Bitcoin will die! Silver pumped +200% - GOLD (2026 prediction)Bitcoin will die in 2026, and a lot of traders will get liquidated! Silver pumped by 200% this year, gold by 75%, and the US stock index Nasdaq by 61%, while Bitcoin dropped from 126k to 80k in 2025. I will tell you exactly why in this analysis!
First, let's take a look at Bitcoin and the main reason behind this drop. If you started investing in Bitcoin, I have to warn you because the total market capitalization is already extremely big. In other words, Bitcoin will never go up exponentially as it did in previous years! You are late to the Ponzi, so forget about 10x or 50x profit. The price of Bitcoin, the code of Bitcoin, and the future of Bitcoin are completely controlled by the banks and huge institutions. Crypto technology is not new in the galaxy, it has been brought to planet Earth by aliens. So why is Bitcoin going down? As an investor, you should probably know that Bitcoin experiences halving events +- every 4 years. From a technical point of view, we have 3 years of growth and 1 year of sharp decline. We already had the 3-year growth cycle (2022-2025), so we can expect a massive drop in 2026. How low can Bitcoin go? My prediction is 40k to 60k.
What about silver and gold? Why are these precious metals going up like crazy? Mostly because the price has been kept very low for a very long time. The banks did their best to keep the price low. Over 99% of gold and silver is in a virtual form or in the form of contracts. So they artificially decreased the price of these metals for their own benefits. There are still people who think that gold, silver, and Bitcoin are enemies to the traditional banking system and banks in general. That is 100% false; in fact, it's the opposite - they love them. Banks make money mostly on providing services, such as keeping your money safe, or loans or payments... It really doesn't matter if they give you a loan in gold or bitcoin fiat dollars as long as they make money. Bitcoin is not a threat to the financial system. I think banks would love to loan you 1 Bitcoin so you can pay them 2 BTC back. Sounds like a great deal, doesn't it? In fact, with Bitcoin, every transaction is monitored, and anonymous payments are not possible anymore.
If you can't make money on Bitcoin, you can still make money on some altcoins (hidden gems). Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
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How Overconfidence Destroys Profitable TradersHow Overconfidence Destroys Profitable Traders
Understanding Overconfidence in Trading
Welcome everyone to another article.
One of the most dangerous stages a trader can walk into is not fear… but overconfidence. (EGO)
Overconfidence in trading is essentially ego.
However, there is still an important difference:
- Confidence is a real belief built on proof, statistics, and discipline.
- Overconfidence is an inflated belief in your ability beyond the proof. This is driven by ego.
Many traders do not fail because they do not know enough.
They fail because at some point, they believe they know enough or know “everything.”
What Overconfidence appears as in Trading:
A trader builds a system. ( yay! )
They go on a clean winning streak maybe 10, 12, even 15 profitable trades in a row.
At this point, the trader begins to think and assume:
“ I’ve cracked the code. ”
- Risk gets increased .
- Position sizes get bigger .
- Rules start to bend .
Confidence continues grow until it crosses a dangerous path where belief is no longer supported by data, statistics and proof.
Reality eventually steps in.
You will never again feel as confident as you did during your first major winning streak when it looked like the market finally made sense and success was “ figured out. ”
That feeling is exactly what traps traders.
Overconfidence WILL break Risk Management
Overconfidence destroys a trader by slowly dismantling their risk management, their system, their discipline, their psychology and their consistency.
It rarely happens all at once.
First:
- “ I’ll just risk a little more this time. ”
- “ This setup looks perfect. ”
- “ I’m on a winning streak. ”
Over time, the trader begins to:
• Ignore position sizing rules ( Too many LOTS or contracts )
• Move stop losses (Increases risk)
• Add to losing trades ( Does not accept the original loss )
• Trade larger to “maximize opportunity” (Stick to what you can afford to lose )
The trader thinks and believes the system will continue to work, because it worked before.
But markets do not reward belief, they reward discipline. (I have mentioned this many times in my previous posts.)
