EURUSD Fake Breakout Signals Pullback to 1.1700 SupportHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD is trading within a broader bullish recovery after completing a prolonged corrective phase. Earlier, price broke above a descending resistance line, which marked a clear shift in market structure and signaled that sellers were losing control. This breakout initiated a steady bullish move, supported by a rising support line, confirming higher lows and improving momentum. After the breakout, EURUSD continued to push higher and reached the resistance level around 1.1750, where selling pressure emerged. Price briefly spiked above this level, forming a fake breakout, which indicates weak acceptance at higher prices and potential buyer exhaustion. Following this rejection, the market pulled back toward the previous buyer zone, which now acts as a key support level around 1.1700. This zone aligns with the former breakout area and represents an important demand level. Currently, price is consolidating above support, showing hesitation near the buyer zone, and the reaction here will determine the next short-term direction. A corrective pullback into the support zone remains healthy within the broader bullish structure as long as buyers continue to defend this level. My primary scenario is a short-term correction toward the 1.1700 support level (TP1), followed by a potential bullish reaction from this zone. As long as EURUSD holds above this support, the overall structure remains constructive, and buyers may attempt another move toward the 1.1750 resistance and potentially higher. However, a clear breakdown and acceptance below the buyer zone would weaken the bullish setup and open the door for a deeper retracement toward lower support levels. For now, the focus remains on the 1.1700 area, as this level will define whether the market resumes its upward move or extends the correction. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EURUSD Pullback Toward 1.178 as Dollar Weakness Builds!Hey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we’re monitoring EURUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 1.17800 zone.
From a technical standpoint, EURUSD remains in a well-defined uptrend and is currently undergoing a healthy correction, pulling back toward trend support and a key support/resistance confluence at 1.17800. This area has previously attracted strong buyer interest and could act as a launch point for trend continuation.
On the macro side, the US Dollar backdrop remains fragile. Recent developments point toward continued USD weakness, with:
A 25bps Fed rate cut already delivered
Balance sheet expansion resuming, historically bearish for the dollar
Markets increasingly sensitive to incoming US labor market data, which could revive expectations for additional easing ahead
As long as the dollar struggles to regain momentum, the EURUSD upside bias remains intact, with this pullback offering a potential higher-low setup within the broader bullish structure.
Watching closely for price reaction at 1.17800 to confirm buyer participation.
Trade safe,
Joe
AUDCAD: Structural Shift After Prolonged Bearish TrendHi!
AUDCAD previously traded within a clear bearish structure, forming lower highs and lower lows inside a descending channel. Toward the latter stage of the move, selling pressure began to weaken as downside momentum slowed and price struggled to print new lows, signaling seller exhaustion and early buy-side absorption.
Price then reacted from a key demand zone and broke above the descending trendline, confirming a structural shift. As long as price holds above this demand area, bullish continuation remains the preferred scenario, with the next resistance target near 0.9188 . A decisive move back below demand would invalidate this outlook and suggest a return to bearish continuation.
Trade safely.
EURUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.17200 zone, EURUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.17200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off PullbackMomentum: Bullish
Price has bounced off the buy entry, which is acting as a pullback support. This level aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, adding significant confluence and strength to the zone.
Buy Entry: 0.5743
Overlap support
Slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 0.5710
Pullback support invalidation
Near the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 0.5822
Swing high resistance
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EUR/USD | Retesting the supply zone (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 4H chart of EURUSD, it reached the supply zone, and then with the news coming out, it started dropping in price. It went as low as 1.17744, just below the low of FVG. I believe EURUSD will go back to yet again challenge the supply zone and sweep the liquidity above there. We shall monitor it carefully.
Next targets: 1.17890 & 1.18020 and 1.18160
EURUSD Short: Head & Shoulders at Resistance - Target 1.1670Hello, traders! EURUSD previously traded within a well-defined Descending Channel, confirming sustained bearish pressure and controlled sell-side momentum. Price consistently respected the channel boundaries, forming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Multiple breakout attempts occurred within the channel, but each upside move was capped by the descending resistance, reinforcing the bearish structure. The market eventually reached a clear Pivot Point near the lower channel boundary, where selling pressure weakened and buyers briefly stepped in, producing a corrective rebound rather than a full trend reversal. Following this rebound, EURUSD pushed higher and managed to break above local resistance levels, leading to a short-term bullish expansion. However, this move lacked strong follow-through and transitioned into a distribution phase near the Supply Zone around 1.1760. At this area, price formed a clear Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling exhaustion of bullish momentum and a return of sellers. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder developed directly under resistance, confirming strong supply presence and rejection from higher prices.
Currently, price has broken below short-term structure and is pulling back from the supply zone, signaling the start of a corrective-to-bearish continuation move. The market is now rotating lower toward the Demand Zone around 1.1670, which aligns with a previous breakout level and acts as the nearest downside objective. This zone represents a key area where buyers may attempt a reaction, but overall structure still favors sellers.
