Geopolitical Undercurrents Support Gold as NFP LoomsTVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD Gold hovers near $3,370 after failing to hold above $3,374, where previous support has turned into resistance. Price remains trapped between TL2 and TL3, with short-term direction hinging on tonight’s U.S. NFP data (130K jobs expected, 3.7% YoY wage growth). A strong report may trigger a drop toward the $3,342–$3,325 support zone, while weaker data could spark a bullish breakout toward $3,402.
Although Trump and Xi agreed to restart trade talks, deep fractures remain over export controls, Taiwan, and rare earth supply. These unresolved issues suggest geopolitical risk is far from over, offering medium-term support for CAPITALCOM:GOLD gold despite recent risk-on flows.
Resistance : 3,374 , 3,402
Support : 3,342 , 3,325
Xauusdsignals
US market fluctuates around 3400-3370, short first
📌 Driving events
Heightened tensions between China and the United States have also fueled the bullish momentum of gold prices. As the upcoming trade negotiations between Washington and Beijing are full of uncertainty, investors have sought safe-haven assets such as gold.
Adding to the market's nervousness, President Donald Trump signed an executive order to double the import tariffs on steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%, effective June 4. The move came a few days before Trump's much-anticipated call with Chinese President Xi Jinping, further fueling concerns about escalating trade frictions.
📊Commentary and analysis
Gold failed to fall back to 3353 during the day, and the lowest point was 3360, and it ushered in an increase, and the highest point was 3403. In the short term, 3403 was suppressed, or it may fall back, and then it fell into volatility again. The idea is to suppress short positions around 3403, stop loss at 3413, and stop profit at 3380-3372. Short-term trading, pay attention to risks.
June 5th US gold short-term trading: short near 3400, stop loss 3413, light position, take profit 3375
Short near 3372, stop loss 3360, take profit 3400
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
GOLD (XAUUSD): Strong Bullish Pattern
Following my previous analysis, Gold in going up.
Your next signal to buy will be a bullish breakout
of a neckline of an ascending triangle pattern on a 4H time frame.
A 4H candle close above 3392 will confirm a violation.
Next resistances will be 3408 / 3428
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XAU/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Potential Drop Ahead!XAU/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Potential Drop Ahead! 💥
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Instrument: Gold vs US Dollar (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: Daily
Current Price: $3,363.26
Resistance Zone: $3,380 – $3,470
Support Zone: $2,970 – $3,100
🧠 Market Context:
Gold has recently approached a well-defined resistance zone near the $3,380–$3,470 range. Price action shows multiple rejection wicks and failed attempts to break above this level, indicating strong selling pressure from bears. 🐻
The current candlestick structure suggests the market is printing lower highs, which may indicate a transition from a consolidation phase into a potential bearish trend.
📉 Projection:
The chart projects a move down toward the support zone, around $2,970–$3,100, possibly due to:
Repeated rejections at the resistance zone 🔄
Lack of bullish momentum near highs ⚠️
Bearish engulfing or reversal candlestick formations 🔻
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
Level Type Price Zone Action
🔴 Resistance $3,380 – $3,470 Strong rejection expected
🟢 Support $2,970 – $3,100 Major demand zone; potential bounce
🧭 Trading Outlook:
⚠️ If price fails to break above the resistance zone, short opportunities may develop with a target near the support zone. A confirmed break and close below $3,300 would strengthen bearish sentiment.
📌 Bearish Bias Maintained Until Resistance Breaks
6/3 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone!
Gold climbed to the 3370 area yesterday without showing any significant pullback, indicating that bullish momentum remains intact. After this morning’s opening, the price continued to rise, and from a technical perspective, there’s still room for further upside. The 3400 level is likely to be tested today, and if accompanied by increased volume, gold may extend gains towards the 3416–3438 resistance zone.
From a tactical standpoint, a technical retracement after today’s rally is the base case scenario, and intraday trades can be structured within the broader 3440–3320 range. On the downside, the 3368 level is the first key support to watch, followed by 3352, which could serve as a pivot area if a pullback occurs.
On the macro front, two economic data releases are scheduled during the US session, along with a Q&A session involving Fed’s Goolsbee, which could inject short-term volatility into the market.
📌 Trade Plan for Today:
Sell within the 3416–3438 zone, with controlled position sizing; short-term strategy preferred.
