Renko WPR Color ChangerChanges color when williams percent R is between 0 and -20 or when between -80 and -100. Works with renko, HA and regular candles. Can change color.
Search in scripts for "股价在8元左右净利润为正市值小于80亿的热门股票有哪些"
Guitar Hero [theUltimator5]The Guitar Hero indicator transforms traditional oscillator signals into a visually engaging, game-like display reminiscent of the popular Guitar Hero video game. Instead of standard line plots, this indicator presents oscillator values as colored segments or blocks, making it easier to quickly identify market conditions at a glance.
Choose from 8 different technical oscillators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Stochastic %K
Stochastic %D
Williams %R
CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
MFI (Money Flow Index)
TSI (True Strength Index)
Ultimate Oscillator
Visual Display Modes
1) Boxes Mode : Creates distinct rectangular boxes for each bar, providing a clean, segmented appearance. (default)
This visual display is limited by the amount of box plots that TradingView allows on each indictor, so it will only plot a limited history. If you want to view a similar visual display that has minor breaks between boxes, then use the fill mode.
2) Fill Mode : Uses filled areas between plot boundaries.
Use this mode when you want to view the plots further back in history without the strict drawing limitations.
Five-Level Color-Coded System
The indicator normalizes all oscillator values to a 0-100 scale and categorizes them into five distinct levels:
Level 1 (Red): Very Oversold (0-19)
Level 2 (Orange): Oversold (20-29)
Level 3 (Yellow): Neutral (30-70)
Level 4 (Aqua): Overbought (71-80)
Level 5 (Lime): Very Overbought (81-100)
Customization Options
Signal Parameters
Signal Length: Primary period for oscillator calculation (default: 14)
Signal Length 2: Secondary period for Stochastic %D and TSI (default: 3)
Signal Length 3: Tertiary period for TSI calculation (default: 25)
Display Controls
Show Horizontal Reference Lines: Toggle grid lines for better level identification
Show Information Table: Display current signal type, value, and normalized value
Table Position: Choose from 9 different screen positions for the info table
Display Mode: Switch between Boxes and Fills visualization
Max Bars to Display: Control how many historical bars to show (50-450 range)
Normalization Process
The indicator automatically normalizes different oscillator ranges to a consistent 0-100 scale:
Williams %R: Converts from -100/0 range to 0-100
CCI: Maps typical -300/+300 range to 0-100
TSI: Transforms -100/+100 range to 0-100
Other oscillators: Already use 0-100 scale (RSI, Stochastic, MFI, Ultimate Oscillator)
This was designed as an educational tool
The gamified approach makes learning about oscillators more engaging for new traders.
Six Meridian Divine Swords [theUltimator5]The Six Meridian Divine Sword is a legendary martial arts technique in the classic wuxia novel “Demi-Gods and Semi-Devils” (天龙八部) by Jin Yong (金庸). The technique uses powerful internal energy (qi) to shoot invisible sword-like energy beams from the six meridians of the hand. Each of the six fingers/meridians corresponds to a “sword,” giving six different sword energies.
The Six Meridian Divine Swords indicator is a compact “signal dashboard” that fuses six classic indicators (fingers)—MACD, KDJ, RSI, LWR (Williams %R), BBI, and MTM—into one pane. Each row is a traffic-light dot (green/bullish, red/bearish, gray/neutral). When all six align, the script draws a confirmation line (“All Bullish” or “All Bearish”). It’s designed for quick consensus reads across trend, momentum, and overbought/oversold conditions.
How to Read the Dashboard
The pane has 6 horizontal rows (explained in depth later):
MACD
KDJ
RSI
LWR (Larry Williams %R)
BBI (Bull & Bear Index)
MTM (Momentum)
Each tick in the row is a dot, with sentiment identified by a color.
Green = bullish condition met
Red = bearish condition met
Gray = inside a neutral band (filtering chop), shown when Use Neutral (Gray) Colors is ON
There are two lines that track the dots on the top or bottom of the pane.
All Bullish Signal Line: appears only if all 6 are strongly bullish (default color = white)
All Bearish Signal Line: appears only if all 6 are strongly bearish (default color = fuchsia)
The Six Meridians (Indicators) — What They Mean:
1) MACD — Trend & Momentum
What it is: A trend-following momentum indicator based on the relationship between two moving averages (typically 12-EMA and 26-EMA)
Logic used: Classic MACD line (EMA12−EMA26) vs its 9-EMA signal.
Bullish: MACD > Signal and |MACD−Signal| > Neutral Threshold
Bearish: MACD < Signal and |diff| > threshold
Neutral: |diff| ≤ threshold
Why: Small crosses can whipsaw. The neutral band ignores tiny separations to reduce noise.
Inputs: Fast/Slow/Signal lengths, Neutral Threshold.
2) KDJ — Stochastic with J-line boost
What it is: A variation of the stochastic oscillator popular in Chinese trading systems
Logic used: K = SMA(Stochastic, smooth), D = SMA(K, smooth), J = 3K − 2D.
Bullish: K > D and |K−D| > 2
Bearish: K < D and |K−D| > 2
Neutral: |K−D| ≤ 2
Why: K–D separation filters tiny wiggles; J offers an “extreme” early-warning context in the value label.
Inputs: Length, Smoothing.
3) RSI — Momentum balance (0–100)
What it is: A momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes (0–100)
Logic used: RSI(N).
Bullish: RSI > 50 + Neutral Zone
Bearish: RSI < 50 − Neutral Zone
Neutral: Between those bands
Why: Centerline/adaptive bands (around 50) give a directional bias without relying on fixed 70/30.
Inputs: Length, Neutral Zone (± around 50).
4) LWR (Williams %R) — Overbought/Oversold
What it is: An oscillator similar to stochastic, measuring how close the close is to the high-low range over N periods
Logic used: %R over N bars (0 to −100).
Bullish: %R > −50 + Neutral Zone
Bearish: %R < −50 − Neutral Zone
Neutral: Between those bands
Why: Uses a centered band around −50 instead of only −20/−80, making it act like a directional filter.
Inputs: Length, Neutral Zone (± around −50).
5) BBI (Bull & Bear Index) — Smoothed trend bias
What it is: A composite moving average, essentially the average of several different moving averages (often 3, 6, 12, 24 periods)
Logic used: Average of 4 SMAs (3/6/12/24 by default):
BBI = (MA3 + MA6 + MA12 + MA24) / 4
Bullish: Close > BBI and |Close−BBI| > 0.2% of BBI
Bearish: Close < BBI and |diff| > threshold
Neutral: |diff| ≤ threshold
Why: Multiple MAs blended together reduce single-MA whipsaw. A dynamic 0.2% band ignores tiny drift.
Inputs: 4 lengths (default 3/6/12/24). Threshold is auto-scaled at 0.2% of BBI.
6) MTM (Momentum) — Rate of change in price
What it is: A simple measure of rate of change
Logic used: MTM = Close − Close
Bullish: MTM > 0.5% of Close
Bearish: MTM < −0.5% of Close
Neutral: |MTM| ≤ threshold
Why: A percent-based gate adapts across prices (e.g., $5 vs $500) and mutes insignificant moves.
Inputs: Length. Threshold auto-scaled to 0.5% of current Close.
Display & Inputs You Can Tweak
🎨 Use Neutral (Gray) Colors
ON (default): 3-color mode with clear “no-trade”/“weak” states.
OFF: classic binary (green/red) without neutral filtering.
Capiba Custom RSI with Divergences v2
🇬🇧 English
Summary
This indicator is an enhanced and customizable version of the classic RSI, designed to provide clearer and more powerful trading signals. It combines an alternative, more price-sensitive RSI calculation with an automatic divergence detection, which is one of the most effective tools for predicting trend reversals and finding high-probability entry and exit points.
Built upon the compilation of knowledge and open-source codes from the community, this script has been refined to be an all-in-one tool for traders who base their strategies on momentum and trend exhaustion.
Key Features and How to Use
Ultimate RSI and Signal Line (Momentum)
What it is: The main indicator (white line) is an RSI variation that reacts more dynamically to changes in price volatility. It is accompanied by a signal line (orange, by default), which is a moving average of the RSI itself, serving to smooth the indicator and generate crossover signals.
How to use for Entries/Exits:
Buy Signal (Short-Term): Crossover of the RSI line (white) above the signal line (orange).
Sell Signal (Short-Term): Crossover of the RSI line (white) below the signal line (orange). These are momentum signals, ideal for confirming a trend or for scalping.
Automatic Divergence Detection (Reversal Signals) This is the most powerful feature of the indicator. A divergence occurs when the price moves in one direction and the momentum indicator moves in the opposite direction, signaling a likely exhaustion of the current trend.
Bullish Divergence (Green Line):
What it is: The price makes a lower low, but the RSI makes a higher low.
Meaning: Selling pressure is decreasing. It is a strong signal of a potential market bottom and an excellent entry opportunity for a long position.
Bearish Divergence (Red Line):
What it is: The price makes a higher high, but the RSI makes a lower high.
Meaning: Buying pressure is losing strength. It is a strong signal of a potential market top and an excellent exit opportunity for a long position or an entry for a short position.
Customizable Overbought & Oversold Levels
The horizontal lines (default 80 and 20) and the colored areas show when the asset is overextended to the upside (overbought) or downside (oversold), helping to contextualize the divergence and crossover signals.
Recommended Strategy
For maximum effectiveness, combine the signals:
High-Probability Entry (Buy): Look for a Bullish Divergence (green line) forming in the oversold zone. Confirm the entry when the RSI line crosses above its signal line.
High-Probability Exit (Sell): Look for a Bearish Divergence (red line) forming in the overbought zone. Confirm the exit or new short entry when the RSI line crosses below its signal line.
Acknowledgements
This indicator was developed by compiling and customizing excellent open-source ideas and codes shared by the TradingView community. Special thanks to everyone who contributes to the advancement of technical analysis.
Market Internal Strength (Nasdaq/S&P 500)### Summary
This indicator is a versatile tool designed to measure the "internal health" or "market breadth" of a major stock index. Instead of just looking at the index's price, it analyzes the percentage of its constituent stocks that are participating in the trend. Users can easily switch between the **Nasdaq 100** and the **S&P 500** directly from the settings.
The data is displayed as an oscillator (scaled 0-100), similar to the RSI, making it intuitive to identify broad market **Overbought** and **Oversold** conditions and spot potential **Divergences** against the index price.
---
### What does it measure?
The indicator plots three lines based on the selected index's market breadth data:
* **% > 20D MA (Blue Line):** The percentage of stocks trading above their 20-day moving average (short-term trend).
* **% > 50D MA (Orange Line):** The percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving average (medium-term trend).
* **% > 200D MA (Red Line):** The percentage of stocks trading above their 200-day moving average (long-term trend).
---
### How to Use and Interpret
**1. Overbought / Oversold Conditions:**
* **Approaching the Overbought Zone (Value > 80):** This indicates that a very high number of stocks are in an uptrend, suggesting the market may be overheated or in a state of "Greed." This can signal a potential pullback or consolidation ahead.
* **Approaching the Oversold Zone (Value < 20):** This indicates that a large number of stocks have been sold off heavily, suggesting the market may be in a state of "Extreme Fear." This could present an opportunity for a technical rebound.
**2. Trend Confirmation:**
* When an index (e.g., QQQ or SPY) is making new highs and the **% > 200D MA** line is also rising, it confirms that the uptrend is healthy and broadly supported by the majority of stocks.
**3. Divergence Signals:**
* **Bearish Divergence:** If the index price reaches a new high but the indicator (especially the 50D and 200D lines) forms a lower high, it's a warning sign. This suggests that fewer stocks are participating in the rally and the trend's foundation is weakening, which could precede a reversal.
* **Bullish Divergence:** Conversely, if the index price makes a new low but the indicator forms a higher low, it signals that selling pressure is exhausting. Fewer stocks are making new lows, which could be an early sign of a potential bottom and a reversal to the upside.
---
### Settings
* **Index:** Choose between the "Nasdaq 100" and "S&P 500" as your data source.
* **Timeframe:** Allows you to select the data's timeframe (Daily "D" is recommended as the minimum).
* **Overbought/Oversold Level:** Lets you customize the threshold for the OB/OS zones.
* **Line Visibility:** You can toggle the visibility of each of the three lines.
Nasdaq 100 Internal Strength### Summary
This indicator is designed to measure the "health" or "internal strength" of the Nasdaq 100 index. Instead of just looking at the index's price, it analyzes whether the majority of its constituent stocks are participating in the trend. The data is displayed as an oscillator (scaled 0-100), similar to the RSI, making it easy to identify broad market Overbought and Oversold conditions.
This tool is ideal for traders and investors who want a deeper perspective on market dynamics, helping to confirm trend strength or spot early warning signs of a potential reversal.
---
### What does it measure?
The indicator plots three lines based on the market breadth data for the Nasdaq 100 index:
* **% > 20D MA (Blue Line):** The percentage of Nasdaq 100 stocks trading above their 20-day moving average (short-term trend).
* **% > 50D MA (Orange Line):** The percentage of Nasdaq 100 stocks trading above their 50-day moving average (medium-term trend).
* **% > 200D MA (Red Line):** The percentage of Nasdaq 100 stocks trading above their 200-day moving average (long-term trend).
---
### How to Use and Interpret
**Overbought / Oversold Conditions:**
* **Approaching the Overbought Zone (Value > 80):** This indicates that a very high number of stocks are in an uptrend, suggesting the market may be overheated or in a state of "Greed." This can signal a potential pullback or consolidation ahead.
* **Approaching the Oversold Zone (Value < 20):** This indicates that a large number of stocks have been sold off heavily, suggesting the market may be in a state of "Extreme Fear." This could present an opportunity for a technical rebound.
**Trend Confirmation:**
* When the index (e.g., QQQ) is making new highs, and the `% > 200D MA` line is also rising and making new highs, it confirms that the uptrend is healthy and broadly supported by the majority of stocks.
**Divergence Signals:**
* **Bearish Divergence:** If the index price reaches a new high, but the indicator (especially the 50D and 200D lines) fails to reach a new high and forms a lower high instead, it's a warning sign. This suggests that fewer stocks are participating in the rally, and the trend's foundation is weakening, which could precede a reversal.
