SuperTrend Momentum OscillatorOverview
The SuperTrend Momentum Oscillator (SMO) is a powerful technical analysis tool designed to identify trend direction and strength in financial markets. It combines short-term and long-term oscillator calculations to provide traders with a comprehensive view of market conditions through an intuitive candle-based visualization system.
Key Features
Dual-period oscillator system (short-term and long-term)
Candle-based visualization showing trend direction and alignment
Color-coded trend direction based on the main (slower) trend line
Candle size reflecting alignment between fast and slow components
High-confidence "Super" signals (green diamonds for buys, purple diamonds for sells)
Market liquidity insights through oscillator readings
Understanding the Candle Visualization
Main Trend vs. Fast Money
The SMO uses two key components that work together:
Main Trend Line (Slower): The longer-period oscillator that acts as the primary trend indicator
Dictates the overall color of the candles (green for uptrend, red for downtrend)
Represents the dominant market direction
Fast Line (Quicker): The shorter-period oscillator that reacts more quickly to price changes
Helps determine the size of candles through its alignment with the main trend
Represents "fast money" or shorter-term price reactions
Candle Components and Their Meaning
1. Candle Color
The color of each candle is determined by the direction of the main trend line:
Green Candles: Main trend line is rising (bullish)
Indicates an overall uptrend regardless of short-term fluctuations
Remains green even when the fast line temporarily moves against the trend
Red Candles: Main trend line is falling (bearish)
Indicates an overall downtrend regardless of short-term fluctuations
Remains red even when the fast line temporarily moves against the trend
2. Candle Body Size
The body size of each candle represents the alignment between fast and main trend lines:
Large Bodies: Both fast and main trend lines are moving in the same direction
Trading Action: Strong confirmation of the trend direction
Confidence Level: High confidence signals
Small Bodies: Fast line is moving against the main trend line
Trading Action: Exercise caution; potential for temporary pullback or consolidation
Confidence Level: Lower confidence in immediate continuation
3. Wick Length
Wicks (shadows) provide additional information about price rejection and volatility:
Long Wicks: Indicate price rejection and potential volatility
Trading Action: Be cautious of trend continuation when long wicks appear
Confidence Level: Reduced confidence in immediate trend continuation
Short Wicks: Indicate strong directional control with minimal rejection
Trading Action: More confidence in trend continuation
Confidence Level: Higher confidence in the current trend direction
Candle Patterns Over Time
The progression of candles provides valuable trend information:
Large Green Candles: Main trend is up and fast line confirms (strong bullish)
Trading Action: Consider entering or adding to long positions
Confidence Level: High confidence in uptrend
Small Green Candles: Main trend is up but fast line is moving down (caution in uptrend)
Trading Action: Hold existing long positions but wait before adding
Confidence Level: Moderate confidence in uptrend, possible short-term pullback
Large Red Candles: Main trend is down and fast line confirms (strong bearish)
Trading Action: Consider entering or adding to short positions
Confidence Level: High confidence in downtrend
Small Red Candles: Main trend is down but fast line is moving up (caution in downtrend)
Trading Action: Hold existing short positions but wait before adding
Confidence Level: Moderate confidence in downtrend, possible short-term bounce
Super Signals - High Confidence Trading Opportunities
The SMO focuses exclusively on high-confidence "Super" signals:
Green Diamond Super Buy Signals
Meaning: Both short-term and long-term oscillators are generating buy signals simultaneously
Visual Indicator: Green diamond markers at the bottom of the indicator (0 level)
Trading Action: Strong entry signal for long positions
Confidence Level: High confidence signal, especially when accompanied by large green candles
Purple Diamond Super Sell Signals
Meaning: Both short-term and long-term oscillators are generating sell signals simultaneously
Visual Indicator: Purple diamond markers at the top of the indicator (100 level)
Trading Action: Strong entry signal for short positions or exit signal for long positions
Confidence Level: High confidence signal, especially when accompanied by large red candles
Market Liquidity Concept
The SMO provides a unique perspective on market conditions that goes beyond traditional oscillator interpretations:
Low Oscillator Readings (Below 20)
When the oscillator shows low readings (below 20), this indicates:
Traditional interpretation: Market is oversold, potential for upward reversal
Liquidity interpretation: Insufficient money in the market
This suggests thin trading conditions where large orders may have outsized impact
Price movements may be more erratic and less predictable
Breakouts may lack follow-through due to insufficient participation
High Oscillator Readings (Above 80)
When the oscillator shows high readings (above 80), this indicates:
Traditional interpretation: Market is overbought, potential for downward reversal
Liquidity interpretation: Abundant money in the market
This suggests deep trading conditions with high participation
Price movements tend to be more orderly and trend-based
Breakouts may have stronger follow-through due to high participation
Trading Strategies with SMO
Strategy 1: Main Trend with Alignment Confirmation
This strategy uses the main trend direction with alignment confirmation:
Entry Criteria:
Main trend direction is established (green or red candles)
Fast line aligns with main trend (large candles)
Super signal confirms (green or purple diamond)
Exit Criteria:
For long positions: When candles turn red or Super Sell signal appears
For short positions: When candles turn green or Super Buy signal appears
Stop Loss Placement:
For long positions: Below recent swing low
For short positions: Above recent swing high
Strategy 2: Counter-Trend Opportunity Detection
This strategy identifies potential counter-trend opportunities:
Entry Criteria:
Small candles appear (indicating disagreement between fast and main trend lines)
Oscillator reaches extreme levels (above 80 or below 20)
Wait for candle color change before entering
Position Sizing:
Use smaller position sizes for counter-trend trades
Increase size only when main trend confirms the new direction
Exit Criteria:
Take profit at the first sign of alignment in the opposite direction
Use tighter stops than with trend-following trades
Strategy 3: Market Liquidity Strategy
This strategy incorporates the market liquidity concept:
For Low Liquidity Conditions (Readings below 20):
Wait for Super Buy signals (green diamond)
Use smaller position sizes
Be prepared for potentially erratic price movements
Look for signs of increasing liquidity (expanding candle bodies) before adding to positions
For High Liquidity Conditions (Readings above 80):
Consider holding positions longer despite "overbought" readings
Use trailing stops to capture extended moves
Be aware that trends may persist longer than expected
Practical Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1: Strong Trend Confirmation
Candle Pattern: Series of large green candles (main trend up, fast line confirms)
Signal: Green diamond Super Buy marker at the bottom (0 level)
Background: Intensifying green gradient
Action: Enter long position with confidence
Stop Loss: Below recent swing low
Take Profit: When candles become small or turn red
Scenario 2: Trend Weakening Detection
Candle Pattern: Green candles becoming smaller (main trend still up, but fast line diverging)
Signal: No new signals
Background: Fading green gradient
Action: Tighten stops on long positions, prepare for potential reversal
Reasoning: Fast money is starting to move against the main trend
Scenario 3: Trend Reversal Identification
Candle Pattern: Transition from small green candles to red candles (main trend changing)
Signal: Appearance of purple diamond Super Sell marker at the top (100 level)
Background: Changing from green to red gradient
Action: Exit long positions and potentially enter short positions
Timing: Most effective when reversal occurs near overbought (80) level
Relative Strength Comparison
Stock versus IndustryStock vs. Industry Indicator
The Stock vs. Industry Indicator is designed to help traders assess the performance of individual stocks relative to their respective industries. This tool automatically identifies the industry classification of a stock, compares it to a relevant industry ETF, and calculates the stock-to-industry performance ratio in real-time.
