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Xauusdtradeidea

Ascending Triangle Hints at One More Push to 3800?Currently, gold is encountering resistance around 3790-3800, and the bullish momentum has slightly weakened, but the overall pattern is still bullish. Moreover, judging from the two recent pullbacks, although the bears were given the opportunity to escape from the predicament, they were supported near 3750 and rebounded many times. The strong buying support below greatly limited the retracement space. Gold has formed an ascending triangle structure in the short term. If this structure is valid, then gold as a whole may still hit 3800, or even continue the upward trend to the 3820-3830 area, which is also the upward limit area I mentioned earlier; but this condition must be established under the premise that gold cannot fall below the 3760-3750 area during the short-term retracement. Therefore, it is clear that the short-term structural support of gold is located in the 3760-3750 area, and the further strong support below is located in the area around 3730. At present, gold is in the ascending triangle structural resistance area of 3775-3785, so there is still a chance of a pullback in the short term. Therefore, for short-term trading: 1. For the time being, consider shorting gold in the 3775-3785 area, with a retracement target of 3765-3755. 2. Once gold retraces to the 3765-3755 area, consider going long on gold based on market fluctuations and structural support.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Quick Gold Long: Playing the Rebound GameGold has now fallen below the 3755 area, disconfirming the ascending triangle formation in the short term. The price has continued to fall below the downward channel support around 37740, signaling a short-term shift from strength to weakness. However, since gold hasn't shown clear signs of a peak, and the decline hasn't been a cliff-like drop, but rather a volatile downward pattern, the current technical pullback remains within normal limits and hasn't reached the level of a reversal. Therefore, gold still has the potential to rebound after this pullback. Gold has retreated to the 3730-3725 area. While the decline hasn't completely stopped, the decline has certainly slowed. Furthermore, this area offers some technical support. Gold may rebound in the short term after fluctuating within this area, potentially reaching the 3740-3750 range. Thus, for short-term trading, we can initially consider going long on gold in the 3730-3725 area, with a short-term rebound target of 3740-3750.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Rejection Before 3800: A Final Window for ShortsDriven by market sentiment, gold has now reached a high of around 3792, just one step away from the 3800 mark. Judging from the current structure, gold is undoubtedly in a unilateral bull trend and has completely replicated the rising pattern of the previous wave, with almost no decent retracement during the rise. Now gold continues to break through historical highs and enter unknown areas. In addition, due to the promotion of market sentiment, the current technical level has been distorted, so there is no good reference target at present. It can only be calculated based on space and cycle; the foreseeable upper limit area in the short term is in the 3820-3830 area; but because there are obvious signs of stagnant growth before reaching the 3800 mark, gold may be the first to experience a pullback. Because gold is in an extreme rising mode, most funds may not have the opportunity to participate in long transactions, so in order to increase liquidity, gold also has a need for a retracement; however, because the current market enthusiasm remains unabated, it can be expected that the retracement space for gold is limited. The foreseeable retracement area is in the 3760-3750 area, and the second is in the area near 3730. In addition, look at it according to the cycle. It is not difficult to see from the financial calendar that China, a major gold holder, will usher in the National Day holiday. Before the holiday, some funds may take profits, which will also lead to a decline in gold prices. After the holiday, gold may end its retracement and return to the upward trend. So if you hold a short position, then when gold falls back to the 3760-3750 area, or even around 3730, it will be an opportunity for gold bears to get out of trouble. Once gold retreats to this area and escapes the predicament, it could be a good opportunity to re-enter the long position!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold Holds Firm Near $3,760 Amid Fed Cut HopGold (XAU/USD) is trading steady around $3,760 in Wednesday’s Asian session, after a slight pullback from its record high of $3,791. The precious metal continues to draw support from expectations of further U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts and strong safe-haven demand. Fed Signals More Easing Ahead Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlighted the “challenging” balance between persistent inflation risks and a softening U.S. labor market. He reiterated the Fed’s readiness to ease policy further if needed, strengthening market bets for additional rate cuts. Futures markets are now pricing in two more 25 basis-point cuts in October and December, moves that would lower the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Gold. Market Outlook: Correction, Accumulation, and Uptrend Continuation After a brief correction lower, Gold appears to be entering an accumulation phase, setting the stage for a potential next leg higher toward $3,800. Technical View From a short-term perspective, key technical indicators—EMA 34 and EMA 89—along with support and resistance levels, suggest that traders could consider a tactical SELL setup within the ongoing consolidation. Immediate support: $3,740 – $3,720 Near-term resistance: $3,780 – $3,800 A well-timed sell order near resistance zones, with stops above the recent record, may provide an attractive risk-reward trade for short-term participants, while the broader long-term trend remains bullish.
