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Bull Fever Cools：The Market Still Owes Us a WaterfallAs I expected, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and Powell did not show a clear dovish tone in his speech. Gold fell from 3707 to around 3646, with a drop of $610. Our short positions at 3685 and 3700 that we had ambushed overnight won as expected, and we successfully locked in a profit of 750 pips in the news market. Although the Federal Reserve is inclined to take a hawkish approach to rate cuts, gold has rebounded from around 3646. Although it has performed relatively weakly, the downward momentum has slowed down and a unilateral downward trend has not formed. Overall, it is still in the high-level fluctuation range. So we can't rush to short gold at the moment. Because gold still has the possibility of rebounding back to the 3675-3685 area, and may even be expected to rebound back to the 3690-3700 area. After all, gold did not effectively fall below 3650 during the decline. Although the decline in gold prices did not change the overall structure, it weakened the market's enthusiastic bullish sentiment in the short term, and the technical resistance also moved down to the 3675-3685 area, followed by the 3695-3705 resistance area. If gold rebounds to the resistance area, we can try to short gold, and the short-term retracement target is set in the 3655-3645 area. Once gold falls below this area, it is expected to continue the downward trend to the 3635-3625 area. Of course, it is not ruled out that gold will fluctuate widely in the 3690-3650 area. Therefore, we can still make very good profits from the perspective of profit margin by shorting gold at the resistance areas of 3675-3685 .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Fed Catalyst: The Bear AwakensGold rebounded after touching 3660 and is currently fluctuating in a narrow range around 3685. Gold is currently trading relatively cautiously, apparently waiting for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision to indicate its short-term direction. How to formulate a trading plan for the Federal Reserve interest rate decision market? In fact, in the short term, I think there will not be much room for gold to continue to rise, and the short-term peak may be in the 3705-3715 area; in addition, regarding the expectation of interest rate cuts, I think the Federal Reserve will adopt a step-by-step approach to announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut, and as for Powell’s attitude, I think it may rely more on the feedback from US employment data and inflation data to decide whether to continue to cut interest rates within the year. The attitude may not be obviously dovish, so I think there is limited room for short-term increases. Since I think the short-term peak of gold is in the 3705-3715 area, and the short-term resistance area is around 3690. Therefore, I will definitely ambush and short gold before the news is announced. Of course, the transaction needs to be set up in combination with the risk resistance ability of my account. At present, I tend to divide the upper space into two areas, namely 3685-3695 and 3705-3715. I will mainly short gold in batches around these two areas. Once gold falls as expected, I think it will first test the intraday low around 3660. Once it falls below this area, I think gold is likely to continue to test the area around 3635-3625. As for whether gold can take advantage of this opportunity to test the area around 3600. I believe I will overcome my greed and will not take risks to gamble for gains beyond my cognition. I will need to make a secondary judgment based on market fluctuations at that time.In any case, I would favor a short gold setup, so let’s hope for a bearish recovery!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Rate Decision Looms: Short Sellers Poised to StrikeGold continued to decline and is currently supported around 3660 and showing signs of rebound. I don’t hold any orders at the moment because I am currently preparing for the Federal Reserve interest rate decision news market! In fact, I have made part of the plan yesterday and today. Until now, I still tend to believe that the gold market will rise and then fall, but we must grasp the trading rhythm and entry price in the transaction. In fact, before the Fed's interest rate announcement, gold retreated to around 3660. After this significant retreat, we can lower our expectations for a gold rally on news. Based on the current structure, the upper limit for gold bulls lies in the 3710-3720 area, and it's possible that the 3703 area has become the current high. As gold retreats to around 3660, bullish momentum has weakened, and short-term resistance has shifted to the 3680-3690 area. Therefore, I might consider initiating a short position in gold in this area. If gold falls below the 3660-3650 range due to market news, it could continue its decline to the 3635-3625 range. Since we currently hold no positions, we have the initiative in trading. As long as we allocate lots appropriately and strictly control risk, it's difficult not to make a profit! So, let's wish you good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