Buy near the 3338–3321 support area, with a defensive setup and tight risk control.
Flexible trading levels to monitor: 3421 / 3413 / 3397 / 3386 / 3367 / 3358 / 3343
Strategy outlook: Adopt a “sell high, buy dips” short-term strategy today. Avoid chasing breakouts blindly; focus on rhythm and structure.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Continuation Confirmed
As we discussed yesterday, Gold managed to break and close above
a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on a daily.
It opens a potential for more growth.
Our next resistance is 3429.
For buying, consider the expanding demand zone based
on a broken horizontal resistance and a trend line.
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Buy or Sell XAUUSD Gold? How the Stock Market Could Decide!🚨 Market Breakdown: Gold (XAUUSD) 🪙📉📊
At the moment, I’m closely monitoring XAUUSD (Gold) 🔍. Before diving in, it's crucial to zoom out and gain a macro perspective 🌍. This means analyzing key support and resistance levels on the weekly and daily timeframes 📅 using price action as our primary guide.
📈 Gold has seen a strong rally — it’s overextended at this point. A deeper pullback could be on the cards. If we get that retracement alongside a bullish break of structure, I’ll be eyeing a potential long setup 🛒.
However, this bias is conditional 🔄. If the stock market pulls back, that could strengthen the case for a gold buy. On the flip side, if equities continue to rally, I’d likely shift toward a bearish stance on gold 🐻.
🎥 Everything is broken down clearly in the video.
❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The analysis shared is for educational and informational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
Gold remains up at the beginning of this week
📌 Gold Consulting
Gold prices rose sharply on Monday, reaching their highest level in more than four weeks, affected by the escalation of geopolitical risks caused by the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. The re-escalation of trade tensions between China and the United States prompted investors to buy gold throughout the day. As of this writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,377, up 2.70%.
Market sentiment turned sour on news that Ukraine launched an airstrike against Russia, destroying long-range bombers and other aircraft. Meanwhile, US President Trump doubled the tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50%, effective June 4, and his remarks against China led to a decline in US and global stock markets. CNBC
Reports said that Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping may talk this week, but not on Monday.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold prices maintained their upward momentum at the beginning of this week, but tariff tensions and war with Russia remain unpredictable. Gold prices are supported and will return to the 3400 area.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3409-3411 SL 3416
TP1: $3400
TP2: $3388
TP3: $3372
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3313-$3315 SL $3308
TP1: $3327
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3355
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart For 3 June 2025Hello Traders,
GOLD is in mid term Bullish Trend for now as we already captured nice pips yesterday with directional sequence
but now all eyes on 3400 Psychological Level Breakout once it will break market will move towards 3430
for market in is consolidation zone between 3340-60 and expected to move back towards 3380 or even 90
if market breaks 3330 successfully today then it will move towards 3330 Psychological Level
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
XAUUSD Critical Lower Highs break-out just happened.Gold (XAUUSD) broke above the Lower Highs trend-line that originated from the April 22 All Time High (ATH) and has basically re-established the long-term bullish trend and confirmed the bullish break-out.
The extension can go as high as 3700, which represents a +18.37% rise from the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) bottom. That is how much the last 1D MA50 (near) test increased (April 07). A Higher Lows trend-line (dashed) may potentially support this uptrend all the way before the next correction.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Sense of Fear?!
As the Russia-Ukraine peace talks are going today,
Gold shows clear signs of worry.
The market turned bullish after the opening and is currenty
breaking a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on a daily
that we discussed earlier.
To confirm the violation, we will need a daily candle close above that.
As the results of the talks are still unknown, more moves may occur today.
So the today's close will be very important.
Let's patiently wait.
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Here's a weekly buy-side analysis🟢 Bias: Bullish (Buy)
Gold remains in a long-term uptrend, with fundamental and technical factors supporting continued upside.
50 & 100 EMA: Price is well above both EMAs, confirming bullish momentum.
RSI: Around 60–70 on the weekly; no bearish divergence yet.
MACD: Histogram ticking upward with bullish crossover in play.⚠️ Risk Factors
Sudden USD strength due to surprise Fed hawkishness.
Strong U.S. labor or inflation data that pushes bond yields higher.
