AAPL – Weekly Elliott & Fibonacci Price trades inside…AAPL – Weekly Elliott & Fibonacci
Price trades inside a long-term rising channel. The structure points to a late Wave 5, with momentum fading near 290–300. The current pullback fits a Wave 4, holding above key Fibonacci supports at 260 (38.2%) and 245 (50%). As long as price stays above 245, the primary uptrend remains intact, with scope for a final push toward 300+.
Apple Inc. Shs Cert Deposito Arg Repr 0.05 Shs
No trades
Market insights
AAPLApple's recent record-breaking stock price may create an illusion of invulnerability.
However, serious structural problems are simmering beneath the surface
1. Soaring Memory Prices: A Direct Hit on Margins
DRAM and NAND (memory chip) prices have soared 50-300% since the beginning of 2025 due to surging demand from AI servers.
74% of Apple's revenue comes from hardware (iPhone, Mac, iPad), where memory is a critical component of the cost. Analysis indicates that if Apple is forced to purchase memory at market prices, this could impact its gross margin by approximately 4.9%.
Long-term contracts with Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron are currently shielding Apple. Crucially, current preferential DRAM supply agreements expire in December 2025.
Samsung and SK Hynix are reportedly planning to significantly raise chip prices for NASDAQ:AAPL starting in January 2026.
2. Weak Position in the AI Race and Key Talent Attrition
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AAPL Stock Analysis
Fundamentals
AAPL remains a dominant fundamental force with a market cap exceeding $4 trillion. Recent Q4 data highlights a robust gross margin of 46.9%, driven by strong iPhone demand and a rising Average Selling Price (ASP). While analysts at Morgan Stanley and Jefferies have raised price targets toward the $283–$315 range, macro concerns regarding memory cost inflation and potential antitrust investigations in Europe and Switzerland provide a cautious backdrop.
Technicals
Technically, AAPL is trending within a steady ascending bullish channel, currently trading near $274. The price is actively testing and respecting its 50-day EMA, which serves as a critical floor for the current uptrend. The RSI (14) is presently in a neutral-to-cool zone around 45–48; for a renewed bullish leg, we need to see the RSI "tick up" and cross its internal moving average to signal returning momentum.
Strategy
The strategy is to wait for a confirmed bounce off the 50-day EMA before entering. A daily close above $278 with a corresponding RSI crossover would offer a high-probability entry toward the channel’s upper resistance at $288. Patience is required here to ensure the EMA support holds, rather than chasing the current consolidation.
Risk Management
A stop-loss placed just below the previous swing low of $265 and the lower channel boundary. A breach of this level would invalidate the bullish structure, potentially triggering a deeper correction toward the 200-day SMA near $245. Maintaining this exit discipline is important.
Apple - $265 Target, Shorts Catching Up, Losing the AI WarThe shorts seem to be catching up on the indicators with the bullish trendline breaking in support. Apple is also losing the AI wars, at least figuratively speaking (to some), and at the same time people are uncertain about earnings in 43 days. As always, none of this is investment or financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and research.
The The Great Reset and its consequences The only reason why we have the best team on this planet is to win this series in a playoff race against the worst teams of all the league in baseball! We are going through the same process and the best teams in baseball right here is to lose the game against a playoff game and lose to a playoff game
The Role of Shipping in the World MarketShipping as the Engine of Global Trade
At its core, shipping facilitates international trade by transporting goods between countries and regions. Nations differ in natural resources, labor skills, technology, and capital availability. Shipping allows countries to specialize in what they produce most efficiently and trade with others, following the principle of comparative advantage. For example, crude oil from the Middle East, iron ore from Australia, manufactured electronics from East Asia, and agricultural products from South America all move across oceans through shipping networks. This exchange promotes productivity, lowers costs, and increases the variety of goods available to consumers worldwide.
Shipping also enables large-scale trade that would be impossible through air or land transport alone. Bulk carriers transport coal, grain, and minerals in massive volumes at low cost, while container ships move manufactured goods efficiently through standardized containers. Tankers carry oil, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and chemicals, supporting global energy markets. Each shipping segment serves a specific economic purpose, together forming an integrated system that sustains the world market.
