Trend Prediction Meter [PointAlgo]The Trend Prediction Meter & Levels is a composite market-bias and volatility visualization tool designed to summarize trend strength, momentum, price positioning, and volatility into a single normalized score.
It provides a structured framework to interpret directional bias and probable price expansion zones during active market conditions.
Concept Overview
Markets often reflect multiple conditions simultaneously—trend direction, momentum strength, price location within a range, and volatility.
This indicator combines these elements into a unified Bullish Score (0–100), displayed as a meter and supported by projected ATR-based levels.
Rather than focusing on a single signal, the script aims to present context about current market conditions.
Bullish Score Composition (0–100)
The meter represents a weighted blend of multiple market factors:
1. Trend Strength (EMA Structure)
Uses a fast and slow EMA to assess directional bias.
The distance between EMAs is normalized into a trend strength score.
Strong separation indicates directional conviction; compression suggests balance.
2. Momentum Strength (RSI Blend)
Combines a short-term and mid-term RSI.
Helps capture both immediate momentum and broader directional stability.
Higher readings indicate sustained bullish pressure, lower readings indicate bearish pressure.
3. Position Within Recent Range
Measures where price is trading relative to its recent high–low range.
Values near the top of the range reflect strength; values near the bottom reflect weakness.
Mid-range positioning indicates equilibrium.
4. Volume Participation
Compares current volume against its recent average.
Acts as a minor confidence modifier rather than a primary driver.
Each component is normalized and combined using fixed weights to produce a final Bullish Score between 0 and 100.
Bias Classification
The Bullish Score is translated into descriptive market states:
Extreme Bullish
Very Bullish
Bullish
Neutral
Bearish
Very Bearish
These labels describe current bias, not future certainty.
Meter Visualization
The meter plot dynamically changes color based on the score range.
A dashed midline at 50 represents balance.
Background shading highlights strong bullish or bearish dominance zones.
Crossovers of the 50-level indicate shifts in directional control.
ATR-Based Projection Levels:
To provide volatility context, the indicator calculates ATR-based upside and downside reference levels:
Two potential expansion levels (TP1 and TP2) are projected above and below price.
The distance of these levels adapts based on current bias strength.
These levels are contextual reference zones, not fixed targets.
Prediction Dashboard
An optional side table summarizes key readings at the most recent bar:
Symbol
Current bias label
Bullish Score
Current price
ATR value
Upside and downside projection levels
Directional comment (Upside favoured / Downside favoured / Balanced)
This dashboard is designed to provide a quick structural overview without requiring manual calculation.
Signals & Alerts
Built-in alerts are available for:
Bullish bias conditions
Bearish bias conditions
Bullish Score crossing above 50
Bullish Score crossing below 50
Alerts are informational and reflect internal state changes only.
Customization:
Users can adjust:
RSI lengths
EMA lengths
Range lookback period
ATR parameters
Display options for the meter and dashboard
This allows adaptation across different instruments and timeframes.
Usage Notes
Best suited for analytical interpretation rather than standalone decision-making.
Designed to complement price action, structure, or other indicators.
Works across multiple markets where volume and volatility data are available.
Disclaimer :
This indicator is intended for educational and analytical purposes only.
It does not provide investment, trading, or financial advice.
All signals and levels should be validated with independent analysis and appropriate risk management.
Search in scripts for "bias"
Advanced Confluence DashboardAdvanced Confluence Dashboard - Multi-Indicator Technical Analysis Tool
OVERVIEW
The Advanced Confluence Dashboard is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to help traders identify high-probability trade setups by tracking multiple technical indicators simultaneously. The indicator displays up to 13 different technical confluences in an easy-to-read dashboard format, providing both individual signals and an overall market bias percentage. Switch between full table view and condensed view for maximum chart flexibility.
FEATURES
- 13 Technical Confluences: RSI, VWAP, EMA Cross (9/21), MACD, Stochastic, Trend (50 EMA), Bollinger Bands, ADX Strength, Price Momentum, Volume Breakout, VWAP Bands, 200 EMA, and Price Action (Higher Highs/Lower Lows)
- Real-time Confluence Scoring: Automatically calculates bullish vs bearish signal strength
- Multi-Timeframe Support: Analyze indicators on any timeframe while viewing your chart on another
- Customizable Display: Toggle individual indicators on/off, adjust table position, size, and transparency
- ATR Information: Optional ATR display for volatility-based position sizing
- Condensed View Mode: Ultra-minimal display showing only confluence score and ATR (perfect for scalpers who want maximum chart visibility)
- Full Table View: Detailed breakdown of each indicator's value and signal
- Color-Coded Signals: Green (bullish), red (bearish), white (neutral) for instant visual clarity
HOW IT WORKS
The indicator evaluates each enabled technical indicator and assigns it either a bullish or bearish signal based on its current state. The confluence score shows how many indicators are aligned in each direction, giving you a clear percentage-based view of market bias. For example, if 8 out of 13 indicators are bullish, you'll see a 62% LONG BIAS signal.
DISPLAY MODES
Full View: Shows all enabled indicators with their current values and signals in a detailed table format. Perfect for understanding exactly which indicators are bullish or bearish and why.
Condensed View: Shows only the confluence score (e.g., "4/13 LONG | 9/13 SHORT - SHORT BIAS 69%") and optional ATR information. This minimal display keeps your chart clean while still providing the essential confluence data you need for quick trading decisions. Ideal for scalpers and traders who want maximum chart space.
CONFLUENCES EXPLAINED
- RSI: Momentum oscillator (>50 bullish, <50 bearish, shows overbought/oversold)
- VWAP: Volume-weighted average price (above = bullish, below = bearish)
- EMA Cross: Fast EMA (9) vs Slow EMA (21) with price position
- MACD: Trend-following momentum (line above signal = bullish)
- Stochastic: Momentum oscillator (>50 bullish, <50 bearish)
- Trend (50 EMA): Price position relative to 50-period EMA
- Bollinger Bands: Volatility and mean reversion (above middle = bullish)
- ADX Strength: Trend strength indicator (shows strong trends)
- Price Momentum: Rate of price change over specified period
- Volume Breakout: Detects unusual volume with directional bias
- VWAP Bands: Standard deviation bands around VWAP
- 200 EMA: Long-term trend indicator
- Price Action: Higher Highs and Lower Lows pattern detection
SETTINGS
Timeframe Settings:
- Indicator Timeframe: Analyze indicators on a different timeframe than your chart
Display Options:
- Condensed View: Toggle between full table and minimal display
- Show ATR Info: Display/hide ATR information
- Table Position: 9 positions (top/middle/bottom + left/center/right)
- Text Size: Auto, tiny, small, normal, large, huge
- Table Transparency: 0-100%
- Border Width: 1-5 pixels
Confluence Toggles:
- Enable/disable any of the 13 confluences individually
- Confluence score automatically adjusts based on enabled indicators
Indicator Settings:
- RSI Length (default: 14)
- ATR Length (default: 14)
- Fast/Slow EMA (default: 9/21)
- Trend EMA (default: 50)
- Volume SMA Length (default: 20)
- Volume Breakout Multiplier (default: 2.0x)
- Bollinger Bands Length/StdDev (default: 20/2.0)
- ADX Length (default: 14)
- ADX Strength Threshold (default: 25)
- Momentum Length (default: 10)
IDEAL USE CASES
- Scalping: Quick identification of confluence for fast entries/exits - use condensed view for clean charts
- Day Trading: Multi-timeframe analysis for intraday setups
- Swing Trading: Confirmation of longer-term bias
- Risk Management: Higher confluence = higher probability trades
- Trade Filtering: Only take trades when confluence reaches your threshold
- Multi-Monitor Setups: Use condensed view on execution charts, full view on analysis charts
HOW TO USE
1. Add the indicator to your chart
2. Toggle on/off the confluences you prefer to use
3. Choose between Full View (detailed) or Condensed View (minimal)
4. Adjust the table position and size to your preference
5. Look for high confluence percentages (70%+ is strong bias)
6. Use the individual indicator signals (full view) to understand market structure
7. Combine with your trading strategy for entry/exit confirmation
TIPS
- Use Condensed View when scalping to keep your chart clean and uncluttered
- Switch to Full View when you need to analyze which specific indicators are conflicting
- Higher confluence doesn't guarantee success - always use proper risk management
- Consider using 60%+ confluence as a minimum threshold for trades
- Pay attention to which specific indicators are aligned vs conflicting
- Use the ATR display for quick reference on position sizing
- Experiment with different timeframes to find what works for your style
- Disable indicators you don't use to simplify your confluence scoring
DISCLAIMER
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, trading advice, or any other type of advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Adaptive Genesis Engine [AGE]ADAPTIVE GENESIS ENGINE (AGE)
Pure Signal Evolution Through Genetic Algorithms
Where Darwin Meets Technical Analysis
🧬 WHAT YOU'RE GETTING - THE PURE INDICATOR
This is a technical analysis indicator - it generates signals, visualizes probability, and shows you the evolutionary process in real-time. This is NOT a strategy with automatic execution - it's a sophisticated signal generation system that you control .
What This Indicator Does:
Generates Long/Short entry signals with probability scores (35-88% range)
Evolves a population of up to 12 competing strategies using genetic algorithms
Validates strategies through walk-forward optimization (train/test cycles)
Visualizes signal quality through premium gradient clouds and confidence halos
Displays comprehensive metrics via enhanced dashboard
Provides alerts for entries and exits
Works on any timeframe, any instrument, any broker
What This Indicator Does NOT Do:
Execute trades automatically
Manage positions or calculate position sizes
Place orders on your behalf
Make trading decisions for you
This is pure signal intelligence. AGE tells you when and how confident it is. You decide whether and how much to trade.
🔬 THE SCIENCE: GENETIC ALGORITHMS MEET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
What Makes This Different - The Evolutionary Foundation
Most indicators are static - they use the same parameters forever, regardless of market conditions. AGE is alive . It maintains a population of competing strategies that evolve, adapt, and improve through natural selection principles:
Birth: New strategies spawn through crossover breeding (combining DNA from fit parents) plus random mutation for exploration
Life: Each strategy trades virtually via shadow portfolios, accumulating wins/losses, tracking drawdown, and building performance history
Selection: Strategies are ranked by comprehensive fitness scoring (win rate, expectancy, drawdown control, signal efficiency)
Death: Weak strategies are culled periodically, with elite performers (top 2 by default) protected from removal
Evolution: The gene pool continuously improves as successful traits propagate and unsuccessful ones die out
This is not curve-fitting. Each new strategy must prove itself on out-of-sample data through walk-forward validation before being trusted for live signals.
🧪 THE DNA: WHAT EVOLVES
Every strategy carries a 10-gene chromosome controlling how it interprets market data:
Signal Sensitivity Genes
Entropy Sensitivity (0.5-2.0): Weight given to market order/disorder calculations. Low values = conservative, require strong directional clarity. High values = aggressive, act on weaker order signals.
Momentum Sensitivity (0.5-2.0): Weight given to RSI/ROC/MACD composite. Controls responsiveness to momentum shifts vs. mean-reversion setups.
Structure Sensitivity (0.5-2.0): Weight given to support/resistance positioning. Determines how much price location within swing range matters.
Probability Adjustment Genes
Probability Boost (-0.10 to +0.10): Inherent bias toward aggressive (+) or conservative (-) entries. Acts as personality trait - some strategies naturally optimistic, others pessimistic.
Trend Strength Requirement (0.3-0.8): Minimum trend conviction needed before signaling. Higher values = only trades strong trends, lower values = acts in weak/sideways markets.
Volume Filter (0.5-1.5): Strictness of volume confirmation. Higher values = requires strong volume, lower values = volume less important.
Risk Management Genes
ATR Multiplier (1.5-4.0): Base volatility scaling for all price levels. Controls whether strategy uses tight or wide stops/targets relative to ATR.
Stop Multiplier (1.0-2.5): Stop loss tightness. Lower values = aggressive profit protection, higher values = more breathing room.
Target Multiplier (1.5-4.0): Profit target ambition. Lower values = quick scalping exits, higher values = swing trading holds.
Adaptation Gene
Regime Adaptation (0.0-1.0): How much strategy adjusts behavior based on detected market regime (trending/volatile/choppy). Higher values = more reactive to regime changes.
The Magic: AGE doesn't just try random combinations. Through tournament selection and fitness-weighted crossover, successful gene combinations spread through the population while unsuccessful ones fade away. Over 50-100 bars, you'll see the population converge toward genes that work for YOUR instrument and timeframe.
📊 THE SIGNAL ENGINE: THREE-LAYER SYNTHESIS
Before any strategy generates a signal, AGE calculates probability through multi-indicator confluence:
Layer 1 - Market Entropy (Information Theory)
Measures whether price movements exhibit directional order or random walk characteristics:
The Math:
Shannon Entropy = -Σ(p × log(p))
Market Order = 1 - (Entropy / 0.693)
What It Means:
High entropy = choppy, random market → low confidence signals
Low entropy = directional market → high confidence signals
Direction determined by up-move vs down-move dominance over lookback period (default: 20 bars)
Signal Output: -1.0 to +1.0 (bearish order to bullish order)
Layer 2 - Momentum Synthesis
Combines three momentum indicators into single composite score:
Components:
RSI (40% weight): Normalized to -1/+1 scale using (RSI-50)/50
Rate of Change (30% weight): Percentage change over lookback (default: 14 bars), clamped to ±1
MACD Histogram (30% weight): Fast(12) - Slow(26), normalized by ATR
Why This Matters: RSI catches mean-reversion opportunities, ROC catches raw momentum, MACD catches momentum divergence. Weighting favors RSI for reliability while keeping other perspectives.
Signal Output: -1.0 to +1.0 (strong bearish to strong bullish)
Layer 3 - Structure Analysis
Evaluates price position within swing range (default: 50-bar lookback):
Position Classification:
Bottom 20% of range = Support Zone → bullish bounce potential
Top 20% of range = Resistance Zone → bearish rejection potential
Middle 60% = Neutral Zone → breakout/breakdown monitoring
Signal Logic:
At support + bullish candle = +0.7 (strong buy setup)
At resistance + bearish candle = -0.7 (strong sell setup)
Breaking above range highs = +0.5 (breakout confirmation)
Breaking below range lows = -0.5 (breakdown confirmation)
Consolidation within range = ±0.3 (weak directional bias)
Signal Output: -1.0 to +1.0 (bearish structure to bullish structure)
Confluence Voting System
Each layer casts a vote (Long/Short/Neutral). The system requires minimum 2-of-3 agreement (configurable 1-3) before generating a signal:
Examples:
Entropy: Bullish, Momentum: Bullish, Structure: Neutral → Signal generated (2 long votes)
Entropy: Bearish, Momentum: Neutral, Structure: Neutral → No signal (only 1 short vote)
All three bullish → Signal generated with +5% probability bonus
This is the key to quality. Single indicators give too many false signals. Triple confirmation dramatically improves accuracy.
📈 PROBABILITY CALCULATION: HOW CONFIDENCE IS MEASURED
Base Probability:
Raw_Prob = 50% + (Average_Signal_Strength × 25%)
Then AGE applies strategic adjustments:
Trend Alignment:
Signal with trend: +4%
Signal against strong trend: -8%
Weak/no trend: no adjustment
Regime Adaptation:
Trending market (efficiency >50%, moderate vol): +3%
Volatile market (vol ratio >1.5x): -5%
Choppy market (low efficiency): -2%
Volume Confirmation:
Volume > 70% of 20-bar SMA: no change
Volume below threshold: -3%
Volatility State (DVS Ratio):
High vol (>1.8x baseline): -4% (reduce confidence in chaos)
Low vol (<0.7x baseline): -2% (markets can whipsaw in compression)
Moderate elevated vol (1.0-1.3x): +2% (trending conditions emerging)
Confluence Bonus:
All 3 indicators agree: +5%
2 of 3 agree: +2%
Strategy Gene Adjustment:
Probability Boost gene: -10% to +10%
Regime Adaptation gene: scales regime adjustments by 0-100%
Final Probability: Clamped between 35% (minimum) and 88% (maximum)
Why These Ranges?
Below 35% = too uncertain, better not to signal
Above 88% = unrealistic, creates overconfidence
Sweet spot: 65-80% for quality entries
🔄 THE SHADOW PORTFOLIO SYSTEM: HOW STRATEGIES COMPETE
Each active strategy maintains a virtual trading account that executes in parallel with real-time data:
Shadow Trading Mechanics
Entry Logic:
Calculate signal direction, probability, and confluence using strategy's unique DNA
Check if signal meets quality gate:
Probability ≥ configured minimum threshold (default: 65%)
Confluence ≥ configured minimum (default: 2 of 3)
Direction is not zero (must be long or short, not neutral)
Verify signal persistence:
Base requirement: 2 bars (configurable 1-5)
Adapts based on probability: high-prob signals (75%+) enter 1 bar faster, low-prob signals need 1 bar more
Adjusts for regime: trending markets reduce persistence by 1, volatile markets add 1
Apply additional filters:
Trend strength must exceed strategy's requirement gene
Regime filter: if volatile market detected, probability must be 72%+ to override
Volume confirmation required (volume > 70% of average)
If all conditions met for required persistence bars, enter shadow position at current close price
Position Management:
Entry Price: Recorded at close of entry bar
Stop Loss: ATR-based distance = ATR × ATR_Mult (gene) × Stop_Mult (gene) × DVS_Ratio
Take Profit: ATR-based distance = ATR × ATR_Mult (gene) × Target_Mult (gene) × DVS_Ratio
Position: +1 (long) or -1 (short), only one at a time per strategy
Exit Logic:
Check if price hit stop (on low) or target (on high) on current bar
Record trade outcome in R-multiples (profit/loss normalized by ATR)
Update performance metrics:
Total trades counter incremented
Wins counter (if profit > 0)
Cumulative P&L updated
Peak equity tracked (for drawdown calculation)
Maximum drawdown from peak recorded
Enter cooldown period (default: 8 bars, configurable 3-20) before next entry allowed
Reset signal age counter to zero
Walk-Forward Tracking:
During position lifecycle, trades are categorized:
Training Phase (first 250 bars): Trade counted toward training metrics
Testing Phase (next 75 bars): Trade counted toward testing metrics (out-of-sample)
Live Phase (after WFO period): Trade counted toward overall metrics
Why Shadow Portfolios?
No lookahead bias (uses only data available at the bar)
Realistic execution simulation (entry on close, stop/target checks on high/low)
Independent performance tracking for true fitness comparison
Allows safe experimentation without risking capital
Each strategy learns from its own experience
🏆 FITNESS SCORING: HOW STRATEGIES ARE RANKED
Fitness is not just win rate. AGE uses a comprehensive multi-factor scoring system:
Core Metrics (Minimum 3 trades required)
Win Rate (30% of fitness):
WinRate = Wins / TotalTrades
Normalized directly (0.0-1.0 scale)
Total P&L (30% of fitness):
Normalized_PnL = (PnL + 300) / 600
Clamped 0.0-1.0. Assumes P&L range of -300R to +300R for normalization scale.
Expectancy (25% of fitness):
Expectancy = Total_PnL / Total_Trades
Normalized_Expectancy = (Expectancy + 30) / 60
Clamped 0.0-1.0. Rewards consistency of profit per trade.
Drawdown Control (15% of fitness):
Normalized_DD = 1 - (Max_Drawdown / 15)
Clamped 0.0-1.0. Penalizes strategies that suffer large equity retracements from peak.
Sample Size Adjustment
Quality Factor:
<50 trades: 1.0 (full weight, small sample)
50-100 trades: 0.95 (slight penalty for medium sample)
100 trades: 0.85 (larger penalty for large sample)
Why penalize more trades? Prevents strategies from gaming the system by taking hundreds of tiny trades to inflate statistics. Favors quality over quantity.
Bonus Adjustments
Walk-Forward Validation Bonus:
if (WFO_Validated):
Fitness += (WFO_Efficiency - 0.5) × 0.1
Strategies proven on out-of-sample data receive up to +10% fitness boost based on test/train efficiency ratio.
Signal Efficiency Bonus (if diagnostics enabled):
if (Signals_Evaluated > 10):
Pass_Rate = Signals_Passed / Signals_Evaluated
Fitness += (Pass_Rate - 0.1) × 0.05
Rewards strategies that generate high-quality signals passing the quality gate, not just profitable trades.
Final Fitness: Clamped at 0.0 minimum (prevents negative fitness values)
Result: Elite strategies typically achieve 0.50-0.75 fitness. Anything above 0.60 is excellent. Below 0.30 is prime candidate for culling.
🔬 WALK-FORWARD OPTIMIZATION: ANTI-OVERFITTING PROTECTION
This is what separates AGE from curve-fitted garbage indicators.