TVC:GOLDShort
by filatovarthur
XAU/USD | Day Trade Bullish Map – Can Gold Reach 3800 This Week?🏆 XAU/USD | Metal Market Wealth Strategy Map (Day Trade) 🥇 🎯 Plan: Bullish Wealth Heist The thief’s map is drawn — and today, the gold vault is our target. 🔑 Strategy Style (Thief Layering Method): Instead of a single-entry, this plan uses layered limit orders (multiple entry levels). Think of it as planting “buy traps” across the chart to secure the best loot. 📥 Entry Layers (Buy Limits): 3660 💰 3670 💰 3680 💰 3690 💰 3700 💰 (⚡ Add more layers if your style allows — the thief never comes with just one key!) 🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Door): SL @ 3630 (⚠️ Reminder: This is MY thief escape hatch. You’re free to place your own exit plan depending on risk appetite.) 🎯 Target (Loot Point): TP @ 3800 (near strong resistance, overbought zone & police patrol 🚨) — Remember: take profits where you feel safe. The thief escapes when the bag is full! 📊 Thief’s Key Notes This is a layering strategy, designed for dynamic entries & better position cost-averaging. XAU/USD often reacts strongly around resistance bands — watch for liquidity hunts before the move. Don’t marry the trade — grab profit, exit quick, and live to raid another day. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Check) OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Moves in sync with Gold, but can be more volatile. TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation — if USD weakens, gold often rallies. FX:EURUSD : Another inverse play against USD, gold strength may reflect here. SP:SPX / PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 : Risk sentiment cousins — equity weakness often boosts gold. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Strategy, shared for educational & fun purposes only. Not financial advice — trade at your own risk. #XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #DayTrading #TradingStrategy #ThiefTrader #FXCorrelation #Metals #Scalping #TradingView
FX:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
Gold Lures Bulls In — But Correction LoomsAfter the start of the Asian session, gold continued its upward momentum to around 3692. However, it is obvious that after touching this horizontal area, the upward momentum of gold has converged, and there are obvious signs of stagflation. Moreover, judging from the trading volume, the current trading volume is not enough to support the continued rise of gold. So I think gold may usher in a good wave of pullback at any time after the rise. From a technical perspective, gold has formed a "double-needle bottoming" structure in combination with the areas near 3628 and 3632. However, since the correction near 3707, gold has shown a clear downward trend. Therefore, according to time and space, under normal circumstances, gold is still in an oscillating structure and may find it difficult to break through the resistance of the 3675-3680 area in a short period of time. But the fact is that on Friday, stimulated by the news, gold not only broke the volatile pattern that should have appeared, but also broke through the resistance of 3675-3680 in one fell swoop; when the time and space are not yet in place, the intention of gold's sharp rise may be to eliminate the short chips that have been recently arranged before gold really starts to pull back, and there is also suspicion of luring the bulls who follow the trend. Based on space calculations, it is expected that the maximum rise in gold this time will not exceed the 3710-3715 area, and it may even start to pull back again before reaching this area. Therefore, we should not be excessively bullish on gold at this point. On the contrary, we can still short gold in batches above 3680, and the retracement target will first target the 3665-3655-3645 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Below 3670, shorting gold is still the main theme!After touching 3661, gold has repeatedly tested downwards today. However, this testing period repeatedly found support in the 3645-3640 area, failing to break further below. Judging from the current gold structure, gold as a whole shows a volatile and bearish trend. Although gold closed with long lower shadow candlesticks near 3627 and 3632 respectively, showing signs of bottoming out in the short term, it only exacerbated short-term volatility. Due to the obvious selling pressure from above, I expect that the rebound space for gold in the short term will be relatively limited. According to the current gold structure, gold will face resistance in the 3665-3675 area in the short term. According to the current market performance, it may be difficult to break through this horizontal area easily in the short term. After all, there is considerable selling pressure from above. So for short-term trading, as long as gold remains below 3670, we can boldly short