Goldprediction — Indicators and Strategies

Adaptive Trend Flow (ATF)Adaptive Trend Flow (ATF) is a custom trend-following indicator designed to work reliably across all markets and all timeframes. It uses an adaptive moving average that automatically adjusts to market conditions, combined with trend slope analysis and a volatility filter to reduce noise during ranging periods. Unlike traditional fixed moving averages, ATF reacts faster during strong trends and slows down during consolidation, helping traders stay aligned with meaningful price movements. 🔍 How It Works Uses an adaptive smoothing algorithm to track price efficiently Confirms trend direction using trend slope Filters out low-volatility and choppy conditions using ATR-based logic Does not repaint — signals are based only on confirmed data 📊 Visual Interpretation 🟢 Green line / background → Bullish trend 🔴 Red line / background → Bearish trend ⚪ Gray → No clear trend (range / low volatility) ⚙️ Features Works on Crypto, Forex, Stocks, Futures Compatible with all timeframes Optional trend-change signals Optional background highlighting Fully customizable inputs Alert-ready 🎯 Best Use Cases Trend filter for entries and exits Directional bias for scalping, day trading, or swing trading Strategy backbone when combined with price action or momentum tools ⚠️ Disclaimer This indicator is for educational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk appropriately.

Anchored VWAP Percentage INDICATOR: ANCHORED VWAP PERCENTAGE (AVWAP) 1. Overview The Anchored VWAP Percentage (AVWAP) is a quantitative momentum and mean-reversion tool. It measures the percentage distance between the current price and a Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) that resets automatically based on specific time cycles. It allows traders to identify overextended market conditions relative to institutional value. --- 2. Core Logic & Calculation The script tracks the relationship between price and volume starting from a specific Anchor Point . * Volume-Weighted Foundation: Unlike simple moving averages, this indicator uses the VWAP formula: sum(Volume * Price) / sum(Volume) . * Automatic Anchoring: The starting point (Anchor) resets automatically depending on the chart timeframe (e.g., resets weekly on a 15m chart, or yearly on a Daily chart). * Percentage Deviation: It calculates the precise gap between the price and the VWAP, plotted as an oscillator: ((Price - VWAP) / VWAP) * 100 . --- 3. Adaptive Intelligence (Multi-Asset & Multi-TF) The AVWAP is built with an internal database of 85th Percentile (P85) volatility thresholds. It recognizes that different assets have different "stretching" limits: 1. Asset-Specific Calibration: It includes optimized data for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Altcoins, Forex, and Indices . 2. Dynamic Timeframe Mapping: The anchor period and the exhaustion thresholds adjust automatically. For example: * Intraday (1m-5m): Anchors to an 8-hour (480 min) cycle. * Mid-Term (15m-60m): Anchors to a Weekly (W) cycle. * Swing (Daily): Anchors to a Yearly (12M) cycle. --- 4. Visual Anatomy The indicator is designed for high-speed decision-making: * The Histogram: * Green: Price is trading above the VWAP (Bullish premium). * Red: Price is trading below the VWAP (Bearish discount). * P85 Threshold Lines: * These lines represent the 85th percentile of historical deviations . Historically, the price stays within these boundaries 85% of the time. * Background Highlighting: When the histogram crosses the P85 line, the background glows, signaling a Statistical Exhaustion Zone where a retracement to the mean is highly probable. --- 5. How to Trade with AVWAP * Mean Reversion: When the histogram reaches the P85 Zone , the price is "statistically overextended." This is a prime area to look for reversals or to take profits on existing trends. * Trend Strength: If the histogram stays near the Zero Line while the price moves, the trend is supported by healthy volume. * Value Area: The Zero Line represents the Fair Value . Buying near the Zero Line during a bullish histogram (Green) offers a high-probability entry with low risk. --- 6. Technical Parameters * Asset Selection: A dropdown to switch between Crypto, Forex, and Indices. * Color Customization: User-defined colors for bullish and bearish sentiment. * Precision Control: 4-decimal precision for accurate tracking of thin-margin assets like Forex.

