Volatility Regimes | GainzAlgo📊 OVERVIEW:
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This is a comprehensive ATR-based trading system designed for professional
traders who need advanced volatility analysis, precise trade management, and
intelligent market regime detection. The indicator combines multiple proven
volatility concepts into one powerful, customizable tool.
⭐ WHY THIS SYSTEM IS UNIQUE AND WORTHY OF PUBLICATION:
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This is not simply a collection of ATR-based indicators placed together.
It represents a unified volatility analysis framework where each component
is specifically designed to work in concert with the others, creating a
complete trading workflow that cannot be replicated by using multiple
separate indicators.
🔗 SYNERGISTIC INTEGRATION - How Components Work Together:
🧠 1. CONTEXT-AWARE ANALYSIS
The Volatility Regime Detection acts as the "brain" of the system,
classifying market conditions into 4 distinct phases. Every other
component then adapts its behavior based on this regime classification:
- ATR Bands expand/contract with regime changes
- Stop Loss distances automatically adjust (tighter in compression,
wider in high volatility)
- Take Profit targets scale proportionally to current regime
- Signal sensitivity filters itself based on market phase
📐 2. UNIFIED VOLATILITY FOUNDATION
All calculations share a single ATR baseline calculation, ensuring
internal consistency across the entire system. When ATR changes, every
element updates in perfect synchronization:
- Bands recalculate from the same ATR value
- Risk management levels use the same volatility measurement
- Regime classification and signals reference identical data
🛡️ 3. INTEGRATED RISK MANAGEMENT
The system doesn't just show WHERE to enter - it calculates HOW MUCH
to risk:
- Dynamic Stop Loss adapts to current ATR automatically
- Position Size Calculator uses the dynamic stop to compute exact quantities
- Take Profit levels scale proportionally, maintaining optimal risk:reward
✅ 4. TWO-STAGE SIGNAL CONFIRMATION
The alert system creates a logical progression:
Step 1: Volatility Breakout → Market energy is building
Step 2: Trend Confirmation → Direction confirmed with volatility support
This prevents false breakouts by requiring both volatility AND direction.
🏦 5. PROFESSIONAL WORKFLOW INTEGRATION
The system mirrors how institutional traders analyze markets:
Phase 1: Assess regime → What's the market doing?
Phase 2: Identify setup → Where's the opportunity?
Phase 3: Calculate risk → What's my exposure?
Phase 4: Set targets → Where do I take profit?
Phase 5: Monitor regime → When do conditions change?
❌ WHY NOT USE SEPARATE INDICATORS?
- Separate ATR Bands: Don't know about regime changes, remain static
- Separate Regime Indicator: Doesn't automatically adjust stop/targets
- Separate Position Calculator: Doesn't know your actual ATR-based stop
- Manual Integration: Requires constant mental calculation and cross-referencing
🧮 DETAILED CALCULATION METHODOLOGY:
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📏 ATR (AVERAGE TRUE RANGE) CALCULATION:
- True Range = Maximum of:
1. Current High - Current Low
2. Absolute value of (Current High - Previous Close)
3. Absolute value of (Current Low - Previous Close)
- ATR = Simple Moving Average of True Range over specified period (default: 14)
📊 DYNAMIC ATR BANDS:
- Upper Band = Current Close + (ATR × Band Multiplier)
- Lower Band = Current Close - (ATR × Band Multiplier)
- Band 1: 1.0× ATR (closest support/resistance)
- Band 2: 2.0× ATR (intermediate zone)
- Band 3: 3.0× ATR (extended zone)
🌡️ VOLATILITY REGIME CLASSIFICATION:
Step 1: Calculate ATR Baseline
- Baseline ATR = SMA or EMA of ATR over long period (default: 50 bars)
- This represents "normal" volatility for the instrument
Step 2: Calculate ATR Ratio
- ATR Ratio = Current ATR ÷ Baseline ATR
- Example: If current ATR = 70 and baseline = 50, ratio = 1.40
Step 3: Classify Regime Based on Ratio
- COMPRESSION: Ratio < 0.70 (ATR is 30% below normal)
Market consolidating, volatility contracting, energy building
- EXPANSION: Ratio between 1.15 and 1.40 (ATR is 15-40% above normal)
Volatility breaking out, early phase of directional movement
- HIGH VOLATILITY: Ratio > 1.40 (ATR is 40%+ above normal)
Strong sustained trend with high participation
- EXHAUSTION: ATR declining after high volatility period
Requires: Previous high ratio + declining ATR over X bars (default: 5)
Trend maturity, potential reversal or consolidation approaching
🛑 DYNAMIC STOP LOSS CALCULATION:
- For Long Positions: Stop Loss = Entry Price - (ATR × SL Multiplier)
- For Short Positions: Stop Loss = Entry Price + (ATR × SL Multiplier)
- Default Multiplier: 2.0× ATR
- Adjusts automatically: Wider in high volatility, tighter in compression
🎯 TAKE PROFIT LEVELS:
- TP1 = Entry Price ± (ATR × TP1 Multiplier)
- TP2 = Entry Price ± (ATR × TP2 Multiplier)
- TP3 = Entry Price ± (ATR × TP3 Multiplier)
- Direction (+ or -) depends on trade direction
📦 POSITION SIZE CALCULATION:
Formula: Position Size = Account Risk Amount ÷ Stop Loss Distance
Step-by-step:
1. Risk Amount = Account Size × (Risk Percentage ÷ 100)
2. Stop Distance = |Entry Price - Stop Loss Price|
3. Position Size = Risk Amount ÷ Stop Distance
📈 ATR PERCENTILE RANKING:
- >80% = Extremely high volatility
- 20-80% = Normal volatility range
- <20% = Extremely low volatility
🌀 VOLATILITY CONTRACTION PATTERN:
Detects extended low-volatility periods indicating imminent breakout.
🧭 TREND DETECTION SIGNALS:
Bullish: Price > MA AND Current ATR > ATR MA
Bearish: Price < MA AND Current ATR > ATR MA
⚡ VOLATILITY BREAKOUT SIGNALS:
Triggered when ATR exceeds its moving average by a defined threshold.
🧩 CORE FEATURES:
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1. ATR BANDS (Dynamic Support/Resistance)
2. VOLATILITY REGIME DETECTION
3. DYNAMIC STOP LOSS SYSTEM
4. MULTIPLE TAKE PROFIT LEVELS
5. SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS
6. RISK MANAGEMENT CALCULATOR
7. ATR PERCENTILE RANKING
8. VOLATILITY CONTRACTION PATTERN
9. TREND DETECTION SIGNALS
10. VOLATILITY BREAKOUT SIGNALS
⚙️ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS BY TRADING STYLE:
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DAY TRADING • SWING TRADING • POSITION TRADING • SCALPING
📘 HOW TO USE THIS INDICATOR:
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STEP 1: Identify Market Regime
STEP 2: Wait for Entry Signal
STEP 3: Set Stop Loss
STEP 4: Set Take Profits
STEP 5: Position Sizing
STEP 6: Monitor & Manage
🔔 ALERT SYSTEM:
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Alerts for volatility breakouts, trend changes, regime transitions,
ATR band crossings, contraction completion, and percentile extremes.
🎨 CUSTOMIZATION:
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All visuals, thresholds, multipliers, colors, alerts, and risk parameters
can be fully customized.
⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:
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This indicator is a volatility analysis tool and does NOT provide financial advice.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
All trading involves substantial risk.