gold! However, because today is Friday and gold has failed to fall below the 3645-3640 area many times, it is best not to have too high expectations for the retracement space. Perhaps the 3655-3650 area will be a reasonable retracement target in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Bearish Grip Tightens as 3585 Comes Into ViewAs gold continuously tests and falls below the 3650-3640 area, the space below has been opened to a certain extent. According to the current gold trend structure, as the candle chart shows a long upper shadow line near 3705, there are obvious signs of profit-taking, and there is strong selling pressure from above; a downward-opening trend channel is formed in the structural form, and the center of gravity of gold is gradually shifting downward. The bears are relatively stronger, and there is no obvious bottoming signal below at present. Gold still has the potential to continue to decline! Although gold has rebounded slightly after several attempts at the 3635-3625 area, the strength of these rebounds has fallen far short of expectations, indicating relatively weak bullish momentum. As gold gradually moves downward, short-term resistance has shifted to the 3660-3670 area. Strong resistance is around 3685, but given the current rebound strength, it is unlikely that gold will reach this resistance area in the short term. And I think gold will easily continue to decline and test the 3620-3610 area. Once gold falls below this area, the space below will be completely opened. Gold is likely to continue its downward trend to around 3585, and may even experience a deeper correction to around 3550. Therefore, in a bearish market, we must firmly adhere to a short-gold trading strategy. If gold rebounds weakly to the 3655-3665 area, I would likely prioritize shorting gold. The short-term retracement target will first target the 3625-3615 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold Not Bottomed Yet：Selling Rallies Remains Key After a deep V-shaped rebound to near 3673, gold fell sharply again, hitting a new low near 3627. Clearly, after the rate cut, most investors took profits, driving gold prices down. As gold's center of gravity shifts downward, the current short-term resistance area has shifted to 3660-3670. From the current structural perspective, gold is shifting from strength to weakness, with bears gradually recovering and taking control. Following the sharp rally, there is also a need for a technical pullback. While gold has rebounded slightly, there are no clear bottoming signals. I believe gold has not yet reached a low and is likely to continue to test the 3625-3615 area. If this area is broken, it will open up further downside potential, potentially extending the downward trend to around 3580.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Bull Fever Cools：The Market Still Owes Us a WaterfallAs I expected, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and Powell did not show a clear dovish tone in his speech. Gold fell from 3707 to around 3646, with a drop of $610. Our short positions at 3685 and 3700 that we had ambushed overnight won as expected, and we successfully locked in a profit of 750 pips in the news market. Although the Federal Reserve is inclined to take a hawkish approach to rate cuts, gold has rebounded from around 3646. Although it has performed relatively weakly, the downward momentum has slowed down and a unilateral downward trend has not formed. Overall, it is still in the high-level fluctuation range. So we can't rush to short gold at the moment. Because gold still has the possibility of rebounding back to the 3675-3685 area, and may even be expected to rebound back to the 3690-3700 area. After all, gold did not effectively fall below 3650 during the decline. Although the decline in gold prices did not change the overall structure, it weakened the market's enthusiastic bullish sentiment in the short term, and the technical resistance also moved down to the 3675-3685 area, followed by the 3695-3705 resistance area. If gold rebounds to the resistance area, we can try to short gold, and the short-term retracement target is set in the 3655-3645 area. Once gold falls below this area, it is expected to continue the downward trend to the 3635-3625 area. Of course, it is not ruled out that gold will fluctuate widely in the 3690-3650 area. Therefore, we can still make very good profits from the perspective of profit margin by shorting gold at the resistance areas of 3675-3685 .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold vs Dollar – Bullish Confirmation & Risk Management PlanXAU/USD "The Gold vs US Dollar" - Metal Market Cash Flow Management Strategy ⚡ (Swing/Day Trade) 📊 Trading Plan: ✅ Bias : Bullish confirmation spotted as Hull Moving Average shows an upside pullback trend. ✅ Entry Idea : Flexible entry with layering strategy (scaling in with multiple limit orders) : $3650 $3660 $3670 $3680 ( You can add more layers depending on your risk and strategy preference. ) 🛡️ Risk Management: Suggested Protective Stop Loss : around $3630 (after breakout levels). ⚠️ Note : Please adjust SL based on your personal strategy and risk tolerance — this is not a fixed recommendation. 