Bitcoin Hits Critical Support — Is Another Dump Coming?As I expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin has broken through its support lines and declined to the support zone($86,300-$85,140), reaching its full target in the process.
Currently, Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the support zone($86,300-$85,140), and we need to watch whether it will break through this support or begin to rebound.
Before diving into the analysis, it’s important to note that Bitcoin has a strong correlation with the S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ). Given that the S&P 500 is currently in a downward trend, it’s likely that Bitcoin will also experience further declines.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that Bitcoin is currently starting a new five-wave downward sequence following the break of its support lines, which could lead to even lower levels.
Looking at recent developments, one reason for Bitcoin’s decline is the selling pressure from long-term holders, which has created a quiet but significant downward pressure and challenged the support levels. Additionally, the state of the U.S. markets, with the S&P 500 index also trending down, contributes to the downward pressure on Bitcoin.
In conclusion, I expect that Bitcoin, upon entering the resistance zone($89,230-$87,720) and touching the resistance lines, will again face downward movement and aim for the support zone($86,300-$85,140). If it breaks that support zone, we could see it moving towards Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($85,300-$83,000).
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $89,000-$88,500
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $91,830-$90,000
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,400-$97,000
Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the $83,000 mark with strong momentum, we might expect it to reach even lower levels, potentially down to $80,000.
Do you think Bitcoin can break the support zone($86,300-$85,140)?
First Target: $85,540
Second Target: $84,229
Stop Loss(SL): $90,429(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Community ideas
Liquidity Sweep: All the Info You Ever Need to ConquerHi whats up guys, today lets try to do it in a bullet points instead of writing my stories.
• Liquidity is the reason price moves.
• Markets move toward areas where orders are stacked.
• Most orders sit above highs and below lows.
• That’s why price keeps attacking those areas again and again. 🧪 What a liquidity sweep really is
• A liquidity sweep is a move beyond a clear high or low.
• Its purpose is to trigger clustered stop losses.
• It is not personal and not about your stop.
• It is required so larger players can enter or exit positions. 🧪 Why most traders get caught
• Traders enter at obvious levels inside ranges.
• They usually use tight stop loss
• These areas become liquidity pools.
• Price must visit them before a real move starts. 🧪 Double tops and bottoms
• Repeated reactions are not strength.
• They are preparation.
• Every touch builds more resting stops.
• Triple tops and bottoms are even more attractive.
• Never enter before price runs into them. 🧪 How I read market structure
• I don’t focus on patterns in isolation.
• I focus on where liquidity is being collected.
• Structure is simply the path price takes to grab orders.
• The real move usually starts after the sweep.
1️⃣ USDCHF Sweep and Long - CIOD confirmation click picture👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDCHF/2AbnD2TR-USDCHF-I-Daily-CLS-range-I-Key-Level-FVG-I-HTF-CLS/ 2️⃣ USDJPY Sweep andLong - CIOD confirmation - Click picture 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDJPY/j18Eh18R-USDJPY-Weekly-CLS-I-Key-Level-OB-Model-1/ 3️⃣ AUDUSD Turtle Sweep and short - CIOD confirmation click picture👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AUDUSD/YzC7vNOf-AUDUSD-I-Daily-CLS-range-I-Manipulation-I-Short/
📌 Up Trend - Trade Stop Hunt (LQ Sweep) buy below the lows
– Highs are broken
– Lows are respected
– Liquidity below is being cleaned 📌 Down Trend - Trade Stop hunts (LQ Sweep) sell above the highs
– Lows are broken
– Highs are respected
– Liquidity above is being cleaned 🧪 Stop hunts are not random
• Quick wicks at range extremes are intentional.
• Trendline breaks often appear before reversals.
• Breakout traders provide liquidity.
• The move after the stop hunt is what matters.
1️⃣ EURUSD Short Click picture below to see how price action formed 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/vgXOeYfG-EURUSD-Daily-Range-LQ-taken-Rates-cut-was-priced-in/ 2️⃣ GBPUSD Short Click picture below to see how price action formed 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GBPUSD/FKtc84k9-GBPUSD-Daily-CLS-Liqudity-taken-Model-1-Oposing-side-target/ 3️⃣ USDCHF Long Click picture below to see how price action formed 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDCHF/WrvLuU3j-USDCHF-Daily-CLS-Model-Long-from-KL-rates-cut-is-priced-in/ It's effective because it capitalizes on the retail traders classic mistakes- FOMO and trading break out of the highs and selling the lows. While market makers are doing the opposite (don't get me wrong, Im also retail trader and you are too) trading so called smart money concepts doesn't make us smart money traders.