All trading decisions are the sole responsibility of the user.
Educational
Supertrend BUY Only - Optimized for Gold M15 TimeframeOverview
The Supertrend BUY Only - Production Optimized is a high-performance trend-following indicator specifically tuned for XAUUSD (Gold) on the 15-minute timeframe. Unlike standard Supertrend scripts, this version focuses exclusively on bullish cycles to align with long-term upward bias and uses parameters discovered through deep data analysis of over 20,000 bars of historical market data.
Key Features
Data-Optimized Parameters: Defaults are set to ATR Period 7 and Multiplier 2.1, which backtesting has shown to provide a superior balance between sensitivity and noise reduction for Gold.
Production-Ready Alerts: Includes built-in alertcondition triggers for both BUY (Trend Flip) and STOP BUY (Trend Exit), complete with dynamic messages that include price and interval.
Trailing Support Band: Uses a trailing logic that locks in support levels during upward moves, preventing the band from dropping until the trend officially reverses.
Clean Visuals: Focuses on chart clarity by only plotting the support line during active uptrends and utilizing clean shape labels for entries and exits.
How to Use
Entry (BUY): When the Supertrend line flips from Red to Green and a "BUY" label appears. This indicates bullish momentum has overcome recent volatility.
Exit (STOP BUY): When the price closes below the Green support line. The indicator will plot a red "X" and clear the green background.
Setting Alerts: * Click the Alerts icon in TradingView.
Select this indicator under "Condition."
Choose "BUY Signal" for entries and "STOP BUY / EXIT" for managing your trade or taking profit.
Technical Details
The script allows users to toggle between the TradingView (RMA) ATR calculation and the Standard (SMA) method. For production and live trading, the RMA method is recommended as it provides a smoother response to volatility spikes common in the Gold market.
Fair Value Gaps w Signals fair value gaps for resistance and support. It is important to understand ranges with this. An open bearish fair value gaps can indicate a bearish range. A bullish fair value gaps in premium can indicate retracement into the bearish range. A fair value gaps on a high time frame in discount of the range can be a indicator to go long. one can play the fair value gaps in discount or a range back into it for longs. negation of the fair value gaps candle bearish or bullish is stop loss. One would want to see a small time frame turn around story within the fair value gaps you are trading. FVG are support and resistance until the market is balanced. A bearish fair value gaps untouched can indicate the end of a range. The candle before the 1st bullsih fair value gaps could be the beginning of the range. all time frames
Asian and London Session High-Low (Auto UK DST) + PDH/PDLThis indicator automatically plots Asian session (7:00am–2:00pm MYT) and London session high/low using Malaysian time, with London adjusting automatically for UK Daylight Saving Time (4:00pm–9:00pm MYT in winter, 3:00pm–8:00pm MYT during DST).
It also shows Previous Day High/Low (PDH/PDL) and a 7:00am MYT daily reset line, while No-Trade zones are available but turned OFF by default and can be enabled when needed.
TradeCraftly - Previous OHLC Levels📌 TradeCraftly – Previous OHLC Levels
TradeCraftly OHLC plots the most important higher-timeframe price levels directly on your chart, helping you identify key support, resistance, and reference zones with clarity.
🔹 What this indicator shows
Previous Day OHLC (High, Low, Open, Close)
Previous Week OHLC
Previous Month OHLC
Today’s Open (no historical clutter)
All levels are drawn as clean horizontal rays and extend only into the current session, keeping the chart focused and readable.
🔹 Key Features
Individual enable / disable controls for Day, Week, and Month levels
No historical clutter – only the most relevant levels are shown
Labels aligned to today’s first candle for quick level identification
Custom line width, color, and style (solid / dashed / dotted)
Works seamlessly on all intraday and higher timeframes
🔹 Why use Previous OHLC levels?
Previous period OHLC levels are widely used by:
Intraday traders
Swing traders
Index & futures traders
They often act as:
Strong support & resistance
Liquidity zones
Breakout / rejection levels
🔹 Best Use Cases
Market open bias using Today’s Open
Intraday trades around PDH / PDL
Weekly range reactions near PWH / PWL
Higher-timeframe context using Monthly levels
⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only and does not provide trading signals or financial advice. Always manage risk and confirm with your own analysis.
Gold Projection DivergenceGOLD PROJECTION DIVERGENCE
Oscillator Companion for the Gold Macro Projection Model
OVERVIEW
The Gold Projection Divergence oscillator quantifies how far gold is trading from its projected fair value. While the main indicator shows where gold should be, this oscillator shows how extreme the mispricing is—providing precise timing signals for entries and exits.
HOW IT WORKS
The oscillator calculates the difference between actual gold price and the projected value, then normalizes it as a Z-score . This statistical measure shows how many standard deviations gold is trading away from its projected fair value.
Z > +2 — Gold is 2+ standard deviations above fair value (extremely overvalued)
Z > +1 — Gold is moderately overvalued
Z = 0 — Gold is trading at projected fair value
Z < -1 — Gold is moderately undervalued
Z < -2 — Gold is 2+ standard deviations below fair value (extremely undervalued)
VISUAL ELEMENTS
Histogram — Color-coded divergence magnitude
Yellow Line — Smoothed Z-score
Dashed Lines — +2 and -2 standard deviation levels
Dotted Lines — +1 and -1 standard deviation levels
Triangle Markers — Extreme crossover signals
Circle Markers — Zero-line crossings
HISTOGRAM COLORS
Dark Red — Z > +2 (extreme overvaluation)
Orange — Z between +1 and +2
Light Orange — Z between 0 and +1
Light Green — Z between -1 and 0
Green — Z between -2 and -1
Lime — Z < -2 (extreme undervaluation)
COMPONENT TABLE
The breakdown table shows divergence from each individual factor:
Silver — Is gold over/undervalued relative to silver?
M2 — Is gold over/undervalued relative to money supply?
DXY — Is gold over/undervalued relative to dollar strength?
Equity — Is gold over/undervalued relative to stocks?
TIPS — Is gold over/undervalued relative to real rates?
TRADING APPLICATIONS
Mean Reversion Strategy
Enter LONG when Z < -2 and begins rising
Enter SHORT when Z > +2 and begins falling
Use zero-line crossings for trend confirmation
Trend Following Filter
Only take long trades when Z < 0 (undervalued)
Only take short trades when Z > 0 (overvalued)
Divergence Confirmation
Bearish: Price makes new highs while Z-score makes lower highs
Bullish: Price makes new lows while Z-score makes higher lows
ALERTS
Extreme Undervaluation — Z crosses below -2
Extreme Overvaluation — Z crosses above +2
Moderate Undervaluation — Z crosses below -1
Moderate Overvaluation — Z crosses above +1
Divergence Turned Positive — Crossed above zero
Divergence Turned Negative — Crossed below zero
COMBINED USAGE
For best results, use both indicators together :
Main Indicator — Visual context of actual vs. projected on price chart
Divergence Oscillator — Precise measurement for timing decisions
The main indicator shows where gold should be; the oscillator shows how extreme the mispricing is and when to act.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past correlations do not guarantee future relationships. Market conditions can alter historical relationships. Always use proper risk management.
HaP RSIComprehensive Guide to HaP RSI Indicator
Introduction
The HaP RSI indicator is a custom technical analysis tool designed to replicate the logic and structure of the HaP MACD indicator but applied to the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This indicator combines traditional RSI concepts with advanced smoothing techniques, dynamic signal generation, and visual cues to help traders identify potential entry and exit points, trend strength, and momentum shifts.
