OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
CRUX-3 Macro Regime Index
"CRUX-3 Macro Regime Index"
Description:
CRUX-3 Macro Regime Index is a higher-timeframe macro indicator designed to evaluate how crypto markets are performing relative to traditional equities. It compares Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader altcoin market (TOTAL3) against the S&P 500 using Z-score normalization to highlight periods of relative outperformance or underperformance.
The indicator incorporates liquidity-based regime detection using Bitcoin dominance and stablecoin dominance to classify market environments as Risk-On, BTC-Led, or Risk-Off. Background shading visually highlights these regimes, helping users identify broader macro conditions rather than short-term trade signals.
CRUX-3 is intended for macro context, regime awareness, and allocation bias decisions, not for precise trade entries or timing.
How to Use:
Weekly timeframe recommended for best results
Rising Z-scores indicate crypto outperforming equities
ETH/SPX typically acts as an early rotation signal
TOTAL3/SPX confirms broader altcoin participation
Regime shading reflects liquidity conditions, not price forecasts
Regime Definitions:
Risk-On: BTC dominance and stablecoin dominance declining
BTC-Led: BTC dominance strong while stablecoin dominance eases
Risk-Off: BTC dominance and stablecoin dominance rising
Notes:
Forward regime bands are statistical reference guides based on historical behavior
This indicator does not predict future prices or market direction
Best used alongside price charts and other macro tools
Disclaimer:
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or trading recommendations.
Recommended Settings:
Timeframe: Weekly (1W)
Z-Score Lookback: 52
Forward Regime Bands: Enabled
Description:
CRUX-3 Macro Regime Index is a higher-timeframe macro indicator designed to evaluate how crypto markets are performing relative to traditional equities. It compares Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader altcoin market (TOTAL3) against the S&P 500 using Z-score normalization to highlight periods of relative outperformance or underperformance.
The indicator incorporates liquidity-based regime detection using Bitcoin dominance and stablecoin dominance to classify market environments as Risk-On, BTC-Led, or Risk-Off. Background shading visually highlights these regimes, helping users identify broader macro conditions rather than short-term trade signals.
CRUX-3 is intended for macro context, regime awareness, and allocation bias decisions, not for precise trade entries or timing.
How to Use:
Weekly timeframe recommended for best results
Rising Z-scores indicate crypto outperforming equities
ETH/SPX typically acts as an early rotation signal
TOTAL3/SPX confirms broader altcoin participation
Regime shading reflects liquidity conditions, not price forecasts
Regime Definitions:
Risk-On: BTC dominance and stablecoin dominance declining
BTC-Led: BTC dominance strong while stablecoin dominance eases
Risk-Off: BTC dominance and stablecoin dominance rising
Notes:
Forward regime bands are statistical reference guides based on historical behavior
This indicator does not predict future prices or market direction
Best used alongside price charts and other macro tools
Disclaimer:
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or trading recommendations.
Recommended Settings:
Timeframe: Weekly (1W)
Z-Score Lookback: 52
Forward Regime Bands: Enabled
Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.