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Cycles

Strategy Battle: Lump Sum vs. DCA vs. Dip BuyingSummary This indicator is a "Strategy Battle" simulator designed to answer the ultimate investing question: Is it better to invest immediately, Dollar Cost Average (DCA), or wait for a market crash? Unlike standard back-testers, this script simulates a realistic "High-Yield Savings" environment. It acknowledges that cash sitting on the sidelines is not dead money—it earns interest (e.g., 3-5%) while waiting for a buying opportunity. This levels the playing field and allows for a fair comparison between being fully invested vs. keeping "dry powder" for a crash. The script compares 4 distinct strategies simultaneously on your chart, starting with a fresh yearly budget every January 1st. he 4 Strategies 🔵 Option 1: Lump Sum (The "Set & Forget") Takes the entire yearly budget and invests it all on the first trading day of the year. Pros: Maximizes "time in the market." Cons: vulnerable to buying at immediate peaks. 🟠 Option 2: DCA (The "Steady Earner") Splits the yearly budget into 12 equal parts. Invests monthly regardless of price. The "Fairness" Twist: The money waiting to be spent sits in the cash pile and accumulates interest until it is deployed. 🟢 Option 3: Regression Sniper (The "Math Hunter") Keeps the entire budget in cash (earning interest). Watches a dynamic Linear Regression Channel. Trigger: If the price drops below the channel, it goes "All-In," deploying all accumulated cash and interest immediately to buy the dip. 🔴 Option 4: Manual Sniper (The "Trend Hunter") Keeps the entire budget in cash (earning interest). Watches a User-Defined Growth Line (e.g., a straight line growing at 10% per year). Trigger: If the price drops below this specific valuation line, it goes "All-In." Detailed Settings & Options 💰 Money Settings Yearly Budget ($): The amount of fresh capital injected into the simulation every January 1st. Cash Interest Rate (%): The annual interest rate earned on uninvested cash (compounded monthly). This is crucial for accurately simulating the "opportunity cost" of holding cash. ⚙️ Sniper Settings (Option 3) Channel Baseline Length: How far back the math looks to determine the "fair value" curve. Vertical Shift (%): Move the buy zone up or down. Negative numbers (e.g., -5) make the strategy more conservative, waiting for deeper crashes. Source: Defaults to Low to catch market wicks and intraday crashes. 📈 Manual Line Settings (Option 4) Start Price ($): The valuation of the asset at the start of the simulation (Jan 1, Start Year). Yearly Growth (%): The expected "fair" growth rate of the asset (e.g., S&P 500 average is ~10%). Vertical Shift (%): Slide the manual line up or down to fine-tune your buy signal. 👁️ Visual Settings Show Buy Price: Displays the exact dollar amount invested and the stock price at the moment of the buy on the chart labels. Show Lump Sum Markers: Adds a Blue label at the start of every year to visualize the Lump Sum entry. Show DCA Markers: Adds small Orange labels for every monthly buy.
Pine Script® indicator
by michael_behar_il
Intervalo de la confianza usando VWMA 5,10,14,55,90,200Varios Itervalos de Confianza usando VWMA -LOS QUE MANIPULAN LOS MERCADOS, ES COMPRAR DONDE LA VOLATILIDAD ES BAJA, NO HAY RUIDO. -DESPUES QUE COMPRAN, SU PROXIMO TRABAJO ES CREAR LA VARICIA=FOMO Y MANDAR UNA TARJETA DE INVITACION A LOS INVERSIONISTA MINORITARIOS. -DESPUES QUE LOS MINORISTA ENTRAN EN CONFIANZA Y VARICIA-FOMO,VENDEN LOS QUE MANIPULAN LOS MERCADOS -SU ULTIMA ETAPA ES VENDER MAS AGRESIVO PARA CREAR UN MIEDO=FUD Y DARLES EN EL CODO A LOS MINORISTAS PARA QUE SALGAN PERDIENDO. ESTE CICLOS SE REPITE EN LOS MERCADOS. Si las personas que operan los mercados tiene sintimentos donde el meido y la varicia entran en el juego de las inversiones y trade, entoces hay que medir como esta su miedo y varicia en diferentes temporaliades. Que es mejor mediar esta varicia y miedo usando Intervalo de la Confianza usando el VWMA . AHORA CON ESTA HERRAMIENTA Ustedes solo tiene que encontrar como esta esta el FOMO o FUD en diferentes temporalidades. Multiple Confidence Intervals Using VWMA - Market manipulators buy where volatility is low and there is no noise. - After they buy, their next step is to create volatility (FOMO) and send an invitation to retail investors. - Once retail investors gain confidence and experience volatility (FOMO), the market manipulators sell. - Their final stage is to sell more aggressively to create fear (FUD) and force retailers to lose money. This cycle repeats itself in the markets. If people who trade the markets experience feelings where fear and greed come into play in their investments and trading, then it's necessary to measure how their fear and greed manifest across different timeframes. What's the best way to measure this greed and fear using the Confidence Interval with the VWMA? NOW WITH THIS TOOL You only need to determine how FOMO or FUD manifests across different timeframes.
