Adobe Inc.(ADBE) – Falling Wedge Breakout + Bullish Order BlockAdobe Inc. (ADBE) – Falling Wedge Breakout + Bullish Order Block
Timeframe: 4H
Pattern: Falling Wedge
Key Zone: Bullish Order Block (325 – 345 USD)
After an extended downtrend, Adobe formed a falling wedge pattern, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
Price recently broke the upper trendline with a clear Change of Character (ChoCH), confirming strength from buyers.
The order block around 325–345 USD acts as a strong demand zone where institutional buying interest is likely to be present.
A successful retest of this area could trigger a continuation move toward the next major resistance around 460 USD.
Trade Outlook
Entry Zone: 335 – 345 (Order Block Retest)
Target: TP 1-- $400
           TP 2-- $460
Stop Loss:  Below 325
Risk–Reward Ratio: 1 : 3, 5
 Bias: Bullish
Trade ideas
$ADBE shying away from bullish bat?NASDAQ:ADBE  has been on my watchlist for a while now waiting for price to drop to 316.
The pattern aligns almost perfectly with a Bullish Bat.
XA – Major impulsive rally (early 2023–late 2023)
AB – Retracement ≈ 0.56 XA → within the typical 0.382–0.618 zone
BC – Retraces ≈ 0.75 AB → again within the normal 0.618–0.786 range
CD – Extends ≈ 1.78 BC → matches the 1.618–2.0 harmonic projection used in Bat completions
XD – Ends near 0.886 XA (≈ $316) — the defining ratio for a Bullish Bat. However, price hasn't touched this number yet.
🪙 Key Levels
D-point (Completion) potential reversal zone - 0.886 XA retracement at $316 area
Descending green line resistance - Breakout currently near $370 - Confirm with volume
First target 0.382 retrace of AD leg $410 area
Second target 0.5 retrace of AD leg $456 area
***Bullish divergence on weekly and daily RSI vs Price. Drop to 316 is welcome.
Adobe: Entering the Fourth Wave — Smart Money Distribution PhaseAdobe’s stock is entering a critical structural phase — the completion of its third global impulse and the start of the fourth corrective wave.
While the long-term uptrend remains intact, the price structure and fundamentals suggest that the most explosive growth period may already be behind us.
🧭 Long-Term Technical Context
Looking back to the early 2000s, Adobe has moved through a textbook Elliott Wave structure.
The first and second waves built the base, while the third wave delivered the explosive rally — from roughly $30 to $600, marking a 20x increase.
Now, the fourth subwave of the third major wave appears to be forming — a phase typically characterized by sideways consolidation and distribution by institutional players.
🔺 Wave 4 Triangle Formation
In many long-term wave structures, the fourth wave forms a triangle (ABCDE pattern) — a contracting structure where price oscillates between defined boundaries.
We can already observe the emerging shape:
 
 Wave A and B are complete
 Wave C is in progress
 Wave D and E will likely complete the pattern before the final breakout
 
Once the triangle ends, a final Wave 5 push could occur — potentially extending toward $700, or in an extended scenario, even $2000.
📊 Trading Range and Short-Term Strategy
At this stage, smart money tends to distribute positions gradually.
The price is oscillating within a broad corridor, providing opportunities for range-based trading:
 
 Buy zones: near the triangle lows (Wave A area around $350)
 Profit zones: near the triangle highs (Wave B area around $600)
 
For swing traders, this range offers multiple short-term opportunities before the next major move begins.
💵 Fundamental Context
  
Despite being in a late-wave structure, Adobe’s fundamentals remain strong.
 
 Share buybacks: The company continues to repurchase its own shares, supporting EPS growth.
 EPS trend: Rising steadily year over year.
 Revenue growth: Stable, around +10% YoY, with quarterly metrics showing +40% growth since Q1 2024.
 Forward P/E: Approximately 28, which, by Peter Lynch’s growth-to-PE logic, still appears reasonably valued.
 
