ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (31/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)1️⃣ Market Overview
Gold closed the US session above $4,020, marking a strong recovery from the weekly low of $3,915. Price has reclaimed the short-term bullish structure, trading near $4,024–$4,027, just under a critical resistance zone. Bulls maintain control as long as $3,990 holds, but the market is approaching a key decision point where a breakout could define the next major move.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔸 Daily (D1):
Price has bounced sharply from the 100EMA and printed the first higher daily close after multiple bearish sessions. RSI at 52.5 supports the early phase of bullish recovery. MACD histogram turning lighter red signals momentum shift. The next key resistance sits at $4,100, while support remains solid around $3,850–$3,900.
🔸 H1:
Bullish structure with clear higher lows from $3,915 and BOS confirmations up to $4,020. Price currently retesting the intraday trendline with confluence from 50EMA and Fib levels. RSI 62+, momentum still strong but slightly extended.
🔸 15M–5M:
Micro structure shows tight compression under $4,027 (key rejection area). Multiple CHoCH and BOS confirm upward control, but short-term RSI divergence hints at possible minor pullback before further continuation.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing: 3,985 → 4,027)
• 38.2% = 4,011
• 50.0% = 4,006
• 61.8% = 4,000
🎯 Golden Zone for Re-entry: 4,011 – 4,000
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Main Bias)
✅ Entry Zone: 4,011 – 4,000 (Golden Zone)
🎯 Targets: 4,027 → 4,040 → 4,055 → 4,070
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3,990
⚡ Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or CHoCH on 5M after Fib retracement.
💥 Breakout BUY Setup
• Trigger: Clean break & close above 4,027 → Retest 4,024–4,027
• Targets: 4,040 → 4,055 → 4,082
• Stop Loss: Below 4,015
⸻
📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend)
⚠️ Entry Zone: 4,027 – 4,035 (H1 supply & ascending resistance)
🎯 Targets: 4,011 → 4,000 → 3,985 → 3,965
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 4,040
⚡ Confirmation: 5M bearish engulfing or RSI >70 with MACD crossover.
📉 Break & Retest SELL
• Trigger: Close below 3,985 → Retest rejection
• Targets: 3,965 → 3,945 → 3,920
• Stop Loss: Above 3,995
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Asian session expected to open quietly, but momentum from US close favors continuation.
• DXY pulling back under 106 supports gold near-term.
• Market eyes upcoming US Core PCE and inflation data tomorrow — possible volatility buildup.
• Watch for end-of-month position adjustments and liquidity traps during Asia open.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,027 / 4,035 / 4,055 / 4,070
Support: 4,011 / 4,000 / 3,985 / 3,965 / 3,945
Golden Zone: 4,011 – 4,000
Break Buy Trigger: > 4,027
Break Sell Trigger: < 3,985
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
Gold remains in a bullish continuation structure, with 4,000–3,985 acting as critical support.
• If 4,027 breaks and holds → bullish extension toward 4,055–4,070.
• If 4,027 rejects → expect healthy retracement back to 4,011–4,000 before continuation.
Short-term trend remains bullish above 3,990, but traders should watch for potential exhaustion around 4,035–4,050.
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
Bias: 🔼 Bullish (while above 3,990)**
Short-term Objective: Reclaim & hold 4,027 for continuation to 4,055+
Invalidation: Break below 3,985 → bearish correction resumption.
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 30/10/2025 🥇
📊 Steady momentum & sharp entries throughout the session.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔻 SELL +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +210 PIPS
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +110 PIPS
🔻 SELL +110 PIPS
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +20 PIPS
⚪️ BUY – BE
🔻 SELL +40 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 GOLD TOTAL PROFIT: +610 PIPS
📊 10 Trades → 9 Wins | 1 BE
🎯 Accuracy: 90%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 High precision and clean follow-through from GOLD — trend confirmation and disciplined entries led to another strong day!
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
Xauusdtradeidea
Today's gold trading strategyEconomic fundamentals: "Loose resonance" between employment and inflation
The weak signals in the job market have been confirmed
In October, the number of new non-farm jobs was at an all-year low, the proportion of long-term unemployed rose to 25.7%, and 6.4 million workers "wanted to work but withdrew from the labor market", indicating a continuous deterioration in employment quality. The "full employment" goal in the Fed's "dual mandate" has been threatened, and historically, whenever the new non-farm jobs were below 50,000, a rate cut would occur within the next three months, providing solid policy expectation support for gold.
Substantial weakening of inflationary constraints
Although the core CPI in September remained at 3%, the core PCE in August increased by only 0.2% on a month-on-month basis, and the trend has clearly declined. More importantly, Powell did not mention the "risk of inflation rebound" in his speech, but instead emphasized that "the tightening impact is still penetrating", suggesting that inflation is no longer the core contradiction of the current policy, which has opened up space for easing, providing "anti-inflation + interest rate hedging" dual support for gold.