🎯 Target Outlook: Short-term resistance expected near $3740 (where moving averages converge + overbought conditions may trigger profit-taking traps). Idea: secure profits before market reversals. ⚠️ Note : Target levels are flexible. You can adjust according to your own plan and market conditions. 🔑 Key Points: Hull MA Pullback → signals bullish continuation. Layered Entry → improves average price & manages volatility. Exit Discipline → respect your risk plan, don't rely solely on posted SL/TP. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation & Flow): 🟢 OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver/USD) → Often moves in tandem with gold, can confirm metal market strength. 🟢 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) → Inverse correlation with gold; weak USD = stronger gold. 🟢 FX:EURUSD → Euro strength usually aligns with gold bullish momentum. 🟢 FX:USDJPY → Safe-haven flows: when JPY strengthens, gold tends to follow. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated - it helps me share more setups with the community!” #XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #DayTrading #SwingTrading #HullMA #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #Metals #FXAnalysis #DXY #TechnicalAnalysis
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
Fed Catalyst: The Bear AwakensGold rebounded after touching 3660 and is currently fluctuating in a narrow range around 3685. Gold is currently trading relatively cautiously, apparently waiting for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision to indicate its short-term direction. How to formulate a trading plan for the Federal Reserve interest rate decision market? In fact, in the short term, I think there will not be much room for gold to continue to rise, and the short-term peak may be in the 3705-3715 area; in addition, regarding the expectation of interest rate cuts, I think the Federal Reserve will adopt a step-by-step approach to announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut, and as for Powell’s attitude, I think it may rely more on the feedback from US employment data and inflation data to decide whether to continue to cut interest rates within the year. The attitude may not be obviously dovish, so I think there is limited room for short-term increases. Since I think the short-term peak of gold is in the 3705-3715 area, and the short-term resistance area is around 3690. Therefore, I will definitely ambush and short gold before the news is announced. Of course, the transaction needs to be set up in combination with the risk resistance ability of my account. At present, I tend to divide the upper space into two areas, namely 3685-3695 and 3705-3715. I will mainly short gold in batches around these two areas. Once gold falls as expected, I think it will first test the intraday low around 3660. Once it falls below this area, I think gold is likely to continue to test the area around 3635-3625. As for whether gold can take advantage of this opportunity to test the area around 3600. I believe I will overcome my greed and will not take risks to gamble for gains beyond my cognition. I will need to make a secondary judgment based on market fluctuations at that time.In any case, I would favor a short gold setup, so let’s hope for a bearish recovery!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Rate Decision Looms: Short Sellers Poised to StrikeGold continued to decline and is currently supported around 3660 and showing signs of rebound. I don’t hold any orders at the moment because I am currently preparing for the Federal Reserve interest rate decision news market! In fact, I have made part of the plan yesterday and today. Until now, I still tend to believe that the gold market will rise and then fall, but we must grasp the trading rhythm and entry price in the transaction. In fact, before the Fed's interest rate announcement, gold retreated to around 3660. After this significant retreat, we can lower our expectations for a gold rally on news. Based on the current structure, the upper limit for gold bulls lies in the 3710-3720 area, and it's possible that the 3703 area has become the current high. As gold retreats to around 3660, bullish momentum has weakened, and short-term resistance has shifted to the 3680-3690 area. Therefore, I might consider initiating a short position in gold in this area. If gold falls below the 3660-3650 range due to market news, it could continue its decline to the 3635-3625 range. Since we currently hold no positions, we have the initiative in trading. As long as we allocate lots appropriately and strictly control risk, it's difficult not to make a profit! So, let's wish you good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
