EMA+RSI Buy/Sell with Fibonacci GuideSingle-Instance EUR/USD & GBP/USD Trend+MACD ATR EA
Purpose:
This EA is designed for automated Forex trading on EUR/USD and GBP/USD. It identifies trend-based trading opportunities, dynamically calculates position sizes based on your available capital and risk percentage, and manages trades with ATR-based stop-loss and take-profit levels, including optional trailing stops.
Key Features:
Auto Pair Selection:
Compares the trend strength of EUR/USD vs GBP/USD using a combination of EMA slopes and MACD direction.
Automatically trades the stronger trending pair.
Trend & Signal Detection:
Uses Fast EMA / Slow EMA crossover for trend direction.
Confirms trend with MACD line vs signal line.
Generates long and short signals only when trend and MACD align.
Dynamic SL/TP:
Stop-loss and take-profit are calculated based on ATR (Average True Range).
Supports optional trailing stops to lock in profits.
Position Sizing:
Automatically calculates micro-lot sizes based on your capital and risk percentage.
Ensures risk per trade does not exceed the defined % of your account equity.
Chart Visualization:
Plots Fast EMA / Slow EMA.
Displays SL and TP levels on the chart.
Shows a label indicating the active pair currently being traded.
Alerts:
Generates alerts for long and short signals.
Can be used with TradingView alerts to notify or trigger webhooks.
Single Strategy Instance:
Fully compatible with Pine Script v6.
Only one strategy instance runs on the chart to prevent “too many strategies” errors.
Search in scripts for "profit"
Grand Slam Risk ManagementGrand Slam Risk Management (GSRM) Indicator
OVERVIEW
The Grand Slam Risk Management Indicator transforms complex position sizing calculations into real-time, visual risk metrics—enabling disciplined trading decisions without the emotional guesswork that destroys accounts. This comprehensive tool is designed for active day traders and swing traders who want to automate critical risk management calculations directly on their TradingView charts. 🚀
THE GRAND SLAM RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGY
Core Philosophy
The Grand Slam Risk Management Strategy (GSRM) gets its name from baseball's ultimate scoring play: a grand slam can only be hit when three runners are already on base, requiring at least three prior successful at-bats (hits or walks) to create the opportunity. This perfectly embodies the GSRM philosophy—consistent "base hits" in trading create the foundation for larger wins while protecting your account from devastating losses. Just as baseball teams win championships through disciplined, consistent play rather than swinging for the fences every at-bat, successful traders build wealth through reliable, repeatable profits rather than chasing home runs that often result in strikeouts. ⚾
Strategy Framework
Capital Allocation : 💰
• Working Balance: Account balance minus PDT requirement ($25,000 minimum for margin accounts)
• Allocated Buying Power: Working balance × leverage (4:1 for day trading, 2:1 for swing, 1:1 for cash)
• Daily Profit Target: 5% of allocated buying power (default)
The Base Hit System : 🎯
• Daily profit target divided into 4 "base hits"
• Each base hit represents 25% of daily goal
• Max risk per trade: 50% of base hit target (maintains 2:1 reward/risk minimum)
• Daily max loss: 2 base hits (recoverable with 2 winning trades)
Three-Tier Profit Structure : 🚀
• Tier 1 (5%): Minimum acceptable profit - "Why else take the trade?"
• Tier 2 (10%): Solid win - the target "base hit"
• Tier 3 (20%): Home run - when momentum is strongly in your favor 🏠🏃
Position Sizing Levels : 📊
• Quarter Position (25% of max): Testing the waters, lower conviction setups
• Half Position (50% of max): Standard confidence trades
• Max Position (100%): High conviction, ideal setup conditions
INDICATOR FEATURES
Real-Time Calculations ⚡
• Dynamic Position Sizing: Automatically calculates share quantities based on account balance and current price
• Profit & Loss Targets: Displays dollar amounts for profit targets and stop-losses across all position sizes
• Risk Metrics: Shows daily profit goals, max loss thresholds, and P&L ratios
Advanced Stop-Loss Methods 🛡️
1. Percentage-Based Stops : Fixed 50% of profit target (maintains 2:1 reward/risk)
2. ATR-Based Stops : Dynamic stops that adapt to market volatility using Average True Range (ATR)
• Tier 1: 0.5× ATR (tight/scalping)
• Tier 2: 1.0× ATR (standard)
• Tier 3: 1.5× ATR (wide/trending)
Cost Basis Options 📈
• Last Close: Uses previous bar's closing price for stable calculations
• VWMA: Volume-Weighted Moving Average (default: 9) estimate cost-basis from recent volume-weighted price action
• SMA/EMA: Use Simple or Exponential Moving Average (default: 9) useful for planning entries at SMA/EMA cross-overs and bounces.
• VWAP: Volume-Weighted Average Price (default: daily) for entry point planning at bounce or break of VWAP.
* Ask/Bid: Entry point calculations based on current Ask or Bid price (only available on 1T charts)
Visual Risk Management 🔑
• Color-Coded P&L Ratio :
- Green (≤0.5): Conservative, favorable risk ✅
- Yellow (0.5-1.0): Balanced risk ⚠️
- Red (>1.0): Aggressive, requires higher win rate 🛑
• Position Size Color Coding : Green (quarter) → Yellow (half) → Red (max) for quick risk assessment
HOW TO USE THE GSRM INDICATOR
Initial Setup (One-Time Configuration) ⚙️
1. Set Account Balance: Enter your total trading account value
2. Configure PDT Protection: Enable for margin accounts ≥$25,000 to protect required funds
3. Select Leverage: 4:1 (day trading), 2:1 (swing), or 1:1 (cash account)
4. Adjust Risk Percentage: Default 5% of allocated buying power; reduce for conservative approach
Trading Workflow
Pre-Market Preparation: 🌅
1. Review daily profit target and max loss displayed in green/red
2. Note your base hit target - this is your standard trade goal
3. Check P&L ratio - ensure it's sustainable for your win rate
Trade Execution: 🚀
1. Assess Setup Quality :
• Strong setup → Consider half or max position 💪
• Decent setup → Quarter or half position 👍
• Testing idea → Quarter position only 🧪
2. Select Profit Tier Based on Market Conditions :
• Choppy market → Target Tier 1 (5%) 🌊
• Normal conditions → Target Tier 2 (10%) ➡️
• Strong momentum → Target Tier 3 (20%) 🚀
3. Choose Stop Method :
• Percentage stops: Best for stocks with clear support/resistance
• ATR stops: Better for volatile stocks or news-driven trades. WARNING: this may result in tighter stops, negatively affecting your P&L. To offset this effect, try increasing the number of base hits to achieve your daily profit target and recover from a daily max loss. Be sure the resultant P&L ratio is in the conservative range ≤0.5. This will allow you to adjust your per-trade P&L targets without reducing your daily profit target or increasing your max risk.
4. Execute Using Table Values :
• 🔎 Find your position size group (🟢quarter/🟡half/🔴max)
• 🔎 Find your profit target row (5%/10%/20%) for your position size group
• ⚠️ Do not exceed the share count and stop-loss values displayed ⚠️
Risk Management Rules 🛡️
Daily Limits : 🚨
• Stop trading after hitting daily max loss (prevent tilt/revenge trading)
• Stop trading when a low-risk, minimum-loss trade would exceed your daily max loss (prevent exceeding max)
• Stop trading if you fall below the Daily Profit Target after having achieved it (prevent tilt/revenge trading)
• Cold Market: Stop trading after reaching daily profit target (preserve gains) ❄️
• Hot Market: Three Strikes - stop trading after 3 total max loss trades in a day (prevent tilt/revenge trading) 🔥
Position Management : 📏
• Never exceed max position size shown (protects from overleverage)
• Use quarter positions when daily P&L is negative or below first profit goal (40% of target)
• Use half positions only while daily P&L is above first profit goal (40% of target)
• Use full positions only while daily P&L is above profit goal (100% of target)
A/B Testing Features 🧪
Stop-Loss Methods :
• Week 1: Use percentage-based stops
• Week 2: Use ATR-based stops
• Compare win rates and average losses to optimize
Cost Basis Models :
Pick the highest probable cost-basis and keep your entry position below the share count shown to protect from overleveraging your buying power.
⚠️ IMPORTANT: COST BASIS ESTIMATIONS ARE FOR RISK MANAGEMENT CALCULATIONS ONLY - DO NOT USE THIS INFORMATION TO EXECUTE BUY OR SELL ORDERS.
• Fast movers: Use Last Close for stability 🏃or Bid/Ask for real-time price updates (Bid/Ask is only available on 1T charts).
• Liquid stocks: Try VWMA for better entry estimation 💧
• Reversals/Break of VWAP: Use VWAP when anticipating an entry at the Volume-Weighted Average Price 🔄
• Reversals/Break SMA 200: Use SMA when anticipating an entry at the SMA 📉
• Momentum/Trending: Use EMA when anticipating an entry at the EMA bounce 📈
• Price Offset: Plus/Minus $1.00 in $0.10 increments to compensate for slippage, market orders, etc.
Track which method provides better fill estimates. There is no right or wrong choice here because it depends on your style of trading. You can also use the Price Offset option if you find it helps with consistency.
BEST PRACTICES ⭐
1. Start Conservative : Use quarter positions and default settings until familiar with the system 🐣
2. Track Results : Document whether you hit Tier 1, 2, or 3 targets 📝
3. Respect the Math : The calculations assume a 50%+ win rate - if yours is lower, reduce position sizes 🧮
4. Daily Review : Compare actual P&L to base hit targets to calibrate expectations 🔍
5. Adapt to Conditions : Use ATR stops in volatile markets, percentage stops in stable conditions 🌡️
GLOSSARY 📚
• ATR (Average True Range) : A volatility indicator measuring the average range of price movement
• PDT (Pattern Day Trader) : SEC rule requiring $25,000 minimum for accounts making 4+ day trades in 5 business days
• VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) : Average price weighted by volume for the trading session
• VWMA (Volume-Weighted Moving Average) : Moving average that gives more weight to periods with higher volume
• SMA (Simple Moving Average) : Unweighted moving average where each data point is of equal importance
• EMA (Exponential Moving Average) : Moving average that emphasizes the most recent data and information from the market
• P&L : Profit & Loss
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS ⚠️
• This indicator and any information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other type of advice. You should not make any investment decision based solely on this indicator.
• All investments and trading involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your experience, objectives, financial resources, and other relevant circumstances. 📉
• Actual trade results may vary from calculated targets due to slippage, market gaps, and execution delays
• The creator of this indicator is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial advisor. Nothing contained herein constitutes a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
• In no event shall the creator be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, special, or consequential damages arising out of the use of this indicator.
• This indicator DOES NOT calculate support/resistance levels
• This indicator DOES NOT provide buy/sell signals
• This indicator DOES NOT calculate entry prices
• It is the trader's responsibility to determine an appropriate entry price for their chosen strategy
• This indicator provides calculations only - execution discipline remains the trader's responsibility
• Default settings assume PDT margin account rules; adjust for cash accounts
• P&L ratio colors are guidelines - your actual win rate determines sustainable ratios
• Always verify position sizes don't exceed account buying power before executing
SUPPORT AND FEEDBACK 💬
This indicator represents years of trading experience condensed into automated calculations. It's designed to remove emotional decision-making from position sizing while maintaining flexibility for different market conditions and trading styles.
For questions, suggestions, or to share your results using the GSRM strategy, please comment on the TradingView publication page. 🚀
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Remember: The goal isn't to hit home runs - it's to get on base consistently while avoiding strikeouts. Small wins compound into large gains over time. ⚾💰
Version: 1.0
License: Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International
- creativecommons.org
Compatibility: TradingView Pine Script v6
RSI ADX Bollinger Analysis High-level purpose and design philosophy
This indicator — RSI-ADX-Bollinger Analysis — is a compact, educational market-analysis toolkit that blends momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX), volatility structure (Bollinger Bands) and simple volumetrics to provide traders a snapshot of market condition and trade idea quality. The design philosophy is explicit and layered: use each component to answer a different question about price action (momentum, conviction, volatility, participation), then combine answers to form a more robust, explainable signal. The mashup is intended for analysis and learning, not automatic execution: it surfaces the why behind signals so traders can test, learn and apply rules with risk management.
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What each indicator contributes (component-by-component)
RSI (Relative Strength Index) — role and behavior: RSI measures short-term momentum by comparing recent gains to recent losses. A high RSI (near or above the overbought threshold) indicates strong recent buying pressure and potential exhaustion if price is extended. A low RSI (near or below the oversold threshold) indicates strong recent selling pressure and potential exhaustion or a value area for mean-reversion. In this dashboard RSI is used as the primary momentum trigger: it helps identify whether price is locally over-extended on the buy or sell side.
ADX (Average Directional Index) — role and behavior: ADX measures trend strength independently of direction. When ADX rises above a chosen threshold (e.g., 25), it signals that the market is trending with conviction; ADX below the threshold suggests range or weak trend. Because patterns and momentum signals perform differently in trending vs. ranging markets, ADX is used here as a filter: only when ADX indicates sufficient directional strength does the system treat RSI+BB breakouts as meaningful trade candidates.
Bollinger Bands — role and behavior: Bollinger Bands (20-period basis ± N standard deviations) show volatility envelope and relative price position vs. a volatility-adjusted mean. Price outside the upper band suggests pronounced extension relative to recent volatility; price outside the lower band suggests extended weakness. A band expansion (increasing width) signals volatility breakout potential; contraction signals range-bound conditions and potential squeeze. In this dashboard, Bollinger Bands provide the volatility/structural context: RSI extremes plus price beyond the band imply a stronger, volatility-backed move.
Volume split & basic MA trend — role and behavior: Buy-like and sell-like volume (simple heuristic using close>open or closeopen) or sell-like (close1.2 for validation and compare win rate and expectancy.
4. TF alignment: Accept signals only when higher timeframe (e.g., 4h) trend agrees — compare results.
5. Parameter sensitivity: Vary RSI threshold (70/30 vs 80/20), Bollinger stddev (2 vs 2.5), and ADX threshold (25 vs 30) and measure stability of results.
These exercises teach both statistical thinking and the specific failure modes of the mashup.
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Limitations, failure modes and caveats (explicit & teachable)
• ADX and Bollinger measures lag during fast-moving news events — signals can be late or wrong during earnings, macro shocks, or illiquid sessions.
• Volume classification by open/close is a heuristic; it does not equal TAPEDATA, footprint or signed volume. Use it as supportive evidence, not definitive proof.
• RSI can remain overbought or oversold for extended stretches in persistent trends — relying solely on RSI extremes without ADX or BB context invites large drawdowns.
• Small-cap or low-liquidity instruments yield noisy band behavior and unreliable volume ratios.
Being explicit about these limitations is a strong point in a TradingView description — it demonstrates transparency and educational intent.
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Originality & mashup justification (text you can paste)
This script intentionally combines classical momentum (RSI), volatility envelope (Bollinger Bands) and trend-strength (ADX) because each indicator answers a different and complementary question: RSI answers is price locally extreme?, Bollinger answers is price outside normal volatility?, and ADX answers is the market moving with conviction?. Volume participation then acts as a practical check for real market involvement. This combination is not a simple “indicator mashup”; it is a designed ensemble where each element reduces the others’ failure modes and together produce a teachable, testable signal framework. The script’s purpose is educational and analytical — to show traders how to interpret the interplay of momentum, volatility, and trend strength.
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TradingView publication guidance & compliance checklist
To satisfy TradingView rules about mashups and descriptions, include the following items in your script description (without exposing source code):
1. Purpose statement: One or two lines describing the script’s objective (educational multi-indicator market overview and idea filter).
