Trade ideas
CRWV (CoreWeave) – Technical Outlook & Options Play📊 CRWV (CoreWeave) – Technical Outlook & Options Play
CRWV is showing signs of strength after breaking out of a descending channel. Volume spikes confirm accumulation, and price is approaching equilibrium levels.
Support Zone: $110–$120
Immediate Resistance: $140–$150 supply zone
Breakout Target: $160+ (Fibonacci extension & institutional models align)
Forecast Models:
Institutional-grade forecast → Target $161.61 (+27.6%) within 15 days
WaverVanir DSS model → $176.98 (15D) / $278.66 (30D) if momentum sustains
📌 Options Position:
I bought CRWV $150 Calls exp. 10/3 at $1.90. Breakeven: $151.90. Risk capped at premium.
⚠️ Watchouts:
Must clear $140–$150 zone with volume.
IV crush risk into expiration.
💡 Thesis: If CRWV reclaims $150+ on momentum, this can run toward $160–$175 short-term. Longer horizon models even suggest $250–$275 if momentum compounds.
🔗 #CRWV #OptionsTrading #AI #TechStocks #TradingView #Breakout
CRWV: Wave Predictions VisualizedNASDAQ:CRWV | Watching Key Levels for Next Move
CRWV is holding above recent breakout levels and testing key Fibonacci extensions. Momentum is intact, but risk levels are clear.
🔹 Support zones:
$122–124 (near-term)
$114–116 (major support)
🔹 Resistance / targets:
$139 (first target)
$144–146 (major resistance zone)
Stretch target $160+ if momentum continues
🔹 Trade plan (example, not advice):
Long entry on support retest at $122–124 or reclaim of $130 with strong volume
Scale profits $139 → $144–146
Stop below $121 (tight) or $114 (conservative)
⚠️ Manage risk carefully — if $122 fails, watch $114 for support. Below that, downside risk increases.
📊 Structure suggests continuation higher if trend holds, but discipline on stops and sizing is critical.
#CRWV #Stocks #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis
Neocloud, AI and & GPU ConstraintsNebius just secured a monsterous deal with Microsoft, the stock is on fire. Hyperscalers cannot get enough GPU power, the demand for AI is insatiable. I've been in a long position on Coreweave and Nebius, feel free to drop a comment if you'd like my TA on that - i'd be happy to share how I caught the low on that. I do not share every single trade idea on this platform, but I have given you my trade idea on Coreweave - so far, it's looking good.
I went into accumulation mode in the low 80s, if you follow my linked trade idea on it you will see I made this call whilst the token unlock fear had gripped the market. Why did I go long?
We bounced of the value area low, the golden pocket retracement provided a level of support. Now that the market is waking up to the strong business proposition of Neoclouds like Coreweave and Nebius again, it's good timing to show you my chart on this.
Not financial advice, do what's best for you.
CRWV: Weekly Breakout confirmed!Looking at your chart for CRVW (CoreWeave Inc., 1W):
Pattern: The stock just broke a clean downtrend line that had been respected since July. This breakout suggests selling pressure is weakening.
Current Price: $129.40 (weekly close above trendline).
Bias: Bullish unless it fails back below ~$120. A weekly confirmation candle above this zone would strengthen upside conviction.
Targets:
Near term: $145–150 (prior supply zone)
Extension: $170+ if momentum sustains
Risk Level: A close back below $120 invalidates the breakout and reopens $100 downside.
Option Play Idea (Low Risk Structure)
Since you want protection from manipulation and to ensure profit potential:
Strategy: Call Debit Spread
Buy $130 call (Nov expiry)
Sell $150 call (same expiry)
Reasoning: Limits risk to debit paid while capturing breakout move toward $145–150.
Alternatively, if you want guaranteed premium income:
Strategy: Put Credit Spread
Sell $120 put (Nov)
Buy $110 put (Nov)
Reasoning: You profit if CRVW stays above $120, aligning with breakout thesis.
I was alerted to this trade using my systems. I increased my position.
CRWV heads up at $134.74: Golden Genesis fib to determine trend CRWV trying for a trend change back to rocket mode.