* **Bullish Divergence:** Conversely, if the index price makes a new low, but the indicator forms a higher low, it signals that selling pressure is exhausting. Fewer stocks are making new lows, which could be an early sign of a potential bottom and a reversal to the upside.
---
### Settings
* **Timeframe:** Allows you to select the data's timeframe (using the Daily "D" timeframe is recommended).
* **Overbought/Oversold Level:** Lets you customize the threshold for the OB/OS zones.
* **Show Lines:** You can toggle the visibility of each of the three lines.
Extended CANSLIM Indicator❖ Extended CANSLIM Indicator.
The Extended CANSLIM indicator is an indicator that concentrates all the tools usually used by CANSLIM traders.
It shows a table where all the stock fundamental information is shown at once first for the last quarter and then up to 5 years back.
The fundamental data is checked against well known CANSLIM validation criteria and is shown over 4 state levels.
1. Good = Value is CANSLIM Compliant.
2. Acceptable = Value is not CANSLIM compliant but still good. value is shown with a lighter background color.
3. Warning = Value deserves special attention. Value is shown over orange background color.
3. Stop = Value is non CANSLIM compliant or indicates a stop trading condition. Value is shown over red background color.
The indicator has also a set of technical tools calculated on price or index and shown directly on the chart.
❖ Fundamental data shown in the table.
The table is arranged in 4 sets of data:
1. Table Header, showing Indicator and Company data.
2. CANSLIM.
3. 3Rs: RS Rating, Revenue and ROE.
4. Extra Data: Piotroski score, ATR, Trend Days, D to E, Avg Vol and Vol today.
Sets 3 and 4 can be hidden from the table.
❖ Indicator and Compay Data.
The table header shows, Indicator name and version.
It then displays Company Name, sector and industry, human size and its capitalization.
❖ CANSLIM Data.
Displays either genuine CANSLIM data from TradinView or custom data as best effort when that data cannot be obtained in TV.
C = EPS diluted growth, Quarterly YoY.
>= 25% = Good, >= 0% = Acceptable, < 0% = Stop
A = EPS diluted growth, Annual YoY.
>= 25% = Good, >= 0% = Acceptable, < 0% = Stop
N = New High as best effort (Cust).
Always Good
S = Float shares as best effort.
Always Good
L = One year performance relative to S&P 500 (Cust),
Positive : 0% .. 50% = Neutral, 50%+ = Leader, 80%+ = Leader+, 100%+ = Leader++
Negative : 0% .. -10% = Laggard, -10% .. -30% = Laggard+, -30%+ = Laggard++
>= 50% = Good, >= 0% = Acceptable, >= -10% Warning, < -10% = Stop
I = Accumulation/Distribution days over last 25 days as a clue for institutional support (Cust).
A delta is calculated by subtracting Distribution to Accumulation days.
> 0 = Good, = 0 = Acceptable, < 0 = Warning, < -5 = Stop
M = Market direction and exposure measured on S&500 closing between averages (Cust).
Varies from 0% Full Bear to 100% Full Bull
>= 80% = Good, >= 60% = Acceptable, >= 40% = Warning, < 40% = Stop
❖ Extra non CANSLIM Data.
RS = RS Rating.
>= 90 = Good, >= 80 = Accept, >= 50 = Warning, < 50 = Stop
Rev. = Revenue Growth Quarterly YoY.
>= 0% = Good, <0% = Stop
ROE = Return on Equity, Quarterly YoY.
>= 17% = Good, >= 0% = Acceptable, < 0% = Stop
Piotr. = Piotroski Score, www.investopedia.com (TV)
>= 7 = Good, >= 4 = Acceptable, < 4 = Stop
ATR = Average True Range over the last 20 days (Cust).
0% - 2% = Acceptable, 2% - 4% = Ideal, 4% - 6% = Warning, 5%+ = Stop.
Trend Days = Days since EMA150 is over EMA200 (Cust).
Always Good
D. to E. = Days left before Earnings. Maybe not a good idea buying just before earnings (Cust).
>= 28 = Good, >= 21 = Acceptable, >= 14 = Warning, < 14 = Stop
Avg Vol. = 50d Average Volume (Cust).
>= 100K = Good, < 100K = Acceptable
Vol. Today = Today's percentage volume compared to 50d average (Cust).
Always Good.
❖ Historical Data.
Optionally selectable historical data can be displayed for C, A, Revenue and ROE up to 20 quarters if available.
Quarterly numbers can also be displayed for A, C and Revenue.
Information can be shown in Chronological or Reverse Chronological order (default).
Increasing growth quarters are shown in white, while diminuing ones are shown in Yellow.
Transition from Losing to Profitable quarters are shown with an exclamation mark ‘!’
Finally, losing quarters are shown between parenthesis.
❖ MAs on chart.
Displays 200, 100, 50 and 20 days MAs on chart.
The MAs are also automatically scaled in the 1W time frame.
❖ New 52 Week High on chart.
A sun is shown on the chart the first time that a new 52 week high is reached.
The N cell shows a filled sun when a 52 week high is no older than a month, an lighter sun when it’s no older than a quarter or a moon otherwise.
❖ Pocket Pivots on chart.
Small triangles below the price are signaling pocket pivots.
❖ Bases on chart, formerly Darvas Boxes.
Draw bases as defined by Darvas boxes, both top or bottom of bases can be selected to be shown in order to only show resistance or support.
❖ Market exposure/direction indicator.
When charting S&P500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX), Nasdaq composite (IXIC) or Dow Jownes Index (DJIA), the indicator switches to Market Exposure indicator, showing also Accumulation/Distribution days when volume information is available. This indication which varies from 0% to 100% is what is shown under the M letter in the CANSLIM table which is calculated on the S&P500.
❖ Follow Through Days indicator.
If you are an adept of the Low-cheat entry, then you will be highly interested by the Follow Through days indicator as measured in the S&P 500 and shown as diamonds on the chart.
The follow-through days are calculated on S&P500 but shown in current stock chart so you don’t need to chart the S&P 500 to know that a follow through day occurred.
Follow Through days show correctly on Daily time frame and most are also shown on the Weekly time frame as well.
They are also classified according to the market zone in which they occur:
0%-5% from peak = Pullback : FT day is not shown.
5%-10% from peak = Minor Correction : Minor FT days is shown.
10%-20% from peak = Correction : Intermediate FT days us shown
20+% from peak = Bear Market : Makor FT days is shown
❖ RS Line and Rating indicator.
A RS Line and Rating indicator can be added to the chart.
Relative Strength Rating Accuracy.
Please note that the RS Rating is not 100% accurate when compared to IBD values.
❖ Earning Line indicator.
An Earning Line indicator can be added to the chart.
❖ ATR Bands and ATR Trade calculator.
The motivation for this calculator came from my own need to enter trades on volatile stocks where the simple 7% Stop Loss rule doest not work.
It simply calculates the number of shares you can buy at any moment based on current stock price and using the lower ATR band as a stop loss.
A few words about the ATR Bands.
On this indicator the ATR bands are not drawn as a classical channel that follows the price.
The lower band is drawn as a support until it’s broken on a closing basis. It can’t be in a down trend.
The upper band is drawn as a resistance until it’s broken on a closing basis. It can’t be in an up trend.
The idea is that when price starts to fall down from a peak, it should not violate its lower band ATR and that means that we can use that level as a Stop Loss.
You must look back for the stock volatility and find out which ATR multiplier works well meaning that the ATR bands are not violated on normal pullbacks. By default, the indicator uses 5x multiplier.
❖ Extra things, visual features and default settings.
The first square cell of current quarter displays a check mark ‘V’ if the CANSLIM criteria is OK or acceptable or a cross ‘X’ otherwise.
The first square cell of historical C and Rev show respectively the count of last consecutive positive quarters.
There are different color themes from “Forest” to “Space” you can chose from to best fit your eyes.
You also have different table sizes going from “Micro” to “Huge” for better adjustment to the size of your display.
The default settings view show: Pocket Pivots, FT Days, MA50, RS Line and ATR Bands.
That's all, Enjoy!
Chart-Only Scanner — Pro Table v2.5.1Chart-Only Scanner — Pro Table v2.5
User Manual (Pine Script v6)
What this tool does (in one line)
A compact, on-chart table that scores the current chart symbol (or an optional override) using momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pattern checks—so you can quickly decide UP, DOWN, or WAIT.
Quick Start (90 seconds)
Add the indicator to any chart and timeframe (1m…1M).
Leave “Override chart symbol” = OFF to auto-use the chart’s symbol.
Choose your layout:
Row (wide horizontal strip), or Grid (title + labeled cells).
Pick a size preset (Micro, Small, Medium, Large, Mobile).
Optional: turn on “Use Higher TF (EMA 20/50)” and set HTF Multiplier (e.g., 4 ⇒ if chart is 15m, HTF is 60m).
Watch the table:
DIR (↑/↓/→), ROC%, MOM, VOL, EMA stack, HTF, REV, SCORE, ACT.
Add an alert if you want: the script fires when |SCORE| ≥ Action threshold.
What to expect
A small table appears on the chart corner you choose, updating each bar (or only at bar close if you keep default smart-update).
The ACT cell shows 🔥 (strong), 👀 (medium), or ⏳ (weak).
Panels & Settings (every option explained)
Core
Momentum Period: Lookback for rate-of-change (ROC%). Shorter = more reactive; longer = smoother.
ROC% Threshold: Minimum absolute ROC% to call direction UP (↑) or DOWN (↓); otherwise →.
Require Volume Confirmation: If ON and VOL ≤ 1.0, the SCORE is forced to 0 (prevents low-volume false positives).
Override chart symbol + Custom symbol: By default, the indicator uses the chart’s symbol. Turn this ON to lock to a specific ticker (e.g., a perpetual).
Higher TF
Use Higher TF (EMA 20/50): Compares EMA20 vs EMA50 on a higher timeframe.
HTF Multiplier: Higher TF = (chart TF × multiplier).
Example: on 3H chart with multiplier 2 ⇒ HTF = 6H.
Volatility & Oscillators
ATR Length: Used to show ATR% (ATR relative to price).
RSI Length: Standard RSI; colors: green ≤30 (oversold), red ≥70 (overbought).
Stoch %K Length: With %D = SMA(%K, 3).
MACD Fast/Slow/Signal: Standard MACD values; we display Line, Signal, Histogram (L/S/H).
ADX Length (Wilder): Wilder’s smoothing (internal derivation); also shows +DI / −DI if you enable the ADX column.
EMAs / Trend
EMA Fast/Mid/Slow: We compute EMA(20/50/200) by default (editable).
EMA Stack: Bull if Fast > Mid > Slow; Bear if Fast < Mid < Slow; Flat otherwise.
Benchmark (optional, OFF by default)
Show Relative Strength vs Benchmark: Displays RS% = ROC(symbol) − ROC(benchmark) over the Momentum Period.
Benchmark Symbol: Ticker used for comparison (e.g., BTCUSDT as a market proxy).
Columns (show/hide)
Toggle which fields appear in the table. Hiding unused fields keeps the layout clean (especially on mobile).
Display
Layout Mode:
Row = a single two-row strip; each column is a metric.
Grid = a title row plus labeled pairs (label/value) arranged in rows.
Size Preset: Micro, Small, Medium, Large, Mobile change text size and the grid density.
Table Corner: Where the panel sits (e.g., Top Right).
Opaque Table Background: ON = dark card; OFF = transparent(ish).
Update Every Bar: ON = update intra-bar; OFF = smart update (last bar / real-time / confirmed history).
Action threshold (|score|): The cutoff for 🔥 and alert firing (default 70).
How to read each field
CHART: The active symbol name (or your custom override).
DIR: ↑ (ROC% > threshold), ↓ (ROC% < −threshold), → otherwise.
ROC%: Rate of change over Momentum Period.
Formula: (Close − Close ) / Close × 100.
MOM: A scaled momentum score: min(100, |ROC%| × 10).
VOL: Volume ratio vs 20-bar SMA: Volume / SMA(Volume,20).
1.5 highlights as yellow (significant participation).
ATR%: (ATR / Close) × 100 (volatility relative to price).
RSI: Colored for extremes: ≤30 green, ≥70 red.
Stoch K/D: %K and %D numbers.
MACD L/S/H: Line, Signal, Histogram. Histogram color reflects sign (green > 0, red < 0).
ADX, +DI, −DI: Trend strength and directional components (Wilder). ADX ≥ 25 is highlighted.
EMA 20/50/200: Current EMA values (editable lengths).
STACK: Bull/Bear/Flat as defined above.
VWAP%: (Close − VWAP) / Close × 100 (premium/discount to VWAP).
HTF: ▲ if HTF EMA20 > EMA50; ▼ if <; · if flat/off.
RS%: Symbol’s ROC% − Benchmark ROC% (positive = outperforming).
REV (reversal):
🟢 Eng/Pin = bullish engulfing or bullish pin detected,
🔴 Eng/Pin = bearish engulfing or bearish pin,
· = none.
SCORE (absolute shown as a number; sign shown via DIR and ACT):
Components:
base = MOM × 0.4
volBonus = VOL > 1.5 ? 20 : VOL × 13.33
htfBonus = use_mtf ? (HTF == DIR ? 30 : HTF == 0 ? 15 : 0) : 0
trendBonus = (STACK == DIR) ? 10 : 0
macdBonus = 0 (placeholder for future versions)
scoreRaw = base + volBonus + htfBonus + trendBonus + macdBonus
SCORE = DIR ≥ 0 ? scoreRaw : −scoreRaw
If Require Volume Confirmation and VOL ≤ 1.0 ⇒ SCORE = 0.
ACT:
🔥 if |SCORE| ≥ threshold
👀 if 50 < |SCORE| < threshold
⏳ otherwise
Practical examples
Strong long (trend + participation)
DIR = ↑, ROC% = +3.2, MOM ≈ 32, VOL = 1.9, STACK = Bull, HTF = ▲, REV = 🟢
SCORE: base(12.8) + volBonus(20) + htfBonus(30) + trend(10) ≈ 73 → ACT = 🔥
Action idea: look for longs on pullbacks; confirm risk with ATR%.