Impact on Global Supply Chains
Modern supply chains are highly complex and international in nature, relying heavily on shipping. Many products are no longer made in a single country; instead, components are sourced from multiple regions and assembled elsewhere. Shipping ensures the smooth flow of intermediate goods and raw materials between production stages. Just-in-time manufacturing, widely used in industries such as automobiles and electronics, depends on predictable and timely shipping schedules.
Disruptions in shipping—such as port congestion, geopolitical conflicts, pandemics, or canal blockages—can have immediate and widespread effects on global markets. Delays increase costs, reduce availability of goods, and contribute to inflation. The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted how critical shipping is, as container shortages and freight rate spikes affected everything from food prices to industrial production. This demonstrated that shipping is not merely a logistical function but a strategic pillar of global economic stability.
Role in Price Formation and Inflation
Shipping costs directly influence global prices. Freight rates are a significant component of the final cost of many goods, especially commodities and low-value, high-volume products. When shipping costs rise due to fuel price increases, regulatory changes, or supply-demand imbalances, these higher costs are often passed on to consumers, contributing to inflation. Conversely, efficient shipping and lower freight rates help keep prices competitive and affordable.
Shipping also plays a role in commodity price discovery and arbitrage. The ability to transport goods between markets allows traders to exploit price differences across regions, which eventually leads to price convergence. For instance, grain or crude oil can be shipped from surplus regions to deficit regions, stabilizing global prices and reducing extreme volatility.
Strategic and Geopolitical Importance
Shipping is closely linked to geopolitics and national security. Major sea routes such as the Strait of Hormuz, the Suez Canal, the Panama Canal, and the South China Sea are critical chokepoints for global trade. Any disruption in these routes—due to conflicts, sanctions, or political tensions—can have serious consequences for the world market. Countries often seek to secure maritime routes and ports to protect their trade interests and energy supplies.
Shipping is also affected by international sanctions and trade policies. Restrictions on shipping insurance, port access, or vessel movements can limit a country’s ability to trade, impacting global supply and prices. As a result, shipping companies, insurers, and governments must constantly assess geopolitical risks when operating in international markets.
Economic Growth and Employment
The shipping industry contributes significantly to global economic growth and employment. It supports millions of jobs worldwide, including seafarers, port workers, shipbuilders, logistics professionals, and maritime service providers. Ports act as economic hubs, attracting industries such as manufacturing, warehousing, and transportation. For developing countries, access to efficient shipping services is essential for integrating into global trade and achieving export-led growth.
Shipping also enables small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to participate in international markets. Containerization and digital logistics platforms have reduced barriers to entry, allowing businesses to ship goods globally without owning vessels or large infrastructure.
Technological Advancements and Digitalization
Technological innovation is transforming the shipping industry and enhancing its role in the world market. Containerization revolutionized trade in the 20th century by reducing loading times and costs. Today, digitalization, automation, and data analytics are improving efficiency, transparency, and reliability. Technologies such as blockchain, electronic bills of lading, and real-time vessel tracking help reduce delays, fraud, and administrative costs.
Automation in ports and the development of smart ships are further strengthening global trade flows. These advancements allow shipping to handle growing trade volumes while maintaining cost efficiency, which is vital for sustaining global economic expansion.
Environmental and Sustainability Considerations
As shipping underpins global trade, it also faces increasing scrutiny over its environmental impact. The industry contributes to greenhouse gas emissions and marine pollution. In response, international regulations and market pressures are pushing shipping toward cleaner fuels, energy-efficient vessels, and sustainable practices. Although environmental compliance may increase short-term costs, it supports long-term stability by aligning shipping with global climate goals and ensuring its continued role in the world market.
Conclusion
The role of shipping in the world market is fundamental and multifaceted. It enables global trade, supports supply chains, influences prices and inflation, and plays a strategic role in geopolitics and economic development. Shipping connects nations, markets, and people, making globalization possible. While the industry faces challenges such as geopolitical risks, environmental pressures, and market volatility, its importance continues to grow alongside international trade. A resilient, efficient, and sustainable shipping sector is essential for the smooth functioning and future growth of the world market.
Hello trader, for this Friday we have AAPL at 278.03.After a drop today, we anticipate a bullish entry tomorrow above 282.00/284.00. If this level is reached, we could potentially take profits in the 288.00 area.
The technical bearish entry point could also act as a bounce level, but if the price falls below this point, it would confirm a quick bearish move down to the 274.00 area. If the price continues to fall, the next bearish continuation target would be 272.00/270.00.
