Enhanced Order Flow Pressure GaugeShort Description:
Estimates bullish/bearish pressure by analyzing each candle’s close position within its range, then weighting that by volume. Detects potential trend shifts and provides real-time signals.
Full Description:
1. Purpose
The Enhanced Order Flow Pressure Gauge (OFPG+) is designed to approximate buy vs. sell pressure within each bar, even if you don’t have full Level II / order flow data. By measuring the candle’s close relative to its high-low range and multiplying by volume, OFPG+ provides insights into which side of the market (bulls or bears) is more aggressive in a given interval.
2. Key Components
Pressure Score (Histogram):
Raw measure of each bar’s close position (rangePos) minus midpoint, multiplied by volume. If the bar closes near its high with decent volume, the score is positive (bullish). Conversely, a close near its low yields a negative (bearish) reading.
Cumulative Pressure:
Sum of all pressure readings over time (similar to cumulative delta), reflecting the overall market bias.
Pressure Delta:
The change in cumulative pressure from one bar to the next, plotted as a line. Rising values suggest increasing bullish momentum, while falling values show growing bearish influence.
3. Visual Cues & Signals
Histogram (Pressure Profile): A color-coded bar for each candle, indicating net bullish (blue) or bearish (gray) intrabar pressure.
Pressure Delta Line: Plotted over the histogram. Turns bullish (blue) when net buy pressure is increasing, or bearish (gray) when net selling accelerates.
Background Highlights:
Turns lightly blue if the smoothed pressure line exceeds the positive threshold, or lightly gray if it goes below the negative threshold.
Bullish / Bearish Signals:
Bullish Signal occurs when the smoothed pressure line crosses above the positive threshold, combined with a positive Delta.
Bearish Signal occurs when the smoothed pressure line crosses below the negative threshold, combined with a negative Delta.
Confirmed Signals:
After a bullish/bearish signal, OFPG+ checks the highest or lowest smoothed pressure values over a user-defined number of bars (signalLookback) to confirm momentum.
Plotshapes (diamond icons) appear on the chart to mark these confirmed reversals.
4. Usage Scenarios
Trend-Following / Momentum: Watch for transitions from negative to positive net pressure or vice versa. Helps identify potential turning points.
Reversal Confirmation: The threshold-based signals plus the “confirmed” checks can help filter choppy conditions.
Volume-Weighted Insights: By factoring in volume, strong closes near the highs or lows are weighted more heavily, capturing sentiment shifts.
5. Inputs & Parameters
Smoothing Length (length): The EMA period for smoothing the raw pressure score.
Volume Weight (volWeight): Scales the volume impact on pressure calculations.
Pressure Threshold (threshold): Defines when pressure is considered significantly bullish or bearish.
Signal Lookback (signalLookback): Number of bars to confirm momentum after a signal.
6. Alerts
Bullish Signal & Confirmed Bullish
Bearish Signal & Confirmed Bearish
These alerts can notify you in real-time about potential shifts in the market’s buying or selling pressure.
7. Disclaimer
This script provides an approximation of order flow by analyzing candle structure and volume. It does not represent actual exchange-level order data.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Always conduct thorough analysis and use proper risk management.
Not financial advice. Use at your own discretion.
Search in scripts for "histogram"
Indicator DashboardThis script creates an 'Indicator Dashboard' designed to assist you in analyzing financial markets and making informed decisions. The indicator provides a summary of current market conditions by presenting various technical analysis indicators in a table format. The dashboard evaluates popular indicators such as Moving Averages, RSI, MACD, and Stochastic RSI. Below, we'll explain each part of this script in detail and its purpose:
### Overview of Indicators
1. **Moving Averages (MA)**:
- This indicator calculates Simple Moving Averages (“SMA”) for 5, 14, 20, 50, 100, and 200 periods. These averages provide a visual summary of price movements. Depending on whether the price is above or below the moving average, it determines the market direction as either “Bullish” or “Bearish.”
2. **RSI (Relative Strength Index)**:
- The RSI helps identify overbought or oversold market conditions. Here, the RSI is calculated for a 14-period window, and this value is displayed in the table. Additionally, the 14-period moving average of the RSI is also included.
3. **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**:
- The MACD indicator is used to determine trend strength and potential reversals. This script calculates the MACD line, signal line, and histogram. The MACD condition (“Bullish,” “Bearish,” or “Neutral”) is displayed alongside the MACD and signal line values.
4. **Stochastic RSI**:
- Stochastic RSI is used to identify momentum changes in the market. The %K and %D lines are calculated to determine the market condition (“Bullish” or “Bearish”), which is displayed along with the calculated values for %K and %D.
### Table Layout and Presentation
The dashboard is presented in a vertical table format in the top-right corner of the chart. The table contains two columns: “Indicator” and “Status,” summarizing the condition of each technical indicator.
- **Indicator Column**: Lists each of the indicators being tracked, such as SMA values, RSI, MACD, etc.
- **Status Column**: Displays the current status of each indicator, such as “Bullish,” “Bearish,” or specific values like the RSI or MACD.
The table also includes rounded indicator values for easier interpretation. This helps traders quickly assess market conditions and make informed decisions based on multiple indicators presented in a single location.
### Detailed Indicator Status Calculations
1. **SMA Status**: For each moving average (5, 14, 20, 50, 100, 200), the script checks if the current price is above or below the SMA. The status is determined as “Bullish” if the price is above the SMA and “Bearish” if below, with the value of the SMA also displayed.
2. **RSI and RSI Average**: The RSI value for a 14-period is displayed along with its 14-period SMA, which provides an average reading of the RSI to smooth out volatility.
3. **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line, signal line, and histogram are calculated using standard parameters (12, 26, 9). The status is shown as “Bullish” when the MACD line is above the signal line, and “Bearish” when it is below. The exact values for the MACD line, signal line, and histogram are also included.
4. **Stochastic RSI**: The %K and %D lines of the Stochastic RSI are used to determine the trend condition. If %K is greater than %D, the condition is “Bullish,” otherwise it is “Bearish.” The actual values of %K and %D are also displayed.
### Conclusion
The 'Indicator Dashboard' provides a comprehensive overview of multiple technical indicators in a single, easy-to-read table. This allows traders to quickly gauge market conditions and make more informed decisions. By consolidating key indicators like Moving Averages, RSI, MACD, and Stochastic RSI into one dashboard, it saves time and enhances the efficiency of technical analysis.
This script is particularly useful for traders who prefer a clean and organized overview of their favorite indicators without needing to plot each one individually on the chart. Instead, all the crucial information is available at a glance in a consolidated format.
Relative VolatilityRelative Volatility is a technical indicator designed to assess changes in market volatility by comparing fast and slow Average True Range (ATR) values. It operates by subtracting a slower ATR (e.g., 50-period ATR) from a faster ATR (e.g., 20-period ATR) and visualizing the result as a histogram. This enables traders to determine whether volatility is increasing or decreasing over time.