My primary scenario is bearish as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1760 Supply Zone and continues to show rejection from this area. The current pullback appears impulsive rather than corrective, favoring continuation toward the 1.1670 Demand Zone. A clean breakdown and acceptance below demand would confirm further downside continuation. Until then, this level remains the key decision point. Manage your risk!
USDJPY: Sell the Rally, Chasing Is a Mistake?Hello traders,
For USDJPY, I am currently leaning more toward a short-term BEARISH scenario. The key reason comes from Japan’s side: officials have repeatedly signaled their dissatisfaction with one-sided FX moves and left the door open for possible action if the yen weakens excessively. This keeps the market cautious about intervention risk , causing bullish momentum on USDJPY to lose traction.
Looking at the chart, after a strong rally, price is now entering a cooling and consolidation phase , with repeated pullbacks being sold into . This is a typical corrective behavior: buyers are no longer pushing smoothly, while sellers step in aggressively whenever price rebounds into nearby resistance.
The scenario I favor is SELL on rallies. Price may attempt another push toward the upper resistance area, but is likely to roll over and decline toward the nearest support . If selling pressure strengthens, the downside move could extend further before the market finds balance again.
In summary, with news-driven psychological pressure weighing on buyers , I prefer to patiently wait for pullbacks to sell rather than chase price higher. The beauty of the market is simple: when you stay disciplined and wait for the right moment, the best opportunities often appear after periods of tight consolidation and hesitation.
AUDUSD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisAUDUSD is moving on Resistance zone..
The chart is above the support level, which has already become a reversal point twice.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity AUDUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
Elite | USDJPY | 1H – Liquidity Grab & Range Rejection SetupFX:USDJPY
After consolidating near the lower range, price aggressively expanded upward, taking out sell-side liquidity and tapping into a premium resistance zone. Such moves often attract profit-taking and corrective pullbacks, especially when the impulsive leg reaches prior distribution levels.
Key Scenarios
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Rejection from the current resistance zone could trigger a corrective move back toward the prior demand base.
🎯 Target 1: 155.80
🎯 Target 2: 155.40
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
A clean acceptance and strong close above 157.80 invalidates the bearish pullback and opens continuation toward higher highs.
🎯 Upside Target: 158.40+
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 157.70 – 158.40
Support 🟢: 155.80 – 155.40
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
EURUSD: Bullish Structure Holds Inside Upward ChannelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD has confirmed a bullish structure after breaking out of the previous Downward Channel. This breakout shifted market control to buyers and initiated a steady move higher. Price is now trading within a well-defined Upward Channel, forming higher highs and higher lows, which supports the bullish trend.
Recently, EURUSD pulled back from the Resistance Zone near 1.1800 and found support around the 1.1750–1.1760 area. This zone aligns with the channel support and previous breakout structure, showing strong buyer interest. Current consolidation above support suggests continuation rather than reversal.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario remains bullish as long as EURUSD holds above the Support Zone around 1.1750. The recent pullback looks corrective within the broader uptrend. I expect price to resume its upward move and push toward the upper boundary of the Upward Channel, 1.1840 - 1.1850 as the next key target.
A clean breakout and acceptance above 1.1800 would confirm trend continuation and open the door for further upside expansion. However, a sustained breakdown below 1.1750 would weaken the bullish setup and could lead to a deeper correction. For now, the structure favors buyers, with support holding and momentum aligned with the prevailing uptrend.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURUSD Awaiting Confirmation Before Bearish ContinuationQuick Summary
EURUSD has rallied strongly in recent days leaving a clear liquidity void below price .. A break above 1.18039 is expected first After that a bearish structure is required to confirm that the upside move is complete and that price is ready to target lower levels
Full Analysis
After the strong bullish expansion on EURUSD the market left a significant liquidity void below current price, This makes a downside move likely at some point However selling directly into this strength is not justified without clear confirmation
From a Liquidity perspective price is expected to first break the high at 1.18039 This move would allow the market to collect remaining buy side liquidity and complete the upside objective Once this high is taken the focus will shift to price behavior and structure
A bearish structure must appear after the break of 1.18039 This would be the key confirmation that bullish momentum has weakened and that the market is transitioning from expansion to distribution Without this confirmation any sell position would be premature and exposed to further upside continuation
USDCAD – LOSS ACCEPTED | PART OF THE PROCESSYesterday, USDCAD showed signs that it could recover and move higher. Price was at a known level and conditions looked favorable at the time. However, the market did not follow through.
Price turned back down and the position was stopped out.
This is an important reminder of a core truth in trading:
Being right about the process matters more than being right about direction.
Losses are not failures when:
The setup met the rules
Risk was defined and respected
The stop was placed correctly
The trade was taken without emotion
Markets are probabilistic. Even high-quality setups will fail sometimes.
The goal is not to avoid losses.
The goal is to take losses correctly so they never damage confidence or capital.
As long as trades are executed within the rules, outcomes take care of themselves over time.
This loss changes nothing about the process.