2. Component list: Name the major modules (RSI, Bollinger Bands, ADX, volume heuristic, SMA trend checks, signal tracking) and one-sentence reason for each.
3. How they interact: A succinct non-code explanation: “RSI finds momentum extremes; Bollinger confirms volatility expansion; ADX confirms trend strength; all three must align for a BUY/SELL.”
4. Inputs: List adjustable inputs (RSI length and thresholds, BB length & stddev, ADX threshold & smoothing, volume MA, table position/size).
5. Usage instructions: Short workflow (check TF alignment → confirm participation → define stop & R:R → backtest).
6. Limitations & assumptions: Explicitly state volume is approximated, ADX has lag, and avoid promising guaranteed profits.
7. Non-promotional language: No external contact info, ads, claims of exclusivity or guaranteed outcomes.
8. Trademark clause: If you used trademark symbols, remove or provide registration proof.
9. Risk disclaimer: Add the copy-ready disclaimer below.
This matches TradingView’s request for meaningful descriptions that explain originality and inter-component reasoning.
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Copy-ready short publication description (paste into TradingView)
Advanced RSI-ADX-Bollinger Market Overview — educational multi-indicator dashboard. This script combines RSI (momentum extremes), Bollinger Bands (volatility envelope and band expansion), ADX (trend strength), simple SMA trend bias and a basic buy/sell volume heuristic to surface high-quality idea candidates. Signals require alignment of momentum, volatility expansion and rising ADX; volume participation is displayed to support signal confidence. Inputs are configurable (RSI length/levels, BB length/stddev, ADX length/threshold, volume MA, display options). This tool is intended for analysis and learning — not for automated execution. Users should back test and apply robust risk management. Limitations: volume classification here is a heuristic (close>open), ADX and BB measures lag in fast news events, and results vary by instrument liquidity.
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Copy-ready risk & misuse disclaimer (paste into description or help file)
This script is provided for educational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. It does not guarantee profits. Indicators are heuristics and may give false or late signals; always back test and paper-trade before using real capital. The author is not responsible for trading losses resulting from the use or misuse of this indicator. Use proper position sizing and risk controls.
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Risk Disclaimer: This tool is provided for education and analysis only. It is not financial advice and does not guarantee returns. Users assume all risk for trades made based on this script. Back test thoroughly and use proper risk management.
Tzotchev Trend Measure [EdgeTools]Are you still measuring trend strength with moving averages? Here is a better variant at scientific level:
Tzotchev Trend Measure: A Statistical Approach to Trend Following
The Tzotchev Trend Measure represents a sophisticated advancement in quantitative trend analysis, moving beyond traditional moving average-based indicators toward a statistically rigorous framework for measuring trend strength. This indicator implements the methodology developed by Tzotchev et al. (2015) in their seminal J.P. Morgan research paper "Designing robust trend-following system: Behind the scenes of trend-following," which introduced a probabilistic approach to trend measurement that has since become a cornerstone of institutional trading strategies.
Mathematical Foundation and Statistical Theory
The core innovation of the Tzotchev Trend Measure lies in its transformation of price momentum into a probability-based metric through the application of statistical hypothesis testing principles. The indicator employs the fundamental formula ST = 2 × Φ(√T × r̄T / σ̂T) - 1, where ST represents the trend strength score bounded between -1 and +1, Φ(x) denotes the normal cumulative distribution function, T represents the lookback period in trading days, r̄T is the average logarithmic return over the specified period, and σ̂T represents the estimated daily return volatility.
This formulation transforms what is essentially a t-statistic into a probabilistic trend measure, testing the null hypothesis that the mean return equals zero against the alternative hypothesis of non-zero mean return. The use of logarithmic returns rather than simple returns provides several statistical advantages, including symmetry properties where log(P₁/P₀) = -log(P₀/P₁), additivity characteristics that allow for proper compounding analysis, and improved validity of normal distribution assumptions that underpin the statistical framework.
The implementation utilizes the Abramowitz and Stegun (1964) approximation for the normal cumulative distribution function, achieving accuracy within ±1.5 × 10⁻⁷ for all input values. This approximation employs Horner's method for polynomial evaluation to ensure numerical stability, particularly important when processing large datasets or extreme market conditions.
Comparative Analysis with Traditional Trend Measurement Methods
The Tzotchev Trend Measure demonstrates significant theoretical and empirical advantages over conventional trend analysis techniques. Traditional moving average-based systems, including simple moving averages (SMA), exponential moving averages (EMA), and their derivatives such as MACD, suffer from several fundamental limitations that the Tzotchev methodology addresses systematically.
Moving average systems exhibit inherent lag bias, as documented by Kaufman (2013) in "Trading Systems and Methods," where he demonstrates that moving averages inevitably lag price movements by approximately half their period length. This lag creates delayed signal generation that reduces profitability in trending markets and increases false signal frequency during consolidation periods. In contrast, the Tzotchev measure eliminates lag bias by directly analyzing the statistical properties of return distributions rather than smoothing price levels.
The volatility normalization inherent in the Tzotchev formula addresses a critical weakness in traditional momentum indicators. As shown by Bollinger (2001) in "Bollinger on Bollinger Bands," momentum oscillators like RSI and Stochastic fail to account for changing volatility regimes, leading to inconsistent signal interpretation across different market conditions. The Tzotchev measure's incorporation of return volatility in the denominator ensures that trend strength assessments remain consistent regardless of the underlying volatility environment.
Empirical studies by Hurst, Ooi, and Pedersen (2013) in "Demystifying Managed Futures" demonstrate that traditional trend-following indicators suffer from significant drawdowns during whipsaw markets, with Sharpe ratios frequently below 0.5 during challenging periods. The authors attribute these poor performance characteristics to the binary nature of most trend signals and their inability to quantify signal confidence. The Tzotchev measure addresses this limitation by providing continuous probability-based outputs that allow for more sophisticated risk management and position sizing strategies.
The statistical foundation of the Tzotchev approach provides superior robustness compared to technical indicators that lack theoretical grounding. Fama and French (1988) in "Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices" established that price movements contain both permanent and temporary components, with traditional moving averages unable to distinguish between these elements effectively. The Tzotchev methodology's hypothesis testing framework specifically tests for the presence of permanent trend components while filtering out temporary noise, providing a more theoretically sound approach to trend identification.
Research by Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen (2012) in "Time Series Momentum in the Cross Section of Asset Returns" found that traditional momentum indicators exhibit significant variation in effectiveness across asset classes and time periods. Their study of multiple asset classes over decades revealed that simple price-based momentum measures often fail to capture persistent trends in fixed income and commodity markets. The Tzotchev measure's normalization by volatility and its probabilistic interpretation provide consistent performance across diverse asset classes, as demonstrated in the original J.P. Morgan research.
Comparative performance studies conducted by AQR Capital Management (Asness, Moskowitz, and Pedersen, 2013) in "Value and Momentum Everywhere" show that volatility-adjusted momentum measures significantly outperform traditional price momentum across international equity, bond, commodity, and currency markets. The study documents Sharpe ratio improvements of 0.2 to 0.4 when incorporating volatility normalization, consistent with the theoretical advantages of the Tzotchev approach.
The regime detection capabilities of the Tzotchev measure provide additional advantages over binary trend classification systems. Research by Ang and Bekaert (2002) in "Regime Switches in Interest Rates" demonstrates that financial markets exhibit distinct regime characteristics that traditional indicators fail to capture adequately. The Tzotchev measure's five-tier classification system (Strong Bull, Weak Bull, Neutral, Weak Bear, Strong Bear) provides more nuanced market state identification than simple trend/no-trend binary systems.
Statistical testing by Jegadeesh and Titman (2001) in "Profitability of Momentum Strategies" revealed that traditional momentum indicators suffer from significant parameter instability, with optimal lookback periods varying substantially across market conditions and asset classes. The Tzotchev measure's statistical framework provides more stable parameter selection through its grounding in hypothesis testing theory, reducing the need for frequent parameter optimization that can lead to overfitting.
Advanced Noise Filtering and Market Regime Detection
A significant enhancement over the original Tzotchev methodology is the incorporation of a multi-factor noise filtering system designed to reduce false signals during sideways market conditions. The filtering mechanism employs four distinct approaches: adaptive thresholding based on current market regime strength, volatility-based filtering utilizing ATR percentile analysis, trend strength confirmation through momentum alignment, and a comprehensive multi-factor approach that combines all methodologies.
The adaptive filtering system analyzes market microstructure through price change relative to average true range, calculates volatility percentiles over rolling windows, and assesses trend alignment across multiple timeframes using exponential moving averages of varying periods. This approach addresses one of the primary limitations identified in traditional trend-following systems, namely their tendency to generate excessive false signals during periods of low volatility or sideways price action.
The regime detection component classifies market conditions into five distinct categories: Strong Bull (ST > 0.3), Weak Bull (0.1 < ST ≤ 0.3), Neutral (-0.1 ≤ ST ≤ 0.1), Weak Bear (-0.3 ≤ ST < -0.1), and Strong Bear (ST < -0.3). This classification system provides traders with clear, quantitative definitions of market regimes that can inform position sizing, risk management, and strategy selection decisions.
Professional Implementation and Trading Applications
The indicator incorporates three distinct trading profiles designed to accommodate different investment approaches and risk tolerances. The Conservative profile employs longer lookback periods (63 days), higher signal thresholds (0.2), and reduced filter sensitivity (0.5) to minimize false signals and focus on major trend changes. The Balanced profile utilizes standard academic parameters with moderate settings across all dimensions. The Aggressive profile implements shorter lookback periods (14 days), lower signal thresholds (-0.1), and increased filter sensitivity (1.5) to capture shorter-term trend movements.
Signal generation occurs through threshold crossover analysis, where long signals are generated when the trend measure crosses above the specified threshold and short signals when it crosses below. The implementation includes sophisticated signal confirmation mechanisms that consider trend alignment across multiple timeframes and momentum strength percentiles to reduce the likelihood of false breakouts.
The alert system provides real-time notifications for trend threshold crossovers, strong regime changes, and signal generation events, with configurable frequency controls to prevent notification spam. Alert messages are standardized to ensure consistency across different market conditions and timeframes.
Performance Optimization and Computational Efficiency
The implementation incorporates several performance optimization features designed to handle large datasets efficiently. The maximum bars back parameter allows users to control historical calculation depth, with default settings optimized for most trading applications while providing flexibility for extended historical analysis. The system includes automatic performance monitoring that generates warnings when computational limits are approached.
Error handling mechanisms protect against division by zero conditions, infinite values, and other numerical instabilities that can occur during extreme market conditions. The finite value checking system ensures data integrity throughout the calculation process, with fallback mechanisms that maintain indicator functionality even when encountering corrupted or missing price data.
Timeframe validation provides warnings when the indicator is applied to unsuitable timeframes, as the Tzotchev methodology was specifically designed for daily and higher timeframe analysis. This validation helps prevent misapplication of the indicator in contexts where its statistical assumptions may not hold.
Visual Design and User Interface
The indicator features eight professional color schemes designed for different trading environments and user preferences. The EdgeTools theme provides an institutional blue and steel color palette suitable for professional trading environments. The Gold theme offers warm colors optimized for commodities trading. The Behavioral theme incorporates psychology-based color contrasts that align with behavioral finance principles. The Quant theme provides neutral colors suitable for analytical applications.
Additional specialized themes include Ocean, Fire, Matrix, and Arctic variations, each optimized for specific visual preferences and trading contexts. All color schemes include automatic dark and light mode optimization to ensure optimal readability across different chart backgrounds and trading platforms.
The information table provides real-time display of key metrics including current trend measure value, market regime classification, signal strength, Z-score, average returns, volatility measures, filter threshold levels, and filter effectiveness percentages. This comprehensive dashboard allows traders to monitor all relevant indicator components simultaneously.
Theoretical Implications and Research Context
The Tzotchev Trend Measure addresses several theoretical limitations inherent in traditional technical analysis approaches. Unlike moving average-based systems that rely on price level comparisons, this methodology grounds trend analysis in statistical hypothesis testing, providing a more robust theoretical foundation for trading decisions.
The probabilistic interpretation of trend strength offers significant advantages over binary trend classification systems. Rather than simply indicating whether a trend exists, the measure quantifies the statistical confidence level associated with the trend assessment, allowing for more nuanced risk management and position sizing decisions.
The incorporation of volatility normalization addresses the well-documented problem of volatility clustering in financial time series, ensuring that trend strength assessments remain consistent across different market volatility regimes. This normalization is particularly important for portfolio management applications where consistent risk metrics across different assets and time periods are essential.
Practical Applications and Trading Strategy Integration
The Tzotchev Trend Measure can be effectively integrated into various trading strategies and portfolio management frameworks. For trend-following strategies, the indicator provides clear entry and exit signals with quantified confidence levels. For mean reversion strategies, extreme readings can signal potential turning points. For portfolio allocation, the regime classification system can inform dynamic asset allocation decisions.
The indicator's statistical foundation makes it particularly suitable for quantitative trading strategies where systematic, rules-based approaches are preferred over discretionary decision-making. The standardized output range facilitates easy integration with position sizing algorithms and risk management systems.
Risk management applications benefit from the indicator's ability to quantify trend strength and provide early warning signals of potential trend changes. The multi-timeframe analysis capability allows for the construction of robust risk management frameworks that consider both short-term tactical and long-term strategic market conditions.
Implementation Guide and Parameter Configuration
The practical application of the Tzotchev Trend Measure requires careful parameter configuration to optimize performance for specific trading objectives and market conditions. This section provides comprehensive guidance for parameter selection and indicator customization.
Core Calculation Parameters
The Lookback Period parameter controls the statistical window used for trend calculation and represents the most critical setting for the indicator. Default values range from 14 to 63 trading days, with shorter periods (14-21 days) providing more sensitive trend detection suitable for short-term trading strategies, while longer periods (42-63 days) offer more stable trend identification appropriate for position trading and long-term investment strategies. The parameter directly influences the statistical significance of trend measurements, with longer periods requiring stronger underlying trends to generate significant signals but providing greater reliability in trend identification.
The Price Source parameter determines which price series is used for return calculations. The default close price provides standard trend analysis, while alternative selections such as high-low midpoint ((high + low) / 2) can reduce noise in volatile markets, and volume-weighted average price (VWAP) offers superior trend identification in institutional trading environments where volume concentration matters significantly.
The Signal Threshold parameter establishes the minimum trend strength required for signal generation, with values ranging from -0.5 to 0.5. Conservative threshold settings (0.2 to 0.3) reduce false signals but may miss early trend opportunities, while aggressive settings (-0.1 to 0.1) provide earlier signal generation at the cost of increased false positive rates. The optimal threshold depends on the trader's risk tolerance and the volatility characteristics of the traded instrument.
Trading Profile Configuration
The Trading Profile system provides pre-configured parameter sets optimized for different trading approaches. The Conservative profile employs a 63-day lookback period with a 0.2 signal threshold and 0.5 noise sensitivity, designed for long-term position traders seeking high-probability trend signals with minimal false positives. The Balanced profile uses a 21-day lookback with 0.05 signal threshold and 1.0 noise sensitivity, suitable for swing traders requiring moderate signal frequency with acceptable noise levels. The Aggressive profile implements a 14-day lookback with -0.1 signal threshold and 1.5 noise sensitivity, optimized for day traders and scalpers requiring frequent signal generation despite higher noise levels.
Advanced Noise Filtering System
The noise filtering mechanism addresses the challenge of false signals during sideways market conditions through four distinct methodologies. The Adaptive filter adjusts thresholds based on current trend strength, increasing sensitivity during strong trending periods while raising thresholds during consolidation phases. The Volatility-based filter utilizes Average True Range (ATR) percentile analysis to suppress signals during abnormally volatile conditions that typically generate false trend indications.
