CADUSD Chart — CAD to USD Rate — Indicators and Strategies

ADX Forecast Colorful [DiFlip]ADX Forecast Colorful Introducing one of the most advanced ADX indicators available — a fully customizable analytical tool that integrates forward-looking forecasting capabilities. ADX Forecast Colorful is a scientific evolution of the classic ADX, designed to anticipate future trend strength using linear regression. Instead of merely reacting to historical data, this indicator projects the future behavior of the ADX, giving traders a strategic edge in trend analysis. ⯁ Real-Time ADX Forecasting For the first time, a public ADX indicator incorporates linear regression (least squares method) to forecast the future behavior of ADX. This breakthrough approach enables traders to anticipate trend strength changes based on historical momentum. By applying linear regression to the ADX, the indicator plots a projected trendline n periods ahead — helping users make more accurate and timely trading decisions. ⯁ Highly Customizable The indicator adapts seamlessly to any trading style. It offers a total of 26 long entry conditions and 26 short entry conditions, making it one of the most configurable ADX tools on TradingView. Each condition is fully adjustable, enabling the creation of statistical, quantitative, and automated strategies. You maintain full control over the signals to align perfectly with your system. ⯁ Innovative and Science-Based This is the first public ADX indicator to apply least-squares predictive modeling to ADX dynamics. Technically, it embeds machine learning logic into a traditional trend-strength indicator. Using linear regression as a predictive engine adds powerful statistical rigor to the ADX, turning it into an intelligent, forward-looking signal generator. ⯁ Scientific Foundation: Linear Regression Linear regression is a fundamental method in statistics and machine learning used to model the relationship between a dependent variable y and one or more independent variables x. The basic formula for simple linear regression is: y = β₀ + β₁x + ε Where: y = predicted value (e.g., future ADX) x = explanatory variable (e.g., bar index or time) β₀ = intercept β₁ = slope (rate of change) ε = random error term The goal is to estimate β₀ and β₁ by minimizing the sum of squared errors. This is achieved using the least squares method, ensuring the best linear fit to historical data. Once the coefficients are calculated, the model extends the regression line forward, generating the ADX projection based on recent trends. ⯁ Least Squares Estimation To minimize the error, the regression coefficients are calculated as: β₁ = Σ((xᵢ - x̄)(yᵢ - ȳ)) / Σ((xᵢ - x̄)²) β₀ = ȳ - β₁x̄ Where: Σ = summation x̄ and ȳ = means of x and y i ranges from 1 to n (number of data points) These formulas provide the best linear unbiased estimator under Gauss-Markov conditions — assuming constant variance and linearity. ⯁ Linear Regression in Machine Learning Linear regression is a foundational algorithm in supervised learning. Its power in producing quantitative predictions makes it essential in AI systems, predictive analytics, time-series forecasting, and automated trading. Applying it to the ADX essentially places an intelligent forecasting engine inside a classic trend tool. ⯁ Visual Interpretation Imagine an ADX time series like this: Time → ADX → The regression line smooths these values and projects them n periods forward, creating a predictive trajectory. This forecasted ADX line can intersect with the actual ADX, offering smarter buy and sell signals. ⯁ Summary of Scientific Concepts Linear Regression: Models variable relationships with a straight line. Least Squares: Minimizes prediction errors for best fit. Time-Series Forecasting: Predicts future values using historical data. Supervised Learning: Trains models to predict outcomes from inputs. Statistical Smoothing: Reduces noise and highlights underlying trends. ⯁ Why This Indicator Is Revolutionary Scientifically grounded: Based on rigorous statistical theory. Unprecedented: First public ADX using least-squares forecast modeling. Smart: Uses machine learning logic. Forward-Looking: Generates predictive, not just reactive, signals. Customizable: Flexible for any strategy or timeframe. ⯁ Conclusion By merging ADX and linear regression, this indicator enables traders to predict market momentum rather than merely follow it. ADX Forecast Colorful