Pine Script® indicator
by ggsant20
CAP - CSICSI is a Digital Signal Processing (DSP) tool based on the principles of Lars von Thienen’s "Dynamic Cycles." Unlike traditional momentum oscillators, the CSI uses a recursive dual-thrust processor to isolate cyclic price action, helping traders identify hidden rhythms in the market rather than just static overbought or oversold levels. How to Read the Indicator This script focuses on four primary technical components: Dynamic Band Pivots: The indicator calculates a "cyclic memory" (default 34 periods) to create high and low bands. When the CSI moves outside these bands and begins to pivot, it signals a potential cycle exhaustion point. Momentum Slope: The color-coded area fill identifies the direction of the cycle's slope. A change in slope is often the first warning of a cycle peak or trough. The Zero Line: The zero line acts as the "equilibrium" point. Position relative to zero helps define whether the current cycle is in a bullish or bearish regime. Multi-Timeframe Analysis (HTF): The script includes an HTF filter (suggested 5x the chart timeframe) to ensure you are trading in the direction of the dominant macro cycle. Performance & Testing: The "Trending" Challenge This indicator has been developed and tested primarily on Futures (ES, NQ, RTY) and US Equities. Important Note on False Signals: While the CSI "nails" turning points during standard cyclic/swing conditions, users should be aware of "phantom" cycles or false signals during strong trending conditions. In a powerful trend, the indicator may signal a cycle peak while price continues to move linearly, leading to premature exhaustion signals. Filtering these "trend-drifts" is the current focus of development. Community & Collaboration This script is an ongoing project. I am making it public to find like-minded traders interested in Lars von Thienen’s work to: Refine the processor logic for better signal-to-noise ratios during impulsive trends. Discuss the best "Trend Shields" (Volume, HTF, or Volatility filters) to stay in winners longer. Share specific settings for different asset classes in the Futures and Equity markets.
Pine Script® indicator
by calinpascual
1
Volume Profile Heatmap/ConcentrationThis is based on Colejustice's indicator. I just improved it so there's more clarity of the highly concentrated levels by making them more saturated and also reducing the noise of low saturated areas. There are also new settings that you can play with, such as: 1. Exponential Intensity Making this higher will increase the saturation of high volume areas and lower the saturation of lower volume areas, basically, it changes the rate at which the saturation increases, so the levels are more visible 2. Visibility Threshold Adjustes how much % of the highest volume areas will be visible. The default is 40%, so it doesn't show so much low-volume noise and gives the indicator more clarity.