New Setup: AAPLTo effectively trade market cycles, we need to focus on aligning with the dominant trend, mastering risk management, utilizing specific technical tools, and maintaining emotional discipline.
I got a 'setup' signal to jump into AAPL if it can breakout and close above 281.00. Keep an eye on the volume, it should be higher than the current volume (Dec.10th).
QuantSiganls V3 AAPL Call Opportunity – Jump on the Momentum!Instrument: AAPL
Direction: BUY CALLS (LONG)
Confidence: 58% (Low-Medium)
Conviction Level: LOW–MEDIUM
Expiry: 2025-12-12 (2–3 days)
Recommended Strike: $277.50
Entry Price: $2.50 (range: $2.48–$2.52)
Target 1: $3.50 (≈40% gain)
Target 2: $4.25 (≈70% gain)
Stop Loss: $1.75 (≈30% loss)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio
Weekly Momentum: NEUTRAL (+0.13% 1-week)
Flow Intel: Bullish (Low P/C Ratio, PCR 0.68)
Risk Level: HIGH – low conviction, short-term expiry, moderate gamma risk
Technical Summary:
Current price ~$278.22 in tight daily range ($276.10–$280.03)
VWAP at $277.66 provides immediate support
Resistance at $280, support at $276.10
Oversold stochastics and bullish MACD divergence signal rebound potential
News / Catalysts:
Positive analyst rating: Citigroup Buy target $330 (+19%)
Apple CEO discussions at Capitol Hill potentially favorable for regulation
Sector news mixed, no major negative catalysts
Options / Flow Summary:
Put/Call Ratio 0.68 → bullish institutional positioning
High call volume at $288 strike, low IV → cheap option premiums
Gamma risk high heading into expiration
Katy AI Notes:
Katy AI: NEUTRAL trend, 50% confidence, slight upside bias
Flow-override trade due to bullish institutional options activity and technical setup
Trading Notes / Risk Management:
Enter near VWAP support
Tight stop loss (30%) to limit downside
Monitor early price action and manage gamma exposure carefully
Consider taking profits at Target 1 if momentum stalls
AAPL 1-Month Projection: Low-Volatility Neutral PatternAAPL QuantSignals Katy 1M Prediction 2025-12-08
QuantSignals Katy AI Stock Analysis
Analyzed 1 stock(s): AAPL
AAPL Analysis
Current Price: $276.54
Final Prediction: $276.97 (+0.16%)
30min Target: $277.86 (+0.48%)
Trend: NEUTRAL
Confidence: 49.3%
Volatility: 5.7%
Summary: Generated 0 trade signals from 1 successful analyses out of 1 symbols.
APPL (APPLE) BUY IDEAAPPL (APPLE) BUY IDEA
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment is bullish, driven by expectations of the FED’s potential rate cut in December. In addition, Trump’s likely nominee for the new FED Chair is Kevin Hassett a strong supporter of aggressive rate cuts.
This possibility has pushed markets higher as participants began pricing in earlier and more aggressive cuts for 2026.
📈 Technical Analysis
AAPL remains one of the most bullish stocks in the U.S. market. All higher timeframes are strongly bullish.
We are currently seeing a retracement from recent all time highs, which in my opinion is simply a healthy pullback to build momentum for higher prices.
📌 Game Plan
I have two key Points of Interest for potential long entries. Both support a bullish continuation thesis, and I do not expect a major bearish shift for AAPL anytime soon.
Scenario 1:
Price taps 276.25 and bounces.
I will wait for a daily bullish close to confirm the continuation.
Scenario 2:
Price dips into 271 and bounces.
I will again look for a daily bullish close as confirmation.
Note:
The FED’s rate decision will be released on Wednesday at 2 PM.
Until then, I expect price to potentially move into an accumulation or range phase.
If I see strong movement earlier in the week, I won’t hesitate to take a long position.
💬 For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack free access available.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
APPLE: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
APPLE
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy EURUSD
Entry - 278.78
Stop- 276.72
Take - 282.17
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Apple - This stock will collapse!🥊Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is reversing right now:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting back five years ago, Apple established a major rising channel pattern. Following this channel, Apple recently created a textbook +40% move higher. But with the current retest of resistance, we will certainly see another pullback of -30% in the near future.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
AAPL worth watching into the new yearApple Inc. has been rising steadily recently due to high iPhone demand and strong services growth (among other things), but it just hit the ceiling of a massive channel that goes back multiple years. This stock is worth watching into Christmas and the new year as it is likely to pull back or consolidate into the holidays.