🧪 How I use stop hunts
• I never enter at the first touch of a level.
• I wait for price to go through it.
• Only after the sweep do I look for entries.
• This gives better timing and tighter risk.
📌 Bearish Scenario - (LTF view) - price (yellow has structured movements and should be crating AMD profiles on the edge of the range. We need to drop to LTF to read the structure. 📌 Bullish Scenario ITF view - Price should not have candle close below the range on the same timeframe otherwise setup is invalidated and new range created. 🧪 Where liquidity sweeps matter most
• Range highs and lows
• Previous week high or low
• Clear swing extremes
• Higher-timeframe key levels
• Daily and weekly ranges 🧪 CLS strategy connection
• Liquidity sweep is the foundation of my CLS approach.
• Fake breakouts create urgency and FOMO.
• Late buyers and sellers get trapped.
• I trade against that behavior.
🧠 Having mechanical system with backtested data is your EDGE.
💪 That is what makes you DISCIPLINED TRADER.
📌 Bullish continuation setups
Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target
Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% pullback 📌 Bearish Continuation setups
Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target
Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% pullback 🧪 Manipulation phase
• No manipulation means no institutional move.
• Liquidity must be taken first.
• Big candles after sweeps signal readiness.
• That is where opportunity appears.
🧪 Basic CLS workflow
• Define higher-timeframe trend
• Define the range near a key level
• Wait for price to sweep the high or low
• No candle close outside the range on that timeframe
• Enter only after manipulation
📌 Bullish LTF Range within HTF Range
Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. 📌 BearishLTF Range within HTF Range
Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. 🧪 Why this approach fixes psychology
• Rules remove hesitation
• Backtesting builds confidence
• Losses become expected data points
• Overtrading naturally disappears
🧪 Brief note on SMT
• Sometimes price moves without LQ sweep its because of SMT
• In other words Sweep has happen on correlated pair so it doesn't have to happen on the we are looking for.
• If it’s not at a key level, I ignore it.
📌 SMT EURUSD and GBPUSD Example
GU - just shallow manipulation but creates clean OB
EU - Deeper manipulation but OB created later.
🧪 Final perspective
• Liquidity is sweep / Stop hunt / manipulation is happening ona key levels where mostly traders enters false break to the wrong side and those who has been right are now taken out.
📌 Example of manipulation
Less informed traders bought early and other group of Turtles selling the break out of the lows, they are wrong on the lows. Sellers were used as liqudity and buyers are now trapped in the long where price reverse against them.
I promised myself I’d become the person I once needed the most as a beginner. Below are links to a powerful lessons I shared on Tradingview. Hope it can help you avoid years of trial and error I went thru.
📊 Sharpen your trading Strategy
⚙️ 100% Mechanical System - Complete Strategy
🔁 Daily Bias – Continuation
🔄 Daily Bias – Reversal
🧱 Key Level – Order Block
📉 How to Buy Lows and Sell Highs
🎯 Dealing Range – Enter on pullbacks
💧 Liquidity – Basics to understand
🕒 Timeframe Alignments
🚫 Market Narratives – Avoid traps
🐢 Turtle Soup Master – High reward method
🧘 How to stop overcomplicating trading
🕰️ Day Trading Cheat Code – Sessions
🇬🇧 London Session Trading
🔍 SMT Divergence – Secret Smart Money signal
📐 Standard Deviations – Predict future targets
🎣 Stop Hunt Trading
🧠 Level Up your Mindset
🛕 Monk Mode – Transition from 9–5 to full-time trading
⚠️ Trading Enemies – Habits that destroy success
🔄 Trader’s Routine – Build discipline daily
💪 Get Funded - $20 000 Monthly Plan
🛡️ Risk Management
🏦 Risk Management for Prop Trading
📏 Risk in % or Fixed Position Size
🔐 Risk Per Trade – Keep consistency
Adapt what is useful. Reject what is not. Add something of your own.
