AAPL Eyes $300—Bullish Breakout in PlayAAPL Eyes $300—Bullish Breakout in Play
AAPL could reach $300 in the coming months.
Since our last update, the stock has climbed nearly 20%, rising from $200 to $240.
It recently broke out of a small triangle pattern, showing strong bullish momentum. This breakout suggests the rally may continue.
My key upside targets are: $257.50, $270, $280, and eventually $300.
Watch the full analysis for more insights.
Thank you!
AAPL trade ideas
APPL Breakout Play: Ride Momentum w/ $250 Calls
# 🚀 APPL Swing Trade Setup (2025-09-07)
**Bias:** 🔥 Bullish (multi-timeframe momentum confirmed)
**Conviction:** ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (75%)
### 📊 Key Takeaways
* ✅ Daily RSI = 73.3 → strong momentum
* ✅ Multi-timeframe alignment → bullish trend continuation
* ⚠️ Volume = \~1.0x avg → breakout needs confirmation
* ⚖️ Options flow = neutral (C/P \~1.0) → no big institutional push
* 🌐 VIX \~15 → low vol = cheap calls
---
### 🎯 Trade Plan
* **Instrument:** \$APPL
* **Direction:** CALL (single-leg)
* **Strike:** \$250
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-19
* **Entry Price:** 0.78 (ask)
* **Profit Target:** 1.56 (≈100% gain)
* **Stop Loss:** 0.47 (\~40% risk)
* **Size:** 1 contract (adjust to 2% account risk)
* **Entry Timing:** Open (or breakout > \$241.5 + volume)
---
### 🧠 Rationale
* \$250 strike = liquid (OI 36k+) & balanced delta/liquidity
* Low VIX keeps theta drag manageable (12 DTE)
* Upside continuation likely toward \$246–\$250 zone
* Defined risk/reward w/ simple naked call
---
### ⚠️ Risks
* ❌ Failed breakout → fast premium decay
* ⏳ Time decay accelerates after 7–8 DTE
* 📰 Macro/news shocks = whipsaw risk
---
## 📌 TRADE DETAILS (JSON)
```json
{
"instrument": "APPL",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 250.0,
"expiry": "2025-09-19",
"confidence": 0.75,
"profit_target": 1.56,
"stop_loss": 0.47,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.78,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-07 13:19:26 EDT"
}
```
Apple (AAPL) Shares Jump to a Six-Month HighApple (AAPL) Shares Jump to a Six-Month High
As the AAPL chart shows, yesterday the price rose above $238 – its highest level since early March.
The optimistic sentiment was fuelled by:
→ A court ruling concerning Google, which we reported on yesterday. Apple shares advanced after the court allowed Alphabet to continue paying Apple for preloading Google Search on the iPhone. Bank of America analysts even raised their AAPL price target to $260.
→ The upcoming Apple presentation scheduled for 9 September. Expectations are that the event could unveil the iPhone 17 and new Apple Watch models, which may provide a bullish catalyst.
Technical Analysis of Apple (AAPL) Stocks
Analysing the chart in early August, we:
→ identified an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ noted that, given the aggressive rally (accompanied by bullish gaps) and a strong fundamental backdrop, any corrections were likely to be limited.
Since then:
→ AAPL has moved higher, justifying the expansion of the blue channel;
→ the pullback (marked by an arrow) was minor, as expected, confirming the median line of the expanded channel as support;
→ in the short term, we could identify grounds for a new upward trajectory (shown in orange).
Yesterday’s price action in AAPL:
→ produced a wide bullish gap at the open (which may act as support);
→ broke through the long-term descending trendline (R), which had been acting as resistance;
→ indicated that the $235 level (around the August high) now functions as support.
Within this context, we could assume that:
→ in the short term, AAPL may maintain its upward trajectory within the orange channel;
→ in the longer term, bulls may target the upper boundary of the blue channel – located near the psychological $250 mark. Reaching this level could trigger stronger selling pressure.
In the event of a significant correction (for example, due to disappointment with new product launches), potential support levels could include:
→ the median of the blue channel;
→ the trendline R.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
APPLE: Will Start Falling! Here is Why:
The price of APPLE will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
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AAPL....What's next....The Good
Recovery off lows: That sharp reversal from ~$165 back above $230 shows strong buyer support. The +36% bounce (highlighted on chart) is impressive.