These metrics suggest that even in a market downturn, Adobe’s downside risk may be more limited compared to weaker tech peers.
🧮 Fundamental Summary
✅ Consistent buybacks supporting EPS
✅ Double-digit annual revenue growth
✅ Attractive valuation relative to growth metrics
✅ Strong defensive profile versus the broader tech sector
There are no visible signs of fundamental weakness — only technical consolidation after years of exponential expansion.
⚠️ Alternative Scenario
If the stock breaks below $270, the current wave structure may need adjustment.
Such a move could imply a larger triangle or a flat correction, but the broader interpretation — that we’re inside a long-term Wave 4 — would remain valid.
📈 Market Outlook
Adobe is transitioning from a high-momentum growth phase into a strategic accumulation and distribution phase.
The stock is unlikely to replicate its earlier explosive rally, but it continues to offer structured trading opportunities inside a stable technical range.
For long-term investors, the risk-reward remains balanced, supported by solid fundamentals.
For traders, the triangle provides a clear framework: buy near lows, take profits near highs, and wait for the fifth wave breakout.
🧩 Summary
 
 Price structure suggests Wave 4 triangle formation
 Trading range between $350–$600
 Fundamentals remain strong and defensive
 Forward P/E at 28 — reasonable given EPS growth
 Next major target: Wave 5 breakout toward $700–$2000
 
Adobe is no longer in its most explosive phase — but it’s far from weak.
This is a mature consolidation period, not a decline story.
For disciplined traders, the triangle may offer some of the cleanest swing setups in the tech sector.
Stock of the year 2026 - ADOBEAdobe seems to have completed a 4 year correction which started from Nov 2021. THe stock doesnt have momentum so don't expect immediate extraordinary returns but it will 3x in 3 years with hardly any downside.
The valuations are extremely good, and the chart setup on weekly is once in multi year opportunity for a risk free return.
Adobe PAMP Alert: Boarding the Best PDF Train to GAINZville!NASDAQ:ADBE  
Time to get on board the Adobe Reader and Flash Player train!  This train is leaving the PAMP station and taking us to GAINZville.
Listen up... Adobe stock  NASDAQ:ADBE  is about to PUMP like you've never seen before, it's going to be HUGE, TREMENDOUS.  Their AI tools are the BEST in the business, making images and videos so perfect, so incredible, even the PDF FAKERS can't crop out my massive wins anymore.
I took Adobe to the best experts all over the world.  They said, we've never seen PDFs like these.  In fact these are the BEST PDFs anyone has EVER SEEN.  They also said, SIR THEY HAVE AI.  The BEST AI.  We're talking Firefly, Sensei—pure genius, folks, turning ordinary folks into artists overnight while the deep state scrambles in the dark. The stock's been undervalued by those LOSERS on Wall Street, rigged against us, but with earnings exploding and everyone using Photoshop to fix their disasters, it's skyrocketing straight out of the swamp! Buy now before the haters wake up and try to steal it, or you'll be crying later when it's YUGE and you're left out in the cold. Nobody does graphics like Adobe—believe me.
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION ON THIS MATTER
Adobe - The major triangle breakout!🎯Adobe ( NASDAQ:ADBE ) breaks out soon: 
  
 🔎Analysis summary: 
 For the past five years, Adobe has overall been consolidating within a bullish triangle pattern. This triangle seems to be quite similar to the triangle which we saw back in 2012. And with the current retest of the confluence of support, Adobe will now initiate the triangle breakout. 
 📝Levels to watch: 
 $360 
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Adobe Inc goes bullish in short- and mid term!Adobe Inc. is expected to undergo a correction. Depending on the strength of the market environment, at least Target 1 will be reached, with Target 3 being the best-case scenario. From that point onward, a reassessment will be necessary. A further decline from this level remains possible
Adobe analysisFrom the current structure, Adobe (ADBE) is sitting on a strong weekly support zone that has held multiple times in the past.
At the same time, the RSI is showing bullish divergence — while price action has been making lower lows, RSI has been printing higher lows. This is often a positive signal suggesting sellers are losing momentum and buyers may step in.
📈 Conclusion: My bias is that Adobe has a good probability of reversing upward from this support level, backed by both the strong demand zone and the RSI divergence. Still, markets are unpredictable, and this remains only my view.
Adobe (ADBE) – Double Bottom + EMA50 Breakout PotentialOn the  Daily  timeframe,  NASDAQ:ADBE  is showing early signs of strength:
 