is not just another indicator — it’s a scientific leap forward in technical analysis. With 26 fully configurable entry conditions and smart forecasting, this open-source tool is built for creating cutting-edge quantitative strategies. ⯁ Example of simple linear regression with one independent variable This example demonstrates how a basic linear regression works when there is only one independent variable influencing the dependent variable. This type of model is used to identify a direct relationship between two variables. ⯁ In linear regression, observations (red) are considered the result of random deviations (green) from an underlying relationship (blue) between a dependent variable (y) and an independent variable (x) This concept illustrates that sampled data points rarely align perfectly with the true trend line. Instead, each observed point represents the combination of the true underlying relationship and a random error component. ⯁ Visualizing heteroscedasticity in a scatterplot with 100 random fitted values using Matlab Heteroscedasticity occurs when the variance of the errors is not constant across the range of fitted values. This visualization highlights how the spread of data can change unpredictably, which is an important factor in evaluating the validity of regression models. ⯁ The datasets in Anscombe’s quartet were designed to have nearly the same linear regression line (as well as nearly identical means, standard deviations, and correlations) but look very different when plotted This classic example shows that summary statistics alone can be misleading. Even with identical numerical metrics, the datasets display completely different patterns, emphasizing the importance of visual inspection when interpreting a model. ⯁ Result of fitting a set of data points with a quadratic function This example illustrates how a second-degree polynomial model can better fit certain datasets that do not follow a linear trend. The resulting curve reflects the true shape of the data more accurately than a straight line. ⯁ What is the ADX? The Average Directional Index (ADX) is a technical analysis indicator developed by J. Welles Wilder. It measures the strength of a trend in a market, regardless of whether the trend is up or down. The ADX is an integral part of the Directional Movement System, which also includes the Plus Directional Indicator (+DI) and the Minus Directional Indicator (-DI). By combining these components, the ADX provides a comprehensive view of market trend strength. ⯁ How to use the ADX? The ADX is calculated based on the moving average of the price range expansion over a specified period (usually 14 periods). It is plotted on a scale from 0 to 100 and has three main zones: Strong Trend: When the ADX is above 25, indicating a strong trend. Weak Trend: When the ADX is below 20, indicating a weak or non-existent trend. Neutral Zone: Between 20 and 25, where the trend strength is unclear. ⯁ Entry Conditions Each condition below is fully configurable and can be combined to build precise trading logic. 📈 BUY 🅰️ Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars . 🅰️ Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND or OR . 🅰️ +DI > -DI 🅰️ +DI < -DI 🅰️ +DI > ADX 🅰️ +DI < ADX 🅰️ -DI > ADX 🅰️ -DI < ADX 🅰️ ADX > Threshold 🅰️ ADX < Threshold 🅰️ +DI > Threshold 🅰️ +DI < Threshold 🅰️ -DI > Threshold 🅰️ -DI < Threshold 🅰️ +DI (Crossover) -DI 🅰️ +DI (Crossunder) -DI 🅰️ +DI (Crossover) ADX 🅰️ +DI (Crossunder) ADX 🅰️ +DI (Crossover) Threshold 🅰️ +DI (Crossunder) Threshold 🅰️ -DI (Crossover) ADX 🅰️ -DI (Crossunder) ADX 🅰️ -DI (Crossover) Threshold 🅰️ -DI (Crossunder) Threshold 🔮 +DI (Crossover) -DI Forecast 🔮 +DI (Crossunder) -DI Forecast 🔮 ADX (Crossover) +DI Forecast 🔮 ADX (Crossunder) +DI Forecast 📉 SELL 🅰️ Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars . 🅰️ Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND or OR . 