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Bitcoin - Fake drop! Soon return to 96k (December PUMP!)Bitcoin has dropped like crazy in the past day because we are in a strong bear market, but I think we should see a December rally! I have been warning you against these big crashes pretty much since Summer 2025. I knew it was going to happen - the question was not if but when. The price created a huge FVG, and this gap is very unfilled. Pretty much it looks like a huge manipulation from big players (they sent the price down significantly to liquidate high-leverage traders on futures). You know that the Bitcoin market is completely manipulated by the Fed, banks, and huge institutions. They even have a roadmap, and they know what the price of Bitcoin will be in 2030 and 2040. I know everyone hates the Fed and banks, but this is how it is. We trade it, so you have to be able to predict their movements and trade with their plan. I think Bitcoin will be very bearish in 2026, and we will see prices below 60k! It looked like sci-fi a few weeks ago, but this idea of 60k Bitcoin seems to be real. Moonboys are no longer spitting on these ideas, and some people are calling for 30k or 40k Bitcoin. Let me know in the comment section your prediction. I am curious! You have to understand that there is a lot of manipulation going on in this world. We live in a physical world that has been created recently. The original astral world is where the magic happens. And yes, the physical world is a scam and fraud. The sooner you understand that after you're dead, you wake up in the original astral world, the better for you. Currently, I am pretty bullish, I think we will see a bullish rally sooner rather than later! Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Long
by Xanrox
120
Gold H1 – Will 4278–4280 Trigger a Drop Into 4170 Today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (01/12) 📈 Market Context Gold continues its impressive rally as markets price in a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in December. Spot gold recently surged past $4,230/oz — hitting a multi-week high — as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened. The backdrop is increasingly dovish: fading USD strength, soft U.S. macro data, and dovish comments from Fed officials have fueled speculative buying in gold. Technically, gold remains elevated, hovering inside a rising channel — similar to what’s shown on your chart. Price compression following strong displacement suggests a consolidation before the next institutional move. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Current state = Accumulation / Distribution within rising channel Liquidity zones & key triggers • Premium liquidity zone (sell-opportunity): ~ 4278–4280 (near upper channel resistance) — aligns with your SELL zone. • Discount liquidity zone (buy-origin / re-entry zone): ~ 4172–4170 (near lower channel support / trendline) — aligns with your BUY zone. • Equilibrium / chop zone: mid-channel / recent consolidation zone — avoid trading blindly here unless structure breaks. Expected Smart Money sequence Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → Retest (FVG/OB) → Expansion Given the macro tailwinds (weak USD, rate-cut odds), gold remains primed for a directional move once structure confirms. 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴 SELL GOLD 4278 – 4280 | SL 4288 • Thesis: A liquidity sweep at channel top / premium zone followed by engineered bearish displacement — capturing liquidity before a reversal. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): • Price touches 4280 zone • Bearish CHoCH / MSS + BOS down on M5–M15 • Entry ideally on FVG fill or after order-block retest post-BOS • Targets: 1. 4245 – 4240 area (first reaction) 2. 4225 – 4215 (mid-channel retest) 3. 4175 – 4172 (lower channel + buy zone) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162 • Thesis: Discount-origin tap near lower channel support / trendline — smart money likely to accumulate for next leg up, especially amid dovish Fed sentiment. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): • Price dips into 4170 zone • Bullish CHoCH / MSS + BOS up on M5–M15 • Strong bullish wick + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation • Targets: 1. 4225 – 4230 (first reaction / mid-channel) 2. 4255 – 4265 (upper mid-channel) 3. 4278 – 4280+ (premium liquidity retest) ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes • Avoid trading inside the mid-channel chop zone without structural confirmation — no “blind” entries. • Do not treat sweeps (top or bottom) as trend entries — these are often traps. • Use tight SL (structure invalidation), avoid averaging in consolidation. • Given potential volatility from macro headlines or a USD bounce, consider reducing lot size. Summary Gold is currently riding macro tailwinds — weak USD + Fed rate-cut odds — but from a technical perspective, it’s compressed inside a rising channel. The day’s price action may be a classic Smart Money liquidity hunt: either a sweep at 4278–4280 leading to a sharp drop toward 4170, or a retracement to 4170 that sets up a fresh bull leg. Only trade after structural confirmation (CHoCH / BOS + retest) — avoid “trend-hop” entries. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
67
EUR/USD - Triangle Breakout (03.12.2025)📝 Description🔹 Setup Overview FX:EURUSD EUR/USD has broken above the Triangle Pattern, signaling a potential bullish continuation. Price retested the breakout zone cleanly and is now showing steady upward momentum. A break above the next intraday resistance could trigger a move toward the higher liquidity levels shown on the chart. 📌 Support & Resistance Levels 🔺 Resistance 1: 1.1666 🔺 Resistance 2: 1.1700 🟩 Support Zone: 1.1600 – 1.1588 #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #TrianglePattern #Breakout #FXTrading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ChartStudy #Kabhi_TA_Trading #ForexTrader #MarketAnalysis ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management and stop-loss protection. 👍 Support the Analysis❤️ Like the post 💬 Comment your view 🔁 Share to help the community!