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
Crude oil to revisit 2020 lows with drop to <$20 -80% - Dec 2025Now that we’re all driving Teslas and cyber trucks, oil can stay where it belongs, in the ground. Or something like that. Greenpeace finally makes progress.. as long as we forget about China burning colossal amounts of coal the size of mount Everest to power the machinery needed to recover minerals for EV battery manufacturer. And lets not forget about the poor suckers sat in $70k of negative equity after dropping $100k on the latest shiny EV with a $30k re-sale value.
At the same time unemployment rates surge as freshly minted graduates find themselves unable to get a job with that new degree in comparative Victorian teapot handle criticism. I'm shocked. As was the AI that got past the interview for operating the office coffee pot.
Anyway, never mind that nonsense, we’re here to understand if demand for crude is on the up or not. The chart says, no. Not at all.
Why?
Very simple. Recession. One of the strongest leading indicators for recession after the yield curve inversion is a collapse in price of crude oil. The collapse in price are shown with the past two recessions marked out in the overlay in grey columns.
The Technical
On the above 3 week chart:
1. Price action confirms broken market structure
2. Price action breaks through a 26 year line of support for the 3rd time.
3. A head and shoulder print confirms.
Conclusions
Right, so let’s wrap this up. The chart isn’t just whispering “recession,” it’s shouting it through a megaphone while setting fire to a stack of old oil barrels. We’ve got the classic playbook: a yield curve inversion for the intellectuals, followed by oil prices doing a swan dive off a cliff for the rest of us. It’s happened twice before with perfect timing, and now we’re lining up for the hat-trick.
The technicals aren't being subtle either. The market structure isn't just broken; it's been dismantled and sold for scrap. Price has punched through a 26 year support line not once, not twice, but for the third time. That’s not a test; that’s a verdict. And to add a cherry on top of this miserable cake, we’ve got a head and shoulders pattern. It’s the market’s way of shrugging and saying, “Yeah, it’s over.”
Is it possible price action does a u-turn like most of tradingview publishers are forecasting? For sure (and seriously they are, go-an, have a lookie.. ).
Is it probable? No
Ww
=============================================================
Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. This is one person looking at squiggly lines on a screen and making a guess, while making sarcastic remarks about global energy hypocrisy. I’m not your broker, your advisor, or your therapist.
Past performance is about as reliable a guide to the future as a politician’s promise. Just because oil tanked before a recession before, doesn’t guarantee it will do it again. Maybe this time is different. Who knows?
Do your own research. Make your own decisions. Don’t bet the house on the cynical musings of some bloke on the internet, no matter how compelling the head and shoulders pattern looks.
XAU/USD | Gold Near Previous ATH, Next Breakout in Focus!By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4 hour timeframe, we can see that price moved exactly as expected and continued higher. Gold successfully hit the $4351 and $4359 targets and even pushed up to $4375.
Based on the main analysis, the next key target is a new all time high above $4382. Since gold has reached the very strong supply area around the previous ATH, the pullback we are seeing now is normal and has brought price back to around $4359. I expect a small correction first, followed by another bullish move and a fresh high. Targets above $4400 are clearly not out of reach.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
The Related Analysis :
PEPEUSDT may turn downward after correctionThe local downtrend is breaking the support of the trading range. Consolidation below 0.003955 will be a strong signal of readiness to continue falling.
There are no bullish volumes, nor is there any buyer reaction.
The local trend has a strong structure. The movement is occurring in “steps,” which indicates that MM is gathering another position before each fall. A retest of the range boundary or downward resistance could increase sales, leading to a fall.
Scenario: a retest of 0.003955 - 0.0040 and a false breakout will be a signal for a short position.
Tesla - The next bullrun is coming!🚗Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is clearly breaking out:
🔎Analysis summary:
In mid 2025, Tesla perfectly retested a major confluence of support. After Tesla then created bullish confirmation, the recent strong rally was totally expected. And with the current triangle breakout, Tesla is just starting its next major parabolic rally much higher.
📝Levels to watch:
$400 and $600
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
GOLD - A pullback ahead of the news. Will there be growth?FX:XAUUSD is hitting resistance at 4350-4360 and forming a correction amid expected inflation and initial jobless claims data
Mixed US employment data supports expectations of Fed policy easing. The market is pricing in two rate cuts in 2026 versus one in the Fed's forecasts, which supports the bullish trend for the metal.
Today's US CPI release will be a key trigger for reassessing the Fed's rate trajectory.
Expectations of tighter policy from the Bank of Japan and market reassessment are creating overall caution.
