NHPF (Normalized Hodrick-Prescott Filter)This indicator applies a normalized Hodrick–Prescott filter (NHPF) to Bitcoin’s price data. It separates the underlying trend from short-term cyclical fluctuations by recursively smoothing the price using a user-defined lambda (HP Filter Period). The raw trend is then normalized by calculating a ratio between the trend and the current price, which is scaled and shifted according to subjective parameters (Mean and Scale). The result is a dimensionless value that highlights deviations from the long-term trend—serving as a signal for potential overbought (positive values) or oversold (negative values) market conditions. A zero line provides a clear reference, allowing traders to visually gauge when Bitcoin’s price is significantly above or below its expected trajectory.
Feel free to adjust the inputs to best match your analysis preferences.
Search in scripts for "bitcoin"
Relative Crypto Dominance Polar Chart [LuxAlgo]The Relative Crypto Dominance Polar Chart tool allows traders to compare the relative dominance of up to ten different tickers in the form of a polar area chart, we define relative dominance as a combination between traded dollar volume and volatility, making it very easy to compare them at a glance.
🔶 USAGE
The use is quite simple, traders just have to load the indicator on the chart, and the graph showing the relative dominance will appear.
The 10 tickers loaded by default are the major cryptocurrencies by market cap, but traders can select any ticker in the settings panel.
Each area represents dominance as volatility (radius) by dollar volume (arc length); a larger area means greater dominance on that ticker.
🔹 Choosing Period
The tool supports up to five different periods
Hourly
Daily
Weekly
Monthly
Yearly
By default, the tool period is set on auto mode, which means that the tool will choose the period depending on the chart timeframe
timeframes up to 2m: Hourly
timeframes up to 15m: Daily
timeframes up to 1H: Weekly
timeframes up to 4H: Monthly
larger timeframes: Yearly
🔹 Sorting & Sizing
Traders can sort the graph areas by volatility (radius of each area) in ascending or descending order; by default, the tickers are sorted as they are in the settings panel.
The tool also allows you to adjust the width of the chart on a percentage basis, i.e., at 100% size, all the available width is used; if the graph is too wide, just decrease the graph size parameter in the settings panel.
🔹 Set your own style
The tool allows great customization from the settings panel, traders can enable/disable most of the components, and add a very nice touch with curved lines enabled for displaying the areas with a petal-like effect.
🔶 SETTINGS
Period: Select up to 5 different time periods from Hourly, Daily, Weekly, Monthly and Yearly. Enable/disable Auto mode.
Tickers: Enable/disable and select tickers and colors
🔹 Style
Graph Order: Select sort order
Graph Size: Select percentage of width used
Labels Size: Select size for ticker labels
Show Percent: Show dominance in % under each ticker
Curved Lines: Enable/disable petal-like effect for each area
Show Title: Enable/disable graph title
Show Mean: Enable/disable volatility average and select color
BTC & SPX vs Yield Curve: Recession Risk ZonesBTC & SPX vs Yield Curve – Recession Risk Zones
This tool helps you track Bitcoin (BTC) and the S&P 500 (SPX) against key macro signals from the U.S. yield curve to spot potential recession risks.
🟪 Color Legend:
🔴 Red = Yield curve is inverted (warning starts)
🟡 Yellow = Projected 6–18 month recession risk (if inversion still active)
🟠 Orange = Active 6–18 month risk window (after inversion ends)
💜 Fuchsia = Real historical U.S. recessions
📈 What’s Plotted:
🔵 BTCUSD (blue line) – Normalized price
🟢 S&P 500 (green line) – Normalized price
🟠 10Y–2Y Yield Spread – Macro signal for risk
✅ Use it to:
Spot macro pressure zones
See how BTC and SPX behave around economic stress
Stay cautious when red/orange/yellow areas appear
Let me know if you'd like to enable toggles to hide/show BTC or SPX independently!
GLXY Support & Resistance ZonesHere’s a structured trading strategy for Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd. (GLXY) based on a combination of technical analysis, market sentiment, and macro crypto market movement:
⸻
1. Timeframe
• Swing trading timeframe: 1-week to 1-month trades.
• Monitor daily and 4H charts for entries and exits.
⸻
2. Key Factors Driving GLXY
• Strongly correlated to Bitcoin and Ethereum price movement.
• Sensitive to regulatory news in Canada/US and institutional crypto adoption.
• Watch Galaxy’s quarterly earnings and treasury BTC/ETH position updates.
⸻
3. Entry Strategy
A) Technical Setup:
• Buy at major support zones:
• Key support levels: $7.00 CAD, $9.00 CAD (verify current chart levels).
• Enter long positions on bullish reversal candles at these supports.
• Breakout trades:
• Enter long positions on confirmed breakouts above significant resistance (watch volume and 1D close).
• Moving Average Confirmation:
• Only trade long if price is above the 50-day moving average and 50 MA is upward sloping.
B) Macro Confirmation:
• Only take aggressive long positions if BTC price is in an uptrend (above its own 50-day MA).
• Monitor ETH/BTC pair as additional confidence for alt sentiment.
⸻
4. Exit Strategy
• First partial profit target: Previous swing highs or Fibonacci extension levels (commonly 1.272 or 1.618).
• Trailing stop: Move stop-loss to entry when trade is +10%.
• Hard stop-loss: Below the last daily support (2-5% risk).
⸻
5. Diversification
• Do not exceed 5-7% of total portfolio per trade.
• Hedge exposure by monitoring crypto futures or crypto sentiment indexes (eg. Fear & Greed Index).
⸻
6. Optional Short Setup
• Only short if price breaks major support with strong volume, and BTC/ETH are in confirmed downtrends.
• Short target: next daily support zone.
⸻
7. News / Event-based Catalyst
• Enter small positions before major earnings or after big regulatory decisions if crypto sentiment is bullish.
⸻
8. Review
• Reassess the strategy every month based on BTC market structure.
• Track your trade results for GLXY separately to refine position sizing and entry criteria.
⸻
M2SL/DXY RatioThis is the ratio of M2 money supply (M2SL) to the U.S. dollar index (DXY), taking into account the impact of U.S. dollar strength and weakness on liquidity.
M2SL/DXY better represents the current impact of the United States on cryptocurrency prices.
