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Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $4,070–4,075, stuck in a short-term range between a capped Resistance Zone at $4,079–4,089 and a Support Zone at $4,034–4,045. Price has repeatedly failed to close above the $4,080 area, forming a series of lower intraday highs against that resistance band. At the same time, buyers are defending the $4,044 area, but bounces are getting shallower, hinting at fading upside momentum. As long as price stays below $4,079–4,089, the intraday structure favours a sell-the-rally setup back toward support. A clean break and close above $4,092–4,100 would invalidate the bearish bias and signal that bulls are regaining control. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Sell near resistance, targeting a move back into the support zone. Direction: Short (sell) Entry: $4,079 – $4,089 (retest of resistance zone) Stop Loss: $4,093 (above recent swing highs / resistance band) Take Profit 1: $4,045 Take Profit 2: $4,035 Risk–Reward Ratio: 1 : 3.48 Bias: Intraday bearish below $4,079–4,089. A sustained move above $4,100 would invalidate this setup and shift focus back to the topside. 🌐 Macro Background Gold has bounced back above $4,050, trading near $4,070 as risk-off sentiment returns ahead of the long-delayed batch of US economic data. FXStreet notes that “Gold price attracts some buyers to around $4,070, snapping the three-day losing streak… as traders brace for the long-awaited return of US economic data.”【FXStreet】 Key macro drivers: Delayed NFP & Data Uncertainty: The September and October NFP reports were postponed during the US government shutdown. September NFP is now due Thursday, with markets looking for around 50,000 jobs and unemployment at 4.3%. A weaker-than-expected print would likely pressure the USD and support gold, while a stronger report could reinforce the recent dollar rebound and weigh on XAU/USD. Fed Signalling Caution, Not Panic: Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said the Fed should proceed “slowly” with further rate reductions. Atlanta Fed President Bostic and Kansas City Fed President Schmid flagged persistent inflation risks and signalled comfort with holding rates steady. Their tone has tempered expectations of a December cut. Market Pricing: According to CME FedWatch, markets now price roughly a 46.6% chance of a 25 bps cut in December, down from more than 60% a week earlier, reflecting less dovish expectations. Overall, macro factors are mixed: risk-off flows and data uncertainty lend support to gold, but hawkish Fed commentary and reduced cut odds cap the upside. Against a well-defined technical resistance zone, this combination supports a short-term bearish, sell-rally stance on the intraday chart. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $4,079 – $4,089 Support Zone: $4,034 – $4,045 📌 Trade Summary XAU/USD is capped beneath $4,079–4,089 while support is clustered around $4,034–4,045. With Fed officials sounding cautious rather than aggressively dovish and December cut odds drifting lower, rallies into resistance look vulnerable. The preferred approach is to sell into strength near $4,079–4,089 with stop loss around $4,092, targeting a drop back toward $4,045–4,035 ahead of Thursday’s NFP release. A daily close above $4,100 would invalidate the intraday bearish view. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
BTCUSD: Consolidates Under PressureBTCUSD has extended its recent correction, presenting a low-range consolidation pattern under pressure. Bulls and bears are engaging in a tug-of-war around key support levels, with no clear one-sided direction emerging. Immediate support has formed near the 91,000 level, while the more critical lifeline support lies at 90,500. A breakdown below this level could trigger a deep pullback. On the upside, short-term resistance is concentrated in the 95,000-96,000 range,the primary target to overcome for any rebound, as a breakout here is necessary to further open up upside momentum. Overall, the current market sentiment remains sluggish, but there is rebound potential from a technical perspective. In the short term, the asset is likely to maintain a low-range consolidation trend. Buy 91000 - 91500 SL 90000 TP 93000 - 94000 - 95000 Sell 95000 - 96000 SL 96500 TP 93000 - 92000 - 91000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by KingArthur_