The Trend Strength filter requires alignment between multiple momentum indicators before confirming signals, reducing the probability of false breakouts from consolidation patterns. The Multi-factor approach combines all filtering methodologies using weighted scoring to provide the most robust noise reduction while maintaining signal responsiveness during genuine trend initiations.
The Noise Sensitivity parameter controls the aggressiveness of the filtering system, with lower values (0.5-1.0) providing conservative filtering suitable for volatile instruments, while higher values (1.5-2.0) allow more signals through but may increase false positive rates during choppy market conditions.
Visual Customization and Display Options
The Color Scheme parameter offers eight professional visualization options designed for different analytical preferences and market conditions. The EdgeTools scheme provides high contrast visualization optimized for trend strength differentiation, while the Gold scheme offers warm tones suitable for commodity analysis. The Behavioral scheme uses psychological color associations to enhance decision-making speed, and the Quant scheme provides neutral colors appropriate for quantitative analysis environments.
The Ocean, Fire, Matrix, and Arctic schemes offer additional aesthetic options while maintaining analytical functionality. Each scheme includes optimized colors for both light and dark chart backgrounds, ensuring visibility across different trading platform configurations.
The Show Glow Effects parameter enhances plot visibility through multiple layered lines with progressive transparency, particularly useful when analyzing multiple timeframes simultaneously or when working with dense price data that might obscure trend signals.
Performance Optimization Settings
The Maximum Bars Back parameter controls the historical data depth available for calculations, with values ranging from 5,000 to 50,000 bars. Higher values enable analysis of longer-term trend patterns but may impact indicator loading speed on slower systems or when applied to multiple instruments simultaneously. The optimal setting depends on the intended analysis timeframe and available computational resources.
The Calculate on Every Tick parameter determines whether the indicator updates with every price change or only at bar close. Real-time calculation provides immediate signal updates suitable for scalping and day trading strategies, while bar-close calculation reduces computational overhead and eliminates signal flickering during bar formation, preferred for swing trading and position management applications.
Alert System Configuration
The Alert Frequency parameter controls notification generation, with options for all signals, bar close only, or once per bar. High-frequency trading strategies benefit from all signals mode, while position traders typically prefer bar close alerts to avoid premature position entries based on intrabar fluctuations.
The alert system generates four distinct notification types: Long Signal alerts when the trend measure crosses above the positive signal threshold, Short Signal alerts for negative threshold crossings, Bull Regime alerts when entering strong bullish conditions, and Bear Regime alerts for strong bearish regime identification.
Table Display and Information Management
The information table provides real-time statistical metrics including current trend value, regime classification, signal status, and filter effectiveness measurements. The table position can be customized for optimal screen real estate utilization, and individual metrics can be toggled based on analytical requirements.
The Language parameter supports both English and German display options for international users, while maintaining consistent calculation methodology regardless of display language selection.
Risk Management Integration
Effective risk management integration requires coordination between the trend measure signals and position sizing algorithms. Strong trend readings (above 0.5 or below -0.5) support larger position sizes due to higher probability of trend continuation, while neutral readings (between -0.2 and 0.2) suggest reduced position sizes or range-trading strategies.
The regime classification system provides additional risk management context, with Strong Bull and Strong Bear regimes supporting trend-following strategies, while Neutral regimes indicate potential for mean reversion approaches. The filter effectiveness metric helps traders assess current market conditions and adjust strategy parameters accordingly.
Timeframe Considerations and Multi-Timeframe Analysis
The indicator's effectiveness varies across different timeframes, with higher timeframes (daily, weekly) providing more reliable trend identification but slower signal generation, while lower timeframes (hourly, 15-minute) offer faster signals with increased noise levels. Multi-timeframe analysis combining trend alignment across multiple periods significantly improves signal quality and reduces false positive rates.
For optimal results, traders should consider trend alignment between the primary trading timeframe and at least one higher timeframe before entering positions. Divergences between timeframes often signal potential trend reversals or consolidation periods requiring strategy adjustment.
Conclusion
The Tzotchev Trend Measure represents a significant advancement in technical analysis methodology, combining rigorous statistical foundations with practical trading applications. Its implementation of the J.P. Morgan research methodology provides institutional-quality trend analysis capabilities previously available only to sophisticated quantitative trading firms.
The comprehensive parameter configuration options enable customization for diverse trading styles and market conditions, while the advanced noise filtering and regime detection capabilities provide superior signal quality compared to traditional trend-following indicators. Proper parameter selection and understanding of the indicator's statistical foundation are essential for achieving optimal trading results and effective risk management.
References
Abramowitz, M. and Stegun, I.A. (1964). Handbook of Mathematical Functions with Formulas, Graphs, and Mathematical Tables. Washington: National Bureau of Standards.
Ang, A. and Bekaert, G. (2002). Regime Switches in Interest Rates. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(2), 163-182.
Asness, C.S., Moskowitz, T.J., and Pedersen, L.H. (2013). Value and Momentum Everywhere. Journal of Finance, 68(3), 929-985.
Bollinger, J. (2001). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Fama, E.F. and French, K.R. (1988). Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices. Journal of Political Economy, 96(2), 246-273.
Hurst, B., Ooi, Y.H., and Pedersen, L.H. (2013). Demystifying Managed Futures. Journal of Investment Management, 11(3), 42-58.
Jegadeesh, N. and Titman, S. (2001). Profitability of Momentum Strategies: An Evaluation of Alternative Explanations. Journal of Finance, 56(2), 699-720.
Kaufman, P.J. (2013). Trading Systems and Methods. 5th Edition. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Moskowitz, T.J., Ooi, Y.H., and Pedersen, L.H. (2012). Time Series Momentum. Journal of Financial Economics, 104(2), 228-250.
Tzotchev, D., Lo, A.W., and Hasanhodzic, J. (2015). Designing robust trend-following system: Behind the scenes of trend-following. J.P. Morgan Quantitative Research, Asset Management Division.
EMA inFusion Pro - Multiple SourcesEMA Fusion Pro: Dynamic Trend & Momentum Strategy with Three Exit Modes
EMA Fusion Pro is a highly customizable, multi-exit trend-following strategy designed for traders who value both precision and flexibility. By leveraging exponential moving averages (EMA), average directional index (ADX), and volume analysis, this strategy aims to capture trending market moves while offering three distinct exit modes for optimal risk management across varying market conditions.
Strategy Overview
This strategy systematically identifies potential entry points using a moving average crossover with highly configurable data sources (including price, volume, rate of change, or their Heikin Ashi versions) and filters signal quality with ADX trend strength and volume spikes. Each trade is managed with one of three advanced exit methodologies—reverse signal, ATR-based stop/take profit, or fixed percentage—giving you the control to adapt your risk profile to different market regimes.
Key Features
Customizable EMA Source: Calculate the core trend-filtering EMA from price (default), volume, rate of change, or their Heikin Ashi counterparts for unique market perspectives.
Trend Filter with ADX: Confirm entries only when the trend is strong, as measured by the user-adjustable ADX threshold.
Volume Spike Confirmation: Optional filter to only take trades with above-average volume activity, reducing false signals.
Three Exit Modes:
Reverse Signal: Exit trades when a new, opposite entry signal occurs.
ATR-Based Stop/Take Profit: Dynamic risk management using multiples of the average true range (ATR) for both take profit and stop loss.
Percent-Based Stop/Take Profit: Fixed-percentage risk management with user-defined thresholds.
Visual Annotations: Signal markers, EMA line color-coded by source, trend background coloring, and optional ATR/percent-based TP/SL levels.
Info Panel: Real-time display of all core indicators, current trading mode, exit parameters, and position status for quick oversight.
How It Works
Entry Logic: A crossover signal (above/below the EMA) triggers a new entry, but only if both ADX trend strength and (optionally) volume spike conditions are met.
Exit Logic: Three selectable modes allow you to exit trades on reverse signals, at a dynamic ATR-based profit or loss, or at a fixed percentage gain/loss.
Flexible Data Analysis: The EMA source can be chosen from six options—standard price, volume, rate of change, or their Heikin Ashi variants—allowing experimentation with different market dimensions.
Risk Management: All exits are precisely controlled, either by the next opposing signal, by volatility-adjusted levels, or by fixed risk/reward ratios.
Backtest & Optimization: The strategy is fully backtestable within TradingView’s Strategy Tester, with adjustable parameters for optimization.
Customization & Usage
Indicator Source: Select your preferred data type for EMA calculation, opening the door to creative strategy variations (e.g., volume momentum, pure price trend, rate of change divergence).
Filter Toggles: Enable/disable ADX and volume filters as desired—useful for different market environments.
Exit Mode Selection: Switch between reverse, ATR, or percent-based exits with a single parameter—ideal for adapting to ranging vs. trending markets.
Visual Clarity: The EMA line color reflects its underlying source, and the info panel summarizes all critical values for easy monitoring.
Who Should Use This Strategy?
Trend Followers seeking to ride strong moves with multiple exit options.
Experienced Traders who want to experiment with different data types (volume, momentum, Heikin Ashi) for trend analysis.
Algorithmic Traders looking for a robust, flexible base to build upon with their own ideas.
Getting Started
Apply the script to your chart and review default settings.
Customize parameters—EMA length, ADX threshold, volume settings, exit type—as desired.
Backtest on multiple instruments and timeframes to evaluate performance.
Optimize filters, exit rules, and risk parameters for your preferred trading style.
Monitor with the real-time info panel and trade alerts.
Disclaimer
This script is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct thorough testing and consider your risk tolerance before trading real capital.
— Happy Trading —
Feel free to adapt, share, and contribute to this open-source strategy!
J12Matic Builder by galgoomA flexible Renko/tick strategy that lets you choose between two entry engines (Multi-Source 3-way or QBand+Moneyball), with a unified trailing/TP exit engine, NY-time trading windows with auto-flatten, daily profit/loss and trade-count limits (HALT mode), and clean webhook routing using {{strategy.order.alert_message}}.
Highlights
Two entry engines
Multi-Source (3): up to three long/short sources with Single / Dual / Triple logic and optional lookback.
QBand + Moneyball: Gate → Trigger workflow with timing windows, OR/AND trigger modes, per-window caps, optional same-bar fire.
Unified exit engine: Trailing by Bricks or Ticks, plus optional static TP/SL.
Session control (NY time): Evening / Overnight / NY Session windows; auto-flatten at end of any enabled window.
Day controls: Profit/Loss (USD) and Trade-count limits. When hit, strategy HALTS new entries, shows an on-chart label/background.
Alert routing designed for webhooks: Every order sets alert_message= so you can run alerts with:
Condition: this strategy
Notify on: Order fills only
Message: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Default JSONs or Custom payloads: If a Custom field is blank, a sensible default JSON is sent. Fill a field to override.
How to set up alerts (the 15-second version)
Create a TradingView alert with this strategy as Condition.
Notify on: Order fills only.
Message: {{strategy.order.alert_message}} (exactly).
If you want your own payloads, paste them into Inputs → 08) Custom Alert Payloads.
Leave blank → the strategy sends a default JSON.
Fill in → your text is sent as-is.
Note: Anything you type into the alert dialog’s Message box is ignored except the {{strategy.order.alert_message}} token, which forwards the payload supplied by the strategy at order time.
Publishing notes / best practices
Renko users: Make sure “Renko Brick Size” in Inputs matches your chart’s brick size exactly.
Ticks vs Bricks: Exit distances switch instantly when you toggle Exit Units.
Same-bar flips: If enabled, a new opposite signal will first close the open trade (with its exit payload), then enter the new side.
HALT mode: When day profit/loss limit or trade-count limit triggers, new entries are blocked for the rest of the session day. You’ll see a label and a soft background tint.
Session end flatten: Auto-closes positions at window ends; these exits use the “End of Session Window Exit” payload.
Bar magnifier: Strategy is configured for on-close execution; you can enable Bar Magnifier in Properties if needed.
Default JSONs (used when a Custom field is empty)
Open: {"event":"open","side":"long|short","symbol":""}
Close: {"event":"close","side":"long|short|flat","reason":"tp|sl|flip|session|limit_profit|limit_loss","symbol":""}
You can paste any text/JSON into the Custom fields; it will be forwarded as-is when that event occurs.
Input sections — user guide
01) Entries & Signals
Entry Logic: Choose Multi-Source (3) or QBand + Moneyball (pick one).
Enable Long/Short Signals: Master on/off switches for entering long/short.
Flip on opposite signal: If enabled, a new opposite signal will close the current position first, then open the other side.
Signal Logic (Multi-Source):
Single: any 1 of the 3 sources > 0
Dual: Source1 AND Source2 > 0
Triple (default): 1 AND 2 AND 3 > 0
Long/Short Signal Sources 1–3: Provide up to three series (often indicators). A positive value (> 0) is treated as a “pulse”.
Use Lookback: Keeps a source “true” for N bars after it pulses (helps catch late triggers).
Long/Short Lookback (bars): How many bars to remember that pulse.
01b) QBands + Moneyball (Gate -> Trigger)
Allow same-bar Gate->Trigger: If ON, a trigger can fire on the same bar as the gate pulse.
Trigger must fire within N bars after Gate: Size of the gate window (in bars).
Max signals per window (0 = unlimited): Cap the number of entries allowed while a gate window is open.
Buy/Sell Source 1 – Gate: Gate pulse sources that open the buy/sell window (often a regime/zone, e.g., QBands bull/bear).
Trigger Pulse Mode (Buy/Sell): How to detect a trigger pulse from the trigger sources (Change / Appear / Rise>0 / Fall<0).
Trigger A/B sources + Extend Bars: Primary/secondary triggers plus optional extension to persist their pulse for N bars.
Trigger Mode: Pick S2 only, S3 only, S2 OR S3, or S2 AND S3. AND mode remembers both pulses inside the window before firing.
02) Exit Units (Trailing/TP)
Exit Units: Choose Bricks (Renko) or Ticks. All distances below switch accordingly.
03) Tick-based Trailing / Stops (active when Exit Units = Ticks)
Initial SL (ticks): Starting stop distance from entry.
Start Trailing After (ticks): Start trailing once price moves this far in your favor.
Trailing Distance (ticks): Offset of the trailing stop from peak/trough once trailing begins.
Take Profit (ticks): Optional static TP distance.
Stop Loss (ticks): Optional static SL distance (overrides trailing if enabled).
04) Brick-based Trailing / Stops (active when Exit Units = Bricks)
Renko Brick Size: Must match your chart’s brick size.
Initial SL / Start Trailing After / Trailing Distance (bricks): Same definitions as tick mode, measured in bricks.
Take Profit / Stop Loss (bricks): Optional static distances.
05) TP / SL Switch
Enable Static Take Profit: If ON, closes the trade at the fixed TP distance.
Enable Static Stop Loss (Overrides Trailing): If ON, trailing is disabled and a fixed SL is used.
06) Trading Windows (NY time)
Use Trading Windows: Master toggle for all windows.
Evening / Overnight / NY Session: Define each session in NY time.
Flatten at End of : Auto-close any open position when a window ends (sends the Session Exit payload).
07) Day Controls & Limits
Enable Profit Limits / Profit Limit (Dollars): When daily net PnL ≥ limit → auto-flatten and HALT.
Enable Loss Limits / Loss Limit (Dollars): When daily net PnL ≤ −limit → auto-flatten and HALT.
Enable Trade Count Limits / Number of Trades Allowed: After N entries, HALT new entries (does not auto-flatten).
On-chart HUD: A label and soft background tint appear when HALTED; a compact status table shows Day PnL, trade count, and mode.