APPLE Just formed its Cycle Top. Best sell opportunity is here.Almost 3 months ago (September 19, see chart below), we gave a buy signal on Apple Inc. (AAPL), which recently hit our final $290 Target:
This week we go back to the long-term 1W time-frame as the Bullish Leg (green) since the April 07 bottom just hit the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of its 4-year Channel Up.
The 2023 Bullish Leg also peaked on its 1.236 Fibonacci extension and eventually corrected back to its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), hitting its 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at the same time. The 2022 and early 2025 Bearish Legs even broke below the 1W MA50 and bottomed after a minimum -32.05% decline. The April 2025 bottom even hit the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
All of those Channel Up (Cycle) Tops have taken place while the 1W RSI broke above the overbought level (70.00). This has already taken place since last week and we also se the 1W MACD to start reversing, which is something that has also happened every time after a Top.
Based on all the above evidence (1.236 Fib hit, Channel Up top hit, 1W RSI overbought, 1W MACD reversing), we expect Apple to start a long-term correction (Bear Cycle), technically the new Bearish Leg of the 4-year Channel Up and initially make contact with the 1W MA50 and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at $236.00. If the price closes a 1W candle below the 1W MA50, then we expect a second Target to be fulfilled at the bottom of the Channel Up at $200, below the 1W MA200 but still almost -32.00% from the top.
The most efficient long-term buy signal is perhaps given by the 1W RSI again, when it hits the 33.20 Support. Use that to time your buy entry accordingly.
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let's buy appleMy analysis is purely technical, supported by multiple factors:
1) We've been within an ascending channel for several months now, specifically since August. This gives us a sense of the market's general trend and allows us to identify potential retracement zones.
2) Subsequently, we can observe a descending structural pattern between October 29th and November 25th, which we can consider an accumulation zone, given the previous bullish performance in the preceding months.
3) The accumulation just described has been stopped numerous times in a specific zone that we consider resistance deriving from a psychological round number (275.00), the area described and the area colored purple.
4) As we can see, our accumulation zone has been broken upward, significantly increasing trading volumes and confirming the breakout.
5) This breakout has continued the momentum started by the November 21 candlestick until the end of the December 3 impulse. This causes a huge imbalance between buyers and sellers.
6) In my opinion, this equilibrium will be restored once a retracement of approximately 61.8% (from the Fibonacci retracement level) is made from the impulse described previously, which coincidentally is in the same zone as the psychological round number, both at the bottom of the main channel and as the last point at the top of the accumulation zone.
Apple : It is awaiting correctionCurrently it is at head to correction.
according to my chart reading.
ideal buy entry after correction to 225-230 if decline and come to those levels.
Target 400
SL : Below 199.
Manage your Risk .
I don't have anything to see to buy at current price.
And also I am not in favor of Short Sell.
AAPL Alert: High-Risk Short & Explosive Call Opportunities This AAPL Weekly Signals | 2025-12-04
Short-Term Speculative PUT (2-Day Expiry)
Direction: PUT (Short)
Strike: $265.00
Entry: $0.03
Target 1 / 2: $0.05 / $0.08
Stop Loss: $0.01
Confidence: 56% (Low / Speculative)
Momentum: Neutral, bearish bias (-0.02% 1W)
Flow: Bearish, PCR 1.76
Risk: High – very small position (1% max) recommended
Notes: Katy AI shows 71% prediction points below current price, overriding weekly “BUY CALLS” guidance. High gamma risk.
Medium-Term CALL (8-Day Expiry)
Direction: CALL (Long)
Strike: $280.00
Entry: $3.30
Target 1 / 2: $5.00 / $6.50
Stop Loss: $2.00
Confidence: 57% (Low)
Momentum: Neutral (-0.13% 1W), MACD bullish divergence
Flow: Neutral, PCR 0.81
Risk: Moderate – position size 2%
Notes: Katy AI shows consistent upward trajectory to $283–$285 range. Conflict with weekly momentum; tight stop recommended.






