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
25
Gold 30-Min — Volume Sell Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance. It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic. ✈️ Technical Reasons / Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4222 Area ☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body. ☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region. ☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally. ☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection. ☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control. ⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum. From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins. ⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior. POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones. ⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move. Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers. When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
37
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold remains in a strong long-term bullish trend. After establishing a new All-Time High (ATH), the price has entered a corrective phase and is currently trading below a key resistance zone. This justifies the selling pressure in the short term. We anticipate the correction to extend further until the price reaches the optimal support area. This zone represents a significant Confluence of two technical factors: * The long-term ascending trendline. * The 0.5 (50%) Fibonacci retracement level. The marked area (Green Box) serves as the ideal pivot point for the correction to end and the next bullish Impulse Wave to begin. Upon reaching this level, we expect renewed demand to drive the price toward new record highs. This analysis is based on the Weekly Timeframe. Therefore, the realization of this scenario requires patience and time; it is not intended for short-term intraday trading. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
FX:XAUUSDLong
by HAMED_AZ
15
Lingrid | GOLD Pullback Trading Opportunity from Support ZoneOANDA:XAUUSD is retracing into the 4,190–4,200 support band after an extended bullish run within the upward channel. The broader structure remains firmly bullish, with higher lows and higher highs forming along the rising trendline and each dip being absorbed by buyers. Price is now testing zone below the previous-day low, creating a classic buy pullback setup inside a continuation trend. If TVC:GOLD stabilizes above the trendline and reclaims intraday momentum, the next upside rotation could drive the metal toward the 4,290 resistance shelf, aligned with the higher boundary of the channel. Maintaining support above 4,190 keeps the bullish sequence intact and favors further acceleration. ➡️ Primary scenario: pullback holds above 4,190 → continuation toward 4,290. ⚠️ Risk scenario: a clean break below channel exposes 4,100 and delays bullish continuation. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
39
GOLD → Correction to support amid a bullish trend FX:XAUUSD retreated from the $4,245 level reached on Monday. A countertrend correction is forming ahead of the news. But buyers are not sleeping... Weak US economic data has heightened expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut. The PMI index in the US manufacturing sector continued to contract. The market estimates the probability of the Fed easing policy next week at 87%. However, rising US Treasury yields and fears that the Fed may send cautious signals after its December decision are limiting gold's growth. Market attention is shifting to ADP employment data and the US services business activity index (ISM Services PMI), which will be released on Wednesday. They will provide new signals about the health of the US economy. The correction in gold appears to be under control amid continuing macroeconomic uncertainty. The 4200, 4193-4173 level remains an important area of struggle between bulls and bears. Resistance levels: 4211, 4245 Support levels: 4193, 4173 A false breakdown and the bulls holding the market above the above support zone could trigger growth within the trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