The Three-Phase Process
Every new strategy undergoes a rigorous validation lifecycle:
Phase 1 - Training Window (First 250 bars, configurable 100-500):
Strategy trades normally via shadow portfolio
All trades count toward training performance metrics
System learns which gene combinations produce profitable patterns
Tracks independently: Training_Trades, Training_Wins, Training_PnL
Phase 2 - Testing Window (Next 75 bars, configurable 30-200):
Strategy continues trading without any parameter changes
Trades now count toward testing performance metrics (separate tracking)
This is out-of-sample data - strategy has never seen these bars during "optimization"
Tracks independently: Testing_Trades, Testing_Wins, Testing_PnL
Phase 3 - Validation Check:
Minimum_Trades = 5 (configurable 3-15)
IF (Train_Trades >= Minimum AND Test_Trades >= Minimum):
WR_Efficiency = Test_WinRate / Train_WinRate
Expectancy_Efficiency = Test_Expectancy / Train_Expectancy
WFO_Efficiency = (WR_Efficiency + Expectancy_Efficiency) / 2
IF (WFO_Efficiency >= 0.55): // configurable 0.3-0.9
Strategy.Validated = TRUE
Strategy receives fitness bonus
ELSE:
Strategy receives 30% fitness penalty
ELSE:
Validation deferred (insufficient trades in one or both periods)
What Validation Means
Validated Strategy (Green "✓ VAL" in dashboard):
Performed at least 55% as well on unseen data compared to training data
Gets fitness bonus: +(efficiency - 0.5) × 0.1
Receives priority during tournament selection for breeding
More likely to be chosen as active trading strategy
Unvalidated Strategy (Orange "○ TRAIN" in dashboard):
Failed to maintain performance on test data (likely curve-fitted to training period)
Receives 30% fitness penalty (0.7x multiplier)
Makes strategy prime candidate for culling
Can still trade but with lower selection probability
Insufficient Data (continues collecting):
Hasn't completed both training and testing periods yet
OR hasn't achieved minimum trade count in both periods
Validation check deferred until requirements met
Why 55% Efficiency Threshold?
If a strategy earned 10R during training but only 5.5R during testing, it still proved an edge exists beyond random luck. Requiring 100% efficiency would be unrealistic - market conditions change between periods. But requiring >50% ensures the strategy didn't completely degrade on fresh data.
The Protection: Strategies that work great on historical data but fail on new data are automatically identified and penalized. This prevents the population from being polluted by overfitted strategies that would fail in live trading.
🌊 DYNAMIC VOLATILITY SCALING (DVS): ADAPTIVE STOP/TARGET PLACEMENT
AGE doesn't use fixed stop distances. It adapts to current volatility conditions in real-time.
Four Volatility Measurement Methods
1. ATR Ratio (Simple Method):
Current_Vol = ATR(14) / Close
Baseline_Vol = SMA(Current_Vol, 100)
Ratio = Current_Vol / Baseline_Vol
Basic comparison of current ATR to 100-bar moving average baseline.
2. Parkinson (High-Low Range Based):
For each bar: HL = log(High / Low)
Parkinson_Vol = sqrt(Σ(HL²) / (4 × Period × log(2)))
More stable than close-to-close volatility. Captures intraday range expansion without overnight gap noise.
3. Garman-Klass (OHLC Based):
HL_Term = 0.5 × ²
CO_Term = (2×log(2) - 1) × ²
GK_Vol = sqrt(Σ(HL_Term - CO_Term) / Period)
Most sophisticated estimator. Incorporates all four price points (open, high, low, close) plus gap information.
4. Ensemble Method (Default - Median of All Three):
Ratio_1 = ATR_Current / ATR_Baseline
Ratio_2 = Parkinson_Current / Parkinson_Baseline
Ratio_3 = GK_Current / GK_Baseline
DVS_Ratio = Median(Ratio_1, Ratio_2, Ratio_3)
Why Ensemble?
Takes median to avoid outliers and false spikes
If ATR jumps but range-based methods stay calm, median prevents overreaction
If one method fails, other two compensate
Most robust approach across different market conditions
Sensitivity Scaling
Scaled_Ratio = (Raw_Ratio) ^ Sensitivity
Sensitivity 0.3: Cube root - heavily dampens volatility impact
Sensitivity 0.5: Square root - moderate dampening
Sensitivity 0.7 (Default): Balanced response to volatility changes
Sensitivity 1.0: Linear - full 1:1 volatility impact
Sensitivity 1.5: Exponential - amplified response to volatility spikes
Safety Clamps: Final DVS Ratio always clamped between 0.5x and 2.5x baseline to prevent extreme position sizing or stop placement errors.
How DVS Affects Shadow Trading
Every strategy's stop and target distances are multiplied by the current DVS ratio:
Stop Loss Distance:
Stop_Distance = ATR × ATR_Mult (gene) × Stop_Mult (gene) × DVS_Ratio
Take Profit Distance:
Target_Distance = ATR × ATR_Mult (gene) × Target_Mult (gene) × DVS_Ratio
Example Scenario:
ATR = 10 points
Strategy's ATR_Mult gene = 2.5
Strategy's Stop_Mult gene = 1.5
Strategy's Target_Mult gene = 2.5
DVS_Ratio = 1.4 (40% above baseline volatility - market heating up)
Stop = 10 × 2.5 × 1.5 × 1.4 = 52.5 points (vs. 37.5 in normal vol)
Target = 10 × 2.5 × 2.5 × 1.4 = 87.5 points (vs. 62.5 in normal vol)
Result:
During volatility spikes: Stops automatically widen to avoid noise-based exits, targets extend for bigger moves
During calm periods: Stops tighten for better risk/reward, targets compress for realistic profit-taking
Strategies adapt risk management to match current market behavior
🧬 THE EVOLUTIONARY CYCLE: SPAWN, COMPETE, CULL
Initialization (Bar 1)
AGE begins with 4 seed strategies (if evolution enabled):
Seed Strategy #0 (Balanced):
All sensitivities at 1.0 (neutral)
Zero probability boost
Moderate trend requirement (0.4)
Standard ATR/stop/target multiples (2.5/1.5/2.5)
Mid-level regime adaptation (0.5)
Seed Strategy #1 (Momentum-Focused):
Lower entropy sensitivity (0.7), higher momentum (1.5)
Slight probability boost (+0.03)
Higher trend requirement (0.5)
Tighter stops (1.3), wider targets (3.0)
Seed Strategy #2 (Entropy-Driven):
Higher entropy sensitivity (1.5), lower momentum (0.8)
Slight probability penalty (-0.02)
More trend tolerant (0.6)
Wider stops (1.8), standard targets (2.5)
Seed Strategy #3 (Structure-Based):
Balanced entropy/momentum (0.8/0.9), high structure (1.4)
Slight probability boost (+0.02)
Lower trend requirement (0.35)
Moderate risk parameters (1.6/2.8)
All seeds start with WFO validation bypassed if WFO is disabled, or must validate if enabled.
Spawning New Strategies
Timing (Adaptive):
Historical phase: Every 30 bars (configurable 10-100)
Live phase: Every 200 bars (configurable 100-500)
Automatically switches to live timing when barstate.isrealtime triggers
Conditions:
Current population < max population limit (default: 8, configurable 4-12)
At least 2 active strategies exist (need parents)
Available slot in population array
Selection Process:
Run tournament selection 3 times with different seeds
Each tournament: randomly sample active strategies, pick highest fitness
Best from 3 tournaments becomes Parent 1
Repeat independently for Parent 2
Ensures fit parents but maintains diversity
Crossover Breeding:
For each of 10 genes:
Parent1_Fitness = fitness
Parent2_Fitness = fitness
Weight1 = Parent1_Fitness / (Parent1_Fitness + Parent2_Fitness)
Gene1 = parent1's value
Gene2 = parent2's value
Child_Gene = Weight1 × Gene1 + (1 - Weight1) × Gene2
Fitness-weighted crossover ensures fitter parent contributes more genetic material.
Mutation:
For each gene in child:
IF (random < mutation_rate):
Gene_Range = GENE_MAX - GENE_MIN
Noise = (random - 0.5) × 2 × mutation_strength × Gene_Range
Mutated_Gene = Clamp(Child_Gene + Noise, GENE_MIN, GENE_MAX)
Historical mutation rate: 20% (aggressive exploration)
Live mutation rate: 8% (conservative stability)
Mutation strength: 12% of gene range (configurable 5-25%)
Initialization of New Strategy:
Unique ID assigned (total_spawned counter)
Parent ID recorded
Generation = max(parent generations) + 1
Birth bar recorded (for age tracking)
All performance metrics zeroed
Shadow portfolio reset
WFO validation flag set to false (must prove itself)
Result: New strategy with hybrid DNA enters population, begins trading in next bar.
Competition (Every Bar)
All active strategies:
Calculate their signal based on unique DNA
Check quality gate with their thresholds
Manage shadow positions (entries/exits)
Update performance metrics
Recalculate fitness score
Track WFO validation progress
Strategies compete indirectly through fitness ranking - no direct interaction.
Culling Weak Strategies
Timing (Adaptive):
Historical phase: Every 60 bars (configurable 20-200, should be 2x spawn interval)
Live phase: Every 400 bars (configurable 200-1000, should be 2x spawn interval)
Minimum Adaptation Score (MAS):
Initial MAS = 0.10
MAS decays: MAS × 0.995 every cull cycle
Minimum MAS = 0.03 (floor)
MAS represents the "survival threshold" - strategies below this fitness level are vulnerable.
Culling Conditions (ALL must be true):
Population > minimum population (default: 3, configurable 2-4)
At least one strategy has fitness < MAS
Strategy's age > culling interval (prevents premature culling of new strategies)
Strategy is not in top N elite (default: 2, configurable 1-3)
Culling Process:
Find worst strategy:
For each active strategy:
IF (age > cull_interval):
Fitness = base_fitness
IF (not WFO_validated AND WFO_enabled):
Fitness × 0.7 // 30% penalty for unvalidated
IF (Fitness < MAS AND Fitness < worst_fitness_found):
worst_strategy = this_strategy
worst_fitness = Fitness
IF (worst_strategy found):
Count elite strategies with fitness > worst_fitness
IF (elite_count >= elite_preservation_count):
Deactivate worst_strategy (set active flag = false)
Increment total_culled counter
Elite Protection:
Even if a strategy's fitness falls below MAS, it survives if fewer than N strategies are better. This prevents culling when population is generally weak.
Result: Weak strategies removed from population, freeing slots for new spawns. Gene pool improves over time.
Selection for Display (Every Bar)
AGE chooses one strategy to display signals:
Best fitness = -1
Selected = none
For each active strategy:
Fitness = base_fitness
IF (WFO_validated):
Fitness × 1.3 // 30% bonus for validated strategies
IF (Fitness > best_fitness):
best_fitness = Fitness
selected_strategy = this_strategy
Display selected strategy's signals on chart
Result: Only the highest-fitness (optionally validated-boosted) strategy's signals appear as chart markers. Other strategies trade invisibly in shadow portfolios.
🎨 PREMIUM VISUALIZATION SYSTEM
AGE includes sophisticated visual feedback that standard indicators lack:
1. Gradient Probability Cloud (Optional, Default: ON)
Multi-layer gradient showing signal buildup 2-3 bars before entry:
Activation Conditions:
Signal persistence > 0 (same directional signal held for multiple bars)
Signal probability ≥ minimum threshold (65% by default)
Signal hasn't yet executed (still in "forming" state)
Visual Construction:
7 gradient layers by default (configurable 3-15)
Each layer is a line-fill pair (top line, bottom line, filled between)
Layer spacing: 0.3 to 1.0 × ATR above/below price
Outer layers = faint, inner layers = bright
Color transitions from base to intense based on layer position
Transparency scales with probability (high prob = more opaque)
Color Selection:
Long signals: Gradient from theme.gradient_bull_mid to theme.gradient_bull_strong
Short signals: Gradient from theme.gradient_bear_mid to theme.gradient_bear_strong
Base transparency: 92%, reduces by up to 8% for high-probability setups
Dynamic Behavior:
Cloud grows/shrinks as signal persistence increases/decreases
Redraws every bar while signal is forming
Disappears when signal executes or invalidates
Performance Note: Computationally expensive due to linefill objects. Disable or reduce layers if chart performance degrades.
2. Population Fitness Ribbon (Optional, Default: ON)
Histogram showing fitness distribution across active strategies:
Activation: Only draws on last bar (barstate.islast) to avoid historical clutter
Visual Construction:
10 histogram layers by default (configurable 5-20)
Plots 50 bars back from current bar
Positioned below price at: lowest_low(100) - 1.5×ATR (doesn't interfere with price action)
Each layer represents a fitness threshold (evenly spaced min to max fitness)
Layer Logic:
For layer_num from 0 to ribbon_layers:
Fitness_threshold = min_fitness + (max_fitness - min_fitness) × (layer / layers)
Count strategies with fitness ≥ threshold
Height = ATR × 0.15 × (count / total_active)
Y_position = base_level + ATR × 0.2 × layer
Color = Gradient from weak to strong based on layer position
Line_width = Scaled by height (taller = thicker)
Visual Feedback:
Tall, bright ribbon = healthy population, many fit strategies at high fitness levels
Short, dim ribbon = weak population, few strategies achieving good fitness
Ribbon compression (layers close together) = population converging to similar fitness
Ribbon spread = diverse fitness range, active selection pressure
Use Case: Quick visual health check without opening dashboard. Ribbon growing upward over time = population improving.
3. Confidence Halo (Optional, Default: ON)
Circular polyline around entry signals showing probability strength:
Activation: Draws when new position opens (shadow_position changes from 0 to ±1)
Visual Construction:
20-segment polyline forming approximate circle
Center: Low - 0.5×ATR (long) or High + 0.5×ATR (short)
Radius: 0.3×ATR (low confidence) to 1.0×ATR (elite confidence)
Scales with: (probability - min_probability) / (1.0 - min_probability)
Color Coding:
Elite (85%+): Cyan (theme.conf_elite), large radius, minimal transparency (40%)
Strong (75-85%): Strong green (theme.conf_strong), medium radius, moderate transparency (50%)
Good (65-75%): Good green (theme.conf_good), smaller radius, more transparent (60%)
Moderate (<65%): Moderate green (theme.conf_moderate), tiny radius, very transparent (70%)
Technical Detail:
Uses chart.point array with index-based positioning
5-bar horizontal spread for circular appearance (±5 bars from entry)
Curved=false (Pine Script polyline limitation)
Fill color matches line color but more transparent (88% vs line's transparency)
Purpose: Instant visual probability assessment. No need to check dashboard - halo size/brightness tells the story.
4. Evolution Event Markers (Optional, Default: ON)
Visual indicators of genetic algorithm activity:
Spawn Markers (Diamond, Cyan):
Plots when total_spawned increases on current bar
Location: bottom of chart (location.bottom)
Color: theme.spawn_marker (cyan/bright blue)
Size: tiny
Indicates new strategy just entered population
Cull Markers (X-Cross, Red):
Plots when total_culled increases on current bar
Location: bottom of chart (location.bottom)
Color: theme.cull_marker (red/pink)
Size: tiny
Indicates weak strategy just removed from population
What It Tells You:
Frequent spawning early = population building, active exploration
Frequent culling early = high selection pressure, weak strategies dying fast
Balanced spawn/cull = healthy evolutionary churn
No markers for long periods = stable population (evolution plateaued or optimal genes found)
5. Entry/Exit Markers
Clear visual signals for selected strategy's trades:
Long Entry (Triangle Up, Green):
Plots when selected strategy opens long position (position changes 0 → +1)
Location: below bar (location.belowbar)
Color: theme.long_primary (green/cyan depending on theme)
Transparency: Scales with probability:
Elite (85%+): 0% (fully opaque)
Strong (75-85%): 10%
Good (65-75%): 20%
Acceptable (55-65%): 35%
Size: small
Short Entry (Triangle Down, Red):
Plots when selected strategy opens short position (position changes 0 → -1)
Location: above bar (location.abovebar)
Color: theme.short_primary (red/pink depending on theme)
Transparency: Same scaling as long entries
Size: small
Exit (X-Cross, Orange):
Plots when selected strategy closes position (position changes ±1 → 0)
Location: absolute (at actual exit price if stop/target lines enabled)
Color: theme.exit_color (orange/yellow depending on theme)
Transparency: 0% (fully opaque)
Size: tiny
Result: Clean, probability-scaled markers that don't clutter chart but convey essential information.
6. Stop Loss & Take Profit Lines (Optional, Default: ON)
Visual representation of shadow portfolio risk levels:
Stop Loss Line:
Plots when selected strategy has active position
Level: shadow_stop value from selected strategy
Color: theme.short_primary with 60% transparency (red/pink, subtle)
Width: 2
Style: plot.style_linebr (breaks when no position)
Take Profit Line:
Plots when selected strategy has active position
Level: shadow_target value from selected strategy
Color: theme.long_primary with 60% transparency (green, subtle)
Width: 2
Style: plot.style_linebr (breaks when no position)
Purpose:
Shows where shadow portfolio would exit for stop/target
Helps visualize strategy's risk/reward ratio
Useful for manual traders to set similar levels
Disable for cleaner chart (recommended for presentations)
7. Dynamic Trend EMA
Gradient-colored trend line that visualizes trend strength:
Calculation:
EMA(close, trend_length) - default 50 period (configurable 20-100)
Slope calculated over 10 bars: (current_ema - ema ) / ema × 100
Color Logic:
Trend_direction:
Slope > 0.1% = Bullish (1)
Slope < -0.1% = Bearish (-1)
Otherwise = Neutral (0)
Trend_strength = abs(slope)
Color = Gradient between:
- Neutral color (gray/purple)
- Strong bullish (bright green) if direction = 1
- Strong bearish (bright red) if direction = -1
Gradient factor = trend_strength (0 to 1+ scale)
Visual Behavior:
Faint gray/purple = weak/no trend (choppy conditions)
Light green/red = emerging trend (low strength)
Bright green/red = strong trend (high conviction)
Color intensity = trend strength magnitude
Transparency: 50% (subtle, doesn't overpower price action)
Purpose: Subconscious awareness of trend state without checking dashboard or indicators.
8. Regime Background Tinting (Subtle)
Ultra-low opacity background color indicating detected market regime:
Regime Detection:
Efficiency = directional_movement / total_range (over trend_length bars)
Vol_ratio = current_volatility / average_volatility
IF (efficiency > 0.5 AND vol_ratio < 1.3):
Regime = Trending (1)
ELSE IF (vol_ratio > 1.5):
Regime = Volatile (2)
ELSE:
Regime = Choppy (0)
Background Colors:
Trending: theme.regime_trending (dark green, 92-93% transparency)
Volatile: theme.regime_volatile (dark red, 93% transparency)
Choppy: No tint (normal background)
Purpose:
Subliminal regime awareness
Helps explain why signals are/aren't generating
Trending = ideal conditions for AGE
Volatile = fewer signals, higher thresholds applied
Choppy = mixed signals, lower confidence
Important: Extremely subtle by design. Not meant to be obvious, just subconscious context.
📊 ENHANCED DASHBOARD
Comprehensive real-time metrics in single organized panel (top-right position):
Dashboard Structure (5 columns × 14 rows)
Header Row:
Column 0: "🧬 AGE PRO" + phase indicator (🔴 LIVE or ⏪ HIST)
Column 1: "POPULATION"
Column 2: "PERFORMANCE"
Column 3: "CURRENT SIGNAL"
Column 4: "ACTIVE STRATEGY"
Column 0: Market State
Regime (📈 TREND / 🌊 CHAOS / ➖ CHOP)
DVS Ratio (current volatility scaling factor, format: #.##)
Trend Direction (▲ BULL / ▼ BEAR / ➖ FLAT with color coding)
Trend Strength (0-100 scale, format: #.##)
Column 1: Population Metrics
Active strategies (count / max_population)
Validated strategies (WFO passed / active total)
Current generation number
Total spawned (all-time strategy births)
Total culled (all-time strategy deaths)
Column 2: Aggregate Performance
Total trades across all active strategies
Aggregate win rate (%) - color-coded:
Green (>55%)
Orange (45-55%)
Red (<45%)
Total P&L in R-multiples - color-coded by positive/negative
Best fitness score in population (format: #.###)
MAS - Minimum Adaptation Score (cull threshold, format: #.###)
Column 3: Current Signal Status
Status indicator:
"▲ LONG" (green) if selected strategy in long position
"▼ SHORT" (red) if selected strategy in short position
"⏳ FORMING" (orange) if signal persisting but not yet executed
"○ WAITING" (gray) if no active signal
Confidence percentage (0-100%, format: #.#%)
Quality assessment:
"🔥 ELITE" (cyan) for 85%+ probability
"✓ STRONG" (bright green) for 75-85%
"○ GOOD" (green) for 65-75%
"- LOW" (dim) for <65%
Confluence score (X/3 format)
Signal age:
"X bars" if signal forming
"IN TRADE" if position active
"---" if no signal
Column 4: Selected Strategy Details
Strategy ID number (#X format)
Validation status:
"✓ VAL" (green) if WFO validated
"○ TRAIN" (orange) if still in training/testing phase
Generation number (GX format)
Personal fitness score (format: #.### with color coding)
Trade count
P&L and win rate (format: #.#R (##%) with color coding)
Color Scheme:
Panel background: theme.panel_bg (dark, low opacity)
Panel headers: theme.panel_header (slightly lighter)
Primary text: theme.text_primary (bright, high contrast)
Secondary text: theme.text_secondary (dim, lower contrast)
Positive metrics: theme.metric_positive (green)
Warning metrics: theme.metric_warning (orange)
Negative metrics: theme.metric_negative (red)
Special markers: theme.validated_marker, theme.spawn_marker
Update Frequency: Only on barstate.islast (current bar) to minimize CPU usage
Purpose:
Quick overview of entire system state
No need to check multiple indicators
Trading decisions informed by population health, regime state, and signal quality
Transparency into what AGE is thinking
🔍 DIAGNOSTICS PANEL (Optional, Default: OFF)
Detailed signal quality tracking for optimization and debugging:
Panel Structure (3 columns × 8 rows)
Position: Bottom-right corner (doesn't interfere with main dashboard)
Header Row:
Column 0: "🔍 DIAGNOSTICS"
Column 1: "COUNT"
Column 2: "%"
Metrics Tracked (for selected strategy only):
Total Evaluated:
Every signal that passed initial calculation (direction ≠ 0)
Represents total opportunities considered
✓ Passed:
Signals that passed quality gate and executed
Green color coding
Percentage of evaluated signals
Rejection Breakdown:
⨯ Probability:
Rejected because probability < minimum threshold
Most common rejection reason typically
⨯ Confluence:
Rejected because confluence < minimum required (e.g., only 1 of 3 indicators agreed)
⨯ Trend:
Rejected because signal opposed strong trend
Indicates counter-trend protection working
⨯ Regime:
Rejected because volatile regime detected and probability wasn't high enough to override
Shows regime filter in action
⨯ Volume:
Rejected because volume < 70% of 20-bar average
Indicates volume confirmation requirement
Color Coding:
Passed count: Green (success metric)
Rejection counts: Red (failure metrics)
Percentages: Gray (neutral, informational)
Performance Cost: Slight CPU overhead for tracking counters. Disable when not actively optimizing settings.