This document provides an exhaustive explanation of the indicator's logic, its components, and practical strategies for trading with it.
Logic and Structure of HaP RSI
The HaP RSI indicator is built on the foundation of the RSI oscillator, which measures the speed and change of price movements to identify overbought and oversold conditions. The indicator enhances RSI by incorporating the following elements:
RSI Calculation: Uses a customizable length (default 10) and allows selection of smoothing type (EMA or SMA) for flexibility.
Signal Line: A moving average of the RSI (default length 9) that acts as a reference for crossovers and trend confirmation.
DEMA Logic: Double Exponential Moving Average applied to RSI and its signal line to generate dynamic dot signals for entries and exits.
Visual Elements: Midline at 50, Overbought/Oversold levels at 70 and 30, color-coded dots (Blue, Green, Orange, Red) for intuitive interpretation.
Conditions and Signal Generation
The indicator uses a sophisticated set of conditions to determine market states and generate actionable signals:
Buy Condition: Triggered when the DEMA of RSI is above the DEMA of its signal line AND the DEMA signal line is rising. This indicates strengthening bullish momentum.
First Signal Dot: Appears as a Blue dot when the buy condition becomes true for the first time after being false. This marks the start of a potential bullish phase.
Ongoing Signal Dot: Appears as Green if RSI is rising or Orange if RSI is falling while the buy condition remains true. This provides real-time feedback on momentum strength.
Exit Dot: Appears as Red when the buy condition turns false after being true, signaling a potential end to the bullish phase.
Crossovers: RSI crossing above its signal line (bullish) or below (bearish) are calculated but hidden by default, offering additional confirmation if enabled.
Trading Strategies Using HaP RSI
The HaP RSI indicator can be used in multiple ways to enhance trading decisions. Below are detailed strategies and best practices:
1. Entry Strategies
Enter long positions when a Blue dot appears, confirming the start of bullish momentum. Ideally, combine this with RSI above the midline (50) and price action breaking resistance.
Add to positions or scale in when Green dots appear, indicating continued bullish strength.
2. Exit Strategies
Exit or tighten stops when a Red dot appears, signaling weakening momentum.
Consider partial exits on Orange dots if momentum slows but the trend remains intact.
3. Trend Confirmation
Use the midline (50) as a regime filter: RSI above 50 generally favors long trades, while below 50 favors shorts.
Overbought/Oversold levels (70/30) can help identify exhaustion points for reversals or caution zones.
4. Risk Management
Always combine HaP RSI signals with stop-loss placement based on recent swing lows/highs.
Avoid chasing signals in low-volatility environments; confirm with volume or higher timeframe trend.
Advanced Usage and Best Practices
Combine HaP RSI with other indicators like moving averages or price action patterns for confluence.
Use alerts for Blue and Red dots to automate monitoring and reduce missed opportunities.
Backtest the indicator on multiple timeframes (H1 recommended) to optimize settings for your trading style.
Summary
HaP RSI is a powerful tool that blends RSI's simplicity with advanced signal logic, making it suitable for trend-following, momentum trading, and swing strategies. Its visual clarity and dynamic alerts allow traders to act decisively while managing risk effectively.
Order Blocks+swl - Dual MTF Fixed ExtendedOrder Blocks+SWL - Dual MTF with Swing Validation
Overview
This advanced TradingView indicator combines Multi-Timeframe Order Block detection with Swing High/Low validation to identify high-probability supply and demand zones. The tool displays order blocks from higher timeframes and current timeframe, then highlights those that align with swing points for enhanced reliability.
🔧 Key Features
Multi-Timeframe Order Block Detection
- Current Timeframe: Detects order blocks on the chart's native timeframe
- HTF1 & HTF2: Two customizable higher timeframes (default: 60m, 240m)
- Independent Toggles: Enable/disable each timeframe's OBs separately
Smart Order Block Logic
- Long Order Blocks: Formed when current candle's LOW > middle candle's HIGH
- Short Order Blocks: Formed when current candle's HIGH < middle candle's LOW
- Persistent Display: Boxes extend until price fills the zone
- Color Coding:
- Current TF: Green (long) / Red (short)
- HTF1: Orange (long) / Maroon (short)
- HTF2: Blue (long) / Purple (short)
Swing Point Integration
-Swing Lows (SWL) & Swing Highs (SWH): Automatically detected using pivots
-Validation Overlay: Highlights order blocks that coincide with swing points
- Lime boxes: Long OBs with SWL confirmation
- Fuchsia boxes: Short OBs with SWH confirmation
Visual Elements
- Order Block Boxes: Semi-transparent zones with bold borders
- Entry Markers: Triangle shapes below/above bars for visual confirmation
- Swing Labels: SWL/SWH labels at pivot points
- Valid OB Overlay: Distinctive colored boxes for validated zones
⚙️ Input Parameters
Display Controls
- `Show Long OBs`: Toggle long order block display
- `Show Short OBs`: Toggle short order block display
- `Show Current TF OBs`: Display order blocks from current timeframe
- `Use HTF1/HTF2 OBs`: Enable higher timeframe order blocks
- `HTF1/HTF2`: Customizable timeframe strings
Technical Settings
- `My Input`: Maximum unfilled boxes to display (50-50000, default: 1000)
- `Swing Lookback / Forward Length`: Pivot detection sensitivity (default: 10)
📊 How It Works
1. Order Block Detection: The indicator scans three timeframes for specific candlestick patterns that indicate potential supply/demand zones.
2. Swing Point Detection: Simultaneously identifies swing highs and lows using pivot logic.
3. Validation Overlay: When an order block forms on the same candle as a swing point, it creates a special highlighted zone indicating higher probability.
4. Memory Management: Automatically manages box count to prevent performance issues while maintaining historical context.
🎯 Trading Applications
- Trend Continuation: Validated order blocks in trend direction offer high-probability entries
- Reversal Zones: Swing-aligned order blocks at key levels suggest potential reversals
- Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Higher timeframe OBs provide stronger support/resistance
- Zone Trading: Trade bounces from or breaks through validated zones
💡 Usage Tips
1. Prioritize Validated Zones: Focus on lime/fuchsia boxes as they have swing confirmation
2. Timeframe Hierarchy: HTF2 (240m) > HTF1 (60m) > Current TF for zone strength
3. Combine with Price Action: Use zones alongside candlestick patterns and volume
4. Risk Management: Place stops beyond opposite side of order block
⚠️ Limitations
- Not a standalone trading system - combine with other analysis
- May repaint on current bar until close
- Higher timeframes require sufficient historical data
- Swing detection sensitivity depends on length parameter
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Note: This tool is for educational purposes. Always practice proper risk management and backtest strategies before live trading.
Engulfing Pattern Detector + Optional Filters Description
This indicator highlights bullish and bearish engulfing candle patterns with optional confirmation filters for volume, momentum, and volatility.
It is designed as a technical analysis and educational tool, allowing users to study price behavior across different markets and timeframes.
Why This Indicator Is Different
Many engulfing indicators mark every textbook pattern, which can result in excessive chart noise.
This script adds optional filters that allow users to focus on engulfing candles occurring under more relevant market conditions, such as increased activity, directional momentum, or sufficient volatility.
All filters are fully optional and disabled by default, so users can start with pure price-action patterns and progressively add context based on their analysis style.