Key Features:
Real-Time Performance Comparison: The indicator tracks and compares the price movement of an individual stock against the most relevant ETF for its industry, providing a dynamic view of relative strength.
Stock-to-Industry Ratio: Displays the ratio of stock performance versus industry performance, allowing traders to easily identify outperforming and underperforming stocks within their industry.
SMA Trend Line: The indicator includes a simple moving average (SMA) trend line to assist with visual trend analysis, offering additional context to the stock’s movement in relation to the broader industry.
Customizable Parameters: Users can customize SMA periods, adjust comparison overrides, and use color highlighting to suit their trading preferences and strategies.
Industry Classification: Automatically assigns the correct industry classification to any stock, providing a reliable and automated method for comparing stocks within the same industry.
Benefits:
Identify Leaders and Laggards: Easily distinguish which stocks are outperforming their industry and which are underperforming. This allows traders to make more informed decisions based on relative strength.
Sector Rotation Detection: The indicator helps detect when a stock begins to underperform its industry, which can signal a shift in sector strength. This allows traders to adjust their positions and strategies accordingly.
Breakout Confirmation: When a stock breaks out while outperforming its industry, the indicator provides additional confidence in the breakout’s validity and potential for continued performance.
Avoid Value Traps: By comparing a stock’s performance against its industry, the indicator helps avoid investing in stocks that appear undervalued but are underperforming relative to their peers, reducing the risk of falling into value traps.
Usage:
Timeframes: The indicator works across various timeframes and is adaptable for both short-term and long-term traders.
Customization: Users can modify the parameters and settings to align with their specific trading style, whether day trading or position trading.
Visual Aid: The indicator provides an intuitive chart display, making it easy to understand a stock’s performance relative to its industry at a glance.
Disclaimer:
This indicator does not guarantee future performance or predict market movements. The information provided is based on historical data and current market conditions, which can change rapidly. It is important to use this tool as part of a broader trading strategy, taking into account other market factors and risk management techniques.
Cumulative Weighted Change (Session) with 14 MAThis indicator provides the session weighted cumulative change of the Magnificent 7(AAPL META GOOG AMZN MSFT NVDA TSLA), it is weighted according to their market capitalization and size in relation to size of the market. The bar to bar current change is plotted by the fast line that begins its calculations at the start of each daily session, the smoother(slower) line is the 14 period Volume Weighted Moving Average of the cumulative change.
I use this in conjunction with a timeframe continuity indicator in order to weed out invalid signals, I have one that I have recently published. I use this to trade futures and index stock options, since the 7 tickers that this indicator is built off of are the biggest force that moves markets this ends up acting as an alpha indicator if you can find a consistent and reliable way to weed out false signals.
Happy Trading!
-Drgzzz
[#ps #mft] RDT's Real Relative StrengthIndicator to use with Pine Screener for filtering watchlists with RDT's Real Relative Strength.
See r/realdaytrading for more info on the RRS.
How to:
1. Mark the indicator as "Favorite".
2. Open Pine Screener.
3. Choose a watchlist.
4. Choose this indicator.
5. Change the settings as needed.
6. Make sure you set timeframe to "5 minutes" and not the default "1 day".
If you choose "Bullish trend", then "Signal X" is a shortcut for RRS > 0 for that timeframe. Similarly "Bearish trend" for "Signal X" means RRS < 0.
Pro-tip #1: use Symbol syncing between tabs to easily go over the results.
Pro-tip #2: you can have two tabs open for "Bullish" and "Bearish" pine screeners (even synced to the same color), so you don't have to change settings everytime.
Ragi's Divergence HelperThis is Ragi's Divergence Helper is a TradingView indicator designed to track bullish and bearish divergences across multiple timeframes. It provides a clear, structured dashboard that remains fixed in a chosen corner of the chart for easy visibility.
Recommendations:
Put dashboard on lower left corner is less obstructive.
Use along with any RSI indicator for confirmations of bullish and bearish divergences.
Key Features:
✅ Timeframe Coverage: Monitors 5m, 10m, 15m, 30m, 1H, 2H, 4H, and Daily timeframes.
✅ Divergence Detection: Identifies whether a bullish (green) or bearish (red) divergence is present on each timeframe, displaying "None" if no divergence is detected.
✅ Divergence Lineup: Summarizes the overall market direction by checking if multiple timeframes align bullish or bearish.
✅ Customizable Settings: Users can adjust colors, panel position (Top Right, Bottom Right, Bottom Left, Top Left), and background color for better chart integration.
✅ Fixed & Readable Panel: Ensures the information is always visible without interfering with price action analysis.
How to Use It:
If multiple timeframes show bullish divergences, it may indicate a potential trend reversal or continuation to the upside.
If multiple timeframes show bearish divergences, it may signal a possible price drop or reversal downward.
When no divergences are present, it suggests no immediate divergence-based trading opportunity.
This indicator is ideal for traders looking for quick divergence insights across different timeframes without needing to analyze multiple indicators manually. 🚀
Multi-Ticker RS vs SPYThis Pine Script, titled "Multi-Ticker RS vs SPY," is a clean and efficient indicator designed for TradingView, enabling traders to monitor the relative strength (RS) of up to 10 ticker symbols compared to the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) on a single chart. Ideal for options traders, such as those managing a $1,400 account, it provides a simple way to assess which stocks are outperforming or underperforming the broader market. As of February 26, 2025, the script supports any chart timeframe, such as 5-minute or daily intervals, and calculates RS based on a user-defined lookback period, defaulting to 1 bar for real-time insights.
Users can input ticker symbols via customizable settings, with defaults set to popular stocks like AAPL, TSLA, NVDA, GOOGL, AMZN, MSFT, FB, NFLX, INTC, and PYPL. The script fetches closing prices for each ticker and SPY, computes their percentage changes over the lookback period, and determines RS as the ratio of each ticker’s change to SPY’s change, handling division by zero gracefully. It displays each ticker’s current RS score in a vertical column of labels on the chart’s top-left corner, updated on the last bar to avoid clutter. Users can adjust label size (tiny, small, normal, large) and text color for visibility, ensuring a tailored, error-free experience for quick market analysis.
Islamic Tijarat -Dual Relative StrengthIslamic Tijarat - Dual Relative Strength
Islamic Tijarat - Dual Relative Strength is a powerful indicator designed to compare the relative performance of two securities, such as a stock against its sector index or Nifty 50 (default benchmark) . This helps traders assess whether a stock is outperforming (> 0) or underperforming (< 0) relative to the chosen benchmark.
Key Features:
✔ Relative Strength Comparison – Measure the performance of a stock relative to Nifty 50, industry index, or sector index.
✔ Multiple Timeframes – Works best on Daily Timeframe (TF) but can also be applied to Weekly, Monthly, or Intraday charts based on the preferred calculation period.
✔ Customizable Calculation Period – Choose the desired number of hours when applying it to smaller timeframes.
✔ Box Table Display – Provides a clear performance comparison against both Nifty 50 and the selected sector index .