Currently testing a Golden Genesis fib at $134.74
Looking for a clean Break-n-Retest for possible longs.
.
Previous Plot that caught the HUGE BREAKOUT:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
=========================================================
.
CRWV LONGCoreWeave is emerging from a high-volume capitulation low, reclaiming key levels with strong accumulation off the low-volume node. A massive bull flag is developing on the daily chart, supported by a sharp 36% rebound this month and rising relative volume. With RSI pushing 62 and the 50/200-day moving averages turning up, momentum is shifting. A sustained break above \$130 confirms the flag breakout, with a measured move targeting \$185.85 over the coming months.
Fundamentally, CRWV remains a high-growth, high-risk play. Revenue is up 207% YoY, yet net losses remain steep with a -31% profit margin and over \$1.1B in losses TTM. The company trades at a 17.3 P/S and a lofty 21.5 P/B, but institutional accumulation appears to be returning after heavy rotation earlier this quarter. Insider ownership is strong at 43.56%, and a 10.5% short float adds squeeze potential. Over \$130, momentum traders and funds are likely to step in hard.
CoreWeave – Golden Zone Setup with FVG ConfluencePrice action on CoreWeave (CRVW) has delivered exactly what high-probability ICT setups are built on. After the strong bullish expansion post-IPO, price retraced cleanly into the golden Fibonacci zone (62%–79%), aligning perfectly with a higher-timeframe Fair Value Gap (FVG).
This retracement holds confluence from multiple PD arrays:
- Golden Zone Respect → Buyers stepped in right at equilibrium levels, where institutional order flow often reloads.
- Weekly FVG → The retracement filled imbalance left on the weekly expansion leg, strengthening the bullish narrative.
- Volume Profile → The drop into this zone occurred on decreasing sell volume, suggesting sellers are exhausted while buyers accumulate.
If price continues to hold above this golden zone/FVG region, the bias remains to the upside with immediate targets at:
- $147 (Weekly Buyside Liquidity)
- $185 (Above Prior Weekly Highs)
- $198–200 (FVG Fill & Structural Target)
Ultimately, a full bullish expansion could send CoreWeave towards $360 (778% projection) in the long term if liquidity pools above are targeted. DYOR.
CRWV Swing TradeReasoning:
Double bottom
Recovery near rising 30 Week MA
Remember: Every long-term investment alert can also be played as a swing trade.
Long-Term Investors (3-12 Month Holds)
Entry: Full position on breakout
Profit Taking: Sell 1/4 to 1/5 at Goal 1
Exit Signal: Close below 20-day EMA (your trend guide) or 50EMA
Why: Strong moves are hard to time at the top, but the 20EMA acts as a reliable trend filter
Swing Traders (2-6 Week Holds)
Entry: Full position on breakout
Profit Taking: Sell 1/3 at Goal 1
Final Exit: Remainder at Goal 2
CRWV Breakdown Setup — $80 PUT in Play!
# 🐻 CRWV Weekly Trade Setup (Sep 6, 2025) 🐻
### 🔎 Market Consensus
* **Momentum:** Daily RSI 35.2 ↓, Weekly RSI 45.4 ↓ → bearish trend.
* **Performance:** -13.3% last week → downside pressure.
* **Volume:** 0.7x → weak institutional support.
* **Options Flow:** C/P = **1.61** → contrarian bearish (likely retail call chasing).
* **Consensus:** 📉 Moderate → Strong Bearish Bias
---
### 🎯 Trade Plan
* **Instrument:** CRWV
* **Direction:** PUT (SHORT)
* **Strike:** 80.00
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-12 (6 DTE)
* **Entry Price:** 0.73
* **Profit Target:** 1.46 (+100%)
* **Stop Loss:** 0.37 (-50%)
* **Size:** 1 contract (scale risk 2–4% max)
* **Entry Timing:** Market Open
* **Exit Rule:** Take profits early if hit; hard exit **by Thu Sep 11** (avoid Friday decay).
* **Confidence:** 🔥 65%
---
### ⚖️ Key Risks
* Call flow heavy (C/P 1.61) → possible squeeze/hedge pops.
* Weak volume could limit follow-through.