Once risk management breaks, even a profitable system becomes dangerous and can lead to zero profits, or even down to negatives.
Overconfidence Blocks Positive criticism and continuous Learning
There is no such thing and there will never be a 100% perfecto trading system/strategy.
Losses are part of the game.
Overconfident traders struggle when reality does not meet their expectations.
Instead of adapting to the market by adjusting their strategy they:
- Resist feedback (Or consider any feedback as hate/negative criticism)
- Ignore changing market conditions (Consolidation, flat lining, barcoding etc)
- Refuse to admit the system is underperforming (Bad performance & results)
- Believe the problem can’t be them (“It’s not the system, it’s the computer!”)
But Why…?
Well because… their mind keeps rewinding the dopamine high from when everything worked perfectly and the win rate was 99%
They only remember the wins, and “ GREEN ” $$$ %%% not the probability.
The exact moment a trader believes they “can’t be wrong,” learning comes to a halt.
And in trading, when learning stops, losses accelerate, revenge trading increase, risk management collapses, and consistency becomes scrambled.
Overconfidence changes Traders into > Gamblers
Overconfidence does not just cause losses it can also change behavior.
Frustration from unexpected losses turns into:
- Anger
- Impatience
- Forced trades
- Revenge trading
Rules get ignored.
Emotions take control.
The trader may still look like a trader, but they are acting like a gambler.
The most dangerous part?
They still believe they are right…
Example: How Overconfidence Destroyed a Profitable Trader
Let’s look at Bobby.
Bobby was a profitable trader. A very successful one in his 4th year of trading.
He discovered what he believed was a 99% win-rate system.
The first month was incredible.
The second month was just as good. Cash flowing in, heaps of green.
By the third month, losses started to appear.
Instead of falling back, taking a breather and reassessing , Bobby doubled down.
Continuing to trade the same system despite clear signs of underperformance.
He was no longer focusing on perfect executions and setups, he was chasing the high.
Losses turned into frustration .
Frustration turned into anger .
Anger turned into impatience .
Soon Bobby was:
• Forcing trades
• Revenge trading
• Ignoring risk management
Bobby refused to take responsibility.
“It was my internet.”
“My computer lagged.”
“My family distraccted me.”
The excuses piled up, but the account kept shrinking.
Bobby did not fail because of the system.
Bobby failed because ego stopped him from adapting to the market and adjusting his system.
Markets Will Always Humble Ego
Markets will humble traders in ways they never expect.
No matter how experienced you are, there is always something else to learn.
Trading is not a destination, it is a constant process of adaptation towards the market. Traders who believe they “know everything” will always be reminded by the market that They. Do. Not.
Overconfidence doesn’t end trading careers immediately.
But it slowly erodes them trade by trade turning it into mental torture.
Final Thoughts
Confidence is necessary to trade.. But Ego is fatal!
The very moment a trader believes they have cracked the code is often the moment their decline begins.
Stay humble.
Respect risk.
Let statistics, not emotion, guide your decisions.
Because in trading, the market doesn’t punish ignorance it punishes ego.
ADAUSDT the 0.33 to 0.66 is easy now ADA is currently trading at the $0.33 level following a notable decline. This zone may now represent a potential reversal area, with the next key technical target positioned near $0.66—a 100% appreciation from current levels.
For this bullish scenario to materialize, confirmation through price action and volume is required. A sustained move above near-term resistance with increasing buying volume would signal a reversal in momentum and could mark the beginning of a new upward phase.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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#BITCOIN: 2026 Is Loading Possible Drop First And Then Boom! Happy New Year 2026💥🎇
We extend our best wishes for your success and happiness, hoping this year brings the achievement of all your trading objectives.