Trend alignment: Shorter EMAs are stacked above longer ones again, suggesting bullish momentum is back.
Volume: Decent participation on the rebound, not a weak drift higher.
The Bad
Heavy resistance overhead: $235–$240 is a supply zone. Price has stalled there multiple times, and you can see past rejection points at 235, 260. This area must be cleared for continuation.
Lower high risk: Unless AAPL breaks above $260, it could be setting up a “lower high” compared to past peaks (Feb & July 2024).
Valuation risk: Apple isn’t cheap right now. Macro risk (Fed cuts, consumer spending slowdown, China supply chain issues) could make it more vulnerable than Nvidia/semis.
The Ugly
Previous deep drawdowns: AAPL saw nearly a -36% correction not long ago. That’s a reminder this is not a low-risk hold anymore. One earnings miss or weak iPhone cycle could re-trigger that.
Crowded trade: Everyone owns Apple. Hedge funds, ETFs, retail. If big money rotates out, selling pressure is brutal.
Cost vs. Benefit
Benefit: If Apple breaks $240 convincingly, next stop is likely $260 (prior high). That’s ~12% upside.
Cost: If it fails here and rolls over, you could be looking at a drop back to $215 (near 50-day/200-day confluence) or even $200 (~15% downside).
Apple Shares (AAPL) Fall After iPhone 17 LaunchApple Shares (AAPL) Fall After iPhone 17 Launch
Yesterday, Apple unveiled its new products, including the iPhone 17. The new model features a sleeker form factor, an improved display and battery, and a new processor. However, analysts believe the model lacks the breakthrough impact needed to drive the stock higher.
The charts confirm this: while the main stock indices rose yesterday, AAPL shares fell by around 1.5%.
Technical Analysis of Apple Shares (AAPL)
When analysing the chart six days ago, we:
→ confirmed the upward channel (shown in blue);
→ highlighted the $235 support level;
→ suggested that while AAPL stock could maintain upward momentum, disappointment over the new product launch might trigger a correction.
In addition to the AAPL price action we noted earlier, several bearish signals on the hourly chart support the correction scenario:
→ a long upper shadow (marked with an arrow);
→ aggressive price action when breaking the $235 support;
→ bearish divergences on the RSI indicator.
Bulls might find support at line S, which is part of a fan drawn from the starting point of the bullish impulse on 6 August.
However, if bearish sentiment persists, price action could unfold within the structure shown in red (potentially a bull flag pattern inside the prevailing bullish trend). Bearish pressure could aim to push AAPL shares down towards the median of the red channel.
In that case, bulls may find support in the area where several lines converge:
→ the lower rays of the fan (shown in orange);
→ the psychological $230 level (which has repeatedly switched roles between resistance and support since August);
→ the median of the blue channel;
→ the lower boundary of the bullish gap from 2 September.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Apple Wave Analysis – 3 September 2025- Apple broke the resistance level 234.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 240.00
Apple recently broke with the upward gap above the resistance level 234.00, which stopped the previous minor impulse wave 1 at the start of August.
The price earlier reversed from the support level 225.00 (former strong resistance from March and April).
Given the multi-month uptrend, Apple can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 240.00, former resistance from the start of March.
Could be a good month for Apple. Apple has potentially broken out of a recent flag pattern. While I typically don't use hourly charts, in this case, it does present the situation more clearly. The next target price will be 260 USD, although I plan to continue holding my long position until it reaches over $270. Since the predicted Golden Cross, Apple has been very bullish. With increased trading activity.
Forming lack of market confidence in AI market overall and its associated potential bubble, Apple remains a well-rounded stock to hold. We could see further rewards, especially since they have not yet heavily invested in the AI market and are not as reliant on its future revenue and value. So could be bubble protected to some extent, if it pops.
With September approaching and the "sell in May and walk away" period coming to an end, I expect trading volumes to increase and a rebalancing of portfolios, with capital likely flowing back into Apple. Additionally, Apple has its September launch event coming up, and expectations are high. Overall, Apple looks promising for potential returns in September. Although Q3 numbers could be bearish given the current market climate, Apple appears more stable and less bubble-like than other stocks in the Magnificent Seven...
As previous too much fear regarding Apple for the last few quarters. Which presented some really good entry points and good returns.