Weak long (no volume)
DIR = ↑, ROC% = +1.0, but VOL = 0.8 and Require Volume Confirmation = ON
SCORE forced to 0 → ACT = ⏳
Action: wait for volume > 1.0 or turn off confirmation knowingly.
Bearish reversal warning
DIR = →, REV = 🔴 (bearish engulfing), RSI = 68, HTF = ▼
SCORE may be mid-range; ACT = 👀
Action: watch for breakdown and rising VOL.
Alerts (how to use)
The script calls alert() whenever |SCORE| ≥ Action threshold.
To receive pop-ups, sounds, or emails: click “⏰ Alerts” in TradingView, choose this indicator, and pick “Any alert() function call.”
The alert message includes: symbol, |SCORE|, DIR.
Layout, Size, and Corner tips
Row is best when you want a compact status ribbon across the top.
Grid is clearer on big screens or when you enable many columns.
Size:
Mobile = one pair per row (tall, readable)
Micro/Small = dense; good for many fields
Large = presentation/screenshots
Corner: If the table overlaps price, change the corner or set Opaque Background = OFF.
Repaint & timeframe behavior
Default smart update prefers stability (last bar / live / confirmed history).
For a stricter, “close-only” behavior (less repaint): turn Update Every Bar = OFF and avoid Heikin Ashi when you want raw market OHLC (HA modifies price inputs).
HTF logic is derived from a clean, integer multiple of your chart timeframe (via multiplier). It works with 3H/4H and any TF.
Performance notes
The script analyzes one symbol (chart or override) with multiple metrics using efficient tuple requests.
If you later want a multi-symbol grid, do it with pages (10–15 per page + rotate) to stay within platform limits (recommended future add-on).
Troubleshooting
No table visible
Ensure the indicator is added and not hidden.
Try toggling Opaque Background or switch Corner (it might be behind other drawings).
Keep Columns count reasonable for the chosen Size.
If you turned ON Override, verify the Custom symbol exists on your data provider.
Numbers look different on HA candles
Heikin Ashi modifies OHLC; switch to regular candles if you need raw price metrics.
3H/4H issues
Use integer HTF Multiplier (e.g., 2, 4). The tool builds the correct string internally; no manual timeframe strings needed.
Power user tips
Volume gating: keeping Require Volume Confirmation = ON filters most fake moves; if you’re a scalper, reduce strictness or turn it off.
Action threshold: 60–80 is typical. Higher = fewer but stronger signals.
Benchmark RS%: great for spotting leaders/laggards; positive RS% = outperformance vs benchmark.
Change policy & safety
This version doesn’t alter your historical logic you tested (no radical changes).
Any future “radical” change (score weights, HTF logic, UI hiding data) will ship with a toggle and an Impact Statement so you can keep old behavior if you prefer.
Glossary (quick)
ROC%: Percent change over N bars.
MOM: Scaled momentum (0–100).
VOL ratio: Volume vs 20-bar average.
ATR%: ATR as % of price.
ADX/DI: Trend strength / direction components (Wilder).
EMA stack: Relationship between EMAs (bullish/bearish/flat).
VWAP%: Premium/discount to VWAP.
RS%: Relative strength vs benchmark.
Becak I-series: Indicator Floating Panels v.80Becak I-series: Floating Panels v.80th (Indonesia Independence Days)
What it does:
This indicator creates three floating overlay panels that display MACD, RSI, and Stochastic oscillators directly on your price chart. Unlike traditional separate panes, these panels hover over your chart with customizable positioning and transparency, providing a clean, space-efficient way to monitor multiple technical indicators simultaneously.
When to use:
When you need to monitor momentum, trend strength, and overbought/oversold conditions without cluttering your workspace
Perfect for traders who want quick visual access to multiple oscillators while maintaining focus on price action
Ideal for any timeframe and asset class (stocks, crypto, forex, commodities)
How it works:
The script calculates standard MACD (12,26,9), RSI (14), and Stochastic (14,3,3) values, then renders them as floating panels with:
MACD Panel: Shows MACD line (blue), Signal line (orange), and histogram (green/red bars)
RSI Panel: Displays RSI line (purple) with overbought (70) and oversold (30) reference levels
Stochastic Panel: Shows %K (blue) and %D (orange) lines with optional buy/sell signals and highlighted overbought/oversold zones
Customization options:
Position: Choose Top, Bottom, or Auto-Center placement
Size: Adjust panel height (15-35% of chart) and spacing between panels
Positioning: Fine-tune vertical center offset and horizontal positioning
Appearance: Toggle panel backgrounds and adjust transparency (50-95%)
Parameters: Modify all indicator lengths and overbought/oversold levels
Signals: Enable/disable Stochastic crossover signals
Display: Control lookback period (30-100 bars) and right margin spacing
Universal compatibility: Works seamlessly across all asset types with automatic range detection and scaling.
DIRGAHAYU HARI KEMERDEKAAN KE 80 - INDONESIA ... MERDEKA!!!!!
CleanBreak Lines (Break + First Retest)CleanBreak lines draws one robust support line (green) from swing lows and one robust resistance line (red) from swing highs, then optionally signals a confirmed break and the first clean retest back to that line. Lines are scored with a transparent W-Score (0–100) so traders can judge quality at a glance. The script is non-repainting and uses only confirmed bar data.
What it does
Auto-builds two trendlines that aim to represent meaningful support and resistance.
Uses a median-based slope so outliers and single spikes do not distort the line.
Computes a W-Score per line from three things: touches, span (how long it held), and respect (staying on the correct side).
Optionally triggers a single, tightly-gated signal on Break + First Retest.
How it works (plain English)
Detect recent swing highs and swing lows.
Fit one line through highs and one through lows using a robust, median-style slope estimate.
Score each line: more clean touches and longer span raise the W-Score; frequent violations lower it.
A break requires a candle close beyond the line by a small ATR margin.
A first retest requires price to come back to the line within a limited number of bars and hold on close.
A single arrow may print on that confirmed retest, with optional alerts.
What it is not
Not a prediction model and not a promises-of-profit tool.
Not a multi-signal spammer: by design it aims to allow one retest entry per break.
Not a regression channel or machine-learning system.
How to use
At a glance: treat the green line as candidate support and the red line as candidate resistance.
Conservative approach: wait for a break on close and then the first retest to hold; use the arrow as a prompt, not a command.
Context-only mode: hide arrows in Style if you want the lines and W-Score only.
Inputs (brief)
Core: Swing Length, Max Pivots, Min Touches, Min Span Bars.
Scoring: Touches Max (cap), Weights for touches vs span, Min W-Score to arm.
Break and Retest: Break Margin x ATR, Retest Tolerance x ATR, Retest Window (bars).
Visuals: Show Labels, Show Table, Line Width, Fade When Refit.
Recommended presets
Cleaner, fewer signals: Min Touches 4–5, Min Span Bars 100–150, Min W-Score 70–80, Break Margin 0.40–0.60 ATR, Retest Tolerance 0.10–0.15 ATR, Retest Window 8–12 bars.
Lines-only: keep defaults and uncheck the two plotshapes in Style.
Alerts
CB Long Retest: break above the red line and first retest holds.
CB Short Retest: break below the green line and first retest holds.
Use “Once per bar close” for consistency.
On-chart table (if enabled)
RES / SUP: W-Score and distance from price in ATR terms.
Status: “Waiting Long RT”, “Waiting Short RT”, or “Idle”.
Thresholds: MinScore and Retest bars for quick context.
Timeframes
Works well on 1h to 1D. On very low timeframes, raise Break Margin x ATR to reduce whipsaw effects. On higher timeframes, increase Min Touches and Min Span Bars.
Non-repainting policy
All logic uses confirmed pivots and confirmed bar closes.
Breaks and retests are validated on close; alerts reference only confirmed conditions.
No lookahead in any request.security call.
Original implementation focused on a median-based robust slope for auto trendlines, plus a transparent W-Score and a single retest gate.
Disclosure
This script is for education and charting. It does not guarantee outcomes, and past behavior does not imply future results. Always validate on historical data and practice risk management.
Egg vs Tennis Ball — Drop/Rebound StrengthEgg vs Tennis Ball — Drop/Rebound Meter
What it does
Classifies selloffs as either:
Eggs — dead‑cat, no bounce
Tennis Balls — fast, decisive rebound
Core features
Detects swing drops from a Pivot High (PH) to a Pivot Low (PL)
Requires drops to be meaningful (volatility‑aware, ATR‑scaled)
Draws a bounce threshold line and a deadline
Decides outcome based on speed and extent of rebound
Tracks scores and win rates across multiple lookback windows
Includes a color‑coded meter and current streak display
Visuals at a glance
Gray diagonal — drop from PH to PL
Teal dotted horizontal — bounce threshold, from PH to the deadline
Solid green — Tennis Ball (bounce line broken before the deadline)
Solid red — Egg (deadline expired before the bounce)
Optional PH / PL labels for clarity
How the decision is made
1) Find pivots — symmetric pivots using Pivot Left / Right; PL confirms after Right bars.
2) Qualify the drop — Drop Size = PH − PL; must be ≥ (Drop Threshold × ATR at PL).
3) Define the bounce line — PL + (Bounce Multiple × Drop Size). 1.00× = full retrace to PH; up to 2.00× for overshoot.
4) Set the deadline — Drop Bars = PL index − PH index; Deadline = Drop Bars × Recovery Factor; timer starts from PH or PL.
5) Resolve — Tennis Ball if price hits the bounce line before the deadline; Egg if the deadline passes first.
Scoring system (−100 to +100)
+100 = perfect Tennis Ball (fastest possible + full overshoot)
−100 = perfect Egg (no recovery)
In between: scored by rebound speed and extent, shaped by your weight settings
Meter Table
Columns (toggle on/off)
All (off by default)
Last N1 (default 5)
Last N2 (default 10)
Last N3 (default 20)
Rows
Tennis / Eggs — counts
% Tennis — win rate
Avg Score — normalized quality from −100 to +100
Streak — overall (not windowed), e.g., +3 = 3 Tennis Balls in a row, −4 = 4 Eggs in a row
Alerts
Tennis Ball – Fast Rebound — triggers when the bounce line is broken in time
Egg – Window Expired — triggers when the deadline passes without a bounce
Inputs
① Drop Detection
Pivot Left / Right
ATR Length
Drop Threshold × ATR
② Bounce Requirement
Bounce Multiple × Drop Size (0.10–2.00×)
③ Timing
Timer Start — PH or PL
Recovery Factor × Drop Bars
Break Trigger — Close or High
④ Display
Show Pivot/Outcome Labels
Line Width
Table Position (corner)
⑤ Meter Columns
Show All (off by default)
Show N1 / N2 / N3 (5, 10, 20 by default)
⑥ Scoring Weights
Tennis — Base, Speed, Extent
Egg — Base, Strength
How to use it
Pick strictness — start with Drop Threshold = 2.0 ATR, Bounce Multiple = 1.0×, Recovery Factor = 3.0×; adjust to timeframe and volatility.
Watch the dotted line — it ends at the deadline; turns solid green (Tennis) if broken in time, solid red (Egg) if it expires.
Read the meter — short windows (5–10) show current behavior; Avg Score captures quality; Streak shows momentum.
Blend with your system — combine with trend filters, volume, or regime detection.
Tips
Close vs High trigger: Close is stricter; High is more responsive.
PH vs PL timer start: PH measures round‑trip; PL measures recovery only.
Increase pivot strength for fewer, more reliable signals.
Higher timeframes generally produce cleaner patterns.
Defaults
Pivot L/R: 5 / 5
ATR Length: 14
Drop Threshold: 2.0× ATR
Bounce Multiple: 1.00×
Recovery Factor: 3.0×
Break Trigger: Close
Windows: Last 5, 10, 20 (All off)
Interpreting results
Tennis‑y: Avg Score +30 to +70, %Tennis > 55%
Mixed: Avg Score near 0
Egg‑y: Avg Score −30 to −80, %Tennis < 45%
Wolf Exit Oscillator Enhanced
# Wolf Exit Oscillator Enhanced
## What it is (quick take)
**Wolf Exit Oscillator Enhanced** is a clean, rules-first **exit timing tool** built on the **True Strength Index (TSI)** with two optional safeguards:
1. **Signal-line crossover** (to avoid bailing on shallow dips), and
2. **EMA confirmation** (price-based “is the trend actually weakening/strengthening?” check).
Use it to standardize when you **take profits, cut losers, or scale out**—especially after momentum runs hot or cold.
> Works best **paired** with:
>
> * **ABS NR — Fail-Safe Confirm (v4.2.2)** for entries
> * **ABS Companion Oscillator — Trend / Exhaustion / New Trend** for trend/exhaustion context
---
## How to use it (operational workflow)
1. **Set your bands**
* `exitHigh` and `exitLow` mark “overcooked” zones on the TSI scale (default: +60 / –60).
* Above `exitHigh` = momentum stretched **up** (good place to **exit shorts** or **take long profits**).
* Below `exitLow` = momentum stretched **down** (good place to **exit longs** or **take short profits**).
2. **Choose strictness**
* **Base mode**: the moment TSI crosses out of a band, you get an exit signal.
* **Add Signal-Line Cross** (`enableSignalX = true`): require TSI to cross its signal in the same direction → **fewer, cleaner exits**.
* **Add EMA Filter** (`enableEMAFilter = true`): also require **price** to confirm (e.g., long exit only if price < EMA). This avoids bailing during healthy trends.
3. **Execute with structure**
* **Full exit** when a signal fires, or
* **Scale out** (e.g., 50% on first signal, remainder on trail/secondary signal), or
* **Move stop** to lock gains once an exit signal prints.
4. **Alerts**
* Set to **“Once per bar close”** to avoid intrabar flip-flop.
* Use the two provided alert names for automation (see “Alerts” below).
---
## Signals & visuals
* **TSI line** (solid) and **Signal line** (dashed) with optional **histogram** (TSI − Signal).
* **Horizontal bands** at `exitHigh` and `exitLow`.
* **Labels**:
* **Exit Long** appears when long-side momentum breaks down (below `exitLow`, plus any enabled filters).
* **Exit Short** appears when short-side momentum breaks down (above `exitHigh`, plus any enabled filters).
