OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
BTC Power-Law Decay Channel Oscillator (0–100)
🟠 BTC Power-Law Decay Channel Oscillator (0–100)
This indicator calculates Bitcoin’s position inside its long-term power-law decay channel and normalizes it into an easy-to-read 0–100 oscillator.
🔎 Concept
Bitcoin’s long-term price trajectory can be modeled by a log-log power-law channel.
A baseline is fitted, then an upper band (excess/euphoria) and a lower band (capitulation/fear).
The oscillator shows where the current price sits between those bands:
0 = near the lower band (historical bottoms)
100 = near the upper band (historical tops)
📊 How to Read
Oscillator > 80 → euphoric excess, often cycle tops
Oscillator < 20 → capitulation, often cycle bottoms
Works best on weekly or bi-weekly timeframes.
⚙️ Adjustable Parameters
Anchor date: starting point for the power-law fit (default: 2011).
Smoothing days: moving average applied to log-price (default: 365 days).
Upper / Lower multipliers: scale the bands to align with historical highs and lows.
✅ Best Use
Combine with other cycle signals (dominance ratios, macro indicators, sentiment).
Designed for long-term cycle analysis, not intraday trading.
This indicator calculates Bitcoin’s position inside its long-term power-law decay channel and normalizes it into an easy-to-read 0–100 oscillator.
🔎 Concept
Bitcoin’s long-term price trajectory can be modeled by a log-log power-law channel.
A baseline is fitted, then an upper band (excess/euphoria) and a lower band (capitulation/fear).
The oscillator shows where the current price sits between those bands:
0 = near the lower band (historical bottoms)
100 = near the upper band (historical tops)
📊 How to Read
Oscillator > 80 → euphoric excess, often cycle tops
Oscillator < 20 → capitulation, often cycle bottoms
Works best on weekly or bi-weekly timeframes.
⚙️ Adjustable Parameters
Anchor date: starting point for the power-law fit (default: 2011).
Smoothing days: moving average applied to log-price (default: 365 days).
Upper / Lower multipliers: scale the bands to align with historical highs and lows.
✅ Best Use
Combine with other cycle signals (dominance ratios, macro indicators, sentiment).
Designed for long-term cycle analysis, not intraday trading.
Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.