DIS-Price is ranging but I'm ready to buy🕰 Monthly View
Price is still trading inside the monthly swing range.
Strong supply zone overhead near 140–160 where price has previously rejected.
Current candles show rejection from monthly resistance but still holding above major support (≈82–85).
Bigger picture: a break above the monthly supply could trigger continuation to 160–180.
📆 Weekly View
Weekly structure shows a Head and Shoulders pattern completed, with a recent retest.
Price currently pressing into resistance around 118–120.
Break and hold above this zone would open a path to the 159.55 target level.
Downside risk: failure here leads to deeper retracement back toward 85–90 support.
📅 Daily View
Market remains in a ranging environment between ~82 and 145.
Current move is testing resistance within this range (≈115–120).
Two scenarios:
Option 1: Break resistance → push into 135–140, eventually 159.
Option 2: Reject resistance → swing lower back into demand zones (≈95–100 or even 85).
⏱ 8H View
Price is coiling below weekly resistance.
Short-term rejection possible before a larger breakout attempt.
If bulls hold above local support, expect impulse push toward 130+.
🎯 Bias & Trade Plan
Bias: Neutral–Bullish (range breakout play)
Entry Zone: Look for demand confirmations around 100–105 or 95–100.
Upside Targets:
Short-term → 130–135
Mid-term → 159.55 (key supply)
Invalidation: Break below 82 (monthly strong support).
⚠️ Risk Note
DIS is consolidating long-term. Best plays are at range extremes (buy support or sell resistance). Wait for breakout confirmation before loading into swing positions.
DISND trade ideas
The Tweezer Bottom The #1 Reversal Bullish PatternThis pattern is called the tweezer bottom
candle stick pattern.
i learnt it from Steve Nison's book
on candlestick patterns
Its been a crazy yesterday man.I was looking
for real estate to invest in.
My plan is to buy a house in a
low income neighbourhood.
renovate it, screen tenants and put it on rent.
I plan to leave the real estate as an inheritence
to my future children, so that they can start off
on a better foot in life.
When visiting such places dont go with a car.
When you go into such places, be humble
and respectful.
Dont be quick to judge and take
your humble pie.
I have been trading and studying for a long time
and finally i have cracked the code to trading.
But remember it will take about
3 to 6 months to see
profit so please be patient
even as you test these strategies
on your simulation trading account.
I should have entered this NYSE:DIS
trade towards market close
seeing it on the screener right now
means the entry wont be the best
But its a medium entry because its
right on the -50 line
on the William % R Indicator
I know i said i wont talk about
stocks any more
but i know my audience you
love stock options.
So maybe i wont trade them personally but
its an alternative to those who
like stock options trading.
If you look closer that tweeer bottom
candlestick pattern is a bullish reversal pattern.
We are recovering from a stock market crash.
So on the tweezer bottom the bears tried to take
control but then them buyers
was like
"We are going to destroy you sellers"
So a strong support appeared in the form
of a "bounce"
And then above the 50 EMA the price went
as you can see on the chart.
This market crash began in June
and has been crashing
for about 4 months.
Am suspecting that the drop in interest
rates this september
next week
will make debt cheaper
then these tech dudes will borrow
money to buy back the shares of their companies.
This in turn will increase the value of the company
Thank you for reading.
Rocket boost this chart to learn more.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky
please learn risk management and profit taking
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also feel free to use a simulation trading account
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DIS LongOn DIS (15m), the broader market structure is bearish, with price forming lower highs and lower lows since topping near 119.79, which marked a clear CHoCH to the downside. This shift confirmed that sellers took control and have been driving price lower. The latest leg extended into 114.80, showing strong downside momentum before a modest reaction.
The supply zones between 116.50–118.00 are significant, as price previously dropped sharply from these levels, signaling that sellers are likely to defend them again. Demand sits in the 113.00–114.00 region, where buyers stepped in aggressively before, creating a strong base that caused a decent rally. This area remains the key support to watch for any meaningful reversal attempts.
Price is currently hovering near 115.00, showing signs of short-term exhaustion after a sharp decline. The projection on the chart suggests a potential sweep of demand around 114.50 before a bullish push back toward the 116.50–117.00 supply zone. If price reacts strongly from demand with confirmation candles (engulfing or strong impulsive green bars), a relief rally toward supply is likely.
The trade bias is short-term bullish for a corrective move higher, but within a broader bearish trend. The key invalidation level for the bullish bounce scenario is a sustained breakdown below 113.80, which would open the door for continuation toward deeper demand at 112.50–113.00. Momentum currently favors sellers overall, but short-term oversold conditions support a potential relief rally
Disney analysisDisney has broken above the trendline and completed a successful retest, reinforcing the breakout.