Let us now analyse Bitcoin's concluding performance for the year 2025👨💻📈
🔺Bitcoin is currently exhibiting strong consolidation, trading within a range of $80,000 to $95,000. It is possible that the price is awaiting robust Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data to bolster the DXY, which could indirectly lead to a price correction towards the $67,000-$64,000 range. This area is characterized by significant bullish volume and liquidity. A potential swing target could be established above the recent yearly high of $125,000.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit💭
🔺A strong order block entry is identifiable at $67,000, a critical level for global investors. Upon a price rejection from this vicinity, we anticipate a reversal and subsequent progression towards our designated take-profit target of $135,000.
🔺 A stop loss can be positioned below $59,000 providing a sufficient buffer in the event of a liquidity hunt. This trade may require up to a full year to materialise unless fundamental shifts induce unexpected price movements.
Support and Encouragement 🏆
🔺 We encourage you to comment on and share this analysis if you find it insightful. Your engagement, particularly through likes, provides valuable affirmation of our efforts.
We wish you good year ahead and appreciate your continued support.
Team SetupsFX_
EURUSD Holding Buyer Zone - Rebound Toward 1.1780 in FocusHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD is trading within a broader bullish structure after a strong upside move from the lower levels. Earlier, price advanced inside an ascending channel, confirming sustained buyer control and a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Following this impulsive rally, EURUSD broke above a key structure level and transitioned into a consolidation phase near the highs. Currently, price is reacting around the Buyer Zone near 1.1740, which aligns with a key Support Level and a previous breakout area. This zone has already shown multiple reactions, indicating active demand. Above, the market remains capped by a descending Resistance Line and the Seller Zone around 1.1780, where selling pressure previously caused a rejection. The recent move into support appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting a pause within the broader bullish trend. My scenario: as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.1740 Buyer Zone, the bullish structure remains intact. A strong reaction from this area could lead to another push toward the 1.1780 Resistance Level (TP1). A confirmed breakout and acceptance above resistance would open the door for further upside continuation. However, a decisive breakdown below the buyer zone would weaken the bullish setup and signal a deeper corrective move toward lower support levels. For now, price remains at a key decision area, with buyers defending structure while consolidation continues. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAUUSD: Rejection at 4,350 Resistance Signals Further DownsideHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD previously traded within a well-defined upward channel, confirming a strong bullish structure during that phase. Price then broke down from the channel, signaling a loss of bullish momentum and a shift in market control. After the breakdown, Gold attempted to recover but was capped by a clearly defined Resistance Zone around 4,350, which previously acted as a key level during the range phase.
Currently, price formed a lower high and transitioned into a downward channel, confirming bearish continuation. Multiple breakout attempts above descending resistance were rejected, reinforcing seller dominance. The market is now trading below the former resistance, with structure favoring further downside pressure. Below current price, a Support Zone near 4,280 is visible, acting as the next key area where buyers may attempt to slow the decline.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario: as long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,350 Resistance Zone and continues to respect the downward channel, the bearish bias remains valid. Any pullbacks into resistance that show rejection can be viewed as short opportunities, with downside continuation toward the 4,280 Support Zone as the primary target.
However, a clean break and acceptance above resistance would invalidate the short scenario and suggest a potential shift back toward consolidation or recovery. Until then, structure favors sellers, with momentum aligned to the downside.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Extreme Bearsish Divergence - LIGHT🐻 SHORT – LIGHT
LIGHT is showing clear overbought conditions across multiple timeframes. On the 1H chart, the combination of extreme overbought RSI and a rare bearish divergence signals momentum exhaustion. Price is rising and holding in an unnatural, unstable manner, which significantly increases the risk of a sharp sell-off.
🎯 TP: 0.2881
🛡️ SL: 2.5894
📊 RR: 1 : 6.5
A high-conviction short setup: multi-timeframe overbought + strong bearish divergence → elevated probability of a fast downside move.
BTC at a Critical Range: Breakout or Breakdown AheadBTC at a Critical Range: Breakout or Breakdown Ahead
BTC is currently consolidating inside a well-defined range, showing clear indecision between buyers and sellers. Price has been respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of this structure, making this zone a key decision area.