Key Features
Bullish & bearish engulfing pattern detection
Optional volume, RSI, MACD, and ATR filters
Higher-timeframe momentum context
Customizable inputs for flexibility
Visual chart markers and optional alerts
Inputs Overview
Engulfing body size and ratio settings
Volume confirmation options
Higher-timeframe RSI & MACD settings
ATR-based volatility filter
All filters are disabled by default and can be enabled as needed.
How to Use
Add the indicator to your chart
Observe raw engulfing patterns
Enable filters for additional context
Use alongside other technical analysis tools
**Disclaimer**
This indicator is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other professional advice.
All calculations, visualizations, and signals produced by this indicator are derived solely from historical price data. No representation is made that the indicator can predict future market behavior or outcomes. Any interpretations drawn from its output are the sole responsibility of the user.
Trading and investing involve substantial risk, including the possible loss of all or more than the initial capital. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past market behavior, patterns, or indicator performance do not guarantee similar results in the future.
The informational markers, alerts, dashboard readings, and histogram values generated by this indicator are not trade recommendations and should not be used as the sole basis for making trading decisions. Users are encouraged to combine this tool with their own analysis, risk management, and confirmation methods.
The author assumes no responsibility or liability for any trading decisions, losses, or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use of this indicator. By using this script, you acknowledge that you are solely responsible for your trading decisions and outcomes.
Use at your own risk.
VWAP Institutional Trading Engine INDICATORVWAP Institutional Trading Engine
Adaptive Market Regime & Trading Model Indicator
🔍 Overview
The VWAP Institutional Trading Engine is an advanced, rule-based market analysis indicator designed to replicate institutional decision-making logic using VWAP, volatility, and session-based market behavior.
This indicator does not predict price.
Instead, it answers a more important question:
“What type of trading is appropriate right now – if any?”
The engine continuously evaluates:
Market regime (trend, range, dead market)
Volatility conditions
VWAP acceptance and deviation
Trading session (Asia / London / New York)
Based on this, it dynamically activates one of three trading models:
TREND
MEAN REVERSION
OFF (no trading)
This makes it ideal for:
Discretionary traders
Systematic traders
Risk-focused trading
Educational / portfolio-style trading approaches
🧠 Core Philosophy
Professional trading is not about finding more signals.
It is about knowing when not to trade.
This indicator is built around three institutional principles:
VWAP defines fair value
Volatility defines opportunity or danger
Different sessions require different behavior
⚙️ Indicator Components
1️⃣ VWAP & Statistical Deviation Bands
VWAP represents institutional fair price
±1σ bands indicate acceptance zones
±2σ bands represent statistical extremes
Used for:
Mean reversion zones
Trend acceptance confirmation
Go Score calculation
2️⃣ Volatility Engine
Volatility is measured using ATR relative to price
Compared against its own moving average
Classifications:
Low volatility → dead / untradable market
Normal volatility → structured behavior
High volatility → trend or liquidation events
3️⃣ Market Regime Detection
The engine classifies each moment into one regime:
Regime Meaning
TREND Price accepts above or below VWAP with volatility
RANGE Price rotates near VWAP
DEAD Low volatility, no opportunity
MIXED Unclear structure
4️⃣ Active Trading Model (Most Important)
Displayed in the dashboard as Model:
Model Interpretation
TREND Trade with momentum and continuation
MEAN_REVERT Trade extremes back to VWAP
OFF Do not trade
The Model tells you HOW you are allowed to trade right now.
5️⃣ Session Awareness (UTC)
The indicator adapts behavior based on session logic:
Session Preferred Behavior
Asia Mean Reversion
London Trend
New York Selective / adaptive
Trades are only allowed when model + session are aligned.
6️⃣ Go Score – Trade Quality Filter
Each potential setup receives a Go Score (0–100), based on:
Distance from VWAP
Market regime quality
Volatility penalties
Go Score Interpretation
≥ 80 High-quality (A+)
65–79 Acceptable
< 65 No trade
7️⃣ Risk Guidance (Informational)
The indicator outputs a Risk % suggestion, based on:
Go Score
Simulated drawdown logic
⚠️ This is guidance only, not position sizing.
📈 Visual Signals
The indicator plots contextual signals, not blind entries:
Mean Reversion Signals
▲ Long below −2σ
▼ Short above +2σ
Trend Signals
↑ Long after acceptance above +1σ
↓ Short after acceptance below −1σ
Signals appear only when trading is allowed by:
Model
Session
Go Score
🧩 Dashboard Explanation
The top-right dashboard displays real-time engine state:
Field Description
Session Current UTC session
Regime Detected market condition
Go Score Trade quality score
Risk % Suggested relative risk
Drawdown % Virtual defensive metric
Model Active trading model
If Model = OFF → do nothing.
🧭 Practical Trading Manual (Step-by-Step)
Step 1 – Check the Model
TREND → look for continuation
MEAN_REVERT → look for extremes
OFF → do not trade
Step 2 – Confirm Session Alignment
Asia + Mean Reversion ✔
London + Trend ✔
Misalignment = caution
Step 3 – Check Go Score
Below 65 → skip
65+ → proceed
Step 4 – Use Chart Structure
VWAP = anchor
σ bands = context
Signal = permission, not obligation
Step 5 – Manage Risk Manually
Use your own SL/TP rules
Follow the Risk % as guidance, not law
❌ What This Indicator Is NOT
Not a signal spam tool
Not a prediction system
Not a “holy grail”
It is a decision framework.
✅ Best Use Cases
Futures
Indices
Forex
Crypto
Intraday & swing trading
Recommended timeframes:
5m – 1H (intraday)
4H (contextual swing)
🏁 Final Notes
This indicator is intentionally transparent and rule-based.
It is designed to help traders:
Think in regimes
Trade with structure
Avoid overtrading
Protect capital
If you trade with the Model, not against it,
you will already be ahead of most market participants.
Silver Projection DivergenceSILVER PROJECTION DIVERGENCE
Standardized Fair Value Divergence Oscillator
OVERVIEW
The Silver Projection Divergence oscillator is the companion indicator to the Silver Macro Projection Model. It quantifies the gap between silver's actual price and its projected fair value, displaying this divergence as a standardized z-score. This format makes it easier to identify extreme conditions and time entries/exits based on mean reversion.