False Break at 3700:Retreating Toward 3680-3670Currently, the highest price of gold has reached around 3699, and it is only one step away from the 3700 mark! I have to say that against the backdrop of significantly increased market expectations for interest rate cuts, the resonance of technical and news factors has pushed up gold prices. The current bullish momentum is strong, and there has been almost no obvious pullback during the rise. At this stage, most of these are tricks played by big funds, and it is actually difficult for retail investors to participate in long transactions. Therefore, at this stage, I will not rush to chase the rise in gold prices. From an intraday perspective, gold still has the potential to hit the 3700-3710 area, so my latest trading plan is to continue shorting gold near this area. With gold bulls so strong, why I am still optimistic about a gold pullback. The main reason is that the current market is facing a critical time window. The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision tomorrow, but I think the Federal Reserve may announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut in a step-by-step manner, rather than the 50 basis points expected by the market. If the rate falls far short of market expectations, gold could experience a significant pullback or even a crash. However, the sharp rise in gold prices near the Fed's rate decision suggests it may be an attempt to reserve room for further declines. In addition, based on the current trading volume, the small trading volume may not be able to support the continued upward trend of gold. It is for this reason that while I avoid chasing high gold prices, I also always remain optimistic about gold shorts. Therefore, at this stage, I would consider shorting gold in batches based on market price performance. By effectively raising the average entry price, we can reap the first bite of the pie after gold prices fall. However, we must note that short-term support for gold currently lies in the 3680-3670 area, with strong structural support below that at 3660-3650. Therefore, in order to lock in profits in time, these two support areas will be our primary target areas for short trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Rally Before the Fed: A Trap or Treasure for Bears?Gold hit a new high again, and the current highest has reached around 3685. After gold consolidated at a high level for several trading days, the bulls launched a strong attack again, and it seems that there are signs of trying to hit 3700. However, the current gold market is at a critical node and cycle, so I do not advocate continuing to chase gold; on the contrary, I will choose to short gold at every high as the gold price rises! Gold rose sharply as the Federal Reserve was about to announce its interest rate decision, and hit a new high again! Against the backdrop of interest rate cut expectations, it is easy to push market sentiment to a climax! When the market is caught in a long-term frenzy, it may also be an opportunity for large funds to quietly exit the market. Therefore, I think the purpose of gold's sharp rise before the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision is very clear. The first is to reserve room for decline for the news market in advance, and the second is to attract most retail investors in the market to take over. So I think the turning point of gold is coming soon! So for short traders, I think this rise is not a risk, but an opportunity! Gold may collapse based on the phenomenon of "buying expectations and selling facts", so I think we need to short gold at its rallies before the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision. However, I would like to point out that when shorting gold in batches, we must control the number of lots traded to reduce trading risk! For short-term trading, I believe we can short gold in batches above 3680, with a short-term retracement target of 3660-3650. If gold falls below this area, it may even continue to retrace to the current rising point of 3635-3625.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Bearish Pressure Mounts: Will 3600 Hold or Collapse?In the short term, gold has not been able to stand above 3655 during multiple rebounds, and even closed below 3650 at the close of last Friday. Although it is far from the level of collapse, there are obvious signs of profit-taking in some chips. As the center of gravity of gold slowly shifts, the short-term resistance area will gradually move down to the 3635-3645 area. If gold cannot break through this area during repeated fluctuations, the market's downward momentum will be further strengthened! It should be noted that although the center of gravity of gold is gradually shifting downward, the overall bullish structure is still maintained; and against the backdrop of interest rate cut expectations, gold's retracement space should be limited before the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision. The first thing we need to pay attention to is the support of the recent low point of 3615-3605. Gold is likely to rebound again after testing the support of this area, and take this opportunity to try to intensify short-term volatility! However, once gold falls below the support of this area, it may continue to the 3590-3580 area. Therefore, for short-term trading, since gold is still fluctuating in the support and resistance areas, it can be treated as regional fluctuations for the time being; but as the center of gravity of gold gradually moves downward and 3675 is expected to become a temporary high point, we can maintain the strategy of shorting at high levels as the main strategy, supplemented by the idea of going long at low levels. 