Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar, sourced from OANDA. The current price is $3,349.050, reflecting a decrease of $48.715 (-1.43%) as of 01:11:40. Key levels include a sell price of $3,348.830 and a buy price of $3,349.380, with a highlighted support zone around $3,348.849 and a resistance zone near $3,370.815. The chart covers the period from early August to mid-September 2025.
Xauusdsignals
Gold’s Pullback: Fueling the Next Surge Toward 3390-3400Today is the first trading day of this week. Gold has continued to fall since the opening, and has reached a low of around 3364 so far. Through the short-term trend, we can see that gold has insufficient willingness to continue to rise above 3400 and still faces considerable resistance. It needs more support and momentum to drive it forward before it can continue to rise. Currently, gold continues to retreat to around 3364. Has the trend of gold turned into a bearish trend? I think it's too early to draw such a conclusion!
Although gold has fallen significantly, there is still strong buying support below. The 3360-3350 area has become a key support level. As long as gold does not fall below this area, the bullish structure has not been completely broken. Therefore, there is still sufficient energy for gold to continue its rebound. This decline in gold is intended to increase liquidity and accumulate more upward momentum, which will help gold stabilize at 3400 and move towards higher targets!
Therefore, for short-term trading, I think we can still continue to try to go long on gold, but after all, the decline in gold has been so large. For short-term trading, we can appropriately lower the rebound expectations to the 3380-3390 area.
Range, Gaps, and Whipsaws: Gold Awaits Its Next Big MoveThe final days of last week have been frustrating for Gold traders, to say the least.
Starting Thursday, when the price tested the waters around 3400, we entered a range — but not a calm one. The moves inside this range were sharp and violent: a quick rally to 3400 followed by an equally quick drop to the 3380 zone, and so on.
Even the final hours of Friday mirrored this behaviour, with Gold dipping to 3380 only to recover and close the week near 3400.
The Asian open a few hours ago brought another twist — a gap above 3400 that was quickly filled, followed by continued downside in what could be described as a classic “gap and crap” scenario.
From a chart perspective, the bigger picture is still unclear. We do, however, have two critical levels to watch:
• 3365 → important support
• 3400 → key psychological resistance and technical level
Until we get a clear and decisive break above or below one of these zones, direction remains uncertain.
Personal plan:
• I would avoid trading an immediate breakdown below support today — in such a case, I’d prefer to wait for the daily close before committing.
• On the other hand, if price pushes back towards 3400, I suspect we might finally see a breakout, so I’ll be preparing for long positions in that scenario.
For now, a wait-and-see approach seems most prudent.
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GOLD (XAU/USD) Weekly Open Analysis – H2 Structure# 🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) Weekly Open Analysis – H2 Structure
**Date:** 2025/08/11
**Timeframe:** 2H (Heikin Ashi)
**Style:** Smart Money Concept (SMC) + Supply/Demand + Price Action
---
## 📊 Market Context
At the weekly open, gold price has started trading above the **upper parallel channel** where last week's close was printed. This level acts as a short-term **bullish bias zone**.
Simultaneously, the **Dollar Index (DXY)** opened at lower levels, showing signs of weakness. Historically, a falling DXY often supports upward movement in gold, and we may see a reaction as mapped in the chart.
---
## 🔍 Key Technical Levels
- **Upper CHOCH Breakout Zone:** ~**3,399 – 3,400**
- **Major Supply Zone:** ~**3,440 – 3,445**
- **Demand Zone #1:** **3,345 – 3,350** (POI)
- **Demand Zone #2:** **3,320 – 3,330** (FVG completion)
- **Final Demand Floor:** **3,260 – 3,265**
---
## 📈 Bullish Scenario (Primary)
1. **Condition:** CHOCH breakout above **3,400** with a bullish BOS confirmation.
2. **Entry Zone:** Retest near **3,399 – 3,402** after breakout.
3. **Targets:**
- 🎯 TP1: **3,420**
- 🎯 TP2: **3,432**
- 🎯 TP3: **3,445** (Major Supply)
4. **Invalidation:** Close back below **3,395** after breakout attempt.