Pine Script® indicator
by gajdosmarian13
QT-1.2QT یک اندیکاتور چندلایه برای تحلیل ساختار زمانی/چرخه‌ای بازار است که چند منطق کلیدی را به‌صورت یکپارچه روی چارت نمایش می‌دهد: باکس‌های چرخه‌ای (Cycle Boxes): تفکیک دقیق چرخه‌ها در تایم‌فریم‌های مختلف (سالانه، ماهانه، هفتگی، روزانه، 90 دقیقه و Micro) با استایل و رنگ‌بندی قابل تنظیم، جهت درک سریع محدوده‌های زمانی و ساختار بازار. SSMT (Smart/Structured SMT) چندلایه: شناسایی SMT بر اساس شکست سقف/کف کوارتر قبلی بین چند نماد (Symbol A/B و خود چارت) با سه سطح نمایش (Same / +1 / +2) و سه حالت خروجی (Trigger-only / Prev+Trigger / Line-only). منطق حذف/لغو سیگنال‌ها و پاک‌سازی خودکار، برای جلوگیری از شلوغی و سیگنال‌های منقضی طراحی شده است. Negative-Correlation SSMT (اختیاری): پشتیبانی از نمایش SMT برای نمادهای همبستگی معکوس با نرمال‌سازی داده‌ها (Invert) تا منطق SMT دقیقاً مطابق نسخه اصلی، روی سری معکوس اجرا شود. PSP Divergence Markers: نمایش اختلاف جهت کندل‌ها بین نمادها (یا حالت Swing در PSP Mode) با مارکرهای سبک و قابل تنظیم، همراه با محدودیت تعداد مارک‌ها برای کنترل منابع. True Opens by Q2 (TMO/TWO/TDO/TSO/TMSO): ترسیم خطوط «True Open» برای Q2 چرخه‌های مختلف (ماهانه/هفتگی/روزانه/90m/Micro) با به‌روزرسانی پیش‌رونده و اتصال دقیق به زمان داخل کندل از طریق داده 1 دقیقه‌ای. این ابزار برای تریدرهایی طراحی شده که به ساختار زمانی، رفتار بین‌مارکتی (Intermarket) و تایید/عدم تایید شکست‌ها اهمیت می‌دهند و می‌خواهند تمام اجزا را در یک اسکریپت سبک و کنترل‌شده داشته باشند. English (Description) QT is a multi-layer, cycle-aware market structure indicator that consolidates several core logics into a single, clean overlay: Cycle Boxes: Accurate time-cycle segmentation across multiple horizons (Yearly, Monthly, Weekly, Daily, 90m, and Micro) with configurable styling/colors to quickly contextualize price action inside its time structure. Multi-layer SSMT (Structured SMT): Detects SMT by comparing current breaks vs. the previous quarter’s high/low across multiple symbols (Chart / Symbol A / Symbol B), with three display layers (Same / +1 / +2) and three output modes (Trigger-only / Prev+Trigger / Line-only). Built-in invalidation/cleanup logic helps reduce clutter and expired signals. Optional Negative-Correlation SSMT: Supports inverse-correlation instruments via series normalization (inversion), allowing the same SSMT engine to run on the inverted series while preserving the original SSMT behavior and rules. PSP Divergence Markers: Highlights candle-direction mismatches between symbols (or swing-based PSP mode) using lightweight, customizable markers and resource limits for performance control. True Opens by Q2 (TMO/TWO/TDO/TSO/TMSO): Plots True Open levels for Q2 across cycles (Monthly/Weekly/Daily/90m/Micro), including progressive extensions and precise intra-bar timestamp attachment using 1-minute data when needed. QT is built for traders who focus on time structure, intermarket confirmation/denial, and disciplined SMT-based signaling, while keeping everything unified, performant, and configurable.
