Mission Complete: 4245-4250:Time to Flip Short on Gold!Gold has already reached a high of around 4246, and its upward momentum has relatively weakened. To be honest, under the current market conditions, I do not advocate aggressively chasing gold above 4240, because as gold continues to rise, more and more callback risks are accumulated! We can also see that each surge in gold is followed by a clear pullback. So even if we choose to short gold, we can still get a good profit margin in the short term!
Although gold is on an overall upward trend, I still divide the rising channel into three areas; the first area: 4250-4220; the second area: 4220-4190, and the third area: 4190-4160. As gold rises, the technical traction of the lower area on the gold price becomes stronger. Therefore, according to the first area division, in the short term, gold has the need to at least retreat to the area near 4220. Even after falling below the area near 4220, it may continue the downward trend to the 4220-4190 area.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, I would prioritize trying to short gold in the 4245-4255 area, first targeting the short-term retracement area: 4230-4220 as the target.
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4100 Breakout in Sight! Gold Bulls Target 4130 Next!Gold is still maintaining a strong upward position and has broken through the recent high of 4050-4060 in the short term. There is no clear suppression area above and no obvious signs of turning back. According to the current structural form, gold still has the potential to continue to rise and is expected to hit 4100 or even around 4130. Currently, we need to pay special attention to three areas:
1. Market sentiment: around 4100;
2. Key area for continued gains: around 4130;
3. Short-term support below: 4055-4045.
Therefore, when executing short-term trades, we should avoid excessively chasing gold prices. We can consider waiting for gold to retreat to the 4055-4045 area before initiating small long positions.
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Not the Bottom Yet—Gold Poised to Retest 3800Gold failed to break through 3900 again and fell all the way from around 3897 to 3819, with a drop of $78 again. The two recent declines of this magnitude have greatly hit the confidence and sentiment of market bulls, and the bearish atmosphere in the market may become even stronger.
Although gold rebounded again after touching 3819, it failed to hit 3900 twice and has successfully constructed an M-shaped double top structure in the short-term structure. Suppressed by this technical structure, the bullish momentum may be difficult to sustain and will intensify the short-term volatility. The volatility range is likely to be switched to the 3860-3820 area. Therefore, based on the current market changes, we cannot blindly be bullish on gold for the time being.
From a technical perspective, gold is under pressure in the 3850-3860 area in the short term, so if gold rebounds and touches near this area, we can give priority to shorting gold, first targeting the retracement target area: 3835-3825 area. Once gold falls below the level around 3820, it is very likely to test the support strength of 3800 again.
Support Unproven: Gold Bears Eye Fresh PullbackGold began retreating from around 3872, hitting 3793 before rebounding again. It has now reached a high of around 3855, recovering most of its losses.
However, it's not difficult to see that since gold's recent decline reached a rare $80, its upward momentum has been lackluster, even somewhat weak. This suggests that the sharp pullback in gold's short-term performance has dampened bullish sentiment to some extent. Furthermore, it's clear that gold has shown clear signs of profit-taking above 3855. While a collapse is far from imminent, further declines are possible as signs of profit-taking intensify.
From a technical perspective, gold experienced a sharp decline in the short term and rebounded near 3793. Technically, the validity of 3793 as a low point needs to be retested and verified. Therefore, a direct upward move in the near term is unlikely, and a retest of the short-term support low is necessary.
So, when judging short-term support and resistance, we first need to pay attention to the role of the 3845-3855 resistance area above; below, we first pay attention to the support area of 3810-3800. If gold falls below the support near the low point of 3793, then gold may fall further to the 3780-3770 area.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, we can still take advantage of the rebound in gold and give priority to shorting gold in the 3840-3850 area, first looking at the target 3820-3810 area.