✔ Toggle Color Option on Crossovers – Visually highlights significant crossovers in relative strength for better readability.
✔ Enhanced Label Display – Fixed label visibility issue when plot options were disabled.
✔ Superimposed Price Action on RS Line – In addition to standard Relative Strength (RS) behavior, users can now overlay price action movements onto the RS line for a more holistic analysis.
✔ Customizable Moving Averages for RS – Added SMA/EMA (length: 9) to smoothen the RS calculation, helping traders filter noise and identify trends more effectively.
Usage:
✅ Compare stock performance against Nifty 50 , industry index, sector index, or any other security within the same sector.
✅ Identify strength and weakness trends over different timeframes.
✅ Use crossovers, trend direction, and price action integration for better decision-making.
This brings enhanced functionality, improved visualization, and bug fixes, making it a must-have tool for traders focusing on relative strength analysis.
Relative Performance SuiteOverview
The Relative Performance Suite (RPS) is a versatile and comprehensive indicator designed to evaluate an asset's performance relative to a benchmark. By offering multiple methods to measure performance, including Relative Performance, Alpha, and Price Ratio, this tool helps traders and investors assess asset strength, resilience, and overall behavior in different market conditions.
Key Features:
✅ Multiple Performance Measures:
Choose from various relative performance calculations, including:
Relative Performance:
Measures how much an asset has outperformed or underperformed its benchmark over a given period.
Relative Performance (Proportional):
A proportional version of relative performance,
factoring in scaling effects.
Relative Performance (MA Based):
Uses moving averages to smooth performance fluctuations.
Alpha:
A measure of an asset’s performance relative to what would be expected based on its beta and the benchmark’s return. It represents the excess return above the risk-free rate after adjusting for market risk.
Price Ratio:
Compares asset prices directly to determine relative value over time.
✅ Customizable Moving Averages:
Apply different moving average types (SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA) to smooth price inputs and refine calculations.
✅ Beta Calculation:
Includes a Beta measure used in Alpha calculation, which users can toggle the visibility of helping users understand an asset's sensitivity to market movements.
✅ Risk-Free Rate Adjustment:
Incorporate risk-free rates (e.g., US Treasury yields, Fed Funds Rate) for a more accurate calculation of Alpha.
✅ Logarithmic Returns Option:
Users can switch between standard returns and log returns for more refined performance analysis.
✅ Dynamic Color Coding:
Identify outperformance or underperformance with intuitive color coding.
Option to color bars based on relative strength, making chart analysis easier.
✅ Customizable Tables for Data Display:
Overview table summarizing key metrics.
Explanation table offering insights into how values are derived.
How to Use:
Select a Benchmark: Choose a comparison symbol (e.g., TOTAL or SPX ).
Pick a Performance Metric: Use different modes to analyze relative performance.
Customize Calculation Methods: Adjust moving averages, timeframes, and log returns based on preference.
Interpret the Colors & Tables: Utilize the dynamic coloring and tables to quickly assess market conditions.
Ideal For:
Traders looking to compare individual asset performance against an index or benchmark.
Investors analyzing Alpha & Beta to understand risk-adjusted returns.
Market analysts who want a visually intuitive and data-rich performance tracking tool.
This indicator provides a powerful and flexible way to track relative asset strength, helping users make more informed trading decisions.
Metaphor Vigour Ratio### **Script Name:** Metaphor Vigour Ratio
**Short Title:** Metaphor Vigour Ratio
**Author:** Sovit Manjani, CMT
**Description:**
The Metaphor Vigour Ratio (MVRatio) is a powerful Relative Strength Indicator designed for assessing normalized relative strength. It is versatile and can be applied to any script or used to rank symbols based on their intermarket relative strength.
---
### **Features:**
1. **Bullish and Bearish Signals:**
- **Above 100:** Indicates a bullish trend.
- **Below 100:** Indicates a bearish trend.
2. **Trend Analysis with Slope:**
- **Slope Rising:** Suggests bullish momentum.
- **Slope Falling:** Suggests bearish momentum.
3. **Stock Selection Strategy:**
- Identify and rank stocks based on the MVRatio. For example, buy the top 10 stocks of Nifty with the highest MVRatio values for strong performance potential.
---
### **Inputs:**
1. **Fast EMA Period (RSEMAFast):** Default set to 10. Controls the sensitivity of the Fast Moving Average.
2. **Slow EMA Period (RSEMASlow):** Default set to 30. Provides a stable trend base with the Slow Moving Average.
3. **Smooth EMA Period (SmoothEMA):** Default set to 3. Smooths the MVRatio for better clarity.
4. **Close Source:** Default is the closing price, but it can be customized as needed.
5. **Comparative Symbol (ComparativeTickerId):** Default is "NSE:NIFTY," allowing comparison against a benchmark index.
---
### **Calculation Logic:**
1. **Relative Strength (RS):**
- Calculated as the ratio of the base symbol's price to the comparative symbol's price.
2. **Exponential Moving Averages (FastMA and SlowMA):**
- Applied to the RS to smooth and differentiate trends.
3. **Metaphor Vigour Ratio (MVRatio):**
- Computed as the ratio of FastMA to SlowMA, scaled by 100, and further smoothed using SmoothEMA.
---
### **Visualization:**
1. **MVRatio Plot (Blue):**
- Represents the relative strength dynamics.
2. **Reference Line at 100 (Gray):**
- Helps quickly identify bullish (above 100) and bearish (below 100) zones.
---
### **How to Use:**
1. Add the indicator to your chart from TradingView's Pine Script editor.
2. Compare the performance of any symbol relative to a benchmark (e.g., Nifty).
3. Analyze trends, slopes, and ranking based on MVRatio values to make informed trading decisions.
---
**Note:** This indicator is for educational purposes and should be used alongside other analysis methods to make trading decisions.
StockInfo ManualScript Description:
The StockInfo Manual is designed to display detailed stock information directly on the chart for the selected symbol. It processes user-provided input data, including
stock symbols
Industries
Relative Strength (RS) values
Band information
Key Features:
1. Symbol-Specific Data Display: Displays information only for the current chart symbol.
2. Customizable Table: Adjust the table's position, text size, colors, and headers to match your preferences.
3. Low RS/Band Conditions: Highlights critical metrics (RS < 50 or Band < 6) with a red background for quick visual cues.
4. Toggle Information: Choose to show or hide RS, Band, and Industry columns based on your needs.
How to Use the Script:
1. Use any platform (ex: chartsmaze) to get Industry,RS and Band information of any Stock. Prepare the data as separate column of excel
2. Configure Inputs:
- Stock Symbols (`Stock`): Enter a comma-separated list of stock symbols (e.g.,
NSE:ABDL,
NSE:ABFRL,
NSE:ABREL,
NSE:ABSLAMC,
NSE:ACC,
NSE:ACE,
- Industries (`Industry`): Provide a comma-separated list of industries for the stocks (e.g., 103-Brewerie,
109-Retail-D,
92-Paper & ,
19-Asset Ma,
62-Cement,
58-Industri,
- Relative Strength (`RS`): Input RS values for each stock (e.g.,
83,
52,
51,
81,
23,
59,
- Band Information (`Band`): Specify Band values for each stock. Use "No Band" if 10,
No Band,
20,
20,
No Band,
20,
3. Customize the Table:
-Display Options: Toggle the visibility of `RS`, `Band`, and `Industry` using the input checkboxes.
