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XAU/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) is holding firm near recent highs after repeatedly defending the 4,127–4,134 support zone, keeping the broader bullish structure intact. Price remains above short-term trend support, and momentum readings show buyers maintaining control. The chart presents a clean bullish continuation setup: Support zone: 4,127 – 4,134 Resistance zone / target area: 4,167 – 4,174 As long as price holds above 4,125, dips into support are likely to attract renewed buying, with upside potential back toward the 4,170+ resistance band. A decisive break and close below 4,125 would invalidate the bullish scenario and expose the 4,110 – 4,095 area. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Buy dips into support, targeting a move back into the 4,170 resistance zone. Entry: 4,127 – 4,134 Stop Loss: 4,125 Take Profit 1: 4,167 Take Profit 2: 4,175 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 3.66 Bias stays constructively bullish while price holds above 4,127–4,134 on a closing basis. A clean break below 4,125 would warn that the bullish structure is weakening. 🌐 Macro Background According to FXStreet, gold regained positive momentum as traders increased bets on a December Fed rate cut following cooling US PPI data. Several Fed officials — including John Williams, Christopher Waller, and Stephen Miran — expressed support for further easing, which pushed the USD to a one-week low, benefiting the non-yielding metal. US Data: PPI eased further, supporting the disinflation trend. Retail Sales slowed to 0.2%, below expectations. Consumer Confidence fell to a seven-month low. Federal Reserve: Markets now price in an 85% probability of a December rate cut. Lower US yields and a softer USD continue to support gold. Geopolitical factors: Hopes for a Russia–Ukraine peace framework improved risk sentiment, limiting safe-haven inflows but not enough to shift gold’s underlying bullish bias. Overall, weaker USD conditions, dovish Fed expectations, and cooling inflation favour buying gold on dips, though improving global sentiment may limit the speed of upside moves near resistance. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance zone: 4,167 – 4,175 Support zone: 4,127 – 4,134 Invalidation level (bulls): 4,125 (close below) 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains in a constructively bullish structure, with buyers defending the 4,127–4,134 support band. As long as this zone holds, the setup favours buying dips toward support and targeting the 4,167–4,175 resistance zone where prior supply may re-emerge. Traders should stay alert to upcoming US data releases and comments from key Fed officials, as these events may influence USD direction and short-term gold volatility. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
Gold Breaks Key Resistance, Eyes 4200 LevelSupported by rising rate-cut expectations, improving liquidity, and heightened geopolitical risks, gold has broken above the 4069–4076 resistance zone and reclaimed the 4100 level. The market is currently absorbing selling pressure around 4150. On the 1H chart, the key support levels are 4104–4096, followed by 4086. As long as these support zones remain intact, gold has a strong probability of continuing its upward move toward the 4200 region. During the climb, monitor resistance at 4168 and 4187–4194. If price accelerates directly into the 4204–4213 band, the likelihood of a short-term pullback will increase, at which point support at 4188 and 4169 becomes critical. On the daily chart, the structure can still be treated as a potential double-bottom formation, with the broader bias favoring the bulls. Trend supports lie at 4110, 4092, and 4067. If the pattern remains intact, the first upside target is 4220. Should gold stabilize above 4200 during volatility, extended targets are 4290, 4342, and 4366.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Plan (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) has extended its rebound and is now trading above $4,140, firmly recovering from last week’s weakness. Price has successfully reclaimed the broken descending trendline and is stabilizing above the $4,124–$4,135 support zone, turning the short-term structure into a bullish continuation pattern. Key observations: Support is located at $4,124–$4,135, where trendline retest + horizontal demand converge. Resistance sits at $4,171–$4,182, the key zone from November highs. As long as the price holds above $4,124, buyers remain in control and dips are likely to attract bids. A pullback toward the support zone is expected to bring buyers back into the market, aiming for a retest of the $4,170–$4,180 zone. 🎯 Trade Plan Bias: Buy-the-dip near support, targeting continuation toward resistance. Entry: $4,124 – $4,135 Stop Loss: $4,120 (below support & structure invalidation level) Take Profit 1: $4,171 Take Profit 2: $4,182 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1 : 2.82 Short-term bias: Above $4,120 → Bullish continuation valid Below $4,120 → Bullish structure invalid, stand aside 🌐 Macro Background Gold extends its rally to a 1.5-week high, supported by rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December. FXStreet notes: New York Fed President John Williams signalled rates could fall in the near term. Fed Governor Christopher Waller said the labour market is weak enough to justify another 25 bps cut in December. CME FedWatch now shows ~80% probability of a December cut, suppressing USD strength and supporting Gold. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions continue to fuel safe-haven demand: Russia launched new strikes on residential and energy facilities in Kyiv. The US is modifying its Ukraine peace plan, which may be unacceptable to Russia. Gaza ceasefire allegedly violated multiple times, sustaining market uncertainty. While equities remain broadly positive (limiting upside momentum), the macro environment still favours buying dips on Gold. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $4,171 – $4,182 Support Zone: $4,124 – $4,135 Pivot Zone: $4,150 Bullish Invalidation: $4,118 – $4,120 📌 Trade Summary Gold maintains a bullish short-term structure, supported by Fed rate-cut expectations and heightened geopolitical risk. The preferred strategy is buying dips into $4,124–$4,135, targeting a retest of $4,171–$4,182. As long as price stays above $4,120, bulls maintain an advantage. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
XAUUSD starting a new short-term Bullish LegGold (XAUUSD) is testing today once more its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Having held the Higher Lows trend-line two times already since the November 13 pull-back, a second break above the 4H MA50 can technically confirm a quick test of the Lower Highs trend-line of the Triangle. As a result, our short-term Target is 4180 (also just below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level). A closing above the Lower Highs trend-line, potentially means the emergence of a Channel Up (blue), in which case we will re-buy the first 4H pull-back and have a final Target at 4275 (the 0.786 Fib). Long-term we believe Gold is going to have a bearish 2026. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
XAUUSD Technical Snapshot1️⃣ Analysis (3 sentences): Price is currently consolidating inside a contracting structure, sitting between the support zone at 4000–4003 and the 4100 resistance area. Liquidity is building on both sides, suggesting a potential engineered sweep before a decisive move. My bias: a final dip toward the 4003 support zone to collect liquidity → then a bullish leg targeting 4150–4200 if FOMC volatility aligns. 2️⃣ Key Zones: Resistance: 4095–4115 Support: 3997–4003 Bias: Liquidity sweep → bullish continuation 3️⃣ Disclaimer: This is personal analysis only and should not be taken as financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly—always manage risk carefully.
TVC:GOLDLong
by xauusd_rr
BTCUSD: Choppy VolatilityBTCUSD is experiencing volatile swings today, primarily driven by divergent Fed policy stances, alongside technical bull-bear tussles and market capital sentiment. During the Asian session, Bitcoin briefly surged above 88,000 in the morning before reversing course in the afternoon, sliding below 86,000. Key Levels: Support Zones: Primary support lies at the Bollinger Bands midline region of 85,500 – 86,000. Secondary support is near the recent swing low around 83,500 – 84,000. Strong support converges at the psychological and prior low zone of 80,000 – 82,000. A breakdown below the critical 80,000 level could trigger a deeper correction. Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance is concentrated at 87,500 – 88,000; a breakout here is necessary to mount a challenge on 89,000. 89,000 stands as a key market-focus resistance level. A decisive breach may pave the way for a test of the 90,000 psychological mark. Buy 85000 - 85500 SL 84500 TP 86800 - 87200 Sell 87500 - 88000 SL 88500 TP 86000 - 85000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by KingArthur_
Gold (XAU/USD) 2H Chart Analysis – Sell Setup from High ProbabilBased on the chart you provided, Gold is currently reacting near a High Probability POI (supply zone) after a corrective bullish move. The structure still shows: Lower highs and lower lows → Bearish market structure Price is approaching a supply zone where sellers previously dominated Liquidity has been taken above internal highs (marked as "$$$"), indicating a liquidity grab This supports a short position idea from the supply zone. 🔍 Key Technical Levels Zone / Level Meaning 4,125 – 4,150 USD High Probability POI / Supply (Sell area) 4,080 – 4,100 USD Entry region (price is currently here) 4,040 – 4,025 USD First reaction / partial take zone (50% area) 3,990 – 4,000 USD Main Target (previous demand + equal lows) 🎯 Suggested Target Primary Target: $4,000 (Exactly aligning with your chart’s marked “TARGET” zone where liquidity sits) If momentum continues and structure breaks more aggressively: Extended Target: $3,975 – $3,960 (deeper sweep into demand) 🛑 Risk Management Detail Level Stop Loss Above 4,155 USD (beyond POI + liquidity) R:R Potential Approx. 1:3 to 1:4 📌 Summary Price has retraced into a key supply zone Liquidity was taken → seller confirmation likely Expectation is continuation downward towards the liquidity pool below 📊 Title Recommendation: “Gold Retests Supply Zone – Bearish Continuation Toward $4,000 Expected”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Pipshunter27