3717 Won’t Hold—Gold’s Next Breakdown AheadThe highest point of gold during the day was around 3761. It can be clearly seen that as the bullish momentum of gold gradually declines, the high point of the candlestick chart is also gradually moving downward. Judging from the daily candlestick chart, a bearish candlestick chart appeared for the second consecutive day today, and it is very likely to close in a doji pattern, suggesting that gold is likely to continue to fall.
From the perspective of short-term morphological structure, gold has currently perfectly constructed a downward trend channel based on the wave top areas of 3790, 3778 and 3761; and upper shadows appear on many candlestick charts, suggesting that the selling pressure from above is relatively large, and the center of gravity continues to move downward and test the lower support area many times. Based on the current structure, 3717 is likely not the current low, and gold will continue to fall. The upper short-term resistance is in the 3750-3760 area; the lower support is in the 3715-3705 area, followed by the 3695-3690 area.
Therefore, for short-term trading:
1. Prioritize waiting for a gold rebound and then continue shorting gold within the 3750-3760 area; the short-term target is 3725-3715.
2. If gold first retreats to the 3715-3705 area, we can take advantage of the initial pullback and go long gold in that area, with the short-term target being 3730-3740.
Correction Not Enough,The Real Drop Is Yet to ComeGold began to retreat from 3778 yesterday, breaking through the key support levels of 3755, 3740 and even 3730, and hitting a low of around 3717, a drop of $60. In view of the recent continuous upward trend and the fact that it is near the 3800 mark, this is undoubtedly another heavy blow to the bulls.
From the perspective of morphological structure, gold may form a new downward trend channel with the help of high points near 3790 and 3778. If gold cannot successfully break through the 3755-3765 area during the rebound, it means that the gold downward trend channel may be successfully constructed, which will further stimulate gold to continue to decline.
As for the rising channel, gold is currently facing resistance in the 3760-3770 area. Before breaking through this area, gold bulls may still be weak. Then due to the technical resonance of the two channel resistances, it may be difficult for gold to easily break through the 3760-3770 resistance area at present.
So for short-term trading, we can start shorting gold at 3755-3765. If gold continues to rise within a limited space, we can consider adding positions.The short-term support area below is first focused on the 3740-3730 area, followed by the 3715-3705 area.
Bull Fever Cools:The Market Still Owes Us a WaterfallAs I expected, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and Powell did not show a clear dovish tone in his speech. Gold fell from 3707 to around 3646, with a drop of $610. Our short positions at 3685 and 3700 that we had ambushed overnight won as expected, and we successfully locked in a profit of 750 pips in the news market.
Although the Federal Reserve is inclined to take a hawkish approach to rate cuts, gold has rebounded from around 3646. Although it has performed relatively weakly, the downward momentum has slowed down and a unilateral downward trend has not formed. Overall, it is still in the high-level fluctuation range. So we can't rush to short gold at the moment. Because gold still has the possibility of rebounding back to the 3675-3685 area, and may even be expected to rebound back to the 3690-3700 area. After all, gold did not effectively fall below 3650 during the decline.
Although the decline in gold prices did not change the overall structure, it weakened the market's enthusiastic bullish sentiment in the short term, and the technical resistance also moved down to the 3675-3685 area, followed by the 3695-3705 resistance area. If gold rebounds to the resistance area, we can try to short gold, and the short-term retracement target is set in the 3655-3645 area. Once gold falls below this area, it is expected to continue the downward trend to the 3635-3625 area. Of course, it is not ruled out that gold will fluctuate widely in the 3690-3650 area.
Therefore, we can still make very good profits from the perspective of profit margin by shorting gold at the resistance areas of 3675-3685 .
Rate Decision Looms: Short Sellers Poised to StrikeGold continued to decline and is currently supported around 3660 and showing signs of rebound. I don’t hold any orders at the moment because I am currently preparing for the Federal Reserve interest rate decision news market! In fact, I have made part of the plan yesterday and today. Until now, I still tend to believe that the gold market will rise and then fall, but we must grasp the trading rhythm and entry price in the transaction.