-Position and Appearance: Choose the table's position on the chart (e.g., top-right, bottom-center). Customize text size, background colors, header display, and other visual elements.
4. Interpret the Table:
- The table will dynamically display information for the current chart symbol only.
- If the `RS` is below 50 or the Band is below 6, the corresponding row is highlighted with a red background for immediate attention.
One need to enter details at least weekly for a correct result
Relative Performance Indicator by ComLucro - 2025_V01The "Relative Performance Indicator by ComLucro - 2025_V01" is a powerful tool designed to analyze an asset's performance relative to a benchmark index over multiple timeframes. This indicator provides traders with a clear view of how their chosen asset compares to a market index in short, medium, and long-term periods.
Key Features:
Customizable Lookback Periods: Analyze performance across three adjustable periods (default: 20, 50, and 200 bars).
Relative Performance Analysis: Calculate and visualize the difference in percentage performance between the asset and the benchmark index.
Dynamic Summary Label: Displays a detailed breakdown of the asset's and index's performance for the latest bar.
User-Friendly Interface: Includes customizable colors and display options for clear visualization.
How It Works:
The script fetches closing prices of both the asset and a benchmark index.
It calculates percentage changes over the selected lookback periods.
The indicator then computes the relative performance difference between the asset and the index, plotting it on the chart for easy trend analysis.
Who Is This For?:
Traders and investors who want to compare an asset’s performance against a benchmark index.
Those looking to identify trends and deviations between an asset and the broader market.
Disclaimer:
This tool is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or trading advice. Always use it alongside proper risk management strategies and backtest thoroughly before applying it to live trading.
Chart Recommendation:
Use this script on clean charts for better clarity. Combine it with other technical indicators like moving averages or trendlines to enhance your analysis. Ensure you adjust the lookback periods to match your trading style and the timeframe of your analysis.
Additional Notes:
For optimal performance, ensure the benchmark index's data is available on your TradingView subscription. The script uses fallback mechanisms to avoid interruptions when index data is unavailable. Always validate the settings and test them to suit your trading strategy.
S&P 500 E-Mini TrackerThis script generates a reference price for the S&P 500 ETF - SPY based on the current price of the ES contract, which is an E-Mini Futures contract representing the S&P 500 index. The indicator plots this reference price on the chart, providing a unique view of the relationship between these two popular markets.
Advantages:
Identifies divergence between the ES and SPY prices, indicating potential trading opportunities or shifts in market sentiment.
Confirms trends by showing the correlation between the ES and SPY prices.
Eliminates the need for multiple charts, allowing traders to focus on a single screen and make more informed decisions.
Customizable Parameters:
Color Scheme: Choose from various color options to customize the appearance of the indicator.
Line Style: Select from different line styles to change the visual representation of the reference price.
Divisor: Set the dividing factor to adjust the ratio at which the reference price is calculated. (Default value: 10). It is recommended to keep it at 10 for SPY.
To use it with other Stocks/ ETFs, use simple ratio math to calculate the divisor and you can customize the indicator to scale accordingly.
By using this indicator, traders can gain a deeper understanding of the relationship between the E-Mini and SPY markets, making it easier to identify trading opportunities and confirm trends.
Relative Price Strength (RPS)Relative Price Strength (RPS) is a technical analysis indicator that measures the performance of a specific symbol relative to a benchmark or "Base Symbol".
It's essentially a ratio that compares the price of the specific symbol to the price of the benchmark.
Rising RPS: Indicates that the symbol is outperforming the benchmark.
Falling RPS: Suggests that the symbol is underperforming the benchmark.
RSP is smoothed over a period for better visualization.
Relative Strength vs SPX
This indicator calculates the ratio of the current chart's price to the S&P 500 Index (SPX), providing a measure of the stock's relative strength compared to the broader market.
Key Features:
Dynamic High/Low Detection: Highlights periods when the ratio makes a new high (green) or a new low (red) based on a user-defined lookback period.
Customizable Lookback: The lookback period for detecting highs and lows can be adjusted in the settings for tailored analysis.
Visual Overlay: The ratio is plotted in a separate pane, allowing easy comparison of relative strength trends.
This tool is useful for identifying stocks outperforming or underperforming the S&P 500 over specific timeframes.
Profit Hunter - RS Supernova中文說明
狩利 (Profit Hunter) - RS 超新星 是一款專為加密貨幣市場設計的相對強度篩選指標，靈感來自 Mark Minervini 和 William O'Neil 的投資理念。此指標透過「RS 超新星」篩選概念，幫助交易者聚焦在市場中的極端強勢標的，從而更精準地捕捉高潛力的進場機會。
指標用途
RS 評級 (RS Rating)：基於相對強度 (Relative Strength) 概念，將標的與整體市場 (TOTAL 指數) 進行比較，得出 RS 評級。當 RS 評級超過 85 時，該標的被視為具有極強的上漲動能，是潛在的進場目標。
高潛力篩選：此指標利用動態加權計算方式，篩選出相對強勢的標的，讓交易者可以聚焦於具有突破潛力的資產。
即時數據顯示：在圖表上即時顯示 RS 評級，提供清晰的數據支持，使交易者快速判斷標的的強度並做出即時決策。
狩利-RS 超新星 專為追求市場主流趨勢的交易者設計，特別適合應用 Minervini 和 O'Neil 理論的投資者。該指標幫助您在市場波動中篩選出最具相對強度的標的，確保每次進場都是基於高潛力的技術分析。
English Description
Profit Hunter - RS Supernova is a relative strength (RS) filtering indicator specifically designed for the cryptocurrency market, inspired by the investment philosophies of Mark Minervini and William O'Neil. Through the concept of the "RS Supernova," this indicator helps traders focus on exceptionally strong assets within the market, enabling precise entry into high-potential opportunities.
Indicator Purpose
RS Rating: Based on Relative Strength (RS) analysis, the indicator compares the asset to the overall market (TOTAL index) to generate an RS Rating. When the RS rating exceeds 85, the asset is considered to have substantial upward momentum, marking it as a potential entry target.
High-Potential Screening: Utilizing a dynamic weighted calculation, this indicator filters out assets with relative strength, allowing traders to concentrate on those with breakout potential.
Real-Time Data Display: The RS Rating is displayed on the chart, providing clear data for quick assessment of asset strength and enabling real-time decision-making.
Profit Hunter - RS Supernova is designed for traders seeking to capture mainstream market trends, especially those following Minervini and O'Neil's theories. This indicator aids in identifying the strongest assets amidst market fluctuations, ensuring each entry is backed by high-potential technical analysis.
Real Relative Strength Indicator (Multi-Index Comparison)The Real Relative Strength (RRS) indicator implements the "Real Relative Strength" equation, as detailed on the Real Day Trading subreddit wiki. This equation measures whether a stock is outperforming a benchmark (such as SPY or any preferred ETF/index) by calculating price change normalized by the Average True Range (ATR) of both the stock and the indices it’s being compared to.
The RRS metric often highlights potential accumulation by institutional players. For example, in this chart, you can observe accumulation in McDonald’s beginning at 1:25 pm ET on the 5-minute chart and continuing until 2:55 pm ET. When used in conjunction with other indicators or technical analysis, RRS can provide valuable buy and sell signals.