---
## 📉 Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
1. **Condition:** Price fails to break the upper CHOCH and rejects from **3,399 – 3,400**.
2. **Expected Move:** Drop towards **Demand Zone #1** (**3,345 – 3,350**).
3. **If Demand #1 Fails:** Continuation towards **Demand Zone #2** (**3,320 – 3,330**).
4. **Final Target in Deep Drop:** **3,260 – 3,265** (lowest demand line in chart).
---
## ⚠️ Analysis Validity
> This analysis remains valid **as long as the upper CHOCH is not broken to the upside**.
> If the CHOCH breaks and a bullish BOS forms, the bearish path will be invalidated, shifting the focus to the upside targets.
---
📌 **Note:** Always combine with DXY monitoring – a significant DXY rally could limit gold’s bullish potential.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SMC #SupplyDemand #CHOCH #BOS #TradingView
XAUUSD - General structure and basic dynamicsBrief technical analysis
1. General structure and main dynamics
Gold is trading in an ascending triangle, a bullish pattern indicating potential for further gains. The price has consolidated above the 50-day moving average, and the RSI is reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
The MACD and RSI (≈ 54.7) are signaling growing positive momentum, especially after the rebound from the lower Bollinger band and the formation of EMA-8/EMA-21 crosses.
Citi has raised its forecast to $3,300-3,600 over the next three months, given the weak US economy and the weakening dollar.
Yesterday, gold prices were close to a multi-year high near $3,400. A break of resistance around $3,435 could bring gains to the target of $3,735 (according to the “measured move” pattern).
However, an HSBC analyst warns of weakness in momentum; a pullback after growth is possible, especially with an improving global background and a delayed tightening by the Fed.
2. Key levels
Resistance:
~$3,435 — the top of the ascending triangle
If broken — potential target $3,735
Investopedia
Support:
~$3,245 — the lower boundary of the structure and the zone of a possible pullback
Next — ~$3,150 with further sales
50-day SMA: ~$3,350 — a critical level for maintaining the bullish scenario
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest support & resistance analysis for Gold
Support 1: 3380 - 3390 area
Support 2: 3327 - 3358 area
Support 3: 3246 - 3275 area
Resistance 1: 3431 - 3450 area
With a high probability, the market will continue rising to Resistance 1.
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Next Stop 3420? Gold Bulls Push the Limit!Gold has shown a step-by-step rise in the short term, and has stood above 3,400 many times, and the bullish force is relatively strong. However, correspondingly, after gold stood above 3400, it fell under pressure several times, so the shape was not particularly good, which increased the risk of pullback in the short term.
However, we do not need to worry. Gold is still running in an ascending wedge structure. Although it has been under pressure and fallen back several times during the attack on 3400, the bullish structure has not been effectively destroyed so far. Moreover, with the sharp increase in gold buying, the 3380-3370 area below has become an obvious intensive trading area, which has greatly limited the gold retracement space.
In addition, after gold broke through 3340, market sentiment tended to be optimistic. If gold experiences a short-term pullback, more funds will flow into the gold market, especially for those who have missed out on long trades before, who will rush into the gold market even more frantically. Under the resonance of the current technical structure and market optimism, gold still has the potential to hit 3400, and bulls are even expected to stand firm at 3400 and make further efforts.
So in terms of short-term trading, I still advocate that gold pullbacks are buying opportunities. And I cherish the opportunity to enter the market and go long in the 3385-3375 area, and am optimistic that gold will hit 3400 again, and may even continue the bull trend to the 3420-3430 area.
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
8/8: Continue to Focus on Selling, Watch Support at 3372–3366Good evening, everyone!
Today, after breaking above the 3400 level, gold experienced a pullback. The current structure shows dense support below, with previous resistance levels at 3378, 3372, and 3366 now turning into support.
On the daily chart (1D), price remains above the MA20, and the MA5 (~3382) serves as key short-term support. The candlestick formation still reflects a bullish structure for now.
