Adobe - This triangle breaks now!🪄Adobe ( NASDAQ:ADBE ) just repeats patterns:
🔎Analysis summary:
Back in 2012 we witnessed a major triangle breakout on Adobe. The following bullrun ended in 2021 and Adobe has been consolidating ever since. But now, we are able to see a pattern repetition, with the same bullish triangle forming, which we saw about one decade ago.
📝Levels to watch:
$350, $500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
ADBEC trade ideas
Adobe Has Been Falling For 19 Months. What Its Chart SaysAdobe NASDAQ:ADBE was once known as one the "Cloud Kings," but the 2020s haven't been kind the stock, which has fallen nearly 50% from its November 2021 peak. Let's see what ADBE's technical and fundamental analysis shows us heading into this week's earnings report.
Adobe's Fundamental Analysis
Adobe peaked intraday its current cycle back in February 2024 at $465.70, but has seen about a year and a half of share erosion since then.
The stock closed Monday at $358.66, down 23% from that February 2024 top and 48.7% from ADBE's $699.54 all-time intraday high of November 2021.
It's also been an up-and-down few weeks for Adobe fundamentally speaking.
First, Morgan Stanley named ADBE, Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN and Johnson Controls NYSE:JCI in early August as three stocks that might stand out as large-cap, high-quality adopters as AI plays a central role in their respective business strategies.
But some two weeks later, Dan Ives of Wedbush removed ADBE, C3.ai NYSE:AI , CyberArk NASDAQ:CYBR and Elastic NYSE:ESTC from his "IVES AI Revolution 30 list," replacing them with CrowdStrike NASDAQ:CRWD , Roblox NYSE:RBLX , GE Vernova NYSE:GEV and Nebius NASDAQ:NBIS .
Still, a day after that, Adobe launched its new AI-powered "Acrobat Studio" globally. The suite offers PDF Spaces, AI Assistant and Adobe Express Premium to customers starting at $24.99 a month.
All of these developments came just shortly ahead of Adobe's fiscal Q3 earnings, which the firm plans to release Thursday after the bell.
Wall Street is expecting Adobe to report $5.18 of adjusted earnings per share for the period on some $5.9 billion of revenue. That would represent an 11.4% gain from the $4.65 of adjusted EPS that Adobe saw in the same period last year, as well as about 9.2% growth from the firm's $5.4 billion in year-ago revenues.
That's a big deal because Adobe has a streak of seven consecutive quarters of double-digit percentages in annual revenue growth going, and a 9.2% y/y gain would break that.
That said, it's not like the Street is down on this stock. Of the 28 sell-side analysts that I can find that cover ADBE, 25 have revised their earnings estimates higher for the latest quarter since the period began. (One analyst cut their estimate, while two made no changes.)
Still, UBS analyst Karl Keirstead (who's rated at five stars out of a possible five by TipRanks), recently reduced his Adobe price target price to $400 from a previous $430. (Keirstead reiterated his hold-equivalent "Neutral" rating on the stock.)
However, Omar Sheikh of Redburn Atlantic last week reiterated his "Sell" rating and $280 target price on the stock. (TipRanks rates Sheik at four stars.)
Adobe's Technical Analysis
Now let's look at ADBE's one-year chart running through last Thursday:
Readers will notice something potentially disturbing in this chart.
On one hand, ADBE has been building up a "double-bottom" pattern of bullish reversal through all of 2025, as marked with the jagged black line and green boxes above.
This pattern's upside pivot would be the apex of the pattern's center, which is right around $422. That should be a positive set-up.
However, ADBE hit resistance on the way to this rally as the stock approached its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line) in late August. The stock then quickly gave back its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted with a green line).
That apparently turned the swing crowd against Adobe and forced the stock's rally to fail.
Is the attempted rally out of this double bottom truly dead? Not quite -- at least not unless or until the stock makes a new cycle low.
But looking at Adobe's other technical indicators, it seems like there could be more traffic clogging the road ahead.
For instance, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is in decline. While not technically oversold, it's been sub-neutral since early to mid-August.
Meanwhile, Adobe's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) looks quite bearish.
The histogram of the stock's 9-day EMA has moved back into negative territory after having spent a few weeks above the zero-bound.
Additionally, the 12-day EMA (the black line) has crossed back below the 26-day EMA (the gold line). It's typically quite a bearish signal when that happens and both of those lines stand below zero. In fact, both lines have been in negative territory since late June.