Gold: 4000 Support TestGold extended yesterday’s correction today, showing a significant decline amid oscillatory pressure, with some support found near the $4,000 mark. After surging to a high of $4,101.76 yesterday, gold plunged sharply, and this downward correction has continued to gather momentum on the 18th. Previously, a head-and-shoulders top pattern formed on the 4-hour chart of gold, indicating an inherent technical correction demand. Furthermore, the pullback from yesterday’s high created a clear short-term bearish pressure signal, and today’s decline represents a further digestion of these negative technical cues. Currently, the market is in the phase of testing support near $4,000.If this level is breached, it may trigger a further pullback to the short-term buffer support at $3,980, with the key strong support at $3,950 requiring close attention. If gold can stabilize above $4,000, it will most likely enter a range-bound consolidation phase. The primary resistance above lies at $4,100, a critical pressure level amid the recent correction. A breakout above this level will require a significant increase in trading volume, making it quite challenging in the short term. Sell 4060 - 4050 SL 4070 TP 4000 - 3990 - 3980 Buy 4000 - 4010 SL 3990 TP 4040 - 4050 - 4060
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by KingArthur_
XAU/USD Bullish Structure Retest Offering Strategic Swing Entry🏆 XAU/USD GOLD SWING TRADE OPPORTUNITY 💰 Bullish Pullback Setup | LSMA Moving Average Confirmation 📊 TRADE PLAN OVERVIEW Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) | METALS Market Timeframe: Swing Trade (4H-Daily Bias) Setup Type: Bullish Continuation on Pullback Confirmation Indicator: LSMA Moving Average 🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY Method: Layer Entry Using Multiple Buy Limit Orders (Recommended) Entry Zones: Primary Entry: 4010.00 - 4020.00 (First layer - 40% position) Secondary Entry: 3990.00 - 4000.00 (Second layer - 35% position) Confirmation: Wait for LSMA to show bullish crossover + price rejection from support level 🛑 RISK MANAGEMENT Stop Loss: 3960.00 ⚠️ Important Note: Adjust your SL based on YOUR personal risk tolerance & trading strategy. This is a suggested level only - YOUR risk management is YOUR responsibility. Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 minimum recommended 🚀 PROFIT TARGET Primary Target: 4260.00 Technical Reasons: Strong resistance level identified Overbought zone trap setup (scalp-friendly) Correction potential after breakdown confirmation Historical support/resistance confluence ⚠️ Disclaimer: Take partial profits at technical levels. TP is suggestive only - YOUR profit management is YOUR decision. Risk management is individual responsibility. 📈 TECHNICAL INDICATORS ANALYZED ✅ LSMA Moving Average - Bullish Structure Confirmation ✅ Price Action - Pullback to Support ✅ Resistance/Support Levels - Multi-timeframe confluence ✅ Overbought/Oversold Zones - Trap identification 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 1. EURUSD (EUR/USD) - Inverse Correlation ⚠️ Gold typically strengthens when USD weakens If EURUSD rallies, XAU/USD may follow (USD weakness) Key Point: Monitor US Dollar strength/weakness for directional bias Setup Link: EUR strength = Gold strength 2. DXY (US Dollar Index) - Direct Inverse Correlation 📉 Most Important Correlation When DXY falls → Gold typically rises When DXY rises → Gold typically falls Key Levels to Watch: DXY 105.50 - 106.50 (Major support/resistance) Our Edge: If DXY breaks below support, XAU/USD bullish case strengthens 3. USDJPY (USD/JPY) - Strong USD Indicator 💹 High positive correlation with USD strength If USDJPY rises sharply = USD strengthening = Gold pressure Key Point: Monitor for conflicting signals before entry Watch Zone: 150.00 - 151.50 resistance 4. SPX500 (S&P 500) - Risk Sentiment Indicator 📊 Risk-off environment = Gold strength During market corrections, gold rallies (safe-haven) Key Point: If SPX breaks major support, expect gold rally acceleration Current Context: Monitor for equity weakness signals 5. UST10Y (US 10-Year Treasury Yield) - Rate Pressure 📉 Inverse relationship with Gold prices Rising yields = Gold headwinds Falling yields = Gold tailwinds Our Setup: Lower yields support bullish gold bias 💡 PRE-TRADE CHECKLIST Confirm LSMA bullish alignment on primary timeframe Check DXY weakness (< 106.00 = favorable) Verify no major economic data releases (next 4 hours) Set layer entry limit orders (avoid FOMO market entries) Confirm risk/reward = minimum 1:2.5 Position size = 1-2% account risk maximum Set alerts at entry/SL/TP levels ⚡ TRADING RULES ONLY enter on confirmed LSMA bullish structure Use limit orders (never market buy at resistance) Trail stop-loss once +50 pips profit locked Take 50% profit at +100 pips minimum Move remaining SL to breakeven + 5 pips after TP1 hit Never add to losing position Created For: Active Swing Traders | Technical Analysis Enthusiasts Best Used: Combined with your own analysis & risk management Updated: Real-time market conditions check recommended before entry "The best trade is the one you DON'T take because it doesn't fit your plan."