A golden cross between the 50-week and 200-week SMAs supports the improving structure, though confirmation depends on continued momentum.
From here, I see potential for price to move toward the 145–150 USD zone.
🎯 Conclusion: Bias is cautiously bullish — I expect Disney may advance into the 145–150 USD region. This view is based on current technical signals, but the market is uncertain and no outcome can be guaranteed.
This #1 Stock Is Gearing Up for Lift-Off...Disney Stock is Gearing Up for Lift-Off with the Rocket Booster Strategy 🚀
Walt Disney Co. (DIS) looks set for upside momentum, and the Rocket Booster Strategy is giving us multiple signals that the stock could continue its bullish run.
1️⃣ Price Action Above Key Averages
Disney is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMA). This alignment shows that both the
short-term and long-term trends are leaning bullish. The 50 EMA acting as support confirms buyers are stepping in on pullbacks.
2️⃣ Gap Up Ignites Momentum
Recently, the stock printed a gap up, which often signals strong institutional buying pressure. Gaps like these tend to act as
catalysts, pushing price toward new resistance levels as momentum traders jump on board.
3️⃣ Balance of Power (BOP) Rising from Oversold Levels
While the Balance of Power (BOP) indicator dipped below zero earlier, we now see signs of recovery. This shift suggests that the
bulls are regaining control, adding fuel to the potential upward trajectory.
📈 What This Means
With price action holding above major EMAs, a bullish gap in play, and confirmation from both BOP and DMI, Disney stock looks set
to continue its climb. Traders using the Rocket Booster Strategy should keep an eye on support around the 50 EMA and target resistance at recent swing highs.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always backtest strategies, practice
risk management, and consider using a simulation trading account before risking real money.
👉 Action Step: Add Disney (DIS) to your watchlist and track how it behaves around the 50 EMA. A strong bounce here could be the ignition needed for the next leg up.
Rocket Boost This Content To Learn More
Disney: Faltering Below Double Top?Walt Disney rallied more than 50 percent between April and June, but some traders may see a potential reversal in the media company.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the March 2024 high around $124. DIS tested that level in late June before reversing. That may be viewed as a double-top.
Second, DIS fell on August 6 after earnings beat estimates. The stock rebounded but stalled at a weekly closing price of $116.59 from August 1. Has new resistance emerged?
Third, MACD is falling. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is also below the 21-day EMA. Those signals are potentially consistent with short-term bearishness.
Next, prices have crossed below the 50-day simple moving average. That may suggest the intermediate-term trend is no longer bullish.
Finally, DIS is an active underlier in the options market. (Its average volume of 85,000 contracts per session ranks about 30th in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That could help investors position for moves with calls and puts.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
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Disney: Positioned for Upside with Strong Streaming MomentumCurrent Price: $112.43
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $115.90
- T2 = $118.80
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $111.00
- S2 = $109.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts. Disney's diversified business model, strong global brand, and robust streaming strategy are areas of focus recognized by traders.
**Key Insights:**
Disney stands as a growth-oriented stock supported by its strong branding, expansive intellectual property portfolio, and strategic focus on streaming. The Disney+ platform continues to drive subscriber growth, with competitive positioning against industry peers. Additionally, the revival of consumer spending post-pandemic has benefited Disney's theme parks and box office revenue. As macroeconomic tailwinds persist, especially within the Consumer Discretionary sector, Disney's strategic investments position it for sustained upside.
Investor interest has also increased due to the company's focus on cutting costs and ensuring long-term profitability. If interest rate expectations stabilize and markets favor growth-oriented stocks, Disney has the potential to outperform due to its distinctive edge in media, entertainment, and streaming services.
**Recent Performance:**
Disney shares have displayed resilience amid broader market volatility. The stock recently bounced off key technical support at $110 and is carving out steady gains within a bullish consolidation pattern. This follows an uptick in streaming subscribers and positive box office results for major releases, showcasing operational strength despite headwinds in the global economy.
**Expert Analysis:**
Analysts are optimistic about Disney’s ability to drive long-term growth through diversified revenue streams. Technical indicators point toward upside momentum, with moving averages confirming bullish trends. Metrics such as volume analysis and relative strength index (RSI) suggest that Disney is not overbought, providing near-term entry opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on incremental price movements.
**News Impact:**
Recent announcements of strategic restructuring, including a focus on streaming profitability and reductions in operating costs, have bolstered investor confidence. Disney's strong pipeline for movie releases and theme park expansion plans further support revenue growth. Macroeconomic factors such as easing inflationary pressure and renewed consumer confidence are complementary catalysts that enhance Disney’s stock outlook.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Disney presents a compelling case for long positions, especially at its current price level. With its streaming services driving enormous user growth and ancillary businesses recovering from pandemic impacts, the stock appears poised to test higher resistance levels. Both technical and fundamental factors align to favor upside momentum, making Disney an attractive opportunity for traders seeking long-term gains.