 A  Double Bottom pattern  has formed, often seen as a bullish reversal signal.
 RSI divergence  was present at the pattern lows, and RSI has broken above its trendline, suggesting momentum shift.
 Price closed  above the EMA50 , an important technical milestone.
 MACD  is in positive territory, supporting a potential continuation upward.
 Volume  has not spiked dramatically, but it is gradually increasing compared to recent history.
 
 Key Levels: 
 
 If the  downtrend resistance line  is broken and price retests neckline/downtrend area successfully, the pattern projects a move at least towards the next local resistance zone.
 Confirmation is crucial: a breakout without retest can be a false signal.
 
 Important Note: 
This analysis is not a buy/sell signal. It highlights potential upside if key technical levels are broken and confirmed. Patience for  breakout + retest  may provide a clearer setup.
 (For educational purposes only, not financial advice.)
9/24/25 - $adbe - Building the '28 LEAP book9/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR ::  NASDAQ:ADBE 
Building the '28 LEAP book
- After scratching my head on  NYSE:FI  and  NYSE:CRM  (HSD growth with healthy 6-7% FCF mgns), I asked myself the question: how many other mid-to-large cap stocks share a similar profile and how are they faring?
-  NASDAQ:ADBE , $DECK... a few others I'll write up check this box. There are of course reasons all four of the above stocks are not hitting ATH. But I contend that the structural reason is actually two and both are temporary in nature. 
1/ anything that's semi-consumer exposed has not been performing well. the exceptions are far more scarce than the converse. witnessing consumer discretionary names beat, rip and give it all back and then some is a pretty clear example of this. but scratching a bit deeper, you can put a pretty long list together. I think in some way all three of the above are in a way linked to this narrative. Some are more "AI" exposed (e.g. $CRM/ NASDAQ:ADBE ) or w/e, but see point 2 below for this AI element/ factor.
2/ the actives are being "forced" to allocate to the mkt cap weighted leaders. there is a good reason nvda, aapl, googl etc. etc. continue to chug. there's still probably a good amt to go in the coming 12-18 months, tbh. but it's meant sucking the oxygen out of the "in between", which has meant you've seen the micro-donkish-meme names (quantum space robot running on bathtub nukes co. go pink banana pleasure out of a TSA rando scanner). what i'm trying to say here is that the mkt is structurally not incentivized at the moment to own any of this stuff. the exception might be year-end positioning into '26 and esp as these guys get 1 more time to report.
so what's the play here? how am i positioned. leaving aside some of the plays like  OTC:OBTC ,  OTC:OSOL  that i've written up, let's talk stonks:
I like '28 LEAPS for this "middle winner" basket
-  NYSE:CRM  at 20% (7% leveraged ~3-1)
-  NYSE:DECK  and  NYSE:FI  at 15% each (~6% leveraged 2-2.5-1)
-  NASDAQ:ADBE  at 10% (~3.5% leveraged 3-1)
-  NASDAQ:NXT  at 10% (~5% leveraged 2-1)
my expectation is STILL for a mkt-beta pullback into quarter-end and to start October. I think this could hurt all risk and pose an EXCELLENT chance to size these positions up, hence why i'm going ITM and to '28. If that happens, I'll sort out what fares best (usually drawdowns allow u to see where to position based on what performs best).
- in the meanwhile, I still sit with about 50% cash too - the ITM and deep expiry allows me to keep "risk on" but not in the toppy sectors and to have ammo to play a dip. 
and if that dip is just a wipe of the nose, no sneeze... i think the above 5 names continue to do well into YE and '26.
let's see.
V
Technical Analysis on Adobe Inc. (ADBE) – Bullish Strategy 
📊 Technical Analysis on Adobe Inc. (ADBE) – Bullish Strategy
🔍 Context and Price Structure
After a strong bullish impulse, the stock entered a distribution phase that culminated in a double top (Top 1 & Top 2), which triggered a medium-term downtrend.