How to Use Diagnostics
Scenario 1: Too Few Signals
Evaluated: 200
Passed: 10 (5%)
⨯ Probability: 120 (60%)
⨯ Confluence: 40 (20%)
⨯ Others: 30 (15%)
Diagnosis: Probability threshold too high for this strategy's DNA.
Solution: Lower min probability from 65% to 60%, or allow strategy more time to evolve better DNA.
Scenario 2: Too Many False Signals
Evaluated: 200
Passed: 80 (40%)
Strategy win rate: 45%
Diagnosis: Quality gate too loose, letting low-quality signals through.
Solution: Raise min probability to 70%, or increase min confluence to 3 (all indicators must agree).
Scenario 3: Regime-Specific Issues
⨯ Regime: 90 (45% of rejections)
Diagnosis: Frequent volatile regime detection blocking otherwise good signals.
Solution: Either accept fewer trades during chaos (recommended), or disable regime filter if you want signals regardless of market state.
Optimization Workflow:
Enable diagnostics
Run 200+ bars
Analyze rejection patterns
Adjust settings based on data
Re-run and compare pass rate
Disable diagnostics when satisfied
⚙️ CONFIGURATION GUIDE
🧬 Evolution Engine Settings
Enable AGE Evolution (Default: ON):
ON: Full genetic algorithm (recommended for best results)
OFF: Uses only 4 seed strategies, no spawning/culling (static population for comparison testing)
Max Population (4-12, Default: 8):
Higher = more diversity, more exploration, slower performance
Lower = faster computation, less exploration, risk of premature convergence
Sweet spot: 6-8 for most use cases
4 = minimum for meaningful evolution
12 = maximum before diminishing returns
Min Population (2-4, Default: 3):
Safety floor - system never culls below this count
Prevents population extinction during harsh selection
Should be at least half of max population
Elite Preservation (1-3, Default: 2):
Top N performers completely immune to culling
Ensures best genes always survive
1 = minimal protection, aggressive selection
2 = balanced (recommended)
3 = conservative, slower gene pool turnover
Historical: Spawn Interval (10-100, Default: 30):
Bars between spawning new strategies during historical data
Lower = faster evolution, more exploration
Higher = slower evolution, more evaluation time per strategy
30 bars = ~1-2 hours on 15min chart
Historical: Cull Interval (20-200, Default: 60):
Bars between culling weak strategies during historical data
Should be 2x spawn interval for balanced churn
Lower = aggressive selection pressure
Higher = patient evaluation
Live: Spawn Interval (100-500, Default: 200):
Bars between spawning during live trading
Much slower than historical for stability
Prevents population chaos during live trading
200 bars = ~1.5 trading days on 15min chart
Live: Cull Interval (200-1000, Default: 400):
Bars between culling during live trading
Should be 2x live spawn interval
Conservative removal during live trading
Historical: Mutation Rate (0.05-0.40, Default: 0.20):
Probability each gene mutates during breeding (20% = 2 out of 10 genes on average)
Higher = more exploration, slower convergence
Lower = more exploitation, faster convergence but risk of local optima
20% balances exploration vs exploitation
Live: Mutation Rate (0.02-0.20, Default: 0.08):
Mutation rate during live trading
Much lower for stability (don't want population to suddenly degrade)
8% = mostly inherits parent genes with small tweaks
Mutation Strength (0.05-0.25, Default: 0.12):
How much genes change when mutated (% of gene's total range)
0.05 = tiny nudges (fine-tuning)
0.12 = moderate jumps (recommended)
0.25 = large leaps (aggressive exploration)
Example: If gene range is 0.5-2.0, 12% strength = ±0.18 possible change
📈 Signal Quality Settings
Min Signal Probability (0.55-0.80, Default: 0.65):
Quality gate threshold - signals below this never generate
0.55-0.60 = More signals, accept lower confidence (higher risk)
0.65 = Institutional-grade balance (recommended)
0.70-0.75 = Fewer but higher-quality signals (conservative)
0.80+ = Very selective, very few signals (ultra-conservative)
Min Confluence Score (1-3, Default: 2):
Required indicator agreement before signal generates
1 = Any single indicator can trigger (not recommended - too many false signals)
2 = Requires 2 of 3 indicators agree (RECOMMENDED for balance)
3 = All 3 must agree (very selective, few signals, high quality)
Base Persistence Bars (1-5, Default: 2):
Base bars signal must persist before entry
System adapts automatically:
High probability signals (75%+) enter 1 bar faster
Low probability signals (<68%) need 1 bar more
Trending regime: -1 bar (faster entries)
Volatile regime: +1 bar (more confirmation)
1 = Immediate entry after quality gate (responsive but prone to whipsaw)
2 = Balanced confirmation (recommended)
3-5 = Patient confirmation (slower but more reliable)
Cooldown After Trade (3-20, Default: 8):
Bars to wait after exit before next entry allowed
Prevents overtrading and revenge trading
3 = Minimal cooldown (active trading)
8 = Balanced (recommended)
15-20 = Conservative (position trading)
Entropy Length (10-50, Default: 20):
Lookback period for market order/disorder calculation
Lower = more responsive to regime changes (noisy)
Higher = more stable regime detection (laggy)
20 = works across most timeframes
Momentum Length (5-30, Default: 14):
Period for RSI/ROC calculations
14 = standard (RSI default)
Lower = more signals, less reliable
Higher = fewer signals, more reliable
Structure Length (20-100, Default: 50):
Lookback for support/resistance swing range
20 = short-term swings (day trading)
50 = medium-term structure (recommended)
100 = major structure (position trading)
Trend EMA Length (20-100, Default: 50):
EMA period for trend detection and direction bias
20 = short-term trend (responsive)
50 = medium-term trend (recommended)
100 = long-term trend (position trading)
ATR Period (5-30, Default: 14):
Period for volatility measurement
14 = standard ATR
Lower = more responsive to vol changes
Higher = smoother vol calculation
📊 Volatility Scaling (DVS) Settings
Enable DVS (Default: ON):
Dynamic volatility scaling for adaptive stop/target placement
Highly recommended to leave ON
OFF only for testing fixed-distance stops
DVS Method (Default: Ensemble):
ATR Ratio: Simple, fast, single-method (good for beginners)
Parkinson: High-low range based (good for intraday)
Garman-Klass: OHLC based (sophisticated, considers gaps)
Ensemble: Median of all three (RECOMMENDED - most robust)
DVS Memory (20-200, Default: 100):
Lookback for baseline volatility comparison
20 = very responsive to vol changes (can overreact)
100 = balanced adaptation (recommended)
200 = slow, stable baseline (minimizes false vol signals)
DVS Sensitivity (0.3-1.5, Default: 0.7):
How much volatility affects scaling (power-law exponent)
0.3 = Conservative, heavily dampens vol impact (cube root)
0.5 = Moderate dampening (square root)
0.7 = Balanced response (recommended)
1.0 = Linear, full 1:1 vol response
1.5 = Aggressive, amplified response (exponential)
🔬 Walk-Forward Optimization Settings
Enable WFO (Default: ON):
Out-of-sample validation to prevent overfitting
Highly recommended to leave ON
OFF only for testing or if you want unvalidated strategies
Training Window (100-500, Default: 250):
Bars for in-sample optimization
100 = fast validation, less data (risky)
250 = balanced (recommended) - about 1-2 months on daily, 1-2 weeks on 15min
500 = patient validation, more data (conservative)
Testing Window (30-200, Default: 75):
Bars for out-of-sample validation
Should be ~30% of training window
30 = minimal test (fast validation)
75 = balanced (recommended)
200 = extensive test (very conservative)
Min Trades for Validation (3-15, Default: 5):
Required trades in BOTH training AND testing periods
3 = minimal sample (risky, fast validation)
5 = balanced (recommended)
10+ = conservative (slow validation, high confidence)
WFO Efficiency Threshold (0.3-0.9, Default: 0.55):
Minimum test/train performance ratio required
0.30 = Very loose (test must be 30% as good as training)
0.55 = Balanced (recommended) - test must be 55% as good
0.70+ = Strict (test must closely match training)
Higher = fewer validated strategies, lower risk of overfitting
🎨 Premium Visuals Settings
Visual Theme:
Neon Genesis: Cyberpunk aesthetic (cyan/magenta/purple)
Carbon Fiber: Industrial look (blue/red/gray)
Quantum Blue: Quantum computing (blue/purple/pink)
Aurora: Northern lights (teal/orange/purple)
⚡ Gradient Probability Cloud (Default: ON):
Multi-layer gradient showing signal buildup
Turn OFF if chart lags or for cleaner look
Cloud Gradient Layers (3-15, Default: 7):
More layers = smoother gradient, more CPU intensive
Fewer layers = faster, blockier appearance
🎗️ Population Fitness Ribbon (Default: ON):
Histogram showing fitness distribution
Turn OFF for cleaner chart
Ribbon Layers (5-20, Default: 10):
More layers = finer fitness detail
Fewer layers = simpler histogram
⭕ Signal Confidence Halo (Default: ON):
Circular indicator around entry signals
Size/brightness scales with probability
Minimal performance cost
🔬 Evolution Event Markers (Default: ON):
Diamond (spawn) and X (cull) markers
Shows genetic algorithm activity
Minimal performance cost
🎯 Stop/Target Lines (Default: ON):
Shows shadow portfolio stop/target levels
Turn OFF for cleaner chart (recommended for screenshots/presentations)
📊 Enhanced Dashboard (Default: ON):
Comprehensive metrics panel
Should stay ON unless you want zero overlays
🔍 Diagnostics Panel (Default: OFF):
Detailed signal rejection tracking
Turn ON when optimizing settings
Turn OFF during normal use (slight performance cost)
📈 USAGE WORKFLOW - HOW TO USE THIS INDICATOR
Phase 1: Initial Setup & Learning
Add AGE to your chart
Recommended timeframes: 15min, 30min, 1H (best signal-to-noise ratio)
Works on: 5min (day trading), 4H (swing trading), Daily (position trading)
Load 1000+ bars for sufficient evolution history
Let the population evolve (100+ bars minimum)
First 50 bars: Random exploration, poor results expected
Bars 50-150: Population converging, fitness improving
Bars 150+: Stable performance, validated strategies emerging
Watch the dashboard metrics
Population should grow toward max capacity
Generation number should advance regularly
Validated strategies counter should increase
Best fitness should trend upward toward 0.50-0.70 range
Observe evolution markers
Diamond markers (cyan) = new strategies spawning
X markers (red) = weak strategies being culled
Frequent early activity = healthy evolution
Activity slowing = population stabilizing
Be patient. Evolution takes time. Don't judge performance before 150+ bars.
Phase 2: Signal Observation
Watch signals form
Gradient cloud builds up 2-3 bars before entry
Cloud brightness = probability strength
Cloud thickness = signal persistence
Check signal quality
Look at confidence halo size when entry marker appears
Large bright halo = elite setup (85%+)
Medium halo = strong setup (75-85%)
Small halo = good setup (65-75%)
Verify market conditions
Check trend EMA color (green = uptrend, red = downtrend, gray = choppy)
Check background tint (green = trending, red = volatile, clear = choppy)
Trending background + aligned signal = ideal conditions
Review dashboard signal status
Current Signal column shows:
Status (Long/Short/Forming/Waiting)
Confidence % (actual probability value)
Quality assessment (Elite/Strong/Good)
Confluence score (2/3 or 3/3 preferred)
Only signals meeting ALL quality gates appear on chart. If you're not seeing signals, population is either still learning or market conditions aren't suitable.
Phase 3: Manual Trading Execution
When Long Signal Fires:
Verify confidence level (dashboard or halo size)
Confirm trend alignment (EMA sloping up, green color)
Check regime (preferably trending or choppy, avoid volatile)
Enter long manually on your broker platform
Set stop loss at displayed stop line level (if lines enabled), or use your own risk management
Set take profit at displayed target line level, or trail manually
Monitor position - exit if X marker appears (signal reversal)
When Short Signal Fires:
Same verification process
Confirm downtrend (EMA sloping down, red color)
Enter short manually
Use displayed stop/target levels or your own
AGE tells you WHEN and HOW CONFIDENT. You decide WHETHER and HOW MUCH.
Phase 4: Set Up Alerts (Never Miss a Signal)
Right-click on indicator name in legend
Select "Add Alert"
Choose condition:
"AGE Long" = Long entry signal fired
"AGE Short" = Short entry signal fired
"AGE Exit" = Position reversal/exit signal
Set notification method:
Sound alert (popup on chart)
Email notification
Webhook to phone/trading platform
Mobile app push notification
Name the alert (e.g., "AGE BTCUSD 15min Long")
Save alert
Recommended: Set alerts for both long and short, enable mobile push notifications. You'll get alerted in real-time even if not watching charts.
Phase 5: Monitor Population Health
Weekly Review:
Check dashboard Population column:
Active count should be near max (6-8 of 8)
Validated count should be >50% of active
Generation should be advancing (1-2 per week typical)
Check dashboard Performance column:
Aggregate win rate should be >50% (target: 55-65%)
Total P&L should be positive (may fluctuate)
Best fitness should be >0.50 (target: 0.55-0.70)
MAS should be declining slowly (normal adaptation)
Check Active Strategy column:
Selected strategy should be validated (✓ VAL)
Personal fitness should match best fitness
Trade count should be accumulating
Win rate should be >50%
Warning Signs:
Zero validated strategies after 300+ bars = settings too strict or market unsuitable
Best fitness stuck <0.30 = population struggling, consider parameter adjustment
No spawning/culling for 200+ bars = evolution stalled (may be optimal or need reset)
Aggregate win rate <45% sustained = system not working on this instrument/timeframe
Health Check Pass:
50%+ strategies validated
Best fitness >0.50
Aggregate win rate >52%
Regular spawn/cull activity
Selected strategy validated
Phase 6: Optimization (If Needed)
Enable Diagnostics Panel (bottom-right) for data-driven tuning:
Problem: Too Few Signals
Evaluated: 200
Passed: 8 (4%)
⨯ Probability: 140 (70%)
Solutions:
Lower min probability: 65% → 60% or 55%
Reduce min confluence: 2 → 1
Lower base persistence: 2 → 1
Increase mutation rate temporarily to explore new genes
Check if regime filter is blocking signals (⨯ Regime high?)
Problem: Too Many False Signals
Evaluated: 200
Passed: 90 (45%)
Win rate: 42%
Solutions:
Raise min probability: 65% → 70% or 75%
Increase min confluence: 2 → 3
Raise base persistence: 2 → 3
Enable WFO if disabled (validates strategies before use)
Check if volume filter is being ignored (⨯ Volume low?)
Problem: Counter-Trend Losses
⨯ Trend: 5 (only 5% rejected)
Losses often occur against trend
Solutions:
System should already filter trend opposition
May need stronger trend requirement
Consider only taking signals aligned with higher timeframe trend
Use longer trend EMA (50 → 100)
Problem: Volatile Market Whipsaws
⨯ Regime: 100 (50% rejected by volatile regime)
Still getting stopped out frequently
Solutions:
System is correctly blocking volatile signals
Losses happening because vol filter isn't strict enough
Consider not trading during volatile periods (respect the regime)
Or disable regime filter and accept higher risk
Optimization Workflow:
Enable diagnostics
Run 200+ bars with current settings
Analyze rejection patterns and win rate
Make ONE change at a time (scientific method)
Re-run 200+ bars and compare results
Keep change if improvement, revert if worse
Disable diagnostics when satisfied
Never change multiple parameters at once - you won't know what worked.
Phase 7: Multi-Instrument Deployment
AGE learns independently on each chart:
Recommended Strategy:
Deploy AGE on 3-5 different instruments
Different asset classes ideal (e.g., ES futures, EURUSD, BTCUSD, SPY, Gold)
Each learns optimal strategies for that instrument's personality
Take signals from all 5 charts
Natural diversification reduces overall risk
Why This Works:
When one market is choppy, others may be trending
Different instruments respond to different news/catalysts
Portfolio-level win rate more stable than single-instrument
Evolution explores different parameter spaces on each chart
Setup:
Same settings across all charts (or customize if preferred)
Set alerts for all
Take every validated signal across all instruments
Position size based on total account (don't overleverage any single signal)
⚠️ REALISTIC EXPECTATIONS - CRITICAL READING
What AGE Can Do
✅ Generate probability-weighted signals using genetic algorithms
✅ Evolve strategies in real-time through natural selection
✅ Validate strategies on out-of-sample data (walk-forward optimization)
✅ Adapt to changing market conditions automatically over time
✅ Provide comprehensive metrics on population health and signal quality
✅ Work on any instrument, any timeframe, any broker
✅ Improve over time as weak strategies are culled and fit strategies breed
What AGE Cannot Do
❌ Win every trade (typical win rate: 55-65% at best)
❌ Predict the future with certainty (markets are probabilistic, not deterministic)
❌ Work perfectly from bar 1 (needs 100-150 bars to learn and stabilize)
❌ Guarantee profits under all market conditions
❌ Replace your trading discipline and risk management
❌ Execute trades automatically (this is an indicator, not a strategy)
❌ Prevent all losses (drawdowns are normal and expected)
❌ Adapt instantly to regime changes (re-learning takes 50-100 bars)
Performance Realities
Typical Performance After Evolution Stabilizes (150+ bars):
Win Rate: 55-65% (excellent for trend-following systems)
Profit Factor: 1.5-2.5 (realistic for validated strategies)
Signal Frequency: 5-15 signals per 100 bars (quality over quantity)
Drawdown Periods: 20-40% of time in equity retracement (normal trading reality)
Max Consecutive Losses: 5-8 losses possible even with 60% win rate (probability says this is normal)
Evolution Timeline:
Bars 0-50: Random exploration, learning phase - poor results expected, don't judge yet
Bars 50-150: Population converging, fitness climbing - results improving
Bars 150-300: Stable performance, most strategies validated - consistent results
Bars 300+: Mature population, optimal genes dominant - best results
Market Condition Dependency:
Trending Markets: AGE excels - clear directional moves, high-probability setups
Choppy Markets: AGE struggles - fewer signals generated, lower win rate
Volatile Markets: AGE cautious - higher rejection rate, wider stops, fewer trades
Market Regime Changes:
When market shifts from trending to choppy overnight
Validated strategies can become temporarily invalidated
AGE will adapt through evolution, but not instantly
Expect 50-100 bar re-learning period after major regime shifts
Fitness may temporarily drop then recover
This is NOT a holy grail. It's a sophisticated signal generator that learns and adapts using genetic algorithms. Your success depends on:
Patience during learning periods (don't abandon after 3 losses)
Proper position sizing (risk 0.5-2% per trade, not 10%)
Following signals consistently (cherry-picking defeats statistical edge)
Not abandoning system prematurely (give it 200+ bars minimum)
Understanding probability (60% win rate means 40% of trades WILL lose)
Respecting market conditions (trending = trade more, choppy = trade less)
Managing emotions (AGE is emotionless, you need to be too)
Expected Drawdowns:
Single-strategy max DD: 10-20% of equity (normal)
Portfolio across multiple instruments: 5-15% (diversification helps)
Losing streaks: 3-5 consecutive losses expected periodically
No indicator eliminates risk. AGE manages risk through:
Quality gates (rejecting low-probability signals)
Confluence requirements (multi-indicator confirmation)
Persistence requirements (no knee-jerk reactions)
Regime awareness (reduced trading in chaos)
Walk-forward validation (preventing overfitting)
But it cannot prevent all losses. That's inherent to trading.