This indicator can help traders recognize volatility trends, which can inform decisions related to trade entries, exits, and risk management.
Interpreting Volatility Changes
Increasing Volatility: When the histogram is above zero, it indicates that the fast ATR is greater than the slow ATR, signifying an increase in short-term volatility compared to the long-term average. This may suggest heightened market activity and potential trading opportunities.
Decreasing Volatility: When the histogram is below zero, it shows that the fast ATR is less than the slow ATR, indicating a decrease in short-term volatility relative to the long-term average. This may suggest consolidating markets or reduced trading activity.
Relative Volatility assists traders in monitoring and analyzing changes in market volatility, providing insights that can enhance trading strategies and decision-making processes.
SMI Ergodic Indicator/Oscillator▮ Introduction
The Stochastic Momentum Index Ergodic Indicator (SMII) is a technical analysis tool designed to predict trend reversals in the price of an asset.
It functions as a momentum oscillator, measuring the ratio of the smoothed price change to the smoothed absolute price change over a given number of previous periods.
The Ergodic SMI is based on the True Strength Index (TSI) and integrates a signal line, which is an exponential moving average (EMA) of the SMI indicator itself.
It provides a clearer picture of market trends than the traditional stochastic oscillator by incorporating the concept of "ergodicity", which helps remove market noise.
On ther other hand, the Stochastic Momentum Index Ergodic Oscillator (SMIO) is a histogram that measures the difference between TSI and it's signal line.
By default, in TradingView both SMII and SMIO are provided independently.
Here in this script these two indicators are combined, providing a more comprehensive view of price direction and market strength.
▮ Motivation: why another indicator?
The intrinsic value of this indicator lies in the fact that it allows fine adjustments in both calculation parameters, data source and visualization, features that are not present in the standard indicators or similar.
Also, trend lines breakouts and divergences detector were added.
▮ What to look for
When using the indicator, there are a few things to look out for.
First, look at the SMI signal line.
When the line crosses above -40, it is considered a buy signal, while the crossing below +40 is considered a sell signal.
Also, pay attention to divergences between the SMI and the price.
If price is rising but the SMI is showing negative divergence, it could indicate that momentum is waning and a reversal could be in the offing.
Likewise, if price is falling but the SMI is showing positive divergence, this could indicate that momentum is building and a reversal could also be in the offing.
Divergences can be considered in both indicator and/or histogram.
Examples:
▮ Notes
The indicator presented here offers both the "SMII" and the "SMIO", that is, the "Stochastic Momentum Index Ergodic Indicator" together with the "Stochastic Momentum Index Ergodic Oscillator" (histogram), as per the documentation described in reference links.
So it is important to highlight the differences in relation to my other indicator, Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) Refurbished .
This last one is purely based on the **SMI**, which is implemented using smoothed ratio between the relative range and the high/low range.
Although they may seem the same in some situations, the calculation is actually different. The TSI tends to be more responsive at the expense of being noisier, while the SMI tends to be smoother. Which of these two indicators is best depends on the situation, the context, and the analyst's personal preference.
Please refer to reference links to more info.
▮ References
SMI documentation
SMII documentation
SMIO documentation
MACD Enhanced Strategy MTF with Stop Loss [LTB]Test strategy for MACD
This strategy, named "MACD Enhanced Strategy MTF with Stop Loss ," is a modified Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) strategy with enhancements such as multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis, custom scoring, and a dynamic stop loss mechanism. Let’s break down how to effectively use it:
Key Elements of the Strategy
MACD Indicator with Modifications:
The strategy uses MACD, a well-known momentum indicator, with customizable parameters:
fastLength, slowLength, and signalLength represent the standard MACD settings.
Instead of relying solely on MACD crossovers, it introduces scoring parameters for histogram direction (histside), indicator direction (indiside), and signal cross (crossscore). This allows for a more nuanced decision-making process when determining buy and sell signals.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis (MTF):
The strategy compares the current timeframe's MACD score with that of a higher timeframe (HTF). It dynamically selects the higher timeframe based on the current timeframe. For example, if the current chart period is 1, it will select 5 as the higher timeframe.
This MTF approach aims to align trades with broader trends, filtering out false signals that could be present when analyzing only a single timeframe.
Scoring System:
A custom scoring system (count() function) is used to evaluate buy and sell signals. This includes calculations based on the direction and momentum of MACD (indi) and the histogram. The score is used to determine the strength of signals.
Positive scores indicate bullish sentiment, while negative scores indicate bearish sentiment.
This scoring mechanism aims to reduce the influence of noise and provide more reliable entries.
Entry Conditions:
Long Condition: When the Result value (a combination of MTF and current MACD analysis) changes and becomes positive, a long entry is triggered.
Short Condition: When the Result changes and becomes negative, a short entry is initiated.
Stop Loss Mechanism:
The countstop() function calculates dynamic stop loss values for both long and short trades. It is based on the Average True Range (ATR) multiplied by a factor (Mult), providing adaptive stop loss levels depending on market volatility.
The stop loss is plotted on the chart to show potential risk levels for open trades, with the line appearing only if shotsl is enabled.
How to Use the Strategy
To properly use the strategy, follow these steps:
Parameter Optimization:
Adjust the input parameters such as fastLength, slowLength, and signalLength to tune the MACD indicator to the specific asset you’re trading. The values provided are typical defaults, but optimizing these values based on backtesting can help improve performance.
Customize the scoring parameters (crossscore, indiside, histside) to balance how much weight you want to put on the direction, histogram, and cross events of the MACD indicator.
Select Appropriate Timeframes:
This strategy employs a multi-timeframe (MTF) approach, so it's important to understand how the higher timeframe (HTF) is selected based on the current timeframe. For instance, if you are trading on a 5-minute chart, the higher timeframe will be 15 minutes, which helps filter out lower timeframe noise.
Ensure you understand the relationship between the timeframe you’re using and the HTF it automatically selects. The strategy’s effectiveness can vary depending on how these timeframes align with the asset’s overall volatility.
Run Backtests:
Always backtest the strategy over historical data to determine its reliability for the asset and timeframes you’re interested in. Note that the MTF approach may require substantial data to capture how different timeframes interact.
Use the backtest results to adjust the scoring parameters or the Stop Loss Factor (Mult) for better risk management.
Stop Loss Usage:
The stop loss is calculated dynamically using ATR, which means that it adjusts with changing volatility. This can be useful to avoid being stopped out too often during periods of increased volatility.
The shotsl parameter can be set to true to visualize the stop loss line on the chart. This helps to monitor the protection level and make better decisions regarding holding or closing a trade manually.
Entry Signals and Trade Execution:
Look for changes in the Result value to determine entry points. For a long position, the Result needs to become positive, and for a short position, it must be negative.
Note that the strategy's entries are more conservative because it waits for the Result to confirm the direction using multiple factors, which helps filter out false breakouts.
Risk Management:
The adaptive stop loss mechanism reduces the risk by basing the stop level on market volatility. However, you must still consider additional risk management practices such as position sizing and profit targets.