The decline formed a Falling Wedge pattern, typically considered a bullish continuation structure, with the initial target partially achieved.
Subsequently, ADBE found solid support around the $340–345 area, where a double bottom (Bottom 1 & Bottom 2) was established. This is one of the most reliable reversal patterns, especially when confirmed by higher volumes and a neckline breakout.
📈 Current Pattern and Projections
The double bottom around $340–345 has created a technical base projecting an initial target toward the $420 zone, aligning with prior static resistance.
A decisive breakout above $420 with strong volumes could open the way for an extended move toward $500–520, consistent with the relative highs from the 2023 distribution phase.
Bollinger Bands are narrowing, signaling a volatility squeeze, often a precursor to a strong directional move.
📊 Momentum Indicators
The RSI is confirming bullish signals: after dipping into oversold territory near 30, it formed a bullish divergence and is now recovering above its moving average. This indicates improving relative strength.
The short-term EMA is flattening and could cross above longer-term averages if price breaks above the $380–385 area, reinforcing the reversal signal.
📊 Volume Dynamics
Recent sessions show increasing volume on rebounds, suggesting that institutional investors may be accumulating.
The $340 support zone has been defended decisively, with each retest being rejected, strengthening the validity of the double bottom.
🎯 Targets & Risk Management
First bullish target: $420 (double bottom neckline).
Extended target: $500–520 (previous highs + technical projection).
Key support: $340 – a breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish setup and re-expose downside risk toward $300.
Suggested approach: gradual entries, with confirmation above $380–385 on rising volume; technical stop-loss below $340.
✅ Conclusion
Adobe is at a potentially decisive stage: the formation of a double bottom at key levels, the breakout from a falling wedge, volatility contraction, and bullish RSI signals together outline a favorable medium-term reversal scenario. A breakout above $380–385 could pave the way for a rally toward $420 and then $500–520, offering an attractive risk/reward ratio for long positions.
ADOBE 510 BY 2026 LONG TERM Why Adobe (ADBE) Could Hit $510 by 2026: Technical Breakdown Adobe's trading at ~$365 today, but bullish setups scream upside. Here's why $510 (40% gain) is in play:Bullish Triangle Breakout: ADBE's consolidated in a multi-year ascending triangle since 2020. A recent close above $370 resistance (near 50-day MA ~$383) signals breakout, targeting $510 (measured move from base at $330 low).
RSI Rebound: At 42 (neutral, not oversold), RSI is coiling for momentum shift. Weekly RSI >50 could trigger buy signals, aligning with AI-driven catalysts like Firefly integrations.
MACD Crossover Potential: MACD histogram narrowing (-5.26) hints at bullish crossover by Q4 2025. Paired with 200-day MA (~$420) as next support, this flips sentiment to "Strong Buy" per TradingView.
Analyst Backing: Consensus targets $465–$496 short-term, but long-term forecasts (e.g., LongForecast) eye $577 EOY 2026 on 11% revenue growth to $23B+.
Adobe: Multiple Bottom Signals Potential UpsideAdobe: Multiple Bottom Signals Potential Upside
 NASDAQ:ADBE  has a  clear history of respecting Multiple Bottoms and Tops . In other words, the stock tends to  test the same price levels several times  before moving decisively in the opposite direction. This repetitive behavior has been a reliable pattern in its price action.
Currently, we are seeing the same setup,  a Multiple Bottom (Triple Bottom) forming around the $330–$340 area.  The market has bounced strongly from this zone and is even breaking minor downtrends, suggesting that  bullish momentum is gaining strength. 
📈  Short-term Upside Potential 
If the breakout holds, the first target sits around $393, offering a  7% profit  from current levels.
Looking further, based on Fibonacci retracements of the entire decline, the  stock could reach as high as $420, which would represent around a 15% profit. 