🔧 TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS
Platform: TradingView Pine Script v5
Indicator Type: Overlay indicator (plots on price chart)
Execution Type: Signals only - no automatic order placement
Computational Load:
Moderate to High (genetic algorithms + shadow portfolios)
8 strategies × shadow portfolio simulation = significant computation
Premium visuals add additional load (gradient cloud, fitness ribbon)
TradingView Resource Limits (Built-in Caps):
Max Bars Back: 500 (sufficient for WFO and evolution)
Max Labels: 100 (plenty for entry/exit markers)
Max Lines: 150 (adequate for stop/target lines)
Max Boxes: 50 (not heavily used)
Max Polylines: 100 (confidence halos)
Recommended Chart Settings:
Timeframe: 15min to 1H (optimal signal/noise balance)
5min: Works but noisier, more signals
4H/Daily: Works but fewer signals
Bars Loaded: 1000+ (ensures sufficient evolution history)
Replay Mode: Excellent for testing without risk
Performance Optimization Tips:
Disable gradient cloud if chart lags (most CPU intensive visual)
Disable fitness ribbon if still laggy
Reduce cloud layers from 7 to 3
Reduce ribbon layers from 10 to 5
Turn off diagnostics panel unless actively tuning
Close other heavy indicators to free resources
Browser/Platform Compatibility:
Works on all modern browsers (Chrome, Firefox, Safari, Edge)
Mobile app supported (full functionality on phone/tablet)
Desktop app supported (best performance)
Web version supported (may be slower on older computers)
Data Requirements:
Real-time or delayed data both work
No special data feeds required
Works with TradingView's standard data
Historical + live data seamlessly integrated
🎓 THEORETICAL FOUNDATIONS
AGE synthesizes advanced concepts from multiple disciplines:
Evolutionary Computation
Genetic Algorithms (Holland, 1975): Population-based optimization through natural selection metaphor
Tournament Selection: Fitness-based parent selection with diversity preservation
Crossover Operators: Fitness-weighted gene recombination from two parents
Mutation Operators: Random gene perturbation for exploration of new parameter space
Elitism: Preservation of top N performers to prevent loss of best solutions
Adaptive Parameters: Different mutation rates for historical vs. live phases
Technical Analysis
Support/Resistance: Price structure within swing ranges
Trend Following: EMA-based directional bias
Momentum Analysis: RSI, ROC, MACD composite indicators
Volatility Analysis: ATR-based risk scaling
Volume Confirmation: Trade activity validation
Information Theory
Shannon Entropy (1948): Quantification of market order vs. disorder
Signal-to-Noise Ratio: Directional information vs. random walk
Information Content: How much "information" a price move contains
Statistics & Probability
Walk-Forward Analysis: Rolling in-sample/out-of-sample optimization
Out-of-Sample Validation: Testing on unseen data to prevent overfitting
Monte Carlo Principles: Shadow portfolio simulation with realistic execution
Expectancy Theory: Win rate × avg win - loss rate × avg loss
Probability Distributions: Signal confidence quantification
Risk Management
ATR-Based Stops: Volatility-normalized risk per trade
Volatility Regime Detection: Market state classification (trending/choppy/volatile)
Drawdown Control: Peak-to-trough equity measurement
R-Multiple Normalization: Performance measurement in risk units
Machine Learning Concepts
Online Learning: Continuous adaptation as new data arrives
Fitness Functions: Multi-objective optimization (win rate + expectancy + drawdown)
Exploration vs. Exploitation: Balance between trying new strategies and using proven ones
Overfitting Prevention: Walk-forward validation as regularization
Novel Contribution:
AGE is the first TradingView indicator to apply genetic algorithms to real-time indicator parameter optimization while maintaining strict anti-overfitting controls through walk-forward validation.
Most "adaptive" indicators simply recalibrate lookback periods or thresholds. AGE evolves entirely new strategies through competitive selection - it's not parameter tuning, it's Darwinian evolution of trading logic itself.
The combination of:
Genetic algorithm population management
Shadow portfolio simulation for realistic fitness evaluation
Walk-forward validation to prevent overfitting
Multi-indicator confluence for signal quality
Dynamic volatility scaling for adaptive risk
...creates a system that genuinely learns and improves over time while avoiding the curse of curve-fitting that plagues most optimization approaches.
🏗️ DEVELOPMENT NOTES
This project represents months of intensive development, facing significant technical challenges:
Challenge 1: Making Genetics Actually Work
Early versions spawned garbage strategies that polluted the gene pool:
Random gene combinations produced nonsensical parameter sets
Weak strategies survived too long, dragging down population
No clear convergence toward optimal solutions
Solution:
Comprehensive fitness scoring (4 factors: win rate, P&L, expectancy, drawdown)
Elite preservation (top 2 always protected)
Walk-forward validation (unproven strategies penalized 30%)
Tournament selection (fitness-weighted breeding)
Adaptive culling (MAS decay creates increasing selection pressure)
Challenge 2: Balancing Evolution Speed vs. Stability
Too fast = population chaos, no convergence. Too slow = can't adapt to regime changes.
Solution:
Dual-phase timing: Fast evolution during historical (30/60 bar intervals), slow during live (200/400 bar intervals)
Adaptive mutation rates: 20% historical, 8% live
Spawn/cull ratio: Always 2:1 to prevent population collapse
Challenge 3: Shadow Portfolio Accuracy
Needed realistic trade simulation without lookahead bias:
Can't peek at future bars for exits
Must track multiple portfolios simultaneously
Stop/target checks must use bar's high/low correctly
Solution:
Entry on close (realistic)
Exit checks on current bar's high/low (realistic)
Independent position tracking per strategy
Cooldown periods to prevent unrealistic rapid re-entry
ATR-normalized P&L (R-multiples) for fair comparison across volatility regimes
Challenge 4: Pine Script Compilation Limits
Hit TradingView's execution limits multiple times:
Too many array operations
Too many variables
Too complex conditional logic
Solution:
Optimized data structures (single DNA array instead of 8 separate arrays)
Minimal visual overlays (only essential plots)
Efficient fitness calculations (vectorized where possible)
Strategic use of barstate.islast to minimize dashboard updates
Challenge 5: Walk-Forward Implementation
Standard WFO is difficult in Pine Script:
Can't easily "roll forward" through historical data
Can't re-optimize strategies mid-stream
Must work in real-time streaming environment
Solution:
Age-based phase detection (first 250 bars = training, next 75 = testing)
Separate metric tracking for train vs. test
Efficiency calculation at fixed interval (after test period completes)
Validation flag persists for strategy lifetime
Challenge 6: Signal Quality Control
Early versions generated too many signals with poor win rates:
Single indicators produced excessive noise
No trend alignment
No regime awareness
Instant entries on single-bar spikes
Solution:
Three-layer confluence system (entropy + momentum + structure)
Minimum 2-of-3 agreement requirement
Trend alignment checks (penalty for counter-trend)
Regime-based probability adjustments
Persistence requirements (signals must hold multiple bars)
Volume confirmation
Quality gate (probability + confluence thresholds)
The Result
A system that:
Truly evolves (not just parameter sweeps)
Truly validates (out-of-sample testing)
Truly adapts (ongoing competition and breeding)
Stays within TradingView's platform constraints
Provides institutional-quality signals
Maintains transparency (full metrics dashboard)
Development time: 3+ months of iterative refinement
Lines of code: ~1500 (highly optimized)
Test instruments: ES, NQ, EURUSD, BTCUSD, SPY, AAPL
Test timeframes: 5min, 15min, 1H, Daily
🎯 FINAL WORDS
The Adaptive Genesis Engine is not just another indicator - it's a living system that learns, adapts, and improves through the same principles that drive biological evolution. Every bar it observes adds to its experience. Every strategy it spawns explores new parameter combinations. Every strategy it culls removes weakness from the gene pool.
This is evolution in action on your charts.
You're not getting a static formula locked in time. You're getting a system that thinks , that competes , that survives through natural selection. The strongest strategies rise to the top. The weakest die. The gene pool improves generation after generation.
AGE doesn't claim to predict the future - it adapts to whatever the future brings. When markets shift from trending to choppy, from calm to volatile, from bullish to bearish - AGE evolves new strategies suited to the new regime.
Use it on any instrument. Any timeframe. Any market condition. AGE will adapt.
This indicator gives you the pure signal intelligence. How you choose to act on it - position sizing, risk management, execution discipline - that's your responsibility. AGE tells you when and how confident . You decide whether and how much .
Trust the process. Respect the evolution. Let Darwin work.
"In markets, as in nature, it is not the strongest strategies that survive, nor the most intelligent - but those most responsive to change."
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
— Happy Holiday's
Obsidian Flux Matrix# Obsidian Flux Matrix | JackOfAllTrades
Made with my Senior Level AI Pine Script v6 coding bot for the community!
Narrative Overview
Obsidian Flux Matrix (OFM) is an open-source Pine Script v6 study that fuses social sentiment, higher timeframe trend bias, fair-value-gap detection, liquidity raids, VWAP gravitation, session profiling, and a diagnostic HUD. The layout keeps the obsidian palette so critical overlays stay readable without overwhelming a price chart.
Purpose & Scope
OFM focuses on actionable structure rather than marketing claims. It documents every driver that powers its confluence engine so reviewers understand what triggers each visual.
Core Analytical Pillars
1. Social Pulse Engine
Sentiment Webhook Feed: Accepts normalized scores (-1 to +1). Signals only arm when the EMA-smoothed value exceeds the `sentimentMin` input (0.35 by default).
Volume Confirmation: Requires local volume > 30-bar average × `volSpikeMult` (default 2.0) before sentiment flags.
EMA Cross Validation: Fast EMA 8 crossing above/below slow EMA 21 keeps momentum aligned with flow.
Momentum Alignment: Multi-timeframe momentum composite must agree (positive for longs, negative for shorts).
2. Peer Momentum Heatmap
Multi-Timeframe Blend: RSI + Stoch RSI fetched via request.security() on 1H/4H/1D by default.
Composite Scoring: Each timeframe votes +1/-1/0; totals are clamped between -3 and +3.
Intraday Readability: Configurable band thickness (1-5) so scalpers see context without losing space.
Dynamic Opacity: Stronger agreement boosts column opacity for quick bias checks.
3. Trend & Displacement Framework
Dual EMA Ribbon: Cyan/magenta ribbon highlights immediate posture.
HTF Bias: A higher-timeframe EMA (default 55 on 4H) sets macro direction.
Displacement Score: Body-to-ATR ratio (>1.4 default) detects impulses that seed FVGs or VWAP raids.
ATR Normalization: All thresholds float with volatility so the study adapts to assets and regimes.
4. Intelligent Fair Value Gap (FVG) System
Gap Detection: Three-candle logic (bullish: low > high ; bearish: high < low ) with ATR-sized minimums (0.15 × ATR default).
Overlap Prevention: Price-range checks stop redundant boxes.
Spacing Control: `fvgMinSpacing` (default 5) avoids stacking from the same impulse.
Storage Caps: Max three FVGs per side unless the user widens the limit.
Session Awareness: Kill zone filters keep taps focused on London/NY if desired.
Auto Cleanup: Boxes delete when price closes beyond their invalidation level.
5. VWAP Magnet + Liquidity Raid Engine
Session or Rolling VWAP: Toggle resets to match intraday or rolling preferences.
Equal High/Low Scanner: Looks back 20 bars by default for liquidity pools.
Displacement Filter: ATR multiplier ensures raids represent genuine liquidity sweeps.
Mean Reversion Focus: Signals fire when price displaces back toward VWAP following a raid.
6. Session Range Breakout System
Initial Balance Tracking: First N bars (15 default) define the session box.
Breakout Logic: Requires simultaneous liquidity spikes, nearby FVG activity, and supportive momentum.
Z-Score Volume Filter: >1.5σ by default to filter noisy moves.
7. Lifestyle Liquidity Scanner
Volume Z-Scores: 50-bar baseline highlights statistically significant spikes.
Smart Money Footprints: Bottom-of-chart squares color-code buy vs sell participation.
Panel Memory: HUD logs the last five raid timestamps, direction, and normalized size.
8. Risk Matrix & Diagnostic HUD
HUD Structure: Table in the top-right summarizes HTF bias, sentiment, momentum, range state, liquidity memory, and current risk references.
Signal Tags: Aggregates SPS, FVG, VWAP, Range, and Liquidity states into a compact string.
Risk Metrics: Swing-based stops (5-bar lookback) + ATR targets (1.5× default) keep risk transparent.
Signal Families & Alerts
Social Pulse (SPS): Volume-confirmed sentiment alignment; triangle markers with “SPS”.
Kill-Zone FVG: Session + HTF alignment + FVG tap; arrow markers plus SL/TP labels.
Local FVG: Captures local reversals when HTF bias has not flipped yet.
VWAP Raid: Equal-high/low raids that snap toward VWAP; “VWAP” label markers.
Range Breakout: Initial balance violations with liquidity and imbalance confirmation; circle markers.
Liquidity Spike: Z-score spikes ≥ threshold; square markers along the baseline.
Visual Design & Customization
Theme Palette: Primary background RGB (12,6,24). Accent shading RGB (26,10,48). Long accents RGB (88,174,255). Short accents RGB (219,109,255).
Stylized Candles: Optional overlay using theme colors.
Signal Toggles: Independently enable markers, heatmap, and diagnostics.
Label Spacing: Auto-spacing enforces ≥4-bar gaps to prevent text overlap.
Customization & Workflow Notes
Adjust ATR/FVG thresholds when volatility shifts.
Re-anchor sentiment to your webhook cadence; EMA smoothing (default 5) dampens noise.
Reposition the HUD by editing the `table.new` coordinates.
Use multiples of the chart timeframe for HTF requests to minimize load.
Session inputs accept exchange-local time; align them to your market.
Performance & Compliance
Pure Pine v6: Single-line statements, no `lookahead_on`.
Resource Safe: Arrays trimmed, boxes limited, `request.security` cached.
Repaint Awareness: Signals confirm on close; alerts mirror on-chart logic.
Runtime Safety: Arrays/loops guard against `na`.
Use Cases
Measure when social sentiment aligns with structure.
Plan ICT-style intraday rebalances around session-specific FVG taps.
Fade VWAP raids when displacement shows exhaustion.
Watch initial balance breaks backed by statistical volume.
Keep risk/target references anchored in ATR logic.
Signal Logic Snapshot
Social Pulse Long/Short: `sentimentEMA` gated by `sentimentMin`, `volSpike`, EMA 8/21 cross, and `momoComposite` sign agreement. Keeps hype tied to structural follow-through.
Kill-Zone FVG Long/Short: Requires session filter, HTF EMA bias alignment, and an active FVG tap (`bullFvgTap` / `bearFvgTap`). Labels include swing stops + ATR targets pulled from `swingLookback` and `liqTargetMultiple`.
Local FVG Long/Short: Uses `localBullish` / `localBearish` heuristics (EMA slope, displacement, sequential closes) to surface intraday reversals even when HTF bias has not flipped.
VWAP Raids: Detect equal-high/equal-low sweeps (`raidHigh`, `raidLow`) that revert toward `sessionVwap` or rolling VWAP when displacement exceeds `vwapAlertDisplace`.
Range Breakouts: Combine `rangeComplete`, breakout confirmation, liquidity spikes, and nearby FVG activity for statistically backed initial balance breaks.
Liquidity Spikes: Volume Z-score > `zScoreThreshold` logs direction, size, and timestamp for the HUD and optional review workflows.
Session Logic & VWAP Handling
Kill zone + NY session inputs use TradingView’s session strings; `f_inSession()` drives both visual shading and whether FVG taps are tradeable when `killZoneOnly` is true.
Session VWAP resets using cumulative price × volume sums that restart when the daily timestamp changes; rolling VWAP falls back to `ta.vwap(hlc3)` for instruments where daily resets are less relevant.
Initial balance box (`rangeBars` input) locks once complete, extends forward, and stays on chart to contextualize later liquidity raids or breakouts.
Parameter Reference
Trend: `emaFastLen`, `emaSlowLen`, `htfResolution`, `htfEmaLen`, `showEmaRibbon`, `showHtfBiasLine`.
Momentum: `tf1`, `tf2`, `tf3`, `rsiLen`, `stochLen`, `stochSmooth`, `heatmapHeight`.
Volume/Liquidity: `volLookback`, `volSpikeMult`, `zScoreLen`, `zScoreThreshold`, `equalLookback`.
VWAP & Sessions: `vwapMode`, `showVwapLine`, `vwapAlertDisplace`, `killSession`, `nySession`, `showSessionShade`, `rangeBars`.
FVG/Risk: `fvgMinTicks`, `fvgLookback`, `fvgMinSpacing`, `killZoneOnly`, `liqTargetMultiple`, `swingLookback`.
Visualization Toggles: `showSignalMarkers`, `showHeatmapBand`, `showInfoPanel`, `showStylizedCandles`.
Workflow Recipes
Kill-Zone Continuation: During the defined kill session, look for `killFvgLong` or `killFvgShort` arrows that line up with `sentimentValid` and positive `momoComposite`. Use the HUD’s risk readout to confirm SL/TP distances before entering.
VWAP Raid Fade: Outside kill zone, track `raidToVwapLong/Short`. Confirm the candle body exceeds the displacement multiplier, and price crosses back toward VWAP before considering reversions.
Range Break Monitor: After the initial balance locks, mark `rangeBreakLong/Short` circles only when the momentum band is >0 or <0 respectively and a fresh FVG box sits near price.
Liquidity Spike Review: When the HUD shows “Liquidity” timestamps, hover the plotted squares at chart bottom to see whether spikes were buy/sell oriented and if local FVGs formed immediately after.
Metadata
Author: officialjackofalltrades
Platform: TradingView (Pine Script v6)
Category: Sentiment + Liquidity Intelligence
Hope you Enjoy!
Session Markers - JDK AnalysisSession Markers is a tool designed to study how markets behave during specific, recurring time windows. Many traders know that price behaves differently depending on the day of the week, the time of the day, or particular market sessions such as the weekly open, the London session, or the New York open. This indicator makes those recurring windows visible on the chart and then analyzes what price typically does inside them. The result is a clear statistical understanding of how a chosen session behaves, both in direction and in strength.
The script works by allowing the trader to define any time window using a start day and time and an end day and time. Every time this window occurs on the chart, the indicator highlights it with a full-height vertical band. These visual markers reveal patterns that are otherwise difficult to detect manually, such as whether certain sessions tend to trend, reverse, consolidate, or create large imbalances. They also help the trader quickly scan through historical price action to see how the market has behaved under similar conditions.
For every completed session window, the indicator measures how much price changed from the moment the window began to the moment it ended. Instead of using raw price differences, it converts these changes into percentage moves. This makes the measurement consistent across different price ranges and market regimes. A one-percent move always has the same meaning, whether the asset is trading at 100 or 50,000. These percentage moves are collected for a user-selected number of past sessions, creating a dataset of how the market has behaved in the chosen time window.
Based on this dataset, the indicator generates several statistics. It counts how many past sessions closed higher and how many closed lower, producing a directional tendency. It also computes the probability of an upward session by dividing the number of positive sessions by the total. More importantly, it calculates the average percentage movement for all sessions in the lookback period. This average move reflects not just the direction but also the magnitude of price changes. A session with frequent small upward moves but occasional large downward moves will show a negative average movement, even if more sessions ended positive. This creates a more realistic representation of true market behavior.
Using this average movement, the script determines a “Bias” for the session. If the average percentage move is positive, the bias is considered bullish. If it is negative, the bias is bearish. If the values are very close to zero, the bias is neutral. This way, the indicator takes both frequency and impact into account, producing a magnitude-aware assessment instead of one that only counts wins and losses. A sequence such as +5%, –1% results in a bullish bias because the overall impact is strongly positive. On the other hand, a series of small gains followed by a large drop produces a bearish bias even if more sessions ended positive, because the large move dominates the average. This provides a far more truthful picture of what the market tends to do during the chosen window.
All relevant statistics are displayed neatly in a small panel in the top-right corner of the chart. The panel updates in real time as new sessions complete and older ones fall out of the lookback range. It shows how many sessions were analyzed, how many ended up or down, the probability of an upward move, the average percentage change, and the final bias. The background color of the panel instantly reflects that bias, making it easy to interpret at a glance.
To use the tool effectively, the trader simply needs to define a time window of interest. This could be something like the weekly opening window from Sunday to Monday, the London open each day, or even a unique custom window. After selecting how many past sessions to analyze, the indicator takes care of the rest. The vertical session markers reveal the structure visually. The statistics summarize the historical behavior objectively. The magnitude-weighted bias provides a realistic indication of whether the window tends to produce upward or downward movement on average.
Session Markers is helpful because it translates repeated market timing behavior into measurable data. It exposes hidden tendencies that are easy to feel intuitively but hard to quantify manually. By analyzing both direction and magnitude, it prevents misleading interpretations that can arise from looking only at win rates. It helps traders understand whether a session typically produces meaningful moves or just small noise, whether it tends to trend or reverse, and whether its behavior has recently changed. Whether used for bias building, session filtering, or deeper market research, it offers a structured framework for understanding the market through time-based patterns.
Trend Engine [MMT]The Trend Engine is a versatile Pine Script indicator designed to identify trend direction, potential reversals, and key price levels using a combination of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), and Anchored Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP). This indicator provides traders with a clear visual representation of market bias, momentum, and key support/resistance levels, making it suitable for both trend-following and pullback trading strategies.
Key Features:
1. EMA Cloud System:
- Displays three customizable EMAs (Fast, Pullback, and Slow) with configurable lengths and visibility.
- Creates two cloud fills:
- Fast Cloud : Between the Fast EMA (default: 8) and Pullback EMA (default: 13).
- Slow Cloud : Between the Pullback EMA and Slow EMA (default: 21).
- Clouds are color-coded (green for bullish, red for bearish) based on EMA alignment, with adjustable transparency for clarity.
2. Bias EMA:
- A longer-term EMA (default: 35) indicates the overall market bias.
- Changes color based on whether the regular candle close is above (green) or below (red) the Bias EMA, providing a clear trend direction signal.
3. Heikin Ashi Signals:
- Utilizes Heikin Ashi candles to detect strong bullish or bearish momentum.
- Generates buy/sell signals when a Heikin Ashi candle confirms a trend (bullish HA candle closing above Bias EMA for buy, bearish HA candle closing below for sell).
- Signal arrows are currently disabled but can be enabled via settings for visual confirmation.
4. Anchored VWAP and Standard VWAP:
- Plots both a standard VWAP and an Anchored VWAP (anchored to the US RTH session, 09:30–16:00 EST).
