resistance zone, leaving an upper wick yesterday → clear sign of supply. • Parabolic SAR dots remain bullish, but momentum is slowing. • EMA20 sits far below at 3,771, leaving room for correction without breaking the structure. ⸻ ⏳ H1 Chart • Double top rejection forming at 3,872–3,875. • RSI around neutral (50–55), showing lack of trend direction. • MACD histogram contracting, signalling reduced bullish momentum. • Key intraday support sits at 3,862–3,855. Break here → possible quick drop to 3,840–3,832. ⸻ ⏱️ M15 Chart • Price consolidates inside the Fibonacci golden zone (3,862–3,868). • Liquidity sits above equal highs at 3,874 → if bulls break, stop runs could fuel a rally toward 3,888–3,895. • If 3,862 fails to hold, short-term downside pressure opens into 3,855–3,852 and then 3,840. ⸻ ⏱️ M5 Chart • Sweep at 3,872 followed by immediate rejection. • MACD flipped red with bearish momentum building. • EMA alignment turning flat/down, suggesting short-term weakness. ⸻ 🎯 Scalping Setups (Max 60 pips SL) • Buy scalp: • Entry: 3,862–3,864 support zone • SL: 3,858 • TP1: 3,872 • TP2: 3,888 • Sell scalp: • Entry: 3,872–3,874 rejection • SL: 3,878 • TP1: 3,862 • TP2: 3,852 ⚠️ Current higher probability = short scalps on failed rejections at 3,872, unless price decisively breaks above with strong volume. ⸻ ✅ Overall Outlook • Bias: Neutral-to-bearish below 3,875. • Breakout upside trigger: 3,875 → target 3,888–3,895. • Breakdown downside trigger: 3,862 → target 3,852–3,840. • Golden zone (3,862–3,868) is the intraday pivot. Reactions here will define London’s move.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold remains in a bullish consolidation phase after printing a fresh record high near $3,895, supported by safe-haven demand. On the 1H chart, price is consolidating between the Support Zone ($3,847–$3,840) and the Resistance Zone ($3,900–$3,905). A short-term pullback is visible, but the broader ascending channel structure remains intact, suggesting dips could be treated as buying opportunities. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $3,847 (near support zone) Stop Loss: $3,837 Take Profit: $3,900 / $3,925 (extension if momentum sustains) Risk/Reward: ~1 : 6 🌍 Macro Background Gold’s rally is fuelled by a weaker USD, plunging US Treasury yields, and heightened Fed rate cut expectations. According to CME FedWatch, markets are pricing in a 98% chance of a 25bps cut in October and strong odds of another in December. The US government shutdown adds a political risk premium, while softer US jobs data (ADP: –32k private payrolls in September) reinforced dovish bets. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions (Ukraine conflict, Middle East uncertainty) continue to attract safe-haven flows. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $3,900 – $3,905 Intermediate Resistance: $3,925 Support Zone: $3,847 – $3,840 Deeper Support: $3,800 📌 Trade Summary Gold is consolidating below $3,900, but the supportive macro backdrop keeps the bias bullish. Any dip toward the $3,847–$3,840 support offers a favourable long setup targeting $3,905–$3,925. Traders should watch today’s US ISM Manufacturing PMI and upcoming FOMC member speeches for volatility triggers. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
Gold at PRZ – Crab Pattern in PlayGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise as I mentioned in my previous idea and created a new All-Time High(ATH) again . How long do you think the trend toward forming a new ATH will continue? Gold is currently trading near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Resistance lines . In theory, Elliott waves , PRZ , and Resistance lines could be the start of a correction, even a deep one( End of the main wave 5 ) . There is also a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern seen in the Gold chart that could lead to a decline in Gold . I expect Gold to start correcting again. First Target: $3,819 Second Target: $3,807 Third Target: $3,793 Stop Loss(SL): $3,854 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
18
10/1: 3900 in Sight, Watch Support at 3826–3814Today marks the 76th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China. The whole nation is celebrating. In previous years, a military parade would be held on this day, but this year it was brought forward to September 3rd. Back to the market—yesterday, gold surged to 3870 before pulling back to around 3790, and today it has once again returned to 3870, reaching a new high. From a technical perspective, a nearly $100 rally suggests that some correction is due. Current support is mainly at the 3848–3842 zone, with stronger support at 3826–3814. On the daily chart, this round of the rally is likely approaching its end today. However, the overall structure remains healthy, meaning a pullback followed by another leg up is quite possible. On the weekly timeframe, the bullish trend is not yet finished, so gold still has room to make new highs in the medium term. Now that the price has risen near 3875, testing 3900 is within reach. That level will likely act as a new psychological barrier, so a pullback from there would be normal and could present trading opportunities. 📌 Trading plan for today: If gold rises to the 3900 area → consider short positions. If it pulls back to the 3840 area → look for long opportunities.