ICT Liquidity + BOS + FVG + Entries (NY)ICT Liquidity + BOS + FVG + Entries (NY Session) This indicator is designed for ICT / Smart Money Concepts traders, focusing on high-probability New York session setups, especially for Gold (XAUUSD) on lower timeframes like M5. It automates the classic ICT execution model: Liquidity → Break of Structure → Fair Value Gap → Entry

Smart Money Volume Matrix [Ata]Smart Money Volume Matrix The Smart Money Volume Matrix (SMV Matrix) is an advanced volume-spread analysis (VSA) dashboard and charting tool designed to identify significant market anomalies by analyzing the relationship between price extremes and volume flow. Unlike traditional indicators that rely solely on moving averages or oscillators, this tool performs a "Snapshot Analysis" of a defined lookback period (default: 100 bars) to rank price action based on Order Flow Dominance. It isolates the Top 10 Highest and Lowest Close prices and scrutinizes the volume behind them to categorize market sentiment into four distinct phases: Distribution, No Demand, Absorption, and Exhaustion. Core Logic & Methodology The script operates on a Zero-Lag Snapshot Engine. It does not print historical signals bar-by-bar; instead, it evaluates the current market structure relative to the recent history (Lookback Period). 1. Ranking Engine: The script scans the lookback period to find the Top 10 Highest Closes and Top 10 Lowest Closes. 2. Volume Classification: For each ranked bar, it calculates the "Intrabar Buy/Sell Volume" (or approximates it using candle geometry if Intrabar data is unavailable). 3. Dominance Detection: It compares Buying Volume vs. Selling Volume to determine who is in control at critical price levels. Signal Classifications (VSA Logic) The indicator generates labels on the chart and updates the dashboard table based on the following logic: 1. At Price Tops (Resistance Areas): - Distribution (Supply): High Price + High Total Volume + Sellers Dominant. Interpretation: Indicates heavy institutional selling into rising prices. Often precedes a reversal. - Buy Climax: High Price + High Total Volume + Buyers Dominant. Interpretation: Extreme buying frenzy. While bullish, it often marks a "trap" or temporary top due to exhaustion. - No Demand: High Price + Low Volume. Interpretation: Prices drifted higher but lack institutional participation. A sign of weakness. 2. At Price Bottoms (Support Areas): - Absorption: Low Price + High Total Volume + Buyers Dominant. Interpretation: Institutional money is absorbing selling pressure (passive buying). A strong sign of accumulation. - Panic Sell: Low Price + High Total Volume + Sellers Dominant. Interpretation: Extreme fear. High volume at lows typically indicates capitulation and potential hands-changing. - Exhaustion: Low Price + Low Volume. Interpretation: Selling pressure has dried up. The market may float upward due to lack of sellers. Key Features - Dashboard Matrix Table: Displays the exact Close Price, Buy/Sell Volume, and Market State (Group) for the Top 10 ranking bars. Smart Footer: Automatically detects the active "Resistance Zone" (derived from G1 Distribution levels) and "Support Zone" (derived from G3 Absorption levels) and reports the current price status relative to these zones (e.g., "Testing Resistance", "Breakout", "At Support"). - Smart Zones (Auto S/R): Automatically draws Support and Resistance boxes extending into the future based on the most significant volume clusters found in the rankings. Includes logic to detect "Flips" (e.g., when Support breaks, it is labeled as a flip to Resistance). - Average Trend Channels: Calculates a Linear Regression trend line based specifically on the coordinates of the Top 10 Highs and Top 10 Lows, providing a "Best Fit" channel for the current market structure. - Visual Clarity: Labels utilize a "Smart Stacking" algorithm to prevent overlap on the chart. Guide lines connect labels to their respective candles for precise identification. Settings & Configuration - Matrix Settings: Lookback Period (default 100 bars) and Top Rank Count. - Volume Engine: Choose between "Intrabar (Precise)" for accurate order flow or "Geometry (Approx)" for standard volume estimation. - Visuals: Toggle Table, Labels, Lines, Zones, and Trend Lines. Adjust transparency and font sizes. IMPORTANT NOTE ON SNAPSHOT LOGIC This indicator is designed as a Real-Time Dashboard. It continuously updates the "Top 10" list as new candles form. Therefore, a label that appears on a candle may disappear if that candle falls out of the Top 10 ranking or leaves the lookback window. This is intended behavior to ensure the chart always reflects the current most critical levels, rather than a historical record of past signals. It is best used for live market analysis rather than historical back testing. Disclaimer: This tool is for educational and analytical purposes only. Volume analysis is subjective and should be used in conjunction with other methods of technical analysis.