DIS Call Option Loading – $117 Breakout Imminent?## 🎯 DIS Weekly Call Setup – 117C by Friday? Institutions Are Betting Big! 💥
**🧠 Summary of Smart Model Consensus (2025-08-06)**
> ⚖️ *Mixed Momentum, But Bullish Flow Stands Out*
---
### 🔍 5 AI Models – Here's What They're Seeing:
**📈 Grok/xAI:**
✅ *Bullish Weekly Flow* (Call/Put ratio: 2.54)
✅ *Institutional Accumulation* on high volume
⚠️ *Daily RSI still bearish*
⚠️ *High Gamma Risk* – short expiry window
**🔻 Gemini/Google:**
🔻 *Bearish RSI across daily/weekly timeframes*
📉 *Heavy Sell Volume* = Distribution
💬 *Bullish flow might be retail noise*
**🔄 Claude/Anthropic:**
✅ *Oversold RSI* = Possible Relief Rally
✅ *High Call Flow & Favorable Volatility*
⚠️ *Momentum Weak* – proceed cautiously
**📊 LLaMA/Meta:**
⚖️ *Mixed Signals* – leaning Bullish
⚠️ *Gamma Risk* critical with only 2 DTE
📈 *Support/Resistance Levels Must Guide Entry*
**🔻 DeepSeek:**
🔻 *Weak momentum, institutional selling*
⚠️ *Contrarian Bearish Position*
🎯 Targets breakdown support
---
### 🧠 Model Consensus:
💡 *Mixed Signals* → **Cautious Bullish Bias**
✅ *Institutional Flow + Oversold RSI*
⚠️ *Gamma + RSI Risk = Manage Entry & Exit Tightly*
---
## 📈 Recommended Trade Setup:
| 🔧 | DETAILS |
| ---------------- | --------------------------- |
| 🎯 Instrument | `DIS` |
| 🎯 Direction | **CALL (LONG)** |
| 💰 Entry Price | **\$0.72** |
| 📌 Strike | **\$117.00** |
| 📅 Expiry | **Aug 8, 2025 (2 DTE)** |
| 🎯 Profit Target | \$1.25 – \$1.80 *(75–150%)* |
| 🛑 Stop Loss | \$0.36 *(50% premium)* |
| 📈 Confidence | **65%** |
| ⏰ Entry | **At Market Open** |
---
### ⚠️ Key Risks:
* 🧨 **Gamma Risk:** Volatility can cause price to explode or implode quickly
* 📉 **Bearish RSI trend** still in play – this is a **speculative short-term trade**
* 🎢 Only **2 Days to Expiry** — manage actively
---
### 🧠 Final Thoughts:
This is a **tactical high-upside, short-dated bet** on a potential bounce in \$DIS. Institutions are positioning early — retail might be late to this move. Risk tightly, but reward could be explosive.
---
**📌 TradingView Hashtags:**
`#DIS #OptionsAlert #WeeklyOptions #CallOptions #GammaSqueeze #UnusualOptionsActivity #TradingStrategy #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #HighRiskHighReward #BullishFlow`
DIS Long The broader market structure on the 1-hour chart shows a clear downtrend with successive lower highs and lower lows. A Change of Character (CHoCH) is marked at 111.35, indicating a potential reversal after the recent strong bullish move from the demand zone below. However, no Break of Structure (BOS) has yet been confirmed on the upside, so caution is still warranted until a clean high is taken.
In terms of supply and demand, the lower grey zone near 111–113 acted as a strong demand area, where buyers stepped in aggressively, triggering a sharp reversal to the upside. This suggests a high-probability area where institutional buying may have occurred. Above, there’s a supply zone between 118.50–119.50, from which price previously dropped rapidly. This indicates strong selling pressure and unfilled orders still residing there.
Price is currently approaching this supply region after a strong impulsive rally from the demand base. Within the marked region, price action is climbing with momentum, printing higher highs and shallow pullbacks. We may see price tap into the 118.50–119.50 supply and react—either rejecting lower or consolidating before pushing higher.
The current trade bias is bullish, with expectations for price to test the 118.50–119.50 supply zone. However, invalidation of this bias would occur if price breaks below 114.80, which would suggest loss of bullish momentum and a possible revisit of the demand zone near 112.
Momentum currently favors buyers, as seen by strong bullish candles and minimal bearish follow-through. There are no major candle reversal patterns yet, indicating continuation remains probable for now.
Is Disney Losing Its Magic or Just Pulling Off One More SpectacuToo often, we exhaust ourselves asking, “What will this stock do next?” and “Why will it go up or down?” We scan headlines, debate macro trends, and craft elaborate forecasts, only to find the market moving in ways we never imagined.