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Support Unproven: Gold Bears Eye Fresh PullbackGold began retreating from around 3872, hitting 3793 before rebounding again. It has now reached a high of around 3855, recovering most of its losses. However, it's not difficult to see that since gold's recent decline reached a rare $80, its upward momentum has been lackluster, even somewhat weak. This suggests that the sharp pullback in gold's short-term performance has dampened bullish sentiment to some extent. Furthermore, it's clear that gold has shown clear signs of profit-taking above 3855. While a collapse is far from imminent, further declines are possible as signs of profit-taking intensify. From a technical perspective, gold experienced a sharp decline in the short term and rebounded near 3793. Technically, the validity of 3793 as a low point needs to be retested and verified. Therefore, a direct upward move in the near term is unlikely, and a retest of the short-term support low is necessary. So, when judging short-term support and resistance, we first need to pay attention to the role of the 3845-3855 resistance area above; below, we first pay attention to the support area of 3810-3800. If gold falls below the support near the low point of 3793, then gold may fall further to the 3780-3770 area. Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, we can still take advantage of the rebound in gold and give priority to shorting gold in the 3840-3850 area, first looking at the target 3820-3810 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
ANFIBO | XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan (09.30.2025)Hello traders, Anfibo's here! OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Overall Picture: As anticipated, OANDA:XAUUSD has surged strongly above the $3,865/oz resistance level, delivering more than 600 PIPS of profit from the previously executed trading plan. This once again confirms the strength of the dominant bullish trend and the market’s confidence in gold as a safe-haven asset. Heading into this week, I remain bullish, with gold likely to test the $3,880/oz level and potentially push further toward $4,000/oz, provided no negative news emerges. The $4,000 mark is not only a key psychological round number resistance but also aligns with the projected target of wave 5 in Elliott Wave structure on the Monthly timeframe – an area where strong profit-taking pressure often occurs. Traders should pay close attention to this zone. Technical Outlook: Short-term trend: Strong increase, momentum remains stable on H4 and Daily frames. > SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES : 3790 - 3770 - 3750 - 3723 - 3713 > RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES : 3825 - 3845 - 3860 - 3870 - 3882 Here's my Trading Plan today: >>> SELL ZONE: ENTRY: 3860 - 3870 SL: 3873 TP: 3835 - 3800 >>> BUY ZONE: ENTRY: 3785 - 3795 SL: 3780 TP: 3835 - 3860 - 3870 - 3880 Risk Management: - Prioritize buy trades in line with the dominant trend, limit countertrend shorts. - Maintain a R:R ratio of at least 1:2 on all setups. - Manage capital strictly, avoid overtrading during sideways phases before breakout. GOODLUCK GUYS!!!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
5
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold. Horizontal Structures Support 1: 3767 - 3793 area Support 2: 3690 - 3736 area Support 3: 3613 - 3644 area Support 4: 3560 - 3580 area Resistance 1: 3898 - 3902 area Vertical Structures Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line Support 1 and Vertical Support 1 will compose an important contracting demand zone. There will be a high chance to see a bullish movement from that. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
5
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – GOLD FORECAST (30/09/2025) 📊 XAUUSD Deep Analysis (30/09/2025 – London Session) Daily (D1): • Gold rejected the 3,871 high, forming a strong bearish rejection candle. • Structure remains bullish above 3,769–3,770, but today’s move shows correction pressure. • Trend is intact while above the 10EMA (~3,769), with next support at 3,733–3,740. 1H Chart: • Clear breakdown from 3,863–3,871 resistance. • Price is now sitting around 3,802, testing 200 EMA + Fib retracement zone. • Momentum indicators (MACD & histogram) show increasing bearish pressure, RSI cooling off from overbought. 15M & 5M Charts: • Strong bearish momentum with BOS (break of structure) confirmed. • 15M shows a descending channel, short-term support at 3,797–3,800. • 5M chart oversold but still pressing lower, confirming short bias unless a sharp reversal forms. ⸻ 🟡 Fibonacci Golden Zone Using swing low 3,769 → swing high 3,871: • 38.2% = 3,833 • 50% = 3,820 • 61.8% = 3,807 ➡️ This zone (3,833–3,807) is now active support — price is inside it. If it fails, deeper retracement toward 3,782–3,769 is likely. ⸻ ⚡ Scalping Opportunities (5M & 15M, 60 pip SL max) 🔹 Sell Scalps (preferred while below 3,833–3,840): • Entry: 3,832–3,838 rejection • TP: 3,820 → 3,812 • SL: ~3,844 (60 pips) 🔹 Buy Scalps (counter-trend, only if Fib support holds): • Entry: 3,804–3,801 zone • TP: 3,820 → 3,828 • SL: ~3,795 (55–60 pips) ⸻ 📌 Breakout Levels to Continue Trend • Bullish: Break & hold above 3,842 → recovery toward 3,858–3,871. • Bearish: Break below 3,797 → opens 3,782–3,769. ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold is correcting inside the Fib golden zone (3,833–3,807). Short-term momentum favors sells on bounces, but buyers may defend 3,807–3,797. Scalpers can sell rejections under 3,833 or look for countertrend bounces from 3,807–3,810 with tight SLs.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