HOW IT WORKS
The oscillator converts raw divergence (Actual Silver - Projected Silver) to a z-score by normalizing against its historical distribution:
Z-Score > 0 - Silver trading ABOVE projected value (overvalued)
Z-Score < 0 - Silver trading BELOW projected value (undervalued)
Z-Score > 2 - Extreme condition (2 standard deviations)
VISUAL ELEMENTS
Main Plot
Green line/histogram - Negative divergence (undervalued)
Red line/histogram - Positive divergence (overvalued)
Color intensity increases when divergence is expanding
Reference Lines
+2 sigma / -2 sigma (dashed) - Extreme zones
+1 sigma / -1 sigma (dotted) - Moderate deviation
Zero line - Fair value equilibrium
Signal Markers
Green Triangle (bottom) - Z-score crosses below -2 (STRONG BUY)
Red Triangle (top) - Z-score crosses above +2 (STRONG SELL)
Background
Light red background - Extreme overvaluation (Z > 2)
Light green background - Extreme undervaluation (Z < -2)
SIGNAL INTERPRETATION
Z > +2.0 - Extreme Overvaluation - STRONG SELL / Take profits
Z +1.0 to +2.0 - Moderate Overvaluation - Caution / Reduce exposure
Z -1.0 to +1.0 - Fair Value Range - Neutral / Hold
Z -2.0 to -1.0 - Moderate Undervaluation - Accumulate / Scale in
Z < -2.0 - Extreme Undervaluation - STRONG BUY signal
COMPONENT TABLE
The bottom-right table breaks down divergence by factor:
Gold Ratio - Deviation from gold-implied fair value
M2 Supply - Divergence from monetary-implied value
DXY Signal - Dollar strength bullish/bearish indication
Equities - Equity market positioning signal
OVERALL - Combined signal with Z-score
TRADING APPLICATIONS
Mean Reversion Strategy
Enter LONG when Z < -2 and begins rising
Enter SHORT when Z > +2 and begins falling
Use zero-line crossings for trend confirmation
Trend Following Filter
Only take long trades when Z < 0 (undervalued)
Only take short trades when Z > 0 (overvalued)
Divergence Confirmation
Bearish: Price makes new highs while Z-score makes lower highs
Bullish: Price makes new lows while Z-score makes higher lows
ALERTS
Extreme Undervaluation - Z crosses below -2
Extreme Overvaluation - Z crosses above +2
Divergence Turned Positive - Crossed above zero
Divergence Turned Negative - Crossed below zero
COMBINED USAGE
For best results, use both with Silver Macro Projection Model - indicator:
Main Indicator - Visual context of actual vs. projected on price chart
Divergence Oscillator - Precise measurement for timing decisions
The main indicator (Silver Macro Projection Model - ) shows where silver should be; this oscillator shows how extreme the mispricing is and when to act.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past correlations do not guarantee future relationships. Market conditions can alter historical relationships. Always use proper risk management.
ADIBABA - 4x EMAThis indicator is based on the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and is designed to help traders identify trend direction, momentum, and price structure with clarity.
The script provides fully customizable EMA length along with an optional Smoothing EMA (SMS), allowing traders to fine-tune the indicator according to their trading style and market conditions.
It is suitable for intraday, swing, and positional traders and works well across multiple asset classes.
How It Works
• The primary EMA follows price movement and defines the trend
• The smoothing EMA reduces market noise and improves signal quality
• Price above EMA indicates a bullish bias
• Price below EMA indicates a bearish bias
This combination helps filter false signals and provides stronger trend confirmation.
[PickMyTrade] Trend strategy for LongThis strategy detects descending trend resistance using pivot-based trendlines and enters long positions when price confirms a breakout above a validated trendline. It is designed to capture bullish trend reversals with strict risk control and flexible exit management.
The system focuses on structural market behavior rather than indicators, making it suitable for traders who prefer price-action-based decision making.
USAGE
This strategy automatically builds trendlines from confirmed pivot highs. A trendline is considered valid only when price has interacted with it a user-defined number of times, ensuring that trades are taken only from well-formed market structures.
A trade is triggered when price closes above a validated descending trendline while optional session and position limits are respected.
All risk and position sizing are calculated automatically based on the selected risk amount and stop-loss distance.
HOW IT WORKS
The strategy identifies swing highs using pivot logic and connects them into descending trendlines. Each trendline must meet a minimum number of touch confirmations before becoming eligible for trading.
When price closes above a valid trendline, the strategy calculates:
Stop-loss placement below the most recent pivot low
Position size based on fixed monetary risk
Profit targets based on the selected exit method
EXIT METHODS
Three exit models are supported:
Risk–Reward Ratio
Uses a fixed multiple of the defined risk distance to set the take-profit level.
Lookback Candle Exit
Exits trades when price shows structural reversal behavior based on recent candles.
Fibonacci Targets
Uses Fibonacci extensions derived from recent swing structure to trail profits dynamically.
An optional trailing stop can also be enabled to protect open profits.
FEATURES
Automatic pivot-based trendline detection
Multi-trendline or single-trendline operation
Dynamic position sizing based on monetary risk
Pivot-based stop-loss placement
Multiple exit methodologies
Optional trailing stop
Optional trading session filter
Fully visualized trendlines, stop levels, and profit targets
SETTINGS
Trend Detection
Pivot Length for Trend
Touch Number
Validation Percentage
Optional Pivot-to-Pivot Confirmation
Risk Management
Fixed Risk Amount
Default Contract Size Option
Stop-Loss Buffer
Trailing Stop Toggle
Take-Profit
Exit Method Selection
Risk-Reward Ratio
Lookback Candle Length
Fibonacci Extension Levels
Session Filter
Enable/Disable Session Trading
Trading Session Time Window
Gold Macro Projection ModelGOLD MACRO PROJECTION MODEL
Multi-Factor Fair Value Estimation for Gold
OVERVIEW
The Gold Macro Projection Model estimates gold's fair value based on its historical relationships with key macroeconomic drivers. By synthesizing data from silver , M2 money supply , the US Dollar Index , TIPS (real rates proxy) , and major equity indices , this indicator projects where gold should theoretically be trading—helping traders identify potential overvaluation and undervaluation conditions.
HOW IT WORKS
This indicator employs three complementary projection methodologies :
Correlation-Weighted Z-Score Composite (50% weight)
Calculates rolling correlations between gold and each input factor. Factors with stronger correlations receive more influence. Each factor is normalized to a z-score, combined into a composite, then converted back to gold's price scale.
Silver/Gold Ratio Mean Reversion (35% weight)
The silver/gold ratio historically exhibits mean-reverting behavior. This component projects gold's implied price based on current silver prices and the historical average ratio.
M2 Money Supply Relationship (15% weight)
Gold tracks monetary expansion over long time horizons. This anchors the projection to the fundamental relationship between gold and the monetary base.
INPUT FACTORS
Silver — Strong positive correlation; precious metals move together
M2 Money Supply — Positive correlation; gold as inflation hedge
US Dollar Index (DXY) — Typically negative correlation; inverse relationship
TIPS ETF — Real interest rate proxy; gold responds to real yields
Equity Indices — Variable correlation; risk-on/risk-off dynamics
VISUAL ELEMENTS
Yellow Line — Actual gold price
Aqua Line — Projected fair value
Green Fill — Gold trading below projection (potentially undervalued)
Red Fill — Gold trading above projection (potentially overvalued)
Aqua Bands — Standard deviation envelope around projection
INFO TABLE
The indicator displays a real-time information panel showing:
Current actual vs. projected price
Divergence percentage and Z-score
Rolling correlations for each factor
Dynamic weight allocation
Buy/Sell signal based on divergence extremes
SIGNAL INTERPRETATION
STRONG BUY — Z-score below -2 (extremely undervalued)
BUY — Z-score between -2 and -1 (moderately undervalued)
NEUTRAL — Z-score between -1 and +1 (fairly valued)
SELL — Z-score between +1 and +2 (moderately overvalued)
STRONG SELL — Z-score above +2 (extremely overvalued)
SETTINGS
Correlation Period — Lookback for correlation calculations (default: 60)
Regression Period — Lookback for mean/standard deviation (default: 120)
Smoothing Period — EMA smoothing for projection line (default: 10)
Auto Weights — Toggle between correlation-based or manual weights
Band Multiplier — Standard deviation multiplier for bands (default: 1.5)
ALERTS
Gold Extremely Undervalued — Z crosses below -2
Gold Extremely Overvalued — Z crosses above +2
Gold Crossed Above Projection
Gold Crossed Below Projection
BEST PRACTICES
Use on daily timeframe for most reliable signals
Combine with the companion Gold Divergence Oscillator for timing
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past correlations do not guarantee future relationships. Always use proper risk management.