This happens because, as retail investors, we don’t have access to all the information , and even if we did, we couldn’t process it for every stock. In other words, we’re always at a disadvantage .
But the moment anyone trade posts a price and volume, the market speaks for itself. We can learn to read these signals and act only when there’s a clear price trajectory, with an attractive risk–reward ratio.
📌 Key Takeaways from this Idea
Focus on Price Zones , not on predicting the market’s next move. It's not the way to make money!
Head & Shoulders at $118–$140 is an extremely bearish reversal if $80 breaks.
Long-term Trend Line support (blue) suggests a possible historic rebound to fresh all-time highs.
Patience Pays Off: Let price decide the direction, breakdown or breakout?
📖 The Big Picture: Two Competing Narratives
On Disney’s monthly chart, we see two powerful stories playing out:
Bearish Head & Shoulders
Left Shoulder around $215 (2021), Head near $205 (2022), Right Shoulder at $140 (2023–2024).
A clear break and close below $80 would confirm a classical reversal, potentially slicing Disney’s price by another 40–50% before hitting a strong volume cluster near $40 where the maximum prices of 2000's stand.
Bullish Long-Term Trend
Since the early 1980s, Disney has respected the upward sloping blue trend line (tested in 1984, 2009, 2020).
Today’s price (~$118) sits at that trend line and major horizontal support. If it holds, this could be the start of another leg toward unprecedented highs—driven by resumed park attendance, streaming profitability, and franchise power.
🏷️ Why Price Zones Matter
“You don’t need to know where the market will go next, only where you will act.”
Buy Zone: $85 or over $120
Confluence of trend-line support + historical volume node.
Reward-to-Risk improves dramatically if we see bullish price action here (hammer, bullish engulfing).
Sell / Alert Zone: Under $80
Right-shoulder region, if price rallies back into this area but fails to break above, the head & shoulders pattern gains strength. Losing the red line support would be a major disaster for the NYSE:DIS Stock.
Trigger Levels:
Bullish Confirmation: Monthly close above $120 → possible rally to $180–200+
Bearish Confirmation: Monthly close below $80 → path to $40–50
&S appeared:
Fortunately, most of the Head and Shoulders pattern end without breaking the support line, that means the pattern is not confirmed and the price continue bullish or neutral. But when the line is broken... Oh dear, be ready for the panic!
Let me show what happened to Novo Nordisk NYSE:NVO when the pattern was confirmed:
Or to Tesla Inc. NASDAQ:TSLA few yeras ago.
🤯 Investor Psychology & Current Uncertainty
When a chart displays two clear narratives, each backed by its own pattern, it means the stock is in a moment of high uncertainty , and traders will operate within a price range until the outlook becomes clearer.
The reasons behind this two patterns:
Streaming Profitability: Disney+ has reached critical scale, but content costs remain sky-high. Investors wonder: will margins ever justify the valuation?
Theme Parks Rebound vs. Macro Risks : Parks & Resorts are back to pre-COVID attendance, yet recession fears and rising rates weigh on consumer spending.
Franchise Fatigue or Franchise Strength?: Marvel, Star Wars, Pixar continue to drive revenue—but recent box-office flops have shaken confidence.
Leadership Transition & Strategy: New CEO’s focus: cost-cutting vs. growth investment. Every quarterly update is scrutinized for signs of over- or under-commitment.
Result : Investors are cautious, sitting on the sidelines, waiting for price to speak. A break above $120 might restore bullish conviction; a break below $80 could ignite panic selling.
🗺️ Trade Plan : Let Price Decide
In case you want to trade as soon as posible, consider playing the range, I mean, sell near 120$ to find some short term falls inside the channel. If not, don’t fight, just wait.
Above $120 → consider long exposures.
Below $80 → respect the bearish reversal. Consider short setups or stay out.
Use tight stops beyond your trigger level to guard against false breakouts.
“The market rewards the patient, let price do the talking.”
🤔 Conclusion
Disney stands at a historical crossroads. Are we witnessing the end of a decades-long uptrend, or the resumption of a legendary growth story? By focusing on well-defined price zones and letting the chart guide your decisions, you’ll be prepared for either scenario , without guessing where the market “should” go next and avoiding frustration.
🚀 If you enjoyed this analysis, feel free to follow and comment below. Let price tell us the next chapter in Disney’s epic saga!
Disney Wave Analysis – 8 July 2025- Disney reversed from multi-month resistance level 123.60
- Likely to fall to support level 114.90
Disney recently reversed from the strong multi-month resistance level 123.60 (which is the upper border of the sideways price range inside which the price has been trading from 2022) standing near the upper weekly Bollinger Band.