GOLD → The battle for zone 4200. Bullish trend FX:XAUUSD is forming a local trading range of 4180-4230, trying to stay above 4200 after yesterday's correction ahead of important US employment and services data. The dollar is weakening amid expectations of a Fed rate cut on December 11. News concerning Powell, namely Fed chair candidate Kevin Hassett (a well-known “dove”), is supporting gold. Geopolitical risks (stagnation in Russia-Ukraine negotiations) are increasing demand for safe-haven assets. • In focus today: ADP employment data and ISM Services PMI. • Weak indicators will strengthen bets on Fed policy easing and support gold. Gold retains its upside potential. The release of US data could either accelerate growth to $4300 or trigger a correction in the event of strong indicators. Resistance levels: 4230, 4260 Support levels: 4185, 4175 Gold is testing 4200 for strong support. Local trading range 4180 - 4230. A false breakout of support amid a bullish trend and a weak dollar could support gold's growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
The Trade You Don’t Take!Most traders focus on entries, strategies, indicators, patterns… But the truth is: your biggest edge is avoiding low-quality trades. The market rewards patience far more than prediction. Here’s the framework professional traders use to filter noise from opportunity, something 90% of traders overlook: 1. The Market Must Be Aligned Before placing any trade, ask one question: “Is the market trending, ranging, or correcting?” Your strategy only works in the right environment. A breakout strategy fails in a choppy range. A mean-reversion setup dies in a strong trend. Identify the environment first, then choose the setup. 2. Your Levels Must Be Significant True opportunity comes from reaction points, not random prices. Look for: - Major swing highs and lows - Weekly or monthly levels - Clean trendlines with multiple touches - Areas where price previously paused, reversed, or consolidated If the market isn’t near one of these levels, you’re trading in the middle, where noise lives. 3. Your Risk Must Make Sense A good setup with a bad risk-to-reward is a bad trade. Professionals only act when: - The stop-loss is logical (protected behind structure) - The target is realistic - The reward outweighs the risk If the math doesn’t work, the trade doesn’t happen. 🧠 The Hidden Lesson Great traders don’t trade more, they filter more. Your account grows not by finding better entries, but by avoiding the trades that drain your capital, energy, and confidence. Master the art of waiting, and your strategy will finally start working the way it was designed to. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Education
by TheSignalyst
41
Crypto Winter 2026: BTC 75% Correction PT 30 000 USDInvestment Memo: Anticipating a 2026 Bitcoin Crypto Winter By ProjectSyndicate ________________________________________ 1. Executive Summary ❄️ Summary view: This memo treats 2026 as the high-probability crypto winter year for Bitcoin following the 2024 halving, with a working top around 123,000 USD and an expected cycle low near 30,000 USD, implying roughly a 75–76% drawdown from the peak. This is fully consistent with historical Bitcoin bear markets, which have typically seen 75–85% corrections from all-time highs. ❄️ Contrarian hook: While mainstream narratives still focus on ETFs, institutional adoption, and “crypto as macro asset,” the explosion of leverage (Aster DEX up to 1001x), CZ-backed perps, and BNB-chain meme-coin mania are treated here as late-cycle excess—classic topping signals rather than sustainable foundations. ________________________________________ 2. Thesis & Target Range 📊 Cycle top assumption: cycle high of ~123,000 USD per BTC. That is well within the band implied by recent ATH prints ~125–126k in mid-2025 and aligns with a typical “blow-off” overshoot above the prior psychological milestone at 100k. 📊 Cycle low assumption: 30,000 USD downside target represents a drawdown of ~75.6% from 123,000 USD—slightly shallower than the 2018 crash (~84%) and broadly in line with the 2021–22 bear (~77% from 69k to ~15–16k). That keeps this winter brutal but not apocalyptic, consistent with a maturing asset still capable of deep mean reversion. 🧮 Math check on prior winters • 2017–18: 19k → 3k ≈ 84% drawdown • 2021–22: 69k → 16k ≈ 77% drawdown • 2025–26 (your base case): 123k → 30k ≈ 76% drawdown This places scenario squarely inside the historical corridor of 75–85% post-peak corrections. ________________________________________ 3. Historical Pattern: Why Large Drawdowns Are the Base Case 📉 Structural volatility: Bitcoin’s entire price history is punctuated by massive post-parabolic drawdowns—early cycles saw 86–93% collapses, later ones 75–80%. Each halving-to-peak run has ended in a violent crash once marginal buyers are exhausted and leverage saturates. 📉 Time dimension: Historically, the “winter” phase has lasted 9–18 months from peak to capitulation and then a long grinding accumulation. The 2017 peak to 2018–19 bottom spanned roughly a year; the 2021 peak to 2022–23 nadir similarly took about a year, with a further period of sideways chop. 