False Break at 3700:Retreating Toward 3680-3670Currently, the highest price of gold has reached around 3699, and it is only one step away from the 3700 mark! I have to say that against the backdrop of significantly increased market expectations for interest rate cuts, the resonance of technical and news factors has pushed up gold prices. The current bullish momentum is strong, and there has been almost no obvious pullback during the rise. At this stage, most of these are tricks played by big funds, and it is actually difficult for retail investors to participate in long transactions. Therefore, at this stage, I will not rush to chase the rise in gold prices. From an intraday perspective, gold still has the potential to hit the 3700-3710 area, so my latest trading plan is to continue shorting gold near this area. With gold bulls so strong, why I am still optimistic about a gold pullback. The main reason is that the current market is facing a critical time window. The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision tomorrow, but I think the Federal Reserve may announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut in a step-by-step manner, rather than the 50 basis points expected by the market. If the rate falls far short of market expectations, gold could experience a significant pullback or even a crash. However, the sharp rise in gold prices near the Fed's rate decision suggests it may be an attempt to reserve room for further declines. In addition, based on the current trading volume, the small trading volume may not be able to support the continued upward trend of gold. It is for this reason that while I avoid chasing high gold prices, I also always remain optimistic about gold shorts. Therefore, at this stage, I would consider shorting gold in batches based on market price performance. By effectively raising the average entry price, we can reap the first bite of the pie after gold prices fall. However, we must note that short-term support for gold currently lies in the 3680-3670 area, with strong structural support below that at 3660-3650. Therefore, in order to lock in profits in time, these two support areas will be our primary target areas for short trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Rally Before the Fed: A Trap or Treasure for Bears?Gold hit a new high again, and the current highest has reached around 3685. After gold consolidated at a high level for several trading days, the bulls launched a strong attack again, and it seems that there are signs of trying to hit 3700. However, the current gold market is at a critical node and cycle, so I do not advocate continuing to chase gold; on the contrary, I will choose to short gold at every high as the gold price rises! Gold rose sharply as the Federal Reserve was about to announce its interest rate decision, and hit a new high again! Against the backdrop of interest rate cut expectations, it is easy to push market sentiment to a climax! When the market is caught in a long-term frenzy, it may also be an opportunity for large funds to quietly exit the market. Therefore, I think the purpose of gold's sharp rise before the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision is very clear. The first is to reserve room for decline for the news market in advance, and the second is to attract most retail investors in the market to take over. So I think the turning point of gold is coming soon! So for short traders, I think this rise is not a risk, but an opportunity! Gold may collapse based on the phenomenon of "buying expectations and selling facts", so I think we need to short gold at its rallies before the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision. However, I would like to point out that when shorting gold in batches, we must control the number of lots traded to reduce trading risk! For short-term trading, I believe we can short gold in batches above 3680, with a short-term retracement target of 3660-3650. If gold falls below this area, it may even continue to retrace to the current rising point of 3635-3625.