In fact, before the Fed's interest rate announcement, gold retreated to around 3660. After this significant retreat, we can lower our expectations for a gold rally on news. Based on the current structure, the upper limit for gold bulls lies in the 3710-3720 area, and it's possible that the 3703 area has become the current high.
As gold retreats to around 3660, bullish momentum has weakened, and short-term resistance has shifted to the 3680-3690 area. Therefore, I might consider initiating a short position in gold in this area. If gold falls below the 3660-3650 range due to market news, it could continue its decline to the 3635-3625 range.
Since we currently hold no positions, we have the initiative in trading. As long as we allocate lots appropriately and strictly control risk, it's difficult not to make a profit! So, let's wish you good luck!
Bearish Pressure Mounts: Will 3600 Hold or Collapse?In the short term, gold has not been able to stand above 3655 during multiple rebounds, and even closed below 3650 at the close of last Friday. Although it is far from the level of collapse, there are obvious signs of profit-taking in some chips. As the center of gravity of gold slowly shifts, the short-term resistance area will gradually move down to the 3635-3645 area. If gold cannot break through this area during repeated fluctuations, the market's downward momentum will be further strengthened!
It should be noted that although the center of gravity of gold is gradually shifting downward, the overall bullish structure is still maintained; and against the backdrop of interest rate cut expectations, gold's retracement space should be limited before the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision. The first thing we need to pay attention to is the support of the recent low point of 3615-3605. Gold is likely to rebound again after testing the support of this area, and take this opportunity to try to intensify short-term volatility! However, once gold falls below the support of this area, it may continue to the 3590-3580 area.
Therefore, for short-term trading, since gold is still fluctuating in the support and resistance areas, it can be treated as regional fluctuations for the time being; but as the center of gravity of gold gradually moves downward and 3675 is expected to become a temporary high point, we can maintain the strategy of shorting at high levels as the main strategy, supplemented by the idea of going long at low levels.
1. Consider shorting gold against the resistance zone of 3635-3645, with the primary retracement target at 3620-3610.
2. If gold fails to break below the 3615-3605 area during a pullback, we could consider going long on gold, with the primary rebound target at 3630-3640.
Intensifying Bear Grip: Can 3610–3600 Save the Bulls?Gold started to retreat from around 3675, and has now retreated to the lowest point of 3620-3610. According to the current market performance, we can clearly see that the rebound high point of gold after the retreat is gradually decreasing, and the control of the short position is further increasing. Yesterday, according to my trading model, my prediction that gold may usher in another 600pips retreat has been realized, and we have also won a big victory in the short transaction. It can be said that we have become the first echelon to reap the dividends from the short transaction. Then, will the high-rise building that the gold market has worked so hard to build collapse?
In fact, from a macroeconomic and technical perspective, gold's bullish trend remains intact, supported by expectations of rate cuts and safe-haven demand, which will, to a certain extent, limit any potential pullback.
From a capital perspective, some funds may be taking profits, but the current retracement is far from panic selling. Furthermore, as gold gradually retreats, a large amount of funds that have not yet entered the market in a timely manner may flow into the market, further pushing up gold prices.
From a technical perspective, after the pullback, the rebound high of gold has gradually moved down from 3655 to 3650 and 3640, while the retracement low has also moved down simultaneously. The current lowest has reached around 3620, and there are signs of further pullback. However, we need to note that in the short term, gold is still technically supported in the 3610-3600 area, while strong support is in the 3590-3580 area. Therefore, from a short-term perspective, the retracement space may not be sufficient, so I do not advocate shorting gold directly. On the contrary, we can wait for gold to rebound to the 3640-3650 area and then moderately consider shorting gold, because as gold gradually retreats, the 3635-3645 area has become the current short-term resistance area.
Therefore, for short-term trading, since gold has rebounded after touching 3620 many times, and is technically supported by the 3610-3600 area in the short term, we can consider starting to try to go long on gold in the 3620-3610 area; after gold rebounds to the 3635-3645 area, we can moderately consider shorting gold.