BTC Volatility ForecastThe "BTC Volatility Forecast" indicator is designed to help traders anticipate Bitcoin (BTC) price volatility by analyzing historical daily price ranges and projecting future fluctuations. Inspired by advanced volatility forecasting studies, it calculates an approximate realized variance using the squared difference between each day’s high and low prices. By applying a simple linear regression model over the past five days of variance data (customizable via the "Lag Period" input), the indicator provides a forecast for the next day’s volatility. This makes it a valuable tool for BTC traders looking to gauge potential market turbulence and adjust their strategies accordingly.
On the chart, the indicator displays two lines: a blue solid line representing the current realized variance and an orange line showing the forecasted volatility for the upcoming day. Traders can set a "Volatility Threshold" to trigger alerts when the forecast exceeds a specified level, aiding in risk management or trade planning. A debug label on the last bar also shows the exact current and forecasted values for quick reference. While this version uses daily data for simplicity, it captures the essence of volatility prediction and can be a starting point for understanding BTC market dynamics—perfect for both novice and experienced traders on TradingView.
Market Structure Break with Volume & ATR#### Indicator Overview:
The *Market Structure Break with Volume & ATR (MSB+VolATR)* indicator is designed to identify significant market structure breakouts and breakdowns using a combination of price action, volume analysis, and volatility (ATR). It is particularly useful for traders who rely on higher timeframes for swing trading or positional trading. The indicator highlights bullish and bearish breakouts, retests, fakeouts, and potential buy/sell signals based on RSI overbought/oversold conditions.
---
### Key Features:
1. *Market Structure Analysis*:
- Identifies swing highs and lows on a user-defined higher timeframe.
- Detects breakouts and breakdowns when price exceeds these levels with volume and ATR validation.
2. *Volume Validation*:
- Ensures breakouts are accompanied by above-average volume, reducing the likelihood of false signals.
3. *ATR Filter*:
- Filters out insignificant breakouts by requiring the breakout size to exceed a multiple of the ATR.
4. *RSI Integration*:
- Adds a momentum filter by considering overbought/oversold conditions using RSI.
5. *Visual Enhancements*:
- Draws colored boxes to highlight breakout zones.
- Labels breakouts, retests, and fakeouts for easy interpretation.
- Displays stop levels for potential trades.
6. *Alerts*:
- Provides alert conditions for buy and sell signals, enabling real-time notifications.
---
### Input Settings and Their Effects:
1. **Timeframe (tf):
- Determines the higher timeframe for market structure analysis.
- *Effect*: A higher timeframe (e.g., 1D) reduces noise and provides more reliable swing points, while a lower timeframe (e.g., 4H) may generate more frequent but less reliable signals.
2. **Lookback Period (length):
- Defines the number of historical bars used to identify significant highs and lows.
- *Effect*: A longer lookback period (e.g., 50) captures broader market structure, while a shorter period (e.g., 20) reacts faster to recent price action.
3. **ATR Length (atr_length):
- Sets the period for ATR calculation.
- *Effect*: A shorter ATR length (e.g., 14) reacts faster to recent volatility, while a longer length (e.g., 21) smooths out volatility spikes.
4. **ATR Multiplier (atr_multiplier):
- Filters insignificant breakouts by requiring the breakout size to exceed ATR × multiplier.
- *Effect*: A higher multiplier (e.g., 0.2) reduces false signals but may miss smaller breakouts.
5. **Volume Multiplier (volume_multiplier):
- Sets the volume threshold for breakout validation.
- *Effect*: A higher multiplier (e.g., 1.0) ensures stronger volume confirmation but may reduce the number of signals.
6. **RSI Length (rsi_length):
- Defines the period for RSI calculation.
- *Effect*: A shorter RSI length (e.g., 10) makes the indicator more sensitive to recent price changes, while a longer length (e.g., 20) smooths out RSI fluctuations.
7. *RSI Overbought/Oversold Levels*:
- Sets the thresholds for overbought (default: 70) and oversold (default: 30) conditions.
- *Effect*: Adjusting these levels can make the indicator more or less conservative in generating signals.
8. **Stop Loss Multiplier (SL_Multiplier):
- Determines the distance of the stop-loss level from the entry price based on ATR.
- *Effect*: A higher multiplier (e.g., 2.0) provides wider stops, reducing the risk of being stopped out prematurely but increasing potential losses.
---
### How It Works:
1. *Breakout Detection*:
- A bullish breakout occurs when the close exceeds the highest high of the lookback period, with volume above the threshold and breakout size exceeding ATR × multiplier.
- A bearish breakout occurs when the close falls below the lowest low of the lookback period, with similar volume and ATR validation.
2. *Retest Logic*:
- After a breakout, if price retests the breakout zone without closing beyond it, a retest label is displayed.
3. *Fakeout Detection*:
- If price briefly breaks out but reverses back into the range, a fakeout label is displayed.
4. *Buy/Sell Signals*:
- A sell signal is generated when price reverses below a bullish breakout zone and RSI is overbought.
- A buy signal is generated when price reverses above a bearish breakout zone and RSI is oversold.
5. *Stop Levels*:
- Stop-loss levels are plotted based on ATR × SL_Multiplier, providing a visual guide for risk management.
---
### Who Can Use It and How:
1. *Swing Traders*:
- Use the indicator on daily or 4-hour timeframes to identify high-probability breakout trades.
- Combine with other technical analysis tools (e.g., trendlines, Fibonacci levels) for confirmation.
2. *Positional Traders*:
- Apply the indicator on weekly or daily charts to capture long-term trends.
- Use the stop-loss levels to manage risk over extended periods.
3. *Algorithmic Traders*:
- Integrate the buy/sell signals into automated trading systems.
- Use the alert conditions to trigger trades programmatically.
4. *Risk-Averse Traders*:
- Adjust the ATR and volume multipliers to filter out low-probability trades.
- Use wider stop-loss levels to avoid premature exits.
---
### Where to Use It:
- *Forex*: Identify breakouts in major currency pairs.
- *Stocks*: Spot trend reversals in high-volume stocks.
- *Commodities*: Trade breakouts in gold, oil, or other commodities.
- *Crypto*: Apply to Bitcoin, Ethereum, or other cryptocurrencies for volatile breakout opportunities.