- Customizable line styles (solid, cross, or circles) and colors for both VWAPs, aiding in identifying dynamic support/resistance levels.
5. Background and Candle Coloring:
- Optional background coloring reflects the market bias (green for bullish, red for bearish) based on the regular close relative to the Bias EMA.
- Optional Heikin Ashi candle coloring to visually distinguish bullish and bearish market conditions.
6. Regular Candle Close:
- Option to plot the regular (non-Heikin Ashi) close price with customizable styles (line, circles, or cross) for reference.
7. Alerts:
- Built-in alert conditions for bullish and bearish signals, allowing traders to receive notifications when a Heikin Ashi candle confirms a trend relative to the Bias EMA.
How to Use:
- Trend Identification : Use the Bias EMA and background color to determine the overall market direction.
- Pullback Trading : Monitor the EMA clouds for alignment (bullish or bearish) and use the Pullback EMA for entries during retracements.
- Support/Resistance : Leverage the VWAP and Anchored VWAP as dynamic levels for trade entries or exits.
- Signal Confirmation : Enable signal arrows (when fixed) to spot high-probability trend continuation or reversal setups.
- Customization : Adjust EMA lengths, colors, transparency, and visibility to suit your trading style and timeframe.
Settings:
- EMA Cloud : Customize lengths (default: 8, 13, 21), visibility, and cloud colors/transparency.
- Bias EMA : Adjust length (default: 35) and colors for above/below states.
- VWAP : Toggle standard and Anchored VWAP, with customizable styles and colors.
- Background/Candles : Enable/disable background and candle coloring for visual clarity.
- Regular Close : Show/hide the regular close price with style options.
Notes:
- Designed for use on any timeframe, but most effective on intraday (e.g., 5m, 15m) or daily charts.
- Best used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for confirmation.
- Anchored VWAP is tailored for US markets (RTH session) but can be adjusted for other sessions by modifying the anchor time in the code.
Ideal For:
- Day traders and swing traders looking for trend direction and pullback opportunities.
- Traders using VWAP-based strategies for intraday support/resistance.
- Those seeking a clean, customizable visual aid for market bias and momentum.
This indicator is a powerful tool for traders aiming to capture trends and manage risk effectively, with extensive customization to adapt to various markets and trading styles.
LibWghtLibrary "LibWght"
This is a library of mathematical and statistical functions
designed for quantitative analysis in Pine Script. Its core
principle is the integration of a custom weighting series
(e.g., volume) into a wide array of standard technical
analysis calculations.
Key Capabilities:
1. **Universal Weighting:** All exported functions accept a `weight`
parameter. This allows standard calculations (like moving
averages, RSI, and standard deviation) to be influenced by an
external data series, such as volume or tick count.
2. **Weighted Averages and Indicators:** Includes a comprehensive
collection of weighted functions:
- **Moving Averages:** `wSma`, `wEma`, `wWma`, `wRma` (Wilder's),
`wHma` (Hull), and `wLSma` (Least Squares / Linear Regression).
- **Oscillators & Ranges:** `wRsi`, `wAtr` (Average True Range),
`wTr` (True Range), and `wR` (High-Low Range).
3. **Volatility Decomposition:** Provides functions to decompose
total variance into distinct components for market analysis.
- **Two-Way Decomposition (`wTotVar`):** Separates variance into
**between-bar** (directional) and **within-bar** (noise)
components.
- **Three-Way Decomposition (`wLRTotVar`):** Decomposes variance
relative to a linear regression into **Trend** (explained by
the LR slope), **Residual** (mean-reversion around the
LR line), and **Within-Bar** (noise) components.
- **Local Volatility (`wLRLocTotStdDev`):** Measures the total
"noise" (within-bar + residual) around the trend line.
4. **Weighted Statistics and Regression:** Provides a robust
function for Weighted Linear Regression (`wLinReg`) and a
full suite of related statistical measures:
- **Between-Bar Stats:** `wBtwVar`, `wBtwStdDev`, `wBtwStdErr`.
- **Residual Stats:** `wResVar`, `wResStdDev`, `wResStdErr`.
5. **Fallback Mechanism:** All functions are designed for reliability.
If the total weight over the lookback period is zero (e.g., in
a no-volume period), the algorithms automatically fall back to
their unweighted, uniform-weight equivalents (e.g., `wSma`
becomes a standard `ta.sma`), preventing errors and ensuring
continuous calculation.
---
**DISCLAIMER**
This library is provided "AS IS" and for informational and
educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial,
investment, or trading advice.
The author assumes no liability for any errors, inaccuracies,
or omissions in the code. Using this library to build
trading indicators or strategies is entirely at your own risk.
As a developer using this library, you are solely responsible
for the rigorous testing, validation, and performance of any
scripts you create based on these functions. The author shall
not be held liable for any financial losses incurred directly
or indirectly from the use of this library or any scripts
derived from it.
wSma(source, weight, length)
Weighted Simple Moving Average (linear kernel).
Parameters:
source (float) : series float Data to average.
weight (float) : series float Weight series.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 1.
Returns: series float Linear-kernel weighted mean; falls back to
the arithmetic mean if Σweight = 0.
wEma(source, weight, length)
Weighted EMA (exponential kernel).
Parameters:
source (float) : series float Data to average.
weight (float) : series float Weight series.
length (simple int) : simple int Look-back length ≥ 1.
Returns: series float Exponential-kernel weighted mean; falls
back to classic EMA if Σweight = 0.
wWma(source, weight, length)
Weighted WMA (linear kernel).
Parameters:
source (float) : series float Data to average.
weight (float) : series float Weight series.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 1.
Returns: series float Linear-kernel weighted mean; falls back to
classic WMA if Σweight = 0.
wRma(source, weight, length)
Weighted RMA (Wilder kernel, α = 1/len).
Parameters:
source (float) : series float Data to average.
weight (float) : series float Weight series.
length (simple int) : simple int Look-back length ≥ 1.
Returns: series float Wilder-kernel weighted mean; falls back to
classic RMA if Σweight = 0.
wHma(source, weight, length)
Weighted HMA (linear kernel).
Parameters:
source (float) : series float Data to average.
weight (float) : series float Weight series.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 1.
Returns: series float Linear-kernel weighted mean; falls back to
classic HMA if Σweight = 0.
wRsi(source, weight, length)
Weighted Relative Strength Index.
Parameters:
source (float) : series float Price series.
weight (float) : series float Weight series.
length (simple int) : simple int Look-back length ≥ 1.
Returns: series float Weighted RSI; uniform if Σw = 0.
wAtr(tr, weight, length)
Weighted ATR (Average True Range).
Implemented as WRMA on *true range*.
Parameters:
tr (float) : series float True Range series.
weight (float) : series float Weight series.
length (simple int) : simple int Look-back length ≥ 1.
Returns: series float Weighted ATR; uniform weights if Σw = 0.
wTr(tr, weight, length)
Weighted True Range over a window.
Parameters:
tr (float) : series float True Range series.
weight (float) : series float Weight series.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 1.
Returns: series float Weighted mean of TR; uniform if Σw = 0.
wR(r, weight, length)
Weighted High-Low Range over a window.
Parameters:
r (float) : series float High-Low per bar.
weight (float) : series float Weight series.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 1.
Returns: series float Weighted mean of range; uniform if Σw = 0.
wBtwVar(source, weight, length, biased)
Weighted Between Variance (biased/unbiased).
Parameters:
source (float) : series float Data series.
weight (float) : series float Weight series.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 2.
biased (bool) : series bool true → population (biased); false → sample.
Returns:
variance series float The calculated between-bar variance (σ²btw), either biased or unbiased.
sumW series float The sum of weights over the lookback period (Σw).
sumW2 series float The sum of squared weights over the lookback period (Σw²).
wBtwStdDev(source, weight, length, biased)
Weighted Between Standard Deviation.
Parameters:
source (float) : series float Data series.
weight (float) : series float Weight series.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 2.
biased (bool) : series bool true → population (biased); false → sample.
Returns: series float σbtw uniform if Σw = 0.
wBtwStdErr(source, weight, length, biased)
Weighted Between Standard Error.
Parameters:
source (float) : series float Data series.
weight (float) : series float Weight series.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 2.
biased (bool) : series bool true → population (biased); false → sample.
Returns: series float √(σ²btw / N_eff) uniform if Σw = 0.
wTotVar(mu, sigma, weight, length, biased)
Weighted Total Variance (= between-group + within-group).
Useful when each bar represents an aggregate with its own
mean* and pre-estimated σ (e.g., second-level ranges inside a
1-minute bar). Assumes the *weight* series applies to both the
group means and their σ estimates.
Parameters:
mu (float) : series float Group means (e.g., HL2 of 1-second bars).
sigma (float) : series float Pre-estimated σ of each group (same basis).
weight (float) : series float Weight series (volume, ticks, …).
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 2.
biased (bool) : series bool true → population (biased); false → sample.
Returns:
varBtw series float The between-bar variance component (σ²btw).
varWtn series float The within-bar variance component (σ²wtn).
sumW series float The sum of weights over the lookback period (Σw).
sumW2 series float The sum of squared weights over the lookback period (Σw²).
wTotStdDev(mu, sigma, weight, length, biased)
Weighted Total Standard Deviation.
Parameters:
mu (float) : series float Group means (e.g., HL2 of 1-second bars).
sigma (float) : series float Pre-estimated σ of each group (same basis).
weight (float) : series float Weight series (volume, ticks, …).
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 2.
biased (bool) : series bool true → population (biased); false → sample.
Returns: series float σtot.
wTotStdErr(mu, sigma, weight, length, biased)
Weighted Total Standard Error.
SE = √( total variance / N_eff ) with the same effective sample
size logic as `wster()`.
Parameters:
mu (float) : series float Group means (e.g., HL2 of 1-second bars).
sigma (float) : series float Pre-estimated σ of each group (same basis).
weight (float) : series float Weight series (volume, ticks, …).
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 2.
biased (bool) : series bool true → population (biased); false → sample.
Returns: series float √(σ²tot / N_eff).
wLinReg(source, weight, length)
Weighted Linear Regression.
Parameters:
source (float) : series float Data series.
weight (float) : series float Weight series.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 2.
Returns:
mid series float The estimated value of the regression line at the most recent bar.
slope series float The slope of the regression line.
intercept series float The intercept of the regression line.
wResVar(source, weight, midLine, slope, length, biased)
Weighted Residual Variance.
linear regression – optionally biased (population) or
unbiased (sample).
Parameters:
source (float) : series float Data series.
weight (float) : series float Weighting series (volume, etc.).
midLine (float) : series float Regression value at the last bar.
slope (float) : series float Slope per bar.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 2.
biased (bool) : series bool true → population variance (σ²_P), denominator ≈ N_eff.
false → sample variance (σ²_S), denominator ≈ N_eff - 2.
(Adjusts for 2 degrees of freedom lost to the regression).
Returns:
variance series float The calculated residual variance (σ²res), either biased or unbiased.
sumW series float The sum of weights over the lookback period (Σw).
sumW2 series float The sum of squared weights over the lookback period (Σw²).
wResStdDev(source, weight, midLine, slope, length, biased)
Weighted Residual Standard Deviation.
Parameters:
source (float) : series float Data series.
weight (float) : series float Weight series.
midLine (float) : series float Regression value at the last bar.
slope (float) : series float Slope per bar.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 2.
biased (bool) : series bool true → population (biased); false → sample.
Returns: series float σres; uniform if Σw = 0.
wResStdErr(source, weight, midLine, slope, length, biased)
Weighted Residual Standard Error.
Parameters:
source (float) : series float Data series.
weight (float) : series float Weight series.
midLine (float) : series float Regression value at the last bar.
slope (float) : series float Slope per bar.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 2.
biased (bool) : series bool true → population (biased); false → sample.
Returns: series float √(σ²res / N_eff); uniform if Σw = 0.
wLRTotVar(mu, sigma, weight, midLine, slope, length, biased)
Weighted Linear-Regression Total Variance **around the
window’s weighted mean μ**.
σ²_tot = E_w ⟶ *within-group variance*
+ Var_w ⟶ *residual variance*
+ Var_w ⟶ *trend variance*
where each bar i in the look-back window contributes
m_i = *mean* (e.g. 1-sec HL2)
σ_i = *sigma* (pre-estimated intrabar σ)
w_i = *weight* (volume, ticks, …)
ŷ_i = b₀ + b₁·x (value of the weighted LR line)
r_i = m_i − ŷ_i (orthogonal residual)
Parameters:
mu (float) : series float Per-bar mean m_i.
sigma (float) : series float Pre-estimated σ_i of each bar.
weight (float) : series float Weight series w_i (≥ 0).
midLine (float) : series float Regression value at the latest bar (ŷₙ₋₁).
slope (float) : series float Slope b₁ of the regression line.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 2.
biased (bool) : series bool true → population; false → sample.
Returns:
varRes series float The residual variance component (σ²res).
varWtn series float The within-bar variance component (σ²wtn).
varTrd series float The trend variance component (σ²trd), explained by the linear regression.
sumW series float The sum of weights over the lookback period (Σw).
sumW2 series float The sum of squared weights over the lookback period (Σw²).
wLRTotStdDev(mu, sigma, weight, midLine, slope, length, biased)
Weighted Linear-Regression Total Standard Deviation.
Parameters:
mu (float) : series float Per-bar mean m_i.
sigma (float) : series float Pre-estimated σ_i of each bar.
weight (float) : series float Weight series w_i (≥ 0).
midLine (float) : series float Regression value at the latest bar (ŷₙ₋₁).
slope (float) : series float Slope b₁ of the regression line.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 2.
biased (bool) : series bool true → population; false → sample.
Returns: series float √(σ²tot).
wLRTotStdErr(mu, sigma, weight, midLine, slope, length, biased)
Weighted Linear-Regression Total Standard Error.
SE = √( σ²_tot / N_eff ) with N_eff = Σw² / Σw² (like in wster()).
Parameters:
mu (float) : series float Per-bar mean m_i.
sigma (float) : series float Pre-estimated σ_i of each bar.
weight (float) : series float Weight series w_i (≥ 0).
midLine (float) : series float Regression value at the latest bar (ŷₙ₋₁).
slope (float) : series float Slope b₁ of the regression line.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 2.
biased (bool) : series bool true → population; false → sample.
Returns: series float √((σ²res, σ²wtn, σ²trd) / N_eff).
wLRLocTotStdDev(mu, sigma, weight, midLine, slope, length, biased)
Weighted Linear-Regression Local Total Standard Deviation.
Measures the total "noise" (within-bar + residual) around the trend.
Parameters:
mu (float) : series float Per-bar mean m_i.
sigma (float) : series float Pre-estimated σ_i of each bar.
weight (float) : series float Weight series w_i (≥ 0).
midLine (float) : series float Regression value at the latest bar (ŷₙ₋₁).
slope (float) : series float Slope b₁ of the regression line.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 2.
biased (bool) : series bool true → population; false → sample.
Returns: series float √(σ²wtn + σ²res).
wLRLocTotStdErr(mu, sigma, weight, midLine, slope, length, biased)
Weighted Linear-Regression Local Total Standard Error.
Parameters:
mu (float) : series float Per-bar mean m_i.
sigma (float) : series float Pre-estimated σ_i of each bar.
weight (float) : series float Weight series w_i (≥ 0).
midLine (float) : series float Regression value at the latest bar (ŷₙ₋₁).
slope (float) : series float Slope b₁ of the regression line.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 2.
biased (bool) : series bool true → population; false → sample.
Returns: series float √((σ²wtn + σ²res) / N_eff).
wLSma(source, weight, length)
Weighted Least Square Moving Average.
Parameters:
source (float) : series float Data series.
weight (float) : series float Weight series.
length (int) : series int Look-back length ≥ 2.
Returns: series float Least square weighted mean. Falls back
to unweighted regression if Σw = 0.
iFVG Strategie by Futures.RobbyiFVG Strategy Checklist by Futures.Robby
Updated: October 27, 2025
Description
This script is a manual checklist designed to help traders evaluate their setups based on the iFVG (Fair Value Gap) strategy. It serves solely as a visual aid and does not perform automatic analysis, signal generation, or trade execution.
How It Works
The script creates an interactive checklist directly on the chart. Traders manually select which criteria are met, and the script calculates a percentage score, displaying it with color coding:
Green (≥ 60%): Good fulfillment of criteria
Orange (40–59%): Partial fulfillment
Red (< 40%): Poor fulfillment
Checklist Criteria
The checklist is divided into two main sections:
1. Trade Criteria (8 Points)
Eight manually selectable criteria to assess setup quality:
Trade im Bias → Trade in Bias: Trade follows the higher timeframe trend (H1/H4/Daily).
BE Level → BE Level: Swing point between entry and target.
Sweep → Sweep: Price hits a key swing before reversing.
Displacement → Displacement: iFVG broken by strong candles.
Leg FVG geschlossen → Leg FVG Closed: No open m1 to m5 FVGs to target.
FVG Reaktion → FVG Reaction: Reaction at FVG during sweep (HTF).
FVG Größe → FVG Size: 6 to 10 points.
Anzahl Kerzen → Number of Candles: Maximum of 6 candles.
2. Goals (1 Point)
Six optional goal conditions, counted together as 1 point:
Equal H / L → Equal High/Low
Session H / L → Session High/Low
News H / L → News High/Low
HTF Swing Point → HTF Swing Point
HTF OB → HTF Order Block
HTF FVG → HTF FVG
Settings and Customization
The script’s settings are translated as follows:
Group: Trade Criteria
Trade im Bias → Trade in Bias
Tooltip: Trendrichtung folgt HTF (H1/H4/Täglich) – Trend follows HTF direction
BE Level → BE Level
Tooltip: Swingpunkt zwischen Einstieg und Ziel – Swing point between entry and target
Sweep → Sweep
Tooltip: Kurs erreicht markanten Swing – Price hits key swing before inverse
Displacement → Displacement
Tooltip: iFVG durch starke Kerzen gebrochen – iFVG broken by strong candles
Leg FVG geschlossen → Leg FVG Closed
Tooltip: Keine offenen m1 bis m5 FVGs bis Ziel – No open m1 to m5 FVGs to target
FVG Reaktion → FVG Reaction
Tooltip: Reaktion an FVG beim Sweep (HTF) – Reaction at FVG during sweep (HTF)
FVG Größe → FVG Size
Tooltip: 6 bis 10 Punkte – 6 to 10 points
Anzahl Kerzen → Number of Candles
Tooltip: Maximal 6 Kerzen – Maximum of 6 candles
Group: Goals
Equal H / L → Equal High/Low
Session H / L → Session High/Low
News H / L → News High/Low
HTF Swing Point → HTF Swing Point
HTF OB → HTF Order Block
HTF FVG → HTF FVG
ℹ️ Ziele zählen gemeinsam als 1 Punkt → ℹ️ Goals count together as 1 point
Window Position & Size
Fensterposition → Window Position
oben rechts → top right
oben links → top left
unten rechts → bottom right
unten links → bottom left
Tabellengröße → Table Size
normal → normal
small → small
tiny → tiny
Translation of Chart Table Contents
The table headers and entries on the chart are translated as follows:
Table Headers:
Trade Checkliste → Trade Checklist
Ziele → Goals
Status Symbols:
✅ → ✅ (Fulfilled)
❌ → ❌ (Not fulfilled)
Individual Criteria (Trade Criteria):
Trade im Bias → Trade in Bias
BE Level → BE Level
Sweep → Sweep
Displacement → Displacement
Leg FVG geschlossen → Leg FVG Closed
FVG Reaktion → FVG Reaction
FVG Größe → FVG Size
Anzahl Kerzen → Number of Candles
Individual Criteria (Goals):
Equal H / L → Equal High/Low
Session H / L → Session High/Low
News H / L → News High/Low
HTF Swing Point → HTF Swing Point
HTF OB → HTF Order Block
HTF FVG → HTF FVG
Note Line:
Ziele zählen gemeinsam als 1 Punkt → Goals count together as 1 point
Important Note
This tool is not an automated indicator, but a visual decision aid for traders who want to apply their strategy in a structured and conscious way.
ATM Strike Line with Call & Put Premiums (ARJO)This indicator is designed specifically for the Indian market (NSE) and helps traders visualize the At-The-Money (ATM) strike line along with real-time Call (CE) and Put (PE) option premiums.
Key Features
Automatic ATM Detection: The script automatically identifies the ATM strike based on the underlying price, with an option for manual input.
Dynamic Expiry Control: Select expiry date easily (Year, Month, Day) in YYMMDD format.
Flexible Timeframe Support: Choose between the chart’s current timeframe or custom intervals.
Smart Symbol & Strike Interval: Automatically adapts to the selected underlying symbol (e.g., NIFTY, BANKNIFTY, RELIANCE, etc.) or allows manual setup.
Visual Representation:
ATM line plotted clearly on the chart.
CE and PE premium labels are displayed on each side of the ATM line.
ATM strike price label shown at the center.
Call–Put Volume Ratio (CPVR): Displays the live CPVR value to quickly assess market sentiment.
CPVR Interpretation
Bullish Bias: CPVR ≥ 1.25
Bearish Bias: CPVR ≤ 0.75
Neutral Zone: Between 0.75 and 1.25
⚙️ Customization
Adjustable colors for ATM line, CE/PE labels, and CPVR.
Option to manually select strike, symbol, and interval for maximum flexibility.
This tool may help to track option sentiment directly on the price chart, making it ideal for option traders and intraday analysts focusing on NIFTY, BANKNIFTY, and other NSE stocks.