This indicator also supports multi-index analysis, allowing you to plot relative strength against two indices simultaneously—defaulting to SPY and QQQ—to gain insights into the "real relative strength" across different benchmarks. Additionally, this indicator includes an EMA line and background coloring to help automatically identify relative strength trends, providing a clearer visualization than typical Relative Strength Comparison indicators.
Weekly RSI Buy/Sell SignalsWeekly RSI Buy/Sell Signal Indicator
This indicator is designed to help traders identify high-probability buy and sell opportunities on the weekly chart by using the Relative Strength Index (RSI). By utilizing weekly RSI values, this indicator ensures signals align with broader market trends, providing a clearer view of potential price reversals and continuation.
How It Works:
Weekly RSI Calculation: This script calculates the RSI using a 14-period setting, focusing on the weekly timeframe regardless of the user’s current chart view. The weekly RSI is derived using request.security, allowing for consistent signals even on intraday charts.
Signal Conditions:
Buy Signal: A buy signal appears when the RSI crosses above the oversold threshold of 30, suggesting that price may be gaining momentum after a potential bottom.
Sell Signal: A sell signal triggers when the RSI crosses below the overbought threshold of 70, indicating a possible momentum shift downwards.
Visual Cues:
Buy/Sell Markers: Clear green "BUY" and red "SELL" markers are displayed on the chart when buy or sell conditions are met, making it easy to identify entry and exit points.
RSI Line and Thresholds: The weekly RSI value is plotted in real time with color-coded horizontal lines at 30 (oversold) and 70 (overbought), providing a visual reference for key levels.
This indicator is ideal for traders looking for reliable, trend-based signals on higher timeframes and can be a helpful tool for filtering out shorter-term market noise.
Industry Group Strength - IndiaPresenting the Industry Group Strength Indicator for India market, designed to help traders identify top-performing stocks within specific industry groups that are predefined.
⦿ Identifies Leading Stocks in Industry Groups
⦿ Analyses the following metrics
YTD Return : Measures stock performance from the start of the year.
RS Rating : Relative Strength rating for user-selected periods.
% Return : Percentage return over a user-selected lookback period.
Features
This indicator dynamically recognises the industry group of the current stock on the chart and ranks stocks within that group based on predefined data points. Traders can add this indicator to focus on top-performing stocks relative to their industry.
⦿ Color-coded for Easy Visualisation
You can choose from the following key metrics to rank stocks:
YTD Return
RS Rating
% Return
⦿ Table Format with Performance Metrics Compact mode
Vertical View
Horizontal View
All of the three metrics are shown in the compact mode and the current stock that is viewed is highlighted!
Vertical view
Horizontal view
Stock Ranking
Stocks are ranked based on their performance within industry groups, enabling traders to easily spot leaders and laggards in each sector. Color-coded gradients visually represent the stocks’ performance rankings, with higher percentile rankings indicating better performance.
Relative Strength (RS)
Relative Strength (RS) compares a stock’s performance against the benchmark index. The RS value is normalized from 1 to 99, making it easier to compare across different stocks. A rising RS value indicates that the stock is outperforming the market, helping traders quickly gauge relative performance within industry groups.
Limitations
At the time of developing this indicator, Pine requests are limited to 40 per script so the predefined symbols had to be filtered to 40 per Industry group
Stocks Filters
Filters that are used to filter the stocks in an Industry group to have maximum of 40 stocks
⦿ Auto, Chemical, Engineering, Finance, Pharma
Market Cap >= 1000 Crores and Market Cap <= 60000 Crores
Price >= 30 and Price <= 6000
50 Days Average ( Price * Volume ) >= 6 Crores
⦿ For rest of the Industry groups
Market Cap >= 1000 Crores and Market Cap <= 100000 Crores
Price >= 20 and Price <= 10000
50 Days Average ( Price * Volume ) >= 3 Crores
Credits
This indicator is forked from the Script for US market by @Amphibiantrading Thanks Brandon for the beginning of this indicator.
This indicator is built on TradingView’s new dynamic requests feature, thanks to @PineCoders for making this possible!
OutperformX VCPSwingDesigned to measure and visualize the relative strength and outperformance of a stock compared to a benchmark. Here’s a feature-by-feature breakdown
Credits to Eeshan for all the help
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Alpha Calculation: What's it About?
The key component of this indicator is the Alpha calculation, which measures a stock's outperformance relative to a base index (e.g., Nifty Midsmall 400) while accounting for risk-free returns. By comparing the stock's performance with the base and risk-free rates, we get the Alpha.
The Alpha logic has been slightly modified, not strictly following the textbook approach
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Customizable Inputs: Tailored for You
You can choose whether to display Alpha.
Change the Base Index (e.g., NiftyMidsmall400).
Adjust the Performance Period (Days) for custom Alpha/Outperformance calculations.
Performance options range from 5 to 252 days, helping to fine-tune the outperformance tracking.
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Highlighting Performance Peaks: Short-Term & Long-Term
The indicator automatically highlights Short-Term Peak Performance over customizable short-term windows (e.g., 21 days).
It also detects Long-Term Performance Peaks, spanning up to 52 weeks. These peaks are represented as dots on the Alpha line.
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Color-Coded Alpha: Clear Visuals
To make the indicator visually intuitive:
Positive Alpha (outperformance) is marked in green.
Negative Alpha (underperformance) is shown in red. These are customizable so you can adjust colors to your preference!
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Outperformance Before Price Peaks
One cool feature is tracking whether Alpha outperforms before the price hits new highs. If Alpha breaks out but price lags, a “dot” is drawn, giving a heads-up on potential upcoming price moves.
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Background Color Highlighting
Background colors change dynamically based on performance:
Green for positive Alpha (outperformance).
Red for negative Alpha (underperformance). This gives a quick visual reference of the stock’s performance at a glance.
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Filling the Alpha Zone
The indicator fills the area between the Alpha line and zero. This shading helps highlight the magnitude of outperformance (or underperformance) and provides a quick visual cue about trends.
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Get Started
With all these features combined, the Outperformance indicator becomes a powerful tool for spotting leading stocks, tracking risk-adjusted performance, and identifying performance peaks before price catches up.
Relative Strength Price Oscillator Indicator (RS PPO)Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO)
The Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO) is a momentum oscillator that measures the difference between two moving averages as a percentage of the larger moving average. As with its cousin, MACD, the Percentage Price Oscillator is shown with a signal line, a histogram and a centerline. Signals are generated with signal line crossovers, centerline crossovers, and divergences.
PPO readings are not subject to the price level of the security and the PPO values for different securities can be compared, regardless of the price of the security.
Relative Strength (RS)
Relative strength is a strategy used in momentum investing and focuses on investing in stocks or other securities that have performed well relative to the market as a whole or to a relevant benchmark.
Chart
In the chart, Microsoft stock (MSFT) is plotted against the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH).
In the example on the left, from the negative values of the RS PPO it can be seen that MSFT, although trending upward, is losing out in negative terms to the SMH etf.
In the example on the right, during a correction phase with a downward price trend, Microsoft held up relatively well compared to the Van Eck Semiconductor etf.