All in, this chart brings an old saying to mind: "Approach with caution."
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in ADBE at the time of writing this column, but did have a long position in CRWD.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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peeking at ADBE to prepare for its earningAdobe faces a dynamic competitive landscape across its diverse product portfolio, with rivals ranging from large enterprise software companies to specialized creative tools and emerging startups. The company's primary areas of competition are concentrated within its three main business segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Document Cloud.
For design and photography, Canva has emerged as a significant threat, particularly for non-professional users and small businesses, with its user-friendly interface and vast library of templates. In the professional sphere, companies like Affinity (offering Serif's Designer, Photo, and Publisher) provide powerful, non-subscription-based alternatives that appeal to budget-conscious professionals and freelancers. Other notable competitors include Sketch and Figma for user interface and user experience (UI/UX) design, and CorelDRAW as a long-standing alternative for graphic design.
In the video and motion graphics space, Blackmagic Design's DaVinci Resolve has gained considerable market share from Adobe's Premiere Pro and After Effects. Its free version offers robust professional capabilities, attracting a large user base, while the paid Studio version remains competitively priced. Apple's Final Cut Pro is a strong contender in the macOS ecosystem.
Salesforce stands out as a primary competitor, offering a comprehensive suite of marketing and sales tools that directly rival Adobe's offerings. Oracle and SAP also provide competing marketing cloud solutions. In the content management system (CMS) and web analytics space, companies like Sitecore, Acquia, and Google Analytics present significant competition. The rise of integrated marketing platforms has intensified the battle for enterprise customers seeking a unified solution for their marketing technology stack.
For PDF editing and creation, companies like Foxit and Nitro PDF provide feature-rich, cost-effective solutions for both individuals and businesses. In the realm of electronic signatures, DocuSign has established itself as a dominant force, directly competing with Adobe Sign. Furthermore, cloud storage and collaboration platforms like Dropbox, Google Drive, and Microsoft OneDrive offer basic PDF viewing and annotation capabilities, chipping away at some of Adobe's core functionalities. The increasing demand for digital document workflows has fueled a vibrant ecosystem of specialized tools that challenge Adobe's all-encompassing approach.
Adobe Weekly NEOWAVE AnalysisAdobe is set to report earnings next week, making this an ideal time to share my chart. Currently, Adobe appears to be forming an expanding triangle, as wave B has extended significantly below the start of wave A. We are now approaching the completion of wave B, with wave C expected to follow likely driving the price well above the start of wave B. The upcoming earnings release could provide clarity on Adobe’s outlook, potentially shifting sentiment and fueling the bullish momentum needed for wave C to unfold.
Adobe faces earnings test and signs of financial pressureShares of Adobe Inc. (symbol ‘ADBE’) have incurred losses in the last quarter of around 17%. The company’s earnings report for the fiscal quarter ending August 2025 is due for release on Thursday, 11th September, after the market closes. The consensus EPS is $4.21, against $3.81 in the same quarter last year.
As of 31/05/2024, the company had a current ratio of 99%, meaning that it does not have the ability to repay any short-term obligations with the current assets at hand and, therefore, is not safe from any minor financial turbulence. Also, total assets outweigh total liabilities at a ratio of just shy of 2:1, while long-term debt increased by 49.41% year over year. All these indications show that Adobe is facing some financial pressure, which is displayed on the daily chart.
From the technical analysis perspective, the price seems to be forming a double bottom with the lower band of the Bollinger bands currently acting as a support. The 50-day simple moving average is trading below the 100-day validating the overall bearish trend in the market while the Stochastic oscillator is near the extreme oversold levels. The Bollinger bands are still quite expanded hinting that there is momentum to support any short term sharp moves to either direction. Approaching the earnings release date the volatility is probably going to increase especially if the actual figure of the EPS beats the expectations.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
Adobe Wave Analysis – 8 September 2025- Adobe reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 380.00
Adobe recently reversed up from the support zone located between the key support level 335.00 (which has been reversing the price from April) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous short-term ABC correction ii from the end of August.
Given the strength of the support level 335.00 and the clear bullish divergence on the daily Stochastic indicator, Adobe can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 380.00.
Adobe double bottomAdobe appears to have put in a double bottom. Double or triple bottoms are usually near macro lows. Adobe has solid fundamentals with strong earnings and books. They maintain revenue growth, and are trading at a forward PE of 16 which is laughable. If the company buys back a decent amount of shares they will easily have over 30 EPS in 2030, leading to over a 700$ stock price if the multiple is around 25. The average PE for this stock is in the 50s.