Given the scoring mechanism, it might not enter trades frequently, which means using this strategy may result in fewer but potentially more accurate trades. It’s important to be patient and not force trades that don’t align with the calculated results.
Real-Time Monitoring:
Make sure to monitor trades actively. Since the strategy recalculates the score on each bar, real-time changes in the Result value could provide exit opportunities even if the stop loss isn't triggered.
Summary
The "MACD Enhanced Strategy MTF with Stop Loss " is a sophisticated version of the MACD strategy, enhanced with multi-timeframe analysis and adaptive stop loss. Properly using it involves optimizing MACD and scoring parameters, selecting suitable timeframes, and actively managing entries and exits based on a combination of scoring and volatility-based stop losses. Always conduct thorough backtesting before applying it in a live environment to ensure the strategy performs well on the asset you're trading.
Volume Pairwise Highlight### Volume Pairwise Highlight
**Overview:**
The "Volume Pairwise Highlight" Pine Script is designed to analyze and visualize the relationship between the volumes of consecutive candlesticks in a trading chart. This script calculates the high-low difference of each candlestick and plots it, while also highlighting specific conditions in the volume histogram.
**Key Features:**
1. **High-Low Difference Calculation:**
- The script calculates the difference between the high and low prices of each candlestick.
- This difference is plotted as a histogram on the main chart for easy visualization.
2. **Volume Condition Highlight:**
- The script checks if the volume of the previous candlestick is higher than the volume of the current candlestick.
- If this condition is met, the current volume bar is highlighted in red; otherwise, it is colored green.
- This helps traders quickly identify periods where there was a drop in volume compared to the previous period.
3. **Volume Display:**
- The volume is plotted as a histogram on a separate pane, making it easy to compare volumes across different periods.
- The coloring of the volume bars provides a quick visual cue for significant changes in trading volume.
4. **Information Display:**
- The script dynamically updates and displays the volume and high-low difference values on the chart.
- This provides traders with immediate feedback on the current trading activity.
5. **Optional Moving Average:**
- The script includes an optional moving average of the high-low difference.
- This moving average can be customized in length and helps smooth out the data for better trend analysis.
**Customization:**
- **Volume Threshold:** Customize the volume threshold to highlight specific volume conditions.
- **Highlight Color:** Adjust the highlight colors to suit your visual preferences.
- **Moving Average Length:** Modify the length of the moving average to better fit your analysis needs.
**Usage:**
This script is useful for traders looking to:
- Identify significant changes in trading volume.
- Analyze the volatility of candlesticks through high-low differences.
- Quickly spot periods of declining volume, which could indicate potential changes in market trends.
By providing clear visual cues and detailed volume analysis, the "Volume Pairwise Highlight" script aids traders in making more informed trading decisions.
ATH/ATL Tracker [LuxAlgo]The ATH/ATL Tracker effectively displays changes made between new All-Time Highs (ATH)/All-Time Lows (ATL) and their previous respective values, over the entire history of available data.
The indicator shows a histogram of the change between a new ATH/ATL and its respective preceding ATH/ATL. A tooltip showing the price made during a new ATH/ATL alongside its date is included.
🔶 USAGE
By tracking the change between new ATHs/ATLs and older ATHs/ATLs, traders can gain insight into market sentiment, breadth, and rotation.
If many stocks are consistently setting new ATHs and the number of new ATHs is increasing relative to old ATHs, it could indicate broad market participation in a rally. If only a few stocks are reaching new ATHs or the number is declining, it might signal that the market's upward momentum is decreasing.
A significant increase in new ATHs suggests optimism and willingness among investors to buy at higher prices, which could be considered a positive sentiment. On the other hand, a decrease or lack of new ATHs might indicate caution or pessimism.
By observing the sectors where stocks are consistently setting new ATHs, users can identify which sectors are leading the market. Sectors with few or no new ATHs may be losing momentum and could be identified as lagging behind the overall market sentiment.
🔶 DETAILS
The indicator's main display is a histogram-style readout that displays the change in price from older ATH/ATLs to Newer/Current ATH/ATLs. This change is determined by the distance that the current values have overtaken the previous values, resulting in the displayed data.
The largest changes in ATH/ATLs from the ticker's history will appear as the largest bars in the display.
The most recent bars (depending on the selected display setting) will always represent the current ATH or ATL values.
When determining ATH & ATL values, it is important to filter out insignificant highs and lows that may happen constantly when exploring higher and lower prices. To combat this, the indicator looks to a higher timeframe than your chart's timeframe in order to determine these more significant ATHs & ATLs.
For Example: If a user was on a 1-minute chart and 5 highs-new highs occur across 5 adjacent bars, this has the potential to show up as 5 new ATHs. When looking at a higher timeframe, 5 minutes, only the highest of the 5 bars will indicate a new ATH. To assist with this, the indicator will display warnings in the dashboard when a suboptimal timeframe is selected as input.
🔹 Dashboard
The dashboard displays averages from the ATH/ATL data to aid in the anticipation and expectations for new ATH/ATLs.
The average duration is an average of the time between each new ATH/ATL, in this indicator it is calculated in "Days" to provide a more comprehensive understanding.
The average change is the average of all change data displayed in the histogram.
🔶 SETTINGS
Duration: The designated higher timeframe to use for filtering out insignificant ATHs & ATLs.
Order: The display order for the ATH/ATL Bars, Options are to display in chronological (oldest to newest) or reverse chronological order (newest to oldest).
Bar Width: Sets the width for each ATH/ATL bar.
Bar Spacing: Sets the # of empty bars in between each ATH/ATL bar.
Dashboard Settings: Parameters for the dashboard's size and location on the chart.
ADX and DI (Colored Candles Open-Source)The "ADX and DI (Colored Candles Open-Source)" indicator is a technical analysis tool used in trading. It utilizes the Average Directional Index (ADX) and the Directional Movement Indicators (+DI and -DI) to assess the strength and direction of a price trend. The ADX is calculated based on a 14-period lookback and is displayed as a histogram.
The color of the ADX histogram varies depending on the ADX value and the relative positions of +DI and -DI. Green and purple colors represent bullish and bearish trends respectively, with variations in shades indicating trend strength. Yellow and red colors indicate potential trend exhaustion for bullish and bearish trends, respectively, when ADX is above 50. Gray color is used when ADX is below 10, indicating a neutral trend.
Additionally, the script plots +DI and -DI lines with a fill between them to visually represent their crossover. Horizontal dotted lines are drawn at key ADX levels (0, 10, 25, 50) for reference. The candles on the chart are also colored to match the ADX histogram, providing a clear visual representation of the market trend.
Total number strength by ticker volumeThis is about stocks, which I always analyze.
Figure this out by looking at what the code calls ta.secutity.
This indicator plots the highest value of the ratio of total volume to individual volume for the stock you are analyzing, and the histogram tumbles to red when the stock changes in that value. The changed value is plotted as a label above that histogram. By using this indicator, you can determine which is currently the focus of attention, and if there are outliers, you will know by the histogram's detachment.