1. Consider shorting gold against the resistance zone of 3635-3645, with the primary retracement target at 3620-3610. 2. If gold fails to break below the 3615-3605 area during a pullback, we could consider going long on gold, with the primary rebound target at 3630-3640.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Bulls and Bears Poised to StrikeGold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range around 3635-3655, with no clear signs of a breakthrough. However, judging from the current structure, gold has been showing an overall volatile upward trend since it rebounded near 3615. What needs to be paid close attention to at present is the support performance near 3635. If gold can stand firmly above 3635, it will perfectly maintain the volatile upward structure and provide the prerequisite for breaking through the short-term resistance area of 3655-3665. Once gold uses this as a basis and breaks through the 3655-3665 area, then gold is expected to set a new high again, and even hit the area near 3700. Since the bulls are still in an advantageous position and the overall structure of the market is oscillating upward, we have no reason not to execute long trades based on the long structure. Therefore, I think that in short-term trading, we can consider going moderately long on gold in the 3640-3630 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Quiet Storm：Bulls vs Bears in Waiting！Under the influence of CPI and initial jobless claims data, gold rose directly to the area around 3644. The short-term rise seems exaggerated, but it did not stand firmly above 3650, and even failed to reach the intraday high of 3649. The release of bullish momentum was relatively convergent; it can be clearly seen from the short-term candlestick chart that gold showed long upper shadows many times in the short term, and the trajectory and structure began to shift downward, and tested support downward many times, which also proved that the short-selling force was gradually recovering after being suppressed. However, gold rebounded after touching the 3620-3610 support area several times during the retracement. Although the bullish momentum has declined in the short term, the bullish structure has not been completely destroyed, so the overall structure is still controlled by the bulls, and the bullish force still has enough strength to support gold. Overall, as the bulls become more cautious and the bears gradually recover, gold is expected to maintain high-level fluctuations in the short term, and the fluctuation range is likely to remain in the 3655-3615 area. Therefore, for short-term trading, we can strictly stick to the trading points and execute high-selling and low-buying transactions within the area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold Bulls vs Bears! Who Will Win the $XAUUSD Battle?🏆 "The Golden Layer Cake Strategy" - XAU/USD Bullish Swing Plan 🎯 ✨ Calling all savvy traders! ✨ Ready to layer into a potential Gold breakout? This systematic approach is designed to capitalize on bullish momentum while managing risk through strategic entry layers. Here’s the detailed blueprint: 📜 🔑 Key Details: Asset: XAU/USD (Gold) Bias: Bullish Style: Swing Trading / Position Building Strategy: Multi-Layer Limit Order Entry ⚡ Entry Strategy (The Layering Method): To optimize your average entry price, consider using multiple BUY LIMIT orders at key support levels: Layer 1: 3420.00 Layer 2: 3440.00 Layer 3: 3460.00 Layer 4: 3480.00 You can adjust the number of layers and prices based on your personal risk management and market conditions. 🛑 Stop Loss: A conservative stop loss can be placed below a significant support zone at 3370.00. Disclaimer: Always adjust your stop loss based on your individual risk tolerance, account size, and trading strategy. 🎯 Take Profit: We are targeting a strong resistance zone around 3600.00. A more ambitious target sits at 3650.00 for those who wish to trail their stops. Secure profits on the way up! 📊 Market Context & Rationale: This plan is based on identifying potential value areas on the pullback for a continued bullish move. The layered entry allows us to build a position gracefully without chasing the market. 📊 XAU/USD Real-Time Data Report 🤝 Retail & Institutional Sentiment Retail Traders Long (Bullish): 28% 😊 Short (Bearish): 72% 😟 Institutional Traders Bullish positions increasing, showing confidence in gold as a safe-haven asset. 🏦 😨💸 Fear & Greed Index Mood: Neutral → leaning Greedy Markets expect Fed rate cuts, boosting gold demand. 🌍 Fundamental Score Rating: 7/10 (Positive) Key Drivers: Weakening US Dollar from expected Fed cuts 📉 Geopolitical tensions supporting safe-haven demand ⚠️ Ongoing central bank gold buying 🏦 📈 Macro Score Rating: 6.5/10 (Moderately Bullish) Factors: High probability of US rate cut in September (~85%) 📅 Rising bond yields may cap gains 📈 Global economic uncertainty 🌎 🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook Bias: Bullish (Long) 🚀 Gold remains in a strong uptrend, supported by fundamentals, macro drivers, and institutional flows. ✨ Summary Gold is bullish 📈 with strong support from fundamentals and macro conditions. Retail traders lean bearish 😟, but institutions and sentiment favor upward momentum. Any dips are seen as buying opportunities 🤑 ⚠️ Risk Warning & Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR). High-impact news events can cause increased volatility—manage your risk accordingly. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Only risk capital you are willing to lose.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