* News/gap risk can reverse quickly.
* Theta decay accelerates mid-week — OTM puts decay fast if price stalls.
---
📊 **TRADE DETAILS (JSON)**
```json
{
"instrument": "CRWV",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 80.0,
"expiry": "2025-09-12",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 1.46,
"stop_loss": 0.37,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.73,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-06 10:25:45 EDT"
}
```
---
🔥 \ NASDAQ:CRWV | \ AMEX:SPY | \ NASDAQ:QQQ | #OptionsTrading #BearishSetup #TradingView #PutOptions #GammaSqueeze #StocksToWatch#MarketMoves#EarningsSeason#MomentumTrading#RiskReward
CRWV Ready to Breakout? Institutions Loading $107C
# 🚀 CRWV WEEKLY CALLS ALERT (2025-09-01) 🐂💎
### 📊 Consensus Bias → **BULLISH**
* ✅ RSI >50 📈 → Momentum holding strong
* ✅ Options Flow: Call/Put = 2.06 💥 → Institutions loading calls
* ✅ Heavy OI @ \$107 → Gamma magnet 🎯
* ✅ VIX \~15.3 → Great for long calls
⚠️ Volume soft (0.8x last week) → Size conservatively
---
### 🎯 TRADE SETUP
👉 **CRWV 107C (2025-09-05)**
💵 Entry: \~\$1.91 (ask)
🛑 Stop: \$1.15 (-40%)
🎯 Target: \$2.50 (+30%)
📏 Size: 1 contract (risk ≤2–3% acct)
⏰ Entry: Market open
🔥 Confidence: 70%
🗓 Exit: By **Thursday EOD**
---
📌 **Trade JSON (for algos 🤖)**
```json
{
"instrument": "CRWV",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 107.0,
"expiry": "2025-09-05",
"confidence": 0.70,
"profit_target": 2.50,
"stop_loss": 1.15,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 1.91,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-01 21:27:34 EDT"
}
```
---
\#️⃣ **Tags / Hashtags**
\#CRWV #OptionsTrading #WeeklyOptions #FlowTrading #BreakoutStocks
\#TradingSignals #CallOptions #SmartMoneyFlow #StockMarket 🚀📈🔥
CRWV : Bullish Bet on the AI Infrastructure BoomDespite recent volatility and a pullback from its June 2025 peak, CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) presents a compelling long-term investment opportunity. As a leading provider of GPU-based cloud computing tailored for AI workloads, CoreWeave is uniquely positioned to capitalize on the explosive growth in AI infrastructure demand. Strategic partnerships with Nvidia, OpenAI, and major financial institutions, combined with a $30.1 billion revenue backlog and robust revenue growth, signal strong fundamentals. While risks like customer concentration and high capital expenditures exist, the current valuation offers an attractive entry point for investors betting on the AI revolution.
1. Explosive Revenue Growth and Strong Backlog
CoreWeave has demonstrated remarkable growth, with revenue soaring from $20 million in 2022 to $1.9 billion in 2024. In Q2 2025, the company reported $1.21 billion in revenue, surpassing analyst estimates of $1.08 billion. This growth is underpinned by a $30.1 billion revenue backlog, driven by long-term take-or-pay contracts with top-tier clients like OpenAI, Microsoft, Meta, Cohere, and Mistral. These contracts provide revenue visibility and reduce financial risk, positioning CoreWeave to scale efficiently as AI demand accelerates. The company’s raised 2025 revenue guidance to $5.15–$5.35 billion reflects confidence in sustained demand for its GPU infrastructure.
2. Strategic Nvidia Partnership and AI-First Architecture
CoreWeave’s deep partnership with Nvidia, the leader in AI chip technology, is a key differentiator. With over 250,000 Nvidia GPUs across 32 data centers, CoreWeave has secured access to cutting-edge hardware like the GB200, H200, H100, and A100, which are in high demand and short supply. Unlike legacy cloud providers like AWS or Azure, CoreWeave’s platform is purpose-built for AI workloads, offering low-latency, elastic compute at competitive costs. This specialization makes it a preferred partner for AI developers, as evidenced by its expanding relationships with OpenAI, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley. The company’s pivot from crypto mining to AI infrastructure in 2022 was well-timed, aligning it with the AI boom and giving it a first-mover advantage in GPU cloud computing.