Today's gold trading strategy
buy:3990-4000
tp:4010-4020
sl:3975
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (30/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)1️⃣ Market Overview
Gold continues to trade in a corrective recovery phase after the sharp sell-off from 4,025. Current price sits near 3,970–3,975, just below a descending H1 trendline and confluence of the 200 EMA (yellow) and 100 EMA (white).
Momentum is improving but overall structure remains bearish-to-neutral, pending a confirmed breakout above 3,990.
The 3,915–3,925 demand zone has held for 3 consecutive sessions, suggesting a possible base formation before a larger move.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
Daily (D1)
• Structure: Retracement phase within bullish macro trend.
• RSI recovering to 49, showing loss of bearish momentum.
• MACD histogram contracting — bearish momentum fading.
• Support: 3,850–3,900
• Resistance: 4,005–4,055
H1
• Market formed higher lows from 3,916; however, still capped under descending trendline.
• EMA confluence (200, 100, 50) between 3,975–3,990 acts as near-term resistance.
• RSI around 55, indicating moderate bullish correction.
• Key structure: BOS at 3,960 → now forming liquidity near 3,978–3,990.
15M–5M
• Compression pattern forming (triangle structure) under 3,975–3,982.
• Multiple sweeps below 3,940 confirming liquidity grabs.
• Short-term structure remains bullish while above 3,945; intraday momentum aligns with EMA direction.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing: 3,916 → 3,978)
• 38.2% = 3,954
• 50.0% = 3,947
• 61.8% = 3,940
🎯 Golden Zone for Re-entry: 3,954 – 3,940
Additional confluence: H1 structure support + liquidity pool at 3,940 = optimal buy zone.
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
🟩 Scenario A – Buy Retracement (Primary Bias)
• Buy Zone: 3,954 – 3,940 (Golden Zone)
• Confirmation: 5M/15M bullish engulfing or CHoCH after retest
• SL: Below 3,933
• TPs: 3,975 → 3,990 → 4,005 → 4,025
• Rationale: Structure support, Fib alignment, EMA confluence, and fading bearish momentum.
⸻
🟨 Scenario B – Break & Retest Buy
• Trigger: Break and close above 3,990 on 15M/H1
• Retest Zone: 3,985–3,990
• SL: 3,972
• TPs: 4,005 → 4,025 → 4,055 → 4,062
• Rationale: Clean breakout from compression structure confirming bullish continuation.
⸻
🟥 Scenario C – Countertrend Sell (At Supply Zone)
• Sell Zone: 3,975–3,990 (EMA + descending TL confluence)
• Confirmation: Bearish engulfing or RSI rejection near 60–65
• SL: Above 4,003
• TPs: 3,958 → 3,947 → 3,940 → 3,930
• Rationale: Short-term exhaustion + supply reaction at major resistance cluster.
⸻
⚫ Scenario D – Momentum Sell (If Demand Fails)
• Trigger: 15M candle close below 3,939, retest rejection at 3,939–3,945
• SL: Above 3,952
• TPs: 3,925 → 3,916 → 3,898 → 3,886
• Rationale: Demand breakdown and bearish continuation confirmation.
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Low volatility expected early London; attention shifts to US GDP & jobless claims later.
• DXY stable near 106, limiting gold’s upside unless USD weakens.
• Bond yields steady; risk sentiment slightly cautious.
• Key catalyst: Any breakout in DXY >106.5 or <105.8 could shift XAUUSD direction sharply.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Type Levels
Resistance 3,975 / 3,990 / 4,005 / 4,025 / 4,055–4,062
Support 3,954 / 3,947 / 3,940 / 3,930 / 3,916 / 3,886
Golden Zone 3,954 – 3,940
Break Buy Trigger > 3,990
Break Sell Trigger < 3,939
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
• Market attempting recovery from 3,915 base; compression under 3,990 suggests a build-up before breakout.
• Momentum improving but confirmation needed via 3,990 breakout or Fib GZ retest.
• Bias remains short-term bullish while 3,940 holds; otherwise neutral-to-bearish below 3,939.
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
• 🔹 Primary Bias: Bullish above 3,940; targets 4,005–4,025.
• 🔸 Secondary Bias: Bearish below 3,939; targets 3,916–3,886.
• ⚠️ Key Decision Zone: 3,975–3,990 (EMA and trendline confluence). Wait for breakout or rejection confirmation.
⸻
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (30/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)🧠 XAUUSD (GOLD) – ASIA SESSION ANALYSIS (30/10/2025)
Professional Institutional Breakdown
⸻
1️⃣ Market Overview
Gold ended the NY session bearish after failing to sustain above 4,010, closing near 3,944. The market remains technically weak after a corrective bounce from 3,916, showing exhaustion under key EMAs. The current Asian range sits between 3,916 – 3,955, and the bias leans bearish unless price reclaims 3,985. The broader daily structure continues its retracement phase after the parabolic September–October rally.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• Structure: Down correction within larger bullish channel.
• Candle: Small-bodied candle forming near the 20EMA, signaling indecision before potential continuation lower.