📉 Drawdown normalization: Traditional asset allocators increasingly frame Bitcoin as an alternative macro asset, but the statistical reality is unchanged: drawdowns of 70%+ are not outliers—they are typical. An assumption of only shallow corrections is the non-consensus view; a 75% winter is actually the boringly normal scenario from a historical distribution standpoint. ________________________________________ 4. Where We Are in the Current Cycle ⏳ Post-halving positioning: The fourth Bitcoin halving occurred in April 2024, cutting block rewards to 3.125 BTC and effectively tightening supply. Historically, the major blow-off tops occur 12–18 months after halving, as reduced supply + narrative momentum pulls in late-stage retail and leverage. ⏳ Evidence of late-cycle behavior: By mid-2025, Bitcoin had already pushed to new ATHs above 100k and then into the ~120–126k region, with growing signs of ETF saturation, institutional FOMO, and leverage-driven upside. From a purely cyclical lens, we are more likely in the “euphoria / distribution” band than in early bull territory. ________________________________________ 5. Aster DEX & Meme-Coin Mania as Contrarian Top Signals 🚨 Aster DEX as the “Hyperliquid of BNB Chain”: Aster DEX, emerging from APX Finance and Astherus and explicitly leveraging Binance’s network, is marketed as a high-performance perp DEX with MEV-resistant trading and leverage up to 1001x, backed by CZ/affiliate ventures. From a contrarian perspective, this is textbook late-cycle: maximum leverage offered to the broadest possible audience at or near cycle highs. 🚨 BNB meme-coin carnival: Simultaneously, BNB-chain meme coins and speculative listings (Maxi Doge, PEPENODE, various new BNB meme projects) are being pushed as high-beta “next 100x” plays. Historically, similar episodes—2017 ICOs, 2021 dog-coin and NFT mania—have coincided with or slightly lagged Bitcoin’s macro top rather than signal early-cycle value. 🎭 Narrative pattern recognition: In prior cycles, the market’s center of gravity shifted from Bitcoin to highly speculative edges (ICOs, NFTs, obscure DeFi, meme coins) at the very end of the bull. Late-cycle liquidity rotates into lottery tickets while BTC quietly transitions from “must own” to “source of funds.” The current Aster + BNB meme complex rhymes strongly with that historical script. ________________________________________ 6. Why a 75% Drawdown to 30,000 USD is Plausible 🧊 From 123k to 30k mechanically: A move from 123k to 30k doesn’t require structural failure; it merely requires a reversion to historical drawdown. That kind of move can be achieved by: • ETF inflows slowing or turning to mild outflows • Derivatives funding turning negative as carry trades unwind • A moderate macro risk-off (equities correction, higher real yields) 🧊 Maturing, not invincible: As adoption broadens—spot ETFs, institutional mandates, integration into macro portfolios—Bitcoin’s upside may gradually compress, but liquidity cycles and leverage cycles haven’t vanished. Even if each cycle’s drawdown edges slightly lower from ~85% to ~77%, there’s no reason to assume sub-50% drawdowns are the new regime. A respectable winter at 30k is almost conservative relative to earlier -80%+ events. ________________________________________ 7. Why the Floor Might Hold Above Prior Lows 🛡️ On-chain + macro floor logic: Without pinning to proprietary on-chain models, two simple supports for a 30k floor are: • Institutional cost basis: A growing chunk of supply is held via ETFs and treasuries accumulated in the 40–70k band. Many of these players may defend positions with hedging or incremental buying in the high-20k / low-30k region rather than panic-sell at -70–80%. • Realized price ratcheting higher: Across cycles, Bitcoin’s long-term realized price average on-chain cost basis tends to step up structurally. Past winters have bottomed not far below that long-term average; as the realized base rises, so does the likely bear-market floor. 🛡️ Regime shift vs. previous cycles: In 2018 and 2022, Bitcoin was still climbing the wall of institutional skepticism. By the mid-2020s, you have: • Spot ETFs • Corporate treasuries • Sovereign/FI experimentation These players typically do not capitulate to zero; they reduce risk, but they also accumulate in stress. That supports the idea of a shallower floor (30k) instead of a full 85–90% purge. ________________________________________ 8. Timing the 2026 Winter 🧭 Halving + 18-month lag template: Using the standard halving cycle template, major tops often occur 12–18 months post-halving, and winters then dominate the following year. With the fourth halving in April 2024, a 2025 ATH and a 2026 winter are exactly what the simple cycle model would project. 