Apple Inc. (AAPL) Thrives on iPhone and Service SalesApple Inc. (AAPL) is one of the world’s most valuable technology companies, known for its iconic products like the iPhone, iPad, Mac, Apple Watch, and AirPods. The company also generates strong recurring revenue through services such as the App Store, Apple Music, and iCloud. Apple’s growth is fueled by constant product innovation, a loyal global customer base, and expanding services that complement its hardware ecosystem.
On the chart, a confirmation bar with rising volume shows bullish strength. The price has entered the momentum zone by moving above the .236 Fibonacci level. A trailing stop can be set just below this Fibonacci line using the Fibonacci snap tool, helping traders secure profits while allowing room for more upside potential.
AAPL | Money will Rotate into this MEGA CAP | LONGApple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other varieties of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, AppleCare, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak in April 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.
APPLE Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for APPLE below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 239.67
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 234.66
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AAPL LongOn AAPL (15m), the broader market structure has shifted bearish after multiple CHoCH signals near 239–238 and a decisive Break of Structure (BOS) around 236, which confirms sellers have taken control following the rejection from the recent swing high at 241.02. The rapid downside move into the current session suggests continuation pressure, but a short-term corrective rally remains possible if demand levels hold.
The supply zones between 233–239 look strong, as price repeatedly failed to hold above them and sold off sharply each time, showing clear seller dominance. The stacked demand levels below 227 down to 220 are important to watch: buyers previously stepped in with strength here, creating impulsive rallies, but their ability to defend these zones again will determine whether a deeper recovery can take place.
Price is now trading at 227.91, extending a sharp leg lower into nearby demand. The marked projection suggests price may attempt a bounce from this area, targeting a corrective move back toward 233–238 supply. If buyers manage to defend current lows and create a bullish reaction, a retracement into those red zones is likely. However, failure to hold above 226.90 would expose lower demand layers toward 224–222.
The current trade bias is bearish, but near-term expectation is for a corrective bullish retracement into supply before sellers look to re-engage. The outlook would be invalidated if price breaks and closes decisively above 239, as that would flip structure back in favor of buyers. Momentum currently favors sellers given the sharp downside drive, but any slowing of bearish candles at demand or the appearance of strong bullish engulfing patterns would support a corrective move higher.
AAPL LongBroader Market Structure (AAPL 1H):
The broader structure has shifted bullish after a strong recovery from the lows near $223.78, which marked the prior Change of Character (CHoCH) to the downside. Since then, price has reclaimed higher levels and printed a clear Break of Structure (BOS) above $241.32, confirming bullish continuation. This transition suggests sellers have lost control and the market is now favoring higher highs unless a key demand zone is broken.
Supply and Demand Analysis:
The demand zone between $237–239 is fresh, formed after buyers stepped in with strength and drove price impulsively higher. This makes it a strong candidate for a retest and bounce. The deeper demand around $228–230 remains significant since buyers created a clean rally from that base, but given that it has been tapped once already, it is somewhat weaker than the higher zone. On the supply side, there’s no immediate strong resistance overhead until new highs are formed, giving bulls open space to extend the move.
Price Action Within Marked Region:
At present, price is consolidating near the top after breaking higher, and the projection suggests a pullback into the $237–239 demand zone before resuming upside. The candles are showing reduced momentum after the breakout, hinting that a corrective retracement is likely before continuation.
Current Trade Bias & Outlook:
The bias is bullish, with the expectation that price will dip into demand before resuming higher toward $245–248. The invalidation level for this bullish outlook would be a break below $228, which would erase the recent BOS and tilt structure bearish again.
Momentum & Candlestick Behavior:
Momentum favors buyers, as seen in the impulsive move that cleared prior highs. However, current candles show signs of slowing, which supports the idea of a short-term pullback before buyers re-enter. No reversal patterns have formed yet at the highs, so the structure still supports continuation.
Apple – Can the Company’s “Awe Dropping” Event Deliver?The Apple share price has been on a roll of late, trading from a low of 224 on August 21st to print a 6 month high of 241 on Friday (Sept 5th), consolidating its position as the third biggest company in the world with a market capitalisation of $3.56 trillion, just behind Microsoft in second place at $3.68 trillion.