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
XAUUSD 1H – Bearish Channel + Resistance Rejection SetupGold is currently trading within a well-defined downward channel on the 1H chart. Price action shows repeated rejection near the upper boundary, with two clear resistance zones marked: - 1st Resistance: ~4048 - 2nd Resistance: ~4055–4060 - Support Zone: ~4030 🔍 Observations: - Price is respecting the channel boundaries with lower highs and lower lows. - Volume remains steady, with no breakout confirmation yet. - Recent candles show hesitation near the 1st resistance—potential for short setup if rejection confirms. --- 📌 Trade Idea: Short on Rejection Entry: Near 4048–4050 after bearish candle confirmation Stoploss: Above 4060 (invalidates channel) Targets: - TP1: 4030 (support retest) - TP2: 4020 (channel bottom) - TP3: 4010 (extension if volume spikes) --- ⚠️ Alternate Bullish Scenario: If price closes above 4060 with volume breakout: - Long Entry: Above 4062 - Target: 4075 → 4085 - Stoploss: 4050 --- 📉 Watching for volume confirmation and candle structure near resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sudhir-Sirohi
ANFIBO | Gold XAUUSD - In a Bearish structure yet? [11.18.2025]I'm Anfibo, Here's my XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan ;) Overall Picture: OANDA:XAUUSD has officially broken its bullish structure, confirming a shift in market sentiment and signaling that the upward momentum has cooled off. With the H1 trendline decisively breached, we now transition from a “buy-the-dip” mindset to a sell-the-rally strategy. The nearest resistance sits at 4058, a strong confluence zone where multiple technical barriers align. If price pushes beyond this level, the next supply areas to watch are 4104 and 4146 — regions likely to act as retests of the broken trend, providing high-probability opportunities for continuation sells. The overall expectation for today is further downside movement as long as gold remains below these resistance zones. Given the current structure, the market is presenting a classic post-breakdown setup, where rallies into resistance should be treated as opportunities to position for the next leg down. As long as gold remains capped below these key supply zones, the medium-term outlook remains bearish with targets toward the psychological level of 4000 and deeper. Trading Plan for Today: >>> SELL ZONE: (1) ENTRY: 4055 – 4060 SL: 4075 TP: 4000 – 3950 – 3920 (2) ENTRY: 4100 – 4110 SL: 4120 TP: 4000 – 3970 Risk Management: Prioritize sell setups only, as the bullish structure is no longer valid. Keep stops tight above resistance zones to avoid false breakouts. Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 on all entries. Avoid buying unless the market reclaims and stabilizes above 4146 with strong momentum. Conclusion: With the break of the upward structure, gold has transitioned into a bearish phase. We will stay patient and sell into rallies, especially near the strong resistance clusters at 4058, 4104, and 4146. As long as price remains below these levels, the path of least resistance continues downward toward the 4000 and 3950 targets. Stick to the plan, trust the structure, and let the market flow in our favor. HAVE A SWEET PROFIT DAY, GUYS!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ANFIBO_
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues to drift lower, now trading around $4,030–$4,035, following a sharp decline from last week’s highs above $4,150. The 1-hour chart shows price pressing into a major support zone between $3,993–$4,005, which has historically attracted buyers. Immediate resistance lies at $4,079–$4,089, a supply region that capped upside attempts earlier. A recovery toward the resistance zone is possible if the support zone holds, though the broader structure remains corrective. A close below $3,989 would invalidate the rebound setup and expose downside potential toward $3,960. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Buy from support zone for a corrective rebound into resistance. Entry: $3,993 – $4,005 Stop Loss: $3,989 Take Profit 1: $4,079 Take Profit 2: $4,089 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.95 Bias is cautiously bullish from support, but sentiment remains fragile due to macro headwinds. 🌐 Macro Background Gold extended losses into Tuesday’s Asian session, trading near $4,030, weighed down by renewed U.S. Dollar strength and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials. FXStreet reports: “Gold price declines below $4,050 as USD strength and hawkish Fed comments weigh on sentiment.” 