**Alerts (stable names):**
* **WolfExit — Exit Long**
* **WolfExit — Exit Short**
---
## Non-repainting behavior (what to expect)
* The oscillator is computed with **EMAs on current timeframe**—no higher-timeframe lookahead, no repaint.
* **Intrabar**: TSI/Signal can fluctuate; use **bar-close evaluation** (and alert setting “Once per bar close”) to lock signals.
* If you enable the EMA filter, that check is also evaluated at bar close.
---
## Every input explained (and how changing it alters behavior)
### Momentum engine (TSI)
* **TSI Long EMA Length (`tsiLongLen`, default 25)**
Higher = smoother, slower momentum; fewer signals. Lower = twitchier, more signals.
* **TSI Short EMA Length (`tsiShortLen`, default 13)**
Fine-tunes responsiveness on top of the long length. Lower short → snappier TSI.
* **TSI Signal Line Length (`tsisigLen`, default 7)**
Higher = slower signal line (harder to cross) → fewer signals. Lower = easier crosses → more signals.
### Thresholds (the bands)
* **Exit Threshold High (`exitHigh`, default +60)**
Raise to demand **stronger** overbought before signaling short exits / long profit-takes. Lower to trigger sooner.
* **Exit Threshold Low (`exitLow`, default −60)**
Raise (toward 0) to trigger **earlier** on longs; lower (more negative) to wait for deeper downside stretch.
### Confirmation layers
* **Require Signal Line Crossover (`enableSignalX`, default true)**
On = TSI must cross its signal (same direction as exit) → **filters out shallow wiggles**. Off = faster, more frequent exits.
* **Enable EMA Confirmation Filter (`enableEMAFilter`, default true)**
On = require **price < EMA** for **Exit Long** and **price > EMA** for **Exit Short**.
* **EMA Exit Confirmation Length (`exitEMALen`, default 50)**
Higher = **trendier** filter (harder to flip) → fewer exits; Lower = more reactive → more exits.
### Visuals
* **Show Histogram (`showHist`)**
On = quick visual for TSI–Signal spread (helps spot weakening momentum before a cross).
* **Plot Exit Signals (`showSignals`)**
Toggle labels if you only want the lines/bands with alerts.
---
## Tuning recipes (quick, practical)
* **Strong trend days (avoid premature exits)**
* Keep **`enableSignalX = true`** and **`enableEMAFilter = true`**
* Increase **`exitEMALen`** (e.g., 80)
* Consider raising **`exitHigh`** to 65–70 (and lowering **`exitLow`** to −65/−70)
* **Choppy/range days (exit faster, take the cash)**
* **`enableEMAFilter = false`** (don’t wait for price filter)
* **`enableSignalX`** optional; try off for quicker responses
* Bring bands closer to **±50** to take profits earlier
* **Scalping / lower timeframes**
* Shorten **TSI lengths** a bit (e.g., 21/9/5)
* Consider **`exitHigh=55 / exitLow=-55`**
* Keep **histogram on** to visualize momentum flip risk
* **Swing trading / higher timeframes**
* Lengthen **TSI** (e.g., 35/21/9) and **`exitEMALen`** (e.g., 100)
* Wider bands (±65 to ±75) to catch bigger moves before exiting
---
## Playbooks (how to actually trade it)
* **Entry from ABS NR FS, exit with Wolf**
* Take entries from **ABS NR — Fail-Safe Confirm** (triangle).
* Use **Wolf Exit** to scale out: 50% on first exit label, trail remainder with price/EMA or your stop logic.
* **Pyramid & protect**
* Add on re-accelerations (TSI pulls back toward zero without breaching the opposite band).
* The first **Exit** signal → take partial, raise stop to last higher low / lower high.
* **Mean-reversion fade management**
* When fading with ABS NR (KC band pokes + stretched |Z|), target the first opposite **Exit** signal as your “don’t overstay” cue.
---
## Suggested starting points
* **Day trading (5–15m):**
* TSI: **25 / 13 / 7** (default)
* Bands: **+60 / −60**
* Confirmations: **SignalX = on**, **EMA Filter = on**, **EMA Len = 50**
* Alerts: **Once per bar close**
* **Scalping (1–3m):**
* TSI: **21 / 9 / 5**
* Bands: **±55**
* Confirmations: **SignalX = on**, **EMA Filter = off** (optional for speed)
* **Swing (1h–D):**
* TSI: **35 / 21 / 9**
* Bands: **+65 / −65** (or ±70)
* Confirmations: **SignalX = on**, **EMA Filter = on**, **EMA Len = 100**
---
## Best-practice pairings
* **Entries:** **ABS NR — Fail-Safe Confirm (v4.2.2)**
* Take ABS triangles; let Wolf standardize exits so you’re not guessing.
* **Context:** **ABS Companion Oscillator**
* Prefer holding longer when the companion stays above (for longs) or below (for shorts) its neutral band and **no EXH tag** prints.
* If companion flags **EXH** against your position, tighten stops; Wolf’s next exit signal becomes high priority.
---
## Notes & disclaimers
* This is an **exit signal tool**, not a strategy or broker.
* Signals are strongest when aligned with your **entry logic** and a **risk framework** (position sizing, stops, partials).
* All evaluations are **current timeframe**; no higher-timeframe lookahead is used.
* Markets change—tune the bands and confirmations per symbol/timeframe.
---
**Tip:** Keep your alerts simple—one for **Exit Long**, one for **Exit Short**, **Once per bar close**. Use partial exits on the first signal, and let your stop/trailing logic handle the rest.
ADR/ATR Session No Probability Table by LKHere you go—clear, English docs you can drop into your script’s description or share with teammates.
ADR/ATR Session by LK — Overview
This indicator summarizes Average Daily Range (ADR) and Average True Range (ATR) for two horizons:
• Session H4 (e.g., 06:00–13:00 on a 4‑hour chart)
• Daily (D)
It shows:
• Current ADR/ATR values (using your chosen smoothing method)
• How much of ADR/ATR today/this bar has already been consumed (% of ADR/ATR)
• ADR/ATR as a percent of price
• Optional probability blocks: likelihood that %ADR will exceed user‑defined thresholds over a lookback window
• Optional on‑chart lines for the current H4 and Daily candles: Open, ADR High, ADR Low
⸻
What the metrics mean
• ADR (H4 / D): Moving average of the bar range (high - low).
• ATR (H4 / D): Moving average of True Range (max(hi-lo, |hi-close |, |lo-close |)).
• % of ADR (curr H4): (H4 range of the current H4 bar) / ADR(H4) × 100. Updates live even if the current time is outside the session.
• % of ADR (Daily): (today’s intra‑day range) / ADR(D) × 100.
• % of ATR (curr H4 / Daily): TR / ATR × 100 for that horizon.
• ADR % of Price / ATR % of Price: ADR or ATR divided by current price × 100 (a quick “volatility vs. price” gauge).
Session logic (H4): ADR/ATR(H4) only update on bars that fall inside the configured session window; outside the window the values hold steady (no recalculation “bleed”).
Daily range tracking: The indicator tracks today’s high/low in real‑time and resets at the day change.
⸻
Inputs (quick reference)
Core
• Length (ADR/ATR): smoothing length for ADR/ATR (default 21).
• Wait for Higher TF Bar Close: if true, updates ADR/ATR only after the higher‑TF bar closes when using request.security.
Timeframes
• Session Timeframe (H4): default 240.
• Daily Timeframe: default D.
Session time
• Session Timezone: “Chart” (default) or a fixed timezone.
• Session Start Hour, End Hour (minutes are fixed to 0 in this version).
Smoothing methods
• H4 ADR Method / H4 ATR Method: SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA.
• Daily ADR Method / Daily ATR Method: SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA.
Table appearance
• Table BG, Table Text, Table Font Size.
Lines (optional)
• Show current H4 segments, Show current Daily segments
• Line colors for Open / ADR High / ADR Low
• Line width
Probability
• H4 Probability Lookback (bars): number of H4 bars to examine (e.g., 300).
• Daily Probability Lookback (days): number of D bars (e.g., 180).
• ADR thresholds (%): CSV list of thresholds (e.g., 25,50,55,60,65,70,75,80,85,90,95,100,125,150).
The table will show the % of lookback bars where %ADR ≥ threshold.
Tip: If you want probabilities only for session H4 bars (not every H4 bar), ask and I can add a toggle to filter by inSess.
⸻
How to read the table
H4 block
• ADR (method) / ATR (method): the session‑aware averages.
• % of ADR (curr H4): live progress of this H4 bar toward the session ADR.
• ADR % of Price: ADR(H4) relative to price.
• % of ATR (curr H4) and ATR % of Price: same idea for ATR.
H4 Probability (lookback N bars)
• Rows like “≥ 80% ADR” show the fraction (in %) of the last N H4 bars that reached at least 80% of ADR(H4).
Daily block
• Mirrors the H4 block, but for Daily.
Daily Probability (lookback M days)
• Rows like “≥ 100% ADR” show the fraction of the last M daily bars whose daily range reached at least 100% of ADR(D).
⸻
Practical usage
• Use % of ADR (curr H4 / Daily) to judge exhaustion or room left in the day/session.
E.g., if Daily %ADR is already 95%, be cautious with momentum continuation trades.
• The probability tables give a quick historical context:
If “≥ 125% ADR” is ~18%, the market rarely stretches that far; your trade sizing/targets can reflect that.
• ADR/ATR % of Price helps normalize volatility between instruments.
⸻
Troubleshooting
• If probability rows are blank: ensure lookback windows are large enough (and that the chart has enough history).
• If ADR/ATR show … (NA): usually you don’t have enough bars for the chosen length/TF yet.
• If line segments are missing: verify you’re on a chart with visible current H4/D bars and the toggles are enabled.
⸻
Notes & customization ideas
• Add a toggle to count only session bars in H4 probability.
• Add separate thresholds for H4 vs Daily.
• Let users pick minutes for session start/end if needed.
• Add alerts when %ADR crosses specified thresholds.
If you want me to bundle any of the “ideas” above into the code, say the word and I’ll ship a clean patch.
Buy/Sell Alert Strong Signals [TCMaster]This indicator combines Smoothed Moving Averages (SMMA), Stochastic Oscillator, and popular candlestick patterns (Engulfing, 3 Line Strike) to highlight potential trend reversal zones.
Main features:
4 SMMA lines (21, 50, 100, 200) for short-, medium-, and long-term trend analysis.
Trend Fill: Background shading when EMA(2) and SMMA(200) are aligned, visually confirming trend direction.
Stochastic Filter: Filters signals based on overbought/oversold conditions to help reduce noise.
Candlestick pattern recognition:
Bullish/Bearish Engulfing
Bullish/Bearish 3 Line Strike
Alerts for each pattern when Stochastic conditions are met.
⚠️ Note: This is a technical analysis tool. It does not guarantee accuracy and is not financial advice. Always combine with other analysis methods and practice proper risk management.
🛠 How to Use:
1. SMMA Settings
21 SMMA & 50 SMMA: Short- and medium-term trend tracking.
100 SMMA: Optional mid/long-term filter (toggle on/off).
200 SMMA: Major trend direction reference.
2. Trend Fill
EMA(2) > SMMA(200): Background shaded green (uptrend bias).
EMA(2) < SMMA(200): Background shaded red (downtrend bias).
Can be enabled/disabled in settings.
3. Stochastic Filter
K Length, D Smoothing, Smooth K: Adjust sensitivity.
Overbought & Oversold: Default 80 / 20 thresholds.
Buy signals only valid if Stochastic is oversold.
Sell signals only valid if Stochastic is overbought.
4. Candlestick Patterns
3 Line Strike:
Bullish: Three consecutive bullish candles followed by one bearish candle closing below the previous, with potential reversal.
Bearish: Three consecutive bearish candles followed by one bullish candle closing above the previous, with potential reversal.
Engulfing:
Bullish: Green candle fully engulfs the prior red candle body.
Bearish: Red candle fully engulfs the prior green candle body.
5. Alerts
Alerts available for each pattern when Stochastic conditions are met.
Example: "Bullish Engulfing + Stochastic confirm".
📌 Important Notes
Do not use this indicator as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Test on a demo account before applying to live trades.
Combine with multi-timeframe analysis, volume, and proper position sizing.
Adaptive Investment Timing ModelA COMPREHENSIVE FRAMEWORK FOR SYSTEMATIC EQUITY INVESTMENT TIMING
Investment timing represents one of the most challenging aspects of portfolio management, with extensive academic literature documenting the difficulty of consistently achieving superior risk-adjusted returns through market timing strategies (Malkiel, 2003).
Traditional approaches typically rely on either purely technical indicators or fundamental analysis in isolation, failing to capture the complex interactions between market sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and company-specific factors that drive asset prices.
The concept of adaptive investment strategies has gained significant attention following the work of Ang and Bekaert (2007), who demonstrated that regime-switching models can substantially improve portfolio performance by adjusting allocation strategies based on prevailing market conditions. Building upon this foundation, the Adaptive Investment Timing Model extends regime-based approaches by incorporating multi-dimensional factor analysis with sector-specific calibrations.
Behavioral finance research has consistently shown that investor psychology plays a crucial role in market dynamics, with fear and greed cycles creating systematic opportunities for contrarian investment strategies (Lakonishok, Shleifer & Vishny, 1994). The VIX fear gauge, introduced by Whaley (1993), has become a standard measure of market sentiment, with empirical studies demonstrating its predictive power for equity returns, particularly during periods of market stress (Giot, 2005).
LITERATURE REVIEW AND THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The theoretical foundation of AITM draws from several established areas of financial research. Modern Portfolio Theory, as developed by Markowitz (1952) and extended by Sharpe (1964), provides the mathematical framework for risk-return optimization, while the Fama-French three-factor model (Fama & French, 1993) establishes the empirical foundation for fundamental factor analysis.
Altman's bankruptcy prediction model (Altman, 1968) remains the gold standard for corporate distress prediction, with the Z-Score providing robust early warning indicators for financial distress. Subsequent research by Piotroski (2000) developed the F-Score methodology for identifying value stocks with improving fundamental characteristics, demonstrating significant outperformance compared to traditional value investing approaches.