Gold profit-taking near ATH could cause sharp but temporary pullbacks.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support : Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis and
important supports & resistances for Gold for next week.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 3238 - 3286 area
Support 2: 3122 - 3179 area
Support 3: 2957 - 2982 area
Resistance 1: 3353 - 3366 area
Resistance 2: 3427 - 3425 area
Resistance 3: 3483 - 3501 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: falling trend line
Vertical Resistance 1: falling trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Smart Trade Insight – XAU/USD Technical BreakdownKey Levels & Technical Zones:
🔹 Resistance Zone (🔼 SELL Area):
📌 3,315 – 3,340
This area has been tested and rejected multiple times, as highlighted by the strong bearish wicks. The recent price action failed to break above it, triggering short interest.
🔹 Minor Support Zone:
📌 Around 3,243
Acted as intraday bounce area previously, now likely to offer weak support in the coming move down.
🔹 Major Demand Zone (💚 BUY Interest Zone):
📌 3,120 – 3,140
Labelled as "BEST SUPPORT DEMANDING ZONE" – historical demand visible with strong bounce history. Ideal for monitoring bullish reversal opportunities.
📈 EMA Levels:
🔴 50 EMA: 3,299
🔵 200 EMA: 3,254
Current price action is hovering near the EMAs. The rejection at the resistance while below the 50 EMA indicates weakening bullish momentum.
🔍 Market Structure Overview:
The double-top formation near the resistance shows exhaustion in buying.
Lower highs forming → structure turning bearish short-term.
Solid rejection confirms that this is a valid zone to initiate short positions 🛑📉.
📉 Forecast Path:
🔮 Projected Move:
Price is expected to break below minor support at 3,243.
Intermediate target: 3,206, then 3,167 🟠.
Final destination: Demand Zone at 3,120 – 3,140 🟩 for potential bounce 📈.
💬 "Market not break the resistance level and rejected solid — this is a good entry for short-term sell trades." ✅
✅ Trade Idea Summary:
🟥 Bias: Short
🎯 TP Targets: 3,206 → 3,167 → 3,122
📉 SL Suggestion: Above 3,340 resistance zone
🧭 Risk-Reward Setup: Favorable for short-term traders
Gold Strategy Update — Professional Trading InsightGold dipped to around 3290, then rebounded to 3310, followed by another pullback toward the 3290–3280 region and bounced again. This price action perfectly aligned with our forecast and trading plan.
👉 If you followed today's strategy, you should be in solid profit once again!
📍 Current Market Structure Analysis:
🔹 Gold is now hovering near 3300, which is a key resistance zone.
Our previously identified support area at 3306–3318–3324 has been broken and is now acting as resistance.
🔹 Among these levels:
3306 is a weaker resistance,
While the 3316–3323 zone is the main barrier to watch.
📊 Based on the 30-minute chart, bullish momentum appears limited:
If the price rebounds in a single leg, it is likely capped around 3318–3324,
→ With an 80%+ probability of a pullback from that zone. A reasonable short-term target would be 3312;
However, if gold builds a double bottom or multiple bottom structure, it may gather more strength,
→ And a broader rebound could reach 3332–3338.
📉 Bearish Structure Repair (2H Chart):
On the 2-hour chart, the previous bearish structure has been mostly corrected by the recent drop;
The next key factor is whether bulls can break above 3320 to confirm a reversal.
🟥 If bulls fail to break 3320 and price drops below 3280, it may open the door for bears to close the gap around 3259.
→ In that case, levels below 3266 will present excellent buy opportunities.
📊 Trading Summary:
Although market volatility has slightly decreased in recent days, there are still plenty of solid trading opportunities, and we continue to profit steadily.
✅ As long as you stick to a proven strategy, strong discipline, and flexible execution, you’ll find that no matter how the market moves, our profit curve will keep climbing.
XAUUSD Idea: Structure, Fibonacci Setup & S&P 500 Correlation📉 XAUUSD Trade Outlook 🧠🔍
Currently analyzing Gold (XAUUSD), and things are getting interesting. On the daily timeframe, we’ve seen a clear bearish break of market structure, and this shift is also evident on the 4-hour chart. 🕰️📉
I’m watching closely for a bullish retracement into my key Fibonacci 61.8% level, where I’ll be looking for confirmation of a bearish structural break to initiate a short position. 🎯🔽
When we compare this setup to the US500 (S&P 500), it becomes even more compelling. The indices have rallied hard and appear overextended — a correction seems likely. 📊🧾
If we do get that pullback in the indices, gold may rally temporarily, but my overall bias remains bearish. If the indices resume their uptrend after a pullback, I expect gold to weaken further, aligning with my current short-side outlook. ⚠️📉
🛑 This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and manage risk according to your trading plan.
