PROTECTED SOURCE SCRIPT
Updated BTC Cycle Capitulation Map

Institutional macro framework to study leverage-driven Bitcoin bear market capitulation zones.
BTC Cycle Capitulation Map is an institutional research framework designed to visualize structural bear market bottom zones driven by leverage capitulation.
This model uses historical macro cycle anchors (2013, 2018, 2021, 2025) to project liquidation stress bands, with a focus on the 3x–2x leverage capitulation zone — historically aligned with Bitcoin macro cycle troughs.
The indicator is intended for macro cycle research and structural market analysis and is not designed as a short-term trading signal generator.
Key features:
• Institutional cycle anchor framework
• Leverage-driven capitulation zone visualization
• Historical and projected bottom bands
• Non-repainting, time-anchored structure
• Designed for BTC 1W macro analysis
This tool provides a structural framework to study long-term Bitcoin cycles and extreme downside risk regimes.
Future iterations may extend the framework to forward cycle projections.
Research purposes only. Not financial advice.
BTC Cycle Capitulation Map is an institutional research framework designed to visualize structural bear market bottom zones driven by leverage capitulation.
This model uses historical macro cycle anchors (2013, 2018, 2021, 2025) to project liquidation stress bands, with a focus on the 3x–2x leverage capitulation zone — historically aligned with Bitcoin macro cycle troughs.
The indicator is intended for macro cycle research and structural market analysis and is not designed as a short-term trading signal generator.
Key features:
• Institutional cycle anchor framework
• Leverage-driven capitulation zone visualization
• Historical and projected bottom bands
• Non-repainting, time-anchored structure
• Designed for BTC 1W macro analysis
This tool provides a structural framework to study long-term Bitcoin cycles and extreme downside risk regimes.
Future iterations may extend the framework to forward cycle projections.
Research purposes only. Not financial advice.
Release Notes
Institutional macro framework to study leverage-driven Bitcoin bear market capitulation zones.BTC Cycle Capitulation Map is an institutional research framework designed to visualize structural bear market bottom zones driven by leverage capitulation.
This model uses historical macro cycle anchors (2013, 2018, 2021, 2025) to project liquidation stress bands, with a focus on the 3x–2x leverage capitulation zone — historically aligned with Bitcoin macro cycle troughs.
The indicator is intended for macro cycle research and structural market analysis and is not designed as a short-term trading signal generator.
Key features:
• Institutional cycle anchor framework
• Leverage-driven capitulation zone visualization
• Historical and projected bottom bands
• Non-repainting, time-anchored structure
• Designed for BTC 1W macro analysis
This tool provides a structural framework to study long-term Bitcoin cycles and extreme downside risk regimes.
Future iterations may extend the framework to forward cycle projections.
Research purposes only. Not financial advice.
Release Notes
Institutional macro framework to study leverage-driven Bitcoin bear market capitulation zones.BTC Cycle Capitulation Map is an institutional research framework designed to visualize structural bear market bottom zones driven by leverage capitulation.
This model uses historical macro cycle anchors (2013, 2018, 2021, 2025) to project liquidation stress bands, with a focus on the 3x–2x leverage capitulation zone — historically aligned with Bitcoin macro cycle troughs.
The indicator is intended for macro cycle research and structural market analysis and is not designed as a short-term trading signal generator.
Key features:
• Institutional cycle anchor framework
• Leverage-driven capitulation zone visualization
• Historical and projected bottom bands
• Non-repainting, time-anchored structure
• Designed for BTC 1W macro analysis
This tool provides a structural framework to study long-term Bitcoin cycles and extreme downside risk regimes.
Future iterations may extend the framework to forward cycle projections.
Research purposes only. Not financial advice.
Protected script
This script is published as closed-source. However, you can use it freely and without any limitations – learn more here.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Protected script
This script is published as closed-source. However, you can use it freely and without any limitations – learn more here.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.