The resistance level 123.60 was further strengthened by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the sharp weekly downtrend from the start of 2021.
Disney can be expected to fall to the next support level 114.90 (former low of the primary correction 2 from May).
DIS - Magical Breakout LoomingDisney is preparing for an explosive breakout! There is a lot going on this chart so lets break it down for you.
This first thing to note is this is the 3day chart. Therefore this market structure has been developing over the last 5 years!
The first low of this mega trend was established during the Covid Crash of March 2020. It sent price from it low around $80 to over $200! The second low of our mega trend was established September/October 2023 Establishing a double bottom around the $80 level which sent the stock on a 60% rally. The third low was established during the tariff collapse in April 2025. This has also sent the stock on a 60% rally over the last couple months after establishing a TRIPLE BOTTOM around the $80 level. This shows Disney's stock has seen very strong demand at $80 over the past 5 years and has helped it develop a very strong floor of support (Lower white line).
The second thing we will be looking at is the highs of this mega trend, not the high above $200 but the high that created the first top on the structure at $126 in August of 2022. The second top was established at the same level in April 2024 creating a double top. This sent price crashing down 35% back to that floor of support at $80. Now price is right back at the same level.
This means it is extremely important to see how the stock price reacts at this level. If price fails to break above then that could establish a triple top at this level which could jeopardize the $80 floor of support.
However that is the less likely alternative and what is more likely is a breakout above this structure. Since this structure has been forming for so long it could create a swift breakout to the upside. If this is to occur our first primary level to watch will be around $155.
The $155 is a very important level and has lots of confluence giving us that as a potential first breakout target. AOI - This means area of interest and is highlighted by yellow circles. This AOI marked the top before the 2020 covid collapse. Looking at the purple line gives us the 1.618 extension level of our micro trend. On top of that It is also in confluence with the 0.618 golden ratio of our macro trend.
Keep an eye on this stock and its breakout potential.
Disney: A Magical Breakout in the Making?
🏰After 3 years of consolidation, Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) is finally showing signs of life on the charts. Price action is breaking out of a well-defined falling wedge, aligning almost perfectly with a classic Wyckoff Price Cycle — and it now looks poised to enter Stage 2: The Uptrend.
For traders waiting on confirmation, a clean break and retest of the $122 supply zone could serve as a high-conviction signal that the tide is turning — and that the Magical Kingdom may soon be sprinkling profits across portfolios.
🔥 Fundamentals Catching Up to the Chart
Streaming strength is real:
Disney+ and Hulu combined reached 180.7 million subscribers in Q2 FY 2025, adding 2.5 million new users in a single quarter. Disney+ alone accounts for 126 million subscribers, with 1 million added in North America alone.
Strategic moves underway:
Disney is also in the process of acquiring a 70% stake in FuboTV, integrating it with Hulu + Live TV to supercharge its live-streaming and sports bundling strategy. The deal is awaiting regulatory and shareholder approval before closing.
💡 Bottom Line
With technical momentum and streaming fundamentals finally aligned, Disney could be setting up for a strong multi-year upside move.
Stay sharp. Stay disciplined. And as always — this isn’t financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
Happy Hunting!
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DIS Weekly Options Outlook (Week of 2025-06-09)📈 DIS Weekly Options Outlook (Week of 2025-06-09)
🧠 Multi-Model AI Consensus | NYSE:DIS
This week, multiple AI models show short-term bullish momentum for Disney ( NYSE:DIS ), but technical overbought signals and options market dynamics point to potential pullback risks near $113 into Friday’s expiration.
🧪 AI Model Insights:
🔹 Grok/xAI
• Momentum: Bullish (5-min MACD +, price > EMAs)
• Risk: Daily RSI overbought, MACD histogram red
• Trade: Buy $116C @ $0.73 → PT: $1.095 (+50%), SL: $0.365 (–50%)
• Confidence: 70%
🔹 Claude
• Momentum: Bullish on 5-min + daily RSI (~75), volume up
• Trade: Buy $117C @ $0.40 → PT: $0.80 (+100%), SL: $0.20 (–50%)
• Confidence: 68%
🔹 Llama
• Momentum: Bullish; price > EMAs, MACD up, RSI not extreme
• Note: Max pain pullback risk to $113
• Trade: Buy $116C @ $0.73 → PT: $0.87 (+20%), SL: $0.365
• Confidence: 70%
🔹 Gemini
• Momentum: Strong bullish on 5-min, but daily MACD lagging
• Trade: Buy $117C @ $0.40 on breakout > $115.70
→ PT: $0.80 (+100%), SL: $0.20
• Confidence: 65%
🔹 DeepSeek
• Momentum: Bearish bias due to overbought RSI, MACD divergence
• Trade: Buy $113P @ $0.24 → PT: $0.48 (+100%), SL: $0.12
• Confidence: 65%
✅ Consensus Summary:
Market Bias: 📊 Moderately Bullish, but watch for gravity toward $113 max pain
Best Setup: Long weekly naked calls ($116–$117 strikes)
Strategy Type: Single-leg call
Key Levels:
• Resistance: $118 (heavy call OI)
• Pullback Risk: $113 (max pain zone)
📌 Suggested Trade Setup
🎯 Symbol: NYSE:DIS
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
🟢 Strike: 117 CALL
💵 Entry: $0.40
🎯 Profit Target: $0.80
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.20
📈 Confidence: 68%
⏰ Timing: At open or breakout > $115.70
⚠️ Risk Watch:
• Overbought RSI may trigger fade
• Max pain pressure into expiry
• Call-heavy OI at $116–$118 may cap upside
The Walt Disney Stock Future Goes 'Shining Bright as Never'The Walt Disney Company’s stock (DIS) has demonstrated robust performance following its Q2 2025 earnings release a week ago, with both fundamental and technical indicators reflecting positive momentum.