Smart Momentum Relative StrengthSmart Momentum Relative Strength
Creator Journey
The Smart Momentum Relative Strength indicator is
created by Vishal R. Janjire , inspired by BharatTrader sir, and parameters guided by mentor stockedge founder Vivek Bajaj sir.
Reason? ...Why choose Smart Momentum Relative Strength.
1.Simple to Trade: This indicator simplifies trading decisions. You just need to follow the background color displayed on the chart. When the background is green, it signals a bullish trend, and when it turns red, it signals a bearish trend. For an even cleaner experience, you can untick the Relative Strength (RS) toggle in the indicator settings and focus purely on trading based on these background colors, making the process straightforward and efficient.
2.Unlock the power to compare any stock, share, commodity, forex or cryptocurrency against major indices like Nasdaq Composite, NYSE Composite, Bitcoin, NG, Gold, Silver, Crude oil, Nasdaq-100, Nifty 50, Hang Seng Index, FTSE 100, and many more! With the Comparative Relative Strength (RS) indicator,
You can easily change the default Nifty 50 comparative symbol to any index or asset of your choice, such as Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, or global benchmarks like the Dow Jones Industrial Average, DAX, Euronext 100, and SSE Composite.
This versatile tool allows traders to measure how well a base symbol (e.g., stock or crypto) performs relative to a chosen benchmark over a specified period. Whether you're analyzing the relative strength of Bitcoin against the Nasdaq-100 or comparing stocks to the S&P 500, this indicator provides valuable insights into market trends and outperforming assets.
The Smart Momentum Relative Strength combines several advanced technical analysis tools into one comprehensive Pine Script indicator designed to provide a nuanced view of market strength and trends. This script integrates Relative Strength (RS), Commodity Channel Index (CCI), and additional trend confirmation mechanisms to deliver actionable insights for traders.
Below are key points to understand before using this indicator:
Important Parameters:
1. Green Line: Represents stocks outperforming the comparative index, which is Nifty 50. However, do not apply this result directly to Nifty 50 itself, as it will not work exclusively on the Nifty 50 index.
2. Red Line: Indicates that the stock is underperforming relative to the Nifty 50 index.
3. Green Background: Signifies that both the current time momentum and higher time momentum are aligned, indicating an upward trend.
4. Red Background: Signifies that both the current time momentum and higher time momentum are aligned, indicating a downward trend.
5. Blank Space: This occurs when the two timeframes are not aligned, indicating market uncertainty and signaling a potential change in market direction, it means short time frame or current time frame changed its direction to opposite side.
Multi-Time Frame (MTF) Settings:
This indicator incorporates a default multi-time frame setup, as follows:
1 and 2 Minute chart = 5 Minute higher time frame
3 Minute chart = 15 Minute higher time frame
5 Minute chart = 15 Minute higher time frame
10 Minute chart = 60 Minute higher time frame
15 Minute chart = 60 Minute higher time frame
20 and 30 Minute chart = 120 Minute higher time frame
1 Hour chart = 4 Hour higher time frame
2 Hour chart = 4 Hour higher time frame
4 Hour chart = 1 Day higher time frame
1 Day chart = 1 Week higher time frame
1 Week chart = 1 Month higher time frame
1 Month chart = 12 Month higher time frame
For any other chart time frame = Day time is default time frame
1. Relative Strength (RS) Analysis:
Calculation: Measures the performance of the base symbol relative to a comparative symbol over a specified period.
Visualization: The RS value is plotted with color-coded lines to indicate bullish (green) or bearish (red) conditions based on crossovers. Users can customize the color based on value or trend direction.
Trend Analysis: A simple moving average (SMA) of RS is displayed to visualize trend strength and direction, with color changes to reflect rising or falling trends.
2. Commodity Channel Index (CCI):
- Current Timeframe CCI: Calculates the CCI for the current timeframe to assess price momentum.
- Higher Timeframe CCI: Computes the CCI for a higher timeframe to provide a broader market perspective.
- Background Color: Highlights the chart background in green or red based on whether both current and higher timeframe CCIs are above or below zero, respectively.
-Blank Space: This occurs when the two timeframes are not aligned, indicating market uncertainty and signaling a potential change in market direction, it means short time frame or current time frame changed its direction to opposite side.
The Adaptive Pairwise Momentum System [QuantraSystems]The Adaptive Pairwise Momentum System
QuantraSystems guarantees that the information created and published within this document and on the Tradingview platform is fully compliant with applicable regulations, does not constitute investment advice, and is not exclusively intended for qualified investors.
Important Note!
The system equity curve presented here has been generated as part of the process of testing and verifying the methodology behind this script.
Crucially, it was developed after the system was conceptualized, designed, and created, which helps to mitigate the risk of overfitting to historical data. In other words, the system was built for robustness, not for simply optimizing past performance.
This ensures that the system is less likely to degrade in performance over time, compared to hyper-optimized systems that are tailored to past data. No tweaks or optimizations were made to this system post-backtest.
Even More Important Note!!
The nature of markets is that they change quickly and unpredictably. Past performance does not guarantee future results - this is a fundamental rule in trading and investing.
While this system is designed with broad, flexible conditions to adapt quickly to a range of market environments, it is essential to understand that no assumptions should be made about future returns based on historical data. Markets are inherently uncertain, and this system - like all trading systems - cannot predict future outcomes.
Introduction
The Adaptive Pairwise Momentum System is not just an indicator but a comprehensive asset rotation and trend-following system. In short, it aims to find the highest performing asset from the provided range.
The system dynamically optimizes capital allocation across up to four high-performing assets, ensuring that the portfolio adapts swiftly to changing market conditions. The system logic consists of sophisticated quantitative methods, rapid momentum analysis, and robust trend filtering. The overarching goal is to ensure that the portfolio is always invested in the highest-performing asset based on dynamic market conditions, while at the same time managing risk through broader market filters and internal mechanisms like volatility and beta analysis.
Legend
System Equity Curve:
The equity curve displayed in the chart is dynamically colored based on the asset allocation at any given time. This color-coded approach allows traders to immediately identify transitions between assets and the corresponding impact on portfolio performance.
Highlighting of Current Highest Performer:
The current bar in the chart is highlighted based on the confirmed highest performing asset. This is designed to give traders advanced notice of potential shifts in allocation even before a formal position change occurs. The highlighting enables traders to prepare in real time, making it easier to manage positions without lag, particularly in fast-moving markets.
Highlighted Symbols in the Asset Table:
In the table displayed on the right hand side of the screen, the current top-performing symbol is highlighted. This clear signal at a glance provides immediate insight into which asset is currently being favored by the system. This feature enhances clarity and helps traders make informed decisions quickly, without needing to analyze the underlying data manually.
Performance Overview in Tables:
The left table provides insight into both daily and overall system performance from inception, offering traders a detailed view of short-term fluctuations and long-term growth. The right-hand table breaks down essential metrics such as Sharpe ratio, Sortino ratio, Omega ratio, and maximum drawdown for each asset, as well as for the overall system and HODL strategy.
Asset-Specific Signals:
The signals column in the table indicates whether an asset is currently held or being considered for holding based on the system's dynamic rankings. This is a critical visual aid for asset reallocation decisions, signaling when it may be appropriate to either maintain or change the asset of the portfolio.