VWAP Long Entry PROVWAP Long Entry PRO - Instruction Manual
Overview
VWAP Long Entry PRO is a Pine Script v6 indicator designed for day traders following Andrew Aziz's VWAP trading methodology from "How to Day Trade for a Living." The indicator identifies high-probability long entry opportunities when stocks bounce off VWAP with proper trend, volume, and timing confirmation.
What This Indicator Does
The indicator monitors multiple conditions simultaneously and alerts you only when ALL criteria are met for a valid VWAP long entry:
1. ✅ Price is near VWAP (within customizable proximity)
2. ✅ Price crosses above VWAP (bullish candle confirmation)
3. ✅ Uptrend confirmed (EMA 20 > EMA 50)
4. ✅ Volume spike present (volume > 1.5x average)
5. ✅ Within optimal trading hours (default: first 2 hours after market open)
Visual Elements on the Chart
1. VWAP Line (Yellow)
* Shows the Volume Weighted Average Price for the current session
* Acts as dynamic support/resistance
2. EMA Lines
* Blue Line: 20-period Exponential Moving Average
* Red Line: 50-period Exponential Moving Average
* Trend is bullish when blue is above red
3. Green Triangle Markers
* Appear below candles when ALL entry conditions are met
* These are your entry signals
4. Background Colors
* Light Yellow Background: Price is within proximity zone of VWAP
* Light Red Background: Price crossed VWAP but filters failed (helps identify missed opportunities)
5. Filter Status Table (Top Right)
Real-time dashboard showing current status of all filters:
Filter Status
Trend ✓ (green) or ✗ (red)
Volume ✓ (green) or ✗ (red)
Time ✓ (green) or ✗ (red)
Near VWAP ✓ (green) or ✗ (red)
Entry OK ✓ GO (lime) or ✗ (orange)
How to Use the Indicator
Step 1: Apply to Your Watchlist
1. Add VWAP Long Entry PRO to charts of stocks on your morning gappers watchlist
2. Use 1-minute, 2-minute, or 5-minute timeframes
3. Monitor multiple stocks simultaneously
Step 2: Wait for Setup
Watch the Filter Status Table in the top right corner. A valid entry requires:
* All filters showing green ✓
* "Entry OK" showing ✓ GO in lime/green
Step 3: Execute the Trade
When a green triangle appears below a candle:
* Entry: Enter long at or near the close of that candle
* Stop Loss: Place stop just below VWAP (typically 2-5 cents below)
* Profit Target: Use resistance levels, previous highs, or VWAP + ATR
Step 4: Manage the Trade
* Hold as long as price stays above VWAP
* Exit if price closes back below VWAP
* Scale out at resistance levels
Customizable Settings
Access settings by clicking the gear icon next to the indicator name.
VWAP Proximity
* Default: 0.002 (0.2%)
* Purpose: Defines how close price must be to VWAP
* Adjust If:
* Too many signals → increase (e.g., 0.001 = 0.1%)
* Too few signals → decrease (e.g., 0.003 = 0.3%)
Filters Group
Trend Filter
* Use Trend Filter: Toggle on/off
* EMA 20 Length: Default 20
* EMA 50 Length: Default 50
* Purpose: Ensures you're trading with the trend
* Disable If: Trading reversals or range-bound stocks
Volume Filter
* Use Volume Filter: Toggle on/off
* Volume Multiplier: Default 1.5 (volume must be 1.5x average)
* Volume Average Period: Default 20 bars
* Purpose: Confirms institutional participation
* Adjust If:
* Too restrictive → lower to 1.2x
* Need stronger confirmation → increase to 2.0x
Time Filter
* Use Time Filter: Toggle on/off
* Start Hour (EST): Default 9
* Start Minute: Default 30
* Hours to Trade: Default 2
* Purpose: Focus on highest probability time window (9:30-11:30 AM EST)
* Adjust If:
* Trading afternoon momentum → extend hours to 4-6
* Power hour trading → change start to 15:00, 1 hour
Alert Setup
Creating an Alert
1. Click the Alert Icon (clock) in top toolbar
2. Condition: Select "VWAP Long Entry PRO"
3. Alert Trigger: Choose "VWAP Long Entry PRO"
4. Options: Select "Once Per Bar Close"
5. Expiration: Set to desired timeframe (default: 60 days)
6. Alert Actions: Enable:
* ✓ Notify on App
* ✓ Show Popup
* ✓ Send Email (optional)
* ✓ Play Sound
7. Message: The default message includes:
* Ticker symbol
* Close price
* VWAP value
* Confirmation that all filters passed
Multi-Symbol Alert
To monitor multiple stocks with one alert:
1. In the alert creation dialog, use the Symbol dropdown
2. Select multiple tickers from your watchlist
3. The alert will fire when ANY of those stocks meet the criteria
Trading Strategy
Based on Andrew Aziz's VWAP Methodology
Setup Requirements:
* Stock must be "in play" (gap, news, high relative volume from morning scanner)
* Price pulls back to VWAP during the trading day
* VWAP acts as support for longs (or resistance for shorts)
Entry Rules:
1. Wait for price to approach VWAP
2. Confirm VWAP as support with a bullish candle closing above it
3. Enter long on confirmation candle close or next candle open
4. All filters (trend, volume, time) must be green
Stop Loss:
* Place stop 2-5 cents below VWAP
* Adjust based on stock volatility and your risk tolerance
Profit Targets:
* First target: Previous resistance or swing high
* Second target: Daily pivot or Fibonacci extension
* Trailing stop: Move stop to breakeven once up 1:1 risk/reward
Risk Management:
* Risk 1-2% of account per trade
* Position size based on distance from stop loss
* Aim for 2:1 or 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio
Common Scenarios
Scenario 1: Clean VWAP Bounce
* All filters green ✓
* Price pulls back to VWAP
* Green triangle appears
* Action: Enter long immediately
Scenario 2: Failed Volume
* Trend ✓, Time ✓, Near VWAP ✓
* Volume ✗ (red X)
* Action: Wait for volume increase or skip trade
Scenario 3: Wrong Time Window
* All filters green except Time ✗
* Action: If you trade mid-day, consider extending time window in settings
Scenario 4: Downtrend
* Trend ✗ (EMA 20 < EMA 50)
* Action: Skip long entry; consider short setup instead
Scenario 5: False Breakout
* Light red background appears (filters failed)
* Price crossed VWAP but no confirmation
* Action: No entry; indicator correctly filtered out weak signal
Best Practices
1. Pre-Market Preparation
* Run your gappers scanner at 9:00 AM EST
* Identify 3-5 stocks "in play"
* Add VWAP Long Entry PRO to each chart
* Set up alerts for your watchlist
2. Chart Timeframe Selection
* 1-minute: Scalping, high-frequency entries (more signals, more noise)
* 2-minute: Balanced (recommended for beginners)
* 5-minute: Swing entries, fewer but higher-quality signals
3. Combine with Price Action
The indicator is a filter and alert system, not a complete strategy. Also consider:
* Support/resistance levels
* Candlestick patterns (hammer, engulfing)
* Overall market trend (SPY, QQQ)
* Stock-specific news and catalysts
4. Backtesting
* Use TradingView's Bar Replay feature
* Review past signals on your favorite stocks
* Adjust filter settings based on your results
* Document win rate and average R:R
5. Paper Trading First
* Test the indicator with paper trading for 1-2 weeks
* Track all signals and outcomes
* Refine settings before risking real capital
Troubleshooting
Problem: No Signals Appearing
Solutions:
* Check if all filters are enabled (they may be too restrictive)
* Verify stock has sufficient volume and volatility
* Try increasing VWAP proximity from 0.2% to 0.3%
* Disable time filter if trading mid-day
* Check if stock is actually near VWAP on chart
Problem: Too Many Signals
Solutions:
* Decrease VWAP proximity from 0.2% to 0.1%