However, the 4-hour chart (4H) reveals significant upward resistance, and unless the 4H structure is repaired, the market may favor a corrective or consolidation phase in the near term.
🔍 Trading Outlook:
For the remainder of today’s session and early next week, the strategy should primarily focus on selling into strength.
If the 4H chart corrects via a direct price retracement, gold could potentially test the 3348–3337 support zone.
Prior to that, closely monitor the 3372–3366 area as the primary short-term support and pivot zone.
XAUUSD - The bullish backdrop remains strongOverall Market Sentiment
The bullish background remains strong: the dollar index is putting pressure on gold, while geopolitical tensions and expectations of a rate cut by the Fed are increasing demand for the safe-haven asset
Direction by indicators: on Investing.com — 9 “Buy” signals against 3 “Sell” signals on moving averages and a neutral overall state
Support and resistance levels
Key support levels: $3,320 and $3,368–$3,340. A rebound from this zone could serve as a starting point for growth
Resistance: it is important to break $3,400 — a psychological and technical barrier, above which a directional move to $3,450 and beyond will open
Short-term scenario (LiteFinance): gold is testing resistance in the $3,380–$3,391 zone; a drop from there could lead to $3,330 → $3,268, and a breakout to the upside would accelerate growth to $3,493–$3,515
Union traders are noting the movement after the breakout of $3,375: possible targets are $3,390, $3,402.56 and $3,416.39. A breakout below $3,374.91 could send gold to $3,358.25, $3,350.01 and $3,341.18
1H chart analysis: Gold confidently broke through the $3,350 level, opening a bullish scenario, confirmed by macro dynamics and expectations of monetary policy easing
XAUUSD Ascending Channel Run to Supply Trade IdeaGold (XAUUSD) remains in a bullish trend 📈, forming higher highs and higher lows within a well-defined ascending channel ↗️. Price is approaching a recent swing high near resistance 🧱, and I’m watching for a short-term pullback into channel support 🔄 before a potential continuation higher toward the supply zone above 🎯.
This structure aligns with Wyckoff’s markup phase ⚡, where pullbacks serve as tests (LPS) before further upside. As long as price holds above the channel’s lower boundary 🛡️, the bullish bias remains intact — a break below would invalidate the setup ⚠️. Not financial advice.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Road to 3430
Quick update for my yesterday's analysis for Gold.
The price broke through the trend line with a local Break of Structre BoS,
updating an intraday-high.
The road to 3430 is now empty, and the market will most likely
continue rising steadily to that.
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Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Institutional Outlook — August 8, 2025Overview
As of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,392.30 in the 4-hour session, holding firmly above the $3,370–$3,380 support shelf. The recent price action reflects ongoing bullish momentum, driven by escalating geopolitical risks, weak U.S. labor market data, and renewed safe-haven flows after the announcement of U.S. tariffs on gold bars.
This analysis outlines the primary institutional Buy and Sell Zones for the day, based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC), ICT methodology, Order Block/FVG confluence, and 4H price structure. All zones presented are execution-ready and supported by multi-layered validation from institutional frameworks.
✅ Current Price Context
Live Price (XAU/USD): $3,392.30 (as of ~03:00 UTC)
Structure: Bullish (Higher Highs and Higher Lows)
Bias: Bullish, with continuation toward $3,420+ likely if key support holds
Recent High: ~$3,410
Key Support Base: $3,375–$3,385
The bullish market structure remains intact with strong institutional displacement legs to the upside and well-defined liquidity targets still in play above $3,420.
🔍 Institutional Trade Zones (4H)
🟩 Primary Buy Zone (Execution-Ready Long Setup)
Entry Range: $3,375 – $3,385
Stop Loss: Below $3,370 (beneath liquidity shelf and unmitigated OB)
Target 1: $3,420 (1.272 Fib extension)
Target 2: $3,450 (1.618 Fib extension)
Confluence Factors:
Unmitigated Demand Order Block (RBR)
Embedded Fair Value Gap following impulsive buy-side displacement
0.705–0.79 OTE retracement zone from latest swing
Liquidity sweep under equal lows at ~$3,370
Volume imbalance supports continuation from this zone
Located within Discount territory of internal swing
Overlaps with Asia–London Kill Zone
➡️ This zone offers the highest confluence of institutional logic today and is nominated as the Golden Zone.