Happy Trading. ARJO
Aurum DCX AVE Gold and Silver StrategySummary in one paragraph
Aurum DCX AVE is a volatility break strategy for gold and silver on intraday and swing timeframes. It aligns a new Directional Convexity Index with an Adaptive Volatility Envelope and an optional USD/DXY bias so trades appear only when direction quality and expansion agree. It is original because it fuses three pieces rarely combined in one model for metals: a convexity aware trend strength score, a percentile based envelope that widens with regime heat, and an intermarket DXY filter.
Scope and intent
• Markets. Gold and silver futures or spot, other liquid commodities, major indices
• Timeframes. Five minutes to one day. Defaults to 30min for swing pace
• Default demo used in this publication. TVC:GOLD on 30m
• Purpose. Enter confirmed volatility breaks while muting chop using regime heat and USD bias
• Limits. This is a strategy. Orders are simulated on standard candles only
Originality and usefulness
• Unique fusion. DCX combines DI strength with path efficiency and curvature. AVE blends ATR with a high TR percentile and widens with DCX heat. DXY adds an intermarket bias
• Failure mode addressed. False starts inside compression and unconfirmed breakouts during USD swings
• Testability. Each component has a named input. Entry names L and S are visible in the list of trades
• Portable yardstick. Weekly ATR for stops and R multiples for targets
• Open source. Method and implementation are disclosed for community review
Method overview in plain language
You score direction quality with DCX, size an adaptive envelope with a blend of ATR and a high TR percentile, and only allow breaks that clear the band while DCX is above a heat threshold in the same direction. An optional DXY filter favors long when USD weakens and short when USD strengthens. Orders are bracketed with a Weekly ATR stop and an R multiple target, with optional trailing to the envelope.
Base measures
• Range basis. True Range and ATR over user windows. A high TR percentile captures expansion tails used by AVE
• Return basis. Not required
Components
• Directional Convexity Index DCX. Measures directional strength with DX, multiplies by path efficiency, blends a curvature term from acceleration, scales to 0 to 100, and uses a rise window
• Adaptive Volatility Envelope AVE. Midline ALMA or HMA or EMA plus bands sized by a blend of ATR and a high TR percentile. The blend weight follows volatility of volatility. Band width widens with DCX heat
• DXY Bias optional. Daily EMA trend of DXY. Long bias when USD weakens. Short bias when USD strengthens
• Risk block. Initial stop equals Weekly ATR times a multiplier. Target equals an R multiple of the initial risk. Optional trailing to AVE band
Fusion rule
• All gates must pass. DCX above threshold and rising. Directional lead agrees. Price breaks the AVE band in the same direction. DXY bias agrees when enabled
Signal rule
• Long. Close above AVE upper and DCX above threshold and DCX rising and plus DI leads and DXY bias is bearish
• Short. Close below AVE lower and DCX above threshold and DCX falling and minus DI leads and DXY bias is bullish
• Exit and flip. Bracket exit at stop or target. Optional trailing to AVE band
Inputs with guidance
Setup
• Symbol. Default TVC:GOLD (Correlation Asset for internal logic)
• Signal timeframe. Blank follows the chart
• Confirm timeframe. Default 1 day used by the bias block
Directional Convexity Index
• DCX window. Typical 10 to 21. Higher filters more. Lower reacts earlier
• DCX rise bars. Typical 3 to 6. Higher demands continuation
• DCX entry threshold. Typical 15 to 35. Higher avoids soft moves
• Efficiency floor. Typical 0.02 to 0.06. Stability in quiet tape
• Convexity weight 0..1. Typical 0.25 to 0.50. Higher gives curvature more influence
Adaptive Volatility Envelope
• AVE window. Typical 24 to 48. Higher smooths more
• Midline type. ALMA or HMA or EMA per preference
• TR percentile 0..100. Typical 75 to 90. Higher favors only strong expansions
• Vol of vol reference. Typical 0.05 to 0.30. Controls how much the percentile term weighs against ATR
• Base envelope mult. Typical 1.4 to 2.2. Width of bands
• Regime adapt 0..1. Typical 0.6 to 0.95. How much DCX heat widens or narrows the bands
Intermarket Bias
• Use DXY bias. Default ON
• DXY timeframe. Default 1 day
• DXY trend window. Typical 10 to 50
Risk
• Risk percent per trade. Reporting field. Keep live risk near one to two percent
• Weekly ATR. Default 14. Basis for stops
• Stop ATR weekly mult. Typical 1.5 to 3.0
• Take profit R multiple. Typical 1.5 to 3.0
• Trail with AVE band. Optional. OFF by default
Properties visible in this publication
• Initial capital. 20000
• Base currency. USD
• request.security lookahead off everywhere
• Commission. 0.03 percent
• Slippage. 5 ticks
• Default order size method percent of equity with value 3% of the total capital available
• Pyramiding 0
• Process orders on close ON
• Bar magnifier ON
• Recalculate after order is filled OFF
• Calc on every tick OFF
Realism and responsible publication
• No performance claims. Past results never guarantee future outcomes
• Shapes can move while a bar forms and settle on close
• Strategies use standard candles for signals and orders only
Honest limitations and failure modes
• Economic releases and thin liquidity can break assumptions behind the expansion logic
• Gap heavy symbols may prefer a longer ATR window
• Very quiet regimes can reduce signal contrast. Consider higher DCX thresholds or wider bands
• Session time follows the exchange of the chart and can change symbol to symbol
• Symbol sensitivity is expected. Use the gates and length inputs to find stable settings
Open source reuse and credits
• None
Mode
Public open source. Source is visible and free to reuse within TradingView House Rules
Legal
Education and research only. Not investment advice. You are responsible for your decisions. Test on historical data and in simulation before any live use. Use realistic costs.
Market Pressure Differential (MPD) [SharpStrat]Market Pressure Differential (MPD)
Concept & Purpose
The Market Pressure Differential (MPD) is a proprietary indicator designed to measure the internal balance of buying and selling pressure directly on the price chart.
Unlike standard momentum or trend indicators, MPD analyzes the structural behavior of each candle—its body, wicks, and overall range—to determine whether the market is dominated by expansion (buying aggression) or contraction (selling absorption).
This indicator provides a visual overlay of market pressure that adapts dynamically to volatility, helping traders see real-time shifts in participation intensity without using oscillators.
In simple terms:
When MPD expands upward → buyer pressure dominates.
When MPD contracts downward → seller pressure dominates.
Calculation Overview
MPD uses a structural candle formula to compute directional pressure:
Body Ratio = (Close − Open) / (High − Low)
Wick Differential = (Lower Wick − Upper Wick) / (High − Low)
Raw Pressure = (Body Ratio × Body Weight) + (Wick Differential × Wick Weight)
Then it applies:
EMA smoothing (to stabilize short-term noise)
Standard deviation normalization (to maintain consistent scaling)
ATR projection (to adapt the signal visually to volatility)
This produces the MPD projection line and the pressure ribbon, drawn directly on the main chart.
Customizable Inputs
Users can adjust color schemes, EMA smoothing length, ATR parameters, normalization length, and body/wick weighting to adapt the indicator’s sensitivity and aesthetic to different markets or chart themes.
How to Use
The Market Pressure Differential (MPD) visualizes the real-time balance between buying and selling pressure. It should be used as a contextual bias tool, not a standalone signal generator.
The white line represents the MPD projection, showing how market pressure evolves in real time based on candle structure and volatility.
The red line represents the ATR envelope, which defines the market’s expected volatility range.
MPD reacts quickly to candle structure, so trend bias is based on how its projection behaves relative to the ATR envelope:
Above the ATR band → positive pressure and bullish bias.
Below the ATR band → negative pressure and bearish bias.
Hovering near the ATR band → neutral or indecisive conditions.
The MPD percentage in the label represents the normalized strength of pressure relative to recent volatility.
Positive % = buying dominance.
Negative % = selling dominance.
Higher absolute values = stronger momentum compared to volatility.
To trade with MPD:
Watch candle colors and the projection line — green or positive % shows buyer control, red or negative % shows seller control.
Note transitions above or below the ATR level for early signs of momentum shifts.
Combine MPD signals with price structure, key levels, or volume for confirmation.
This helps reveal which side controls the market and whether that pressure is strong enough to overcome typical volatility.
Disclaimer
It introduces a novel structural–pressure approach to visualizing market dynamics.
For educational and analytical purposes only; this does not constitute financial advice.
EMA 50/200/100 [NevoxCore]⯁ OVERVIEW
EMA 50/200/100 is a clean EMA trio for trend mapping.
It highlights the classic 50/200 bias, keeps a constant EMA-100 anchor in white, plots cross dots, and can mark the first pullback back to a target EMA within an ATR tolerance.
Solid bias bar coloring (Nevox pink/orange or classic green/red) and compact visuals make it fast and reliable with no repainting.
⯁ HOW IT WORKS
Calculates Fast EMA 50, Slow EMA 200, and an always-on EMA 100 (white).
Bias = Fast vs. Slow: Fast > Slow → long regime; Fast < Slow → short regime.
Cross dots appear at confirmed 50/200 crosses (once per bar close).
First Pullback: after a cross, the script arms a window and marks the first return to the chosen EMA (100 or Fast) within ATR × tolerance.
Bar coloring is solid by regime (pink/orange by default, classic green/red when enabled).
No lookahead; signals confirm on bar close.
⯁ KEY FEATURES
• EMA 50/200 with EMA-100 anchor (always visible, white)
• Cross Up/Down dots (style-configurable)
• First Pullback marker (toggle) with ATR tolerance & window
• Solid bias bar coloring (Nevox or classic)
• Optional bias fill between Fast/Slow
• Minimal 1-cell HUD (OFF by default)
• Ready-made alerts with clean prefixes
⯁ SETTINGS (quick)
Visual: Classic colors toggle; Bias Fill (ON); Fill Transparency (85); Bar Color (solid, ON; auto-disabled when Classic is ON).
Core: Source = Close; EMA Fast = 50; EMA Slow = 200.
Pullback: Show marker (ON); Target EMA = EMA 100; Tolerance × ATR = 0.5; Max Bars After Cross = 40; ATR Length = 14.
HUD: Mini HUD OFF; Position selector.
Status Line: OFF by default (optional EMA values).
⯁ ALERTS (built-in)
• Cross Up (Fast above Slow) — confirmed at bar close
• Cross Down (Fast below Slow) — confirmed at bar close
• First Pullback LONG — first return to target after long cross
• First Pullback SHORT — first return to target after short cross
Prefix: EMA and message includes {{ticker}} {{interval}} @ {{close}}.
Suggested: set TradingView alerts to Once Per Bar Close.
⯁ HOW TO USE
• Read trend quickly: 50 above 200 with a rising 100 = healthy long bias.
• Use the First Pullback to time entries after a cross (default target = EMA 100).
• Tune Tolerance × ATR by symbol/TF; 0.3–0.7 is a good start.
• Keep charts clean: bias fill + barcolor ON; switch to Classic for green/red if preferred.
⯁ WHY IT’S DIFFERENT
It preserves the classic 50/200 logic but adds a consistent EMA-100 anchor, a single, one-shot pullback detector, and clean bias bars — all in a lightweight overlay with no repaint tricks.
⯁ DISCLAIMER
Backtest and paper-trade before using live. Not financial advice. Performance depends on market, timeframe, and parameters.
Z-Score Trend Channels [BackQuant]Z-Score Trend Channels
A self-contained price-statistics framework that turns a rolling z-score into price channels, bias states, and trade markers. Run either trend-following or mean-reversion from the same tool with clear, on-chart context.
What it is
A rolling statistical map that measures how far price is from its recent average in standard-deviation units (z-score).
Adaptive channels drawn in price space from fixed z thresholds, so the rails breathe with volatility.
A simple trend proxy from z-score momentum to separate trending from ranging conditions.
On-chart signals for pullback entries, stretched extremes, and practical exits.
Core idea (plain English math)
Rolling mean and volatility - Over a lookback you get the average price and its standard deviation.
Z-score - How many standard deviations the current price is above or below its average: z = (price - mean) / stdev. z near 0 means near average; positive is above; negative is below.
Noise control - An EMA smooths the raw z to reduce jitter and false flickers.
Channels back in price - Fixed z levels are converted back to price to form the upper, lower, and extreme rails.
Trend proxy - A smoothed change in z is used as a lightweight trend-strength line. Positive strength with positive z favors uptrend; negative strength with negative z favors downtrend.
What you see on the chart
Channels and fills - Mean, upper, lower, and optional extreme lines. The area mean->upper tints with the bearish color, mean->lower tints with the bullish color.
Background tint (optional) - Soft green, red, or neutral based on detected trend state.
Signals - Bullish Entry (triangle up) when z exits the oversold zone upward; Bearish Entry (triangle down) when z exits the overbought zone downward; Extreme markers (diamonds) at the extreme bands with a one-bar turn.
Table - Current z, trend state, trend strength, distance to bands, market state tag, and a quick volatility regime label.
Edge labels - MEAN, OB, and OS labels slightly projected forward with level values.
Inputs you will actually use
Z-Score Period - Lookback for mean and stdev. Larger = slower and steadier rails, smaller = more reactive.
Smoothing Period - EMA on z. Lower = earlier but choppier flips; higher = later but cleaner.
Price Source - Default hlc3. Choose close if you prefer session-close logic.
Upper and Lower Thresholds - Default around +2.0 and -2.0. Tighten for more signals, widen for fewer and stronger.
Extreme Upper and Lower - Deeper stretch guards, e.g., +/- 2.5.
Strength Period - EMA on z momentum. Sets how fast the trend proxy flips.
Trend Threshold - Minimum absolute z to accept a directional bias.
Visual toggles - Channels, signals, background tint, stats table, colors, and optional last-bar trend label.
How to use it: trend-following playbook
Read the state - Uptrend when z > Trend Threshold and trend strength > 0. Downtrend when z < -Trend Threshold and trend strength < 0. Neutral otherwise.
Entries - In an uptrend, prefer Bullish Entry signals that fire near the lower channel. In a downtrend, prefer Bearish Entry signals that fire near the upper channel.
Stops - Conservative: beyond the extreme channel on your side. Tighter: just outside the standard band that framed the signal.
Exits - For longs, exit or trim on a cross back through z = 0 or a clean tag of the upper threshold. For shorts, mirror with z = 0 up-cross or tag of the lower threshold. You can also reduce if trend strength flips against you.
Adds - In strong trends, additional signals near your side’s band can be add points. Avoid adding once z hovers near the opposite band for several bars.
How to use it: mean-reversion playbook
Find stretch - Standard reversions: Bullish Entry when z leaves the oversold zone upward; Bearish Entry when z leaves the overbought zone downward. Aggressive reversions: Extreme markers at extreme bands with a one-bar turn.
Entries - Take the signal as price exits the zone. Prefer setups where trend strength is near zero or tilting against the prior push.
Targets - First target is the mean line. A runner can aim for the opposite standard channel if momentum keeps flipping.
Stops - Outside the extreme band beyond your entry. If fading without extremes, place risk just beyond the opposite standard band.
Filters - Optional: skip counter-trend fades against a very strong trend state unless your risk is tight and predefined.
Reading the stats table
Current Z-Score - Magnitude and sign of displacement now.
Trend State - Uptrend, Downtrend, or Ranging.
Trend Strength - Smoothed z momentum. Higher absolute values imply stronger directional conviction.
Distance to Upper/Lower - Percent distance from price to each band, useful for sizing targets or judging room left.
Market State - Overbought, Oversold, Extreme OB, Extreme OS, or Normal.
Volatility Regime - High, Normal, or Low relative to recent distribution. Expect bands to widen in High and tighten in Low.
Parameter guidance (conceptual)
Z-Score Period - Choose longer for a structural mean, shorter for a reactive mean.
Smoothing Period - Lower for earlier but noisier reads; higher for slower but steadier reads.
Thresholds - Start around +/- 2.0. Tighten for scalping or quiet ranges. Widen for noisy or fast markets.
Trend Threshold and Strength Period - Raise to avoid weak, transient bias. Lower to capture earlier regime shifts.
Practical examples
Trend pullback long - State shows Uptrend. Price tests the lower channel; z dips near or below the lower threshold; a Bullish Entry prints. Stop just below extreme lower; first target mean; keep a runner if trend strength stays positive.
Mean-revert short - State is Ranging. z tags the extreme upper, an Extreme Bearish marker prints, then a Bearish Entry prints on the leave. Stop above extreme upper; target the mean; consider a runner toward the lower channel if strength turns negative.
Potential Questions you might have
Why z-score instead of fixed offsets - Because the bands adapt with volatility. When the tape gets quiet the rails tighten, when it runs hot the rails expand. Your entries stay normalized.
Do I need both modes - No. Many users run only trend pullbacks or only mean-reversions. The tool lets you toggle what you need and keep the chart readable.
Multi-timeframe workflow - A common approach is to set bias from a higher timeframe’s trend state and execute on a lower timeframe’s signals that align with it.
Summary
Z-Score Trend Channels gives you an adaptive mean, volatility-aware rails, a simple trend lens, and clear signals. Trade the trend by buying pullbacks in green and selling pullbacks in red, or fade stretched extremes back to the mean with defined risk. One framework, two strategies, consistent logic.
Momentum Moving Averages | MisinkoMasterThe Momentum Moving Averages (MMA) indicator blends multiple moving averages into a single momentum-scoring framework, helping traders identify whether market conditions are favoring upside momentum or downside momentum.
By comparing faster, more adaptive moving averages (DEMA, TEMA, ALMA, HMA) against a baseline EMA, the MMA produces a cumulative score that reflects the prevailing strength and direction of the trend.
🔎 Methodology
Moving Averages Used
EMA (Exponential Moving Average) → Baseline reference.
DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average) → Reacts faster than EMA.
TEMA (Triple Exponential Moving Average) → Even faster, reduces lag further.
ALMA (Arnaud Legoux Moving Average) → Smooth but adaptive, with adjustable σ and offset.
HMA (Hull Moving Average) → Very responsive, reduces lag, ideal for momentum shifts.
Scoring System
Each comparison is made against the EMA baseline:
If another MA is above EMA → +1 point.
If another MA is below EMA → -1 point.
The total score reflects overall momentum:
Positive score → Bullish bias.
Negative score → Bearish bias.
Trend Logic
Bullish Signal → When the score crosses above 0.1.
Bearish Signal → When the score crosses below -0.1.
Neutral or sideways trends are identified when the score remains between thresholds.
📈 Visualization
All five moving averages are plotted on the chart.
Colors adapt to the current score:
Cyan (Bullish bias) → Positive momentum.
Magenta (Bearish bias) → Negative momentum.
Overlapping fills between MAs highlight zones of convergence/divergence, making momentum shifts visually clear.
⚡ Features
Adjustable length parameter for all MAs.
Adjustable ALMA parameters (sigma and offset).
Cumulative momentum score system to filter false signals.
Works across all markets (crypto, forex, stocks, indices).
Overlay design for direct chart integration.
✅ Use Cases
Trend Confirmation → Ensure alignment with market momentum.
Momentum Shifts → Spot when faster MAs consistently outperform the baseline EMA.
Entry & Exit Filter → Avoid trades when the score is neutral or indecisive.
Divergence Visualizer → Filled zones make it easier to see when MAs begin separating or converging.
Low History Required → Unlike most For Loops, this script does not require that much history, making it less lagging and more responsive
⚠️ Limitations
Works best in trending conditions; performance decreases in sideways/choppy ranges.
Sensitivity of signals depends on chosen length and ALMA settings.
Should not be used as a standalone buy/sell system—combine with volume, structure, or higher timeframe analysis.
RSI/Stochastic with overlays a moving average + Bollinger BandsCompact oscillator panel that lets you switch the base between RSI and Stochastic %K, then overlays a moving average + Bollinger Bands on the oscillator values (not on price) to read momentum strength and squeeze/expansion.
What’s added
Selectable base: RSI ↔ Stochastic %K (plots %D when Stoch is chosen).
MA + BB on oscillator to gauge momentum trend (MA) and volatility (bands).
Adjustable bands 70/50/30 with optional fill, plus optional regular divergence and alerts.
How to read
Bull bias: %K above osc-MA and pushing/closing near Upper BB; confirm with %K > %D.
Bear bias: %K below osc-MA and near Lower BB; confirm with %K < %D.
Squeeze: BB on oscillator tightens → expect momentum breakout.
Overextension: repeated touches of Upper/Lower BB in 70/30 zones → strong trend; watch for %K–%D recross.
Quick settings (start here)
Stoch: 14 / 3 / 3; Bands: 70/50/30.
Osc-MA: EMA 14.
BB on oscillator: StdDev 2.0 (tune 1.5–2.5).
Note
Analysis tool, not financial advice. Backtest across timeframes and use risk management.
PnL Bubble [%] | Fractalyst1. What's the indicator purpose?
The PnL Bubble indicator transforms your strategy's trade PnL percentages into an interactive bubble chart with professional-grade statistics and performance analytics. It helps traders quickly assess system profitability, understand win/loss distribution patterns, identify outliers, and make data-driven strategy improvements.
How does it work?
Think of this indicator as a visual report card for your trading performance. Here's what it does:
What You See
Colorful Bubbles: Each bubble represents one of your trades
Blue/Cyan bubbles = Winning trades (you made money)
Red bubbles = Losing trades (you lost money)
Bigger bubbles = Bigger wins or losses
Smaller bubbles = Smaller wins or losses
How It Organizes Your Trades:
Like a Photo Album: Instead of showing all your trades at once (which would be messy), it shows them in "pages" of 500 trades each:
Page 1: Your first 500 trades
Page 2: Trades 501-1000
Page 3: Trades 1001-1500, etc.