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Bearish Pressure Mounts: Will 3600 Hold or Collapse?In the short term, gold has not been able to stand above 3655 during multiple rebounds, and even closed below 3650 at the close of last Friday. Although it is far from the level of collapse, there are obvious signs of profit-taking in some chips. As the center of gravity of gold slowly shifts, the short-term resistance area will gradually move down to the 3635-3645 area. If gold cannot break through this area during repeated fluctuations, the market's downward momentum will be further strengthened! It should be noted that although the center of gravity of gold is gradually shifting downward, the overall bullish structure is still maintained; and against the backdrop of interest rate cut expectations, gold's retracement space should be limited before the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision. The first thing we need to pay attention to is the support of the recent low point of 3615-3605. Gold is likely to rebound again after testing the support of this area, and take this opportunity to try to intensify short-term volatility! However, once gold falls below the support of this area, it may continue to the 3590-3580 area. Therefore, for short-term trading, since gold is still fluctuating in the support and resistance areas, it can be treated as regional fluctuations for the time being; but as the center of gravity of gold gradually moves downward and 3675 is expected to become a temporary high point, we can maintain the strategy of shorting at high levels as the main strategy, supplemented by the idea of going long at low levels. 1. Consider shorting gold against the resistance zone of 3635-3645, with the primary retracement target at 3620-3610. 2. If gold fails to break below the 3615-3605 area during a pullback, we could consider going long on gold, with the primary rebound target at 3630-3640.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Bulls and Bears Poised to StrikeGold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range around 3635-3655, with no clear signs of a breakthrough. However, judging from the current structure, gold has been showing an overall volatile upward trend since it rebounded near 3615. What needs to be paid close attention to at present is the support performance near 3635. If gold can stand firmly above 3635, it will perfectly maintain the volatile upward structure and provide the prerequisite for breaking through the short-term resistance area of 3655-3665. Once gold uses this as a basis and breaks through the 3655-3665 area, then gold is expected to set a new high again, and even hit the area near 3700. Since the bulls are still in an advantageous position and the overall structure of the market is oscillating upward, we have no reason not to execute long trades based on the long structure. Therefore, I think that in short-term trading, we can consider going moderately long on gold in the 3640-3630 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Quiet Storm：Bulls vs Bears in Waiting！Under the influence of CPI and initial jobless claims data, gold rose directly to the area around 3644. The short-term rise seems exaggerated, but it did not stand firmly above 3650, and even failed to reach the intraday high of 3649. The release of bullish momentum was relatively convergent; it can be clearly seen from the short-term candlestick chart that gold showed long upper shadows many times in the short term, and the trajectory and structure began to shift downward, and tested support downward many times, which also proved that the short-selling force was gradually recovering after being suppressed. However, gold rebounded after touching the 3620-3610 support area several times during the retracement. Although the bullish momentum has declined in the short term, the bullish structure has not been completely destroyed, so the overall structure is still controlled by the bulls, and the bullish force still has enough strength to support gold. Overall, as the bulls become more cautious and the bears gradually recover, gold is expected to maintain high-level fluctuations in the short term, and the fluctuation range is likely to remain in the 3655-3615 area. Therefore, for short-term trading, we can strictly stick to the trading points and execute high-selling and low-buying transactions within the area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold Bulls vs Bears! Who Will Win the $XAUUSD Battle?🏆 "The Golden Layer Cake Strategy" - XAU/USD Bullish Swing Plan 🎯 ✨ Calling all savvy traders! ✨ Ready to layer into a potential Gold breakout? This systematic approach is designed to capitalize on bullish momentum while managing risk through strategic entry layers. Here’s the detailed blueprint: 📜 🔑 Key Details: Asset: XAU/USD (Gold) Bias: Bullish Style: Swing Trading / Position Building Strategy: Multi-Layer Limit Order Entry ⚡ Entry Strategy (The Layering Method): To optimize your average entry price, consider using multiple BUY LIMIT orders at key support levels: Layer 1: 3420.00 Layer 2: 3440.00 Layer 3: 3460.00 Layer 4: 3480.00 You can adjust the number of layers and prices based on your personal risk management and market conditions. 🛑 Stop Loss: A conservative stop loss can be placed below a significant support zone at 3370.00. Disclaimer: Always adjust your stop loss based on your individual risk tolerance, account size, and trading strategy. 