Here’s a detailed analysis:
Fundamental Perspective
Disney’s Q2 2025 results exceeded expectations, driven by strong execution across its entertainment, streaming, and experiences segments. Key financial highlights include:
Revenue Growth. Revenues rose 7% year-over-year (YoY) to $23.6 billion, surpassing estimates of $23.14 billion.
Profitability Surge. Adjusted EPS jumped 20% YoY to $1.45, beating forecasts of $1.20. Net income swung to $3.3 billion from a $20 million loss in Q2 2024.
Streaming Strength. Disney+ added 1.4 million subscribers (reaching 126 million globally), defying expectations of a decline. Combined Disney+ and Hulu streaming operations generated $336 million in profit, a sevenfold increase from $47 million YoY.
Guidance Upgrade. Disney raised its fiscal 2025 adjusted EPS forecast to $5.75 (up 16% YoY), citing confidence in double-digit operating income growth for entertainment and sports, and 6%-8% growth for experiences.
Growth Drivers:
Entertainment. Segment operating income rose $0.5 billion YoY to $1.3 billion, fueled by streaming profitability and box office success (e.g., Moana 2).
Experiences. Theme parks and consumer products saw higher attendance, guest spending, and cruise demand, though international parks faced headwinds in Shanghai and Hong Kong.
Strategic Initiatives. The upcoming Abu Dhabi theme park and ESPN’s direct-to-consumer launch are expected to drive long-term growth.
Technical Perspective
Disney’s stock firstly reacted positive to the earnings beat, reflecting renewed investor confidence:
Price Action. Shares surged 10-12% post-earnings, hitting an intraday high of $103.31. Over the past month, DIS gained 31%, including a 20% rally in five days.
Valuation. The stock trades at 18.4x forward earnings and 2.1x sales, a premium to industry averages but below its historical norms.
Analyst Sentiment. The average price target stands at $126.50 (14% upside), with a Street-high target of $148 (33% upside).
Technical Indicators:
Momentum. The breakout above key resistance levels (e.g., $100) signals bullish sentiment, supported by high trading volume.
Volatility. Beta of 1.01 aligns with market volatility, while short interest remains low at 1.24% of float.
Risks and Considerations
Macroeconomic Uncertainty. Disney acknowledged potential impacts from tariffs and global economic conditions.
Valuation Premium. While growth prospects justify some premium, prolonged macroeconomic stress could pressure multiples.
Investors challenge
Disney’s Q2 2025 results underscore its ability to execute on streaming monetization, theme park innovation, and content-driven growth.
Fundamentally, raised guidance and streaming profitability signal a turnaround, while technically, the stock’s breakout suggests locally bullish momentum.
Following historical patterns we are Bearishly tuned at this time, with targets to fill the gap at $92.17 per share (left after Earnings report), and drilling all the way below.
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
Disney Wave Analysis – 15 May 2025
- Disney rising inside impulse wave (1)
- Likely to reach resistance level 119,00
Disney continues to rise inside the sharp weekly upward impulse wave (1), which started earlier from the long-term support level 84.30 (which has been reversing the price from the end of 2022).
The support level 84.30 is the lower boundary of the extended multi-year sideways price range inside which the price has been moving since the middle of July.
Disney can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 119,00, which is the upper border of the active weekly price range.