3. Attractive Valuation Post-Pullback
Since hitting an all-time high of $187 in June 2025, CRWV stock has corrected by approximately 45%, trading at $103.04 as of August 31, 2025. This pullback, driven by post-IPO lockup expiration and a Q2 earnings miss on EPS (-$0.27 vs. expectations), has brought the stock to a more reasonable valuation. Analysts like Cantor Fitzgerald highlight its attractive valuation at 7x enterprise value to expected forward revenue, compared to pricier peers in the AI infrastructure space. H.C. Wainwright’s bullish upgrade to Buy with a $180 price target suggests potential for nearly 75% upside, while the average 12-month price target of $124.71 implies 21% upside. The correction offers a compelling entry point for long-term investors.
4. Expanding Market Opportunity in AI Infrastructure
The AI infrastructure market is projected to grow into a trillion-dollar opportunity, driven by skyrocketing demand for generative AI, large language model training, and inference workloads. CoreWeave is at the forefront of this trend, with hyperscale data center spending and computational needs rising exponentially. The company’s planned 250 MW data center in New Jersey (set for 2026 delivery) and its acquisition of Weights and Biases for $1.4 billion to enhance AI model monitoring underscore its aggressive expansion strategy. Additionally, CoreWeave’s innovative GPU spot rental model, set to launch later in 2025, could disrupt pricing dynamics and attract cost-conscious clients, further boosting market share.
5. Analyst and Institutional Support
Analyst sentiment remains positive, with 9 Buy ratings, 11 Hold ratings, and 2 Sell ratings, yielding a Moderate Buy consensus. Notable upgrades from Cantor Fitzgerald (Overweight, $116 target), H.C. Wainwright (Buy, $180 target), and Citi (Buy) reflect confidence in CoreWeave’s growth trajectory. Institutional interest is also strong, with Jane Street disclosing a 5.4% stake (nearly 20 million shares) and billionaire Philippe Laffont investing over $1 billion in CRWV. Oversubscribed debt offerings, such as the $1.5 billion bond sale in July 2025, further signal investor confidence in CoreWeave’s financial strategy.
🔸 Key Risks to Consider
▪ Customer Concentration: 77% of 2024 revenue came from two clients, posing risks if these relationships falter.
▪ High Capital Expenditure (capex) and Debt: 2025 capex is projected at $20–$23 billion, with debt at $11.1 billion, raising concerns about execution and sustainability if revenue growth slows.
▪ Core Scientific Acquisition Uncertainty: The proposed $9 billion takeover of Core Scientific has faced shareholder pushback, leading to a 21% stock decline since July 7, 2025. This deal’s outcome could impact near-term sentiment.
▪ Profitability Challenges: CoreWeave remains unprofitable, with a Q2 adjusted net loss and shrinking operating margins (2% vs. 20% a year ago) due to high stock-based compensation and capex.
▪ Market Volatility: Macro uncertainty, evolving trade policies, and potential AI demand fluctuations could pressure the stock.
🔸 Technical Setup and Trade Idea
▪ CRWV has shown signs of consolidation after its sharp decline.
▪ Potential cup-with-handle formation.
▪ Trading above its August 20, 2025, low of $85.26, with high volume signaling potential accumulation.
▪ Key resistance lies at $122, while support is near $85.
▪ A break above $122 could target the previous highs of $148 or $187, offering significant upside.
▪ Position sizing should be cautious due to volatility.
🔸 Conclusion
CoreWeave (CRWV) is a high-risk, high-reward play in the AI infrastructure space. Its explosive revenue growth, Nvidia partnership, and massive backlog position it as a leader in the GPU cloud computing market. While challenges like customer concentration and profitability concerns warrant caution, the recent pullback has created an attractive risk/reward setup for long-term investors. With analyst support and institutional backing, CRWV is poised to ride the AI wave, making it a compelling buy for those willing to navigate near-term volatility.