Pine Script® indicator
by amairvow
Mashrab | Momentum X-Ray Stop guessing if a stock is a "Leader" or a "Laggard." The Mashrab Momentum X-Ray is a professional Heads-Up Display (HUD) that tells you the true strength of any stock in seconds. Designed for serious swing traders and breakout specialists (similar to the styles of Qullamagie, Mark Minervini, and IBD), this tool ignores the noise and focuses on the only things that matter: Relative Strength, Volume Fuel, and Fundamental Health. 🚀 Key Features (What it does) 1. The "Smart" Relative Strength Engine Most indicators blindly compare every stock to the S&P 500. This dashboard is smarter. It automatically scans the stock’s Industry (e.g., Semiconductors, Gold Miners, Regional Banks). It compares the stock’s performance against its specific peers (e.g., NVDA vs. SMH ETF) and the market benchmark (SPY). Green Signal: The stock is beating both the market and its sector. This is a "True Leader." 2. IBD-Style RS Rating (1-99 Scale) Get the "Secret Sauce" of institutional screening directly on your chart. Calculates a weighted performance score: 40% (Last 3 Months) + 20% (6m, 9m, 12m). The Scale: 90–99 (Lime Green): Elite Super-Stock. 80–89 (Green): Strong Leader / Breakout Candidate. < 50 (Red): Laggard / Avoid. 3. Momentum "Fuel" Gauge (RVol) Price moving up is good. Price moving up on massive volume is better. The RVol (Relative Volume) row lights up Yellow or Purple when volume is 1.5x to 3x higher than normal. This detects "Institutional Buying" footprints. 4. "Blue Sky" Detector Instantly see how close the price is to its 52-Week High. Stocks within 5% of their highs (Green) have no "overhead supply" (bag holders) and can run the fastest. 👀 How to Read the Dashboard Top Table (Tactical Momentum) RS vs SPY / Sector: Look for DOUBLE GREEN. This means the stock is the "King of the Hill." RVol: Look for > 1.5x (Yellow). This means big players are entering the trade. Bottom Table (Strategic Context) IBD RS Rating: Look for a score of 80 or higher. ADR (20): Shows the "Average Daily Range" volatility. (e.g., 4.5% means the stock moves ~4.5% a day). Use this to size your position correctly! Industry: Tells you exactly which ETF is being used for comparison (e.g., "Semiconductors (SMH)"). ⚙️ Settings & Customization Benchmark: Change the default SPY to QQQ (for Tech), IWM (for Small Caps), or BTCUSD (for Crypto) to fit your strategy. Lookback: Defaults to 26 Bars (Standard Monthly Momentum), but fully adjustable. Text Size: Make the tables larger or smaller to fit your screen. "Trade the Leaders, Ignore the Laggards."
Pine Script® indicator
by highstandart9
+25% DMA200 +25% DMA200 highlights daily over-extension by printing a ⚠️ marker on every daily candle where price is more than X% above the Daily 200 DMA (200-period SMA calculated on the Daily timeframe). It also plots the Daily DMA200 line on the chart. Recommended usage in GOLD, GLD, etc. How it works Computes DMA200 using Daily data Measures extension: (Close − DMA200) / DMA200 If extension is above the threshold (default 0.25 = 25%), it places a ⚠️ above that candle (one per qualifying daily candle). Optional alert triggers only when extension crosses above the threshold (entry into the over-extended zone). Inputs DMA Length (Daily): Moving average length (default 200). Threshold: Over-extension level (0.25 = 25%). Run ONLY on 1D chart: If enabled, marks/alerts only on Daily charts. Pad above high: Vertical spacing for the marker above the candle’s high. Keep last N markers: Limits how many markers are kept to avoid chart clutter. Note This is not a buy/sell signal—it’s a risk/extension detector to help identify when price is stretched far above its long-term daily mean.
Pine Script® indicator
by Luigui_Herrera
PSP (Precision Swing Point - CIC SMT)PSP SMT – Correlation Stages Indicator The PSP SMT – Correlation Stages indicator is designed to identify Smart Money divergences (SMT) between correlated markets through a progressive, stage-based model. It visually classifies price behavior into correlation stages, helping traders detect early imbalance, confirmation, and distribution phases used by institutional participants. By comparing a primary asset with a correlated symbol, the indicator highlights loss of correlation, displacement, and confirmation signals, offering a structured framework to anticipate potential reversals or continuations within ICT-based market models. Ideal for traders who apply ICT concepts, intermarket analysis, and liquidity-based strategies, the PSP SMT enhances timing, context, and confidence in decision-making.