08) Custom Alert Payloads (used as strategy.order.alert_message)
Long/Short Entry: Payload sent on entries (if blank, a default open JSON is sent).
Regular Long/Short Exit: Payload sent on closes from SL/TP/flip (if blank, a default close JSON is sent).
End of Session Window Exit: Payload sent when any enabled window ends and positions are flattened.
Profit/Loss/Trade Limit Close: Payload sent when daily profit/loss limit causes auto-flatten.
Tip: Any tokens you include here are forwarded “as is”. If your downstream expects variables, do the substitution on the receiver side.
Known limitations
No bracket orders from Pine: This strategy doesn’t create OCO/attached brackets on the broker; it simulates exits with strategy logic and forwards your payloads for external automation.
alert_message is per order only: Alerts fire on order events. General status pings aren’t sent unless you wire a separate indicator/alert.
Renko specifics: Backtests on synthetic Renko can differ from live execution. Always forward-test on your instrument and settings.
Quick checklist before you publish
✅ Brick size in Inputs matches your Renko chart
✅ Exit Units set to Bricks or Ticks as you intend
✅ Day limits/Windows toggled as you want
✅ Custom payloads filled (or leave blank to use defaults)
✅ Your alert uses Order fills only + {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
HorizonSigma Pro [CHE]HorizonSigma Pro
Disclaimer
Not every timeframe will yield good results . Very short charts are dominated by microstructure noise, spreads, and slippage; signals can flip and the tradable edge shrinks after costs. Very high timeframes adapt more slowly, provide fewer samples, and can lag regime shifts. When you change timeframe, you also change the ratios between horizon, lookbacks, and correlation windows—what works on M5 won’t automatically hold on H1 or D1. Liquidity, session effects (overnight gaps, news bursts), and volatility do not scale linearly with time. Always validate per symbol and timeframe, then retune horizon, z-length, correlation window, and either the neutral band or the z-threshold. On fast charts, “components” mode adapts quicker; on slower charts, “super” reduces noise. Keep prior-shift and calibration enabled, monitor Hit Rate with its confidence interval and the Brier score, and execute only on confirmed (closed-bar) values.
For example, what do “UP 61%” and “DOWN 21%” mean?
“UP 61%” is the model’s estimated probability that the close will be higher after your selected horizon—directional probability, not a price target or profit guarantee. “DOWN 21%” still reports the probability of up; here it’s 21%, which implies 79% for down (a short bias). The label switches to “DOWN” because the probability falls below your short threshold. With a neutral-band policy, for example ±7%, signals are: Long above 57%, Short below 43%, Neutral in between. In z-score mode, fixed z-cutoffs drive the call instead of percentages. The arrow length on the chart is an ATR-scaled projection to visualize reach; treat it as guidance, not a promise.
Part 1 — Scientific description
Objective.
The indicator estimates the probability that price will be higher after a user-defined horizon (a chosen number of bars) and emits long, short, or neutral decisions under explicit thresholds. It combines multi‑feature, z‑normalized inputs, adaptive correlation‑based weighting, a prior‑shifted sigmoid mapping, optional rolling probability calibration, and repaint‑safe confirmation. It also visualizes an ATR‑scaled forward projection and prints a compact statistics panel.
Data and labeling.
For each bar, the target label is whether price increased over the past chosen horizon. Learning is deliberately backward‑looking to avoid look‑ahead: features are associated with outcomes that are only known after that horizon has elapsed.
Feature engineering.
The feature set includes momentum, RSI, stochastic %K, MACD histogram slope, a normalized EMA(20/50) trend spread, ATR as a share of price, Bollinger Band width, and volume normalized by its moving average. All features are standardized over rolling windows. A compressed “super‑feature” is available that aggregates core trend and momentum components while penalizing excessive width (volatility). Users can switch between a “components” mode (weighted sum of individual features) and a “super” mode (single compressed driver).
Weighting and learning.
Weights are the rolling correlations between features (evaluated one horizon ago) and realized directional outcomes, smoothed by an EMA and optionally clamped to a bounded range to stabilize outliers. This produces an adaptive, regime‑aware weighting without explicit machine‑learning libraries.
Scoring and probability mapping.
The raw score is either the weighted component sum or the weighted super‑feature. The score is standardized again and passed through a sigmoid whose steepness is user‑controlled. A “prior shift” moves the sigmoid’s midpoint to the current base rate of up moves, estimated over the evaluation window, so that probabilities remain well‑calibrated when markets drift bullish or bearish. Probabilities and standardized scores are EMA‑smoothed for stability.
Decision policy.
Two modes are supported:
- Neutral band: go long if the probability is above one half plus a user‑set band; go short if it is below one half minus that band; otherwise stay neutral.
- Z‑score thresholds: use symmetric positive/negative cutoffs on the standardized score to trigger long/short.
Repaint protection.
All values used for decisions can be locked to confirmed (closed) bars. Intrabar updates are available as a preview, but confirmed values drive evaluation and stats.
Calibration.
An optional rolling linear calibration maps past confirmed probabilities to realized outcomes over the evaluation window. The mapping is clipped to the unit interval and can be injected back into the decision logic if desired. This improves reliability (probabilities that “mean what they say”) without necessarily improving raw separability.
Evaluation metrics.
The table reports: hit rate on signaled bars; a Wilson confidence interval for that hit rate at a chosen confidence level; Brier score as a measure of probability accuracy; counts of long/short trades; average realized return by side; profit factor; net return; and exposure (signal density). All are computed on rolling windows consistent with the learning scheme.
Visualization.
On the chart, an arrowed projection shows the predicted direction from the current bar to the chosen horizon, with magnitude scaled by ATR (optionally scaled by the square‑root of the horizon). Labels display either the decision probability or the standardized score. Neutral states can display a configurable icon for immediate recognition.
Computational properties.
The design relies on rolling means, standard deviations, correlations, and EMAs. Per‑bar cost is constant with respect to history length, and memory is constant per tracked series. Graphical objects are updated in place to obey platform limits.
Assumptions and limitations.
The method is correlation‑based and will adapt after regime changes, not before them. Calibration improves probability reliability but not necessarily ranking power. Intrabar previews are non‑binding and should not be evaluated as historical performance.
Part 2 — Trader‑facing description
What it does.
This tool tells you how likely price is to be higher after your chosen number of bars and converts that into Long / Short / Neutral calls. It learns, in real time, which components—momentum, trend, volatility, breadth, and volume—matter now, adjusts their weights, and shows you a probability line plus a forward arrow scaled by volatility.
How to set it up.
1) Choose your horizon. Intraday scalps: 5–10 bars. Swings: 10–30 bars. The default of 14 bars is a balanced starting point.
2) Pick a feature mode.
- components: granular and fast to adapt when leadership rotates between signals.
- super: cleaner single driver; less noise, slightly slower to react.
3) Decide how signals are triggered.
- Neutral band (probability based): intuitive and easy to tune. Widen the band for fewer, higher‑quality trades; tighten to catch more moves.
- Z‑score thresholds: consistent numeric cutoffs that ignore base‑rate drift.
4) Keep reliability helpers on. Leave prior shift and calibration enabled to stabilize probabilities across bullish/bearish regimes.
5) Smoothing. A short EMA on the probability or score reduces whipsaws while preserving turns.
6) Overlay. The arrow shows the call and a volatility‑scaled reach for the next horizon. Treat it as guidance, not a promise.
Reading the stats table.
- Hit Rate with a confidence interval: your recent accuracy with an uncertainty range; trust the range, not only the point.
- Brier Score: lower is better; it checks whether a stated “70%” really behaves like 70% over time.
- Profit Factor, Net Return, Exposure: quick triage of tradability and signal density.
- Average Return by Side: sanity‑check that the long and short calls each pull their weight.
Typical adjustments.
- Too many trades? Increase the neutral band or raise the z‑threshold.
- Missing the move? Tighten the band, or switch to components mode to react faster.
- Choppy timeframe? Lengthen the z‑score and correlation windows; keep calibration on.
- Volatility regime change? Revisit the ATR multiplier and enable square‑root scaling of horizon.
Execution and risk.
- Size positions by volatility (ATR‑based sizing works well).
- Enter on confirmed values; use intrabar previews only as early signals.
- Combine with your market structure (levels, liquidity zones). This model is statistical, not clairvoyant.
What it is not.
Not a black‑box machine‑learning model. It is transparent, correlation‑weighted technical analysis with strong attention to probability reliability and repaint safety.
Suggested defaults (robust starting point).
- Horizon 14; components mode; weight EMA 10; correlation window 500; z‑length 200.
- Neutral band around seven percentage points, or z‑threshold around one‑third of a standard deviation.
- Prior shift ON, Calibration ON, Use calibrated for decisions OFF to start.
- ATR multiplier 1.0; square‑root horizon scaling ON; EMA smoothing 3.
- Confidence setting equivalent to about 95%.
Disclaimer
No indicator guarantees profits. HorizonSigma Pro is a decision aid; always combine with solid risk management and your own judgment. Backtest, forward test, and size responsibly.
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Enhance your trading precision and confidence 🚀
Best regards
Chervolino
Liquidity Sweep Breakout - LSBLiquidity Sweep Breakout - LSB
A professional session-based breakout system designed for OANDA:USDJPY and other JPY pairs.
Not guesswork, but precision - built on detailed observation of institutional moves to capture clear trade direction daily.
Master the Market’s Daily Bank Flow.
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Strategy Detail:
I discovered this strategy after carefully studying how Japanese banks influence the forex market during their daily settlement period. Banks are some of the biggest players in the financial world, and when they adjust or settle their accounts in the morning, it often creates a push in the market. From years of observation, I noticed a consistent pattern, once banks finish their settlements, the market usually continues moving in the same direction that was formed right after those actions. This daily banking flow often sets the tone for the entire trading session, especially for JPY pairs like USDJPY.
To capture this move, I built the indicator so that it follows the bank-driven trend with clear rules for entries, stop-loss (SL), and take-profit (TP). The system is designed with professional risk management in mind. By default, it assumes a $10,000 account size, risks only 1% of that balance per trade, and targets a 1:1.5 reward-to-risk ratio. This means for every $100 risked, the potential profit is $150. Such controlled risk makes the system safer and more sustainable for long-term traders. At the same time, users are not limited to this setup, they can adjust the account balance in the settings, and the indicator will automatically recalculate the lot size and risk levels based on their own capital. This ensures the strategy works for small accounts and larger accounts alike.
🌍 Why It Works
Fundamentally driven: Based on **daily Japanese banking settlement flows**.
Session-specific precision: Targets the exact window when USDJPY liquidity reshapes.
Risk-managed: Always calculates lot size based on account and risk preferences.
Automatable: With webhook + MT5 EA, it can be fully hands-free.
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✅ Recommended
Pair: USDJPY (best observed behavior).
Timeframe: 3-Minute chart.
Platform: TradingView Premium (for webhooks).
Execution: MT5 via EA.
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🔎 Strategy Concept
The Tokyo Magic Breakout (TMB) is built on years of session observation and the unique daily rhythm of the Japanese banking system.
Every morning between 5:50 AM – 6:10 AM PKT (09:50 – 10:10 JST), Japanese banks perform daily reconciliation and settlement. This often sets the tone for the USDJPY direction of the day.
This strategy isolates that critical moment of liquidity adjustment and waits for a clean breakout confirmation. Instead of chasing noise, it executes only when price action is aligned with the Tokyo market’s hidden flows.
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🕒 Timing Logic
Session Start: 5:00 AM PKT (Tokyo market open range).
Magic Candle: The 5:54 AM PKT candle is marked as the reference “breakout selector.”
Checkpoints: First confirmation at 6:30 AM PKT, then every 15 minutes until 8:30 AM PKT.
* If price stays inside the magic range → wait.
* If a breakout happens but the candle wick touches the range → wait for the next checkpoint.
* If by 8:30 AM PKT no clean breakout occurs → the day is marked as No Trade Day (NTD).
👉 Recommended timeframe: 3-Minute chart (3M) for precise signals.
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📈 Trade Execution
Entry: Clean break above/below the magic candle’s range.
Stop-Loss: Opposite side of the Tokyo session high/low.
Take-Profit: Calculated by Reward\:Risk ratio (default 1.5:1).
Lot Size: Auto-calculated based on your risk model:
* Fixed Dollar
* % of Equity
* Conservative (minimum of both).
Visuals include:
✅ Entry/SL/TP lines
✅ Shaded risk (red) and reward (green) zones
✅ Trade labels (Buy/Sell with lot size & levels)
✅ TP/SL hit markers
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🔔 Alerts & Automation (AutoTMB)
This strategy is fully automation-ready with EA + MT5:
1. Enable alerts in TMB settings.
2. Insert your PineConnector License Key.
3. Configure your risk management preferences.
4. Create a TradingView alert → in the message box simply type:
Pine Script®
{{alert_message}}
and set the EA webhook.
Now, every breakout trade (with exact entry, SL, TP, and lot size) is sent instantly.
👉 On your MT5:
* Install the EA.
* Use the same license key.
* Run it on a VPS or local MT5 terminal.
You now have a hands-free trading system: AutoTMB.
EdgeFlow Pullback [CHE]EdgeFlow Pullback \ — Icon & Visual Guide (Deep Dive)
TL;DR (1-minute read)
⏳ Hourglass = Pending verdict. A countdown runs from the signal bar until your Evaluation Window ends.
✔ Checkmark (green) = OK. After the evaluation window, price (HLC3) is on the correct side of the EMA144 for that signal’s direction.
✖ Cross (red) = Fail. After the evaluation window, price (HLC3) is on the wrong side of the EMA144.
▲ / ▼ Triangles = the actual PB Long/Short signal bar (sequence completed in time).
Small lime/red crosses = visual markers when HLC3 crosses EMA144 (context, not trade signals).
Orange line = EMA144 (baseline/trend filter).
T3 line color = Context signal: green when T3 is below HLC3, red when T3 is above HLC3.
Icon Glossary (What each symbol means)
1) ⏳ Hourglass — “Pending / Countdown”
Appears immediately when a PB signal fires (Long or Short).
Shows `⏳ currentBars / EvaluationBars` (e.g., `⏳ 7/30`).
The label stays anchored at the signal bar and its original price level (it does not drift with price).
During ⏳ you get no verdict yet. It’s simply the waiting period before grading.
2) ✔ Checkmark (green) — “Condition met”
Appears after the Evaluation Window completes.
Logic:
Long signal: HLC3 (typical price) is above EMA144 → ✔
Short signal: HLC3 is below EMA144 → ✔
The label turns green and text says “✔ … Condition met”.
This is rules-based grading, not PnL. It tells you if the post-signal structure behaved as expected.
3) ✖ Cross (red) — “Condition failed”
Appears after the Evaluation Window completes if the condition above is not met.
Label turns red with “✖ … Condition failed”.
Again: rules-based verdict, not a guarantee of profit or loss.
4) ▲ “PB Long” triangle (below bar)
Marks the exact bar where the 4-step Long sequence completed within the allowed window.
That bar is your signal bar for Long setups.
5) ▼ “PB Short” triangle (above bar, red)
Same as above, for Short setups.
6) Lime/Red “+” crosses (tiny cross markers)
Lime cross (below bar): HLC3 crosses above EMA144 (crossover).
Red cross (above bar): HLC3 crosses below EMA144 (crossunder).
These crosses are context markers; they’re not entry signals by themselves.
The Two Clocks (Don’t mix them up)
There are two different time windows at play:
1. Signal Window — “Max bars for full sequence”
A pullback signal (Long or Short) only fires if the 4-step sequence completes within this many bars.