🧭 Scenario sketch • 2025: Distribution at elevated levels (80–120k+), persistent Bitcoin as digital gold narrative, alt & meme blow-off, over-issuance of high-leverage products (Aster, other perps). • 2026: Liquidity withdrawal + ETF fatigue + regulatory flare-ups → a stair-step decline through 80k, 60k, 45k, culminating in capitulation wicks into the 30–35k zone before a multi-month bottoming process. ________________________________________ 9. Market Structure Stress Points in a Winter Scenario 🧱 Leverage cascade risk: Perp DEXs offering hundreds to 1000x leverage attract the most price-insensitive flow at the worst time. When BTC breaks key levels (e.g., 80k → 60k → 50k), auto-deleveraging and forced liquidations can accelerate downside far beyond spot selling. Aster-style platforms, while innovative, mechanically create risk of cascading liquidations in a volatility spike. 🧱 Alt & meme vaporization: BNB meme coins and other speculative assets that rode the late-cycle pump will likely see 90–99% drawdowns, as in previous winters where smaller alts dramatically underperformed BTC. In your framework, BTC at 30k is actually the “high-quality survivor” outcome; the majority of late-cycle tokens may never reclaim their peaks. 🧱 Mining and infrastructure: With halved rewards and a much lower BTC price, marginal miners will be forced offline, just as in prior winters. That tends to deepen the short-term pain but ultimately improves the cost curve (strong miners consolidate, inefficient ones exit), laying groundwork for the next cycle. ________________________________________
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ProjectSyndicate
57
XAU/USD | Another Bullish Leg Possible! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4 hour timeframe, we can see that price made a strong bullish jump today, pushing all the way up to $4264 before showing signs of exhaustion and pulling back. This reaction is typical after such an aggressive move, especially when price taps into short-term liquidity pockets and meets intraday supply zones. Right now, TVC:GOLD is trading around $4228, which keeps the overall bullish structure intact. The key level to watch remains $4187, as long as price holds above this zone and doesn’t break it with a strong 4H candle close, the bullish scenario stays valid. This level is acting as both structural support and a demand area from the last impulsive move, so buyers will likely attempt to defend it. As long as we stay above that support, we can expect the market to build another wave of bullish momentum. The next upside targets remain the same, with potential reaction zones at: • $4240 • $4250 • $4260 • $4272 Each of these levels represents short-term liquidity pockets and minor supply areas where price may pause, react, or give another continuation setup. If bullish pressure stays strong, TVC:GOLD can attempt another push into the upper range after clearing intraday resistance levels. Overall, the trend is still bullish as long as $4187 holds, and higher targets remain in play unless we see a deeper breakdown or a sharp shift in momentum. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OPOFINANCE:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
72
EURUSD: Rejection Signals Move Toward 1.15500 SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup. Market Analysis EURUSD continues to trade inside a broader downward channel, where bearish structure remains dominant. After reaching the Resistance Zone around 1.16500, the pair formed another rejection near the descending trendline, confirming strong seller pressure and completing yet another fake breakout inside this key supply area. From there, price reversed sharply and moved back below the structure, respecting the market’s overall bearish sentiment. Currently, EURUSD is pulling back from resistance and heading toward the Support Zone near 1.15500, which has previously acted as a significant reaction area. This zone also aligns with multiple breakout points seen earlier, making it an important liquidity region where buyers have stepped in before. Despite temporary bullish corrections, the pair remains capped under the channel resistance, keeping the downtrend intact. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario as long as the market stays below the descending channel’s resistance and under the 1.16500 zone, my bias remains bearish. The price is likely to continue moving toward the 1.15500 Support Zone, where the next significant reaction may occur. A clean retest of this level could initiate either a short-term corrective bounce or a continuation of the bearish trend, depending on the strength of incoming momentum. Therefore, if the pair breaks below 1.15500, this would open the door for deeper downside movement within the channel, extending toward lower supports. However, if buyers defend this zone strongly, we may see a temporary upward correction — but any upside remains limited unless EURUSD breaks above the Resistance Zone with confirmation. For now, I expect a move toward support as sellers remain in control of market structure. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Short