Core Features and Methodologies
Flexibility in Asset Selection
One of the major advantages of this system is its flexibility. Users can easily modify the number and type of assets included for comparison. You can quickly input different assets and backtest their performance, allowing you to verify how well this system might fit different tokens or market conditions. This flexibility empowers users to adapt the system to a wide range of market environments and tailor it to their unique preferences.
Whole System Risk Mitigation - Macro Trend Filter
One of the features of this script is its integration of a Macro-level Trend Filter for the entire portfolio. The purpose of this filter is to ensure no capital is allocated to any token in the rotation system unless Bitcoin itself is in a positive trend. The logic here is that Bitcoin, as the cryptocurrency market leader, often sets the tone for the entire cryptocurrency market. By using Bitcoins trend direction as a barometer for overall market conditions, we create a system where capital is not allocated during unfavorable or bearish market conditions - significantly reducing exposure to downside risk.
Users have the ability to toggle this filter on and off in the input menu, with five customizable options for the trend filter, including the option to use no filter. These options are:
Nova QSM - a trend aggregate combining the Rolling VWAP, Wave Pendulum Trend, KRO Overlay, and the Pulse Profiler provides the market trend signal confirmation.
Kilonova QSM - a versatile aggregate combining the Rolling VWAP, KRO Overlay, the KRO Base, RSI Volatility Bands, NNTRSI, Regression Smoothed RSI and the RoC Suite.
Quasar QSM - an enhanced version of the original RSI Pulsar. The Quasar QSM refines the trend following approach by utilizing an aggregated methodology.
Pairwise Momentum and Strength Ranking
The backbone of this system is its ability to identify the strongest-performing asset in the selected pool, ensuring that the portfolio is always exposed to the asset showing the highest relative momentum. The system continually ranks these assets against each other and determines the highest performer by measure of past and coincident outperformance. This process occurs rapidly, allowing for swift responses to shifts in market momentum, which ensures capital is always working in the most efficient manner. The speed and precision of this reallocation strategy make the script particularly well-suited for active, momentum-driven portfolios.
Beta-Adjusted Asset Selection as a Tiebreaker
In the circumstance where two (or more) assets exhibit the same relative momentum score, the system introduces another layer of analysis. In the event of a strength ‘tie’ the system will preference maintaining the current position - that is, if the previously strongest asset is now tied, the system will still allocate to the same asset. If this is not the case, the asset with the higher beta is selected. Beta is a measure of an asset’s volatility relative to Bitcoin (BTC).
This ensures that in bullish conditions, the system favors assets with a higher potential for outsized gains due to their inherent volatility. Beta is calculated based on the Average Daily Return of each asset compared to BTC. By doing this, the system ensures that it is dynamically adjusting to risk and reward, allocating to assets with higher risk in favorable conditions and lower risk in less favorable conditions.
Dynamic Asset Reallocation - Opposed to Multi-Asset Fixed Intervals
One of the standout features of this system is its ability to dynamically reallocate capital. Unlike traditional portfolio allocation strategies that may rebalance between a basket of assets monthly or quarterly, this system recalculates and reallocates capital on the next bar close (if required). As soon as a new asset exhibits superior performance relative to others, the system immediately adjusts, closing the previous position and reallocating funds to the top-ranked asset.
This approach is particularly powerful in volatile markets like cryptocurrencies, where trends can shift quickly. By reallocating swiftly, the system maximizes exposure to high-performing assets while minimizing time spent in underperforming ones. Moreover, this process is entirely automated, freeing the trader from manually tracking and measuring individual token strength.
Our research has demonstrated that, from a risk-adjusted return perspective, concentration into the top-performing asset consistently outperforms broad diversification across longer time horizons. By focusing capital on the highest-performing asset, the system captures outsized returns that are not achievable through traditional diversification. However, a more risk-averse investor, or one seeking to reduce drawdowns, may prefer to move the portfolio further left along the theoretical Capital Allocation Line by incorporating a blend of cash, treasury bonds, or other yield-generating assets or even include market neutral strategies alongside the rotation system. This hybrid approach would effectively lower the overall volatility of the portfolio while still maintaining exposure to the system’s outsized returns. In theory, such an investor can reduce risk without sacrificing too much potential upside, creating a more balanced risk-return profile.
Position Changes and Fees/Slippage
Another critical and often overlooked element of this system is its ability to account for fees and slippage. Given the increased speed and frequency of allocation logic compared to the buy-and-hold strategy, it is of vital importance that the system recognises that switching between assets may incur slippage, especially in highly volatile markets. To account for this, the system integrates realistic slippage and fee estimates directly into the equity curve, simulating expected execution costs under typical market conditions and gives users a more realistic view of expected performance.
Number of Position Changes
Understanding the number of position changes in a strategy is critical to assessing its feasibility in real world trading. Frequent position changes can lead to increased costs due to slippage and fees. Monitoring the number of position changes provides insight into the system’s behavior - helping to evaluate how active the strategy is and whether it aligns with the trader's desired time input for position management.
Equity Curve and Performance Calculations
To provide a benchmark, the script also generates a Buy-and-Hold (or "HODL") equity curve that represents an equal split across the four selected assets. This allows users to easily compare the performance of the dynamic rotation system with that of a more traditional investment strategy.
The script tracks key performance metrics for both the dynamic portfolio and the HODL strategy, including:
Sharpe Ratio
The Sharpe Ratio is a key metric that evaluates a portfolio’s risk-adjusted return by comparing its ‘excess’ return to its volatility. Traditionally, the Sharpe Ratio measures returns relative to a risk-free rate. However, in our system’s calculation, we omit the risk-free rate and instead measure returns above a benchmark of 0%. This adjustment provides a more universal comparison, especially in the context of highly volatile assets like cryptocurrencies, where a traditional risk-free benchmark, such as the usual 3-month T-bills, is often irrelevant or too distant from the realities of the crypto market.
By using 0% as the baseline, we focus purely on the strategy's ability to generate raw returns in the face of market risk, which makes it easier to compare performance across different strategies or asset classes. In an environment like cryptocurrency, where volatility can be extreme, the importance of relative return against a highly volatile backdrop outweighs comparisons to a risk-free rate that bears little resemblance to the risk profile of digital assets.
Sortino Ratio
The Sortino Ratio improves upon the Sharpe Ratio by specifically targeting downside risk and leaves the upside potential untouched. In contrast to the Sharpe Ratio (which penalizes both upside and downside volatility), the Sortino Ratio focuses only on negative return deviations. This makes it a more suitable metric for evaluating strategies like the Adaptive Pairwise Momentum Strategy - that aim to minimize drawdowns without restricting upside capture. By measuring returns relative to a 0% baseline, the Sortino ratio provides a clearer assessment of how well the system generates gains while avoiding substantial losses in highly volatile markets like crypto.
Omega Ratio
The Omega Ratio is calculated as the ratio of gains to losses across all return thresholds, providing a more complete view of how the system balances upside and downside risk even compared to the Sortino Ratio. While it achieves a similar outcome to the Sortino Ratio by emphasizing the system's ability to capture gains while limiting losses, it is technically a mathematically superior method. However, we include both the Omega and Sortino ratios in our metric table, as the Sortino Ratio remains more widely recognized and commonly understood by traders and investors of all levels.