Bulls vs Bears: Race to 3700 or 3600 ?!Currently, gold is fluctuating above the 3640 line. We can clearly see that gold has not effectively fallen below 3640 during multiple pullbacks in the short term. This proves that during the pullback period of gold, a lot of funds have entered the market, thereby pushing the gold price to fluctuate upward. However, during the upward fluctuation, gold encountered resistance and fell back in the 3655-3660 area many times, exacerbating the short-term volatility trend! But we need to note that gold has rebounded since 3620 and formed a band-like low point structure; and it has tested 3640 many times and has not fallen below it, showing signs of forming a band-like secondary low point structure. Judging from the characteristics of the low point gradually rising, the current bullish force has a slight advantage, so short-term trading is still dominated by going long on gold. Judging from the current structure, the short-term support area below is located in the 3635-3625 area, followed by the 3615-3605 area; and the short-term resistance is located near 3660. If gold breaks through the area near 3660 during the volatile upward process, gold may test the high point area near 3675. Once the high point near 3675 is refreshed again, it is expected to directly touch around 3700. Therefore, it is not completely certain that gold has peaked at present, and we should not blindly chase short gold in trading; on the contrary, when gold retreats to the support area of 3635-3625, we can try to go long on gold, first aiming at the target area: 3660-3670, and once it breaks through this area, the target area will be postponed to the 3690-3700 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Battle Lines Drawn — Which Comes First, 3700 or 3600?Gold started to fall from around 3675, but failed to effectively fall below 3620 many times during the retracement, so the current retracement cannot be regarded as a market reversal. If the gold market has really peaked, I think the minimum requirement is to effectively fall below 3620, but it is obvious that this condition has not been met yet. Under the current conditions, it can only be regarded as a pullback correction. So at this stage of trading, we cannot be overly bearish on gold. Currently, gold bulls and bears are competing with each other for control, and the price will remain in a wide range of fluctuations in the short term. However, since gold rebounded from 3620, the bullish structure has not been destroyed. The short-term support below is in the 3635-3625 area, and further strong support is in the 3615-3605 area. If gold fails to break below the 3635-3625 area, it will favor bulls and could serve as a springboard for further gains. Once gold continues its upward trend and breaks through the 3665 area, it could potentially reach the 3680-3690 area. Therefore, in short-term trading, since gold remains bullish, we can continue to buy gold within the 3635-3625 support area, with the primary target being the 3660-3670 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PriceSniper_Steffen
2
Intensifying Bear Grip: Can 3610–3600 Save the Bulls?Gold started to retreat from around 3675, and has now retreated to the lowest point of 3620-3610. According to the current market performance, we can clearly see that the rebound high point of gold after the retreat is gradually decreasing, and the control of the short position is further increasing. Yesterday, according to my trading model, my prediction that gold may usher in another 600pips retreat has been realized, and we have also won a big victory in the short transaction. It can be said that we have become the first echelon to reap the dividends from the short transaction. Then, will the high-rise building that the gold market has worked so hard to build collapse? In fact, from a macroeconomic and technical perspective, gold's bullish trend remains intact, supported by expectations of rate cuts and safe-haven demand, which will, to a certain extent, limit any potential pullback. From a capital perspective, some funds may be taking profits, but the current retracement is far from panic selling. Furthermore, as gold gradually retreats, a large amount of funds that have not yet entered the market in a timely manner may flow into the market, further pushing up gold prices. From a technical perspective, after the pullback, the rebound high of gold has gradually moved down from 3655 to 3650 and 3640, while the retracement low has also moved down