The parameters are explained below, but Timefream is the market value to be determined
setvalue sets the item to be judged, and lenght sets the time period to be judged. setvalue is the parameter that determines the timeframe for the judgment. vol is the volume, VP is the total purchase price, VPMA is its average, VPMAD is the detachment from its average, MA is the average of the vol, MAD is the detachment from its average, LRC is the average of the vol, and LRC is the average of the vol. value of linear regression, and also
The calculation of detachment is not negative because it comes out as a square, but it is not a problem because it is calculated as a percentage.
There is a *problem, and if the timefreame to be displayed is not calculated below the value of timefreame, an error will occur. We are currently searching for a solution to this problem. If you know the solution, I would appreciate it if you could let me know in the chat.
Exhaustion Improved Scalping Consolidation and Squeeze IndicatorThis custom indicator, called " Exhaustion & Improved Scalping Consolidation and Squeeze Indicator," is designed to help traders identify potential trading opportunities in the context of price consolidations, squeezes, and momentum exhaustion. It is an overlay indicator that combines several popular technical analysis tools, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels, and Rate of Change (ROC). By analyzing these metrics, the indicator aims to provide visual cues on price charts to support better decision-making in the markets.
Use Case for Trading:
Consolidation Detection: The indicator identifies periods of price consolidation, which typically occur when a market is experiencing low volatility and trading in a narrow range. During these periods, the RSI value is between 45 and 55, the MACD histogram is close to zero, and the ROC value is low. The indicator highlights these consolidation periods by coloring the price bars yellow. Traders can use this information to anticipate potential breakouts and prepare for a possible trend initiation.
Squeeze Detection: The indicator detects squeezes by comparing the Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels. A squeeze occurs when the Bollinger Bands are within the Keltner Channels, indicating that price volatility is decreasing. The indicator colors the price bars orange during a squeeze, which can be a signal for traders to watch for an upcoming increase in volatility and potential trend expansion.
Momentum Exhaustion Detection: The indicator identifies exhaustion in momentum by analyzing the RSI and MACD histogram. When the RSI is above 70, indicating overbought conditions, and the MACD histogram is decreasing, it may signal that the current upward momentum is losing strength. The indicator colors the price bars white in these situations. Traders can use this information to potentially exit long positions or prepare for a trend reversal.
L'MACD GUNHi all!
I would like to present you my universal MACD module.
In addition to the standard functions I have added several improvements:
Source Selection.
In addition to the standard calculation of the moving average "EMA", in the parameter "MA Type" I have added 52 more methods for calculating the MA! :
ADXMA, AHMA, ALF, ALMA, ARI, ARSI, BlackFilter, CTI, DoubleEma, DTA, DWMA, EEO, EHMA, ELA, EMARSI, EREA, HEMA, hma, HWMA, JAMA, KA, KAMA, LSMA, LWMA, McGinley_2, MNMA, PAW, REMA, rma, RMF, RMTA, RWMA, sma, SMMA, SuperSmooth, THMA, TilsonT3, TMA, TRAMA, TripleEma, TSF, VAMA, VAR, VHMA, VIDYA, VVMA, vwma, WCD, wma, WWMA, ZEMA, ZLMA !
Additional histogram and lines from the higher timeframe. With the parameter "Multiple of TF" you can specify on which timeframe the standard histogram should be zoomed.
The Zoom function allows increasing or decreasing the size of the histogram. (It does not affect the calculations in any way, it is only used for visualization purposes.)
How to use it?
I recommend using it as a standard MACD. You can test different types of moving averages thanks to my modules and choose the one you find most suitable.
Tips:
The script is slightly heavy and may take a little longer to load than usual.
All MA types are in alphabetical order and tied to numbers.
Next to the "MA Type" parameter there is a hint which method of calculating MA corresponds to the figure. The default is 15. In the hint 15 = EMA. This is the standard method of calculating the MAСD.
To select the MA more quickly. You can switch them with the mouse wheel or the arrows on the keyboard.
I use the standard parameters prescribed in the script.
The code is calibrated for any TF and displays as correctly as possible. Can be used on any type of chart.
Volume fight strategyThe Volume fight strategy looks for the predominance of bullish or bearish trading volume on the chart by dividing the trading volume in the bar into 2 parts - "bullish volume" and "bearish volume", and comparing the weighted average values by volume with each other at a given distance.
This strategy is suitable for any instrument (cryptocurrency, Forex, stocks) and is able to work on any TF.
The Volume fight strategy should be used as an auxiliary indicator that tells you who is currently prevailing in the market - " bulls "or"bears".
To configure the strategy , it is necessary to set the range of evaluation of the predominance of bullish or bearish volume (the number of bars, by default-24 bars for TF=1H). The smaller the TF, the higher the range value should be used to filter out false signals.
When there is a predominance of "bulls" on the chart, a green triangle appears (relevant at the close of the bar) and the histogram is highlighted in green, when "bears" appear on the chart, a red triangle appears (relevant at the close of the bar) and the histogram is highlighted in red.
In the strategy settings, there is smoothing to reduce false signals and highlight the flat zone by specifying a percentage, at least which should be the difference between the forces of the "bullish" and "bearish" volume . If the difference between the volume forces is less than the specified one (by default-15%), the zone is considered flat and is displayed in gray on the histogram.
If you set the percentage to zero, the flat zones will not be highlighted, but there will be much more false signals, since the strategy becomes very sensitive when the smoothing percentage decreases.
There is a function-to show the color background of the current trading zone. For" bullish "- green, for" bearish " - red.
In the settings, you can enable the display and use of each signal in the trading zone, not only the initial one, but also each after the flat zone. By default, only the signal of the beginning of the ascending/descending zone is used.
The strategy has alerts for "bullish" and "bearish" movements.
👉Use alerts - "alert() function calls only"
If you have any questions, you can write to me in private messages or by using the contacts in my signature.
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Стратегия Volume fight ищет на графике преобладание бычьего или медвежьего объёма торгов путём разделения торгового объёма в баре на 2 части - "бычий объём" и "медвежий объём", и сравнения средне-взвешенных значений по объёму между собой на заданной дистанции.
Данная стратегия подходит для любого инструмента (криптовалюта, Forex, акции) и способен работать на любом ТФ.
Стратегию Volume fight следует использовать как вспомогательный индикатор, который подсказывает Вам кто сейчас преобладает на рынке - "быки" или "медведи".
Для настройки стратегии необходимо выставить диапазон оценки преобладания бычьего или медвежьего объема (количество баров, по умолчанию - 24 бара для ТФ=1Ч). Чем меньше ТФ, тем выше следует использовать значение диапазона, чтобы отфильтровать ложные сигналы.
При возникновении преобладания на графике "быков" появляется зелёный треугольник (актуален по закрытию бара) и гистограмма подсвечивается зелёным цветом, при возникновении на графике "медведей" появляется красный треугольник (актуален по закрытию бара) и гистограмма подсвечивается красным цветом.