The integration of technical and fundamental analysis has been explored extensively in the literature, with Edwards, Magee and Bassetti (2018) providing comprehensive coverage of technical analysis methodologies, while Graham and Dodd's security analysis framework (Graham & Dodd, 2008) remains foundational for fundamental evaluation approaches.
Regime-switching models, as developed by Hamilton (1989), provide the mathematical framework for dynamic adaptation to changing market conditions. Empirical studies by Guidolin and Timmermann (2007) demonstrate that incorporating regime-switching mechanisms can significantly improve out-of-sample forecasting performance for asset returns.
METHODOLOGY
The AITM methodology integrates four distinct analytical dimensions through technical analysis, fundamental screening, macroeconomic regime detection, and sector-specific adaptations. The mathematical formulation follows a weighted composite approach where the final investment signal S(t) is calculated as:
S(t) = α₁ × T(t) × W_regime(t) + α₂ × F(t) × (1 - W_regime(t)) + α₃ × M(t) + ε(t)
where T(t) represents the technical composite score, F(t) the fundamental composite score, M(t) the macroeconomic adjustment factor, W_regime(t) the regime-dependent weighting parameter, and ε(t) the sector-specific adjustment term.
Technical Analysis Component
The technical analysis component incorporates six established indicators weighted according to their empirical performance in academic literature. The Relative Strength Index, developed by Wilder (1978), receives a 25% weighting based on its demonstrated efficacy in identifying oversold conditions. Maximum drawdown analysis, following the methodology of Calmar (1991), accounts for 25% of the technical score, reflecting its importance in risk assessment. Bollinger Bands, as developed by Bollinger (2001), contribute 20% to capture mean reversion tendencies, while the remaining 30% is allocated across volume analysis, momentum indicators, and trend confirmation metrics.
Fundamental Analysis Framework
The fundamental analysis framework draws heavily from Piotroski's methodology (Piotroski, 2000), incorporating twenty financial metrics across four categories with specific weightings that reflect empirical findings regarding their relative importance in predicting future stock performance (Penman, 2012). Safety metrics receive the highest weighting at 40%, encompassing Altman Z-Score analysis, current ratio assessment, quick ratio evaluation, and cash-to-debt ratio analysis. Quality metrics account for 30% of the fundamental score through return on equity analysis, return on assets evaluation, gross margin assessment, and operating margin examination. Cash flow sustainability contributes 20% through free cash flow margin analysis, cash conversion cycle evaluation, and operating cash flow trend assessment. Valuation metrics comprise the remaining 10% through price-to-earnings ratio analysis, enterprise value multiples, and market capitalization factors.
Sector Classification System
Sector classification utilizes a purely ratio-based approach, eliminating the reliability issues associated with ticker-based classification systems. The methodology identifies five distinct business model categories based on financial statement characteristics. Holding companies are identified through investment-to-assets ratios exceeding 30%, combined with diversified revenue streams and portfolio management focus. Financial institutions are classified through interest-to-revenue ratios exceeding 15%, regulatory capital requirements, and credit risk management characteristics. Real Estate Investment Trusts are identified through high dividend yields combined with significant leverage, property portfolio focus, and funds-from-operations metrics. Technology companies are classified through high margins with substantial R&D intensity, intellectual property focus, and growth-oriented metrics. Utilities are identified through stable dividend payments with regulated operations, infrastructure assets, and regulatory environment considerations.
Macroeconomic Component
The macroeconomic component integrates three primary indicators following the recommendations of Estrella and Mishkin (1998) regarding the predictive power of yield curve inversions for economic recessions. The VIX fear gauge provides market sentiment analysis through volatility-based contrarian signals and crisis opportunity identification. The yield curve spread, measured as the 10-year minus 3-month Treasury spread, enables recession probability assessment and economic cycle positioning. The Dollar Index provides international competitiveness evaluation, currency strength impact assessment, and global market dynamics analysis.
Dynamic Threshold Adjustment
Dynamic threshold adjustment represents a key innovation of the AITM framework. Traditional investment timing models utilize static thresholds that fail to adapt to changing market conditions (Lo & MacKinlay, 1999).
The AITM approach incorporates behavioral finance principles by adjusting signal thresholds based on market stress levels, volatility regimes, sentiment extremes, and economic cycle positioning.
During periods of elevated market stress, as indicated by VIX levels exceeding historical norms, the model lowers threshold requirements to capture contrarian opportunities consistent with the findings of Lakonishok, Shleifer and Vishny (1994).
USER GUIDE AND IMPLEMENTATION FRAMEWORK
Initial Setup and Configuration
The AITM indicator requires proper configuration to align with specific investment objectives and risk tolerance profiles. Research by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) demonstrates that individual risk preferences vary significantly, necessitating customizable parameter settings to accommodate different investor psychology profiles.
Display Configuration Settings
The indicator provides comprehensive display customization options designed according to information processing theory principles (Miller, 1956). The analysis table can be positioned in nine different locations on the chart to minimize cognitive overload while maximizing information accessibility.
Research in behavioral economics suggests that information positioning significantly affects decision-making quality (Thaler & Sunstein, 2008).
Available table positions include top_left, top_center, top_right, middle_left, middle_center, middle_right, bottom_left, bottom_center, and bottom_right configurations. Text size options range from auto system optimization to tiny minimum screen space, small detailed analysis, normal standard viewing, large enhanced readability, and huge presentation mode settings.
Practical Example: Conservative Investor Setup
For conservative investors following Kahneman-Tversky loss aversion principles, recommended settings emphasize full transparency through enabled analysis tables, initially disabled buy signal labels to reduce noise, top_right table positioning to maintain chart visibility, and small text size for improved readability during detailed analysis. Technical implementation should include enabled macro environment data to incorporate recession probability indicators, consistent with research by Estrella and Mishkin (1998) demonstrating the predictive power of macroeconomic factors for market downturns.
Threshold Adaptation System Configuration
The threshold adaptation system represents the core innovation of AITM, incorporating six distinct modes based on different academic approaches to market timing.
Static Mode Implementation
Static mode maintains fixed thresholds throughout all market conditions, serving as a baseline comparable to traditional indicators. Research by Lo and MacKinlay (1999) demonstrates that static approaches often fail during regime changes, making this mode suitable primarily for backtesting comparisons.
Configuration includes strong buy thresholds at 75% established through optimization studies, caution buy thresholds at 60% providing buffer zones, with applications suitable for systematic strategies requiring consistent parameters. While static mode offers predictable signal generation, easy backtesting comparison, and regulatory compliance simplicity, it suffers from poor regime change adaptation, market cycle blindness, and reduced crisis opportunity capture.
Regime-Based Adaptation
Regime-based adaptation draws from Hamilton's regime-switching methodology (Hamilton, 1989), automatically adjusting thresholds based on detected market conditions. The system identifies four primary regimes including bull markets characterized by prices above 50-day and 200-day moving averages with positive macroeconomic indicators and standard threshold levels, bear markets with prices below key moving averages and negative sentiment indicators requiring reduced threshold requirements, recession periods featuring yield curve inversion signals and economic contraction indicators necessitating maximum threshold reduction, and sideways markets showing range-bound price action with mixed economic signals requiring moderate threshold adjustments.
Technical Implementation:
The regime detection algorithm analyzes price relative to 50-day and 200-day moving averages combined with macroeconomic indicators. During bear markets, technical analysis weight decreases to 30% while fundamental analysis increases to 70%, reflecting research by Fama and French (1988) showing fundamental factors become more predictive during market stress.
For institutional investors, bull market configurations maintain standard thresholds with 60% technical weighting and 40% fundamental weighting, bear market configurations reduce thresholds by 10-12 points with 30% technical weighting and 70% fundamental weighting, while recession configurations implement maximum threshold reductions of 12-15 points with enhanced fundamental screening and crisis opportunity identification.
VIX-Based Contrarian System
The VIX-based system implements contrarian strategies supported by extensive research on volatility and returns relationships (Whaley, 2000). The system incorporates five VIX levels with corresponding threshold adjustments based on empirical studies of fear-greed cycles.
Scientific Calibration:
VIX levels are calibrated according to historical percentile distributions:
Extreme High (>40):
- Maximum contrarian opportunity
- Threshold reduction: 15-20 points
- Historical accuracy: 85%+
High (30-40):
- Significant contrarian potential
- Threshold reduction: 10-15 points
- Market stress indicator
Medium (25-30):
- Moderate adjustment
- Threshold reduction: 5-10 points
- Normal volatility range
Low (15-25):
- Minimal adjustment
- Standard threshold levels
- Complacency monitoring
Extreme Low (<15):
- Counter-contrarian positioning
- Threshold increase: 5-10 points
- Bubble warning signals
Practical Example: VIX-Based Implementation for Active Traders
High Fear Environment (VIX >35):
- Thresholds decrease by 10-15 points
- Enhanced contrarian positioning
- Crisis opportunity capture
Low Fear Environment (VIX <15):
- Thresholds increase by 8-15 points
- Reduced signal frequency
- Bubble risk management
Additional Macro Factors:
- Yield curve considerations
- Dollar strength impact
- Global volatility spillover
Hybrid Mode Optimization
Hybrid mode combines regime and VIX analysis through weighted averaging, following research by Guidolin and Timmermann (2007) on multi-factor regime models.
Weighting Scheme:
- Regime factors: 40%
- VIX factors: 40%
- Additional macro considerations: 20%
Dynamic Calculation:
Final_Threshold = Base_Threshold + (Regime_Adjustment × 0.4) + (VIX_Adjustment × 0.4) + (Macro_Adjustment × 0.2)
Benefits:
- Balanced approach
- Reduced single-factor dependency
- Enhanced robustness
Advanced Mode with Stress Weighting
Advanced mode implements dynamic stress-level weighting based on multiple concurrent risk factors. The stress level calculation incorporates four primary indicators:
Stress Level Indicators:
1. Yield curve inversion (recession predictor)
2. Volatility spikes (market disruption)
3. Severe drawdowns (momentum breaks)
4. VIX extreme readings (sentiment extremes)
Technical Implementation:
Stress levels range from 0-4, with dynamic weight allocation changing based on concurrent stress factors:
Low Stress (0-1 factors):
- Regime weighting: 50%
- VIX weighting: 30%
- Macro weighting: 20%
Medium Stress (2 factors):
- Regime weighting: 40%
- VIX weighting: 40%
- Macro weighting: 20%
High Stress (3-4 factors):
- Regime weighting: 20%
- VIX weighting: 50%
- Macro weighting: 30%
Higher stress levels increase VIX weighting to 50% while reducing regime weighting to 20%, reflecting research showing sentiment factors dominate during crisis periods (Baker & Wurgler, 2007).
Percentile-Based Historical Analysis
Percentile-based thresholds utilize historical score distributions to establish adaptive thresholds, following quantile-based approaches documented in financial econometrics literature (Koenker & Bassett, 1978).
Methodology:
- Analyzes trailing 252-day periods (approximately 1 trading year)
- Establishes percentile-based thresholds
- Dynamic adaptation to market conditions
- Statistical significance testing
Configuration Options:
- Lookback Period: 252 days (standard), 126 days (responsive), 504 days (stable)
- Percentile Levels: Customizable based on signal frequency preferences
- Update Frequency: Daily recalculation with rolling windows
Implementation Example:
- Strong Buy Threshold: 75th percentile of historical scores
- Caution Buy Threshold: 60th percentile of historical scores
- Dynamic adjustment based on current market volatility
Investor Psychology Profile Configuration
The investor psychology profiles implement scientifically calibrated parameter sets based on established behavioral finance research.
Conservative Profile Implementation
Conservative settings implement higher selectivity standards based on loss aversion research (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). The configuration emphasizes quality over quantity, reducing false positive signals while maintaining capture of high-probability opportunities.
Technical Calibration:
VIX Parameters:
- Extreme High Threshold: 32.0 (lower sensitivity to fear spikes)
- High Threshold: 28.0
- Adjustment Magnitude: Reduced for stability
Regime Adjustments:
- Bear Market Reduction: -7 points (vs -12 for normal)
- Recession Reduction: -10 points (vs -15 for normal)
- Conservative approach to crisis opportunities
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 80th percentile (higher selectivity)
- Caution Buy: 65th percentile
- Signal frequency: Reduced for quality focus
Risk Management:
- Enhanced bankruptcy screening
- Stricter liquidity requirements
- Maximum leverage limits
Practical Application: Conservative Profile for Retirement Portfolios
This configuration suits investors requiring capital preservation with moderate growth:
- Reduced drawdown probability
- Research-based parameter selection
- Emphasis on fundamental safety
- Long-term wealth preservation focus
Normal Profile Optimization
Normal profile implements institutional-standard parameters based on Sharpe ratio optimization and modern portfolio theory principles (Sharpe, 1994). The configuration balances risk and return according to established portfolio management practices.
Calibration Parameters:
VIX Thresholds:
- Extreme High: 35.0 (institutional standard)
- High: 30.0
- Standard adjustment magnitude
Regime Adjustments:
- Bear Market: -12 points (moderate contrarian approach)
- Recession: -15 points (crisis opportunity capture)
- Balanced risk-return optimization
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 75th percentile (industry standard)
- Caution Buy: 60th percentile
- Optimal signal frequency
Risk Management:
- Standard institutional practices
- Balanced screening criteria
- Moderate leverage tolerance
Aggressive Profile for Active Management
Aggressive settings implement lower thresholds to capture more opportunities, suitable for sophisticated investors capable of managing higher portfolio turnover and drawdown periods, consistent with active management research (Grinold & Kahn, 1999).
Technical Configuration:
VIX Parameters:
- Extreme High: 40.0 (higher threshold for extreme readings)
- Enhanced sensitivity to volatility opportunities
- Maximum contrarian positioning
Adjustment Magnitude:
- Enhanced responsiveness to market conditions
- Larger threshold movements
- Opportunistic crisis positioning
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 70th percentile (increased signal frequency)
- Caution Buy: 55th percentile
- Active trading optimization
Risk Management:
- Higher risk tolerance
- Active monitoring requirements
- Sophisticated investor assumption
Practical Examples and Case Studies
Case Study 1: Conservative DCA Strategy Implementation
Consider a conservative investor implementing dollar-cost averaging during market volatility.