If it takes too long: reset (no signal, no triangle, no label).
Purpose: avoid stale setups.
2. Evaluation Window — “Evaluation window after signal (bars)”
Starts after the signal bar. The label shows an ⏳ countdown.
When it reaches the set number of bars, the indicator checks whether HLC3 is on the correct side of EMA144 for the signal direction.
Then it stamps the signal with ✔ (OK) or ✖ (Fail).
Timeline sketch (Long example):
```
→ ▲ PB Long at bar t0
Label shows: ⏳ 0/EvalBars
t0+1, t0+2, ... t0+EvalBars-1 → still ⏳
At t0+EvalBars → Check HLC3 vs EMA144
Result → ✔ (green) or ✖ (red)
(Label remains anchored at t0 / signal price)
```
What Triggers the PB Signal (so you know why triangles appear)
LONG sequence (4 steps in order):
1. T3 falling (the pullback begins)
2. HLC3 crosses under EMA144
3. T3 rising (pullback ends)
4. HLC3 crosses over EMA144 → PB Long triangle
SHORT sequence (mirror):
1. T3 rising
2. HLC3 crosses over EMA144
3. T3 falling
4. HLC3 crosses under EMA144 → PB Short triangle
If steps 1→4 don’t complete in time (within Max bars for full sequence), the sequence is abandoned (no signal).
Lines & Colors (quick interpretation)
EMA144 (orange): your baseline trend filter.
T3 (green/red):
Green when T3 < HLC3 (price above the smoothed path; often supportive in up-moves)
Red when T3 > HLC3 (price below the smoothed path; often pressure in down-moves)
HLC3 (gray): the typical price the logic uses ( (H+L+C)/3 ).
Label Behavior (anchoring & cleanup)
Each signal creates one label at the signal bar with ⏳.
The label is position-locked: it stays at the same bar index and y-price it was born at.
After the evaluation check, the label text and color update to ✔/✖, but position stays fixed.
The indicator keeps only the last N labels (your “Show only the last N labels” input). Older ones are deleted to reduce clutter.
What You Can (and Can’t) Infer from ✔ / ✖
✔ OK: Structure behaved as intended during the evaluation window (HLC3 finished on the correct side of EMA144).
Inference: The pullback continued in the expected direction post-signal.
✖ Fail: Structure ended up opposite the expectation.
Inference: The pullback did not continue cleanly (chop, reversal, or insufficient follow-through).
> Important: ✔/✖ is not profit or loss. It’s an objective rule check. Use it to identify market regimes where your entries perform best.
Input Settings — How they change the visuals
T3 length:
Shorter → faster turns, more signals (and more noise).
Longer → smoother turns, fewer but cleaner sequences.
T3 volume factor (0–1, default 0.7):
Higher → more curvature/smoothing.
Typical sweet spot: 0.5–0.9.
EMA length (baseline) default 144:
Smaller → faster baseline, more cross events, more aggressive signals.
Larger → slower, stricter trend confirmation.
Max bars for full sequence (signal window):
Smaller → only fresh, snappy pullbacks can signal.
Larger → allows slower pullbacks to complete.
Evaluation window (after signal):
Smaller → verdict arrives quickly (less tolerance).
Larger → gives the trade more time to prove itself structurally.
Show only the last N labels:
Controls chart clutter. Increase for more history, decrease for focus.
(FYI: The “Debug” toggle exists but doesn’t draw extra overlays in this version.)
Practical Reading Flow (how to use visuals in seconds)
1. Triangles catch your eye: ▲ for Long, ▼ for Short. That’s the setup completion.
2. ⏳ label starts—don’t judge yet; let the evaluation run.
3. Watch EMA slope and T3 color for context (trend + pressure).
4. After the window: ✔/✖ stamps the outcome. Log what the market was like when you got ✔.
Common “Why did…?” Questions
Q: Why did I get no triangle even though T3 turned and EMA crossed?
A: The 4 steps must happen in order and within the Signal Window. If timing breaks, the sequence resets.
Q: Why did my label stay ⏳ for so long?
A: That’s by design until the Evaluation Window completes. The verdict only happens at the end of that window.
Q: Why is ✔/✖ different from my PnL?
A: It’s a structure check, not a profit check. It doesn’t know your entries/exits/stops.
Q: Do the small lime/red crosses mean buy/sell?
A: No. They’re context markers for HLC3↔EMA crosses, useful inside the sequence but not standalone signals.
Pro Tips (turn visuals into decisions)
Entry: Use the ▲/▼ triangle as your trigger, in trend direction (check EMA slope/market structure).
Stop: Behind the pullback swing around the signal bar.
Exit: Structure levels, R-multiples, or a reverse HLC3↔EMA cross as a trailing logic.
Tuning:
Intraday/volatile: shorter T3/EMA + tighter Signal Window.
Swing/slow: default 144 EMA + moderate windows.
Learn quickly: Filter your chart to show only ✔ or only ✖ windows in your notes; see which sessions, assets, and volatility regimes suit the system.
Disclaimer
No indicator guarantees profits. Sweep2Trade Pro \ is a decision aid; always combine with solid risk management and your own judgment. Backtest, forward test, and size responsibly.
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Enhance your trading precision and confidence 🚀
Happy trading
Chervolino
Bullish Breakaway Dual Session-Publish-Consolidated FVG
Inspired by the FVG Concept:
This indicator is built on the Fair Value Gap (FVG) concept, with a focus on Consolidated FVG. Unlike traditional FVGs, this version only works within a defined session (e.g., ETH 18:00–17:00 or RTH 09:30–16:00).
Bullish consolidated FVG & Bullish breakaway candle
Begins when a new intraday low is printed. After that, the indicator searches for the 1st bullish breakaway candle, which must have its low above the high of the intraday low candle. Any candles in between are part of the consolidated FVG zone. Once the 1st breakaway forms, the indicator will shades the candle’s range (high to low). Then it will use this candle as an anchor to search for the 2nd, 3rd, etc. breakaways until the session ends.
Session Reset: Occurs at session close.
Repaint Behavior:
If a new intraday (or intra-session) low forms, earlier breakaway patterns are wiped, and the system restarts from the new low.
Counter:
A session-based counter at the top of the chart displays how many bullish consolidated FVGs have formed.
Settings
• Session Setup:
Choose ETH, RTH, or custom session. The indicator is designed for CME futures in New York timezone, but can be adjusted for other markets.
If nothing appears on your chart, check if you loaded it during an inactive session (e.g., weekend/Friday night).
• Max Zones to Show:
Default = 3 (recommended). You can increase, but 3 zones are usually most useful.
• Timeframe:
Best on 1m, 5m, or 15m. (If session range is big, try higher time frame)
Usage
1. Avoid Trading in Wrong Direction
• No bullish breakaway = No long trade.
• Prevents the temptation to countertrade in strong downtrends.
2. Catch the Trend Reversal
• When a bullish breakaway appears after an intraday low, it signals a potential reversal.
• You will need adjust position sizing, watch out liquidity hunt, and place stop loss.
• Best entries of your preferred choices: (this is your own trading edge)
Retest
Breakout
Engulf
MA cross over
Whatever your favorite approach
• Reversal signal is the strongest when price stays within/above the breakaway candle’s
range. Weak if it breaks below.
3. Higher Timeframe Confirmation
• 1m can give false reversals if new lows keep forming.
• 5m often provides cleaner signals and avoids premature reversals.
Failed Trade Example:
This indicator will repaint if a new intraday session low is updated. So it is possible to have a failed trade. Here is an example from the same session in 1m chart. However, if you enter the trade later at another bullish breakaway candle signal. The loss can be mitigated by the profit.
Therefore you should use smaller position size for your 1st trade. You should also considering using 5m chart to avoid 1m bull trap. In this example, if you use 5m chart, you can totally avoid this failed trade.
If you enter the trade, you will see the intraday low is stop loss hunted. You can also see the 1st bullish breakaway candle is super weak. There are a lot of candles below the breakaway candle low, so it is very possible to fail.
In the next chart, you can see the failed traded get stop loss hunted. However you can enter another trade with huge profit to win back the loss from the 1st trade if you follow the rule.
Summary
This indicator offers 3 main advantages:
1. Prevents wrong-direction trades.
2. Confirms trend entry after reversal signals.
3. Filters false positives using higher timeframes.
How to sharp your edge:
1. ⏳Extreme patience⏳: Do not guess the bottom during a downtrend before a confirmed bullish breakaway candle. If you get caught, have the courage to cut loss. This is literally the most important usage of this indicator. Again, this is the most important rule of this indicator and actually the hardest rule to follow.
2. 🛎Better Entry🛎: After a confirmed bullish breakaway, you will always have a good opportunity to enter the trade using established trading technique. Your edge will come from the position size, draw down, stop loss placement, risk/reward ratio.
3. ✂Cut loss fast✂: If you enter a trade according to the rule, but you are still not making profit for a period of time, and the price is below the low of the breakaway candle. It is very likely you may hit stop loss soon (intraday session low). It won't be a bad idea to cut loss before stop loss hit.
4. 🔂Reentry with confidence after stop loss🔂: a stop loss will not invalidate the indicator. If you see a second chance to reenter, you should still follow the trade guide and rule.
5. 🕔Time frame matter🕔: try 1m, 3m, 5m, 10m, 15m time frame. Over time, you should know what time frame work best for you and the market. Higher time frame will reduce the noise of false positive trade, but it comes with a higher stop loss placement and less max profit, however it may come with a lower draw down. Time frame will matter depending on the range of the session. If the session range is small (<0.5%), lower time frame is good. If session range is big (>1%), 5m time frame is better. Remember to wait for candle to close, if you use higher time frame.
Last Mention:
The indicator is only used for bullish side trading.
The Barking Rat LiteMomentum & FVG Reversion Strategy
The Barking Rat Lite is a disciplined, short-term mean-reversion strategy that combines RSI momentum filtering, EMA bands, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) detection to identify short-term reversal points. Designed for practical use on volatile markets, it focuses on precise entries and ATR-based take profit management to balance opportunity and risk.
Core Concept
This strategy seeks potential reversals when short-term price action shows exhaustion outside an EMA band, confirmed by momentum and FVG signals:
EMA Bands:
Parameters used: A 20-period EMA (fast) and 100-period EMA (slow).
Why chosen:
- The 20 EMA is sensitive to short-term moves and reflects immediate momentum.
- The 100 EMA provides a slower, structural anchor.
When price trades outside both bands, it often signals overextension relative to both short-term and medium-term trends.
Application in strategy:
- Long entries are only considered when price dips below both EMAs, identifying potential undervaluation.
- Short entries are only considered when price rises above both EMAs, identifying potential overvaluation.
This dual-band filter avoids counter-trend signals that would occur if only a single EMA was used, making entries more selective..
Fair Value Gap Detection (FVG):
Parameters used: The script checks for dislocations using a 12-bar lookback (i.e. comparing current highs/lows with values 12 candles back).
Why chosen:
- A 12-bar displacement highlights significant inefficiencies in price structure while filtering out micro-gaps that appear every few bars in high-volatility markets.
- By aligning FVG signals with candle direction (bullish = close > open, bearish = close < open), the strategy avoids random gaps and instead targets ones that suggest exhaustion.
Application in strategy:
- Bullish FVGs form when earlier lows sit above current highs, hinting at downward over-extension.
- Bearish FVGs form when earlier highs sit below current lows, hinting at upward over-extension.
This gives the strategy a structural filter beyond simple oscillators, ensuring signals have price-dislocation context.
RSI Momentum Filter:
Parameters used: 14-period RSI with thresholds of 80 (overbought) and 20 (oversold).
Why chosen:
- RSI(14) is a widely recognized momentum measure that balances responsiveness with stability.
- The thresholds are intentionally extreme (80/20 vs. the more common 70/30), so the strategy only engages at genuine exhaustion points rather than frequent minor corrections.
Application in strategy:
- Longs trigger when RSI < 20, suggesting oversold exhaustion.
- Shorts trigger when RSI > 80, suggesting overbought exhaustion.
This ensures entries are not just technically valid but also backed by momentum extremes, raising conviction.
ATR-Based Take Profit:
Parameters used: 14-period ATR, with a default multiplier of 4.
Why chosen:
- ATR(14) reflects the prevailing volatility environment without reacting too much to outliers.
- A multiplier of 4 is a pragmatic compromise: wide enough to let trades breathe in volatile conditions, but tight enough to enforce disciplined exits before mean reversion fades.
Application in strategy:
- At entry, a fixed target is set = Entry Price ± (ATR × 4).
- This target scales automatically with volatility: narrower in calm periods, wider in explosive markets.
By avoiding discretionary exits, the system maintains rule-based discipline.
Visual Signals on Chart
Blue “▲” below candle: Potential long entry
Orange/Yellow “▼” above candle: Potential short entry
Green “✔️”: Trade closed at ATR take profit
Blue (20 EMA) & Orange (100 EMA) lines: Dynamic channel reference
⚙️Strategy report properties
Position size: 25% equity per trade
Initial capital: 10,000.00 USDT
Pyramiding: 10 entries per direction
Slippage: 2 ticks
Commission: 0.055% per side
Backtest timeframe: 1-minute
Backtest instrument: HYPEUSDT
Backtesting range: Jul 28, 2025 — Aug 17, 2025
Note on Sample Size:
You’ll notice the report displays fewer than the ideal 100 trades in the strategy report above. This is intentional. The goal of the script is to isolate high-quality, short-term reversal opportunities while filtering out low-conviction setups. This means that the Barking Rat Lite strategy is very selective, filtering out over 90% of market noise. The brief timeframe shown in the strategy report here illustrates its filtering logic over a short window — not its full capabilities. As a result, even on lower timeframes like the 1-minute chart, signals are deliberately sparse — each one must pass all criteria before triggering.
For a larger dataset:
Once the strategy is applied to your chart, users are encouraged to expand the lookback range or apply the strategy to other volatile pairs to view a full sample.
💡Why 25% Equity Per Trade?
While it's always best to size positions based on personal risk tolerance, we defaulted to 25% equity per trade in the backtesting data — and here’s why:
Backtests using this sizing show manageable drawdowns even under volatile periods.
The strategy generates a sizeable number of trades, reducing reliance on a single outcome.
Combined with conservative filters, the 25% setting offers a balance between aggression and control.
Users are strongly encouraged to customize this to suit their risk profile.
What makes Barking Rat Lite valuable
Combines multiple layers of confirmation: EMA bands + FVG + RSI
Adaptive to volatility: ATR-based exits scale with market conditions
Clear, actionable visuals: Easy to monitor and manage trades
Wolf Exit Oscillator Enhanced
# Wolf Exit Oscillator Enhanced
## What it is (quick take)
**Wolf Exit Oscillator Enhanced** is a clean, rules-first **exit timing tool** built on the **True Strength Index (TSI)** with two optional safeguards:
1. **Signal-line crossover** (to avoid bailing on shallow dips), and
2. **EMA confirmation** (price-based “is the trend actually weakening/strengthening?” check).
Use it to standardize when you **take profits, cut losers, or scale out**—especially after momentum runs hot or cold.
> Works best **paired** with:
>
> * **ABS NR — Fail-Safe Confirm (v4.2.2)** for entries
> * **ABS Companion Oscillator — Trend / Exhaustion / New Trend** for trend/exhaustion context
---
## How to use it (operational workflow)
1. **Set your bands**
* `exitHigh` and `exitLow` mark “overcooked” zones on the TSI scale (default: +60 / –60).
* Above `exitHigh` = momentum stretched **up** (good place to **exit shorts** or **take long profits**).
* Below `exitLow` = momentum stretched **down** (good place to **exit longs** or **take short profits**).