【FXStreet】 USD Strength: The U.S. Dollar has strengthened for a third consecutive day, making gold more expensive for foreign buyers and pressuring the metal’s short-term outlook. Delayed U.S. Data & NFP Ahead: With the record-long U.S. government shutdown delaying official economic data, traders are now focused on Thursday’s NFP release, which may steer Fed expectations. Hawkish Fed Commentary: Officials including Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid expressed concern about persistent inflation and signalled a preference for keeping rates steady. Rate Cut Expectations Drop: CME FedWatch shows rate-cut expectations for December falling to 45%, down from over 60% last week. UBS noted that the “totality of data” before the December meeting may still lean toward supporting a third rate cut this year. China Buying Gold: China added 15 tons to its gold reserves in September, providing medium-term support but insufficient to offset immediate USD-driven pressure. Overall, macro drivers remain mixed: strong USD and hawkish Fed weigh on gold, while central bank demand and uncertainty offer a buffer at lower levels. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,079 – $4,089 Support: $3,993 – $4,005 Psychological Level: $4,050 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains under pressure but is testing a major support zone around $3,993–$4,005. If this area holds, a corrective rebound toward $4,079–$4,089 is likely. However, continued USD strength or firmer Fed rhetoric could limit upside momentum. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
Gold Near Channel Support – Bulls Preparing for Another Leg Up?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is approaching the Support zone($4,193 – $4,137) and the lower line of the ascending channel . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it looks like Gold is completing the main wave 4 . I expect Gold increase from the Support zone($4,193 – $4,137) to Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Resistance zone($4,316 – $4,270) . First Target: $4,253 Second Target: $4,297 Stop Loss(SL): $4,133 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
33
XAUUSD Far from signaling a BUY yet.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a +1 year Channel Up and has found itself on a correction (Bearish Leg) since it's All Time High (ATH), which was a Higher High for the pattern, 1 month ago. Despite this -11% Bearish Leg so far, it hasn't even broken yet below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is something it has done on both previous Bearish Legs. As you can see those have been fairly similar to the current one (-10.92% and -9.32% respectively). All started after roughly +40% Bullish Legs led to those. Notice also that both Bullish Legs had to test the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) before the started. At the same time the 1W RSI hit its Buy Zone. As a result, Gold hasn't waved a buy signal yet. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
XAUUSD: Wave 5 at the start or the last throwback of the bulls?XAUUSD: Wave 5 at the start or the last throwback of the bulls? 🌀 Wave Context According to WebMile, on the weekly chart, gold is in the process of forming wave 5 (of a higher degree), while the current corrective rally is wave 4, developing within a larger structure. This means that the gold market is currently balancing between continuing its long-term momentum and a possible medium-term pullback. 🛠 Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance: approximately $4,000–$4,030, an area where bulls could face a significant obstacle. Secondary Resistance: $3,750, the target of a potential upside within the impulse according to short-term analysts. Support: approximately $3,841–$3,864, the area where wave (4) of the correction is developing. Deeper Support: $3,320–$3,230, a larger support level targeted by a correction in wave C under one of the scenarios. 📈 Weekly Scenarios Bullish Scenario: Gold holds the $3,841–$3,864 zone → completes wave 4 correction → breaks above $4,000+ → potential wave 5 development. Corrective Scenario: Price fails to hold the $4,000 resistance and pulls back → wave C develops → decline to $3,320–$3,230 could be part of a deeper correction. Consolidation: XAU/USD could trade in the $3,850–$4,000 range, accumulating energy before the next move until a clear breakout signal is seen. ✅ Conclusion Gold is at a key point for the coming week: either the bulls complete the correction and initiate a new momentum, or the correction deepens. We need to monitor the reaction to the $3,841–3,864 (support) and $4,000 (resistance) levels. The wave structure currently allows for both scenarios—it's important to wait for confirmation!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Trade_Hive_Signals