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout above 90,200 could open the way toward higher targets at 94,800 and potentially 98,700, indicating a continuation of the bullish recovery.
Bearish Scenario:
On the other hand, a breakdown below 86,600 would invalidate the range and may trigger a bearish continuation toward 83,900 and 81,000.
Until a clear break occurs, patience is required. The next impulsive move is likely to be strong.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
BTC - Where the 2026 Bottom Might Actually FormLet me be clear from the start.
This is not about calling a bottom today.
It’s about comparing this cycle to the previous ones.
📉 From a structural point of view:
Price is trading below the key moving average, and as long as that MA is not reclaimed to the upside, the trend remains bearish.
At the same time, momentum confirms this view.
The MACD has flipped bearish, which historically marks the transition from expansion into a corrective cycle.
In previous BTC cycles, the real bottom never formed until both conditions were met:
- MACD flips back bullish
- Price reclaims the moving average
Until that happens, we stay in a bearish or corrective regime, even if price bounces short term.
🧠 Now zooming out.
When you compare this structure to prior cycles, Bitcoin tends to:
• Correct deeply
• Find support at prior major resistance
• Reset momentum near long term demand
• Then flip trend again
On this chart, that area is very clear.
The green zone around 55k to 65k aligns with:
• Previous cycle highs
• Strong historical demand
• The lower boundary of the long-term rising structure
If history rhymes again, this is where we would expect:
• Momentum to stabilize
• MACD to start curling bullish
• Price to eventually reclaim the moving average
⏳ Timing wise , based on previous cycles, this process usually takes time.
That points toward late 2026, roughly October and beyond, not before.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
EURUSD – Pullback Into New Support | Continuation ScenarioEURUSD has completed a structural breakout, flipping prior resistance into new support. Price is now pulling back into a clearly defined demand zone, where buyers previously stepped in aggressively.
The blue trendline shows the broader bullish structure remains intact, while current price action suggests consolidation before the next move. As long as price holds above the green support area, the bias favors continuation toward the higher resistance and target zone.
Failure to hold this support would invalidate the setup and signal deeper retracement, making this area a key decision point for the market.
Compression after expansion often leads to another impulse — patience and confirmation are key.
Educational idea only. Not financial advice
BTCUSDT: Range Compression Signals Potential Break Above $90,100Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT is trading within a broader consolidation after a strong bearish impulse earlier in the chart. Following the sell-off, price found a key support base around the 87,300 Support Zone, from which buyers stepped in and stabilized the market. Since then, Bitcoin has been moving inside a series of well-defined ranges, indicating compression and balance between buyers and sellers. Structurally, price is capped by a descending triangle resistance line, while at the same time respecting a rising trend line from below. This creates a tightening structure, suggesting a potential directional move ahead.
Currently, BTC is consolidating above the support zone and just below the 90,100 Resistance Zone, which has repeatedly rejected price in recent attempts. The latest pullbacks remain shallow and corrective, showing that sellers are struggling to push price back below support.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario as long as BTCUSDT holds above the 87,300 Support Zone, the structure remains constructive and biased toward a bullish resolution. A sustained hold above support could allow price to build momentum for another push toward the 90,100 Resistance Zone. A clean breakout and acceptance above this resistance would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside.
However, a decisive breakdown below the support zone would invalidate the bullish scenario and shift focus toward lower levels. For now, BTC remains compressed between support and resistance, with buyers defending structure and pressure building for a potential breakout.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD Fake Breakout at 4,520 - Price Tests Buyer Zone at 4,260Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. Gold is trading within a broader ascending channel, confirming a dominant bullish structure despite the recent sharp pullback. After a strong impulsive rally, price respected the channel support and continued forming higher highs and higher lows, highlighting sustained buyer control throughout the trend. Currently, XAUUSD is trading below the broken channel support and has entered the Buyer Zone around 4,260, which aligns with a key Support Level and a prior breakout area. This zone represents an important reaction area where buyers may attempt to regain control. The projected path suggests a possible corrective bounce from this level, but overall price action remains vulnerable as long as it stays below the former resistance and channel structure. My scenario: as long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,520 Seller Zone and fails to reclaim the broken channel support, the bias favors further downside or consolidation. A clean hold above the Buyer Zone could trigger a short-term rebound toward the mid-channel area, while a decisive breakdown below 4,260 would open the door for a deeper corrective move. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTCUSD – Ascending Triangle Squeezing Toward ExpansionBTC is coiling inside an ascending triangle, printing higher lows into a flat resistance — a classic volatility compression structure. Each pullback is being aggressively defended, showing growing bullish pressure.
