ASML SHORT 2X The price got rejected once again from the descending trendline resistance.
A short-term correction toward the 880–830 range seems likely.
This zone (highlighted in yellow) could act as a potential accumulation or reversal area.
If the 827 support holds, we might see a solid bounce from here.
However, a clear breakdown below this level could shift the entire structure.
📊 Stay alert — the next major move will be decided right here.
Trade ideas
ASML — consolidation before the next move upAfter a strong earnings report (sales €7.5B, profit €2.1B, margin 51.6%), NASDAQ:ASML is consolidating above the $1,000 level — forming a potential base for the next leg higher.
Support: $960–980
Breakout confirmation: above $1,010
Target: $1,165 (+15%)
MACD remains bullish, suggesting momentum may soon resume.
If price holds above $1,000, the uptrend could continue toward the next profit-taking zone near $1,165
$ASML – Flat Correction Complete, New 5-Wave Cycle in ProgressNASDAQ:ASML – Flat Correction Complete, New 5-Wave Cycle in Progress
ASML appears to have completed a regular flat correction (A–B–C) between 2022 and 2024, retracing nearly all of the prior advance from the 2020–2021 highs.
The impulsive recovery from the €560 low suggests the next major motive wave sequence has begun.
Structure
Wave A: €777 → €400 (5-wave decline)
Wave B: retrace to ~€780 (≈95% of A)
Wave C: final low at ~€560 (5-wave form, RSI divergence)
This fits a 3–3–5 regular flat correction , marking the end of the prior cycle and the start of a new bullish phase.
Fibonacci Wave Targets and timeline estimate (approx.)
Wave 2: 0.382–0.618 retrace → €710–€640 , Q3–Q4 2025
Wave 3: 1.618 × Wave 1 → €1,150–€1,250 , Q1–Q4 2026
Wave 4: 0.236–0.382 retrace → €950–€1,000 , early 2027
Wave 5: 0.618–1.0 × Wave 1 → €1,300–€1,400 , mid 2028
If this count holds, the full impulse could unfold over roughly three years (2025–2028) , targeting the €1.2K–€1.4K zone at the upper boundary of the long-term channel.
ASML’s corrective phase appears complete. Holding above €640–€700 would confirm a sustained bullish cycle targeting new all-time highs in the coming years.
$ASML consolidation is almost over! PT > 1100- Reasons to be bullish on Monopolistic NASDAQ:ASML :
- Open AI has decided to manufacture their own chips by partnering with NASDAQ:AVGO (bullish) and is bearish for NASDAQ:NVDA and NASDAQ:AMD
- Writing was in the wall, if there's gold rush, everyone will start sourcing their own equipments to be more efficient than relying on others all the time once scale is reached.
- Nonetheless, instead of running to $NVDIA, even hyperscalers would like to have their variants of the chips so that they can keep the money flow internal whenever possible.
- Who would be the beneficiary for the next race for building custom chips in next 4-5 years? I don't know but I do know that NASDAQ:ASML would be in a similar position like NASDAQ:NVDA was in 2023-2024 where NASDAQ:NVDA basically provided shovels to the goldminers ( companies using chips )
- Now, big companies have ambitions to build chips in house which is bullish for NASDAQ:AVGO and primarily NASDAQ:ASML
ASML Faces Technological and Geopolitical ChallengesASML Faces Technological and Geopolitical Challenges: A Giant Under Pressure
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
ASML Holding, the Dutch giant of advanced lithography, has reported solid quarterly results, confirming its role as a cornerstone in the global semiconductor industry. However, beyond the initial optimism, warning signs have emerged related to its exposure to the Chinese market and the growing European —including Spanish— interest in developing its own capabilities in this strategic sector.
Strong results, but with an Asian shadow
During the third quarter of 2025, ASML recorded net sales of €7.5 billion and a gross margin of 51.6%, figures that exceeded market expectations. The company projects an annual growth close to 15%, supported by the expansion of global demand for chips destined for artificial intelligence and data centers. Nevertheless, the company has warned of a significant decline in sales in China for 2026, a market that currently represents about a third of its new equipment revenue. Technological restrictions imposed by the United States and increasing geopolitical fragmentation threaten to affect the pace of orders in the region.