🟥 Primary Sell Zone (Countertrend Reversal Setup)
Entry Range: $3,415 – $3,425
Stop Loss: Above $3,430
Target 1: $3,380
Target 2: $3,350
Confluence Factors:
Fresh Supply Order Block (DBD) at premium pricing
Presence of FVG following sell-side displacement
0.705–0.79 OTE retracement from bearish leg
EQH liquidity resting just above entry
Strong rejection wicks during NY session
Volume imbalance confirms sell-side aggression
New York Kill Zone alignment
⚠️ Consider only if price cleanly enters the upper premium zone and shows rejection or sweep behavior.
🟨 Fallback Buy Zone (Contingency Setup)
Entry Range: $3,365 – $3,370
Stop Loss: Below $3,360
Target: $3,385 → $3,395
Confluences:
Secondary Demand OB
Partial FVG
In Discount territory
Liquidity resting just below $3,365
Volume tapering indicates absorption
Use only if Primary Buy Zone is invalidated via strong stop-run or displacement.
🟥 Fallback Sell Zone (Contingency Setup)
Entry Range: $3,430 – $3,435
Stop Loss: Above $3,440
Target: $3,400 → $3,380
Confluences:
Lower timeframe mitigation zone
FVG within premium zone
Above EQH liquidity
Fulfills repricing logic after overextension
Valid only if the primary sell zone is invalidated by sweep and reversal pattern confirmation.
🌐 Institutional Sentiment Confirmation
Reuters confirms gold reached multi-month highs due to tariff-induced safe-haven flows
FXStreet reports gold holds above the 20-day EMA with a bullish intraday structure
FXEmpire technicals target $3,450–$3,500 extension zones if bullish pressure sustains
COT positioning and fund flows show continued institutional interest in gold longs
🔔 Final Notes for Execution
Allow price to retest and react within the zone before entering.
Prefer entries during Asia-London or London-NY Kill Zones
Avoid market chasing — wait for confirmations such as sweep → displacement → mitigation
Gold Poised for a Surge: 3400 in Sight, 3430 Within ReachToday, gold retreated to a low of around 3350 before rebounding again, reaching a high of around 3390. During this process, we seized the opportunity to go long on gold near 3356 and closed the trade by successfully hitting TP: 3380, making a profit of 240 pips!
Although gold retreated after reaching 3390, I had originally planned to short gold near 3395, but gold didn't reach that level during the rally, so our shorting plan had to be shelved. Currently, it's trading in a narrow range around 3380. Clearly, I'm not considering shorting gold after a pullback.
Although gold retreated to around 3350 during the day, it did not destroy the current bullish structure of gold. In addition, gold regained the 3370-3375 area again during the rebound, and the gold bulls became even stronger. Therefore, I have now lost the desire and interest to short gold. Gold has currently reached a high near 3390. Given its current structure and strength, I don't believe 3390 is the current high. Gold is likely to attempt to break through 3400, and even has the potential to continue its rise to the 3420-3430 range. As the center of gravity of gold shifts upward, the current short-term support has moved up to the 3375-3365 area; and the relatively strong support is located in the 3360-3350 area.
Therefore, for short-term trading, I prefer to start trying to go long on gold after it retreats to the 3375-3365 area, and expect gold to hit 3400 as expected, or even continue to the 3420-3430 area.
Don’t Blink — Gold Charging Toward 3400!Overnight, we entered a long trade at 3365 and successfully closed the trade by hitting TP: 3395, locking in nearly 300pips of profit. This was a very successful and accurate trading strategy.
Just now, gold became very crazy after rising, and plunged directly from around 3397 to around 3372. It was a very scary and crazy diving action. In fact, I am not worried about it. On the contrary, I am very happy that it provides me with another opportunity to enter the market and go long on gold. I've already entered a long position in gold again, as planned, in the 3375-3365 area.