* Increase volume multiplier from 1.5x to 2.0x
* Enable all filters (trend, volume, time)
* Use 5-minute chart instead of 1-minute
Problem: Filter Status Table Not Visible
Solutions:
* Scroll chart to right (table is in top right corner)
* Check if indicator is loaded (should appear in indicator list on left)
* Refresh chart and re-add indicator
* Close other overlapping indicators
Problem: Alert Not Firing
Solutions:
* Verify alert is set to "Once Per Bar Close" (not "Only Once")
* Check alert hasn't expired
* Ensure correct symbols are selected in alert
* Confirm indicator is applied to chart with alert
Limitations
What This Indicator Does NOT Do:
* ❌ Automatically enter/exit trades
* ❌ Calculate position size
* ❌ Account for fundamental news or earnings
* ❌ Work on stocks without sufficient liquidity
* ❌ Guarantee profitable trades
When NOT to Use:
* Pre-market or after-hours (VWAP resets at market open)
* Low-volume penny stocks (< 100K daily volume)
* Stocks without clear trend or catalyst
* During major news events or FOMC meetings
* First 5 minutes after market open (price discovery phase)
Example Trade Walkthrough
Stock: XYZ (from morning gappers, +5% gap on earnings)
Time: 10:15 AM EST
Timeframe: 2-minute chart
Filter Status Table Shows:
* Trend: ✓ (EMA 20 > EMA 50)
* Volume: ✓ (2.3x average)
* Time: ✓ (within 9:30-11:30 window)
* Near VWAP: ✓ (price at $50.05, VWAP at $50.00)
* Entry OK: ✗ (waiting for bullish close)
Next Candle:
* Opens at $50.02
* Drops to $49.98 (testing VWAP)
* Closes at $50.08 (bullish candle, above VWAP)
* Green triangle appears!
* Entry OK: ✓ GO
Trade Execution:
* Entry: $50.10 (next candle open)
* Stop Loss: $49.95 (5 cents below VWAP)
* Risk: $0.15 per share
* Target 1: $50.40 (previous resistance) = 2:1 R:R
* Target 2: $50.70 (daily high) = 4:1 R:R
Outcome:
* Price rallies to $50.45
* Scale out 50% at Target 1
* Move stop to breakeven ($50.10)
* Exit remaining 50% at $50.65
* Result: Profitable trade with 3:1 average R:R
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Can I use this for short entries?
A: The current version is for long entries only. For shorts, you'd need to reverse the logic (price rejecting VWAP as resistance, downtrend, etc.).
Q: What stocks work best with this indicator?
A: Mid-cap momentum stocks ($1B-$10B market cap), price $10-$100, daily volume > 1M, with a clear catalyst (earnings, news, sector move).
Q: Can I trade this on daily or weekly charts?
A: No. VWAP is an intraday indicator that resets each trading day. Use only on intraday timeframes (1m, 2m, 5m, 15m, 30m).
Q: Should I take every signal?
A: No. Use the indicator as a filter, not a mechanical system. Consider overall market conditions, stock-specific catalysts, and your own price action analysis.
Q: How accurate is this indicator?
A: Accuracy depends on market conditions, stock selection, and your execution. Expect 50-65% win rate with proper 2:1+ risk/reward, similar to Aziz's methodology.
Resources
* Book: "How to Day Trade for a Living" by Andrew Aziz
* VWAP Strategy: Focus on Chapters 7.6 (VWAP Strategy) and supporting examples
* Community: Bear Bull Traders (www.bearbulltraders.com)
* Practice: Use TradingView's Bar Replay and Paper Trading features
Support & Updates
For questions, issues, or feature requests, refer to the TradingView script comments or the Bear Bull Traders community.
Version: 1.0
Pine Script Version: v6
Last Updated: December 30, 2025
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always practice proper risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
1. www.tradingview.com
Midnight StrategyHigh / Low 15mins after midnight CET, after two breakouts Long/Short with SL (High-Low)/2
SHFE Silver (USD/oz line)East vs West Silver price comparision. The blue line is the US silver price at SHFE.
Quad-EMA Strategy (10/20/30/50)This indicator combines four exponential moving averages (10, 20, 30, 50) into a single, clean framework designed for scalping, short-term trading, and trend participation. Although optimized for long-side trend participation, the EMA structure remains symmetric and usable for short-selling.
While it is highly effective on lower timeframes, it also translates well to the daily chart, especially in well-defined trends.
Core Trend Logic
On the daily timeframe, a trend can be considered healthy as long as price respects the 10 EMA.
As long as candles hold above it, the structure remains intact.
A clean daily close below the 10 EMA is treated as a discipline-based exit signal.
Not because the trend must be over — but because risk begins to increase.
There are exceptions:
After extended multi-day advances, a single pullback day slightly below the 10 EMA can occur.
In those cases, partial profit-taking (“taking chips off the table”) is often a reasonable and pragmatic move.
This is not about perfection — it’s about capital preservation.
Volatility & Pullbacks
In more volatile conditions, price may pull back toward the 20 EMA or even the 30 EMA.
From a strict risk-management perspective, this is typically where the trade should already be closed.
If a trader chooses to remain involved during such phases — especially after a strong push into a local high followed by sideways consolidation — the EMAs will often compress and flatten, forming a “sideways river.”
During this phase:
Price may temporarily dip below the 20 or 30 EMA
This alone is not a guaranteed signal that the trend is over
Context and structure matter
Riding the Wave (with Discipline)
The philosophy here is simple:
Ride the trend — but exit early.
Even after the 10 EMA is breached, price will often:
-Reclaim momentum
-Continue higher without you
That is normal.
Missing continuation is the cost of discipline, not a mistake.
More aggressive traders may tolerate pullbacks to the 20 or 30 EMA — and sometimes that works.This framework, however, follows a “cockroach strategy”:
exit at the first clear sign of stress, not at the last possible moment.
The Final Line in the Sand
The 50 EMA should be viewed as the latest and clearest exit zone.
Below this level:
-Direction becomes uncertain
-The market may form a local top
-Volatility and chop increase
At that point, prediction is pointless — and unnecessary.
The trade should already be closed.
If you find yourself still searching for an exit below the 50 EMA, that is a signal in itself:
risk has taken control of the trade.
Final Note
This indicator does not predict.
It reacts.
How strictly you trade the EMAs is a personal choice — but the structure provides a clear, repeatable framework for trend participation and risk control.
Discipline first.
Profits second.
Disclaimer:
This indicator and its description reflect my personal views and market observations.
They are provided for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial or investment advice.
Silver Macro Projection ModelSILVER MACRO PROJECTION MODEL
Multi-Factor Fair Value Estimation for Silver
OVERVIEW
The Silver Macro Projection Model estimates silver's fair value based on its historical relationships with key macroeconomic drivers. By synthesizing data from gold, M2 money supply, the US Dollar Index, and major equity indices, this indicator projects where silver should theoretically be trading, helping traders identify potential overvaluation and undervaluation conditions.