Breaking Free: How Bears Can Win Back in GoldAfter touching the trend line resistance area of 3640-3650, gold fell back as expected, showing a high "doji" in the hourly candle chart and signs of stagflation. It is expected to become a market turning point in the short term. The gold market may usher in a good correction in the short term due to this technical turning point. However, we need to note that as long as gold remains above 3580, the current situation is still a strong bullish pattern, so we must pay attention to the extent of the retracement.
As gold continues to rise, the current short-term support is at 3620-3610, so I think it is necessary for gold to retrace its support in this area. Once gold is supported in this area, it may rebound again and retest the high area of 3640-3650. If gold falls below the short-term support area of 3620-3610, then gold will further retrace its steps to 3590-3580, which is the lifeline of bulls and the dividing line between bulls and bears.
If gold falls below the 3590-3580 area during the backtest, the current gold bull advantage will no longer exist, and the bears will likely regain control of the situation. As most long funds take profits and the market experiences panic selling, gold will completely turn into a bearish trend and fall further.
At present, I still hold short position in gold, and first aim at the short target area: 3620-3610 area. Once gold falls below this area, the target area will be postponed to 3600-3590 area. I am currently holding my short position and have already realized some profits. I very much hope that gold will fall back to the target area as expected!
Gold Freefall AheadIntraday Trading Adjustments:
1. Closed a short position near 3470 (entry price: 3480), one of the lowest entry prices for a planned swing trade, locking in a profit of nearly 100 pips.
2. Closed a short intraday long position near 3491 (entry price: 3478), locking in a profit of 130 pips.
3. Immediately after closing the long position, added another short position near 3491, still planning a swing trade.
Current Position (Swing Trading Plan):
I continue to hold short positions with entry prices near 3493, 3505, and 3491. For swing trading, the first target area to consider for a pullback is 3460-3450, followed by 3435-3425.
Market Analysis:
While gold has not yet seen a significant decline, it has shown initial signs of topping out. A double-top formation with 3508 as the apex and 3495 as the secondary apex may form a significant resistance level in the short term, prompting a further pullback in gold. According to the current structure, as long as gold remains below 3595, it will help to successfully establish a double top structure; in addition, DXY has a need to continue to rebound in the short term, which is not conducive to the continued rebound of gold to a certain extent, and has a certain suppressive effect on gold.
Therefore, at this stage, I will continue with the swing trading plan and hold the above short positions. The primary target of the retracement is considered to be the 3460-3450 area. If gold falls below this area during the retracement, it may even continue to the 3435-3425 area.
Gold near 3500, Who Wins—Bulls or Bears?Today, after gold touched around 3437 during the retracement, it was pushed up to around 3490 again by market sentiment. The bullish momentum was extremely strong and it is currently in a strong bullish trend. According to the current gold trend, there may be room for continuation above. However, in the transaction, I have made it clear that I will no longer aggressively chase the rise of gold!
First, gold has risen sharply under the influence of fundamentals, and it is difficult to follow up in time on the technical level, resulting in a technical pullback demand for gold; in addition, gold has shown obvious signs of acceleration during the rise, and the market often easily has turning points after acceleration, and although gold is in an obvious bullish trend, it is still under considerable pressure before breaking through the previous high of 3500. These are the reasons why I am unwilling to continue chasing the rise in gold. The most important point is that since the market expectations of interest rate cuts have increased, a large amount of buying has appeared to push up gold prices before the Federal Reserve announced the interest rate cut. It is very likely that the phenomenon of "buying expectations and selling facts" will occur.
Therefore, in the current transaction, I do not advocate continuing to chase gold at high levels. On the contrary, in the 3475-3495 area, I will consider creating as many short positions as possible as a swing trade, and be ready to welcome gold to retreat to the 3435-3415 area at any time.