What the Numbers Tell You:
Average Win: How much money you typically make on winning trades
Average Loss: How much money you typically lose on losing trades
Expected Value (EV): Whether your trading system makes money over time
Positive EV = Your system is profitable long-term
Negative EV = Your system loses money long-term
Payoff Ratio (R): How your average win compares to your average loss
R > 1 = Your wins are bigger than your losses
R < 1 = Your losses are bigger than your wins
Why This Matters:
At a Glance: You can instantly see if you're a profitable trader or not
Pattern Recognition: Spot if you have more big wins than big losses
Performance Tracking: Watch how your trading improves over time
Realistic Expectations: Understand what "average" performance looks like for your system
The Cool Visual Effects:
Animation: The bubbles glow and shimmer to make the chart more engaging
Highlighting: Your biggest wins and losses get extra attention with special effects
Tooltips: hover any bubble to see details about that specific trade.
What are the underlying calculations?
The indicator processes trade PnL data using a dual-matrix architecture for optimal performance:
Dual-Matrix System:
• Display Matrix (display_matrix): Bounded to 500 trades for rendering performance
• Statistics Matrix (stats_matrix): Unbounded storage for complete statistical accuracy
Trade Classification & Aggregation:
// Separate wins, losses, and break-even trades
if val > 0.0
pos_sum += val // Sum winning trades
pos_count += 1 // Count winning trades
else if val < 0.0
neg_sum += val // Sum losing trades
neg_count += 1 // Count losing trades
else
zero_count += 1 // Count break-even trades
Statistical Averages:
avg_win = pos_count > 0 ? pos_sum / pos_count : na
avg_loss = neg_count > 0 ? math.abs(neg_sum) / neg_count : na
Win/Loss Rates:
total_obs = pos_count + neg_count + zero_count
win_rate = pos_count / total_obs
loss_rate = neg_count / total_obs
Expected Value (EV):
ev_value = (avg_win × win_rate) - (avg_loss × loss_rate)
Payoff Ratio (R):
R = avg_win ÷ |avg_loss|
Contribution Analysis:
ev_pos_contrib = avg_win × win_rate // Positive EV contribution
ev_neg_contrib = avg_loss × loss_rate // Negative EV contribution
How to integrate with any trading strategy?
Equity Change Tracking Method:
//@version=6
strategy("Your Strategy with Equity Change Export", overlay=true)
float prev_trade_equity = na
float equity_change_pct = na
if barstate.isconfirmed and na(prev_trade_equity)
prev_trade_equity := strategy.equity
trade_just_closed = strategy.closedtrades != strategy.closedtrades
if trade_just_closed and not na(prev_trade_equity)
current_equity = strategy.equity
equity_change_pct := ((current_equity - prev_trade_equity) / prev_trade_equity) * 100
prev_trade_equity := current_equity
else
equity_change_pct := na
plot(equity_change_pct, "Equity Change %", display=display.data_window)
Integration Steps:
1. Add equity tracking code to your strategy
2. Load both strategy and PnL Bubble indicator on the same chart
3. In bubble indicator settings, select your strategy's equity tracking output as data source
4. Configure visualization preferences (colors, effects, page navigation)
How does the pagination system work?
The indicator uses an intelligent pagination system to handle large trade datasets efficiently:
Page Organization:
• Page 1: Trades 1-500 (most recent)
• Page 2: Trades 501-1000
• Page 3: Trades 1001-1500
• Page N: Trades to
Example: With 1,500 trades total (3 pages available):
• User selects Page 1: Shows trades 1-500
• User selects Page 4: Automatically falls back to Page 3 (trades 1001-1500)
5. Understanding the Visual Elements
Bubble Visualization:
• Color Coding: Cyan/blue gradients for wins, red gradients for losses
• Size Mapping: Bubble size proportional to trade magnitude (larger = bigger P&L)
• Priority Rendering: Largest trades displayed first to ensure visibility
• Gradient Effects: Color intensity increases with trade magnitude within each category
Interactive Tooltips:
Each bubble displays quantitative trade information:
tooltip_text = outcome + " | PnL: " + pnl_str +
"\nDate: " + date_str + " " + time_str +
"\nTrade #" + str.tostring(trade_number) + " (Page " + str.tostring(active_page) + ")" +
"\nRank: " + str.tostring(rank) + " of " + str.tostring(n_display_rows) +
"\nPercentile: " + str.tostring(percentile, "#.#") + "%" +
"\nMagnitude: " + str.tostring(magnitude_pct, "#.#") + "%"
Example Tooltip:
Win | PnL: +2.45%
Date: 2024.03.15 14:30
Trade #1,247 (Page 3)
Rank: 5 of 347
Percentile: 98.6%
Magnitude: 85.2%
Reference Lines & Statistics:
• Average Win Line: Horizontal reference showing typical winning trade size
• Average Loss Line: Horizontal reference showing typical losing trade size
• Zero Line: Threshold separating wins from losses
• Statistical Labels: EV, R-Ratio, and contribution analysis displayed on chart
What do the statistical metrics mean?
Expected Value (EV):
Represents the mathematical expectation per trade in percentage terms
EV = (Average Win × Win Rate) - (Average Loss × Loss Rate)
Interpretation:
• EV > 0: Profitable system with positive mathematical expectation
• EV = 0: Break-even system, profitability depends on execution
• EV < 0: Unprofitable system with negative mathematical expectation
Example: EV = +0.34% means you expect +0.34% profit per trade on average
Payoff Ratio (R):
Quantifies the risk-reward relationship of your trading system
R = Average Win ÷ |Average Loss|
Interpretation:
• R > 1.0: Wins are larger than losses on average (favorable risk-reward)
• R = 1.0: Wins and losses are equal in magnitude
• R < 1.0: Losses are larger than wins on average (unfavorable risk-reward)
Example: R = 1.5 means your average win is 50% larger than your average loss
Contribution Analysis (Σ):
Breaks down the components of expected value
Positive Contribution (Σ+) = Average Win × Win Rate
Negative Contribution (Σ-) = Average Loss × Loss Rate
Purpose:
• Shows how much wins contribute to overall expectancy
• Shows how much losses detract from overall expectancy
• Net EV = Σ+ - Σ- (Expected Value per trade)
Example: Σ+: 1.23% means wins contribute +1.23% to expectancy
Example: Σ-: -0.89% means losses drag expectancy by -0.89%
Win/Loss Rates:
Win Rate = Count(Wins) ÷ Total Trades
Loss Rate = Count(Losses) ÷ Total Trades
Shows the probability of winning vs losing trades
Higher win rates don't guarantee profitability if average losses exceed average wins
7. Demo Mode & Synthetic Data Generation
When using built-in sources (close, open, etc.), the indicator generates realistic demo trades for testing:
if isBuiltInSource(source_data)
// Generate random trade outcomes with realistic distribution
u_sign = prand(float(time), float(bar_index))
if u_sign < 0.5
v_push := -1.0 // Loss trade
else
// Skewed distribution favoring smaller wins (realistic)
u_mag = prand(float(time) + 9876.543, float(bar_index) + 321.0)
k = 8.0 // Skewness factor
t = math.pow(u_mag, k)
v_push := 2.5 + t * 8.0 // Win trade
Demo Characteristics:
• Realistic win/loss distribution mimicking actual trading patterns
• Skewed distribution favoring smaller wins over large wins
• Deterministic randomness for consistent demo results
• Includes jitter effects to prevent visual overlap
8. Performance Limitations & Optimizations
Display Constraints:
points_count = 500 // Maximum 500 dots per page for optimal performance
Pine Script v6 Limits:
• Label Count: Maximum 500 labels per indicator
• Line Count: Maximum 100 lines per indicator
• Box Count: Maximum 50 boxes per indicator
• Matrix Size: Efficient memory management with dual-matrix system
Optimization Strategies:
• Pagination System: Handle unlimited trades through 500-trade pages
• Priority Rendering: Largest trades displayed first for maximum visibility
• Dual-Matrix Architecture: Separate display (bounded) from statistics (unbounded)
• Smart Fallback: Automatic page clamping prevents empty displays
Impact & Workarounds:
• Visual Limitation: Only 500 trades visible per page
• Statistical Accuracy: Complete dataset used for all calculations
• Navigation: Use page input to browse through entire trade history
• Performance: Smooth operation even with thousands of trades
9. Statistical Accuracy Guarantees
Data Integrity:
• Complete Dataset: Statistics matrix stores ALL trades without limit
• Proper Aggregation: Separate tracking of wins, losses, and break-even trades
• Mathematical Precision: Pine Script v6's enhanced floating-point calculations
• Dual-Matrix System: Display limitations don't affect statistical accuracy
Calculation Validation:
// Verified formulas match standard trading mathematics
avg_win = pos_sum / pos_count // Standard average calculation
win_rate = pos_count / total_obs // Standard probability calculation
ev_value = (avg_win * win_rate) - (avg_loss * loss_rate) // Standard EV formula
Accuracy Features:
• Mathematical Correctness: Formulas follow established trading statistics
• Data Preservation: Complete dataset maintained for all calculations
• Precision Handling: Proper rounding and boundary condition management
• Real-Time Updates: Statistics recalculated on every new trade
10. Advanced Technical Features
Real-Time Animation Engine:
// Shimmer effects with sine wave modulation
offset = math.sin(shimmer_t + phase) * amp
// Dynamic transparency with organic flicker
new_transp = math.min(flicker_limit, math.max(-flicker_limit, cur_transp + dir * flicker_step))
• Sine Wave Shimmer: Dynamic glowing effects on bubbles
• Organic Flicker: Random transparency variations for natural feel
• Extreme Value Highlighting: Special visual treatment for outliers
• Smooth Animations: Tick-based updates for fluid motion
Magnitude-Based Priority Rendering:
// Sort trades by magnitude for optimal visual hierarchy
sort_indices_by_magnitude(values_mat)
• Largest First: Most important trades always visible
• Intelligent Sorting: Custom bubble sort algorithm for trade prioritization
• Performance Optimized: Efficient sorting for real-time updates
• Visual Hierarchy: Ensures critical trades never get hidden
Professional Tooltip System:
• Quantitative Data: Pure numerical information without interpretative language
• Contextual Ranking: Shows trade position within page dataset
• Percentile Analysis: Performance ranking as percentage
• Magnitude Scaling: Relative size compared to page maximum
• Professional Format: Clean, data-focused presentation
11. Quick Start Guide
Step 1: Add Indicator
• Search for "PnL Bubble | Fractalyst" in TradingView indicators
• Add to your chart (works on any timeframe)
Step 2: Configure Data Source
• Demo Mode: Leave source as "close" to see synthetic trading data
• Strategy Mode: Select your strategy's PnL% output as data source
Step 3: Customize Visualization
• Colors: Set positive (cyan), negative (red), and neutral colors
• Page Navigation: Use "Trade Page" input to browse trade history
• Visual Effects: Built-in shimmer and animation effects are enabled by default
Step 4: Analyze Performance
• Study bubble patterns for win/loss distribution
• Review statistical metrics: EV, R-Ratio, Win Rate
• Use tooltips for detailed trade analysis
• Navigate pages to explore full trade history
Step 5: Optimize Strategy
• Identify outlier trades (largest bubbles)
• Analyze risk-reward profile through R-Ratio
• Monitor Expected Value for system profitability
• Use contribution analysis to understand win/loss impact
12. Why Choose PnL Bubble Indicator?
Unique Advantages:
• Advanced Pagination: Handle unlimited trades with smart fallback system
• Dual-Matrix Architecture: Perfect balance of performance and accuracy
• Professional Statistics: Institution-grade metrics with complete data integrity
• Real-Time Animation: Dynamic visual effects for engaging analysis
• Quantitative Tooltips: Pure numerical data without subjective interpretations
• Priority Rendering: Intelligent magnitude-based display ensures critical trades are always visible
Technical Excellence:
• Built with Pine Script v6 for maximum performance and modern features
• Optimized algorithms for smooth operation with large datasets
• Complete statistical accuracy despite display optimizations
• Professional-grade calculations matching institutional trading analytics
Practical Benefits:
• Instantly identify system profitability through visual patterns
• Spot outlier trades and risk management issues
• Understand true risk-reward profile of your strategies
• Make data-driven decisions for strategy optimization
• Professional presentation suitable for performance reporting
Disclaimer & Risk Considerations:
Important: Historical performance metrics, including positive Expected Value (EV), do not guarantee future trading success. Statistical measures are derived from finite sample data and subject to inherent limitations:
• Sample Bias: Historical data may not represent future market conditions or regime changes
• Ergodicity Assumption: Markets are non-stationary; past statistical relationships may break down
• Survivorship Bias: Strategies showing positive historical EV may fail during different market cycles
• Parameter Instability: Optimal parameters identified in backtesting often degrade in forward testing
• Transaction Cost Evolution: Slippage, spreads, and commission structures change over time
• Behavioral Factors: Live trading introduces psychological elements absent in backtesting
• Black Swan Events: Extreme market events can invalidate statistical assumptions instantaneously
CTA-min D1 — Donchian 55/20 Trend Breakout (ATR Risk)What it is
A clean, daily trend-following breakout inspired by classic CTA/Turtle logic. It buys strength and sells weakness, then lets winners run with a channel-based trailing stop. No curve-fitting, no clutter—just rules.
How it trades
Timeframe: Daily (D1)
Entry: Close breaks the previous 55-bar Donchian channel (above for longs, below for shorts).
Exit/Trail: Trailing stop at the 20-bar Donchian channel on the opposite side (no fixed TP).
Risk: Initial stop = ATR(N) × stopMult (ATR is smoothed). Position size risks riskPct% of equity based on stop distance.
Labels: “BUY/SELL” only on the entry bar; “STOP BUY/STOP SELL” only on the exit bar.
Pyramiding: Off (one position at a time).
Regime Alignment with EMAs (recommended filter, not enforced by code)
Add EMA 50 and EMA 200 to the D1 chart.
Long bias: take BUY signals only when EMA50 > EMA200 (bullish regime).
Short bias: take SELL signals only when EMA50 < EMA200 (bearish regime).
Optional: for extra selectivity, require the H4 EMAs (50/200) to align with D1 before acting on a signal.
Inputs
entryN (55), exitN (20), atrLen (20), atrSmooth (10), stopMult (2.0), riskPct (0.5%–1.0% recommended).
Works well on (tested by user)
BTCUSD (Bitcoin), EURUSD, GBPJPY, NAS100/US100, USDJPY, AUDUSD, XAGUSD (Silver), US30 (Dow), JP225 (Nikkei), EURGBP, NZDUSD, EURCHF, USDCHF.
How to use
Apply to D1 charts. Review once per day after the daily close and execute next session open to mirror backtest assumptions. Best used as a portfolio strategy across multiple uncorrelated markets. Use the EMA alignment above as a discretionary regime filter to reduce false breakouts.
Notes
For educational use. Markets involve risk; past performance does not guarantee future results. Use responsible position sizing.
Active PMI Support/Resistance Levels [EdgeTerminal]The PMI Support & Resistance indicator revolutionizes traditional technical analysis by using Pointwise Mutual Information (PMI) - a statistical measure from information theory - to objectively identify support and resistance levels. Unlike conventional methods that rely on visual pattern recognition, this indicator provides mathematically rigorous, quantifiable evidence of price levels where significant market activity occurs.
- The Mathematical Foundation: Pointwise Mutual Information
Pointwise Mutual Information measures how much more likely two events are to occur together compared to if they were statistically independent. In our context:
Event A: Volume spikes occurring (high trading activity)
Event B: Price being at specific levels
The PMI formula calculates: PMI = log(P(A,B) / (P(A) × P(B)))
Where:
P(A,B) = Probability of volume spikes occurring at specific price levels
P(A) = Probability of volume spikes occurring anywhere
P(B) = Probability of price being at specific levels
High PMI scores indicate that volume spikes and certain price levels co-occur much more frequently than random chance would predict, revealing genuine support and resistance zones.
- Why PMI Outperforms Traditional Methods
Subjective interpretation: What one trader sees as significant, another might ignore
Confirmation bias: Tendency to see patterns that confirm existing beliefs
Inconsistent criteria: No standardized definition of "significant" volume or price action
Static analysis: Doesn't adapt to changing market conditions
No strength measurement: Can't quantify how "strong" a level truly is
PMI Advantages:
✅ Objective & Quantifiable: Mathematical proof of significance, not visual guesswork
✅ Statistical Rigor: Levels backed by information theory and probability
✅ Strength Scoring: PMI scores rank levels by statistical significance
✅ Adaptive: Automatically adjusts to different market volatility regimes
✅ Eliminates Bias: Computer-calculated, removing human interpretation errors
✅ Market Structure Aware: Reveals the underlying order flow concentrations
- How It Works
Data Processing Pipeline:
Volume Analysis: Identifies volume spikes using configurable thresholds
Price Binning: Divides price range into discrete levels for analysis
Co-occurrence Calculation: Measures how often volume spikes happen at each price level
PMI Computation: Calculates statistical significance for each price level
Level Filtering: Shows only levels exceeding minimum PMI thresholds
Dynamic Updates: Refreshes levels periodically while maintaining historical traces
Visual System:
Current Levels: Bright, thick lines with PMI scores - your actionable levels
Historical Traces: Faded previous levels showing market structure evolution
Strength Tiers: Line styles indicate PMI strength (solid/dashed/dotted)
Color Coding: Green for support, red for resistance
Info Table: Real-time display of strongest levels with scores
- Indicator Settings:
Core Parameters
Lookback Period (Default: 200)
Lower (50-100): More responsive to recent price action, catches short-term levels
Higher (300-500): Focuses on major historical levels, more stable but less responsive
Best for: Day trading (100-150), Swing trading (200-300), Position trading (400-500)
Volume Spike Threshold (Default: 1.5)
Lower (1.2-1.4): More sensitive, catches smaller volume increases, more levels detected
Higher (2.0-3.0): Only major volume surges count, fewer but stronger signals
Market dependent: High-volume stocks may need higher thresholds (2.0+), low-volume stocks lower (1.2-1.3)
Price Bins (Default: 50)
Lower (20-30): Broader price zones, less precise but captures wider areas
Higher (70-100): More granular levels, precise but may be overly specific
Volatility dependent: High volatility assets benefit from more bins (70+)
Minimum PMI Score (Default: 0.5)
Lower (0.2-0.4): Shows more levels including weaker ones, comprehensive view
Higher (1.0-2.0): Only statistically strong levels, cleaner chart
Progressive filtering: Start with 0.5, increase if too cluttered
Max Levels to Show (Default: 8)
Fewer (3-5): Clean chart focusing on strongest levels only
More (10-15): Comprehensive view but may clutter chart
Strategy dependent: Scalpers prefer fewer (3-5), swing traders more (8-12)
Historical Tracking Settings
Update Frequency (Default: 20 bars)
Lower (5-10): More frequent updates, captures rapid market changes
Higher (50-100): Less frequent updates, focuses on major structural shifts
Timeframe scaling: 1-minute charts need lower frequency (5-10), daily charts higher (50+)
Show Historical Levels (Default: True)
Enables the "breadcrumb trail" effect showing evolution of support/resistance
Disable for cleaner charts focusing only on current levels
Max Historical Marks (Default: 50)
Lower (20-30): Less memory usage, shorter history
Higher (100-200): Longer historical context but more resource intensive
Fade Strength (Default: 0.8)
Lower (0.5-0.6): Historical levels more visible
Higher (0.9-0.95): Historical levels very subtle
Visual Settings
Support/Resistance Colors: Choose colors that contrast well with your chart theme Line Width: Thicker lines (3-4) for better visibility on busy charts Show PMI Scores: Toggle labels showing statistical strength Label Size: Adjust based on screen resolution and chart zoom level
- Most Effective Usage Strategies
For Day Trading:
Setup: Lookback 100-150, Volume Threshold 1.8-2.2, Update Frequency 10-15
Use PMI levels as bounce/rejection points for scalp entries
Higher PMI scores (>1.5) offer better probability setups
Watch for volume spike confirmations at levels
For Swing Trading:
Setup: Lookback 200-300, Volume Threshold 1.5-2.0, Update Frequency 20-30
Enter on pullbacks to high PMI support levels
Target next resistance level with PMI score >1.0
Hold through minor levels, exit at major PMI levels
For Position Trading:
Setup: Lookback 400-500, Volume Threshold 2.0+, Update Frequency 50+
Focus on PMI scores >2.0 for major structural levels
Use for portfolio entry/exit decisions
Combine with fundamental analysis for timing
- Trading Applications:
Entry Strategies:
PMI Bounce Trades
Price approaches high PMI support level (>1.0)
Wait for volume spike confirmation (orange triangles)
Enter long on bullish price action at the level
Stop loss just below the PMI level
Target: Next PMI resistance level
PMI Breakout Trades
Price consolidates near high PMI level
Volume increases (watch for orange triangles)
Enter on decisive break with volume
Previous resistance becomes new support
Target: Next major PMI level
PMI Rejection Trades
Price approaches PMI resistance with momentum
Watch for rejection signals and volume spikes
Enter short on failure to break through
Stop above the PMI level
Target: Next PMI support level
Risk Management:
Stop Loss Placement
Place stops 0.1-0.5% beyond PMI levels (adjust for volatility)
Higher PMI scores warrant tighter stops
Use ATR-based stops for volatile assets
Position Sizing
Larger positions at PMI levels >2.0 (highest conviction)
Smaller positions at PMI levels 0.5-1.0 (lower conviction)
Scale out at multiple PMI targets
- Key Warning Signs & What to Watch For
Red Flags:
🚨 Very Low PMI Scores (<0.3): Weak statistical significance, avoid trading
🚨 No Volume Confirmation: PMI level without recent volume spikes may be stale
🚨 Overcrowded Levels: Too many levels close together suggests poor parameter tuning
🚨 Outdated Levels: Historical traces are reference only, not tradeable
Optimization Tips:
✅ Regular Recalibration: Adjust parameters monthly based on market regime changes
✅ Volume Context: Always check for recent volume activity at PMI levels
✅ Multiple Timeframes: Confirm PMI levels across different timeframes
✅ Market Conditions: Higher thresholds during high volatility periods
Interpreting PMI Scores
PMI Score Ranges:
0.5-1.0: Moderate statistical significance, proceed with caution
1.0-1.5: Good significance, reliable for most trading strategies
1.5-2.0: Strong significance, high-confidence trade setups
2.0+: Very strong significance, institutional-grade levels
Historical Context: The historical trace system shows how support and resistance evolve over time. When current levels align with multiple historical traces, it indicates persistent market memory at those prices, significantly increasing the level's reliability.