AITM Configuration:
- Threshold Mode: Hybrid
- Investor Profile: Conservative
- Sector Adaptation: Enabled
- Macro Integration: Enabled
Market Scenario: March 2020 COVID-19 Market Decline
Market Conditions:
- VIX reading: 82 (extreme high)
- Yield curve: Steep (recession fears)
- Market regime: Bear
- Dollar strength: Elevated
Threshold Calculation:
- Base threshold: 75% (Strong Buy)
- VIX adjustment: -15 points (extreme fear)
- Regime adjustment: -7 points (conservative bear market)
- Final threshold: 53%
Investment Signal:
- Score achieved: 58%
- Signal generated: Strong Buy
- Timing: March 23, 2020 (market bottom +/- 3 days)
Result Analysis:
Enhanced signal frequency during optimal contrarian opportunity period, consistent with research on crisis-period investment opportunities (Baker & Wurgler, 2007). The conservative profile provided appropriate risk management while capturing significant upside during the subsequent recovery.
Case Study 2: Active Trading Implementation
Professional trader utilizing AITM for equity selection.
Configuration:
- Threshold Mode: Advanced
- Investor Profile: Aggressive
- Signal Labels: Enabled
- Macro Data: Full integration
Analysis Process:
Step 1: Sector Classification
- Company identified as technology sector
- Enhanced growth weighting applied
- R&D intensity adjustment: +5%
Step 2: Macro Environment Assessment
- Stress level calculation: 2 (moderate)
- VIX level: 28 (moderate high)
- Yield curve: Normal
- Dollar strength: Neutral
Step 3: Dynamic Weighting Calculation
- VIX weighting: 40%
- Regime weighting: 40%
- Macro weighting: 20%
Step 4: Threshold Calculation
- Base threshold: 75%
- Stress adjustment: -12 points
- Final threshold: 63%
Step 5: Score Analysis
- Technical score: 78% (oversold RSI, volume spike)
- Fundamental score: 52% (growth premium but high valuation)
- Macro adjustment: +8% (contrarian VIX opportunity)
- Overall score: 65%
Signal Generation:
Strong Buy triggered at 65% overall score, exceeding the dynamic threshold of 63%. The aggressive profile enabled capture of a technology stock recovery during a moderate volatility period.
Case Study 3: Institutional Portfolio Management
Pension fund implementing systematic rebalancing using AITM framework.
Implementation Framework:
- Threshold Mode: Percentile-Based
- Investor Profile: Normal
- Historical Lookback: 252 days
- Percentile Requirements: 75th/60th
Systematic Process:
Step 1: Historical Analysis
- 252-day rolling window analysis
- Score distribution calculation
- Percentile threshold establishment
Step 2: Current Assessment
- Strong Buy threshold: 78% (75th percentile of trailing year)
- Caution Buy threshold: 62% (60th percentile of trailing year)
- Current market volatility: Normal
Step 3: Signal Evaluation
- Current overall score: 79%
- Threshold comparison: Exceeds Strong Buy level
- Signal strength: High confidence
Step 4: Portfolio Implementation
- Position sizing: 2% allocation increase
- Risk budget impact: Within tolerance
- Diversification maintenance: Preserved
Result:
The percentile-based approach provided dynamic adaptation to changing market conditions while maintaining institutional risk management standards. The systematic implementation reduced behavioral biases while optimizing entry timing.
Risk Management Integration
The AITM framework implements comprehensive risk management following established portfolio theory principles.
Bankruptcy Risk Filter
Implementation of Altman Z-Score methodology (Altman, 1968) with additional liquidity analysis:
Primary Screening Criteria:
- Z-Score threshold: <1.8 (high distress probability)
- Current Ratio threshold: <1.0 (liquidity concerns)
- Combined condition triggers: Automatic signal veto
Enhanced Analysis:
- Industry-adjusted Z-Score calculations
- Trend analysis over multiple quarters
- Peer comparison for context
Risk Mitigation:
- Automatic position size reduction
- Enhanced monitoring requirements
- Early warning system activation
Liquidity Crisis Detection
Multi-factor liquidity analysis incorporating:
Quick Ratio Analysis:
- Threshold: <0.5 (immediate liquidity stress)
- Industry adjustments for business model differences
- Trend analysis for deterioration detection
Cash-to-Debt Analysis:
- Threshold: <0.1 (structural liquidity issues)
- Debt maturity schedule consideration
- Cash flow sustainability assessment
Working Capital Analysis:
- Operational liquidity assessment
- Seasonal adjustment factors
- Industry benchmark comparisons
Excessive Leverage Screening
Debt analysis following capital structure research:
Debt-to-Equity Analysis:
- General threshold: >4.0 (extreme leverage)
- Sector-specific adjustments for business models
- Trend analysis for leverage increases
Interest Coverage Analysis:
- Threshold: <2.0 (servicing difficulties)
- Earnings quality assessment
- Forward-looking capability analysis
Sector Adjustments:
- REIT-appropriate leverage standards
- Financial institution regulatory requirements
- Utility sector regulated capital structures
Performance Optimization and Best Practices
Timeframe Selection
Research by Lo and MacKinlay (1999) demonstrates optimal performance on daily timeframes for equity analysis. Higher frequency data introduces noise while lower frequency reduces responsiveness.
Recommended Implementation:
Primary Analysis:
- Daily (1D) charts for optimal signal quality
- Complete fundamental data integration
- Full macro environment analysis
Secondary Confirmation:
- 4-hour timeframes for intraday confirmation
- Technical indicator validation
- Volume pattern analysis
Avoid for Timing Applications:
- Weekly/Monthly timeframes reduce responsiveness
- Quarterly analysis appropriate for fundamental trends only
- Annual data suitable for long-term research only
Data Quality Requirements
The indicator requires comprehensive fundamental data for optimal performance. Companies with incomplete financial reporting reduce signal reliability.
Quality Standards:
Minimum Requirements:
- 2 years of complete financial data
- Current quarterly updates within 90 days
- Audited financial statements
Optimal Configuration:
- 5+ years for trend analysis
- Quarterly updates within 45 days
- Complete regulatory filings
Geographic Standards:
- Developed market reporting requirements
- International accounting standard compliance
- Regulatory oversight verification
Portfolio Integration Strategies
AITM signals should integrate with comprehensive portfolio management frameworks rather than standalone implementation.
Integration Approach:
Position Sizing:
- Signal strength correlation with allocation size
- Risk-adjusted position scaling
- Portfolio concentration limits
Risk Budgeting:
- Stress-test based allocation
- Scenario analysis integration
- Correlation impact assessment
Diversification Analysis:
- Portfolio correlation maintenance
- Sector exposure monitoring
- Geographic diversification preservation
Rebalancing Frequency:
- Signal-driven optimization
- Transaction cost consideration
- Tax efficiency optimization
Troubleshooting and Common Issues
Missing Fundamental Data
When fundamental data is unavailable, the indicator relies more heavily on technical analysis with reduced reliability.
Solution Approach:
Data Verification:
- Verify ticker symbol accuracy
- Check data provider coverage
- Confirm market trading status
Alternative Strategies:
- Consider ETF alternatives for sector exposure
- Implement technical-only backup scoring
- Use peer company analysis for estimates
Quality Assessment:
- Reduce position sizing for incomplete data
- Enhanced monitoring requirements
- Conservative threshold application
Sector Misclassification
Automatic sector detection may occasionally misclassify companies with hybrid business models.
Correction Process:
Manual Override:
- Enable Manual Sector Override function
- Select appropriate sector classification
- Verify fundamental ratio alignment
Validation:
- Monitor performance improvement
- Compare against industry benchmarks
- Adjust classification as needed
Documentation:
- Record classification rationale
- Track performance impact
- Update classification database
Extreme Market Conditions
During unprecedented market events, historical relationships may temporarily break down.
Adaptive Response:
Monitoring Enhancement:
- Increase signal monitoring frequency
- Implement additional confirmation requirements
- Enhanced risk management protocols
Position Management:
- Reduce position sizing during uncertainty
- Maintain higher cash reserves
- Implement stop-loss mechanisms
Framework Adaptation:
- Temporary parameter adjustments
- Enhanced fundamental screening
- Increased macro factor weighting
IMPLEMENTATION AND VALIDATION
The model implementation utilizes comprehensive financial data sourced from established providers, with fundamental metrics updated on quarterly frequencies to reflect reporting schedules. Technical indicators are calculated using daily price and volume data, while macroeconomic variables are sourced from federal reserve and market data providers.
Risk management mechanisms incorporate multiple layers of protection against false signals. The bankruptcy risk filter utilizes Altman Z-Scores below 1.8 combined with current ratios below 1.0 to identify companies facing potential financial distress. Liquidity crisis detection employs quick ratios below 0.5 combined with cash-to-debt ratios below 0.1. Excessive leverage screening identifies companies with debt-to-equity ratios exceeding 4.0 and interest coverage ratios below 2.0.
Empirical validation of the methodology has been conducted through extensive backtesting across multiple market regimes spanning the period from 2008 to 2024. The analysis encompasses 11 Global Industry Classification Standard sectors to ensure robustness across different industry characteristics. Monte Carlo simulations provide additional validation of the model's statistical properties under various market scenarios.
RESULTS AND PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS
The AITM framework demonstrates particular effectiveness during market transition periods when traditional indicators often provide conflicting signals. During the 2008 financial crisis, the model's emphasis on fundamental safety metrics and macroeconomic regime detection successfully identified the deteriorating market environment, while the 2020 pandemic-induced volatility provided validation of the VIX-based contrarian signaling mechanism.
Sector adaptation proves especially valuable when analyzing companies with distinct business models. Traditional metrics may suggest poor performance for holding companies with low return on equity, while the AITM sector-specific adjustments recognize that such companies should be evaluated using different criteria, consistent with the findings of specialist literature on conglomerate valuation (Berger & Ofek, 1995).
The model's practical implementation supports multiple investment approaches, from systematic dollar-cost averaging strategies to active trading applications. Conservative parameterization captures approximately 85% of optimal entry opportunities while maintaining strict risk controls, reflecting behavioral finance research on loss aversion (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). Aggressive settings focus on superior risk-adjusted returns through enhanced selectivity, consistent with active portfolio management approaches documented by Grinold and Kahn (1999).
LIMITATIONS AND FUTURE RESEARCH
Several limitations constrain the model's applicability and should be acknowledged. The framework requires comprehensive fundamental data availability, limiting its effectiveness for small-cap stocks or markets with limited financial disclosure requirements. Quarterly reporting delays may temporarily reduce the timeliness of fundamental analysis components, though this limitation affects all fundamental-based approaches similarly.
The model's design focus on equity markets limits direct applicability to other asset classes such as fixed income, commodities, or alternative investments. However, the underlying mathematical framework could potentially be adapted for other asset classes through appropriate modification of input variables and weighting schemes.
Future research directions include investigation of machine learning enhancements to the factor weighting mechanisms, expansion of the macroeconomic component to include additional global factors, and development of position sizing algorithms that integrate the model's output signals with portfolio-level risk management objectives.
CONCLUSION
The Adaptive Investment Timing Model represents a comprehensive framework integrating established financial theory with practical implementation guidance. The system's foundation in peer-reviewed research, combined with extensive customization options and risk management features, provides a robust tool for systematic investment timing across multiple investor profiles and market conditions.
The framework's strength lies in its adaptability to changing market regimes while maintaining scientific rigor in signal generation. Through proper configuration and understanding of underlying principles, users can implement AITM effectively within their specific investment frameworks and risk tolerance parameters. The comprehensive user guide provided in this document enables both institutional and individual investors to optimize the system for their particular requirements.
The model contributes to existing literature by demonstrating how established financial theories can be integrated into practical investment tools that maintain scientific rigor while providing actionable investment signals. This approach bridges the gap between academic research and practical portfolio management, offering a quantitative framework that incorporates the complex reality of modern financial markets while remaining accessible to practitioners through detailed implementation guidance.
REFERENCES
Altman, E. I. (1968). Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. Journal of Finance, 23(4), 589-609.
Ang, A., & Bekaert, G. (2007). Stock return predictability: Is it there? Review of Financial Studies, 20(3), 651-707.
Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2007). Investor sentiment in the stock market. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21(2), 129-152.
Berger, P. G., & Ofek, E. (1995). Diversification's effect on firm value. Journal of Financial Economics, 37(1), 39-65.
Bollinger, J. (2001). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Calmar, T. (1991). The Calmar ratio: A smoother tool. Futures, 20(1), 40.
Edwards, R. D., Magee, J., & Bassetti, W. H. C. (2018). Technical Analysis of Stock Trends. 11th ed. Boca Raton: CRC Press.
Estrella, A., & Mishkin, F. S. (1998). Predicting US recessions: Financial variables as leading indicators. Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(1), 45-61.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1988). Dividend yields and expected stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 3-25.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1993). Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1), 3-56.
Giot, P. (2005). Relationships between implied volatility indexes and stock index returns. Journal of Portfolio Management, 31(3), 92-100.
Graham, B., & Dodd, D. L. (2008). Security Analysis. 6th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill Education.
Grinold, R. C., & Kahn, R. N. (1999). Active Portfolio Management. 2nd ed. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Guidolin, M., & Timmermann, A. (2007). Asset allocation under multivariate regime switching. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 31(11), 3503-3544.
Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time series and the business cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Koenker, R., & Bassett Jr, G. (1978). Regression quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50.
Lakonishok, J., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1994). Contrarian investment, extrapolation, and risk. Journal of Finance, 49(5), 1541-1578.
Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1999). A Non-Random Walk Down Wall Street. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Malkiel, B. G. (2003). The efficient market hypothesis and its critics. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 59-82.
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
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Penman, S. H. (2012). Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation. 5th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill Education.
Piotroski, J. D. (2000). Value investing: The use of historical financial statement information to separate winners from losers. Journal of Accounting Research, 38, 1-41.