Case Study
Notes
For the sake of brevity, the Important Notes section found in the header of this text will not be rewritten. Instead, it will be highlighted that now is the perfect time to reread these notes. Reading this case study in the context of what has been mentioned above is of key importance.
As a second note, it is worth mentioning that certain market periods are referred to as either “Bull” or “Bear” markets - terms I personally find to be vague and undefinable - and therefore unfavorable. They will be used nevertheless, due to their familiarity and ease of understanding in this context. Substitute phrases could be “Macro Uptrend” or “Macro Downtrend.”
Overview
This case study provides an in-depth performance analysis of the Adaptive Pairwise Momentum System , a long-only system that dynamically allocates to outperforming assets and moves into cash during unfavorable conditions.
This backtest includes realistic assumptions for slippage and fees, applying a 0.5% cost for every position change, which includes both asset reallocation and moving to a cash position. Additionally, the system was tested using the top four cryptocurrencies by market capitalization as of the test start date of 01/01/2022 in order to minimize selection bias.
The top tokens on this date (excluding Stablecoins) were:
Bitcoin
Ethereum
Solana
BNB
This decision was made in order to avoid cherry picking assets that might have exhibited exceptional historical performance - minimizing skew in the back test. Furthermore, although this backtest focuses on these specific assets, the system is built to be flexible and adaptable, capable of being applied to a wide range of assets beyond those initially tested.
Any potential lookahead bias or repainting in the calculations has been addressed by implementing the lookback modifier for all repainting sensitive data, including asset ratios, asset scoring, and beta values. This ensures that no future information is inadvertently used in the asset allocation process.
Additionally, a fixed lookback period of one bar is used for the trend filter during allocations - meaning that the trend filter from the prior bar must be positive for an allocation to occur on the current bar. It is also important to note that all the data displayed by the indicator is based on the last confirmed (closed) bar, ensuring that the entire system is repaint-proof.
The study spans the 2022 cryptocurrency bear market through the subsequent bull market of 2023 and 2024. The stress test highlights how the system reacted to one of the most challenging market downturns in crypto history - which includes events such as:
Luna and TerraUSD crash
Three Arrows Capital liquidation
Celsius bankruptcy
Voyager Digital bankruptcy
FTX collapse
Silicon Valley + Signature + Silvergate banking collapses
Subsequent USDC deppegging
And arguably more important, 2022 was characterized by a tightening of monetary policy after the unprecedented monetary easing in response to the Covid pandemic of 2020/2021. This shift undeniably puts downward pressure on asset prices, most probably to the extent that this had a causal role to many of the above events.
By incorporating these real-world challenges, the backtest provides a more accurate and robust performance evaluation that avoids overfitting or excessive optimization for one specific market condition.
The Bear Market of 2022: Stress Test and System Resilience
During the 2022 bear market, where the overall crypto market experienced deep and consistent corrections, the Adaptive Pairwise Momentum System demonstrated its ability to mitigate downside risk effectively.
Dynamic Allocation and Cash Exposure:
The system rotated in and out of cash, as indicated by the gray period on the system equity curve. This allocation to cash during downtrending periods, specifically in late 2022, acted as the systems ‘risk-off’ exposure - the purest form of such an exposure. This prevented the system from experiencing the magnitude of drawdown suffered by the ‘Buy-and-Hold (HODL) investors.
In contrast, a passive HODL strategy would have suffered a staggering 75.32% drawdown, as it remained fully allocated to chosen assets during the market's decline. The active Pairwise Momentum system’s smaller drawdown of 54.35% demonstrates its more effective capital preservation mechanisms.
The Bull Market of 2023 and 2024: Capturing Market Upside
Following the crypto bear market, the system effectively capitalized on the recovery and subsequent bull market of 2023 and 2024.
Maximizing Market Gains:
As trends began turning bullish in early 2023, the system caught the momentum and promptly allocated capital to only the quantified highest performing asset of the time - resulting in a parabolic rise in the system's equity curve. Notably, the curve transitions from gray to purple during this period, indicating that Solana (SOL) was the top-performing asset selected by the system.
This allocation to Solana is particularly striking because, at the time, it was an asset many in the market shunned due to its association with the FTX collapse just months prior. However, this highlights a key advantage of quantitative systems like the one presented here: decisions are driven purely from objective data - free from emotional or subjective biases. Unlike human traders, who are inclined (whether consciously or subconsciously) to avoid assets that are ‘out of favor,’ this system focuses purely on price performance, often uncovering opportunities that are overlooked by discretionary based investors. This ability to make data-driven decisions ensures that the strategy is always positioned to capture the best risk-adjusted returns, even in scenarios where judgment might fail.
Minimizing Volatility and Drawdown in Uptrends
While the system captured substantial returns during the bull market it also did so with lower volatility compared to HODL. The sharpe ratio of 4.05 (versus HODL’s 3.31) reflects the system's superior risk-adjusted performance. The allocation shifts, combined with tactical periods of cash holding during minor corrections, ensured a smoother equity curve growth compared to the buy-and-hold approach.
Final Summary
The percentage returns are mentioned last for a reason - it is important to emphasize that risk-adjusted performance is paramount. In this backtest, the Pairwise Momentum system consistently outperforms due to its ability to dynamically manage risk (as seen in the superior Sharpe, Sortino and Omega ratios). With a smaller drawdown of 54.35% compared to HODL’s 75.32%, the system demonstrates its resilience during market downturns, while also capturing the highest beta on the upside during bullish phases.
The system delivered 266.26% return since the backtest start date of January 1st 2022, compared to HODL’s 10.24%, resulting in a performance delta of 256.02%
While this backtest goes some of the way to verifying the system’s feasibility, it’s important to note that past performance is not indicative of future results - especially in volatile and evolving markets like cryptocurrencies. Market behavior can shift, and in particular, if the market experiences prolonged sideways action, trend following systems such as the Adaptive Pairwise Momentum Strategy WILL face significant challenges.
Stock vs Custom Symbol OutperformanceStock vs Custom Symbol Outperformance" is a powerful technical analysis indicator designed to help traders and investors gauge the relative performance of a stock against a selected benchmark symbol. This tool enables users to easily visualize how a stock is performing in comparison to another asset, such as an index or another stock.
Key Features:
Custom Symbol Comparison: Input any symbol to compare against the stock of interest, allowing for flexible analysis tailored to specific market conditions.
Outperformance Calculation: The indicator calculates the percentage change in price for both the stock and the selected benchmark, providing a clear view of relative performance.
Moving Average Smoothing: A customizable moving average smooths the outperformance data, helping to identify trends and reduce noise in the signals.
Threshold Lines: Set upper and lower threshold lines to visualize significant levels of outperformance or underperformance, aiding in decision-making.
Dynamic Color Coding: The outperformance bars are color-coded—green indicates that the stock is outperforming the benchmark, while red indicates underperformance.
How to Use:
Select a Benchmark: Use the input field to choose the symbol against which you want to compare the stock.
Adjust Parameters: Modify the moving average length and set your desired thresholds for easier identification of performance metrics.
Interpret Results: Analyze the plot for insights into the stock's performance relative to the benchmark, with the moving average providing additional context for trends.
This indicator is ideal for traders looking to refine their strategies by understanding how individual stocks measure up against key benchmarks in the market.