В настройках стратегии есть сглаживание для уменьшения ложных сигналов и выделения зоны флета с помощью указания процента, не менее которого, должна быть разница между силами "бычьего" и "медвежьего" объёма. Если разница между силами объёмов меньше заданного (по умолчанию - 15%), то зона считается флетовой и отображается на гистограмме серым цветом.
Если выставить процент равным нулю, то зоны флета выделяться не будут, но будет гораздо больше ложных сигналов, так как стратегия становится очень чувствительной при снижении процента сглаживания.
Есть функция - показывать цветовой фон текущей торговой зоны. Для "бычьего" - зелёный, для "медвежьего" - красный.
В настройках можно включить отображение и использование каждого сигнал в торговой зоне, не только начального, но и каждого после зоны флета. По умолчанию - только сигнал начала восходящей/нисходящей зоны.
Стратегия имеет оповещения для "бычьего" и "медвежьего" движения.
👉 Используйте оповещения - "Только при вызове функции alert()".
По любым вопросам Вы можете написать мне в личные сообщения или по контактам в моей подписи.
MACD PlusMoving Average Convergence Divergence – MACD
The MACD is an extremely popular indicator used in technical analysis. It can be used to identify aspects of a security's overall trend. Most notably these aspects are momentum, as well as trend direction and duration. What makes the MACD so informative is that it is actually the combination of two different types of indicators. First, the MACD employs two Moving Averages of varying lengths (which are lagging indicators) to identify trend direction and duration. Then, it takes the difference in values between those two Moving Averages (MACD Line) and an EMA of those Moving Averages (Signal Line) and plots that difference between the two lines as a histogram which oscillates above and below a center Zero Line. The histogram is used as a good indication of a security's momentum.
Added Color Plots to Settings Pane.
Switched MTF Logic to turn ON/OFF automatically w/ TradingView's Built in Feature.
Added Ability to Turn ON/OFF Show MacD & Signal Line.
Added Ability to Turn ON/OFF Show Histogram.
Added Ability to Change MACD Line Colors Based on Trend.
Added Ability to Highlight Price Bars Based on Trend.
Added Alerts to Settings Pane.
Customized Alerts to Show Symbol, TimeFrame, Closing Price, MACD Crosses Up & MACD Crosses Down Signals in Alert.
Alerts are Pre-Set to only Alert on Bar Close.
Added ability to show Dots when MACD Crosses.
Added Ability to Change Plot Widths in Settings Pane.
Added in Alert Feature where Cross Up if above 0 or cross down if below 0 (OFF By Default).
Squeeze Pro
Traditionally, John Carter's version uses 20 period SMAs as the basis lines on both the BB and the KC.
In this version, I've given the freedom to change this and try out different types of moving averages.
The original squeeze indicator had only one Squeeze setting, though this new one has three.
The gray dot Squeeze, call it a "low squeeze" or an "early squeeze" - this is the easiest Squeeze to form based on its settings.
The orange dot Squeeze is the original from the first Squeeze indicator.
And finally, the yellow dot squeeze, call it a "high squeeze" or "power squeeze" - is the most difficult to form and suggests price is under extreme levels of compression.
Colored Directional Movement Index (CDMI) , a custom interpretation of J. Welles Wilder’s Directional Movement Index (DMI), where :
DMI is a collection of three separate indicators ( ADX , +DI , -DI ) combined into one and measures the trend’s strength as well as its direction
CDMI is a custom interpretation of DMI which presents ( ADX , +DI , -DI ) with a color scale - representing the trend’s strength, color density - representing momentum/slope of the trend’s strength, and triangle up/down shapes - representing the trend’s direction. CDMI provides all the information in a single line with colored triangle shapes plotted on the bottom. DMI can provide quality information and even trading signals but it is not an easy indicator to master, whereus CDMI simplifies its usage. The CDMI adds additional insight of verifying/confirming the trend as well as its strength
Label :
Displaying the trend strength and direction
Displaying adx and di+/di- values
Displaying adx's momentum (growing or falling)
Where tooltip label describes "howto read colored dmi line"
Ability to display historical values of DMI readings displayed in the label.
Added "Expert Trend Locator - XTL"
The XTL was developed by Tom Joseph (in his book Applying Technical Analysis ) to identify major trends, similar to Elliott Wave 3 type swings.
Blue bars are bullish and indicate a potential upwards impulse.
Red bars are bearish and indicate a potential downwards impulse.
White bars indicate no trend is detected at the moment.
Added "Williams Vix Fix" signal. The Vix is one of the most reliable indicators in history for finding market bottoms. The Williams Vix Fix is simply a code from Larry Williams creating almost identical results for creating the same ability the Vix has to all assets.
The VIX has always been much better at signaling bottoms than tops. Simple reason is when market falls retail traders panic and increase volatility , and professionals come in and capitalize on the situation. At market tops there is no one panicking... just liquidity drying up.
The FE green triangles are "Filtered Entries"
The AE green triangles are "Aggressive Filtered Entries"
Volume fightThe Volume fight indicator looks for the predominance of bullish or bearish trading volume on the chart by dividing the trading volume in the bar into 2 parts - "bullish volume" and "bearish volume", and comparing the weighted average values by volume with each other at a given distance.
This indicator is suitable for any instrument (cryptocurrency, Forex, stocks) and is able to work on any TF.
The Volume fight indicator should be used as an auxiliary indicator that tells you who is currently prevailing in the market - " bulls "or"bears".
To configure the indicator, it is necessary to set the range of evaluation of the predominance of bullish or bearish volume (the number of bars, by default-24 bars for TF=1H). The smaller the TF, the higher the range value should be used to filter out false signals.
When there is a predominance of "bulls" on the chart, a green triangle appears (relevant at the close of the bar) and the histogram is highlighted in green, when "bears" appear on the chart, a red triangle appears (relevant at the close of the bar) and the histogram is highlighted in red.
In the indicator settings, there is smoothing to reduce false signals and highlight the flat zone by specifying a percentage, at least which should be the difference between the forces of the "bullish" and "bearish" volume. If the difference between the volume forces is less than the specified one (by default-15%), the zone is considered flat and is displayed in gray on the histogram.
If you set the percentage to zero, the flat zones will not be highlighted, but there will be much more false signals, since the indicator becomes very sensitive when the smoothing percentage decreases.
There is a function-to show the color background of the current trading zone. For" bullish "- green, for" bearish " - red.
In the settings, you can enable the display and use of each signal in the trading zone, not only the initial one, but also each after the flat zone. By default, only the signal of the beginning of the ascending/descending zone is used.
The indicator has alerts for "bullish" and "bearish" movements. Use alerts - "Once per bar close".
If you have any questions, you can write to me in private messages or by using the contacts in my signature.
----------------------------------------------------
Индикатор Volume fight ищет на графике преобладание бычьего или медвежьего объёма торгов путём разделения торгового объёма в баре на 2 части - "бычий объём" и "медвежий объём", и сравнения средне-взвешенных значений по объёму между собой на заданной дистанции.