Note: This is not investment advice. Do your own research before making any trade decisions. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing.
Trading CRWV to $120Here’s a clear comparison between CRWV (CoreWeave, Inc.) and SMCI (Super Micro Computer, Inc.):
---
## CoreWeave (CRWV) – **AI Cloud Infrastructure Platform**
* **Business Focus**: CoreWeave operates a specialized cloud computing platform offering GPU‑based infrastructure tailored for generative AI workloads—including compute, storage, networking, and bare-metal or virtual servers.( )
* **Origins & Strategy**: Originally a crypto-mining company, CoreWeave shifted to AI infrastructure and went public in March 2025 at \$40 per share.( )
* **Scale & Reach**: The company runs roughly 32 data centers across the U.S. and Europe with clients like Microsoft, Meta, OpenAI, and IBM. Microsoft has committed up to \$10 billion through 2030.( , )
* **Growth Metrics**:
* Revenue soared \~736% year-over-year in 2024 to about \$1.92 billion.( )
* Net loss widened to several hundred million dollars.( , )
* As of August 2025, trailing‑12‑month revenue stands at \$3.53 billion, with a net loss of \$1.10 billion.( )
* The company maintains a backlog of roughly \$30 billion.( , )
* **Positioning**: CoreWeave is positioning itself as an "AI hyperscaler," enabling enterprises to rent powerful GPU compute on demand—competing indirectly with AWS, Azure, and Nvidia’s own cloud offerings.
---
## Super Micro Computer (SMCI) – **Server & AI Hardware Provider**
* **Business Focus**: Supermicro designs, manufactures, and sells high-performance, energy-efficient server and storage solutions utilizing modular/open-standard architectures.( )
* **Product Portfolio**: The company offers racks of solutions: GPU servers, blade systems, storage arrays, networking gear, server management software, and advanced cooling systems (such as liquid cooling) tailored for AI/data center deployment.( )
* **Industry & Operations**: Founded in 1993 and headquartered in San Jose, CA, Supermicro boasts manufacturing operations in California, the Netherlands, and Taiwan. It serves enterprise IT, cloud providers, AI, 5G, and edge computing markets.( )
* **Scale & Workforce**: Employs over 5,600 people globally as of 2025.( , )
* **Recent Business Moves**:
* Filed overdue financial reports in early 2025 to regain Nasdaq compliance.( )
* Despite a quarterly miss, projected FY2026 revenue of \$40 billion, up from a downward‐revised \$23.5–25 billion estimate for FY2025.( )
* Launched advanced systems like Direct Liquid Cooling, Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS), and secured a \$20 billion partnership with DataVolt for AI campuses.( )
* Faced scrutiny earlier over accounting, governance, and export compliance—stemming from Hindenburg’s 2024 report—though an independent committee later reported no wrongdoing.( )
---
## Side‑by‑Side Comparison
| **Aspect** | **CoreWeave (CRWV)** | **Supermicro (SMCI)** |
| ------------------------ | -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ |
| **Core Business** | Cloud-based GPU infrastructure for AI workloads. | Design & manufacturing of high-performance AI-ready server and storage systems. |
| **Client Base** | AI developers and hyperscalers (OpenAI, Microsoft, Meta, IBM). | Data centers, enterprises, AI/cloud providers baseline, and large-scale data center operators. |
| **Growth Trajectory** | Rapid, explosive revenue growth (\~736% in 2024) with scale expansion via long-term contracts. | Strong after volatility; projected substantial revenue spike in FY2026. |
| **Strategic Edge** | Offers fully managed infrastructure services; competitive for AI-processing clients seeking scale without asset ownership. | Delivers tailored hardware solutions (e.g., cooling tech, modular racks) and deep customization. |
| **Execution Risk** | High capital expenditure, financing, and net‑loss challenges. | Higher execution complexity amid past compliance issues and governance scrutiny. |
| **Business Model Shift** | Transitioned from crypto-mining to AI cloud; currently scale-dependent. | Long-standing hardware supplier evolving into AI infrastructure provider. |
---
## Summary
* **CoreWeave (CRWV)** is a fast-growing **AI infrastructure platform**, delivering GPU-powered compute on-demand with a backlog of AI commitments.