The European context and the race for technological autonomy
While ASML remains the undisputed leader in EUV lithography systems, Europe is accelerating its strategic autonomy agenda in semiconductors. Spain, in particular, is gaining ground in specific areas of the value chain. Startups such as Wooptix, specializing in advanced optical metrology, and national projects in Catalonia, Málaga, or Extremadura within the PERTE Chip initiative, demonstrate the country’s interest in positioning itself as a technological partner rather than a direct competitor. The development of advanced materials, such as synthetic diamonds for semiconductor use, aims to strengthen the European ecosystem without replicating ASML’s industrial model. For now, no Spanish company directly competes with ASML, but European investment momentum could open opportunities in complementary segments such as inspection, optics, and precision materials.
Technical Analysis (Ticker AT: ASML): Consolidation after highs
From a technical perspective, ASML shares are currently trading around €874 per share, remaining close to their historical highs of €905.1, driven by AI-related enthusiasm. The stock has shown a sustained upward trend since the beginning of the year, with key support around €804 and immediate resistance near €960. The RSI is in the overbought zone at 67.15%, indicating increased buying momentum at the start of the session. The MACD points to lateral movement, with the histogram in negative territory undergoing correction. Moving averages keep the price above the 50-day average, providing clear support for a new attempt to breach the highs.
A daily close above this resistance level could pave the way for new all-time highs, while a break below the support mentioned could trigger a consolidation phase toward €830. Volume remains stable, reflecting institutional confidence, though with signs of caution given the geopolitical scenario. ActivTrades Europe Market Pulse indicates a balanced market risk environment.
Still the King
ASML remains a global technological benchmark, essential for producing advanced chips. However, China’s weight in its revenues and international regulatory pressure could shape its growth path in 2026. Meanwhile, Europe —and Spain in particular— is seeking to gain ground in segments surrounding the Dutch colossus. More than a direct rivalry, what is emerging is an innovation network that could, in the medium term, diversify the European technological landscape.
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ASML-upside targetsWe have closed monthly candle nicely with big bullish engulfing candle on monthly timeframe,
consequently confirming the upward momentum on 3 months timeframe.
Targets
$1,000 previous all time high
$1,600 : 1.68 Fib extension/ ~200%from previous low
(Best case) $3100 : 2.68 Fib extension/~400% from the previous low
ASML watch $956-971: Double Golden fibs may give a DIP to buyASML has been growing in spurts along with the semi's.
It has just hit a Double-Goldden fib zone $956.18-971.28
Looking for a Dip-to-Fib or Break-n-Retest for long entries.
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Previoius Analysis that nailed the EXACT BOTTOM:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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ASMLASML Holding N.V. is a Dutch multinational corporation that is a leading supplier of photolithography machines used in the production of semiconductor chips. These machines enable chipmakers to produce integrated circuits by using light to etch intricate patterns onto silicon wafers. ASML is the sole global provider of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems, which are essential for manufacturing the most advanced semiconductor chips with smaller, faster, and more powerful designs.
Key Facts about ASML:
Founded in 1984 as a joint venture between Philips and ASM International.
Headquarters located in Veldhoven, Netherlands.
Employs over 42,000 people across 60+ locations worldwide.
Supplies to major semiconductor manufacturers such as Intel, TSMC, and Samsung.
Listed on the Amsterdam and Nasdaq stock exchanges under the ticker ASML.
Market capitalization is around $345 billion as of September 2025, making it Europe’s largest tech company.
Besides EUV, ASML also produces deep ultraviolet (DUV) lithography systems, metrology and inspection tools, and computation software.
Recent business focus includes expanding EUV production and developing next-gen lithography technology.
Business Impact
ASML’s technology is crucial for the global semiconductor supply chain, impacting industries like consumer electronics, automotive, AI, and telecommunications.
THE STOCK WILL KEEP RISING DUE TO MONOPOLY IN THE MARKET.