Gold: Short-term pullback amid bearish pressureGold is trading with a downward oscillation bias today, suppressed by factors including fading Fed rate cut expectations and a strong US dollar. Amid bull-bear tussle, short-term momentum remains indecisive. During the Asian session, London Gold extended the previous day’s pullback with muted early volatility. Selling pressure intensified in the afternoon, amplifying short-term downward momentum. While the medium-to-long-term uptrend structure remains intact, near-term headwinds have pushed prices into a consolidative decline. Key Levels: Resistance: The immediate resistance zone lies at 4,087 – 4,090, where price previously retreated after facing selling pressure and continues to cap rallies today. A decisive break above the critical psychological level of 4,100 is required to unlock further upside momentum. Support: Short-term support is concentrated around 4,020 – 4,030. A breakdown below this zone could trigger a test of 4,000, a level likely to attract fresh buying interest. However, a valid breach of 4,000 may spark a deeper correction. Trading Strategy:Our core approach today is "Prioritize selling on rallies, complement with short-term long positions at support levels, and follow trends on breakouts". Sell 4075 - 4085 SL 4090 TP 4050 - 4040 - 4030 Buy 4020 - 4030 SL 4015 TP 4050 - 4060 - 4070
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by KingArthur_
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) is trading just below $4,050, stuck between a ceiling at $4,068–4,076 (Resistance Zone) and a floor at $4,008–4,018 (Support Zone). Price has repeatedly been rejected from the upper band, with lower highs forming beneath $4,080, showing that sellers are still defending this region. As long as price holds below $4,068–4,076, the short-term bias leans sideways-to-bearish, with scope for another rotation back toward the support band around $4,018–4,007. A clean break above $4,084 would invalidate the bearish setup and expose $4,100–4,120, while a decisive move below $4,008 could accelerate losses toward $4,000. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Fade the resistance – sell the rally toward $4,068–4,076, targeting a move back into the support zone. Entry: $4,068 – $4,076 Stop Loss: $4,084 Take Profit 1: $4,018 Take Profit 2: $4,007 Estimated Risk–Reward: ≈ 1 : 3.16 Bias: Cautiously bearish while price remains capped below $4,084. 🌐 Macro Background Gold starts the week under pressure, trading just under $4,050 despite a softer US Dollar. According to FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani, “Gold sticks to modest intraday losses… while the USD struggles to capitalize on last week’s strong move to the highest level since late May.” 【FXStreet】 Fed & Rates: -New York Fed President John Williams called policy “modestly restrictive” and signaled room to lower rates in the near term, pushing markets to price roughly a 67% chance of a December cut. -In contrast, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan argued for keeping rates on hold, helping the USD retain strength and limiting gold’s upside. Risk Sentiment: Hopes for another December rate cut have encouraged risk-on flows, lifting Asian equities and partially dampening safe-haven demand for gold. Geopolitics: Ongoing Russia–Ukraine tensions and fresh Middle East risks (including Ukraine’s drone attacks and renewed Russian advances) keep a floor under gold as a hedge against geopolitical shocks. Data Ahead: Markets are watching a busy US data slate this week – delayed PPI, Retail Sales, Consumer Confidence, followed by Q3 GDP and the PCE Price Index. These will be crucial for refining expectations on the Fed’s 2025 rate-cut path and could trigger sharp moves in USD and gold. Overall, fundamentals are mixed: rate-cut hopes and geopolitics are supportive, but risk-on mood and lingering USD strength make rallies into resistance attractive for tactical shorts. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $4,068 – $4,076 Support Zone: $4,018 – $4,007 Psychological Levels: $4,050; $4,000 Bearish Invalidation: Sustained break above $4,084 📌 Trade Summary Gold is trapped in a tight range, trading below the $4,068–4,076 resistance band. With sellers defending this zone and macro signals still mixed, the preference is to sell into strength near resistance, targeting a rotation back toward $4,032 – $4,020. A sustained break above $4,084 would invalidate the setup and suggest the start of a broader recovery toward $4,100+. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold. Vertical Structures Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line Horizontal Structures Support 1: 4021 - 4045 area Support 2: 3869 - 3934 area Support 3: 3765 - 3829 area Support 4: 3690 - 3738 area Resistance 1: 4082 - 4133 area Resistance 2: 4202 - 4246 area Resistance 3: 4360 - 4382 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