• Indicators: RSI at 47, below midline → bearish momentum intact. MACD histogram still negative.
• Key Levels: Support 3,850–3,820 | Resistance 4,005–4,040
📉 Outlook: Daily sentiment remains corrective-bearish. Price needs daily close above 4,005 to shift back bullish.
⸻
🔹 H1
• Structure: Lower highs and lower lows persist.
• EMAs: 20/50/200 aligned bearishly; price capped under the 200EMA (~3,978).
• RSI: 39 → mild recovery but still below 50 threshold.
• MACD: Bearish histogram fading; potential short-term relief rally before another drop.
• Zones: Overhead supply 3,955–3,965 + confluence with fib 61.8%.
📉 Outlook: Expect retracement into resistance followed by potential continuation lower.
⸻
🔹 15M–5M
• Minor bullish correction toward 3,950, but structure shows bearish compression.
• Liquidity resting above 3,955, likely to be swept before new leg down.
• MACD flattening; RSI approaching overbought (>60).
📊 Outlook: Watch for CHoCH or bearish engulfing in 3,955–3,965 zone to confirm re-entry short.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis
Swing Reference: 3,993 → 3,916
• 38.2% = 3,946
• 50.0% = 3,955
• 61.8% = 3,964
🎯 Golden Sell Zone: 3,955 – 3,964
Confluence: H1 supply + descending EMA cluster.
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📉 SELL Setup (Main Bias)
• Entry Zone: 3,955 – 3,964 (Golden Zone)
• Confirmation: 5M/15M bearish engulfing or CHoCH after liquidity sweep.
• TPs: 3,940 → 3,930 → 3,916 → 3,898 → 3,886
• SL: Above 3,976
💡 Rationale: Rejection from fib zone aligns with H1 structure continuation; best risk-reward short setup.
⸻
📉 SELL Continuation (Break & Retest)
• Trigger: < 3,930 confirmed break & retest
• Targets: 3,916 → 3,898 → 3,886
• SL: > 3,940
💡 Rationale: Trend continuation setup below local structure, confirming dominance of sellers.
⸻
📈 Countertrend BUY (Scalp)
• Zone: 3,916 – 3,924 (Asia demand)
• Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or double-bottom on 5M.
• Targets: 3,940 → 3,955 → 3,964
• SL: < 3,908
⚠️ Rationale: Pure liquidity scalp against trend; quick exits recommended.
⸻
💥 Breakout Opportunities
• Buy Breakout: > 3,985 → Targets: 4,013 / 4,030
• Sell Breakout: < 3,916 → Targets: 3,898 / 3,886 / 3,860
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Asia session: Low-volume environment; volatility likely after Tokyo open.
• DXY stable around 106.00 → maintains downside pressure on gold.
• US GDP and unemployment claims upcoming — could impact NY sentiment.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Type Levels
Resistance 3,955 / 3,964 / 3,985 / 4,013
Support 3,930 / 3,916 / 3,898 / 3,886
Golden Zone 3,955 – 3,964
Break Buy Trigger > 3,985
Break Sell Trigger < 3,916
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
Gold remains bearish in structure while inside a short-term corrective bounce. The 3,955–3,964 zone offers the highest probability for re-entry shorts with confirmation.
Below 3,930, sellers take control again targeting 3,898–3,886. Only above 3,985 would sentiment shift bullish toward 4,013–4,030.
📈 Institutional Bias: SELL rallies toward 3,955–3,964
📉 Invalidation: Sustained hourly close > 3,985
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📉 Overall Bias: Bearish
🎯 Primary Setup: Sell retracement 3,955–3,964 → Targets 3,916 / 3,886
⚠️ Alternate Setup: Buy scalp 3,916–3,924 (low probability)
🕐 Session Focus: Asia retracement sell or breakout below 3,916
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 29/10/2025 🥇
📊 High volatility, clean recoveries, and strong finishes.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
❌ SELL -40 PIPS
🔻 SELL +40 PIPS
⚪️ BUY LIMIT – Deleted
🔻 SELL LIMIT +40 PIPS
⚪️ BUY LIMIT – Deleted
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
❌ BUY -50 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +80 PIPS
🔻 SELL +210 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 GOLD TOTAL PIPS WON: +380 PIPS
📊 10 Signals → 6 Wins | 2 SL | 2 Deleted
🎯 Accuracy: 75%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 Choppy day, but the team still closed strong — key levels respected with solid recoveries.
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
XAU/USD | Day Trade Bullish Map – Can Gold Reach 3800 This Week?🏆 XAU/USD | Metal Market Wealth Strategy Map (Day Trade) 🥇
🎯 Plan: Bullish Wealth Heist
The thief’s map is drawn — and today, the gold vault is our target.
🔑 Strategy Style (Thief Layering Method):
Instead of a single-entry, this plan uses layered limit orders (multiple entry levels). Think of it as planting “buy traps” across the chart to secure the best loot.