However, what happens next for the Apple share price may depend in part on how well traders respond to the company’s biggest product launch of 2025, which is due for release at its “Awe Dropping” event later today.
Apple are due to showcase their next generation iPhone line up, alongside new smartwatches, and other devices. This hardware is seen as important for the future success of the company given Apple has fallen behind its key competitors in the AI space and so needs customers to keep buying these products while it revitalises its plans to catch up.
The Apple Event kicks off at 1800 BST. It could be helpful for traders to monitor the product announcements and keep focused on any impact they have on price action for Apple stock throughout the evening and early trading on Wednesday.
The share price could experience pockets of volatility across this crucial 24 hour period before traders switch their focus to the US inflation releases that are scheduled for 1330 BST Wednesday (PPI) and 1330 BST Thursday (CPI).
Technical Update: Optimism Ahead of the Product Launch?
It might be argued the current price of Apple shares reflects positive investor sentiment ahead of today’s product launch.
Since the April 8th low, traders have consistently bought into price dips, pushing the stock above resistance marked by the previous failure high.
As the chart above shows, improving sentiment has helped form an uptrend in price, with Friday marking the highest trade in Apple shares since March 7th.
While the positive trend is encouraging, it is no guarantee of continued price strength, and much will depend on how the market reacts to this evening’s key sentiment driver.
That said, a close above the 241 high could trigger a further phase of strength toward higher resistance levels.
A successful close above 241 might signal a push toward resistance at 250, which is the February 25th high, or even 260, which is the December 26th peak.
However, if the market reacts negatively to the product launch, breaking key support levels might be an indication for risks of further price declines in Apple’s share price.
As shown in the chart above, the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 232, may offer initial support. Last week's decline held at this level, helping to establish fresh buying interest and the latest move to new recovery highs.
As such, the 232 level may serve as the first possible support, with a close below it signalling potential for increased downside risks.
A close below 232 could potentially trigger a deeper decline toward 224, the August 21st low, or even 202, the August monthly downside extreme.
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AAPL Market Preview for Monday, September 8Price Action & Market Structure
* AAPL is trading around 239.8, consolidating after multiple rejections near 240.5–241.3.
* Price is still within a rising channel, but short-term momentum is softening.
* Structure remains constructive as long as price holds 239–238.5 support.
Key Levels
* Resistance (Upside Caps):
* 240.6–241.3 → Immediate resistance.
* 245.0 → 2nd Call Wall resistance.
* 247.5–250 → Heavy Gamma resistance zone.
* Support (Downside Floors):
* 239.0 → Key intraday support.
* 238.0–238.5 → Secondary support buffer.
* 232.5–227.5 → HVL + Put Support anchor.
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Tilted slightly bullish, with Calls outweighing Puts.
* IVR: Low at 11.6, showing options are pricing muted moves.
* Gamma Walls:
* 245–250 = Strong upside cap.
* 232.5–227.5 = Strong downside support zone.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Slight bearish momentum showing, indicating short-term consolidation.
* Stoch RSI: Resetting near oversold, which could allow another push higher if buyers step in.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (if 239 holds):
* Hold above 239.0, push through 240.6–241.3.
* Targets → 243.0 → 245.0, with possible extension to 247.5–250 Gamma Wall.
Bearish Case (if 239 breaks):
* Lose 239.0, test 238.0–238.5.
* If weakness accelerates, deeper pullback toward 235.0 → 232.5 HVL zone.
Trading Thoughts
* Longs: Favor dip entries near 239.0–238.5 with bounce confirmation, targeting 241–243.
* Shorts: Fade rejection at 241–243, stops above 244.5.
* Stops:
* Longs → below 238.0.
* Shorts → above 244.5.
Summary
AAPL sits at a pivotal 239–240 zone. Holding this support opens upside to 243–245, with Gamma resistance capping higher at 247.5–250. If 239 fails, expect a quick dip into 238–235, with stronger support at 232.5–227.5. Low IVR suggests controlled moves, but GEX positioning favors mild bullish bias unless support breaks.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk properly.
AAPL Technical Analysis-Sep. 3Apple exploded higher off the 227.5 – 228 support zone, staging a sharp rally that broke through short-term resistance and reclaimed momentum. The move was confirmed by a strong MACD bullish cross with expanding histogram, and Stoch RSI pushing deep into overbought, signaling strong momentum but also potential near-term exhaustion.