Pine Script® indicator
by Tradetonton090
3
BTC - CII: Drawdown DNA | RMBTC - CII: Drawdown DNA | Rob_Maths The "Broken Cycle" Series: Pt 1 Welcome to the debut of the Cycle Integrity Index (CII) . This quantitative diagnostic suite was engineered for a singular mission: to determine if Bitcoin’s historical 4-year cycle is still the primary track rhythm, or if the market has shifted into a high-downforce Institutional Regime. As of January 2026 , the Bitcoin market is at a historical crossroads. According to the classical 4-year model, we have passed the "Theoretical Peak" and are now on the long descent toward a projected cycle low in late 2026 . However, a massive debate is raging: Is the cycle broken? While legacy models expect a total engine failure (an -80% wipeout) by the end of this year, the ETF-era market structure suggests we may have "re-engineered" the asset's DNA. Pt 1: Drawdown DNA acts as our first telemetry check, auditing the "Structural Fatigue" of every correction to see if we are taking a tactical pit stop or heading for a catastrophic crash. How to Read the Telemetry Think of the Bitcoin market as a Formula 1 engine. This indicator audits the "Wear and Tear" (drawdowns) to see if the chassis can sustain its pace or if the structural integrity is failing as we approach the legacy "finish line." • Vibrant Green (Institutional Sync): Optimal Performance. The engine is healthy. Pullbacks are shallow (-20% to -35% range), representing professional re-fueling stops by smart money. This suggests the "Supercycle" narrative is overriding the 4-year clock. • Red/Dark Blue (Regime Decay): Loss of Traction. The "Institutional" heartbeat is weakening. Volatility is rising as the engine stalls, drifting back toward the chaotic, un-buffered "Drift" patterns of the retail era. • Blue Shaded Zones (Legacy DNA): SYSTEMIC CRASH. The price has breached the -50% "G-Force Threshold." At this depth, the correction carries the genetic makeup of a Legacy Bear Market (historically bottoming near -80%). The 4-year cycle is still very much alive—and it's painful. Behind the Math: ECU Tuning This script is an original quantitative work utilizing Gaussian Probability Density logic to categorize market drawdowns into distinct historical regimes. Instead of simple binary "on/off" logic, the code acts like an ECU (Electronic Control Unit) , calculating the mathematical "fit" of the current drawdown against a specific Institutional Mean (-25%) . Why 25%? I chose -25% as the Institutional DNA anchor based on the structural shift observed between 2023 and 2025. While legacy retail cycles were defined by violent 30-40% "shakeouts" during bull phases, the introduction of spot ETFs and corporate treasury adoption has significantly compressed volatility. A -25% correction now represents the maximum "healthy" absorption of sell-side liquidity by institutional "bids." Staying near this level maintains high aerodynamic sync; dropping further suggests the chassis is failing. How it Audits the Regime The closer the price stays to this -25% target, the higher the Integrity Score (10/10). By providing unique "DNA Match" calculations and background shading based on specific threshold crossings, this indicator provides utility beyond standard price-change indicators. It allows you to mathematically distinguish between an "Institutional Rebalancing" and the start of a "Legacy Cycle-Ending Termination." User Inputs & Navigation • Rolling High Lookback: Default 52 Weeks . Defines our diagnostic lap. It ensures the audit focuses on the current race, not the entire history of the track. • Inst. Drawdown Target: Default -25% . The "Perfect Pit Stop." Corrections near this level maintain the highest aerodynamic sync. • Legacy Threshold: Default -50% . The "Point of No Return" where the engine enters total failure and the Blue Legacy Shading triggers. • Legacy Crash Target: Default -80% . The historical baseline for previous 4-year cycle bear market floors (Expected mid-to-late 2026 in legacy models). Instructions & Performance • Preferred Timeframe: This is a macro-telemetry tool. It performs best on Weekly (1W) or Daily (1D) charts. • The Dashboard: Monitor the INST. DNA MATCH in the table. A score of 8.0+ / 10 provides the "Green Light" that the Supercycle is still the primary driver, effectively breaking the 4-year "Crash" script. Disclaimer Trading and investing in digital assets involve significant risk. The Cycle Integrity Index (CII) is a quantitative tool for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is not financial advice. Your capital is at risk. Tags robmaths, Rob Maths, Bitcoin, CycleTheory, Institutional, Drawdown, Quant, RegimeShift, CII Check out my published scripts here: de.tradingview.com
Pine Script® indicator
by Rob_Maths