📥 Entry Layers (Buy Limits):
3660 💰
3670 💰
3680 💰
3690 💰
3700 💰
(⚡ Add more layers if your style allows — the thief never comes with just one key!)
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Door):
SL @ 3630 (⚠️ Reminder: This is MY thief escape hatch. You’re free to place your own exit plan depending on risk appetite.)
🎯 Target (Loot Point):
TP @ 3800 (near strong resistance, overbought zone & police patrol 🚨)
— Remember: take profits where you feel safe. The thief escapes when the bag is full!
📊 Thief’s Key Notes
This is a layering strategy, designed for dynamic entries & better position cost-averaging.
XAU/USD often reacts strongly around resistance bands — watch for liquidity hunts before the move.
Don’t marry the trade — grab profit, exit quick, and live to raid another day.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Check)
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Moves in sync with Gold, but can be more volatile.
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation — if USD weakens, gold often rallies.
FX:EURUSD : Another inverse play against USD, gold strength may reflect here.
SP:SPX / PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 : Risk sentiment cousins — equity weakness often boosts gold.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Strategy, shared for educational & fun purposes only. Not financial advice — trade at your own risk.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #DayTrading #TradingStrategy #ThiefTrader #FXCorrelation #Metals #Scalping #TradingView
XAU/USD Metals Outlook: Bullish Path with Layered Buy Entry Plan🔥 XAU/USD: Thief’s Gold Heist Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 💰
🎯 Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) — The Shiny Metal’s Wealth Hunt!📈
Market: Metals Market
🏆 Strategy Vibe: Bullish Bandit Plan with a Thief-Style Layering Twist! 😎
🕵️♂️ The Thief’s Bullish Plan: Steal the Gold!
We’re diving into the XAU/USD market with a bullish swing/day trade setup using a slick Thief Layering Strategy. This involves stacking multiple buy limit orders to catch the price at key levels. No boring single entries here — we’re building a multi-layered trap to snag those pips! 🪤
📊 Key Setup Details
🎯 Entry Levels:
Deploy the Thief Layering Strategy with multiple buy limit orders at:
💰 3760
💰 3780
💰 3800
Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Stack those limits like a master thief planning a heist. 😏
🛑 Stop Loss:
Thief’s SL set at 3720.
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this SL is my take — you’re the boss of your trades! Set your stop loss based on your risk tolerance. Trade smart, steal smarter! 💡
🎉 Take Profit Target:
Aim for the Electric Shop High Voltage Trap at 3920. This zone screams strong resistance, overbought signals, and a potential trap for the unprepared. Escape with your profits before the market zaps you! ⚡️
Note: Thief OG’s, this TP is my suggestion. Grab your profits at your own pace and risk level — make it rain when you’re ready! 💸
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Dollar-Based Correlations)
Keep an eye on these USD-based pairs for market synergy and correlation:
FX:USDJPY : A stronger USD could pressure gold prices, so watch for inverse moves. If USD/JPY spikes, XAU/USD might dip. 📉
OANDA:USDCHF : Another safe-haven pair. If CHF strengthens, it could signal risk-off vibes impacting gold. 👀
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Gold often moves inversely to the dollar. A rising DXY could cap XAU/USD’s upside — stay sharp! 🧠
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Gold’s shiny cousin often follows XAU/USD’s lead. Check for confirmation in silver’s price action. ✨
Why Watch These? Correlations help you spot market sentiment. If USD strengthens across pairs, gold’s bullish run might face resistance. Use these as your Thief’s Radar to time your entries! 🕵️♀️
🔑 Key Points of the Thief Strategy
Layering Entries: Multiple buy limits spread risk and increase chances of catching a favorable entry. Think of it as setting multiple traps for the price! 🪤
Risk Management: The suggested SL at 3720 keeps losses tight, but adjust based on your account size and risk tolerance.
Resistance Watch: The 3920 zone is a high-voltage trap with overbought signals. Secure profits early to avoid getting caught in a reversal. ⚡️
Market Context: Gold thrives in uncertainty, so keep an eye on global events, Fed news, or inflation data that could spark volatility. 📡
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is a Thief-Style Trading Strategy crafted for fun and educational purposes. Trading involves risks, and past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis and trade at your own risk. Stay sneaky, stay safe! 😎
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#️⃣ #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #BullishSetup #ForexTrading #TradingView
XAU/USD Technical Setup ‖ Bullish Momentum or Smart Trap?🏆 XAU/USD: The Golden Heist Blueprint | Swing & Scalp Strategy 💰
📊 Market Overview
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar)
Market: Precious Metals
Strategy Type: Dual Setup - Swing Trading (Bullish) & Day Trading/Scalping (Bearish)
Risk Level: High Volatility Zone ⚠️
🎯 The Master Plan
🚀 Bullish Scenario: "To The Moon" Setup
Breakout Level: $4,400.00
Action: Direct long entry on confirmed breakout above resistance
Logic: Clean break = institutional momentum shift
🔻 Bearish Scenario: Scalping/Day Trade Setup
Breakdown Level: $4,050.00
Action: Short positions on confirmed break below support
⚠️ Trap Alert: Any pullback above $4,050.00 post-breakdown = potential smart money trap. Watch for false breakouts!