A short-term correction in gold is possible, but the overall uptrend remains intact amid the Fed's dovish monetary policy and global uncertainty.
Resistance levels: 4337, 4353
Support levels: 4311, 4300
Technically and fundamentally, the situation is favorable for continued growth. Corrections allow the market to gather liquidity before movement, however, there is news ahead that will determine further movement. I expect a retest of 4311 - 4300 before growth to 4353 - 4380.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
BTC/USDT - Demand Holding Strong (18.12.2025)📝 Description🔹 Market Structure WHITEBIT:BTCUSDT
BTC has formed a clear Double Bottom pattern inside a strong demand / support zone, signaling potential trend exhaustion on the downside. Price respected the support zone multiple times
Momentum is attempting to shift from sellers to buyers. This structure favors a bullish reversal if confirmation holds.
📌 Trade Plan 🟢 Bullish above the support zone
Entry Idea: Buy on pullback / breakout confirmation above trendline
🟢 1st Resistance: 91,900 – 92,000
🟢 2nd Resistance / Target: 94,100 – 94,200
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #DoubleBottom #PriceAction #SupportResistance #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #Kabhi_TA_Trading
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Crypto markets are volatile — always use proper risk management and a stop-loss.
❤️ Support the Work👍 Like if you see the reversal💬 Comment: Bullish or Fakeout? 🔁 Share with your crypto friends
XAUUSD – The UP Trend Is Still Well ProtectedThe gold market is no longer asking “will it go up or not” — the real question now is how the rally unfolds . When we combine the news backdrop with the price structure on the chart, the bullish picture of XAUUSD becomes increasingly clear.
On the fundamental side , recent U.S. economic data shows a cooling labor market , while expectations for the Fed to continue easing monetary policy remain intact . Yields and the USD are not strong enough to trigger a deep sell-off, and safe-haven demand is still present. This creates a solid macro foundation supporting higher gold prices, rather than a random technical bounce.
From a technical perspective , the uptrend remains clean and well-structured:
• Price is above the Ichimoku cloud, and the cloud is sloping upward → the primary trend remains bullish.
• The 4,300 zone is acting as both a dynamic and psychological support, where price has just pulled back and reacted positively.
• The long-term ascending trendline remains intact → the Higher Low structure is still preserved.
The most logical scenario at this stage is consolidation above 4,300, followed by a continuation toward the 4,380 – 4,390 zone, where the upper trendline resistance converges. This is a classic behavior of a strong market: no sharp sell-offs, no panic — just a pause before the next leg higher.
👉 In summary:
The UPTREND in XAUUSD continues to dominate. As long as 4,300 holds, any pullback should be viewed as a trend-following opportunity, not a reversal signal.
Lingrid | GOLD Price Action Continues Range-BoundOANDA:XAUUSD remains supported above the trendline after rejecting lower prices, with recent pullbacks failing to break the higher-low sequence. Price is compressing beneath the upper resistance band, suggesting absorption rather than distribution, while the broader structure still favors continuation within the ascending channel. Momentum has cooled, but selling pressure appears contained so far.
If buyers continue to protect the 4,300 support cluster, gold could gradually push back toward the 4,360 resistance area, where a breakout attempt may emerge. Sustained acceptance above that zone could open room for a renewed extension higher.
➡️ Primary scenario: support holds at 4,300 → advance toward 4,360.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a decisive breakdown below may weaken the bullish structure and shift focus back to deeper support.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
How Emotions Sneak Into Your Trades (and How to Catch Them)Because the market doesn’t care how you feel — but your portfolio absolutely does.
Every trader likes to believe they’re rational. Calm. Data-driven. A master of charts and probabilities.
And sometimes that’s true — at least until price starts moving faster than expected, your P&L flickers red, and suddenly you’re “just making a small adjustment.”
Emotions rarely kick the door down in trading. They sneak in quietly, wearing sensible shoes and carrying very reasonable arguments. By the time you notice them, they’ve already rearranged your trade plan.
🕵️ Emotion’s Favorite Disguise: Logic
The most dangerous emotions don’t announce themselves as fear or greed. They show up as logic.
“This breakout looks stronger than usual.”
“I’ll give it a little more room.”
“It’s only falling because of low volume.”
Each sentence sounds responsible. Each one is also a potential emotional leak. By the time the trade goes wrong, it feels like bad luck — not emotional interference.