Regarding the recent plunge in gold, I think it was intended to scare off the long positions that were somewhat loose in their intentions. Although gold has fallen sharply, it is still in a recent volatile upward structure. The volatile upward structure has not been destroyed in the short term, so I believe that gold will not have much room for retracement for the time being under the support of the bullish structure. On the contrary, I believe that after gold touches around 3397, even if it is weak, it will try to hit the 3400 mark, and it is even expected to continue the bullish trend to the 3420-3430 area.
There may be many friends in the market waiting for the opportunity to enter the long market at 3350 or even 3340, but what I want to say is that under the support of the gold bull structure, the downward space has been greatly limited. In the short term, gold may not go to such a low position at all, so relatively speaking, I prefer to go long on gold in the 3375-3365 area, and I have indeed done so!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Technical Analysis Ahead of Trump
One of the important news for today is Trump speech during
the late New York session.
Here is my brief technical outlook for Gold ahead of that.
As we discussed on the yesterday's live stream, the price
is now coiling on a recently broken rising trend line that serves
as a vertical resistance now.
A bullish breakout of that and a daily candle close above
will provide a strong bullish confirmation and push the prices to 3430.
Alternatively, very bearish news today may trigger a retracement
to an underlined horizontal support.
Let's see how the market is going to react tonight.
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XAUUSD - 3400Technical picture
Bullish momentum is strengthening: US jobs shortage has caused an influx into safe havens, which has contributed to gold's growth
A reversal signal is forming: a bounce from the lower line of Bollinger Bands is observed, and a bullish cross of EMA-8 and EMA-21 is also forming, plus a moderately positive MACD - a classic "buy on dip" entry pattern
Key levels:
Support: around $3,330 - a support zone coinciding with the 21- and 50-day SMAs. Below — potential for decline to $3,297-$3,283
Resistance: $3,380 — resistance, breakout of which could open the way to $3,440-$3,450
Structural pattern: breakout from triangle to the downside could signal a deeper correction
Industry consensus: Citi has revised its target range up to $3,300-$3,600 in the next three months, based on a weak US economy and rising geo-risk
Meanwhile, HSBC warns of possible weakness — forecast for 2025-2026 from $3,215 to $2,350 in a more bearish scenario
Bullish Momentum Builds: Gold Set to Challenge 3400 and BeyondAlthough gold encountered resistance again near 3385 in the short term, the retracement has not been effectively continued so far, and the downward momentum is not particularly strong. Gold has always remained above the 3375-3365 area, with strong buying support below and the market bearish sentiment is not serious. In comparison, the bulls still have a considerable advantage!
The current gold price structure clearly maintains a strong bullish trend. With gold reclaiming the 3375-3365 area yesterday, bullish sentiment has further strengthened. As gold's center of gravity shifts upward, multiple strong support areas have formed below, limiting any potential pullbacks and further supporting its upward trajectory. Therefore, as long as gold can maintain above the 3375-3365 area, I believe that gold will definitely refresh the short-term high of 3390 again, and is expected to launch a strong impact on the 3400 mark, and may even continue to the 3420-3430 area.
So for short-term trading, I don’t have much desire to short gold for the time being. I am happy to watch for opportunities to enter long positions after gold retreats to the 3375-3365 area!
Gold Bulls Unshaken, 3400 in FocusGold prices retreated from a high of 3385 today, currently hitting a low near 3358. How far will gold fall? Are the bears back in control? I'm not worried about a gold pullback, but rather a lack of one, because only a pullback can provide a good entry opportunity. Clearly, I remain bullish on gold and optimistic about it reaching the 3400 mark.
Because gold fell all the way to around 3358, some voices in the market began to tout the strong return of the bears, but I remained unmoved. When many people were once in self-doubt, I was quietly taking advantage of the gold pullback to accumulate funds in batches and pick up bargains. We can clearly see that gold did not destroy the bullish structure during the decline, and as gold rebounded, the 3360-3350 area has become a dense trading area, indicating strong buying support. After the technical top and bottom conversion, it has become a relatively solid support area. It may be difficult for gold to fall below this support area in the short term.