The highlighted green zone marks a high-confluence demand area that has repeatedly acted as support. As long as price holds above this zone, the structure favors upside continuation.
A clean breakout and acceptance above resistance would open the path toward the next liquidity targets. Failure to hold may result in a healthy pullback into support before any larger move.
Market is approaching a decision point — expansion usually follows compression.
Educational idea only. Not financial advice.
XAUUSD 30M – Support Hold & Trendline Break SetupPrice is reacting from a strong support zone around 4,300–4,320 after forming a descending trendline, suggesting a potential short-term reversal.
A break above trendline and resistance at 4,345–4,360 may confirm bullish momentum toward first TP at 4,390–4,400.
Further continuation above 4,405 opens the path toward the target zone near 4,440–4,460, while failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish setup.
BTC: Bullish January Setup Inside Bear Flag 🔎 Big picture
- BTC is trading inside a downward bear flag channel, but price is holding the lower support line.
- On the daily, candles have formed an small bull flag, showing tight consolidation after a push up.
📍 Trade idea (short‑term long)
- bullish for the next 2–4 weeks, while the lower channel line holds.
- Entry zone :
- Look for longs while BTC stays above the rising support line of the channel.
- Extra confirmation: a daily close above the recent small range highs
- Invalidation:
- If BTC closes below the channel support, idea is cancelled and step aside and wait.
🎯 Profit zones
- First objective: the mid / upper part of the channel, where price reacted before
⚠️ Risk notes
- This is a long inside a larger bear‑flag
- Keep position size reasonable; once/if price reaches the upper channel / 100k resistance, this bullish idea is done and it may become an area to look for reversal
Structure Under ReviewContext: BINANCE:BTCUSDT | Higher Time Frame (HTF) Fractal Read | 6M + 3M
We’re trading an HTF decision pocket where the 3M structure is attempting a higher-low , while the 6M candle is warning of a larger mean-reversion . The key is understanding which fractal is in control — because once one fractal fails, the next one activates.
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6M: “Critical point” vs “Opportunity zone”
On the 6-month chart, the market has printed a powerful expansion leg, followed by a sharp pullback candle (classic HTF profit-taking / supply response after an impulsive mark-up). That’s not automatically bearish — it’s the market rebalancing after an aggressive premium auction.
The long-term takeaway is simple:
* Ascending bottoms on the 6M have historically been the “highest quality” opportunities because they occur at HTF discount inside a broader adoption trend.
* Structurally, anything above ~15.5k keeps the macro sequence in an “ascending bottom” regime — impatience reads this as a problem; long-horizon positioning reads it as inventory offered at a discount .
The near-term risk sits above that macro floor: HTF pullbacks can stretch further than most expect if a key pivot fails.
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3M: Correction triggered; 0.886 is the battleground
The 3-month correction effectively began once price lost ~105.1k , confirming a transition from expansion to retracement on this fractal.
Using the Fibonacci retracement from $74,508 (previous swing low) to the ATH $126,199.63 , the market rotated down into the 0.886 region (~$80,351) — and that’s exactly where we’d expect buy-side defense if a 3M higher-low is going to form.
This is the line in the sand:
* $80,600 is the pivot that must hold to keep the 3M higher-low thesis intact.
* Acceptance below that pivot (especially on HTF closes) materially increases the probability that:
1. the 3M higher-low attempt fails, and
2. the 6M corrective fractal takes control.