Anurag BN / Nifty Swing Master [FINAL - Clean Compile]This script is a complete Swing Trading System designed for Bank Nifty and Nifty 50 options. It operates directly on the Spot/Index chart but mathematically calculates the correct Option Strike (ATM/ITM) and estimates P&L in Rupees. It uses a Non-Repainting Daily Trend Filter combined with an Intraday Entry Trigger to find high-probability setups. What we are checking before giving a signal: For a CALL Option (Buy Signal): Daily Trend Alignment: The previous day's Daily EMA must be below the current price (indicating a Bullish macro trend). Intraday Crossover: The price must cross above the Intraday 20 EMA (the entry trigger). Volume Confirmation: (Optional) Volume must be higher than the 20-period Volume Moving Average to ensure momentum. Session Filter: The trade must occur within the specified trading hours (09:15 - 15:00) to avoid opening/closing volatility. For a PUT Option (Sell Signal): Daily Trend Alignment: The previous day's Daily EMA must be above the current price (indicating a Bearish macro trend). Intraday Crossunder: The price must cross below the Intraday 20 EMA (the entry trigger). Volume Confirmation: (Optional) Volume must be higher than the 20-period Volume Moving Average. Session Filter: The trade must occur within the specified trading hours. Key Features: Strike Selection: Automatically displays the correct ATM/ITM Strike (e.g., "BUY 48200 CE"). Live Dashboard: Shows Real-time P&L (in Points and ₹), Entry Price, Strike, and Trade Status. Risk Management: Plots fixed Stop Loss (1.5x ATR) and Target (2x Risk) lines on the chart that do not move during the trade. Auto-Breakeven: Optionally moves Stop Loss to entry price after the trade moves 1R in profit.
Pine Script® indicator
by anu_tarang
1
byquan RSI Divergence (OB/OS + RSI MA Base)byquan RSI Divergence (OB/OS + RSI MA Base) Description byquan RSI Divergence is a technical analysis indicator designed to visualize RSI-based divergence patterns within clearly defined overbought and oversold zones, enhanced with an optional RSI moving average baseline. The script focuses on structural divergence detection rather than signal prediction, providing visual reference points to help users study momentum behavior and price–oscillator relationships. This indicator is intended for educational and analytical purposes only. Conceptual Overview The core idea of this indicator is based on a widely accepted technical principle: When price structure and momentum structure diverge, market behavior may be transitioning rather than continuing impulsively. Instead of reacting to every fluctuation, this script identifies well-defined divergence formations that occur: At RSI pivot points Within controlled lookback ranges Inside overbought or oversold zones Indicator Components 1. RSI Oscillator The indicator uses a standard Relative Strength Index (RSI): User-defined period User-defined source price RSI values are plotted directly in the pane for transparency and clarity. 2. RSI Base Moving Average An optional RSI baseline is calculated using a selectable moving average type: SMA EMA RMA WMA This baseline is intended to provide additional context for momentum direction and smoothing, not as a signal trigger. 3. Overbought / Oversold Zones Customizable horizontal levels define: Overbought conditions Oversold conditions Divergences are evaluated only when RSI is located inside the corresponding zone, helping reduce irrelevant signals. 4. Pivot-Based Divergence Detection The script detects RSI pivot highs and lows using configurable left/right lookback values. Based on these pivots, it evaluates four divergence types: Regular Bullish Divergence Hidden Bullish Divergence Regular Bearish Divergence Hidden Bearish Divergence Each divergence type is plotted independently and can be enabled or disabled by the user. 5. Lookback Range Control To avoid excessive or outdated comparisons, divergence evaluation is constrained within a user-defined bar range. This helps ensure that only structurally relevant divergences are displayed. Visualization Divergence lines are plotted directly on the RSI pane Labels are used to distinguish divergence types Regular and hidden divergences are visually differentiated using color transparency The indicator prioritizes clarity and interpretability over signal density. Alert Logic An alert condition is provided when any divergence type is detected. Alerts are informational and do not imply direction, timing, or outcome. Intended Use This indicator is designed to be used as: A momentum structure study tool A visual divergence reference A supporting component within broader technical analysis It is not intended to: Predict market tops or bottoms Serve as a standalone trading system Provide financial or investment advice Technical Notes The script uses pivot-based confirmation and therefore does not repaint All calculations are deterministic and rule-based Divergences are identified only after pivots are confirmed Results may vary across assets and timeframes Attribution & Transparency This script represents a custom implementation and adaptation of commonly documented RSI divergence techniques, including: Pivot-based divergence logic Overbought / oversold filtering RSI smoothing via moving averages These concepts are widely used in technical analysis. The specific parameterization, visualization, and filtering structure reflect a personal analytical approach, without claiming exclusivity over the underlying methods. Disclaimer This indicator is provided for educational and analytical purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, trading recommendations, or performance guarantees. Past behavior does not imply future results.