Aurum DCX AVE Gold and Silver Strategy Summary in one paragraph Aurum DCX AVE is a volatility break strategy for gold and silver on intraday and swing timeframes. It aligns a new Directional Convexity Index with an Adaptive Volatility Envelope and an optional USD/DXY bias so trades appear only when direction quality and expansion agree. It is original because it fuses three pieces rarely combined in one model for metals: a convexity aware trend strength score, a percentile based envelope that widens with regime heat, and an intermarket DXY filter. Scope and intent • Markets. Gold and silver futures or spot, other liquid commodities, major indices • Timeframes. Five minutes to one day. Defaults to 30min for swing pace • Default demo used in this publication. TVC:GOLD on 30m • Purpose. Enter confirmed volatility breaks while muting chop using regime heat and USD bias • Limits. This is a strategy. Orders are simulated on standard candles only Originality and usefulness • Unique fusion. DCX combines DI strength with path efficiency and curvature. AVE blends ATR with a high TR percentile and widens with DCX heat. DXY adds an intermarket bias • Failure mode addressed. False starts inside compression and unconfirmed breakouts during USD swings • Testability. Each component has a named input. Entry names L and S are visible in the list of trades • Portable yardstick. Weekly ATR for stops and R multiples for targets • Open source. Method and implementation are disclosed for community review Method overview in plain language You score direction quality with DCX, size an adaptive envelope with a blend of ATR and a high TR percentile, and only allow breaks that clear the band while DCX is above a heat threshold in the same direction. An optional DXY filter favors long when USD weakens and short when USD strengthens. Orders are bracketed with a Weekly ATR stop and an R multiple target, with optional trailing to the envelope. Base measures • Range basis. True Range and ATR over user windows. A high TR percentile captures expansion tails used by AVE • Return basis. Not required Components • Directional Convexity Index DCX. Measures directional strength with DX, multiplies by path efficiency, blends a curvature term from acceleration, scales to 0 to 100, and uses a rise window • Adaptive Volatility Envelope AVE. Midline ALMA or HMA or EMA plus bands sized by a blend of ATR and a high TR percentile. The blend weight follows volatility of volatility. Band width widens with DCX heat • DXY Bias optional. Daily EMA trend of DXY. Long bias when USD weakens. Short bias when USD strengthens • Risk block. Initial stop equals Weekly ATR times a multiplier. Target equals an R multiple of the initial risk. Optional trailing to AVE band Fusion rule • All gates must pass. DCX above threshold and rising. Directional lead agrees. Price breaks the AVE band in the same direction. DXY bias agrees when enabled Signal rule • Long. Close above AVE upper and DCX above threshold and DCX rising and plus DI leads and DXY bias is bearish • Short. Close below AVE lower and DCX above threshold and DCX falling and minus DI leads and DXY bias is bullish • Exit and flip. Bracket exit at stop or target. Optional trailing to AVE band Inputs with guidance Setup • Symbol. Default TVC:GOLD (Correlation Asset for internal logic) • Signal timeframe. Blank follows the chart • Confirm timeframe. Default 1 day used by the bias block Directional Convexity Index • DCX window. Typical 10 to 21. Higher filters more. Lower reacts earlier • DCX rise bars. Typical 3 to 6. Higher demands continuation • DCX entry threshold. Typical 15 to 35. Higher avoids soft moves • Efficiency floor. Typical 0.02 to 0.06. Stability in quiet tape • Convexity weight 0..1. Typical 0.25 to 0.50. Higher gives curvature more influence Adaptive Volatility Envelope • AVE window. Typical 24 to 48. Higher smooths more • Midline type. ALMA or HMA or EMA per preference • TR percentile 0..100. Typical 75 to 90. Higher favors only strong expansions • Vol of vol reference. Typical 0.05 to 0.30. Controls how much the percentile term weighs against ATR • Base envelope mult. Typical 1.4 to 2.2. Width of bands • Regime adapt 0..1. Typical 0.6 to 0.95. How much DCX heat widens or narrows the bands Intermarket Bias • Use DXY bias. Default ON • DXY timeframe. Default 1 day • DXY trend window. Typical 10 to 50 Risk • Risk percent per trade. Reporting field. Keep live risk near one to two percent • Weekly ATR. Default 14. Basis for stops • Stop ATR weekly mult. Typical 1.5 to 3.0 • Take profit R multiple. Typical 1.5 to 3.0 • Trail with AVE band. Optional. OFF by default Properties visible in this publication • Initial capital. 