Данный индикатор подходит для любого инструмента (криптовалюта, Forex, акции) и способен работать на любом ТФ.
Индикатор Volume fight следует использовать как вспомогательный индикатор, который подсказывает Вам кто сейчас преобладает на рынке - "быки" или "медведи".
Для настройки индикатора необходимо выставить диапазон оценки преобладания бычьего или медвежьего объема (количество баров, по умолчанию - 24 бара для ТФ=1Ч). Чем меньше ТФ, тем выше следует использовать значение диапазона, чтобы отфильтровать ложные сигналы.
При возникновении преобладания на графике "быков" появляется зелёный треугольник (актуален по закрытию бара) и гистограмма подсвечивается зелёным цветом, при возникновении на графике "медведей" появляется красный треугольник (актуален по закрытию бара) и гистограмма подсвечивается красным цветом.
В настройках индикатора есть сглаживание для уменьшения ложных сигналов и выделения зоны флета с помощью указания процента, не менее которого, должна быть разница между силами "бычьего" и "медвежьего" объёма. Если разница между силами объёмов меньше заданного (по умолчанию - 15%), то зона считается флетовой и отображается на гистограмме серым цветом.
Если выставить процент равным нулю, то зоны флета выделяться не будут, но будет гораздо больше ложных сигналов, так как индикатор становится очень чувствительным при снижении процента сглаживания.
Есть функция - показывать цветовой фон текущей торговой зоны. Для "бычьего" - зелёный, для "медвежьего" - красный.
В настройках можно включить отображение и использование каждого сигнал в торговой зоне, не только начального, но и каждого после зоны флета. По умолчанию - только сигнал начала восходящей/нисходящей зоны.
Индикатор имеет оповещения для "бычьего" и "медвежьего" движения. Используйте оповещения - "на закрытии бара".
По любым вопросам Вы можете написать мне в личные сообщения или по контактам в моей подписи.
Stochastic MTF IICombines Stochastics, RSI and MACD Histogram to give a complete picture of the momentum.
The main two lines are stochastics from the higher time frame(current time frame* 4).
The red columns are stochastic of macd histogram.
The green histogram is the stochastic rsi of price.
The dots at 50 line is the correlation between price and macd+rsi combo.
Power Bar [racer8]Introduction: 🌟
The Power Bar indicator is a powerful volatility indicator that can detect power bars 💪. A power bar is just a really big price bar that forms after a price base. A price base is chart pattern consisting of many low volatility price bars (bars that have small ranges). To detect such powerful bars, the PB indicator uses the following formula:
PB = ( Absolute value of current close - previous close ) / ( Previous price range over n periods )
Looking at the formula, you can see that PB compares the current change in closing price to the n-period base pattern's range. Strong PB values are typically greater than a value of 1. If n periods = 10, the indicator will look back 11 periods. The 11 periods includes the 10-period base plus the current price bar. 10 periods is the default setting for the indicator.
After the calculation, PB is then plotted as a histogram. Along with the histogram, a horizontal dashed line is also plotted.
PB's other setting controls the dashed line's level. This level is preset at a default value of 1. The dashed line is just a way to filter out weak PB values, and to generate signals. A signal is generated when the PB histogram is above the dashed line.
Objective: 🤔
This indicator shall prove very useful to you if your main objective is to trade only the best chart pattern in the market...and the base pattern is one of the best, if not the best chart pattern that exists today. This indicator is a mechanical way of detecting the chart pattern.
Enjoy! 🥳
MACD ProMoving average convergence divergence pro.
Original MACD with new features, Including...
1. Three different modes.
Basic, Logarithmic, Percent (calculates difference of oscillator MAs in percent)
2. Additional moving averages for oscillator, signal and even histogram.
EMA, WMA (linearly weighted), LMA (logarithmically weighted), SMA
Volume Weighted RMA (I've been suggested to make a MACD with the VWEMA that I published recently but that was too fast, this almost 2 times slower because of using RMA instead of EMA)
VWRMA(s) (an alternative for VWRMA which uses candle formation to simulate the volume, can be useful when volume is not provided for the symbol or it is not proper)
And DEMA (Double Exponential MA)
3. Signal Displacement.
If you want to add some delay to signal, could help for extra confirmation of center crosses and removal of some falss ones.
4. Histogram Smoother.
For those who like the smooth curves. Can deliver a cleaner histogram even in volatile markets.
5. Bar color for more fun.
EMA Slope - ValenteThis indicator will show you the EMA SLOPE as a HISTOGRAM.
Este indicador mostra a INCLINACAO da EMA como um HISTOGRAMA
DMI Candle ColorPaints the color of the candles in accordance with the DMI Histogram. Two colors are supported - one for DMI Histogram above zero and one for DMI Histogram below zero. Inputs for ADX Smoothing and DI Length are also supported.
Volume Bars ColorThe Volume Bars Color indicator for the TradingView platform is a tool for visualizing trading volumes based on their values. It colors volume histograms on the chart according to their relative magnitude compared to the average volume and standard deviation.
Features:
- Volumes exceeding the average value by more than one standard deviation are considered large and highlighted in red.
- Volumes lower than the average by more than one standard deviation are considered low and displayed in orange.
- Volumes within one standard deviation of the average are considered average and marked in gray.
- Users can adjust the period for calculating the average volume.
How to Use:
- Add the indicator to your chart.
- Adjust the period for calculating the average volume using the corresponding parameter.
- Observe how trading volumes on the chart are colored based on their magnitude relative to the average volume and standard deviation.
Example Usage:
On the chart, red volume histograms indicate periods of high trading activity, orange histograms signify low trading volume, and gray histograms represent average trading volume.
Remember:
The Volume Bars Color indicator helps visualize trading volumes and identify periods with the most active or least active trading volume. However, it should be used in conjunction with other tools and analytical methods to make informed trading decisions.
Coinbase Premium Index (Custom Tickers)📊 Coinbase Premium Index (Auto Symbol Support)
1. Overview
The Coinbase Premium Index is a widely used indicator to gauge the sentiment difference between US institutional investors (Coinbase Pro) and global retail/futures traders (Binance).
This script calculates the percentage difference between the Coinbase (USD pair) price and the Binance (USDT pair) price.
2. Key Features
🔄 Auto Symbol Matching (New): You no longer need to manually change tickers when switching charts.
If you are looking at a SOL/USDT chart, the indicator automatically detects "SOL" and compares COINBASE:SOLUSD vs BINANCE:SOLUSDT.
🛠 Manual Mode: Includes a manual override option if you wish to compare specific fixed tickers (e.g., strictly BTC).
🎨 Dynamic Visuals:
Histogram: Color-coded bars (Green/Red) indicate positive or negative premiums.
Smart Label: Displays the real-time premium value on the chart. The label color adapts to the trend, and hovering over it shows a Tooltip confirming exactly which tickers are being compared.