8
XAUUSD 4H OutlookOn the 4H chart, gold is still in a macro bullish structure after a very strong rally from the lower demand zones around 3640–3680 (old OB + POC). The recent price action is more like a sideways correction / range inside an uptrend rather than a fresh bearish trend. Key points: Overall bias: still bullish As long as the main swing lows around the 4H OB at 3880–3900 hold, I treat this as a mid-trend consolidation. Current range around a key intraday level Price has been bouncing multiple times off the horizontal yellow line around 4030–4040 – this is our short-term pivot. If this level keeps holding and the range highs break, I expect a move towards the 1H Order Block above at 4100–4120. That 1H OB is the first area where we can see meaningful supply and at least a reaction. Primary bullish scenario: Price sweeps some liquidity around 4030–4040, maybe with a small fakeout below; Then we see a push through the range high into the 4100–4120 1H OB; On lower timeframes (15m/5m) if we see absorption of sellers and a bullish CHOCH/BOS, this could be the start of the next impulsive leg up, targeting previous highs and eventually the red supply zone 4240–4280. Deeper pullback scenario: If the 4030–4040 support breaks with a strong 4H candle and price starts to hold below it: I’ll look for price to revisit the 4H OB demand zone at 3880–3900; This is my main high-RR buy zone, provided we get a clear bullish shift in structure on lower timeframes; The idea: drop into 3880–3900 → form a higher low versus previous swings → rotate back up towards 4100–4120 and then higher. Key zones to watch: 3640–3680 – old POC + OB, major demand if we ever get a bigger flush. 3880–3900 (4H OB) – main buy zone on a deeper correction. 4030–4040 – current range support / intraday pivot. 4100–4120 (1H OB) – first upside target and likely reaction zone. 4240–4280 – higher-timeframe supply, where larger sellers may step in again. As always, execution will be done on the lower timeframes with confirmation; the 4H chart is giving us the map, but entries come only after a clean shift in structure and proper liquidity grabs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProfitaminFX
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure after dropping to a multi-day low just above $4,000, with the short-term bounce capped below the highlighted Resistance Zone at $4,057–$4,064. Price is currently trading around $4,050–$4,055, trapped between: Resistance Zone: $4,057–$4,064 Support Zone: $4,018–$4,011 Key psychological floor: $4,000 The structure favours a range fade to the downside: repeated rejection around the resistance band and lower highs suggest sellers are defending this area, while buyers are mainly stepping in closer to $4,000. A clean break below $4,018–$4,011 could open the way toward $3,990–$3,980, while a sustained close above $4,070 would negate this short-term bearish bias. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Sell into resistance, targeting a retest of the support zone and the $4,000 handle. Entry (Sell): $4,057 – $4,065 Stop Loss: $4,071 Take Profit 1: $4,018 Take Profit 2: $4,011 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 3.41 Bias is short-term bearish / corrective, as long as price holds below $4,070–$4,080. 🌐 Macro Background Gold stays on the defensive after the delayed September US Nonfarm Payrolls report came in stronger than expected, with 119,000 jobs added vs. 50,000 expected, even though August was revised sharply lower. Annual wage growth held at 3.8%, slightly above market forecasts, which has reduced the probability of another Fed rate cut in December to roughly 35%, according to CME FedWatch, as summarized by FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani. Stronger labor data and sticky wage inflation support the US Dollar and weigh on non-yielding assets like gold. At the same time: The US Dollar is struggling to extend gains, staying just off a multi-month high as markets also focus on slowing growth risks after the record US government shutdown. Geopolitical uncertainty remains elevated, with continued tension around the Russia-Ukraine war and reports that Ukraine may enter talks over a US-backed peace plan. This combination — less dovish Fed pricing but fragile global risk sentiment — is limiting both the downside and upside, keeping gold in a choppy, data-driven range around the $4,000 mark. Overall, the macro backdrop currently leans modestly against aggressive gold upside in the near term, but lingering economic and geopolitical risks continue to offer dip-buying interest near $4,000. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,057–$4,064 (near-term resistance zone) Support: $4,011–$4,018 (immediate support zone) $4,000 (major psychological level) $3,990–$3,980 (next downside target if $4,000 fails) Psychological Level: $4,000 📌 Trade Summary Gold is trading in a corrective downtrend below the $4,057–$4,064 resistance band, with the market repricing lower odds of a December Fed cut after solid NFP and steady wage growth. Short-term price action favours selling rallies into resistance, aiming for a retest of $4,018 and $4,000, as long as price holds below $4,064. Any decisive move back above this cap would neutralize the bearish setup and shift focus back toward the $4,090–$4,100 zone. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