💬 What are your thoughts on gold right now? Are you leaning bullish or bearish? Let me know in the comments! 👇
Gold Enters PRZ and TRZ – Correction is Coming!?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in the previous Idea and reached the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) and Resistance lines .
Gold is moving near the Resistance lines , Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of Main wave 3 , so Main wave 3 could have an extended structure .
I expect Gold to experience at least one correction after entering the PRZ and TRZ , the correction could continue to $3,329 . If the Support lines are broken, the next target could be the Support zone($3,280-$3,245) .
Note: If Gold touches $3,420, there is a possibility of further pumping and breaking the Resistance zone($3,435-$3,406).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD This is the level to look for a break-out.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the October 30 2024 High, which then transitioned inside it into a Bullish Megaphone. The recent May 15 rebound took place on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the pattern's Support since basically the start of the year (January 08 2025).
Today however we see this rebound taking a pause on the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the April 22 High and until it breaks we can't speculate on a bullish price action as it is more likely to test again the 1D MA50, if not break the pattern downwards.
If however Gold closes a 1D candle above the Lower Highs trend-line, we will turn bullish again, targeting 3700 (+18.29% from the bottom, similar to the previous Bullish Leg).
Notice also that the 1D MACD just completed a Bullish Cross, which favors the buyer's case.
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Critical Resistance Ahead–Will Gold Confirm the Bullish Reversal🔶 What happened last week on Gold (XAUUSD)?
Last week was an excellent one for Gold bulls – the price surged by nearly 1500 pips, fully recovering the drop from the 12–16 May week.
Looking at the chart, the decline from the last ATH at 3500 appears clearly corrective, forming a classic ABC 3-wave pattern which now seems complete.
Gold is currently testing a major confluence resistance zone, aligned with:
• The 17 April ATH
• The end-of-April resistance
• And the early May support
Also worth noting: this week’s breakout above resistance followed the formation of an ascending triangle, which is typically bullish.
________________________________________
❓ Key question – Will the bullish move continue, or will price reject from here?
________________________________________
🔍 Why a bullish continuation is probable:
1. The ABC corrective structure seems to have ended.
2. Price broke out after an ascending triangle – a bullish signal.
3. The broader structure still leans bullish after the ATH at 3500.
________________________________________
⚠️ But this resistance zone is critical:
• Without a clear breakout above 3360 zone, bulls don’t have full control.
• A drop below 3300 would shift momentum back to the bears, with 3360 becoming a potential lower high.
________________________________________
🧭 My Trading Plan:
✅ I favor a bullish scenario, aiming for:
• 3430
• 3500 (ATH retest)
❌ This outlook gets invalidated if price falls below 3300 – in that case, I’ll reassess for more downside.
________________________________________
🚀 The market must confirm the direction. We’re just here to read the map.
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XAUUSD[GOLD]: Another Possible Swing Sell Happening! Swing MoveGold rejected twice as we had described in our last two analyses on Gold. We remain heavily bearish on Gold and expect a swift bearish move within the next week or following week. We are eyeing two targets. Please use this analysis accordingly and avoid overtrading. This is not a confirmation, and do not use the marked arrow as an entry or exit point. The marked red area drawn there represents a potential reversal zone from which price may reverse.
As always, this analysis does not guarantee that price will move as described in the chart. Please use your own knowledge and trading plan while trading Gold. Good luck and trade safely.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): More Growth Ahead?!
Gold violated a significant intraday horizontal resistance on Friday.
The broken structure and a rising trend line compose a strong
contracting demand area now.
It will be a perfect spot to try to buy Gold after a pullback.
Next goal for the buyers will be 3400.
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XAUUSD[GOLD]: Bearish Correction Is Happening! Gold rejected at 3350, dropping almost 600 pips to 3290. We can expect the price to drop further to around 3250, potentially reversing from there. A possible entry point is 3304, followed by a drop from there.
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