---
### Example Use Case:
- *Timeframe*: 1D
- *Lookback Period*: 50
- *ATR Length*: 14
- *ATR Multiplier*: 0.1
- *Volume Multiplier*: 0.5
- *RSI Length*: 14
- *RSI Overbought/Oversold*: 70/30
- *SL Multiplier*: 1.5
In this setup, the indicator will:
1. Identify significant swing highs and lows on the daily chart.
2. Validate breakouts with volume and ATR filters.
3. Generate buy/sell signals when price reverses and RSI confirms overbought/oversold conditions.
4. Plot stop-loss levels for risk management.
---
### Conclusion:
The *MSB+VolATR* indicator is a versatile tool for traders seeking to capitalize on market structure breakouts with added confirmation from volume and volatility. By customizing the input settings, traders can adapt the indicator to their preferred trading style and risk tolerance. Whether you're a swing trader, positional trader, or algorithmic trader, this indicator provides actionable insights to enhance your trading strategy.
CCT Pi Cycle Top/BottomPi Cycle Top/bottom: The Ultimate Market Cycle Indicator
Introduction
The Pi Cycle Top/bottom Indicator is one of the most reliable tools for identifying Bitcoin market cycle peaks and bottoms. Its effectiveness lies in the strategic combination of moving averages that historically align with major market cycle reversals. Unlike traditional moving average crossovers, this indicator applies an advanced iterative approach to pinpoint price extremes with higher accuracy.
This version, built entirely with Pine Script™ v6, introduces unprecedented precision in detecting both the Pi Cycle Top and Pi Cycle Bottom, eliminating redundant labels, optimizing visual clarity, and ensuring the indicator adapts dynamically to evolving market conditions.
What is the Pi Cycle Theory?
The Pi Cycle Top and Pi Cycle Bottom were originally introduced based on a simple yet profound discovery: key moving average crossovers consistently align with macro market tops and bottoms.
Pi Cycle Top: The crossover of the 111-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 350-day SMA multiplied by 2 has historically signaled market tops with astonishing accuracy.
Pi Cycle Bottom: The intersection of the 150-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 471-day SMA has repeatedly marked significant market bottoms.
While traditional moving average strategies often suffer from lag and false signals, the Pi Cycle Indicator enhances accuracy by applying a range-based scanning methodology, ensuring that only the most critical reversals are detected.
How This Indicator Works
Unlike basic moving average crossovers, this script introduces a unique iteration process to refine the detection of Pi Cycle points. Here’s how it works:
Detecting Crossovers:
Identifies the Golden Cross (bullish crossover) and Death Cross (bearish crossover) for both the Pi Cycle Top and Pi Cycle Bottom.
Iterating Through the Cycle:
Instead of plotting a simple crossover point, this script scans the range between each Golden and Death Cross to identify the absolute lowest price (Pi Cycle Bottom) and highest price (Pi Cycle Top) within that cycle.
Precision Labeling:
The indicator dynamically adjusts label positioning:
If the price at the crossover is below the fast moving average → the label is placed on the moving average with a downward pointer.
If the price is above the fast moving average → the label is placed below the candle with an upward pointer.
This ensures optimal visibility and prevents misleading signal placement.
Advanced Pine Script v6 Features:
Labels and moving average names are only shown on the last candle, reducing chart noise while maintaining clarity.
Offers full user customization, allowing traders to toggle:
Pi Cycle Top & Bottom visibility
Moving average labels
Crossover labels
Why This Indicator is Superior
This script is not just another moving average crossover tool—it is a market cycle tracker designed for long-term investors and analysts who seek:
✔ High-accuracy macro cycle identification
✔ Elimination of false signals using an iterative range-based scan
✔ Automatic detection of market extremes without manual adjustments
✔ Optimized visuals with smart label positioning
✔ First-of-its-kind implementation using Pine Script™ v6 capabilities
How to Use It?
Bull Market Tops:
When the Pi Cycle Top indicator flashes, consider the potential for a market cycle peak.
Historically, Bitcoin has corrected significantly after these signals.
Bear Market Bottoms:
When the Pi Cycle Bottom appears, it suggests a macro accumulation phase.
These signals have aligned perfectly with historical cycle bottoms.
Final Thoughts
The Pi Cycle Top/bottom Indicator is a must-have tool for traders, investors, and analysts looking to anticipate long-term trend reversals with precision. With its refined methodology, superior label positioning, and cutting-edge Pine Script™ v6 optimizations, this is the most reliable version ever created.
BTC Momentum Detector 1h# BTC Momentum Detector 1h
This indicator is designed to detect significant momentum movements in Bitcoin price on the 1-hour timeframe. It identifies candles with percentage changes within a specific range, which often precede larger price movements.
## How It Works
The indicator analyzes price movements to detect potential momentum shifts:
- Identifies candles with percentage changes between configurable thresholds (default: 1.7% - 2.8%)
- Requires neutral or inverse movement in the prior candle to avoid false signals
- Optional volume filter ensures signals are confirmed by above-average trading activity
- Tracks price continuation to calculate success rates and average returns
## Key Features
- **Signal Detection**: Green triangles below price bars indicate upward momentum signals; red triangles above price bars indicate downward momentum signals
- **Continuation Tracking**: Dashed horizontal lines show the entry price levels of active signals being tracked
- **Statistics Panel**: Displays real-time metrics including signal counts, success rates, and average returns
- **Current Status**: Shows the current price change percentage and active signals being monitored
## Parameters
- **Minimum Percentage Threshold**: Minimum price change to trigger a signal (default: 1.7%)
- **Maximum Percentage Threshold**: Maximum price change to filter out extreme moves (default: 2.8%)
- **Continuation Periods**: Number of periods to track after signal (default: 2)
- **Require Prior Neutral/Inverse**: Filters signals by requiring neutral or opposite prior movement
- **Neutral Threshold**: Defines what's considered a neutral movement (default: 0.1%)
- **Volume Filter**: Option to require above-average volume for confirmation
- **Volume Multiplier**: Volume must exceed average by this factor (default: 2x)
## Strategy Concept
The underlying strategy is based on the concept that when Bitcoin makes a controlled, significant move (not too small, not too large) after a period of neutral or opposite movement, it often continues in that direction for the next few periods. This pattern reflects the early stages of momentum development in the market.
Mogwai Method with RSI and EMA - BTCUSD 15mThis is a custom TradingView indicator designed for trading Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on a 15-minute timeframe. It’s based on the Mogwai Method—a mean-reversion strategy—enhanced with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for momentum confirmation. The indicator generates buy and sell signals, visualized as green and red triangle arrows on the chart, to help identify potential entry and exit points in the volatile cryptocurrency market.