Pine Script® indicator
by teshakiestler
Laguerre RSI (Fractals Energy) [v6]This write-up explores the **Laguerre RSI (LRSI)**, a sophisticated technical indicator pioneered by **John F. Ehlers**. Unlike the standard RSI, which often suffers from "lag" or excessive noise, the Laguerre RSI uses a four-pole filter to provide a smoother, more responsive curve that stays in overbought or oversold zones longer during strong trends. The following analysis focuses on the interplay between the **Alpha (Gamma)** and the **Gamma Bandwidth**, specifically looking for "Alpha Exceeding" events to identify market coiling and exhaustion. --- ## 1. The Core Concept: Ehlers’ Laguerre Transform Traditional indicators use a fixed look-back period (e.g., 14 periods). John Ehlers introduced the Laguerre Transform to allow for a more efficient way of filtering data using a very small amount of data. In the provided code, the key variable is **Alpha** (derived from **Fractals Energy/Gamma**). This value determines the "speed" of the indicator. * **Low Alpha:** High damping, smoother but slower. * **High Alpha:** Low damping, faster and more reactive. --- ## 2. The Gamma Bandwidth: Coiling and Energy The "Gamma Band" (the purple shaded area in your script, typically between and ) represents the "neutral" zone for market fractal energy. ### Market Coiling (Compression) When the **Alpha (Gamma) line** climbs **above the Gamma Upper Bound** (e.g., ): * This indicates the market is moving into a state of **high fractal efficiency** or "straight-line" movement. * However, when Alpha is pinned high, it often signals **Coiling**. The market is burning through its energy efficiently, but it is reaching a state of "ordered" exhaustion. * **The Interpretation:** The price is trending strongly, but the lack of "chaos" suggests a trend maturity is approaching. ### Alpha Exceeding the Bands (Exhaustion) When the Alpha line spikes significantly outside the bands while the LRSI line (blue or pink) is pinned at the extremes (1.0 or 0.0), we observe **Exhaustion**. * **Bullish Exhaustion:** LRSI is (Blue) and Alpha exceeds the upper band. The trend is so efficient that it has no room left to accelerate. A "reversion to the mean" or a period of "choppiness" (increasing fractal chaos) is likely. * **Bearish Exhaustion:** LRSI is (Pink) and Alpha exceeds the upper band. This shows a vertical drop that is unsustainable in the long term. --- ## 3. Signal Mechanics: The "Hook" The most potent signal occurs when the Alpha line begins to **descend back into the Gamma Bandwidth** while the LRSI line crosses the OB/OS levels. | Signal Component | Market Condition | Actionable Insight | | --- | --- | --- | | **Alpha > 0.59** | High Efficiency / Coiling | Trend is strong, but watch for the "bend." | | **Alpha < 0.41** | High Complexity / Choppiness | Market is trendless; energy is being stored for the next move. | | **LRSI Cross < 0.8** | Bearish Reversal | Trend exhaustion confirmed; exit longs or enter shorts. | | **LRSI Cross > 0.2** | Bullish Reversal | Mean reversion confirmed; exit shorts or enter longs. | --- ## 4. Summary of the Methodology By integrating **Fractals Energy** (Gamma) directly into the Alpha of the Laguerre RSI, this version of Ehlers’ work allows the indicator to adapt its own speed based on the market’s complexity. When Alpha exceeds the bands, it is a warning that the "clean" move is coming to an end. The market is "coiled" tight; the subsequent break back into the purple band signifies that the trend has lost its linear efficiency and is returning to a state of chaos—often resulting in a price reversal or significant consolidation. > **Credit:** All mathematical foundations of the Laguerre Transform and the RSI implementation are credited to **John F. Ehlers**. --- Would you like me to create a visual guide or table specifically for the **Fractal Energy** values and how they correlate to specific market phases?
Pine Script® indicator
by mandansound