Of course, because swing trading requires a certain period of time, we can still participate in intraday short-term trading during the execution of swing trading, follow the mainstream trend and try to go long on gold with the support area. The support area we must first pay attention to is in the 3460-3450 area. If gold first touches this area during the retracement process, we can consider going long on gold in intraday short-term trading.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
I might be the first to start shortingAgainst the backdrop of strengthened expectations of interest rate cuts and Trump's continued tough stance, gold rose above the 3400 mark and continued to above 3410. The upward momentum was relatively strong and market sentiment was optimistic. But the more this happens, the more dangerous it feels! In fact, from a short-term perspective, the foreseeable target area above is: 3415-3425 area, which has only 100-150pips of room for growth from the current gold price. So I think there is no need to continue chasing long gold for the time being.
From the current structure, although gold is in a fluctuating upward structure, the trading volume is gradually decreasing after gold broke through 3410, proving that as gold continues to rise, the market has gradually become more cautious. Judging from the candlestick pattern, the trend line constructed from the highs of 3500 and 3440 is currently facing resistance near 3415, while the resistance of the trend line constructed from 3452 and 3440 is currently near 3425. Therefore, the current more obvious resistance area is in the 3415-3425 area. In comparison, there is a larger retracement space below, firstly in the 3395-3385 area, and then in the 3375-3365 area.
Therefore, at this stage, I will no longer aggressively chase the rise of gold; instead, I will start shorting gold in batches above 3410, and then patiently wait for gold to retrace!
Bears’ Last Chance Before the Golden Bull AwakensToday, gold has held 3373 many times during the retracement process, proving that the current market is still dominated by bulls. Currently, gold has touched above 3390 again, showing that buying power is still continuing. This is also the reason why we have been long on gold in the 3378-3374 area many times today, mainly based on the fact that gold is currently in an obvious bullish structure.
But we need to note that although gold continues to rise, it is not strong. Most of the time it still fluctuates at a high level. It may be that the market is not highly unanimous in its agreement on the continuation of the strong bull market stimulated by the news, so the short-term volatility of gold will be exacerbated while it is rising.
In addition, gold is becoming more cautious as it approaches 3400. In comparison, there is still a certain amount of suppression in the area around 3400, so we must take into account that gold may still retreat after being under pressure in the short term, so I think it is necessary for us to try to short gold again in the 3395-3405 area; once gold retreats as expected, the first test will be the short-term support in the 3385-3375 area. If the support in the 3385-3375 area is effective during the test, then gold may be able to break through the 3400 mark in one fell swoop, or even continue to the 3410-3420 area.
So, in short-term trading. At present, we can consider shorting gold appropriately in the 3395-3405 area. If gold retreats as expected, we will first observe the performance of gold in the 3385-3375 area. If it cannot effectively fall below this area, we can adjust the trading strategy and re-enter the long trade!
Gold’s Next Move = Your Next ProfitOn Friday, gold prices soared due to Powell's dovish remarks, reaching a high of around 3379, and the candle chart showed signs of a V-shaped reversal. From a technical perspective, gold still has the potential to continue to rise, and as of now, gold has not effectively fallen below 3360. While effectively curbing the downward space, it also shows that a certain amount of buying momentum is still continuing.
However, gold has not yet effectively broken through the 3380-3390 area, and the upper space has not been completely opened. If gold cannot break through this area, the bullish momentum may gradually weaken in the short term. In order to accumulate enough momentum to break through this area, gold may usher in a pullback in the short term.
First, we should focus on the 3355-3345 area below. As long as gold remains above this area, the overall bullish pattern will remain. Therefore, this area is the entry area where we should try to go long on gold for the first time after gold pulls back.
Therefore, we currently have two trading options:
1. When gold first hits the 3380-3390 area, consider shorting gold.
2. When gold first hits the 3355-3345 area, consider longing gold.
Gold on Fire: Bulls Eye an Unrelenting Surge to 3365–3375Although gold has been weak recently, we have still achieved impressive results in gold long trading because it touched 3375 and 3358 twice during the rebound process. We have made a total profit of more than 900 pips in the long trading, which can be said to be a very successful transaction in the short term.