* **Supermicro (SMCI)** is a **hardware infrastructure leader**, designing and delivering custom server, storage, and cooling solutions across major enterprise and AI data center markets.
Although both ride the AI wave, CoreWeave focuses on delivering compute as a service, while Supermicro builds the bricks (hardware systems) behind those compute capabilities.
Let me know if you'd like deeper financial metrics, analyst insights, or comparisons across valuation and market positioning!
---
* (www.investors.com)
* (www.investors.com)
* (www.barrons.com)
: graniteshares.com "What Does Super Micro Computer (SMCI) DO?"
: www.kiplinger.com "CoreWeave IPO: Should You Buy CRWV Stock?"
: stockanalysis.com "CoreWeave (CRWV) Stock Price & Overview"
: www.investopedia.com "Super Micro Computer Stock Rises on Nasdaq-100 Addition"
: www.tipranks.com "CRWV vs. SMCI: Which Growth Stock Is a Better Pick ..."
: en.wikipedia.org "Supermicro"
: zh.wikipedia.org "美超微電腦"
: www.investors.com "Supermicro Stock Surges As Data-Center Specialist Files Delinquent Reports"
: www.investors.com "Nvidia Partner Supermicro Cuts Fiscal 2025 Estimates, But Sees Big Growth Next Year"
: www.ft.com "Hindenburg hits Super Micro"
$CRWV Round Bottom Reversal?NASDAQ:CRWV is a hot IPO running from a low of $33.52 to a high of $187 back to a low of $85.26 and now trading, as of this post, at $94.67. I bought a small position on Aug 21st on what I thought at the time was a follow through from the low on Aug 20th. My entry price was $94.58, and I have not gotten stopped out as the price has not dropped below $85.26, the most recent low.
It looks to me to be forming a rounded bottom reversal. I have drawn in what I think seems to be an important price level at 96.60. “If” it can get up and over that I plan to add to my position. And my stop remains the same, a breach of the most recent low.
This one is clearly not out of the woods and is a high-risk trade as it is below important moving averages. On the other hand, the risk is well defined. If you like this idea, please make it your own by following your trading plan. Remember, it is your money at risk.
From Earnings Whispers:
CoreWeave Missed Expectations
Tuesday, August 12, 2025 at 4:07 PM ET
CoreWeave (CRWV) reported a loss of $0.25 per share on revenue of $1.21 billion for the second quarter ended June 2025. The consensus estimate was a loss of $0.20 per share on revenue of $1.08 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was a loss of $0.17 per share. The company missed expectations by 47.06%.
The company said during its conference call it expects third quarter revenue of $1.26 billion to $1.30 billion and 2025 revenue of $5.15 billion to $5.35 billion. The company's previous guidance was 2025 revenue of $4.90 billion to $5.10 billion. The current consensus revenue estimate is $1.23 billion for the quarter ending September 30, 2025 and revenue of $5.01 billion for the year ending December 31, 2025.
CoreWeave, the AI Hyperscaler™, delivers a cloud platform of cutting-edge software powering the next wave of AI.
CRWV - Bearish zigzag sequence in play against 8.12.2025 highIt favors daily zigzag correction since June peak. Below 155.05 high if (B) wave, it should continue downside towards 67.6 or lower. Short term bounce in 2 should expect to fail in simple, double or triple correction to continue downside. SPY is showing impulse sequence from April-2025 low and expect pullback soon, which may fuel more weakness in CRWV.
CRWV Long-Term Big Bet--$100C Early Entry for the Big Move!