simultaneously. The current lowest has reached around 3620, and there are signs of further pullback. However, we need to note that in the short term, gold is still technically supported in the 3610-3600 area, while strong support is in the 3590-3580 area. Therefore, from a short-term perspective, the retracement space may not be sufficient, so I do not advocate shorting gold directly. On the contrary, we can wait for gold to rebound to the 3640-3650 area and then moderately consider shorting gold, because as gold gradually retreats, the 3635-3645 area has become the current short-term resistance area. Therefore, for short-term trading, since gold has rebounded after touching 3620 many times, and is technically supported by the 3610-3600 area in the short term, we can consider starting to try to go long on gold in the 3620-3610 area; after gold rebounds to the 3635-3645 area, we can moderately consider shorting gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
High-Level Consolidation: A Playground for Both Bulls and BearsToday, I clearly predicted that "cyclical patterns suggest a 600-pips drop in gold." Gold surged to around 3675 before retreating, reaching a low of around 3626, a fluctuation of 490 pips. It was very close to my expectation, so according to my trading model, I won a big victory in long and short trading today! Day Trading Results: 1. First, we shorted gold near 3658 and closed the trade at TP: 3638, for a profit of 200 pips. 2. We shorted gold twice at 3655-3656, closing the positions manually at 3647 and 3645, respectively, for a total profit of 190 pips. 3. We shorted gold in batches near 3667 and 3673, closing the trade at TP: 3650, for a total profit of 400 pips. 4. We longed gold in batches near 3632 and 3628, closing the trade at TP: 3642, for a total profit of 240 pips. Thus, today's total profit on both long and short trades was 1030 pips. I am very satisfied with today's trading model and results. As for my view on the gold market in the future, I believe that the current gold market is still in an environment of interest rate cut expectations, and the macroeconomic background still has a significant supporting effect on gold. The current bullish trend of gold has not changed, and short-term fluctuations will not affect the overall direction. Therefore, before the interest rate cut is implemented (the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision on September 17), gold will still maintain an upward structure. Judging from the candlestick chart, as long as gold remains above 3600, gold will remain in a bullish structure and maintain an overall upward trend. Although gold began to retreat after touching around 3675, and the bullish momentum no longer seems strong, I believe that gold has limited room for retreat in the short term. Even if the bulls no longer recover their previous strong momentum, gold is expected to maintain a high-level volatile trend, with the short-term support below at 3630-3620. If it is difficult for gold to fall below this area in the short term, gold may still hit the 3670-3680 area during the rebound. Therefore, in the next short-term trading, if gold first retreats to the 3630-3620 area, we can consider trying to go long on gold, first looking at the 3650-3660 target area；If gold touches the 3670-3680 area again during the rebound, we can still try to short gold again, and the retracement target will first look at the 3655-3645 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold’s Power Play: Bubble or Break?After gold touched around 3659 during the day, it retreated to our primary target area as expected: 3640-3630 area. In this short transaction, we actually made a profit of 200pips, which is a relatively good trade. There is no doubt that gold is still in a unilateral upward trend and may continue to around 3670 in the short term, but at the current stage, I would rather wait and see on the sidelines than rush to chase the rise in gold, because I really don’t want to be hanging on a tree and swinging. What is unstoppable is that I will still try to short gold by touching the top in the high area along the current trend line. Judging from the recent fluctuations, since I don’t have the courage to chase the rise of gold, in order to participate in market transactions, I will try to short gold based on the principle of touching the high point of the trend line. It is not too difficult to earn a profit margin of 100-200 pips in short trading. According to the current trend line constructed, the current upward extension space is around 3670, while the intraday high is around 3660. Therefore, in short-term trading, we can still continue to try to short gold by using the short-term high point area of 3660-3670 as resistance. The primary short-term target is still the 3640-3630 area. Once gold falls below this area, the target area will be moved to the 3610-3600 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Cyclic Patterns Point to 600-Pip Downside in GoldUnfortunately, gold failed to reach the expected 3620 target area during the pullback. It only touched around 3628 in the early morning hours before rebounding again. During this period, because I saw that gold could not fall below 3628, and even could not fall below 3630 at one