DIS is already at $96.… Don’t miss the train!🚨 🎢✨Disney (DIS) is pushing up and showing strength — are you watching this move? 👀 We’ve been eyeing entry levels between $91 and $81, but with the price at $96.30, this setup is heating up faster than expected! 🔥
Sometimes the perfect dip doesn’t come — and waiting too long can mean watching the rocket 🚀 from the sidelines. If you’re still tracking DIS, this might be your sign to stay alert and have your strategy ready. 🎯
Potential targets? Still aiming for that juicy $100–$120 range if momentum continues! 📈💰
Let’s see how it plays out — keep your plan tight and emotions out. Are you in, or still waiting? 😎👇
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consider speaking with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Walt Disney Co | DISThe Walt Disney Company is reportedly exploring options to sell or find a joint venture partner for its India digital and TV business, reflecting the company's ongoing strategic evaluation of its operations in the region. The talks are still in the early stages, with no specific buyer or partner identified yet. The outcome and direction of the process remain uncertain. Internally, discussions have commenced within Disney's headquarters in the United States as executives deliberate on the most viable course of action. These deliberations signify the company's willingness to adapt and optimize its business operations to align with changing market dynamics. The Wall Street Journal reported on July 11 that Disney had engaged with at least one bank to explore potential avenues for assisting the growth of its India business while sharing the associated costs. This approach suggests a proactive stance by the company to explore partnerships or arrangements that can drive growth while minimizing financial burdens. While it is too early to ascertain the exact direction this exploration will take, the developments in Disney's India business warrant attention, as they may shape the future landscape of the company's presence in this all-important region.
The ongoing shift from traditional TV to streaming has placed Disney and its competitors in a costly and transformative phase. As part of this transition, Disney is actively cutting costs amid macroeconomic challenges that have impacted its advertising revenue and subscriber growth. CEO Bob Iger has been at the forefront of these changes, and his contract was recently extended through 2026 to allow him sufficient time to make transformative changes while strengthening the bench with future leaders of the company.
One of the key considerations for Disney is evaluating its portfolio of TV networks, including ABC and ESPN. Bob Iger has expressed a willingness to be expansive in assessing the traditional TV business, leaving open the possibility of selling certain networks while retaining others acknowledging that networks like ABC may not be core to Disney's new business model. ESPN, as a cable TV channel, is being approached differently. Disney is open to exploring strategic partnerships, such as joint ventures or offloading ownership stakes, to navigate the challenges faced by the sports network. CEO Iger, who had previously expressed pessimism about the future of traditional TV, has found the situation to be worse than anticipated since his return to Disney.
Although the linear networks segment, which accounts for Disney's TV properties such as ABC, National Geographic, FX, and FreeForm, has struggled to grow in the recent past, this segment is still an important part of the company's business, which is evident from the positive operating income reported by this segment in fiscal 2022. As below data reveals, the DTC business and content licensing made operating losses in FY 2022 which were offset by the operating income reported by linear networks. For this reason, investors will have to closely monitor a potential sale of TV assets to evaluate the impact of such a decision on Disney's profitability.
The broadcasting landscape is experiencing a significant shift, with uncertainties surrounding its future and the changing nature of consumer preferences. While linear television channels are not expected to disappear immediately, their consumption continues to decline as viewers increasingly favor OTT platforms. This transition represents a fundamental trend shaping the industry. In terms of business models, subscription video-on-demand (SVOD) services will continue to grow with targeted advertising.
As the ascent of streaming video continues, cable, satellite, and internet TV providers in the United States faced their most significant subscriber losses to date in the first quarter of 2023. Analyst estimates indicate a collective shedding of 2.3 million customers during this period. Consequently, the total penetration of pay-TV services in occupied U.S. households, including internet-based services like YouTube TV and Hulu, dropped to its lowest point since 1992, standing at 58.5%, according to Moffett's calculations.
In Q1, pay-TV services in the U.S. witnessed a nearly 7% decline in customers compared to the previous year, with cable TV operators experiencing a 9.9% decline, while satellite providers DirecTV and Dish Network registered subscriber losses of 13.4%. Virtual MVPDs, which are multichannel video programming distributors, also suffered significant losses, shedding 264,000 customers during the quarter. Comcast, the largest pay-TV provider in the country, lost 614,000 video customers in Q1, and Google's YouTube TV was the only tracked provider to experience subscriber growth, adding an estimated 300,000 subscribers during the period. These trends illustrate the challenges faced by the pay-TV industry, with factors like increasing sports-broadcast fees driving retail prices higher, leading to cord-cutting and subsequent price adjustments by distributors. By 2026, e-Marketer predicts that the number of non-pay TV households will surpass pay TV households by over 25 million.