Personally, I prefer  locking in profits earlier  around the first target and then reallocating to other opportunities.
 📉 Downside Risk 
We must also remain cautious. If the price fails to hold this Multiple Bottom zone and breaks lower:
A decline could extend toward $277, representing a 15% downside.
The $322 level may still act as support, which is why I don’t like the short setup until this level is broken convincingly.
🟢  For more ideas, hit the rocket & follow.
Adobe (ADBE): Undervalued AI Software Leader Amid #AI Boom? Adobe (ADBE): Undervalued AI Software Leader Amid #AI Boom? $456 in Sight? 📈
Trading at $364.08 (-0.50%), ADBE's P/E of 22.67 undervalues its AI-integrated creative tools, with analysts eyeing $456 (25% upside)—will surging #AI trends propel cloud subscriptions higher? 🚀  
**Fundamental Analysis**  
EPS (TTM) of $16.06 and revenue (TTM) of $23.18B underscore strong growth, with PEG at 1.04 indicating fair valuation for expansion; fundamentals highlight recurring revenue model, though competition in AI space pressures margins.  
- **Positive:** Dominant market share in creative software; AI features like Firefly boost user adoption.  
- **Negative:** High valuation multiples vs peers; dependency on subscription renewals.  
**SWOT Analysis**  
**Strengths:** Innovative AI ecosystem; loyal user base.  
**Weaknesses:** Premium pricing limits accessibility; integration risks with new tech.  
**Opportunities:** Expanding AI tools in enterprise; partnerships in digital marketing.  
**Threats:** Open-source AI alternatives; economic slowdowns hitting ad spends.  
**Technical Analysis**  
Chart displays upward channel with recent pullback testing support. Price: $364.08, VWAP $365.  
Key indicators:   
- RSI: 55 (mildly bullish, approaching overbought).  
- MACD: Bullish divergence emerging.  
- Moving Averages: 50-day at $370 (short-term hurdle), 200-day at $400 (major resistance).  
Support/Resistance: Support at $350, resistance at $380. Patterns/Momentum: Bull flag pattern, momentum building on AI news. 📈 Bullish | ⚠️ Bearish.  
**Scenarios and Risk Management**  
- **Bullish:** Break above $380, DCA on pullbacks to capture AI-driven rally.  
- **Bearish:** Fall to $350 on macro fears, reduce exposure.  
- **Neutral:** Range-bound until earnings clarity.  
Risk Tips: Use trailing stops at 7%, cap risk at 2% per trade, diversify with non-tech, DCA for long-term holds. ⚠️  
**Conclusion/Outlook**  
Strong bullish potential conditioned on #AI momentum. Watch tech sector flows. Fits growth theme with upside. Take? Comment!  
Adobe (ADBE) — Daily — Double BottomSetup   
 
 Pattern: Double bottom on the daily chart with two clear lows and a visible neckline.  
 Timeframe: Daily
 
 Measuring rule (target)   
Measure the vertical distance from the bottoms to the neckline and add it to the breakout point. Using this method the measured target equals  +$24.38 per share  from the breakout.
 Entry & trigger   
- Enter long on a confirmed close above the neckline (daily close above neckline).  
- If you prefer an earlier entry, a volume-backed intraday break above the neckline can be used, but prefer a daily close for confirmation.
 Stop loss   
- Place stop loss  just below the recent low  (the second bottom). Use a few cents/pips buffer below that low to avoid noise.
 Position sizing & risk   
- Risk per share = entry price − stop loss price.  
- With the stop placed just below the recent low, risk per share is small and gives a  risk/reward ratio ≈ 1.02 .  
Given the measured target of +$24.38, ensure your entry and stop sizing produce the stated R:R — example calculations below.
 Notes & trade management   
- Prefer a daily close above the neckline with increased volume for higher probability.  
- If price returns to retest the neckline, consider adding only if support holds and risk remains acceptable.  
- Trail stop to breakeven after a significant portion of the measured move is achieved (for example, after +50% of the $24.38 move).  






