Gold: Under PressureGold is slightly lower today, extending the correction that began on the 15th. Prices are under pressure amid fluctuations, with long and short factors intertwined, keeping the short-term trend in an adjustment phase. From a technical perspective, the key support level for London Gold in recent sessions lies around 4030, the lowest point of the November correction. Currently, gold is trading above this support level, temporarily in a relatively safe range. If the 4030 support is breached, gold may further decline to the 4000 level to seek support. Resistance is concentrated near the 4120 mark. A close above this level is likely to trigger a rally toward 4140 and 4180, with the critical resistance at 4210. For the bulls to reverse the short-term weakness, they must first break through this key resistance level. Trading Strategy: Buy 4040 - 4050 SL 4030 TP 4100 - 4110 - 4120 Sell 4110 - 4120 SL 4130 TP 4070 - 4060 - 4050
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by KingArthur_
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) has stabilized near $4,077 after retracing from last week’s highs above $4,200. The short-term chart shows a range-bound consolidation, with support at $4,068–$4,078 and resistance at $4,145–$4,156. Price action suggests a potential recovery setup if the support zone holds firm. A sustained move above $4,090 could open the door for a short-term rebound toward the $4,150 zone, though sellers may reappear near resistance. A close below $4,060 would invalidate this bullish scenario, signalling the potential for a deeper pullback toward $4,030. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Buy near support for potential rebound toward resistance zone. Entry: $4,068 – $4,078 Stop Loss: $4,064 Take Profit 1: $4,145 Take Profit 2: $4,155 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.82 Bias remains cautiously bullish as long as gold sustains above the $4,068–$4,078 level. 🌐 Macro Background Gold started the week with a modest rebound near $4,105, supported by a softer U.S. Dollar as traders awaited fresh macro data and commentary from key Federal Reserve officials. FXStreet’s latest analysis highlights that “Gold price recovers some lost ground to near $4,105, snapping the two-day losing streak as the softer USD provides a tailwind.” 【FXStreet】 Fed Commentary: Several Fed members — John Williams, Neel Kashkari, Philip Jefferson, and Christopher Waller — are scheduled to speak later today. Their tone will be crucial for shaping rate-cut expectations into December. Government Reopening: Following President Donald Trump’s approval of the funding bill, the U.S. government officially reopened after a 43-day shutdown, the longest in U.S. history. This event has improved sentiment, weighing slightly on safe-haven demand. Economic Data Uncertainty: Analysts warn that once delayed data resumes, it will likely reveal labor market weakness and signs of a slowdown, which could renew rate-cut speculation and underpin gold. Fed Stance: Meanwhile, Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid struck a hawkish tone, saying policy should “lean against demand growth,” describing current settings as “modestly restrictive.” Market Pricing: According to CME FedWatch Tool, markets now price a 54% chance of a 25bps cut in December, down from 62.9% last week — signaling reduced near-term dovishness. Overall, gold’s direction this week hinges on Fed communication and data resumption signals — with broader bias remaining constructively bullish on economic uncertainty. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,145 – $4,156 Support: $4,064 – $4,078 Psychological Level: $4,100 📌 Trade Summary Gold holds above short-term support at $4,068, suggesting buyers may defend this zone. The structure favours a rebound toward $4,145–$4,155, especially if Fed remarks today are not overtly hawkish. However, continued strength in the USD or firmer Fed rhetoric could cap upside momentum near resistance. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
XAU/USD Market Outlook — Bullish Move From 4,058.36 ZoneGold has retraced into a major demand zone around 4,058.36, where price has shown the first signs of bullish reaction after clearing liquidity below previous lows. This zone aligns with a prior accumulation block and serves as the origin of the last major bullish swing. As long as price holds above this level, I expect a bullish continuation toward the upper liquidity region, with targets around 4,244.86, and ultimately the major high at 4,381.73. My stop loss is positioned at 3,887.60, below the deeper demand zone and previous structural low, ensuring safety from intraday volatility while maintaining the bullish structure.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Actualjustice