At present, gold maintains an overall volatile market, but in the short term, gold has never effectively fallen below the 3330-3320 area. What is more obvious is that the dense trading area below is concentrated in the 3330-3310 area, so the buying support below is strong, which greatly limits the downward space of gold; in addition, gold touched around 3358 during today's rebound, and once broke through Friday's intraday high, which to a certain extent strengthened the market bullish sentiment. Therefore, when gold retreats again, there may be more buying funds willing to enter the market.
In terms of fundamentals, the ceasefire and peace between Russia and Ukraine have not yet been settled, and the geopolitical situation remains tense; and the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates are gradually strengthening. Against this background, gold still has the possibility of rising again.
Therefore, in the short term, I still prefer to trade gold long. We can consider buying gold in the 3340-3330 area, first looking at the target 3365-3375 area, and even continuing the upward trend to around 3380.
Last chance to go long on goldAlthough the initial jobless claims and PPI data were bearish for gold, it still failed to break below 3340-3330 area. After touching 3340, it rebounded to around 3356, demonstrating that a significant amount of buying capital was still entering the gold market during the pullback, limiting the downside while also providing strong support.
Although gold has experienced several setbacks in its short-term upward trend, the bullish pattern has not completely failed. It remains within an ascending triangle structure in the short term. As long as this structure remains intact, gold could potentially rebound to the 3365-3375 area, or even to the 3380-3390 area, leveraging structural support.
Currently, there is a fierce game between bulls and bears in the short term for gold, which brings considerable difficulties to our short-term trading, but why do I keep insisting on going long on gold? What I want to say is that when you are uncertain in the short term, you can zoom in on the chart period and observe. In fact, the trend is clear at a glance, but there are some twists and turns in the short term!
Therefore, in the short term, I still advocate seeking to go long on gold with the 3345-3335 area as support, first looking at the target 3365-3375 area. If gold breaks through this area strongly during the rebound, the upward trend can continue to around 3380.
3340–3330: Bulls’ Last StandI still hold a long position in gold. Although gold has not continued its rebound and is relatively weak, it has tested around 3340-3330 many times but has never fallen below it. As long as gold remains above 3340-3330, gold bulls may sound the clarion call for a counterattack at any time.
Gold has been falling frequently and seems to be shaky, but it has always held the area near 3340-3330. I think the frequent decline of gold is a false signal to trap the short sellers. Why do I think so?
1st, the area around 3340-3330 is the support level of the bullish structure and the last line of defense. It is unlikely that gold will effectively fall below this area in the short term.
2nd, this upward trend began around 3268 and reached a high around 3409.The area around 3340-3330 is exactly the 50% retracement area of this band, which has relatively strong support.
So from a technical perspective, I think gold is currently accumulating energy, exchanging time for space. Gold bulls may explode at any time, thereby triggering a gold rally!
Gold’s Drop: The Calm Before the SurgeThe bulls have been defeated all the way, and the current lowest has fallen to around 3350. However, after gold touched around 3350, the downward momentum has slowed down. I think it is not appropriate to be overly bearish on gold in the short term.
It can be clearly seen during the day that gold started to fall from around 3401, and the decline reached $51 around 3350. In the absence of any major negative news, I believe that the intraday retracement space has reached its upper limit, and the structural support line for gold bulls happens to be in the 3350-3340 area, so the room for gold to continue to retrace will not be too large.
Moreover, gold has recently fallen under pressure several times after standing above 3340, proving that the upper resistance still exists. In addition, there is a certain amount of selling, which has hindered the bullish momentum to a certain extent, resulting in the lack of momentum for gold bulls. After the current pullback and technical repair, due to the increase in gold liquidity and accumulation of strength, it may be more conducive for gold to hit 3400 again or even higher targets.