Technically, we note a potentially double bottom, a rise here, with a momentum shift in the stochastic RSI. Volume has been on a slow and steady rise. BBWP is in the middle of the range.
The setup:
Shares, or calls at least 4 months out, seem reasonable here. I have about 40k cash freed up from last week's pump and am debating entering this setup as a lot of the market seems overvalued.
ADOBE ( ADBE ) Here’s a concise overview of **Adobe Inc. (ADBE)** stock, including the latest data, performance drivers, business strengths, and key risks:
## Stock market information for Adobe Inc. (ADBE)
* Adobe Inc. is a equity in the USA market.
* The price is 362.09 USD currently with a change of 8.68 USD (0.02%) from the previous close.
* The latest open price was 355.8 USD and the intraday volume is 3058636.
* The intraday high is 363.45 USD and the intraday low is 353.16 USD.
* The latest trade time is Saturday, August 23, 04:15:00 +0400.
---
## 1. Stock Snapshot (as of August 23, 2025)
* **Current Price**: \~\$362.09.
* **Intraday Range**: \~\$353 to \~\$363.
* **Trading Volume**: About 3.0 million shares, notably below its \~4.1 million 50-day average.
* **52-Week Performance**: Still about 38–39% below its high of \~\$587 reached in September 2024. ( , )
---
## 2. Recent Financial and Strategic Highlights
* **Q2 FY2025 Results**:
* Revenue: **\$5.87 billion**, up **11% year-over-year**.
* Adjusted EPS: **\$5.06**, up **13% YoY**.
* Strong cash flow of **\$2.19 billion** and robust Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) of **\$19.7 billion**, up \~10% YoY. ( , )
* **Raised Full-Year Outlook**:
* Revenue guidance lifted to **\$23.50–23.60 billion**.
* Adjusted EPS guidance increased to **\$20.50–20.70**.
* These upgrades reflect growing demand fueled by AI-enhanced tools like Firefly and Acrobat AI. ( )
* **AI Momentum**:
* Growth in Acrobat and Express subscriptions, strong uptake of AI tools like Firefly (24 billion generations), and accelerating monetization of AI offerings. ( )
---
## 3. Analyst Sentiment: Mixed Optimism
* **Bullish Outlooks**:
* RBC Capital reaffirms **Outperform** rating with a **\$480 target**. ( )
* Some analysts (e.g., at Mizuho) have high targets (e.g., \$575), citing AI-driven monetization potential. ( )
* Jefferies and Morgan Stanley are positive with targets around **\$590** and **\$510**, respectively. ( )
* **Cautious Perspectives**:
* Others lowered targets amid concerns over intensifying AI competition and unclear value capture—some even downgraded to Sell with lower target forecasts (e.g., \$280–\$310). ( , )
---
## 4. Strengths and Challenges at a Glance
**Strengths**
* Leadership in creative software with strong digital media and experience segments.
* Solid financial execution, with steady ARR growth and cash generation.
* Strategic AI rollouts are enhancing product engagement and potential monetization.
**Challenges**
* Stock remains significantly below its 52-week high—investor sentiment remains subdued. ( , )
* Investor caution due to mixed responses post-earnings—even strong results sometimes triggered a stock drop. ( , , )
* AI competition is rising fast (e.g., from OpenAI, Canva, Alphabet), raising concerns about Adobe's long-term competitiveness. ( )
* Market expects performance execution to live up to premium valuation—multiple concerns remain about future growth momentum.
---
## 5. Final Thoughts
Adobe (ADBE) is a powerhouse in creative and digital solutions. Its Q2 results demonstrate healthy growth and increasing AI integration, and the company has responded by raising full-year outlooks—indicating confidence in its strategy. However, persistent investor reservations, competitive pressures in AI, and inconsistent stock reactions suggest that while long-term potential is bright, navigating near-term expectations remains a challenge.
Adobe (ADBE) Weekly Chart – Support HoldADBE continues to trade within a broad descending channel while maintaining contact with its long-term ascending support trendline.
Price recently retested the major horizontal support near $330 — a level that has acted as a critical demand zone multiple times in the past — and responded with a notable bounce, reflecting renewed buying pressure and potential accumulation.
If this recovery holds, price action could gravitate toward the descending resistance trendline, with a primary upside target around $639, which aligns with prior swing highs and the upper boundary of the channel.