USDJPY Retests Broken Resistance — Next Leg Up?The USDJPY ( FX:USDJPY ) has indeed performed as I expected in the previous idea , breaking through the falling wedge pattern and surpassing the anticipated targets, even reaching above the resistance zone(156.960 JPY-156.130 JPY).
Currently, it seems that USDJPY is undergoing a pullback towards the broken resistance zone(156.960 JPY-156.130 JPY) and is potentially entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From the Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that USDJPY is completing the microwave 4 of the main wave 5. This microwave 4 may find its completion in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) or near key support lines.
I expect that once USDJPY enters the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , it will resume its upward movement, potentially climbing up to around 157.730 JPY. And if the bullish momentum remains strong, we could look forward to even higher targets for USDJPY.
First Target: 157.729 JPY.
Second Target: 158.24 JPY.
Stop Loss(SL): 154.82 JPY.
Points may shift as the market evolves
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
📌 U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze (USDJPY), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
USDCAD – Bullish Harmonic Completion at Key SupportUSDCAD – Bullish Harmonic Completion at Key Support
USDCAD has completed a clear bullish harmonic pattern, with price reacting precisely from the D completion zone.
This pattern is increasing the probability of a technical rebound from this area.
After the strong bearish leg into point D, price is showing early signs of stabilization, suggesting that selling pressure may be exhausted.
Upside targets are set at 1.3855 and 1.3895, which align with the previous structure and resistance zones. A clean break and hold above the first target could open the door for a deeper recovery.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
USDJPY – FOLLOW-THROUGH AFTER FULL VMS ALIGNMENTUSDJPY made a strong impulsive move to the downside immediately after all VMS signals lined up and we entered.
This is a textbook example of why patience matters.
The move did not come from guessing or anticipation — it came after:
Price reached a key structural level
Volume confirmed participation
Momentum aligned with direction
Price action gave clear confirmation
Only after those conditions were met did the market commit.
This is the part many traders struggle with:
Entering early
Entering on hope
Entering because “it looks good”
VMS is not about being first.
It’s about being right and protected.
When you wait for full alignment, the market often does the heavy lifting quickly and decisively.
Patience before entry is what allows confidence during the trade.
USDCAD - Price breakdown from consolidation. Distribution...FX:USDCAD breaks through consolidation support amid a global downtrend and weak DXY
The dollar index breaks through the local support area and enters a short zone, which may intensify the sell-off. The currency pair is consolidating below the previously broken level of 1.3737...
Technically and fundamentally, the dollar is weak, and against this backdrop, the Canadian dollar may strengthen. This could be reflected in a subsequent decline in the currency pair if bears keep the price below 1.3737
Resistance levels: 1.3737, 1.3756
Support levels: 1.370, 1.365, 1.360
If bears keep the price below the triangle support, namely below the 1.3745 - 1.3737 zone, then in the short and medium term, the currency pair may fall to the specified target.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPCAD UpsideFirst, after that recent drop, price transitions into range behavior.
No clear trend, just back-and-forth movement, building structure.
Now focus on the key area marked on the chart.
This zone has acted as resistance multiple times. That’s important context.
This time, price approaches the zone differently. The move up is more concentrated, pressure is building.
AUDCAD Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationAUD/CAD was previously in a strong downtrend, moving lower inside a descending channel. Sellers were clearly in control during this phase after reaching a major support zone, price rejected strongly and formed a V-shaped reversal, indicating that selling pressure weakened and buyers stepped in.
Now, the market has broken out of the downward channel and started forming higher highs and higher lows, which confirms a trend reversal from bearish to bullish price is currently moving inside an ascending channel, showing steady buying momentum. As long as price stays above the support zone and trendline, the bullish structure remains valid.
The first target is marked at the previous resistance zone, where price may face short-term resistance If price breaks and holds above this area, the next move is expected toward the upper resistance near 0.9210–0.9220.
✅ Conclusion
Overall, AUD/CAD is bullish in the short term, supported by a trend reversal, strong breakout, and higher-low structure. Buyers are in control unless price falls back below support.
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EURUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1796
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points HighHigh anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1770
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURAUD to find buyers at market price?EURAUD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 1.7650 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 1.7725.
We look to Buy at 1.7600 (stop at 1.7550)
Our profit targets will be 1.7700 and 1.7725
Resistance: 1.7650 / 1.7700 / 1.7725
Support: 1.7600 / 1.7575 / 1.7550
Risk Disclaimer
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EUR/USD – H2 Analysis ....EUR/USD – H2 Analysis (Based on My chart)
Market Structure
Price is respecting the ascending trendline.
Holding above the Ichimoku cloud, showing bullish continuation.
Recent consolidation looks like a bullish flag / continuation base.
📈 Buy Scenario
Buy Zone: 1.1700 – 1.1720
🎯 Targets
Target 1: 1.1760
Target 2: 1.1800
❌ Invalidation
A strong H2 close below 1.1670 will invalidate the bullish setup.
📌 Summary
Bias: BUY
Trend: Bullish continuation
Expectation: Price to push higher toward the marked Target Point






