Upside sequencing (if the base holds):
A constructive path is reclaiming/re-accepting successive fib shelves (treat these as *decision points*, not guarantees):
0.786 ~ 85.5k → 0.705 ~ 89.7k → 0.618 ~ 94.2k → 0.5 ~ 100.3k → 0.382 ~ 106.4k → 0.236 ~ 114.0k
Each level is a *reaction zone* where supply can reappear; the tape must prove acceptance.
---
6M: If the market hands control to the higher fractal, here’s the map
This panel is the institutional “if/then” framework: we don’t assume we’ll tag every level . We mark the levels where the auction is most likely to pause, rebalance, and reveal intent .
If the market transitions into a 6M mean-reversion leg , the key fib “discount shelves” on this timeframe become the next evaluation zones:
* 0.382 ~ 83.9k
* 0.5 ~ 70.8k
* 0.618 ~ 57.8k
* 0.705 ~ 48.1k
* 0.786 ~ 39.2k
* 0.886 ~ 28.1k
How this gets traded institutionally:
* You don’t “blind buy” every line — you audit acceptance/rejection , displacement, and follow-through at each shelf.
* Trends are fractal: a 3M failure is often the ignition for a 6M rotation . Conversely, a defended 3M base often becomes the springboard back into expansion.
---
Execution mindset
This is a location-based thesis, not a prediction:
* Above 80.6k: the market is still attempting a 3M higher-low (risk contained to the smaller fractal).
* Below 80.6k (HTF acceptance): odds shift toward a larger 6M corrective auction (bigger swings, wider risk bands).
Not financial advice.
ZENUSDT Forming Bullish MomentumZENUSDT is forming a clear bullish momentum pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal that often indicates an upcoming breakout. The price has been consolidating within a narrowing range, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening while buyers are beginning to regain control. With consistent volume confirming accumulation at lower levels, the setup hints at a potential bullish breakout soon. The projected move could lead to an impressive gain of around 90% to 100% once the price breaks above the wedge resistance.
This falling wedge pattern is typically seen at the end of downtrends or corrective phases, and it represents a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watching ZENUSDT are noting the strengthening momentum as it nears a breakout zone. The good trading volume adds confidence to this pattern, showing that market participants are positioning early in anticipation of a reversal.
Investors’ growing interest in ZENUSDT reflects rising confidence in the project’s long-term fundamentals and current technical strength. If the breakout confirms with sustained volume, this could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg. Traders might find this a valuable setup for medium-term gains, especially as the wedge pattern completes and buying momentum accelerates.
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IOTX Buy/Long Signal (4H)Price is currently trading around two key levels, and in addition to the CH, we also have a bullish iBOS on the chart.
The overall structure supports buy/long positions, so we are looking for long entries around the support zones.
We have two entry points and positions should be built using a DCA approach.
The targets have been clearly marked on the chart.
If you would like us to analyze a coin or altcoin for you, first like this post, then comment the name of your altcoin below.
#XAUUSD(GOLD): First Chart Analysis Of 2026! Good Luck EveryoneGold Trading Setup🏆
🔺Gold has reached an astonishing high of $4550 and many believe it will continue its ascent towards $5000. However, this significant surge wasn’t primarily driven by substantial trading activity; rather, it was largely due to a lack of market movement during the final ten days of December.
🔺Following this surge, the price experienced a decline from $4550 to $4270, suggesting a potential instability in the market. Subsequently, it rebounded slightly after hitting $4270, a price generally considered stable. Currently, we anticipate a further drop from $4332 to $4180, a crucial level.
🔺There may be favourable opportunities to purchase when the price falls between $4180 and $4125. Determining the precise moment when the price will reverse in this range depends on your individual market expertise. You could consider selling when it returns to its previous high of $4550.
🔺We would greatly appreciate your support for our analysis by liking and commenting on the information we’ve shared.
Best regards,
Team SetupsFX_






