point, I promptly closed all short positions near 3630. Although the two transactions suffered losses due to the slightly lower entry price, because we added short positions near 3636 and 3646, the overall profit was still $10K. Gold has now rebounded again and continued its upward trend to around 3657, continuing its upward trend. However, aside from opportunities to enter the long position in the 3630-3628 area, there are virtually no other good long entry opportunities. Judging from the current trend, gold still has the potential to continue to rise to around 3665, but since I missed the opportunity to enter the long position at 3630-3628, I will never choose to chase the rise of gold now. Although the current uptrend is strong, even if you short gold, there are always opportunities to exit safely and profit during the day. Therefore, I still plan to try to short gold in the 3655-3665 area. Of course, keep my tips from yesterday in mind when shorting. When you first try shorting gold today, try to use a small lot size. When adding positions, you can appropriately increase the number of trading lots to increase the average price and increase profit margins. From a shorting perspective, it is relatively safer! At present, I will pay close attention to the short-term support area of 3640-3630, followed by the area of 3610-3600. Don’t subjectively think that gold will not pull back to the 3610-3600 area, because in the previous band, after gold experienced three 200pips fluctuation retracements, the fourth retracement reached 660pips; and now gold has experienced three 200pips fluctuation retracements again. If it follows the cycle, gold may usher in another retracement of about 600pips, that is, reaching the 3610-3600 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Breaking Free: How Bears Can Win Back in GoldAfter touching the trend line resistance area of 3640-3650, gold fell back as expected, showing a high "doji" in the hourly candle chart and signs of stagflation. It is expected to become a market turning point in the short term. The gold market may usher in a good correction in the short term due to this technical turning point. However, we need to note that as long as gold remains above 3580, the current situation is still a strong bullish pattern, so we must pay attention to the extent of the retracement. As gold continues to rise, the current short-term support is at 3620-3610, so I think it is necessary for gold to retrace its support in this area. Once gold is supported in this area, it may rebound again and retest the high area of 3640-3650. If gold falls below the short-term support area of 3620-3610, then gold will further retrace its steps to 3590-3580, which is the lifeline of bulls and the dividing line between bulls and bears. If gold falls below the 3590-3580 area during the backtest, the current gold bull advantage will no longer exist, and the bears will likely regain control of the situation. As most long funds take profits and the market experiences panic selling, gold will completely turn into a bearish trend and fall further. At present, I still hold short position in gold, and first aim at the short target area: 3620-3610 area. Once gold falls below this area, the target area will be postponed to 3600-3590 area. I am currently holding my short position and have already realized some profits. I very much hope that gold will fall back to the target area as expected!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Turning the Tables: Bears’ Guide to Profit in GoldDriven by the dual influence of interest rate cut expectations and the job market, gold prices continue to rise and reach new highs. This is entirely a game played by big money at this stage. Buying sentiment in the gold market is currently so high that most of the time, there's no opportunity to even enter a long position. Therefore, after considering the possible phenomenon of "buying expectations and selling facts", while controlling risks, I carefully tried to short gold. Although I suffered losses frequently, I also made a good profit overall because I successfully captured the volatility. Currently, gold continues to rise and has reached a high of around 3637. In fact, according to its wave pattern, gold may experience a pullback at any time. This is why I insist on shorting gold today. The 1st wave: Gold rose from around 3405 to around 3508, a 3.1% increase with a fluctuation of $105. The 2nd wave: Gold rose from around 3470 to around 3578, a 3.16% increase with a fluctuation of $108. The current wave: Gold rose from around 3512 to its target of around 3637, a 3.5% increase with a fluctuation of $124. According to the trend of price fluctuations, gold has reached and, to a certain extent, exceeded the previous two waves, so a pullback is possible at any time. Furthermore, given that intraday fluctuations have been between $30 and $50 in recent days, and the intraday fluctuation of gold from around 3580 to around 3637 reached $57, a short-term pullback is highly likely. However, because the bullish momentum of gold is strong, I will continue to try to short gold before a clear peak signal appears, but I may appropriately lower my expectations for gold's pullback, that is, appropriately lower my expectations for profit margins. My current short position entry prices are: 3612, 3621 and 3636. Basically, I add positions every time the fluctuation is 100-150pips. I currently hope that gold can retreat to the area around 3610-3600.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