Time to Fade the Rally—Gold Shorts Aim for 3835–3825Driven by the market's risk aversion sentiment, gold continues to maintain its strong upward position and has now reached our long target area: 3850-3860 as expected. It is obvious that gold is still in a bull trend, but as gold prices have risen sharply, more and more high-level risks have accumulated. Therefore, it is actually very difficult to directly participate in gold long trading now. But according to the current trend, it is not difficult to find that after each surge in gold, there is a trend of falling back and testing support. Therefore, even if gold is in an upward trend, there is still a need to retrace support locally, and the retracement range is relatively not small, and can reach a retracement space of $20-30, so there is enough profit space for short-term trading. In addition, in the short term, gold is currently facing the influence of the trend channel resistance area of 3855-3865. The current upward momentum has converged and the willingness to rise has tended to weaken. Under the influence of the resistance in this area, gold may have a need to retreat in the short term. So in the short term, we might first consider shorting gold with the 3855-3865 area as resistance, and first look at the target area of 3835-3825 area. Of course, to gamble on short-term retracement profits in an upward trend, you need to set up protection!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure Gold (XAU/USD) has extended its rally to a new all-time high above $3,870, but short-term charts show slight profit-taking pressure. Price action is consolidating within a narrow range between Support Zone $3,842–$3,846 and Resistance Zone $3,869–$3,873. As long as the support holds, the bias remains bullish with potential continuation towards higher resistance levels. The ascending trendline is intact, suggesting the trend remains strongly upward. A decisive close above $3,873 could open the door to $3,900–$3,910 levels in the near term. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $3,846–$3,842 (Support Zone retest) Stop Loss: $3,840 Take Profit 1: $3,873 Take Profit 2: $3,900 R:R Ratio: ~1 : 4.04 🌍 Macro Background Gold’s rally is supported by geopolitical tensions, US government shutdown risks, and dovish Fed expectations. The USD remains under pressure as markets price in a 90% probability of a Fed rate cut in October and a 70% chance of another cut in December (CME FedWatch). Additionally, escalating geopolitical risks—Russia’s warning over US missile supplies to Ukraine and heightened Middle East tensions—are fuelling safe-haven flows into gold. Meanwhile, US political uncertainty continues as President Trump’s last-minute negotiations with Congress failed to yield a budget agreement, keeping the government shutdown threat alive. This adds another layer of support for gold’s safe-haven demand. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,869 / $3,873 / $3,900 Support: $3,846 / $3,842 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains in a bullish structure, with strong fundamental backing from Fed rate cut bets and geopolitical risks. Dips into the support zone near $3,846–$3,842 are likely to attract buyers, targeting $3,873 and potentially $3,900+. Only a break below $3,840 would weaken the bullish bias. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
3820 Breakout：Chase It or Fade It?After our long position hit the TP, we just profited from our short position near 3830 by hitting the TP at 3815. This is a very good short-term trade. Judging from the current structural form of gold, the low point of gold retracement is gradually shifting upward, and the short-term support below is moving up to the 3810-3800 area; if gold rebounds again with the help of this support area and stands above 3825, under the resonance of technical level and positive news, gold may hit the 3840-3850 area in the short term, or even reach the extreme area near 3860. The current market is bullish and it is difficult to see a reversal in the short term. At best, there will only be a short-term pullback. Therefore, in short-term trading, we mainly follow the trend trading; only after gold touches the key resistance area can we try to short gold. It should be noted that due to the limited retracement space, a reasonable TP must be set. 1. Consider going long on gold in the 3810-3800 range, initially targeting the 3835-3845 range. 2. When gold first reaches the 3840-3850 range, consider going short on gold, initially targeting the 3825-3815 range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Bulls Charge Ahead—Gold’s Path to 3835–3845Brothers, it seems that we were too conservative in setting the TP. Now gold has broken through 3810, far exceeding the TP: 3785 set in our last long transaction. Because a large amount of safe-haven buying funds poured into the gold market, it continued to set new historical highs, stimulating gold to break through 3800 and continue its rise to above 3810, fully highlighting the strong bullish sentiment in the market. At present, with the support of fundamental factors that are bullish for gold, it is difficult for the gold market to reverse in a short period of time. At best, it is just a short-term adjustment. In addition, we can look for wave patterns from the candlestick chart. From the previous trend, it is not difficult to see that after a short-term consolidation, gold will pull up and retrace to form a secondary low point, and then it will wave again to $75-80 to reach a new high. Then according to this rule, after the volatile rise, gold formed a secondary low near 3760 on Friday. If we look up to the fluctuation range of $75-80, gold is likely to continue to rise to the 3835-3845 area. So, for current short-term trading. First of all, we still consider going long on gold. 1. If gold first retreats to the 3800-3790 area, we can prioritize going long on gold. 2. If gold continues its upward trend and first reaches the 3835-3845 area, we can consider going short on gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PriceSniper_Steffen