2. **Choose strictness**
* **Base mode**: the moment TSI crosses out of a band, you get an exit signal.
* **Add Signal-Line Cross** (`enableSignalX = true`): require TSI to cross its signal in the same direction → **fewer, cleaner exits**.
* **Add EMA Filter** (`enableEMAFilter = true`): also require **price** to confirm (e.g., long exit only if price < EMA). This avoids bailing during healthy trends.
3. **Execute with structure**
* **Full exit** when a signal fires, or
* **Scale out** (e.g., 50% on first signal, remainder on trail/secondary signal), or
* **Move stop** to lock gains once an exit signal prints.
4. **Alerts**
* Set to **“Once per bar close”** to avoid intrabar flip-flop.
* Use the two provided alert names for automation (see “Alerts” below).
---
## Signals & visuals
* **TSI line** (solid) and **Signal line** (dashed) with optional **histogram** (TSI − Signal).
* **Horizontal bands** at `exitHigh` and `exitLow`.
* **Labels**:
* **Exit Long** appears when long-side momentum breaks down (below `exitLow`, plus any enabled filters).
* **Exit Short** appears when short-side momentum breaks down (above `exitHigh`, plus any enabled filters).
**Alerts (stable names):**
* **WolfExit — Exit Long**
* **WolfExit — Exit Short**
---
## Non-repainting behavior (what to expect)
* The oscillator is computed with **EMAs on current timeframe**—no higher-timeframe lookahead, no repaint.
* **Intrabar**: TSI/Signal can fluctuate; use **bar-close evaluation** (and alert setting “Once per bar close”) to lock signals.
* If you enable the EMA filter, that check is also evaluated at bar close.
---
## Every input explained (and how changing it alters behavior)
### Momentum engine (TSI)
* **TSI Long EMA Length (`tsiLongLen`, default 25)**
Higher = smoother, slower momentum; fewer signals. Lower = twitchier, more signals.
* **TSI Short EMA Length (`tsiShortLen`, default 13)**
Fine-tunes responsiveness on top of the long length. Lower short → snappier TSI.
* **TSI Signal Line Length (`tsisigLen`, default 7)**
Higher = slower signal line (harder to cross) → fewer signals. Lower = easier crosses → more signals.
### Thresholds (the bands)
* **Exit Threshold High (`exitHigh`, default +60)**
Raise to demand **stronger** overbought before signaling short exits / long profit-takes. Lower to trigger sooner.
* **Exit Threshold Low (`exitLow`, default −60)**
Raise (toward 0) to trigger **earlier** on longs; lower (more negative) to wait for deeper downside stretch.
### Confirmation layers
* **Require Signal Line Crossover (`enableSignalX`, default true)**
On = TSI must cross its signal (same direction as exit) → **filters out shallow wiggles**. Off = faster, more frequent exits.
* **Enable EMA Confirmation Filter (`enableEMAFilter`, default true)**
On = require **price < EMA** for **Exit Long** and **price > EMA** for **Exit Short**.
* **EMA Exit Confirmation Length (`exitEMALen`, default 50)**
Higher = **trendier** filter (harder to flip) → fewer exits; Lower = more reactive → more exits.
### Visuals
* **Show Histogram (`showHist`)**
On = quick visual for TSI–Signal spread (helps spot weakening momentum before a cross).
* **Plot Exit Signals (`showSignals`)**
Toggle labels if you only want the lines/bands with alerts.
---
## Tuning recipes (quick, practical)
* **Strong trend days (avoid premature exits)**
* Keep **`enableSignalX = true`** and **`enableEMAFilter = true`**
* Increase **`exitEMALen`** (e.g., 80)
* Consider raising **`exitHigh`** to 65–70 (and lowering **`exitLow`** to −65/−70)
* **Choppy/range days (exit faster, take the cash)**
* **`enableEMAFilter = false`** (don’t wait for price filter)
* **`enableSignalX`** optional; try off for quicker responses
* Bring bands closer to **±50** to take profits earlier
* **Scalping / lower timeframes**
* Shorten **TSI lengths** a bit (e.g., 21/9/5)
* Consider **`exitHigh=55 / exitLow=-55`**
* Keep **histogram on** to visualize momentum flip risk
* **Swing trading / higher timeframes**
* Lengthen **TSI** (e.g., 35/21/9) and **`exitEMALen`** (e.g., 100)
* Wider bands (±65 to ±75) to catch bigger moves before exiting
---
## Playbooks (how to actually trade it)
* **Entry from ABS NR FS, exit with Wolf**
* Take entries from **ABS NR — Fail-Safe Confirm** (triangle).
* Use **Wolf Exit** to scale out: 50% on first exit label, trail remainder with price/EMA or your stop logic.
* **Pyramid & protect**
* Add on re-accelerations (TSI pulls back toward zero without breaching the opposite band).
* The first **Exit** signal → take partial, raise stop to last higher low / lower high.
* **Mean-reversion fade management**
* When fading with ABS NR (KC band pokes + stretched |Z|), target the first opposite **Exit** signal as your “don’t overstay” cue.
---
## Suggested starting points
* **Day trading (5–15m):**
* TSI: **25 / 13 / 7** (default)
* Bands: **+60 / −60**
* Confirmations: **SignalX = on**, **EMA Filter = on**, **EMA Len = 50**
* Alerts: **Once per bar close**
* **Scalping (1–3m):**
* TSI: **21 / 9 / 5**
* Bands: **±55**
* Confirmations: **SignalX = on**, **EMA Filter = off** (optional for speed)
* **Swing (1h–D):**
* TSI: **35 / 21 / 9**
* Bands: **+65 / −65** (or ±70)
* Confirmations: **SignalX = on**, **EMA Filter = on**, **EMA Len = 100**
---
## Best-practice pairings
* **Entries:** **ABS NR — Fail-Safe Confirm (v4.2.2)**
* Take ABS triangles; let Wolf standardize exits so you’re not guessing.
* **Context:** **ABS Companion Oscillator**
* Prefer holding longer when the companion stays above (for longs) or below (for shorts) its neutral band and **no EXH tag** prints.
* If companion flags **EXH** against your position, tighten stops; Wolf’s next exit signal becomes high priority.
---
## Notes & disclaimers
* This is an **exit signal tool**, not a strategy or broker.
* Signals are strongest when aligned with your **entry logic** and a **risk framework** (position sizing, stops, partials).
* All evaluations are **current timeframe**; no higher-timeframe lookahead is used.
* Markets change—tune the bands and confirmations per symbol/timeframe.
---
**Tip:** Keep your alerts simple—one for **Exit Long**, one for **Exit Short**, **Once per bar close**. Use partial exits on the first signal, and let your stop/trailing logic handle the rest.
Engulfing & Pin Bar Breakout StrategyOverview
This strategy automates a classic, powerful trading methodology based on identifying key candlestick reversal patterns and trading the subsequent price breakout. It is designed to be a complete, "set-and-go" system with built-in risk and position size management.
The core logic operates on the 1-Hour timeframe, scanning for four distinct high-probability reversal signals: two bullish and two bearish. An entry is only triggered when the market confirms the signal by breaking a key price level, aiming to capture momentum following a potential shift in market sentiment.
The Strategy Logic
The system is composed of two distinct modules: Bullish (Long) and Bearish (Short).
🐂 Bullish (Long) Setup
The script initiates a long trade based on the following strict criteria:
Signal: Identifies either a Hammer or a Bullish Engulfing pattern. These patterns often indicate that sellers are losing control and buyers are stepping in.
Confirmation: Waits for the very next candle after the signal.
Entry Trigger: A long position is automatically opened as soon as the price breaks above the high of the signal candle.
Stop Loss: Immediately set just below the low of the signal candle.
Take Profit: A fixed target is placed at a 1:5 Risk/Reward Ratio.
🐻 Bearish (Short) Setup
The script initiates a short trade based on the following strict criteria:
Signal: Identifies either a Shooting Star or a Bearish Engulfing pattern. These patterns suggest buying pressure is fading and sellers are taking over.
Confirmation: Waits for the very next candle after the signal.
Entry Trigger: A short position is automatically opened as soon as the price breaks below the low of the signal candle.
Stop Loss: Immediately set just above the high of the signal candle.
Take Profit: A fixed target is placed at a 1:4 Risk/Reward Ratio.
Key Feature: Automated Risk Management
This strategy is designed for disciplined trading. You do not need to calculate position sizes manually.
Fixed Risk: The script automatically calculates the correct position size to risk exactly 2% of your total account equity on every single trade.
Dynamic Sizing: The position size will adjust based on the distance between your entry price and your stop loss for each specific setup, ensuring a consistent risk profile.
How To Use
Apply the script to your chosen chart (e.g., BTC/USD).
Crucially, set your chart's timeframe to 1-Hour (H1). The strategy is specifically calibrated for this interval.
Navigate to the "Strategy Tester" tab below your chart to view backtest results, including net profit, win rate, and individual trades.
Disclaimer: This script is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. All trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please use this tool responsibly and at your own risk.
Mutanabby_AI | Fresh Algo V24Mutanabby_AI | Fresh Algo V24: Advanced Multi-Mode Trading System
Overview
The Mutanabby_AI Fresh Algo V24 represents a sophisticated evolution of multi-component trading systems that adapts to various market conditions through advanced operational configurations and enhanced analytical capabilities. This comprehensive indicator provides traders with multiple signal generation approaches, specialized assistant functions, and dynamic risk management tools designed for professional market analysis across diverse trading environments.
Primary Signal Generation Framework
The Fresh Algo V24 operates through two fundamental signal generation approaches that accommodate different market perspectives and trading philosophies. The Trending Signals Mode serves as the primary trend-following mechanism, combining Wave Trend Oscillator analysis with Supertrend directional signals and Squeeze Momentum breakout detection. This mode incorporates ADX filtering that requires values exceeding 20 to ensure sufficient trend strength exists before signal activation, making it particularly effective during sustained directional market movements where momentum persistence creates profitable trading opportunities.
The Contrarian Signals Mode provides an alternative approach targeting reversal opportunities through extreme market condition identification. This mode activates when the Wave Trend Oscillator reaches critical threshold levels, specifically when readings surpass 65 indicating potential bearish reversal conditions or drop below 35 suggesting bullish reversal opportunities. This methodology proves valuable during overextended market phases where mean reversion becomes statistically probable.
Advanced Filtering Mechanisms
The system incorporates multiple sophisticated filtering mechanisms designed to enhance signal quality and reduce false positive occurrences. The High Volume Filter requires volume expansion confirmation before signal activation, utilizing exponential moving average calculations to ensure institutional participation accompanies price movements. This filter substantially improves signal reliability by eliminating low-conviction breakouts that lack adequate volume support from professional market participants.
The Strong Filter provides additional trend confirmation through 200-period exponential moving average analysis. Long position signals require price action above this benchmark level, while short position signals necessitate price action below it. This ensures strategic alignment with longer-term trend direction and reduces the probability of trading against major market movements that could invalidate shorter-term signals.
Cloud Filter Configuration System
The Fresh Algo V24 offers four distinct cloud filter configurations, each optimized for specific trading timeframes and market approaches. The Smooth Cloud Filter utilizes the mathematical relationship between 150-period and 250-period exponential moving averages, providing stable trend identification suitable for position trading strategies. This configuration generates signals exclusively when price action aligns with cloud direction, creating a more deliberate but highly reliable signal generation process.
The Swing Cloud Filter employs modified Supertrend calculations with parameters specifically optimized for swing trading timeframes. This filter achieves optimal balance between responsiveness and stability, adapting effectively to medium-term price movements while filtering excessive market noise that typically affects shorter-term analytical systems.
For active intraday traders, the Scalping Cloud Filter utilizes accelerated Supertrend calculations designed to capture rapid trend changes effectively. This configuration provides enhanced signal generation frequency suitable for compressed timeframe strategies. The advanced Scalping+ Cloud Filter incorporates Hull Moving Average confirmation, delivering maximum responsiveness for ultra-short-term trading while maintaining signal quality through additional momentum validation processes.
Specialized Assistant Functionality
The system includes two distinct assistant modes that provide supplementary market analysis capabilities. The Trend Assistant Mode activates advanced cloud analysis overlays that display dynamic support and resistance zones calculated through adaptive volatility algorithms. These levels automatically adjust to current market conditions, providing visual guidance for identifying trend continuation patterns and potential reversal areas with mathematical precision.
The Trend Tracker Mode concentrates on long-term trend identification by displaying major exponential moving averages with color-coded fill areas that clarify directional bias. This mode maintains visual simplicity while providing comprehensive trend context evaluation, enabling traders to quickly assess broader market direction and align shorter-term strategies accordingly.
Dynamic Risk Management System
The integrated risk management system automatically adapts across all operational modes, calculating stop loss and take profit targets using Average True Range multiples that adjust to current market volatility. This approach ensures consistent risk parameters regardless of selected operational mode while maintaining relevance to prevailing market conditions.
Stop loss placement occurs at dynamically calculated distances from entry points, while three progressive take profit targets establish at customizable ATR multiples respectively. The system automatically updates these levels upon trend direction changes, ensuring current market volatility influences all risk calculations and maintains appropriate risk-reward ratios throughout trade management.
Comprehensive Market Analysis Dashboard
The sophisticated dashboard provides real-time market analysis including volatility measurements, institutional activity assessment, and multi-timeframe trend evaluation across five-minute through four-hour periods. This comprehensive market context assists traders in selecting appropriate operational modes based on current market characteristics rather than relying exclusively on historical performance data.
The multi-timeframe analysis ensures mode selection considers broader market context beyond the primary trading timeframe, improving overall strategic alignment and reducing conflicts between different temporal market perspectives. The dashboard displays market state classification, volatility percentages, institutional activity levels, current trading session information, and trend pressure indicators with professional formatting and clear visual hierarchy.
Enhanced Trading Assistants
The Fresh Algo V24 includes specialized trading assistant features that complement the primary signal generation system. The Reversal Dot functionality identifies potential reversal points through Wave Trend Oscillator analysis, displaying visual indicators when crossover conditions occur at extreme levels. These reversal indicators provide early warning signals for potential trend changes before they appear in the primary signal system.
The Dynamic Take Profit Labels feature automatically identifies optimal profit-taking opportunities through RSI threshold analysis, marking potential exit points at multiple levels for long positions and corresponding levels for short positions. This automated profit management system helps traders optimize exit timing without requiring constant manual monitoring of technical indicators.
Advanced Alert System
The comprehensive alert system accommodates all operational modes while providing granular notification control for various signal types and risk management events. Traders can configure separate alerts for normal buy signals, strong buy signals, normal sell signals, strong sell signals, stop loss triggers, and individual take profit target achievements.
Cloud crossover alerts notify traders when trend direction changes occur, providing early indication of potential strategy adjustments. The alert system includes detailed trade setup information, timeframe data, and relevant entry and exit levels, ensuring traders receive complete context for informed decision-making without requiring constant chart monitoring.
Technical Foundation Architecture
The Fresh Algo V24 combines multiple proven technical analysis components including Wave Trend Oscillator for momentum assessment, Supertrend for directional bias determination, Squeeze Momentum for volatility analysis, and various exponential moving averages for trend confirmation. Each component contributes specific market insights while the unified system provides comprehensive market evaluation through their mathematical integration.
The multi-component approach reduces dependency on individual indicator limitations while leveraging the analytical strengths of each technical tool. This creates a robust analytical framework capable of adapting to diverse market conditions through appropriate mode selection and parameter optimization, ensuring consistent performance across varying market environments.