The RSI is recovering from mid-range levels, suggesting there is still upside momentum potential before entering overbought territory. Sustained strength above $350–$360 would further validate the bullish bias and may attract additional momentum buyers.
Conversely, a decisive breakdown below $330 and the ascending trendline would invalidate the current structure and expose the stock to deeper downside risk toward the $280 region.ear.
500$ +40% DB RALLYA close above 372$ area to look for the move up on the weekly, likely catalyst earnings coming up on 9/11 analysts project revenue around $5.35 billion up 12% YoY and non-GAAP EPS of ~$4.50-$4.60 driven by Creative Cloud and Firefly AI adoption. Chart looks amazing to back it up, software is not dead and they're implementing a lot of AI to further their growth not to be put out of business by it. Daily has some trend resistance around 360 and 50 100 MA above that the neckline for double bottom at last local top of 420 will also need to be smashed, pretty much in the clear after that besides a back test, this will take a while to play out but there's a decent shot with all these software companies bottoming at the same time. NYSE:CRM NYSE:NOW NYSE:HUBS
ADBE has also bought back a record 12B in stock this year while it looks like there's a mix of hedge funds open/closing q1. Profitable, growing and lowest valuation in a decade, Firefly might be 29.99/ month but it's safe and makes money compared to some of its free competition, the earnings hopefully show a LARGE increase over expected for subscriptions or a major acquisition.
Thanks me later - ADBE Rejection Strong Support!
NASDAQ:ADBE
ADBE has been confirmed of rejection strong support at 332.84 through price reversal at 343.30.
ADBE must break level 376.0 to create higher high as a confirmation of bullish trend reversal.
Set up invalidation at 329.0 for the longterm target at 632.45.
$ADBE is an IA sleeping giantHi there, I bring you Adobe today.
Between 2020 and 2024, Adobe delivered sustained growth, moving from $12.87 B in 2020 to $21.51 B in 2024, an impressive 67% cumulative increase. Operating income grew from $4.24 B to $6.74 B over the same period. Net income peaked at $5.26 B in 2020, dropped in 2021–2022, and recovered to $5.56 B in 2024 , with a 14.1% rebound in 2023 and a modest 2.4% gain in 2024, today sits at 6.87B.
Also shows great margins. NASDAQ:ADBE operates with industry-leading profitability. Gross margin in 2024 was 89% , reflecting low COGS for subscription-based products. Operating margin was 36% , down slightly from its 2021 peak due to higher R&D and sales investments. Net margin stood at 26% in 2024.
Return metrics are also strong. ROE exceeded 37% in 2024 (boosted by large buybacks reducing equity) and ROA was 17%. This is far ahead of peers like Salesforce (ROE 10%, ROA 6.4% ) and even in line with Microsoft numbers.
Adobe consistently generates robust FCF, moving from $6.88 B in 2021 to $7.87 B in 2024. The dip in 2023 (–6.1%) was due to higher tax payments, but 2024 saw a 13.4% rebound. FCF margins have hovered around 37–40%, providing ample capital for reinvestment and buybacks.
Long-term debt rose from ~$10.7 B in 2020 to $15.2 B in 2024 , while equity declined due to repurchases, pushing the debt-to-equity ratio from 0.84 in 2021 to 1.14 in late 2024. Leverage is still manageable given Adobe’s EBITDA and cash flows.
Adobe does not pay dividends, instead returning capital via buybacks. Over the last decade, it repurchased $39.7 B worth of stock, including $3.4 B in the most recent quarter. In March 2024, it authorized a new $25 B buyback program through 2028. (Bullish Bullish Bull)
Versus Salesforce, Adobe has smaller revenue but much higher margins and ROE. Microsoft surpasses Adobe in scale but not in gross margins (Adobe 89% vs Microsoft 70%). Adobe’s valuation (around 19x forward EPS ) is below its historical average, giving it a slight relative discount despite strong fundamentals.
Post Q2 2025, Adobe raised its FY guidance to 23.60 B revenue and $20.70 adjusted EPS , above prior consensus. Last quarter: $5.87 B revenue (+11% YoY) and $5.06 EPS (vs $4.97 expected) . Growth is expected to be driven by AI-powered Creative Cloud and Document Cloud, with analysts forecasting 10% annual revenue growth and sustained high margins.
Cheers!
Pablin
ADBE - Bullish Breakout from Channel Support | Targeting 359.75Price recently bounced from the lower boundary of a well-defined descending channel, finding support at a key demand area.