# 🌐 CRWV LEAP Options Setup (08/24/2025)
**Consensus:** ⚖️ Moderate Bullish (Monthly RSI ↑ 55, but Weekly Neutral)
**Volatility:** VIX \~14.2 ✅ Favorable for buying premium
**Institutional Flow:** Neutral (Call/Put OI ≈ 1.0)
---
## 🔎 Model Signals
* **Gemini/Google:** Bullish, \$85c (2026-09-18) | Target \$22.5 | Conf 65%
* **DeepSeek:** No trade — multi-timeframe misaligned | Conf 45%
* **Grok/xAI:** Bullish, \$95c (2026-09-18) | Notes low OI | Conf 75%
* **Claude/Anthropic:** No trade yet (wait for weekly align) | Conf 60%
* **Llama/Meta:** Bullish, prefers 0.6–0.8 delta, \$100c candidate | Conf 75%
---
## ✅ Agreement
* **Monthly RSI:** Rising → Bullish bias
* **Volatility:** Low VIX = Good time to buy long-dated options
* **Direction:** None are bearish
## ⚠️ Disagreement
* **Timing:** 3 models bullish now vs. 2 advising wait
* **Strike:** \$85 / \$95 / \$100 debated (liquidity favors \$100)
* **Conviction:** Mixed (45–75%)
---
## 📌 Recommended Trade (LEAP Call)
**Rationale:** Favorable vol, monthly bullish, liquidity at \$100 strike. Best balance of execution + upside.
🎯 **Instrument:** CRWV
🔀 **Direction:** CALL (LONG LEAP)
📅 **Expiry:** 2026-09-18 (\~390 days)
🎯 **Strike:** \$100.00 (largest OI — 564)
💵 **Entry Price (Mid):** \$28.80
🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$18.72 (-35%)
🎯 **Profit Target:** \$43.20 (+50%/+100% partial, +200% stretch)
📏 **Size:** 1 contract (starter; scale w/ risk budget)
📈 **Confidence:** 65%
⏰ **Entry Timing:** Market open w/ limit at mid
---
## ⚡ Risks & Notes
* Multi-timeframe mismatch (monthly bullish vs weekly neutral)
* Wide spreads — use **limit orders at mid**
* High premium (\$28.80) — size small
* Monitor insider activity / sector news
* Exit partial @ +100% to de-risk
---
## 🧾 JSON (Trade Details)
```json
{
"instrument": "CRWV",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 100.0,
"expiry": "2026-09-18",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 43.20,
"stop_loss": 18.72,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 28.80,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-24 03:56:31 UTC-04:00"
}
```
---
🔥 This is LEAP positioning (long runway, lower gamma risk, higher convexity). Perfect for **chart annotation** with 📈 arrows → buy zone at \$28.8, stop at \$18.7, PT at \$43.2.
CRWV earnings pop perhapsIt's a buy for many. Consolidating nicely. Doesn't look like we will make it to the Christmas fib level .786
Earnings is next week and I think it can do well.
APLD announced a major partnership during their earnings call. They have contract(s) with NVDA. What else is going on pop worthy?
Close Targets: 125, 135
Great earnings... 145+?
SL 99; or tight at 103
CRWV Bearish Breakdown – $82P Loading
# ⚠️ CRWV \$82P – Bearish Breakdown Alert 🚨📉
**Summary (2025-08-20):**
CRWV is flashing strong **bearish momentum** across all models:
* 📉 Daily & Weekly RSI both below key thresholds = heavy downside pressure.
* 💼 Volume up **1.5x vs last week** = institutional selling confirmation.
* 🔻 Options skew bearish: High OI at **\$80 & \$85 puts**, Call/Put ratio = 1.00 (neutral on surface, but leaning bearish).
* 🌐 VIX at **16.6** = stable environment for weekly option plays.
---
## 📊 Trade Setup
* 🎯 **Instrument:** CRWV
* 🔀 **Direction:** PUT (SHORT)
* 💵 **Entry Price:** 0.94
* 🎯 **Profit Target:** 1.40 → 1.88 (50–100% gain)
* 🛑 **Stop Loss:** 0.42 (\~45% risk)
* 📅 **Expiry:** 2025-08-22
* 📈 **Confidence:** 75% (strong institutional selling + bearish momentum)
* ⏰ **Entry Timing:** Market open
---
### 🚨 Key Risks:
* High **gamma risk** with only 2 days left.
* Potential short squeeze due to clustered OI at \$80–\$85 puts.
---
💡 **Play Idea:** Short-dated **\$82 puts** align perfectly with the bearish setup — but manage risk tightly due to gamma heat.






