HOW IT WORKS
This indicator employs three complementary projection methodologies:
Correlation-Weighted Z-Score Composite (50% weight) - Calculates rolling correlations between silver and each input factor. Factors with stronger correlations receive more influence. Each factor is normalized to a z-score, combined into a composite, then converted back to silver's price scale.
Gold/Silver Ratio Mean Reversion (35% weight) - The gold/silver ratio historically exhibits mean-reverting behavior. This component projects silver's implied price based on current gold prices and the historical average ratio.
M2 Money Supply Relationship (15% weight) - Silver tracks monetary expansion over long time horizons. This anchors the projection to the fundamental relationship between silver and the monetary base.
INPUT FACTORS
Gold - Strong Positive - Precious metals move together; silver amplifies gold
M2 Supply - Positive - Inflation hedge; expands with monetary base
DXY - Negative - Dollar strength pressures commodity prices
S&P 500 - Variable - Risk sentiment indicator
Dow Jones - Variable - Industrial/economic health proxy
Nasdaq 100 - Variable - Growth/risk appetite indicator
Russell 2000 - Variable - Small-cap risk sentiment
VISUAL ELEMENTS
Silver Line (Gray) - Actual silver price
Yellow Line - Model's projected fair value
Green Fill - Silver trading BELOW projection (potentially undervalued)
Red Fill - Silver trading ABOVE projection (potentially overvalued)
INFORMATION TABLE
The indicator displays a real-time panel showing:
Current correlation coefficients for each factor
Dynamic weight allocation based on correlation strength
Z-scores for each input factor
Actual vs. projected silver price
Percentage divergence from fair value
Signal classification (Strong Buy to Strong Sell)
SETTINGS
Lookback Settings
Correlation Period (default: 60) - Bars used for rolling correlations
Regression Period (default: 120) - Bars for z-score normalization
Smoothing Period (default: 10) - EMA smoothing on projection
Weight Settings
Use Auto Correlation Weights - Weights adjust dynamically based on correlation strength
Manual Weights - Override with custom factor weights
ALERTS
Silver Extremely Undervalued (Z < -2)
Silver Extremely Overvalued (Z > +2)
Price crossed above projection
Price crossed below projection
BEST PRACTICES
Use on daily timeframe for most reliable signals
Combine with the companion Divergence Oscillator for timing
Extreme divergences (>2 sigma) historically precede mean reversion
Consider macro environment as correlations shift during different regimes
Longer regression periods (150-250) for investing; shorter (60-90) for trading
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past correlations do not guarantee future relationships. Always use proper risk management.
NY Opening Range [LuckyAlgo]
This custom ORM (Opening Range Move) indicator is designed as a tool for traders who focus not just on where a range is, but on the magnitude of the expansion following the initial morning volatility.
Here is a summary of the indicator and how it differentiates itself from standard Opening Range Breakout (ORB) tools.
Indicator Summary
The script captures the high and low of the market during the first 30 minutes of the NY session (09:30–10:00 AM EST). Once this range is set, it tracks the "Expansion Move" - the point distance from the range's boundary to the current session's high or low. It visualizes this through color-coded zones, dynamic labels at the session extremes, and a statistical table that benchmarks today's volatility against the recent past.
What specific questions does this indicator answer?
While most indicators tell you "the range is broken," this indicator answers quantitative questions vital for trade management:
1. "How far has the market stretched relative to the breakout?"
The indicator provides the exact point distance (+/-) from the range high/low. This helps you determine if the move is just beginning or if it has already extended significantly.
2. "Is the current move 'normal' or an outlier?"
By using the Stats Table, you can see if the current 40-point move on NQ is typical or if the average move over the last 10 days is actually 80 points. This prevents you from "fading" a move that still has average room to grow, or taking a "pro-trend" trade when the market is already exhausted.
3. "Where is the session extreme located?"
The inclusion of the dashed High of Day (HOD) and Low of Day (LOD) lines with attached labels tells you exactly where the "Move" calculation is peaking. If the HOD line hasn't moved for two hours, you know the bullish expansion has stalled.
4. "When is the data no longer relevant?"
Because of the 17:00 EST reset logic, the indicator answers the "end of day" question for futures traders. It stops measuring at the settlement/close of the electronic session, ensuring your charts are clean for the overnight (Globex) session or ready for the next morning.
Technical Advantage
Most scripts use a single "point in time" to reset. This script uses a Trading Window logic, which is much more robust. If a bar is missing at exactly 17:00 due to low volume or a data glitch, the indicator won't "break" or keep drawing old lines - it understands the entire window of time it is allowed to exist in.
Credit to @LuxAlgo for his initial Opening Range Breakout indicator used as a base to develop this version.
Supertrend Pro IndicatorSupertrend Pro Indicator with Relative Strength Index Filter is a clean and disciplined trading indicator designed for intraday and scalping traders.
This indicator combines Supertrend trend detection with RSI momentum confirmation to generate high-quality BUY and SELL signals while avoiding sideways and low-probability trades. Each trade automatically plots Risk and Reward zones directly on the chart.
The Risk-Reward zones dynamically extend forward and remain active until either the target or stop loss is hit, ensuring complete trade clarity.
To maintain discipline the indicator allows only one active trade at a time, meaning no new signals appear until the current trade is closed.
A built-in performance dashboard displays:
Total Target Hits
Total Stop Loss Hits
Total Trades
Win Percentage
🔹 Default Settings
Supertrend ATR Period: 10
Supertrend Multiplier: 1
Risk Reward Ratio: 1:1
RSI Length: 14
RSI Buy Above: 60
RSI Sell Below: 52
🔹 Best Used For
Intraday Trading
Scalping Strategies
Index & Stock Trading
3-minute, 5-minute, and 15-minute timeframes
This indicator is simple to use and suitable for both beginners and professional traders who value clarity, discipline, and risk management.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Always use proper risk management.
Easy Risk Calculator with FeesThis Pine Script creates a position sizing calculator for TradingView that helps traders understand the true cost and risk of a trade when accounting for exchange fees. Here's what it does:
Core Purpose
The script calculates the actual position size, costs, and risk for a trade based on a minimum position value in USDT, while factoring in trading fees that affect both entry and exit prices.
Key Calculations
Position Size Determination:
Takes a desired position value in USDT and adjusts for fees
For longs: divides by entry price × (1 + fee) since you pay fees when buying
For shorts: divides by entry price × (1 - fee) since you receive less when shorting
Risk Analysis:
Calculates the reverse risk - determining how much you'd actually lose based on your position size, rather than starting with a target risk amount
Computes effective entry/exit values - the true USDT value after accounting for fees on both sides of the trade
Expected loss shows the actual dollar amount you'd lose if your stop loss is hit
Risk deviation reveals the percentage difference between your expected loss and calculated risk amount
Visual Output
The script displays a table on the chart showing:
Trade direction (LONG/SHORT with color coding)
Entry price and stop loss levels
Fee percentage used
Position size in both USDT and units of the asset
Effective entry and exit values (after fees)
Expected loss if stopped out
Deviation from target risk
Calculated risk amount in USDT
This tool is particularly useful for traders who need to work with minimum position sizes on exchanges and want to understand exactly how fees impact their actual risk exposure.Claude is AI and can make mistakes. Please double-check responses. Sonnet 4.5Claude is AI and can make mistakes. Please double-check responses.