Price is now pressing into 237–238, a heavy resistance cluster from both prior supply and options positioning. This zone represents the immediate test for bulls. A clean breakout would open the path toward 240, and potentially 242.5, where the next resistance bands align.
On the downside, 232.5 – 233 is now first support. Below that, 230 and then 227.5 serve as key demand levels. Losing those would negate today’s breakout momentum and shift control back to sellers.
🔍 Options / GEX Confirmation
* Resistance:
* 237 (20% GEX concentration) → current rejection zone.
* 240 – 242.5 → stacked resistance confirmed by call positioning.
* Support:
* 233 – 232.5 (3rd call wall / structural support) → bulls must defend this to keep momentum.
* 230 → strong pivot zone.
* 227.5 → deep support and base of the breakout.
Options flow confirms exactly what the chart is showing: 237 is a key battleground, while 240–242.5 remains the ceiling until bulls prove control.
🎯 Trade Scenarios
* Bullish: Hold above 233 and break through 237 with volume → targets 240, then 242.5.
* Bearish: Failure at 237 and a drop back under 233 → downside targets 230 → 227.5.
Apple’s rebound was explosive, but the 237–238 zone is the real test. If buyers can push through, upside momentum extends toward 240–242.5. If not, watch for a pullback to 233 or even 230 before attempting higher.
Apple September SetupSeptember hasn’t been Apple’s friend historically — average return is around –4.5% and over the last 5 years we’ve seen more red than green. Institutions usually use this month to rebalance into Q4, which can weigh on tech.
This year we’ve also got the Sept 9 “Awe Dropping” event (iPhone 17 lineup, Apple Watch updates, maybe AirPods). That’s a clear catalyst, but sometimes it’s “buy the rumor, sell the news.”
Here’s how I’m looking at it:
⬆Bull Scenario (Breakout)
If Apple clears 234 with volume and holds above, bulls could push it higher. Clean breakout = momentum continuation 🚀.
🔄 Sideways Scenario (Chop)
Apple tags 234, stalls, and just chops. No clear trend, just range trading while the market waits for a catalyst .
📉 Bear Scenario (Double Top / Puts)
Apple rejects at 234, goes sideways, then dumps. That would set up a **double top** and open downside risk back toward 219 .
For me → last week wasn’t great P\&L-wise, so I’m focusing on patience this month. Not trying to predict which path plays out, just mapping the if/then so I’m ready.
👉 What’s your bias going into September?
Apple Thoughts
Sellers tried to push it down to 223.81 (PDL) but couldn’t hold it. Buyers stepped in, and now price looks like it wants that 235 level.
On the 4H chart, it’s looking like a double bottom that turned into a bull flag. So far holding EMAs and riding trend clean.
If it breaks under 229 with momentum, I’ll probably chill. But as long as it holds here, I think the move isn’t done yet.
Not advice. Just how I see it today.
What do y’all think? Fakeout setup or clean continuation?
AAPL Re-entry PotentialAPPLE is pulling back to the 13 EMA, if it holds there around 232.51, could be a good Call entry to the heavy resistance area for a T/P around 234.21. Place S/L right underneath the EMA for a tight risk management or at 231.60 at PMH. APPLE has been respecting the 9 and 13 EMA.
AAPL 1D Time frameCurrent Price & Market Metrics
Current Price: $234.35 USD
Market Cap: $3.01 Trillion
P/E Ratio: 30.28
EPS: $6.59
Beta: 1.15
Volatility: 2.32%
52-Week Range: $139.34 – $200.00 USD
🔎 Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 67.00 — Neutral
Moving Averages:
5-day: $237.11 — Buy
10-day: $233.72 — Buy
20-day: $231.59 — Buy
50-day: $219.01 — Buy
100-day: $210.66 — Buy
200-day: $220.99 — Buy
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): 5.61 — Sell
Stochastic Oscillator: 89.58 — Sell
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): 136.25 — Sell
Average True Range (ATR): 4.41
📈 Support & Resistance Levels
Support: $220.11
Resistance: $239.78
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $239.78 could signal a move toward $255.59.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $220.11 may lead to further downside.
Overall Bias: Neutral to Bullish, with mixed signals from momentum indicators and moving averages.