🎯 Take Profit: We are targeting a strong resistance zone around 3600.00. A more ambitious target sits at 3650.00 for those who wish to trail their stops. Secure profits on the way up! 📊 Market Context & Rationale: This plan is based on identifying potential value areas on the pullback for a continued bullish move. The layered entry allows us to build a position gracefully without chasing the market. 📊 XAU/USD Real-Time Data Report 🤝 Retail & Institutional Sentiment Retail Traders Long (Bullish): 28% 😊 Short (Bearish): 72% 😟 Institutional Traders Bullish positions increasing, showing confidence in gold as a safe-haven asset. 🏦 😨💸 Fear & Greed Index Mood: Neutral → leaning Greedy Markets expect Fed rate cuts, boosting gold demand. 🌍 Fundamental Score Rating: 7/10 (Positive) Key Drivers: Weakening US Dollar from expected Fed cuts 📉 Geopolitical tensions supporting safe-haven demand ⚠️ Ongoing central bank gold buying 🏦 📈 Macro Score Rating: 6.5/10 (Moderately Bullish) Factors: High probability of US rate cut in September (~85%) 📅 Rising bond yields may cap gains 📈 Global economic uncertainty 🌎 🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook Bias: Bullish (Long) 🚀 Gold remains in a strong uptrend, supported by fundamentals, macro drivers, and institutional flows. ✨ Summary Gold is bullish 📈 with strong support from fundamentals and macro conditions. Retail traders lean bearish 😟, but institutions and sentiment favor upward momentum. Any dips are seen as buying opportunities 🤑 ⚠️ Risk Warning & Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR). High-impact news events can cause increased volatility—manage your risk accordingly. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Only risk capital you are willing to lose.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
Bulls vs Bears: Race to 3700 or 3600 ?!Currently, gold is fluctuating above the 3640 line. We can clearly see that gold has not effectively fallen below 3640 during multiple pullbacks in the short term. This proves that during the pullback period of gold, a lot of funds have entered the market, thereby pushing the gold price to fluctuate upward. However, during the upward fluctuation, gold encountered resistance and fell back in the 3655-3660 area many times, exacerbating the short-term volatility trend! But we need to note that gold has rebounded since 3620 and formed a band-like low point structure; and it has tested 3640 many times and has not fallen below it, showing signs of forming a band-like secondary low point structure. Judging from the characteristics of the low point gradually rising, the current bullish force has a slight advantage, so short-term trading is still dominated by going long on gold. Judging from the current structure, the short-term support area below is located in the 3635-3625 area, followed by the 3615-3605 area; and the short-term resistance is located near 3660. If gold breaks through the area near 3660 during the volatile upward process, gold may test the high point area near 3675. Once the high point near 3675 is refreshed again, it is expected to directly touch around 3700. Therefore, it is not completely certain that gold has peaked at present, and we should not blindly chase short gold in trading; on the contrary, when gold retreats to the support area of 3635-3625, we can try to go long on gold, first aiming at the target area: 3660-3670, and once it breaks through this area, the target area will be postponed to the 3690-3700 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Battle Lines Drawn — Which Comes First, 3700 or 3600?Gold started to fall from around 3675, but failed to effectively fall below 3620 many times during the retracement, so the current retracement cannot be regarded as a market reversal. If the gold market has really peaked, I think the minimum requirement is to effectively fall below 3620, but it is obvious that this condition has not been met yet. Under the current conditions, it can only be regarded as a pullback correction. So at this stage of trading, we cannot be overly bearish on gold. Currently, gold bulls and bears are competing with each other for control, and the price will remain in a wide range of fluctuations in the short term. However, since gold rebounded from 3620, the bullish structure has not been destroyed. The short-term support below is in the 3635-3625 area, and further strong support is in the 3615-3605 area. If gold fails to break below the 3635-3625 area, it will favor bulls and could serve as a springboard for further gains. Once gold continues its upward trend and breaks through the 3665 area, it could potentially reach the 3680-3690 area. Therefore, in short-term trading, since gold remains bullish, we can continue to buy gold within the 3635-3625 support area, with the primary target being the 3660-3670 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PriceSniper_Steffen
2