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold. Vertical Structures Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line Horizontal Structures Support 1: 4021 - 4045 area Support 2: 3869 - 3934 area Support 3: 3765 - 3829 area Support 4: 3690 - 3738 area Resistance 1: 4202 - 4246 area Resistance 2: 4360 - 4382 area The market closed, testing a demand zone based on a Horizontal Support 1 and a Rising trend line. With a high probability, the price will move up from that. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) has regained upward momentum, bouncing back above $4,200 after briefly pulling back from a three-week high. The metal remains within a broad bullish structure, supported by risk-off sentiment and a softer USD. The Resistance Zone lies between $4,207–$4,214, which coincides with recent swing highs. The Support Zone is established around $4,166–$4,174, representing the demand base from earlier this week. A short-term pullback toward the support zone could offer a buy-on-dip opportunity, with price likely to retest the $4,210 resistance area if momentum holds. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Buy on retracement near support, targeting a retest of $4,210 resistance. Entry: $4,167 – $4,174 Stop Loss: $4,166 Take Profit 1: $4,207 Take Profit 2: $4,214 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.88 If gold breaks below $4,165, the bullish bias would weaken, potentially opening room for deeper correction toward $4,150. 🌐 Macro Background Gold climbed above $4,200 on Friday amid renewed risk aversion and a weaker U.S. Dollar, as markets digest ongoing fallout from the U.S. government shutdown and signs of slowing growth. FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani noted that “Gold retakes $4,200 as USD weakens on economic concerns and a risk-off mood boosts demand.” 【FXStreet】 Economic Concerns: Investors remain worried that the prolonged U.S. government closure shaved 1.5–2.0% off quarterly GDP growth, reinforcing expectations of weaker economic activity ahead. USD Under Pressure: The U.S. Dollar trades near a two-week low, as markets anticipate softer data once official reports resume. Fed Rate-Cut Bets: While some Fed officials, including Susan Collins and Neel Kashkari, warned against hasty easing, the CME FedWatch Tool still shows a 50% chance of a 25bp rate cut in December, and 75% odds for January. Data Delays: A senior White House official confirmed that key October data (employment and inflation) might not be released, adding uncertainty to policy projections. Risk Sentiment: Weaker equities and global risk aversion continue to support gold as investors seek safety amid limited U.S. macro visibility. Despite the reduced odds of an immediate December cut, the medium-term narrative remains gold-positive, with the Fed leaning toward eventual easing once data returns. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,207 – $4,214 Support: $4,167 – $4,174 Psychological Level: $4,200 📌 Trade Summary Gold’s short-term structure favours buying dips toward $4,167–$4,174, supported by risk-off sentiment and a fragile U.S. Dollar. As long as price stays above $4,165, the bullish outlook remains valid with potential retest of the $4,207 area. However, uncertainty around delayed U.S. data may keep volatility elevated into next week. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
ANFIBO | GOLD/XAUUSD - Keep BUYING bro [11.13.2025]I am ANFIBO! GOLD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Overall Picture: Once again, the market moved exactly as planned — our Buy entry at 4115 has delivered an impressive 1,300 pips in profit! This further reinforces the importance of trusting the strategy and following the trend. OANDA:XAUUSD continues to show strong bullish momentum, though it’s now entering a consolidation phase, with price likely to accumulate sideways between 4185 and 4220 on the H1 timeframe. As long as the price holds above 4170, the bullish channel structure remains intact. Today’s plan will be to buy near support within this consolidation range and ride the next upward impulse once momentum resumes. Trading Plan for Today: >>> BUY ZONE: ENTRY: 4180 – 4195 SL: 4170 TP: 4240 – 4280 - ... >>> SELL ZONE (Short-term scalp only): ENTRY: 4235 – 4245 SL: 4250 TP: 4220 Risk Management: - Continue to prioritize Buy positions in alignment with the dominant H1 uptrend. - Avoid overleveraging near resistance, as volatility may spike during consolidation. - Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 on every setup. - Only shift to a bearish bias if price breaks and closes below 4170 with strong momentum. Conclusion: Gold remains firmly bullish, and our previous buy setup has paid off handsomely. For today, the market is likely to move sideways between 4185 and 4220, forming a healthy accumulation zone before its next leg up. As long as 4170 holds, the trend is still our friend — we continue to buy the dips and aim for the 4240–4280 targets. Stay disciplined, trust the plan, and let the market reward your patience. WISH YOU THE BEST PROFIT!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
2