Market State Classification
The indicator incorporates advanced market state classification through ADX analysis, distinguishing between trending, ranging, and transitional market conditions. This classification system automatically adjusts signal sensitivity and filtering parameters based on current market characteristics, optimizing performance for prevailing conditions rather than applying static analytical approaches.
The volatility measurement system calculates current market activity levels as percentages, providing quantitative assessment of market energy and helping traders select appropriate operational modes. Institutional activity detection through volume analysis ensures signal generation aligns with professional market participation patterns.
Implementation Strategy Considerations
Successful implementation requires careful matching of operational modes to prevailing market conditions and individual trading objectives. Trending modes demonstrate optimal performance during directional markets with sustained momentum characteristics, while contrarian modes excel during range-bound or overextended market conditions where reversal probability increases.
The cloud filter configurations provide varying degrees of confirmation strength, with smoother settings reducing false signal occurrence at the expense of some responsiveness to price changes. Traders must balance signal quality against signal frequency based on their risk tolerance and available trading time, utilizing the comprehensive customization options to optimize performance for their specific requirements.
Multi-Timeframe Integration
The system provides seamless multi-timeframe analysis through the integrated dashboard, displaying trend alignment across multiple time horizons from five-minute through four-hour periods. This analysis helps traders understand broader market context and avoid conflicts between different temporal perspectives that could compromise trade outcomes.
Session analysis identifies current trading session characteristics, providing context for expected market behavior patterns and helping traders adjust their approach based on typical session volatility and participation levels. This geographic market awareness enhances strategic decision-making and improves timing for trade execution.
Advanced Visualization Features
The indicator includes sophisticated visualization capabilities through gradient candle coloring based on MACD analysis, providing immediate visual feedback on momentum strength and direction. This enhancement allows rapid market assessment without requiring detailed indicator analysis, improving efficiency for traders managing multiple instruments simultaneously.
The cloud visualization system uses color-coded fill areas to clearly indicate trend direction and strength, with automatic adaptation to selected operational modes. This visual clarity reduces analytical complexity while maintaining comprehensive market information display through professional chart presentation.
Performance Optimization Framework
The Fresh Algo V24 incorporates performance optimization features including signal strength classification, automatic parameter adjustment based on market conditions, and dynamic filtering that adapts to current volatility levels. These optimizations ensure consistent performance across varying market environments while maintaining signal quality standards.
The system automatically adjusts sensitivity levels based on selected operational modes, ensuring appropriate responsiveness for different trading approaches. This adaptive framework reduces the need for manual parameter adjustments while maintaining optimal performance characteristics for each operational configuration.
Conclusion
The Mutanabby_AI Fresh Algo V24 represents a comprehensive solution for professional trading analysis, combining multiple analytical approaches with advanced visualization and risk management capabilities. The system's strength lies in its adaptive multi-mode design and sophisticated filtering mechanisms, providing traders with versatile tools for various market conditions and trading styles.
Success with this system requires understanding the relationship between different operational modes and their optimal application scenarios. The comprehensive dashboard and alert system provide essential market context and trade management support, enabling systematic approach to market analysis while maintaining flexibility for individual trading preferences.
The indicator's sophisticated architecture and extensive customization options make it suitable for traders at all experience levels, from those seeking systematic signal generation to advanced practitioners requiring comprehensive market analysis tools. The multi-timeframe integration and adaptive filtering ensure consistent performance across diverse market conditions while providing clear guidelines for strategic implementation.
Canuck Trading Traders Strategy [Candle Entropy Edition]Canuck Trading Traders Strategy: A Unique Entropy-Based Day Trading System for Volatile Stocks
Overview
The Canuck Trading Traders Strategy is a custom, entropy-driven day trading system designed for high-volatility stocks like TSLA on short timeframes (e.g., 15m). At its core is CETP-Plus, a proprietary blended indicator that measures "order from chaos" in candle patterns using Shannon entropy, while embedding mathematical principles from EMA (recent weighting), RSI (momentum bias), ATR (volatility scaling), and ADX (trend strength) into a single score. This unique approach avoids layering multiple indicators, reducing complexity while improving timing for early trend detection and balanced long/short trades.
CETP-Plus calculates a score from weighted candle ratios (body, upper/lower wicks) binned into a 3D histogram for entropy (low entropy = strong pattern). The score is adjusted with momentum, volatility, and trend multipliers for robust signals. Entries occur when the score exceeds thresholds (positive for longs, negative for shorts), with exits on reversals or stops. The strategy is automatic—no manual bias needed—and optimized for margin accounts with equal long/short treatment.
Backtested on TSLA 15m (Jan 2015–Aug 2025), it targets +50,000% net profit (beating +1,478% buy-hold by 34x) with ~25,000 trades, 85-90% win rate, and <10% drawdown (with costs). Results vary by timeframe/period—test with your data and add slippage/commission for realism. Disclaimer: Past performance isn't indicative of future results; consult a financial advisor.
Key Features
CETP-Plus Indicator: Blends entropy with momentum/vol/trend for a single score, capturing bottoms/squeezes and trends without external tools.
Automatic Balance: Positive scores trigger longs in bull trends, negative scores trigger shorts in bear trends—no user input for direction.
Customizable Math: Tune weights and scales to adapt for different stocks (e.g., lower thresholds for NVDA's smoother trends).
Risk Controls: Stop-loss, trailing stops, and score strength filter to minimize drawdowns in volatile markets like TSLA.
Exit Debugging: Plots exit reasons ("Stop Loss", "Trail Stop", "CETP Exit") for analysis.
Input Settings and Purposes
All inputs are grouped in TradingView's Inputs tab for ease. Defaults are optimized for TSLA 15m day trading; adjust for other intervals or tickers (e.g., increase window for 1h, lower thresholds for NVDA).
CETP-Plus Settings
CETP Window (default: 5, min: 3, max: 20): Lookback bars for entropy/momentum. Short values (3-5) for fast sensitivity on short frames; longer (8-10) for stability on hourly+.
CETP Bins per Dimension (default: 3, min: 3, max: 10): Histogram granularity for entropy. Low (3) for speed/simple patterns; high (5+) for detail in complex markets.
Long Threshold (default: 0.15, min: 0.1, max: 0.8, step: 0.05): CETP score for long entries. Lower (0.1) for more longs in mild bull trends; higher (0.2) to filter noise.
Short Threshold (default: -0.05, min: -0.8, max: -0.1, step: 0.05): CETP score for short entries. Less negative (-0.05) for more shorts in mild bear trends; more negative (-0.2) for strong signals.
CETP Momentum Weight (default: 0.8, min: 0.1, max: 1.0, step: 0.1): Emphasizes momentum in score. High (0.9) for aggressive in fast moves; low (0.5) for entropy focus.
Momentum Scale (default: 1.6, min: 0.1, max: 2.0, step: 0.1): Amplifies momentum. High (2.0) for short intervals; low (1.0) for stability.
Body Ratio Weight (default: 1.2, min: 0.0, max: 2.0, step: 0.1): Weights candle body in entropy (trend focus). High (1.5) for strong trends; low (0.8) for wick emphasis.
Upper Wick Ratio Weight (default: 0.8, min: 0.0, max: 2.0, step: 0.1): Weights upper wick (reversal noise). Low (0.5) to reduce false ups.
Lower Wick Ratio Weight (default: 0.8, min: 0.0, max: 2.0, step=0.1): Weights lower wick. Low (0.5) to reduce false downs.
Trade Settings
Confirmation Bars (default: 0, min: 0, max: 5): Bars for sustained CETP signals. 0 for immediate entries (more trades); 1-2 for reliability (fewer but stronger).
Min CETP Score Strength (default: 0.04, min: 0.0, max: 0.5, step: 0.05): Min absolute score for entry. Low (0.04) for more trades; high (0.15) for quality.
Risk Management
Stop Loss (%) (default: 0.5, min: 0.1, max: 5.0, step: 0.1): % from entry for stop. Tight (0.4) for quick exits; wide (0.8) for trends.
ATR Multiplier (default: 1.5, min: 0.5, max: 3.0, step: 0.1): Scales ATR for stops/trails. Low (1.0) for tight; high (2.0) for room.
Trailing ATR Mult (default: 3.5, min: 0.5, max: 5.0, step: 0.1): ATR mult for trails. High (4.0) for longer holds; low (2.0) for profits.
Trail Start Offset (%) (default: 1.0, min: 0.5, max: 2.0, step: 0.1): % profit before trailing. Low (0.8) for early lock-in; high (1.5) for bigger moves.
These settings enable customization for intervals/tickers while CETP-Plus handles automatic balancing.
Risk Disclosure
Trading involves significant risk and may result in losses exceeding your initial capital. The Canuck Trading Trader Strategy is provided for educational and informational purposes only. Users are responsible for their own trading decisions and should conduct thorough testing before using in live markets. The strategy’s high trade frequency requires reliable execution infrastructure to minimize slippage and latency.
ai quant oculusAI QUANT OCULUS
Version 1.0 | Pine Script v6
Purpose & Innovation
AI QUANT OCULUS integrates four distinct technical concepts—exponential trend filtering, adaptive smoothing, momentum oscillation, and Gaussian smoothing—into a single, cohesive system that delivers clear, objective buy and sell signals along with automatically plotted stop-loss and three profit-target levels. This mash-up goes beyond a simple EMA crossover or standalone TRIX oscillator by requiring confluence across trend, adaptive moving averages, momentum direction, and smoothed price action, reducing false triggers and focusing on high‐probability turning points.
How It Works & Why Its Components Matter
Trend Filter: EMA vs. Adaptive MA
EMA (20) measures the prevailing trend with fixed sensitivity.
Adaptive MA (also EMA-based, length 10) approximates a faster-responding moving average, standing in for a KAMA-style filter.
Bullish bias requires AMA > EMA; bearish bias requires AMA < EMA. This ensures signals align with both the underlying trend and a more nimble view of recent price action.
Momentum Confirmation: TRIX
Calculates a triple-smoothed EMA of price over TRIX Length (15), then converts it to a percentage rate-of-change oscillator.
Positive TRIX reinforces bullish entries; negative TRIX reinforces bearish entries. Using TRIX helps filter whipsaws by focusing on sustained momentum shifts.
Gaussian Price Smoother
Applies two back-to-back 5-period EMAs to the price (“gaussian” smoothing) to remove short-term noise.
Price above the smoothed line confirms strength for longs; below confirms weakness for shorts. This layer avoids entries on erratic spikes.
Confluence Signals
Buy Signal (isBull) fires only when:
AMA > EMA (trend alignment)
TRIX > 0 (momentum support)
Close > Gaussian (price strength)
Sell Signal (isBear) fires under the inverse conditions.
Requiring all three conditions simultaneously sharply reduces false triggers common to single-indicator systems.
Automatic Risk & Reward Plotting
On each new buy or sell signal (edge detection via not isBull or not isBear ), the script:
Stores entryPrice at the signal bar’s close.
Draws a stop-loss line at entry minus ATR(14) × Stop Multiplier (1.5) by default.
Plots three profit-target lines at entry plus ATR × Target Multiplier (1×, 1.5×, and 2×).
All previous labels and lines are deleted on each new signal, keeping the chart uncluttered and focusing only on the current trade.
Inputs & Customization
Input Description Default
EMA Length Period for the main trend EMA 20
Adaptive MA Length Period for the faster adaptive EM A substitute 10
TRIX Length Period for the triple-smoothed momentum oscillator 15
Dominant Cycle Length (Reserved) 40
Stop Multiplier ATR multiple for stop-loss distance 1.5
Target Multiplier ATR multiple for first profit target 1.5
Show Buy/Sell Signals Toggle on-chart labels for entry signals On
How to Use
Apply to Chart: Best on 15 m–1 h timeframes for swing entries or 5 m for agile scalps.
Wait for Full Confluence:
Look for the AMA to cross above/below the EMA and verify TRIX and Gaussian conditions on the same bar.
A bright “LONG” or “SHORT” label marks your entry.
Manage the Trade:
Place your stop where the red or green SL line appears.
Scale or exit at the three yellow TP1/TP2/TP3 lines, automatically drawn by volatility.
Repeat Cleanly: Each new signal clears prior annotations, ensuring you only track the active setup.
Why This Script Stands Out
Multi-Layer Confluence: Trend, momentum, and noise-reduction must all align, addressing the weaknesses of single-indicator strategies.
Automated Trade Management: No manual plotting—stop and target lines appear seamlessly with each signal.
Transparent & Customizable: All logic is open, adjustable, and clearly documented, allowing traders to tweak lengths and multipliers to suit different instruments.
Disclaimer
No indicator guarantees profit. Always backtest AI QUANT OCULUS extensively, combine its signals with your own analysis and risk controls, and practice sound money management before trading live.
Options Strategy V2.0📈 Options Strategy V2.0 – Intraday Reversal-Resilient Momentum System
Overview:
This strategy is designed specifically for intraday SPY, TSLA, MSFT, etc. options trading (0DTE or 1DTE), using high-probability signals derived from a confluence of technical indicators: EMA crossovers, RSI thresholds, ATR-based risk control, and volume spikes. The strategy aims to capture strong directional moves while avoiding overtrading, thanks to a built-in cooldown logic and optional time/session filters.
⚙️ Core Concept
The strategy executes trades only in the direction of the prevailing trend, determined by short- and long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). Entry signals are generated when the Relative Strength Index (RSI) confirms momentum in the direction of the trend, and volume spikes suggest institutional activity.
To increase adaptability and user control, it includes a highly customizable parameter set for both long and short entries independently.
📌 Key Features
✅ Trend-Following Logic
Long entries are only allowed when EMA(short) > EMA(long)
Short entries are only allowed when EMA(short) < EMA(long)
✅ RSI Confirmation
Long: Requires RSI crossover above a configurable threshold
Short: Requires RSI crossunder below a configurable threshold
Optional rejection filters: Entry blocked above/below specific RSI extremes
✅ Volume Spike Filter
Confirms institutional participation by comparing current volume to an average multiplied by a user-defined factor.
✅ ATR-Based Risk Management
Both Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) are dynamically calculated using ATR × a multiplier.
TP/SL ratio is fully configurable.
✅ Cooldown Control
After every trade, the system waits for a set number of bars before allowing new entries.
This prevents overtrading and increases signal quality.
Optionally, cooldown is ignored for reversal trades, ensuring the system can react immediately to a confirmed trend change.
✅ Candle Body Filter (Noise Control)
Avoids trades on candles with too small bodies relative to wicks (often noise or indecision candles).
✅ VWAP Confirmation (Optional)
Ensures price is trading above VWAP for long entries, or below for short entries.
✅ Time & Session Filters
Trades only during regular market hours (09:30–16:00 EST).
No-trade zone (e.g., 14:15–15:45 EST) to avoid low-liquidity traps or late-day whipsaws.
✅ End-of-Day Auto Close
All open positions are force-closed at 15:55 EST, protecting against overnight risk (especially relevant for 0DTE options).
📊 Visual Aids
EMA plots show trend direction
VWAP line provides real-time mean-reversion context
Stop Loss and Take Profit lines appear dynamically with each trade
Alerts notify of entry signals and exit triggers
🔧 Customization Panel
Nearly every element of the strategy can be tailored:
EMA lengths (short and long, for both sides)
RSI thresholds and length
ATR length, SL multiplier, and TP/SL ratio
Volume spike sensitivity
Minimum EMA distance filter
Candle body ratio filter
Session restrictions
Cooldown logic (duration + reversal exception)
This makes the strategy extremely versatile, allowing both conservative and aggressive configurations depending on the trader’s profile and the market context.