The breakout above local resistance suggests bullish momentum building up, with two target zones mapped at 351.41 and 359.75.
Watching for a potential continuation towards the upper trendline of the channel.
Adobe Wave Analysis – 6 August 2025- Adobe reversed from strong support level of 335.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 360.00
Adobe recently reversed up from the support zone between the strong support level of 335.00 (which stopped the sharp daily downtrend in April) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
This support zone was further strengthened by the support trendline of the daily down channel from the start of June.
Given the strength of the support level of 335.00 and the oversold daily Stochastic Adobe can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 360.00.
Adobe Wave Analysis – 1 August 2025- Adobe broke the key support level 360.00
- Likely to fall to support level 335.00
Adobe recently broke below the key support level 360.00 (which stopped the previous minor impulse wave i at the start of July).
The breakout of the support level 360.00 accelerated the active impulse wave C of the medium-term ABC correction (2) from the end of May.
Given the strong daily downtrend, Adobe can be expected to fall further to the next support level at 335.00 (the double bottom from April and the target for the completion of the active impulse wave C).
Bottom Feeding - Opportunity?Adobe is sitting on two areas of support - an 11 year old trendline and the 0.786 Fibonacci. It looks like it's coiling up in a giant triangle. This is a steadily growing business with a very sticky product suite. Whilst everyone is falling over themselves to buy Figma at $110, I think it's time to start paying attention to Adobe here.
I believe the AI fear is overdone, if you look at the continued growth in Adobe, their cash flow and continued growth, this is definitely the more compelling buy out of the two. If we lost the trendline support and Fibonacci support, things could indeed get worse.
Not financial advice.
L: Quick Analysis on $NASDAQ:ADBE Support and ResistanceQuick Analysis on NASDAQ:ADBE Support and Resistance
The chart shows NASDAQ:ADBE nearing a major support level around $370, Which has held since 2016, the downward resistance line suggests continued pressure, but a breakout above $400 levels could signal a bullish reversal
Please note this is not financial advice
Adobe - A gigantic triangle breakout! 🔋Adobe ( NASDAQ:ADBE ) will break the triangle:
🔎Analysis summary:
Yes, for the past five years Adobe has been overall consolidating. But this consolidation was governed by a strong symmetrical triangle pattern. Thus following the underlying uptrend, there is already a higher chance that we will see a bullish breakout, followed by a strong rally.
📝Levels to watch:
$400, $700
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
ADOBE MONEY SNATCH! High-Reward Long Setup (Police Trap Alert!)🚨 ADOBE HEIST ALERT: Bullish Bank Robbery Plan! (High-Risk, High-Reward Loot) 🚨
🌟 ATTENTION, MARKET PIRATES & MONEY SNATCHERS! 🌟
(Hola! Bonjour! Marhaba! Hallo!)
🔥 THIEF TRADING STRATEGY 🔥 – ADOBE INC. (ADBE) is primed for a bullish heist! Time to steal profits like a pro!
🔓 ENTRY POINT: "BREAK THE VAULT!"
"The loot is unguarded!" – Go LONG at any price, but for smarter robbers:
Set Buy Limit orders (15m/30m recent swing levels).
ALERT UP! Don’t miss the heist signal!
🛑 STOP-LOSS: "ESCAPE ROUTE!"
Thief SL: Nearest 2H nearest Swing Low (Adjust based on your risk tolerance & lot size).
Police (Bears) are lurking – Don’t get caught!
🎯 TARGET: 440.00 (OR BAIL BEFORE THE COPS ARRIVE!)
Scalpers: Stick to LONG side only!
Big Bankroll? Charge in! Small stack? Join the swing robbers!
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car!
📢 WHY ADOBE Inc?
🐂 Bullish momentum + Overbought but greedy!
🚨 High-risk Red Zone – Trend reversal? Police trap? Bears are strong here!
💸 "Take profits & TREAT YOURSELF – You earned this loot!"
📡 STAY SHARP, THIEF!
Fundamentals, News, COT Reports, Geopolitics – CHECK THEM! (Linkkss ☝👉👆👉).
Market shifts FAST! Adapt or get caught holding bags!
⚠️ WARNING: NEWS = VOLATILITY TRAP!
Avoid new trades during news!
Trailing stops = Your bulletproof vest!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥
"Like & Boost = Stronger Robbery Crew!"
💰 More boosts = More profit heists! 🚀
Stay tuned… Next heist coming soon! 🏴☠️🤑