by Ratner
14
DXY I Monthly CLS range - Model 1- TP discount LQHi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close. 🧩 Complete proces and Strategy explained 👇 Click Below 👊 Your ultimate goal as a trader is not to be a generalist who knows 10 000 patterns. But rather create one system with narrowed criteria of each element of the trade to remove subjective and emotional decisions as much as possible and stick to this system no matter what. Practice it 10 000 times become a MASTER. ✨ Trading Mastery is reflection of your life Have a longterm plan, No Alcohol & Drugs, Ignore others, Focus on your journey , Backtest regularly, Review your weeks, Journal mistakes, Exercise, Sleep well, Read books, Walks in nature (no phone) , Meditate, Reduce social media time, Spend time with family, Live Life. Trading is hard, but not impossible. I believe in you 💪 David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by David_Perk
14
BITCOIN Can this Bear Cycle be mapped?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on its 3rd straight week of consolidation on its 1W MA100 (green trend-line) after marginally breaking below it (green circle). We've shown in previous analyses how the build up, including the Higher Lows trend-line (1W RSI Lower Highs Bearish Divergence) and the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) rebound, of the 2025 Bull Cycle High, mirrors the 2021 peak formation. Given the strong similarities, there are valid probabilities suggesting that those can expand into the Bear Cycle too. And this is what we attempt to do on today's post, mapping the new Bear Cycle based on the 2022 price action. As you can see, we have classified the 2022 Bear Cycle into three phases. The key characteristic of those is MA contact. Phase 1 ends when the price hit the 1W MA100, Phase 2 when it hits the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and Phase 3 the 1W MA350 (red trend-line). So far the symmetry is also high on the time range between the 1W MA50 and 1W MA100 contacts among the two fractals (245 days vs 224 days). If this holds for the whole duration of the 2026 Bear Cycle as well, we can expect it to roughly be 52 weeks (364 days) from the Bull Cycle Top to the Bear Cycle bottom, like the 2022 sequence. The time Fibonacci levels help at maintaining a sense of positioning within the Bear Cycle, with the 0.236 Fib being just before Phase 1 ends and Fib 0.618 when Phase 2 makes contact with the 1W MA200. Even though a straight up repeat of the -77.36% decline of the 2022 Bear Cycle would put the potential new bottom just below $30k, a Fibonacci extension symmetry suggests that Fib 1.0 was the Low we just made (1W MA100), Fib 1.5 ext around the time the price makes contact with the 1W MA200 and Fib 2.0 when the Cycle bottoms. This indicates that $63900 is the first point of interest (and potentially start of buying) and $51000 the potential bottom. Would you agree with this mapping? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
8
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: As we said yesterday we would stick with the plan from Sundays report which has worked well so far. We managed to get the move up and down, then another red box trade for a long and some traders even went in for the short from our given level of 4328, Now, we may experience some ranging with the key level at the hot spot 4220and support at the hot spot 4187. We would like to see this go a little higher but that resistance is important for the break! As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
7