#ASML #STOCKS #AI
ASML enters buy zone and will posibly rotate to uptrend again.ASML is lagging behind after stagnated growth and a weak order intake due to china chip machine restrictions and uncertaincy about chip machine import tarrifs. It looks like tarrifs on chip machinery is settled and companies will likely place orders again after internal investment approvals.
Earnings of alphabet, microsoft, meta and amazon have confirmed stronger growth in AI datacenter chips than expected and more demand than production, therefore more ASML EUV machines are neceserry to fullfill production needs.
The chart analysis is in the lower range and lower P/E ~26 zone, very cheap for this company which is the monopolist in the EUV machines and therefore undervalued based on history.
ASML is no longer bullish🔴 ASML is no longer bullish
EURONEXT:ASML is one of the most interesting companies in Europe by far, but recently has broken a very large trendline meaning that at least, we are moving to a NEUTRAL or BEARISH market.
✅ What pattern is unfolding in EURONEXT:ASML ?
The pattern is one of the simplest that exist. A simple trendline, but look, is a very large trendline of more than 5 years and multiple touches. Breaking this kind of pattern is a major signal that you can't avoid.
💰 How to trade this chart pattern?
Once the trendline is broken, you can trade in any pullback or any new low done, searching for the upcoming bear market. Take care with longs here, you are probably seen a dead bounce cat.
✴️ ENJOY AND FOLLOW for more ideas 😊
ASML - Bearish trend invalidated, upside reversal confirmedWE previously has a sell call on ASML NASDAQ:ASML but uptrend reversal is in and invalidated our previous sell call. Price action shows strong reversal after breaking out of the overhead resistance and confirming the inverted head and shoulder formation. Long-term MACD shows strong bullish recovery after histogram turns positive. Stochastic Oscillator has confirmed the oversold crossover and is rising. 23-period ROC is positive.
Given the parabolic move, we could buy at spot at 867 or upon correction at 750.
Bears in control with $ASMLThe bears remain in control of NASDAQ:ASML , with declining prices and rising volume signaling distribution pressure. The horizontal trading range around the 2024 highs looks like a classic distribution phase, leading to the current downtrend.
At the moment, NASDAQ:ASML is testing the 0.786 Fib retracement (2021 high – 2022 low). I expect this level to fail and the downtrend to continue. My projected scenario shows a move down into the marked buy zone, which aligns with both key Fib levels and long-term channel support.
In this area, buyers may begin to absorb the previously distributed shares, setting the stage for a new accumulation phase and a potential trend reversal.
Fundamentally, ASML remains a top-tier asset with a dominant position in EUV lithography. That’s why I plan to accumulate if the buy zone is reached. If the zone fails, the next major support lies around 430.
ASML | Something Is Brewing | SemiconductorsASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. It includes lithography, metrology and inspection systems. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands.
ASML Technical Outlook – Gap Resistance Looming🖥️ ASML Technical Outlook – Gap Resistance Looming
Ticker: ASML (ASML Holding N.V.)
Timeframe: 30-minute candles
🔍 Current Setup
ASML is rebounding after a sharp drop earlier this summer, now pushing into a major overhead gap resistance zone between ~760–830.
Gap Support/Resistance Zone: 760 (bottom of gap) → 830 (top of gap).
Current price: ~755, testing the lower boundary of the gap.
This is a key technical level: either price gets rejected here and rolls over, or it enters the gap and has room to run toward 830.
📊 Breakout Levels
🚀 Upside (Bullish Scenario)
Trigger: Break and close above 760 to enter the gap.
Intermediate Targets:
785–790 → Mid-gap resistance.
810–815 → Upper portion of the gap.
Measured Move Target: ~830 (full gap fill).
🔻 Downside (Bearish Scenario)
Trigger: Rejection at ~760 with failure to hold 740.
Intermediate Supports:
720 → Local support.
700 → Round number demand zone.
Measured Move Target: ~680 (retracement toward prior base).
📈 Volume Analysis
The sell-off volume spike during the July gap down highlights how significant this zone is.