🛡️ Risk Management Zone
Stop Loss (Pullback Buy Plan): $3,950.00
⚠️ Disclaimer: This SL is based on my analysis for the bullish pullback scenario. You're the captain of your own ship! Adjust stops according to your risk tolerance, account size, and trading style. Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
🎖️ Profit Targets
Buy Side Target: $4,600.00
Exit Strategy Notes:
Strong resistance confluence at this level
Overbought conditions likely
Potential trap zone for late entries
Recommendation: Scale out profits gradually rather than waiting for the full target
Sell Side Target: $4,050.00
Exit Strategy Notes:
Major support level - expect bounces
High probability of liquidity grab at this zone
Consider partial profit taking before reaching full target
Recommendation: Trail stops as price moves in your favor
⚠️ Disclaimer: These targets are MY analysis, not financial advice. Take profits when YOUR strategy signals, not mine. Trail stops, scale out, or exit based on YOUR plan. Your money, your rules! 💪
🔗 Related Markets to Watch
Correlated Assets:
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - Dollar strength = Gold weakness
GC (Gold Futures): Direct correlation - Institutional positioning indicator
XAUEUR (Gold vs Euro): Alternative safe-haven flow gauge
US10Y (10-Year Treasury Yield): Inverse correlation - Rising yields pressure Gold
BTCUSD (Bitcoin): Risk-on/risk-off sentiment indicator
Key Fundamental Drivers:
Fed monetary policy & interest rate decisions
Inflation data (CPI/PCE reports)
Geopolitical tensions (safe-haven demand)
Real yields & opportunity cost
🔑 Key Technical Points
✅ Breakout Confirmation: Wait for candle close above/below key levels
✅ Volume Analysis: High volume breakouts = higher probability
✅ Smart Money Traps: Watch for failed breakouts and liquidity grabs
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Calculate before entry - minimum 1:2 recommended
✅ Market Structure: Respect higher timeframe trends
🎭 Trading Psychology Reminder
This strategy has a playful "heist" theme for entertainment, but make no mistake — treat your capital with serious respect. The market doesn't care about our plans. Adapt, manage risk, and preserve capital above all else.
Remember:
No setup is guaranteed
Always use stop losses
Never risk your rent money
Emotions are the enemy
The market pays patient traders
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#XAUUSD #Gold #GoldTrading #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Scalping #TechnicalAnalysis #PreciousMetals #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #Forex #GoldAnalysis #TradingIdeas #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #Breakout #SupportAndResistance #TradingView #ForexSignals
Happy trading, and may the pips be ever in your favor! 🎯💎
Gold Breakdown Alert! Bears Aiming $3980 NextGold is currently showing a descending triangle / bearish channel pattern on the 15-minute chart. After testing the upper trendline resistance around 4113–4115, price has started to reject, indicating potential downward pressure.
The trendlines show clear lower highs and lower lows, confirming a short-term bearish structure. Volume is also decreasing on upward moves, suggesting weakening buying momentum.
📉 Trade Setup (Scalping / Intraday)
Signal: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD below 4105
Entry Zone: 4105 – 4110
Target 1: 4050
Target 2: 3980
Stop Loss: 4135
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2
⚙️ Technical Indicators
Trendline Resistance: 4115
Support Zone: 4050 / 3980
Momentum: Bearish bias
Structure: Lower highs forming under descending resistance
💬 Analyst View
Gold may continue its short-term correction phase if it fails to hold above the 4110 resistance zone. A breakout below 4100 could trigger a fresh wave of selling pressure targeting the 4050 area initially.
If bulls reclaim 4135, this analysis becomes invalid and could shift bias to neutral.
XAU/USD – Key Resistance Zone Test Ahead of Breakout DecisionCME_MINI:NQ1! GPW:FW201! GPW:FCDR1! GPW:FDNP1! GPW:FW401! GPW:FPEO1! GPW:FCDR1! GPW:FALE1! GPW:FMBK1! Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 15-minute chart
🔍 Technical Analysis Summary
1. Trend Context
The chart shows a recent downtrend after a strong bullish rally.
A descending channel is drawn with two “TRADE LINE” boundaries — upper and lower.
Price is currently trading near the upper boundary of this bearish channel.
2. Resistance Zone
The highlighted resistance area around $4,270–$4,280 aligns with:
The upper trade line of the channel.
A previous support-turned-resistance level.
This makes it a key decision zone for potential reversals or breakouts.
3. Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout (Blue Path)
If price breaks and closes above the resistance zone and upper channel:
A bullish move could target around $4,382 (the marked upper target).
Confirmation would come with a retest of the broken resistance that holds as new support.
This move aligns with a trend reversal structure (break of market structure).
4. Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection (Purple Path)
If price fails to break above the resistance and gets rejected:
Expect a pullback continuation within the descending channel.
The next downside target is around $4,185, as labeled on the chart.
This would maintain the short-term bearish momentum.
🧭 Summary Outlook
Scenario Condition Target Bias
Bullish breakout Break & close above $4,280 $4,382 Reversal potential
Bearish rejection Rejection from resistance zone $4,185 Continuation of downtrend
⚠️ Key Watchpoints
Watch for price action confirmation (strong candle close) near the resistance zone.
A false breakout is possible; confirmation via retest is crucial.
Volatility spikes around this level could indicate institutional interest.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold had a strong pullback on Friday following last week’s sharp rally and is now consolidating between 4,279 and 4,227. The retracement has allowed the market to cool off after consecutive all-time highs, while buyers are still defending the First Reaction Zone (4,227–4,192).
Price remains above the MA200, maintaining the broader bullish structure, but continues to struggle reclaiming the MA50, which now acts as short-term resistance. A break above 4,279 could re-ignite bullish momentum toward 4,321 and 4,362, while a failure to hold 4,227 may invite deeper correction toward 4,151–4,117.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4279
4321
4362
4406
Support:
4227
4192
4151
4117
🔎 Fundamental focus:
This week’s calendar features key U.S. data releases, including Flash PMIs, Durable Goods Orders, and Consumer Sentiment, though many reports risk delay due to the ongoing government shutdown. The blackout continues to cloud market visibility and reinforce safe-haven demand for gold.
Trap Alert: Gold’s Pullback Could Fuel the Next Bounce!Gold continues to retreat in the short term, currently testing the strength of support at 4300. From the current technical perspective, although gold has repeatedly come under pressure at the 4370-4380 area, forming a multiple top structure in the short term, limiting upside potential in the short term, as gold continues to decline, the current resistance area has shifted down to 4235-4245.
Although gold is retreating under pressure, the overall bullish trend remains strong until it breaks below this key area. The current support structure after the top-bottom conversion lies in the 4290-4280 area. If gold cannot fall below this area during the pullback, then gold still has the potential to rebound to the 4230-4240 area. Therefore, even if we see gold prices continue to retreat, we should not rush to short gold during this pullback.
Instead, consider short-term trading:
We can continue to try to go long on gold with the 4290-4280 area as support. Of course, for short-term trading, the rebound target can be aimed at the 4320-4330 area!
Relentless Rally:Gold Won’t Rest Until 4500!?The 4300 series chapter has begun as expected, with gold continuing its strong upward trend, currently reaching a high near 4381. However, it is clear that after encountering resistance in the 4370-4380 area three times, gold has shown clear signs of a pullback. This could lead to the formation of a triple top structure in the short term, suppressing gold prices in the short term.
However, relatively speaking, as gold continues to rise, testing the 4280 area during the pullback before rebounding again, technical support has shifted to the 4320-4310 area. Furthermore, the validation of the pullback and the current strong upward trend will strengthen the support in this area to a certain extent, thus supporting gold's rebound.
Therefore, for the current short-term trade:
1. First, try to continue shorting gold with resistance at 4370-4380, targeting a pullback to the 4350-4340 area.
2. Once gold retraces to the 4320-4310 area, consider going long on gold, targeting the 4340-4350 area.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues its historic rally, printing new all-time highs almost daily. Price is currently hovering around 4,356, consolidating just below the 4,385 resistance after a steep vertical move higher.
Momentum remains strong, with price holding well above both the MA50 and MA200, confirming that buyers remain firmly in control.
Immediate resistance sits at 4,385, followed by 4,406, 4,425, and 4,445. If price fails to break above 4,356, watch the First Reaction Zone (4,329–4,307) for a potential minor pullback.
Failure to hold this zone could open the way for a deeper correction toward lower support areas in line with the moving averages.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4356
4385
4406
4425
4445
Support:
4329
4307
4280
4257
4235
4205
🔎 Fundamental focus:
The U.S. government shutdown and ongoing U.S.–China trade tensions continue to cloud market sentiment, driving investors toward safe-haven assets. The uncertainty has created a “no-ceiling” environment for gold, where every dip is quickly absorbed and traders keep chasing fresh all-time highs amid strong momentum and risk aversion.
Farewell to 4200 — The 4300 Era Begins!Gold has currently reached a high near 4295, just shy of 4300. Given the current upward momentum, it's easy for gold to continue its upward trend and test 4300. Because gold continues to hit new highs and break through the trend channel, there's currently no clear resistance zone above it, making it difficult to enter a short position in gold. Furthermore, a break above 4300 could significantly ignite bullish market sentiment and increase expectations for continued gold gains, pushing the price higher.
Therefore, we're primarily focusing on relatively significant support areas below. As gold's center of gravity continues to shift upward, its lows are gradually rising. Short-term support is concentrated in the 4265-4255 area, while further strong support lies in the 4240-4230 area. These two areas will be the long entry areas that we will focus on next.