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COT INDEX
// Users & Producers: Commercial Positions
// Large Specs (Hedge Fonds): Non-commercial Positions
// Retail: Non-reportable Positions
//@version=5
int weeks = input.int(26, "Number of weeks", minval=1)
int upperExtreme = input.int(80, "Upper Threshold in %", minval=50)
int lowerExtreme = input.int(20, "Lower Threshold in %", minval=1)
bool hideCurrentWeek = input(true, "Hide the current week until market close")
bool markExtremes = input(false, "Mark long and short extremes")
bool showSmallSpecs = input(true, "Show small speculators index")
bool showProducers = input(true, "Show producers index")
bool showLargeSpecs = input(true, "Show large speculators index")
indicator("COT INDEX", shorttitle="COT INDEX", format=format.percent, precision=0)
import TradingView/LibraryCOT/2 as cot
// Function to fix some symbols.
var string Root_Symbol = syminfo.root
var string CFTC_Code_fixed = cot.convertRootToCOTCode("Auto")
if Root_Symbol == "HG"
CFTC_Code_fixed := "085692"
else if Root_Symbol == "LBR"
CFTC_Code_fixed := "058644"
// Function to request COT data for Futures only.
dataRequest(metricName, isLong) =>
tickerId = cot.COTTickerid('Legacy', CFTC_Code_fixed, false, metricName, isLong ? "Long" : "Short", "All")
value = request.security(tickerId, "1D", close, ignore_invalid_symbol = true)
if barstate.islastconfirmedhistory and na(value)
runtime.error("Could not find relevant COT data based on the current symbol.")
value
// Function to calculate net long positions.
netLongCommercialPositions() =>
commercialLong = dataRequest("Commercial Positions", true)
commercialShort = dataRequest("Commercial Positions", false)
commercialLong - commercialShort
netLongLargePositions() =>
largeSpecsLong = dataRequest("Noncommercial Positions", true)
largeSpecsShort = dataRequest("Noncommercial Positions", false)
largeSpecsLong - largeSpecsShort
netLongSmallPositions() =>
smallSpecsLong = dataRequest("Nonreportable Positions", true)
smallSpecsShort = dataRequest("Nonreportable Positions", false)
smallSpecsLong - smallSpecsShort
calcIndex(netPos) =>
minNetPos = ta.lowest(netPos, weeks)
maxNetPos = ta.highest(netPos, weeks)
if maxNetPos != minNetPos
100 * (netPos - minNetPos) / (maxNetPos - minNetPos)
else
na
// Calculate the Commercials Position Index.
commercialsIndex = calcIndex(netLongCommercialPositions())
largeSpecsIndex = calcIndex(netLongLargePositions())
smallSpecsIndex = calcIndex(netLongSmallPositions())
// Conditional logic based on user input
plotValueCommercials = hideCurrentWeek ? (timenow >= time_close ? commercialsIndex : na) : (showProducers ? commercialsIndex : na)
plotValueLarge = hideCurrentWeek ? (timenow >= time_close ? largeSpecsIndex : na) : (showLargeSpecs ? largeSpecsIndex : na)
plotValueSmall = hideCurrentWeek ? (timenow >= time_close ? smallSpecsIndex : na) : (showSmallSpecs ? smallSpecsIndex : na)
// Plot the index and horizontal lines
plot(plotValueCommercials, "Commercials", color=color.blue, style=plot.style_line, linewidth=2)
plot(plotValueLarge, "Large Speculators", color=color.red, style=plot.style_line, linewidth=1)
plot(plotValueSmall, "Small Speculators", color=color.green, style=plot.style_line, linewidth=1)
hline(upperExtreme, "Upper Threshold", color=color.green, linestyle=hline.style_solid, linewidth=1)
hline(lowerExtreme, "Lower Threshold", color=color.red, linestyle=hline.style_solid, linewidth=1)
/// Marking extremes with background color
bgcolor(markExtremes and (commercialsIndex >= upperExtreme or largeSpecsIndex >= upperExtreme or smallSpecsIndex >= upperExtreme) ? color.new(color.gray, 90) : na, title="Upper Threshold")
bgcolor(markExtremes and (commercialsIndex <= lowerExtreme or largeSpecsIndex <= lowerExtreme or smallSpecsIndex <= lowerExtreme) ? color.new(color.gray, 90) : na, title="Lower Threshold")
Recession Warning Model [BackQuant]Recession Warning Model
Overview
The Recession Warning Model (RWM) is a Pine Script® indicator designed to estimate the probability of an economic recession by integrating multiple macroeconomic, market sentiment, and labor market indicators. It combines over a dozen data series into a transparent, adaptive, and actionable tool for traders, portfolio managers, and researchers. The model provides customizable complexity levels, display modes, and data processing options to accommodate various analytical requirements while ensuring robustness through dynamic weighting and regime-aware adjustments.
Purpose
The RWM fulfills the need for a concise yet comprehensive tool to monitor recession risk. Unlike approaches relying on a single metric, such as yield-curve inversion, or extensive economic reports, it consolidates multiple data sources into a single probability output. The model identifies active indicators, their confidence levels, and the current economic regime, enabling users to anticipate downturns and adjust strategies accordingly.
Core Features
- Indicator Families : Incorporates 13 indicators across five categories: Yield, Labor, Sentiment, Production, and Financial Stress.
- Dynamic Weighting : Adjusts indicator weights based on recent predictive accuracy, constrained within user-defined boundaries.
- Leading and Coincident Split : Separates early-warning (leading) and confirmatory (coincident) signals, with adjustable weighting (default 60/40 mix).
- Economic Regime Sensitivity : Modulates output sensitivity based on market conditions (Expansion, Late-Cycle, Stress, Crisis), using a composite of VIX, yield-curve, financial conditions, and credit spreads.
- Display Options : Supports four modes—Probability (0-100%), Binary (four risk bins), Lead/Coincident, and Ensemble (blended probability).
- Confidence Intervals : Reflects model stability, widening during high volatility or conflicting signals.
- Alerts : Configurable thresholds (Watch, Caution, Warning, Alert) with persistence filters to minimize false signals.
- Data Export : Enables CSV output for probabilities, signals, and regimes, facilitating external analysis in Python or R.
Model Complexity Levels
Users can select from four tiers to balance simplicity and depth:
1. Essential : Focuses on three core indicators—yield-curve spread, jobless claims, and unemployment change—for minimalistic monitoring.
2. Standard : Expands to nine indicators, adding consumer confidence, PMI, VIX, S&P 500 trend, money supply vs. GDP, and the Sahm Rule.
3. Professional : Includes all 13 indicators, incorporating financial conditions, credit spreads, JOLTS vacancies, and wage growth.
4. Research : Unlocks all indicators plus experimental settings for advanced users.
Key Indicators
Below is a summary of the 13 indicators, their data sources, and economic significance:
- Yield-Curve Spread : Difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields. Negative spreads signal banking sector stress.
- Jobless Claims : Four-week moving average of unemployment claims. Sustained increases indicate rising layoffs.
- Unemployment Change : Three-month change in unemployment rate. Sharp rises often precede recessions.
- Sahm Rule : Triggers when unemployment rises 0.5% above its 12-month low, a reliable recession indicator.
- Consumer Confidence : University of Michigan survey. Declines reflect household pessimism, impacting spending.
- PMI : Purchasing Managers’ Index. Values below 50 indicate manufacturing contraction.
- VIX : CBOE Volatility Index. Elevated levels suggest market anticipation of economic distress.
- S&P 500 Growth : Weekly moving average trend. Declines reduce wealth effects, curbing consumption.
- M2 + GDP Trend : Monitors money supply and real GDP. Simultaneous declines signal credit contraction.
- NFCI : Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index. Positive values indicate tighter conditions.
- Credit Spreads : Proxy for corporate bond spreads using 10-year vs. 2-year Treasury yields. Widening spreads reflect stress.
- JOLTS Vacancies : Job openings data. Significant drops precede hiring slowdowns.
- Wage Growth : Year-over-year change in average hourly earnings. Late-cycle spikes often signal economic overheating.
Data Processing
- Rate of Change (ROC) : Optionally applied to capture momentum in data series (default: 21-bar period).
- Z-Score Normalization : Standardizes indicators to a common scale (default: 252-bar lookback).
- Smoothing : Applies a short moving average to final signals (default: 5-bar period) to reduce noise.
- Binary Signals : Generated for each indicator (e.g., yield-curve inverted or PMI below 50) based on thresholds or Z-score deviations.
Probability Calculation
1. Each indicator’s binary signal is weighted according to user settings or dynamic performance.
2. Weights are normalized to sum to 100% across active indicators.
3. Leading and coincident signals are aggregated separately (if split mode is enabled) and combined using the specified mix.
4. The probability is adjusted by a regime multiplier, amplifying risk during Stress or Crisis regimes.
5. Optional smoothing ensures stable outputs.
Display and Visualization
- Probability Mode : Plots a continuous 0-100% recession probability with color gradients and confidence bands.
- Binary Mode : Categorizes risk into four levels (Minimal, Watch, Caution, Alert) for simplified dashboards.
- Lead/Coincident Mode : Displays leading and coincident probabilities separately to track signal divergence.
- Ensemble Mode : Averages traditional and split probabilities for a balanced view.
- Regime Background : Color-coded overlays (green for Expansion, orange for Late-Cycle, amber for Stress, red for Crisis).
- Analytics Table : Optional dashboard showing probability, confidence, regime, and top indicator statuses.
Practical Applications
- Asset Allocation : Adjust equity or bond exposures based on sustained probability increases.
- Risk Management : Hedge portfolios with VIX futures or options during regime shifts to Stress or Crisis.
- Sector Rotation : Shift toward defensive sectors when coincident signals rise above 50%.
- Trading Filters : Disable short-term strategies during high-risk regimes.
- Event Timing : Scale positions ahead of high-impact data releases when probability and VIX are elevated.
Configuration Guidelines
- Enable ROC and Z-score for consistent indicator comparison unless raw data is preferred.
- Use dynamic weighting with at least one economic cycle of data for optimal performance.
- Monitor stress composite scores above 80 alongside probabilities above 70 for critical risk signals.
- Adjust adaptation speed (default: 0.1) to 0.2 during Crisis regimes for faster indicator prioritization.
- Combine RWM with complementary tools (e.g., liquidity metrics) for intraday or short-term trading.
Limitations
- Macro indicators lag intraday market moves, making RWM better suited for strategic rather than tactical trading.
- Historical data availability may constrain dynamic weighting on shorter timeframes.
- Model accuracy depends on the quality and timeliness of economic data feeds.
Final Note
The Recession Warning Model provides a disciplined framework for monitoring economic downturn risks. By integrating diverse indicators with transparent weighting and regime-aware adjustments, it empowers users to make informed decisions in portfolio management, risk hedging, or macroeconomic research. Regular review of model outputs alongside market-specific tools ensures its effective application across varying market conditions.
Range Filter Strategy [Real Backtest]Range Filter Strategy - Real Backtesting
# Overview
Advanced Range Filter strategy designed for realistic backtesting with precise execution timing and comprehensive risk management. Built specifically for cryptocurrency markets with customizable parameters for different assets and timeframes.
Core Algorithm
Range Filter Technology:
- Smooth Average Range calculation using dual EMA filtering
- Dynamic range-based price filtering to identify trend direction
- Anti-noise filtering system to reduce false signals
- Directional momentum tracking with upward/downward counters
Key Features
Real-Time Execution (No Delay)
- Process orders on tick: Immediate execution without waiting for bar close
- Bar magnifier integration for intrabar precision
- Calculate on every tick for maximum responsiveness
- Standard OHLC bypass for enhanced accuracy
Realistic Price Simulation
- HL2 entry pricing (High+Low)/2 for realistic fills
- Configurable spread buffer simulation
- Random slippage generation (0 to max slippage)
- Market liquidity validation before entry
Advanced Signal Filtering
- Volume-based filtering with customizable ratio
- Optional signal confirmation system (1-3 bars)
- Anti-repetition logic to prevent duplicate signals
- Daily trade limit controls
Risk Management
- Fixed Risk:Reward ratios with precise point calculation
- Automatic stop loss and take profit execution
- Position size management
- Maximum daily trades limitation
Alert System
- Real-time alerts synchronized with strategy execution
- Multiple alert types: Setup, Entry, Exit, Status
- Customizable message formatting with price/time inclusion
- TradingView alert panel integration
Default Parameters
Optimized for BTC 5-minute charts:
- Sampling Period: 100
- Range Multiplier: 3.0
- Risk: 50 points
- Reward: 100 points (1:2 R:R)
- Spread Buffer: 2.0 points
- Max Slippage: 1.0 points
Signal Logic
Long Entry Conditions:
- Price above Range Filter line
- Upward momentum confirmed
- Volume requirements met (if enabled)
- Confirmation period completed (if enabled)
- Daily trade limit not exceeded
Short Entry Conditions:
- Price below Range Filter line
- Downward momentum confirmed
- Volume requirements met (if enabled)
- Confirmation period completed (if enabled)
- Daily trade limit not exceeded
Visual Elements
- Range Filter line with directional coloring
- Upper and lower target bands
- Entry signal markers
- Risk/Reward ratio boxes
- Real-time settings dashboard
Customization Options
Market Adaptation:
- Adjust Sampling Period for different timeframes
- Modify Range Multiplier for various volatility levels
- Configure spread/slippage for different brokers
- Set appropriate R:R ratios for trading style
Filtering Controls:
- Enable/disable volume filtering
- Adjust confirmation requirements
- Set daily trade limits
- Customize alert preferences
Performance Features
- Realistic backtesting results aligned with live trading
- Elimination of look-ahead bias
- Proper order execution simulation
- Comprehensive trade statistics
Alert Configuration
Alert Types Available:
- Entry signals with complete trade information
- Setup alerts for early preparation
- Exit notifications for position management
- Filter direction changes for market context
Message Format:
Symbol - Action | Price: XX.XX | Stop: XX.XX | Target: XX.XX | Time: HH:MM
Usage Recommendations
Optimal Settings:
- Bitcoin/Major Crypto: Default parameters
- Forex: Reduce sampling period to 50-70, multiplier to 2.0-2.5
- Stocks: Reduce sampling period to 30-50, multiplier to 1.0-1.8
- Gold: Sampling period 60-80, multiplier 1.5-2.0
TradingView Configuration:
- Recalculate: "On every tick"
- Orders: "Use bar magnifier"
- Data: Real-time feed recommended
Risk Disclaimer
This strategy is designed for educational and analytical purposes. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always test thoroughly on paper trading before live implementation. Consider market conditions, broker execution, and personal risk tolerance when using any automated trading system.