Components
Bollinger Bands (BB):
Purpose: Identifies overextended price movements, signaling potential reversions to the mean.
Parameters:
Length: 20 periods (standard for mean-reversion).
Multiplier: 2.2 (slightly wider than the default 2.0 to suit BTCUSD’s volatility).
Role:
Buy signal when price drops below the lower band (oversold).
Sell signal when price rises above the upper band (overbought).
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Purpose: Confirms momentum to filter out false signals from Bollinger Bands.
Parameters:
Length: 14 periods (classic setting, effective for crypto).
Overbought Level: 70 (price may be overextended upward).
Oversold Level: 30 (price may be overextended downward).
Role:
Buy signal requires RSI < 30 (oversold).
Sell signal requires RSI > 70 (overbought).
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) (Plotted but not currently in signal logic):
Purpose: Provides trend context (included in the script for visualization, optional for signal filtering).
Parameters:
Fast EMA: 9 periods (short-term trend).
Slow EMA: 50 periods (longer-term trend).
Role: Can be re-added to filter signals (e.g., buy only when Fast EMA > Slow EMA).
Signals (Triangles):
Buy Signal: Green upward triangle below the bar when price is below the lower Bollinger Band and RSI is below 30.
Sell Signal: Red downward triangle above the bar when price is above the upper Bollinger Band and RSI is above 70.
How It Works
The indicator combines Bollinger Bands and RSI to spot mean-reversion opportunities:
Buy Condition: Price breaks below the lower Bollinger Band (indicating oversold conditions), and RSI confirms this with a reading below 30.
Sell Condition: Price breaks above the upper Bollinger Band (indicating overbought conditions), and RSI confirms this with a reading above 70.
The strategy assumes that extreme price movements in BTCUSD will often revert to the mean, especially in choppy or ranging markets.
Visual Elements
Green Upward Triangles: Appear below the candlestick to indicate a buy signal.
Red Downward Triangles: Appear above the candlestick to indicate a sell signal.
Bollinger Bands: Gray lines (upper, middle, lower) plotted for reference.
EMAs: Blue (Fast) and Orange (Slow) lines for trend visualization.
How to Use the Indicator
Setup
Open TradingView:
Log into TradingView and select a BTCUSD chart from a supported exchange (e.g., Binance, Coinbase, Bitfinex).
Set Timeframe:
Switch the chart to a 15-minute timeframe (15m).
Add the Indicator:
Open the Pine Editor (bottom panel in TradingView).
Copy and paste the script provided.
Click “Add to Chart” to apply it.
Verify Display:
You should see Bollinger Bands (gray), Fast EMA (blue), Slow EMA (orange), and buy/sell triangles when conditions are met.
Trading Guidelines
Buy Signal (Green Triangle Below Bar):
What It Means: Price is oversold, potentially ready to bounce back toward the Bollinger Band middle line.
Action:
Enter a long position (buy BTCUSD).
Set a take-profit near the middle Bollinger Band (bb_middle) or a resistance level.
Place a stop-loss 1-2% below the entry (or based on ATR, e.g., ta.atr(14) * 2).
Best Context: Works well in ranging markets; avoid during strong downtrends.
Sell Signal (Red Triangle Above Bar):
What It Means: Price is overbought, potentially ready to drop back toward the middle line.
Action:
Enter a short position (sell BTCUSD) or exit a long position.
Set a take-profit near the middle Bollinger Band or a support level.
Place a stop-loss 1-2% above the entry.
Best Context: Effective in ranging markets; avoid during strong uptrends.
Trend Filter (Optional):
To reduce false signals in trending markets, you can modify the script:
Add and ema_fast > ema_slow to the buy condition (only buy in uptrends).
Add and ema_fast < ema_slow to the sell condition (only sell in downtrends).
Check the Fast EMA (blue) vs. Slow EMA (orange) alignment visually.
Tips for BTCUSD on 15-Minute Charts
Volatility: BTCUSD can be erratic. If signals are too frequent, increase bb_mult (e.g., to 2.5) or adjust RSI levels (e.g., 75/25).
Confirmation: Use volume spikes or candlestick patterns (e.g., doji, engulfing) to confirm signals.
Time of Day: Mean-reversion works best during low-volume periods (e.g., Asian session in crypto).
Backtesting: Use TradingView’s Strategy Tester (convert to a strategy by adding entry/exit logic) to evaluate performance with historical BTCUSD data up to March 13, 2025.
Risk Management
Position Size: Risk no more than 1-2% of your account per trade.
Stop Losses: Always use stops to protect against BTCUSD’s sudden moves.
Avoid Overtrading: Wait for clear signals; don’t force trades in choppy or unclear conditions.
Example Scenario
Chart: BTCUSD, 15-minute timeframe.
Buy Signal: Price drops to $58,000, below the lower Bollinger Band, RSI at 28. A green triangle appears.
Action: Buy at $58,000, target $59,000 (middle BB), stop at $57,500.
Sell Signal: Price rises to $60,500, above the upper Bollinger Band, RSI at 72. A red triangle appears.
Action: Sell at $60,500, target $59,500 (middle BB), stop at $61,000.
This indicator is tailored for mean-reversion trading on BTCUSD. Let me know if you’d like to tweak it further (e.g., add filters, alerts, or alternative indicators)!
Inverted USDT DominanceInverted USDT Dominance Indicator
This simple yet powerful indicator plots the inverted USDT Dominance (USDT.D), making it visually intuitive to analyze market sentiment shifts. Typically, USDT dominance rises when investors seek stability, indicating a "risk-off" market environment. Conversely, it falls when investors pursue riskier assets like cryptocurrencies, signaling a "risk-on" environment.
Why invert the USDT Dominance chart?
By flipping USDT Dominance around the zero line, this indicator allows traders and investors to more clearly visualize its correlation and divergence with traditional market indicators like the 10-year Treasury yield (TNX), Bitcoin, or equity indices. A rising line on this inverted indicator intuitively indicates increasing market risk appetite, whereas a falling line highlights growing risk aversion.
Use cases:
Quickly visualize market sentiment (risk-on vs. risk-off).
Identify divergences and correlations between crypto markets and traditional financial instruments.