2
Critical Zone 3610–3620:Shorts Get Ready！After retreating to around 3579, gold rebounded again and has now reached a high of around 3614. Fortunately, the gold retracement gave us the opportunity to safely exit our previous short positions, and we accurately seized this pullback opportunity to close all our previous short positions at a break-even point. As I said, closing my short position does not mean that I am not optimistic about the gold pullback, but in the process of executing swing trading, we need to constantly adjust to make our short entry price more favorable to us. Therefore, closing the short position entered at a relatively low price previously gives us the flexibility to enter the short position again at a higher price. Gold was quickly pulled up to around 3614 in the short term. There was almost no headwind in the short term. Driven by the dual expectations of interest rate cuts and risk aversion demand, the bullish momentum was strong. However, in the short term, we are currently facing the 3610-3620 trend line resistance area, so I still do not advocate continuing to chase more gold; on the contrary, no matter what, I will continue to try to execute swing trading to short gold in the 3610-3615 area. Although the bulls have risen strongly, it does not actually provide a good position to enter the market to go long on gold. Since we cannot participate in long transactions, we can only try to short gold in waves during constant adjustments. On the premise of controlling trading risks, as long as we are not afraid of short-term floating losses, once gold begins to collapse, we will be the first traders to reap the benefits of the short position. Therefore, when gold is facing the trend line resistance area of 3610-3620, I first considered and executed a short trade at 3610-3615 as planned, hoping that the gold market will have a good retracement as some unsteady funds show signs of profit-taking!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Extended Pullback Ahead: A Golden Opportunity for ShortsDue to the stimulation of the NFP market, gold continued to refresh its historical highs, continued to break through the recent high of 3578, and touched the 3600 mark as expected. According to the current market structure, the bullish momentum of gold is strong, and there is no obvious peaking signal in the short term. As the center of gravity of gold continues to rise, the current short-term support will move up to the 3570-3550 area, and the short-term strong support is near the 3530 area. However, in this extreme market, we shouldn't blindly chase gold at high levels to avoid being buried in a crash. Two key details emerge from this: 1. Gold experienced a significant pullback near 3578, retreating to around 3511. 2. Gold failed to hold above 3600 before Friday's market close, falling back to around 3586, indicating some profit-taking. Furthermore, the current surge in the gold market is driven by news and, to some extent, has deviated from technical indicators. Market sentiment is extremely euphoric, making it vulnerable to a sudden collapse during this period. Furthermore, after this period of digestion, expectations of a rate cut have largely faded, potentially leading to a potential exit by large investors and panic selling. Therefore, I do not think that chasing gold at high levels is a rational and correct strategy. Gold may still retrace to the 3570-3550 area in the future, or even continue to retrace to the area around 3530. Of course, this is another opportunity to make short profits in the short term. I currently hold a short position with the average price around 3582. If you also hold a short position like me, I think we can seize the profit opportunity of the gold pullback next!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold Rockets Toward 3600 on NFP—How Can Shorts Escape？After the NFP market unexpectedly broke out, gold is currently testing the 3600 mark, and the bullish momentum is strong. However, when gold is facing the pressure of the 3600 psychological level, it is showing signs of stagflation at a high level. So I still think that before gold completely stands above the 3600 mark, it is still necessary for gold to retreat first. Because the gold market rose sharply under the influence of the NFP market, many investors were unable to intervene in the market in time, and even some investors who had already bought gold at high prices were not determined. Therefore, once gold experiences stagflation at a high level, some unsteady chips may first consider taking profits, thereby triggering panic selling; on the other hand, the gold market has risen sharply, and off-market wait-and-see funds dare not enter the market easily. Due to the lack of liquidity, gold may lead to weak continuity, so there is also a need for a pullback to increase liquidity! I still hold a short position in gold, with an average entry price of around 3582. Although there is a certain floating loss at present, the risk is still controllable and within expectations, so there is no need to be too nervous for the time being. I still expect gold to retreat to the 3570-3560 area before the market closes today.