Current bounce is happening on moderate volume — bulls need strong inflows to sustain a gap fill attempt.
⚖️ Probability Bias
ASML is at a make-or-break level.
A sustained push above 760 opens the path toward 785–830.
Failure here risks another pullback toward 720–700.
✅ Takeaway
ASML is confronting a major gap resistance:
Bullish Break > 760: Targets 785 → 810 → 830
Bearish Rejection < 760 / 740: Targets 720 → 700 → 680
The reaction at 760 will define ASML’s next big move.
$ASML: Is the stock primed for upside? Indicators are aligned.NASDAQ:ASML is one of the very few semis cap equipment cos. which have not broken out of their previous ATH. The stock is still at lower bound of the upward slopping channel which we have been following for a few months in this blog.
IN this chart below we are following a combination of various technical indicators to see the path of least resistance for the stock. The stock every time bounces back from the lower bound of the upward slopping fib retracement channel. During the 2022 bear market the stock made lower lows and after 5th leg of the bearish pattern on the Elliot’s wave the stock finally made its lows after 329 days of trading and down almost 50%. From its lows it also perfectly followed a textbook rally in 5 legs perfectly matching a bullish Eliots wave pattern before reaching ATH of 1030 $. The recent drawdown on the stock also happened when the stock went above the channel and was slammed back into penalty box by the sellers.
Surprisingly the stock also followed the same Eliots wave bearish pattern downwards and the price bottomed at the lows of the channel now almost 2 times in the weekly chart shown below. Each time the stock had a drawdown of almost 50% in 2 instances. As the stock is going sideways for quite a few weeks we can expect some bullish price action with 980 $ in the upper limit.
Verdict: NASDAQ:ASML in an accumulation pattern. Major upside expected with 980 as our price target.
Is This a Head and Shoulders Bottom?Based on the conjecture, the right shoulder is about to form. The head and shoulders bottom pattern will only complete upon a breakout above 840. If the price falls below the previous low (approximately 680), the conjecture fails. The projected rise from the head and shoulders bottom roughly aligns with the overhead resistance levels. The long-term chart pattern appears more like a wedge.
Short-term support : 68x
Short-term resistance : 84x
Target levels : 84x, 94x, 11xx
ASML monopolist, a +181% | 2Y oppertunityASML is the monopoly Extreme ultra violet machinery company. There is no one close to it's technology or there is no one investing enough to R&D a thing like it. The whole AI datacenter and cloud chip growth depends on EUV machinery of ASML developed in 2013 (>10y of PhD level R&D deveopment). The first new High-NA EUV systems have been deployed at Intel in July 2025 for research purposes and will scale just like the EUV already does to keep pace with moore's law. TSMC has stated it will not yet buy & depoly the newest machines jet, but has to expand with the 10 year older tech EUV machines just to get the AI chip demand going. AI chip demand at NVIDIA is growing harder than expected comfirmed by latest earnigns of alphabet, microsoft, meta and amazon. The whole AI data center growh depends on 2013 asml tech machines, and they already have a new tech High-NA EUV machine, just figure.
Also don't sleep on BESI a packing machinery wonder, due to hybrid bonding which makes stacking 3D chip structures possible.
#GoHighTechNetherlands
ASML monopolist, AI expanding +181% | 2Y oppertunity ASML is the monopoly Extreme ultra violet machinery company. There is no one close to it's technology or there is no one investing enough to R&D a thing like it. The whole AI datacenter and cloud chip growth depends on EUV machinery of ASML developed in 2013 (>10y of PhD level R&D deveopment). The first new High-NA EUV systems have been deployed at Intel in July 2025 for research purposes and will scale just like the EUV already does to keep pace with moore's law. TSMC has stated it will not yet depoly the machines but has to expand with to 10 year older tech EUV machines just to get the AI chip demand going. AI chip demand at NVIDIA is growing harder than expected comfirmed by latest earnigns of alphabet, microsoft, meta and amazon.
Also don't sleep on BESI a packing machinery wonder due to hydrid bonding technology, which makes 3D chip staking possible.
#GoHighTechNetherlands