Enhance portfolio allocation decisions by clearly seeing sentiment changes.
BTC: Open InterestThis indicator tracks the 7-day (default) percentage change in open interest (OI), providing insights into market participation trends. It includes customizable periods and colors, allowing traders to adjust settings for better visualization.
Open interest (OI) is the total number of active contracts (futures or options) that haven’t been closed or settled. It represents the total open positions in the market.
Thus when OI increases, more traders are entering new positions, signaling growing market interest. Conversely, when OI decreases, positions are being closed, suggesting lower trader participation or liquidation.
Attributes & Features:
Open Interest Percentage Change – Measures the 7-day % change in open interest to track market participation.
Customizable Calculation Period – Users can adjust the period (default: 7 days) for more flexible analysis.
Adjustable Colors – Allows modification of colors for better visualization.
Trend Identification – Highlights rising vs. falling open interest trends.
Works Across Assets – Can be used for cryptos, stocks, and futures with open interest data.
Overlay or Separate Panel – Can be plotted on price chart or as a separate indicator.
How It Works:
Fetches Open Interest Data – Retrieves open interest values for each day for USD, USDT, and USDC Bitcoin Perpetual Derivitives.
Calculates Percentage Change – Compares current open interest to its value X days ago (Default = 7 days).
Standard Deviation – Applies standard deviation ranging from -2 to +2 deviations to identify large shifts in OI.
Visual Alerts – Can highlight extreme increases or decreases signaling potential market shifts.
NOTE: THE INDICATOR DATA ONLY GOES BACK TO START OF 2022
Price AltimeterThis indicator should help visualize the price, inspired by a Digital Altimeter in a Pilots HUD.
It's by default calibrated to Bitcoin, with the small levels showing every $100 and the larger levels setup to display on every $1000. But you can change this to whatever you want by changing the settings for: Small and Large Level Increments.
The default colors are grey, but can be changed to whatever you want, and there are two cause if you want they work as a gradient.
There are options to fade as the values go away from the current price action.
There are options for Forward and Backward Offsets, 0 is the current price and each value represents a candle on whatever time frame your currently on.
Other Options include the Fade Ratio, the Line Width and Style, which are all self explanatory.
Hope you Enjoy!
Backtest it in fast mode to see it in action a little better...
Known Issues:
For some reason it bug's out when either or are displaying more than 19 lines, unsure why so its limited to that for now.
Extra Note on what this may be useful for: I always wanted to make this, but didn't realize how to put things in front of the price action... Offset! Duh! Anyways, I thought of this one because I often it's hard on these charts to really get an idea for absolute price amounts across different time frames, this in an intuitive, at a glance way to see it because the regular price thing on the right always adds values between values when you zoom in and you can sometimes get lost figuring out the proportions of things.
Could also be useful for Scalping?
Mayer Multiple ZonesMayer Multiple Zones
The Mayer Multiple Zones indicator is a powerful market valuation tool that helps traders identify key price zones based on multiples of the 200-period moving average. Originally inspired by the Bitcoin Mayer Multiple concept, this versatile indicator works across all markets and timeframes to visualize the relative valuation of any asset.
Key Features:
Color-coded valuation zones: Instantly recognize if the current price represents a strong buy opportunity, fair value, or potential bubble territory
Customizable multiplier levels: Adjust all zone thresholds to suit specific markets or trading strategies
Real-time status indicator: Clear market status display showing current valuation zone
Comprehensive information table: View all critical price levels and current multiple at a glance
Multi-timeframe compatible: Works seamlessly across all timeframes while maintaining accurate MA200 reference
Visual zone labeling: Clear labels for each price zone directly on the chart
How to Use:
The indicator divides price action into six distinct zones based on the MA200:
Strong Buy Zone (default: below 0.6x MA200): Extreme undervaluation, historically excellent buying opportunities
Value Buy Zone (default: 0.6x-0.8x MA200): Attractive buying range for long-term value
Accumulation Zone (default: 0.8x-1.0x MA200): Price building strength below the MA200
Fair Value Zone (default: 1.0x-2.0x MA200): Reasonable valuation range
Take Profit Zone (default: 2.0x-2.5x MA200): Overvaluation suggesting partial profit taking
Bubble Zone (default: above 2.5x MA200): Extreme overvaluation, historically unsustainable levels
This indicator serves as both a strategic planning tool for long-term investors and a tactical guide for shorter-term traders, helping identify potential reversal zones and price targets based on historical valuation patterns.
Settings:
MA Length: Adjust the moving average period (default: 200)
Multipliers: Customize each zone threshold to adapt to specific market characteristics
Perfect for all traders seeking to understand relative market valuation across any timeframe.
Ragi's 24h volumeThis script is a TradingView Pine Script indicator that displays the 24-hour trading volume for a given asset. It provides both the native volume of the asset and, if the asset is not already listed on Binance, also displays the 24-hour volume from Binance (if applicable). Here's a breakdown of the key components:
Volume Calculation:
It sums the volume data over different time frames: 1-minute, 5-minute (for daily charts), or 60-minute intervals.
The volume is calculated based on the asset's volume type (either "quote" volume or a calculated value of close * volume).
For crypto assets, if the volume data is unavailable, it raises an error.
Binance Volume:
If the asset is not from Binance, the script fetches 24-hour volume data from Binance for that symbol, ensuring it is using the correct currency rate.
Display:
The indicator displays a table with the 24-hour volume in the chosen position on the chart (top, middle, or bottom).
The table displays the current exchange's volume, and if applicable, the Binance volume.
The volume is color-coded based on predefined thresholds:
Attention: Displays a warning color for volumes exceeding the attention level.
Warning: Shows an alert color for volumes above the warning threshold.
Normal: Displays in standard color when the volume is lower than the warning level.
The text and background color are customizable, and users can adjust the text size and position of the table.
User Inputs:
The script allows customization of table text size, position, background color, and volume thresholds for attention and warning.
In summary, this indicator is designed to track and display 24-hour volume on a chart, with additional volume information from Binance if necessary, and provides visual cues based on volume levels to help traders quickly assess trading activity.