3. How to Interpret
The premium indicates the flow of funds and buying pressure:
🟢 Positive Premium (Green Bar):
Coinbase Price > Binance Price
Interpretation: Strong buying pressure from US institutions or spot whales. Often considered a Bullish signal.
🔴 Negative Premium (Red Bar):
Coinbase Price < Binance Price
Interpretation: Strong selling from US investors, or overheated buying in the offshore futures market (Binance). Often considered a Bearish or mean-reversion signal.
4. Settings Guide
Ticker Mode:
Auto (Current Chart): Automatically sets the comparison based on your current chart's base currency (Recommended).
Manual (Custom): Uses the specific tickers defined in the manual input fields below.
Manual Inputs: Enter tickers here if using Manual Mode (Default: COINBASE:BTCUSD vs BINANCE:BTCUSDT).
Bar & Label Settings: Customize colors, transparency, and the vertical position (Y-Offset) of the data label to fit your chart layout.
Quantum Money Flow PRO [QUANTUM EDITION]Quantum Money Flow PRO is a sophisticated trading indicator that reveals the hidden movements of institutional "smart money" in real-time. Using advanced quantum-inspired algorithms, it analyzes volume, money flow, and market structure to provide professional-grade trading signals with unprecedented accuracy.
⚡ Key Features:
🔍 SMART MONEY DETECTION:
Quantum Delta Analysis: Tracks institutional order flow through volume delta calculations
Money Flow Index (MFI): Identifies overbought/oversold conditions with precision
Power Histogram: Visualizes smart money accumulation/distribution patterns
Open Interest Simulation: Estimates institutional positioning through volume analysis
🎯 TRADING SIGNALS:
QUANTUM STRONG SIGNALS 🌀: High-probability entries with multiple confirmations
QUANTUM WEAK SIGNALS 🟡: Early warnings for potential trend changes
Divergence Detection: Spot hidden reversals before price moves
Convergence Signals: Confirm trend strength with price-indicator alignment
📊 QUANTUM DASHBOARD:
Real-time percentage-based metrics (0-100%)
Color-coded market state identification
Instant signal recognition with emoji indicators
Professional table layout with quantum-themed design
🔄 MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS:
Works on all timeframes from 1-minute to monthly
Adaptive calculations for any market condition
Consistent performance across forex, stocks, and crypto
🚨 ALERT SYSTEM:
8 different alert conditions for automated trading
Customizable sound and visual notifications
Mobile push notifications supported
🎨 VISUAL ENHANCEMENTS:
Quantum-themed oscillators with professional styling
Clear overbought/oversold zones with gradient fills
Chart labels for instant signal recognition
Customizable colors to match your trading style
💡 PERFECT FOR:
Day traders seeking institutional edge
Swing traders identifying major turning points
Position traders monitoring smart money flow
Algorithmic traders needing reliable signals
📈 MARKETS:
Forex (All major/minor pairs)
Stocks (NYSE, NASDAQ, etc.)
Cryptocurrencies (BTC, ETH, altcoins)
Indices (SPX, NASDAQ, DOW)
Commodities (Gold, Oil, etc.)
🔧 EASY SETUP:
Apply to any chart
Customize colors and alerts in settings
Watch quantum signals appear in real-time
Trade with institutional-level insight
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER:
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Always practice proper risk management and backtest strategies before live trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Ben's BTC Macro Fair Value OscillatorBen's BTC Macro Fair Value Oscillator
Overview
The **BTC Macro Fair Value Oscillator** is a non-crypto fair value framework that uses macro asset relationships (equities, dollar, gold) to estimate Bitcoin's "macro-driven fair value" and identify mean-reversion opportunities.
"Is BTC cheap or expensive right now?" on the 4 Hour Timeframe ONLY
### Key Features
✅ **Macro-driven**: Uses QQQ, DXY, XAUUSD instead of on-chain or crypto metrics
✅ **Dynamic weighting**: Assets weighted by rolling correlation strength
✅ **Mean-reversion signals**: Identifies when BTC is cheap/expensive vs macro
✅ **Validated parameters**: Optimized through 5-year backtest (Sharpe 6.7-9.9)
✅ **Visual transparency**: Live correlation panel, fair value bands, statistics
✅ **Non-repainting**: All calculations use confirmed historical data only
### What This Indicator Does
- Builds a **synthetic macro composite** from traditional assets
- Runs a **rolling regression** to predict BTC price from macro
- Calculates **deviation z-score** (how far BTC is from macro fair value)
- Generates **entry signals** when BTC is extremely cheap vs macro (dev < -2)
- Generates **exit signals** when BTC returns to fair value (dev > 0)
### What This Indicator Is NOT
❌ Not a high-frequency trading system (sparse signals by design)
❌ Not optimized for absolute returns (optimized for Sharpe ratio)
❌ Not suitable as standalone trading system (best as overlay/confirmation)
❌ Not predictive of short-term price movements (mean-reversion timeframe: days to weeks)
---
## Core Concept
### The Premise
Bitcoin doesn't trade in a vacuum. It's influenced by:
- **Risk appetite** (equities: QQQ, SPX)
- **Dollar strength** (DXY - inverse to risk assets)
- **Safe haven flows** (Gold: XAUUSD)
When macro conditions are "good for BTC" (risk-on, weak dollar, strong equities), BTC should trade higher. When macro conditions turn against it, BTC should trade lower.
### The Innovation
Instead of looking at BTC in isolation, this indicator:
1. **Measures how strongly** BTC currently correlates with each macro asset
2. **Builds a weighted composite** of those macro returns (the "D" driver)
3. **Regresses BTC price on D** to estimate "macro fair value"
4. **Tracks the deviation** between actual price and fair value
5. **Signals mean reversion** when deviation becomes extreme
### The Edge
The validated edge comes from:
- **Extreme deviations predict future returns** (dev < -2 → +1.67% over 12 bars)
- **Monotonic relationship** (more negative dev → higher forward returns)
- **Works out-of-sample** (test Sharpe +83-87% better than training)
- **Low correlation with buy & hold** (provides diversification value)
---
## Methodology
### Step 1: Macro Composite Driver D(t)
The indicator builds a weighted composite of macro asset returns:
**Process:**
1. Calculate **log returns** for BTC and each macro reference (QQQ, DXY, XAUUSD)
2. Compute **rolling correlation** between BTC and each reference over `corrLen` bars
3. **Weight each asset** by `|correlation|` if above `minCorrAbs` threshold, else 0
4. **Sign-adjust** weights (+1 for positive corr, -1 for negative) to handle inverse relationships
5. **Z-score normalize** each reference's returns over `fvWindow`
6. **Composite D(t)** = weighted sum of sign-adjusted z-scores
**Formula:**
```
For each reference i:
corr_i = correlation(BTC_returns, ref_i_returns, corrLen)
weight_i = |corr_i| if |corr_i| >= minCorrAbs else 0
sign_i = +1 if corr_i >= 0 else -1
z_i = (ref_i_returns - mean) / std
contrib_i = sign_i * z_i * weight_i
D(t) = sum(contrib_i) / sum(weight_i)
```
**Key Insight:** D(t) represents "how good macro conditions are for BTC right now" in a normalized, correlation-weighted way.