📉 Losses Hurt More Than Gains Feel Good
Behavioral finance has a name for it: loss aversion. Traders experience losses maybe twice as intensely as equivalent gains.
That’s why a small drawdown can hijack your focus while a string of solid wins rarely registers as a lesson. It’s also why traders hesitate to close losing trades, but happily take profits early.
Emotionally, it feels safer to wait than to admit defeat — even when waiting is the riskier choice, especially if you’re deep into volatile crypto markets .
🧠 The Subtle Art of Revenge Trading
Revenge trading rarely looks dramatic. It doesn’t start with yelling at screens or slamming desks.
It usually begins with a quiet thought: “I’ll win the next one.”
That’s when trades get larger, setups get looser, and discipline takes a coffee break. The trader isn’t angry — they’re determined.
The market, unfortunately, doesn’t reward determination. It rewards discipline . Revenge trading isn’t about making money back. It’s about repairing a bruised ego — and markets have a way of charging interest for that.
🎢 Winning Can Be Just as Dangerous
Emotions don’t only sneak in during losses. They love winning streaks, too.
After a few good trades, confidence creeps up. Position sizes grow. Rules bend “just a little.” Suddenly, the trader isn’t following a system but a feeling.
This is how consistency quietly breaks down. Not in chaos, but in comfort.
🧰 Catching Emotions Before They Trade for You
The goal isn’t to eliminate emotion — that’s impossible. The goal is to spot it early, before it gets a vote.
Professional traders use simple, boring safeguards:
Repeating the same setups
Reviewing decisions away from the screen
Noting why a trade was taken, not just the result
Paying attention to behavior, not just outcomes
Emotion leaves footprints. The more familiar you are with your own patterns, the easier it is to catch them mid-step. “When you're centered, your emotions are not hijacking you.” - Ray Dalio.
🎁 The Takeaway
The real edge in trading comes from awareness — understanding how emotions quietly enter the process, recognizing their disguises, and catching them early before they influence your decisions.
Build that awareness, and emotions stop being obstacles — they become signals you know how to manage.
Off to you : How do you manage your emotions when you're trading? Share your strategy in the comments and let's get talking!
BTC – Weak Rebound Below EMAs, Bias Still Toward CorrectionHello everyone, Domic here.
Looking at BTC on the H4 timeframe right now, the overall feeling is not panic — but there is certainly nothing reassuring either. Price is trading around 85,700 USD, sitting firmly below both the EMA34 and EMA89, and that alone already says a lot about the current market condition.
Since mid-month, a lower high – lower low structure has become fairly clear. The rebound we are seeing at the moment is essentially just a technical pullback after the prior sharp sell-off, as price attempts to climb back up and retest resistance. However, BTC has still failed to reclaim the EMA34, which shows that buying pressure is not strong enough to regain short-term control. At this stage, EMA34 acts as an overhead pressure ceiling, while EMA89 remains the key boundary defining the H4 trend. As long as price stays below both of these moving averages, the market should still be viewed from a defensive perspective.
On the macro and news side, BTC is not being driven by any crypto-specific shock, but rather by broader macro conditions and the risk-on / risk-off environment. The Fed continues to signal higher rates for longer, making it difficult for risk assets to attract fresh inflows. US Treasury yields remain elevated, pushing short-term capital toward the USD and bonds instead of crypto. US equities are undergoing a mild correction, and BTC, at this stage, is still moving quite in sync with the broader risk asset complex. In addition, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have cooled significantly compared to the earlier surge, further weakening the price support.
From my perspective, as long as BTC remains below the EMA34, any upward move should still be treated as a rebound into resistance. And while price stays below the EMA89, the H4 trend remains in a corrective state.
NQ Range (12-18-25)The O/N has retraced 200 of the 400 points needed to get the NDX out of the Danger Zone range. NQ is at KL 25,103 & Diablo. U Turn attempt in the Overnight is underway. After the Washington Street & Meme Coin public address, they may need to try all Long side tricks to stabilize these markets. My 12/16 Short call was a half day early and needed to let the O/N pump/dump play out before the NAZ dropped 600 points. Watch Diablo today and 25,060 level for Long above and Short below. Utilizing KL's for trade entry may help. Many times the opposite direction trades at a KL will provide scalps and provide signals for direction turns (back to opposite direction KL). I would not be surprised to see the VIX pick up and some wild Long side O/N plays should the Reg Session continue to sell off the O/N long side Rig Pumps. Since 12/10 we have seen 3 Long Traps paly into the BTD/FOMO crowd, I would think that these traps are looking for a much lower drop test.