20000 • Base currency. USD • request.security lookahead off everywhere • Commission. 0.03 percent • Slippage. 5 ticks • Default order size method percent of equity with value 3% of the total capital available • Pyramiding 0 • Process orders on close ON • Bar magnifier ON • Recalculate after order is filled OFF • Calc on every tick OFF Realism and responsible publication • No performance claims. Past results never guarantee future outcomes • Shapes can move while a bar forms and settle on close • Strategies use standard candles for signals and orders only Honest limitations and failure modes • Economic releases and thin liquidity can break assumptions behind the expansion logic • Gap heavy symbols may prefer a longer ATR window • Very quiet regimes can reduce signal contrast. Consider higher DCX thresholds or wider bands • Session time follows the exchange of the chart and can change symbol to symbol • Symbol sensitivity is expected. Use the gates and length inputs to find stable settings Open source reuse and credits • None Mode Public open source. Source is visible and free to reuse within TradingView House Rules Legal Education and research only. Not investment advice. You are responsible for your decisions. Test on historical data and in simulation before any live use. Use realistic costs.

SuperTrade ST1 Strategy Overview The SuperTrade ST1 Strategy is a long-only trend-following strategy that combines a Supertrend indicator with a 200-period EMA filter to isolate high-probability bullish trade setups. It is designed to operate in trending markets, using volatility-based exits with a strict 1:4 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) ratio, meaning that each trade targets a profit 4× the size of its predefined risk. This strategy is ideal for traders looking to align with medium- to long-term trends, while maintaining disciplined risk control and minimal trade frequency. How It Works This strategy leverages three key components: Supertrend Indicator A trend-following indicator based on Average True Range (ATR). Identifies bullish/bearish trend direction by plotting a trailing stop line that moves with price volatility. 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Filter Trades are only taken when the price is above the EMA, ensuring participation only during confirmed uptrends. Helps filter out counter-trend entries during market pullbacks or ranges. ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit Each trade uses the ATR to calculate volatility-adjusted exit levels. Stop Loss: 1× ATR below entry. Take Profit: 4× ATR above entry (1:4 R:R). This asymmetry ensures that even with a lower win rate, the strategy can remain profitable. Entry Conditions A long trade is triggered when: Supertrend flips from bearish to bullish (trend reversal). Price closes above the Supertrend line. Price is above the 200 EMA (bullish market bias). Exit Logic Once a long position is entered: Stop loss is set 1 ATR below entry. Take profit is set 4 ATR above entry. The strategy automatically exits the position on either target. Backtest Settings This strategy is configured for realistic backtesting, including: $10,000 account size 2% equity risk per trade 0.1% commission 1 tick slippage These settings aim to simulate real-world conditions and avoid overly optimistic results. How to Use Apply the script to any timeframe, though higher timeframes (1H, 4H, Daily) often yield more reliable signals. Works best in clearly trending markets (especially in crypto, stocks, indices). Can be paired with alerts for live trading or analysis. Important Notes This version is long-only by design. No short positions are executed. Ideal for swing traders or position traders seeking asymmetric returns. Users can modify the ATR period, Supertrend factor, or EMA filter length based on asset behavior.