XAUUSD – H2 & H4 Technical Breakdown📌 H2 Chart (Left) – Short-Term Retracement H2 maintains a clean bearish structure with lower highs along the descending trendline. Price broke short-term support and is now retracing into a liquidity area at 4,050–4,065. Expectation: a small liquidity grab → continuation lower. ➡️ Bias: SELL on retracement ➡️ Targets: 4,000 → 3,985 📌 H4 Chart (Right) – Bearish Continuation H4 confirms a higher timeframe bearish trend after the CHoCH around 4,130. The Liquidity Zone 4,062–4,082 aligns with trendline resistance. This zone is likely to produce a rejection for the next push down towards HTF liquidity. ➡️ HTF Target: 3,965 – 3,980 🎯 SPHYN Final Bias 🔻 Overall Bias: Bearish 🔻 Optimal SELL zone: 4,060–4,082 🔻 Main Target: 3,965
TVC:GOLDShort
by xauusd_rr
1
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Gold Under Pressure, 4,078 Remains KeyGold delivered choppy price action yesterday due to the news releases, with buyers failing to break above the 4078 resistance. The metal has now slipped lower and is currently testing the upper boundary of the Support Zone. With price still holding below both the MA50 and MA200, the sellers maintain the short-term advantage, as these moving averages continue to act as dynamic resistance. For buyers to step back in, we need to see a clean recovery above 4053 and then a confirmed break of the key 4078 level for buyers to attempt a move toward 4115. If selling pressure remains, a full test of the Support Zone (4027-3996) is likely. A break below this area could trigger a deeper correction into the HTF Support Zone (3968-3921). 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4053 4078 4115 Support: 4027 3996 3968 3921 🔎Fundamental focus: A batch of U.S. data — including Flash PMI and Consumer Sentiment revisions — could bring volatility after yesterday’s choppy moves. We also have political headlines and Fed speakers throughout the day, which may add intraday swings as markets react to fresh news.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
1
XAUUSD — Deep Narrative Breakdown Through Liquidity & Imbalance🔶 Welcome to “Imbalanced” — A Market Logic Space This page is focused on clean charting, liquidity behavior and imbalance-based price delivery. I share structured narratives, premium/discount zones, and disciplined execution models for XAUUSD. No signals. No promotions. Just pure market logic. If you value clarity over noise, you’ll feel at home here. The current structure on Gold continues to respect algorithmic delivery, with price moving between well-defined inefficiencies and liquidity pockets. After the previous displacement, price began building a distribution inside premium, leaving a clear trail of imbalances above and sell-side liquidity resting below. The chart highlights multiple areas of interest: • Imbalance & BISI above: Price has yet to revisit these inefficiencies, suggesting unmitigated zones remain inside premium. These areas represent where the algorithm last delivered impulsively and where future reactions may form once liquidity conditions shift. • Equal lows (EQL) & Sell-side liquidity: Beneath the current range sits a cluster of equal lows—textbook liquidity. These resting lows often act as a magnet for engineered pushes, creating clean narrative continuation toward discount levels. • SIBI in discount: The lower imbalance zone aligns with a logical draw, given the repetitive taps at the mid-range and the market’s tendency to rebalance inefficiencies left behind during fast moves. This SIBI remains a major reference point for understanding how the next leg might unfold. Overall, the chart is not about predicting but about reading the story the market is writing: liquidity creation, imbalance expansion, and the delivery toward areas where inefficiency and resting liquidity coexist. This is a narrative-driven read, focusing solely on structure, flow, and algorithmic footprints—nothing more, nothing less. The market leaves the clues; our job is to decode them. — Imbalanced | Precision in Price Delivery
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Popeyye15
2
Gold RalliesToday, after the Asian session opened, gold did not continue the previous day’s downward trend but oscillated upward overall. This shows that after a short adjustment at the opening, bullish momentum has once again taken the upper hand, with strong market absorption capacity. The key support level for today is 4025 - 4030, and the strong support remains the 4000 integer mark. A break below this level may trigger panic selling in the market. For the upper resistance, we focus on 4120. If it breaks through smoothly, we expect it to surge towards the 4150 - 4180 range. Buy 4080 - 4085 SL 4070 TP 4100 - 4110 - 4120 Sell 4120 - 4125 SL 4135 TP 4090 - 4080 - 4070
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by KingArthur_