🅰️ +DI > -DI 🅰️ +DI < -DI 🅰️ +DI > ADX 🅰️ +DI < ADX 🅰️ -DI > ADX 🅰️ -DI < ADX 🅰️ ADX > Threshold 🅰️ ADX < Threshold 🅰️ +DI > Threshold 🅰️ +DI < Threshold 🅰️ -DI > Threshold 🅰️ -DI < Threshold 🅰️ +DI (Crossover) -DI 🅰️ +DI (Crossunder) -DI 🅰️ +DI (Crossover) ADX 🅰️ +DI (Crossunder) ADX 🅰️ +DI (Crossover) Threshold 🅰️ +DI (Crossunder) Threshold 🅰️ -DI (Crossover) ADX 🅰️ -DI (Crossunder) ADX 🅰️ -DI (Crossover) Threshold 🅰️ -DI (Crossunder) Threshold 🔮 +DI (Crossover) -DI Forecast 🔮 +DI (Crossunder) -DI Forecast 🔮 ADX (Crossover) +DI Forecast 🔮 ADX (Crossunder) +DI Forecast 🤖 Automation All BUY and SELL conditions are compatible with TradingView alerts, making them ideal for fully or semi-automated systems. ⯁ Unique Features Linear Regression: (Forecast) Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND/OR Condition Table: BUY/SELL Condition Labels: BUY/SELL Plot Labels in the Graph Above: BUY/SELL Automate and Monitor Signals/Alerts: BUY/SELL Background Colors: "bgcolor" Background Colors: "fill" Linear Regression (Forecast) Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND/OR Table of Conditions: BUY/SELL Conditions Label: BUY/SELL Plot Labels in the graph above: BUY/SELL Automate & Monitor Signals/Alerts: BUY/SELL Background Colors: "bgcolor" Background Colors: "fill"

CAD CHF JPY (Index) vs USD Description: Analyze the combined performance of CAD, CHF, and JPY against the USD with this customized Forex currency index. This tool enables traders to gain a broader perspective of how these three currencies behave relative to the US Dollar by aggregating their movements into a single index. It’s a versatile tool designed for traders seeking actionable insights and trend identification. Core Features: Flexible Display Options: Choose between Line Mode for a simplified view of the index trend or Candlestick Mode for detailed analysis of price action. Custom Weight Adjustments: Fine-tune the weight of each currency pair (USD/CAD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY) to better reflect your trading priorities or market expectations. Moving Average Integration: Add a moving average to smooth the data and identify trends more effectively. Choose your preferred type: SMA, EMA, WMA, or VWMA, and configure the number of periods to suit your strategy. Streamlined Calculation: The index aggregates data from USD/CAD, USD/CHF, and USD/JPY using a weighted average of their OHLC (Open, High, Low, Close) values, ensuring accuracy and adaptability to different market conditions. Practical Applications: Trend Identification: Use the Line Mode with a moving average to confirm whether CAD, CHF, and JPY collectively show strength or weakness against the USD. A rising trendline signals currency strength, while a declining line suggests USD dominance. Weight-Based Analysis: If CAD is expected to lead, adjust its weight higher relative to CHF and JPY to emphasize its influence in the index. This customization makes the indicator adaptable to your market outlook. Actionable Insights: Identify key reversal points or breakout opportunities by analyzing the interaction of the index with its moving average. Combined with other technical tools, this indicator becomes a robust addition to any trader’s toolkit. Additional Notes: This indicator is a valuable resource for comparing the collective behavior of CAD, CHF, and JPY against the USD. Pair it with additional oscillators or divergence tools for a comprehensive market overview. Perfect for both intraday analysis and swing trading strategies. Combine it with EUR GPB AUD (Index) indicator. Good Profits!

Currency Strength Index by zdmre Currency strength expresses the value of currency. For economists, it is often calculated as purchasing power, while for financial traders, it can be described as an indicator, reflecting many factors related to the currency; for example, fundamental data, overall economic performance (stability) or interest rates. The method used in this indicator is its strength against the US Dollar (xxxUSD) Currencies: EUR GBP AUD NZD JPY CNY CAD Your Symbol (Optionally) defval: TRYUSD You can also optionally add a symbol. However, this unit must be in the form of xxxUSD

Trading The Loonie (CADUSD)A port of the trading strategy described at technical.traders.com "In “Trading The Loonie,” which appeared in the December 2015 issue of STOCKS & COMMODITIES, author Markos Katsanos explains the heavy correlation between the Canadian dollar and crude oil. He then goes on to describe how one could trade this correlation. Using similar logic as that employed in Bollinger Bands, Katsanos has built a study to provide buy and sell signals for trading the Canadian dollar future." See Also: - Backtesting and forwardtesting (of TradingView Strategies) - 9 Mistakes Quants Make that Cause Backtests to Lie (blog.quantopian.com) - When Backtests Meet Reality (financial-hacker.com) - Why MT4 backtesting does not work (www.stevehopwoodforex.com)