In efforts to achieve profitability in the streaming business, Disney has implemented significant cost-cutting measures, including saving $5.5 billion through cost reductions and layoffs, and a focus on making Disney+ and Hulu more profitable. Disney aims to enhance Hulu integration, seeing it as a vital component of the company's transition from TV to a streaming-only model. Discussions are also underway for Disney to acquire Comcast Corporation's (CMCSA) stake in Hulu, as Disney currently holds 66% ownership. The company believes that the integration of Hulu and Disney+ will bolster the streaming business and contribute to its profitability. While the negotiations with Comcast over Hulu's valuation are ongoing, the combined offering of Disney+ and Hulu is expected to be available to consumers by the end of the calendar year. Although Disney's plans for ESPN+ and the fate of its other cable channels, such as the Disney Channel, remain uncertain, Bob Iger expects ESPN to eventually move to a streaming-only model, acknowledging the disruptive nature of the traditional TV business model.
The discussions surrounding Walt Disney's TV and streaming business in India come at a critical juncture for the company, as it grapples with intensified competition and significant challenges in the market. The emergence of Reliance Industries' JioCinema streaming platform has posed a considerable threat to Disney's dominance, especially after Reliance secured digital rights for the highly popular Indian Premier League cricket tournament. This strategic move by Reliance, which offered free access to the tournament earlier this year, caused a substantial decline in Disney+ Hotstar's subscribers, a popular streaming service under Disney's India business.
Additionally, Viacom18, which is backed by Reliance and Paramount Global (PARA), made a significant impact on Disney's market position in India. Through its partnership with Warner Bros, Viacom18 secured content rights to popular shows on HBO including Succession, previously aired on Disney's platform. This collaboration forms a formidable alliance challenging Disney's dominance in the Indian market. Reliance's freemium model poses the most significant threat to Disney's current position. By offering content for free on its streaming platform, JioCinema attracted a substantial number of subscribers through the broadcast of IPL. With its ample cash reserves, Reliance has the advantage of focusing on subscriber growth without immediately focusing on monetization strategies. The loss of streaming rights for the IPL, combined with a subsequent decline in paid subscribers, had a profound impact on Disney's reputation in India in the first quarter of this year, which could very well be the most challenging Q1 Disney has had in India for a long time.
A report on video consumption trends in India by Media Partners Asia sheds light on the dynamic landscape of the online video sector in India. For the 15 months that ended in March 2023, total consumption across the online video sector reached a staggering 6.1 trillion minutes. During this period, Disney+ Hotstar emerged as the dominant player in premium VOD, capturing 38% of viewing time. The report attributes Hotstar's success to its strong sports offerings and the depth of its Hindi and regional entertainment content.
During the survey period, Zee and Sony together held a 13% share of the Indian premium video sector viewing time. While the two companies are expected to merge pending regulatory approval, they are projected to operate independently for another year, benefiting from strong engagement across sports as well as regional, local, and international content. Prime Video and Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) collectively accounted for a 10% share of viewership in the premium VOD category. Prime Video also garnered a significant portion of viewership from regional Indian titles. The report emphasizes that local content dominates premium VOD viewership, particularly outside the sports category, while international content leads paid tiers. Catch-up TV is prevalent in the free tier across freemium streaming platforms.
Although Disney was the clear winner in 2022, this report highlights a significant shake-up in the market brought about by the transformation of JioCinema. JioCinema, which previously held a mere 2% share of the premium video market, experienced a major upswing in growth since April. This surge can be attributed to JioCinema's decision to offer free live streaming of the popular IPL cricket tournament, a property that was previously exclusive to Disney-owned media in India. Despite technical glitches impacting user experience, JioCinema witnessed a more than 20-fold increase in consumption in April 2023, enabling it to dominate the premium VOD category. The report raises questions about JioCinema's ability to sustain this growth and scale in the absence of IPL action after June 2023. That being said, this could be an early indication of growth challenges Disney-owned brands may face in India.
Star India, now known as Disney Star following the rebranding last year, is expected to experience a revenue drop of around 20% to less than $2 billion for the fiscal year ending September 2023. Additionally, EBITDA is projected to decline by approximately 50% compared to the previous year. Furthermore, Hotstar is estimated to lose 8 to 10 million subscribers in its fiscal third quarter as well.
Given the current scenario, finding an outright buyer for Disney's India business is expected to be challenging. When Disney acquired the entertainment assets of 21st Century Fox in 2019, the enterprise value of the Indian business was estimated at around $15-16 billion. This high valuation, coupled with the intense competition and declining subscriber base, presents a complex landscape for potential buyers or partners.
I believe Disney stock is attractively valued today given that the company's streaming business has a long runway for growth internationally while its brand assets will continue to drive revenue higher. As an investor, I am both concerned and curious about what the future holds for Disney's linear networks segment. Going by the recent remarks of CEO Iger, major changes are on their way. A strategic decision to divest non-core assets, in my opinion, will trigger a positive response from the market. That being said, a major divestment of TV assets could materially impact the company's profitability in the next 3-5 years until its streaming business scales enough to replace lost revenue from the linear networks segment. Investors will have to closely monitor new developments to identify a potential inflection point in Disney's story.