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold Price Analysis (XAUUSD 4H): Bulls Eye $3,600 but ResistanceGold has continued its impressive rally, pushing higher on the 4-hour timeframe and reaching the $3,587 zone. With momentum on the bulls’ side, the big question remains: Can XAUUSD break above the $3,600 resistance, or is a pullback on the horizon? The 4-hour chart shows a clear uptrend, with price action forming higher highs and higher lows. The recent surge took gold from the $3,250 level all the way to nearly $3,600, a gain of more than $300 within weeks. This bullish momentum is supported by strong buying volume, indicating that traders continue to see gold as a safe-haven asset in the current global environment. Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $3,600 – $3,620 Support Zone: $3,500 – $3,520 Next Upside Target: $3,700 and $3,750 if resistance breaks Potential Downside Target: $3,520 if price fails to sustain above $3,550 RSI Indicator The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trading near the 70 level, signaling that gold is approaching the overbought territory. While this confirms strong bullish momentum, it also raises the likelihood of a short-term correction or consolidation before the next big move. Market Sentiment Currently, gold is at a critical juncture. Buyers are attempting to break the $3,600 barrier, but selling pressure has been visible with upper candle wicks forming near this level. A decisive breakout above $3,600 could open the path toward $3,700+. A rejection from resistance may trigger a pullback toward $3,520–$3,500 support. Trading Outlook For swing traders, the strategy remains straightforward: Bullish Bias: Stay long as long as price holds above $3,500. Watch for confirmation above $3,600 to target $3,700 – $3,750. Bearish Bias: Short-term traders may look for pullback opportunities if price fails to hold above $3,550, aiming for $3,520 support. Conclusion Gold (XAUUSD) remains firmly in a bullish trend, but immediate resistance near $3,600 could determine the next move. Traders should closely monitor price action around this key level—either a breakout to new highs or a pullback to reset momentum. ✨ Gold’s next move could set the tone for September trading. Stay alert and manage risk carefully.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by forexinworld
Brace Yourself: NFP May Send Markets Crashing AgainYesterday, gold rebounded after retreating to the 3537-3535 area, reaching a high of around 3561. Although gold has rebounded again, I believe its potential is limited. Because after gold retreated deeply from around 3578 to around 3511, its structure has been gradually changing, and the rebound was not strong. Judging from the current trend, 3578 is expected to form a temporary high point, and the withdrawal of large funds will easily stimulate gold selling sentiment in the short term, especially for those who are afraid of heights and are not firm. There is an NFP market today. If gold cannot break through 3565 before NFP, then gold is likely to fall again and fall below the area around 3535. Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, I will still insist on shorting gold on rallies. As long as gold does not exceed the area around 3565 during the rebound, 3578 may be successfully confirmed as the interim high point, and gold may usher in a good pullback again. We are looking forward to the reappearance of the deep pullback market during yesterday’s Asian session, which will bring us huge profits again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold’s Next Move: DOWN!!!Although gold continues its strong upward trend, it still provides opportunities for pullbacks during the day. For example, it hit a low of 3470-3467 yesterday. Currently, the highest price of gold has reached around 3550. Gold continues to set new historical highs. There is no price behavior and technical resistance above it as a reference. But obviously, as long as gold remains above 3540, I will not choose to aggressively chase gold at high levels. On the contrary, while gold is rising, I will still try to short gold at the top while setting protection. In terms of price behavior, gold started to rise from around 3322 and has reached around 3550 so far, with an increase of up to $228. Although there has been no decent retracement during this period, this strong momentum is indeed easy to form a combined force. However, once the market returns to rationality, the decline will definitely not be small. So at the current stage, I do not advocate going long on gold. On the contrary, I will actively look for opportunities to short gold! In the short term, we first need to observe gold's performance in the 3540-3530 area. If gold cannot fall below this area during the retracement, it may have the potential to continue to rise. If gold falls below the 3540-3530 area, the first retracement target will be the 3525-3515 area. If this area is broken, it is likely to continue to 3500-3490.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading-Diary_Steffen