Intensifying Bear Grip: Can 3610–3600 Save the Bulls?Gold started to retreat from around 3675, and has now retreated to the lowest point of 3620-3610. According to the current market performance, we can clearly see that the rebound high point of gold after the retreat is gradually decreasing, and the control of the short position is further increasing. Yesterday, according to my trading model, my prediction that gold may usher in another 600pips retreat has been realized, and we have also won a big victory in the short transaction. It can be said that we have become the first echelon to reap the dividends from the short transaction. Then, will the high-rise building that the gold market has worked so hard to build collapse? In fact, from a macroeconomic and technical perspective, gold's bullish trend remains intact, supported by expectations of rate cuts and safe-haven demand, which will, to a certain extent, limit any potential pullback. From a capital perspective, some funds may be taking profits, but the current retracement is far from panic selling. Furthermore, as gold gradually retreats, a large amount of funds that have not yet entered the market in a timely manner may flow into the market, further pushing up gold prices. From a technical perspective, after the pullback, the rebound high of gold has gradually moved down from 3655 to 3650 and 3640, while the retracement low has also moved down simultaneously. The current lowest has reached around 3620, and there are signs of further pullback. However, we need to note that in the short term, gold is still technically supported in the 3610-3600 area, while strong support is in the 3590-3580 area. Therefore, from a short-term perspective, the retracement space may not be sufficient, so I do not advocate shorting gold directly. On the contrary, we can wait for gold to rebound to the 3640-3650 area and then moderately consider shorting gold, because as gold gradually retreats, the 3635-3645 area has become the current short-term resistance area. Therefore, for short-term trading, since gold has rebounded after touching 3620 many times, and is technically supported by the 3610-3600 area in the short term, we can consider starting to try to go long on gold in the 3620-3610 area; after gold rebounds to the 3635-3645 area, we can moderately consider shorting gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
High-Level Consolidation: A Playground for Both Bulls and BearsToday, I clearly predicted that "cyclical patterns suggest a 600-pips drop in gold." Gold surged to around 3675 before retreating, reaching a low of around 3626, a fluctuation of 490 pips. It was very close to my expectation, so according to my trading model, I won a big victory in long and short trading today! Day Trading Results: 1. First, we shorted gold near 3658 and closed the trade at TP: 3638, for a profit of 200 pips. 2. We shorted gold twice at 3655-3656, closing the positions manually at 3647 and 3645, respectively, for a total profit of 190 pips. 3. We shorted gold in batches near 3667 and 3673, closing the trade at TP: 3650, for a total profit of 400 pips. 4. We longed gold in batches near 3632 and 3628, closing the trade at TP: 3642, for a total profit of 240 pips. Thus, today's total profit on both long and short trades was 1030 pips. I am very satisfied with today's trading model and results. As for my view on the gold market in the future, I believe that the current gold market is still in an environment of interest rate cut expectations, and the macroeconomic background still has a significant supporting effect on gold. The current bullish trend of gold has not changed, and short-term fluctuations will not affect the overall direction. Therefore, before the interest rate cut is implemented (the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision on September 17), gold will still maintain an upward structure. Judging from the candlestick chart, as long as gold remains above 3600, gold will remain in a bullish structure and maintain an overall upward trend. Although gold began to retreat after touching around 3675, and the bullish momentum no longer seems strong, I believe that gold has limited room for retreat in the short term. Even if the bulls no longer recover their previous strong momentum, gold is expected to maintain a high-level volatile trend, with the short-term support below at 3630-3620. If it is difficult for gold to fall below this area in the short term, gold may still hit the 3670-3680 area during the rebound. Therefore, in the next short-term trading, if gold first retreats to the 3630-3620 area, we can consider trying to go long on gold, first looking at the 3650-3660 target area；If gold touches the 3670-3680 area again during the rebound, we can still try to short gold again, and the retracement target will first look at the 3655-3645 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PriceSniper_Steffen