📌 Example Use Case: SPY Options (0DTE or 1DTE)
This system was designed and tested specifically for SPY and other intraday options trading, where:
Delta is around 0.50 or higher
Trades are short-lived (often 1–5 candles)
You aim to trade 1–3 signals per day, filtering out weak entries
🚫 Important Notes
It is not a scalping strategy; it relies on confirmed breakouts with trend support
No pyramiding or re-entries without cooldown to preserve risk integrity
Should be used with real-time alerts and manual broker execution
📈 Alerts Included
📈 Long Entry Signal
📉 Short Entry Signal
⚠️ Auto-closed all positions at 15:55 EST
✅ Proven Settings – Real Trades + Backtest Results
The current version of the strategy includes the optimal settings I’ve arrived at through extensive backtesting, as well as 3 months of real trading with consistent profitability. These results reflect real-world execution under live market conditions using 0DTE SPY options, with disciplined trade management and risk control.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Options Strategy V2.0 is a robust, highly tunable intraday strategy that blends momentum, trend-following, and volume confirmation. It is ideal for disciplined traders focused on SPY or other 0DTE/1DTE options, and it includes guardrails to reduce false signals and improve execution timing.
Perfect for those who seek precision, flexibility, and risk-defined setups—not blind automation.
RISK MANAGEMENT CALCULATOR V3📊 RISK MANAGEMENT CALCULATOR – Lot Size, Profit & R:R Tool
This script is designed to help traders instantly calculate lot size, expected profit, and risk/reward ratio based on their trade plan.
✅ Features:
Input your Risk Amount ($), Entry, Stop Loss, and up to 3 Take Profits
Calculates:
✅ Lot Size based on risk
✅ Split profits per TP level (equally weighted)
✅ Total Profit & Risk/Reward (R:R)
Displays everything in a clean bottom-right table
Optimized for both:
🖥️ Desktop mode (larger layout)
📱 Mobile mode (toggle compact view)
💡 How to Use:
Enter your planned Entry, Stop Loss, and Risk Amount
Set any TP1, TP2, or TP3 prices (set TP to 0 if not used)
The system will auto-compute your ideal lot size and show estimated profits
🔧 Parameters:
Risk Amount ($) – how much you’re willing to lose
Entry Price – your trade entry
Stop Loss Price – your SL level
Take Profit 1/2/3 – optional TP targets
Pip Value – profit/loss per point for 1 standard lot
📱 Mobile Mode – compact the table for small screens
🔐 Notes:
No trades are executed – this is a risk planning tool only
Designed for all markets (forex, gold, indices, crypto)
TP profits are equally split (e.g. 2 TP = 50% / 50%)
RISK MANAGEMENT CALCULATOR📊 RISK MANAGEMENT CALCULATOR – Lot Size, Profit & R:R Tool
This script is designed to help traders instantly calculate lot size, expected profit, and risk/reward ratio based on their trade plan.
✅ Features:
Input your Risk Amount ($), Entry, Stop Loss, and up to 3 Take Profits
Calculates:
✅ Lot Size based on risk
✅ Split profits per TP level (equally weighted)
✅ Total Profit & Risk/Reward (R:R)
Displays everything in a clean bottom-right table
Optimized for both:
🖥️ Desktop mode (larger layout)
📱 Mobile mode (toggle compact view)
💡 How to Use:
Enter your planned Entry, Stop Loss, and Risk Amount
Set any TP1, TP2, or TP3 prices (set TP to 0 if not used)
The system will auto-compute your ideal lot size and show estimated profits
🔧 Parameters:
Risk Amount ($) – how much you’re willing to lose
Entry Price – your trade entry
Stop Loss Price – your SL level
Take Profit 1/2/3 – optional TP targets
Pip Value – profit/loss per point for 1 standard lot
📱 Mobile Mode – compact the table for small screens
🔐 Notes:
No trades are executed – this is a risk planning tool only
Designed for all markets (forex, gold, indices, crypto)
TP profits are equally split (e.g. 2 TP = 50% / 50%)
Modular Range-Trading Strategy (V9.2)# 模块化震荡行情策略 (V9.2)
# Modular Range-Trading Strategy (V9.2)
## 策略简介 | Strategy Overview
该策略基于布林带 (Bollinger Bands)、RSI、MACD、ADX 等经典指标的组合，通过多逻辑模块化结构识别震荡区间的价格反转机会，支持多空双向操作，并在相同逻辑下允许智能加仓，适用于震荡市场的回测和研究。
This strategy combines classic indicators such as Bollinger Bands, RSI, MACD, and ADX to identify price reversal opportunities within ranging markets. It features a modular multi-logic structure, allowing both long and short trades with intelligent pyramiding under the same logic. It is designed for backtesting and research in range-bound conditions.
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## 功能特点 | Key Features
- **多逻辑结构**：支持多套震荡逻辑（动能确认均值回归、布林带极限反转等）。
- **加仓与仓位互斥**：同逻辑下可智能加仓，不同逻辑间自动互斥，避免冲突。
- **回测可调时间范围**：可自定义回测起止时间，精准评估策略表现。
- **指标可视化**：布林带、RSI、MACD 及动态 ATR 止损线实时绘图。
- **K线收盘确认信号**：通过 `barstate.isconfirmed` 控制信号，避免未收盘的虚假信号。
- **Multi-logic structure**: Supports multiple range-trading logics (e.g., momentum-based mean reversion, Bollinger Band reversals).
- **Pyramiding with mutual exclusion**: Allows intelligent pyramiding within the same logic while preventing conflicts between different logics.
- **Adjustable backtesting range**: Customizable start and end dates for accurate performance evaluation.
- **Visual indicators**: Real-time plotting of Bollinger Bands, RSI, MACD, and dynamic ATR stop lines.
- **Close-bar confirmation**: Uses `barstate.isconfirmed` to avoid false signals before bar close.
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## 使用说明 | Usage
1. 将该脚本添加到 TradingView 图表。
2. 在参数中设置回测时间段和指标参数。
3. 仅用于学习与策略研究，请勿直接用于实盘交易。
1. Add this script to your TradingView chart.
2. Configure backtesting dates and indicator parameters as needed.
3. For educational and research purposes only. **Not for live trading.**
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## ⚠️ 免责声明 | Disclaimer
本策略仅供学习和研究使用，不构成任何形式的投资建议。
作者不参与任何实盘交易、资金管理或收益分成，也不保证策略盈利能力。
严禁将本脚本用于任何非法集资、私募募资或与虚拟货币相关的金融违法活动。
使用本策略即表示您自行承担所有风险与法律责任。
This strategy is for educational and research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
The author does not participate in live trading, asset management, or profit sharing, nor guarantee profitability.
The use of this script in illegal fundraising, private placements, or cryptocurrency-related financial activities is strictly prohibited.
By using this strategy, you accept all risks and legal responsibilities.
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AI's Opinion Trading System V21. Complete Summary of the Indicator Script
AI’s Opinion Trading System V2 is an advanced, multi-factor trading tool designed for the TradingView platform. It combines several technical indicators (moving averages, RSI, MACD, ADX, ATR, and volume analysis) to generate buy, sell, and hold signals. The script features a customizable AI “consensus” engine that weighs multiple indicator signals, applies user-defined filters, and outputs actionable trade instructions with clear stop loss and take profit levels. The indicator also tracks sentiment, volume delta, and allows for advanced features like pyramiding (adding to positions), custom stop loss/take profit prices, and flexible signal confirmation logic. All key data and signals are displayed in a dynamic, color-coded table on the chart for easy review.
2. Full Explanation of the Table
The table is a real-time dashboard summarizing the indicator’s logic and recommendations for the most recent bars. It is color-coded for clarity and designed to help traders quickly understand market conditions and AI-driven trade signals.
Columns (from left to right):
Column Name What it Shows
Bar The time context: “Now” for the current bar, then “Bar -1”, “Bar -2”, etc. for previous bars.
Raw Consensus The raw AI consensus for each bar: “Buy”, “Sell”, or “-” (neutral).
Up Vol The amount of volume on up (rising) bars.
Down Vol The amount of volume on down (falling) bars.
Delta The difference between up and down volume. Green if positive, red if negative, gray if neutral.
Close The closing price for each bar, color-coded by price change.
Sentiment Diff The difference between the close and average sentiment price (a custom sentiment calculation).
Lookback The number of bars used for sentiment calculation (if enabled).
ADX The ADX value (trend strength).
ATR The ATR value (volatility measure).
Vol>Avg “Yes” (green) if volume is above average, “No” (red) otherwise.
Confirm Whether the AI signal is confirmed over the required bars.
Logic Output The AI’s interpreted signal after applying user-selected logic: “Buy”, “Sell”, or “-”.
Final Action The final signal after all filters: “Buy”, “Sell”, or “-”.
Trade Instruction A plain-English instruction: Buy/Sell/Add/Hold/No Action, with price, stop loss, and take profit.
Color Coding:
Green: Positive/bullish values or signals
Red: Negative/bearish values or signals
Gray: Neutral or inactive
Blue background: For all table cells, for visual clarity
White text: Default, except for color-coded cells
3. Full User Instructions for Every Input/Style Option
Below are plain-language instructions for every user-adjustable option in the indicator’s input and style pages:
Inputs
Table Location
What it does: Sets where the summary table appears on your chart.
How to use: Choose from 9 positions (Top Left, Top Center, Top Right, etc.) to avoid overlapping with other chart elements.
Decimal Places
What it does: Controls how many decimal places prices and values are displayed with.
How to use: Increase for assets with very small prices (e.g., SHIB), decrease for stocks or forex.
Show Sentiment Lookback?
What it does: Shows or hides the “Lookback” column in the table, which displays how many bars are used in the sentiment calculation.
How to use: Turn off if you want a simpler table.
AI View Mode
What it does: Selects the logic for how the AI combines signals from different indicators.
Majority: Follows the most common signal among all indicators.
Weighted: Uses custom weights for each type of signal.
Custom: Lets you define your own logic (see below).
How to use: Pick the logic style that matches your trading philosophy.
AI Consensus Weight / Vol Delta Weight / Sentiment Weight
What they do: When using “Weighted” AI View Mode, these let you set how much influence each factor (indicator consensus, volume delta, sentiment) has on the final signal.
How to use: Increase a weight to make that factor more important in the AI’s decision.
Custom AI View Logic
What it does: Lets advanced users write their own logic for when the AI should signal a trade (e.g., “ai==1 and delta>0 and sentiment>0”).
How to use: Only use if you understand basic boolean logic.
Use Custom Stop Loss/Take Profit Prices?
What it does: If enabled, you can enter your own fixed stop loss and take profit prices for buys and sells.
How to use: Turn on to override the auto-calculated SL/TP and enter your desired prices below.
Custom Buy/Sell Stop Loss/Take Profit Price
What they do: If custom SL/TP is enabled, these fields let you set exact prices for stop loss and take profit on both buy and sell trades.
How to use: Enter your preferred price, or leave at 0 for auto-calculation.
Sentiment Lookback
What it does: Sets how many bars the sentiment calculation should look back.
How to use: Increase to smooth out sentiment, decrease for faster reaction.
Max Pyramid Adds
What it does: Limits how many times you can add to an existing position (pyramiding).
How to use: Set to 1 for no adds, higher for more aggressive scaling in trends.
Signal Preset
What it does: Quick-sets a group of signal parameters (see below) for “Robust”, “Standard”, “Freedom”, or “Custom”.
How to use: Pick a preset, or select “Custom” to adjust everything manually.
Min Bars for Signal Confirmation
What it does: Sets how many bars a signal must persist before it’s considered valid.
How to use: Increase for more robust, less frequent signals; decrease for faster, but possibly less reliable, signals.
ADX Length
What it does: Sets the period for the ADX (trend strength) calculation.
How to use: Longer = smoother, shorter = more sensitive.
ADX Trend Threshold
What it does: Sets the minimum ADX value to consider a trend “strong.”
How to use: Raise for stricter trend confirmation, lower for more trades.
ATR Length
What it does: Sets the period for the ATR (volatility) calculation.
How to use: Longer = smoother volatility, shorter = more reactive.
Volume Confirmation Lookback
What it does: Sets how many bars are used to calculate the average volume.
How to use: Longer = more stable volume baseline, shorter = more sensitive.
Volume Confirmation Multiplier
What it does: Sets how much current volume must exceed average volume to be considered “high.”
How to use: Increase for stricter volume filter.
RSI Flat Min / RSI Flat Max
What they do: Define the RSI range considered “flat” (i.e., not trending).
How to use: Widen to be stricter about requiring a trend, narrow for more trades.
Style Page
Most style settings (such as plot colors, label sizes, and shapes) are preset in the script for visual clarity.
You can adjust plot visibility and colors (for signals, stop loss, take profit) in the TradingView “Style” tab as with any indicator.
Buy Signal: Shows as a green triangle below the bar when a buy is triggered.
Sell Signal: Shows as a red triangle above the bar when a sell is triggered.
Stop Loss/Take Profit Lines: Red and green lines for SL/TP, visible when a trade is active.
SL/TP Labels: Small colored markers at the SL/TP levels for each trade.
How to use:
Toggle visibility or change colors in the Style tab if you wish to match your chart theme or preferences.
In Summary
This indicator is highly customizable—you can tune every aspect of the AI logic, risk management, signal filtering, and table display to suit your trading style.
The table gives you a real-time, comprehensive view of all relevant signals, filters, and trade instructions.
All inputs are designed to be intuitive—hover over them in TradingView for tooltips, or refer to the explanations above for details.
200 SMA (5%/-3% Buffer) for SPY & QQQ In my testing TQQQ is an absolute monster of an ETF that performs extremely well even from a buy and hold standpoint over long periods of time, its largest drawback is the massive drawdown exposure that it faces which can be easily sidestepped with this strategy.
This strategy is meant to basically abuse TQQQ's insane outperformance while augmenting the typical 200SMA strategy in a way that uses all of its strengths while avoiding getting whipsawed in sideways markets.
The strategy BUYS when price crosses 5% over the 200SMA and then SELLS when price drops 3% below the 200SMA. Between trades I'll be parking my entire account in SGOV.
So maximizing profit while minimizing risk.
You use the strategy based off of QQQ and then make the trades on TQQQ when it tells you to BUY/SELL.
Here are some reasons why I will be using this strategy:
Simple emotionless BUY and SELL signals where I don't care who the president is, what is happening in the world, who is bombing who, who the leadership team is, no attachment to individual companies and diversified across the NASDAQ.
~85% win percentage and when it does lose the loses are nothing compared to the wins and after a loss you're basically set up for a massive win in the next trade.
Max drawdown of around 53% when using TQQQ
You benefit massively when the market is doing well and when there is a recession you basically sit in SGOV for a year and then are set up for a monster recovery with a clear easy BUY signal. So as long as you're patient you win regardless of what happens.
The trades are often very long term resulting in you taking advantage of Long Term Capital Gains tax advantage which could mean saving up to 15-20% in taxes.
With only a few trades you can spend time doing other stuff and don't have to track or pay attention to anything that is happening.
Simple, easy, and massively profitable.
Refined MA + Engulfing (M5 + Confirmed Structure Break)I would like to start by saying that this strategy was put together using ChatGPT, some past trades from myself and some backtested trades, and from my time as a student in Wallstreet Academy under Cue Banks.
I am not profitable yet. I am too jumpy and blow accounts. I'm hoping this strategy (and it's indicator twin) can help me spend less time on the charts, so that I'm not tempted to press buttons as much.
It does fire quite a bit. But, the Strategy Tester tab shows a 30% win rate with our wins being significant to our losses. So, in theory, if you followed the rules of this strategy STRICTLY, you COULD BE profitable.
With that being said, there are times that this strategy has shown to trigger and I ask, "Why?".
I just want to help myself and others, and maybe make some decent\cool stuff along the way. Enjoy
KR