Therefore, in short-term trading:
1. If gold first retreats to the 4265-4255 area, we can consider starting a long position in gold.
2. If gold continues to retreat to the 4240-4230 area, we can consider increasing our long position in gold.
3. If you still want to try to profit from the pullback, you can consider shorting gold in the 4298-4308 area. You must set a protection level (SL: 4300-4310) for counter-trend trading.
If you’re following this rally, don’t just watch — prepare your next move.
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Mission Complete: 4245-4250:Time to Flip Short on Gold!Gold has already reached a high of around 4246, and its upward momentum has relatively weakened. To be honest, under the current market conditions, I do not advocate aggressively chasing gold above 4240, because as gold continues to rise, more and more callback risks are accumulated! We can also see that each surge in gold is followed by a clear pullback. So even if we choose to short gold, we can still get a good profit margin in the short term!
Although gold is on an overall upward trend, I still divide the rising channel into three areas; the first area: 4250-4220; the second area: 4220-4190, and the third area: 4190-4160. As gold rises, the technical traction of the lower area on the gold price becomes stronger. Therefore, according to the first area division, in the short term, gold has the need to at least retreat to the area near 4220. Even after falling below the area near 4220, it may continue the downward trend to the 4220-4190 area.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, I would prioritize trying to short gold in the 4245-4255 area, first targeting the short-term retracement area: 4230-4220 as the target.
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The Charge Sounds Again — Marching Toward 4240–4250!Currently, gold has once again hit a new high in a volatile upward manner and touched around 4228. Although the bullish momentum has slowed down compared with before, it still has enough strength to control the situation and dominate. Coupled with the support of multiple safe-haven factors, the market bulls can still continue to move upward after a brief rest!
It can be clearly seen from the current technical form and structure that gold has rebounded again after retreating to the area near 4180 several times. There are many obvious lower shadows in the candle chart. It can be seen that gold has built a new rising relay platform near 4180 in the short term. Gold may use this as a springboard to continue to rise and launch a charge towards the 4240-4250 area in the short term!
According to the trend structure, as the center of gravity of gold continues to move up, the support area has moved up to the 4215-4205 area in the short term. If gold cannot fall below this area during the retracement, gold may continue to rise with this as support. Then, the first thing we need to pay attention to is the 4240-4250 area.
So, for short-term trading:
1. If gold first retreats to the 4215-4205 area, we can consider going long on gold in small quantities. Since the entry level is relatively high, it's important to set up protection measures during the trade.
2. If gold continues to rise to the 4240-4250 area, if gold first touches this area, we can consider going short on gold in small quantities. Since this is a counter-trend trade, it's also important to set up protection measures during the trade.
Profit Both Ways — Double the Trades, Double the Thrill !After gold hit above 4210, it showed obvious signs of stagflation. First, after gold touched around 4218, it retreated to around 4164; secondly, after gold touched around 4212 during the rebound, it retreated again to around 4179.While the two pullbacks were limited, they also indicate that after gold's strong rally, the market is beginning to diverge and diverge.
We can use the ABC rule to determine the position of D. Based on the chart composition, D is around 4160. That is to say, in the short term, gold has the need to retreat to around 4160 again, and this area is also a strong defense line for bulls. If this defense area is broken, gold may continue its downward trend and test the bull-bear dividing line of 4140-4130.
So after a clear rejection signal appears, I think we can continue to try to short gold in the 4205-4215 area. The retracement target area is first located in the 4180-4160 area; and once gold retreats to the 4160-4150 area, we can wait for an opportunity to rejoin the gold long trade!
Sell the Rip, Buy the Dip —Double Profit on Gold’s MoveGold currently hit a high of around 4218 and is currently retreating slightly. However, it quickly rebounded to above 4200 after just retreating to around 4164. It can be clearly seen that it is still far from the level of panic selling, so the current retreat is only regarded as a healthy technical retreat.
The market has a high degree of recognition and participation in the current continued rise in gold prices, and expectations for a pullback in the short term should not be too large. With the support of multiple risk-averse factors in the market, and the resonance of news and technical factors, the market's bullish sentiment is high. It is not ruled out that every effective technical pullback in gold is a good time to participate in long trading.
Judging from the current morphological structure, gold is under pressure from the resistance zone of the trend channel and has not been able to stand above 4200 in the short term. There is a technical need for a retracement, so gold is likely to continue to fall and test the support of the 4155-4145 area. If gold fails to fall below this support area during its downward exploration, gold may continue to rebound based on this support area and hit the area around 4230.
So for short-term trading:
1. First, we can try shorting gold in the 4185-4195 area, initially targeting the 4160-4150 area.
2. After gold retraces to the 4155-4145 area, we can try going long again, initially targeting the 4200-4210 area.
We first consider shorting gold, and after gold effectively retreats, we will wait for an opportunity to go long on gold. In this way, we can capture every volatile profit as much as possible and avoid profit loss!