BTCUSD: Bullish Pressure Targets the $94,000 Resistance AreaHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSD setup. Market Analysis Bitcoin remains in a broader recovery phase after breaking out of the descending wedge structure that previously guided price lower. The initial breakout from the wedge led to a strong bearish continuation, but once BTC reached the major $90,200 Support Zone, selling pressure weakened and buyers stepped in aggressively. This support area has now been defended multiple times, confirming it as a key demand zone. From this base, price formed a clear Upward Channel, signaling a short-term bullish structure with higher lows respected along the channel support. Currently, BTC attempted to break above the $93,700 Resistance Zone, but this move resulted in a fake breakout, showing that sellers are still active at this level. After the rejection, price pulled back toward the channel support and the $92,000–$90,200 support cluster, where buyers once again defended the market. Currently, BTC is trading back inside the ascending channel and attempting to resume the upward swing toward the upper boundary. The overall structure suggests a recovery trend as long as the price holds above the main support zone. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario is bullish, as long as BTC holds above the $90,200 Support Zone and continues to respect the ascending channel structure. I expect price to continue climbing toward the $93,700 Resistance Zone, which remains the key short-term target for buyers. A clean and confirmed breakout above this resistance would open the way for a continuation toward higher levels near the top of the channel. Therefore, if price reaches the resistance again and produces another strong rejection, we may see a temporary pullback back toward the mid-channel area or even a retest of support. The bullish structure remains valid as long as BTC stays above $90,200. For now, the market supports a long bias with focus on a renewed attempt toward the $93,700 resistance zone. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Ratner
8
BTCUSD Short-Term Setup: Buyers Defend Support, TP1 at $89,200Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTC/USD based on the current market structure. After reaching the Seller Zone near $92,000, the price once again faced strong rejection, forming a clear reversal right under the descending Trend Line. This confirms that sellers continue to defend this area and keep Bitcoin within a broader corrective structure. From there, BTC pulled back toward the Buyer Zone around $86,000–$85,500, which has acted as a reliable support multiple times in the recent sessions. The market is now forming a potential short-term recovery after a fake breakout below this zone, highlighting attempts from buyers to regain control. However, as long as the price trades below the Seller Zone and the descending Trend Line, bearish pressure still dominates the chart. The structure suggests that Bitcoin may attempt a move toward TP1 at $89,200, where the market previously consolidated and faced resistance. A clean rejection from the Trend Line could send the price back toward support for another test, while a confirmed breakout above $92,000 would shift short-term sentiment and open the way for stronger bullish continuation. On the other hand, a breakdown below $85,500 could expose BTC to deeper declines toward lower support lines. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
14
XAUUSD – The Golden Wave Awaits the Next U.S. TriggerIf there is one asset being favored by the current macro environment , it is undoubtedly gold. The U.S. dollar is weakening due to expectations that the Fed will soon shift toward policy easing, while global investors await key U.S. data such as ADP, ISM, and the Fed meeting next week. This “waiting mode,” combined with the dollar dropping to its lowest level since mid-November , is creating a highly supportive backdrop for XAUUSD to continue its bullish momentum. Looking at the chart, gold continues to move smoothly within its ascending channel . Price repeatedly rebounds from the lower boundary, rides along the Ichimoku cloud, and forms higher lows — all signatures of a healthy bullish market with real buying pressure . Every small pullback is absorbed almost immediately, showing that buyers remain firmly in control. My preferred scenario: XAUUSD may fluctuate slightly around 4,180–4,200 to collect liquidity, then continue climbing toward 4,280 — an area aligning with the upper channel boundary and a level where the market has reacted strongly in the past. If ADP and ISM come out weaker than expected , a clean breakout above 4,280 becomes highly likely. Overall, gold currently has macro momentum, technical alignment, and market sentiment all on its side . As long as you avoid FOMO and wait for minor pullbacks, you’ll find it much easier to ride along with the major flow of capital as the market prepares for the next wave of volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
20