Delta VolDelta Volume BTC - Multi Pair
Description The Delta Volume BTC - Multi Pair indicator visualizes the balance between buying and selling volume across multiple Bitcoin exchanges. By analyzing price action within each bar, it provides insight into underlying market pressure that traditional volume indicators miss. This indicator allows traders to:
Compare volume flow across Coinbase, Binance, and Binance Perpetual markets
Identify divergences between exchanges that may signal market shifts
Detect accumulation or distribution patterns through volume imbalances
View exchanges individually or in aggregate for comprehensive analysis
Calculation Methods The indicator offers three volume delta calculation methods:
VWAP Based (default):
price_range = high - low
buy_percent = (close - low) / price_range
sell_percent = (high - close) / price_range
delta = volume * (buy_percent - sell_percent)
This method distributes volume based on where price closed within the bar's range, providing a nuanced view of buying/selling pressure.
Tick Based :
delta = volume * sign(hlc3 - previous_hlc3)
This approach assigns volume based on the direction of typical price movement between bars, capturing momentum between periods.
Simple :
delta = close > open ? volume : close < open ? -volume : 0
A straightforward method that assigns positive volume to up bars and negative volume to down bars.
When Aggregate Mode is enabled, the indicator sums the volume deltas from all selected exchanges:
aggregate_delta = coinbase_delta + binance_delta + binance_perp_delta
Features
Multi-Exchange Support : Track volume delta across Coinbase, Binance, and Binance Perpetual futures
Advanced Calculation Methods : Choose between VWAP-based, tick-based, or simple volume delta algorithms
Flexible Display Options : Visualize as histogram, columns, area, or line charts
Customizable Colors : Distinct color schemes for each exchange and direction
Smoothing Options : Apply EMA, SMA, or WMA to reduce noise
Aggregate Mode : Combine all exchanges to see total market flow
How to Use
Individual Exchange Analysis : Uncheck "Aggregate Mode" to see each exchange separately, revealing where smart money may be positioning
Divergence Detection : Watch for one exchange showing buying while others show selling
Volume Trend Confirmation : Strong price moves should be accompanied by strong delta in the same direction
Liquidity Analysis : Compare spot vs futures volume delta to identify market sentiment shifts
The Delta Volume BTC - Multi Pair indicator helps identify the "hidden" buying and selling pressure that may not be apparent from price action alone, giving you an edge in understanding market dynamics across the Bitcoin ecosystem.
On-chain Zscore | QuantumResearchQuantumResearch On-chain Zscore Indicator
The On-chain Zscore Indicator by QuantumResearch is a cutting-edge tool designed for traders and analysts who leverage on-chain metrics to assess Bitcoin’s market conditions. This indicator calculates a composite Z-score using three key on-chain metrics: NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss), SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio), and MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value). By normalizing these values through standard deviations, the indicator provides a dynamic, data-driven approach to identifying overbought and oversold conditions, improving market timing and decision-making.
1. Overview
This indicator integrates multiple on-chain metrics to:
Assess Market Cycles – Utilize Z-score normalization to detect potential tops and bottoms.
Smooth Volatility – Apply EMA and standard deviation filtering to refine signals.
Identify Buy & Sell Signals – Use adaptive thresholds to highlight market extremes.
Provide Visual Clarity – Color-coded bar signals and background fills for intuitive analysis.
2. How It Works
A. Z-score Calculation
What is a Z-score? – The Z-score measures how far a data point deviates from its historical mean in terms of standard deviations. This helps in identifying statistical extremes.
Zscore(source,mean,std)=>
zscore = (source-mean)/std
zscore
Standard Deviation Normalization – Each on-chain metric (NUPL, SOPR, MVRV) is individually standardized before being combined into a final score.
B. On-Chain Components
NUPL Z-score – Measures unrealized profits and losses relative to market cycles.
SOPR Z-score – Evaluates profit-taking behavior on spent outputs.
MVRV Z-score – Assesses whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued based on market cap vs. realized cap.
C. Composite On-chain Score
The indicator computes an average Z-score of the three on-chain metrics to create a composite market assessment.
Adaptive thresholds (default: 0.73 for bullish signals, -0.44 for bearish signals) dynamically adjust based on market conditions.
3. Visual Representation
This indicator features color-coded elements and dynamic threshold visualization:
Bar Colors
Green Bars – Bullish conditions when Z-score exceeds the upper threshold.
Red Bars – Bearish conditions when Z-score drops below the lower threshold.
Gray Bars – Neutral market conditions.
Threshold Bands & Background Fill
Upper Band (Overbought) – Default threshold set at 0.73.
Middle Band – Neutral zone at 0.
Lower Band (Oversold) – Default threshold set at -0.44.
4. Customization & Parameters
This indicator is highly configurable, allowing traders to fine-tune settings based on their strategy:
On-Chain Z-score Settings
NUPL Z-score Length – Default: 126 periods
SOPR Z-score Length – Default: 111 periods
MVRV Z-score Length – Default: 111 periods
Signal Thresholds
Upper Threshold (Bullish Zone) – Default: 0.73
Lower Threshold (Bearish Zone) – Default: -0.44
Color & Visual Settings
Choose from eight customizable color modes to suit personal preferences.
5. Trading Applications
The On-chain Zscore Indicator is versatile and can be applied in various market scenarios:
Macro Trend Analysis – Identify long-term market tops and bottoms using normalized on-chain metrics.
Momentum Confirmation – Validate price action trends with SOPR & MVRV behavior.
Market Timing – Use deviation thresholds to enter at historically significant price zones.
Risk Management – Avoid overextended markets by watching for extreme Z-score readings.
6. Final Thoughts
The QuantumResearch On-chain Zscore Indicator provides a unique approach to market evaluation by combining three critical on-chain metrics into a single, normalized score.
By standardizing Bitcoin’s market behavior, this tool helps traders and investors make informed decisions based on historical statistical extremes.
Backtesting and validation are essential before using this indicator in live trading. While it enhances market analysis, it should be used alongside other tools and strategies.
Disclaimer: No indicator can guarantee future performance. Always use appropriate risk management and perform due diligence before trading.
Blockchain Fundamentals: Global LiquidityGlobal Liquidity Indicator Overview
This indicator provides a comprehensive technical analysis of liquidity trends by deriving a Global Liquidity metric from multiple data sources. It applies a suite of technical indicators directly on this liquidity measure, rather than on price data. When this metric is expanding Bitcoin and crypto tends to bullish conditions.
Features:
1. Global Liquidity Calculation
Data Integration: Combines multiple market data sources using a ratio-based formula to produce a unique liquidity measure.