Therefore, in the short term, I think it is not advisable to chase gold too much; instead, we can accumulate enough cheap chips during the gold pullback, and then wait patiently for gold to rebound and hit 3380-3390 again.
Next Stop 3420? Gold Bulls Push the Limit!Gold has shown a step-by-step rise in the short term, and has stood above 3,400 many times, and the bullish force is relatively strong. However, correspondingly, after gold stood above 3400, it fell under pressure several times, so the shape was not particularly good, which increased the risk of pullback in the short term.
However, we do not need to worry. Gold is still running in an ascending wedge structure. Although it has been under pressure and fallen back several times during the attack on 3400, the bullish structure has not been effectively destroyed so far. Moreover, with the sharp increase in gold buying, the 3380-3370 area below has become an obvious intensive trading area, which has greatly limited the gold retracement space.
In addition, after gold broke through 3340, market sentiment tended to be optimistic. If gold experiences a short-term pullback, more funds will flow into the gold market, especially for those who have missed out on long trades before, who will rush into the gold market even more frantically. Under the resonance of the current technical structure and market optimism, gold still has the potential to hit 3400, and bulls are even expected to stand firm at 3400 and make further efforts.
So in terms of short-term trading, I still advocate that gold pullbacks are buying opportunities. And I cherish the opportunity to enter the market and go long in the 3385-3375 area, and am optimistic that gold will hit 3400 again, and may even continue the bull trend to the 3420-3430 area.
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Gold Poised for a Surge: 3400 in Sight, 3430 Within ReachToday, gold retreated to a low of around 3350 before rebounding again, reaching a high of around 3390. During this process, we seized the opportunity to go long on gold near 3356 and closed the trade by successfully hitting TP: 3380, making a profit of 240 pips!
Although gold retreated after reaching 3390, I had originally planned to short gold near 3395, but gold didn't reach that level during the rally, so our shorting plan had to be shelved. Currently, it's trading in a narrow range around 3380. Clearly, I'm not considering shorting gold after a pullback.
Although gold retreated to around 3350 during the day, it did not destroy the current bullish structure of gold. In addition, gold regained the 3370-3375 area again during the rebound, and the gold bulls became even stronger. Therefore, I have now lost the desire and interest to short gold. Gold has currently reached a high near 3390. Given its current structure and strength, I don't believe 3390 is the current high. Gold is likely to attempt to break through 3400, and even has the potential to continue its rise to the 3420-3430 range. As the center of gravity of gold shifts upward, the current short-term support has moved up to the 3375-3365 area; and the relatively strong support is located in the 3360-3350 area.
Therefore, for short-term trading, I prefer to start trying to go long on gold after it retreats to the 3375-3365 area, and expect gold to hit 3400 as expected, or even continue to the 3420-3430 area.
Bullish Outlook Intact: Gold Targeting 3400-3410Gold encountered resistance and retreated several times on its way to 3400, but it remained above 3370 during the pullback, perfectly maintaining the integrity of its volatile upward trend. Therefore, even though gold's upward momentum has weakened, I still believe that due to structural support, gold still has the potential to reach the 3400-3410 area, and may even continue its bullish trend to the 3420-3430 area.
As gold prices rise, market sentiment tends to be more optimistic, and the price behavior reflected by the candlestick chart becomes clearer. The lows of gold continue to rise, and the highs always insist on setting new highs in the process of rising. The oscillating upward structure is particularly obvious. While greatly limiting the retracement space, it also greatly consolidates the support structure below and is conducive to further rises in gold. At present, gold has been confirmed to have stabilized above 3370, so gold may not give another chance to fall back to the 3360-3350 area.
Then in the next short-term trading, the gold pullback is a buying opportunity. We focus on the opportunity to participate in long gold after gold retreats to 3380-3370. The target will first look at the 3400-3410 area, and the higher target area is in the 3420-3430 area.






