So, why has gold repeatedly encountered resistance and retreated? I believe that gold has encountered resistance and retreated in the 3385-3390 area many times in order to repeatedly test the effectiveness of support and consolidate the strength of support. It is also to increase liquidity during the retreat period, thereby accumulating more upward momentum so that gold can rise further and break through the 3400 mark.
So I still hold a long position in gold, and I have not lost confidence in the gold bulls. On the contrary, I still expect that gold will be able to hit 3400 in one fell swoop after repeatedly testing the support, or even continue to rise to the 3420-3430 area.
XAUUSD The beginning of large-scale growthCurrent picture and structure
The instrument is trading in a narrow range of $3,360-3,375, demonstrating low volatility - ADX is at the low of 2025, which confirms consolidation
The price is held inside a long-term ascending channel, with an increase of about 27% since the beginning of 2024
Indicators and signals
RSI (14): around 58-59, indicates moderate overbought, but remains in the bullish momentum zone
Stochastic (%K ~61%) and MACD (value ~3.8): Buy signals - short-term upward momentum is confirmed
ADX (14): around 23-24 - range, weak trend without a clear direction
Moving averages on different timeframes give a common signal indicator "Strong Buy" in daily and weekly frames
Support and resistance levels
Key support:
$3,360 — current lower stop range
$3,330–3,293 — swing low zone, critical for short-term sales
Main resistance:
$3,400–3,415 — profit acceptance zone and possible reversal pressure
$3,450 — psychological and technical barrier upon breakout of current zone
Next Stop 3420? Gold Bulls Push the LimitBecause the U.S. non-farm payroll report performed worse than expected, gold rebounded strongly last Friday and recovered half of its losses in one fell swoop. The bulls returned strongly. Today, after consolidating at a high level, gold continued to choose to break upward, reaching a high of around 3385.
There is no doubt that bullish forces still hold the upper hand. From a fundamental perspective, the Federal Reserve is currently facing greater pressure to cut interest rates; and it can also be clearly seen from the candlestick chart that a significant "W"-shaped double bottom structure has been constructed near 3268 and 3280, which has limited the gold's retracement space while also playing a key structural support role in the rise of gold. With the combined effects of news and technical factors, gold still has the potential to continue its upward trend. And I think there is still a great possibility that gold will test the 3400 mark again. Once gold stabilizes at 3400, it will definitely hit the 3420-3430 area.
As the center of gravity of gold gradually shifts upward, the lower support area also moves up. The current short-term support is obviously in the 3365-3355 area, while the relatively strong support is in the 3345-3335 area. According to the current pattern structure, the bulls may not allow gold to retreat to the 3345-3335 area. So in terms of short-term trading, we first consider the opportunity to enter long positions in the 3365-3355 area!
8/4: Watch Support at 3343–3337 and Resistance at 3372–3378Good morning, everyone!
Last Friday, gold rallied strongly, driven by a combination of favorable economic data and bullish technical signals, decisively breaking above the 3337–3343 resistance zone. During the subsequent pullback, price action remained firm above 3337, followed by a secondary upward move.
From a technical standpoint, the structure suggests the potential for continued upward consolidation, with the possibility of filling the gap near 3396. However, significant resistance remains between 3372 and 3378 — failure to break through this zone decisively may result in a short-term pullback before further gains.
Key levels to watch:
Initial support: 3348 and 3337–3343 zone
Major support: 3312–3300 zone (a break below could signal deeper downside risk)
Trading Strategy:
Focus on intraday setups around these critical areas. Look for buy opportunities on dips as long as support holds, while remaining cautious of sharp pullbacks near strong resistance.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Move Up Ahead?!
Friday's fundamentals made Gold very bullish during the New York session.
The price formed a high momentum bullish candle on a daily,
breaking a minor daily resistance area.
It gives us a confirmed Change of Character CHoCH and indicates
a highly probable bullish continuation next week.
I think that the price will reach 3400 level.
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