Custom Metric: This liquidity metric serves as the foundational input for further technical analysis.
2. Timeframe Customization
User-Selected Period: Users can select the data timeframe (default is 2 months) to ensure consistency and flexibility in analysis.
3. Additional Technical Indicators
RSI, Momentum, ROC, MACD, and Stochastic:
Each indicator is computed using the Global Liquidity series rather than price.
User-selectable toggles allow for enabling or disabling each individual indicator as desired.
4. Enhanced MACD Visualization
Dynamic Histogram Coloring:
The MACD histogram color adjusts dynamically: brighter hues indicate rising histogram values while darker hues indicate falling values.
When the histogram is above zero, green is used; when below zero, red is applied, offering immediate visual insight into momentum shifts.
Conclusion
This indicator is an enlightening tool for understanding liquidity dynamics, aiding in macroeconomic analysis and investment decision-making by highlighting shifts in liquidity conditions and market momentum.
Markov + Monte Carlo Simulation with EVMarkov Monte Carlo Projection (MMCP) – A Probabilistic Approach to Price Forecasting
Introduction: A New Approach to Price Projection
The Markov Monte Carlo Projection (MMCP) is an advanced stochastic forecasting tool that models potential future price paths using a combination of Markov Chain transition probabilities and Monte Carlo simulations. Unlike traditional technical indicators that rely on fixed formulas, MMCP employs probability distributions and simulated price movement paths to estimate future price behavior dynamically.
This indicator is designed to adapt to changing market conditions and provides traders with a probabilistic framework rather than a fixed forecast. By incorporating volatility modeling, MMCP enables traders to size projections proportionally to recent price action, making it an adaptive and flexible forecasting tool.
Mathematical Foundations
Markov Chains: Modeling Probability of Price Movements
A Markov Chain is a stochastic process where the probability of transitioning to the next state depends only on the current state and not on past states (i.e., it is memoryless).
For price movement, MMCP analyzes the past N bars (set by the lookback window) to determine the transition probabilities of price moving up, down, or remaining the same based on past behavior:
Pup=Number of Up MovesTotal Moves
Pup=Total MovesNumber of Up Moves
Pdown=Number of Down MovesTotal Moves
Pdown=Total MovesNumber of Down Moves
Psame=1−(Pup+Pdown)
Psame=1−(Pup+Pdown)
These probabilities guide how future price movements are simulated, ensuring that projections reflect historical price behavior tendencies.
Monte Carlo Simulations: Generating Possible Futures
Monte Carlo simulations involve running many random trials to estimate possible outcomes. Each trial simulates a future price path by:
Randomly selecting a direction based on the Markov probabilities Pup,Pdown,PsamePup,Pdown,Psame.
Determining the magnitude of the price movement using a normally distributed volatility model.
Iterating this process across multiple forecast bars to simulate a range of potential price paths.
This process does not predict a single outcome, but rather generates a probability-weighted range of future price possibilities.
Volatility Modeling: Scaling Movements Proportionally
Why We Use Standard Deviation (σσ)
Price movement is inherently volatile, and the magnitude of price shifts must be scaled relative to recent volatility. MMCP calculates rolling price returns and then derives the standard deviation of those returns:
σ=stdev(price returns,lookback)
σ=stdev(price returns,lookback)
The Volatility Multiplier allows users to adjust the impact of this volatility on projected movements. This makes the indicator adaptive to different asset price ranges.
Key User Adjustments
1. Volatility Multiplier – Tuning Projections for Different Assets
The scale of the Volatility Multiplier must be tuned for each asset because it is relative to the magnitude of price action. For example:
Low-priced assets (e.g., $2.50 stocks) → A multiplier of 0.1 works best.
Mid-priced assets (e.g., $250 stocks) → A multiplier of 3 works best.
High-priced assets (e.g., Bitcoin) → A multiplier of 1000 works best.
🔹 If projections seem too extreme, decrease the multiplier.
🔹 If projections seem too flat, increase the multiplier.
The Volatility Multiplier can also be fine-tuned to make the projected signal proportionate to the immediately preceding price action.
2. Expected Value (EV) Path – Analyzing Aggregate Future Probabilities
The EV Line is a computed average of all simulated paths, giving traders an expected mean trajectory.
If you find that the EV Line is not visible, try increasing the volatility multiplier to make it more pronounced.
3. Projection Inversion – Enhancing Analysis with Paired Indicators
A unique feature of MMCP is the projection inversion toggle, designed to allow traders to run multiple instances of the indicator in tandem.
When one instance is set to normal projection and another to inverted projection, traders can pair them together using identical settings (except inversion). This setup allows for a mirrored probability perspective and enhances visualizing volatility dynamics.
Additionally, traders can use multiple sets of paired indicators, each with a different lookback window, to build a multi-layered, probability-driven market visualization. This dynamic approach provides an evolving structure of probable price movement in different time frames, offering deeper insights into potential market conditions.
How MMCP Works in Real-Time
Each new bar triggers a fresh Monte Carlo simulation, meaning that projections organically evolve with the market. This ensures that MMCP is always responding to current conditions, rather than applying static assumptions.
How to Use MMCP in Trading
✔ Identifying Potential Reversal & Continuation Zones
If most Monte Carlo paths project upward, bullish momentum is likely.
If most Monte Carlo paths project downward, bearish momentum is likely.
The Expected Value (EV) Line can help confirm the most probable trajectory.
✔ Analyzing Market Sentiment in Real Time
Use multiple instances of MMCP with different lookback windows to capture short-term vs. long-term sentiment.
Enable projection inversion to analyze potential mirrored moves.
✔ Fine-Tuning MMCP for Your Strategy
Adjust the Volatility Multiplier to match the price scale of your asset.
Increase the number of simulations to improve statistical robustness.
Use shorter lookback windows for more responsive predictions, or longer windows for more stable forecasts.
Why MMCP is a Game-Changer
✅ Dynamic & Probabilistic – Unlike fixed indicators, MMCP adapts in real-time.
✅ Fully Stochastic – MMCP embraces uncertainty using Markov models & Monte Carlo simulations.
✅ Customizable for Any Asset – Adjust the Volatility Multiplier for small or large price movements.
✅ Live Updates – The projection organically evolves with every new price bar.