---
### Step 2: Fair Value Regression
Uses rolling linear regression to predict BTC price from D(t):
**Model:**
```
BTC_price(t) = α + β * D(t)
```
**Calculation (Pine Script approach):**
```
corr_CD = correlation(BTC_price, D, fvWindow)
sd_price = stdev(BTC_price, fvWindow)
sd_D = stdev(D, fvWindow)
cov = corr_CD * sd_price * sd_D
var_D = variance(D, fvWindow)
β = cov / var_D
α = mean(BTC_price) - β * mean(D)
fair_value(t) = α + β * D(t)
```
**Result:** A time-varying "macro fair value" line that adapts as correlations change.
---
### Step 3: Deviation Oscillator
Measures how far BTC price has deviated from fair value:
**Calculation:**
```
residual(t) = BTC_price(t) - fair_value(t)
residual_std = stdev(residual, normWindow)
deviation(t) = residual(t) / residual_std
```
**Interpretation:**
- `dev = 0` → BTC at fair value
- `dev = -2` → BTC is 2 standard deviations **cheap** vs macro
- `dev = +2` → BTC is 2 standard deviations **rich** vs macro
---
### Step 4: Signal Generation
**Long Entry:** `dev` crosses below `-2.0` (BTC extremely cheap vs macro)
**Long Exit:** `dev` crosses above `0.0` (BTC returns to fair value)
**No shorting** in default config (risk management choice - crypto volatility)
---
## How It Works
### Visual Components
#### 1. Price Chart (Main Panel)
**Fair Value Line (Orange):**
- The estimated "macro-driven fair value" for BTC
- Calculated from rolling regression on macro composite
**Fair Value Bands:**
- **±1σ** (light): 68% confidence zone
- **±2σ** (medium): 95% confidence zone
- **±3σ** (dark, dots): 99.7% confidence zone
**Entry/Exit Markers:**
- **Green "LONG" label** below bar: Entry signal (dev < -2)
- **Red "EXIT" label** above bar: Exit signal (dev > 0)
#### 2. Deviation Oscillator (Separate Pane)
**Line plot:**
- Shows current deviation z-score
- **Green** when dev < -2 (cheap)
- **Red** when dev > +2 (rich)
- **Gray** when neutral
**Histogram:**
- Visual representation of deviation magnitude
- Green bars = negative deviation (cheap)
- Red bars = positive deviation (rich)
**Threshold lines:**
- **Green dashed at -2.0**: Entry threshold
- **Red dashed at 0.0**: Exit threshold
- **Gray solid at 0**: Fair value line
#### 3. Correlation Panel (Top-Right)
Shows live correlation and weighting for each macro asset:
| Asset | Corr | Weight |
|-------|------|--------|
| QQQ | +0.45 | 0.45 |
| DXY | -0.32 | 0.32 |
| XAUUSD | +0.15 | 0.00 |
| Avg \|Corr\| | 0.31 | 0.77 |
**Reading:**
- **Corr**: Current rolling correlation with BTC (-1 to +1)
- **Weight**: How much this asset contributes to fair value (0 = excluded)
- **Avg |Corr|**: Average correlation strength (should be > 0.2 for reliable signals)
**Colors:**
- Green/Red corr = positive/negative correlation
- White weight = asset included, Gray = excluded (below minCorrAbs)
#### 4. Statistics Label (Bottom-Right)
```
━━━ BTC Macro FV ━━━
Dev: -2.34
Price: $103,192
FV: $110,500
Status: CHEAP ⬇
β: 103.52
```
**Fields:**
- **Dev**: Current deviation z-score
- **Price**: Current BTC close price
- **FV**: Current macro fair value estimate
- **Status**: CHEAP (< -2), RICH (> +2), or FAIR
- **β**: Current regression beta (sensitivity to macro)
---
## Installation & Setup
### TradingView Setup
1. Open TradingView and navigate to any **BTC chart** (BTCUSD, BTCUSDT, etc.)
2. Open **Pine Editor** (bottom panel)
3. Click **"+ New"** → **"Blank indicator"**
4. **Delete** all default code
5. **Copy** the entire Pine Script from `GHPT_optimized.pine`
6. **Paste** into the editor
7. Click **"Save"** and name it "BTC Macro Fair Value Oscillator"
8. Click **"Add to Chart"**
### Recommended Chart Settings
**Timeframe:** 4h (validated timeframe)
**Chart Type:** Candlestick or Heikin Ashi
**Overlay:** Yes (indicator plots on price chart + separate pane)
**Alternative Timeframes:**
- Daily: Works but slower signals
- 1h-2h: May work but not validated
- < 1h: Not recommended (too noisy)
### Symbol Requirements
**Primary:** BTC/USD or BTC/USDT on any exchange
**Macro References:** Automatically fetched
- QQQ (Nasdaq 100 ETF)
- DXY (US Dollar Index)
- XAUUSD (Gold spot)
**Data Requirements:**
- At least **90 bars** of history (warmup period)
- Premium TradingView recommended for full historical data
---
## Reading the Indicator
### Identifying Signals
#### Strong Long Signal (High Conviction)
- ✅ Deviation < -2.0 (extreme undervaluation)
- ✅ Avg |Corr| > 0.3 (strong macro relationships)
- ✅ Price touching or below -2σ band
- ✅ "LONG" label appears below bar
**Interpretation:** BTC is extremely cheap relative to macro conditions. Historical data shows +1.67% average return over next 12 bars (48 hours at 4h timeframe).
#### Moderate Long Signal (Lower Conviction)
- ⚠️ Deviation between -1.5 and -2.0
- ⚠️ Avg |Corr| between 0.2-0.3
- ⚠️ Price approaching -2σ band
**Interpretation:** BTC is cheap but not extreme. Consider as confirmation for other signals.
#### Exit Signal
- 🔴 Deviation crosses above 0 (returns to fair value)
- 🔴 "EXIT" label appears above bar
**Interpretation:** Mean reversion complete. Close long positions.
#### Strong Short/Avoid Signal
- 🔴 Deviation > +2.0 (extreme overvaluation)
- 🔴 Avg |Corr| > 0.3
- 🔴 Price touching or above +2σ band
**Interpretation:** BTC is expensive vs macro. Historical data shows -1.79% average return over next 12 bars. Consider exiting longs or reducing exposure.
### Regime Detection
**Strong Regime (Reliable Signals):**
- Avg |Corr| > 0.3
- Multiple assets weighted > 0
- Fair value line tracking price reasonably well
**Weak Regime (Unreliable Signals):**
- Avg |Corr| < 0.2
- Most weights = 0 (grayed out)
- Fair value line diverging wildly from price
- **Action:** Ignore signals until correlations strengthen