XAU/USD 15 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS, however, I will apply discretion and not classify it as such due to the insignificant depth of pullback relative to recent price action.
At the time of this analysis price is continuing to print bullish without pause, which, as a result, I am unable to confirm a fractal high.
Current bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Intraday expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
At the time of this analysis price is continuing bullish without puase, therefore, I am unable to confirm a fractal high.
Intraday expectation:
Allow price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Explosive Battle Ahead — Can Gold Smash Through 4180 Again?Gold retreated $90 from 4180 to around 4090, then hit the 4100-4090 area twice before rebounding, and is currently consolidating around 4150. Although the short-term retracement of gold is not small, it is obvious that it has not destroyed the upward trend and pattern structure. However, it has exacerbated market differences to a certain extent and also increased short-term volatility. First, 4160 represents the 23.6% retracement level. Next, we must closely monitor two areas. First, 4160 represents the 23.6% retracement level of the recent short-term rally. If gold fails to break through this area during its subsequent rebound, it could form a technical M-shaped double top with the 4180 high in the short term, favoring a downward trend for gold and potentially leading to a further correction.
Second, we must pay close attention to the area around 4125, which represents the 61.8% retracement level of the recent short-term rally. If gold remains above 4125 during its subsequent pullback, it indicates that the bullish trend in gold has not ended and that it may continue to reach new highs.
Based on the above considerations, regarding short-term trading:
1. First, we can consider shorting gold in small quantities in the 4150-4160 area, and then patiently wait for gold to retrace.
2. Once gold retreats to the 4125-4115 area, we can try to go long again, and then patiently wait for gold to rebound further, or even retest the recent high near 4180.
4100 Breakout in Sight! Gold Bulls Target 4130 Next!Gold is still maintaining a strong upward position and has broken through the recent high of 4050-4060 in the short term. There is no clear suppression area above and no obvious signs of turning back. According to the current structural form, gold still has the potential to continue to rise and is expected to hit 4100 or even around 4130. Currently, we need to pay special attention to three areas:
1. Market sentiment: around 4100;
2. Key area for continued gains: around 4130;
3. Short-term support below: 4055-4045.
Therefore, when executing short-term trades, we should avoid excessively chasing gold prices. We can consider waiting for gold to retreat to the 4055-4045 area before initiating small long positions.
If you’re following this rally, don’t just watch — prepare your next move.
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Bulls Regain Control!Is 4100 the Next Big Target?After touching the 3945-3955 area three times during the week, gold rebounded quickly and showed a clear lower shadow in the candle chart. It also showed an oscillating upward structure in the short-term structure, and formed a secondary springboard in the 3970-3980 area to rise again, and closed above 4010 on Friday. It can be seen that after the gold pullback, the bulls regained dominance and continued the bullish trend.
The short-term technical structure is biased towards bulls, the center of gravity is gradually moving up, and the buying support below is strong. I believe that gold still has the potential to continue to rise. The current short-term resistance of gold is in the 3930-3940 area. Once gold breaks through this resistance area, it could retest the previous highs of 3950-3960, or even extend its upward trend to around 4100.
So, how do you execute the trade next? I think we can consider going long on gold when it retraces to the 4000-3990 area, initially aiming for a short-term upside target of the 4030-4040 area.
Gold is showing renewed bullish momentum as buyers defend the 3970 zone.
Could this be the start of another strong rally toward 4100?
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Gold vs Dollar – Bullish Confirmation & Risk Management PlanXAU/USD "The Gold vs US Dollar" - Metal Market Cash Flow Management Strategy ⚡ (Swing/Day Trade)
📊 Trading Plan:
✅ Bias : Bullish confirmation spotted as Hull Moving Average shows an upside pullback trend.
✅ Entry Idea : Flexible entry with layering strategy (scaling in with multiple limit orders) :
$3650
$3660
$3670
$3680
( You can add more layers depending on your risk and strategy preference. )
🛡️ Risk Management:
Suggested Protective Stop Loss : around $3630 (after breakout levels).
⚠️ Note : Please adjust SL based on your personal strategy and risk tolerance — this is not a fixed recommendation.
🎯 Target Outlook:
Short-term resistance expected near $3740 (where moving averages converge + overbought conditions may trigger profit-taking traps).
Idea: secure profits before market reversals.
⚠️ Note : Target levels are flexible. You can adjust according to your own plan and market conditions.
🔑 Key Points:
Hull MA Pullback → signals bullish continuation.
Layered Entry → improves average price & manages volatility.
Exit Discipline → respect your risk plan, don't rely solely on posted SL/TP.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation & Flow):
🟢 OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver/USD) → Often moves in tandem with gold, can confirm metal market strength.
🟢 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) → Inverse correlation with gold; weak USD = stronger gold.
🟢 FX:EURUSD → Euro strength usually aligns with gold bullish momentum.
🟢 FX:USDJPY → Safe-haven flows: when JPY strengthens, gold tends to follow.
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