Best Settings Found for Gold 15-Minute Timeframe
After extensive testing and optimization, these are the most effective settings I've discovered for trading Gold (XAUUSD) on the 15-minute timeframe:
Core Filter Settings:
Sampling Period: 100
Range Multiplier: 3.0
Professional Execution Engine:
Realistic Entry: Enabled (HL2)
Spread Buffer: 2 points
Dynamic Slippage: Enabled with max 1 point
Volume Filter: Enabled at 1.7x ratio
Signal Confirmation: Enabled with 1 bar confirmation
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: 50 points
Take Profit: 100 points (2:1 Risk-Reward)
Max Trades Per Day: 5
These settings provide an excellent balance between signal accuracy and realistic market execution. The volume filter at 1.7x ensures we only trade during periods of sufficient market activity, while the 1-bar confirmation helps filter out false signals. The spread buffer and slippage settings account for real trading costs, making backtest results more realistic and achievable in live trading.
FEDFUNDS Rate Divergence Oscillator [BackQuant]FEDFUNDS Rate Divergence Oscillator
1. Concept and Rationale
The United States Federal Funds Rate is the anchor around which global dollar liquidity and risk-free yield expectations revolve. When the Fed hikes, borrowing costs rise, liquidity tightens and most risk assets encounter head-winds. When it cuts, liquidity expands, speculative appetite often recovers. Bitcoin, a 24-hour permissionless asset sometimes described as “digital gold with venture-capital-like convexity,” is particularly sensitive to macro-liquidity swings.
The FED Divergence Oscillator quantifies the behavioural gap between short-term monetary policy (proxied by the effective Fed Funds Rate) and Bitcoin’s own percentage price change. By converting each series into identical rate-of-change units, subtracting them, then optionally smoothing the result, the script produces a single bounded-yet-dynamic line that tells you, at a glance, whether Bitcoin is outperforming or underperforming the policy backdrop—and by how much.
2. Data Pipeline
• Fed Funds Rate – Pulled directly from the FRED database via the ticker “FRED:FEDFUNDS,” sampled at daily frequency to synchronise with crypto closes.
• Bitcoin Price – By default the script forces a daily timeframe so that both series share time alignment, although you can disable that and plot the oscillator on intraday charts if you prefer.
• User Source Flexibility – The BTC series is not hard-wired; you can select any exchange-specific symbol or even swap BTC for another crypto or risk asset whose interaction with the Fed rate you wish to study.
3. Math under the Hood
(1) Rate of Change (ROC) – Both the Fed rate and BTC close are converted to percent return over a user-chosen lookback (default 30 bars). This means a cut from 5.25 percent to 5.00 percent feeds in as –4.76 percent, while a climb from 25 000 to 30 000 USD in BTC over the same window converts to +20 percent.
(2) Divergence Construction – The script subtracts the Fed ROC from the BTC ROC. Positive values show BTC appreciating faster than policy is tightening (or falling slower than the rate is cutting); negative values show the opposite.
(3) Optional Smoothing – Macro series are noisy. Toggle “Apply Smoothing” to calm the line with your preferred moving-average flavour: SMA, EMA, DEMA, TEMA, RMA, WMA or Hull. The default EMA-25 removes day-to-day whips while keeping turning points alive.
(4) Dynamic Colour Mapping – Rather than using a single hue, the oscillator line employs a gradient where deep greens represent strong bullish divergence and dark reds flag sharp bearish divergence. This heat-map approach lets you gauge intensity without squinting at numbers.
(5) Threshold Grid – Five horizontal guides create a structured regime map:
• Lower Extreme (–50 pct) and Upper Extreme (+50 pct) identify panic capitulations and euphoria blow-offs.
• Oversold (–20 pct) and Overbought (+20 pct) act as early warning alarms.
• Zero Line demarcates neutral alignment.
4. Chart Furniture and User Interface
• Oscillator fill with a secondary DEMA-30 “shader” offers depth perception: fat ribbons often precede high-volatility macro shifts.
• Optional bar-colouring paints candles green when the oscillator is above zero and red below, handy for visual correlation.
• Background tints when the line breaches extreme zones, making macro inflection weeks pop out in the replay bar.
• Everything—line width, thresholds, colours—can be customised so the indicator blends into any template.
5. Interpretation Guide
Macro Liquidity Pulse
• When the oscillator spends weeks above +20 while the Fed is still raising rates, Bitcoin is signalling liquidity tolerance or an anticipatory pivot view. That condition often marks the embryonic phase of major bull cycles (e.g., March 2020 rebound).
• Sustained prints below –20 while the Fed is already dovish indicate risk aversion or idiosyncratic crypto stress—think exchange scandals or broad flight to safety.
Regime Transition Signals
• Bullish cross through zero after a long sub-zero stint shows Bitcoin regaining upward escape velocity versus policy.
• Bearish cross under zero during a hiking cycle tells you monetary tightening has finally started to bite.
Momentum Exhaustion and Mean-Reversion
• Touches of +50 (or –50) come rarely; they are statistically stretched events. Fade strategies either taking profits or hedging have historically enjoyed positive expectancy.
• Inside-bar candlestick patterns or lower-timeframe bearish engulfings simultaneously with an extreme overbought print make high-probability short scalp setups, especially near weekly resistance. The same logic mirrors for oversold.
Pair Trading / Relative Value
• Combine the oscillator with spreads like BTC versus Nasdaq 100. When both the FED Divergence oscillator and the BTC–NDQ relative-strength line roll south together, the cross-asset confirmation amplifies conviction in a mean-reversion short.
• Swap BTC for miners, altcoins or high-beta equities to test who is the divergence leader.
Event-Driven Tactics
• FOMC days: plot the oscillator on an hourly chart (disable ‘Force Daily TF’). Watch for micro-structural spikes that resolve in the first hour after the statement; rapid flips across zero can front-run post-FOMC swings.
• CPI and NFP prints: extremes reached into the release often mean positioning is one-sided. A reversion toward neutral in the first 24 hours is common.
6. Alerts Suite
Pre-bundled conditions let you automate workflows:
• Bullish / Bearish zero crosses – queue spot or futures entries.
• Standard OB / OS – notify for first contact with actionable zones.
• Extreme OB / OS – prime time to review hedges, take profits or build contrarian swing positions.
7. Parameter Playground
• Shorten ROC Lookback to 14 for tactical traders; lengthen to 90 for macro investors.
• Raise extreme thresholds (for example ±80) when plotting on altcoins that exhibit higher volatility than BTC.
• Try HMA smoothing for responsive yet smooth curves on intraday charts.
• Colour-blind users can easily swap bull and bear palette selections for preferred contrasts.
8. Limitations and Best Practices
• The Fed Funds series is step-wise; it only changes on meeting days. Rapid BTC oscillations in between may dominate the calculation. Keep that perspective when interpreting very high-frequency signals.
• Divergence does not equal causation. Crypto-native catalysts (ETF approvals, hack headlines) can overwhelm macro links temporarily.
• Use in conjunction with classical confirmation tools—order-flow footprints, market-profile ledges, or simple price action to avoid “pure-indicator” traps.
9. Final Thoughts
The FEDFUNDS Rate Divergence Oscillator distills an entire macro narrative monetary policy versus risk sentiment into a single colourful heartbeat. It will not magically predict every pivot, yet it excels at framing market context, spotting stretches and timing regime changes. Treat it as a strategic compass rather than a tactical sniper scope, combine it with sound risk management and multi-factor confirmation, and you will possess a robust edge anchored in the world’s most influential interest-rate benchmark.
Trade consciously, stay adaptive, and let the policy-price tension guide your roadmap.
Smart MTF Bias Detector v3 (Debug)Here's a breakdown of the "Smart MTF Bias Detector v3 (Debug)" indicator's five main filters:
Main Trend (Multi-Timeframe Heikin Ashi)
The green/red background indicates the trend from Heikin Ashi candles on the H1 timeframe (or your set timeframe).
If the Heikin Ashi candle closes above its open, the background is green (indicating an upward bias).
If the Heikin Ashi candle closes below its open, the background is red (indicating a downward bias).
Short-Term Trend Filter (EMA50)
The yellow line represents the EMA50.
Buy only when the price closes above the EMA50.
Sell only when the price closes below the EMA50.
Abnormal Buy/Sell Pressure Detection (Volume Spike)
Purple dots signify candles where the volume is greater than the SMA (Simple Moving Average) of volume over N previous candles, multiplied by a specified multiplier.
This confirms there's "force" driving the price up or serious selling pressure.
Momentum Filter (Stochastic RSI)
Blue upward triangles and orange downward triangles indicate when %K crosses %D.
It uses Oversold/Overbought targets (20/80) to avoid crosses in the middle ranges.
Pivot Break (Fractal Breakout)
Red "X" marks represent Fractal Highs, and green "X" marks represent Fractal Lows.
Red/green up/down arrows indicate breakouts of these levels (e.g., a previous High being broken means an upward breakout, or a previous Low being broken means a downward breakout).
BUY Signal Conditions
A BUY signal will be generated when:
The background is green (HTF Trend ↑).
The Stoch RSI crosses up from below the Oversold zone (blue arrow).
A Fractal Low breakout occurs (Fract UP arrow).
The price is above the EMA50.
There is a Volume Spike (purple dot).
SELL Signal Conditions
A SELL signal will be generated when:
The background is red (HTF Trend ↓).
The Stoch RSI crosses down from above the Overbought zone (orange arrow).
A Fractal High breakout occurs (Fract DOWN arrow).
The price is below the EMA50.
There is a Volume Spike (purple dot).
4H Bollinger Breakout StrategyThis strategy leverages Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour timeframe for long and short trades in trending or ranging markets. Entries trigger on BB breakouts with optional filters for volume, trend, and RSI. Exits occur on opposite BB crosses. Customizable for long-only, short-only, or indicator mode via code comments. Supports forex, stocks, or crypto with full equity allocation and 0.1% commission.
Length (Default: 20): Period for BB basis and std dev; shorter for sensitivity, longer for smoothing.
Basis MA Type (Default: SMA): Selects MA for middle band (SMA, EMA, etc.); EMA for faster response.
Source (Default: Close): Price input for calculations; use close for standard accuracy.
StdDev Multiplier (Default: 1.8): Band width control; higher for fewer signals, lower for more.
Offset (Default: 0): Shifts BB plots; typically unchanged.
Use Filters (Default: True): Applies volume, trend, RSI checks to filter signals.
Volume MA Length (Default: 20): For volume filter (long: >105% avg, short: >120%).
Trend MA Length (Default: 80): SMA for trend filter (long: above MA, short: below).
RSI Length (Default: 14): For short filter (entry if RSI <85).
Use Long/Short Signals (Defaults: True): Toggles directions; long entry on lower BB crossover, short on upper crossunder.
Visuals: BB plots (blue basis, red upper, green lower), orange trend MA, filled background.
Labels/Alerts: Green/red for long entry/exit, yellow/purple for short; alert conditions included.
Smart Impulse Exhaustion Finder (ATR + ADX Filter)📌 Purpose
This indicator detects potential exhaustion of strong bullish or bearish impulses at fresh swing highs/lows by combining multiple price action and volatility-based filters.
🧠 How It Works
A signal is triggered only when all core conditions are satisfied:
1. Swing High/Low Detection
Current high (or low) must be the highest (or lowest) over the last Extremum Lookback bars (default: 50).
This ensures the move is significant relative to recent price action.
2. Impulse Confirmation
Price must extend by at least 1 × ATR from the previous swing point.
This filters out minor fluctuations.
3. Exhaustion Conditions (at least 2 out of 3 must be met)
RSI Extreme: RSI > Overbought Level (default: 80) for bearish signals, RSI < Oversold Level (default: 20) for bullish signals.
Volume Spike: Volume > SMA(Volume, Volume SMA Length) × Volume Spike Multiplier.
Candle Wick Rejection: Upper wick ≥ Wick Threshold % for bearish setups, Lower wick ≥ Wick Threshold % for bullish setups.
4. Trend Filter
ADX > ADX Threshold ensures the market is trending and filters out sideways conditions.
5. Candle Body Filter
Candle body must be ≥ Body Size ATR Factor × ATR.
This avoids weak signals from small candles or doji formations.
📈 How to Use
Bearish Signal:
Appears at fresh swing highs with exhaustion conditions met. Useful for tightening stops, taking partial profits, or counter-trend shorts.
Bullish Signal:
Appears at fresh swing lows with exhaustion conditions met. Useful for trailing stops, profit-taking, or counter-trend longs.
Recommended Timeframes: Works best on 1h, 4h, and Daily charts.
Markets: Crypto, Forex, Stocks — wherever volatility and trends are present.
⚙️ Inputs
RSI Length / Overbought / Oversold
Volume SMA Length & Volume Spike Multiplier
Wick Threshold %
Extremum Lookback (bars for highs/lows)
ADX Length & Threshold
Body Size ATR Factor
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Always test thoroughly and apply proper risk management before live trading.
💡 Tip: Combine this tool with your own market context and confluence factors for higher probability setups.
Reversal Signal avec TICK + RSIThis indicator is a potential reversal indicator for SCALPING, don't use it for swing. It's base on TICK and on an overbrought/oversold condition of the RSI. You can play with the setting, typicaly I like my TICK to be over reacting an 800/-800 and my rsi over 20 and 80, but it give not enough signal. So I set the TICK signal at 651/-651 and the RSI at 25/75. This indicator is made for SP500 and Nasdaq, so SPY/QQQ/SPX/ES/NQ should work well. It's the first version of it, so maybe I'll add so more data to it to increase signal and lower false one. For now I've test it on live market yet(26/7/25).
The RSI is Fast(5 period), I like to use it on the 1 or 5 min chart.
Please not that it only work during 9h30am to 4pm EST.(Because of the TICK)
Feel free to try and even comment. Don't be harsh on me, it's my first try!
(Sorry for my 'english' it's not my first language)
FAUCON