✅ Multi-Perspective Analysis – Traders can run paired normal and inverted projections for deeper insights.
By tuning Volatility Multiplier, Lookback Window, and Projection Inversion, traders can customize MMCP to fit their strategy.
Final Thoughts
The Markov Monte Carlo Projection (MMCP) is not about making absolute predictions—it is about understanding probability distributions in price action.
By leveraging Monte Carlo simulations, Markov transition probabilities, and dynamic volatility modeling, MMCP gives traders a powerful probability-based edge in forecasting potential price movement.
Aggregation BTC CVDThe script calculates the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) for multiple cryptocurrency exchanges, then averages these values and plots them.
Indicator Setup:
The script sets up an indicator called "BTC Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) for multiple cryptocurrency exchanges", displayed as a separate panel (not overlaid on the price chart) with volume format.
Getting 1-minute data from multiple exchanges:
It retrieves 1-minute data (buy and sell volumes) for Bitcoin (BTC) against USD or USDT from several exchanges: Binance, OKEx, Coinbase (both BTCUSDT and BTCUSD), Bitfinex, Bybit, Huobi, and Kraken.
Calculating total buying and selling volume for each exchange:
For each exchange, it calculates the total buying volume (buy_vol_...), selling volume (sell_vol_...), and the difference between them (delta_vol_...).
It then computes the cumulative delta volume (cum_delta_vol_...), which is a running total of delta_vol_....
Calculating the average CVD:
It calculates the average cumulative delta volume (average_cum_delta_vol) by summing the cumulative delta volumes from all exchanges and dividing by the number of exchanges.
Plotting the average CVD:
Finally, it plots the average CVD with white color, and a line width of 2.
This script essentially provides an averaged Cumulative Volume Delta across multiple exchanges, giving a comprehensive view of buying and selling pressure in the Bitcoin market across these platforms.
STRAW Volume Spike IndicatorThis is basically a:
High-Volume Impulse Detector
The High-Volume Impulse Detector is a refined tool designed to highlight key moments of explosive volume surges in the market, specifically calibrated for assets like Bitcoin on the 15-minute timeframe. Unlike generic volume-based indicators, this script doesn’t just flag high volume—it intelligently adapts to market dynamics by incorporating a custom-moving average baseline and highlighting instances where volume exceeds a significant threshold relative to the average.
Key Features
✅ Adaptive Volume Benchmark – Uses a dynamic moving average to filter out noise and pinpoint meaningful volume spikes.
✅ Impulse Confirmation – Only highlights volume bars that exceed the 50% threshold above the baseline, ensuring signals capture real liquidity shifts.
✅ Smart Color Coding – Differentiates high-impact bullish and bearish volume with distinct visual cues for easy market structure identification.
✅ Designed for Order Block Traders – Helps validate liquidity-driven price movements essential for refining order block and break-of-structure strategies.
Unlike conventional volume overlays, this tool helps traders connect volume surges to key structural shifts, making it an ideal companion for those navigating momentum shifts, market inefficiencies, and institutional footprints.
⚡ Best used on BTC 15m for tracking aggressive volume-driven moves in real-time.
Ultimate Stochastics Strategy by NHBprod Use to Day Trade BTCHey All!
Here's a new script I worked on that's super simple but at the same time useful. Check out the backtest results. The backtest results include slippage and fees/commission, and is still quite profitable. Obviously the profitability magnitude depends on how much capital you begin with, and how much the user utilizes per order, but in any event it seems to be profitable according to backtests.
This is different because it allows you full functionality over the stochastics calculations which is designed for random datasets. This script allows you to:
Designate ANY period of time to analyze and study
Choose between Long trading, short trading, and Long & Short trading
It allows you to enter trades based on the stochastics calculations
It allows you to EXIT trades using the stochastics calculations or take profit, or stop loss, Or any combination of those, which is nice because then the user can see how one variable effects the overall performance.
As for the actual stochastics formula, you get control, and get to SEE the plot lines for slow K, slow D, and fast K, which is usually not considered.
You also get the chance to modify the smoothing method, which has not been done with regular stochastics indicators. You get to choose the standard simple moving average (SMA) method, but I also allow you to choose other MA's such as the HMA and WMA.
Lastly, the user gets the option of using a custom trade extender, which essentially allows a buy or sell signal to exist for X amount of candles after the initial signal. For example, you can use "max bars since signal" to 1, and this will allow the indicator to produce an extra sequential buy signal when a buy signal is generated. This can be useful because it is possible that you use a small take profit (TP) and quickly exit a profitable trade. With the max bars since signal variable, you're able to reenter on the next candle and allow for another opportunity.
Let me know if you have any questions! Please take a look at the performance report and let me know your thoughts! :)
Currency ComparatorIndicator Description
This script helps you compare the price changes of various cryptocurrencies against each other.
While TradingView provides some pairs like ETH/BTC or BNB/BTC, it lacks support for comparing lower-market-cap coins against BTC or other currencies. That’s where this script comes in, allowing you to easily view ratios like DOGS/BTC, LSD/BTC, and more.
You can also analyze the relationship between two high-market-cap assets, such as ETH/SOL, which is often not available directly on TradingView.
Additionally, this indicator enables you to view the changes of two cryptocurrencies alongside a base currency. For example, you can observe how Bitcoin's rise impacts LSD and whether it strengthens or weakens relative to BTC.
Features
Maximized View: You can open the indicator in a maximized chart view and use it like any other chart for your technical analysis.
Customizable Comparisons: Compare any two assets with ease by configuring the indicator inputs.
Important Notes
1.Preserving Drawings:
Drawings and tools applied to the indicator chart are not tied to the indicator’s settings. This means changing the inputs won’t affect them. To avoid losing your work:
Open the chart of the base asset (e.g., LSD/USDT) where you want to analyze a specific pair (e.g., LSD/BTC).
Use the indicator there. This way, whenever you want to revisit your analysis, you only need to open the base chart (e.g., LSD/USDT) and update the indicator inputs to the desired pair (e.g., LSD/BTC).
2.Deleting the Indicator:
Removing the indicator from the chart will also delete all your drawings. If you need to keep them, do not delete the indicator.
3.Precision Settings:
By default, the indicator displays up to 12 decimal places (precision). For pairs where such precision isn’t required, you can adjust it in the settings under the "Style" section to your preferred value. If you need higher precision again, simply reset it to the default value.