NDX YTD Chart
IDS27 View
XAU/USD | CPI incoming (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 4H chart of Gold, it is consolidating between the Bearish OB and the 4H FVG, mostly because it is waiting for CPI to make a move.
There's a support level at 4317 to monitor, and there's a Buyside liquidity below 4306 and another one below 4300.
Monitor these zones and make sure NOT to set an order for CPI news, cause it will without a doubt hurt you.
Hope you have a good day folks.
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis: Strong Bullish Breakout Expected Soon!In this analysis, we're looking at gold on the 2-hour timeframe. Right now, gold is around $4336, and many people expect the price to get rejected (bounce down) from this level. But in my opinion, gold's momentum is much stronger than it appears, and I expect we'll soon see a powerful breakout above this level! If it breaks out, my upside targets are $4344, $4350, and $4366 in order. I'll post an update for this analysis soon!
GOLD - Consolidation amid a bullish trend. To ATH?FX:XAUUSD , after retesting its ATH (to the 4375 zone), is falling amid weak US inflation data. The dollar is strengthening, but despite this, gold is in a bullish trend.
US inflation (CPI) for November was lower than expected, but Trump's statements about the future “dovish” Fed chair are limiting the decline in gold. The market continues to expect the Fed to ease policy in 2026.
Today, data on the US consumer confidence index will be released.
Short-term pressure remains, but the fundamental background does not allow us to talk about a trend reversal. The market structure is bullish, but there is a magnet zone below: 4310 - 4300. MM is likely to test it before moving towards ATH and updating highs...
Resistance levels: 4330, 4353, 4375
Support levels: 4308, 4300, 4291
The dollar is forming a temporary correction due to fundamental factors. A weak dollar will support gold...
The 4308-4300 zone is a liquidity pool, and the market may test this area amid the dollar correction. A long squeeze could bring the market back to growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NVDIA ANALYSISFirst of all, my main focus in trading is Crypto but I also examine US stocks once in a time.
As I can understand from the chart in here, there is a high possibility that Nvdia is about to face a crash.
For the ones who comes to my profile for the first time, please here me out for a bit.
Technical outlook:
I'm an Elliott analysist and I always use waves to gauge the price and as I can see by my calculations, Nvdia has already finished its short term 5 wave impulsive upward move.
Low volume and shift in market structure supports this thought as well.
Moreover, if you want a simpler explanation; there is also a head and shoulders pattern formed right in here as well which also signaling a contuniuation thorugh downwards.
What I believe is that there is a high chance for a double Zig-Zag corrective pattern to form for the long run. For now, let's focus on the demand zone. I believe that zone will be the first A point of A-B-C corrective Zig-Zag move.
Fundemental factors:
Today we have witnessed that US has announced its inflation is way lower than expectation (%2.7). Expectation was way too much (%3.1) and it means that FED will not be willing to cut the interest rates for the new quarter of the new year which is going to be very bearish.
Moreover, Tomorrow Bank of Japan (BOJ) will announce its interest rate hike. The problematic thing is that some officials and bank menagers from Japan pointed out that Japan may actually want to increase its intertest rates even more next year by March 2026.
The biggest problem about the news lies just in here.
Yes, FED is pumping more money to people and Trump is going to be doing tax refunds and all but we can't ignore the macro news and other events.
I believe that 2026 will start very bad for the markets like Crypto or Nasdaq but I also see a very green light in the end of the tunnel as well. Second quarter might be way more profitable if you play this carefully.
Thanks for reading.
Tomorrow’s NIFTY Plan:Structure, Trendlines & High ProbabilitiesIn this video, I’ve broken down NIFTY’s structure for tomorrow in the simplest possible way — trendlines, key levels, price behaviour, and the exact trade plans I’ll be looking at.
No indicators.
No clutter.
Just pure price-action logic you can apply instantly.
I’ve explained both sides — bullish and bearish — and how I’m planning my entries, exits, and risk for tomorrow’s session.
If you follow price the way I’ve shown here, your clarity for the next trading day will shoot up.
Watch it fully this can easily save you a few unnecessary trades tomorrow.
