Apex Adaptive TrailApex Adaptive Trail: Adaptive Volatility Trend System
This custom trend-following indicator improves on standard SuperTrend implementations by addressing two key weaknesses: excessive whipsaws during high volatility and false signals in ranging markets.
Core Logic:
- Synthetic Heikin Ashi values are calculated internally (without changing chart candles) to provide smoother source data for trend detection.
- ATR-based trailing stop with adaptive multiplier: dynamically adjusts between 0.8x and 1.5x the base factor based on current volatility (ATR / 50-period SMA of ATR). Widens in volatile conditions, tightens in quiet markets.
- Weighted Confluence Score (0-100%): Combines four independent filters, each contributing 25%:
• Price position relative to 21-period EMA (trend alignment)
• ADX > 20 (momentum strength)
• Choppiness Index < 60 (trending vs ranging detection)
• Alignment with Daily EMA(50) trend direction
Signals are only generated when price crosses the adaptive trail AND the confluence score exceeds 75% (standard) or 90% (MAX 🔥 ultra-strong). This combination significantly reduces low-quality entries compared to traditional SuperTrend crossovers.
Key Features:
- Dynamic confidence cloud (opacity based on score)
- Real-time dashboard showing volatility state, active filters, trend bias, and estimated historical win rate
- Optional dynamic/fixed profit targets
- Fully customizable filters and adaptive behavior
Usage: Best on 15m to 4H timeframes for trend-following strategies (Crypto, Forex, Indices). Enter on APEX signals, use trail as stop-loss, TP lines for partial exits.
This script integrates established concepts into a unique adaptive framework with volatility-responsive risk management and multi-filter validation.
Disclaimer: For educational and analysis purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use proper risk management.
"This script combines established indicators (ATR trailing, ADX, Choppiness Index, EMA, MTF) into a unique adaptive system with dynamic volatility adjustment and weighted confluence scoring – features not found together in standard SuperTrend variations."