Uptrick: Fusion Trend Reversion SystemOverview
The Uptrick: Fusion Trend Reversion System is a multi-layered indicator designed to identify potential price reversals during intraday movement while keeping traders informed of the dominant short-term trend. It blends a composite fair value model with deviation logic and a refined momentum filter using the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This tool was created with scalpers and short-term traders in mind and is especially effective on lower timeframes such as 1-minute, 5-minute, and 15-minute charts where price dislocations and quick momentum shifts are frequent.
Introduction
This indicator is built around the fusion of two classic concepts in technical trading: identifying trend direction and spotting potential reversion points. These are often handled separately, but this system merges them into one process. It starts by computing a fair value price using five moving averages, each with its own mathematical structure and strengths. These include the exponential moving average (EMA), which gives more weight to recent data; the simple moving average (SMA), which gives equal weight to all periods; the weighted moving average (WMA), which progressively increases weight with recency; the Arnaud Legoux moving average (ALMA), known for smoothing without lag; and the volume-weighted average price (VWAP), which factors in volume at each price level.
All five are averaged into a single value — the raw fusion line. This fusion acts as a dynamically balanced centerline that adapts to price conditions with both smoothing and responsiveness. Two additional exponential moving averages are applied to the raw fusion line. One is slower, giving a stable trend reference, and the other is faster, used to define momentum and cloud behavior. These two lines — the fusion slow and fusion fast — form the backbone of trend and signal logic.
Purpose
This system is meant for traders who want to trade reversals without losing sight of the underlying directional bias. Many reversal indicators fail because they act too early or signal too frequently in choppy markets. This script filters out noise through two conditions: price deviation and RSI confirmation. Reversion trades are considered only when the price moves a significant distance from fair value and RSI suggests a legitimate shift in momentum. That filtering process gives the trader a cleaner, higher-quality signal and reduces false entries.
The indicator also visually supports the trader through colored bars, up/down labels, and a filled cloud between the fast and slow fusion lines. These features make the market context immediately visible: whether the trend is up or down, whether a reversal just occurred, and whether price is currently in a high-risk reversion zone.
Originality and Uniqueness
What makes this script different from most reversal systems is the way it combines layers of logic — not just to detect signals, but to qualify and structure them. Rather than relying on a single MA or a raw RSI level, it uses a five-MA fusion to create a baseline fair value that incorporates speed, stability, and volume-awareness.
On top of that, the system introduces a dual-smoothing mechanism. It doesn’t just smooth price once — it creates two layers: one to follow the general trend and another to track faster deviations. This structure lets the script distinguish between continuation moves and possible turning points more effectively than a single-line or single-metric system.
It also uses RSI in a more refined way. Instead of just checking if RSI is overbought or oversold, the script smooths RSI and requires directional confirmation. Beyond that, it includes signal memory. Once a signal is generated, a new one will not appear unless the RSI becomes even more extreme and curls back again. This memory-based gating reduces signal clutter and prevents repetition, a rare feature in similar scripts.
Why these indicators were merged
Each moving average in the fusion serves a specific role. EMA reacts quickly to recent price changes and is often favored in fast-trading strategies. SMA acts as a long-term filter and smooths erratic behavior. WMA blends responsiveness with smoothing in a more balanced way. ALMA focuses on minimizing lag without losing detail, which is helpful in fast markets. VWAP anchors price to real trade volume, giving a sense of where actual positioning is happening.
By combining all five, the script creates a fair value model that doesn’t lean too heavily on one logic type. This fusion is then smoothed into two separate EMAs: one slower (trend layer), one faster (signal layer). The difference between these forms the basis of the trend cloud, which can be toggled on or off visually.
RSI is then used to confirm whether price is reversing with enough force to warrant a trade. The RSI is calculated over a 14-period window and smoothed with a 7-period EMA. The reason for smoothing RSI is to cut down on noise and avoid reacting to short, insignificant spikes. A signal is only considered if price is stretched away from the trend line and the smoothed RSI is in a reversal state — below 30 and rising for bullish setups, above 70 and falling for bearish ones.
Calculations
The script follows this structure:
Calculate EMA, SMA, WMA, ALMA, and VWAP using the same base length
Average the five values to form the raw fusion line
Smooth the raw fusion line with an EMA using sens1 to create the fusion slow line
Smooth the raw fusion line with another EMA using sens2 to create the fusion fast line
If fusion slow is rising and price is above it, trend is bullish
If fusion slow is falling and price is below it, trend is bearish
Calculate RSI over 14 periods
Smooth RSI using a 7-period EMA
Determine deviation as the absolute difference between current price and fusion slow
A raw signal is flagged if deviation exceeds the threshold
A raw signal is flagged if RSI EMA is under 30 and rising (bullish setup)
A raw signal is flagged if RSI EMA is over 70 and falling (bearish setup)
A final signal is confirmed for a bullish setup if RSI EMA is lower than the last bullish signal’s RSI
A final signal is confirmed for a bearish setup if RSI EMA is higher than the last bearish signal’s RSI
Reset the bullish RSI memory if RSI EMA rises above 30
Reset the bearish RSI memory if RSI EMA falls below 70
Store last signal direction and use it for optional bar coloring
Draw the trend cloud between fusion fast and fusion slow using fill()
Show signal labels only if showSignals is enabled
Bar and candle colors reflect either trend slope or last signal direction depending on mode selected
How it works
Once the script is loaded, it builds a fusion line by averaging five different types of moving averages. That line is smoothed twice into a fast and slow version. These two fusion lines form the structure for identifying trend direction and signal areas.
Trend bias is defined by the slope of the slow line. If the slow line is rising and price is above it, the market is considered bullish. If the slow line is falling and price is below it, it’s considered bearish.
Meanwhile, the script monitors how far price has moved from that slow line. If price is stretched beyond a certain distance (set by the threshold), and RSI confirms that momentum is reversing, a raw reversion signal is created. But the script only allows that signal to show if RSI has moved further into oversold or overbought territory than it did at the last signal. This blocks repetitive, weak entries. The memory is cleared only if RSI exits the zone — above 30 for bullish, below 70 for bearish.
Once a signal is accepted, a label is drawn. If the signal toggle is off, no label will be shown regardless of conditions. Bar colors are controlled separately — you can color them based on trend slope or last signal, depending on your selected mode.
Inputs
You can adjust the following settings:
MA Length: Sets the period for all moving averages used in the fusion.
Show Reversion Signals: Turns on the plotting of “Up” and “Down” labels when a reversal is confirmed.
Bar Coloring: Enables or disables colored bars based on trend or signal direction.
Show Trend Cloud: Fills the space between the fusion fast and slow lines to reflect trend bias.
Bar Color Mode: Lets you choose whether bars follow trend logic or last signal direction.
Sens 1: Smoothing speed for the slow fusion line — higher values = slower trend.
Sens 2: Smoothing speed for the fast line — lower values = faster signal response.
Deviation Threshold: Minimum distance price must move from fair value to trigger a signal check.
Features
This indicator offers:
A composite fair value model using five moving average types.
Dual smoothing system with user-defined sensitivity.
Slope-based trend definition tied to price position.
Deviation-triggered signal logic filtered by RSI reversal.
RSI memory system that blocks repetitive signals and resets only when RSI exits overbought or oversold zones.
Real-time tracking of the last signal’s direction for optional bar coloring.
Up/Down labels at signal points, visible only when enabled.
Optional trend cloud between fusion layers, visualizing current market bias.
Full user control over smoothing, threshold, color modes, and visibility.
Conclusion
The Fusion Trend-Reversion System is a tool for short-term traders looking to fade price extremes without ignoring trend bias. It calculates fair value using five diverse moving averages, smooths this into two dynamic layers, and applies strict reversal logic based on RSI deviation and momentum strength. Signals are triggered only when price is stretched and momentum confirms it with increasingly strong behavior. This combination makes the tool suitable for scalping, intraday entries, and fast market environments where precision matters.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, and no tool can predict market behavior with certainty. Use proper risk management and do your own research before making trading decisions.
CDP - Counter-Directional-Pivot🎯 CDP - Counter-Directional-Pivot
📊 Overview
The Counter-Directional-Pivot (CDP) indicator calculates five critical price levels based on the previous day's OHLC data, specifically designed for multi-timeframe analysis. Unlike standard pivot points, CDP levels are calculated using a unique formula that identifies potential reversal zones where price action often changes direction.
⚡ What Makes This Script Original
This implementation solves several technical challenges that existing pivot indicators face:
🔄 Multi-Timeframe Consistency: Values remain identical across all timeframes (1m, 5m, 1h, daily) - a common problem with many pivot implementations
🔒 Intraday Stability: Uses advanced value-locking technology to prevent the "stepping" effect that occurs when pivot lines shift during the trading session
💪 Robust Data Handling: Optimized for both liquid and illiquid stocks with enhanced data synchronization
🧮 CDP Calculation Formula
The indicator calculates five key levels using the previous day's High (H), Low (L), and Close (C):
CDP = (H + L + C) ÷ 3 (Central Decision Point)
AH = 2×CDP + H – 2×L (Anchor High - Strong Resistance)
NH = 2×CDP – L (Near High - Moderate Resistance)
AL = 2×CDP – 2×H + L (Anchor Low - Strong Support)
NL = 2×CDP – H (Near Low - Moderate Support)
✨ Key Features
🎨 Visual Elements
📈 Five Distinct Price Levels: Each with customizable colors and line styles
🏷️ Smart Label System: Shows exact price values for each level
📋 Optional Value Table: Displays all levels in an organized table format
🎯 Clean Chart Display: Minimal visual clutter while maximizing information
⚙️ Technical Advantages
🔐 Session-Locked Values: Prices are locked at market open, preventing intraday shifts
🔄 Multi-Timeframe Sync: Perfect consistency between daily and intraday charts
✅ Data Validation: Built-in checks ensure reliable calculations
🚀 Performance Optimized: Efficient code structure for fast loading
💼 Trading Applications
🔄 Reversal Zones: AH and AL often act as strong turning points
💥 Breakout Confirmation: Price movement beyond these levels signals trend continuation
🛡️ Risk Management: Use levels for stop-loss and take-profit placement
🏗️ Market Structure: Understand daily ranges and potential price targets
📚 How to Use
🚀 Basic Setup
Add the indicator to your chart (works on any timeframe)
Customize colors for easy identification of support/resistance zones
Enable the value table for quick reference of exact price levels
📈 Trading Strategy Examples
🟢 Long Bias: Look for bounces at NL or AL levels
🔴 Short Bias: Watch for rejections at NH or AH levels
💥 Breakout Trading: Enter positions when price decisively breaks through anchor levels
↔️ Range Trading: Use CDP as the central reference point for range-bound markets
🎯 Advanced Strategy Combinations
RSI Integration for Enhanced Signals: 📊
📉 Oversold Bounces: Combine RSI below 30 with price touching AL/NL levels for high-probability long entries
📈 Overbought Rejections: Look for RSI above 70 with price rejecting AH/NH levels for short opportunities
🔍 Divergence Confirmation: When RSI shows bullish divergence at support levels (AL/NL) or bearish divergence at resistance levels (AH/NH), it often signals stronger reversal potential
⚡ Momentum Confluence: RSI crossing 50 while price breaks through CDP can confirm trend direction changes
⚙️ Configuration Options
🎨 Line Customization: Adjust width, style (solid/dashed/dotted), and colors
👁️ Display Preferences: Toggle individual levels, labels, and value table
📍 Table Position: Place the value table anywhere on your chart
🔔 Alert System: Get notifications when price crosses key levels
🔧 Technical Implementation Details
🎯 Data Reliability
The script uses request.security() with lookahead settings to ensure historical accuracy while maintaining real-time functionality. The value-locking mechanism prevents the common issue where pivot levels shift during the trading day.
🔄 Multi-Timeframe Logic
⏰ Intraday Charts: Display previous day's calculated levels as stable horizontal lines
📅 Daily Charts: Show current day's levels based on yesterday's OHLC
🔍 Consistency Check: All timeframes reference the same source data
🤔 Why CDP vs Standard Pivots?
Counter-Directional Pivots often provide more accurate reversal points than traditional pivot calculations because they incorporate the relationship between high/low ranges and closing prices more effectively. The formula creates levels that better reflect market psychology and institutional trading behaviors.
💡 Best Practices
💧 Use on liquid markets for most reliable results
📊 RSI Combination: Add RSI indicator for overbought/oversold confirmation and divergence analysis
📊 Combine with volume analysis for confirmation
🔍 Consider multiple timeframe analysis (daily levels on hourly charts)
📝 Test thoroughly in paper trading before live implementation
💪 Example Market Applications
NASDAQ:AAPL AAPL - Tech stock breakouts through AH levels
$NYSE:SPY SPY - Index trading with CDP range analysis
NASDAQ:TSLA TSLA - Volatile stock reversals at AL/NL levels
⚠️ This indicator is designed for educational and analytical purposes. Always combine with proper risk management and additional technical analysis tools.
Market Strength Buy Sell Indicator [TradeDots]A specialized tool designed to assist traders in evaluating market conditions through a multifaceted analysis of relative performance, beta-adjusted returns, momentum, and volume—allowing you to identify optimal points for long or short trades. By integrating multiple benchmarks (default S&P 500) and percentile-based thresholds, the script provides clear, actionable insights suitable for both day trading and higher-level timeframe assessments.
📝 HOW IT WORKS
1. Multi-Factor Composite Score
Relative Performance (RS Ratio): Compares your asset’s performance to a chosen benchmark (default: SPY). Values above 1.0 indicate outperformance, while below 1.0 suggest underperformance.
Beta-Adjusted Returns: Checks the ticker’s excess movement relative to expected market-related moves. This helps distinguish pure “alpha” from broad market effects.
Volume & Correlation: Volume spikes often confirm the momentum behind a move, while correlation measures how closely the asset tracks or diverges from its benchmark.
These components merge into a 0–100 composite score. Scores above 50 frequently imply bullish strength; drops below 50 often point to underperformance—potentially flagging short opportunities.
2. Intraday & Day Trading Focus
Monitoring Below 50: During the trading day, the script calculates live data against the benchmark, offering an intraday-sensitive composite score. A dip under 50 may indicate a short bias for that session, especially when accompanied by high volume or momentum shifts.
3. Higher Timeframe Monitoring
Daily Strategies: On daily or weekly charts, the script reveals overall relative strength or weakness compared to the S&P 500. This higher-level perspective helps form broader trading biases—crucial for swing or position trades spanning multiple days.
Long/Short Thresholds: Persistent readings above 50 on a daily chart typically reinforce a long bias, while consistent dips below 50 can sustain a short or cautious outlook.
4. Pair Trading Applications
Custom Benchmark Selection: By setting a specific ticker pair as your benchmark instead of the default S&P 500, you can identify spread trading opportunities between two correlated assets. This allows you to go long the outperforming asset while shorting the underperforming one when the spread reaches extreme levels.
4. Color-Coded Signals & Alerts
Visual Zones (25–75): Color-coded bands highlight strong outperformance (above 75) or pronounced underperformance (below 25).
Alerts on Strong Shifts: Automatic alerts can notify you of sudden entries or exits from bullish or bearish zones, so you can potentially act on new market information without delay.
⚙️ HOW TO USE
1. Select Your Timeframe: For scalping or day trading, lower intervals (e.g., 5-minute) offer immediate data resets at the session’s start. For multi-day insight, daily or weekly charts reveal broader performance trends.
2. Watch Key Levels Around 50: Intraday dips under 50 may be a cue to consider short trades, while bounces above 50 can confirm renewed strength.
3. Assess Benchmark Relationships: Compare your asset’s score and signals to the broader market. A stock falling below its pair’s relative strength line might lag overall market momentum.
4. Combine Tools & Validate: This script excels when integrated with other technical analysis methods (e.g., support/resistance, chart patterns) and fundamental factors for a holistic market view.
❗ LIMITATIONS
No Direction Guarantee: The indicator identifies relative strength but does not guarantee directional price moves.
Delayed Updates: Since calculations update after each bar close, sudden intrabar changes may not immediately reflect.
Market-Specific Behaviors: Some assets or unusual market conditions may deviate from typical benchmarks, weakening signal reliability.
Past ≠ Future: High or low relative strength in the past may not predict continued performance.
RISK DISCLAIMER
All forms of trading and investing involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. This indicator analyzes relative performance but cannot assure profits or eliminate losses. Past performance of any strategy does not guarantee future results. Always combine analysis with proper risk management and your broader trading plan. Consult a licensed financial advisor if you are unsure of your individual risk tolerance or investment objectives.
Two Candle Theory (Filtered) - Labels & ColorsOverview
This Pine Script classifies each candle into one of nine sentiment categories based on how the candle closes within its own range and in relation to the previous candle’s high and low. It optionally filters the strongest bullish and bearish signals based on volume spikes.
The script is designed to help traders visually interpret market sentiment through configurable labels and candle colors.
⸻
Classification Logic
Each candle is assessed using two metrics:
1. Close Position – where the candle closes within its own high-low range (High, Mid, Low).
2. Close Comparison – how the current close compares to the previous candle’s high and low (Bull, Bear, or Range).
Based on this, a short label is assigned:
• Bullish Bias: Strongest (SBu), Moderate (MBu), Weak (WBu), Slight (SlB)
• Neutral: Neutral (N)
• Bearish Bias: Slight (SlS), Weak (WBa), Moderate (MBa), Strongest (SBa)
⸻
Volume Filter
A volume spike filter can be applied to the strongest signals:
• SBu and SBa are only shown if volume is significantly higher than the average (SMA × threshold).
• The filter is optional and user-configurable.
⸻
Display Options
Users can control:
• Whether to show labels, bar colors, or both.
• Which of the nine label types are visible.
• Custom colors for each label and corresponding bar.
⸻
Visual Output
• Labels appear above or below candles depending on bullish or bearish classification.
• Bar colors reflect sentiment for quicker visual scanning.
⸻
Use Case
Ideal for identifying momentum shifts, validating trade entries, and highlighting candles that break out of previous ranges with conviction and/or volume.
⸻
Summary
This script simplifies price action by translating each candle into an interpretable sentiment label and color. With optional volume filtering and full display customization, it offers a practical tool for discretionary and systematic traders alike.
Enhanced Daily Sentiment & Auction Area Trading StrategyDetermine Daily Sentiment (Anchor Chart - Daily TF):
Analyze Yesterday's Daily Candle: Look at the previous day's daily candlestick (high, low, open, close). This is the "most important information."
Establish Bias: If yesterday's candle was bullish (closed higher), the bias for today is generally long (approx. 80% of the time). If bearish, the bias is short.
Moving Average Context: Note if the daily price is above or below its short-term moving average (e.g., 21 or 50 MA). This should align with the candle's bias (e.g., bullish daily candle above its MA).
Pre-Market & Opening Analysis (Information Gathering):
Check for Gaps: Observe if the market is gapping up or down in the pre-market session relative to yesterday's close. This provides an early clue to current sentiment.
Consider Overall Sentiment: Briefly factor in relevant news or overarching market sentiment (e.g., data releases, overall market feeling from yields, gold etc.). Trading Window: Focus primarily on trading within the first hour of the U.S. market open, as this is when volatility is typically highest, which the strategy relies on.
Setup 5-Minute Chart for Execution (Trading TF - 5-min):
Apply Moving Average: Use the same short-term moving average (e.g., 21 or 50 MA) as on the daily chart.
Seek Alignment (Crucial): The 5-minute chart's trend and price action relative to its MA must align with the daily chart's bias and MA relationship.
If Daily bias is LONG (price above daily MA), the 5-minute chart should also show price establishing itself above its 5-min MA, ideally with a similar "45-degree angle" uptrend.
If Daily bias is SHORT (price below daily MA), the 5-minute chart should also show price establishing itself below its 5-min MA, with a similar downtrend. If there's no clear alignment between the daily and 5-minute chart structure/MA, do not trade.
Identify the "Auction Area" (Value/Congestion) on the 5-Minute Chart:
This is a recent area of congestion, a small support/resistance flip, or where price has paused, consolidated, and is retesting, often near the 5-minute MA.
Uptrend (Long Bias): Look for a pullback (a small "V" shape dip) towards the 5-minute MA or a recent small resistance-turned-support area. This is the "auction retest" before a potential breakout higher.
Downtrend (Short Bias): Look for a pullback rally (an inverted "V" shape) towards the 5-minute MA or a recent small support-turned-resistance area.