Elite | XAUUSD | 1H – Bullish Structure, Demand HoldingOANDA:XAUUSD
After a strong impulsive push, price corrected in a controlled manner rather than dumping aggressively — a sign of healthy bullish structure. The current consolidation above demand suggests buyers are defending, but continuation is only valid if price holds above the demand box and reclaims intraday highs. Failure to hold this zone opens a deeper corrective move toward lower channel support.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation 🚀
Condition:
1H close holding above 4310
Break and acceptance above 4340
🎯 Target 1: 4375
🎯 Target 2: 4400
🎯 Target 3: 4430
❌ Bearish Breakdown 📉
Condition:
Strong 1H close below 4300
🎯 Downside Target 1: 4275
🎯 Downside Target 2: 4252 (major structure support)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4340 – 4375
Support 🟢: 4310 – 4300 – 4252
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
EURUSD Holds Demand - Retest of 1.1760 Resistance LikelyHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD based on the current chart structure. After a prolonged bearish phase inside a descending channel, EURUSD found a solid base near the lower boundary, where selling pressure weakened and price turned around. This reversal led to a clean breakout above the descending resistance, signaling a shift in market structure from bearish to bullish. Following the breakout, price moved higher but entered a corrective phase, forming a series of pullbacks while maintaining higher lows. As momentum rebuilt, EURUSD broke above the key horizontal level and accelerated into an ascending channel, confirming bullish continuation. Price then pushed into the Seller Zone near 1.1760, where a fake breakout occurred — indicating strong supply but not a full trend reversal. After this rejection, the pair pulled back into the Buyer Zone around 1.1700–1.1720, which aligns with previous resistance turned support and the lower boundary of the ascending structure. Currently, EURUSD is holding above the support level, suggesting that the pullback remains corrective. Buyers continue to defend this zone, keeping the bullish structure intact. My scenario: as long as price holds above the 1.1700 Buyer Zone, EURUSD may bounce and make another attempt toward the 1.1760 Resistance / TP1. A confirmed breakout and acceptance above this level would open the door for further upside continuation. A failure to hold support, however, could lead to a deeper correction within the structure. For now, the bias remains bullish, with support holding and resistance as the main upside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
"ETH/USDT Forecast""ETH/USDT Forecast"
The market shows evidence of strong participation earlier, where price moved with speed and consistency, reflecting clear intent. That phase established direction and control without prolonged hesitation.
As price progressed, momentum began to ease. Movement slowed, reactions became more frequent, and volatility compressed. This change indicates a shift from active pressure to evaluation, where participants reduced aggression and allowed price to stabilize.
The subsequent recovery unfolded in a measured and uneven manner. Advances were short, overlapping, and lacked continuation, suggesting limited commitment behind higher prices. Opposing flow remained active, preventing expansion.
Currently, price behavior is defined by balance and compression. Activity reflects positioning rather than resolution. Until behavior shifts from overlap to decisive movement, the market remains in a waiting state, with continuation favored once imbalance returns.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
That was a mic drop moment again this week with the plan working well. We got the high, the low with the tap and bounce, the target level on the red box break and then what a RIP from that level!
Now we have support at the 4330 level with the order region in play and resistance at the 4350 level. Long wick being left here on the 4H so a retest above could be on the cards in the coming session.
For us, it's a job well done and with it being Friday and witching day before the Xmas break, it's best to take it easy tomorrow.
From Camelot this morning:
RED BOXES:
Break above 4340 for 4351✅, 4355✅, 4365✅ and 4370✅ in extension of the move
Break below 4320 for 4315, 4310, 4304 and 4390 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
AUDCAD - From Shorts to Potential Longs!!Earlier in this range, we sold 📉AUDCAD near the upper boundary, fading resistance as price showed clear exhaustion. That idea played out well, with price rotating back into the middle and now pressing toward the lower bound of the range.
This is where things shift.
⚔️As long as range support holds, the bias flips from selling rallies to looking for longs from support. In a well-defined range, edges matter more than direction, and the lower boundary is where buyers historically step in.
The plan from here is simple and disciplined.
No chasing. No guessing....
🏹If price holds above support and shows bullish reaction on lower timeframes, longs become valid back toward the range highs. A clean breakdown below support would invalidate this idea and put sellers back in control.
Range trading is not about prediction, it’s about location and reaction.
Will buyers defend the floor once again, or is this range finally ready to break? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr






















